"""Self-consistency: majority vote over a greedy thinking run and sampled thinking runs of the same questions. python -m eval.self_consistency --greedy results/think_base_academic --samples results/sc3_base_academic Votes = greedy answer + every sampled answer (unparsed samples abstain); ties go to the greedy answer. Prints accuracy of greedy alone, samples alone (each), and the vote, with a paired bootstrap CI of vote minus greedy. """ from __future__ import annotations import argparse from collections import Counter, defaultdict from pathlib import Path import numpy as np from .common import read_jsonl def main() -> None: ap = argparse.ArgumentParser() ap.add_argument("--greedy", required=True, type=Path) ap.add_argument("--samples", required=True, type=Path) args = ap.parse_args() greedy = {r["uid"]: r for r in read_jsonl(args.greedy / "predictions.jsonl") if r["perm_k"] == 0} samples = defaultdict(list) for r in read_jsonl(args.samples / "predictions.jsonl"): samples[r["uid"]].append(r["pred_orig"]) uids = sorted(set(greedy) & set(samples)) g = np.array([greedy[u]["pred_orig"] == greedy[u]["gold"] for u in uids], dtype=float) vote = [] for u in uids: ballots = [greedy[u]["pred_orig"]] + samples[u] c = Counter(b for b in ballots if b is not None) if not c: vote.append(False) continue top = max(c.values()) winners = [a for a, n in c.items() if n == top] choice = greedy[u]["pred_orig"] if greedy[u]["pred_orig"] in winners else min(winners) vote.append(choice == greedy[u]["gold"]) v = np.array(vote, dtype=float) k = max(len(samples[u]) for u in uids) per_sample = [np.mean([samples[u][i] == greedy[u]["gold"] for u in uids if len(samples[u]) > i]) for i in range(k)] d = v - g rng = np.random.default_rng(0) lo, hi = np.percentile([d[rng.integers(0, len(d), len(d))].mean() for _ in range(5000)], [2.5, 97.5]) print(f"{args.samples.name}: n={len(uids)} greedy {100 * g.mean():.1f} samples {' / '.join(f'{100 * x:.1f}' for x in per_sample)}" f" vote(greedy+{k}) {100 * v.mean():.1f} diff {100 * d.mean():+.2f} [{100 * lo:+.2f}, {100 * hi:+.2f}]") if __name__ == "__main__": main()