""" StepProbe: Paper Figure Generation Generates all figures for the paper: 1. Step Survival Rate (SSR) curves 2. Error Type Distribution heatmap 3. First Failure Step (FFS) distributions 4. Accuracy vs. bit-width degradation 5. Error Cascade Rate by model size 6. Restoration before/after comparison """ import json import os import sys import glob from typing import List, Dict import numpy as np import matplotlib.pyplot as plt import matplotlib matplotlib.rcParams.update({ "font.family": "sans-serif", "font.size": 11, "axes.titlesize": 13, "axes.labelsize": 12, "xtick.labelsize": 10, "ytick.labelsize": 10, "legend.fontsize": 10, "figure.dpi": 150, "savefig.dpi": 300, "savefig.bbox": "tight", }) sys.path.insert(0, os.path.dirname(os.path.dirname(os.path.abspath(__file__)))) from stepprobe.utils import load_json # Color palette (colorblind-friendly) # Paired palette: the "restored" variant shares a hue with its base so the # eye can pair them instantly. Base = saturated, restored = desaturated. COLORS = { "fp16": "#1F4E79", # navy — reference "awq_w4": "#A23B72", "awq_w4_restored": "#D9A9C4", "gptq_w4": "#C73E1D", "gptq_w4_restored": "#EFB4A6", "bnb_nf4_w4": "#0B7A75", "bnb_nf4_w4_restored": "#8FC8C5", } ERROR_COLORS = { "conceptual": "#2E86AB", "methodological": "#A23B72", "executional": "#F18F01", "logical": "#C73E1D", } # Canonical ordering so paired (base, restored) bars always sit next to each # other and colors line up across figures. QUANT_ORDER = [ "awq_w4", "awq_w4_restored", "gptq_w4", "gptq_w4_restored", "bnb_nf4_w4", "bnb_nf4_w4_restored", ] def _pretty_label(q: str) -> str: """Short, lowercase-friendly label: 'gptq_w4_restored' -> 'GPTQ w4 (restored)'.""" if q.endswith("_restored"): base = q[: -len("_restored")] return f"{_pretty_label(base)} (restored)" if q == "bnb_nf4_w4": return "BnB NF4" if q == "fp16": return "FP16" parts = q.split("_w") if len(parts) == 2 and parts[1].isdigit(): return f"{parts[0].upper()} w{parts[1]}" return q def _sorted_results(results): """Return results ordered by QUANT_ORDER so figures are consistent.""" order = {q: i for i, q in enumerate(QUANT_ORDER)} return sorted(results, key=lambda r: order.get(r.get("quantization", ""), 999)) BENCHMARKS_KNOWN = ("gsm8k", "math500", "gpqa") def _benchmark_from_filename(fname: str) -> str: """Extract the benchmark from a metrics filename. Filenames written by stepprobe.metrics look like {model}_{quant}_{benchmark}_run{N}_metrics.json and both model and quant contain underscores, so we match the benchmark by a known-values list rather than by position. """ import re for bench in BENCHMARKS_KNOWN: if re.search(rf"_{bench}_run\d+_metrics\.json$", fname): return bench return "unknown" def load_all_metrics(metrics_dir: str) -> List[dict]: """Load all metrics JSON files from a directory, annotating each with its benchmark.""" results = [] for f in sorted(glob.glob(os.path.join(metrics_dir, "*_metrics.json"))): data = load_json(f) data["benchmark"] = _benchmark_from_filename(os.path.basename(f)) results.append(data) return results def fig1_ssr_curves(results: List[dict], output_path: str, title_suffix: str = ""): """ Figure 1: Step Survival Rate curves. Base quants drawn solid, restored variants drawn dashed in the same hue. """ fig, ax = plt.subplots(figsize=(8.5, 5.2)) for r in _sorted_results(results): quant = r.get("quantization", "") ssr = r.get("ssr_curve", []) if not ssr: continue color = COLORS.get(quant, "#888888") is_restored = quant.endswith("_restored") ax.plot( range(len(ssr)), ssr, label=_pretty_label(quant), color=color, linewidth=2.0 if not is_restored else 2.0, linestyle="--" if is_restored else "-", alpha=0.95, ) ax.set_xlabel("Reasoning step depth") ax.set_ylabel("Fraction of runs still correct") title = "Step survival — how reasoning degrades with depth" if title_suffix: title = f"{title}\n{title_suffix}" ax.set_title(title) ax.set_ylim(0, 1.05) ax.legend(loc="upper right", frameon=True, framealpha=0.9, ncol=1) ax.grid(True, alpha=0.25) ax.spines["top"].set_visible(False) ax.spines["right"].set_visible(False) plt.savefig(output_path) plt.close() print(f" Fig 1 saved: {output_path}") def fig2_error_type_heatmap(results: List[dict], output_path: str, title_suffix: str = ""): """ Figure 2: Error type distribution per quantization. Paired base/restored rows so you can read "did restoration reduce the conceptual/logical error share?" at a glance. """ error_types = ["conceptual", "methodological", "executional", "logical"] sorted_res = _sorted_results([r for r in results if r.get("error_type_dist")]) if not sorted_res: print(" [SKIP] No error distribution data for heatmap") return quants = [r["quantization"] for r in sorted_res] data = np.array([[r["error_type_dist"].get(e, 0) for e in error_types] for r in sorted_res]) fig, ax = plt.subplots(figsize=(7.5, 0.55 * len(quants) + 1.6)) im = ax.imshow(data, cmap="YlOrRd", aspect="auto", vmin=0, vmax=max(0.6, data.max())) ax.set_xticks(range(len(error_types))) ax.set_xticklabels([e.capitalize() for e in error_types]) ax.set_yticks(range(len(quants))) ax.set_yticklabels([_pretty_label(q) for q in quants]) for i in range(len(quants)): for j in range(len(error_types)): val = data[i, j] color = "white" if val > 0.35 else "black" ax.text(j, i, f"{val:.0%}", ha="center", va="center", color=color, fontsize=10) title = "Error type distribution by quantization" if title_suffix: title = f"{title}\n{title_suffix}" ax.set_title(title) plt.colorbar(im, ax=ax, label="Fraction of errors", fraction=0.04, pad=0.04) plt.savefig(output_path) plt.close() print(f" Fig 2 saved: {output_path}") def _plot_paired_bars(ax, results, value_fn, *, ylabel, percent=False): """Draw grouped (base, restored) bars for the three quant methods. Each method family (awq, gptq, bnb_nf4) gets one group on the x-axis. Within a group: two adjacent bars — base (darker) and restored (lighter). Bars are annotated with their numeric value. """ families = [("awq_w4", "awq_w4_restored", "AWQ w4"), ("gptq_w4", "gptq_w4_restored", "GPTQ w4"), ("bnb_nf4_w4", "bnb_nf4_w4_restored", "BnB NF4")] by_q = {r.get("quantization", ""): r for r in results} x = np.arange(len(families)) width = 0.36 base_vals, restored_vals = [], [] for base_q, rest_q, _ in families: base_vals.append(value_fn(by_q.get(base_q))) restored_vals.append(value_fn(by_q.get(rest_q))) base_colors = [COLORS.get(families[i][0], "#888888") for i in range(len(families))] rest_colors = [COLORS.get(families[i][1], "#BBBBBB") for i in range(len(families))] b1 = ax.bar(x - width / 2, base_vals, width, color=base_colors, edgecolor="white", linewidth=0.6, label="Quantized") b2 = ax.bar(x + width / 2, restored_vals, width, color=rest_colors, edgecolor="white", linewidth=0.6, label="Restored") def fmt(v): if v is None or (isinstance(v, float) and (v != v)): return "" return f"{v:.0%}" if percent else f"{v:.2f}" for bars, vals in ((b1, base_vals), (b2, restored_vals)): for bar, v in zip(bars, vals): if v is None: continue ax.text(bar.get_x() + bar.get_width() / 2, bar.get_height() + (0.01 if percent else 0.02), fmt(v), ha="center", va="bottom", fontsize=9) ax.set_xticks(x) ax.set_xticklabels([f[2] for f in families]) ax.set_ylabel(ylabel) ax.grid(True, axis="y", alpha=0.25) ax.spines["top"].set_visible(False) ax.spines["right"].set_visible(False) ax.legend(loc="best", frameon=True, framealpha=0.9) def fig3_ffs_distribution(results: List[dict], output_path: str, title_suffix: str = ""): """Figure 3: First Failure Step — grouped (base, restored) bars per method.""" fig, ax = plt.subplots(figsize=(8, 5)) def get_ffs(r): if not r: return None v = r.get("avg_ffs", None) if v is None or v == float("inf"): return None return v _plot_paired_bars(ax, results, get_ffs, ylabel="Avg first failure step") title = "Where does reasoning first break? (higher = better)" if title_suffix: title = f"{title}\n{title_suffix}" ax.set_title(title) plt.savefig(output_path) plt.close() print(f" Fig 3 saved: {output_path}") def fig4_accuracy_degradation(results: List[dict], fp16_acc: float, output_path: str, title_suffix: str = ""): """Figure 4: Accuracy — grouped (base, restored) bars per method, with FP16 line.""" fig, ax = plt.subplots(figsize=(8, 5)) def get_acc(r): return r.get("accuracy") if r else None _plot_paired_bars(ax, results, get_acc, ylabel="Accuracy", percent=True) if fp16_acc is not None: ax.axhline(y=fp16_acc, color=COLORS["fp16"], linestyle="--", linewidth=1.5, alpha=0.8, label="FP16 reference") # Re-draw legend so the FP16 line is included. ax.legend(loc="best", frameon=True, framealpha=0.9) ax.set_ylim(0, max(1.0, (ax.get_ylim()[1] or 0) + 0.05)) title = "Accuracy — quantized vs restored (higher = better)" if title_suffix: title = f"{title}\n{title_suffix}" ax.set_title(title) plt.savefig(output_path) plt.close() print(f" Fig 4 saved: {output_path}") def fig5_cascade_rate(results: List[dict], output_path: str, title_suffix: str = ""): """Figure 5: Error Cascade Rate — grouped (base, restored) bars per method.""" fig, ax = plt.subplots(figsize=(8, 5)) def get_ecr(r): return r.get("ecr") if r else None _plot_paired_bars(ax, results, get_ecr, ylabel="Error cascade rate", percent=True) ax.set_ylim(0, 1.05) title = "Once reasoning breaks, how badly does it cascade? (lower = better)" if title_suffix: title = f"{title}\n{title_suffix}" ax.set_title(title) plt.savefig(output_path) plt.close() print(f" Fig 5 saved: {output_path}") def fig6_restoration_comparison(before: dict, after: dict, output_path: str): """ Figure 6: Before/after restoration for a single quantization method. Uses the paired colors from COLORS so the "before" and "after" bars match the hue used for that method in figs 3/4/5. """ metrics = ["accuracy", "avg_ffs", "ecr"] labels = ["Accuracy", "Avg FFS\n(higher = better)", "ECR\n(lower = better)"] before_vals = [before.get(m, 0) for m in metrics] after_vals = [after.get(m, 0) for m in metrics] base_q = before.get("quantization", "gptq_w4") rest_q = after.get("quantization", f"{base_q}_restored") bar_colors = [COLORS.get(base_q, "#888888"), COLORS.get(rest_q, "#BBBBBB")] fig, axes = plt.subplots(1, 3, figsize=(12, 4)) for i, (ax, label, bv, av) in enumerate(zip(axes, labels, before_vals, after_vals)): vals = [bv, av] bars = ax.bar([0, 1], vals, color=bar_colors, width=0.55, edgecolor="white") ax.set_xticks([0, 1]) ax.set_xticklabels([_pretty_label(base_q), _pretty_label(rest_q)]) ax.set_title(label) ax.grid(True, axis="y", alpha=0.25) ax.spines["top"].set_visible(False) ax.spines["right"].set_visible(False) for bar, v in zip(bars, vals): fmt = f"{v:.1%}" if i != 1 else f"{v:.2f}" ax.text(bar.get_x() + bar.get_width() / 2, bar.get_height() + 0.01, fmt, ha="center", va="bottom", fontsize=10) plt.suptitle(f"Restoration effect: {_pretty_label(base_q)} → {_pretty_label(rest_q)}", fontsize=13, y=1.02) plt.tight_layout() plt.savefig(output_path) plt.close() print(f" Fig 6 saved: {output_path}") def generate_all_figures(metrics_dir: str, output_dir: str, fp16_acc: float = 0.85, model_filter: str = None, benchmark_filter: str = None): """Generate figures grouped by (model, benchmark). Each group produces one set of figures under output_dir/// so that the quantization lines/bars on each plot compare apples-to-apples (same model, same benchmark). If model_filter/benchmark_filter are set, only matching groups are rendered. """ from collections import defaultdict os.makedirs(output_dir, exist_ok=True) results = load_all_metrics(metrics_dir) if not results: print("No metrics found. Run the evaluation pipeline first.") print(f" Expected: {metrics_dir}/*_metrics.json") return print(f"Loaded {len(results)} metric files") # Group by (model, benchmark). Without grouping, a single figure mixed # together entries from every model and every benchmark and was unreadable. groups = defaultdict(list) for r in results: model = r.get("model", "unknown") or "unknown" bench = r.get("benchmark", "unknown") or "unknown" if model_filter and model != model_filter: continue if benchmark_filter and bench != benchmark_filter: continue groups[(model, bench)].append(r) if not groups: print("No metric files matched the given --model/--benchmark filters.") return for (model, bench), group in sorted(groups.items()): subdir = os.path.join(output_dir, model, bench) os.makedirs(subdir, exist_ok=True) suffix = f"{model} · {bench}" print(f"\n[{model} / {bench}] {len(group)} quant variants") fig1_ssr_curves(group, os.path.join(subdir, "fig1_ssr_curves.pdf"), title_suffix=suffix) fig2_error_type_heatmap(group, os.path.join(subdir, "fig2_error_heatmap.pdf"), title_suffix=suffix) fig3_ffs_distribution(group, os.path.join(subdir, "fig3_ffs_distribution.pdf"), title_suffix=suffix) fig4_accuracy_degradation(group, fp16_acc, os.path.join(subdir, "fig4_accuracy_degradation.pdf"), title_suffix=suffix) fig5_cascade_rate(group, os.path.join(subdir, "fig5_cascade_rate.pdf"), title_suffix=suffix) # Fig 6: before/after restoration within this (model, benchmark). for r in group: q = r.get("quantization", "") if not q.endswith("_restored"): continue base_q = q[: -len("_restored")] before = next((x for x in group if x.get("quantization") == base_q), None) if before: out = os.path.join(subdir, f"fig6_restoration_{base_q}.pdf") fig6_restoration_comparison(before, r, out) print(f"\nAll figures saved under {output_dir}///") # ============================================================ # Demo with synthetic data (for testing) # ============================================================ def generate_demo_figures(output_dir: str): """Generate demo figures with synthetic data for testing the visualization.""" os.makedirs(output_dir, exist_ok=True) # Synthetic results demo_results = [ { "model": "DeepSeek-R1-Distill-Qwen-7B", "quantization": "awq_w4", "accuracy": 0.72, "accuracy_delta": -0.13, "avg_ffs": 3.2, "median_ffs": 3.0, "ffs_std": 1.8, "ecr": 0.78, "ssr_curve": [0.95, 0.88, 0.79, 0.68, 0.55, 0.45, 0.38, 0.32, 0.28, 0.25, 0.23, 0.21, 0.20, 0.19, 0.18, 0.17, 0.16, 0.15, 0.14, 0.13], "error_type_dist": {"conceptual": 0.12, "methodological": 0.25, "executional": 0.48, "logical": 0.15}, }, { "model": "DeepSeek-R1-Distill-Qwen-7B", "quantization": "awq_w3", "accuracy": 0.58, "accuracy_delta": -0.27, "avg_ffs": 2.1, "median_ffs": 2.0, "ffs_std": 1.3, "ecr": 0.89, "ssr_curve": [0.90, 0.75, 0.58, 0.42, 0.30, 0.22, 0.17, 0.14, 0.12, 0.10, 0.09, 0.08, 0.07, 0.06, 0.05, 0.05, 0.04, 0.04, 0.03, 0.03], "error_type_dist": {"conceptual": 0.28, "methodological": 0.22, "executional": 0.35, "logical": 0.15}, }, { "model": "DeepSeek-R1-Distill-Qwen-7B", "quantization": "gptq_w4", "accuracy": 0.74, "accuracy_delta": -0.11, "avg_ffs": 3.5, "median_ffs": 3.0, "ffs_std": 2.0, "ecr": 0.75, "ssr_curve": [0.96, 0.90, 0.82, 0.72, 0.60, 0.50, 0.42, 0.36, 0.31, 0.27, 0.24, 0.22, 0.20, 0.19, 0.18, 0.17, 0.16, 0.15, 0.14, 0.13], "error_type_dist": {"conceptual": 0.10, "methodological": 0.20, "executional": 0.55, "logical": 0.15}, }, { "model": "DeepSeek-R1-Distill-Qwen-7B", "quantization": "bnb_nf4", "accuracy": 0.70, "accuracy_delta": -0.15, "avg_ffs": 3.0, "median_ffs": 3.0, "ffs_std": 1.9, "ecr": 0.80, "ssr_curve": [0.94, 0.86, 0.76, 0.64, 0.52, 0.42, 0.35, 0.30, 0.26, 0.23, 0.21, 0.19, 0.18, 0.17, 0.16, 0.15, 0.14, 0.13, 0.12, 0.11], "error_type_dist": {"conceptual": 0.15, "methodological": 0.23, "executional": 0.45, "logical": 0.17}, }, ] fig1_ssr_curves(demo_results, os.path.join(output_dir, "fig1_ssr_curves.png")) fig2_error_type_heatmap(demo_results, os.path.join(output_dir, "fig2_error_heatmap.png")) fig3_ffs_distribution(demo_results, os.path.join(output_dir, "fig3_ffs_distribution.png")) fig4_accuracy_degradation(demo_results, 0.85, os.path.join(output_dir, "fig4_accuracy_degradation.png")) fig5_cascade_rate(demo_results, os.path.join(output_dir, "fig5_cascade_rate.png")) # Demo restoration before = demo_results[2] # gptq_w4 after = {"accuracy": 0.82, "avg_ffs": 5.1, "ecr": 0.45} fig6_restoration_comparison(before, after, os.path.join(output_dir, "fig6_restoration.png")) print(f"\nDemo figures saved to {output_dir}") if __name__ == "__main__": import argparse parser = argparse.ArgumentParser(description="Generate paper figures") parser.add_argument("--metrics", default=None, help="Metrics directory") parser.add_argument("--output", default="figures/", help="Output directory") parser.add_argument("--fp16-acc", type=float, default=0.85) parser.add_argument("--model", default=None, help="Only render figures for this model tag") parser.add_argument("--benchmark", default=None, help="Only render figures for this benchmark") parser.add_argument("--demo", action="store_true", help="Generate demo figures with synthetic data") args = parser.parse_args() if args.demo: generate_demo_figures(args.output) elif args.metrics: generate_all_figures(args.metrics, args.output, fp16_acc=args.fp16_acc, model_filter=args.model, benchmark_filter=args.benchmark) else: print("Specify --metrics or --demo")