{
  "version": "2.0.0",
  "claims": [
    {
      "id": "C1",
      "status": "Proved",
      "claim": "Conditional linear-output unbiasedness under the frozen exact-integral and sampling contract",
      "evidence": [
        "docs/RESIDUAL_THEORY.md#P11",
        "tests/test_contract.py"
      ],
      "novelty": "Classical control variates; no new identity claimed"
    },
    {
      "id": "C2",
      "status": "Proved",
      "claim": "Residual-risk covariance metric and fixed-proposal estimator equivalence",
      "evidence": [
        "docs/RESIDUAL_THEORY.md#P12",
        "docs/RESIDUAL_THEORY.md#P13",
        "tests/test_contract.py"
      ],
      "novelty": "Explicit architecture application of variance/centering identities; not a first-history claim"
    },
    {
      "id": "C3",
      "status": "Experimentally demonstrated",
      "claim": "59.36% lower expected revisit error than screen memory in a small first physical study",
      "evidence": [
        "results/rendering_report.json",
        "results/rendering_raw.csv"
      ],
      "scope": "Eight scenes, same finite-light family and equal rays; unequal memory/compute"
    },
    {
      "id": "C4",
      "status": "Experimentally demonstrated",
      "claim": "46.61% reduction of unguarded active hidden-change error on a separate scene split",
      "evidence": [
        "results/followup_report.json",
        "results/followup_raw.csv"
      ],
      "scope": "Partial correction; cannot prevent first surprise and does not dominate screen history"
    },
    {
      "id": "C5",
      "status": "Strong hypothesis",
      "claim": "A common persistent belief improves full SR/RR/FG/neural appearance jointly",
      "evidence": [
        "MANUSCRIPT.md"
      ],
      "scope": "No full-task experimental validation"
    },
    {
      "id": "C6",
      "status": "Experimental prediction",
      "claim": "Future GPU integration may save duplicated inference and ray cost",
      "evidence": [
        "MANUSCRIPT.md"
      ],
      "scope": "No measured GPU gain or deadline guarantee"
    },
    {
      "id": "C7",
      "status": "Not established",
      "claim": "100% scientific maturity, production readiness, or a major/transformative breakthrough",
      "evidence": [
        "STATUS.json",
        "docs/RELEASE_SCOPE.md"
      ]
    }
  ]
}