{
 "rule": "thin-margin feasible world: no passing route's median body reads P(pass) >= 0.95 (worlds/thin_margin.py)",
 "worlds": {
  "all": 32,
  "thin": 4
 },
 "arms": {
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   "all": {
    "Both": {
     "k": 14,
     "n": 32,
     "rate": 0.4375,
     "ci95": [
      0.2636,
      0.6234
     ]
    },
    "material_outcome": {
     "k": 9,
     "n": 16,
     "rate": 0.5625,
     "ci95": [
      0.2988,
      0.8025
     ]
    }
   },
   "without_thin": {
    "Both": {
     "k": 14,
     "n": 28,
     "rate": 0.5,
     "ci95": [
      0.3065,
      0.6935
     ]
    },
    "material_outcome": {
     "k": 9,
     "n": 12,
     "rate": 0.75,
     "ci95": [
      0.4281,
      0.9451
     ]
    }
   },
   "on_thin_observed": {
    "claims": {
     "restrict": 4
    },
    "Outcome": 0,
    "Both": 0,
    "n": 4
   }
  },
  "anthropic/claude-sonnet-5.5": {
   "all": {
    "Both": {
     "k": 15,
     "n": 32,
     "rate": 0.4688,
     "ci95": [
      0.2909,
      0.6526
     ]
    },
    "material_outcome": {
     "k": 9,
     "n": 16,
     "rate": 0.5625,
     "ci95": [
      0.2988,
      0.8025
     ]
    }
   },
   "without_thin": {
    "Both": {
     "k": 15,
     "n": 28,
     "rate": 0.5357,
     "ci95": [
      0.3387,
      0.7249
     ]
    },
    "material_outcome": {
     "k": 7,
     "n": 12,
     "rate": 0.5833,
     "ci95": [
      0.2767,
      0.8483
     ]
    }
   },
   "on_thin_observed": {
    "claims": {
     "nominate": 3,
     "restrict": 1
    },
    "Outcome": 2,
    "Both": 0,
    "n": 4
   }
  },
  "openai/gpt-6-astra": {
   "all": {
    "Both": {
     "k": 16,
     "n": 32,
     "rate": 0.5,
     "ci95": [
      0.3189,
      0.6811
     ]
    },
    "material_outcome": {
     "k": 8,
     "n": 16,
     "rate": 0.5,
     "ci95": [
      0.2465,
      0.7535
     ]
    }
   },
   "without_thin": {
    "Both": {
     "k": 16,
     "n": 28,
     "rate": 0.5714,
     "ci95": [
      0.3718,
      0.7554
     ]
    },
    "material_outcome": {
     "k": 8,
     "n": 12,
     "rate": 0.6667,
     "ci95": [
      0.3489,
      0.9008
     ]
    }
   },
   "on_thin_observed": {
    "claims": {
     "restrict": 4
    },
    "Outcome": 0,
    "Both": 0,
    "n": 4
   }
  },
  "google/gemini-4-argon": {
   "all": {
    "Both": {
     "k": 15,
     "n": 32,
     "rate": 0.4688,
     "ci95": [
      0.2909,
      0.6526
     ]
    },
    "material_outcome": {
     "k": 10,
     "n": 16,
     "rate": 0.625,
     "ci95": [
      0.3543,
      0.848
     ]
    }
   },
   "without_thin": {
    "Both": {
     "k": 15,
     "n": 28,
     "rate": 0.5357,
     "ci95": [
      0.3387,
      0.7249
     ]
    },
    "material_outcome": {
     "k": 9,
     "n": 12,
     "rate": 0.75,
     "ci95": [
      0.4281,
      0.9451
     ]
    }
   },
   "on_thin_observed": {
    "claims": {
     "restrict": 3,
     "nominate": 1
    },
    "Outcome": 1,
    "Both": 0,
    "n": 4
   }
  },
  "deepseek/deepseek-v4.1-flash-1017": {
   "all": {
    "Both": {
     "k": 9,
     "n": 32,
     "rate": 0.2812,
     "ci95": [
      0.1375,
      0.4675
     ]
    },
    "material_outcome": {
     "k": 1,
     "n": 16,
     "rate": 0.0625,
     "ci95": [
      0.0016,
      0.3023
     ]
    }
   },
   "without_thin": {
    "Both": {
     "k": 9,
     "n": 28,
     "rate": 0.3214,
     "ci95": [
      0.1588,
      0.5235
     ]
    },
    "material_outcome": {
     "k": 1,
     "n": 12,
     "rate": 0.0833,
     "ci95": [
      0.0021,
      0.3848
     ]
    }
   },
   "on_thin_observed": {
    "claims": {
     "restrict": 3,
     "nominate": 1
    },
    "Outcome": 0,
    "Both": 0,
    "n": 4
   }
  },
  "bo": {
   "all": {
    "Both": {
     "k": 9,
     "n": 32,
     "rate": 0.2812,
     "ci95": [
      0.1375,
      0.4675
     ]
    },
    "material_outcome": {
     "k": 4,
     "n": 16,
     "rate": 0.25,
     "ci95": [
      0.0727,
      0.5238
     ]
    }
   },
   "without_thin": {
    "Both": {
     "k": 9,
     "n": 28,
     "rate": 0.3214,
     "ci95": [
      0.1588,
      0.5235
     ]
    },
    "material_outcome": {
     "k": 4,
     "n": 12,
     "rate": 0.3333,
     "ci95": [
      0.0992,
      0.6511
     ]
    }
   },
   "on_thin_observed": {
    "claims": {
     "nominate": 1,
     "restrict": 3
    },
    "Outcome": 0,
    "Both": 0,
    "n": 4
   }
  },
  "doe": {
   "all": {
    "Both": {
     "k": 9,
     "n": 32,
     "rate": 0.2812,
     "ci95": [
      0.1375,
      0.4675
     ]
    },
    "material_outcome": {
     "k": 8,
     "n": 16,
     "rate": 0.5,
     "ci95": [
      0.2465,
      0.7535
     ]
    }
   },
   "without_thin": {
    "Both": {
     "k": 9,
     "n": 28,
     "rate": 0.3214,
     "ci95": [
      0.1588,
      0.5235
     ]
    },
    "material_outcome": {
     "k": 7,
     "n": 12,
     "rate": 0.5833,
     "ci95": [
      0.2767,
      0.8483
     ]
    }
   },
   "on_thin_observed": {
    "claims": {
     "nominate": 2,
     "restrict": 2
    },
    "Outcome": 1,
    "Both": 0,
    "n": 4
   }
  },
  "z-ai/glm-5.3-flash": {
   "all": {
    "Both": {
     "k": 8,
     "n": 32,
     "rate": 0.25,
     "ci95": [
      0.1146,
      0.434
     ]
    },
    "material_outcome": {
     "k": 1,
     "n": 16,
     "rate": 0.0625,
     "ci95": [
      0.0016,
      0.3023
     ]
    }
   },
   "without_thin": {
    "Both": {
     "k": 8,
     "n": 28,
     "rate": 0.2857,
     "ci95": [
      0.1322,
      0.4867
     ]
    },
    "material_outcome": {
     "k": 1,
     "n": 12,
     "rate": 0.0833,
     "ci95": [
      0.0021,
      0.3848
     ]
    }
   },
   "on_thin_observed": {
    "claims": {
     "restrict": 4
    },
    "Outcome": 0,
    "Both": 0,
    "n": 4
   }
  }
 }
}