{"id": "e_007c9a219609_q0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "Will the parliamentary standing committee on consumer affairs, food and public distribution recommend expanding the SMART-PDS system by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 2, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_007c9a219609", "event_date": "2026-07-23", "supporting_event": "The parliamentary standing committee on consumer affairs, food and public distribution recommended to expand the SMART-PDS system.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_007c9a21", "storyline": "SMART-PDS expansion recommendations", "linked_domains": ["Technology"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_9916425adcccc2b06e61", "t_1eb8eb0157c466960d9b"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the parliamentary standing committee on consumer affairs, food and public distribution has asked the Centre to accelerate the rollout of the ₹349.9-crore Scheme for Modernization and Reforms through Technology in Public Distribution System (SMART-PDS) programme.", "quote_doc_id": "t_007c9a2196096bd979bb", "settling_ids": ["t_007c9a2196096bd979bb", "t_5acbfbbb1b061e5b88e3"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["parliamentary standing committee", "SMART-PDS"]}
{"id": "e_01cbc72613ef_q0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "Will the Shri Ram Janmabhoomi Teerth Kshetra Trust announce any reforms by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 2, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_01cbc72613ef", "event_date": "2026-07-23", "supporting_event": "The Shri Ram Janmabhoomi Teerth Kshetra Trust announced a series of administrative and religious reforms.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_01cbc726", "storyline": "Ram Temple donation row", "linked_domains": ["Law"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_e71eda7bd610613450aa", "t_7f797f7ce5d48330b07d", "t_b79a3f7b0fbb4183f165", "t_d854ad70b04f63112655", "t_d26fce30463d0577b0c4"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the Shri Ram Janmabhoomi Teerth Kshetra Trust has announced a wide-ranging set of administrative and religious reforms", "quote_doc_id": "t_01cbc72613efd7b4951b", "settling_ids": ["t_01cbc72613efd7b4951b", "t_16fb6f49cd27be08d9b1"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Shri Ram Janmabhoomi Teerth Kshetra Trust", "Ayodhya"]}
{"id": "e_01cbc72613ef_q2", "domain": "Politics", "question": "Who will be responsible for reviewing the existing financial management system of the Shri Ram Janmabhoomi Teerth Kshetra Trust by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "Finance Committee", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 2, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_01cbc72613ef", "event_date": "2026-07-23", "supporting_event": "The Shri Ram Janmabhoomi Teerth Kshetra Trust announced a series of administrative and religious reforms.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_01cbc726", "storyline": "Ram Temple donation row", "linked_domains": ["Law"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_e71eda7bd610613450aa", "t_7f797f7ce5d48330b07d", "t_b79a3f7b0fbb4183f165", "t_d854ad70b04f63112655", "t_d26fce30463d0577b0c4"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "Finance Committee", "tolerance": null, "quote": "It has instructed its Finance Committee to conduct a comprehensive review of the current arrangements", "quote_doc_id": "t_01cbc72613efd7b4951b", "settling_ids": ["t_01cbc72613efd7b4951b", "t_16fb6f49cd27be08d9b1"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Shri Ram Janmabhoomi Teerth Kshetra Trust", "Ayodhya"]}
{"id": "e_02d44092b63c_q0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "By 2026-07-28, who will Benjamin Netanyahu accuse of 'fomenting hate'?", "options": ["Avi Dichter", "Yair Lapid", "Naftali Bennett", "Zohran Mamdani"], "answer": "Zohran Mamdani", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 5, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_02d44092b63c", "event_date": "2026-07-26", "supporting_event": "Benjamin Netanyahu accuses Zohran Mamdani of 'fomenting hate'.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_02d44092", "storyline": "Netanyahu's response to Mamdani's statements", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_74e566738b2d6390e1dc", "t_c29acf30199bde52617a", "t_f47f0bd4e93cfe410737", "t_4fecebed3a64631a423b", "t_8e57dedcc5bfcce81c3b"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "Zohran Mamdani", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Netanyahu accuses Mamdani of ‘fomenting hate’", "quote_doc_id": "t_02d44092b63c96e7a145", "settling_ids": ["t_02d44092b63c96e7a145", "t_74a13a89ff3b14390b91", "t_18fe2c52224fd938b7a9", "t_f372401043804d7534cf"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Benjamin Netanyahu", "Zohran Mamdani"]}
{"id": "e_057f80f5b4ae_q0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "Will Sheikh Hasina make her first public appearance in India by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 15, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_057f80f5b4ae", "event_date": "2026-08-05", "supporting_event": "Sheikh Hasina will make her first public appearance in India on August 5, 2026.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_057f80f5", "storyline": "Sheikh Hasina's public re-emergence", "linked_domains": ["Geopolitics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_7af1d3e4602b9d4aa33e", "t_870729114279e0ca51b3", "t_6c41ab55f830ca9c634c", "t_6939ac868271053cdfed"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Sheikh Hasina, Bangladesh's ousted Prime Minister, will make her first public appearance in India on Wednesday, August 5.", "quote_doc_id": "t_057f80f5b4ae35eecab9", "settling_ids": ["t_057f80f5b4ae35eecab9", "t_32c3b2ea900d685d45aa", "t_b148816714efdc9c7a02", "t_a6219c3e887751567bcd"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Sheikh Hasina", "Foreign Correspondents' Club of South Asia", "Bangladesh", "India"]}
{"id": "e_057f80f5b4ae_q0_neg", "domain": "Politics", "question": "Will Sheikh Hasina make her first public appearance in India by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "No", "answer_type": "perturbed_binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 15, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_057f80f5b4ae", "event_date": "2026-08-05", "supporting_event": "Sheikh Hasina will make her first public appearance in India on August 5, 2026.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_057f80f5", "storyline": "Sheikh Hasina's public re-emergence", "linked_domains": ["Geopolitics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_7af1d3e4602b9d4aa33e", "t_870729114279e0ca51b3", "t_6c41ab55f830ca9c634c", "t_6939ac868271053cdfed"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "perturbed_binary", "value": "No", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Sheikh Hasina, Bangladesh's ousted Prime Minister, will make her first public appearance in India on Wednesday, August 5.", "quote_doc_id": "t_057f80f5b4ae35eecab9", "settling_ids": ["t_057f80f5b4ae35eecab9", "t_32c3b2ea900d685d45aa", "t_b148816714efdc9c7a02", "t_a6219c3e887751567bcd"], "derivation": "the event dated 2026-08-05 is after the shifted deadline 2026-08-04, so the claim is false at that deadline"}, "perturbation": {"field": "deadline", "original": "2026-08-11", "substituted": "2026-08-04", "v40_substituted": "2026-07-28"}, "paired_with": "e_057f80f5b4ae_q0", "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Sheikh Hasina", "Foreign Correspondents' Club of South Asia", "Bangladesh", "India"]}
{"id": "e_057f80f5b4ae_q1", "domain": "Politics", "question": "How many years will it be since Sheikh Hasina's government was ousted by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "2", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "years", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 15, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_057f80f5b4ae", "event_date": "2026-08-05", "supporting_event": "Sheikh Hasina will make her first public appearance in India on August 5, 2026.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_057f80f5", "storyline": "Sheikh Hasina's public re-emergence", "linked_domains": ["Geopolitics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_7af1d3e4602b9d4aa33e", "t_870729114279e0ca51b3", "t_6c41ab55f830ca9c634c", "t_6939ac868271053cdfed"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "2", "tolerance": 0.1, "quote": "nearly two years after her government was ousted amid a mass student-led uprising in Bangladesh.", "quote_doc_id": "t_057f80f5b4ae35eecab9", "settling_ids": ["t_057f80f5b4ae35eecab9", "t_32c3b2ea900d685d45aa", "t_b148816714efdc9c7a02", "t_a6219c3e887751567bcd"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Sheikh Hasina", "Foreign Correspondents' Club of South Asia", "Bangladesh", "India"]}
{"id": "e_057f80f5b4ae_q2", "domain": "Politics", "question": "Who will host Sheikh Hasina's first public appearance in India by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "Foreign Correspondents' Club of South Asia", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 15, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_057f80f5b4ae", "event_date": "2026-08-05", "supporting_event": "Sheikh Hasina will make her first public appearance in India on August 5, 2026.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_057f80f5", "storyline": "Sheikh Hasina's public re-emergence", "linked_domains": ["Geopolitics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_7af1d3e4602b9d4aa33e", "t_870729114279e0ca51b3", "t_6c41ab55f830ca9c634c", "t_6939ac868271053cdfed"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "Foreign Correspondents' Club of South Asia", "tolerance": null, "quote": "The Foreign Correspondents’ Club of South Asia will host the virtual interaction at the Sir Mark Tully Auditorium.", "quote_doc_id": "t_a6219c3e887751567bcd", "settling_ids": ["t_057f80f5b4ae35eecab9", "t_32c3b2ea900d685d45aa", "t_b148816714efdc9c7a02", "t_a6219c3e887751567bcd"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Sheikh Hasina", "Foreign Correspondents' Club of South Asia", "Bangladesh", "India"]}
{"id": "e_05b7a9aaaad6_a0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "What was the total amount of outside spending in the Michigan Senate primary race by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "over $80 million", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "A", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 15, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_05b7a9aaaad6", "event_date": "2026-08-05", "supporting_event": "Abdul El-Sayed sealed the Democratic Party's nomination to run for a seat representing the state of Michigan in the US Senate.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_05b7a9aa", "storyline": "2026 Michigan Democratic Senate primary", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_4174b54c83ce7263686c", "t_8bfcab2df8d1a1a787ac", "t_02f7db25d800feb6d441", "t_e3b2e86feb5816bb413d"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "over $80 million", "tolerance": null, "quote": "According to Add Impact, you had over $80 million total in outside spending sent on this race.", "quote_doc_id": "a_250e151effd968be5328", "settling_ids": ["a_250e151effd968be5328", "t_05b7a9aaaad625276a9d", "t_a112614bd0450417a458"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Abdul El-Sayed", "Haley Stevens", "Democratic Party", "Michigan"]}
{"id": "e_05b7a9aaaad6_i0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "What message is displayed on the sign by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "MICHIGAN IS NOT FOR SALE", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 15, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_05b7a9aaaad6", "event_date": "2026-08-05", "supporting_event": "Abdul El-Sayed sealed the Democratic Party's nomination to run for a seat representing the state of Michigan in the US Senate.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_05b7a9aa", "storyline": "2026 Michigan Democratic Senate primary", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_4174b54c83ce7263686c", "t_8bfcab2df8d1a1a787ac", "t_02f7db25d800feb6d441", "t_e3b2e86feb5816bb413d"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "MICHIGAN IS NOT FOR SALE", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_05b7a9aaaad625276a9d_0", "settling_ids": ["t_05b7a9aaaad625276a9d", "t_a112614bd0450417a458"], "visible_detail": "a sign that reads 'MICHIGAN IS NOT FOR SALE'"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Abdul El-Sayed", "Haley Stevens", "Democratic Party", "Michigan"]}
{"id": "e_05b7a9aaaad6_q0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "Will Abdul El-Sayed secure the Democratic Party's nomination to run for a seat representing the state of Michigan in the US Senate by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 15, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_05b7a9aaaad6", "event_date": "2026-08-05", "supporting_event": "Abdul El-Sayed sealed the Democratic Party's nomination to run for a seat representing the state of Michigan in the US Senate.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_05b7a9aa", "storyline": "2026 Michigan Democratic Senate primary", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_4174b54c83ce7263686c", "t_8bfcab2df8d1a1a787ac", "t_02f7db25d800feb6d441", "t_e3b2e86feb5816bb413d"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Abdul El-Sayed on Aug 5 sealed the Democratic Party’s nomination to run for a seat representing the state of Michigan in the US Senate", "quote_doc_id": "t_05b7a9aaaad625276a9d", "settling_ids": ["t_05b7a9aaaad625276a9d", "t_a112614bd0450417a458"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Abdul El-Sayed", "Haley Stevens", "Democratic Party", "Michigan"]}
{"id": "e_05b7a9aaaad6_q0_neg", "domain": "Politics", "question": "Will Abdul El-Sayed secure the Democratic Party's nomination to run for a seat representing the state of Michigan in the US Senate by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "No", "answer_type": "perturbed_binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 15, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_05b7a9aaaad6", "event_date": "2026-08-05", "supporting_event": "Abdul El-Sayed sealed the Democratic Party's nomination to run for a seat representing the state of Michigan in the US Senate.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_05b7a9aa", "storyline": "2026 Michigan Democratic Senate primary", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_4174b54c83ce7263686c", "t_8bfcab2df8d1a1a787ac", "t_02f7db25d800feb6d441", "t_e3b2e86feb5816bb413d"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "perturbed_binary", "value": "No", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Abdul El-Sayed on Aug 5 sealed the Democratic Party’s nomination to run for a seat representing the state of Michigan in the US Senate", "quote_doc_id": "t_05b7a9aaaad625276a9d", "settling_ids": ["t_05b7a9aaaad625276a9d", "t_a112614bd0450417a458"], "derivation": "the event dated 2026-08-05 is after the shifted deadline 2026-08-04, so the claim is false at that deadline"}, "perturbation": {"field": "deadline", "original": "2026-08-11", "substituted": "2026-08-04", "v40_substituted": "2026-07-28"}, "paired_with": "e_05b7a9aaaad6_q0", "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Abdul El-Sayed", "Haley Stevens", "Democratic Party", "Michigan"]}
{"id": "e_066821e1fe7b_v0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "What is the name of the project mentioned in the clip that is associated with the organization More Perfect by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "In Pursuit", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "V", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 1, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_066821e1fe7b", "event_date": "2026-07-22", "supporting_event": "Cleveland Guardians beat Minnesota Twins 5-2.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_066821e1", "storyline": "2026 MLB season", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_ffd89337fbef1b6a5bbd", "t_30a90822d80952943c28"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "In Pursuit", "tolerance": null, "quote": "America 250 Social Entrepreneur Andrew Mangino on First Lady Frances Cleveland", "quote_doc_id": "v_46c25ba60461a5cb667c", "settling_ids": ["t_066821e1fe7b8cbb4e91", "t_1bbad7d5035d3ff721e2"], "visible_detail": "what the frames show"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Cleveland Guardians", "Minnesota Twins"]}
{"id": "e_07be411f9e25_q0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "What will be the approval rating of Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi's administration by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "57%", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": "%", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 5, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_07be411f9e25", "event_date": "2026-07-26", "supporting_event": "The approval rating of Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi's administration dropped to 57% as reported by the Yomiuri newspaper.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_07be411f", "storyline": "Japan's political approval ratings July 2026", "linked_domains": ["Geopolitics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_79e25bd7e1fe60a8da54", "t_59823e3cb27a38f62898", "t_f73aa4b3e0f161d94127"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "57%", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the approval rating of Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi's administration fell to 57%", "quote_doc_id": "t_07be411f9e257cfcb52e", "settling_ids": ["t_07be411f9e257cfcb52e", "t_03d86ad727b426afa58a", "t_5dc9023ad76c78fcd673", "t_3b87240167b4f27fe0c5"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Sanae Takaichi", "Yomiuri"]}
{"id": "e_07be411f9e25_q1", "domain": "Politics", "question": "What will be the percentage of disapproval for Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi's administration by 2026-07-28?", "options": ["50%", "34%", "21%", "40%"], "answer": "34%", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": "%", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 5, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_07be411f9e25", "event_date": "2026-07-26", "supporting_event": "The approval rating of Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi's administration dropped to 57% as reported by the Yomiuri newspaper.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_07be411f", "storyline": "Japan's political approval ratings July 2026", "linked_domains": ["Geopolitics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_79e25bd7e1fe60a8da54", "t_59823e3cb27a38f62898", "t_f73aa4b3e0f161d94127"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "34%", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the percentage that disapproved of her administration rose to 34%", "quote_doc_id": "t_07be411f9e257cfcb52e", "settling_ids": ["t_07be411f9e257cfcb52e", "t_03d86ad727b426afa58a", "t_5dc9023ad76c78fcd673", "t_3b87240167b4f27fe0c5"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Sanae Takaichi", "Yomiuri"]}
{"id": "e_0817cdbd7546_q0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "Which action will Arvind Kejriwal take regarding the E20 petrol policy by 2026-08-04?", "options": ["Lead a peaceful march to Prime Minister Modi's residence", "Hold a press conference in Mumbai", "Organize a rally in Kolkata", "Submit a petition to the Supreme Court"], "answer": "Lead a peaceful march to Prime Minister Modi's residence", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 14, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_0817cdbd7546", "event_date": "2026-08-04", "supporting_event": "Arvind Kejriwal led a peaceful march to Prime Minister Modi's residence to protest the E20 petrol policy.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_0817cdbd", "storyline": "E20 petrol policy protest", "linked_domains": ["Geopolitics", "Law"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_12b2f97328b2ea619165", "t_d3fa437f7515f41248a2", "t_188b94425f59b87a12e3", "t_f048b2a71b10ee39e391", "t_90b80e34d93b5bcd7ccc", "t_9f1ad1bc2a1a85f67b4d"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "Lead a peaceful march to Prime Minister Modi's residence", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Kejriwal, along with former Delhi Deputy Chief Minister Manish Sisodia and other AAP leaders, sat on a protest at Firoz Shah Road", "quote_doc_id": "t_0817cdbd75461eb6bebf", "settling_ids": ["t_0817cdbd75461eb6bebf", "t_f95fb2e3f1384d739b99", "t_0561a8b41d4888d24138", "t_8dbd0e42c6ecb2d251ee"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Arvind Kejriwal", "Prime Minister Modi", "Aam Aadmi Party"]}
{"id": "e_0967a71ed01e_q0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "How many people will a suicide bomber kill in Pakistan's Swat Valley by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "14", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "people", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 12, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_0967a71ed01e", "event_date": "2026-08-02", "supporting_event": "A suicide bomber killed at least 14 people outside a police station in Pakistan's Swat Valley.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_0967a71e", "storyline": "suicide bombing in Pakistan", "linked_domains": ["Geopolitics", "Law", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_a3eb63736ce8b87c9bb8", "t_1a6566c9ece877822251", "t_8960a23e66c4bdec9c92", "t_c4feca56097ec0f8873b"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "14", "tolerance": 0.1, "quote": "A suicide bomber has killed at least 14 people", "quote_doc_id": "t_0967a71ed01ecc6d1f9a", "settling_ids": ["t_0967a71ed01ecc6d1f9a", "t_f8c8e0c5798c904dea0b", "a_7b46de2c4e4a410fe492"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["suicide bomber", "Pakistan", "Swat Valley", "Khyber Pakhtunkhwa"]}
{"id": "e_0aad1bd1c1f5_q0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "Who will join a protest against irregularities in the NEET exam by 2026-07-28?", "options": ["Dharmendra Pradhan", "Himanta Biswa Sarma", "Dibisa Mahanta", "Keshab Mahanta"], "answer": "Dibisa Mahanta", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 5, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_0aad1bd1c1f5", "event_date": "2026-07-26", "supporting_event": "Dibisa Mahanta joined a protest against irregularities in the NEET exam.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_0aad1bd1", "storyline": "NEET exam protest July 2026", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_1bdfd4e428c087faf5fc", "t_68712e6014f9e4387b91", "t_ef078804ca9640e020ab", "t_63a439cd947830023af2", "t_32417f83ba4b5c9eac60"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "Dibisa Mahanta", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Dibisa joined the demonstration.", "quote_doc_id": "t_0aad1bd1c1f5326fdbd2", "settling_ids": ["t_0aad1bd1c1f5326fdbd2", "t_6197d04492a6121f3d10"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Dibisa Mahanta", "Keshab Mahanta", "Himanta Biswa Sarma", "Dharmendra Pradhan", "Asom Gana Parishad"]}
{"id": "e_0aefd1c7794b_q0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "How many students will shift from private schools to government schools in Himachal Pradesh by 2026-07-28?", "options": ["30,000", "20,000", "15,000", "24,000"], "answer": "24,000", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": "students", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 6, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_0aefd1c7794b", "event_date": "2026-07-27", "supporting_event": "Around 24,000 students have shifted from private schools to government schools in Himachal Pradesh this academic year.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_0aefd1c7", "storyline": "Himachal Pradesh education reform 2026", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Environment"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_d0479c2b218b362d34bd", "t_8e72577ffa510cec9609", "t_a2b03695bf01dad2b3cf"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "24,000", "tolerance": null, "quote": "around 24,000 students have shifted from private schools to 150 government schools", "quote_doc_id": "t_f28dd718f497f72542b2", "settling_ids": ["t_0aefd1c7794b5e37b5b0", "t_f28dd718f497f72542b2", "t_d33299dbdd15d96f55f6", "t_8fa9a052e5540bacff7b"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Sukhvinder Singh Sukhu", "Himachal Pradesh"]}
{"id": "e_0d77df38a773_q2", "domain": "Politics", "question": "How many years after the draft version was made public will the Indian Statistical Institute Bill, 2026, be introduced in Lok Sabha by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "1", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "years", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 13, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_0d77df38a773", "event_date": "2026-08-03", "supporting_event": "The Indian Statistical Institute Bill, 2026, was introduced in Lok Sabha on August 3.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_0d77df38", "storyline": "Indian Statistical Institute Bill legislative process", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_78f8e4ff1c838b1c2b22", "t_0e05fa8a08292ffbd4f3"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "1", "tolerance": 0.1, "quote": "almost one year after a draft version made public for feedback drew criticism", "quote_doc_id": "t_0d77df38a77345eb172e", "settling_ids": ["t_0d77df38a77345eb172e", "t_223082a0df5673855398"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Indian Statistical Institute", "Lok Sabha"]}
{"id": "e_0da3da3192fb_i0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "What is the total number of migrants present on the beach by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "25000", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 10, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_0da3da3192fb", "event_date": "2026-07-31", "supporting_event": "Spain sent back more than 25,000 migrants who arrived at the border.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_0da3da31", "storyline": "2026 Ceuta migrant crisis", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Geopolitics", "Law", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_7aa8efddb1046f9d4917", "t_50e4924c7af316f3946f", "t_67caaed3f7add8e003e5"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "25000", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Spanish legionnaires regroup minors on El Tarajal beach, near the fence along the Spanish-Moroccan border, after thousands of migrants swam across the border in Ceuta, Spain, May 18, 2021.JON NAZCA/REUTERS", "quote_doc_id": "i_0da3da3192fbda7255e9_1", "settling_ids": ["t_0da3da3192fbda7255e9", "t_024c5282b2bae963ab36", "t_96275dee20a5fca87b43", "t_95899da6b41ed1c7536d", "t_c1b442aa650bb88b518f", "t_fb3269cbc274a577546d"], "visible_detail": "the number of migrants present on the beach"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Spain", "Morocco"]}
{"id": "e_0da3da3192fb_q2", "domain": "Politics", "question": "What will be the estimated number of migrants sent back by Spain by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "25000", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "migrants", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 10, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_0da3da3192fb", "event_date": "2026-07-31", "supporting_event": "Spain sent back more than 25,000 migrants who arrived at the border.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_0da3da31", "storyline": "2026 Ceuta migrant crisis", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Geopolitics", "Law", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_7aa8efddb1046f9d4917", "t_50e4924c7af316f3946f", "t_67caaed3f7add8e003e5"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "25000", "tolerance": 0.05, "quote": "Spain's Ministry of the Interior said more than 25,000 migrants who arrived at the border of the have been sent back to Morocco.", "quote_doc_id": "t_0da3da3192fbda7255e9", "settling_ids": ["t_0da3da3192fbda7255e9", "t_fb3269cbc274a577546d", "t_024c5282b2bae963ab36", "t_96275dee20a5fca87b43"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Spain", "Morocco"]}
{"id": "e_0f1964923cf1_q0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "Will the government introduce the MSME Development (Amendment) Bill by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 7, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_0f1964923cf1", "event_date": "2026-07-28", "supporting_event": "The government introduced the MSME Development (Amendment) Bill to help small businesses get paid on time.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_0f196492", "storyline": "MSME payment reform legislation", "linked_domains": ["Business"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_32dacdf58c9d17a0be49", "t_aff5424e41b7eea6dbf9", "t_267a8eea2064e4f7dadf"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the government introduced the MSME Development (Amendment) Bill of 2026 to help small businesses get paid on time.", "quote_doc_id": "t_21341ae09562009b8f48", "settling_ids": ["t_0f1964923cf16b38183e", "t_21341ae09562009b8f48", "d_4d14cea48fb653f25d73"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["the government", "MSME Development (Amendment) Bill"]}
{"id": "e_0f1964923cf1_q1", "domain": "Politics", "question": "How many TReDS platforms will be approved for clearing MSME invoices by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "5", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "platforms", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 7, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_0f1964923cf1", "event_date": "2026-07-28", "supporting_event": "The government introduced the MSME Development (Amendment) Bill to help small businesses get paid on time.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_0f196492", "storyline": "MSME payment reform legislation", "linked_domains": ["Business"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_32dacdf58c9d17a0be49", "t_aff5424e41b7eea6dbf9", "t_267a8eea2064e4f7dadf"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "5", "tolerance": null, "quote": "There are five TReDS platforms approved by the RBI: RXIL, M1xchange, Invoicemart, C2treds and DTX.", "quote_doc_id": "t_0f1964923cf16b38183e", "settling_ids": ["t_0f1964923cf16b38183e", "t_21341ae09562009b8f48", "d_4d14cea48fb653f25d73"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["the government", "MSME Development (Amendment) Bill"]}
{"id": "e_0f1964923cf1_q2", "domain": "Politics", "question": "Who will present the MSME Development (Amendment) Bill in the Rajya Sabha by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "Jitan Ram Manjhi", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 7, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_0f1964923cf1", "event_date": "2026-07-28", "supporting_event": "The government introduced the MSME Development (Amendment) Bill to help small businesses get paid on time.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_0f196492", "storyline": "MSME payment reform legislation", "linked_domains": ["Business"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_32dacdf58c9d17a0be49", "t_aff5424e41b7eea6dbf9", "t_267a8eea2064e4f7dadf"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "Jitan Ram Manjhi", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Union MSME minister Jitan Ram Manjhi said while presenting the bill in the Rajya Sabha.", "quote_doc_id": "t_0f1964923cf16b38183e", "settling_ids": ["t_0f1964923cf16b38183e", "t_21341ae09562009b8f48", "d_4d14cea48fb653f25d73"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["the government", "MSME Development (Amendment) Bill"]}
{"id": "e_0fd447f332bc_q0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "What percentage of Americans will say they understand democratic socialist policies by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "49", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "%", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 7, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_0fd447f332bc", "event_date": "2026-07-28", "supporting_event": "A new Reuters/Ipsos poll shows that 49 percent of Americans say they understand democratic socialist policies.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_0fd447f3", "storyline": "2026 US primary elections", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_5d1446a74e955219dceb", "t_f70148e374655f7e2538"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "49", "tolerance": 0.05, "quote": "the three-day Reuters/Ipsos poll, which concluded on Sunday, found that 49 percent of Americans say they understand democratic socialist policies", "quote_doc_id": "t_0fd447f332bce8946076", "settling_ids": ["t_0fd447f332bce8946076", "t_b0bf2c8fd01021361257", "a_887793206dba52cfde55", "a_4f9f70bf8eb33380cda5"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Democratic Socialists of America", "Reuters/Ipsos"]}
{"id": "e_1239839fddbd_q1", "domain": "Politics", "question": "Who will agree to support a Senate bill that seeks to regulate college sports by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "The Big Ten and Southeastern Conferences", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 10, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_1239839fddbd", "event_date": "2026-07-31", "supporting_event": "The Big Ten and Southeastern Conferences agreed to support a Senate bill that seeks to regulate college sports.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_1239839f", "storyline": "Protect College Sports Act legislative process", "linked_domains": ["Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_8628c538771cb88dc030", "t_fe4614646fa9857be8f1", "t_49008e495ef1b38e650b", "t_22b32812f8a2446998d1", "t_fb9a91b4ba4a79eec8f4", "t_213c279c3dff6e90f0ba"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "The Big Ten and Southeastern Conferences", "tolerance": null, "quote": "The Big Ten and Southeastern Conferences agreed Friday night to support a Senate bill that seeks to regulate college sports", "quote_doc_id": "t_1239839fddbdb9056592", "settling_ids": ["t_1239839fddbdb9056592", "t_2418c59a2f6d13048b8e", "t_93e28cfa18260443f203", "t_ecf08595f2a00a488757"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Big Ten", "Southeastern Conferences", "Senate"]}
{"id": "e_124bddc69e8f_q0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "Who will be appointed as the new chief minister for Negeri Sembilan following the state election on August 1, 2026, by the deadline of 2026-08-04?", "options": ["Rais Yatim", "Mohamad Hasan", "Ismail Lasim", "Anwar Ibrahim"], "answer": "Ismail Lasim", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 12, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_124bddc69e8f", "event_date": "2026-08-02", "supporting_event": "Ismail Lasim has been appointed new chief minister for Negeri Sembilan.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_124bddc6", "storyline": "2026 Negeri Sembilan state election", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_26ce143ca8a41f63eac1", "t_d917ccdff314c296ebca", "t_86277d5c23c574c1523b"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "Ismail Lasim", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Ismail Lasim has been appointed new chief minister for Negeri Sembilan, following a decisive victory by the Barisan Nasional (BN)-Perikatan Nasional (PN) alliance in the state election", "quote_doc_id": "t_124bddc69e8f1cab7728", "settling_ids": ["t_124bddc69e8f1cab7728", "t_b83bbd73ff6b5b0c50ed", "t_f5091424acab27d7bd94", "t_9b12e3f41edc56b1c7cb"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Ismail Lasim", "Negeri Sembilan", "Barisan Nasional", "Perikatan Nasional"]}
{"id": "e_14ae303b7b15_q0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "Which of the following actions will the Trump administration take regarding new Chinese humanoid robots by 2026-07-28?", "options": ["Ban imports", "Increase tariffs", "Negotiate trade agreements", "Promote exports"], "answer": "Ban imports", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 7, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_14ae303b7b15", "event_date": "2026-07-28", "supporting_event": "The Trump administration bans imports of new Chinese humanoid and quadruped robots.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_14ae303b", "storyline": "US import restrictions on Chinese technology", "linked_domains": ["Law", "Sports", "Technology"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_40a0335c6ad49d919d96", "t_63b8a3b78a0e37c3141e"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "Ban imports", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the Trump administration on Tuesday plans to unveil bans that target imports of new Chinese robots and power inverters", "quote_doc_id": "t_14ae303b7b15a04675d0", "settling_ids": ["t_14ae303b7b15a04675d0", "t_46ce8cb8f379bb656fe0", "t_89a920353f912ff49977"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Trump administration", "Chinese humanoid robots", "Chinese quadruped robots"]}
{"id": "e_1517d85466ac_i0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "What is the total number of vehicles visible in the photograph by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "approximately 20", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 8, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_1517d85466ac", "event_date": "2026-07-29", "supporting_event": "President Donald Trump announced a $22.5 billion renovation plan for Washington Dulles International Airport.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_1517d854", "storyline": "Dulles Airport Renovation Project", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Geopolitics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_341b079ed510cfba5fb4", "t_59b26c41d79c7b982807", "t_011b9bb66fb684c4f016"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "approximately 20", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_5fc555623bd47096a757_0", "settling_ids": ["t_5fc555623bd47096a757", "t_1517d85466ac6e330e4f", "t_79f7417999511ea6c848"], "visible_detail": "the number of vehicles in the parking area and roadway"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["President Donald Trump", "Washington Dulles International Airport"]}
{"id": "e_1517d85466ac_q0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "Will President Donald Trump announce a renovation plan for Washington Dulles International Airport by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 8, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_1517d85466ac", "event_date": "2026-07-29", "supporting_event": "President Donald Trump announced a $22.5 billion renovation plan for Washington Dulles International Airport.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_1517d854", "storyline": "Dulles Airport Renovation Project", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Geopolitics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_341b079ed510cfba5fb4", "t_59b26c41d79c7b982807", "t_011b9bb66fb684c4f016"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "U.S. President Donald Trump on Wednesday announced a $22.5 billion renovation of Washington Dulles International Airport", "quote_doc_id": "t_1517d85466ac6e330e4f", "settling_ids": ["t_1517d85466ac6e330e4f", "t_79f7417999511ea6c848", "t_5fc555623bd47096a757"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["President Donald Trump", "Washington Dulles International Airport"]}
{"id": "e_1517d85466ac_q0_neg", "domain": "Politics", "question": "Will President Donald Trump announce a renovation plan for Washington Dulles International Airport by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "No", "answer_type": "perturbed_binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 8, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_1517d85466ac", "event_date": "2026-07-29", "supporting_event": "President Donald Trump announced a $22.5 billion renovation plan for Washington Dulles International Airport.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_1517d854", "storyline": "Dulles Airport Renovation Project", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Geopolitics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_341b079ed510cfba5fb4", "t_59b26c41d79c7b982807", "t_011b9bb66fb684c4f016"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "perturbed_binary", "value": "No", "tolerance": null, "quote": "U.S. President Donald Trump on Wednesday announced a $22.5 billion renovation of Washington Dulles International Airport", "quote_doc_id": "t_1517d85466ac6e330e4f", "settling_ids": ["t_1517d85466ac6e330e4f", "t_79f7417999511ea6c848", "t_5fc555623bd47096a757"], "derivation": "the event dated 2026-07-29 is after the shifted deadline 2026-07-28, so the claim is false at that deadline"}, "perturbation": {"field": "deadline", "original": "2026-08-04", "substituted": "2026-07-28", "v40_substituted": "2026-07-25"}, "paired_with": "e_1517d85466ac_q0", "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["President Donald Trump", "Washington Dulles International Airport"]}
{"id": "e_1517d85466ac_q2", "domain": "Politics", "question": "How much will President Donald Trump announce for the renovation plan of Washington Dulles International Airport by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "22.5", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "billion dollars", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 8, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_1517d85466ac", "event_date": "2026-07-29", "supporting_event": "President Donald Trump announced a $22.5 billion renovation plan for Washington Dulles International Airport.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_1517d854", "storyline": "Dulles Airport Renovation Project", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Geopolitics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_341b079ed510cfba5fb4", "t_59b26c41d79c7b982807", "t_011b9bb66fb684c4f016"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "22.5", "tolerance": 0.1, "quote": "$22.5 billion renovation of Washington Dulles International Airport", "quote_doc_id": "t_1517d85466ac6e330e4f", "settling_ids": ["t_1517d85466ac6e330e4f", "t_79f7417999511ea6c848", "t_5fc555623bd47096a757"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["President Donald Trump", "Washington Dulles International Airport"]}
{"id": "e_1526e05b1db7_q1", "domain": "Politics", "question": "Will the Cockroach Janta Party (CJP) issue a warning regarding fresh protests by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 6, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_1526e05b1db7", "event_date": "2026-07-27", "supporting_event": "The Cockroach Janta Party (CJP) warned of fresh protests if their demands regarding police action against protesters are not met.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_1526e05b", "storyline": "CJP protest actions", "linked_domains": ["Law"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_9fa5639b7a921b6d1f2a", "t_9982a430d724cfaaf48b", "t_6819a805dff282308ba2"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the CJP would resume its protest if these demands were not met.", "quote_doc_id": "t_1526e05b1db78c0c5000", "settling_ids": ["t_1526e05b1db78c0c5000", "t_1287a17e0345c40a40d8", "t_0890fd819f369e96a17d", "t_72f1817dc0f475364a63"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Cockroach Janta Party (CJP)", "Delhi Police", "BJP"]}
{"id": "e_1a12672333f0_q1", "domain": "Politics", "question": "What will be the estimated budget for the development plan for Northeast border infrastructure by 2026-08-04?", "options": ["₹10,000 crore", "₹5,000 crore", "₹3,000 crore", "₹7,000 crore"], "answer": "₹5,000 crore", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 13, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_1a12672333f0", "event_date": "2026-08-03", "supporting_event": "India has drawn up a ₹5,000 crore development plan for Northeast border infrastructure.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_1a126723", "storyline": "Northeast border infrastructure development plan", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_7e3ef9f509fea9094d59", "t_f285803a122caab61afb", "t_0f4b0f21457b4a2320e2", "t_d1fd07f920fe1f83a894"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "₹5,000 crore", "tolerance": null, "quote": "The Centre has drawn up a ₹5,000 crore development plan for India's northeast region for FY27", "quote_doc_id": "t_1a12672333f0361c4475", "settling_ids": ["t_1a12672333f0361c4475", "t_f18ed38c48d26456c00f"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["India"]}
{"id": "e_1a12672333f0_q2", "domain": "Politics", "question": "How many kilometers of roads will be constructed under the development plan for Northeast border infrastructure by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "270", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "km", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 13, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_1a12672333f0", "event_date": "2026-08-03", "supporting_event": "India has drawn up a ₹5,000 crore development plan for Northeast border infrastructure.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_1a126723", "storyline": "Northeast border infrastructure development plan", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_7e3ef9f509fea9094d59", "t_f285803a122caab61afb", "t_0f4b0f21457b4a2320e2", "t_d1fd07f920fe1f83a894"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "270", "tolerance": 0.05, "quote": "The plan envisages constructing about 270 km of roads", "quote_doc_id": "t_1a12672333f0361c4475", "settling_ids": ["t_1a12672333f0361c4475", "t_f18ed38c48d26456c00f"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["India"]}
{"id": "e_1c5e104fa1db_q0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "How many ABC television stations will The Walt Disney Co. be defending against the Federal Communications Commission by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "8", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 9, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_1c5e104fa1db", "event_date": "2026-07-30", "supporting_event": "The Walt Disney Co. intensified its battle with the Federal Communications Commission to keep its ABC television stations on the air.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_1c5e104f", "storyline": "Disney vs. FCC license dispute", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_5df7a1448b5d362dc19f", "t_28498316568f5f5788d8", "t_1bf47d342432c4c95b33", "t_0ea1baf45fa991f8ed45", "t_fde9f23bbdaa97f42073", "t_4e3449e661a46ac81675"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "8", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the broadcast licenses of its eight ABC stations", "quote_doc_id": "t_1c5e104fa1db3f693a07", "settling_ids": ["t_1c5e104fa1db3f693a07", "t_b3a69408970e82ef31eb", "t_e7386bbf96ada9893926", "t_255c39c08c5a4aff24eb"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["The Walt Disney Co.", "Federal Communications Commission", "ABC"]}
{"id": "e_1c840d58da06_q1", "domain": "Politics", "question": "How many seats will Barisan Nasional (BN) and Perikatan Nasional (PN) win in the Negeri Sembilan state election by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "25", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "seats", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 11, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_1c840d58da06", "event_date": "2026-08-01", "supporting_event": "Barisan Nasional (BN) and Perikatan Nasional (PN) secured control of the Negeri Sembilan state by winning 25 out of 36 seats in the state election.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_124bddc6", "storyline": "2026 Negeri Sembilan state election", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_4cd8d8e3229dcd24a8df", "t_d917ccdff314c296ebca"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "25", "tolerance": 0.05, "quote": "the new coalition securing 25 of the 36 state seats.", "quote_doc_id": "t_1c840d58da06d7b3aff2", "settling_ids": ["t_1c840d58da06d7b3aff2", "t_8ded4bb92c917d604ff5", "t_596ef73f14b90a6003f2", "t_5889607e23140735ee8f"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Barisan Nasional", "Perikatan Nasional", "Negeri Sembilan"]}
{"id": "e_1e8cccaa6b5e_q0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "Who will issue an advisory for all shops, offices, and restaurants in Connaught Place to close by 6:30 pm by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "New Delhi Traders Association", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 2, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_1e8cccaa6b5e", "event_date": "2026-07-23", "supporting_event": "The New Delhi Traders Association issued an advisory for all shops, offices, and restaurants in Connaught Place to close by 6:30 pm.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_1e8cccaa", "storyline": "CJP protest response", "linked_domains": ["Law"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_4ab324360aeaac156c5e", "t_9fc9b9300b8694a2cd62", "t_99fc9378df4a339256b4"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "New Delhi Traders Association", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the New Delhi Traders Association (NDTA) issued an advisory in view of the prevailing situation in and around the area", "quote_doc_id": "t_1e8cccaa6b5e72685a2f", "settling_ids": ["t_1e8cccaa6b5e72685a2f", "t_4a27c947837b302767ae", "t_f65e11f134f3b4456b9b", "t_2a116b01dd60a4807e25"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["New Delhi Traders Association", "Connaught Place"]}
{"id": "e_1e8cccaa6b5e_q1", "domain": "Politics", "question": "Which of the following actions will be taken regarding commercial establishments in Connaught Place by 2026-07-28?", "options": ["Only restaurants will close by 7:00 pm.", "All shops will remain open until 9:00 pm.", "All shops, offices, and restaurants will close by 6:30 pm.", "No advisory will be issued for closures."], "answer": "All shops, offices, and restaurants will close by 6:30 pm.", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 2, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_1e8cccaa6b5e", "event_date": "2026-07-23", "supporting_event": "The New Delhi Traders Association issued an advisory for all shops, offices, and restaurants in Connaught Place to close by 6:30 pm.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_1e8cccaa", "storyline": "CJP protest response", "linked_domains": ["Law"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_4ab324360aeaac156c5e", "t_9fc9b9300b8694a2cd62", "t_99fc9378df4a339256b4"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "All shops, offices, and restaurants will close by 6:30 pm.", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the NDTA stated the decision followed telephonic instructions from the chairperson and vice-chairperson of the New Delhi Municipal Council (NDMC), who advised that all businesses operating in Connaught Place close for the day by 6.30 pm.", "quote_doc_id": "t_1e8cccaa6b5e72685a2f", "settling_ids": ["t_1e8cccaa6b5e72685a2f", "t_4a27c947837b302767ae", "t_f65e11f134f3b4456b9b", "t_2a116b01dd60a4807e25"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["New Delhi Traders Association", "Connaught Place"]}
{"id": "e_1efdd3cd69af_i0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "What is the name of the person who replaced Dharmendra Pradhan as Union Education Minister by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "Pralhad Joshi", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 4, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_1efdd3cd69af", "event_date": "2026-07-25", "supporting_event": "Dharmendra Pradhan resigned as Union Education Minister amid nationwide protests over the NEET examination controversy.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_1efdd3cd", "storyline": "NEET-UG protests", "linked_domains": ["Geopolitics", "Law"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_63a439cd947830023af2", "t_895540605b9a5604a49b", "t_7616077be61e5e170e1e", "t_48fa1f2bd9be03c812ec", "t_8b2dc6fb8cf15e1b2ce8"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "Pralhad Joshi", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_f28942b3c0c47f6522cd_0", "settling_ids": ["t_f28942b3c0c47f6522cd", "t_c8ec9ad7bf70b4ccee86", "t_1efdd3cd69af10ec0490", "t_a1ff95fa187d9a307072"], "visible_detail": "Pralhad Joshi"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Dharmendra Pradhan", "NEET"]}
{"id": "e_1efdd3cd69af_q0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "Who will resign as Union Education Minister amid nationwide protests over the NEET examination controversy by 2026-07-28?", "options": ["Sushma Swaraj", "Rajnath Singh", "Dharmendra Pradhan", "Vasundhara Raje"], "answer": "Dharmendra Pradhan", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 4, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_1efdd3cd69af", "event_date": "2026-07-25", "supporting_event": "Dharmendra Pradhan resigned as Union Education Minister amid nationwide protests over the NEET examination controversy.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_1efdd3cd", "storyline": "NEET-UG protests", "linked_domains": ["Geopolitics", "Law"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_63a439cd947830023af2", "t_895540605b9a5604a49b", "t_7616077be61e5e170e1e", "t_48fa1f2bd9be03c812ec", "t_8b2dc6fb8cf15e1b2ce8"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "Dharmendra Pradhan", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Pradhan stepped down on Saturday after weeks of sustained protests by students, Opposition parties and civil society groups demanding accountability over the NEET controversy.", "quote_doc_id": "t_1efdd3cd69af10ec0490", "settling_ids": ["t_1efdd3cd69af10ec0490", "t_a1ff95fa187d9a307072", "t_f28942b3c0c47f6522cd", "t_c8ec9ad7bf70b4ccee86"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Dharmendra Pradhan", "NEET"]}
{"id": "e_1f379179f6c2_q0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "Who will lead the delegation to hold talks with the government regarding the JPSC and JSSC examinations by 2026-08-11?", "options": ["Ravindra Paswan", "Ankit Kumar", "Piyush Kumar Singh", "Neetu Kujur"], "answer": "Ravindra Paswan", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 16, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_1f379179f6c2", "event_date": "2026-08-06", "supporting_event": "Students agreed to hold talks with the government regarding alleged irregularities in the JPSC and JSSC examinations.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_1f379179", "storyline": "JPSC-JSSC recruitment examination protests", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_3eb0747a2f2d843f9f18", "t_5388e2d92df81471bc92"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "Ravindra Paswan", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the protesting students led by JPSC-JSSC Reform Forum here opened the door for talks with the government", "quote_doc_id": "t_98997e65a47c30f28956", "settling_ids": ["t_1f379179f6c25aa400a9", "t_98997e65a47c30f28956", "t_f5a658c1908bce05221f", "t_15b68aa1cd52b34faeb5"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["JPSC", "JSSC", "Jharkhand Government"]}
{"id": "e_1f6cf316bce5_q0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "How many people will be reported killed in the bomb attack on Balzi Rossi restaurant by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "3", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "people", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 11, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_1f6cf316bce5", "event_date": "2026-08-01", "supporting_event": "Moscow mayor Sergei Sobyanin described the bomb attack on Balzi Rossi restaurant as a 'brutal terrorist act' that killed three people.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_1f6cf316", "storyline": "Moscow restaurant bombing investigation", "linked_domains": ["Geopolitics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_4272b20413073fd94af3", "t_e48bc0c0fa991041eb1f"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "3", "tolerance": 0.1, "quote": "the blast on Saturday evening at the Balzi Rossi, an upscale Italian establishment in central Moscow, killed three people", "quote_doc_id": "t_77bdc09f7d84e3323d9c", "settling_ids": ["t_1f6cf316bce5554a3533", "t_77bdc09f7d84e3323d9c", "t_a5bfe3a435a592ac158a", "t_ef53ae49d7dcc7e3cc88"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Sergei Sobyanin", "Balzi Rossi", "Moscow"]}
{"id": "e_206ee75be5d6_v0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "What is the total number of write-in votes reported during the event by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "2,880", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "V", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 17, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_206ee75be5d6", "event_date": "2026-08-07", "supporting_event": "The Pentagon released a new batch of 41 documents and images related to UFOs.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_206ee75b", "storyline": "UFO disclosure under executive order", "linked_domains": ["Geopolitics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_071b25ac8f35692f148c", "t_c1a4b5edeb74f99b4e31"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "2,880", "tolerance": null, "quote": "POTUS President Trump Signs Executive Orders", "quote_doc_id": "v_7b5acf9d0e421c1d588b", "settling_ids": ["t_206ee75be5d665837ecd", "t_c585445eaec507c32093"], "visible_detail": ""}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["the Pentagon", "FBI", "CIA", "State Department", "Executive Office of the President"]}
{"id": "e_20ded51c7361_q1", "domain": "Politics", "question": "Which administration will consider a fee for international graduates seeking to work in the US under the Optional Practical Training (OPT) programme by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "Trump administration", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 10, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_20ded51c7361", "event_date": "2026-07-31", "supporting_event": "The Trump administration is considering a $100,000 fee for international graduates seeking to work in the US under the Optional Practical Training (OPT) programme.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_20ded51c", "storyline": "US immigration policy changes", "linked_domains": ["Geopolitics", "Law", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_85ac2547baaa39bb11fe", "t_0f8707079052a3d329a9"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "Trump administration", "tolerance": null, "quote": "The Trump administration is considering a $100,000 fee for international graduates seeking to work in the US under the Optional Practical Training (OPT) programme", "quote_doc_id": "t_20ded51c73612e9a744d", "settling_ids": ["t_20ded51c73612e9a744d", "t_5f35a8a15dd68d20eab5"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Trump administration", "international graduates", "Optional Practical Training (OPT) programme"]}
{"id": "e_248438b0d49b_q0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "Who will urge students participating in the CJP-led protest to return home by 2026-07-28?", "options": ["Shah Rukh Khan", "Salman Khan", "Ranveer Singh", "Amitabh Bachchan"], "answer": "Salman Khan", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 2, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_248438b0d49b", "event_date": "2026-07-23", "supporting_event": "Salman Khan urges students participating in the CJP-led protest to return home.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_248438b0", "storyline": "NEET paper leak protests", "linked_domains": ["Geopolitics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_9500b1f5819c943f5596", "t_6ba63500d62ea1f5a003", "t_c0548fd2888124f36fd7", "t_724113f1b2872962204b"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "Salman Khan", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Salman Khan has appealed to students participating in the CJP-led protest in New Delhi to return home, assuring them that the government would take action against those responsible for the NEET paper leak.", "quote_doc_id": "t_248438b0d49b662e88f2", "settling_ids": ["t_248438b0d49b662e88f2", "t_7ec1d0c065655e6537b2"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Salman Khan", "Sonam Wangchuk", "CJP", "Prime Minister Narendra Modi"]}
{"id": "e_2500cbbf0015_q0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "Which individual is associated with the Human Rights Foundation that was designated as 'undesirable' by Russia by 2026-08-11?", "options": ["Yulia Navalnaya", "Vladimir Putin", "Alexei Navalny", "Javier El-Hage"], "answer": "Yulia Navalnaya", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 17, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_2500cbbf0015", "event_date": "2026-08-07", "supporting_event": "Russia has designated the New York-based Human Rights Foundation as an 'undesirable organisation'.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_2500cbbf", "storyline": "Russia's designation of undesirable organisations", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_99489d4022051bdaf774", "t_86b3bad3ede8499a80f4"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "Yulia Navalnaya", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the widow of late Russian dissident Alexei Navalny", "quote_doc_id": "t_4adad39545142585e428", "settling_ids": ["t_2500cbbf001547c5cd60", "t_4adad39545142585e428"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Human Rights Foundation", "Yulia Navalnaya", "Alexei Navalny"]}
{"id": "e_25cfe7b677f0_q2", "domain": "Politics", "question": "Will the chairman of the Financial Services Commission have expressed regret over the introduction of single-stock leveraged ETFs by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 8, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_25cfe7b677f0", "event_date": "2026-07-29", "supporting_event": "Koo Yun-cheol apologised for the introduction of single-stock leveraged exchange-traded funds (ETFs).", "storyline_id": "s_pol_25cfe7b6", "storyline": "South Korea leveraged ETF regulatory response", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Environment", "Geopolitics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_09610f5593c0d823f3ce", "t_47c067bd515bf13a4616", "t_19d992c278e60853c3a5", "t_01a6c28b5a0ebc687c9e", "t_16cecf28df916c272842"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Lee Eog-weon, chairman of the Financial Services Commission, told the hearing.", "quote_doc_id": "t_25cfe7b677f01856dba3", "settling_ids": ["t_25cfe7b677f01856dba3", "t_d5414a7dd825493ac5ec", "t_53de858727975458073e"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Koo Yun-cheol", "Financial Services Commission", "South Korea", "single-stock leveraged exchange-traded funds (ETFs)"]}
{"id": "e_25cfe7b677f0_q2_neg", "domain": "Politics", "question": "Will the chairman of the Financial Services Commission have expressed regret over the introduction of single-stock leveraged ETFs by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "No", "answer_type": "perturbed_binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 8, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_25cfe7b677f0", "event_date": "2026-07-29", "supporting_event": "Koo Yun-cheol apologised for the introduction of single-stock leveraged exchange-traded funds (ETFs).", "storyline_id": "s_pol_25cfe7b6", "storyline": "South Korea leveraged ETF regulatory response", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Environment", "Geopolitics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_09610f5593c0d823f3ce", "t_47c067bd515bf13a4616", "t_19d992c278e60853c3a5", "t_01a6c28b5a0ebc687c9e", "t_16cecf28df916c272842"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "perturbed_binary", "value": "No", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Lee Eog-weon, chairman of the Financial Services Commission, told the hearing.", "quote_doc_id": "t_25cfe7b677f01856dba3", "settling_ids": ["t_25cfe7b677f01856dba3", "t_d5414a7dd825493ac5ec", "t_53de858727975458073e"], "derivation": "the event dated 2026-07-29 is after the shifted deadline 2026-07-28, so the claim is false at that deadline"}, "perturbation": {"field": "deadline", "original": "2026-08-04", "substituted": "2026-07-28", "v40_substituted": "2026-07-25"}, "paired_with": "e_25cfe7b677f0_q2", "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Koo Yun-cheol", "Financial Services Commission", "South Korea", "single-stock leveraged exchange-traded funds (ETFs)"]}
{"id": "e_25d453efe9a0_q0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "Will Prashant Kishor win the Bankipur assembly bypoll by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 13, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_25d453efe9a0", "event_date": "2026-08-03", "supporting_event": "Prashant Kishor officially won the Bankipur assembly bypoll defeating Bharatiya Janata Party's Neeraj Kumar Sinha by 19,324 votes.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_25d453ef", "storyline": "2026 Bihar assembly bypolls", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_35244ccb8c3d80617905", "t_c7a8725761b26831341e", "t_377be88f9e2b0226d9a6", "t_c27e9abb91c7be0441e6"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Prashant Kishor has officially won the Bankipur assembly bypoll defeating Bharatiya Janata Party's Neeraj Kumar Sinha", "quote_doc_id": "t_25d453efe9a089e64250", "settling_ids": ["t_25d453efe9a089e64250", "t_738bb695a6960163b319"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Prashant Kishor", "Bharatiya Janata Party", "Neeraj Kumar Sinha", "Bankipur"]}
{"id": "e_25d453efe9a0_q0_neg", "domain": "Politics", "question": "Will Prashant Kishor win the Bankipur assembly bypoll by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "No", "answer_type": "perturbed_binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 13, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_25d453efe9a0", "event_date": "2026-08-03", "supporting_event": "Prashant Kishor officially won the Bankipur assembly bypoll defeating Bharatiya Janata Party's Neeraj Kumar Sinha by 19,324 votes.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_25d453ef", "storyline": "2026 Bihar assembly bypolls", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_35244ccb8c3d80617905", "t_c7a8725761b26831341e", "t_377be88f9e2b0226d9a6", "t_c27e9abb91c7be0441e6"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "perturbed_binary", "value": "No", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Prashant Kishor has officially won the Bankipur assembly bypoll defeating Bharatiya Janata Party's Neeraj Kumar Sinha", "quote_doc_id": "t_25d453efe9a089e64250", "settling_ids": ["t_25d453efe9a089e64250", "t_738bb695a6960163b319"], "derivation": "the event dated 2026-08-03 is after the shifted deadline 2026-07-28, so the claim is false at that deadline"}, "perturbation": {"field": "deadline", "original": "2026-08-04", "substituted": "2026-07-28", "v40_substituted": "2026-07-27"}, "paired_with": "e_25d453efe9a0_q0", "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Prashant Kishor", "Bharatiya Janata Party", "Neeraj Kumar Sinha", "Bankipur"]}
{"id": "e_27df293d9c95_q0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "Which of the following states will the ABVP specifically address regarding examination irregularities by 2026-08-04?", "options": ["West Bengal", "Maharashtra", "Gujarat", "Bihar"], "answer": "Bihar", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 11, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_27df293d9c95", "event_date": "2026-08-01", "supporting_event": "ABVP extended support to students protesting alleged question paper leaks in recruitment examinations conducted in Jharkhand, Bihar, Karnataka, and Punjab.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_27df293d", "storyline": "ABVP support for student movements against examination irregularities", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Environment"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_68712e6014f9e4387b91", "t_f11d4339e65ddf693387", "t_895540605b9a5604a49b", "t_70736a90288cbcd2a553", "t_f09410fa6526b89f60b3", "t_17fe2ad40d94c562cdcc"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "Bihar", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the organisation specifically referred to controversies surrounding examinations conducted by the Jharkhand Public Service Commission (JPSC), Bihar Public Service Commission (BPSC), Karnataka Public Service Commission (KPSC) and recruitment examinations in Punjab.", "quote_doc_id": "t_0d476a80603ae33dd121", "settling_ids": ["t_27df293d9c958ad43430", "t_0d476a80603ae33dd121", "t_d9ab1fd5267aff110def", "t_6bca1b544bf86cda5dab"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Akhil Bharatiya Vidyarthi Parishad", "Jharkhand", "Bihar", "Karnataka", "Punjab"]}
{"id": "e_287e602dc7cd_i0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "What name is displayed on the placard by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "B.R. Ambedkar", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 5, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_287e602dc7cd", "event_date": "2026-07-26", "supporting_event": "Uddhav Thackeray held a rally to celebrate the impact of nationwide student protests against the NEET-UG paper leak controversy.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_1efdd3cd", "storyline": "NEET-UG protests", "linked_domains": ["Geopolitics", "Law"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_68712e6014f9e4387b91", "t_5f9b9d1ad546a7535737"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "B.R. Ambedkar", "tolerance": null, "quote": "CJP supporters raise slogans as they stage a protest demanding the resignation of Union Education Minister Dharmendra Pradhan over alleged irregularities in the NEET examination on Tuesday(PTI)", "quote_doc_id": "i_480b76320a89da4adacc_1", "settling_ids": ["t_480b76320a89da4adacc", "t_287e602dc7cd0db6f559", "t_98baf887d5a54cafb73f", "t_fd2d650811c26fb2007e"], "visible_detail": "a placard with a portrait of a political figure"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Uddhav Thackeray", "Raj Thackeray", "Shiv Sena (UBT)", "Maharashtra Navnirman Sena", "NEET-UG"]}
{"id": "e_287e602dc7cd_q2", "domain": "Politics", "question": "Who will join Uddhav Thackeray at the rally to celebrate the impact of nationwide student protests against the NEET-UG paper leak controversy by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "Raj Thackeray", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 5, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_287e602dc7cd", "event_date": "2026-07-26", "supporting_event": "Uddhav Thackeray held a rally to celebrate the impact of nationwide student protests against the NEET-UG paper leak controversy.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_1efdd3cd", "storyline": "NEET-UG protests", "linked_domains": ["Geopolitics", "Law"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_68712e6014f9e4387b91", "t_5f9b9d1ad546a7535737"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "Raj Thackeray", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the Thackeray cousins sharing the stage alongside Shiv Sena (UBT) leader Aaditya Thackeray, MP Sanjay Raut and NCP (SP) MLA Rohit Pawar.", "quote_doc_id": "t_287e602dc7cd0db6f559", "settling_ids": ["t_287e602dc7cd0db6f559", "t_98baf887d5a54cafb73f", "t_480b76320a89da4adacc", "t_fd2d650811c26fb2007e"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Uddhav Thackeray", "Raj Thackeray", "Shiv Sena (UBT)", "Maharashtra Navnirman Sena", "NEET-UG"]}
{"id": "e_29664829a022_a0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "What is the total amount of outside spending in the Michigan Senate primary race by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "80 million", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "dollars", "modality_required": "A", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 4, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_29664829a022", "event_date": "2026-07-25", "supporting_event": "Michigan Gov. Gretchen Whitmer endorsed Rep. Haley Stevens in the state’s contentious Democrat Senate primary.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_05b7a9aa", "storyline": "2026 Michigan Democratic Senate primary", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_4174b54c83ce7263686c", "t_8bfcab2df8d1a1a787ac", "t_02f7db25d800feb6d441", "t_bae6f4c64719f3d17056"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "80 million", "tolerance": null, "quote": "you had over $80 million total in outside spending sent on this race", "quote_doc_id": "a_250e151effd968be5328", "settling_ids": ["a_250e151effd968be5328", "v_29664829a022b7c60856", "t_a77b50983b1181af4c5b", "t_b17190763d1f0716b335", "t_6c9c6520aa16d53a3675", "t_9e560bbcc89bf8aae262", "t_ee3c206b65b036cb6bc7"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Gretchen Whitmer", "Haley Stevens"]}
{"id": "e_2a3f1d19d9f7_q0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "How many voters will be flagged under the ASDDO category in Bengaluru by 2026-08-11?", "options": ["50 lakh", "49.42 lakh", "45 lakh", "48 lakh"], "answer": "49.42 lakh", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": "voters", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 15, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_2a3f1d19d9f7", "event_date": "2026-08-05", "supporting_event": "Chief Electoral Officer V Anbukumar reported that 49.42 lakh of Bengaluru's 1.03 crore registered voters have been classified under the ASDDO category.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_016dda0e", "storyline": "Special Intensive Revision of electoral rolls in Odisha", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Environment", "Health"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_3a3e03e00bd912c61917", "t_69923ba3f775716c9ce3", "t_6a676630f12d40d97ecc"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "49.42 lakh", "tolerance": null, "quote": "49.42 lakh of Bengaluru's 1.03 crore registered voters have been classified under the ASDDO category", "quote_doc_id": "t_f7560f862893152bc90f", "settling_ids": ["t_2a3f1d19d9f782f3da71", "t_f7560f862893152bc90f"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Chief Electoral Officer V Anbukumar", "Bengaluru", "Karnataka"]}
{"id": "e_2b202fd938a0_d0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "What is the effective date of the final rule rescinding disparate-impact provisions from Title VI regulations by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "July 24, 2026", "answer_type": "date", "unit": null, "modality_required": "D", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 3, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_2b202fd938a0", "event_date": "2026-07-24", "supporting_event": "The U.S. Department of Education rescinded disparate-impact provisions from Title VI regulations.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_2b202fd9", "storyline": "Title VI regulatory changes", "linked_domains": ["Law"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_3be59f995578edee3435", "t_3d371bf3b0d77d676a7c", "d_427fd815035326b9d45f", "t_2691f87cd604ebcf389b", "d_5c4d0856876b87bbf1cc", "d_c1ffbafa2b0269d54532"], "precursor_modalities": ["D", "T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "date", "value": "July 24, 2026", "tolerance": null, "quote": "This final rule is effective on July 24, 2026.", "quote_doc_id": "d_2b202fd938a025186cd8", "settling_ids": ["d_2b202fd938a025186cd8", "d_2b202fd938a025186cd8", "t_6cb1ec58661f1427d729", "t_174e530e5340831084e3", "t_3d98b4c2c95021547500", "t_7d997f5d258881d30eda", "t_dd7df5f47f8b20349b4d"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["U.S. Department of Education", "Title VI", "Civil Rights Act of 1964"]}
{"id": "e_2b202fd938a0_q0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "Which department will announce the rescission of disparate-impact provisions from Title VI regulations by 2026-07-28?", "options": ["U.S. Department of Labor", "U.S. Department of Health and Human Services", "U.S. Department of Education", "U.S. Department of Justice"], "answer": "U.S. Department of Education", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 3, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_2b202fd938a0", "event_date": "2026-07-24", "supporting_event": "The U.S. Department of Education rescinded disparate-impact provisions from Title VI regulations.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_2b202fd9", "storyline": "Title VI regulatory changes", "linked_domains": ["Law"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_3be59f995578edee3435", "t_3d371bf3b0d77d676a7c", "d_427fd815035326b9d45f", "t_2691f87cd604ebcf389b", "d_5c4d0856876b87bbf1cc", "d_c1ffbafa2b0269d54532"], "precursor_modalities": ["D", "T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "U.S. Department of Education", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the Department is rescinding several disparate-impact provisions from the Department’s regulations implementing Title VI of the Civil Rights Act of 1964 (Title VI).", "quote_doc_id": "t_6cb1ec58661f1427d729", "settling_ids": ["t_6cb1ec58661f1427d729", "t_174e530e5340831084e3", "t_7d997f5d258881d30eda", "t_3d98b4c2c95021547500", "d_2b202fd938a025186cd8", "d_837f98e823d5e2d30ca0"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["U.S. Department of Education", "Title VI", "Civil Rights Act of 1964"]}
{"id": "e_2b202fd938a0_v0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "What is the name of the Assistant Secretary of State for East Asian & Pacific Affairs mentioned in the broadcast by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "MICHAEL DeSOMBRE", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "V", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 3, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_2b202fd938a0", "event_date": "2026-07-24", "supporting_event": "The U.S. Department of Education rescinded disparate-impact provisions from Title VI regulations.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_2b202fd9", "storyline": "Title VI regulatory changes", "linked_domains": ["Law"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_3be59f995578edee3435", "t_3d371bf3b0d77d676a7c", "t_2691f87cd604ebcf389b", "t_90055c3167757815348b"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "MICHAEL DeSOMBRE", "tolerance": null, "quote": "The Hearing Room State Department Officials Testify on U.S. Response to Global Scams", "quote_doc_id": "v_4e36d3918c47be0b98f1", "settling_ids": ["d_2b202fd938a025186cd8", "t_6cb1ec58661f1427d729", "t_174e530e5340831084e3", "t_3d98b4c2c95021547500", "t_7d997f5d258881d30eda", "t_dd7df5f47f8b20349b4d"], "visible_detail": "what the frames show"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["U.S. Department of Education", "Title VI", "Civil Rights Act of 1964"]}
{"id": "e_2b36ebe7cbda_q0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "How many days after the protests began will Dharmendra Pradhan resign as Education Minister by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "35", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "days", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 4, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_2b36ebe7cbda", "event_date": "2026-07-25", "supporting_event": "Dharmendra Pradhan resigned as Education Minister on July 25, 2026.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_1efdd3cd", "storyline": "NEET-UG protests", "linked_domains": ["Geopolitics", "Law"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_63a439cd947830023af2", "t_fe1d4adbc05f60958d97", "t_7616077be61e5e170e1e", "t_48fa1f2bd9be03c812ec", "t_8b2dc6fb8cf15e1b2ce8"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "35", "tolerance": 0.05, "quote": "Pradhan stepped down from his post on Saturday, 35 days after protests spearheaded by the Cockroach Janta Party (CJP) broke out to press for his resignation over irregularities in the exam system and the NEET paper leak.", "quote_doc_id": "t_447e9d7bc35867499de4", "settling_ids": ["t_2b36ebe7cbdad61c14ea", "t_447e9d7bc35867499de4", "t_80762e742840848ec065", "t_6ec50c9b079ccece210f"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Dharmendra Pradhan", "BJP", "Cockroach Janta Party", "NEET"]}
{"id": "e_2c68c65a013f_q0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "How many Latinos will federal immigration agents arrest from January to October 2026 according to LULAC's findings by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "187000", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "Latinos", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 8, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_2c68c65a013f", "event_date": "2026-07-29", "supporting_event": "LULAC found that court-sanctioned racial profiling has contributed to the disproportionate targeting of Latinos regardless of their immigration status.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_2c68c65a", "storyline": "federal immigration enforcement targeting", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_e0fea64ed1fffe5ab7d9", "t_739b76d90524c8c1cc7a", "t_2ec03b07bad1aecd7197"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "187000", "tolerance": 0.05, "quote": "federal immigration agents arrested more than 187,000 Latinos", "quote_doc_id": "t_11a802e32d37574e72b4", "settling_ids": ["t_2c68c65a013f7d72965f", "t_11a802e32d37574e72b4"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["the League of United Latin American Citizens", "Latinos"]}
{"id": "e_2c68c65a013f_q1", "domain": "Politics", "question": "Which organization will report on the impact of mass deportation on Latinos as an ethnic group by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "LULAC", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 8, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_2c68c65a013f", "event_date": "2026-07-29", "supporting_event": "LULAC found that court-sanctioned racial profiling has contributed to the disproportionate targeting of Latinos regardless of their immigration status.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_2c68c65a", "storyline": "federal immigration enforcement targeting", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_e0fea64ed1fffe5ab7d9", "t_739b76d90524c8c1cc7a", "t_2ec03b07bad1aecd7197"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "LULAC", "tolerance": null, "quote": "The League of United Latin American Citizens or LULAC, a Latino civil rights organization", "quote_doc_id": "t_2c68c65a013f7d72965f", "settling_ids": ["t_2c68c65a013f7d72965f", "t_11a802e32d37574e72b4"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["the League of United Latin American Citizens", "Latinos"]}
{"id": "e_2d46e95db1de_d0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "What is the total acreage of property the Smyrna/Rutherford County Airport Authority is requesting to release by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "14.67", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "acres", "modality_required": "D", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 9, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_2d46e95db1de", "event_date": "2026-07-30", "supporting_event": "The Federal Aviation Administration proposed new regulations to expedite the approval process for commercial space missions.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_2d46e95d", "storyline": "FAA regulatory changes for commercial space licensing", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Geopolitics", "Technology"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_58fa79b506e63b047fe9", "d_59f9f855f6aecdb8f8eb", "t_ff481743e33ff48befc5"], "precursor_modalities": ["D", "T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "14.67", "tolerance": null, "quote": "The S/RCAA has requested the release and disposal (sale) of approximately 14.67 acres of MQY property", "quote_doc_id": "d_db46fed3a796ee07a9c3", "settling_ids": ["d_db46fed3a796ee07a9c3", "d_2d46e95db1deca4106fc", "t_c23dc630b5aaec998d4e", "t_3b019f80afe4e7c0ded2", "t_92576df78c7c8142100b", "t_cafb67fe43b0ee5e8bd0", "t_e2dc888cb973b7517b51"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Federal Aviation Administration", "Department of Transportation", "President Donald Trump"]}
{"id": "e_2d8d8498637a_q1", "domain": "Politics", "question": "How many people will be reported killed in the suicide bombing at the antimilitant rally in northwestern Pakistan by 2026-08-04?", "options": ["5", "10", "20", "14"], "answer": "14", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": "people", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 12, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_2d8d8498637a", "event_date": "2026-08-02", "supporting_event": "A suicide bomber targeted protesters at an antimilitant rally in northwestern Pakistan, killing at least 14 people, mostly civilians and police officers.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_0967a71e", "storyline": "suicide bombing in Pakistan", "linked_domains": ["Geopolitics", "Law", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_1a6566c9ece877822251", "t_c170d138d604f8717241", "t_c4feca56097ec0f8873b", "t_5d8ac951a25295350023", "t_81c14e442f09a4cd2b21", "t_b03d1482702dd5baf607"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "14", "tolerance": null, "quote": "killing at least 14 people, mostly civilians and police officers", "quote_doc_id": "t_f1bd7e5ed937bb437be2", "settling_ids": ["t_2d8d8498637a554b3162", "t_f1bd7e5ed937bb437be2", "t_7071e1b64115b01363ad", "t_6c72b2242b578d5d85a7", "a_7b46de2c4e4a410fe492"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["suicide bomber", "protesters", "Khyber Pakhtunkhwa", "Swat Valley", "Pakistan"]}
{"id": "e_2d8d8498637a_q2", "domain": "Politics", "question": "What will be the number of police officers killed in the suicide bombing at the antimilitant rally in northwestern Pakistan by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "5", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "people", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 12, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_2d8d8498637a", "event_date": "2026-08-02", "supporting_event": "A suicide bomber targeted protesters at an antimilitant rally in northwestern Pakistan, killing at least 14 people, mostly civilians and police officers.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_0967a71e", "storyline": "suicide bombing in Pakistan", "linked_domains": ["Geopolitics", "Law", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_1a6566c9ece877822251", "t_c170d138d604f8717241", "t_c4feca56097ec0f8873b", "t_5d8ac951a25295350023", "t_81c14e442f09a4cd2b21", "t_b03d1482702dd5baf607"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "5", "tolerance": 0.1, "quote": "at least nine civilians and five police officers were among those killed", "quote_doc_id": "t_2d8d8498637a554b3162", "settling_ids": ["t_2d8d8498637a554b3162", "t_f1bd7e5ed937bb437be2", "t_7071e1b64115b01363ad", "t_6c72b2242b578d5d85a7", "a_7b46de2c4e4a410fe492"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["suicide bomber", "protesters", "Khyber Pakhtunkhwa", "Swat Valley", "Pakistan"]}
{"id": "e_32646f62b2f9_q1", "domain": "Politics", "question": "How many days will Sonam Wangchuk have fasted by the time he ends his hunger strike by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "26", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "days", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 3, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_32646f62b2f9", "event_date": "2026-07-24", "supporting_event": "Sonam Wangchuk ended his hunger strike after 26 days of fasting.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_32646f62", "storyline": "CJP nationwide strike", "linked_domains": ["Law"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_659c917d6dbe45f8195e", "t_da99db2ab23f19d6f9af"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "26", "tolerance": 0.1, "quote": "Sonam Wangchuk has now ended his hunger strike after 26 days of fasting.", "quote_doc_id": "t_32646f62b2f9a57475ed", "settling_ids": ["t_32646f62b2f9a57475ed", "t_731bd1e169d99b0576d2"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Sonam Wangchuk", "Cockroach Janta Party", "Union Education Minister Dharmendra Pradhan"]}
{"id": "e_32fd193542b8_q0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "Which action will Delhi Chief Minister Rekha Gupta take regarding a medical store at a government hospital in Dwarka by 2026-08-11?", "options": ["Conduct an inquiry", "Cancel the license", "Suspend the staff", "Issue a warning"], "answer": "Cancel the license", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 15, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_32fd193542b8", "event_date": "2026-08-05", "supporting_event": "Delhi Chief Minister Rekha Gupta cancelled the license of a medical store at a government hospital in Dwarka.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_32fd1935", "storyline": "medical service provision in Delhi", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_4f09d4b81341f4abd1b8", "t_a0edbf3abbac9d9ce451", "t_1856e874c6b07f2902a0", "t_00e5cfe22d8fec211ac8"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "Cancel the license", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Delhi Chief Minister Rekha Gupta cancelled the license of a medical store at a government hospital in Dwarka", "quote_doc_id": "t_32fd193542b8b1da4ff1", "settling_ids": ["t_32fd193542b8b1da4ff1", "t_cd89c2a171a5a6484619"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Rekha Gupta", "Jan Aushadhi Kendra", "Indira Gandhi Hospital", "Dwarka"]}
{"id": "e_359c71e758ba_i0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "What specific demand is highlighted on the placards held by the protesters by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "resignation of Kuchu Puchu", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 4, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_359c71e758ba", "event_date": "2026-07-25", "supporting_event": "India's young protesters are mocking their government.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_359c71e7", "storyline": "2026 India youth protests", "linked_domains": ["Law"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_97f81489de5742d87505", "t_385bca97350fa71d22dd", "t_b6f770dd02f30e706880", "t_a8fbe1b9f91e1e920d9f"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "resignation of Kuchu Puchu", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Student activists take part in a demonstration demanding educational reforms as part of the Cockroach Janta Party's ongoing protest movement in Kolkata, India, on July 24, 2026 [Bikas Das/AP]", "quote_doc_id": "i_359c71e758bae615b339_1", "settling_ids": ["t_359c71e758bae615b339", "t_a0e64d3db08864d3dbab"], "visible_detail": "the text on the placards held by the protesters"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["India", "Narendra Modi"]}
{"id": "e_359c71e758ba_q0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "What type of content are India's young protesters using to mock their government by 2026-07-28?", "options": ["news articles", "political speeches", "memes", "documentaries"], "answer": "memes", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 4, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_359c71e758ba", "event_date": "2026-07-25", "supporting_event": "India's young protesters are mocking their government.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_359c71e7", "storyline": "2026 India youth protests", "linked_domains": ["Law"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_97f81489de5742d87505", "t_385bca97350fa71d22dd", "t_b6f770dd02f30e706880", "t_a8fbe1b9f91e1e920d9f"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "memes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "flooding social media with memes, parody videos and self-deprecating jokes.", "quote_doc_id": "t_a0e64d3db08864d3dbab", "settling_ids": ["t_359c71e758bae615b339", "t_a0e64d3db08864d3dbab"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["India", "Narendra Modi"]}
{"id": "e_35f9b681680b_q2", "domain": "Politics", "question": "How many votes will Prashant Kishor receive in the Bankipur Assembly bypoll by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "over 64000", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "votes", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 13, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_35f9b681680b", "event_date": "2026-08-03", "supporting_event": "The BJP lost the Bankipur Assembly bypoll.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_25d453ef", "storyline": "2026 Bihar assembly bypolls", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_5967d707c61f26e4d87c", "t_35244ccb8c3d80617905", "t_c7a8725761b26831341e", "t_c27e9abb91c7be0441e6"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "over 64000", "tolerance": 0.05, "quote": "Kishor, who polled over 64,000 votes to defeat the BJP", "quote_doc_id": "t_35f9b681680b76e5c308", "settling_ids": ["t_35f9b681680b76e5c308", "t_ad568e3268bc19bc2201"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["BJP", "Bankipur Assembly"]}
{"id": "e_377f64cd8480_q0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "Will the Trump administration acknowledge that it canceled grants for clean energy projects based on the political identity of the grant recipient's state by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 4, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_377f64cd8480", "event_date": "2026-07-25", "supporting_event": "The Trump administration acknowledged that it canceled $7.6 billion in grants for hundreds of clean energy projects based on the political identity of the grant recipient's state.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_377f64cd", "storyline": "court case regarding canceled clean energy grants", "linked_domains": ["Environment", "Law", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_2e3aa0cf3dad046562d8", "t_d730e00b4b3e9ab1d237", "a_cec2473d6cc54c7fac50"], "precursor_modalities": ["A", "T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Trump administration admits grants for clean energy were canceled based on politics", "quote_doc_id": "t_377f64cd8480342e7a85", "settling_ids": ["t_377f64cd8480342e7a85", "t_44b8d5ed280f42016feb", "t_57d2b30e19414ecfe00c", "a_7aefedd4321f28ff6581", "a_aed3a68c7cb503a46b96"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Trump administration", "Kamala Harris"]}
{"id": "e_377f64cd8480_q2", "domain": "Politics", "question": "How much in grants will the Trump administration acknowledge it canceled for clean energy projects based on the political identity of the grant recipient's state by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "7600000000", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "USD", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 4, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_377f64cd8480", "event_date": "2026-07-25", "supporting_event": "The Trump administration acknowledged that it canceled $7.6 billion in grants for hundreds of clean energy projects based on the political identity of the grant recipient's state.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_377f64cd", "storyline": "court case regarding canceled clean energy grants", "linked_domains": ["Environment", "Law", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_2e3aa0cf3dad046562d8", "t_d730e00b4b3e9ab1d237", "a_cec2473d6cc54c7fac50"], "precursor_modalities": ["A", "T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "7600000000", "tolerance": 0.05, "quote": "$7.6 billion in grants for hundreds of clean energy projects", "quote_doc_id": "t_377f64cd8480342e7a85", "settling_ids": ["t_377f64cd8480342e7a85", "t_44b8d5ed280f42016feb", "t_57d2b30e19414ecfe00c", "a_7aefedd4321f28ff6581", "a_aed3a68c7cb503a46b96"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Trump administration", "Kamala Harris"]}
{"id": "e_38ce5962c11f_i0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "What title is displayed on the nameplate in front of Jay Clayton by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "Hon. Jay Clayton", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 7, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_38ce5962c11f", "event_date": "2026-07-28", "supporting_event": "Jay Clayton was confirmed as the nation's top spy.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_38ce5962", "storyline": "US Senate confirmation of intelligence chief", "linked_domains": ["Geopolitics", "Law", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_edb6b5a5e2772ad649e1", "t_527dc0c45ddd97e9b7a5", "t_ecdd3a379193f5e46e95", "t_74fb176971b2777e57ef"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "Hon. Jay Clayton", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_38ce5962c11f055263da_0", "settling_ids": ["t_38ce5962c11f055263da", "t_183a8aaca612f2e82caf"], "visible_detail": "Hon. Jay Clayton"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Jay Clayton", "Donald Trump", "U.S. Senate"]}
{"id": "e_38ce5962c11f_q0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "What will be the vote count for Jay Clayton's confirmation as Director of National Intelligence by 2026-07-28?", "options": ["52-46", "49-49", "51-47", "50-48"], "answer": "51-47", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 7, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_38ce5962c11f", "event_date": "2026-07-28", "supporting_event": "Jay Clayton was confirmed as the nation's top spy.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_38ce5962", "storyline": "US Senate confirmation of intelligence chief", "linked_domains": ["Geopolitics", "Law", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_edb6b5a5e2772ad649e1", "t_527dc0c45ddd97e9b7a5", "t_ecdd3a379193f5e46e95", "t_74fb176971b2777e57ef"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "51-47", "tolerance": null, "quote": "The vote was 51-47 to confirm Clayton for the job of Director of National Intelligence", "quote_doc_id": "t_38ce5962c11f055263da", "settling_ids": ["t_38ce5962c11f055263da", "t_183a8aaca612f2e82caf"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Jay Clayton", "Donald Trump", "U.S. Senate"]}
{"id": "e_38ce5962c11f_q1", "domain": "Politics", "question": "How many U.S. intelligence agencies will Jay Clayton oversee by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "18", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 7, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_38ce5962c11f", "event_date": "2026-07-28", "supporting_event": "Jay Clayton was confirmed as the nation's top spy.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_38ce5962", "storyline": "US Senate confirmation of intelligence chief", "linked_domains": ["Geopolitics", "Law", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_edb6b5a5e2772ad649e1", "t_527dc0c45ddd97e9b7a5", "t_ecdd3a379193f5e46e95", "t_74fb176971b2777e57ef"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "18", "tolerance": null, "quote": "overseeing the 18 U.S. intelligence agencies", "quote_doc_id": "t_38ce5962c11f055263da", "settling_ids": ["t_38ce5962c11f055263da", "t_183a8aaca612f2e82caf"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Jay Clayton", "Donald Trump", "U.S. Senate"]}
{"id": "e_3ad1d8ce0527_q0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "Will Sen. Bill Cassidy express his support for Erica Schwartz by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 2, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_3ad1d8ce0527", "event_date": "2026-07-23", "supporting_event": "Sen. Bill Cassidy expressed his support for Erica Schwartz, President Trump’s pick for CDC director.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_3ad1d8ce", "storyline": "CDC Director Confirmation Process", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Geopolitics", "Law"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_d24ab44f8f9c3f7b39d8", "t_a78093b336279dfed1f8"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "When Sen. Bill Cassidy on Thursday expressed his support for Erica Schwartz, President Trump’s pick for CDC director, he signaled that he may once again cast a critical vote for a candidate that poses a risk to US public health.", "quote_doc_id": "t_1a7f027ae08c500f7738", "settling_ids": ["t_1a7f027ae08c500f7738", "a_26a6e3c916a838fc30c8"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Erica Schwartz", "Sen. Bill Cassidy", "CDC", "President Trump"]}
{"id": "e_3bbb43f4104d_q0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "How many crore will Chief Minister Pushkar Singh Dhami approve for infrastructure and development projects by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "93", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "crore", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 7, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_3bbb43f4104d", "event_date": "2026-07-28", "supporting_event": "Chief Minister Pushkar Singh Dhami approved financial sanctions worth ₹93 crore for infrastructure and development projects.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_3bbb43f4", "storyline": "Uttarakhand infrastructure development approvals", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Environment"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_78676d36c8813300c540", "t_d1021c3e39a813cfd11e"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "93", "tolerance": 0.05, "quote": "Chief Minister Pushkar Singh Dhami has approved financial sanctions worth around ₹93 crore for infrastructure, tourism, connectivity, renewable energy and police housing projects across Uttarakhand.", "quote_doc_id": "t_3bbb43f4104dc5ac3e90", "settling_ids": ["t_3bbb43f4104dc5ac3e90", "t_332807996f356d009fb8"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Pushkar Singh Dhami", "Uttarakhand"]}
{"id": "e_3d9597fa0146_q0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "How much investment will be attracted into Zimbabwe's lithium value chain by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "more than $1bn", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "USD", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 5, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_3d9597fa0146", "event_date": "2026-07-26", "supporting_event": "The government restricted exports of unprocessed strategic minerals, including lithium.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_3d9597fa", "storyline": "Zimbabwe mineral export policy changes", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_347d28bc1e3c81b84826", "t_fb45528d897330c5be1f"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "more than $1bn", "tolerance": null, "quote": "The policy has attracted more than $1bn in investment into Zimbabwe’s lithium value chain", "quote_doc_id": "t_3d9597fa0146966a9cf4", "settling_ids": ["t_3d9597fa0146966a9cf4", "t_68dd119c7ae5c2523a07"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Zimbabwe", "lithium"]}
{"id": "e_3e4f2b3bf1fa_q0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "By 2026-08-04, how will Senate Republicans proceed with the SAVE America Act?", "options": ["abandon the SAVE America Act", "unanimously support the SAVE America Act", "remain divided over how to proceed with the SAVE America Act", "pass the SAVE America Act without amendments"], "answer": "remain divided over how to proceed with the SAVE America Act", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 10, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_3e4f2b3bf1fa", "event_date": "2026-07-31", "supporting_event": "Senate Republicans remain divided over how to proceed with the SAVE America Act.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_3e4f2b3b", "storyline": "SAVE America Act legislative process", "linked_domains": ["Geopolitics", "Law", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_c0349b8c7311167d19ae", "t_6513372e785d062420ff", "t_c94c27b58b4d4b29d672", "t_ef6106d98bb14b84fe3f"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "remain divided over how to proceed with the SAVE America Act", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Senate Republicans remain divided over how to proceed with the SAVE America Act", "quote_doc_id": "t_3e4f2b3bf1fa5638d61f", "settling_ids": ["t_3e4f2b3bf1fa5638d61f", "t_73cb5e363c5f69faa4ad", "t_97d0ef02132a5a622681", "t_165b4a19e76dd2a30e2b"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Senate Republicans", "Donald Trump", "John Thune", "Mike Lee", "Rick Scott"]}
{"id": "e_3e85438396e2_q1", "domain": "Politics", "question": "Will Todd Blanche be confirmed with a Senate vote margin of less than 3 by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "numeric_threshold", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 21, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_3e85438396e2", "event_date": "2026-08-11", "supporting_event": "Todd Blanche was sworn in as attorney general after a bruising confirmation fight.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_3e854383", "storyline": "US Attorney General appointment process", "linked_domains": ["Geopolitics", "Law", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_2007ab8c6781f6bea125", "t_71f6f11f559f65f24099", "t_c4918c7db9c77a439619"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_threshold", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Blanche was confirmed in a 50-49 vote", "quote_doc_id": "t_3e85438396e288543917", "settling_ids": ["t_3e85438396e288543917", "t_9703fb604c62c3f8bbb8", "t_34d264c1a50bf388ab53", "t_6cd57d3f4e0fed8ee218"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Todd Blanche", "Emil Bove", "Justice Department", "Donald Trump"]}
{"id": "e_3f2f46c2a27c_q0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "How many days will it take for Dharmendra Pradhan to resign from his position as Union Education Minister after the protests began by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "26", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "days", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 4, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_3f2f46c2a27c", "event_date": "2026-07-25", "supporting_event": "Dharmendra Pradhan resigned from his position as Union Education Minister on July 25, 2026.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_1efdd3cd", "storyline": "NEET-UG protests", "linked_domains": ["Geopolitics", "Law"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_63a439cd947830023af2", "t_041bb07b2e11a8d9d7cc", "t_16eaea64c4f7ecc7d0b7", "t_7616077be61e5e170e1e"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "26", "tolerance": 0.05, "quote": "a 26-day hunger strike led by activist Sonam Wangchuk", "quote_doc_id": "t_0e455158511632dc54d1", "settling_ids": ["t_3f2f46c2a27cdcb75a13", "t_0e455158511632dc54d1", "t_5db17fea9ed7042dfb8f", "t_673b58975bb72103d889"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Dharmendra Pradhan", "Cockroach Janata Party"]}
{"id": "e_41c07f6bf48f_q0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "Who will warn of an unsustainable situation for children left in Ceuta after the migrant rush by 2026-08-11?", "options": ["Miguel Angel Perez", "Juan Jesus Vivas", "A charity representative", "A local resident"], "answer": "Juan Jesus Vivas", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 15, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_41c07f6bf48f", "event_date": "2026-08-05", "supporting_event": "Juan Jesus Vivas warned of an unsustainable situation for the 1,100 children left in Ceuta after the migrant rush.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_0da3da31", "storyline": "2026 Ceuta migrant crisis", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Geopolitics", "Law", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_2899e6452f0d35e53159", "t_7aa8efddb1046f9d4917", "t_67caaed3f7add8e003e5"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "Juan Jesus Vivas", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Ceuta’s leader Juan Jesus Vivas told public broadcaster RTVE that the authorities were taking care of 1,100 migrant minors", "quote_doc_id": "t_41c07f6bf48f628d64ed", "settling_ids": ["t_41c07f6bf48f628d64ed", "t_3a33ceb85bd8df4b8c59"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Juan Jesus Vivas", "Ceuta", "Spain", "Morocco"]}
{"id": "e_41d563d02b68_i0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "How many migrants return to Morocco by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "70000", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 11, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_41d563d02b68", "event_date": "2026-08-01", "supporting_event": "Spain returned 70,000 migrants to Morocco following a mass border crossing into Ceuta.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_0da3da31", "storyline": "2026 Ceuta migrant crisis", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Geopolitics", "Law", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_7aa8efddb1046f9d4917", "t_571f5b511b3cfb5023b3", "t_1e72634c2aa4ed5048eb", "t_67caaed3f7add8e003e5"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "70000", "tolerance": null, "quote": "A group of migrants make their way back to Morocco from a short-stay centre towards the border post, escorted by Spanish infantry soldiers, in the Spain's north African enclave of Ceuta, on Sunday. Photograph: Henry Nicholls/AFP via Getty Images", "quote_doc_id": "i_41d563d02b68039a3aa6_1", "settling_ids": ["t_41d563d02b68039a3aa6", "t_115b8e29f983d17d3eba", "t_b4208264cd3c7fbc3dbb", "t_7dc2c0ce965052d5e013", "t_75a99fbc1b04b8c197aa", "t_5d2c525855aa5fbe5d86"], "visible_detail": "the number of migrants returning to Morocco"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Spain", "Morocco", "Ceuta"]}
{"id": "e_41d563d02b68_q2", "domain": "Politics", "question": "How many people will have crossed into Ceuta from Morocco by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "50,000", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "people", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 11, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_41d563d02b68", "event_date": "2026-08-01", "supporting_event": "Spain returned 70,000 migrants to Morocco following a mass border crossing into Ceuta.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_0da3da31", "storyline": "2026 Ceuta migrant crisis", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Geopolitics", "Law", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_7aa8efddb1046f9d4917", "t_571f5b511b3cfb5023b3", "t_1e72634c2aa4ed5048eb", "t_67caaed3f7add8e003e5"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "50,000", "tolerance": 0.05, "quote": "more than 50,000 people crossed into the Spanish territory from Morocco", "quote_doc_id": "t_41d563d02b68039a3aa6", "settling_ids": ["t_41d563d02b68039a3aa6", "t_7dc2c0ce965052d5e013", "t_115b8e29f983d17d3eba", "t_b4208264cd3c7fbc3dbb"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Spain", "Morocco", "Ceuta"]}
{"id": "e_42189fbdc17e_q0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "How many votes will Dr. Erica Schwartz receive for her confirmation as director of the CDC by 2026-08-11?", "options": ["52", "51", "49", "50"], "answer": "51", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": "votes", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 15, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_42189fbdc17e", "event_date": "2026-08-05", "supporting_event": "Dr. Erica Schwartz was confirmed as director of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention in a 51-44 vote.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_42189fbd", "storyline": "CDC leadership appointment", "linked_domains": ["Health"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_d24ab44f8f9c3f7b39d8", "t_7a769354990bcce0275f", "t_a78093b336279dfed1f8"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "51", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Schwartz was confirmed in a 51-44 vote.", "quote_doc_id": "t_42189fbdc17e228d4f49", "settling_ids": ["t_42189fbdc17e228d4f49", "t_fe15b2829b060ea4ed42", "t_3a81fbd78ac6c8a41af6", "t_31b98aff154489c8e7ce"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Dr. Erica Schwartz", "Centers for Disease Control and Prevention"]}
{"id": "e_454527dc5c77_i0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "What is the name of the new submarine fleet announced at the NATO summit by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "TX-15", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 5, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_454527dc5c77", "event_date": "2026-07-26", "supporting_event": "Lt.-Gen. Jamie Speiser-Blanchet noted an increase in RCAF pilots' flight times due to a boost in defence spending.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_454527dc", "storyline": "RCAF modernization efforts", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_13e22d1e7eb7580456a7", "t_705f15006768259a07ed", "t_8fbfcc7c5d3255aaa37d"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "TX-15", "tolerance": null, "quote": "RELATED: Carney touts defence spend achievement with new submarine fleet at NATO summit – Jul 7, 2026", "quote_doc_id": "i_454527dc5c778eb7284a_1", "settling_ids": ["t_454527dc5c778eb7284a", "t_0320187ee103bf1d46dd", "t_7ed0f7670874c87000cd"], "visible_detail": "the name on the plaque being held"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Royal Canadian Air Force", "Lt.-Gen. Jamie Speiser-Blanchet"]}
{"id": "e_454527dc5c77_q2", "domain": "Politics", "question": "How many new aircrew training fleets will the RCAF acquire by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "5", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 5, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_454527dc5c77", "event_date": "2026-07-26", "supporting_event": "Lt.-Gen. Jamie Speiser-Blanchet noted an increase in RCAF pilots' flight times due to a boost in defence spending.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_454527dc", "storyline": "RCAF modernization efforts", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_13e22d1e7eb7580456a7", "t_705f15006768259a07ed", "t_8fbfcc7c5d3255aaa37d"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "5", "tolerance": null, "quote": "five new aircrew training fleets.", "quote_doc_id": "t_454527dc5c778eb7284a", "settling_ids": ["t_454527dc5c778eb7284a", "t_0320187ee103bf1d46dd", "t_7ed0f7670874c87000cd"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Royal Canadian Air Force", "Lt.-Gen. Jamie Speiser-Blanchet"]}
{"id": "e_45e6db48099b_q1", "domain": "Politics", "question": "How many paper leaks will Akhilesh Yadav allege occurred during the last decade of BJP governance by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "20", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 7, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_45e6db48099b", "event_date": "2026-07-28", "supporting_event": "Akhilesh Yadav criticized the government for its handling of NEET paper leaks during a debate in Parliament.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_45e6db48", "storyline": "Debate on anti-paper leak Bill in Lok Sabha", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_71cbd8d578e40c933b1d", "t_4939560db8fe699fb14a"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "20", "tolerance": 0.05, "quote": "Akhilesh Yadav, along with party MPs, on Tuesday held a protest against the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), alleging that more than 20 paper leaks occurred during the last decade of their governance.", "quote_doc_id": "t_a0db615e5d4dcdad75ac", "settling_ids": ["t_45e6db48099be92617b9", "t_abe9a81d8dc30159c89b", "t_a0db615e5d4dcdad75ac", "t_7999219cfe83dc3f91d8"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Akhilesh Yadav", "Bharatiya Janata Party", "NEET"]}
{"id": "e_4681dd83f24c_i0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "How many individuals are in the line by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "approximately 50", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 14, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_4681dd83f24c", "event_date": "2026-08-04", "supporting_event": "Spanish Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez faced criticism over his migration policies during an EU meeting.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_0da3da31", "storyline": "2026 Ceuta migrant crisis", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Geopolitics", "Law", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_02ed41347d2bd797f39d", "t_cb7d7632a168eb1d1e9d", "t_67caaed3f7add8e003e5"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "approximately 50", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_2e08032441c7ee6cdef0_0", "settling_ids": ["t_2e08032441c7ee6cdef0", "t_4681dd83f24c43d17e46", "t_e82337bb408209504df6", "t_f379d1170c2a60c1df17"], "visible_detail": "a line of individuals waiting on the beach"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Pedro Sánchez", "European Union", "Ceuta"]}
{"id": "e_47211c7895ae_i0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "What specific demands or issues are highlighted on the banners and placards by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "CID JSSC CGL", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 20, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_47211c7895ae", "event_date": "2026-08-10", "supporting_event": "Jharkhand police used water cannons and tear gas against protesters marching towards the Jharkhand Assembly.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_47211c78", "storyline": "Jharkhand recruitment protests", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_a5a190be60afd003dde6", "t_0ce4bddfb9fa255263ec", "t_3fdc3470a3f791d0be86", "t_b6f770dd02f30e706880"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "CID JSSC CGL", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_47211c7895aecddb8f54_0", "settling_ids": ["t_47211c7895aecddb8f54", "t_e6b60e91a81331406793", "t_8cd90efdc7341f406b97", "t_91834fd7273bb3db9211", "t_9440143d639489d8c264", "t_12e2b86d7fcb9af08074"], "visible_detail": "banners and placards held by protesters"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Jharkhand police", "Jharkhand Assembly"]}
{"id": "e_47f43fdb848c_q1", "domain": "Politics", "question": "How many military personnel will Spain deploy to reinforce police in Ceuta by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "60", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "personnel", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 9, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_47f43fdb848c", "event_date": "2026-07-30", "supporting_event": "Spain deployed military units to reinforce police in Ceuta.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_0da3da31", "storyline": "2026 Ceuta migrant crisis", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Geopolitics", "Law", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_2899e6452f0d35e53159", "t_7aa8efddb1046f9d4917", "t_67caaed3f7add8e003e5"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "60", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the Spanish government said it had deployed 200 specialised police officers and 60 military personnel from mainland Spain to reinforce security in Ceuta.", "quote_doc_id": "t_47f43fdb848cde0f9b4b", "settling_ids": ["t_47f43fdb848cde0f9b4b", "t_bf0d459bbdb52c19ff7e", "t_9dc084f644262b4e1428", "t_a615e98b50611276e347"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Spain", "Ceuta", "Morocco"]}
{"id": "e_48ddf42eb97a_q1", "domain": "Politics", "question": "Who will be sworn in as the new chief minister of Negeri Sembilan by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "Ismail Lasim", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 12, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_48ddf42eb97a", "event_date": "2026-08-02", "supporting_event": "Ismail Lasim has been sworn in as the new chief minister of Negeri Sembilan.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_124bddc6", "storyline": "2026 Negeri Sembilan state election", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_26ce143ca8a41f63eac1", "t_d917ccdff314c296ebca", "t_86277d5c23c574c1523b"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "Ismail Lasim", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Ismail Lasim sworn in as new Negeri Sembilan chief minister", "quote_doc_id": "t_48ddf42eb97ae33d9087", "settling_ids": ["t_48ddf42eb97ae33d9087", "t_124bddc69e8f1cab7728", "t_d6a7086b583ac6f09da5"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Ismail Lasim", "Negeri Sembilan", "UMNO", "Yang di-Pertuan Besar Muhriz Munawir"]}
{"id": "e_4930ac204161_d0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "What is the proposed effective date for the new routine uses by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "October 5, 2026", "answer_type": "date", "unit": null, "modality_required": "D", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 12, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_4930ac204161", "event_date": "2026-08-02", "supporting_event": "India moved a step closer to reintroducing merchant fees on transactions made through its popular Unified Payments Interface (UPI).", "storyline_id": "s_pol_4930ac20", "storyline": "India's payment system reform", "linked_domains": ["Business"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_134382b774ea3846800a", "t_accd5391410f5949e52d", "t_070f643a108eecd4219f"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "date", "value": "October 5, 2026", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the new routine uses become effective on October 5, 2026", "quote_doc_id": "d_11d2ad903ff1d553cd4e", "settling_ids": ["d_11d2ad903ff1d553cd4e", "t_4930ac2041610187c825", "t_f83c761090c4cc7c9ad9"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["India", "Unified Payments Interface", "Nirmala Sitharaman"]}
{"id": "e_4930ac204161_q1", "domain": "Politics", "question": "How many transactions will UPI process in July 2026 by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "23.6 billion", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "billion", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 12, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_4930ac204161", "event_date": "2026-08-02", "supporting_event": "India moved a step closer to reintroducing merchant fees on transactions made through its popular Unified Payments Interface (UPI).", "storyline_id": "s_pol_4930ac20", "storyline": "India's payment system reform", "linked_domains": ["Business"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_134382b774ea3846800a", "t_accd5391410f5949e52d", "t_070f643a108eecd4219f"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "23.6 billion", "tolerance": 0.1, "quote": "UPI, one of the world's largest real-time payments networks, processed 23.6 billion transactions worth 29.9 trillion rupees ($313.5 billion) in July", "quote_doc_id": "t_4930ac2041610187c825", "settling_ids": ["t_4930ac2041610187c825", "t_f83c761090c4cc7c9ad9", "d_11d2ad903ff1d553cd4e"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["India", "Unified Payments Interface", "Nirmala Sitharaman"]}
{"id": "e_498283c15bcd_q1", "domain": "Politics", "question": "Who will clarify the application of the Merchant Discount Rate (MDR) by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "Nirmala Sitharaman", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 16, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_498283c15bcd", "event_date": "2026-08-06", "supporting_event": "Nirmala Sitharaman clarified that any Merchant Discount Rate (MDR) would apply only to merchants and not to customers.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_498283c1", "storyline": "Taxation and other Laws Amendment 2026", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_134382b774ea3846800a", "t_accd5391410f5949e52d", "t_070f643a108eecd4219f"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "Nirmala Sitharaman", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman on Thursday slammed Congress leader Jairam Ramesh over his claim that the government was paving the way to impose charges on all UPI transactions.", "quote_doc_id": "t_498283c15bcd13b1e32d", "settling_ids": ["t_498283c15bcd13b1e32d", "t_f4f95e636a677a4da7de", "t_d68e8ce455cb93e1e2df", "t_be01c5e7bf81583e96fa"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Nirmala Sitharaman", "Jairam Ramesh"]}
{"id": "e_498283c15bcd_q2", "domain": "Politics", "question": "Will the Merchant Discount Rate (MDR) apply to customers by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "No", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 16, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_498283c15bcd", "event_date": "2026-08-06", "supporting_event": "Nirmala Sitharaman clarified that any Merchant Discount Rate (MDR) would apply only to merchants and not to customers.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_498283c1", "storyline": "Taxation and other Laws Amendment 2026", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_134382b774ea3846800a", "t_accd5391410f5949e52d", "t_070f643a108eecd4219f"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "No", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Merchant Discount Rate (MDR) applies only on the merchants and not on the end users/customers.", "quote_doc_id": "t_498283c15bcd13b1e32d", "settling_ids": ["t_498283c15bcd13b1e32d", "t_f4f95e636a677a4da7de", "t_d68e8ce455cb93e1e2df", "t_be01c5e7bf81583e96fa"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Nirmala Sitharaman", "Jairam Ramesh"]}
{"id": "e_4a23605eced7_q0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "How many cusecs of water will Karnataka be required to release to Tamil Nadu by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "3500", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "cusecs", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 9, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_4a23605eced7", "event_date": "2026-07-30", "supporting_event": "Karnataka was directed to release 3,500 cusecs of water per day to Tamil Nadu.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_4a23605e", "storyline": "Cauvery water dispute", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_6780dd69205e8686a46a", "t_abdde37b82a9b1865591", "t_3630573176ddb9cb7ec2", "t_112a37020668d2d0c3ec"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "3500", "tolerance": 0.05, "quote": "Karnataka to release 3,500 cusecs daily for 15 days", "quote_doc_id": "t_4a23605eced7e87af484", "settling_ids": ["t_4a23605eced7e87af484", "t_3df92159bfe24db935d6", "t_8d8750dc1a48b8b00f25", "t_34fafd6ccd44facc0c80"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Karnataka", "Tamil Nadu", "Cauvery Water Management Authority", "Cauvery Water Regulation Committee"]}
{"id": "e_4ad8e89edad2_q1", "domain": "Politics", "question": "How many Kendriya Vidyalayas will be functioning without a regular principal by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "344", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "schools", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 10, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_4ad8e89edad2", "event_date": "2026-07-31", "supporting_event": "Nearly one in four Kendriya Vidyalayas across India is functioning without a regular principal.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_4ad8e89e", "storyline": "Kendriya Vidyalaya leadership status report", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_d0479c2b218b362d34bd", "t_8e72577ffa510cec9609"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "344", "tolerance": 0.05, "quote": "344 schools, or about one in four, are currently being run without a full-time principal", "quote_doc_id": "t_4ad8e89edad27dccbc2e", "settling_ids": ["t_4ad8e89edad27dccbc2e", "t_7e121d7439de4d3172ce"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Kendriya Vidyalayas", "Ministry of Education"]}
{"id": "e_4bacdf036034_q0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "How many days will the JD(S) padayatra against the Greater Bengaluru Integrated Township (GBIT) project last by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "3", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "days", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 20, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_4bacdf036034", "event_date": "2026-08-10", "supporting_event": "H D Deve Gowda joined the JD(S) padayatra against the Greater Bengaluru Integrated Township (GBIT) project.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_4bacdf03", "storyline": "JD(S) protest against GBIT", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Health"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_2b16330107a685678e02", "t_d131a6fc64748508d2ed", "t_a5ebeb4bb518ee5710c8"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "3", "tolerance": 0.1, "quote": "The three-day march, however, was cut short after authorities denied it permission to enter Bengaluru.", "quote_doc_id": "t_4bacdf036034cf749481", "settling_ids": ["t_4bacdf036034cf749481", "t_fa3626a49305e9f87ec6"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["H D Deve Gowda", "JD(S)", "Greater Bengaluru Integrated Township", "Bengaluru"]}
{"id": "e_4f05e6763739_q0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "Will the government be ready to send the Foreign Contribution (Regulation) Amendment Bill, 2026 to a Joint Parliamentary Committee (JPC) by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 21, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_4f05e6763739", "event_date": "2026-08-11", "supporting_event": "The government is ready to send the Foreign Contribution (Regulation) Amendment Bill, 2026 to a Joint Parliamentary Committee (JPC).", "storyline_id": "s_pol_4f05e676", "storyline": "FCRA Amendment Bill legislative process", "linked_domains": ["Business"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_267a8eea2064e4f7dadf", "t_b8bdc6264b5d241fd4c9"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the government is ready to send the Foreign Contribution (Regulation) Amendment Bill, 2026 to a Joint Parliamentary Committee (JPC)", "quote_doc_id": "t_fa8c4f1fd3c6206ac28a", "settling_ids": ["t_4f05e67637394bf553bf", "t_fa8c4f1fd3c6206ac28a", "t_d2c54767ec986371036a", "t_4217966b308bbb6df743"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["the government", "Foreign Contribution (Regulation) Amendment Bill, 2026", "Joint Parliamentary Committee"]}
{"id": "e_4f05e6763739_q0_neg", "domain": "Politics", "question": "Will the government be ready to send the Foreign Contribution (Regulation) Amendment Bill, 2026 to a Joint Parliamentary Committee (JPC) by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "No", "answer_type": "perturbed_binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 21, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_4f05e6763739", "event_date": "2026-08-11", "supporting_event": "The government is ready to send the Foreign Contribution (Regulation) Amendment Bill, 2026 to a Joint Parliamentary Committee (JPC).", "storyline_id": "s_pol_4f05e676", "storyline": "FCRA Amendment Bill legislative process", "linked_domains": ["Business"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_267a8eea2064e4f7dadf", "t_b8bdc6264b5d241fd4c9"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "perturbed_binary", "value": "No", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the government is ready to send the Foreign Contribution (Regulation) Amendment Bill, 2026 to a Joint Parliamentary Committee (JPC)", "quote_doc_id": "t_fa8c4f1fd3c6206ac28a", "settling_ids": ["t_4f05e67637394bf553bf", "t_fa8c4f1fd3c6206ac28a", "t_d2c54767ec986371036a", "t_4217966b308bbb6df743"], "derivation": "the event dated 2026-08-11 is after the shifted deadline 2026-08-04, so the claim is false at that deadline"}, "perturbation": {"field": "deadline", "original": "2026-08-11", "substituted": "2026-08-04", "v40_substituted": "2026-07-31"}, "paired_with": "e_4f05e6763739_q0", "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["the government", "Foreign Contribution (Regulation) Amendment Bill, 2026", "Joint Parliamentary Committee"]}
{"id": "e_4f05e6763739_q2", "domain": "Politics", "question": "Who will be leading the government's outreach to political parties regarding the Foreign Contribution (Regulation) Amendment Bill, 2026 by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "Kiren Rijiju", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 21, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_4f05e6763739", "event_date": "2026-08-11", "supporting_event": "The government is ready to send the Foreign Contribution (Regulation) Amendment Bill, 2026 to a Joint Parliamentary Committee (JPC).", "storyline_id": "s_pol_4f05e676", "storyline": "FCRA Amendment Bill legislative process", "linked_domains": ["Business"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_267a8eea2064e4f7dadf", "t_b8bdc6264b5d241fd4c9"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "Kiren Rijiju", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Parliamentary Affairs Minister Kiren Rijiju is leading the government's outreach to Opp", "quote_doc_id": "t_4f05e67637394bf553bf", "settling_ids": ["t_4f05e67637394bf553bf", "t_fa8c4f1fd3c6206ac28a", "t_d2c54767ec986371036a", "t_4217966b308bbb6df743"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["the government", "Foreign Contribution (Regulation) Amendment Bill, 2026", "Joint Parliamentary Committee"]}
{"id": "e_511a2a8e9a80_q0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "How many grams of powder will the Mumbai police driver threaten to plant on protesters by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "50", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "grams", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 2, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_511a2a8e9a80", "event_date": "2026-07-23", "supporting_event": "Mumbai Police ordered an enquiry against a police driver for threatening to frame protesters.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_511a2a8e", "storyline": "CJP protests in Mumbai", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_7fd74f06b38f527da676", "t_05b0107ef046e4540b3d", "t_c16fb772f5968ee99592"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "50", "tolerance": null, "quote": "I will directly plant 50 grams of powder in your pockets", "quote_doc_id": "t_ed50c3e4a4bbde6fb234", "settling_ids": ["t_511a2a8e9a807150f062", "t_ed50c3e4a4bbde6fb234", "t_14378803d73c178eda82"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Mumbai Police", "CJP"]}
{"id": "e_511a2a8e9a80_q1", "domain": "Politics", "question": "Who will the Mumbai Police order an enquiry against by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "a police driver", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 2, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_511a2a8e9a80", "event_date": "2026-07-23", "supporting_event": "Mumbai Police ordered an enquiry against a police driver for threatening to frame protesters.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_511a2a8e", "storyline": "CJP protests in Mumbai", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_7fd74f06b38f527da676", "t_05b0107ef046e4540b3d", "t_c16fb772f5968ee99592"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "a police driver", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Mumbai Police has ordered enquiry in the matter", "quote_doc_id": "t_14378803d73c178eda82", "settling_ids": ["t_511a2a8e9a807150f062", "t_ed50c3e4a4bbde6fb234", "t_14378803d73c178eda82"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Mumbai Police", "CJP"]}
{"id": "e_512da86723cb_i0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "What message is displayed on the placard held by a protester by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "Tunaomba amani ya kujenga Congo", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 7, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_512da86723cb", "event_date": "2026-07-28", "supporting_event": "Thousands of people rallied in the eastern Congolese cities of Goma and Bukavu to protest against proposed constitutional changes that could pave the way for President Felix Tshisekedi to run for a third term.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_512da867", "storyline": "2026 Congolese presidential term protests", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_a271a8d19697487a62d1", "t_7cfe19d32ba1ff2887ae", "t_21f6a79ad306f2f02d95", "t_22b2b957b0f81b084e14"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "Tunaomba amani ya kujenga Congo", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_512da86723cbb665db2f_0", "settling_ids": ["t_512da86723cbb665db2f", "t_3ab689c8357d57618e47"], "visible_detail": "a placard held by a protester"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["President Felix Tshisekedi", "Goma", "Bukavu", "AFC/M23"]}
{"id": "e_51f7d499ca40_q0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "How many questions will Anthony Fauci decline to answer at the Senate hearing by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "15", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "questions", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 8, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_51f7d499ca40", "event_date": "2026-07-29", "supporting_event": "Anthony Fauci declined to answer questions at a Senate hearing on July 29, invoking his Fifth Amendment rights.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_51f7d499", "storyline": "Senate hearing on COVID-19 origins", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_30a913c3b82afdfa2501", "t_c76992692fe87b75804e", "t_003b321610479a0856a8"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "15", "tolerance": 0, "quote": "Fauci declined to answer 15 questions from Paul, invoking his Fifth Amendment rights for each of them.", "quote_doc_id": "t_801afb2f33731755376d", "settling_ids": ["t_51f7d499ca40021d4708", "t_801afb2f33731755376d", "t_21fe7db4bd66f49983b4", "t_d0a9cff360d59f86921d", "a_d5040a71d99b6f01d261"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Anthony Fauci", "Rand Paul"]}
{"id": "e_52c4904fbaea_q0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "How many deaths attributed to the heat will be reported in South Korea by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "21", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "deaths", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 16, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_52c4904fbaea", "event_date": "2026-08-06", "supporting_event": "South Korean President Lee Jae Myung ordered an all-out response to the heatwave as deaths attributed to the heat rose to 21.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_52c4904f", "storyline": "South Korea heatwave response 2026", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Environment", "Geopolitics", "Health"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_b65968091c6cb0b9e061", "t_e9ccfee4bea027bb9d64"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "21", "tolerance": null, "quote": "as deaths attributed to the heat rose to 21.", "quote_doc_id": "t_52c4904fbaea3cf954f6", "settling_ids": ["t_52c4904fbaea3cf954f6", "t_bdafa92791e49b1b3fed", "t_891b6144dfc31f27540d"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Lee Jae Myung", "South Korea"]}
{"id": "e_52e37cc509df_q0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "Who will state the need for development at Gillman Barracks and Maju Forest to meet housing needs by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "Alvin Tan", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 14, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_52e37cc509df", "event_date": "2026-08-04", "supporting_event": "Alvin Tan stated that Gillman Barracks and Maju Forest need to be developed to meet housing needs.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_52e37cc5", "storyline": "Singapore housing development plans", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_62ddf541f8a8e5366cc1", "t_dac872fc37d24b45976f", "t_824447090f146a22109f"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "Alvin Tan", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Gillman Barracks, Maju Forest need to be developed to meet housing needs over next decade: Alvin Tan", "quote_doc_id": "t_52e37cc509df7cdb4040", "settling_ids": ["t_52e37cc509df7cdb4040", "t_4a1b59f070687ca7b441", "t_04aeba5fa87a95662649"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Alvin Tan", "Gillman Barracks", "Maju Forest", "Sunset Way"]}
{"id": "e_52e37cc509df_q1", "domain": "Politics", "question": "Will the plans for Gillman Barracks and Sunset Way be finalized by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "No", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 14, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_52e37cc509df", "event_date": "2026-08-04", "supporting_event": "Alvin Tan stated that Gillman Barracks and Maju Forest need to be developed to meet housing needs.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_52e37cc5", "storyline": "Singapore housing development plans", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_62ddf541f8a8e5366cc1", "t_dac872fc37d24b45976f", "t_824447090f146a22109f"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "No", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Tan reiterated in Parliament that plans for Gillman Barracks and Sunset Way 'have not been finalised'", "quote_doc_id": "t_52e37cc509df7cdb4040", "settling_ids": ["t_52e37cc509df7cdb4040", "t_4a1b59f070687ca7b441", "t_04aeba5fa87a95662649"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Alvin Tan", "Gillman Barracks", "Maju Forest", "Sunset Way"]}
{"id": "e_534a3751e716_q1", "domain": "Politics", "question": "Who will chair the 8th Pay Commission during its consultation phase by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "former Supreme Court Justice Ranjana Prakash Desai", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 1, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_534a3751e716", "event_date": "2026-07-22", "supporting_event": "The 8th Pay Commission has entered a crucial consultation phase.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_534a3751", "storyline": "8th Pay Commission discussions", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_b38eaba7f97d609e38cf", "t_90b0e79ecfe2b79774b9", "t_4f48030930638d73a058", "t_3a0e7eb162e61c00c926"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "former Supreme Court Justice Ranjana Prakash Desai", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Chaired by former Supreme Court Justice Ranjana Prakash Desai", "quote_doc_id": "t_534a3751e71641975a70", "settling_ids": ["t_534a3751e71641975a70", "t_5313a53969841978e3b0"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["the 8th Pay Commission", "Ranjana Prakash Desai", "Pankaj Jain"]}
{"id": "e_56024f118d7a_q2", "domain": "Politics", "question": "How many months did Mykhailo Fedorov serve as Defence Minister before his dismissal by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "6", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "months", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 8, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_56024f118d7a", "event_date": "2026-07-29", "supporting_event": "Mykhailo Fedorov was dismissed from his position as Defence Minister.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_56024f11", "storyline": "Ukraine military leadership changes 2026", "linked_domains": ["Geopolitics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_9893c31e0696acafbdc7", "t_ddaf680629b52b10f28f", "t_2e25f0e327466187e81c"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "6", "tolerance": 0.1, "quote": "Fedorov, who held office for six months", "quote_doc_id": "t_56024f118d7a380e875c", "settling_ids": ["t_56024f118d7a380e875c", "t_335759da88bc2af81c94", "t_e32a4de18973762bab5e"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Mykhailo Fedorov", "Volodymyr Zelensky", "National Security and Defense Council"]}
{"id": "e_5688f9212c77_q1", "domain": "Politics", "question": "How many entertainment venues will Bangkok authorities order to halt operations by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "79", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 7, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_5688f9212c77", "event_date": "2026-07-28", "supporting_event": "Bangkok authorities ordered 79 entertainment venues to halt operations.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_5688f921", "storyline": "Bangkok entertainment venue safety inspections", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_1d192736ac71ce3b76ce", "t_4d4a47534a4814ea1120", "t_fcf681de6ca855e1712e", "t_9864a82829e528125e16"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "79", "tolerance": 0, "quote": "Bangkok authorities have ordered 79 entertainment venues and similar establishments to halt operations", "quote_doc_id": "t_5688f9212c772b5d8a90", "settling_ids": ["t_5688f9212c772b5d8a90", "t_80072f832199700e5894"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Bangkok authorities", "Bangkok"]}
{"id": "e_568949b041fd_i0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "What is the main message displayed on the banner at the protest led by Arvind Kejriwal by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "NATIONAL TOWNHALL AGAINST E20", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 14, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_568949b041fd", "event_date": "2026-08-04", "supporting_event": "Arvind Kejriwal led a protest against the E20 petrol policy on August 4, 2026.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_0817cdbd", "storyline": "E20 petrol policy protest", "linked_domains": ["Geopolitics", "Law"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_12b2f97328b2ea619165", "t_d3fa437f7515f41248a2", "t_188b94425f59b87a12e3", "t_90b80e34d93b5bcd7ccc"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "NATIONAL TOWNHALL AGAINST E20", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_568949b041fd87c34a3c_0", "settling_ids": ["t_568949b041fd87c34a3c", "t_5cc37b981f700b46fe6b", "t_0817cdbd75461eb6bebf", "t_f95fb2e3f1384d739b99", "t_9200306edc258d37152b", "t_8dbd0e42c6ecb2d251ee"], "visible_detail": "the banner stating 'NATIONAL TOWNHALL AGAINST E20'"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Arvind Kejriwal", "Aam Aadmi Party", "Prime Minister Narendra Modi", "E20 petrol policy"]}
{"id": "e_58033be6362c_i0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "What is the name of the facility associated with the extended contract by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "East Montana Detention Facility", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 6, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_58033be6362c", "event_date": "2026-07-27", "supporting_event": "U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement extends the no-bid contract for Camp East Montana detention center at a potential additional cost of $776 million.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_58033be6", "storyline": "ICE detention center contract extensions", "linked_domains": ["Law"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_705267ba86cdb573c0b3", "t_fdf28dae8b4dbd59d65b", "t_843fce7c6fe508c14486", "t_fa3370705b0272c3926f"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "East Montana Detention Facility", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_58033be6362c34f06ca2_0", "settling_ids": ["t_58033be6362c34f06ca2", "t_c529e45844c1c5c199e2", "t_dc24c63862de7c53d225", "t_9fb889564a147261f342"], "visible_detail": "the sign indicating the East Montana Detention Facility"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement", "Camp East Montana", "Amentum Services Inc.", "El Paso, Texas"]}
{"id": "e_58033be6362c_q0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "What is the potential additional cost of the extended no-bid contract for Camp East Montana detention center by 2026-07-28?", "options": ["$500 million", "$776 million", "$1 billion", "$300 million"], "answer": "$776 million", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 6, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_58033be6362c", "event_date": "2026-07-27", "supporting_event": "U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement extends the no-bid contract for Camp East Montana detention center at a potential additional cost of $776 million.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_58033be6", "storyline": "ICE detention center contract extensions", "linked_domains": ["Law"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_705267ba86cdb573c0b3", "t_fdf28dae8b4dbd59d65b", "t_843fce7c6fe508c14486", "t_fa3370705b0272c3926f"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "$776 million", "tolerance": null, "quote": "at a potential additional cost to taxpayers of $776 million, the notice says.", "quote_doc_id": "t_c529e45844c1c5c199e2", "settling_ids": ["t_58033be6362c34f06ca2", "t_c529e45844c1c5c199e2", "t_dc24c63862de7c53d225", "t_9fb889564a147261f342"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement", "Camp East Montana", "Amentum Services Inc.", "El Paso, Texas"]}
{"id": "e_5912f0ce140f_i0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "What is the name of the trophy awarded at the event by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "the National Championship trophy", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 11, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_5912f0ce140f", "event_date": "2026-08-01", "supporting_event": "The Big Ten and SEC agreed Friday night to support the Protect College Sports Act.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_1239839f", "storyline": "Protect College Sports Act legislative process", "linked_domains": ["Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_8628c538771cb88dc030", "t_fe4614646fa9857be8f1", "t_49008e495ef1b38e650b", "t_22b32812f8a2446998d1", "t_fb9a91b4ba4a79eec8f4"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "the National Championship trophy", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_5912f0ce140f72c283d8_0", "settling_ids": ["t_5912f0ce140f72c283d8", "t_09f832793df0aa46347c", "t_1239839fddbdb9056592", "t_2418c59a2f6d13048b8e", "t_93e28cfa18260443f203", "t_ecf08595f2a00a488757"], "visible_detail": "the trophies displayed on the table"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Big Ten", "SEC", "Protect College Sports Act"]}
{"id": "e_5912f0ce140f_q0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "How many votes will the Protect College Sports Act need to halt debate and head to an up-or-down vote before the Senate heads for summer break by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "60", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 11, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_5912f0ce140f", "event_date": "2026-08-01", "supporting_event": "The Big Ten and SEC agreed Friday night to support the Protect College Sports Act.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_1239839f", "storyline": "Protect College Sports Act legislative process", "linked_domains": ["Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_8628c538771cb88dc030", "t_fe4614646fa9857be8f1", "t_49008e495ef1b38e650b", "t_22b32812f8a2446998d1", "t_fb9a91b4ba4a79eec8f4"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "60", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the bill still has a chance to earn the 60 votes it needs to halt debate and head to an up-or-down vote before the Senate heads for summer break next Friday.", "quote_doc_id": "t_1239839fddbdb9056592", "settling_ids": ["t_5912f0ce140f72c283d8", "t_1239839fddbdb9056592", "t_2418c59a2f6d13048b8e", "t_93e28cfa18260443f203"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Big Ten", "SEC", "Protect College Sports Act"]}
{"id": "e_5bca7f077dcd_d0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "What is the effective date for the mandatory electronic filing rule by 2026-08-11", "options": null, "answer": "August 11, 2026", "answer_type": "date", "unit": null, "modality_required": "D", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 21, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_5bca7f077dcd", "event_date": "2026-08-11", "supporting_event": "The US will soon require online applications for a range of immigration benefits, including green cards, citizenship and asylum.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_5bca7f07", "storyline": "USCIS electronic filing mandate", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_7feb11a73175c4055398", "t_ff73480fb59b7f11e4c8", "t_145c3c86e4329009db3d"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "date", "value": "August 11, 2026", "tolerance": null, "quote": "This IFR is effective August 11, 2026.", "quote_doc_id": "d_5bca7f077dcd248b8a5c", "settling_ids": ["d_5bca7f077dcd248b8a5c", "d_5bca7f077dcd248b8a5c", "t_938b557f7abb5169fe8e", "t_e900ac6afe7fc952dbe2", "t_11bc573996448a7987f0"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services"]}
{"id": "e_5d7106bf32cf_q1", "domain": "Politics", "question": "How many travellers crossed the Woodlands and Tuas checkpoints on June 19, 2026, by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "598000", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "travellers", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 13, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_5d7106bf32cf", "event_date": "2026-08-03", "supporting_event": "The Immigration and Checkpoints Authority (ICA) issued a travel advisory on very heavy traffic expected at the Woodlands and Tuas checkpoints.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_5d7106bf", "storyline": "National Day travel advisory 2026", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_1c5e3814e318d5e9546d", "t_096cf2657481a0fc3455"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "598000", "tolerance": 0.05, "quote": "more than 598,000 travellers cleared immigration using the two checkpoints on June 19", "quote_doc_id": "t_5d7106bf32cf0d1cc60d", "settling_ids": ["t_5d7106bf32cf0d1cc60d", "t_995465c9133f03d4fe88", "t_5931efb5f3e842afee71", "t_fc846072d6fe4e06cf02"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Immigration and Checkpoints Authority", "Woodlands checkpoint", "Tuas checkpoint"]}
{"id": "e_6083a94f6055_q0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "Who will lead the student protesters in the Vidhan Sabha Gherao march in Ranchi by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "Ravindra Paswan", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 20, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_6083a94f6055", "event_date": "2026-08-10", "supporting_event": "Student protesters held a Vidhan Sabha Gherao march in Ranchi on August 10.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_27df293d", "storyline": "ABVP support for student movements against examination irregularities", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Environment"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_837f5b94aa2cac7ed5d1", "t_3fdc3470a3f791d0be86", "t_438ac4ac7d0e59d21292", "t_a8fbe1b9f91e1e920d9f", "t_f09410fa6526b89f60b3"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "Ravindra Paswan", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Speaking to ANI, Paswan said, \"A march to the Vidhan Sabha and a gherao will be conducted in a peaceful and constitutional manner.\"", "quote_doc_id": "t_815d4a9dbafe6fe18fad", "settling_ids": ["t_6083a94f605548a0e90e", "t_815d4a9dbafe6fe18fad", "t_315f503c1220c65baa4c", "t_157cede5428dff9c16c4"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Jharkhand", "Jharkhand Public Service Commission", "Jharkhand Staff Selection Commission"]}
{"id": "e_6083a94f6055_q1", "domain": "Politics", "question": "What will be one of the key demands of the student protesters during the Vidhan Sabha Gherao march by 2026-08-11?", "options": ["CBI inquiry into alleged irregularities", "Increase in student scholarships", "Immediate resignation of the Chief Minister", "Reduction of tuition fees"], "answer": "CBI inquiry into alleged irregularities", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 20, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_6083a94f6055", "event_date": "2026-08-10", "supporting_event": "Student protesters held a Vidhan Sabha Gherao march in Ranchi on August 10.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_27df293d", "storyline": "ABVP support for student movements against examination irregularities", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Environment"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_837f5b94aa2cac7ed5d1", "t_3fdc3470a3f791d0be86", "t_438ac4ac7d0e59d21292", "t_a8fbe1b9f91e1e920d9f", "t_f09410fa6526b89f60b3"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "CBI inquiry into alleged irregularities", "tolerance": null, "quote": "They insisted on their demand for a probe by the Central Bureau of Investigation (CBI) into the alleged irregularities in Jharkhand Public Service Commission (JPSC) and Jharkhand Staff Selection Commission (JSSC) examinations.", "quote_doc_id": "t_6083a94f605548a0e90e", "settling_ids": ["t_6083a94f605548a0e90e", "t_815d4a9dbafe6fe18fad", "t_315f503c1220c65baa4c", "t_157cede5428dff9c16c4"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Jharkhand", "Jharkhand Public Service Commission", "Jharkhand Staff Selection Commission"]}
{"id": "e_63b791a96db4_q1", "domain": "Politics", "question": "On what date will the Confederation of African Football's Executive Committee confirm its support for FIFA president Gianni Infantino by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "2026-08-06", "answer_type": "date", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 16, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_63b791a96db4", "event_date": "2026-08-06", "supporting_event": "The Confederation of African Football's Executive Committee unanimously confirmed its support for FIFA president Gianni Infantino.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_63b791a9", "storyline": "FIFA presidential election 2027", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_f70a06ee025eb0055342", "t_c6c12a86fbee622792aa"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "date", "value": "2026-08-06", "tolerance": 1, "quote": "The Confederation of African Football’s Executive Committee unanimously confirmed its support for beleaguered FIFA president Gianni Infantino on Aug 6.", "quote_doc_id": "t_63b791a96db4b998c90a", "settling_ids": ["t_63b791a96db4b998c90a", "t_d3c5fd60eb452fe11d29"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Gianni Infantino", "Confederation of African Football", "CAF"]}
{"id": "e_63b791a96db4_q2", "domain": "Politics", "question": "How many member associations does the Confederation of African Football represent that could support FIFA president Gianni Infantino by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "54", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 16, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_63b791a96db4", "event_date": "2026-08-06", "supporting_event": "The Confederation of African Football's Executive Committee unanimously confirmed its support for FIFA president Gianni Infantino.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_63b791a9", "storyline": "FIFA presidential election 2027", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_f70a06ee025eb0055342", "t_c6c12a86fbee622792aa"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "54", "tolerance": null, "quote": "CAF makes up 54 of FIFA’s 211 member associations, and is a powerful voting bloc that has largely supported Infantino since he took office in 2016.", "quote_doc_id": "t_63b791a96db4b998c90a", "settling_ids": ["t_63b791a96db4b998c90a", "t_d3c5fd60eb452fe11d29"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Gianni Infantino", "Confederation of African Football", "CAF"]}
{"id": "e_6997d030f1be_q0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "Will President Trump attend the dignified transfer ceremony for American military personnel by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 4, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_6997d030f1be", "event_date": "2026-07-25", "supporting_event": "President Trump attended the dignified transfer ceremony for American military personnel.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_6997d030", "storyline": "Dignified transfer ceremony for fallen soldiers", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Geopolitics", "Law"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_33664bd425d8c5331e96", "t_844af29eb3b44f74db08", "t_f78136b965e9aa613cfc"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "President Trump will attend the dignified transfer of our fallen heroes tomorrow evening at Dover Air Force Base", "quote_doc_id": "t_08992683589f218f39b5", "settling_ids": ["t_08992683589f218f39b5", "t_f466e607207d0813f104", "t_28d1a140c4d34b4702b8", "t_ee63dcb230637b103f86"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["President Trump", "Dover Air Force Base", "Iran"]}
{"id": "e_6da540f8d9d5_q0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "Will Opposition MPs protest against the alleged theft of donations at the Ram temple in Ayodhya and police excesses against student protesters by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 14, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_6da540f8d9d5", "event_date": "2026-08-04", "supporting_event": "Opposition MPs protested against the alleged theft of donations at the Ram temple in Ayodhya and police excesses against student protesters.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_6da540f8", "storyline": "Parliament protests August 2026", "linked_domains": ["Law"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_048c3e39891cdd6a1cb2", "t_bc4485ec1c1228ba6c34", "t_8d4d582c86707603ec21", "t_f74d723be4c723a7a861", "t_a01a5fa2beae60766502", "t_77f5bb2a1256d8937e43"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Opposition MPs, including Congress general secretary Priyanka Gandhi Vadra, protested in Parliament House complex against the alleged theft of donations at the Ram temple in Ayodhya and police excesses against student protesters.", "quote_doc_id": "t_6da540f8d9d5f645e970", "settling_ids": ["t_6da540f8d9d5f645e970", "t_7cf6d6dc18451cca3423", "t_48d8daab4faaa158d13a", "t_794819ba33707afc6f9c"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Opposition MPs", "Priyanka Gandhi Vadra", "Ram temple", "Ayodhya"]}
{"id": "e_6da540f8d9d5_q0_neg", "domain": "Politics", "question": "Will Opposition MPs protest against the alleged theft of donations at the Ram temple in Ayodhya and police excesses against student protesters by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "No", "answer_type": "perturbed_binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 14, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_6da540f8d9d5", "event_date": "2026-08-04", "supporting_event": "Opposition MPs protested against the alleged theft of donations at the Ram temple in Ayodhya and police excesses against student protesters.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_6da540f8", "storyline": "Parliament protests August 2026", "linked_domains": ["Law"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_048c3e39891cdd6a1cb2", "t_bc4485ec1c1228ba6c34", "t_8d4d582c86707603ec21", "t_f74d723be4c723a7a861", "t_a01a5fa2beae60766502", "t_77f5bb2a1256d8937e43"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "perturbed_binary", "value": "No", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Opposition MPs, including Congress general secretary Priyanka Gandhi Vadra, protested in Parliament House complex against the alleged theft of donations at the Ram temple in Ayodhya and police excesses against student protesters.", "quote_doc_id": "t_6da540f8d9d5f645e970", "settling_ids": ["t_6da540f8d9d5f645e970", "t_7cf6d6dc18451cca3423", "t_48d8daab4faaa158d13a", "t_794819ba33707afc6f9c"], "derivation": "the event dated 2026-08-04 is after the shifted deadline 2026-07-28, so the claim is false at that deadline"}, "perturbation": {"field": "deadline", "original": "2026-08-04", "substituted": "2026-07-28"}, "paired_with": "e_6da540f8d9d5_q0", "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Opposition MPs", "Priyanka Gandhi Vadra", "Ram temple", "Ayodhya"]}
{"id": "e_6dc00dbbf7dc_v0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "What are the names of the representatives introduced during the broadcast by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "Krishnamoorthi and Sessions", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "V", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 5, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_6dc00dbbf7dc", "event_date": "2026-07-26", "supporting_event": "Pete Crow-Armstrong recorded three RBI in his most recent game against the Pirates.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_6dc00dbb", "storyline": "2026 MLB season", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_32388c37ee4a28caccfe", "t_e34db9b9b00301629ddd", "t_55968fedfda62e5eb5e1", "t_a9263999b6b1084f9cad", "t_9e2e1428e3915c547aa7"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "Krishnamoorthi and Sessions", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Ceasefire Reps. Raja Krishnamoorthi & Pete Sessions", "quote_doc_id": "v_8a08998f430247822aca", "settling_ids": ["t_6dc00dbbf7dcc8f718d6", "t_5ddaa2907fac8205fb5a"], "visible_detail": "the names of the representatives introduced in the broadcast"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Pete Crow-Armstrong", "Chicago Cubs", "Pittsburgh Pirates"]}
{"id": "e_6e83ee3c187d_q1", "domain": "Politics", "question": "Who will be under pressure to respond to the increasing success of Chinese AI models by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "Donald Trump", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 3, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_6e83ee3c187d", "event_date": "2026-07-24", "supporting_event": "Donald Trump is under pressure to respond to the increasing success of Chinese AI models.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_6e83ee3c", "storyline": "Chinese AI market response", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Geopolitics", "Law", "Sports", "Technology"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_ef4fd293c5e0396d71fd", "t_88dd08f78177cdc288c2", "t_29effde4e770024e24f6", "t_6ad0f654b5c7409cc856", "t_03fd30a234e07bf5947c", "t_a6d1e8994a92876009e6"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "Donald Trump", "tolerance": null, "quote": "United States President Donald Trump is under pressure to respond to the increasing success of Chinese artificial intelligence models", "quote_doc_id": "t_6e83ee3c187d79173244", "settling_ids": ["t_6e83ee3c187d79173244", "t_631830a55c7ea6665088"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Donald Trump", "Chinese AI models", "Anthropic", "OpenAI"]}
{"id": "e_70eac68742ee_q0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva launch his reelection bid by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 12, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_70eac68742ee", "event_date": "2026-08-02", "supporting_event": "Brazil’s President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva launched his reelection bid on August 2, 2026.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_70eac687", "storyline": "2026 Brazilian presidential election", "linked_domains": ["Geopolitics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_b24ec7532dc336506696", "t_e1a45734c5647e595d63", "t_ba3dc422140e1e9cb75d", "t_f8954f3910f673c18ec1", "t_185866a55d2aec6073e0"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Brazil’s Lula launches reelection bid as concerns rise over foreign interference", "quote_doc_id": "t_70eac68742eea404d72c", "settling_ids": ["t_70eac68742eea404d72c", "t_5a98dae4ef9b5fb62378", "t_cfbe2f8f1436016419ec", "t_7f4086095a03250ed8e5"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva", "Workers' Party"]}
{"id": "e_70eac68742ee_q0_neg", "domain": "Politics", "question": "Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva launch his reelection bid by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "No", "answer_type": "perturbed_binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 12, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_70eac68742ee", "event_date": "2026-08-02", "supporting_event": "Brazil’s President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva launched his reelection bid on August 2, 2026.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_70eac687", "storyline": "2026 Brazilian presidential election", "linked_domains": ["Geopolitics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_b24ec7532dc336506696", "t_e1a45734c5647e595d63", "t_ba3dc422140e1e9cb75d", "t_f8954f3910f673c18ec1", "t_185866a55d2aec6073e0"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "perturbed_binary", "value": "No", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Brazil’s Lula launches reelection bid as concerns rise over foreign interference", "quote_doc_id": "t_70eac68742eea404d72c", "settling_ids": ["t_70eac68742eea404d72c", "t_5a98dae4ef9b5fb62378", "t_cfbe2f8f1436016419ec", "t_7f4086095a03250ed8e5"], "derivation": "the event dated 2026-08-02 is after the shifted deadline 2026-07-28, so the claim is false at that deadline"}, "perturbation": {"field": "deadline", "original": "2026-08-04", "substituted": "2026-07-28", "v40_substituted": "2026-07-27"}, "paired_with": "e_70eac68742ee_q0", "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva", "Workers' Party"]}
{"id": "e_713acf69a063_q0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "What will be the final vote count for Todd Blanche's confirmation as U.S. Attorney General by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "50", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 18, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_713acf69a063", "event_date": "2026-08-08", "supporting_event": "Todd Blanche was confirmed as U.S. Attorney General on a narrow 50-49 vote.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_713acf69", "storyline": "Confirmation of U.S. Attorney General", "linked_domains": ["Geopolitics", "Law", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_2007ab8c6781f6bea125", "a_7915ebe4031641bd781c", "t_c4918c7db9c77a439619", "t_c7e1fbf69c871554227b"], "precursor_modalities": ["A", "T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "50", "tolerance": 0.1, "quote": "Blanche was confirmed on a narrow 50-49 vote", "quote_doc_id": "t_713acf69a0633ba3d068", "settling_ids": ["t_713acf69a0633ba3d068", "t_00a7eabb224e86abfde2", "t_c4b16de519b69c5b8473", "t_398b263a2d1183fee566"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Todd Blanche", "Bill Cassidy", "Donald Trump"]}
{"id": "e_71480091da13_q1", "domain": "Politics", "question": "How many Akhil Bharatiya Vidyarthi Parishad (ABVP) workers will be detained outside the state Assembly in Ranchi by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "100", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "workers", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 21, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_71480091da13", "event_date": "2026-08-11", "supporting_event": "More than 100 Akhil Bharatiya Vidyarthi Parishad (ABVP) workers were detained outside the state Assembly in Ranchi.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_27df293d", "storyline": "ABVP support for student movements against examination irregularities", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Environment"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_7fd74f06b38f527da676", "t_32417f83ba4b5c9eac60", "t_a62f0aa83339d8d44707"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "100", "tolerance": null, "quote": "more than 100 Akhil Bharatiya Vidyarthi Parishad (ABVP) workers were detained outside the state Assembly", "quote_doc_id": "t_71480091da131e7f4b83", "settling_ids": ["t_71480091da131e7f4b83", "t_ef93e09f0bdc76e39692", "t_3a4ec4eb255efc009c79", "t_1be9f257b5cd2f30ef68"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Akhil Bharatiya Vidyarthi Parishad", "Jharkhand"]}
{"id": "e_730ba48512f9_q0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "How many nuclear-powered submarines will South Korea seek to build by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "3", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 8, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_730ba48512f9", "event_date": "2026-07-29", "supporting_event": "South Korea's Defence Ministry issued a public notice of a draft bill on nuclear-powered submarines.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_730ba485", "storyline": "South Korea nuclear submarine legislation", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Environment", "Geopolitics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_072796cd45a3797ae46f", "t_c3662da081304701ba71"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "3", "tolerance": 0.1, "quote": "the country seeks to build at least three 8,000-ton conventionally-armed nuclear-propelled attack submarines", "quote_doc_id": "t_0c7ccd4636c2d3b2fb33", "settling_ids": ["t_730ba48512f98b0d6453", "t_0c7ccd4636c2d3b2fb33"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["South Korea", "Defence Ministry"]}
{"id": "e_732fddb18a6d_q1", "domain": "Politics", "question": "On what date will Uddhav Thackeray's announced protest march take place by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "2026-07-26", "answer_type": "date", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 5, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_732fddb18a6d", "event_date": "2026-07-26", "supporting_event": "Uddhav Thackeray announced a joint protest march in Mumbai on July 26 against alleged police excesses and examination irregularities.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_1efdd3cd", "storyline": "NEET-UG protests", "linked_domains": ["Geopolitics", "Law"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_46ab9ee400d87d77d7f8", "t_a663817816ff17a354b2", "t_7fd74f06b38f527da676"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "date", "value": "2026-07-26", "tolerance": 1, "quote": "Uddhav Thackeray and Maharashtra Navnirman Sena (MNS) president Raj Thackeray on Thursday announced a joint protest march in Mumbai on July 26", "quote_doc_id": "t_732fddb18a6d32f9acba", "settling_ids": ["t_732fddb18a6d32f9acba", "t_4e100cf01922482b5048", "t_8fc4cf9f44f9ce3f1a1a", "t_31b6f115109747bec19e"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Uddhav Thackeray", "Raj Thackeray", "Shiv Sena (UBT)", "Maharashtra Navnirman Sena (MNS)"]}
{"id": "e_73cb5e363c5f_q1", "domain": "Politics", "question": "Who will champion the SAVE America Act by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "Donald Trump", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 9, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_73cb5e363c5f", "event_date": "2026-07-30", "supporting_event": "Donald Trump championed the SAVE America Act.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_73cb5e36", "storyline": "2026 Republican legislative agenda", "linked_domains": ["Geopolitics", "Law", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_6513372e785d062420ff", "t_e1ce1b09bd64b0ba04d0", "t_659fad44a7de7822653d"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "Donald Trump", "tolerance": null, "quote": "legislation championed by President Donald Trump that aims to ban mail-in ballots and require identification and proof of citizenship for voters.", "quote_doc_id": "t_3e4f2b3bf1fa5638d61f", "settling_ids": ["t_73cb5e363c5f69faa4ad", "t_3e4f2b3bf1fa5638d61f", "t_165b4a19e76dd2a30e2b", "t_fc91eba0c666827ea0df", "a_bbb6bd7df4b48ea97f99", "a_d6a8655fe1f78ebadb6e"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Donald Trump", "SAVE America Act"]}
{"id": "e_74291af99313_i0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "What position was Jay Clayton confirmed for by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "U.S. Spy Chief", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 7, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_74291af99313", "event_date": "2026-07-28", "supporting_event": "Jay Clayton was confirmed as the Director of National Intelligence by the US Senate.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_38ce5962", "storyline": "US Senate confirmation of intelligence chief", "linked_domains": ["Geopolitics", "Law", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_edb6b5a5e2772ad649e1", "t_527dc0c45ddd97e9b7a5", "t_06faf68cba130cf7b476", "t_ecdd3a379193f5e46e95", "t_74fb176971b2777e57ef"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "U.S. Spy Chief", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_74291af99313fda06bab_0", "settling_ids": ["t_74291af99313fda06bab", "t_c14293b8a6508fbd8d51", "t_183a8aaca612f2e82caf", "t_38ce5962c11f055263da"], "visible_detail": "the text stating 'CONFIRMED AS U.S. SPY CHIEF!'"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Jay Clayton", "Donald Trump", "US Senate"]}
{"id": "e_74c0c58a15cf_i0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "What is the price per liter of petrol blended with 20 percent ethanol (E20) by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "104.20", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 9, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_74c0c58a15cf", "event_date": "2026-07-30", "supporting_event": "Nitin Gadkari informed Parliament that petrol blended with 20 per cent ethanol (E20) can reduce fuel economy by 2 to 6 percent.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_74c0c58a", "storyline": "E20 petrol implementation", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_04870649cd56524490fa", "t_6086bb3485972c912a83", "t_74df00131fa96d04193b"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "104.20", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_9166d8d0e3706f9f2c12_0", "settling_ids": ["t_9166d8d0e3706f9f2c12", "t_74c0c58a15cf365268a9", "t_990c361247530c64a669", "t_b7b1f45f611edd02ce8c", "t_a20965539b69931a4cb5", "t_404249978fa2c9a8c4d3"], "visible_detail": "Rate: 104.20"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Nitin Gadkari", "Parliament"]}
{"id": "e_756efd044ebe_q1", "domain": "Politics", "question": "How many migrants will Spain report as having returned voluntarily from Ceuta by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "25000", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "people", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 10, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_756efd044ebe", "event_date": "2026-07-31", "supporting_event": "Spain reported that around 25,000 migrants who had crossed into Ceuta were already heading back voluntarily.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_0da3da31", "storyline": "2026 Ceuta migrant crisis", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Geopolitics", "Law", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_7aa8efddb1046f9d4917", "t_571f5b511b3cfb5023b3", "t_1e72634c2aa4ed5048eb", "t_67caaed3f7add8e003e5"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "25000", "tolerance": 0.05, "quote": "Spain's Interior Ministry said around 50,000 people had crossed the border since Thursday morning, and estimated that around 25,000 had already turned and gone back.", "quote_doc_id": "t_756efd044ebec697d6e2", "settling_ids": ["t_756efd044ebec697d6e2", "t_7b6a79b329d6f68ff109", "t_1d1308495bdce4fc0f76", "t_7cd85498d5c10023acf8"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Spain", "Ceuta"]}
{"id": "e_75f751fa5423_q1", "domain": "Politics", "question": "How many civilian deaths will be reported as a result of the unrest during the elections in Pakistan-administered Kashmir by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "89", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "deaths", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 17, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_75f751fa5423", "event_date": "2026-08-07", "supporting_event": "The elections in Pakistan-administered Kashmir resulted in 89 civilian deaths during the unrest surrounding the vote.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_75f751fa", "storyline": "2026 Azad Jammu and Kashmir Legislative Assembly elections", "linked_domains": ["Geopolitics", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_192252cca656d904a845", "t_b4a3b51a6c80f1303bf4", "t_94d8d15c4eddc2f85168", "t_3ce47d9c10912c20692a", "t_81c14e442f09a4cd2b21", "t_b5f8425eb18a203f8b92"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "89", "tolerance": null, "quote": "an independent human rights group said it had verified 89 civilian deaths during weeks of unrest surrounding the vote.", "quote_doc_id": "t_0f79e0d5759c88e1b09f", "settling_ids": ["t_75f751fa54239d102bd8", "t_0f79e0d5759c88e1b09f", "t_5de274df432b16511028", "t_ec3250b25417a90b3e8e"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Pakistan-administered Kashmir", "Joint Awami Action Committee", "Pakistan"]}
{"id": "e_79881f50105a_q0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "Will the Cockroach Janta Party warn of legal action if the government does not release arrested protesters by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 6, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_79881f50105a", "event_date": "2026-07-27", "supporting_event": "The Cockroach Janta Party warned of legal action if the government does not release arrested protesters.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_1e8cccaa", "storyline": "CJP protest response", "linked_domains": ["Law"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_25a8bc271e3524ddd4eb", "t_122e9fa9f651a86c0d0e", "t_9fa5639b7a921b6d1f2a", "t_aaa214ba413597fe4fc7", "t_b6f770dd02f30e706880"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "CJP calls for release of protestors arrested in Assam, West Bengal, Bihar; warns of legal action if promises are not met", "quote_doc_id": "t_1a0f523bff1dbfe668db", "settling_ids": ["t_79881f50105ae0fd8ec1", "t_f2ec601d24772b33909d", "t_7a69ac7ed22d730dadc1", "t_1a0f523bff1dbfe668db"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Cockroach Janta Party", "Saurav Das", "J P Nadda", "Jitendra Singh"]}
{"id": "e_7a414cdf3fc6_q0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "Will President Donald Trump announce US investments in critical minerals mining by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 17, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_7a414cdf3fc6", "event_date": "2026-08-07", "supporting_event": "President Donald Trump touted US investments in critical minerals mining amounting to $3 billion.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_47c6636b", "storyline": "US critical minerals investment initiative", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Geopolitics", "Law", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_d6ed3930e31424b7ee5e", "t_fb0d3133397cd8dd2d56", "t_87eee66266a7f8aef4e8", "t_906754457908f187f543"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Trump touted US$3 billion in US investments in critical minerals mining at a meeting on Aug 7 with top industry executives aimed at weaning the US off supply chains dominated by China.", "quote_doc_id": "t_7a414cdf3fc6044c5ac7", "settling_ids": ["t_7a414cdf3fc6044c5ac7", "t_d63e59e34c8b84d0aa4a"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["President Donald Trump", "Sila Nanotechnologies", "Sunrise Energy Metals Ltd.", "Defense Department"]}
{"id": "e_7a414cdf3fc6_q0_neg", "domain": "Politics", "question": "Will President Donald Trump announce US investments in critical minerals mining by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "No", "answer_type": "perturbed_binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 17, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_7a414cdf3fc6", "event_date": "2026-08-07", "supporting_event": "President Donald Trump touted US investments in critical minerals mining amounting to $3 billion.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_47c6636b", "storyline": "US critical minerals investment initiative", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Geopolitics", "Law", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_d6ed3930e31424b7ee5e", "t_fb0d3133397cd8dd2d56", "t_87eee66266a7f8aef4e8", "t_906754457908f187f543"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "perturbed_binary", "value": "No", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Trump touted US$3 billion in US investments in critical minerals mining at a meeting on Aug 7 with top industry executives aimed at weaning the US off supply chains dominated by China.", "quote_doc_id": "t_7a414cdf3fc6044c5ac7", "settling_ids": ["t_7a414cdf3fc6044c5ac7", "t_d63e59e34c8b84d0aa4a"], "derivation": "the event dated 2026-08-07 is after the shifted deadline 2026-08-04, so the claim is false at that deadline"}, "perturbation": {"field": "deadline", "original": "2026-08-11", "substituted": "2026-08-04", "v40_substituted": "2026-07-29"}, "paired_with": "e_7a414cdf3fc6_q0", "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["President Donald Trump", "Sila Nanotechnologies", "Sunrise Energy Metals Ltd.", "Defense Department"]}
{"id": "e_7a5804ec05af_q0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "Who will order disclaimer signs to be placed outside The Smithsonian’s National Museum of American History by 2026-07-28?", "options": ["Donald Trump", "Nancy Pelosi", "Joe Biden", "Kamala Harris"], "answer": "Donald Trump", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 3, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_7a5804ec05af", "event_date": "2026-07-24", "supporting_event": "Donald Trump ordered disclaimer signs to be placed outside The Smithsonian’s National Museum of American History.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_7a5804ec", "storyline": "Trump's ideological battle with American cultural institutions", "linked_domains": ["Geopolitics", "Law", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_99a0c4505321eb8086dc", "t_42d6e0e20d87cc98ba89", "t_7d332c48ce08b220ebdf"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "Donald Trump", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Trump orders disclaimer signs outside museum of American history, warning of ‘inaccurate’ info AI generated", "quote_doc_id": "t_7a5804ec05af7e921348", "settling_ids": ["t_7a5804ec05af7e921348", "t_eae1f41bea1394e1cdc4", "t_5be2dee8d8485bb75192", "a_5bb4ff45ac2306452dad", "a_c611e670e91294197398"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Donald Trump", "The Smithsonian’s National Museum of American History"]}
{"id": "e_7bf20d78f3b6_q0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "Will Tej Pratap Yadav be detained during protests related to the NEET paper leak by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 4, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_7bf20d78f3b6", "event_date": "2026-07-25", "supporting_event": "Tej Pratap Yadav was detained during a protest in support of Bihar Bandh.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_248438b0", "storyline": "NEET paper leak protests", "linked_domains": ["Geopolitics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_a5a190be60afd003dde6", "t_a62f0aa83339d8d44707", "t_48fa1f2bd9be03c812ec"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Tej Pratap Yadav was detained in Patna after he joined the protesters who had gathered in support of the statewide bandh over NEET paper leak", "quote_doc_id": "t_7bf20d78f3b6cf9e2ebe", "settling_ids": ["t_7bf20d78f3b6cf9e2ebe", "t_2cfca8c26492a700d38f", "t_ffcac1b5bc6631247b9f"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Tej Pratap Yadav", "Bihar police", "NEET", "Bihar Bandh"]}
{"id": "e_7bf20d78f3b6_q2", "domain": "Politics", "question": "How many districts in Bihar will witness clashes between police and protesters during the NEET paper leak protests by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "3", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "districts", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 4, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_7bf20d78f3b6", "event_date": "2026-07-25", "supporting_event": "Tej Pratap Yadav was detained during a protest in support of Bihar Bandh.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_248438b0", "storyline": "NEET paper leak protests", "linked_domains": ["Geopolitics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_a5a190be60afd003dde6", "t_a62f0aa83339d8d44707", "t_48fa1f2bd9be03c812ec"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "3", "tolerance": 0, "quote": "Clashes also broke out between the police personnel and protesters in at least three districts: Patna, Aurangabad, and Chapra.", "quote_doc_id": "t_7bf20d78f3b6cf9e2ebe", "settling_ids": ["t_7bf20d78f3b6cf9e2ebe", "t_2cfca8c26492a700d38f", "t_ffcac1b5bc6631247b9f"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Tej Pratap Yadav", "Bihar police", "NEET", "Bihar Bandh"]}
{"id": "e_7f499f77dbd6_a0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "How many people will be confirmed dead from the drone strike in Nizhnykamsk by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "13", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "A", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 14, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_7f499f77dbd6", "event_date": "2026-08-04", "supporting_event": "Andrew Pragnell urged Oceania's members to be united on the question of Gianni Infantino's leadership.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_7f499f77", "storyline": "FIFA leadership evaluation", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Geopolitics", "Law", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_a7ae9a72a5e8539f6cd0", "t_521432aeda85efd5ad1f", "t_f70a06ee025eb0055342", "t_c6c12a86fbee622792aa", "t_4359017f28ddc9eeac1d"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "13", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the latest information we've just received is 13 people now confirmed dead.", "quote_doc_id": "a_2f235e0c52d85311cc74", "settling_ids": ["a_2f235e0c52d85311cc74", "t_7f499f77dbd666fccb8e", "t_426cd0bc3fb98436a4a9", "t_fd09ecdb60df45b4b7ff"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Andrew Pragnell", "Gianni Infantino", "FIFA", "Oceania's confederation", "New Zealand Football"]}
{"id": "e_7f499f77dbd6_q1", "domain": "Politics", "question": "How many member associations does Oceania's confederation include that will decide on Gianni Infantino's leadership by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "11", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 14, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_7f499f77dbd6", "event_date": "2026-08-04", "supporting_event": "Andrew Pragnell urged Oceania's members to be united on the question of Gianni Infantino's leadership.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_7f499f77", "storyline": "FIFA leadership evaluation", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Geopolitics", "Law", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_a7ae9a72a5e8539f6cd0", "t_521432aeda85efd5ad1f", "t_f70a06ee025eb0055342", "t_c6c12a86fbee622792aa", "t_4359017f28ddc9eeac1d"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "11", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Oceania's confederation (OFC), which includes New Zealand among its 11 members.", "quote_doc_id": "t_7f499f77dbd666fccb8e", "settling_ids": ["t_7f499f77dbd666fccb8e", "t_426cd0bc3fb98436a4a9", "t_fd09ecdb60df45b4b7ff"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Andrew Pragnell", "Gianni Infantino", "FIFA", "Oceania's confederation", "New Zealand Football"]}
{"id": "e_80581e19d596_q0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "Will Seema Pahwa support the CJP protests against the leaking of NEET papers by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 1, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_80581e19d596", "event_date": "2026-07-22", "supporting_event": "Seema Pahwa supported the CJP protests against the leaking of NEET papers.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_248438b0", "storyline": "NEET paper leak protests", "linked_domains": ["Geopolitics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_ef078804ca9640e020ab", "t_895540605b9a5604a49b", "t_c0548fd2888124f36fd7", "t_e9583b3ded692cea26a7", "t_9017f998bfa97b771c66", "t_7616077be61e5e170e1e"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "I’m with these children, these families, this country,” she wrote in the caption and also tagged Cockroach Janata Party (CJP), which is leading the protests at Jantar Mantar.", "quote_doc_id": "t_80581e19d5964d81e152", "settling_ids": ["t_80581e19d5964d81e152", "t_413f795ddb6c8af1acf3"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Seema Pahwa", "CJP", "NEET"]}
{"id": "e_82210477c3bd_q1", "domain": "Politics", "question": "Who will the Cockroach Janta Party demand the written agreement from by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "the Government of India", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 6, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_82210477c3bd", "event_date": "2026-07-27", "supporting_event": "The Cockroach Janta Party warned of fresh protests if the written agreement regarding the withdrawal of FIRs is not received.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_82210477", "storyline": "CJP protest negotiations", "linked_domains": ["Law"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_54d516b3c364743cde9d", "t_1bdfd4e428c087faf5fc", "t_db4d38e8926929e0e0e9", "t_6ba63500d62ea1f5a003", "t_7d623792ee94a2ae7fee", "t_9fa5639b7a921b6d1f2a"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "the Government of India", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the aligned timelines with the Government of India.", "quote_doc_id": "t_82210477c3bd3ac03694", "settling_ids": ["t_82210477c3bd3ac03694", "t_43963f0c37598be19123"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Cockroach Janta Party", "Ashutosh Ranka"]}
{"id": "e_82390d607f2b_q1", "domain": "Politics", "question": "How many people from Myanmar will have their temporary protections from deportation ended by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "4000", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "people", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 17, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_82390d607f2b", "event_date": "2026-08-07", "supporting_event": "US President Donald Trump’s administration was allowed to end temporary protections from deportation for migrants from South Sudan and Myanmar.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_20ded51c", "storyline": "US immigration policy changes", "linked_domains": ["Geopolitics", "Law", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_4c35d8d61be707efa6f1", "t_3e5130e442846ae1c100", "t_47f1622c2ba812ce7ef4"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "4000", "tolerance": 0.05, "quote": "The department's actions would have ended protections for about 232 South Sudanese and about 4,000 people from Myanmar.", "quote_doc_id": "t_82390d607f2b9d0f49f1", "settling_ids": ["t_82390d607f2b9d0f49f1", "t_27dbc474645d15192843", "t_629fcba457ddab6343d2", "t_96212649b5c1de9a4975"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["US President Donald Trump", "South Sudan", "Myanmar"]}
{"id": "e_835c450a5076_q0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "Will the Delhi Metro Rail Corporation close any metro stations due to protests by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 4, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_835c450a5076", "event_date": "2026-07-25", "supporting_event": "The Delhi Metro Rail Corporation closed 18 metro stations on July 25 due to ongoing protests.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_1e8cccaa", "storyline": "CJP protest response", "linked_domains": ["Law"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_6137649b6c4207c31645", "t_3fdc3470a3f791d0be86"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the Delhi Metro Rail Corporation shared a list of 18 metro stations which will remain shut on Saturday, July 25, amid the ongoing Cockroach Janata Party (CJP) protest at the Janata Mantar.", "quote_doc_id": "t_835c450a507654b53711", "settling_ids": ["t_835c450a507654b53711", "t_7a6b3adba5245e39a020", "t_a3c53d5ea7c2f5a199de", "t_fe9b5300611f30264e0d"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Delhi Metro Rail Corporation", "Cockroach Janata Party", "Jantar Mantar"]}
{"id": "e_84487c963fce_i0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "What is the maximum blood alcohol concentration limit for drivers by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "0.08%", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 14, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_84487c963fce", "event_date": "2026-08-04", "supporting_event": "A law was passed in parliament on August 4 to lower the alcohol limits for drink-driving and impose harsher penalties for dangerous driving causing grievous hurt.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_84487c96", "storyline": "Road Traffic Law Amendments 2026", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Environment", "Law", "Sports", "Technology"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_8e02dbcbdfee2d413226", "t_e82f8e6d10e263615293"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "0.08%", "tolerance": null, "quote": "A man is stopped for a breath test during an enforcement operation against drink driving along Upper Cross Street near Chinatown on Sep 20, 2025. (Photo: CNA/Tan Wen Lin)", "quote_doc_id": "i_84487c963fce54644fc7_1", "settling_ids": ["t_84487c963fce54644fc7", "t_c6dbc6ee933a4e80e68e"], "visible_detail": "the breathalyzer being used in the enforcement operation"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Parliament", "Singapore"]}
{"id": "e_84487c963fce_q1", "domain": "Politics", "question": "What will the new penalties target in the Road Traffic (Miscellaneous Amendments) Bill passed by 2026-08-04?", "options": ["speeding motorists", "drink drivers", "motorcyclists", "drivers using mobile devices"], "answer": "drink drivers", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 14, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_84487c963fce", "event_date": "2026-08-04", "supporting_event": "A law was passed in parliament on August 4 to lower the alcohol limits for drink-driving and impose harsher penalties for dangerous driving causing grievous hurt.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_84487c96", "storyline": "Road Traffic Law Amendments 2026", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Environment", "Law", "Sports", "Technology"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_8e02dbcbdfee2d413226", "t_e82f8e6d10e263615293"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "drink drivers", "tolerance": null, "quote": "The newly passed traffic laws will see heavier penalties on errant motorists, targeting drink drivers, those who deliberately endanger others on the roads and those who hold their mobile devices while driving.", "quote_doc_id": "t_c6dbc6ee933a4e80e68e", "settling_ids": ["t_84487c963fce54644fc7", "t_c6dbc6ee933a4e80e68e"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Parliament", "Singapore"]}
{"id": "e_84c8171004c4_i0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "What is the total amount displayed on the fuel pump screen by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "4392", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 14, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_84c8171004c4", "event_date": "2026-08-04", "supporting_event": "The Ministry of Petroleum and Natural Gas issued a clarification regarding concerns over the quality of E20 petrol.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_84c81710", "storyline": "E20 fuel quality monitoring", "linked_domains": ["Business"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_28268517a6c23e513783", "t_04870649cd56524490fa", "t_1d0034dd1b6e8e4065c5"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "4392", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_3f4f10a72c4c9840448e_0", "settling_ids": ["t_3f4f10a72c4c9840448e", "t_84c8171004c495aece9e", "t_1eb6ed776eb0638a6cb6"], "visible_detail": "the total amount displayed on the fuel pump screen"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Ministry of Petroleum and Natural Gas", "Society of Indian Automobile Manufacturers", "E20 petrol"]}
{"id": "e_8cd8901fe095_q0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "Will a suicide bomber strike an antimilitant rally in northwestern Pakistan by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 12, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_8cd8901fe095", "event_date": "2026-08-02", "supporting_event": "A suicide bomber struck an antimilitant rally in northwestern Pakistan, killing at least 14 people.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_0967a71e", "storyline": "suicide bombing in Pakistan", "linked_domains": ["Geopolitics", "Law", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_a3eb63736ce8b87c9bb8", "t_1a6566c9ece877822251", "t_180078663e689c9fcfc0", "t_c4feca56097ec0f8873b"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "A suicide bomber struck an antimilitant rally in northwestern Pakistan, killing at least 14", "quote_doc_id": "t_8cd8901fe095f04f29c8", "settling_ids": ["t_8cd8901fe095f04f29c8", "t_6c72b2242b578d5d85a7", "t_12150e98f7ea5384d28a", "t_a0a13f76dfb5c270818d"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["suicide bomber", "Kabal", "Swat Valley", "Khyber Pakhtunkhwa", "Omar Khan", "Bilal Faizi"]}
{"id": "e_8cd8901fe095_q0_neg", "domain": "Politics", "question": "Will a suicide bomber strike an antimilitant rally in northwestern Pakistan by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "No", "answer_type": "perturbed_binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 12, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_8cd8901fe095", "event_date": "2026-08-02", "supporting_event": "A suicide bomber struck an antimilitant rally in northwestern Pakistan, killing at least 14 people.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_0967a71e", "storyline": "suicide bombing in Pakistan", "linked_domains": ["Geopolitics", "Law", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_a3eb63736ce8b87c9bb8", "t_1a6566c9ece877822251", "t_180078663e689c9fcfc0", "t_c4feca56097ec0f8873b"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "perturbed_binary", "value": "No", "tolerance": null, "quote": "A suicide bomber struck an antimilitant rally in northwestern Pakistan, killing at least 14", "quote_doc_id": "t_8cd8901fe095f04f29c8", "settling_ids": ["t_8cd8901fe095f04f29c8", "t_6c72b2242b578d5d85a7", "t_12150e98f7ea5384d28a", "t_a0a13f76dfb5c270818d"], "derivation": "the event dated 2026-08-02 is after the shifted deadline 2026-07-28, so the claim is false at that deadline"}, "perturbation": {"field": "deadline", "original": "2026-08-04", "substituted": "2026-07-28", "v40_substituted": "2026-07-27"}, "paired_with": "e_8cd8901fe095_q0", "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["suicide bomber", "Kabal", "Swat Valley", "Khyber Pakhtunkhwa", "Omar Khan", "Bilal Faizi"]}
{"id": "e_8cd8901fe095_q2", "domain": "Politics", "question": "How many people will a suicide bomber kill at an antimilitant rally in northwestern Pakistan by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "14", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "people", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 12, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_8cd8901fe095", "event_date": "2026-08-02", "supporting_event": "A suicide bomber struck an antimilitant rally in northwestern Pakistan, killing at least 14 people.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_0967a71e", "storyline": "suicide bombing in Pakistan", "linked_domains": ["Geopolitics", "Law", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_a3eb63736ce8b87c9bb8", "t_1a6566c9ece877822251", "t_180078663e689c9fcfc0", "t_c4feca56097ec0f8873b"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "14", "tolerance": null, "quote": "killing at least 14 people", "quote_doc_id": "t_8cd8901fe095f04f29c8", "settling_ids": ["t_8cd8901fe095f04f29c8", "t_6c72b2242b578d5d85a7", "t_12150e98f7ea5384d28a", "t_a0a13f76dfb5c270818d"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["suicide bomber", "Kabal", "Swat Valley", "Khyber Pakhtunkhwa", "Omar Khan", "Bilal Faizi"]}
{"id": "e_927945abe466_q0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "Will NDA and INDIA bloc MPs clash at Parliament's main gate by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 21, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_927945abe466", "event_date": "2026-08-11", "supporting_event": "NDA and INDIA bloc MPs clashed at Parliament's main gate.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_927945ab", "storyline": "Parliamentary protests August 2026", "linked_domains": ["Environment", "Law"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_5a336ccda51aa67f83df", "t_67f42ef6cbf506877cea", "t_75e2738a2c2cb0ff3c09", "t_3fdc3470a3f791d0be86", "t_828b9e8c111a45afa228"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Ruling NDA and Opposition INDIA bloc MPs came face-to-face at Parliament's main gate on Tuesday", "quote_doc_id": "t_927945abe4669e0f78e1", "settling_ids": ["t_927945abe4669e0f78e1", "t_fe2dab5747429baabf7d", "t_dca9742c0644ec014f1f", "t_1ca60507c6974bff0ffc"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["NDA", "INDIA bloc", "Parliament", "Jharkhand", "Ram temple"]}
{"id": "e_932804d9f127_q1", "domain": "Politics", "question": "What will be one of the key recommendations of the Joint Committee of Parliament regarding corporate compliance by 2026-08-04?", "options": ["Eliminating all compliance requirements for small businesses", "Reducing compliance burdens for law-abiding companies", "Increasing criminal penalties for minor procedural defaults", "Mandating annual audits for all companies"], "answer": "Reducing compliance burdens for law-abiding companies", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 13, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_932804d9f127", "event_date": "2026-08-03", "supporting_event": "The Joint Committee of Parliament recommended measures to ease corporate compliance and strengthen governance framework in the Corporate Laws (Amendment) Bill, 2026.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_932804d9", "storyline": "Corporate Laws (Amendment) Bill, 2026 review", "linked_domains": ["Business"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_a63b300d92db252e730e", "t_c4e1707991eede6b1479", "t_b55cd32f9624423bd6e6", "t_8911b702529365ef2987"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "Reducing compliance burdens for law-abiding companies", "tolerance": null, "quote": "The key recommendations of the Committee include reducing compliance burdens for law-abiding companies, promoting proportionate regulatory enforcement and replacing certain procedural offences with civil penalty mechanisms instead of criminal action.", "quote_doc_id": "t_932804d9f12724dd2bf9", "settling_ids": ["t_932804d9f12724dd2bf9", "t_78071b1ebf7a92a8cac0", "t_4a4e32dccf30b5ceede9", "t_5d625df7e02e02ffc534"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Joint Committee of Parliament", "Corporate Laws (Amendment) Bill, 2026"]}
{"id": "e_940ec66b1050_d0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "What materials are determined to be essential to the national defense by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "recoverable CMMs", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "D", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 9, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_940ec66b1050", "event_date": "2026-07-30", "supporting_event": "The President determines that recoverable critical minerals and materials are essential to the national defense.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_940ec66b", "storyline": "Presidential Determination on Critical Minerals", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_323021adbc033710769d", "t_87eee66266a7f8aef4e8", "t_906754457908f187f543"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "recoverable CMMs", "tolerance": null, "quote": "recoverable CMMs are scarce and critical materials essential to the national defense", "quote_doc_id": "d_940ec66b1050c2026fee", "settling_ids": ["d_940ec66b1050c2026fee", "d_940ec66b1050c2026fee", "t_c7e4e6b4dbc1e22dd311", "t_d2ff07276f8808a935c2", "t_b951185d09b0c060d41b"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["the President", "Department of Commerce", "Defense Production Act"]}
{"id": "e_96b1b99af1b3_i0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "What will the price of petrol be by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "104.20", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 10, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_96b1b99af1b3", "event_date": "2026-07-31", "supporting_event": "The government stated that petrol prices would have risen to ₹125 per litre without ethanol blending.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_96b1b99a", "storyline": "Ethanol blending initiative", "linked_domains": ["Business"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_c94c4fa6b5f54e39cada", "t_80237d400d98df68316f"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "104.20", "tolerance": null, "quote": "More than a year after India completed the nationwide adoption of E20 petrol, meeting its target of 20 per cent ethanol blending well before the 2030 deadline", "quote_doc_id": "i_96b1b99af1b387c2aca0_1", "settling_ids": ["t_96b1b99af1b387c2aca0", "t_2ff114cdee88b1606900", "t_0d8e407447282e3c1a69"], "visible_detail": "the price of petrol displayed as 104.20"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["the government", "petrol", "ethanol"]}
{"id": "e_981bc9527245_v0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "What is the name of the person introduced during the press conference by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "REP. HAKEEM JEFFRIES", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "V", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 8, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_981bc9527245", "event_date": "2026-07-29", "supporting_event": "FC Copenhagen will host Polissya Zhytomyr on July 29, 2026.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_5db75f23", "storyline": "2026 UEFA Conference League", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["d_b02d3122e7684b0758e8", "d_02aa2d44539498d90838", "d_30838145de0e0b16c371"], "precursor_modalities": ["D"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "REP. HAKEEM JEFFRIES", "tolerance": null, "quote": "House Dem Leader Jeffries Holds Press Conference on ICE Detention Center Conditions", "quote_doc_id": "v_e506e0e1305e964b12b0", "settling_ids": ["t_981bc9527245e4bbf05e", "t_5cf614c351d0b1c5edc1"], "visible_detail": "what the frames show"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["FC Copenhagen", "Polissya Zhytomyr", "UEFA Conference League"]}
{"id": "e_995add5707d1_i0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "What is the name of the venue associated with the event by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "Royal Springs Golf Course", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 15, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_995add5707d1", "event_date": "2026-08-05", "supporting_event": "Omar Abdullah vows to reverse administrative and constitutional changes that stripped Jammu and Kashmir of its special rights.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_995add57", "storyline": "Jammu and Kashmir statehood restoration movement", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_9080fbe70afc2113b137", "t_4f333053d68780439608", "t_fc9f97e136f05bd63395", "t_fb36d853f9e60f4258e6"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "Royal Springs Golf Course", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_995add5707d15fb10f09_0", "settling_ids": ["t_995add5707d15fb10f09", "t_624143473d3e0e77f4dd", "t_18a72d735ad4c2435380", "t_50608d5f1850c41b116c"], "visible_detail": "Royal Springs Golf Course"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Omar Abdullah", "Jammu and Kashmir National Conference"]}
{"id": "e_9a2a749d8687_q1", "domain": "Politics", "question": "Who will request an extension for the deadline for filing claims and objections regarding the ongoing Special Intensive Revision of electoral rolls in Odisha by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "the Chief Electoral Officer (CEO) of Odisha", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 11, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_9a2a749d8687", "event_date": "2026-08-01", "supporting_event": "The Election Commission of India extended the deadline for filing claims and objections regarding the ongoing Special Intensive Revision of electoral rolls in Odisha from August 4 to August 19.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_016dda0e", "storyline": "Special Intensive Revision of electoral rolls in Odisha", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Environment", "Health"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_b55342e5570103b80861", "t_156bd8407de29723686c", "t_a382cea9420ad3b954bb", "t_6a676630f12d40d97ecc", "t_fe9108a4ecee4c19413f", "t_1f4363570fe5c69f0d4b"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "the Chief Electoral Officer (CEO) of Odisha", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the decision to revise the schedule was taken following a request made by the Chief Electoral Officer (CEO) of Odisha.", "quote_doc_id": "t_9a2a749d868763edd3bf", "settling_ids": ["t_9a2a749d868763edd3bf", "t_8c0f35774823eb35b8c1"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Election Commission of India", "Odisha"]}
{"id": "e_9a2a749d8687_q2", "domain": "Politics", "question": "Will the Election Commission of India extend the deadline for filing claims and objections regarding the ongoing Special Intensive Revision of electoral rolls in Odisha by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 11, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_9a2a749d8687", "event_date": "2026-08-01", "supporting_event": "The Election Commission of India extended the deadline for filing claims and objections regarding the ongoing Special Intensive Revision of electoral rolls in Odisha from August 4 to August 19.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_016dda0e", "storyline": "Special Intensive Revision of electoral rolls in Odisha", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Environment", "Health"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_b55342e5570103b80861", "t_156bd8407de29723686c", "t_a382cea9420ad3b954bb", "t_6a676630f12d40d97ecc", "t_fe9108a4ecee4c19413f", "t_1f4363570fe5c69f0d4b"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the Commission, on the request of the Chief Electoral Officer, Odisha, and in exercise of the power conferred by the proviso to Rule 12 of the Registration of Electors Rules, 1960, has decided to extend the period for filing claims and objections up to 19.08.2026", "quote_doc_id": "t_9a2a749d868763edd3bf", "settling_ids": ["t_9a2a749d868763edd3bf", "t_8c0f35774823eb35b8c1"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Election Commission of India", "Odisha"]}
{"id": "e_9a2a749d8687_q2_neg", "domain": "Politics", "question": "Will the Election Commission of India extend the deadline for filing claims and objections regarding the ongoing Special Intensive Revision of electoral rolls in Odisha by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "No", "answer_type": "perturbed_binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 11, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_9a2a749d8687", "event_date": "2026-08-01", "supporting_event": "The Election Commission of India extended the deadline for filing claims and objections regarding the ongoing Special Intensive Revision of electoral rolls in Odisha from August 4 to August 19.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_016dda0e", "storyline": "Special Intensive Revision of electoral rolls in Odisha", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Environment", "Health"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_b55342e5570103b80861", "t_156bd8407de29723686c", "t_a382cea9420ad3b954bb", "t_6a676630f12d40d97ecc", "t_fe9108a4ecee4c19413f", "t_1f4363570fe5c69f0d4b"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "perturbed_binary", "value": "No", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the Commission, on the request of the Chief Electoral Officer, Odisha, and in exercise of the power conferred by the proviso to Rule 12 of the Registration of Electors Rules, 1960, has decided to extend the period for filing claims and objections up to 19.08.2026", "quote_doc_id": "t_9a2a749d868763edd3bf", "settling_ids": ["t_9a2a749d868763edd3bf", "t_8c0f35774823eb35b8c1"], "derivation": "the event dated 2026-08-01 is after the shifted deadline 2026-07-28, so the claim is false at that deadline"}, "perturbation": {"field": "deadline", "original": "2026-08-04", "substituted": "2026-07-28", "v40_substituted": "2026-07-26"}, "paired_with": "e_9a2a749d8687_q2", "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Election Commission of India", "Odisha"]}
{"id": "e_9d6049cba8ab_i0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "What is the total number of wind turbines visible in the photograph by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "12", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 17, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_9d6049cba8ab", "event_date": "2026-08-07", "supporting_event": "RWE reached a $1.22 billion agreement with the Trump administration to cancel three offshore wind leases in U.S. waters.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_9d6049cb", "storyline": "offshore wind lease cancellations", "linked_domains": ["Environment", "Law", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_d730e00b4b3e9ab1d237", "t_ad6292d089f7019a0909"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "12", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Yellow wind turbines shoot out of the sea.", "quote_doc_id": "i_9d6049cba8aba0a77a71_1", "settling_ids": ["t_9d6049cba8aba0a77a71", "t_de99b746703f420cb998"], "visible_detail": "the total number of wind turbines in the image"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["RWE", "Trump administration"]}
{"id": "e_9d6049cba8ab_q0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "Who will reach an agreement with the Trump administration to cancel offshore wind leases by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "RWE", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 17, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_9d6049cba8ab", "event_date": "2026-08-07", "supporting_event": "RWE reached a $1.22 billion agreement with the Trump administration to cancel three offshore wind leases in U.S. waters.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_9d6049cb", "storyline": "offshore wind lease cancellations", "linked_domains": ["Environment", "Law", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_d730e00b4b3e9ab1d237", "t_ad6292d089f7019a0909"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "RWE", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the German energy company RWE has reached a $1.22 billion deal with the US government to relinquish its offshore wind leases", "quote_doc_id": "t_9d6049cba8aba0a77a71", "settling_ids": ["t_9d6049cba8aba0a77a71", "t_de99b746703f420cb998"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["RWE", "Trump administration"]}
{"id": "e_9d6049cba8ab_q1", "domain": "Politics", "question": "What will be the total value of the agreement reached by RWE with the Trump administration to cancel offshore wind leases by 2026-08-11?", "options": ["$1.22 billion", "$1 billion", "$800 million", "$1.5 billion"], "answer": "$1.22 billion", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": "USD", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 17, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_9d6049cba8ab", "event_date": "2026-08-07", "supporting_event": "RWE reached a $1.22 billion agreement with the Trump administration to cancel three offshore wind leases in U.S. waters.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_9d6049cb", "storyline": "offshore wind lease cancellations", "linked_domains": ["Environment", "Law", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_d730e00b4b3e9ab1d237", "t_ad6292d089f7019a0909"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "$1.22 billion", "tolerance": null, "quote": "RWE has reached a $1.22 billion deal with the US government to relinquish its offshore wind leases", "quote_doc_id": "t_9d6049cba8aba0a77a71", "settling_ids": ["t_9d6049cba8aba0a77a71", "t_de99b746703f420cb998"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["RWE", "Trump administration"]}
{"id": "e_9fa01ce35812_q1", "domain": "Politics", "question": "How many prisoners will the Democratic Republic of the Congo release to M23 rebels as part of a peace deal by 2026-08-11?", "options": ["25", "20", "10", "15"], "answer": "15", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": "prisoners", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 18, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_9fa01ce35812", "event_date": "2026-08-08", "supporting_event": "The Democratic Republic of the Congo released 15 prisoners to M23 rebels as part of a peace deal.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_9fa01ce3", "storyline": "Doha peace process", "linked_domains": ["Health"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_8520341bf6519ce3a7cd", "t_fcd97a9adee4349275ed", "t_3c1659a78f82d4a09f66", "t_03619adf589c94f4eef4"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "15", "tolerance": null, "quote": "The Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC) has released 15 prisoners and handed them over to rebels from the Congo River Alliance/March 23 movement (AFC/M23) in the east of the country.", "quote_doc_id": "t_9fa01ce35812d2ff1234", "settling_ids": ["t_9fa01ce35812d2ff1234", "t_2389116d6606d462f479"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Democratic Republic of the Congo", "M23 rebels", "International Committee of the Red Cross"]}
{"id": "e_a124c3d707fb_q1", "domain": "Politics", "question": "Who will be the primary body responsible for the detailed scrutiny of the Foreign Contribution (Regulation) Act (FCRA) Amendment Bill, 2026, by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "Joint Parliamentary Committee (JPC)", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 21, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_a124c3d707fb", "event_date": "2026-08-11", "supporting_event": "The government decided to send the Foreign Contribution (Regulation) Act (FCRA) Amendment Bill, 2026, to a Joint Parliamentary Committee (JPC).", "storyline_id": "s_pol_4f05e676", "storyline": "FCRA Amendment Bill legislative process", "linked_domains": ["Business"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_9dfa80bbaf1c46cfc7da", "t_15c833a19bad05d2b0da", "t_fd447cb9aedab9dfd2d4"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "Joint Parliamentary Committee (JPC)", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the government has decided to send the Foreign Contribution (Regulation) Act (FCRA) Amendment Bill, 2026, to a Joint Parliamentary Committee (JPC) for detailed scrutiny", "quote_doc_id": "t_0d41f628c283a635a0b5", "settling_ids": ["t_a124c3d707fb64e455eb", "t_0d41f628c283a635a0b5", "t_0a22a81eab3874e4c90f", "t_6ddb04580d3f79225dff"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["the government", "Foreign Contribution (Regulation) Act (FCRA) Amendment Bill, 2026", "Joint Parliamentary Committee (JPC)"]}
{"id": "e_a126d45e3ace_a0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "How many statements did Todd Blanche put in writing to address the demands of Republican senators by 2026-08-04", "options": null, "answer": "two statements", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "A", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 14, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_a126d45e3ace", "event_date": "2026-08-04", "supporting_event": "Todd Blanche cleared a critical hurdle in his nomination to be Attorney General.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_a126d45e", "storyline": "Todd Blanche attorney general nomination process", "linked_domains": ["Geopolitics", "Law", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_2007ab8c6781f6bea125", "t_71f6f11f559f65f24099", "t_c4918c7db9c77a439619"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "two statements", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Blanche won the support of Republican holdouts after meeting their demands.", "quote_doc_id": "a_889fb95950478ea0575c", "settling_ids": ["a_889fb95950478ea0575c", "t_a126d45e3ace7a9a87ed", "t_6085d71a2f7ad50e71a9"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Todd Blanche", "Senate Judiciary Committee", "Donald Trump"]}
{"id": "e_a126d45e3ace_q0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "How many Republican senators were involved in the deal that helped advance Todd Blanche's nomination to be Attorney General by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "2", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 14, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_a126d45e3ace", "event_date": "2026-08-04", "supporting_event": "Todd Blanche cleared a critical hurdle in his nomination to be Attorney General.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_a126d45e", "storyline": "Todd Blanche attorney general nomination process", "linked_domains": ["Geopolitics", "Law", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_2007ab8c6781f6bea125", "t_71f6f11f559f65f24099", "t_c4918c7db9c77a439619"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "2", "tolerance": null, "quote": "a deal struck late Sunday between Blanche and two Republican senators", "quote_doc_id": "t_a126d45e3ace7a9a87ed", "settling_ids": ["t_a126d45e3ace7a9a87ed", "t_6085d71a2f7ad50e71a9"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Todd Blanche", "Senate Judiciary Committee", "Donald Trump"]}
{"id": "e_a1fd9ceb18d2_i0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "What message is displayed on the placard held by the activist by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "STOP ABORTION NOW", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 9, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_a1fd9ceb18d2", "event_date": "2026-07-30", "supporting_event": "Anti-abortion activists are seeking to block access to abortion pills by post.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_a1fd9ceb", "storyline": "anti-abortion legislative efforts 2026", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_a9f6d1346550e990d573", "t_db6372e9f93bb8314ddf", "t_0194d7c38f11d88494d5"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "STOP ABORTION NOW", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_a1fd9ceb18d26321beba_0", "settling_ids": ["t_a1fd9ceb18d26321beba", "t_72f863042f76918aab69"], "visible_detail": "STOP ABORTION NOW"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["anti-abortion activists", "abortion pills"]}
{"id": "e_a20965539b69_q0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "What percentage reduction in fuel economy did Nitin Gadkari inform Parliament regarding E20 petrol by 2026-08-04?", "options": ["0-2%", "3-5%", "1-3%", "2-6%"], "answer": "2-6%", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 9, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_a20965539b69", "event_date": "2026-07-30", "supporting_event": "Nitin Gadkari informed Parliament that E20 petrol may reduce fuel economy by up to 6%.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_a2096553", "storyline": "E20 ethanol blending programme", "linked_domains": ["Business"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_04870649cd56524490fa", "t_6086bb3485972c912a83", "t_aa5faa1fa286441fbb2f", "t_74df00131fa96d04193b"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "2-6%", "tolerance": null, "quote": "E20 petrol may impact fuel economy by 2-6 per cent depending upon the vehicle category and vintage.", "quote_doc_id": "t_a20965539b69931a4cb5", "settling_ids": ["t_a20965539b69931a4cb5", "t_a25b1bf0415c511f96ea", "t_74c0c58a15cf365268a9", "t_6c9f443eb20e036b3a53"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Nitin Gadkari", "E20 petrol"]}
{"id": "e_a20965539b69_q1", "domain": "Politics", "question": "On what date will Nitin Gadkari inform Parliament about the impact of E20 petrol on fuel economy by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "2026-07-30", "answer_type": "date", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 9, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_a20965539b69", "event_date": "2026-07-30", "supporting_event": "Nitin Gadkari informed Parliament that E20 petrol may reduce fuel economy by up to 6%.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_a2096553", "storyline": "E20 ethanol blending programme", "linked_domains": ["Business"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_04870649cd56524490fa", "t_6086bb3485972c912a83", "t_aa5faa1fa286441fbb2f", "t_74df00131fa96d04193b"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "date", "value": "2026-07-30", "tolerance": 1, "quote": "Nitin Gadkari informed Parliament on July 30, Thursday.", "quote_doc_id": "t_a25b1bf0415c511f96ea", "settling_ids": ["t_a20965539b69931a4cb5", "t_a25b1bf0415c511f96ea", "t_74c0c58a15cf365268a9", "t_6c9f443eb20e036b3a53"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Nitin Gadkari", "E20 petrol"]}
{"id": "e_a30ceb9aecd3_q0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "Who will be involved in drafting the ban on U.S. imports of new models of Chinese data center components by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "the Trump administration", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 14, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_a30ceb9aecd3", "event_date": "2026-08-04", "supporting_event": "The Trump administration is drafting a ban on U.S. imports of new models of Chinese data center components.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_a30ceb9a", "storyline": "U.S. regulatory actions on technology imports", "linked_domains": ["Law", "Sports", "Technology"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_3d64c36eadd51844f415", "t_d232c8728c5bdfe823e5", "t_8542c1512fc3f17c48bd"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "the Trump administration", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the Trump administration is drafting a ban on U.S. imports of new models of Chinese data center components", "quote_doc_id": "t_a30ceb9aecd3252c1128", "settling_ids": ["t_a30ceb9aecd3252c1128", "t_59bd3290852756664d5d", "t_81800b711089bf7d1da7", "t_9ffb04f1b6dc64ec8397"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Trump administration", "Chinese data center components", "Federal Communications Commission"]}
{"id": "e_a312c42b02b6_q1", "domain": "Politics", "question": "On what date will the mandatory Vehicle-to-Vehicle communication systems be required in new vehicles according to the proposal by the Ministry of Road Transport and Highways by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "October 1, 2028", "answer_type": "date", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 13, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_a312c42b02b6", "event_date": "2026-08-03", "supporting_event": "The Ministry of Road Transport and Highways proposed mandatory Vehicle-to-Vehicle communication systems in new vehicles from October 2028.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_a312c42b", "storyline": "Vehicle-to-Vehicle communication implementation in India", "linked_domains": ["Technology"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_8f797e0d2e9548b57607", "t_44eb0c63706358ab1026", "t_22a5f8c7a026e168f3c6"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "date", "value": "October 1, 2028", "tolerance": 1, "quote": "V2V communication systems will become mandatory for all private and commercial vehicles manufactured from October 1, 2028", "quote_doc_id": "t_a312c42b02b6462f75fa", "settling_ids": ["t_a312c42b02b6462f75fa", "t_3a8c23b10137322fd5b3", "t_14bf072a703c8f45b7bb", "t_164e304ccfb4c36b1b25"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Ministry of Road Transport and Highways"]}
{"id": "e_a3b046f654dc_q1", "domain": "Politics", "question": "Which of the following recruitment examinations will AAP claim faced allegations of irregularities by 2026-07-28?", "options": ["School Teacher", "Bank Clerk", "Railway Conductor", "Gram Sachiv"], "answer": "Gram Sachiv", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 6, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_a3b046f654dc", "event_date": "2026-07-27", "supporting_event": "AAP alleged that over 30 recruitment examinations conducted during the BJP government's tenure faced allegations of paper leaks or procedural irregularities.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_a3b046f6", "storyline": "Haryana recruitment examination controversy", "linked_domains": ["Environment"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_451447429d4167bd9e3e", "t_3293c0f4ac32c27e4c9a", "t_3da2350616651d99df28"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "Gram Sachiv", "tolerance": null, "quote": "The party listed recruitment examinations including Gram Sachiv, Clerk, Electricity Department Clerk, Excise Inspector, Agriculture Inspector, Conductor, ITI Instructor, Naib Tehsildar, HTET, Police Constable, Patwari, TGT, Dental Surgeon, Steno Typist, UDC and Junior Draftsman.", "quote_doc_id": "t_a3b046f654dcf828fc38", "settling_ids": ["t_a3b046f654dcf828fc38", "t_a067e7a09c104acdcff0", "t_188df66527f8c9c7ed46"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Aam Aadmi Party", "Bharatiya Janata Party", "Haryana"]}
{"id": "e_a3b046f654dc_q2", "domain": "Politics", "question": "How many recruitment examinations will AAP allege faced allegations of irregularities by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "30", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "examinations", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 6, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_a3b046f654dc", "event_date": "2026-07-27", "supporting_event": "AAP alleged that over 30 recruitment examinations conducted during the BJP government's tenure faced allegations of paper leaks or procedural irregularities.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_a3b046f6", "storyline": "Haryana recruitment examination controversy", "linked_domains": ["Environment"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_451447429d4167bd9e3e", "t_3293c0f4ac32c27e4c9a", "t_3da2350616651d99df28"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "30", "tolerance": 0.05, "quote": "According to AAP, more than 30 recruitment examinations conducted under the BJP government have faced allegations relating to paper leaks or procedural irregularities.", "quote_doc_id": "t_a3b046f654dcf828fc38", "settling_ids": ["t_a3b046f654dcf828fc38", "t_a067e7a09c104acdcff0", "t_188df66527f8c9c7ed46"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Aam Aadmi Party", "Bharatiya Janata Party", "Haryana"]}
{"id": "e_a55e19835c68_v0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "What is the name of the special projects coordinator mentioned in the broadcast by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "ANNA TRAYLOR", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "V", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 11, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_a55e19835c68", "event_date": "2026-08-01", "supporting_event": "Alexandra Eala captured her first WTA Tour singles title at the DC Open.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_12cc0a85", "storyline": "2026 WTA Tour", "linked_domains": ["Health"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["d_8468ebbc93c86f95af00", "d_8468ebbc93c86f95af00", "d_628d51426f095b8fe3f4"], "precursor_modalities": ["D"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "ANNA TRAYLOR", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Writer Eudora Welty's Home & Gardens Tour", "quote_doc_id": "v_c33671a2ca4ef5b0d630", "settling_ids": ["d_a55e19835c68209a0871", "t_75667b9b12569f529c46", "t_8efed7385eac7927ad86", "t_b1ede6ac09b3f0ab023e", "t_4301ffa5516287655e56", "t_584eee557fd509af80fe"], "visible_detail": "a name on a chyron"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Alexandra Eala", "Jessica Pegula", "WTA Tour", "DC Open"]}
{"id": "e_a62cae540148_i0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "What is the number of signatures collected for the public petition against E20-Blended petrol by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "250,000", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 12, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_a62cae540148", "event_date": "2026-08-02", "supporting_event": "Arvind Kejriwal announced a march to Prime Minister's residence to submit a public petition against E20-Blended petrol signed by around 250,000 people.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_0817cdbd", "storyline": "E20 petrol policy protest", "linked_domains": ["Geopolitics", "Law"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_12b2f97328b2ea619165", "t_d3fa437f7515f41248a2", "t_188b94425f59b87a12e3", "t_90b80e34d93b5bcd7ccc"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "250,000", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_f26028ab5075c8728225_0", "settling_ids": ["t_f26028ab5075c8728225", "t_4ca177276b507981426f", "t_48bbd4e93f6d6c2f0261", "t_a62cae5401484c0772f2", "t_b597cb1b71b598b9fa4d", "t_a0e410fa7bf05e2b0605"], "visible_detail": "the number of signatures collected for the public petition against E20-Blended petrol"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Arvind Kejriwal", "Aam Aadmi Party", "Prime Minister Narendra Modi"]}
{"id": "e_a7006037106d_q0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "What type of event will be organized by Arvind Kejriwal to address concerns about E20-blended petrol by 2026-08-04?", "options": ["Press Conference", "National Town Hall", "Online Webinar", "Public Rally"], "answer": "National Town Hall", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 11, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_a7006037106d", "event_date": "2026-08-01", "supporting_event": "Arvind Kejriwal announced a 'National Town Hall Against E20' to discuss concerns related to E20-blended petrol.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_0817cdbd", "storyline": "E20 petrol policy protest", "linked_domains": ["Geopolitics", "Law"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_12b2f97328b2ea619165", "t_d3fa437f7515f41248a2", "t_188b94425f59b87a12e3", "t_90b80e34d93b5bcd7ccc"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "National Town Hall", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) has stepped up its campaign against E20-Blended petrol by announcing a ‘National Town Hall Against E20’", "quote_doc_id": "t_fa14f023899ee3657b29", "settling_ids": ["t_a7006037106dab167de9", "t_fa14f023899ee3657b29", "t_34125f7c9c60065994e3", "t_15d68b5222b7bd887b22"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Arvind Kejriwal", "Aam Aadmi Party", "E20-blended petrol", "Constitution Club", "Delhi"]}
{"id": "e_a9ca05fcec87_v0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "What is the name of the Senior Adviser for Africa mentioned in the broadcast by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "MASSAD BOULOS", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "V", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 3, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_a9ca05fcec87", "event_date": "2026-07-24", "supporting_event": "South Africa's Banyana Banyana open their Women's Africa Cup of Nations campaign against Tanzania.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_24dd9c1a", "storyline": "2026 Women's Africa Cup of Nations", "linked_domains": ["Geopolitics", "Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_55263360d6992ef8e981", "t_a82cb6d851b165685e01", "t_81caa66199bb01039ef5", "t_4b7f4576b17d28e12045"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "MASSAD BOULOS", "tolerance": null, "quote": "State Dept. Senior Adviser for Africa Speaks to Reporters", "quote_doc_id": "v_03cb99ce53a988d72c31", "settling_ids": ["t_a9ca05fcec87d9182920", "t_4a200d620e9fb8324a20", "t_8d5686367ea8ab597b5f"], "visible_detail": "what the frames show"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["South Africa's Banyana Banyana", "Tanzania", "Women's Africa Cup of Nations"]}
{"id": "e_abbe430abd2c_a0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "What will be Abdul El-Sayed's winning margin against Haley Stevens by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "1.48.5% to 47.5%", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "A", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 11, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_abbe430abd2c", "event_date": "2026-08-01", "supporting_event": "Abdul El-Sayed is competing against Rep. Haley Stevens in the Michigan Senate primary.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_05b7a9aa", "storyline": "2026 Michigan Democratic Senate primary", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_4174b54c83ce7263686c", "t_8bfcab2df8d1a1a787ac", "t_02f7db25d800feb6d441", "t_06fe6459e93c9d7f8c02", "t_b9fe4886a0fad4b20417"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "1.48.5% to 47.5%", "tolerance": null, "quote": "he defeated Haley Stevens by 1.48.5% to 47.5%", "quote_doc_id": "a_6ead867cc895ee5de332", "settling_ids": ["a_6ead867cc895ee5de332", "t_abbe430abd2c5cfa0711", "t_54b8d6e4c8ef1d222c1d", "t_90f408bc30e4236aaf1b"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Abdul El-Sayed", "Rep. Haley Stevens"]}
{"id": "e_ac14340e04b0_i0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "What is the amount of the payment transaction shown in the photograph by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "₹15,000", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 16, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_ac14340e04b0", "event_date": "2026-08-06", "supporting_event": "Lok Sabha passed a Bill to amend the Payment and Settlement Systems Act, 2007.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_85ff7bcb", "storyline": "UPI policy amendment process", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_267a8eea2064e4f7dadf", "t_6c07e3107b987ffeb3b9"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "₹15,000", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_b59dd075be5285c569d0_0", "settling_ids": ["t_b59dd075be5285c569d0", "t_ac14340e04b0017d7d4d", "t_6e46efc82ca54b4843bf", "t_fff5c752b6d05df72deb", "t_2d9ba9ab5a96fb01e022", "t_b251aba7043a09c2f159"], "visible_detail": "₹15,000"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Lok Sabha", "Payment and Settlement Systems Act, 2007"]}
{"id": "e_ad7f2c1c6058_q0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "Who will announce that Punjab has emerged as the top performer in the NITI Aayog School Education Quality Index 2026 by 2026-08-11?", "options": ["Manpreet Singh Badal", "Harjot Singh Bains", "Bhagwant Mann", "Amarinder Singh"], "answer": "Harjot Singh Bains", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 17, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_ad7f2c1c6058", "event_date": "2026-08-07", "supporting_event": "Harjot Singh Bains announced that Punjab has emerged as the top performer in the NITI Aayog School Education Quality Index 2026.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_ad7f2c1c", "storyline": "Punjab School Education Quality Index 2026", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Environment"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_9e6eabd8f8241af88b23", "t_512174914ada65a7565b", "t_9cf5973c295a2052540f"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "Harjot Singh Bains", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Punjab has emerged as the top-ranked state in the NITI Aayog School Education Quality Index (SEQI) 2026, Education Minister Harjot Singh Bains said in the state assembly on Thursday", "quote_doc_id": "t_ad7f2c1c60584fad9038", "settling_ids": ["t_ad7f2c1c60584fad9038", "t_e109dbecee013b076292", "t_f0ef84c83a740f32363a"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Harjot Singh Bains", "Punjab", "NITI Aayog"]}
{"id": "e_ae32cbef3330_i0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "What is the number of registrations received by the Delhi Lakshmi Yojana by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "33700", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 11, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_ae32cbef3330", "event_date": "2026-08-01", "supporting_event": "The Delhi Lakshmi Yojana received over 33,700 registrations within 12 hours of its portal going live.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_9b65b0e5", "storyline": "Delhi Lakshmi Yojana registration", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_5b86587cbc02f5d25d0c", "t_5b49708d30126a7498f1", "t_20960c8a4279acba2f8f"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "33700", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_27a0d3ca7cceefa44dd6_0", "settling_ids": ["t_27a0d3ca7cceefa44dd6", "t_ae32cbef3330c975985f", "t_786fac0946d22e7604cf", "t_086c2ae00d81876df6b9", "t_348bf5155ebff874877b", "t_a18a0d63a3d0395de4cc"], "visible_detail": "the number of registrations received within 12 hours"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Delhi Lakshmi Yojana", "Rekha Gupta"]}
{"id": "e_b0e79e133042_i0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "What is the number of people in line outside the United States Appraisers Building by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "approximately 30", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 6, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_b0e79e133042", "event_date": "2026-07-27", "supporting_event": "The Trump administration announced a sweeping change that could affect up to 444,000 asylum cases.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_b0e79e13", "storyline": "asylum case processing changes", "linked_domains": ["Law", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_96724445aea5ca26d40e", "t_4c35d8d61be707efa6f1", "t_fccd7e12eeee8148bbbc", "t_24fc17e0e442850496ff", "t_3e5130e442846ae1c100"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "approximately 30", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_b0e79e13304224812a17_0", "settling_ids": ["t_b0e79e13304224812a17", "t_6fb5ff0e4e09f689d464"], "visible_detail": "the number of people in line"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Trump administration", "U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services"]}
{"id": "e_b41c9fa7e188_q2", "domain": "Politics", "question": "How many deaths will occur during the elections in Pakistan-administered Kashmir by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "19", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "people", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 6, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_b41c9fa7e188", "event_date": "2026-07-27", "supporting_event": "The first phase of elections in Pakistan-administered Kashmir resulted in at least 19 deaths.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_75f751fa", "storyline": "2026 Azad Jammu and Kashmir Legislative Assembly elections", "linked_domains": ["Geopolitics", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_192252cca656d904a845", "t_94d8d15c4eddc2f85168", "t_29904645aacd6b6a40f0", "t_d26b5eb0f88bed17d259", "t_81c14e442f09a4cd2b21", "t_b5f8425eb18a203f8b92"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "19", "tolerance": 0.1, "quote": "elections turn violent, leaving 19 dead amid rigging allegations", "quote_doc_id": "t_7828f9f758bd5edde481", "settling_ids": ["t_b41c9fa7e18832e4f8ee", "t_a6295cee41e98e09d1f1", "t_7828f9f758bd5edde481", "t_ec3250b25417a90b3e8e"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Pakistan-administered Kashmir", "Joint Awami Action Committee"]}
{"id": "e_b597cb1b71b5_q0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "How many people will Arvind Kejriwal lead in the march to Prime Minister Modi's residence by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "100", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "people", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 14, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_b597cb1b71b5", "event_date": "2026-08-04", "supporting_event": "Arvind Kejriwal will lead a march to Prime Minister Modi's residence with 100 people.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_0817cdbd", "storyline": "E20 petrol policy protest", "linked_domains": ["Geopolitics", "Law"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_9f1ad1bc2a1a85f67b4d", "t_ad81a3995dac4cc57972"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "100", "tolerance": 0.05, "quote": "Kejriwal said, “Tomorrow at 12:00 PM, I will set out from my office with a group of 100 people to head towards the Prime Minister's residence.”", "quote_doc_id": "t_c69afe88965241e1e7aa", "settling_ids": ["t_b597cb1b71b598b9fa4d", "t_a0e410fa7bf05e2b0605", "t_4ca177276b507981426f", "t_c69afe88965241e1e7aa"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Arvind Kejriwal", "Prime Minister Modi"]}
{"id": "e_b690c1cc19a0_q0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "How many days after the protests intensified will Dharmendra Pradhan resign as Union Education Minister by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "10", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "days", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 4, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_b690c1cc19a0", "event_date": "2026-07-25", "supporting_event": "Dharmendra Pradhan resigned as Union Education Minister amid pressure over irregularities in the NEET exams.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_1efdd3cd", "storyline": "NEET-UG protests", "linked_domains": ["Geopolitics", "Law"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_4d6065e2f78339c75301", "t_63a439cd947830023af2", "t_3293c0f4ac32c27e4c9a", "t_7616077be61e5e170e1e", "t_48fa1f2bd9be03c812ec"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "10", "tolerance": 0.1, "quote": "he was “disturbed” by the developments of the past 10 days", "quote_doc_id": "t_b690c1cc19a0b47ecb6f", "settling_ids": ["t_b690c1cc19a0b47ecb6f", "t_dfe4d8c673299a08f1fa", "t_d80699c4ae75642fef89"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Dharmendra Pradhan", "Prime Minister Narendra Modi", "NEET"]}
{"id": "e_b8fd7ec96d12_a0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "What will be the new tariff rate imposed by the Trump administration by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "10% to 12.5%", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "A", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 1, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_b8fd7ec96d12", "event_date": "2026-07-22", "supporting_event": "The Trump administration plans to redirect research funds toward AI, away from colleges.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_b8fd7ec9", "storyline": "2026 federal research funding overhaul", "linked_domains": ["Law", "Sports", "Technology"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_8fee746d453019579025", "t_7645718b40b4861bb73a"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "10% to 12.5%", "tolerance": null, "quote": "he's imposing new ones of between 10% to 12.5%.", "quote_doc_id": "a_9fc70a503dbcbd3eeb80", "settling_ids": ["a_9fc70a503dbcbd3eeb80", "t_b8fd7ec96d1252818c6b", "t_b28c51ea00758cb0f673"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Trump administration", "White House", "White House Office of Science and Technology Policy"]}
{"id": "e_b8fd7ec96d12_d0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "What is the maximum size of substrates Aeluma is developing for high-performance photonics by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "300mm", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "mm", "modality_required": "D", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 1, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_b8fd7ec96d12", "event_date": "2026-07-22", "supporting_event": "The Trump administration plans to redirect research funds toward AI, away from colleges.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_b8fd7ec9", "storyline": "2026 federal research funding overhaul", "linked_domains": ["Law", "Sports", "Technology"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_8fee746d453019579025", "t_7645718b40b4861bb73a"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "300mm", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Aeluma pioneered a platform to build high-performance photonics on large-diameter, mismatched substrates up to 300mm in size.", "quote_doc_id": "d_e6aa9e110ee431a375b4", "settling_ids": ["d_e6aa9e110ee431a375b4", "t_b8fd7ec96d1252818c6b", "t_b28c51ea00758cb0f673"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Trump administration", "White House", "White House Office of Science and Technology Policy"]}
{"id": "e_b8fd7ec96d12_q0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "How many billions in research funds will the Trump administration redirect toward AI, away from colleges, by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "200", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "billion", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 1, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_b8fd7ec96d12", "event_date": "2026-07-22", "supporting_event": "The Trump administration plans to redirect research funds toward AI, away from colleges.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_b8fd7ec9", "storyline": "2026 federal research funding overhaul", "linked_domains": ["Law", "Sports", "Technology"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_8fee746d453019579025", "t_7645718b40b4861bb73a"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "200", "tolerance": 0.1, "quote": "shape a roughly $200 billion annual federal research and development budget", "quote_doc_id": "t_b8fd7ec96d1252818c6b", "settling_ids": ["t_b8fd7ec96d1252818c6b", "t_b28c51ea00758cb0f673", "d_e6aa9e110ee431a375b4", "a_9fc70a503dbcbd3eeb80"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Trump administration", "White House", "White House Office of Science and Technology Policy"]}
{"id": "e_b94c4a99cd3d_q1", "domain": "Politics", "question": "How many years will it have been since Sheikh Hasina last held a media interaction by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "2", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "years", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 14, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_b94c4a99cd3d", "event_date": "2026-08-04", "supporting_event": "India distanced itself from Sheikh Hasina's planned media interaction in New Delhi.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_057f80f5", "storyline": "Sheikh Hasina's public re-emergence", "linked_domains": ["Geopolitics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_7af1d3e4602b9d4aa33e", "t_5b132292e954cd376d62", "t_6939ac868271053cdfed"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "2", "tolerance": 0.1, "quote": "Hasina is set to hold her first interaction with the media today evening, two years after she fled Dhaka after the collapse of her government following a massive anti-government protest.", "quote_doc_id": "t_b94c4a99cd3d77679846", "settling_ids": ["t_b94c4a99cd3d77679846", "t_4a0efe4f39850686221d", "t_73f2253ec89f8a7a62ba", "t_73d5515cbff6ab5094c6"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["India", "Sheikh Hasina"]}
{"id": "e_ba965106ebba_q0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "What percentage drop in mileage did Arvind Kejriwal claim occurred due to the implementation of E20 fuel by 2026-08-11?", "options": ["5-10 per cent", "25-30 per cent", "10-15 per cent", "35-40 per cent"], "answer": "25-30 per cent", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 16, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_ba965106ebba", "event_date": "2026-08-06", "supporting_event": "Arvind Kejriwal urged people to avoid buying new petrol and diesel vehicles until the government clarifies its stance on E20 fuel.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_0817cdbd", "storyline": "E20 petrol policy protest", "linked_domains": ["Geopolitics", "Law"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_12b2f97328b2ea619165", "t_d3fa437f7515f41248a2", "t_103e9335f71669e6adb6", "t_f048b2a71b10ee39e391", "t_90b80e34d93b5bcd7ccc"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "25-30 per cent", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the mileage of two-wheelers, motorcycles, scooters, cars, SUVs and other four-wheelers had dropped by around 25-30 per cent.", "quote_doc_id": "t_ba965106ebba8358373f", "settling_ids": ["t_ba965106ebba8358373f", "t_cb801cc41a02df057c8f", "t_716a7c30e2183844828c", "t_349e470f07caffb7eb2f"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Arvind Kejriwal", "Aam Aadmi Party"]}
{"id": "e_ba965106ebba_q1", "domain": "Politics", "question": "How many families in Goa did Arvind Kejriwal claim could be affected by the decision regarding E20 fuel by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "85", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 16, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_ba965106ebba", "event_date": "2026-08-06", "supporting_event": "Arvind Kejriwal urged people to avoid buying new petrol and diesel vehicles until the government clarifies its stance on E20 fuel.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_0817cdbd", "storyline": "E20 petrol policy protest", "linked_domains": ["Geopolitics", "Law"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_12b2f97328b2ea619165", "t_d3fa437f7515f41248a2", "t_103e9335f71669e6adb6", "t_f048b2a71b10ee39e391", "t_90b80e34d93b5bcd7ccc"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "85", "tolerance": 0.05, "quote": "around 85-90 per cent of families in Goa could be affected by the decision due to the high ownership of vehicles in the state.", "quote_doc_id": "t_ba965106ebba8358373f", "settling_ids": ["t_ba965106ebba8358373f", "t_cb801cc41a02df057c8f", "t_716a7c30e2183844828c", "t_349e470f07caffb7eb2f"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Arvind Kejriwal", "Aam Aadmi Party"]}
{"id": "e_be41421b5034_q0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "How many metro stations will be closed in Delhi due to the Cockroach Janata Party protest by 2026-07-28?", "options": ["5", "18", "12", "10"], "answer": "18", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 4, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_be41421b5034", "event_date": "2026-07-25", "supporting_event": "Eighteen metro stations in Delhi were closed due to security concerns amid the Cockroach Janata Party protest.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_1e8cccaa", "storyline": "CJP protest response", "linked_domains": ["Law"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_9fa5639b7a921b6d1f2a", "t_c68427f2a3609a89e444", "t_3fdc3470a3f791d0be86"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "18", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the Delhi Metro Rail Corporation shared a list of 18 metro stations which will remain shut on Saturday, July 25, amid the ongoing Cockroach Janata Party (CJP) protest at the Janata Mantar.", "quote_doc_id": "t_be41421b5034c199f55a", "settling_ids": ["t_be41421b5034c199f55a", "t_ab0957fbb5e0e726ffc2", "t_7447836cb4d7dbd7eb49", "t_2fd7842552e6078e0a18"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Delhi Metro Rail Corporation", "Cockroach Janata Party"]}
{"id": "e_c01521efc9a0_q0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "Will the US House of Representatives pass a military spending package by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 2, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_c01521efc9a0", "event_date": "2026-07-23", "supporting_event": "The US House of Representatives passed a $1.15 trillion military spending package.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_c01521ef", "storyline": "2026 US military budget approval", "linked_domains": ["Geopolitics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_dd7c68ca779e01896be4", "t_0edaeddf6dac8a05a3a1"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the House of Representatives approved a massive £858 billion ($1.15 trillion) defence authorisation package by a razor-thin margin of 216 votes to 212.", "quote_doc_id": "t_507964f72e3246dc4cd3", "settling_ids": ["t_c01521efc9a0bb9021cf", "t_507964f72e3246dc4cd3"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["US House of Representatives"]}
{"id": "e_c12b760f840d_q0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "Will Rustem Umerov be appointed to a new position in Ukraine's government by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 13, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_c12b760f840d", "event_date": "2026-08-03", "supporting_event": "President Volodymyr Zelenskiy put Ukraine's chief peace negotiator Rustem Umerov in charge of foreign intelligence.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_c12b760f", "storyline": "Ukraine government reshuffle August 2026", "linked_domains": ["Geopolitics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_0957c37efd564cb9296b", "t_5d8a0f8d7ce2f5c25079", "t_10e68ceeff75e4f0daa1", "t_3abf26089011f9f71b63"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "President Volodymyr Zelenskiy put Ukraine's chief peace negotiator in charge of foreign intelligence on Monday", "quote_doc_id": "t_c12b760f840d812f230e", "settling_ids": ["t_c12b760f840d812f230e", "t_b513dff47c4252df3785"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Rustem Umerov", "Volodymyr Zelenskiy"]}
{"id": "e_c12b760f840d_q0_neg", "domain": "Politics", "question": "Will Rustem Umerov be appointed to a new position in Ukraine's government by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "No", "answer_type": "perturbed_binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 13, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_c12b760f840d", "event_date": "2026-08-03", "supporting_event": "President Volodymyr Zelenskiy put Ukraine's chief peace negotiator Rustem Umerov in charge of foreign intelligence.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_c12b760f", "storyline": "Ukraine government reshuffle August 2026", "linked_domains": ["Geopolitics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_0957c37efd564cb9296b", "t_5d8a0f8d7ce2f5c25079", "t_10e68ceeff75e4f0daa1", "t_3abf26089011f9f71b63"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "perturbed_binary", "value": "No", "tolerance": null, "quote": "President Volodymyr Zelenskiy put Ukraine's chief peace negotiator in charge of foreign intelligence on Monday", "quote_doc_id": "t_c12b760f840d812f230e", "settling_ids": ["t_c12b760f840d812f230e", "t_b513dff47c4252df3785"], "derivation": "the event dated 2026-08-03 is after the shifted deadline 2026-07-28, so the claim is false at that deadline"}, "perturbation": {"field": "deadline", "original": "2026-08-04", "substituted": "2026-07-28", "v40_substituted": "2026-07-27"}, "paired_with": "e_c12b760f840d_q0", "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Rustem Umerov", "Volodymyr Zelenskiy"]}
{"id": "e_c472f5b07112_q2", "domain": "Politics", "question": "How many million dollars in international family planning funds will U.S. Senators Jeanne Shaheen and Lisa Murkowski urge Secretary of State Marco Rubio to unlock by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "608", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "million dollars", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 9, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_c472f5b07112", "event_date": "2026-07-30", "supporting_event": "U.S. Senators Jeanne Shaheen and Lisa Murkowski sent a letter urging Secretary of State Marco Rubio to take action regarding the Ebola outbreak's impact on women and infants.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_c472f5b0", "storyline": "Ebola outbreak response", "linked_domains": ["Health"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["a_01380f1aa8968a9ffb19", "d_4ff5e6e20d879735f6bf", "t_00e78d2092adaac4c3fb", "t_2a97ebce38d04e7a7358"], "precursor_modalities": ["A", "D", "T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "608", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the senators asked Rubio to use $608 million in international family planning funds from the fiscal year 2026 appropriations bill", "quote_doc_id": "t_bc4c31ecd2956fbf65a5", "settling_ids": ["t_c472f5b07112fd542481", "t_08edd46db03021bcb3d9", "t_bc4c31ecd2956fbf65a5"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Jeanne Shaheen", "Lisa Murkowski", "Marco Rubio", "Ebola outbreak", "UN Population Fund"]}
{"id": "e_c6f74bb1c519_q0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "Who will resign as Union education minister by 2026-07-28 due to student protests over the NEET paper leak?", "options": ["Dharmendra Pradhan", "Nirmala Sitharaman", "Amit Shah", "Smriti Irani"], "answer": "Dharmendra Pradhan", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 4, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_c6f74bb1c519", "event_date": "2026-07-25", "supporting_event": "Dharmendra Pradhan resigned as Union education minister on July 25 due to student protests.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_248438b0", "storyline": "NEET paper leak protests", "linked_domains": ["Geopolitics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_63a439cd947830023af2", "t_3050937ecda96c88cd7a", "t_7616077be61e5e170e1e"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "Dharmendra Pradhan", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Union Education Minister Dharmendra Pradhan resigned on Saturday (July 25), bringing an end to weeks of intense student protests at Jantar Mantar in Delhi that had demanded his resignation over the NEET-UG medical entrance examination paper leak.", "quote_doc_id": "t_c6f74bb1c51956c618ce", "settling_ids": ["t_c6f74bb1c51956c618ce", "t_705e634a5a71e84f4325", "t_ad36fb21891b6d0b4c27", "t_0f6a43d1b854fe37d1fa"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Dharmendra Pradhan", "Union education minister", "NEET-UG"]}
{"id": "e_c6f74bb1c519_q1", "domain": "Politics", "question": "On what date will Dharmendra Pradhan resign as Union education minister due to student protests over the NEET paper leak by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "2026-07-25", "answer_type": "date", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 4, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_c6f74bb1c519", "event_date": "2026-07-25", "supporting_event": "Dharmendra Pradhan resigned as Union education minister on July 25 due to student protests.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_248438b0", "storyline": "NEET paper leak protests", "linked_domains": ["Geopolitics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_63a439cd947830023af2", "t_3050937ecda96c88cd7a", "t_7616077be61e5e170e1e"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "date", "value": "2026-07-25", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Union Education Minister Dharmendra Pradhan resigned on Saturday (July 25), bringing an end to weeks of intense student protests at Jantar Mantar in Delhi that had demanded his resignation over the NEET-UG medical entrance examination paper leak.", "quote_doc_id": "t_c6f74bb1c51956c618ce", "settling_ids": ["t_c6f74bb1c51956c618ce", "t_705e634a5a71e84f4325", "t_ad36fb21891b6d0b4c27", "t_0f6a43d1b854fe37d1fa"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Dharmendra Pradhan", "Union education minister", "NEET-UG"]}
{"id": "e_c743d3766706_q0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "How many people will be evacuated from villages in Spain due to wildfires by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "10000", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 3, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_c743d3766706", "event_date": "2026-07-24", "supporting_event": "Spain declared a national emergency after wildfires forced the evacuation of around 10,000 people.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_c743d376", "storyline": "wildfire emergency response in Spain", "linked_domains": ["Environment"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_c5078e49d3293f951bd7", "t_8e53a56beca58491c5a7", "t_61bf3b091ba95eb45c38", "t_860a6a69fdb1b92d5b2c"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "10000", "tolerance": null, "quote": "approximately 10,000 people were evacuated from several villages", "quote_doc_id": "t_c743d37667068cbb679b", "settling_ids": ["t_c743d37667068cbb679b", "t_56e0a6a4ea0e286fb468", "d_012c969dab5422a6e5bc", "d_c2ce507d410a3290ac3c"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Spain", "Madrid"]}
{"id": "e_c906fb3efeb0_i0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "What is the train number associated with PT KCIC by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "KCIC400AF 22 09", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 15, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_c906fb3efeb0", "event_date": "2026-08-05", "supporting_event": "Indonesia's government will take over a controlling stake in PT KCIC.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_c906fb3e", "storyline": "Indonesia high-speed railway acquisition", "linked_domains": ["Business"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_c2543f4cbb25af07dec0", "t_3725a3d6e90f3a6e275e", "t_0bfaa29279f9962b8d8b", "t_0d7f1b5bd4d004a06d33"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "KCIC400AF 22 09", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_c906fb3efeb06c789ee5_0", "settling_ids": ["t_c906fb3efeb06c789ee5", "t_4d7b462dc78b7620e4d6", "t_06101de4c012a3a8d866", "t_a5adda90add520938cef", "t_21759ac04829ce01d860"], "visible_detail": "the train number KCIC400AF 22 09"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Indonesia government", "Purbaya Yudhi Sadewa", "PT KCIC", "Danantara"]}
{"id": "e_c906fb3efeb0_q0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "Who will take over a controlling stake in PT KCIC by 2026-08-11?", "options": ["Indonesian government", "Danantara", "PT Kereta Api Indonesia", "Chinese government"], "answer": "Indonesian government", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 15, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_c906fb3efeb0", "event_date": "2026-08-05", "supporting_event": "Indonesia's government will take over a controlling stake in PT KCIC.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_c906fb3e", "storyline": "Indonesia high-speed railway acquisition", "linked_domains": ["Business"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_c2543f4cbb25af07dec0", "t_3725a3d6e90f3a6e275e", "t_0bfaa29279f9962b8d8b", "t_0d7f1b5bd4d004a06d33"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "Indonesian government", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Indonesia’s government will take over a controlling stake in the company operating a US$7.3 billion (S$9.4 billion) China-funded high-speed railway.", "quote_doc_id": "t_c906fb3efeb06c789ee5", "settling_ids": ["t_c906fb3efeb06c789ee5", "t_4d7b462dc78b7620e4d6", "t_06101de4c012a3a8d866", "t_a5adda90add520938cef"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Indonesia government", "Purbaya Yudhi Sadewa", "PT KCIC", "Danantara"]}
{"id": "e_c9496287cb1d_v0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "What date is mentioned in the frames regarding Lafayette's arrival in America by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "June 9, 1778", "answer_type": "date", "unit": null, "modality_required": "V", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 2, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_c9496287cb1d", "event_date": "2026-07-23", "supporting_event": "India national cricket team won the first T20I against Zimbabwe.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_0938a9fb", "storyline": "2026 India Tour of Zimbabwe", "linked_domains": ["Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_22cda8b55208405733a7", "t_a6e16f3e3ddfe10e9777", "t_18e3b43d386b0c1bc2f9"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "date", "value": "June 9, 1778", "tolerance": null, "quote": "America 250 C-SPAN Tours National Archives", "quote_doc_id": "v_13775deb03c4a987f812", "settling_ids": ["t_c9496287cb1d573c2489", "t_5c88ccb9061e2d94555b", "t_039e7f4a1d9623dde448", "t_9fefd5167e6977d0a466", "t_42599c584da4e617c37b", "t_ebe7c7138d69faa420ef"], "visible_detail": ""}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["India national cricket team", "Zimbabwe national cricket team"]}
{"id": "e_caf18374a8a9_q0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "Will Abdul El-Sayed hold a joint campaign rally with Michigan Democratic candidates by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 18, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_caf18374a8a9", "event_date": "2026-08-08", "supporting_event": "Abdul El-Sayed held a joint campaign rally with Michigan Democratic candidates.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_caf18374", "storyline": "2026 Michigan Democratic Campaign", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["v_5f906f876238364d88f2", "t_4174b54c83ce7263686c", "t_8bfcab2df8d1a1a787ac", "t_02f7db25d800feb6d441", "t_e3b2e86feb5816bb413d"], "precursor_modalities": ["T", "V"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Democrats rallied in Detroit behind Abdul El-Sayed after a fight over Israel and a $60 million spending gap.", "quote_doc_id": "t_279626533c8798a449b8", "settling_ids": ["t_279626533c8798a449b8", "t_1a30d72cbb01874eab84", "t_4035bd209c172775f907"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Abdul El-Sayed", "Pete Buttigieg", "Jocelyn Benson", "Garlin Gilchrist", "Eli Savit"]}
{"id": "e_caf18374a8a9_q0_neg", "domain": "Politics", "question": "Will Abdul El-Sayed hold a joint campaign rally with Michigan Democratic candidates by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "No", "answer_type": "perturbed_binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 18, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_caf18374a8a9", "event_date": "2026-08-08", "supporting_event": "Abdul El-Sayed held a joint campaign rally with Michigan Democratic candidates.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_caf18374", "storyline": "2026 Michigan Democratic Campaign", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["v_5f906f876238364d88f2", "t_4174b54c83ce7263686c", "t_8bfcab2df8d1a1a787ac", "t_02f7db25d800feb6d441", "t_e3b2e86feb5816bb413d"], "precursor_modalities": ["T", "V"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "perturbed_binary", "value": "No", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Democrats rallied in Detroit behind Abdul El-Sayed after a fight over Israel and a $60 million spending gap.", "quote_doc_id": "t_279626533c8798a449b8", "settling_ids": ["t_279626533c8798a449b8", "t_1a30d72cbb01874eab84", "t_4035bd209c172775f907"], "derivation": "the event dated 2026-08-08 is after the shifted deadline 2026-08-04, so the claim is false at that deadline"}, "perturbation": {"field": "deadline", "original": "2026-08-11", "substituted": "2026-08-04", "v40_substituted": "2026-07-30"}, "paired_with": "e_caf18374a8a9_q0", "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Abdul El-Sayed", "Pete Buttigieg", "Jocelyn Benson", "Garlin Gilchrist", "Eli Savit"]}
{"id": "e_caf18374a8a9_q2", "domain": "Politics", "question": "How many votes will Abdul El-Sayed receive in the Michigan Democratic primary by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "740943", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 18, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_caf18374a8a9", "event_date": "2026-08-08", "supporting_event": "Abdul El-Sayed held a joint campaign rally with Michigan Democratic candidates.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_caf18374", "storyline": "2026 Michigan Democratic Campaign", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["v_5f906f876238364d88f2", "t_4174b54c83ce7263686c", "t_8bfcab2df8d1a1a787ac", "t_02f7db25d800feb6d441", "t_e3b2e86feb5816bb413d"], "precursor_modalities": ["T", "V"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "740943", "tolerance": 0, "quote": "As of Aug. 5, The New York Times live tracker showed El-Sayed ahead of Rep. Haley Stevens, 740,943 votes to 726,045, with more than 95% counted.", "quote_doc_id": "t_279626533c8798a449b8", "settling_ids": ["t_279626533c8798a449b8", "t_1a30d72cbb01874eab84", "t_4035bd209c172775f907"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Abdul El-Sayed", "Pete Buttigieg", "Jocelyn Benson", "Garlin Gilchrist", "Eli Savit"]}
{"id": "e_cbceae002062_i0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "What is the time mentioned on the placard regarding the paper leak by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "12 मिनट", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 12, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_cbceae002062", "event_date": "2026-08-02", "supporting_event": "Cockroach Janta Party extended support to students protesting in Jharkhand over alleged irregularities in JPSC and JSSC CGL exams.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_cbceae00", "storyline": "Jharkhand student protests over exam irregularities", "linked_domains": ["Environment", "Law"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_df83b1dfc3267874ae27", "t_1bdfd4e428c087faf5fc", "t_db4d38e8926929e0e0e9", "t_dea91926b185afaab502"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "12 मिनट", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_cbceae0020622455d390_0", "settling_ids": ["t_cbceae0020622455d390", "t_6bb29101358e34ffcb43", "t_ce49ccc1aac72683e535", "t_6f535cead0b4d3719d55", "t_dc918f7161a0d1110a81", "t_c7db6ca0e581741cb9b6"], "visible_detail": "the text on the placard stating 'PAPER LEAK 12 मिनट!'"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Cockroach Janta Party", "Jharkhand", "JPSC", "JSSC CGL"]}
{"id": "e_cc9b6d78ec81_q1", "domain": "Politics", "question": "How many Republican senators are resisting Todd Blanche's nomination by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "2", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 9, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_cc9b6d78ec81", "event_date": "2026-07-30", "supporting_event": "Todd Blanche's nomination to become attorney general stalled as lawmakers scrapped a planned committee vote.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_a126d45e", "storyline": "Todd Blanche attorney general nomination process", "linked_domains": ["Geopolitics", "Law", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_2007ab8c6781f6bea125", "t_11cec0dd4d912e2379f9", "t_71f6f11f559f65f24099", "t_c7e1fbf69c871554227b", "t_e8e3331c1817dc49ba15"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "2", "tolerance": null, "quote": "But resistance from two Republican senators on the committee who could block Blanche's nomination threw his confirmation into doubt.", "quote_doc_id": "t_cc9b6d78ec81143cce62", "settling_ids": ["t_cc9b6d78ec81143cce62", "t_c7cacd13e1e4398fcf8f", "t_e0394b9c3616b74e835c", "t_57ef13cd78369466876d", "a_3284dfc26f66bec66eca"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Todd Blanche", "Donald Trump", "Senate Judiciary Committee"]}
{"id": "e_ce74661ac982_v0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "What is the name of the state senator introduced during the broadcast by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "Jeremy England", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "V", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 3, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_ce74661ac982", "event_date": "2026-07-24", "supporting_event": "Singapore will open Group A against Cambodia at the ASEAN Hyundai Cup 2026.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_0a1b5459", "storyline": "ASEAN Hyundai Cup 2026", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Environment", "Geopolitics", "Law", "Politics", "Technology"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_715ed2c5ab6989c8a265", "t_c8c869c2cc94c4862381", "t_f6a590b363cdf7372601", "t_e0c49ebae82485203de4"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "Jeremy England", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Campaign 2026 State Officials on Midterm Election", "quote_doc_id": "v_fe962bcf68b2e80372cd", "settling_ids": ["t_d10e2a5bd4bbad0e5a18", "t_ce74661ac982d506a3b1", "t_e0647dc800c5ca676da2", "t_d740e9426fb05a8576cb"], "visible_detail": "the name of a state senator introduced part-way through"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Singapore", "Cambodia", "ASEAN Hyundai Cup 2026"]}
{"id": "e_d3e586cb0bf1_q1", "domain": "Politics", "question": "What will be the total amount of financial sanctions approved for infrastructure development in Uttarakhand by 2026-08-04?", "options": ["₹150 crore", "₹227 crore", "₹100 crore", "₹300 crore"], "answer": "₹227 crore", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": "crore", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 11, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_d3e586cb0bf1", "event_date": "2026-08-01", "supporting_event": "Uttarakhand Chief Minister Pushkar Singh Dhami approved financial sanctions worth about ₹227 crore for infrastructure development.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_3bbb43f4", "storyline": "Uttarakhand infrastructure development approvals", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Environment"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_78676d36c8813300c540", "t_d1021c3e39a813cfd11e", "t_8e6b499a254d40ebced2"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "₹227 crore", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Uttarakhand Chief Minister Pushkar Singh Dhami has approved financial sanctions worth about ₹227 crore for infrastructure development", "quote_doc_id": "t_a042f2ef292693dfa42b", "settling_ids": ["t_d3e586cb0bf10b277bb0", "t_a042f2ef292693dfa42b"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Uttarakhand", "Pushkar Singh Dhami"]}
{"id": "e_d474cb22bda9_q0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "Who will eulogize Sen. Lindsey Graham during memorial services by 2026-08-04?", "options": ["Senator Mitch McConnell", "Governor Ron DeSantis", "Senator Ted Cruz", "President Donald Trump"], "answer": "President Donald Trump", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 8, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_d474cb22bda9", "event_date": "2026-07-29", "supporting_event": "President Donald Trump eulogized Sen. Lindsey Graham as a 'true American original' during memorial services.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_d474cb22", "storyline": "Lindsey Graham memorial services", "linked_domains": ["Geopolitics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_64b716b1db1b9ed59952", "t_e2181ded24976b656550", "t_bfc31688f5b3a5651d67"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "President Donald Trump", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Trump called Graham “a giant of the United States Senate, a true American original who left us much too soon.”", "quote_doc_id": "t_d474cb22bda9f8d4976a", "settling_ids": ["t_d474cb22bda9f8d4976a", "t_5068a3b7a7939c2e15f5", "t_53c5ac68dbbc272f78f3", "t_8d029934a65f4c485984"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["President Donald Trump", "Sen. Lindsey Graham"]}
{"id": "e_d474cb22bda9_q1", "domain": "Politics", "question": "How many years did Sen. Lindsey Graham serve in the U.S. Senate by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "30", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "years", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 8, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_d474cb22bda9", "event_date": "2026-07-29", "supporting_event": "President Donald Trump eulogized Sen. Lindsey Graham as a 'true American original' during memorial services.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_d474cb22", "storyline": "Lindsey Graham memorial services", "linked_domains": ["Geopolitics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_64b716b1db1b9ed59952", "t_e2181ded24976b656550", "t_bfc31688f5b3a5651d67"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "30", "tolerance": 0.05, "quote": "Graham served for more than 30 years as an indefatigable dealmaker", "quote_doc_id": "t_d474cb22bda9f8d4976a", "settling_ids": ["t_d474cb22bda9f8d4976a", "t_5068a3b7a7939c2e15f5", "t_53c5ac68dbbc272f78f3", "t_8d029934a65f4c485984"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["President Donald Trump", "Sen. Lindsey Graham"]}
{"id": "e_d6a9b1aeecab_v0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "What is the name of the person portrayed in the broadcast clip by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "Benjamin Franklin", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "V", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 11, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_d6a9b1aeecab", "event_date": "2026-08-01", "supporting_event": "Alexandra Eala won the Washington Open.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_12cc0a85", "storyline": "2026 WTA Tour", "linked_domains": ["Health"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_c0fe9eff3cc6953518cd", "t_9d0bb0a4d44e6534acd8", "t_30cab82a7d43ec1343b5", "d_628d51426f095b8fe3f4"], "precursor_modalities": ["D", "T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "Benjamin Franklin", "tolerance": null, "quote": "America 250 A Conversation with George Washington and Ben Franklin", "quote_doc_id": "v_bd5b5086cc6fc6c33814", "settling_ids": ["t_62aecc40d710e02d4cd3", "t_28a38d01f19466b05b99", "t_2931ba0d56e9a396ddae", "t_d6a9b1aeecab5fe7f1c0", "t_849773d6389c408c0a13", "t_c74249de0fdb4ec5810f"], "visible_detail": "the name of the person portrayed in the frames"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Alexandra Eala", "Jessica Pegula", "Washington Open"]}
{"id": "e_d8da56cd8162_q0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "What reason did Dharmendra Pradhan give for his resignation from the Union Education Minister post by 2026-07-28?", "options": ["Due to personal health issues", "To join a political party in opposition", "In the larger interest of students", "To pursue a career in academia"], "answer": "In the larger interest of students", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 4, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_d8da56cd8162", "event_date": "2026-07-25", "supporting_event": "Dharmendra Pradhan resigned from the post of Union Education Minister on July 25.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_248438b0", "storyline": "NEET paper leak protests", "linked_domains": ["Geopolitics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_63a439cd947830023af2", "t_7616077be61e5e170e1e"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "In the larger interest of students", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Pradhan said he had decided to leave the Union Council of Ministers in the larger interest of students, adding that he wanted to ensure the nation's youth were not 'caught in a web of confusion'.", "quote_doc_id": "t_d8da56cd8162e31f667c", "settling_ids": ["t_d8da56cd8162e31f667c", "t_b31887b3f74c3b082778", "t_987147a6c786bbf8fd37"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Dharmendra Pradhan", "BJP", "NEET-UG"]}
{"id": "e_daf89bb3bd7c_d0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "What date was the food additive petition filed by Evonik Corporation by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "June 16, 2026", "answer_type": "date", "unit": null, "modality_required": "D", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 2, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_daf89bb3bd7c", "event_date": "2026-07-23", "supporting_event": "The government will continue to supply premium petrol grades without ethanol blending.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_daf89bb3", "storyline": "Ethanol blending policy in India", "linked_domains": ["Business"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_f1343a471aa8b0d2645e", "t_3fb0b58526a763855459", "t_1d0034dd1b6e8e4065c5", "t_74df00131fa96d04193b", "t_2dab9676fc98178f0742"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "date", "value": "June 16, 2026", "tolerance": null, "quote": "The food additive petition was filed on June 16, 2026.", "quote_doc_id": "d_8451a06c7ba7b65954d3", "settling_ids": ["d_8451a06c7ba7b65954d3", "t_b33fa2b1d3128287fa6c", "t_daf89bb3bd7cd5f95ce9", "t_7d7f45d1f52953446c61", "t_6d44e2ecf65576d445b6", "t_0bb8ac2def13c59e57a0", "t_1a57232fb6072ccdb002"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["the government", "Indian Oil Corp", "Hindustan Petroleum", "Bharat Petroleum"]}
{"id": "e_dcc2ee7b81b6_q0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "Will Donald Trump publicly support Gianni Infantino's continued leadership by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 20, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_dcc2ee7b81b6", "event_date": "2026-08-10", "supporting_event": "Donald Trump backed FIFA president Gianni Infantino, stating it would be a 'terrible mistake' to replace him.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_7f499f77", "storyline": "FIFA leadership evaluation", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Geopolitics", "Law", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_e959f12a3497fe518048", "t_a7cc2a5cce0b6b89e324", "t_e2d413f4479f41ed81df", "t_d3e9ab5d74184a4a4b8e", "t_ebbb0009f74100281868", "t_14bf7797b763faa2476a"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "FIFA would be making a terrible mistake if, for any reason, they even considered replacing President Gianni Infantino.", "quote_doc_id": "t_dcc2ee7b81b65c4d0524", "settling_ids": ["t_dcc2ee7b81b65c4d0524", "t_e878e36c82cc6a200271", "t_b82655e8ac29d7a6bb69", "t_d2f2ca780a295a8a1a63"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Donald Trump", "Gianni Infantino", "FIFA"]}
{"id": "e_dcc2ee7b81b6_q0_neg", "domain": "Politics", "question": "Will Donald Trump publicly support Gianni Infantino's continued leadership by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "No", "answer_type": "perturbed_binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 20, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_dcc2ee7b81b6", "event_date": "2026-08-10", "supporting_event": "Donald Trump backed FIFA president Gianni Infantino, stating it would be a 'terrible mistake' to replace him.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_7f499f77", "storyline": "FIFA leadership evaluation", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Geopolitics", "Law", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_e959f12a3497fe518048", "t_a7cc2a5cce0b6b89e324", "t_e2d413f4479f41ed81df", "t_d3e9ab5d74184a4a4b8e", "t_ebbb0009f74100281868", "t_14bf7797b763faa2476a"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "perturbed_binary", "value": "No", "tolerance": null, "quote": "FIFA would be making a terrible mistake if, for any reason, they even considered replacing President Gianni Infantino.", "quote_doc_id": "t_dcc2ee7b81b65c4d0524", "settling_ids": ["t_dcc2ee7b81b65c4d0524", "t_e878e36c82cc6a200271", "t_b82655e8ac29d7a6bb69", "t_d2f2ca780a295a8a1a63"], "derivation": "the event dated 2026-08-10 is after the shifted deadline 2026-08-04, so the claim is false at that deadline"}, "perturbation": {"field": "deadline", "original": "2026-08-11", "substituted": "2026-08-04", "v40_substituted": "2026-07-31"}, "paired_with": "e_dcc2ee7b81b6_q0", "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Donald Trump", "Gianni Infantino", "FIFA"]}
{"id": "e_dcc2ee7b81b6_q2", "domain": "Politics", "question": "How many times did Trump claim Infantino presided over the most successful World Cup by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "4", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 20, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_dcc2ee7b81b6", "event_date": "2026-08-10", "supporting_event": "Donald Trump backed FIFA president Gianni Infantino, stating it would be a 'terrible mistake' to replace him.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_7f499f77", "storyline": "FIFA leadership evaluation", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Geopolitics", "Law", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_e959f12a3497fe518048", "t_a7cc2a5cce0b6b89e324", "t_e2d413f4479f41ed81df", "t_d3e9ab5d74184a4a4b8e", "t_ebbb0009f74100281868", "t_14bf7797b763faa2476a"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "4", "tolerance": null, "quote": "he 'presided over the most successful World Cup, by four times, ever presented'.", "quote_doc_id": "t_dcc2ee7b81b65c4d0524", "settling_ids": ["t_dcc2ee7b81b65c4d0524", "t_e878e36c82cc6a200271", "t_b82655e8ac29d7a6bb69", "t_d2f2ca780a295a8a1a63"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Donald Trump", "Gianni Infantino", "FIFA"]}
{"id": "e_dda94086807f_q0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "How many votes will the U.S. Senate receive in favor of the short-term funding measure by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "90", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 18, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_dda94086807f", "event_date": "2026-08-08", "supporting_event": "The U.S. Senate approved a short-term measure to fund federal agencies into early December.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_dda94086", "storyline": "2026 U.S. government funding", "linked_domains": ["Geopolitics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_9b105ca5933d7b4a8808", "t_93908672d066b204371e"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "90", "tolerance": null, "quote": "The 90-6 vote showed lawmakers are still smarting from the two historic shutdowns in the last year and want to avoid another before voters go to the polls.", "quote_doc_id": "t_dda94086807fa9aff799", "settling_ids": ["t_dda94086807fa9aff799", "t_0837f267695c8308101d", "t_9d3c4cd1af8dbd25098a", "t_98d48fd010fed9ae3cfe"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["U.S. Senate"]}
{"id": "e_dda94086807f_q2", "domain": "Politics", "question": "Will the U.S. Senate approve a short-term funding measure to avoid a government shutdown by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 18, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_dda94086807f", "event_date": "2026-08-08", "supporting_event": "The U.S. Senate approved a short-term measure to fund federal agencies into early December.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_dda94086", "storyline": "2026 U.S. government funding", "linked_domains": ["Geopolitics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_9b105ca5933d7b4a8808", "t_93908672d066b204371e"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "The Senate in an overnight vote Saturday approved a short-term measure to fund federal agencies into early December and avoid a potentially chaotic government shutdown during the middle of campaign season.", "quote_doc_id": "t_9d3c4cd1af8dbd25098a", "settling_ids": ["t_dda94086807fa9aff799", "t_0837f267695c8308101d", "t_9d3c4cd1af8dbd25098a", "t_98d48fd010fed9ae3cfe"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["U.S. Senate"]}
{"id": "e_dda94086807f_q2_neg", "domain": "Politics", "question": "Will the U.S. Senate approve a short-term funding measure to avoid a government shutdown by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "No", "answer_type": "perturbed_binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 18, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_dda94086807f", "event_date": "2026-08-08", "supporting_event": "The U.S. Senate approved a short-term measure to fund federal agencies into early December.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_dda94086", "storyline": "2026 U.S. government funding", "linked_domains": ["Geopolitics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_9b105ca5933d7b4a8808", "t_93908672d066b204371e"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "perturbed_binary", "value": "No", "tolerance": null, "quote": "The Senate in an overnight vote Saturday approved a short-term measure to fund federal agencies into early December and avoid a potentially chaotic government shutdown during the middle of campaign season.", "quote_doc_id": "t_9d3c4cd1af8dbd25098a", "settling_ids": ["t_dda94086807fa9aff799", "t_0837f267695c8308101d", "t_9d3c4cd1af8dbd25098a", "t_98d48fd010fed9ae3cfe"], "derivation": "the event dated 2026-08-08 is after the shifted deadline 2026-08-04, so the claim is false at that deadline"}, "perturbation": {"field": "deadline", "original": "2026-08-11", "substituted": "2026-08-04", "v40_substituted": "2026-07-30"}, "paired_with": "e_dda94086807f_q2", "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["U.S. Senate"]}
{"id": "e_e1c0d62abf32_q1", "domain": "Politics", "question": "In a potential runoff by 2026-08-11, what percentage of the vote will Lula secure?", "options": ["42.4%", "39.1%", "49.3%", "48.0%"], "answer": "48.0%", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": "%", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 21, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_e1c0d62abf32", "event_date": "2026-08-11", "supporting_event": "Lula leads Bolsonaro with 48.0% in a potential runoff according to a CNT/MDA poll.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_e1c0d62a", "storyline": "2026 Brazilian general election", "linked_domains": ["Geopolitics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_e1a45734c5647e595d63", "t_11b7059d0afdbe557367", "t_185866a55d2aec6073e0"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "48.0%", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Lula would receive 48.0% of the votes in a runoff", "quote_doc_id": "t_e1c0d62abf327d3a5ae9", "settling_ids": ["t_e1c0d62abf327d3a5ae9", "t_888928781acb5a16fc29"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva", "Flavio Bolsonaro"]}
{"id": "e_e1ed7dd23e25_q0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "Which countries are likely to be affected by the steep tariffs imposed by President Donald Trump on those purchasing Russian oil and gas by 2026-08-04?", "options": ["China", "Brazil", "Germany", "Mexico"], "answer": "China", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 10, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_e1ed7dd23e25", "event_date": "2026-07-31", "supporting_event": "President Donald Trump could impose steep tariffs on countries that purchase large amounts of Russian oil and gas.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_e1ed7dd2", "storyline": "Russia sanctions Bill", "linked_domains": ["Geopolitics", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_df1a2d93cbcbd850a4c8", "t_9bbef3198a196f4b7dd4", "t_b59cff28f26e68d54381", "t_c900b6b5def5df1e87ab"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "China", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Those countries are not mentioned in the Bill but would likely include China, India and potentially some European countries and Japan.", "quote_doc_id": "t_e1ed7dd23e25981003ab", "settling_ids": ["t_e1ed7dd23e25981003ab", "t_4c3a98846414de1ae0c7"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["President Donald Trump", "Russia"]}
{"id": "e_e46d83a63a8a_q0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "How many senior commanders will Mojtaba Khamenei appoint to key military positions by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "6", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 21, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_e46d83a63a8a", "event_date": "2026-08-11", "supporting_event": "Mojtaba Khamenei appointed six senior commanders to key military positions.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_e46d83a6", "storyline": "Iran military leadership appointments", "linked_domains": ["Geopolitics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_4c06f9009ebd29ccfc4b", "t_b25325d4844b92bf1b22", "t_fe3a0515fdd78c7248f2"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "6", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Mojtaba Khamenei has appointed six senior commanders across the General Staff, Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) and Basij domestic security force", "quote_doc_id": "t_e46d83a63a8ac39b18a3", "settling_ids": ["t_e46d83a63a8ac39b18a3", "t_5f545dfb627b90b1099c", "t_5068d3e708fd3cd05e63", "t_f25b4659f0238c8c6801"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Mojtaba Khamenei", "Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps", "Basij", "Ali Abdollahi", "Ahmad Vahidi", "Mohammad Pakpour"]}
{"id": "e_e951708e2b65_q1", "domain": "Politics", "question": "Who will lead a protest against BGE's proposed rate hike, by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "Baltimore City Council President Zeke Cohen", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 21, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_e951708e2b65", "event_date": "2026-08-11", "supporting_event": "Baltimore City Council President Zeke Cohen led a protest against BGE's proposed $156 million rate hike.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_e951708e", "storyline": "BGE rate increase proposal", "linked_domains": ["Business"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_14de2100024c53d67885", "t_d6dbb958db13bd556676"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "Baltimore City Council President Zeke Cohen", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the demonstration was led by Baltimore City Council President Zeke Cohen", "quote_doc_id": "t_e951708e2b651b10c97d", "settling_ids": ["t_e951708e2b651b10c97d", "t_72db4208b896a322a50f"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Baltimore City Council", "Zeke Cohen", "Baltimore Gas and Electric"]}
{"id": "e_e951708e2b65_q2", "domain": "Politics", "question": "Will the protest against BGE's proposed rate hike take place before a hearing on the utility's request, by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 21, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_e951708e2b65", "event_date": "2026-08-11", "supporting_event": "Baltimore City Council President Zeke Cohen led a protest against BGE's proposed $156 million rate hike.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_e951708e", "storyline": "BGE rate increase proposal", "linked_domains": ["Business"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_14de2100024c53d67885", "t_d6dbb958db13bd556676"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "The protest took place ahead of a 11:00 a.m. hearing by BGE to consider the proposed rate increase.", "quote_doc_id": "t_e951708e2b651b10c97d", "settling_ids": ["t_e951708e2b651b10c97d", "t_72db4208b896a322a50f"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Baltimore City Council", "Zeke Cohen", "Baltimore Gas and Electric"]}
{"id": "e_e951708e2b65_q2_neg", "domain": "Politics", "question": "Will the protest against BGE's proposed rate hike take place before a hearing on the utility's request, by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "No", "answer_type": "perturbed_binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 21, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_e951708e2b65", "event_date": "2026-08-11", "supporting_event": "Baltimore City Council President Zeke Cohen led a protest against BGE's proposed $156 million rate hike.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_e951708e", "storyline": "BGE rate increase proposal", "linked_domains": ["Business"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_14de2100024c53d67885", "t_d6dbb958db13bd556676"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "perturbed_binary", "value": "No", "tolerance": null, "quote": "The protest took place ahead of a 11:00 a.m. hearing by BGE to consider the proposed rate increase.", "quote_doc_id": "t_e951708e2b651b10c97d", "settling_ids": ["t_e951708e2b651b10c97d", "t_72db4208b896a322a50f"], "derivation": "the event dated 2026-08-11 is after the shifted deadline 2026-08-04, so the claim is false at that deadline"}, "perturbation": {"field": "deadline", "original": "2026-08-11", "substituted": "2026-08-04", "v40_substituted": "2026-07-31"}, "paired_with": "e_e951708e2b65_q2", "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Baltimore City Council", "Zeke Cohen", "Baltimore Gas and Electric"]}
{"id": "e_ecf08595f2a0_q0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "Which conferences will support the Senate bill that seeks to regulate college sports by 2026-08-04?", "options": ["Pac-12 and Mountain West", "Big Ten and SEC", "American Athletic Conference and Sun Belt", "ACC and Big 12"], "answer": "Big Ten and SEC", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 11, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_ecf08595f2a0", "event_date": "2026-08-01", "supporting_event": "The Big Ten and SEC agreed to support a Senate bill that seeks to regulate college sports.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_1239839f", "storyline": "Protect College Sports Act legislative process", "linked_domains": ["Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_8628c538771cb88dc030", "t_49008e495ef1b38e650b", "t_22b32812f8a2446998d1", "t_fb9a91b4ba4a79eec8f4", "t_213c279c3dff6e90f0ba"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "Big Ten and SEC", "tolerance": null, "quote": "The Big Ten and SEC agreed Friday night to support a Senate bill that seeks to regulate college sports", "quote_doc_id": "t_ecf08595f2a00a488757", "settling_ids": ["t_ecf08595f2a00a488757", "t_1239839fddbdb9056592", "t_93e28cfa18260443f203", "t_1b552d82bdfbb3c59891"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Big Ten", "SEC", "Senate", "Protect College Sports Act"]}
{"id": "e_f10d9f83c7d3_q0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "Which party will demand Dharmendra Pradhan's resignation from his position as Union Education Minister by 2026-07-28?", "options": ["Trinamool Congress", "BJP", "Aam Aadmi Party", "Congress"], "answer": "Congress", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 1, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_f10d9f83c7d3", "event_date": "2026-07-22", "supporting_event": "The Congress demanded Dharmendra Pradhan's resignation from his position as Union Education Minister.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_f10d9f83", "storyline": "Congress's demand for ministerial resignations", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_ce7fa820b584932606d1", "t_63a439cd947830023af2", "t_aa1a3f8bd9db5ed02ed8", "t_48fa1f2bd9be03c812ec"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "Congress", "tolerance": null, "quote": "The Congress on Wednesday intensified its attack on Union Education Minister Dharmendra Pradhan", "quote_doc_id": "t_f10d9f83c7d34e2299df", "settling_ids": ["t_f10d9f83c7d34e2299df", "t_dc6cf6ce5f078bdbcd58"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Dharmendra Pradhan", "Congress", "Jairam Ramesh", "National Testing Agency"]}
{"id": "e_f44ad4005a3d_a0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "How many U.S. states are banding together to sue the Trump administration over new tariffs by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "25", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "A", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 14, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_f44ad4005a3d", "event_date": "2026-08-04", "supporting_event": "ICE deployed a digital dragnet to scour the public internet for speech that could endanger the agency’s mission.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_f44ad400", "storyline": "ICE social media monitoring program", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_c710ded2903294dca94c", "t_6daff600feba97a677d1", "t_609bfd708f5748bba6de", "t_ece38a24335c0958c0bc"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "25", "tolerance": null, "quote": "25 U.S. states are banding together to sue the Trump administration over new tariffs imposed last month on more than 80 countries.", "quote_doc_id": "a_51e84df228c6d1650996", "settling_ids": ["a_51e84df228c6d1650996", "t_f44ad4005a3dd1d370b6", "t_ea6a8f482a5708c7a013"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["ICE"]}
{"id": "e_f5a3b0dcec2c_q0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "How many new divisions will Bola Tinubu approve for the Nigerian army by 2026-07-28?", "options": ["10", "8", "15", "12"], "answer": "12", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 3, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_f5a3b0dcec2c", "event_date": "2026-07-24", "supporting_event": "Nigerian President Bola Tinubu has approved an expansion of the army to 12 divisions with 28,000 new recruits.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_f5a3b0dc", "storyline": "Nigeria Army Expansion 2026", "linked_domains": ["Geopolitics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_d5da1b02474d391ca5d4", "t_8231e763b2e44b04f63c", "t_7b76821f25acb17687a6"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "12", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Nigeria's Tinubu approves army expansion to 12 divisions with 28,000 new recruits", "quote_doc_id": "t_f5a3b0dcec2c82acec0d", "settling_ids": ["t_f5a3b0dcec2c82acec0d", "t_4bcf37318c81751b5064"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Bola Tinubu", "Nigerian Army"]}
{"id": "e_f72cd3ed32d5_q0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "How many lakh metric tonnes of urea will be available in India by 2026-08-04 during the Kharif 2026 season?", "options": null, "answer": "174.47", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "lakh metric tonnes", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 8, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_f72cd3ed32d5", "event_date": "2026-07-29", "supporting_event": "Jagat Prakash Nadda informed Parliament that the availability of fertilizers has remained adequate during the ongoing Kharif 2026 season.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_f72cd3ed", "storyline": "Kharif 2026 fertilizer availability", "linked_domains": ["Health"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_660f8077ca2de3cae7a0", "t_dd95ec9e8d2e95b86ba7", "t_4d1b117657bd9b213b28"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "174.47", "tolerance": 0.05, "quote": "urea availability stood at 174.47 lakh metric tonnes (LMT) against a pro-rata requirement of 120.16 LMT.", "quote_doc_id": "t_f72cd3ed32d5c1bd3510", "settling_ids": ["t_f72cd3ed32d5c1bd3510", "t_f30ff014147256c67766", "t_5f4873689b7fd59f1a3f", "t_434619f63b67a5910a84"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Jagat Prakash Nadda", "Urea", "DAP", "MOP", "NPKS"]}
{"id": "e_f72cd3ed32d5_q1", "domain": "Politics", "question": "Who will inform Parliament about fertilizer availability by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "Jagat Prakash Nadda", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 8, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_f72cd3ed32d5", "event_date": "2026-07-29", "supporting_event": "Jagat Prakash Nadda informed Parliament that the availability of fertilizers has remained adequate during the ongoing Kharif 2026 season.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_f72cd3ed", "storyline": "Kharif 2026 fertilizer availability", "linked_domains": ["Health"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_660f8077ca2de3cae7a0", "t_dd95ec9e8d2e95b86ba7", "t_4d1b117657bd9b213b28"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "Jagat Prakash Nadda", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Union Minister for Chemicals and Fertilizers, Jagat Prakash Nadda, said the Centre has taken several measures to ensure timely availability of fertilizers across the country.", "quote_doc_id": "t_f30ff014147256c67766", "settling_ids": ["t_f72cd3ed32d5c1bd3510", "t_f30ff014147256c67766", "t_5f4873689b7fd59f1a3f", "t_434619f63b67a5910a84"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Jagat Prakash Nadda", "Urea", "DAP", "MOP", "NPKS"]}
{"id": "e_f879d335a633_q2", "domain": "Politics", "question": "Will the government commemorate the anniversary of the abrogation of Article 370 by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 15, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_f879d335a633", "event_date": "2026-08-05", "supporting_event": "Prime Minister Narendra Modi marked seven years since the abrogation of Article 370.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_f879d335", "storyline": "Abrogation of Article 370", "linked_domains": ["Geopolitics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_ebe27a051152cf70a810", "t_fc9f97e136f05bd63395", "t_fb36d853f9e60f4258e6"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the move ushered in a ‘decisive new chapter’ in the journey of Jammu and Kashmir and Ladakh", "quote_doc_id": "t_f879d335a6333d159b17", "settling_ids": ["t_f879d335a6333d159b17", "t_ba8920fb56421438b3fe", "t_1223824f6a52a0182929", "t_8b5e0c9143042f9d0f76"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Prime Minister Narendra Modi", "Article 370", "Article 35(A)", "Jammu and Kashmir", "Ladakh"]}
{"id": "e_f879d335a633_q2_neg", "domain": "Politics", "question": "Will the government commemorate the anniversary of the abrogation of Article 370 by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "No", "answer_type": "perturbed_binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 15, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_f879d335a633", "event_date": "2026-08-05", "supporting_event": "Prime Minister Narendra Modi marked seven years since the abrogation of Article 370.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_f879d335", "storyline": "Abrogation of Article 370", "linked_domains": ["Geopolitics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_ebe27a051152cf70a810", "t_fc9f97e136f05bd63395", "t_fb36d853f9e60f4258e6"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "perturbed_binary", "value": "No", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the move ushered in a ‘decisive new chapter’ in the journey of Jammu and Kashmir and Ladakh", "quote_doc_id": "t_f879d335a6333d159b17", "settling_ids": ["t_f879d335a6333d159b17", "t_ba8920fb56421438b3fe", "t_1223824f6a52a0182929", "t_8b5e0c9143042f9d0f76"], "derivation": "the event dated 2026-08-05 is after the shifted deadline 2026-08-04, so the claim is false at that deadline"}, "perturbation": {"field": "deadline", "original": "2026-08-11", "substituted": "2026-08-04", "v40_substituted": "2026-07-28"}, "paired_with": "e_f879d335a633_q2", "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Prime Minister Narendra Modi", "Article 370", "Article 35(A)", "Jammu and Kashmir", "Ladakh"]}
{"id": "e_f9ffca690fdd_q0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "What action will Tehseen Poonawalla claim was taken against him by the Delhi Police by 2026-08-04?", "options": ["interrogation", "detention", "summons", "house arrest"], "answer": "house arrest", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 11, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_f9ffca690fdd", "event_date": "2026-08-01", "supporting_event": "Tehseen Poonawalla alleged house arrest by Delhi Police ahead of his planned protest against the E20 petrol policy.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_0817cdbd", "storyline": "E20 petrol policy protest", "linked_domains": ["Geopolitics", "Law"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_12b2f97328b2ea619165", "t_e0be44b0df2cbd0296eb", "t_90b80e34d93b5bcd7ccc"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "house arrest", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Poonawalla claimed that Delhi Police placed him under house arrest ahead of his planned hunger strike against the Centre’s ethanol-blended fuel policy.", "quote_doc_id": "t_f9ffca690fdd79f5c3be", "settling_ids": ["t_f9ffca690fdd79f5c3be", "t_2f63bf1845f79001415c", "t_0154f604b93d0be678e0", "t_6dba7ea97736e18ee39f"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Tehseen Poonawalla", "Delhi Police", "E20 petrol policy"]}
{"id": "e_fa496d33c8a2_q0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "Will the Ministry of Road Transport and Highways propose amendments to the Central Motor Vehicles Rules, 1989 for vehicle-to-vehicle communication systems by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 13, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_fa496d33c8a2", "event_date": "2026-08-03", "supporting_event": "The Ministry of Road Transport and Highways proposed amendments to the Central Motor Vehicles Rules, 1989 for vehicle-to-vehicle communication systems.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_a312c42b", "storyline": "Vehicle-to-Vehicle communication implementation in India", "linked_domains": ["Technology"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_8f797e0d2e9548b57607", "t_44eb0c63706358ab1026", "t_22a5f8c7a026e168f3c6"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the ministry of road transport and highways (MoRTH) has proposed making vehicle-to-vehicle (V2V) communication systems mandatory in a phased manner through amendments to the Central Motor Vehicles Rules, 1989.", "quote_doc_id": "t_fa496d33c8a2bab0f0d8", "settling_ids": ["t_fa496d33c8a2bab0f0d8", "t_1e1391499a8db7d5e15d", "t_f0b6bc8aa0cce0673342", "t_8ae22c7436b41f866893"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Ministry of Road Transport and Highways", "Central Motor Vehicles Rules, 1989"]}
{"id": "e_fa496d33c8a2_q0_neg", "domain": "Politics", "question": "Will the Ministry of Road Transport and Highways propose amendments to the Central Motor Vehicles Rules, 1989 for vehicle-to-vehicle communication systems by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "No", "answer_type": "perturbed_binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 13, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_fa496d33c8a2", "event_date": "2026-08-03", "supporting_event": "The Ministry of Road Transport and Highways proposed amendments to the Central Motor Vehicles Rules, 1989 for vehicle-to-vehicle communication systems.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_a312c42b", "storyline": "Vehicle-to-Vehicle communication implementation in India", "linked_domains": ["Technology"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_8f797e0d2e9548b57607", "t_44eb0c63706358ab1026", "t_22a5f8c7a026e168f3c6"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "perturbed_binary", "value": "No", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the ministry of road transport and highways (MoRTH) has proposed making vehicle-to-vehicle (V2V) communication systems mandatory in a phased manner through amendments to the Central Motor Vehicles Rules, 1989.", "quote_doc_id": "t_fa496d33c8a2bab0f0d8", "settling_ids": ["t_fa496d33c8a2bab0f0d8", "t_1e1391499a8db7d5e15d", "t_f0b6bc8aa0cce0673342", "t_8ae22c7436b41f866893"], "derivation": "the event dated 2026-08-03 is after the shifted deadline 2026-07-28, so the claim is false at that deadline"}, "perturbation": {"field": "deadline", "original": "2026-08-04", "substituted": "2026-07-28", "v40_substituted": "2026-07-27"}, "paired_with": "e_fa496d33c8a2_q0", "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Ministry of Road Transport and Highways", "Central Motor Vehicles Rules, 1989"]}
{"id": "e_fd079562e40e_q0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "Which company is involved in the controversial French-Russian nuclear project approved by German authorities by 2026-07-28?", "options": ["Framatome", "EDF", "Siemens", "Rosatom"], "answer": "Framatome", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 1, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_fd079562e40e", "event_date": "2026-07-22", "supporting_event": "German authorities approved a controversial French-Russian nuclear project.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_fd079562", "storyline": "French-Russian nuclear project approval", "linked_domains": ["Geopolitics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_a230e4787a7108fed8c2", "t_688c819b5999bc7ef21d"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "Framatome", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the planned joint venture by a subsidiary of French company Framatome and Russia's state-owned nuclear power agency Rosatom", "quote_doc_id": "t_fd079562e40e3487e31e", "settling_ids": ["t_fd079562e40e3487e31e", "t_92d27cf48ca2b2b2a459", "t_b15d5d76b6cc9b62639d"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["German authorities", "Framatome", "Rosatom", "ANF", "Lingen", "Lower Saxony"]}
{"id": "e_fe653d7fb1ee_q1", "domain": "Politics", "question": "How many US intelligence agencies will Jay Clayton oversee as Director of National Intelligence by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "18", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "agencies", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 7, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_fe653d7fb1ee", "event_date": "2026-07-28", "supporting_event": "US Senate confirmed Jay Clayton as the nation's top spy.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_38ce5962", "storyline": "US Senate confirmation of intelligence chief", "linked_domains": ["Geopolitics", "Law", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_edb6b5a5e2772ad649e1", "t_527dc0c45ddd97e9b7a5", "t_06faf68cba130cf7b476", "t_ecdd3a379193f5e46e95", "t_8811a13c95b7b03e5a7b", "t_74fb176971b2777e57ef"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "18", "tolerance": 0.05, "quote": "overseeing the 18 US intelligence agencies", "quote_doc_id": "t_fe653d7fb1eeb3a72e9f", "settling_ids": ["t_fe653d7fb1eeb3a72e9f", "t_183a8aaca612f2e82caf"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Jay Clayton", "Donald Trump", "US Senate", "Tulsi Gabbard"]}
{"id": "e_ffa38a93edd7_q0", "domain": "Politics", "question": "Who will Taiwan's government investigate for suspected poaching of high-tech talent by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "17 Chinese companies", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 15, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_ffa38a93edd7", "event_date": "2026-08-05", "supporting_event": "Taiwan's government searched dozens of locations in an investigation into 17 Chinese companies suspected of illegally trying to recruit high-tech talent.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_ffa38a93", "storyline": "investigation into Chinese firms for talent poaching", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Geopolitics", "Technology"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_96a312d7f02c90d1ae6c", "t_85e931cd2d133e44b920", "t_abdf14362d5402472bee", "t_3c97602d39a14e731eea", "t_79b74fa8bdab5d9bad96", "t_1c7d7047fe457f38beae", "t_6b5d7007bfefaeb38a4c"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "17 Chinese companies", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Taiwan's government said on Aug 5 it had searched dozens of locations and interviewed more than 100 people in an investigation into 17 Chinese companies suspected of illegally trying to recruit chip and other high-tech talent.", "quote_doc_id": "t_ffa38a93edd7be52b551", "settling_ids": ["t_ffa38a93edd7be52b551", "t_7afdac33ff6ead2f7b64", "t_66617b24edf0bf0c3412", "t_c22636111e8150ca19ad"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Taiwan's government", "Taiwan", "Chinese companies"]}
{"id": "e_ffa38a93edd7_q1", "domain": "Politics", "question": "How many locations will Taiwan's government search in its investigation into Chinese companies by 2026-08-11?", "options": ["75 locations", "100 locations", "50 locations", "64 locations"], "answer": "64 locations", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": "locations", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 15, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_ffa38a93edd7", "event_date": "2026-08-05", "supporting_event": "Taiwan's government searched dozens of locations in an investigation into 17 Chinese companies suspected of illegally trying to recruit high-tech talent.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_ffa38a93", "storyline": "investigation into Chinese firms for talent poaching", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Geopolitics", "Technology"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_96a312d7f02c90d1ae6c", "t_85e931cd2d133e44b920", "t_abdf14362d5402472bee", "t_3c97602d39a14e731eea", "t_79b74fa8bdab5d9bad96", "t_1c7d7047fe457f38beae", "t_6b5d7007bfefaeb38a4c"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "64 locations", "tolerance": null, "quote": "between July 13 and Aug 4, 330 agents searched 64 locations", "quote_doc_id": "t_ffa38a93edd7be52b551", "settling_ids": ["t_ffa38a93edd7be52b551", "t_7afdac33ff6ead2f7b64", "t_66617b24edf0bf0c3412", "t_c22636111e8150ca19ad"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Taiwan's government", "Taiwan", "Chinese companies"]}
{"id": "e_ffa38a93edd7_q2", "domain": "Politics", "question": "How many people will Taiwan's government interview in its investigation into Chinese companies by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "114 people", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "people", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 15, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_ffa38a93edd7", "event_date": "2026-08-05", "supporting_event": "Taiwan's government searched dozens of locations in an investigation into 17 Chinese companies suspected of illegally trying to recruit high-tech talent.", "storyline_id": "s_pol_ffa38a93", "storyline": "investigation into Chinese firms for talent poaching", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Geopolitics", "Technology"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_96a312d7f02c90d1ae6c", "t_85e931cd2d133e44b920", "t_abdf14362d5402472bee", "t_3c97602d39a14e731eea", "t_79b74fa8bdab5d9bad96", "t_1c7d7047fe457f38beae", "t_6b5d7007bfefaeb38a4c"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "114 people", "tolerance": null, "quote": "questioned 114 people in coordinated raids on Chinese firms suspected of illegally recruiting tech workers", "quote_doc_id": "t_ffa38a93edd7be52b551", "settling_ids": ["t_ffa38a93edd7be52b551", "t_7afdac33ff6ead2f7b64", "t_66617b24edf0bf0c3412", "t_c22636111e8150ca19ad"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Taiwan's government", "Taiwan", "Chinese companies"]}
{"id": "e_00edf05aa072_q1", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "Who will be the director of Ranok that witnesses the destruction of books by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "Viktor Kruhlov", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 11, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_00edf05aa072", "event_date": "2026-08-01", "supporting_event": "Viktor Kruhlov watched about 8 million books turn to ash due to a Russian drone strike.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_00edf05a", "storyline": "destruction of books in Ukraine", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_92fcd807a58c092db580", "t_f49545de82bb01f17072"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "Viktor Kruhlov", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Viktor Kruhlov, director of Ranok", "quote_doc_id": "t_00edf05aa072caa8ed73", "settling_ids": ["t_00edf05aa072caa8ed73", "t_ec63d4a89dd853c88a58"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Viktor Kruhlov", "Ranok", "Kharkiv"]}
{"id": "e_028ef2fb2d3f_i0", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "What will be the stock price of U.S. Foods by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "25.73", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 20, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_028ef2fb2d3f", "event_date": "2026-08-10", "supporting_event": "U.S. President Donald Trump demanded that Iran pay compensation for the people he said it had killed in wars, attacks and protests.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_028ef2fb", "storyline": "Middle East crisis negotiations", "linked_domains": ["Business"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_b234e7f89b4f05599024", "t_a6f5cc20023a02dccfef", "t_21bbed2bcae66e99440f", "t_844af29eb3b44f74db08"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "25.73", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_028ef2fb2d3fcaec994f_0", "settling_ids": ["t_028ef2fb2d3fcaec994f", "t_d893060b65d0f1db5245", "t_b1c2478dbac8979a16a6"], "visible_detail": "the stock price of U.S. Foods displayed as 25.73"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["U.S. President Donald Trump", "Iran"]}
{"id": "e_028ef2fb2d3f_q0", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "Will U.S. President Donald Trump demand compensation from Iran by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 20, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_028ef2fb2d3f", "event_date": "2026-08-10", "supporting_event": "U.S. President Donald Trump demanded that Iran pay compensation for the people he said it had killed in wars, attacks and protests.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_028ef2fb", "storyline": "Middle East crisis negotiations", "linked_domains": ["Business"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_b234e7f89b4f05599024", "t_a6f5cc20023a02dccfef", "t_21bbed2bcae66e99440f", "t_844af29eb3b44f74db08"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "U.S. President Donald Trump demanded that Iran pay compensation for the people he said it had killed in wars, attacks and protests.", "quote_doc_id": "t_028ef2fb2d3fcaec994f", "settling_ids": ["t_028ef2fb2d3fcaec994f", "t_d893060b65d0f1db5245", "t_b1c2478dbac8979a16a6"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["U.S. President Donald Trump", "Iran"]}
{"id": "e_028ef2fb2d3f_q0_neg", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "Will U.S. President Donald Trump demand compensation from Iran by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "No", "answer_type": "perturbed_binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 20, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_028ef2fb2d3f", "event_date": "2026-08-10", "supporting_event": "U.S. President Donald Trump demanded that Iran pay compensation for the people he said it had killed in wars, attacks and protests.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_028ef2fb", "storyline": "Middle East crisis negotiations", "linked_domains": ["Business"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_b234e7f89b4f05599024", "t_a6f5cc20023a02dccfef", "t_21bbed2bcae66e99440f", "t_844af29eb3b44f74db08"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "perturbed_binary", "value": "No", "tolerance": null, "quote": "U.S. President Donald Trump demanded that Iran pay compensation for the people he said it had killed in wars, attacks and protests.", "quote_doc_id": "t_028ef2fb2d3fcaec994f", "settling_ids": ["t_028ef2fb2d3fcaec994f", "t_d893060b65d0f1db5245", "t_b1c2478dbac8979a16a6"], "derivation": "the event dated 2026-08-10 is after the shifted deadline 2026-08-04, so the claim is false at that deadline"}, "perturbation": {"field": "deadline", "original": "2026-08-11", "substituted": "2026-08-04", "v40_substituted": "2026-07-31"}, "paired_with": "e_028ef2fb2d3f_q0", "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["U.S. President Donald Trump", "Iran"]}
{"id": "e_02c5ce8a25ba_q1", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "How many civilians will be reported killed in the Russian missile and drone attacks on Ukraine by 2026-08-04?", "options": ["5", "12", "10", "8"], "answer": "8", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": "civilians", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 9, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_02c5ce8a25ba", "event_date": "2026-07-30", "supporting_event": "Russia launched missile and drone attacks across Ukraine, killing at least eight civilians.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_02c5ce8a", "storyline": "Russian military actions in Ukraine", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Politics", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_eb6b8b38b049e2845e9a", "t_526f308a810a38dec987", "t_e9b7b7163ecc99fef71d", "t_e94e72be1f5d41509b2e", "t_d63552a8a38add6db850"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "8", "tolerance": null, "quote": "killed at least eight civilians", "quote_doc_id": "t_02c5ce8a25ba227b559f", "settling_ids": ["t_02c5ce8a25ba227b559f", "t_f26c1ba26e1a36bb756b", "t_6ffce6994b83b0ac598d", "t_8763e5ed112e952f35a7"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Russia", "Ukraine"]}
{"id": "e_035b73346035_q1", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "On which date will Donald Trump make a vow to hit back at Iran by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "2026-07-29", "answer_type": "date", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 8, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_035b73346035", "event_date": "2026-07-29", "supporting_event": "Donald Trump vowed to hit back hard at Iran after it attacked US bases in Jordan.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_035b7334", "storyline": "US-Iran military conflict", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Law", "Politics", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_c679a85444e126f1a6cb", "t_f546a9a9bf92d1ed0046", "t_cea3e6595769a2808ebd", "t_ec0dcb6acb3ecc9c30f3", "t_844af29eb3b44f74db08", "t_1b638f89aecbae7094b8"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "date", "value": "2026-07-29", "tolerance": 1, "quote": "President Donald Trump vowed to hit back hard at Iran after it attacked US bases in Jordan on Wednesday (Jul 29)", "quote_doc_id": "t_035b73346035d74a6c8e", "settling_ids": ["t_035b73346035d74a6c8e", "t_c1cab3dce1ae518ee9cd"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Donald Trump", "Iran", "US", "Jordan"]}
{"id": "e_0a09bb69a0ea_q0", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "Will Saudi Arabia launch targeted strikes against Iran-backed groups in Iraq by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 8, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_0a09bb69a0ea", "event_date": "2026-07-29", "supporting_event": "Saudi Arabia launched targeted strikes against Iran-backed groups in Iraq.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_035b7334", "storyline": "US-Iran military conflict", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Law", "Politics", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_e15100011f30b86018d3", "t_fc9797439b067dab805f", "t_f91132b30e3392233287"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Saudi Arabia said on Wednesday that its military, working with U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM), launched “targeted strikes” against Iran-backed groups in Iraq", "quote_doc_id": "t_c18160b2fcf6b2ecb144", "settling_ids": ["t_0a09bb69a0ea4c6d5666", "t_c18160b2fcf6b2ecb144"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Saudi Arabia", "U.S. Central Command", "Iran", "Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps", "Popular Mobilisation Forces"]}
{"id": "e_0a09bb69a0ea_q1", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "How many drone attacks directed by Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) against U.S. forces and Saudi energy infrastructure will be reported in the 72 hours leading up to 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "30", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "attacks", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 8, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_0a09bb69a0ea", "event_date": "2026-07-29", "supporting_event": "Saudi Arabia launched targeted strikes against Iran-backed groups in Iraq.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_035b7334", "storyline": "US-Iran military conflict", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Law", "Politics", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_e15100011f30b86018d3", "t_fc9797439b067dab805f", "t_f91132b30e3392233287"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "30", "tolerance": 0.1, "quote": "more than 30 drone attacks during the previous 72 hours", "quote_doc_id": "t_c18160b2fcf6b2ecb144", "settling_ids": ["t_0a09bb69a0ea4c6d5666", "t_c18160b2fcf6b2ecb144"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Saudi Arabia", "U.S. Central Command", "Iran", "Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps", "Popular Mobilisation Forces"]}
{"id": "e_0a09bb69a0ea_q2", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "Which group will be accused by Saudi Arabia of attacking its oil facilities by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "Popular Mobilisation Forces (PMF)", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 8, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_0a09bb69a0ea", "event_date": "2026-07-29", "supporting_event": "Saudi Arabia launched targeted strikes against Iran-backed groups in Iraq.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_035b7334", "storyline": "US-Iran military conflict", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Law", "Politics", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_e15100011f30b86018d3", "t_fc9797439b067dab805f", "t_f91132b30e3392233287"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "Popular Mobilisation Forces (PMF)", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Riyadh accused the Popular Mobilisation Forces (PMF) of attacking its oil facilities", "quote_doc_id": "t_0a09bb69a0ea4c6d5666", "settling_ids": ["t_0a09bb69a0ea4c6d5666", "t_c18160b2fcf6b2ecb144"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Saudi Arabia", "U.S. Central Command", "Iran", "Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps", "Popular Mobilisation Forces"]}
{"id": "e_0aaa87bb0ce6_q0", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "What action will Nikol Pashinyan take regarding Russian restrictions on Armenian exports by 2026-07-28?", "options": ["Seek assistance from the EU", "Ignore the restrictions", "Ask Vladimir Putin for help", "Impose counter-restrictions"], "answer": "Ask Vladimir Putin for help", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 6, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_0aaa87bb0ce6", "event_date": "2026-07-27", "supporting_event": "Nikol Pashinyan asked Vladimir Putin to help resolve Russian restrictions on Armenian exports.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_0aaa87bb", "storyline": "Armenia-Russia trade relations", "linked_domains": ["Politics", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_71bd14ac2c9ed41eeaad", "t_f60aa815e6af8520657b", "t_0d47db536a9b9e8ecdba", "t_95514718f33bb7ad3981"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "Ask Vladimir Putin for help", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Pashinyan asked Russian President Vladimir Putin during a phone call on Monday to help resolve a dispute over Russian restrictions on Armenian exports", "quote_doc_id": "t_816754418db3c267609f", "settling_ids": ["t_0aaa87bb0ce64826e10a", "t_816754418db3c267609f", "t_4bcaf02d47efb824e656", "t_d28fe8efc93e67980fd4"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Nikol Pashinyan", "Vladimir Putin", "Armenia", "Russia", "Eurasian Economic Union"]}
{"id": "e_0d6e63910607_q0", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "How many diplomatic and military channels will India and China agree to continue using by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "existing diplomatic and military channels", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 16, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_0d6e63910607", "event_date": "2026-08-06", "supporting_event": "India and China agreed to continue using existing diplomatic and military channels to resolve outstanding border issues and avoid misunderstandings along the Line of Actual Control (LAC).", "storyline_id": "s_geo_0d6e6391", "storyline": "India-China border negotiations", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_dc1c971842e1a216cef8", "t_36a50287b82ff57aa5c2", "t_f1d8b645da5cc606dd06", "t_2903fd3f35d5bad0427c", "t_c1c2b5e302d2415a712b"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "existing diplomatic and military channels", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Both sides agreed to continue to use existing diplomatic and military channels, including the WMCC, local commander-level meetings and other agreed mechanisms, to resolve outstanding issues and avoid misunderstanding and miscalculation along the LAC.", "quote_doc_id": "t_0d6e63910607fba5a7cc", "settling_ids": ["t_0d6e63910607fba5a7cc", "t_f229647c700879e385ce", "t_13626e3142fedebcea38", "t_ecd6280a7230c7573d27"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["India", "China", "Ministry of External Affairs"]}
{"id": "e_0d6e63910607_q1", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "Who will lead the Indian delegation in discussions with China by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "Sujit Ghosh", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 16, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_0d6e63910607", "event_date": "2026-08-06", "supporting_event": "India and China agreed to continue using existing diplomatic and military channels to resolve outstanding border issues and avoid misunderstandings along the Line of Actual Control (LAC).", "storyline_id": "s_geo_0d6e6391", "storyline": "India-China border negotiations", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_dc1c971842e1a216cef8", "t_36a50287b82ff57aa5c2", "t_f1d8b645da5cc606dd06", "t_2903fd3f35d5bad0427c", "t_c1c2b5e302d2415a712b"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "Sujit Ghosh", "tolerance": null, "quote": "The Indian delegation was led by Sujit Ghosh, Joint Secretary (East Asia) in the Ministry of External Affairs.", "quote_doc_id": "t_f229647c700879e385ce", "settling_ids": ["t_0d6e63910607fba5a7cc", "t_f229647c700879e385ce", "t_13626e3142fedebcea38", "t_ecd6280a7230c7573d27"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["India", "China", "Ministry of External Affairs"]}
{"id": "e_0d6e63910607_q2", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "Will India and China agree to avoid misunderstandings along the Line of Actual Control (LAC) by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 16, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_0d6e63910607", "event_date": "2026-08-06", "supporting_event": "India and China agreed to continue using existing diplomatic and military channels to resolve outstanding border issues and avoid misunderstandings along the Line of Actual Control (LAC).", "storyline_id": "s_geo_0d6e6391", "storyline": "India-China border negotiations", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_dc1c971842e1a216cef8", "t_36a50287b82ff57aa5c2", "t_f1d8b645da5cc606dd06", "t_2903fd3f35d5bad0427c", "t_c1c2b5e302d2415a712b"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Both sides agreed to continue to use existing diplomatic and military channels, including the WMCC, local commander-level meetings and other agreed mechanisms, to resolve outstanding issues and avoid misunderstanding and miscalculation along the LAC.", "quote_doc_id": "t_0d6e63910607fba5a7cc", "settling_ids": ["t_0d6e63910607fba5a7cc", "t_f229647c700879e385ce", "t_13626e3142fedebcea38", "t_ecd6280a7230c7573d27"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["India", "China", "Ministry of External Affairs"]}
{"id": "e_0d6e63910607_q2_neg", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "Will India and China agree to avoid misunderstandings along the Line of Actual Control (LAC) by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "No", "answer_type": "perturbed_binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 16, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_0d6e63910607", "event_date": "2026-08-06", "supporting_event": "India and China agreed to continue using existing diplomatic and military channels to resolve outstanding border issues and avoid misunderstandings along the Line of Actual Control (LAC).", "storyline_id": "s_geo_0d6e6391", "storyline": "India-China border negotiations", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_dc1c971842e1a216cef8", "t_36a50287b82ff57aa5c2", "t_f1d8b645da5cc606dd06", "t_2903fd3f35d5bad0427c", "t_c1c2b5e302d2415a712b"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "perturbed_binary", "value": "No", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Both sides agreed to continue to use existing diplomatic and military channels, including the WMCC, local commander-level meetings and other agreed mechanisms, to resolve outstanding issues and avoid misunderstanding and miscalculation along the LAC.", "quote_doc_id": "t_0d6e63910607fba5a7cc", "settling_ids": ["t_0d6e63910607fba5a7cc", "t_f229647c700879e385ce", "t_13626e3142fedebcea38", "t_ecd6280a7230c7573d27"], "derivation": "the event dated 2026-08-06 is after the shifted deadline 2026-08-04, so the claim is false at that deadline"}, "perturbation": {"field": "deadline", "original": "2026-08-11", "substituted": "2026-08-04", "v40_substituted": "2026-07-29"}, "paired_with": "e_0d6e63910607_q2", "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["India", "China", "Ministry of External Affairs"]}
{"id": "e_0e1b786e388f_q0", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "How many Palestinians will Israeli soldiers shoot and kill in the village of Tell in the northern West Bank by 2026-07-28?", "options": ["Four", "Five", "Three", "Two"], "answer": "Four", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": "people", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 3, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_0e1b786e388f", "event_date": "2026-07-24", "supporting_event": "Israeli soldiers shot and killed four Palestinians in the village of Tell in the northern West Bank.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_0e1b786e", "storyline": "West Bank clashes July 2026", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_23e02d1c7e4d0cff933d", "t_dbfa38ff511137130540", "t_93a5009a63cd5cb9bbe6", "t_0fe21ef4ac86c3916929", "t_2afebfdf7b9ec524d29c"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "Four", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the Palestinian Health Ministry said Israeli soldiers shot and killed four Palestinians in the village of Tell in the northern West Bank", "quote_doc_id": "t_0e1b786e388fcc05bd6a", "settling_ids": ["t_0e1b786e388fcc05bd6a", "t_4b10bfe8037ceafe3979"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Israeli soldiers", "Palestinians", "Tell", "West Bank"]}
{"id": "e_0fd677a59e2c_a0", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "What is the number of North Korean troops that President Zelensky warns may be about to deploy in Russia by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "50,000", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "A", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 15, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_0fd677a59e2c", "event_date": "2026-08-05", "supporting_event": "A North Korean missile unit has begun deploying to western Russia.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_0fd677a5", "storyline": "North Korean military deployment in support of Russia", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Politics", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_0e871a4a5a1c4cf42207", "t_6369afc956996b4da2be", "t_673c08e3365e78b94578"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "50,000", "tolerance": null, "quote": "President Zelensky warns 50,000 North Korean troops may be about to deploy in Russia", "quote_doc_id": "a_de9cf4402aca8d75d5ac", "settling_ids": ["a_de9cf4402aca8d75d5ac", "t_8920466a797e82e736b3", "t_0fd677a59e2cebf0416e", "t_848dd44cd19b4571f90c", "t_b1e54f03532de9964933", "t_e24955c31fddff9f7228", "t_82d8b71e18bedf88b95a"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["North Korean missile unit", "Ukraine", "Russia", "Andrii Cherniak"]}
{"id": "e_0fd677a59e2c_q0", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "By 2026-08-11, how many ballistic missiles is the North Korean missile unit expected to deploy to western Russia?", "options": ["120", "100", "90", "150"], "answer": "120", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 15, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_0fd677a59e2c", "event_date": "2026-08-05", "supporting_event": "A North Korean missile unit has begun deploying to western Russia.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_0fd677a5", "storyline": "North Korean military deployment in support of Russia", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Politics", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_0e871a4a5a1c4cf42207", "t_6369afc956996b4da2be", "t_673c08e3365e78b94578"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "120", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Russia expects the deployment to involve 120 North Korean ballistic missiles and six launchers", "quote_doc_id": "t_0fd677a59e2cebf0416e", "settling_ids": ["t_0fd677a59e2cebf0416e", "t_848dd44cd19b4571f90c", "t_b1e54f03532de9964933", "t_e24955c31fddff9f7228", "a_de9cf4402aca8d75d5ac", "a_a45f95065dea376df1b3"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["North Korean missile unit", "Ukraine", "Russia", "Andrii Cherniak"]}
{"id": "e_0fd677a59e2c_q1", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "By 2026-08-11, how many North Korean personnel will be based in the western Russian region of Voronezh?", "options": null, "answer": "90", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 15, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_0fd677a59e2c", "event_date": "2026-08-05", "supporting_event": "A North Korean missile unit has begun deploying to western Russia.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_0fd677a5", "storyline": "North Korean military deployment in support of Russia", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Politics", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_0e871a4a5a1c4cf42207", "t_6369afc956996b4da2be", "t_673c08e3365e78b94578"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "90", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Russia planned to base the missile unit of around 90 North Korean personnel in the western Russian region of Voronezh", "quote_doc_id": "t_0fd677a59e2cebf0416e", "settling_ids": ["t_0fd677a59e2cebf0416e", "t_848dd44cd19b4571f90c", "t_b1e54f03532de9964933", "t_e24955c31fddff9f7228", "a_de9cf4402aca8d75d5ac", "a_a45f95065dea376df1b3"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["North Korean missile unit", "Ukraine", "Russia", "Andrii Cherniak"]}
{"id": "e_10cd270a672e_q0", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "Will Sajeeb Wazed Joy warn that Bangladesh has become another Pakistan by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 15, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_10cd270a672e", "event_date": "2026-08-05", "supporting_event": "Sajeeb Wazed Joy warned that Bangladesh has become another Pakistan.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_10cd270a", "storyline": "Bangladesh security situation", "linked_domains": ["Politics", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_1725e9bb83a819f269eb", "t_505639d5a9093d5f1621", "t_d1a1611563d55637a98a"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Bangladesh has become another Pakistan on India's eastern side and you have another Pakistan today on your eastern front.", "quote_doc_id": "t_10cd270a672e05ce73ce", "settling_ids": ["t_10cd270a672e05ce73ce", "t_021f2c30705250fb7f46", "t_70b057e7765303c4adda", "t_62d90078c32d8690a6e6"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Sajeeb Wazed Joy", "Bangladesh", "Pakistan", "Inter-Services Intelligence"]}
{"id": "e_10cd270a672e_q0_neg", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "Will Sajeeb Wazed Joy warn that Bangladesh has become another Pakistan by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "No", "answer_type": "perturbed_binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 15, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_10cd270a672e", "event_date": "2026-08-05", "supporting_event": "Sajeeb Wazed Joy warned that Bangladesh has become another Pakistan.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_10cd270a", "storyline": "Bangladesh security situation", "linked_domains": ["Politics", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_1725e9bb83a819f269eb", "t_505639d5a9093d5f1621", "t_d1a1611563d55637a98a"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "perturbed_binary", "value": "No", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Bangladesh has become another Pakistan on India's eastern side and you have another Pakistan today on your eastern front.", "quote_doc_id": "t_10cd270a672e05ce73ce", "settling_ids": ["t_10cd270a672e05ce73ce", "t_021f2c30705250fb7f46", "t_70b057e7765303c4adda", "t_62d90078c32d8690a6e6"], "derivation": "the event dated 2026-08-05 is after the shifted deadline 2026-08-04, so the claim is false at that deadline"}, "perturbation": {"field": "deadline", "original": "2026-08-11", "substituted": "2026-08-04", "v40_substituted": "2026-07-28"}, "paired_with": "e_10cd270a672e_q0", "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Sajeeb Wazed Joy", "Bangladesh", "Pakistan", "Inter-Services Intelligence"]}
{"id": "e_10cd270a672e_q1", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "Who will Sajeeb Wazed Joy claim is operating freely inside Bangladesh by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "Pakistan's Inter-Services Intelligence (ISI)", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 15, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_10cd270a672e", "event_date": "2026-08-05", "supporting_event": "Sajeeb Wazed Joy warned that Bangladesh has become another Pakistan.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_10cd270a", "storyline": "Bangladesh security situation", "linked_domains": ["Politics", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_1725e9bb83a819f269eb", "t_505639d5a9093d5f1621", "t_d1a1611563d55637a98a"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "Pakistan's Inter-Services Intelligence (ISI)", "tolerance": null, "quote": "he claimed that foreign intelligence agencies, particularly Pakistan's Inter-Services Intelligence (ISI), now operate with what he called 'an open hand' in the country.", "quote_doc_id": "t_021f2c30705250fb7f46", "settling_ids": ["t_10cd270a672e05ce73ce", "t_021f2c30705250fb7f46", "t_70b057e7765303c4adda", "t_62d90078c32d8690a6e6"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Sajeeb Wazed Joy", "Bangladesh", "Pakistan", "Inter-Services Intelligence"]}
{"id": "e_111dbf94ae31_q0", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "Which action will U.S. President Donald Trump take regarding Iran by 2026-08-04?", "options": ["Hold off on a fresh attack", "Engage in direct talks", "Launch a new military operation", "Increase sanctions"], "answer": "Hold off on a fresh attack", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 13, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_111dbf94ae31", "event_date": "2026-08-03", "supporting_event": "U.S. President Donald Trump held off on a fresh attack on Iran.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_111dbf94", "storyline": "U.S.-Iran relations", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Law", "Politics", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_b8eb25e00fa662254d53", "t_a86d913ac7db483b5e35", "t_7fb2fad73eb569cd151e", "t_a08b560864ecf0c79cb6"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "Hold off on a fresh attack", "tolerance": null, "quote": "U.S. President Donald Trump held off on a fresh attack on Iran", "quote_doc_id": "t_111dbf94ae315993e875", "settling_ids": ["t_111dbf94ae315993e875", "t_83b8c84ffe0188a7d1f4"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Donald Trump", "Iran"]}
{"id": "e_1225d8cf760a_q0", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "How many Saudi oil tankers will the Iranian-aligned Houthis claim to have attacked as part of their naval blockade by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "2", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 2, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_1225d8cf760a", "event_date": "2026-07-23", "supporting_event": "The Iranian-aligned Houthis said on Thursday they struck two Saudi oil tankers as part of a naval blockade on Saudi Arabia.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_035b7334", "storyline": "US-Iran military conflict", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Law", "Politics", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_330450338432f2db6a0d", "t_73794116054ac435ea21", "t_00f0000558fc46dc8f71", "t_b76f6962193a9142eb78", "t_f91132b30e3392233287"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "2", "tolerance": null, "quote": "they struck two Saudi oil tankers as part of a naval blockade on Saudi Arabia", "quote_doc_id": "t_895ebe76036e22ff34aa", "settling_ids": ["t_1225d8cf760ab507528a", "t_895ebe76036e22ff34aa", "t_394ebe26394e455f9e41", "t_26c3655620df9b9e7697"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Houthis", "Saudi Arabia"]}
{"id": "e_1495142ba8c1_q0", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "What conditions did Iran's Revolutionary Guards set for reopening the Strait of Hormuz by 2026-08-11?", "options": ["An end to sanctions on Iran", "Compensation for war damages", "Withdrawal of US troops from the region", "A ceasefire agreement with Israel"], "answer": "Compensation for war damages", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 19, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_1495142ba8c1", "event_date": "2026-08-09", "supporting_event": "Iran's Revolutionary Guards said they would not reopen the Strait of Hormuz until the United States met Tehran's conditions.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_1495142b", "storyline": "Negotiations regarding the Strait of Hormuz", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Law", "Politics", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_4538988047b67e6de4d3", "t_e88e7fbcc2ad1aa38598", "t_e260a83c2039ad6964af", "t_b8585b58fd6a33e22df7"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "Compensation for war damages", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Iran’s Revolutionary Guards said on Sunday they would not reopen the Strait of Hormuz, vital to the world economy, until the United States met Tehran’s conditions set out the day before, including compensation for war damages.", "quote_doc_id": "t_1495142ba8c131e18bc3", "settling_ids": ["t_1495142ba8c131e18bc3", "t_b7338db70714f2b9a5ba", "t_cfa9ca465099d65304e5", "t_d5d76d0469b344cc03db"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Iran's Revolutionary Guards", "United States"]}
{"id": "e_1612f4e9fefe_a0", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "What is the number of books mentioned in the orders by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "71", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "A", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 15, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_1612f4e9fefe", "event_date": "2026-08-05", "supporting_event": "Donald Trump warned Iran it would get 'hit very hard' if negotiations to reopen the Strait of Hormuz fell through.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_1495142b", "storyline": "Negotiations regarding the Strait of Hormuz", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Law", "Politics", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_b234e7f89b4f05599024", "t_f546a9a9bf92d1ed0046", "t_6248fc1d7a3e65a508e1", "t_3346a5ea214393f51f4d", "t_07d81189da4d0f7715f1", "a_4c33dc7625f46887bf5a"], "precursor_modalities": ["A", "T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "71", "tolerance": null, "quote": "One of them was 71 books, biographies, cartoons, political cartoon books.", "quote_doc_id": "a_a9b06348618d0ee4506a", "settling_ids": ["a_a9b06348618d0ee4506a", "t_1612f4e9fefe06cbc766", "t_a338e6ae919a55e3b1f6", "t_4d2997d6a62a6f7ecf1a"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Donald Trump", "Iran", "Strait of Hormuz"]}
{"id": "e_1612f4e9fefe_q1", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "On which date will Donald Trump issue a warning to Iran regarding the Strait of Hormuz if negotiations fail by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "2026-08-05", "answer_type": "date", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 15, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_1612f4e9fefe", "event_date": "2026-08-05", "supporting_event": "Donald Trump warned Iran it would get 'hit very hard' if negotiations to reopen the Strait of Hormuz fell through.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_1495142b", "storyline": "Negotiations regarding the Strait of Hormuz", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Law", "Politics", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_b234e7f89b4f05599024", "t_f546a9a9bf92d1ed0046", "t_6248fc1d7a3e65a508e1", "t_3346a5ea214393f51f4d", "t_07d81189da4d0f7715f1", "a_4c33dc7625f46887bf5a"], "precursor_modalities": ["A", "T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "date", "value": "2026-08-05", "tolerance": 1, "quote": "Trump said a deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz could come as soon as Aug 5 but warned Iran it would get 'hit very hard' if negotiations fell through.", "quote_doc_id": "t_1612f4e9fefe06cbc766", "settling_ids": ["t_1612f4e9fefe06cbc766", "t_a338e6ae919a55e3b1f6", "t_4d2997d6a62a6f7ecf1a", "a_a9b06348618d0ee4506a"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Donald Trump", "Iran", "Strait of Hormuz"]}
{"id": "e_183a67a3f35d_q0", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "By 2026-08-04, how many people will be reported killed by Ukrainian drone debris in Arkhipo-Osipovka?", "options": ["nine people", "six people", "four people", "three people"], "answer": "six people", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": "people", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 13, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_183a67a3f35d", "event_date": "2026-08-03", "supporting_event": "Ukrainian drone debris killed six people in Arkhipo-Osipovka.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_183a67a3", "storyline": "2026 Ukraine-Russia conflict", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Law", "Politics", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_340764403820bc2e938c", "t_427cb810e465e2f25101", "t_96882f697723c3e0cfb7"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "six people", "tolerance": null, "quote": "six people were killed by Ukrainian drone debris in Arkhipo-Osipovka", "quote_doc_id": "t_183a67a3f35d4ca2b928", "settling_ids": ["t_183a67a3f35d4ca2b928", "t_9be685d0a4bdb0afb10d", "t_52e767c191cab408f330", "t_37995fa9db015a7ee845"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Ukrainian drones", "Arkhipo-Osipovka", "Krasnodar region", "Veniamin Kondratyev"]}
{"id": "e_183a67a3f35d_q1", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "By 2026-08-04, how many people will be reported wounded due to the Ukrainian drone incident in Arkhipo-Osipovka?", "options": null, "answer": "40", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "people", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 13, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_183a67a3f35d", "event_date": "2026-08-03", "supporting_event": "Ukrainian drone debris killed six people in Arkhipo-Osipovka.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_183a67a3", "storyline": "2026 Ukraine-Russia conflict", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Law", "Politics", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_340764403820bc2e938c", "t_427cb810e465e2f25101", "t_96882f697723c3e0cfb7"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "40", "tolerance": null, "quote": "40 others were wounded", "quote_doc_id": "t_183a67a3f35d4ca2b928", "settling_ids": ["t_183a67a3f35d4ca2b928", "t_9be685d0a4bdb0afb10d", "t_52e767c191cab408f330", "t_37995fa9db015a7ee845"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Ukrainian drones", "Arkhipo-Osipovka", "Krasnodar region", "Veniamin Kondratyev"]}
{"id": "e_1a4b59eee5ce_q0", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "By 2026-07-28, what percentage tariff will India pay on most of its exports to the US?", "options": ["5%", "15%", "10%", "12.5%"], "answer": "10%", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": "%", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 4, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_1a4b59eee5ce", "event_date": "2026-07-25", "supporting_event": "India will pay a 10% tariff on most of its exports to the US from July 25, 2026.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_1a4b59ee", "storyline": "US tariff measures on India", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_48797a843eee5c316906", "t_45b4b67d11db82296b50", "t_63002a3da929aa204b9f", "t_f2c4bc56e6d56270da1d", "t_f9ff9e57987d56a1b991", "t_19e99b835acb69908c45"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "10%", "tolerance": null, "quote": "India will pay a 10% tariff on most of its exports to the US from Friday", "quote_doc_id": "t_85c19e14fb735c3edf43", "settling_ids": ["t_1a4b59eee5ceca0807e7", "t_85c19e14fb735c3edf43", "t_d46547c0a7c803307335"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["India", "US"]}
{"id": "e_1a4b59eee5ce_q1", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "By 2026-07-28, what will be the value of the tariff imposed on Indian exports to the US?", "options": null, "answer": "10", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "%", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 4, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_1a4b59eee5ce", "event_date": "2026-07-25", "supporting_event": "India will pay a 10% tariff on most of its exports to the US from July 25, 2026.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_1a4b59ee", "storyline": "US tariff measures on India", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_48797a843eee5c316906", "t_45b4b67d11db82296b50", "t_63002a3da929aa204b9f", "t_f2c4bc56e6d56270da1d", "t_f9ff9e57987d56a1b991", "t_19e99b835acb69908c45"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "10", "tolerance": 0.05, "quote": "India will pay a 10% tariff on most of its exports to the US from Friday", "quote_doc_id": "t_85c19e14fb735c3edf43", "settling_ids": ["t_1a4b59eee5ceca0807e7", "t_85c19e14fb735c3edf43", "t_d46547c0a7c803307335"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["India", "US"]}
{"id": "e_1af50aab7b71_q0", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "Which of the following events will occur in the Israeli-occupied West Bank by 2026-07-28?", "options": ["A major protest will occur in Tel Aviv", "Two mosques will be set on fire in an apparent Israeli settler attack", "A peace agreement will be signed between Israel and Palestine", "A new settlement will be established in the West Bank"], "answer": "Two mosques will be set on fire in an apparent Israeli settler attack", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 5, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_1af50aab7b71", "event_date": "2026-07-26", "supporting_event": "Two mosques in the Israeli-occupied West Bank were set on fire in an apparent Israeli settler attack.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_0e1b786e", "storyline": "West Bank clashes July 2026", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_47f3cb5479a42b884db3", "t_4921e64c78a9e7ff33d0", "t_a89972ec087bdb347e37", "t_67bd565a4297ae1f9b21"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "Two mosques will be set on fire in an apparent Israeli settler attack", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Two mosques in the Israeli-occupied West Bank were set on fire overnight in apparent Israeli settler attacks", "quote_doc_id": "t_1af50aab7b716c71f502", "settling_ids": ["t_1af50aab7b716c71f502", "t_681facf6c8f8a15136d6", "t_aae3680f3b94c06b79e0", "t_b14eeacdf06ec575f137"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Israeli settlers", "mosques", "West Bank"]}
{"id": "e_1af50aab7b71_q1", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "How many mosques will be set on fire in the Israeli-occupied West Bank by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "2", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 5, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_1af50aab7b71", "event_date": "2026-07-26", "supporting_event": "Two mosques in the Israeli-occupied West Bank were set on fire in an apparent Israeli settler attack.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_0e1b786e", "storyline": "West Bank clashes July 2026", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_47f3cb5479a42b884db3", "t_4921e64c78a9e7ff33d0", "t_a89972ec087bdb347e37", "t_67bd565a4297ae1f9b21"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "2", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Two mosques in the Israeli-occupied West Bank were set on fire overnight in apparent Israeli settler attacks", "quote_doc_id": "t_1af50aab7b716c71f502", "settling_ids": ["t_1af50aab7b716c71f502", "t_681facf6c8f8a15136d6", "t_aae3680f3b94c06b79e0", "t_b14eeacdf06ec575f137"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Israeli settlers", "mosques", "West Bank"]}
{"id": "e_1b1d7a27d9a3_q0", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "Will Ethiopian federal troops launch an attack in the Tigray region by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 11, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_1b1d7a27d9a3", "event_date": "2026-08-01", "supporting_event": "Ethiopian federal troops launched an attack in the Tigray region.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_1b1d7a27", "storyline": "Ethiopia-TPLF conflict", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_25ec5cedb00a6cd566fb", "t_a1cf97419ca3e217ff1e"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "federal troops launched an attack at dawn on Saturday, moving from Shererina, near the border with Sudan.", "quote_doc_id": "t_df8b5442c989cef77911", "settling_ids": ["t_1b1d7a27d9a3ca6fe636", "t_df8b5442c989cef77911"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Ethiopian federal troops", "Tigray region", "Abraham Belay", "Debretsion Gebremichael"]}
{"id": "e_1b1d7a27d9a3_q0_neg", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "Will Ethiopian federal troops launch an attack in the Tigray region by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "No", "answer_type": "perturbed_binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 11, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_1b1d7a27d9a3", "event_date": "2026-08-01", "supporting_event": "Ethiopian federal troops launched an attack in the Tigray region.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_1b1d7a27", "storyline": "Ethiopia-TPLF conflict", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_25ec5cedb00a6cd566fb", "t_a1cf97419ca3e217ff1e"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "perturbed_binary", "value": "No", "tolerance": null, "quote": "federal troops launched an attack at dawn on Saturday, moving from Shererina, near the border with Sudan.", "quote_doc_id": "t_df8b5442c989cef77911", "settling_ids": ["t_1b1d7a27d9a3ca6fe636", "t_df8b5442c989cef77911"], "derivation": "the event dated 2026-08-01 is after the shifted deadline 2026-07-28, so the claim is false at that deadline"}, "perturbation": {"field": "deadline", "original": "2026-08-04", "substituted": "2026-07-28", "v40_substituted": "2026-07-26"}, "paired_with": "e_1b1d7a27d9a3_q0", "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Ethiopian federal troops", "Tigray region", "Abraham Belay", "Debretsion Gebremichael"]}
{"id": "e_1bf4cb246270_q2", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "How many vessels were affected by the drone strike at Damietta port by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "2", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 8, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_1bf4cb246270", "event_date": "2026-07-29", "supporting_event": "An unidentified drone caused a fire on two vessels at Damietta port.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_035b7334", "storyline": "US-Iran military conflict", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Law", "Politics", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_02841a5bc767e17cde67", "t_efd8cb61a9b85d0e9254", "t_66100935818ff61d9a74", "t_d0c75ec1cdef6d575e3a"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "2", "tolerance": 0.1, "quote": "an unidentified drone caused a fire on Wednesday on two vessels at Damietta port", "quote_doc_id": "t_1bf4cb2462705f3816bc", "settling_ids": ["t_1bf4cb2462705f3816bc", "t_9474d11980e16784c6a8", "t_39826016167e7624b301", "t_f1589e1743710f6c5a58"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Egypt", "Damietta port", "Suez Canal", "Energos Winter"]}
{"id": "e_1c97763bcecd_q0", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "Will Iran halt retaliatory attacks against US allies in the Middle East by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 6, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_1c97763bcecd", "event_date": "2026-07-27", "supporting_event": "Iran said it has halted retaliatory attacks against US allies in the Middle East.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_035b7334", "storyline": "US-Iran military conflict", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Law", "Politics", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_8623d65aea7f716dc3a6", "t_5e2ba2d5dcaffbada9fd", "t_4446033b21693d756a32"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Tehran said on Sunday it would pause what it called “retaliatory” attacks against US allies in the region.", "quote_doc_id": "t_1c97763bcecdeec64595", "settling_ids": ["t_1c97763bcecdeec64595", "t_ce6f2106bc77993cde60"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Iran", "US"]}
{"id": "e_1ce54e5c4551_q0", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "Will the United States and Iran pause hostilities by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 6, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_1ce54e5c4551", "event_date": "2026-07-27", "supporting_event": "The United States and Iran paused hostilities on July 27, 2026.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_035b7334", "storyline": "US-Iran military conflict", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Law", "Politics", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_05f84f531cc04ca24e1e", "t_2e819ff17ccb35c0cbf0", "t_f931c0b86ff767b2431e"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the United States and Iran paused hostilities", "quote_doc_id": "t_1ce54e5c4551d2ca0584", "settling_ids": ["t_1ce54e5c4551d2ca0584", "t_fb68c8698d9a6e281c48"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["United States", "Iran"]}
{"id": "e_2022530c2951_q0", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "Which of the following military assets will the United States move into the Middle East by 2026-07-28?", "options": ["submarines", "fighter jets", "transport helicopters", "troop carriers"], "answer": "fighter jets", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 2, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_2022530c2951", "event_date": "2026-07-23", "supporting_event": "The United States is moving additional military assets into the Middle East.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_2022530c", "storyline": "US military buildup in the Middle East", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Law", "Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_ec0dcb6acb3ecc9c30f3", "t_b373565a8b3d84528173", "t_b9f70699cf4f0966ea29", "t_cc07f0d9aed7bcc7c4cd"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "fighter jets", "tolerance": null, "quote": "The buildup includes special operations personnel, fighter jets, aerial refueling aircraft and long-range bombers", "quote_doc_id": "t_642d97d7fdb42f65f054", "settling_ids": ["t_2022530c2951f309274c", "t_642d97d7fdb42f65f054"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["the United States", "President Trump", "Iran"]}
{"id": "e_2022530c2951_q1", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "How many medical personnel will the United States move to the Landstuhl Regional Medical Center in Germany by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "150", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "personnel", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 2, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_2022530c2951", "event_date": "2026-07-23", "supporting_event": "The United States is moving additional military assets into the Middle East.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_2022530c", "storyline": "US military buildup in the Middle East", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Law", "Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_ec0dcb6acb3ecc9c30f3", "t_b373565a8b3d84528173", "t_b9f70699cf4f0966ea29", "t_cc07f0d9aed7bcc7c4cd"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "150", "tolerance": 0.05, "quote": "more than 150 medical personnel have been sent to Landstuhl Regional Medical Center in Germany", "quote_doc_id": "t_642d97d7fdb42f65f054", "settling_ids": ["t_2022530c2951f309274c", "t_642d97d7fdb42f65f054"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["the United States", "President Trump", "Iran"]}
{"id": "e_22dd5009ce41_q0", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "Who will be killed in Voronezh due to falling drone debris by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "a three-year-old boy", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 2, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_22dd5009ce41", "event_date": "2026-07-23", "supporting_event": "A three-year-old boy was killed in Voronezh due to falling drone debris from a Ukrainian attack.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_22dd5009", "storyline": "Ukrainian drone attacks on Russian regions", "linked_domains": ["Politics", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_340764403820bc2e938c", "t_b23c0a1b2046502efb5e", "t_ed1c90dd4fd4ca7b955a", "t_fc0b179762d4956da7c8"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "a three-year-old boy", "tolerance": null, "quote": "a three-year-old boy was killed after a drone crashed into a private home in a suburb of Voronezh, Governor Alexander Gusev said.", "quote_doc_id": "t_d331f6cd180ff5ab1675", "settling_ids": ["t_22dd5009ce41ea446657", "t_5aeabbd7a83fd939246a", "t_14610e8ff3f51052336a", "t_d331f6cd180ff5ab1675"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Ukrainian drones", "Voronezh", "three-year-old boy"]}
{"id": "e_22dd5009ce41_q2", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "How many Ukrainian drones will be intercepted over Russian regions by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "223", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 2, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_22dd5009ce41", "event_date": "2026-07-23", "supporting_event": "A three-year-old boy was killed in Voronezh due to falling drone debris from a Ukrainian attack.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_22dd5009", "storyline": "Ukrainian drone attacks on Russian regions", "linked_domains": ["Politics", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_340764403820bc2e938c", "t_b23c0a1b2046502efb5e", "t_ed1c90dd4fd4ca7b955a", "t_fc0b179762d4956da7c8"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "223", "tolerance": 0.05, "quote": "Russia's Defense Ministry said it intercepted 223 Ukrainian drones in Russia and annexed Crimea between Wednesday night and Thursday morning.", "quote_doc_id": "t_22dd5009ce41ea446657", "settling_ids": ["t_22dd5009ce41ea446657", "t_5aeabbd7a83fd939246a", "t_14610e8ff3f51052336a", "t_d331f6cd180ff5ab1675"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Ukrainian drones", "Voronezh", "three-year-old boy"]}
{"id": "e_241f55495b4e_i0", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "What is the identification number of the Chinese coast guard ship involved in the incident by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "3301", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 3, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_241f55495b4e", "event_date": "2026-07-24", "supporting_event": "The Philippine Coast Guard accused China of firing water cannon at government vessels near Scarborough Shoal.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_241f5549", "storyline": "South China Sea confrontations", "linked_domains": ["Environment"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_397c7353e3a1bb811073", "t_593e5a0b2e3689b5389a"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "3301", "tolerance": null, "quote": "A Chinese coast guard ship fires a water cannon at a Philippine vessel, in this screengrab taken from a handout video released on Jul 23, 2026, location given as South China Sea. (Image: Jay Tarriela via X/Handout via REUTERS)", "quote_doc_id": "i_241f55495b4e1be740d8_1", "settling_ids": ["t_241f55495b4e1be740d8", "t_22acb0b35c8eff3c2d1b", "t_3777e9cb378964d13acd"], "visible_detail": "the number '3301' on the side of the Chinese coast guard ship"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Philippine Coast Guard", "China Coast Guard", "Scarborough Shoal"]}
{"id": "e_24703818d8ae_q0", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "What specific action did U.S. President Donald Trump threaten to take against Iran by 2026-07-28?", "options": ["withdraw U.S. troops from the region", "impose economic sanctions on Iran", "initiate peace talks with Iran", "destroy an Iranian bridge or power plant"], "answer": "destroy an Iranian bridge or power plant", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 1, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_24703818d8ae", "event_date": "2026-07-22", "supporting_event": "U.S. President Donald Trump threatened to destroy an Iranian bridge or power plant every time Iran shoots at a ship in the Strait of Hormuz.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_24703818", "storyline": "US-Iran tensions over shipping", "linked_domains": ["Law", "Politics", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_f546a9a9bf92d1ed0046", "t_ad6316923c46aaaa17d2", "t_0c7d7add1d4ce830411d"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "destroy an Iranian bridge or power plant", "tolerance": null, "quote": "U.S. President Donald Trump vowed on July 22 to destroy an Iranian bridge or power plant every time Iran shoots at a ship in the Strait of Hormuz", "quote_doc_id": "t_24703818d8ae3ccb3fef", "settling_ids": ["t_24703818d8ae3ccb3fef", "t_e14b10db956c16fbf098", "t_e63f05fbcac355284493", "t_9ebcca92352c59f83854"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Donald Trump", "Iran"]}
{"id": "e_24703818d8ae_q1", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "On what date will U.S. President Donald Trump threaten to destroy an Iranian bridge or power plant if Iran shoots at a ship in the Strait of Hormuz by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "2026-07-22", "answer_type": "date", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 1, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_24703818d8ae", "event_date": "2026-07-22", "supporting_event": "U.S. President Donald Trump threatened to destroy an Iranian bridge or power plant every time Iran shoots at a ship in the Strait of Hormuz.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_24703818", "storyline": "US-Iran tensions over shipping", "linked_domains": ["Law", "Politics", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_f546a9a9bf92d1ed0046", "t_ad6316923c46aaaa17d2", "t_0c7d7add1d4ce830411d"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "date", "value": "2026-07-22", "tolerance": 1, "quote": "U.S. President Donald Trump vowed on July 22 to destroy an Iranian bridge or power plant every time Iran shoots at a ship in the Strait of Hormuz", "quote_doc_id": "t_24703818d8ae3ccb3fef", "settling_ids": ["t_24703818d8ae3ccb3fef", "t_e14b10db956c16fbf098", "t_e63f05fbcac355284493", "t_9ebcca92352c59f83854"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Donald Trump", "Iran"]}
{"id": "e_27ff49b87ef7_q0", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "How many children and teenagers will Ukraine bring back from Russian-occupied territories during July by 2026-07-28?", "options": ["30", "60", "25", "47"], "answer": "47", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": "children", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 7, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_27ff49b87ef7", "event_date": "2026-07-28", "supporting_event": "Ukraine brought back 47 children and teenagers from Russian-occupied territories in July.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_27ff49b8", "storyline": "Bring Kids Back UA initiative", "linked_domains": ["Business"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_08fda1d5515bb3802f75", "t_3f7f9f456d42a9d83b76"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "47", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Ukraine has brought back 47 children and teenagers from Russian-occupied territories to areas under its control in recent weeks", "quote_doc_id": "t_27ff49b87ef75515a37b", "settling_ids": ["t_27ff49b87ef75515a37b", "t_7419a7e5195fe543d8ff", "a_6294c833ad5af7e9d401"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Ukraine", "Save Ukraine"]}
{"id": "e_29aa98781c4e_q0", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "What will be the reason for the suspension of vessel arrivals at Ukraine's Black Sea ports for agricultural exports by 2026-07-28?", "options": ["bad weather conditions", "lack of available vessels", "government regulations", "intensified Russian attacks"], "answer": "intensified Russian attacks", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 2, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_29aa98781c4e", "event_date": "2026-07-23", "supporting_event": "Shipowners have temporarily suspended vessel arrivals at Ukraine's Black Sea ports for agricultural exports.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_29aa9878", "storyline": "Ukraine agricultural export operations", "linked_domains": ["Business"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_96ea9882a532540b31bb", "t_5768028e0f4558fcda69"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "intensified Russian attacks", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Shipowners have temporarily suspended vessel arrivals at Ukraine's Black Sea ports for agricultural exports after a recent surge in Russian attacks on ports and merchant shipping.", "quote_doc_id": "t_29aa98781c4ebe12a99a", "settling_ids": ["t_29aa98781c4ebe12a99a", "t_302bbe1cd1bbdc6614ee"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["shipowners", "Ukraine", "Black Sea ports"]}
{"id": "e_2a5f4e0692b1_i0", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "What will the USD/JPY exchange rate be by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "155.71-74", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 9, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_2a5f4e0692b1", "event_date": "2026-07-30", "supporting_event": "The United States and Japan jointly stepped into the currency market to support the Japanese yen.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_2a5f4e06", "storyline": "US-Japan currency intervention", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Law", "Politics", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_7e852624046ff0aba670", "t_9ed1e7a74235d7d2a56f", "t_04f78b1679e7a7491be9", "t_d9d9b3a946c53f3c335c"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "155.71-74", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_2a5f4e0692b1e2dc6000_0", "settling_ids": ["t_2a5f4e0692b1e2dc6000", "t_6caa92dab6bbaeb5602d", "t_fd12271f181e54d1f4b0", "t_33785b0a092b1a7d366d", "t_764453988db6a1309d9e", "t_258b2f4e22958709ddb1"], "visible_detail": "the current exchange rate of 155.71-74 for USD/JPY"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["United States", "Japan", "Scott Bessent", "Sanae Takaichi"]}
{"id": "e_2a5f4e0692b1_q1", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "Will the United States and Japan coordinate their actions to support the yen by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 9, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_2a5f4e0692b1", "event_date": "2026-07-30", "supporting_event": "The United States and Japan jointly stepped into the currency market to support the Japanese yen.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_2a5f4e06", "storyline": "US-Japan currency intervention", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Law", "Politics", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_7e852624046ff0aba670", "t_9ed1e7a74235d7d2a56f", "t_04f78b1679e7a7491be9", "t_d9d9b3a946c53f3c335c"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "The United States and Japan’s decision to intervene in the yen market was preceded by months of preparation and closer-than-usual coordination between the two governments", "quote_doc_id": "t_fd12271f181e54d1f4b0", "settling_ids": ["t_2a5f4e0692b1e2dc6000", "t_6caa92dab6bbaeb5602d", "t_fd12271f181e54d1f4b0", "t_33785b0a092b1a7d366d"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["United States", "Japan", "Scott Bessent", "Sanae Takaichi"]}
{"id": "e_2a5f4e0692b1_q1_neg", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "Will the United States and Japan coordinate their actions to support the yen by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "No", "answer_type": "perturbed_binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 9, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_2a5f4e0692b1", "event_date": "2026-07-30", "supporting_event": "The United States and Japan jointly stepped into the currency market to support the Japanese yen.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_2a5f4e06", "storyline": "US-Japan currency intervention", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Law", "Politics", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_7e852624046ff0aba670", "t_9ed1e7a74235d7d2a56f", "t_04f78b1679e7a7491be9", "t_d9d9b3a946c53f3c335c"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "perturbed_binary", "value": "No", "tolerance": null, "quote": "The United States and Japan’s decision to intervene in the yen market was preceded by months of preparation and closer-than-usual coordination between the two governments", "quote_doc_id": "t_fd12271f181e54d1f4b0", "settling_ids": ["t_2a5f4e0692b1e2dc6000", "t_6caa92dab6bbaeb5602d", "t_fd12271f181e54d1f4b0", "t_33785b0a092b1a7d366d"], "derivation": "the event dated 2026-07-30 is after the shifted deadline 2026-07-28, so the claim is false at that deadline"}, "perturbation": {"field": "deadline", "original": "2026-08-04", "substituted": "2026-07-28", "v40_substituted": "2026-07-25"}, "paired_with": "e_2a5f4e0692b1_q1", "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["United States", "Japan", "Scott Bessent", "Sanae Takaichi"]}
{"id": "e_2b532dbfcce7_i0", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "What is the number visible on the building in the photograph by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "158", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 18, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_2b532dbfcce7", "event_date": "2026-08-08", "supporting_event": "Russian drones killed a three-year-old boy and his grandparents in a village in the Kyiv region.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_183a67a3", "storyline": "2026 Ukraine-Russia conflict", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Law", "Politics", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_fe025e52a12299b384e6", "t_c95722fdaeb967b02bc8", "t_47074948f32025d3ec6c", "t_fda58874dbc5a1d633c0", "t_d63552a8a38add6db850"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "158", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_a759d27f3b040c92a903_0", "settling_ids": ["t_bb0edc6bd2d204bc6189", "t_2b532dbfcce7b1acf258", "t_bdad696993565ae0188d", "t_a759d27f3b040c92a903"], "visible_detail": "the number 158 on a building"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Russian drones", "three-year-old boy", "grandparents", "Kyiv"]}
{"id": "e_2b532dbfcce7_q0", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "Who will be reported as killed by Russian drones in the Kyiv region by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "a three-year-old boy and his grandparents", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 18, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_2b532dbfcce7", "event_date": "2026-08-08", "supporting_event": "Russian drones killed a three-year-old boy and his grandparents in a village in the Kyiv region.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_183a67a3", "storyline": "2026 Ukraine-Russia conflict", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Law", "Politics", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_fe025e52a12299b384e6", "t_c95722fdaeb967b02bc8", "t_47074948f32025d3ec6c", "t_fda58874dbc5a1d633c0", "t_d63552a8a38add6db850"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "a three-year-old boy and his grandparents", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Russian drones killed a three-year-old boy and his grandparents in a village in the Kyiv region", "quote_doc_id": "t_2b532dbfcce7b1acf258", "settling_ids": ["t_2b532dbfcce7b1acf258", "t_bdad696993565ae0188d", "t_bb0edc6bd2d204bc6189", "t_a759d27f3b040c92a903"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Russian drones", "three-year-old boy", "grandparents", "Kyiv"]}
{"id": "e_2b532dbfcce7_q1", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "How many people will be reported killed by Russian drones in the Kyiv region by 2026-08-11?", "options": ["1", "2", "3", "4"], "answer": "3", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 18, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_2b532dbfcce7", "event_date": "2026-08-08", "supporting_event": "Russian drones killed a three-year-old boy and his grandparents in a village in the Kyiv region.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_183a67a3", "storyline": "2026 Ukraine-Russia conflict", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Law", "Politics", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_fe025e52a12299b384e6", "t_c95722fdaeb967b02bc8", "t_47074948f32025d3ec6c", "t_fda58874dbc5a1d633c0", "t_d63552a8a38add6db850"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "3", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Russian drones killed a three-year-old boy and his grandparents in a village in the Kyiv region", "quote_doc_id": "t_2b532dbfcce7b1acf258", "settling_ids": ["t_2b532dbfcce7b1acf258", "t_bdad696993565ae0188d", "t_bb0edc6bd2d204bc6189", "t_a759d27f3b040c92a903"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Russian drones", "three-year-old boy", "grandparents", "Kyiv"]}
{"id": "e_2c8eb19f9aed_q0", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "Will Union Shipping Minister Sarbananda Sonowal report the repatriation of Indian seafarers by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 18, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_2c8eb19f9aed", "event_date": "2026-08-08", "supporting_event": "Union Shipping Minister Sarbananda Sonowal reported the repatriation of over 4048 Indian seafarers amid the West Asia conflict.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_2c8eb19f", "storyline": "repatriation of Indian seafarers during West Asia conflict", "linked_domains": ["Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_c84456bbbdf6b21434e3", "t_8165c22002bd4578664a", "t_c9b6012c80c583815a85", "t_2963999fa4a4be917d5d", "t_380abfbc1c0b7dfe90e5"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "we recently coordinated the safe repatriation of over 4,000 stranded Indian seafarers.", "quote_doc_id": "t_2c8eb19f9aed0c4ac8a9", "settling_ids": ["t_2c8eb19f9aed0c4ac8a9", "t_0367e439ee31e51155bb"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Sarbananda Sonowal", "Indian seafarers", "Prime Minister Narendra Modi", "DGMA"]}
{"id": "e_2c8eb19f9aed_q0_neg", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "Will Union Shipping Minister Sarbananda Sonowal report the repatriation of Indian seafarers by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "No", "answer_type": "perturbed_binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 18, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_2c8eb19f9aed", "event_date": "2026-08-08", "supporting_event": "Union Shipping Minister Sarbananda Sonowal reported the repatriation of over 4048 Indian seafarers amid the West Asia conflict.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_2c8eb19f", "storyline": "repatriation of Indian seafarers during West Asia conflict", "linked_domains": ["Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_c84456bbbdf6b21434e3", "t_8165c22002bd4578664a", "t_c9b6012c80c583815a85", "t_2963999fa4a4be917d5d", "t_380abfbc1c0b7dfe90e5"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "perturbed_binary", "value": "No", "tolerance": null, "quote": "we recently coordinated the safe repatriation of over 4,000 stranded Indian seafarers.", "quote_doc_id": "t_2c8eb19f9aed0c4ac8a9", "settling_ids": ["t_2c8eb19f9aed0c4ac8a9", "t_0367e439ee31e51155bb"], "derivation": "the event dated 2026-08-08 is after the shifted deadline 2026-08-04, so the claim is false at that deadline"}, "perturbation": {"field": "deadline", "original": "2026-08-11", "substituted": "2026-08-04", "v40_substituted": "2026-07-30"}, "paired_with": "e_2c8eb19f9aed_q0", "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Sarbananda Sonowal", "Indian seafarers", "Prime Minister Narendra Modi", "DGMA"]}
{"id": "e_2c8eb19f9aed_q2", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "How many Indian seafarers will be reported as repatriated by Union Shipping Minister Sarbananda Sonowal by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "4048", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "seafarers", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 18, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_2c8eb19f9aed", "event_date": "2026-08-08", "supporting_event": "Union Shipping Minister Sarbananda Sonowal reported the repatriation of over 4048 Indian seafarers amid the West Asia conflict.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_2c8eb19f", "storyline": "repatriation of Indian seafarers during West Asia conflict", "linked_domains": ["Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_c84456bbbdf6b21434e3", "t_8165c22002bd4578664a", "t_c9b6012c80c583815a85", "t_2963999fa4a4be917d5d", "t_380abfbc1c0b7dfe90e5"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "4048", "tolerance": 0.05, "quote": "over 4048 Indian seafarers have been repatriated recently", "quote_doc_id": "t_0367e439ee31e51155bb", "settling_ids": ["t_2c8eb19f9aed0c4ac8a9", "t_0367e439ee31e51155bb"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Sarbananda Sonowal", "Indian seafarers", "Prime Minister Narendra Modi", "DGMA"]}
{"id": "e_2e4f681ce1fa_q0", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "What specific demands will US President Donald Trump make in response to Iran's conditions for a peace deal by 2026-08-11?", "options": ["Iran to cease all nuclear activities", "Iran to withdraw from regional conflicts", "Iran to pay compensation for people killed in wars, attacks and protests", "Iran to release all political prisoners"], "answer": "Iran to pay compensation for people killed in wars, attacks and protests", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 20, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_2e4f681ce1fa", "event_date": "2026-08-10", "supporting_event": "US President Donald Trump responded with his own demands to Iran's conditions for a peace deal.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_035b7334", "storyline": "US-Iran military conflict", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Law", "Politics", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_b234e7f89b4f05599024", "t_4446033b21693d756a32", "t_99b2811d99ae281a3da8"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "Iran to pay compensation for people killed in wars, attacks and protests", "tolerance": null, "quote": "US President Donald Trump on Monday responded to Iran's conditions for a peace deal with his own demands that Iran pay compensation for people killed in wars, attacks and protests", "quote_doc_id": "t_2e4f681ce1fa01fe75a0", "settling_ids": ["t_2e4f681ce1fa01fe75a0", "t_e44bac1f554f815d996f", "t_45a49688d855a2f67a4d"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["US President Donald Trump", "Iran"]}
{"id": "e_3294064392c7_q0", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "Will China's Commerce Ministry oppose the US forced labour tariffs imposed on Chinese goods by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 3, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_3294064392c7", "event_date": "2026-07-24", "supporting_event": "China's Commerce Ministry opposes US forced labour tariffs imposed on Chinese goods.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_2d76fbdf", "storyline": "US-China trade relations", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Law", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_6ba90b196a16501a0ef5", "t_f592f571312dba89b00d", "t_cc178e52f31079495cf0", "t_fb0d3133397cd8dd2d56"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "China firmly opposes it", "quote_doc_id": "t_3294064392c72691d3b1", "settling_ids": ["t_3294064392c72691d3b1", "t_4cbb96ce7b10ff499099", "t_b5bec6b88ccbd64268b1"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["China", "US", "Commerce Ministry"]}
{"id": "e_34affe6a66c8_q0", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "What action will Israel take in southern Lebanon by 2026-08-11?", "options": ["carry out airstrikes", "demolish buildings", "withdraw troops", "sign a peace treaty"], "answer": "carry out airstrikes", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 17, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_34affe6a66c8", "event_date": "2026-08-07", "supporting_event": "Israel carried out airstrikes hitting several areas in southern Lebanon.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_34affe6a", "storyline": "Israel-Lebanon military conflict", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_18ed0097e6ae6f4b8e0c", "t_31b543d327b145ad4621", "t_8b9203ed2f1f5869f64a"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "carry out airstrikes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Israeli airstrikes hitting several areas and the Israeli military announcing the deaths of two soldiers.", "quote_doc_id": "t_34affe6a66c8abeb6fc1", "settling_ids": ["t_34affe6a66c8abeb6fc1", "t_2cc745e0617a6aac36f8", "t_b3c6c09cc16c834504c8", "t_58f51c27c41aaf62afb1"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Israel", "Lebanon"]}
{"id": "e_358a8134e3b0_q0", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "Will Greece approve the purchase of a multi-layer air defense system from Israel by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 2, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_358a8134e3b0", "event_date": "2026-07-23", "supporting_event": "Greece approved the purchase of a multi-layer air defense system worth up to €3.5 billion ($4 billion) from Israel.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_358a8134", "storyline": "Greece military modernization program", "linked_domains": ["Environment"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_56b8c043961805fe16fe", "d_881b86a8540801326e64"], "precursor_modalities": ["D", "T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Greece's security council, KYSEA, is expected to give its final approval on Thursday for the purchase of a multi-layer air defence system from Israel, worth up to €3.5 billion ($4 billion), and several types of drones, two sources told Reuters.", "quote_doc_id": "t_358a8134e3b0cb727d13", "settling_ids": ["t_358a8134e3b0cb727d13", "t_377ea38fd9f92f04d76c", "t_315d82f4eeebe1911760", "t_a6f39d7dfac2d9b36f1e"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Greece", "Israel", "Nikos Dendias", "Achilles Shield", "Rafael", "IAI", "Embraer"]}
{"id": "e_358a8134e3b0_q2", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "How much will Greece spend on the multi-layer air defense system from Israel by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "3.5", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "billion euros", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 2, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_358a8134e3b0", "event_date": "2026-07-23", "supporting_event": "Greece approved the purchase of a multi-layer air defense system worth up to €3.5 billion ($4 billion) from Israel.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_358a8134", "storyline": "Greece military modernization program", "linked_domains": ["Environment"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_56b8c043961805fe16fe", "d_881b86a8540801326e64"], "precursor_modalities": ["D", "T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "3.5", "tolerance": 0.1, "quote": "Greece to buy a multi-layer air defence system from Israel, worth up to €3.5 billion ($4 billion)", "quote_doc_id": "t_358a8134e3b0cb727d13", "settling_ids": ["t_358a8134e3b0cb727d13", "t_377ea38fd9f92f04d76c", "t_315d82f4eeebe1911760", "t_a6f39d7dfac2d9b36f1e"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Greece", "Israel", "Nikos Dendias", "Achilles Shield", "Rafael", "IAI", "Embraer"]}
{"id": "e_35a74a6f526d_q0", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "How many towns and villages will Israeli soldiers raid in the occupied West Bank and East Jerusalem by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "20", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "towns and villages", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 6, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_35a74a6f526d", "event_date": "2026-07-27", "supporting_event": "Israeli soldiers intensified their offensive in the occupied West Bank and East Jerusalem, raiding at least 20 towns and villages.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_0e1b786e", "storyline": "West Bank clashes July 2026", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_8cc40b2c68cc8c224de5", "t_36b14c78d9567f02c92f", "t_9bd7d32da2525c998ecb"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "20", "tolerance": 0.1, "quote": "raiding at least 20 towns and villages", "quote_doc_id": "t_35a74a6f526dfe233e10", "settling_ids": ["t_35a74a6f526dfe233e10", "t_bd61a7c94bca62e6ef07"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Israeli soldiers", "West Bank", "East Jerusalem"]}
{"id": "e_37787cccc8ad_d0", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "What is the date of birth of Basheer Abdulkadhim Alwan by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "01 May 1986", "answer_type": "date", "unit": null, "modality_required": "D", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 13, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_37787cccc8ad", "event_date": "2026-08-03", "supporting_event": "The US lifted sanctions on Fly Baghdad Airlines that were imposed over alleged links to Iran's IRGC.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_37787ccc", "storyline": "US sanctions reconsideration process", "linked_domains": ["Business"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_bb41a046a12e4a7cc208", "t_ec5c2b3131300a310545", "t_f931c0b86ff767b2431e"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "date", "value": "01 May 1986", "tolerance": null, "quote": "DOB 01 May 1986", "quote_doc_id": "d_26cf7edff296dea52862", "settling_ids": ["d_26cf7edff296dea52862", "t_fb8afbc56c222e02dba7", "t_37787cccc8adabd5f8b6", "t_e92d4109548655f6b91c", "t_4b88ac792b8691cdedc4", "t_a804979685d797a75a7b", "t_0f00164212d3c84830ee"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Fly Baghdad Airlines", "US Treasury", "Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps"]}
{"id": "e_37787cccc8ad_i0", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "Will Fly Baghdad Airlines increase its flight operations by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 13, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_37787cccc8ad", "event_date": "2026-08-03", "supporting_event": "The US lifted sanctions on Fly Baghdad Airlines that were imposed over alleged links to Iran's IRGC.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_37787ccc", "storyline": "US sanctions reconsideration process", "linked_domains": ["Business"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_bb41a046a12e4a7cc208", "t_ec5c2b3131300a310545", "t_f931c0b86ff767b2431e"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "An employee enters the headquarters of the Iraqi airline Fly Baghdad at Baghdad's International Airport on Jan 23, 2024. (Photo: AFP/Ahmad Al-Rubaye)", "quote_doc_id": "i_fb8afbc56c222e02dba7_1", "settling_ids": ["t_fb8afbc56c222e02dba7", "t_37787cccc8adabd5f8b6", "t_e92d4109548655f6b91c", "t_4b88ac792b8691cdedc4", "t_a804979685d797a75a7b", "t_0f00164212d3c84830ee"], "visible_detail": "the signage of Fly Baghdad Airlines at the headquarters"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Fly Baghdad Airlines", "US Treasury", "Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps"]}
{"id": "e_37787cccc8ad_i0_neg", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "Will Fly Baghdad Airlines increase its flight operations by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "No", "answer_type": "perturbed_binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 13, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_37787cccc8ad", "event_date": "2026-08-03", "supporting_event": "The US lifted sanctions on Fly Baghdad Airlines that were imposed over alleged links to Iran's IRGC.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_37787ccc", "storyline": "US sanctions reconsideration process", "linked_domains": ["Business"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_bb41a046a12e4a7cc208", "t_ec5c2b3131300a310545", "t_f931c0b86ff767b2431e"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "perturbed_binary", "value": "No", "tolerance": null, "quote": "An employee enters the headquarters of the Iraqi airline Fly Baghdad at Baghdad's International Airport on Jan 23, 2024. (Photo: AFP/Ahmad Al-Rubaye)", "quote_doc_id": "i_fb8afbc56c222e02dba7_1", "settling_ids": ["t_fb8afbc56c222e02dba7", "t_37787cccc8adabd5f8b6", "t_e92d4109548655f6b91c", "t_4b88ac792b8691cdedc4", "t_a804979685d797a75a7b", "t_0f00164212d3c84830ee"], "derivation": "the event dated 2026-08-03 is after the shifted deadline 2026-07-28, so the claim is false at that deadline", "visible_detail": "the signage of Fly Baghdad Airlines at the headquarters"}, "perturbation": {"field": "deadline", "original": "2026-08-04", "substituted": "2026-07-28", "v40_substituted": "2026-07-27"}, "paired_with": "e_37787cccc8ad_i0", "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Fly Baghdad Airlines", "US Treasury", "Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps"]}
{"id": "e_37787cccc8ad_q0", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "Which entity lifted sanctions on Fly Baghdad Airlines by 2026-08-04?", "options": ["Iraqi Government", "US Treasury", "European Union", "United Nations"], "answer": "US Treasury", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 13, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_37787cccc8ad", "event_date": "2026-08-03", "supporting_event": "The US lifted sanctions on Fly Baghdad Airlines that were imposed over alleged links to Iran's IRGC.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_37787ccc", "storyline": "US sanctions reconsideration process", "linked_domains": ["Business"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_bb41a046a12e4a7cc208", "t_ec5c2b3131300a310545", "t_f931c0b86ff767b2431e"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "US Treasury", "tolerance": null, "quote": "The US Treasury Department has removed sanctions imposed on the Iraqi airline Fly Baghdad", "quote_doc_id": "t_37787cccc8adabd5f8b6", "settling_ids": ["t_37787cccc8adabd5f8b6", "t_e92d4109548655f6b91c", "t_4b88ac792b8691cdedc4", "t_a804979685d797a75a7b", "d_26cf7edff296dea52862"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Fly Baghdad Airlines", "US Treasury", "Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps"]}
{"id": "e_37e1aa4e13aa_d0", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "What is Faraday Future Intelligent Electric Inc.'s full-year shipment target for units by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "2,000", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "D", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 8, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_37e1aa4e13aa", "event_date": "2026-07-29", "supporting_event": "The U.S. Federal Communications Commission is banning imports of new foreign-made humanoid robots and power inverters.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_37e1aa4e", "storyline": "U.S. import regulations on robotics", "linked_domains": ["Technology"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_40a0335c6ad49d919d96", "t_3d64c36eadd51844f415", "t_d232c8728c5bdfe823e5", "t_e23e0f65293b5bac6d65", "t_7e9810beff811eb02628"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "2,000", "tolerance": null, "quote": "we continued making steady progress toward our full-year shipment target of 2,000 units.", "quote_doc_id": "d_723db8cbb82167c8b8fb", "settling_ids": ["d_723db8cbb82167c8b8fb", "t_66d5cbfd53f6758c381b", "t_37e1aa4e13aa2ea57713", "t_93209523dcaf0b74be8e", "t_0eccd63a143bcb7cf5ec", "t_7549f0745cf8e90e4d07", "t_3cdefba58e8b8eeda28f"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["U.S. Federal Communications Commission", "China"]}
{"id": "e_37e1aa4e13aa_q0", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "Will the U.S. Federal Communications Commission ban imports of new foreign-made humanoid robots and power inverters by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 8, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_37e1aa4e13aa", "event_date": "2026-07-29", "supporting_event": "The U.S. Federal Communications Commission is banning imports of new foreign-made humanoid robots and power inverters.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_37e1aa4e", "storyline": "U.S. import regulations on robotics", "linked_domains": ["Technology"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_40a0335c6ad49d919d96", "t_3d64c36eadd51844f415", "t_d232c8728c5bdfe823e5", "t_e23e0f65293b5bac6d65", "t_7e9810beff811eb02628"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the Federal Communications Commission is banning imports of new foreign-made humanoid robots and power inverters, citing national security risks", "quote_doc_id": "t_37e1aa4e13aa2ea57713", "settling_ids": ["t_37e1aa4e13aa2ea57713", "t_93209523dcaf0b74be8e", "t_0eccd63a143bcb7cf5ec", "t_7549f0745cf8e90e4d07", "d_723db8cbb82167c8b8fb"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["U.S. Federal Communications Commission", "China"]}
{"id": "e_37e1aa4e13aa_q0_neg", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "Will the U.S. Federal Communications Commission ban imports of new foreign-made humanoid robots and power inverters by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "No", "answer_type": "perturbed_binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 8, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_37e1aa4e13aa", "event_date": "2026-07-29", "supporting_event": "The U.S. Federal Communications Commission is banning imports of new foreign-made humanoid robots and power inverters.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_37e1aa4e", "storyline": "U.S. import regulations on robotics", "linked_domains": ["Technology"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_40a0335c6ad49d919d96", "t_3d64c36eadd51844f415", "t_d232c8728c5bdfe823e5", "t_e23e0f65293b5bac6d65", "t_7e9810beff811eb02628"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "perturbed_binary", "value": "No", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the Federal Communications Commission is banning imports of new foreign-made humanoid robots and power inverters, citing national security risks", "quote_doc_id": "t_37e1aa4e13aa2ea57713", "settling_ids": ["t_37e1aa4e13aa2ea57713", "t_93209523dcaf0b74be8e", "t_0eccd63a143bcb7cf5ec", "t_7549f0745cf8e90e4d07", "d_723db8cbb82167c8b8fb"], "derivation": "the event dated 2026-07-29 is after the shifted deadline 2026-07-28, so the claim is false at that deadline"}, "perturbation": {"field": "deadline", "original": "2026-08-04", "substituted": "2026-07-28", "v40_substituted": "2026-07-25"}, "paired_with": "e_37e1aa4e13aa_q0", "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["U.S. Federal Communications Commission", "China"]}
{"id": "e_37e1aa4e13aa_q1", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "How many humanoid robots does China dominate the global market with by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "85", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "%", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 8, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_37e1aa4e13aa", "event_date": "2026-07-29", "supporting_event": "The U.S. Federal Communications Commission is banning imports of new foreign-made humanoid robots and power inverters.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_37e1aa4e", "storyline": "U.S. import regulations on robotics", "linked_domains": ["Technology"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_40a0335c6ad49d919d96", "t_3d64c36eadd51844f415", "t_d232c8728c5bdfe823e5", "t_e23e0f65293b5bac6d65", "t_7e9810beff811eb02628"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "85", "tolerance": 0.05, "quote": "China dominates the global market for humanoid robots with an estimated market share of roughly 85%", "quote_doc_id": "t_37e1aa4e13aa2ea57713", "settling_ids": ["t_37e1aa4e13aa2ea57713", "t_93209523dcaf0b74be8e", "t_0eccd63a143bcb7cf5ec", "t_7549f0745cf8e90e4d07", "d_723db8cbb82167c8b8fb"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["U.S. Federal Communications Commission", "China"]}
{"id": "e_3823aa9bd696_q0", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "Who will the Pentagon press to accelerate weapons production by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "U.S. defense industry", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 19, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_3823aa9bd696", "event_date": "2026-08-09", "supporting_event": "The Pentagon is pressing the U.S. defense industry to accelerate production of weapons to help replenish its diminished stockpile of munitions.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_3823aa9b", "storyline": "U.S. military munitions production efforts", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_bf55c7757c375ba91f92", "t_029346705333006f8178", "t_7e9fd845b10a7e5c451d", "t_b7b47988949c336decd7"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "U.S. defense industry", "tolerance": null, "quote": "The Pentagon is pressing the U.S. defense industry to accelerate production of weapons to help replenish its diminished stockpile of munitions.", "quote_doc_id": "t_3823aa9bd696461a4b3d", "settling_ids": ["t_3823aa9bd696461a4b3d", "t_9d4ab4fd5b243b9161b9", "t_b6ee724847f279220b00", "t_71c72392b023a018f6b8"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["the Pentagon", "U.S. defense industry"]}
{"id": "e_3823aa9bd696_q1", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "What will the Pentagon focus on to address concerns over munitions stockpiles by 2026-08-11?", "options": ["boosting munitions acquisitions", "enhancing diplomatic efforts", "increasing troop deployments", "reducing military spending"], "answer": "boosting munitions acquisitions", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 19, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_3823aa9bd696", "event_date": "2026-08-09", "supporting_event": "The Pentagon is pressing the U.S. defense industry to accelerate production of weapons to help replenish its diminished stockpile of munitions.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_3823aa9b", "storyline": "U.S. military munitions production efforts", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_bf55c7757c375ba91f92", "t_029346705333006f8178", "t_7e9fd845b10a7e5c451d", "t_b7b47988949c336decd7"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "boosting munitions acquisitions", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the department was actively focused on boosting munitions acquisitions to provide 'the weapons our warfighters need at the pace the threat demands.'", "quote_doc_id": "t_9d4ab4fd5b243b9161b9", "settling_ids": ["t_3823aa9bd696461a4b3d", "t_9d4ab4fd5b243b9161b9", "t_b6ee724847f279220b00", "t_71c72392b023a018f6b8"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["the Pentagon", "U.S. defense industry"]}
{"id": "e_3823aa9bd696_q2", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "How many days will the Pentagon give industry leaders to submit plans for increased production by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "21", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "days", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 19, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_3823aa9bd696", "event_date": "2026-08-09", "supporting_event": "The Pentagon is pressing the U.S. defense industry to accelerate production of weapons to help replenish its diminished stockpile of munitions.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_3823aa9b", "storyline": "U.S. military munitions production efforts", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_bf55c7757c375ba91f92", "t_029346705333006f8178", "t_7e9fd845b10a7e5c451d", "t_b7b47988949c336decd7"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "21", "tolerance": 0.05, "quote": "giving them no more than 21 days to submit plans to 'drive significantly faster, more aggressive delivery schedules and/or increased production for critical capabilities.'", "quote_doc_id": "t_9d4ab4fd5b243b9161b9", "settling_ids": ["t_3823aa9bd696461a4b3d", "t_9d4ab4fd5b243b9161b9", "t_b6ee724847f279220b00", "t_71c72392b023a018f6b8"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["the Pentagon", "U.S. defense industry"]}
{"id": "e_39ed7a22e540_q2", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "How many members of the Iraqi Popular Mobilization Forces will be reported killed as a result of the strikes by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "20", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 8, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_39ed7a22e540", "event_date": "2026-07-29", "supporting_event": "Saudi Arabia carried out strikes against Iran-backed groups in Iraq.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_035b7334", "storyline": "US-Iran military conflict", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Law", "Politics", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_ec0dcb6acb3ecc9c30f3", "t_04c97dcdcd9046743da7", "t_42e16b2706f834f192c3"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "20", "tolerance": 0.1, "quote": "which the Iraqi Popular Mobilization Forces (PMF) said killed at least 20 of its members", "quote_doc_id": "t_6fc68df3afa18c2c61d6", "settling_ids": ["t_39ed7a22e5407400d791", "t_c18160b2fcf6b2ecb144", "t_6fc68df3afa18c2c61d6", "t_b186704ffe832a14c199"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Saudi Arabia", "Iran", "US Central Command", "Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps", "Iraq", "Popular Mobilization Forces"]}
{"id": "e_3b1429b6c2a7_q1", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "How much will oil prices rebound by after US President Donald Trump holds off on new attacks on Iran pending ongoing talks to end their war by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "1", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "percent", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 12, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_3b1429b6c2a7", "event_date": "2026-08-02", "supporting_event": "US President Donald Trump said he was holding off on new attacks on Iran pending ongoing talks to end their war.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_035b7334", "storyline": "US-Iran military conflict", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Law", "Politics", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_a86d913ac7db483b5e35", "t_7fb2fad73eb569cd151e", "t_0923e7e3bc55e8e1f6ac", "t_4446033b21693d756a32"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "1", "tolerance": 0.05, "quote": "Oil prices rebounded 1 per cent on Tuesday (Aug 4) from a plunge in the previous session.", "quote_doc_id": "t_3b1429b6c2a7fb99cb67", "settling_ids": ["t_3b1429b6c2a7fb99cb67", "t_f6858b977d3f44cc8c3b", "t_601fd1aa8a827989350a", "t_1e2fd8fcb1d87e271b90"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Donald Trump", "Iran", "Strait of Hormuz"]}
{"id": "e_3b1429b6c2a7_q2", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "Who will reject US President Donald Trump's claim about negotiations with Iran by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "Esmail Baghaei", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 12, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_3b1429b6c2a7", "event_date": "2026-08-02", "supporting_event": "US President Donald Trump said he was holding off on new attacks on Iran pending ongoing talks to end their war.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_035b7334", "storyline": "US-Iran military conflict", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Law", "Politics", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_a86d913ac7db483b5e35", "t_7fb2fad73eb569cd151e", "t_0923e7e3bc55e8e1f6ac", "t_4446033b21693d756a32"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "Esmail Baghaei", "tolerance": null, "quote": "However, on Monday, Iran's Foreign Ministry spokesman Esmail Baghaei rejected Trump's claim, saying no negotiations with the US were taking place and no meetings were scheduled.", "quote_doc_id": "t_3b1429b6c2a7fb99cb67", "settling_ids": ["t_3b1429b6c2a7fb99cb67", "t_f6858b977d3f44cc8c3b", "t_601fd1aa8a827989350a", "t_1e2fd8fcb1d87e271b90"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Donald Trump", "Iran", "Strait of Hormuz"]}
{"id": "e_3c54a9828aa7_q0", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "Will Myanmar leaders return to ASEAN meetings by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "No", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 2, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_3c54a9828aa7", "event_date": "2026-07-23", "supporting_event": "The participation of Myanmar leaders in top meetings of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations is still far off.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_3c54a982", "storyline": "Myanmar diplomatic engagement", "linked_domains": ["Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_33ab10b95b182fb3c0cb", "t_5183e5e5bfd8bda0170a", "t_48351e6b0e18e4d63df5", "t_244f379d4b35aa453e0b", "t_d120574e12092a7892ce"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "No", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Myanmar leaders’ return to ASEAN meetings ‘still far off’", "quote_doc_id": "t_3c54a9828aa77a12e868", "settling_ids": ["t_3c54a9828aa77a12e868", "t_11de3516d5f6e40db191", "t_16883a73bbf3ae0a5eee"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Myanmar", "ASEAN", "Maria Theresa Lazaro"]}
{"id": "e_3e53164d1ffe_q0", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "By 2026-08-04, how many migrants will Spain estimate have returned to Morocco?", "options": ["50,000 migrants", "100,000 migrants", "30,000 migrants", "69,500 migrants"], "answer": "69,500 migrants", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": "migrants", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 13, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_3e53164d1ffe", "event_date": "2026-08-03", "supporting_event": "Spain estimates that about 69,500 migrants have returned to Morocco.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_1df6cabb", "storyline": "Ceuta border crisis response", "linked_domains": ["Politics", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_7aa8efddb1046f9d4917", "t_50e4924c7af316f3946f", "t_67caaed3f7add8e003e5"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "69,500 migrants", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Spain estimates that about 69,500 migrants have returned to Morocco", "quote_doc_id": "t_911de357d3c9422c2867", "settling_ids": ["t_3e53164d1ffe910b241b", "t_911de357d3c9422c2867", "t_817aa1610b0eae4f7e67", "t_c0e758a390f8b222720b"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Spain", "Ceuta", "Morocco"]}
{"id": "e_3e53164d1ffe_q1", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "By 2026-08-04, what will be the estimated number of migrants that Spain has returned to Morocco?", "options": null, "answer": "69500", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "migrants", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 13, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_3e53164d1ffe", "event_date": "2026-08-03", "supporting_event": "Spain estimates that about 69,500 migrants have returned to Morocco.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_1df6cabb", "storyline": "Ceuta border crisis response", "linked_domains": ["Politics", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_7aa8efddb1046f9d4917", "t_50e4924c7af316f3946f", "t_67caaed3f7add8e003e5"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "69500", "tolerance": 0.05, "quote": "Spain estimates that about 69,500 migrants have returned to Morocco", "quote_doc_id": "t_911de357d3c9422c2867", "settling_ids": ["t_3e53164d1ffe910b241b", "t_911de357d3c9422c2867", "t_817aa1610b0eae4f7e67", "t_c0e758a390f8b222720b"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Spain", "Ceuta", "Morocco"]}
{"id": "e_401aab5d74be_i0", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "What is the countable quantity of flags being waved by the crowd by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "more than 50", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 1, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_401aab5d74be", "event_date": "2026-07-22", "supporting_event": "Iran launched 6 ballistic missiles at Jordan's port city of Aqaba.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_035b7334", "storyline": "US-Iran military conflict", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Law", "Politics", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_c679a85444e126f1a6cb", "t_27f285e473ba622a6cbc", "t_ec0dcb6acb3ecc9c30f3", "t_73dc8878744e8518201d", "t_ed1d555b0df7f19918a6"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "more than 50", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_d3451be600eddf8ca319_0", "settling_ids": ["t_d3451be600eddf8ca319", "t_5c911cb5305ab249ecea", "t_86c69e958ffb4d1997ae", "t_401aab5d74beb04b1462", "t_53ea3bd7c785361df0d0", "t_3f810991e870dd2f15a8"], "visible_detail": "the number of flags in the crowd"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Iran", "Jordan", "Aqaba"]}
{"id": "e_40e334fb8aba_q0", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "By 2026-08-04, which group is likely to be suspected of responsibility for the militant attack on the Khazina police post in Hangu district, Pakistan?", "options": ["Balochistan Liberation Army", "Tehrik-e-Taliban Pakistan", "Al-Qaeda", "Islamic State"], "answer": "Tehrik-e-Taliban Pakistan", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 8, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_40e334fb8aba", "event_date": "2026-07-29", "supporting_event": "Militants attacked a police post in northwestern Pakistan, killing 11 officers.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_40e334fb", "storyline": "militant attacks in Pakistan", "linked_domains": ["Law", "Politics", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_c4feca56097ec0f8873b", "t_5d8ac951a25295350023", "t_ec80b0a756475ff7b512", "t_d3813059515e9374e474", "t_d7e1b6c84b52d7a3fa82"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "Tehrik-e-Taliban Pakistan", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Suspicion is likely to fall on the Pakistani Taliban, known as Tehrik-e-Taliban Pakistan, or TTP, which has stepped up attacks on Pakistani security forces in the region in recent months.", "quote_doc_id": "t_40e334fb8aba6d6423b0", "settling_ids": ["t_40e334fb8aba6d6423b0", "t_a5d447cb810a3b0de2c6", "t_24a0746ca7ac1e4e3da9", "t_83dc299fa8a5b0948805", "a_7b46de2c4e4a410fe492"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["militants", "Khazina police post", "Hangu district", "Khyber Pakhtunkhwa", "Pakistan"]}
{"id": "e_40e334fb8aba_q1", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "How many police officers will be reported killed in the militant attack on the Khazina police post by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "11", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "officers", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 8, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_40e334fb8aba", "event_date": "2026-07-29", "supporting_event": "Militants attacked a police post in northwestern Pakistan, killing 11 officers.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_40e334fb", "storyline": "militant attacks in Pakistan", "linked_domains": ["Law", "Politics", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_c4feca56097ec0f8873b", "t_5d8ac951a25295350023", "t_ec80b0a756475ff7b512", "t_d3813059515e9374e474", "t_d7e1b6c84b52d7a3fa82"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "11", "tolerance": null, "quote": "The death toll from an overnight deadly militant attack on a police post in northwestern Pakistan rose to 11 early Thursday.", "quote_doc_id": "t_40e334fb8aba6d6423b0", "settling_ids": ["t_40e334fb8aba6d6423b0", "t_a5d447cb810a3b0de2c6", "t_24a0746ca7ac1e4e3da9", "t_83dc299fa8a5b0948805", "a_7b46de2c4e4a410fe492"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["militants", "Khazina police post", "Hangu district", "Khyber Pakhtunkhwa", "Pakistan"]}
{"id": "e_420a20e80e48_q1", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "What day did President Trump claim new talks to wind down the war in Iran will start by 2026-08-04?", "options": ["Saturday", "Wednesday", "Friday", "Monday"], "answer": "Monday", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 13, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_420a20e80e48", "event_date": "2026-08-03", "supporting_event": "President Trump said new talks to wind down the war in Iran will start Monday.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_420a20e8", "storyline": "Iran conflict resolution talks", "linked_domains": ["Law", "Politics", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_781b1ac69adf29ca96c5", "t_59ff840ebfcd8fced6b4", "t_4446033b21693d756a32"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "Monday", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Trump said new talks to wind down the war in Iran will start Monday", "quote_doc_id": "t_420a20e80e48e9f4b93c", "settling_ids": ["t_420a20e80e48e9f4b93c", "t_8c618beeda05d3257efe"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Donald Trump", "Iran"]}
{"id": "e_42a4d44aade4_q0", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "Will a Romanian F-16 fighter jet pilot shoot down a Russian drone over the Black Sea by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 5, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_42a4d44aade4", "event_date": "2026-07-26", "supporting_event": "A Romanian F-16 fighter jet pilot shot down a Russian drone over the Black Sea.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_42a4d44a", "storyline": "Romania's response to Russian drone incursions", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_879a6057764aca82ad8c", "t_15394dcbd285988b047c"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "A Romanian F-16 fighter jet pilot shot down a Russian drone over the Black Sea, the Defense Ministry said on Sunday, the latest in a series of breaches of the NATO member's airspace that President Nicusor Dan called 'inadmissible and intolerable.'", "quote_doc_id": "t_42a4d44aade407bc004e", "settling_ids": ["t_42a4d44aade407bc004e", "t_8f5d964fa8921baa5d5d"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Romanian F-16 fighter jet pilot", "Russian drone", "Romania", "Black Sea"]}
{"id": "e_42a4d44aade4_q1", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "How many Russian drones will a Romanian F-16 fighter jet pilot have shot down by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "3", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 5, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_42a4d44aade4", "event_date": "2026-07-26", "supporting_event": "A Romanian F-16 fighter jet pilot shot down a Russian drone over the Black Sea.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_42a4d44a", "storyline": "Romania's response to Russian drone incursions", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_879a6057764aca82ad8c", "t_15394dcbd285988b047c"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "3", "tolerance": null, "quote": "It has now shot down three drones in as many days.", "quote_doc_id": "t_8f5d964fa8921baa5d5d", "settling_ids": ["t_42a4d44aade407bc004e", "t_8f5d964fa8921baa5d5d"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Romanian F-16 fighter jet pilot", "Russian drone", "Romania", "Black Sea"]}
{"id": "e_451a8e9241dc_q0", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "By 2026-08-11, how many North Korean troops will Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy claim are being deployed to Russia to assist in the war in Ukraine?", "options": ["20,000 to 30,000", "30,000 to 50,000", "10,000 to 20,000", "50,000 to 70,000"], "answer": "30,000 to 50,000", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 19, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_451a8e9241dc", "event_date": "2026-08-09", "supporting_event": "Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy claims that 30,000 to 50,000 North Korean troops are being deployed to Russia to assist in the war in Ukraine.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_451a8e92", "storyline": "Russia-Ukraine war", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Politics", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_a190ef5103374690316e", "t_673c08e3365e78b94578", "t_452a59923466357f7154"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "30,000 to 50,000", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy on Saturday (local time) warned that a decision has been made to deploy roughly 30,000 to 50,000 North Korean troops to Russia to help President Vladimir Putin's war in Ukraine.", "quote_doc_id": "t_451a8e9241dced3449fd", "settling_ids": ["t_451a8e9241dced3449fd", "t_64051aabadce7096181b", "a_de9cf4402aca8d75d5ac"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Volodymyr Zelenskyy", "North Korea", "Russia", "Ukraine"]}
{"id": "e_45af695a2180_q1", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "How many people will be killed in a Russian missile strike outside the Ukrainian capital by 2026-07-28?", "options": ["At least 5", "At least 15", "At least 20", "At least 10"], "answer": "At least 10", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": "people", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 3, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_45af695a2180", "event_date": "2026-07-24", "supporting_event": "A Russian missile strike outside the Ukrainian capital killed at least 10 people on July 24.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_45af695a", "storyline": "2026 Russian-Ukrainian conflict", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_65daa6ba54baf083d159", "t_c6b93d8cbb60a5cf98db", "t_d63552a8a38add6db850"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "At least 10", "tolerance": null, "quote": "In the most deadly attack, a Russian missile strike outside the Ukrainian capital killed at least 10 people and wounded around 100, Ukraine’s prosecutor-general said.", "quote_doc_id": "t_45af695a2180e6657bde", "settling_ids": ["t_45af695a2180e6657bde", "t_4f9f709c63d18ad54e26"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Russian missile strike", "Ukrainian capital"]}
{"id": "e_485305194eb2_q0", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "How many new housing units will Israeli authorities issue a tender for in the Kochav Yaakov settlement by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "627", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "units", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 16, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_485305194eb2", "event_date": "2026-08-06", "supporting_event": "Israeli authorities issued a tender for 627 new housing units in the Kochav Yaakov settlement.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_48530519", "storyline": "settlement construction in the occupied West Bank", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_a7902bae7de77e520bae", "t_32a80287372ed738c8b1", "t_a73e5ad3f57e0a0be466", "t_8cc40b2c68cc8c224de5", "t_a656df176c0f44d2d410"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "627", "tolerance": 0.05, "quote": "Israeli authorities have issued a tender for 627 new housing units in the Kochav Yaakov settlement", "quote_doc_id": "t_485305194eb2792370ef", "settling_ids": ["t_485305194eb2792370ef", "t_c3f38305bebcbb1e1af7"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Israeli authorities", "Kochav Yaakov settlement", "Palestinian Colonization and Wall Resistance Commission", "Israel Land Authority"]}
{"id": "e_48e3f8e8fc25_i0", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "What is the count of missile units deployed by North Korea to support Russia's war against Ukraine by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "11208", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 16, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_48e3f8e8fc25", "event_date": "2026-08-06", "supporting_event": "North Korea has deployed a missile unit to support Russia's war against Ukraine, comprising about 90 personnel.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_0fd677a5", "storyline": "North Korean military deployment in support of Russia", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Politics", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_0e871a4a5a1c4cf42207", "t_0dc91420d02dc8e02a0f", "t_452a59923466357f7154"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "11208", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_48e3f8e8fc25a5109128_0", "settling_ids": ["t_48e3f8e8fc25a5109128", "t_1aad68643ec0aee4eb72"], "visible_detail": "the number '11208'"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["North Korea", "Russia", "Ukraine", "GUR military intelligence agency"]}
{"id": "e_48e3f8e8fc25_q0", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "By 2026-08-11, how many personnel will North Korea have deployed in a missile unit to support Russia's war against Ukraine?", "options": ["90", "30", "120", "50"], "answer": "90", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": "personnel", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 16, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_48e3f8e8fc25", "event_date": "2026-08-06", "supporting_event": "North Korea has deployed a missile unit to support Russia's war against Ukraine, comprising about 90 personnel.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_0fd677a5", "storyline": "North Korean military deployment in support of Russia", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Politics", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_0e871a4a5a1c4cf42207", "t_0dc91420d02dc8e02a0f", "t_452a59923466357f7154"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "90", "tolerance": null, "quote": "The unit comprises about 90 North Korean personnel", "quote_doc_id": "t_48e3f8e8fc25a5109128", "settling_ids": ["t_48e3f8e8fc25a5109128", "t_1aad68643ec0aee4eb72", "a_de9cf4402aca8d75d5ac"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["North Korea", "Russia", "Ukraine", "GUR military intelligence agency"]}
{"id": "e_48e3f8e8fc25_q1", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "By 2026-08-11, how many ballistic missiles will the North Korean missile unit potentially be equipped with?", "options": null, "answer": "120", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "missiles", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 16, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_48e3f8e8fc25", "event_date": "2026-08-06", "supporting_event": "North Korea has deployed a missile unit to support Russia's war against Ukraine, comprising about 90 personnel.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_0fd677a5", "storyline": "North Korean military deployment in support of Russia", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Politics", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_0e871a4a5a1c4cf42207", "t_0dc91420d02dc8e02a0f", "t_452a59923466357f7154"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "120", "tolerance": 0.05, "quote": "could be equipped with up to 120 ballistic missiles", "quote_doc_id": "t_48e3f8e8fc25a5109128", "settling_ids": ["t_48e3f8e8fc25a5109128", "t_1aad68643ec0aee4eb72", "a_de9cf4402aca8d75d5ac"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["North Korea", "Russia", "Ukraine", "GUR military intelligence agency"]}
{"id": "e_49257f0c55cb_a0", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "What percentage of the stock market is now AI-related by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "40%", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "%", "modality_required": "A", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 6, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_49257f0c55cb", "event_date": "2026-07-27", "supporting_event": "China's commerce ministry accused the United States of 'AI hegemonism'.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_49257f0c", "storyline": "US-China AI technology dispute", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Law", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_bae67a3b0ded14c1fc7d", "t_9fa20858d58166cf256e", "t_29effde4e770024e24f6", "t_9de34cf6b2db978fb9fe", "t_70cc87f7392e0ffad8aa"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "40%", "tolerance": null, "quote": "40% of the stock market is now AI-related.", "quote_doc_id": "a_b12866700482a975000d", "settling_ids": ["a_b12866700482a975000d", "t_49257f0c55cbcc29e9f1", "t_d0aa8b9641c612a40204", "t_d13950f4efc8a5f763d6", "t_bfaeb6729de7b403aabc"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["China", "United States"]}
{"id": "e_492d30fa5a17_i0", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "What will be the stock price of Jersey Mike's Subs by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "23.00", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 11, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_492d30fa5a17", "event_date": "2026-08-01", "supporting_event": "Donald Trump canceled planned military strikes on Iran.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_035b7334", "storyline": "US-Iran military conflict", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Law", "Politics", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_b8eb25e00fa662254d53", "t_caca894c81f8afd48ba3", "t_a86d913ac7db483b5e35"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "23.00", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_8a7c21924a424b9575ae_0", "settling_ids": ["t_d0220b05eb2ba60834bb", "t_492d30fa5a171184e5f5", "t_cad3c4bad63eb4990a89", "t_562382f16803924f9225", "t_8a7c21924a424b9575ae", "t_6f56f5258e6e095d2f3c"], "visible_detail": "the stock price of Jersey Mike's Subs at 23.00"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Donald Trump", "Iran"]}
{"id": "e_4a7cd41f87a7_q0", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "Which entity will be involved in an attack on Saudi oil installations by 2026-07-28?", "options": ["ISIS", "Al-Qaeda", "Yemeni Houthis", "Iranian Revolutionary Guard"], "answer": "Yemeni Houthis", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 5, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_4a7cd41f87a7", "event_date": "2026-07-26", "supporting_event": "Yemeni Houthis attacked Saudi oil installations on July 26.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_4a7cd41f", "storyline": "Houthi attacks on Saudi oil infrastructure", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_42e16b2706f834f192c3", "t_fc9797439b067dab805f", "t_73794116054ac435ea21"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "Yemeni Houthis", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Yemeni Houthis attacked Saudi oil installations along the Red Sea coast", "quote_doc_id": "t_4a7cd41f87a71412c2a9", "settling_ids": ["t_4a7cd41f87a71412c2a9", "t_f232ad14184529a35e4b", "t_4150b603d4747cdb5188", "t_eef471d3e016578b2a99"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Yemeni Houthis", "Saudi Arabia"]}
{"id": "e_4ae660951c14_q0", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "Will Saudi Arabia announce the creation of a maritime military coalition by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 9, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_4ae660951c14", "event_date": "2026-07-30", "supporting_event": "Saudi Arabia announced the creation of a maritime military coalition to safeguard freedom of navigation through the Bab al-Mandeb Strait, the Red Sea and the Gulf of Aden.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_4ae66095", "storyline": "2026 Houthi-Saudi conflict", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_548642382efd30dcab69", "t_330450338432f2db6a0d", "t_9335cfd28d3b3e8ec4d7", "t_00f0000558fc46dc8f71"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Saudi Arabia announced the creation of a maritime military coalition to safeguard freedom of navigation through the Bab al-Mandeb Strait, the Red Sea and the Gulf of Aden.", "quote_doc_id": "t_4ae660951c14434c71dd", "settling_ids": ["t_4ae660951c14434c71dd", "t_a994edc08a2a651c15f2"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Saudi Arabia", "Bab al-Mandeb Strait", "Red Sea", "Gulf of Aden"]}
{"id": "e_4ae660951c14_q0_neg", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "Will Saudi Arabia announce the creation of a maritime military coalition by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "No", "answer_type": "perturbed_binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 9, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_4ae660951c14", "event_date": "2026-07-30", "supporting_event": "Saudi Arabia announced the creation of a maritime military coalition to safeguard freedom of navigation through the Bab al-Mandeb Strait, the Red Sea and the Gulf of Aden.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_4ae66095", "storyline": "2026 Houthi-Saudi conflict", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_548642382efd30dcab69", "t_330450338432f2db6a0d", "t_9335cfd28d3b3e8ec4d7", "t_00f0000558fc46dc8f71"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "perturbed_binary", "value": "No", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Saudi Arabia announced the creation of a maritime military coalition to safeguard freedom of navigation through the Bab al-Mandeb Strait, the Red Sea and the Gulf of Aden.", "quote_doc_id": "t_4ae660951c14434c71dd", "settling_ids": ["t_4ae660951c14434c71dd", "t_a994edc08a2a651c15f2"], "derivation": "the event dated 2026-07-30 is after the shifted deadline 2026-07-28, so the claim is false at that deadline"}, "perturbation": {"field": "deadline", "original": "2026-08-04", "substituted": "2026-07-28", "v40_substituted": "2026-07-25"}, "paired_with": "e_4ae660951c14_q0", "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Saudi Arabia", "Bab al-Mandeb Strait", "Red Sea", "Gulf of Aden"]}
{"id": "e_4cb3149a6356_q1", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "How long will the sea barrier installed by Spain at the border with Morocco be by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "1600", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "foot", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 11, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_4cb3149a6356", "event_date": "2026-08-01", "supporting_event": "Spain installed a 1,600-foot sea barrier on the sea border between Ceuta and Morocco.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_1df6cabb", "storyline": "Ceuta border crisis response", "linked_domains": ["Politics", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_2899e6452f0d35e53159", "t_7aa8efddb1046f9d4917", "t_67caaed3f7add8e003e5"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "1600", "tolerance": 0.05, "quote": "a 500-meter-long (1,600-foot) barrier", "quote_doc_id": "t_47788e01648fce6582d0", "settling_ids": ["t_4cb3149a6356bf4eb029", "t_47788e01648fce6582d0", "t_e1fbe170841dbd31e38e", "t_91c821341e6feb1242e1"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Spain", "Ceuta", "Morocco"]}
{"id": "e_4d2997d6a62a_q0", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "Will Donald Trump warn Iran to open the Strait of Hormuz or face severe consequences by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 15, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_4d2997d6a62a", "event_date": "2026-08-05", "supporting_event": "Donald Trump warned Iran to open the Strait of Hormuz or get 'hit very hard'.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_1495142b", "storyline": "Negotiations regarding the Strait of Hormuz", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Law", "Politics", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_f546a9a9bf92d1ed0046", "t_b43aacf9ebe07e916880", "t_2aaef5b30c096a51de5f", "t_21bbed2bcae66e99440f", "t_e87c1144903fd98b7b69"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the strait is going to be open very soon, or they're going to get hit very hard - and then the strait's going to be open", "quote_doc_id": "t_4d2997d6a62a6f7ecf1a", "settling_ids": ["t_4d2997d6a62a6f7ecf1a", "t_a338e6ae919a55e3b1f6", "t_1612f4e9fefe06cbc766"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Donald Trump", "Iran", "Strait of Hormuz"]}
{"id": "e_4d2997d6a62a_q0_neg", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "Will Donald Trump warn Iran to open the Strait of Hormuz or face severe consequences by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "No", "answer_type": "perturbed_binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 15, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_4d2997d6a62a", "event_date": "2026-08-05", "supporting_event": "Donald Trump warned Iran to open the Strait of Hormuz or get 'hit very hard'.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_1495142b", "storyline": "Negotiations regarding the Strait of Hormuz", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Law", "Politics", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_f546a9a9bf92d1ed0046", "t_b43aacf9ebe07e916880", "t_2aaef5b30c096a51de5f", "t_21bbed2bcae66e99440f", "t_e87c1144903fd98b7b69"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "perturbed_binary", "value": "No", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the strait is going to be open very soon, or they're going to get hit very hard - and then the strait's going to be open", "quote_doc_id": "t_4d2997d6a62a6f7ecf1a", "settling_ids": ["t_4d2997d6a62a6f7ecf1a", "t_a338e6ae919a55e3b1f6", "t_1612f4e9fefe06cbc766"], "derivation": "the event dated 2026-08-05 is after the shifted deadline 2026-08-04, so the claim is false at that deadline"}, "perturbation": {"field": "deadline", "original": "2026-08-11", "substituted": "2026-08-04", "v40_substituted": "2026-07-28"}, "paired_with": "e_4d2997d6a62a_q0", "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Donald Trump", "Iran", "Strait of Hormuz"]}
{"id": "e_4e3831fe092b_q0", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "Who will Antonio Guterres hold separate talks with during his visit to Cyprus by 2026-07-28?", "options": ["Turkish Cypriot leader Tufan Erhürman and Greek Cypriot leader Nikos Christodoulides", "Turkish Cypriot leader Tufan Erhürman and Greek Cypriot leader Ersin Tatar", "Turkish Cypriot leader Ersin Tatar and Greek Cypriot leader Nikos Christodoulides", "Turkish Cypriot leader Tufan Erhürman and Greek Cypriot leader Andreas Mavroyiannis"], "answer": "Turkish Cypriot leader Tufan Erhürman and Greek Cypriot leader Nikos Christodoulides", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 7, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_4e3831fe092b", "event_date": "2026-07-28", "supporting_event": "Antonio Guterres held separate talks with Turkish Cypriot leader Tufan Erhürman and Greek Cypriot leader Nikos Christodoulides.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_4e3831fe", "storyline": "Cyprus peace negotiations", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Environment", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_91092e936818e0f41e97", "t_1812d34bdd48f2093170"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "Turkish Cypriot leader Tufan Erhürman and Greek Cypriot leader Nikos Christodoulides", "tolerance": null, "quote": "On Tuesday, he will hold separate talks with Turkish Republic of Northern Cyprus (TRNC) President Tufan Erhürman and Greek Cypriot leader Nikos Christodoulides.", "quote_doc_id": "t_4e3831fe092b1f4baa89", "settling_ids": ["t_4e3831fe092b1f4baa89", "t_0dd4a935ba05b0d665cc", "t_bbfbb8d7768cad19499a", "t_b37bd7013dd45b0a36ea"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Antonio Guterres", "Tufan Erhürman", "Nikos Christodoulides"]}
{"id": "e_4eca84d2e571_i0", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "What is the name of the vessel involved in the incident by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "GAS GEMINI", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 3, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_4eca84d2e571", "event_date": "2026-07-24", "supporting_event": "The Indian Embassy in Tehran confirmed that all 28 Indian crew members aboard the Mozambique-flagged LPG tanker DISHA are safe after the vessel came under attack in Iranian territorial waters.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_4eca84d2", "storyline": "LPG tanker attack response", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_35d50e74f934cbeb0ed3", "t_5b499bcd5ba4d9b1a8f9", "t_c84456bbbdf6b21434e3", "t_d45984c6c74e70be9958", "t_a3fb719c126d7724ed12", "t_835c44319eab12240e06"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "GAS GEMINI", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_4eca84d2e571da5078d2_0", "settling_ids": ["t_4eca84d2e571da5078d2", "t_f0cd22acf0bd88851e34"], "visible_detail": "the name 'GAS GEMINI' on the side of the ship"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Indian Embassy in Tehran", "DISHA", "Iran"]}
{"id": "e_4eca84d2e571_q0", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "How many Indian crew members will be confirmed safe by 2026-07-28 after the attack on the LPG tanker DISHA?", "options": null, "answer": "28", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "crew members", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 3, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_4eca84d2e571", "event_date": "2026-07-24", "supporting_event": "The Indian Embassy in Tehran confirmed that all 28 Indian crew members aboard the Mozambique-flagged LPG tanker DISHA are safe after the vessel came under attack in Iranian territorial waters.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_4eca84d2", "storyline": "LPG tanker attack response", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_35d50e74f934cbeb0ed3", "t_5b499bcd5ba4d9b1a8f9", "t_c84456bbbdf6b21434e3", "t_d45984c6c74e70be9958", "t_a3fb719c126d7724ed12", "t_835c44319eab12240e06"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "28", "tolerance": null, "quote": "all 28 Indian crew members aboard the Mozambique-flagged LPG tanker DISHA are safe", "quote_doc_id": "t_4eca84d2e571da5078d2", "settling_ids": ["t_4eca84d2e571da5078d2", "t_f0cd22acf0bd88851e34"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Indian Embassy in Tehran", "DISHA", "Iran"]}
{"id": "e_4eca84d2e571_q1", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "Who will confirm the safety of the Indian crew members aboard the LPG tanker DISHA by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "The Indian Embassy in Tehran", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 3, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_4eca84d2e571", "event_date": "2026-07-24", "supporting_event": "The Indian Embassy in Tehran confirmed that all 28 Indian crew members aboard the Mozambique-flagged LPG tanker DISHA are safe after the vessel came under attack in Iranian territorial waters.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_4eca84d2", "storyline": "LPG tanker attack response", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_35d50e74f934cbeb0ed3", "t_5b499bcd5ba4d9b1a8f9", "t_c84456bbbdf6b21434e3", "t_d45984c6c74e70be9958", "t_a3fb719c126d7724ed12", "t_835c44319eab12240e06"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "The Indian Embassy in Tehran", "tolerance": null, "quote": "The Indian Embassy in Tehran on Friday confirmed that all 28 Indian crew members aboard the Mozambique-flagged LPG tanker DISHA are safe", "quote_doc_id": "t_4eca84d2e571da5078d2", "settling_ids": ["t_4eca84d2e571da5078d2", "t_f0cd22acf0bd88851e34"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Indian Embassy in Tehran", "DISHA", "Iran"]}
{"id": "e_5175e93d082c_a0", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "What is the number of people confirmed dead from the drone strike in Nizhnykamsk by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "13", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "A", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 17, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_5175e93d082c", "event_date": "2026-08-07", "supporting_event": "Ukraine is urgently seeking more Patriot interceptors.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_5175e93d", "storyline": "2026 Patriot missile supply situation", "linked_domains": ["Business"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_d0ccb596ce868535a0bc", "t_7090bef4f04c960f8e2f", "t_d6ab2a2202ef139a44b4", "t_86038a7802ed5835af21"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "13", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the latest information we've just received is 13 people now confirmed dead.", "quote_doc_id": "a_2f235e0c52d85311cc74", "settling_ids": ["a_2f235e0c52d85311cc74", "t_5175e93d082c5eb37fd9", "t_3e7af077ffc9d45d27f3"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Ukraine", "Patriot interceptors"]}
{"id": "e_51fb74f2f80d_v0", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "What is the name of the Ukrainian lawyer and advocate for prisoners of war mentioned during the press conference by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "Oleg Gushchyn", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "V", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 9, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_51fb74f2f80d", "event_date": "2026-07-30", "supporting_event": "Russia carried out strikes on military factories and ships in Ukraine.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_183a67a3", "storyline": "2026 Ukraine-Russia conflict", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Health", "Law", "Politics", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_7da9ac46cb8ceb329f45", "t_3a3277c42a678aa55083", "t_dc4b1fab73b62b8126a1"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "Oleg Gushchyn", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Ukrainian Prisoner of War & Political Prisoner Detained by Russia Speak at the United Nations", "quote_doc_id": "v_b4bb398c490e4045340f", "settling_ids": ["t_51fb74f2f80d9b94aac0", "t_77332f25fd9f7a2d0541"], "visible_detail": "what the frames show"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Russia", "Ukraine", "Kyiv", "Lviv"]}
{"id": "e_54d872264df1_q1", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "What will be the number of injured civilians in the attack in Thailand's southern provinces by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "6", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "civilians", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 1, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_54d872264df1", "event_date": "2026-07-22", "supporting_event": "Five Thai security personnel were killed in an attack in Thailand's restive deep south.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_54d87226", "storyline": "attack on security personnel in Thailand", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_e889c6f386489760337f", "t_dc71a3db6d29c568c780"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "6", "tolerance": null, "quote": "six civilians were injured during the attack", "quote_doc_id": "t_54d872264df17391a013", "settling_ids": ["t_54d872264df17391a013", "t_32f25554dec1c1ab18a1", "t_03cff5d629b507ebf02b", "t_33a9c4b21b9e39713cb3"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Thai security personnel", "Narathiwat province"]}
{"id": "e_57739f721ff7_q1", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "Will Poland and the Baltic states take measures to protect infrastructure by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 20, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_57739f721ff7", "event_date": "2026-08-10", "supporting_event": "Poland and the Baltic states are tightening security around infrastructure due to concerns of a Russian false-flag attack.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_57739f72", "storyline": "Security measures in response to geopolitical threats", "linked_domains": ["Politics", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_cad24c13a50fe271df78", "t_4cb7c22a35cf2c0e197e", "t_469574489bf84dcafd96", "t_9f79e68667ed7f10a524"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "We are increasing the security of our critical infrastructure", "quote_doc_id": "t_b0349b3548f8e972f478", "settling_ids": ["t_57739f721ff7197aa94e", "t_b0349b3548f8e972f478"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Poland", "Baltic states", "Russia", "NATO"]}
{"id": "e_5e16899f89b1_q0", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "How many migrants will have reached Ceuta by swimming from Morocco by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "1500", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "migrants", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 8, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_5e16899f89b1", "event_date": "2026-07-29", "supporting_event": "More than 1,500 migrants have reached Ceuta by swimming from Morocco.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_1df6cabb", "storyline": "Ceuta border crisis response", "linked_domains": ["Politics", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_2899e6452f0d35e53159", "t_7aa8efddb1046f9d4917", "t_67caaed3f7add8e003e5"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "1500", "tolerance": null, "quote": "In the last few days, more than 1,500 migrants, including adults and minors, have reached Ceuta by sea", "quote_doc_id": "t_5e16899f89b1f8123e2c", "settling_ids": ["t_5e16899f89b1f8123e2c", "t_002b02f57180c0974ee9", "t_4e9ccb026457532da165", "t_c8731ad9d60cd20085b2"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["migrants", "Ceuta", "Morocco"]}
{"id": "e_60433a4ce00e_q0", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "How many minor migrants will remain in Ceuta by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "1000", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "minors", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 14, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_60433a4ce00e", "event_date": "2026-08-04", "supporting_event": "An estimated 1,000 minors remain in Ceuta without their families.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_1df6cabb", "storyline": "Ceuta border crisis response", "linked_domains": ["Politics", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_2899e6452f0d35e53159", "t_8e124eca1238bb287275", "t_c7d16c48f7ff9c7a46af", "t_67caaed3f7add8e003e5"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "1000", "tolerance": null, "quote": "an estimated 1,000 minors — among the most vulnerable of those who crossed the border — remain in Ceuta", "quote_doc_id": "t_60433a4ce00eb2439aad", "settling_ids": ["t_60433a4ce00eb2439aad", "t_661a01b5d134846fb56c", "t_c512c65fefaa7f205de1"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Ceuta", "Spain"]}
{"id": "e_60d130d78278_v0", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "What is the outcome of the legislation discussed in the press conference by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "additional sanctions against Russia & Iran", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "V", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 13, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_60d130d78278", "event_date": "2026-08-03", "supporting_event": "Donald Trump said fresh talks with Iran will begin.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_028ef2fb", "storyline": "Middle East negotiations", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Health", "Law", "Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_007475af988bd557c71b", "t_d681cc67e1039dd04c7e", "t_97ffb6be6fc2c24e5e1e", "t_e6ec028524f72f112163", "t_59ff840ebfcd8fced6b4", "t_4446033b21693d756a32"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "additional sanctions against Russia & Iran", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Senators Hold Press Conference on Russia & Iran Sanctions Vote", "quote_doc_id": "v_a9d8143c91a988a00e9a", "settling_ids": ["t_60d130d78278fe84ef35", "t_0ec3cb3d5493f72bbbdc"], "visible_detail": "the outcome of the legislation discussed in the press conference"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Donald Trump", "Iran"]}
{"id": "e_61cf3c532bca_i0", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "What is the number of the facility that was hit by Ukrainian forces by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "158", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 18, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_61cf3c532bca", "event_date": "2026-08-08", "supporting_event": "Ukrainian forces hit Russian oil facilities.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_61cf3c53", "storyline": "Ukrainian strikes on Russian energy infrastructure", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_55a72ff3cbf46fedfc6c", "t_62d7284057fee6f5c444", "t_aa7382f8805fa8445cac", "t_b432dc1018f7e496fb3c", "t_6316aad354d4e3ac715f"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "158", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_a759d27f3b040c92a903_0", "settling_ids": ["t_97803f547cf92dfa0c52", "t_61cf3c532bca8706a326", "t_fc625389031cc6e807b7", "t_7ab3b9d4a48af6a12c7b", "t_a759d27f3b040c92a903", "t_9b9ed221fa87c99788a2"], "visible_detail": "the number 158 visible on a building"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Ukrainian forces", "Russian oil facilities"]}
{"id": "e_61cf3c532bca_q0", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "Which of the following actions will Ukrainian forces take by 2026-08-11?", "options": ["Withdraw from the conflict", "Hit Russian oil facilities", "Negotiate a peace treaty", "Attack Ukrainian cities"], "answer": "Hit Russian oil facilities", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 18, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_61cf3c532bca", "event_date": "2026-08-08", "supporting_event": "Ukrainian forces hit Russian oil facilities.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_61cf3c53", "storyline": "Ukrainian strikes on Russian energy infrastructure", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_55a72ff3cbf46fedfc6c", "t_62d7284057fee6f5c444", "t_aa7382f8805fa8445cac", "t_b432dc1018f7e496fb3c", "t_6316aad354d4e3ac715f"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "Hit Russian oil facilities", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Ukrainian forces hit Russian oil facilities.", "quote_doc_id": "t_fc625389031cc6e807b7", "settling_ids": ["t_61cf3c532bca8706a326", "t_fc625389031cc6e807b7", "t_7ab3b9d4a48af6a12c7b", "t_97803f547cf92dfa0c52"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Ukrainian forces", "Russian oil facilities"]}
{"id": "e_6c046f45d3fd_q0", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "Will UNESCO designate Sebastia in the occupied West Bank as a World Heritage site by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 4, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_6c046f45d3fd", "event_date": "2026-07-25", "supporting_event": "UNESCO has designated the ancient village of Sebastia in the occupied West Bank as a World Heritage Site.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_6c046f45", "storyline": "UNESCO World Heritage designation", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_ec6745221de4c75ae571", "t_ab8d891bed19cf0b1c09"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "UNESCO added Sebastia to its World Heritage List", "quote_doc_id": "t_6c046f45d3fde72d05b0", "settling_ids": ["t_6c046f45d3fde72d05b0", "t_293c6db621e131340d45", "t_5412ba9af6db600403c6"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["UNESCO", "Sebastia", "West Bank"]}
{"id": "e_6c046f45d3fd_q1", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "How many dunams will Israel plan to seize around Sebastia by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "1800", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "dunams", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 4, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_6c046f45d3fd", "event_date": "2026-07-25", "supporting_event": "UNESCO has designated the ancient village of Sebastia in the occupied West Bank as a World Heritage Site.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_6c046f45", "storyline": "UNESCO World Heritage designation", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_ec6745221de4c75ae571", "t_ab8d891bed19cf0b1c09"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "1800", "tolerance": 0.05, "quote": "Israel announced a plan to seize about 1,800 dunams (445 acres) at the site", "quote_doc_id": "t_6c046f45d3fde72d05b0", "settling_ids": ["t_6c046f45d3fde72d05b0", "t_293c6db621e131340d45", "t_5412ba9af6db600403c6"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["UNESCO", "Sebastia", "West Bank"]}
{"id": "e_6c046f45d3fd_q2", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "Who will welcome UNESCO's designation of Sebastia as a World Heritage site by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "Nizar Kayed", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 4, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_6c046f45d3fd", "event_date": "2026-07-25", "supporting_event": "UNESCO has designated the ancient village of Sebastia in the occupied West Bank as a World Heritage Site.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_6c046f45", "storyline": "UNESCO World Heritage designation", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_ec6745221de4c75ae571", "t_ab8d891bed19cf0b1c09"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "Nizar Kayed", "tolerance": null, "quote": "We hope that this decision will enable us to preserve Sebastia,\" said Nizar Kayed, the village deputy mayor.", "quote_doc_id": "t_6c046f45d3fde72d05b0", "settling_ids": ["t_6c046f45d3fde72d05b0", "t_293c6db621e131340d45", "t_5412ba9af6db600403c6"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["UNESCO", "Sebastia", "West Bank"]}
{"id": "e_6e9442f9d2a5_i0", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "What is the total number of casualties reported from the Ukrainian attacks by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "11", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 13, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_6e9442f9d2a5", "event_date": "2026-08-03", "supporting_event": "At least six people were killed in overnight Ukrainian attacks across Russia and Crimea.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_22dd5009", "storyline": "Ukrainian drone attacks on Russian regions", "linked_domains": ["Politics", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_427cb810e465e2f25101", "t_8bd19d89737351417e00", "t_6523683219a2bfa9b404", "t_b5214edb507e9cc4778c", "t_97d0c9732549876af5b3"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "11", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_6e9442f9d2a5900f998a_0", "settling_ids": ["t_6e9442f9d2a5900f998a", "t_5befc055d95f453c7bc2"], "visible_detail": "the number of casualties reported in the caption"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Ukrainian drones", "Crimea", "Russia"]}
{"id": "e_6e9442f9d2a5_q0", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "Will at least six people be killed in Ukrainian drone attacks across Russia and Crimea by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 13, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_6e9442f9d2a5", "event_date": "2026-08-03", "supporting_event": "At least six people were killed in overnight Ukrainian attacks across Russia and Crimea.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_22dd5009", "storyline": "Ukrainian drone attacks on Russian regions", "linked_domains": ["Politics", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_427cb810e465e2f25101", "t_8bd19d89737351417e00", "t_6523683219a2bfa9b404", "t_b5214edb507e9cc4778c", "t_97d0c9732549876af5b3"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "At least six people were killed in overnight Ukrainian attacks on annexed Crimea and southern Russia, local authorities said Monday morning", "quote_doc_id": "t_6e9442f9d2a5900f998a", "settling_ids": ["t_6e9442f9d2a5900f998a", "t_5befc055d95f453c7bc2"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Ukrainian drones", "Crimea", "Russia"]}
{"id": "e_6e9442f9d2a5_q2", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "How many people will be killed in Ukrainian drone attacks across Russia and Crimea by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "6", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "people", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 13, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_6e9442f9d2a5", "event_date": "2026-08-03", "supporting_event": "At least six people were killed in overnight Ukrainian attacks across Russia and Crimea.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_22dd5009", "storyline": "Ukrainian drone attacks on Russian regions", "linked_domains": ["Politics", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_427cb810e465e2f25101", "t_8bd19d89737351417e00", "t_6523683219a2bfa9b404", "t_b5214edb507e9cc4778c", "t_97d0c9732549876af5b3"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "6", "tolerance": null, "quote": "At least six people were killed in overnight Ukrainian attacks on annexed Crimea and southern Russia, local authorities said Monday morning", "quote_doc_id": "t_6e9442f9d2a5900f998a", "settling_ids": ["t_6e9442f9d2a5900f998a", "t_5befc055d95f453c7bc2"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Ukrainian drones", "Crimea", "Russia"]}
{"id": "e_6f0cee442cde_q1", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "Who will suffer bodily injuries from a drone attack in Kherson city by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "Yuriy", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 14, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_6f0cee442cde", "event_date": "2026-08-04", "supporting_event": "Yuriy suffered bodily injuries but survived an explosive drone attack in Kherson city.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_6f0cee44", "storyline": "Ukrainian civilian drone attacks", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_1e20d59a47f67b4cdb8c", "t_e7dd6b8e7959d21ea3e4", "t_4e0c70bd98c8496bb3cc", "t_244618e880a0526c7c56"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "Yuriy", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the victim, a 52-year old man identified as Yuriy", "quote_doc_id": "t_6f0cee442cde5a2a554b", "settling_ids": ["t_6f0cee442cde5a2a554b", "t_57c3233d649715f2c53c"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Yuriy", "Yaroslav Shanko", "Kherson city"]}
{"id": "e_6f6dbfa385a4_q1", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "What will Romania's military use to respond to drone incursions by 2026-07-28?", "options": ["Drones", "F-16 fighter jets", "Ground troops", "Helicopters"], "answer": "F-16 fighter jets", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 4, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_6f6dbfa385a4", "event_date": "2026-07-25", "supporting_event": "Romania shot down a drone breaching its airspace on July 25, 2026.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_6f6dbfa3", "storyline": "Romania's response to airspace breaches", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_f970d668e3c1295278a8", "t_d348692f365098af5fcf", "t_879a6057764aca82ad8c", "t_15394dcbd285988b047c", "t_f4d63c7542b9be771b7a"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "F-16 fighter jets", "tolerance": null, "quote": "two F-16 fighter jets had been scrambled", "quote_doc_id": "t_6f6dbfa385a47a730327", "settling_ids": ["t_6f6dbfa385a47a730327", "t_05a61267b458e4760a97", "t_68f56568df96cd02e2e9"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Romania", "NATO"]}
{"id": "e_70bd2c52b89c_q0", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "How much will the US Army's contract with Lockheed Martin for Patriot interceptor missiles be worth by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "58600000000", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "USD", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 9, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_70bd2c52b89c", "event_date": "2026-07-30", "supporting_event": "The US Army awarded Lockheed Martin a contract worth up to $58.6 billion to produce Patriot interceptor missiles.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_70bd2c52", "storyline": "US military procurement of defense systems", "linked_domains": ["Business"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_3a2ec1c013c11c789f25", "t_409b41f068ddeae15786", "t_e58a47621830d07fcf1c"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "58600000000", "tolerance": 0.01, "quote": "a contract worth up to $58.6 billion to manufacture Patriot interceptor missiles", "quote_doc_id": "t_70bd2c52b89c06129028", "settling_ids": ["t_70bd2c52b89c06129028", "t_8f558c79074ac579c45b", "t_64682207cceae579a98c", "t_cc776231e73aa8c4c83b"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["US Army", "Lockheed Martin", "Patriot interceptor missiles"]}
{"id": "e_7177c165f340_q1", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "How many votes will the U.S. Senate cast in favor of the punishing Russian sanctions package by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "86", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "votes", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 17, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_7177c165f340", "event_date": "2026-08-07", "supporting_event": "The U.S. Senate overwhelmingly approved a punishing Russian sanctions package.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_7177c165", "storyline": "U.S. sanctions against Russia", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_6f16a358953c9010b0e5", "t_769a471a6319dac3b781", "t_20015d81bd7467d676e3", "t_c900b6b5def5df1e87ab"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "86", "tolerance": 0.1, "quote": "the bipartisan legislation, which passed the Senate 86 to 11", "quote_doc_id": "t_7177c165f340e30be36d", "settling_ids": ["t_7177c165f340e30be36d", "t_62034223b235e2432040", "t_0a1d530827006f997676", "t_98232001250627141945", "a_8e9cad8a398ccddfe426"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["U.S. Senate", "Lindsey Graham", "Vladimir Putin", "Ukraine"]}
{"id": "e_73f0de4e4859_q0", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "How many recruits will the Kremlin have enlisted into its armed forces by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "221000", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "people", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 4, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_73f0de4e4859", "event_date": "2026-07-25", "supporting_event": "President Volodymyr Zelensky reported that the Kremlin has enlisted around 221,000 recruits into its armed forces so far this year, while Russian casualties have reached nearly 225,500.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_73f0de4e", "storyline": "Russian military recruitment and casualties in 2026", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_c9d6441fd7001d4a7518", "t_17f19ead31675916768e", "t_4fbbe8a9d9b22ac28a60", "t_cdd5dede15c47f6027a4"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "221000", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Moscow enlisted 221,000 people into Russia's Armed Forces thus far in 2026", "quote_doc_id": "t_73f0de4e48594651c25b", "settling_ids": ["t_73f0de4e48594651c25b", "t_d9d8543070d02fe114c8", "t_ccd69c6669c8a1b2e498"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["President Volodymyr Zelensky", "Russian Armed Forces"]}
{"id": "e_75baf434cfa0_q0", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "Will Brazil's Foreign Ministry deny visas to U.S. State Department officials by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 4, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_75baf434cfa0", "event_date": "2026-07-25", "supporting_event": "Brazil's Foreign Ministry denied visas to two U.S. State Department officials.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_75baf434", "storyline": "Brazil-U.S. diplomatic relations", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_009f99a3c1ca9f9310f0", "t_004d45289a803ac844f8", "t_c06507b8bd33580d325f"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Brazil's Foreign Ministry said on Saturday it denied visas to two U.S. State Department officials", "quote_doc_id": "t_75baf434cfa00b6a4e00", "settling_ids": ["t_75baf434cfa00b6a4e00", "t_72622a7584002f340f78", "t_fa8156e7bfb4c18f657f", "t_4feb92b4b6cf02d43285"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Brazil's Foreign Ministry", "U.S. State Department", "Riley M. Barnes", "Samuel Samson"]}
{"id": "e_75baf434cfa0_q1", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "How many U.S. State Department officials will have their visa requests denied by Brazil's Foreign Ministry by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "2", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 4, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_75baf434cfa0", "event_date": "2026-07-25", "supporting_event": "Brazil's Foreign Ministry denied visas to two U.S. State Department officials.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_75baf434", "storyline": "Brazil-U.S. diplomatic relations", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_009f99a3c1ca9f9310f0", "t_004d45289a803ac844f8", "t_c06507b8bd33580d325f"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "2", "tolerance": null, "quote": "denied visas to two U.S. State Department officials", "quote_doc_id": "t_75baf434cfa00b6a4e00", "settling_ids": ["t_75baf434cfa00b6a4e00", "t_72622a7584002f340f78", "t_fa8156e7bfb4c18f657f", "t_4feb92b4b6cf02d43285"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Brazil's Foreign Ministry", "U.S. State Department", "Riley M. Barnes", "Samuel Samson"]}
{"id": "e_75c5c7a24038_q0", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "How many major Russian Black Sea grain export terminals will restrict grain deliveries by truck by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "3", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 7, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_75c5c7a24038", "event_date": "2026-07-28", "supporting_event": "Three major Russian Black Sea grain export terminals have restricted grain deliveries by truck amid rising shipping risks.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_75c5c7a2", "storyline": "Russian grain export operations", "linked_domains": ["Business"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_96ea9882a532540b31bb", "t_b5076006cceb71142a8a", "t_a101fced697042d48ca7", "t_5768028e0f4558fcda69"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "3", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Three major Russian Black Sea grain export terminals have restricted grain deliveries by truck amid rising shipping risks", "quote_doc_id": "t_75c5c7a2403891fe7e10", "settling_ids": ["t_75c5c7a2403891fe7e10", "t_12408208bb2f81197982"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Russian Black Sea grain export terminals"]}
{"id": "e_767f7f3bacc2_a0", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "What is the age of the civilian market vendor targeted by the drone by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "52", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "years", "modality_required": "A", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 14, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_767f7f3bacc2", "event_date": "2026-08-04", "supporting_event": "Ukrainian Foreign Minister Andrii Sybiha accused Russia of committing a war crime after a video showed a drone attacking a street vendor.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_183a67a3", "storyline": "2026 Ukraine-Russia conflict", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Law", "Politics", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_e7950078a7c88e956fa6", "t_fe025e52a12299b384e6", "t_b673d9e348d702fe23dc", "t_38c20560d1400fccb61f", "t_09b9bb8ec09e250b2640"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "52", "tolerance": null, "quote": "a 52-year-old civilian market vendor", "quote_doc_id": "a_7bba6191f512e80fbaae", "settling_ids": ["a_7bba6191f512e80fbaae", "t_767f7f3bacc21fa90439", "t_27f8804063eec9af585c", "t_8dd125460174509be186"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Andrii Sybiha", "Russia", "Ukraine", "Kherson"]}
{"id": "e_79b59ebf35ef_q1", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "Who will announce the shift in South Korea's North Korea policy by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "Chung Dong-young", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 2, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_79b59ebf35ef", "event_date": "2026-07-23", "supporting_event": "South Korea is abandoning a 'denuclearisation first' policy in favour of a 'peace first' approach towards North Korea.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_79b59ebf", "storyline": "South Korea's North Korea policy shift", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Environment", "Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_8d527c90bf56551a860d", "t_7a08b36b5a8d8c937f92"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "Chung Dong-young", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Unification Minister Chung Dong-young said on Thursday, while retaining the eventual goal of a nuclear-free Korean Peninsula", "quote_doc_id": "t_79b59ebf35efe16f4b56", "settling_ids": ["t_79b59ebf35efe16f4b56", "t_3a013c55e0ec6b9081b1", "t_ada3b65d06f4b4343a2e", "t_d5d78b053cf894de7f9e"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["South Korea", "Chung Dong-young"]}
{"id": "e_79bbbb923107_i0", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "What is the countable quantity of buildings visible at the Iranian nuclear site by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "approximately 10", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 1, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_79bbbb923107", "event_date": "2026-07-22", "supporting_event": "Donald Trump issued threats to bomb an under-construction Iranian nuclear site.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_79bbbb92", "storyline": "Iran nuclear site tensions", "linked_domains": ["Law", "Politics", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_07d81189da4d0f7715f1", "t_0b2ba28c12f909f76107", "t_a5b21b397b3078758438", "t_6b56b8eb4c284d045c55"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "approximately 10", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_4ee9dc616dc7ab7a0a3d_0", "settling_ids": ["t_4ee9dc616dc7ab7a0a3d", "t_79bbbb923107a04af548", "t_57b57d7bdfb78dbb4fda", "t_451c43ca80ff14dc3b6a", "t_7e63e81b3079a194c7c1", "t_480a9c5acfd36c2cf479"], "visible_detail": "the number of buildings at the site"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Donald Trump", "Iran", "Kuh-e Kolang Gaz La", "Natanz"]}
{"id": "e_79da55cc4937_q0", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "How many crew members will be aboard the Indian-flagged vessel MSV Faize Noore Oliya by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "14", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 14, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_79da55cc4937", "event_date": "2026-08-04", "supporting_event": "An Indian-flagged vessel sank after being hit by a projectile off the coast of Yemen.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_79da55cc", "storyline": "Red Sea shipping attacks", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_2d5cc724fc522bf44994", "t_900c7daf4749397bfd12", "t_a620dd67536cb4dc27bb", "t_75d52667af394ca18edb", "t_a36ce6a1832ff759d01f"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "14", "tolerance": null, "quote": "All 14 crew members, including 13 Indians, were safely rescued by the Yemeni Coast Guard", "quote_doc_id": "t_8d3379b35fc2c530ba23", "settling_ids": ["t_79da55cc4937c1ddd838", "t_4f585441076cfc48b5fb", "t_9e404562c709c9ba208a", "t_8d3379b35fc2c530ba23"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["MSV Faize Noore Oliya", "Yemen", "Indian Ministry of External Affairs"]}
{"id": "e_79dd9821be36_q0", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "Will the US Army be searching for a surface-to-air missile to destroy small drones by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 15, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_79dd9821be36", "event_date": "2026-08-05", "supporting_event": "The US Army is searching for a surface-to-air missile to destroy small drones.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_79dd9821", "storyline": "Next Generation C-sUAS Missile project", "linked_domains": ["Technology"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_bd384c54a1e614849f02", "t_409b41f068ddeae15786"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "The U.S. Army is searching for a surface-to-air missile that can destroy small drones.", "quote_doc_id": "t_ee54c1f4d298d776f773", "settling_ids": ["t_79dd9821be369c015013", "t_ee54c1f4d298d776f773"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["the US Army"]}
{"id": "e_79dd9821be36_q0_neg", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "Will the US Army be searching for a surface-to-air missile to destroy small drones by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "No", "answer_type": "perturbed_binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 15, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_79dd9821be36", "event_date": "2026-08-05", "supporting_event": "The US Army is searching for a surface-to-air missile to destroy small drones.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_79dd9821", "storyline": "Next Generation C-sUAS Missile project", "linked_domains": ["Technology"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_bd384c54a1e614849f02", "t_409b41f068ddeae15786"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "perturbed_binary", "value": "No", "tolerance": null, "quote": "The U.S. Army is searching for a surface-to-air missile that can destroy small drones.", "quote_doc_id": "t_ee54c1f4d298d776f773", "settling_ids": ["t_79dd9821be369c015013", "t_ee54c1f4d298d776f773"], "derivation": "the event dated 2026-08-05 is after the shifted deadline 2026-08-04, so the claim is false at that deadline"}, "perturbation": {"field": "deadline", "original": "2026-08-11", "substituted": "2026-08-04", "v40_substituted": "2026-07-28"}, "paired_with": "e_79dd9821be36_q0", "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["the US Army"]}
{"id": "e_79dd9821be36_q2", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "What is the name of the missile that the US Army is searching for by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "Next Generation C-sUAS Missile", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 15, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_79dd9821be36", "event_date": "2026-08-05", "supporting_event": "The US Army is searching for a surface-to-air missile to destroy small drones.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_79dd9821", "storyline": "Next Generation C-sUAS Missile project", "linked_domains": ["Technology"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_bd384c54a1e614849f02", "t_409b41f068ddeae15786"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "Next Generation C-sUAS Missile", "tolerance": null, "quote": "The US Army has launched a search for a new surface-to-air missile called the Next Generation C-sUAS Missile (NGCM)", "quote_doc_id": "t_79dd9821be369c015013", "settling_ids": ["t_79dd9821be369c015013", "t_ee54c1f4d298d776f773"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["the US Army"]}
{"id": "e_79e6460f5c7d_q1", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "Who will be the target of the missile attack launched by Yemen’s Iran-backed Houthi rebels by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "the southern Saudi city of Jizan", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 4, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_79e6460f5c7d", "event_date": "2026-07-25", "supporting_event": "Yemen’s Iran-backed Houthi rebels launched a missile attack on the southern Saudi city of Jizan.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_79e6460f", "storyline": "Middle East conflict escalation", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Law", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_42e16b2706f834f192c3", "t_fc9797439b067dab805f", "t_330450338432f2db6a0d", "t_73794116054ac435ea21"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "the southern Saudi city of Jizan", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Yemen’s Iran-backed Houthi rebels said they launched a missile attack on the southern Saudi city of Jizan", "quote_doc_id": "t_79e6460f5c7dee951a7c", "settling_ids": ["t_79e6460f5c7dee951a7c", "t_4ed517ce77c1baaddfbb", "t_d2ff1d85cfa7ff28cca9", "t_653bac7c968fe7982b41"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Houthi rebels", "Saudi Arabia", "Jizan"]}
{"id": "e_7baa8064dbcd_q0", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "What type of exercises will Taiwan conduct that includes a late-night dash to a command centre by 2026-08-11?", "options": ["Defensive Maneuvers", "Operation Steel Shield", "Crisis Response drills", "Han Kuang exercises"], "answer": "Han Kuang exercises", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 15, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_7baa8064dbcd", "event_date": "2026-08-05", "supporting_event": "Taiwan President Lai Ching-te made a late-night dash in the back of an armoured personnel carrier to a command centre.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_7baa8064", "storyline": "Han Kuang exercises", "linked_domains": ["Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_3039648ed48f491046f2", "t_eebaf535ea69abd5a572", "t_ee8961999d95dd699089", "t_a442adadd56ccc724298", "t_a60998738c0610e0109c", "t_1c7d7047fe457f38beae"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "Han Kuang exercises", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Taiwan kicked off the Han Kuang exercises on Aug 5.", "quote_doc_id": "t_7baa8064dbcd5e4ec0bf", "settling_ids": ["t_7baa8064dbcd5e4ec0bf", "t_970aa610ecf44900a6e9", "t_62e1d2d5d44af580ebac"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Taiwan", "Lai Ching-te"]}
{"id": "e_7baa8064dbcd_q1", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "How many days will the Taiwan military exercises last by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "10", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "days", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 15, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_7baa8064dbcd", "event_date": "2026-08-05", "supporting_event": "Taiwan President Lai Ching-te made a late-night dash in the back of an armoured personnel carrier to a command centre.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_7baa8064", "storyline": "Han Kuang exercises", "linked_domains": ["Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_3039648ed48f491046f2", "t_eebaf535ea69abd5a572", "t_ee8961999d95dd699089", "t_a442adadd56ccc724298", "t_a60998738c0610e0109c", "t_1c7d7047fe457f38beae"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "10", "tolerance": 0.05, "quote": "Lasting 10 days, the drills are designed to bolster preparations", "quote_doc_id": "t_7baa8064dbcd5e4ec0bf", "settling_ids": ["t_7baa8064dbcd5e4ec0bf", "t_970aa610ecf44900a6e9", "t_62e1d2d5d44af580ebac"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Taiwan", "Lai Ching-te"]}
{"id": "e_7ecc6b3b418c_d0", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "What is the net loss attributable to Shimmick Corporation by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "4,813", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "D", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 10, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_7ecc6b3b418c", "event_date": "2026-07-31", "supporting_event": "Iran announced on Friday that it had targeted United States military assets at Kuwait’s Ahmad Al-Jaber airbase.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_035b7334", "storyline": "US-Iran military conflict", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Law", "Politics", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_bb7cc5a5d78df0cfa30f", "t_245ff79f23743169db63", "t_80701906d3a9967a20cf", "t_cb523b591a04df20cdd3"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "4,813", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Net loss attributable to Shimmick Corporation $ (4,813 )", "quote_doc_id": "d_14893e2004801eb52129", "settling_ids": ["d_14893e2004801eb52129", "t_52f27752574446c7f731", "t_7ecc6b3b418c897c3ac5", "t_6a154bc9fb6ab4a97896", "t_1aeaab02a8ba41481f48", "t_4937950c8a85a18d5ac3", "t_9ce8d82e131b28112e72"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Iran", "United States", "Kuwait", "Ahmad Al-Jaber airbase"]}
{"id": "e_80c3225add7d_q0", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "By 2026-07-28, how many vessels and other sea-borne targets will a Ukrainian drone unit have hit around Crimea over the past three weeks?", "options": ["less than 100 vessels and other sea-borne targets", "between 150 and 180 vessels and other sea-borne targets", "more than 180 vessels and other sea-borne targets", "between 100 and 150 vessels and other sea-borne targets"], "answer": "more than 180 vessels and other sea-borne targets", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 3, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_80c3225add7d", "event_date": "2026-07-24", "supporting_event": "A Ukrainian drone unit has hit more than 180 vessels and other sea-borne targets around Crimea over the past three weeks.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_80c3225a", "storyline": "Ukrainian campaign to isolate Crimea", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_3bca731997b5641df9fe", "t_c3931f6aa7d18e31cdc9", "t_6d346f9c637b53d667ea", "t_04f95b45c057aa365109"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "more than 180 vessels and other sea-borne targets", "tolerance": null, "quote": "have hit more than 180 vessels and other sea-borne targets around the peninsula over the past three weeks", "quote_doc_id": "t_80c3225add7d982b0881", "settling_ids": ["t_80c3225add7d982b0881", "t_400f089fe1921ae0f523", "t_76e86410bcd097de9260", "t_2c61c9d574f1bbe40ff9"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Ukrainian drone unit", "Crimea"]}
{"id": "e_80c3225add7d_q1", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "By 2026-07-28, what will be the total number of vessels and other sea-borne targets hit by a Ukrainian drone unit around Crimea over the past three weeks?", "options": null, "answer": "180", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "vessels", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 3, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_80c3225add7d", "event_date": "2026-07-24", "supporting_event": "A Ukrainian drone unit has hit more than 180 vessels and other sea-borne targets around Crimea over the past three weeks.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_80c3225a", "storyline": "Ukrainian campaign to isolate Crimea", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_3bca731997b5641df9fe", "t_c3931f6aa7d18e31cdc9", "t_6d346f9c637b53d667ea", "t_04f95b45c057aa365109"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "180", "tolerance": 0.05, "quote": "have hit more than 180 vessels and other sea-borne targets around the peninsula over the past three weeks", "quote_doc_id": "t_80c3225add7d982b0881", "settling_ids": ["t_80c3225add7d982b0881", "t_400f089fe1921ae0f523", "t_76e86410bcd097de9260", "t_2c61c9d574f1bbe40ff9"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Ukrainian drone unit", "Crimea"]}
{"id": "e_82714666e8bc_q0", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "Who will be identified as the two reservists killed in southern Lebanon by 2026-08-11?", "options": ["Major Harel Birenstock and Sergeant Major Tamir Vaknin", "Captain David Cohen and Lieutenant Eli Schwartz", "Major Yossi Ben-Ari and Sergeant Major Noam Shapiro", "Sergeant First Class Ronit Levi and Corporal Amir Katz"], "answer": "Major Harel Birenstock and Sergeant Major Tamir Vaknin", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 15, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_82714666e8bc", "event_date": "2026-08-05", "supporting_event": "Israel reported the deaths of two reservists in southern Lebanon during combat operations.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_34affe6a", "storyline": "Israel-Lebanon military conflict", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_18ed0097e6ae6f4b8e0c", "t_6a3e9f2489a615ec8478", "t_313dd7fd29e0e4240cc9", "t_38ac461aa5b2d4043440", "t_7b341906c13e735fe025"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "Major Harel Birenstock and Sergeant Major Tamir Vaknin", "tolerance": null, "quote": "The military identified the two reservists, who were killed in combat on Wednesday, as Major Harel Birenstock, 34, and Sergeant Major Tamir Vaknin, 33, of the 2855th Battalion, 55th Brigade.", "quote_doc_id": "t_82714666e8bcfaeb62cd", "settling_ids": ["t_82714666e8bcfaeb62cd", "t_8eb11ed4ee2a36463c85", "t_d6d69df26363d326a3f0", "t_2c2b44f665ef74c6cd75"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Israel", "Major Harel Birenstock", "Sergeant Major Tamir Vaknin", "Hezbollah"]}
{"id": "e_8425d058ba96_q1", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "Who will S Jaishankar meet in Manila by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 1, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_8425d058ba96", "event_date": "2026-07-22", "supporting_event": "S Jaishankar met Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi in Manila.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_0d6e6391", "storyline": "India-China border negotiations", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_e330c7a3a5a5eb67283f", "t_f1d8b645da5cc606dd06", "t_2903fd3f35d5bad0427c", "t_c580db767bf5e52bd3b1"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi", "tolerance": null, "quote": "S Jaishankar met Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi Wednesday", "quote_doc_id": "t_8425d058ba9616d5bac5", "settling_ids": ["t_8425d058ba9616d5bac5", "t_f63cd249292401a086b1", "t_7c7029635cdeb3bd2a99"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["S Jaishankar", "Wang Yi", "India", "China", "Manila"]}
{"id": "e_8425d058ba96_q2", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "Will S Jaishankar emphasize the importance of peace along the border in his discussions with Wang Yi by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 1, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_8425d058ba96", "event_date": "2026-07-22", "supporting_event": "S Jaishankar met Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi in Manila.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_0d6e6391", "storyline": "India-China border negotiations", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_e330c7a3a5a5eb67283f", "t_f1d8b645da5cc606dd06", "t_2903fd3f35d5bad0427c", "t_c580db767bf5e52bd3b1"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Peace and tranquillity in the border areas is obviously the prerequisite for normal ties.", "quote_doc_id": "t_7c7029635cdeb3bd2a99", "settling_ids": ["t_8425d058ba9616d5bac5", "t_f63cd249292401a086b1", "t_7c7029635cdeb3bd2a99"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["S Jaishankar", "Wang Yi", "India", "China", "Manila"]}
{"id": "e_855483340635_q0", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "Which of the following actions will Gulf oil producers take by 2026-07-28?", "options": ["They are planning to spend billions of dollars to build pipelines.", "They will reduce oil production significantly.", "They will increase reliance on the Strait of Hormuz.", "They will halt all oil exports."], "answer": "They are planning to spend billions of dollars to build pipelines.", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 2, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_855483340635", "event_date": "2026-07-23", "supporting_event": "Gulf oil producers are planning to spend billions of dollars to build pipelines to redirect more supplies to ports along the Red Sea and the Gulf of Oman.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_85548334", "storyline": "Middle East oil production and transportation", "linked_domains": ["Business"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_29648de60239a12a1f2b", "t_fb1089ee6c1ab674be1e", "t_7d1a5ae851843f7ad758"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "They are planning to spend billions of dollars to build pipelines.", "tolerance": null, "quote": "countries across the Gulf are planning to spend billions of dollars building pipelines to enable them to redirect more supplies to ports along the Red Sea and the Gulf of Oman.", "quote_doc_id": "t_85548334063546cd238c", "settling_ids": ["t_85548334063546cd238c", "t_a4be2443f92cdbf643d6", "a_0f86e497308a0e34c68f"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Gulf oil producers", "Red Sea", "Gulf of Oman"]}
{"id": "e_855483340635_q1", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "How many major pipeline projects will Gulf oil producers have under construction or in planning by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "7", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 2, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_855483340635", "event_date": "2026-07-23", "supporting_event": "Gulf oil producers are planning to spend billions of dollars to build pipelines to redirect more supplies to ports along the Red Sea and the Gulf of Oman.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_85548334", "storyline": "Middle East oil production and transportation", "linked_domains": ["Business"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_29648de60239a12a1f2b", "t_fb1089ee6c1ab674be1e", "t_7d1a5ae851843f7ad758"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "7", "tolerance": 0.1, "quote": "At least seven major pipeline projects are under construction, in the planning stage or being discussed as possibilities.", "quote_doc_id": "t_85548334063546cd238c", "settling_ids": ["t_85548334063546cd238c", "t_a4be2443f92cdbf643d6", "a_0f86e497308a0e34c68f"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Gulf oil producers", "Red Sea", "Gulf of Oman"]}
{"id": "e_861d6fafbc0c_q2", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "Will the fighting in Tigray lead to renewed civil war by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 13, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_861d6fafbc0c", "event_date": "2026-08-03", "supporting_event": "Hundreds of Tigrayans have been fleeing into Sudan following fighting in Tigray.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_861d6faf", "storyline": "Ethiopian Tigray conflict", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_a1cf97419ca3e217ff1e", "t_102561cb641213c577d4", "t_7f723868f45cd179043a"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "raising the risk of renewed civil war", "quote_doc_id": "t_861d6fafbc0cf4a03b91", "settling_ids": ["t_861d6fafbc0cf4a03b91", "t_e3f1f6ef2858cb021da0"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Tigrayans", "Ethiopian federal army", "Tigray People's Liberation Front", "Sudan"]}
{"id": "e_861d6fafbc0c_q2_neg", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "Will the fighting in Tigray lead to renewed civil war by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "No", "answer_type": "perturbed_binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 13, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_861d6fafbc0c", "event_date": "2026-08-03", "supporting_event": "Hundreds of Tigrayans have been fleeing into Sudan following fighting in Tigray.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_861d6faf", "storyline": "Ethiopian Tigray conflict", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_a1cf97419ca3e217ff1e", "t_102561cb641213c577d4", "t_7f723868f45cd179043a"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "perturbed_binary", "value": "No", "tolerance": null, "quote": "raising the risk of renewed civil war", "quote_doc_id": "t_861d6fafbc0cf4a03b91", "settling_ids": ["t_861d6fafbc0cf4a03b91", "t_e3f1f6ef2858cb021da0"], "derivation": "the event dated 2026-08-03 is after the shifted deadline 2026-07-28, so the claim is false at that deadline"}, "perturbation": {"field": "deadline", "original": "2026-08-04", "substituted": "2026-07-28", "v40_substituted": "2026-07-27"}, "paired_with": "e_861d6fafbc0c_q2", "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Tigrayans", "Ethiopian federal army", "Tigray People's Liberation Front", "Sudan"]}
{"id": "e_86375e24f25f_i0", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "What is the countable quantity of individuals involved in the event by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "over 100", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 10, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_86375e24f25f", "event_date": "2026-07-31", "supporting_event": "Spain will deploy its military to restore order at its border with Morocco in Ceuta.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_1df6cabb", "storyline": "Ceuta border crisis response", "linked_domains": ["Politics", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_2899e6452f0d35e53159", "t_7aa8efddb1046f9d4917", "t_67caaed3f7add8e003e5"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "over 100", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_3dcc2cac886f12e6670a_0", "settling_ids": ["t_3dcc2cac886f12e6670a", "t_831c33d916c0f187785e", "t_ba2b3c605758957dfba4", "t_86375e24f25f35d3c1e9", "t_0134b46c5be48d742e17", "t_efd8275944cc3d08d091"], "visible_detail": "the number of people present in the photograph"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Spain", "Ceuta", "Morocco"]}
{"id": "e_86a8f543b07d_q1", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "Which of the following vessels will be reported as attacked by the Houthis by 2026-07-28?", "options": ["Al Shuqaiq", "Encelia", "Layla", "Jizan"], "answer": "Encelia", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 2, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_86a8f543b07d", "event_date": "2026-07-23", "supporting_event": "Yemen’s Houthis attacked two Saudi oil tankers on July 23, 2026.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_86a8f543", "storyline": "Houthi military operations in the Red Sea", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_42e16b2706f834f192c3", "t_9335cfd28d3b3e8ec4d7", "t_00f0000558fc46dc8f71", "t_082f446c6c28fb17da64", "t_8db793a69926cd6230a2", "t_f91132b30e3392233287"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "Encelia", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the Houthis said they targeted the tankers with a number of ballistic and cruise missiles as well as drones", "quote_doc_id": "t_70aaec3c930079b05d3d", "settling_ids": ["t_86a8f543b07d061838b0", "t_70aaec3c930079b05d3d", "t_5adda6d5e1cc2f4c1bb4", "t_6c4cb9e36e02f9cdb3a6"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Yemen’s Houthis", "Saudi oil tankers"]}
{"id": "e_878d1e2bb135_a0", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "What is the proposed duration of the formal truce between America and Iran by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "10 days", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "days", "modality_required": "A", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 8, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_878d1e2bb135", "event_date": "2026-07-29", "supporting_event": "Iran launched a barrage of missiles at American forces in the Middle East.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_111dbf94", "storyline": "U.S.-Iran relations", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Law", "Politics", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_c679a85444e126f1a6cb", "t_95a7a1c4e9c6564dc10b", "t_d7897079c1f2a0fb6323"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "10 days", "tolerance": null, "quote": "they're trying to propose a... in which there would be a formal truce between America and Iran, maybe lasting about 10 days", "quote_doc_id": "a_b613cf91c3615e55ce91", "settling_ids": ["a_b613cf91c3615e55ce91", "t_878d1e2bb13554141869", "t_e56867560e111a758fac", "t_0037497a62891b4b7004", "t_b84337d5b622e7a49259", "t_5fc68b4439aaa80476b2"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Iran", "American forces", "Saudi Arabia"]}
{"id": "e_878d1e2bb135_q1", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "Who will Iran target with its missile barrage by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "American forces", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 8, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_878d1e2bb135", "event_date": "2026-07-29", "supporting_event": "Iran launched a barrage of missiles at American forces in the Middle East.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_111dbf94", "storyline": "U.S.-Iran relations", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Law", "Politics", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_c679a85444e126f1a6cb", "t_95a7a1c4e9c6564dc10b", "t_d7897079c1f2a0fb6323"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "American forces", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Iran launched a barrage of missiles at American forces in the Middle East", "quote_doc_id": "t_878d1e2bb13554141869", "settling_ids": ["t_878d1e2bb13554141869", "t_0037497a62891b4b7004", "t_b84337d5b622e7a49259", "t_5fc68b4439aaa80476b2"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Iran", "American forces", "Saudi Arabia"]}
{"id": "e_8acc02c3270a_q0", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "Which action will Spain take regarding its border with Morocco by 2026-08-04?", "options": ["Enhance surveillance with drones", "Increase patrols with additional personnel", "Install a 500m floating barrier", "Construct a new immigration processing center"], "answer": "Install a 500m floating barrier", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 11, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_8acc02c3270a", "event_date": "2026-08-01", "supporting_event": "Spain installed a 500m floating barrier off its border with Morocco.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_1df6cabb", "storyline": "Ceuta border crisis response", "linked_domains": ["Politics", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_2899e6452f0d35e53159", "t_7aa8efddb1046f9d4917", "t_1e72634c2aa4ed5048eb", "t_67caaed3f7add8e003e5"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "Install a 500m floating barrier", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Spain said migrant crossings into its North African enclave of Ceuta had stopped overnight, as police began installing a 500m floating barrier on August 1 off its border with Morocco following a mass rush that killed at least 67 people.", "quote_doc_id": "t_8acc02c3270a0d2b69d1", "settling_ids": ["t_8acc02c3270a0d2b69d1", "t_fd613234864d5add06c8", "t_cc3aa988c1edb769cfa6", "t_82f2f90d8be2e500291e"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Spain", "Ceuta", "Morocco"]}
{"id": "e_8c56e16667a3_i0", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "What geographical features were formally identified by India in Arunachal Pradesh by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "Chinese territory", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 21, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_8c56e16667a3", "event_date": "2026-08-11", "supporting_event": "India rejected China's criticism of its decision to formally identify 27 places and geographical features in Arunachal Pradesh by their standard names.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_0d6e6391", "storyline": "India-China border negotiations", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_c1c2b5e302d2415a712b", "t_69de0a98fc461494e46d", "t_7e3ef9f509fea9094d59"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "Chinese territory", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_8c56e16667a3bf2b7901_0", "settling_ids": ["t_8c56e16667a3bf2b7901", "t_db41c282a1df8d056fa3", "t_5e705b8cce41fbf3251a", "t_32f02dce0483875df928", "t_934e31c0adc41cbb2da6"], "visible_detail": "signs indicating Chinese territory"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["India", "China", "Arunachal Pradesh"]}
{"id": "e_8c56e16667a3_q1", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "How many places will India identify in Arunachal Pradesh by their standard names by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "27", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 21, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_8c56e16667a3", "event_date": "2026-08-11", "supporting_event": "India rejected China's criticism of its decision to formally identify 27 places and geographical features in Arunachal Pradesh by their standard names.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_0d6e6391", "storyline": "India-China border negotiations", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_c1c2b5e302d2415a712b", "t_69de0a98fc461494e46d", "t_7e3ef9f509fea9094d59"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "27", "tolerance": 0, "quote": "India rejected China's criticism of New Delhi identifying 27 places and features in Arunachal Pradesh by their standard names.", "quote_doc_id": "t_32f02dce0483875df928", "settling_ids": ["t_8c56e16667a3bf2b7901", "t_5e705b8cce41fbf3251a", "t_32f02dce0483875df928", "t_934e31c0adc41cbb2da6"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["India", "China", "Arunachal Pradesh"]}
{"id": "e_8d6b834558da_q0", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "How many conditions will Iran's Supreme National Security Council set out that the United States must meet before the Strait of Hormuz can fully reopen by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "6", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 19, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_8d6b834558da", "event_date": "2026-08-09", "supporting_event": "Iran’s Supreme National Security Council set out new conditions the United States must meet before the Strait of Hormuz can fully reopen.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_1495142b", "storyline": "Negotiations regarding the Strait of Hormuz", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Law", "Politics", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_512786c4632d905b0761", "t_57ab2f6a948286a55712", "t_e260a83c2039ad6964af", "t_5e2ba2d5dcaffbada9fd", "t_86b85094d8052d526466"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "6", "tolerance": null, "quote": "The six conditions include an end to US threats against Iran and insults to what Zolghadr described as the country’s national and religious values; a permanent end to attacks against Iran and its allies in Lebanon, Palestine, Yemen and Iraq; the lifting of the US naval blockade and withdrawal of US naval and air forces from around Iran; compensation for damage from what he called two “imposed wars”; the lifting of sanctions; and the unconditional release of frozen Iranian assets.", "quote_doc_id": "t_8d6b834558da83aef113", "settling_ids": ["t_8d6b834558da83aef113", "t_8333fb4bcc3552a1b7a4"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Iran’s Supreme National Security Council", "the United States", "Strait of Hormuz"]}
{"id": "e_8d6b834558da_q1", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "Who will set out new conditions that the United States must meet before the Strait of Hormuz can fully reopen by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "Iran’s Supreme National Security Council", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 19, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_8d6b834558da", "event_date": "2026-08-09", "supporting_event": "Iran’s Supreme National Security Council set out new conditions the United States must meet before the Strait of Hormuz can fully reopen.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_1495142b", "storyline": "Negotiations regarding the Strait of Hormuz", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Law", "Politics", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_512786c4632d905b0761", "t_57ab2f6a948286a55712", "t_e260a83c2039ad6964af", "t_5e2ba2d5dcaffbada9fd", "t_86b85094d8052d526466"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "Iran’s Supreme National Security Council", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Iran’s Supreme National Security Council has set out new conditions it says the United States must meet before the Strait of Hormuz can fully reopen.", "quote_doc_id": "t_8d6b834558da83aef113", "settling_ids": ["t_8d6b834558da83aef113", "t_8333fb4bcc3552a1b7a4"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Iran’s Supreme National Security Council", "the United States", "Strait of Hormuz"]}
{"id": "e_8daece79a276_q0", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "Will China begin live-fire drills in the Taiwan Strait by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 2, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_8daece79a276", "event_date": "2026-07-23", "supporting_event": "China began two days of live-fire drills in some parts of the Taiwan Strait near the shores of its southeastern province of Fujian.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_8daece79", "storyline": "China military exercises July 2026", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_3039648ed48f491046f2", "t_eebaf535ea69abd5a572", "t_b7d0ef758d3e3c8dc33e", "t_c9ec91866d994b423922"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "China began two days of live-fire drills from July 23 in some parts of the Taiwan Strait near the shores of its south-eastern province of Fujian.", "quote_doc_id": "t_8daece79a27619f98f9c", "settling_ids": ["t_8daece79a27619f98f9c", "t_5fc4564eea1cd597b39b"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["China", "Taiwan Strait", "Fujian", "Dongshan Island", "Guangdong"]}
{"id": "e_8daece79a276_q2", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "How many days of live-fire drills will China conduct in the Taiwan Strait by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "2", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "days", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 2, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_8daece79a276", "event_date": "2026-07-23", "supporting_event": "China began two days of live-fire drills in some parts of the Taiwan Strait near the shores of its southeastern province of Fujian.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_8daece79", "storyline": "China military exercises July 2026", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_3039648ed48f491046f2", "t_eebaf535ea69abd5a572", "t_b7d0ef758d3e3c8dc33e", "t_c9ec91866d994b423922"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "2", "tolerance": null, "quote": "China began two days of live-fire drills from July 23 in some parts of the Taiwan Strait near the shores of its south-eastern province of Fujian.", "quote_doc_id": "t_8daece79a27619f98f9c", "settling_ids": ["t_8daece79a27619f98f9c", "t_5fc4564eea1cd597b39b"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["China", "Taiwan Strait", "Fujian", "Dongshan Island", "Guangdong"]}
{"id": "e_8de7d44d02f3_q1", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "Which of the following actions will Gulf Arab states pursue regarding the Strait of Hormuz and Red Sea by 2026-08-04?", "options": ["Request US military support", "Seek Beijing's assistance", "Negotiate directly with Iran", "Withdraw from the region"], "answer": "Seek Beijing's assistance", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 9, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_8de7d44d02f3", "event_date": "2026-07-30", "supporting_event": "Gulf Arab states sought Beijing's assistance to open up the Strait of Hormuz and Red Sea.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_8de7d44d", "storyline": "Gulf states' diplomatic efforts regarding Iran", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Environment", "Law"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_23c535451e43db3efb89", "t_c99e58b7e199fb8ea5a4", "t_e3971cd56006ecf4118b", "t_c2b0515f4220bf806b91", "t_17f362b0870bca9ce3ed"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "Seek Beijing's assistance", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Gulf Arab states are looking to China – not Washington – to use its economic leverage over Iran to open up the Strait of Hormuz and Red Sea", "quote_doc_id": "t_85b6afc00e99adf0546b", "settling_ids": ["t_8de7d44d02f393036e4b", "t_85b6afc00e99adf0546b"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Gulf Arab states", "Beijing"]}
{"id": "e_90b90aac515d_q1", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "Who will state there is a chance for a deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "Scott Bessent", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 14, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_90b90aac515d", "event_date": "2026-08-04", "supporting_event": "US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent stated there is a chance for a deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_035b7334", "storyline": "US-Iran military conflict", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Law", "Politics", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_09af0c369fd35bcad39b", "t_5aa74eeb3a78026bef9e", "t_f7e177e3e612515b97ca", "t_534bb1a46470b145b07d", "t_4f14bb26b389a691da27"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "Scott Bessent", "tolerance": null, "quote": "US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent told broadcaster CNBC", "quote_doc_id": "t_90b90aac515d899f1837", "settling_ids": ["t_90b90aac515d899f1837", "t_e35ca7e41271866f6e60"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Scott Bessent", "Donald Trump", "Iran", "United States"]}
{"id": "e_9113b678f32c_q0", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "Who will state that ASEAN is integrating in response to geopolitical rivalry and protectionism by 2026-08-04?", "options": ["Teo Chee Hean", "Janil Puthucheary", "Vivian Balakrishnan", "Gan Kim Yong"], "answer": "Gan Kim Yong", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 10, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_9113b678f32c", "event_date": "2026-07-31", "supporting_event": "Gan Kim Yong stated that ASEAN is integrating in response to geopolitical rivalry and protectionism.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_9113b678", "storyline": "ASEAN economic integration", "linked_domains": ["Business"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_3f84a3e22415249aca32", "t_53d5ddd0e3e245e248bc"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "Gan Kim Yong", "tolerance": null, "quote": "ASEAN is responding to geopolitical rivalry and protectionism by deepening economic integration, said Singapore Deputy Prime Minister Gan Kim Yong.", "quote_doc_id": "t_9113b678f32c13e8f4ee", "settling_ids": ["t_9113b678f32c13e8f4ee", "t_4f11d095db3ce0b7fa2c"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Gan Kim Yong", "ASEAN"]}
{"id": "e_91c72939fef0_q1", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "How many Chinese Coast Guard vessels will be detected in waters east of Taiwan by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "2", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 10, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_91c72939fef0", "event_date": "2026-07-31", "supporting_event": "China's Coast Guard conducted patrols it described as routine law enforcement in waters east of Taiwan on July 31.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_91c72939", "storyline": "China's maritime patrol operations", "linked_domains": ["Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_0005632110d9ae47187c", "t_16a5bbdc338316f3ea92", "t_43e82cd8baa96de1d2b8", "t_9d709953d771d725bfb9", "t_0d8346c966215876744a"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "2", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Two Chinese Coast Guard vessels, the Xiushan and Chongming, were detected on July 31", "quote_doc_id": "t_91c72939fef0b1b2420c", "settling_ids": ["t_91c72939fef0b1b2420c", "t_3e6ce8c0f22516eeaa96", "t_3b95f51a4f2d26235f9b", "t_06581870ad5cd906751d"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["China Coast Guard", "Taiwan"]}
{"id": "e_91c72939fef0_q2", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "Which ship led the Chinese Coast Guard patrols in waters east of Taiwan by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "Xiushan", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 10, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_91c72939fef0", "event_date": "2026-07-31", "supporting_event": "China's Coast Guard conducted patrols it described as routine law enforcement in waters east of Taiwan on July 31.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_91c72939", "storyline": "China's maritime patrol operations", "linked_domains": ["Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_0005632110d9ae47187c", "t_16a5bbdc338316f3ea92", "t_43e82cd8baa96de1d2b8", "t_9d709953d771d725bfb9", "t_0d8346c966215876744a"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "Xiushan", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the patrols east of Taiwan were led by one of its ships, Xiushan", "quote_doc_id": "t_91c72939fef0b1b2420c", "settling_ids": ["t_91c72939fef0b1b2420c", "t_3e6ce8c0f22516eeaa96", "t_3b95f51a4f2d26235f9b", "t_06581870ad5cd906751d"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["China Coast Guard", "Taiwan"]}
{"id": "e_92ae0ddef68a_q1", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "How many people will be killed in Ukrainian attacks in southern Russia and annexed Crimea by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "10", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "people", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 13, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_92ae0ddef68a", "event_date": "2026-08-03", "supporting_event": "At least 10 people were killed in Ukrainian attacks in southern Russia and annexed Crimea.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_92ae0dde", "storyline": "Ukrainian military actions in Russia", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_427cb810e465e2f25101", "t_8bd19d89737351417e00", "t_6523683219a2bfa9b404"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "10", "tolerance": 0.5, "quote": "At least 10 people were killed in Ukrainian attacks in southern Russia and annexed Crimea, local authorities said Monday", "quote_doc_id": "t_92ae0ddef68a200fde99", "settling_ids": ["t_92ae0ddef68a200fde99", "t_5befc055d95f453c7bc2"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Ukrainian attacks", "southern Russia", "Crimea"]}
{"id": "e_935cb285a09c_q0", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "What action will Japan and the United States take if the yen resumes its downtrend by 2026-08-04?", "options": ["conduct joint intervention", "increase interest rates", "issue a public statement", "decrease currency reserves"], "answer": "conduct joint intervention", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 11, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_935cb285a09c", "event_date": "2026-08-01", "supporting_event": "Japan and the United States conducted a joint intervention to combat a sell-off in the yen.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_935cb285", "storyline": "Yen market intervention 2026", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Law", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_7e852624046ff0aba670", "t_9ed1e7a74235d7d2a56f", "t_d9d9b3a946c53f3c335c", "t_0e857fb5f534ef00ef98"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "conduct joint intervention", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Japan and the United States will \"certainly\" conduct joint intervention again if the yen shows signs of resuming its downtrend", "quote_doc_id": "t_b908d8290cb3cbe0c50f", "settling_ids": ["t_935cb285a09cb4619e09", "t_b908d8290cb3cbe0c50f"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Japan", "United States", "Atsushi Takeuchi"]}
{"id": "e_93738869ae58_a0", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "What is the number of people killed in the U.S. and Saudi airstrikes against militia bases in Iraq by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "20", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "A", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 6, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_93738869ae58", "event_date": "2026-07-27", "supporting_event": "The United States and Iran paused strikes.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_035b7334", "storyline": "US-Iran military conflict", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Law", "Politics", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_5e2ba2d5dcaffbada9fd", "t_99b2811d99ae281a3da8", "t_edb242f21e053bbe5c0c"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "20", "tolerance": null, "quote": "killing at least 20 people", "quote_doc_id": "a_08cad3d02ced83ca4981", "settling_ids": ["a_08cad3d02ced83ca4981", "t_93738869ae582ccafe64", "t_14ac24376dde29724454"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["United States", "Iran"]}
{"id": "e_93e750300005_q0", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "Will Abbas Araqchi urge Bulgaria to reconsider its decision regarding the temporary deployment of U.S. military aircraft at the Bezmer air base by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 9, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_93e750300005", "event_date": "2026-07-30", "supporting_event": "Abbas Araqchi urged Bulgaria to reconsider its decision to allow the temporary deployment of U.S. military aircraft at the Bezmer air base.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_93e75030", "storyline": "Iran's diplomatic response to U.S. military operations", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_4ae957204de1c71b349b", "t_3be94a96ef8ef7a12369"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Iran’s Foreign Minister Abbas Araqchi urged Bulgaria to reconsider its decision to allow the temporary deployment of US military aircraft at the Bezmer air base, Iranian state media reported on July 30.", "quote_doc_id": "t_93e750300005eaec8f87", "settling_ids": ["t_93e750300005eaec8f87", "t_6e3f7c3207b24f0bdec4", "t_4100bac8f04ebe83d172"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Abbas Araqchi", "Bulgaria", "U.S.", "Bezmer air base", "Velislava Petrova-Chamova"]}
{"id": "e_93e750300005_q0_neg", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "Will Abbas Araqchi urge Bulgaria to reconsider its decision regarding the temporary deployment of U.S. military aircraft at the Bezmer air base by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "No", "answer_type": "perturbed_binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 9, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_93e750300005", "event_date": "2026-07-30", "supporting_event": "Abbas Araqchi urged Bulgaria to reconsider its decision to allow the temporary deployment of U.S. military aircraft at the Bezmer air base.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_93e75030", "storyline": "Iran's diplomatic response to U.S. military operations", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_4ae957204de1c71b349b", "t_3be94a96ef8ef7a12369"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "perturbed_binary", "value": "No", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Iran’s Foreign Minister Abbas Araqchi urged Bulgaria to reconsider its decision to allow the temporary deployment of US military aircraft at the Bezmer air base, Iranian state media reported on July 30.", "quote_doc_id": "t_93e750300005eaec8f87", "settling_ids": ["t_93e750300005eaec8f87", "t_6e3f7c3207b24f0bdec4", "t_4100bac8f04ebe83d172"], "derivation": "the event dated 2026-07-30 is after the shifted deadline 2026-07-28, so the claim is false at that deadline"}, "perturbation": {"field": "deadline", "original": "2026-08-04", "substituted": "2026-07-28", "v40_substituted": "2026-07-25"}, "paired_with": "e_93e750300005_q0", "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Abbas Araqchi", "Bulgaria", "U.S.", "Bezmer air base", "Velislava Petrova-Chamova"]}
{"id": "e_942f965908dd_a0", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "What is the number of people killed in the attack on Kyiv by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "17", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "A", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 9, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_942f965908dd", "event_date": "2026-07-30", "supporting_event": "A Russian ballistic missile and drone barrage across Ukraine overnight killed at least 10 civilians, including children.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_183a67a3", "storyline": "2026 Ukraine-Russia conflict", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Law", "Politics", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_eb6b8b38b049e2845e9a", "t_526f308a810a38dec987", "t_65daa6ba54baf083d159", "t_09b9bb8ec09e250b2640", "t_11a997a9b18377408ec2", "t_adedfbfbbb8a37a7efc4", "t_b3142873c527c782c95d", "t_d63552a8a38add6db850"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "17", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Zelensky posting on X just before I came to the newsroom. Now, he's saying in that attack on Kyiv that at least 17 people have been killed and 44 wounded.", "quote_doc_id": "a_a45f95065dea376df1b3", "settling_ids": ["a_a45f95065dea376df1b3", "t_2494a52eecd28e389dcd", "t_942f965908ddae04e1d3", "t_19fadf61c81d90165fd8", "t_a7ff279bb9042f95649a"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Russia", "Ukraine"]}
{"id": "e_96d409bd5dab_q0", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "How many mosques will be set on fire by Israeli settlers in the occupied West Bank by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "2", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 5, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_96d409bd5dab", "event_date": "2026-07-26", "supporting_event": "Israeli settlers set fire to two mosques in the occupied West Bank.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_0e1b786e", "storyline": "West Bank clashes July 2026", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_4921e64c78a9e7ff33d0", "t_a89972ec087bdb347e37", "t_67bd565a4297ae1f9b21"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "2", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Israeli settlers attacked Palestinian villages in the occupied West Bank early on Sunday, setting fire to two mosques", "quote_doc_id": "t_96d409bd5dab7f0c9940", "settling_ids": ["t_96d409bd5dab7f0c9940", "t_ca6627aeb46dce542f68", "t_bbd49fec1d2b643aa603", "t_9d63ed1e07745da55611"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Israeli settlers", "Palestinian villages", "West Bank"]}
{"id": "e_970273fa47cf_q0", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "Who will call for a calibrated re-engagement with Myanmar by 2026-08-04?", "options": ["Prabowo Subianto", "Anutin Charnvirakul", "Min Aung Hlaing", "Kao Kim Hourn"], "answer": "Anutin Charnvirakul", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 14, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_970273fa47cf", "event_date": "2026-08-04", "supporting_event": "Anutin Charnvirakul called for a calibrated re-engagement with Myanmar.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_3c54a982", "storyline": "Myanmar diplomatic engagement", "linked_domains": ["Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_f1661465dd12861ef874", "t_dd0356136683aae5435b", "t_33ab10b95b182fb3c0cb", "t_5183e5e5bfd8bda0170a", "t_fc88e296bde0f1aa173c", "t_047440fab83b82d398eb"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "Anutin Charnvirakul", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Thai Prime Minister Anutin Charnvirakul called on Tuesday (Aug 4) for a 'calibrated re-engagement' with Myanmar.", "quote_doc_id": "t_970273fa47cfbf3ec707", "settling_ids": ["t_970273fa47cfbf3ec707", "t_ce20b0463f5fef86f1ed"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Anutin Charnvirakul", "Myanmar", "Min Aung Hlaing", "ASEAN", "Kao Kim Hourn", "Prabowo Subianto"]}
{"id": "e_970273fa47cf_q1", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "On what date will Anutin Charnvirakul call for a calibrated re-engagement with Myanmar by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "2026-08-04", "answer_type": "date", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 14, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_970273fa47cf", "event_date": "2026-08-04", "supporting_event": "Anutin Charnvirakul called for a calibrated re-engagement with Myanmar.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_3c54a982", "storyline": "Myanmar diplomatic engagement", "linked_domains": ["Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_f1661465dd12861ef874", "t_dd0356136683aae5435b", "t_33ab10b95b182fb3c0cb", "t_5183e5e5bfd8bda0170a", "t_fc88e296bde0f1aa173c", "t_047440fab83b82d398eb"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "date", "value": "2026-08-04", "tolerance": 1, "quote": "Thai Prime Minister Anutin Charnvirakul called on Tuesday (Aug 4) for a 'calibrated re-engagement' with Myanmar.", "quote_doc_id": "t_970273fa47cfbf3ec707", "settling_ids": ["t_970273fa47cfbf3ec707", "t_ce20b0463f5fef86f1ed"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Anutin Charnvirakul", "Myanmar", "Min Aung Hlaing", "ASEAN", "Kao Kim Hourn", "Prabowo Subianto"]}
{"id": "e_981083fe7f2c_q2", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "How much will crude prices drop after U.S. President Donald Trump announces talks with Iran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "5", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "percent", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 11, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_981083fe7f2c", "event_date": "2026-08-01", "supporting_event": "U.S. President Donald Trump said talks with Iran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz would take place on Monday.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_2fc6b3ae", "storyline": "U.S.-Iran diplomatic negotiations", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Law", "Politics", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_c6a5388cccbcea867dd9", "t_1fd44e514e3393ef68b0", "t_6433444bdeef11f85efa", "t_f7e177e3e612515b97ca"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "5", "tolerance": 0.5, "quote": "Crude prices settled down about 5% after U.S. President Donald Trump said on Sunday that talks with Iran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz would take place on Monday.", "quote_doc_id": "t_981083fe7f2c0cfd4270", "settling_ids": ["t_981083fe7f2c0cfd4270", "t_11564d65e2d75cdc4119"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["U.S. President Donald Trump", "Iran", "Strait of Hormuz"]}
{"id": "e_9930dd50987b_q0", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "Will the U.S. and Saudi Arabia take military action against Iran-backed Shi'ite armed groups in Iraq by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 8, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_9930dd50987b", "event_date": "2026-07-29", "supporting_event": "The U.S. and Saudi Arabia struck Iran-backed Shi'ite armed groups in Iraq.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_9930dd50", "storyline": "Iran-backed armed groups military actions", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_a8546c86562ba3a48361", "t_cea3e6595769a2808ebd", "t_ec0dcb6acb3ecc9c30f3", "t_95a7a1c4e9c6564dc10b", "t_6519fa5a7b00657a1f05", "t_0afbc50ac3e1dc2b531d", "t_b76f6962193a9142eb78"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "The U.S. and Saudi Arabia have struck Iran-backed Shi'ite armed groups in Iraq", "quote_doc_id": "t_9930dd50987b48ed51cd", "settling_ids": ["t_9930dd50987b48ed51cd", "t_4d270b6459fbb22dadcd", "t_298d5f18e082ff01879d"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["U.S.", "Saudi Arabia", "Iran-backed Shi'ite armed groups"]}
{"id": "e_9930dd50987b_q0_neg", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "Will the U.S. and Saudi Arabia take military action against Iran-backed Shi'ite armed groups in Iraq by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "No", "answer_type": "perturbed_binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 8, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_9930dd50987b", "event_date": "2026-07-29", "supporting_event": "The U.S. and Saudi Arabia struck Iran-backed Shi'ite armed groups in Iraq.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_9930dd50", "storyline": "Iran-backed armed groups military actions", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_a8546c86562ba3a48361", "t_cea3e6595769a2808ebd", "t_ec0dcb6acb3ecc9c30f3", "t_95a7a1c4e9c6564dc10b", "t_6519fa5a7b00657a1f05", "t_0afbc50ac3e1dc2b531d", "t_b76f6962193a9142eb78"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "perturbed_binary", "value": "No", "tolerance": null, "quote": "The U.S. and Saudi Arabia have struck Iran-backed Shi'ite armed groups in Iraq", "quote_doc_id": "t_9930dd50987b48ed51cd", "settling_ids": ["t_9930dd50987b48ed51cd", "t_4d270b6459fbb22dadcd", "t_298d5f18e082ff01879d"], "derivation": "the event dated 2026-07-29 is after the shifted deadline 2026-07-28, so the claim is false at that deadline"}, "perturbation": {"field": "deadline", "original": "2026-08-04", "substituted": "2026-07-28", "v40_substituted": "2026-07-25"}, "paired_with": "e_9930dd50987b_q0", "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["U.S.", "Saudi Arabia", "Iran-backed Shi'ite armed groups"]}
{"id": "e_9930dd50987b_q1", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "How many fighters are collectively commanded by the Iranian-backed armed groups in Iraq by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "50000", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "fighters", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 8, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_9930dd50987b", "event_date": "2026-07-29", "supporting_event": "The U.S. and Saudi Arabia struck Iran-backed Shi'ite armed groups in Iraq.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_9930dd50", "storyline": "Iran-backed armed groups military actions", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_a8546c86562ba3a48361", "t_cea3e6595769a2808ebd", "t_ec0dcb6acb3ecc9c30f3", "t_95a7a1c4e9c6564dc10b", "t_6519fa5a7b00657a1f05", "t_0afbc50ac3e1dc2b531d", "t_b76f6962193a9142eb78"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "50000", "tolerance": 0.05, "quote": "collectively command about 50,000 fighters", "quote_doc_id": "t_9930dd50987b48ed51cd", "settling_ids": ["t_9930dd50987b48ed51cd", "t_4d270b6459fbb22dadcd", "t_298d5f18e082ff01879d"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["U.S.", "Saudi Arabia", "Iran-backed Shi'ite armed groups"]}
{"id": "e_9930dd50987b_v0", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "What is the outcome of the vote on sanctions against Russia and Iran as announced in the broadcast by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "SENATE APPROVES GOVERNMENT FUNDING THROUGH DECEMBER 11", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "V", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 8, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_9930dd50987b", "event_date": "2026-07-29", "supporting_event": "The U.S. and Saudi Arabia struck Iran-backed Shi'ite armed groups in Iraq.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_9930dd50", "storyline": "Iran-backed armed groups military actions", "linked_domains": ["Business"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_d31f7ac3ac1ddd09a489", "t_0f87584f1bc96efc0a2b", "t_96f6d3ca3eadebf13f60"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "SENATE APPROVES GOVERNMENT FUNDING THROUGH DECEMBER 11", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Senators Hold Press Conference on Russia & Iran Sanctions Vote", "quote_doc_id": "v_a9d8143c91a988a00e9a", "settling_ids": ["t_9930dd50987b48ed51cd", "t_4d270b6459fbb22dadcd", "t_298d5f18e082ff01879d"], "visible_detail": "what the frames show"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["U.S.", "Saudi Arabia", "Iran-backed Shi'ite armed groups"]}
{"id": "e_9ca5470e73f0_q1", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "Which country will Gulf Arab states seek help from to use its economic leverage over Iran by 2026-08-04?", "options": ["China", "Russia", "India", "United States"], "answer": "China", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 9, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_9ca5470e73f0", "event_date": "2026-07-30", "supporting_event": "Gulf Arab states sought Beijing's help to use its economic leverage over Iran.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_8de7d44d", "storyline": "Gulf states' diplomatic efforts regarding Iran", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Environment", "Law"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_7502892d3f4cf7b261ef", "t_1915458be9bc04550a33", "t_d87baba2b02629bfb34a"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "China", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Gulf Arab states are looking to China - not Washington - to use its economic leverage over Iran", "quote_doc_id": "t_9ca5470e73f072d6f5f5", "settling_ids": ["t_9ca5470e73f072d6f5f5", "t_85b6afc00e99adf0546b"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Gulf Arab states", "Beijing", "Iran"]}
{"id": "e_a4fb7506994d_q2", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "How many votes will the House have in favor of the resolution to halt U.S. military action in Iran by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "214", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "votes", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 2, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_a4fb7506994d", "event_date": "2026-07-23", "supporting_event": "The House narrowly passed a resolution to halt U.S. military action in Iran with a vote of 214-208.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_111dbf94", "storyline": "U.S.-Iran relations", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Law", "Politics", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_2a84debfb373701882c5", "t_643632eaa6e636c56dd4", "t_72c91dd99bb599d996f0", "t_5937c41a3662bbb0fd68"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "214", "tolerance": 0.5, "quote": "The 214-208 vote requiring congressional approval for the war", "quote_doc_id": "t_a4fb7506994d662d66c1", "settling_ids": ["t_a4fb7506994d662d66c1", "t_517ca03677137fa81c20", "t_1cc56ed795158baecf12", "t_a31aecd6d51ecdeada04", "a_cbf4a7b98a171c6f0261"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["the House", "President Donald Trump", "Pramila Jayapal"]}
{"id": "e_a96f4ecd88ce_q0", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "How many billions of dollars will Japan and the US likely use in their coordinated yen-buying intervention by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "34", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "billion dollars", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 11, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_a96f4ecd88ce", "event_date": "2026-08-01", "supporting_event": "Japan and the US carried out their first coordinated yen-buying intervention since 1998.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_2a5f4e06", "storyline": "US-Japan currency intervention", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Law", "Politics", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_9ed1e7a74235d7d2a56f", "t_c1f854c03599f379026b", "t_3027b5666082f58a5270", "t_d9d9b3a946c53f3c335c", "t_0e857fb5f534ef00ef98"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "34", "tolerance": 0.1, "quote": "Authorities likely used around $34 billion intervening in the currency market to support the yen on July 31", "quote_doc_id": "t_a96f4ecd88ce591c7459", "settling_ids": ["t_a96f4ecd88ce591c7459", "t_c935aaa8ae9db95fe262"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Japan", "US", "Donald Trump", "Sanae Takaichi"]}
{"id": "e_a96f4ecd88ce_q1", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "Will Japan and the US carry out their first coordinated yen-buying intervention since 1998 by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 11, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_a96f4ecd88ce", "event_date": "2026-08-01", "supporting_event": "Japan and the US carried out their first coordinated yen-buying intervention since 1998.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_2a5f4e06", "storyline": "US-Japan currency intervention", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Law", "Politics", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_9ed1e7a74235d7d2a56f", "t_c1f854c03599f379026b", "t_3027b5666082f58a5270", "t_d9d9b3a946c53f3c335c", "t_0e857fb5f534ef00ef98"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Around the turn of the month, Japan and the US carried out their first coordinated yen-buying intervention since 1998", "quote_doc_id": "t_a96f4ecd88ce591c7459", "settling_ids": ["t_a96f4ecd88ce591c7459", "t_c935aaa8ae9db95fe262"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Japan", "US", "Donald Trump", "Sanae Takaichi"]}
{"id": "e_a96f4ecd88ce_q1_neg", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "Will Japan and the US carry out their first coordinated yen-buying intervention since 1998 by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "No", "answer_type": "perturbed_binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 11, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_a96f4ecd88ce", "event_date": "2026-08-01", "supporting_event": "Japan and the US carried out their first coordinated yen-buying intervention since 1998.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_2a5f4e06", "storyline": "US-Japan currency intervention", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Law", "Politics", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_9ed1e7a74235d7d2a56f", "t_c1f854c03599f379026b", "t_3027b5666082f58a5270", "t_d9d9b3a946c53f3c335c", "t_0e857fb5f534ef00ef98"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "perturbed_binary", "value": "No", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Around the turn of the month, Japan and the US carried out their first coordinated yen-buying intervention since 1998", "quote_doc_id": "t_a96f4ecd88ce591c7459", "settling_ids": ["t_a96f4ecd88ce591c7459", "t_c935aaa8ae9db95fe262"], "derivation": "the event dated 2026-08-01 is after the shifted deadline 2026-07-28, so the claim is false at that deadline"}, "perturbation": {"field": "deadline", "original": "2026-08-04", "substituted": "2026-07-28", "v40_substituted": "2026-07-26"}, "paired_with": "e_a96f4ecd88ce_q1", "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Japan", "US", "Donald Trump", "Sanae Takaichi"]}
{"id": "e_abce603ab5b1_q0", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "Will Chinese and Russian naval warships complete a joint patrol lasting more than two weeks by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 8, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_abce603ab5b1", "event_date": "2026-07-29", "supporting_event": "Chinese and Russian naval warships completed a joint patrol lasting more than two weeks and arrived in Vladivostok.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_abce603a", "storyline": "2026 Maritime Cooperation patrol", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_fdeaa7fd46c1596d6cc8", "t_9a8bf5a1f36f5202d7d6", "t_75694e38b2368ce43fa4", "t_e2557d8bf5615833fbc1"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Chinese and Russian naval warships have completed a joint patrol lasting more than two weeks and arrived in Vladivostok in Russia's Far East on Wednesday", "quote_doc_id": "t_abce603ab5b1b9fc32d1", "settling_ids": ["t_abce603ab5b1b9fc32d1", "t_23b6204a21b394cca66e", "t_de3a54292b15fd3e3b29", "t_cbd82722a041efd51bb2"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Chinese Navy", "Russian Navy", "Vladivostok"]}
{"id": "e_abce603ab5b1_q0_neg", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "Will Chinese and Russian naval warships complete a joint patrol lasting more than two weeks by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "No", "answer_type": "perturbed_binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 8, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_abce603ab5b1", "event_date": "2026-07-29", "supporting_event": "Chinese and Russian naval warships completed a joint patrol lasting more than two weeks and arrived in Vladivostok.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_abce603a", "storyline": "2026 Maritime Cooperation patrol", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_fdeaa7fd46c1596d6cc8", "t_9a8bf5a1f36f5202d7d6", "t_75694e38b2368ce43fa4", "t_e2557d8bf5615833fbc1"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "perturbed_binary", "value": "No", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Chinese and Russian naval warships have completed a joint patrol lasting more than two weeks and arrived in Vladivostok in Russia's Far East on Wednesday", "quote_doc_id": "t_abce603ab5b1b9fc32d1", "settling_ids": ["t_abce603ab5b1b9fc32d1", "t_23b6204a21b394cca66e", "t_de3a54292b15fd3e3b29", "t_cbd82722a041efd51bb2"], "derivation": "the event dated 2026-07-29 is after the shifted deadline 2026-07-28, so the claim is false at that deadline"}, "perturbation": {"field": "deadline", "original": "2026-08-04", "substituted": "2026-07-28", "v40_substituted": "2026-07-25"}, "paired_with": "e_abce603ab5b1_q0", "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Chinese Navy", "Russian Navy", "Vladivostok"]}
{"id": "e_abd9aa1d0394_d0", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "How many incidental harassment authorizations will be issued by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "two consecutive incidental harassment authorizations", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "D", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 9, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_abd9aa1d0394", "event_date": "2026-07-30", "supporting_event": "The government reported that 16 Indian nationals have lost their lives in the Middle East since the outbreak of the conflict this year.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_79e6460f", "storyline": "Middle East conflict escalation", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Law", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_900c7daf4749397bfd12", "t_c84456bbbdf6b21434e3", "t_a36ce6a1832ff759d01f", "t_d45984c6c74e70be9958", "t_380abfbc1c0b7dfe90e5"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "two consecutive incidental harassment authorizations", "tolerance": null, "quote": "NMFS has issued two consecutive incidental harassment authorizations (IHAs) to U.S. Army Corps of Engineers", "quote_doc_id": "d_7a4612128e086c42d079", "settling_ids": ["d_7a4612128e086c42d079", "t_abd9aa1d0394ba5e5480", "t_3d0e662ed147f29a6bab", "t_a07c2da8957e9b726b47", "t_54f72d07c49e52e42457", "t_0480a19629276e92a676", "t_befd2b055da231f6257f"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["government", "India", "Middle East"]}
{"id": "e_abd9aa1d0394_q0", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "How many Indian nationals will have lost their lives in the Middle East due to the ongoing conflict by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "16", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "individuals", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 9, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_abd9aa1d0394", "event_date": "2026-07-30", "supporting_event": "The government reported that 16 Indian nationals have lost their lives in the Middle East since the outbreak of the conflict this year.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_79e6460f", "storyline": "Middle East conflict escalation", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Law", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_900c7daf4749397bfd12", "t_c84456bbbdf6b21434e3", "t_a36ce6a1832ff759d01f", "t_d45984c6c74e70be9958", "t_380abfbc1c0b7dfe90e5"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "16", "tolerance": null, "quote": "16 Indian nationals, including 10 seafarers, have lost their lives in the Middle East since the outbreak of the conflict this year.", "quote_doc_id": "t_abd9aa1d0394ba5e5480", "settling_ids": ["t_abd9aa1d0394ba5e5480", "t_a07c2da8957e9b726b47", "t_54f72d07c49e52e42457", "t_0480a19629276e92a676", "d_7a4612128e086c42d079"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["government", "India", "Middle East"]}
{"id": "e_ae27957b6329_q1", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "Which of the following locations will be targeted by Houthi militants by 2026-07-28?", "options": ["Omani shipping routes in the Gulf of Oman", "Saudi oil installations in two ports on the Red Sea coast", "UAE military bases in the Arabian Peninsula", "Iranian oil facilities in the Persian Gulf"], "answer": "Saudi oil installations in two ports on the Red Sea coast", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 4, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_ae27957b6329", "event_date": "2026-07-25", "supporting_event": "Yemen’s Iran-aligned Houthi militants fired on Saudi oil installations in two ports on the Red Sea coast on July 25.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_4ae66095", "storyline": "2026 Houthi-Saudi conflict", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_42e16b2706f834f192c3", "t_fc9797439b067dab805f", "t_330450338432f2db6a0d", "t_00f0000558fc46dc8f71", "t_082f446c6c28fb17da64"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "Saudi oil installations in two ports on the Red Sea coast", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Yemen’s Iran-aligned Houthi militants fired on Saudi oil installations in two ports on the Red Sea coast on July 25.", "quote_doc_id": "t_acf9e7d2e97ce950a8df", "settling_ids": ["t_ae27957b63294567b83a", "t_acf9e7d2e97ce950a8df", "t_648569d0e8acf05fbf70"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Yemen", "Houthi militants", "Saudi Arabia", "Red Sea"]}
{"id": "e_ae27957b6329_q2", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "How many ports on the Red Sea coast will be targeted by Houthi militants by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "2", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "ports", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 4, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_ae27957b6329", "event_date": "2026-07-25", "supporting_event": "Yemen’s Iran-aligned Houthi militants fired on Saudi oil installations in two ports on the Red Sea coast on July 25.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_4ae66095", "storyline": "2026 Houthi-Saudi conflict", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_42e16b2706f834f192c3", "t_fc9797439b067dab805f", "t_330450338432f2db6a0d", "t_00f0000558fc46dc8f71", "t_082f446c6c28fb17da64"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "2", "tolerance": 0.1, "quote": "Yemen’s Iran-aligned Houthi militants fired on Saudi oil installations in two ports on the Red Sea coast on July 25.", "quote_doc_id": "t_648569d0e8acf05fbf70", "settling_ids": ["t_ae27957b63294567b83a", "t_acf9e7d2e97ce950a8df", "t_648569d0e8acf05fbf70"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Yemen", "Houthi militants", "Saudi Arabia", "Red Sea"]}
{"id": "e_afc36375fdda_q0", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "Who will report the number of migrants returned to Morocco by Spain by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "Spain’s Ministry of the Interior", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 10, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_afc36375fdda", "event_date": "2026-07-31", "supporting_event": "Spain returned over 48,000 migrants to Morocco after a border rush.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_1df6cabb", "storyline": "Ceuta border crisis response", "linked_domains": ["Politics", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_7aa8efddb1046f9d4917", "t_571f5b511b3cfb5023b3", "t_1e72634c2aa4ed5048eb", "t_67caaed3f7add8e003e5"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "Spain’s Ministry of the Interior", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Spain’s Ministry of the Interior reported that more than 48,000 migrants who crossed into the North African enclave of Ceuta were sent back to Morocco by Friday evening, July 31, 2026.", "quote_doc_id": "t_afc36375fdda1181f8be", "settling_ids": ["t_afc36375fdda1181f8be", "t_d2d67f703b0217284901", "t_cb38308e744db03a205c", "t_7c851d2c1340b20d11d3"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Spain", "Morocco", "Ceuta"]}
{"id": "e_b0ea99af7db5_q0", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "How many people were reported killed in Russian airstrikes on neighboring Ukraine prior to the object falling in Poland by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "8", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "people", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 9, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_b0ea99af7db5", "event_date": "2026-07-30", "supporting_event": "Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk said an object that fell overnight in eastern Poland appeared to be a Russian missile.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_b0ea99af", "storyline": "2026 Russian missile incident in Poland", "linked_domains": ["Politics", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_fab39725400173bb350d", "t_5d0292ca9f2a221d09b2"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "8", "tolerance": 0, "quote": "after Russian airstrikes killed at least eight people in neighbouring Ukraine", "quote_doc_id": "t_b0ea99af7db5eece5ab0", "settling_ids": ["t_b0ea99af7db5eece5ab0", "t_7f4c87f7a8f94ef8e2e4", "t_c2fccc951fd5edd02cb5", "a_50d7baead265d1072842", "a_3940d53d4595bb26ae34"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Donald Tusk", "Poland", "Russia"]}
{"id": "e_b187f38df9fb_q0", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "How many percent will the new tariffs imposed by US President Donald Trump be on imports from 60 countries by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "10", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "percent", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 3, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_b187f38df9fb", "event_date": "2026-07-24", "supporting_event": "US President Donald Trump imposed new double-digit tariffs on imports from 60 countries.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_b187f38d", "storyline": "US tariff imposition on forced labor goods", "linked_domains": ["Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_77a40cfd6098db38308a", "t_6a19ff5f71254c7f18e2", "t_f166a34a245c3e7b25cb"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "10", "tolerance": 0.1, "quote": "the US has slapped levies of 10 to 12.5 percent on imports from 60 countries", "quote_doc_id": "t_b187f38df9fbeeecef85", "settling_ids": ["t_b187f38df9fbeeecef85", "t_2558d3d7891c51e21b50"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["US President Donald Trump", "US Trade Representative Jamieson Greer"]}
{"id": "e_b38431948714_q0", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "How many Saudi oil tankers will Houthi rebels claim to have struck by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "2", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 2, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_b38431948714", "event_date": "2026-07-23", "supporting_event": "Houthi rebels claimed to have struck two Saudi oil tankers in the Red Sea.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_79e6460f", "storyline": "Middle East conflict escalation", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Law", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_42e16b2706f834f192c3", "t_fc9797439b067dab805f", "t_9335cfd28d3b3e8ec4d7", "t_00f0000558fc46dc8f71", "t_082f446c6c28fb17da64"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "2", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Houthi rebels claimed to have struck two Saudi oil tankers in the Red Sea.", "quote_doc_id": "t_b384319487141195e57a", "settling_ids": ["t_b384319487141195e57a", "t_ac185555f5d419c3a151"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Houthi rebels", "Saudi oil tankers"]}
{"id": "e_b3d142ebf6b8_q1", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "How many Indian crew members will be on board MV AGN Ragnar by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "4", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "crew members", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 4, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_b3d142ebf6b8", "event_date": "2026-07-25", "supporting_event": "MV AGN Ragnar was struck at Ukraine's Odesa port.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_b3d142eb", "storyline": "Black Sea maritime incidents", "linked_domains": ["Business"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_b7cb216c637f2989b728", "t_bbf682abf0926fbe30f0", "t_0e5aa4a9a89f6f6385d9", "t_a5d7656e416ac3604bb1"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "4", "tolerance": null, "quote": "a vessel, MV AGN Ragnar, with four Indian crew", "quote_doc_id": "t_d22fa9565020cd634fbf", "settling_ids": ["t_b3d142ebf6b8ca4aaa55", "t_d22fa9565020cd634fbf", "t_e5550527682fc19da031"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["MV AGN Ragnar", "Odesa", "Ukraine"]}
{"id": "e_b3d142ebf6b8_q2", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "Who will be the Indian nationals on board MV AGN Ragnar by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "Four Indian nationals", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 4, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_b3d142ebf6b8", "event_date": "2026-07-25", "supporting_event": "MV AGN Ragnar was struck at Ukraine's Odesa port.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_b3d142eb", "storyline": "Black Sea maritime incidents", "linked_domains": ["Business"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_b7cb216c637f2989b728", "t_bbf682abf0926fbe30f0", "t_0e5aa4a9a89f6f6385d9", "t_a5d7656e416ac3604bb1"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "Four Indian nationals", "tolerance": null, "quote": "a merchant vessel carrying four Indian nationals", "quote_doc_id": "t_b3d142ebf6b8ca4aaa55", "settling_ids": ["t_b3d142ebf6b8ca4aaa55", "t_d22fa9565020cd634fbf", "t_e5550527682fc19da031"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["MV AGN Ragnar", "Odesa", "Ukraine"]}
{"id": "e_b4888a52675f_i0", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "What is the number of Patriot interceptors deployed by the US Army by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "65 percent", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 14, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_b4888a52675f", "event_date": "2026-08-04", "supporting_event": "The US Army has used up much of its stockpile of highly accurate long-range missiles during its five-month war with Iran.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_035b7334", "storyline": "US-Iran military conflict", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Law", "Politics", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_bf55c7757c375ba91f92", "t_4d2410e8ba128a92902e", "t_029346705333006f8178", "t_7e9fd845b10a7e5c451d", "t_07e2e136afcec83f4d67", "t_727c92953388c3ec2e3a"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "65 percent", "tolerance": null, "quote": "A recent report estimates that, between February and July, the US Army had expanded about 65 per cent of its Patriot interceptors.PHOTO: REUTERS", "quote_doc_id": "i_ea188745bea17d645bc0_1", "settling_ids": ["t_ea188745bea17d645bc0", "t_b4888a52675f366657ba", "t_badeaa9c6a96f8557f47", "t_7000c914f693acf2d5a9", "t_ce6f34d9d1a744340230", "t_c572ece1df6cbd91725e"], "visible_detail": "the number of Patriot interceptors deployed"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["US Army", "Army Tactical Missile Systems", "Precision Strike Missiles"]}
{"id": "e_b6ee724847f2_q0", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "How many days will the Pentagon give defense companies to submit plans to boost weapons production by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "21", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "days", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 19, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_b6ee724847f2", "event_date": "2026-08-09", "supporting_event": "The Pentagon urges defense companies to boost weapons production to replenish a diminished stockpile of munitions.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_3823aa9b", "storyline": "U.S. military munitions production efforts", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_bf55c7757c375ba91f92", "t_029346705333006f8178", "t_7e9fd845b10a7e5c451d", "t_07e2e136afcec83f4d67"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "21", "tolerance": null, "quote": "giving them no more than 21 days to submit plans to 'drive significantly faster, more aggressive delivery schedules and/or increased production for critical capabilities,'", "quote_doc_id": "t_b6ee724847f279220b00", "settling_ids": ["t_b6ee724847f279220b00", "t_3823aa9bd696461a4b3d", "t_b92814dd399ba4700822", "t_9d4ab4fd5b243b9161b9"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["the Pentagon", "U.S. defense industry"]}
{"id": "e_b6ee724847f2_q1", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "Who will the Pentagon urge to boost weapons production by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "defense companies", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 19, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_b6ee724847f2", "event_date": "2026-08-09", "supporting_event": "The Pentagon urges defense companies to boost weapons production to replenish a diminished stockpile of munitions.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_3823aa9b", "storyline": "U.S. military munitions production efforts", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_bf55c7757c375ba91f92", "t_029346705333006f8178", "t_7e9fd845b10a7e5c451d", "t_07e2e136afcec83f4d67"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "defense companies", "tolerance": null, "quote": "The Pentagon is pressing the U.S. defense industry to accelerate production of weapons", "quote_doc_id": "t_b6ee724847f279220b00", "settling_ids": ["t_b6ee724847f279220b00", "t_3823aa9bd696461a4b3d", "t_b92814dd399ba4700822", "t_9d4ab4fd5b243b9161b9"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["the Pentagon", "U.S. defense industry"]}
{"id": "e_ba18e7b20d58_q1", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "Which of the following statements will be true regarding the fighting between Ethiopian federal forces and the Tigray People's Liberation Front (TPLF) by 2026-08-04?", "options": ["Fighting broke out in western Tigray.", "Fighting broke out in northern Tigray.", "Fighting broke out in eastern Tigray.", "Fighting broke out in southern Tigray."], "answer": "Fighting broke out in western Tigray.", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 11, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_ba18e7b20d58", "event_date": "2026-08-01", "supporting_event": "Fighting broke out between Ethiopian federal forces and the Tigray People's Liberation Front (TPLF) in western Tigray.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_861d6faf", "storyline": "Ethiopian Tigray conflict", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_25ec5cedb00a6cd566fb", "t_a1cf97419ca3e217ff1e"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "Fighting broke out in western Tigray.", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Fighting breaks out in western Tigray as Ethiopia and TPLF trade blame", "quote_doc_id": "t_ba18e7b20d58838b3ebc", "settling_ids": ["t_ba18e7b20d58838b3ebc", "t_e3f1f6ef2858cb021da0", "t_115a3611fbcca8e8d16a", "t_df8b5442c989cef77911"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Ethiopian federal forces", "Tigray People's Liberation Front", "Tigray", "Sudan"]}
{"id": "e_ba731c9e5c92_q1", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "Which of the following quantities of troops will Russia seek from North Korea by 2026-07-28?", "options": ["30,000", "20,000", "50,000", "40,000"], "answer": "30,000", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": "troops", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 4, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_ba731c9e5c92", "event_date": "2026-07-25", "supporting_event": "Russia seeks 30,000 extra North Korean troops for the Ukraine war.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_ba731c9e", "storyline": "Russia-North Korea military cooperation", "linked_domains": ["Politics", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_0e871a4a5a1c4cf42207", "t_0dc91420d02dc8e02a0f", "t_452a59923466357f7154"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "30,000", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Russia wants to receive another 30,000 troops from North Korea.", "quote_doc_id": "t_bd9a522e5156bf405565", "settling_ids": ["t_ba731c9e5c92dd889485", "t_bd9a522e5156bf405565", "t_cb76c089d5cfa86af57a", "t_01e69ab48cab7e4ba3f9", "a_de9cf4402aca8d75d5ac", "a_a45f95065dea376df1b3"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Russia", "North Korea"]}
{"id": "e_ba731c9e5c92_q2", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "How many extra North Korean troops will Russia seek by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "30000", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "troops", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 4, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_ba731c9e5c92", "event_date": "2026-07-25", "supporting_event": "Russia seeks 30,000 extra North Korean troops for the Ukraine war.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_ba731c9e", "storyline": "Russia-North Korea military cooperation", "linked_domains": ["Politics", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_0e871a4a5a1c4cf42207", "t_0dc91420d02dc8e02a0f", "t_452a59923466357f7154"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "30000", "tolerance": 0.05, "quote": "Russia wants to receive another 30,000 troops from North Korea.", "quote_doc_id": "t_cb76c089d5cfa86af57a", "settling_ids": ["t_ba731c9e5c92dd889485", "t_bd9a522e5156bf405565", "t_cb76c089d5cfa86af57a", "t_01e69ab48cab7e4ba3f9", "a_de9cf4402aca8d75d5ac", "a_a45f95065dea376df1b3"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Russia", "North Korea"]}
{"id": "e_bd8609dae756_q0", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "Will the China Coast Guard clash with the Philippines in the South China Sea by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 3, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_bd8609dae756", "event_date": "2026-07-24", "supporting_event": "China’s Coast Guard clashed with the Philippines for a third time this week in the South China Sea.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_241f5549", "storyline": "South China Sea confrontations", "linked_domains": ["Environment"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_89a4d2b5ebb89f98a9ab", "t_593e5a0b2e3689b5389a", "t_29a4f83d501a6cadd430", "t_7fd3b873b7e6146c4b3f", "t_ac2290d7f20e12d2de49"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "China’s Coast Guard clashed with the Philippines for a third time this week in the South China Sea, as tensions in the disputed waters escalate.", "quote_doc_id": "t_bd8609dae7565fa9d47a", "settling_ids": ["t_bd8609dae7565fa9d47a", "t_7596e8219c9d16066270", "t_aae0a05f846ae0961c9e", "t_53109c9c3d35d3e22f3e"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["China Coast Guard", "Philippines"]}
{"id": "e_be8797483319_i0", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "How many drones are present in the hangar by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "over 50", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 1, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_be8797483319", "event_date": "2026-07-22", "supporting_event": "Iranian drone attacks on CIA facilities in the Gulf have prompted US intelligence analysts to investigate whether Russia assisted.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_be879748", "storyline": "Investigation into Iranian drone attacks", "linked_domains": ["Politics", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_cea3e6595769a2808ebd", "t_ec0dcb6acb3ecc9c30f3", "t_80701906d3a9967a20cf"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "over 50", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_cdffb0adff7def263315_0", "settling_ids": ["t_cdffb0adff7def263315", "t_be879748331988dd3f92", "t_ef4e8e99ae126671d451", "t_9b8c8db8059cc02a7f41", "t_0b4cf53fe6530c0c6ec0", "t_8a08040d86489abf3914"], "visible_detail": "the number of drones in the hangar"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Iran", "CIA", "Russia"]}
{"id": "e_be8797483319_q0", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "How many CIA facilities were struck in March that are related to the investigation by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "2", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 1, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_be8797483319", "event_date": "2026-07-22", "supporting_event": "Iranian drone attacks on CIA facilities in the Gulf have prompted US intelligence analysts to investigate whether Russia assisted.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_be879748", "storyline": "Investigation into Iranian drone attacks", "linked_domains": ["Politics", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_cea3e6595769a2808ebd", "t_ec0dcb6acb3ecc9c30f3", "t_80701906d3a9967a20cf"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "2", "tolerance": null, "quote": "At least two CIA sites were struck in March", "quote_doc_id": "t_be879748331988dd3f92", "settling_ids": ["t_be879748331988dd3f92", "t_ef4e8e99ae126671d451", "t_9b8c8db8059cc02a7f41", "t_0b4cf53fe6530c0c6ec0"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Iran", "CIA", "Russia"]}
{"id": "e_bf1f7195c42c_i0", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "What facilities are included in the memorandum of understanding between Syria and Russia by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "the facilities at the port of Tartus", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 19, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_bf1f7195c42c", "event_date": "2026-08-09", "supporting_event": "Syria reached a deal with Russia on the fate of its two bases.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_bf1f7195", "storyline": "Syria-Russia military base agreement", "linked_domains": ["Politics", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_3d8b28e4beab94183718", "t_709ce3ac1157d042ee76", "t_38703200d83477992ca3", "t_a4cdad46e2ef77b09865"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "the facilities at the port of Tartus", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Syria's interim Foreign Minister Asaad Shaibani (second from right) touring the port of Tartus on Aug 9, 2026, to inspect facilities included in the memorandum of understanding between Syria and Russia. (Photo: Syrian Arab News Agency via AFP)", "quote_doc_id": "i_bf1f7195c42c3b2db147_1", "settling_ids": ["t_bf1f7195c42c3b2db147", "t_0849748b0e139489cd5a", "t_09452ee0a9f702a10125", "t_59c72ccd69d316944313", "t_740af162784e3db77122"], "visible_detail": "the facilities at the port of Tartus"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Syria", "Russia", "Bashar al-Assad"]}
{"id": "e_bf1f7195c42c_q0", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "Will Syria reach a deal with Russia regarding its military bases by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 19, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_bf1f7195c42c", "event_date": "2026-08-09", "supporting_event": "Syria reached a deal with Russia on the fate of its two bases.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_bf1f7195", "storyline": "Syria-Russia military base agreement", "linked_domains": ["Politics", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_3d8b28e4beab94183718", "t_709ce3ac1157d042ee76", "t_38703200d83477992ca3", "t_a4cdad46e2ef77b09865"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Syria said on Sunday (Aug 9) that it reached a deal with Russia on the fate of its two bases in the country", "quote_doc_id": "t_bf1f7195c42c3b2db147", "settling_ids": ["t_bf1f7195c42c3b2db147", "t_0849748b0e139489cd5a", "t_09452ee0a9f702a10125", "t_59c72ccd69d316944313"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Syria", "Russia", "Bashar al-Assad"]}
{"id": "e_bf1f7195c42c_q0_neg", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "Will Syria reach a deal with Russia regarding its military bases by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "No", "answer_type": "perturbed_binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 19, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_bf1f7195c42c", "event_date": "2026-08-09", "supporting_event": "Syria reached a deal with Russia on the fate of its two bases.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_bf1f7195", "storyline": "Syria-Russia military base agreement", "linked_domains": ["Politics", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_3d8b28e4beab94183718", "t_709ce3ac1157d042ee76", "t_38703200d83477992ca3", "t_a4cdad46e2ef77b09865"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "perturbed_binary", "value": "No", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Syria said on Sunday (Aug 9) that it reached a deal with Russia on the fate of its two bases in the country", "quote_doc_id": "t_bf1f7195c42c3b2db147", "settling_ids": ["t_bf1f7195c42c3b2db147", "t_0849748b0e139489cd5a", "t_09452ee0a9f702a10125", "t_59c72ccd69d316944313"], "derivation": "the event dated 2026-08-09 is after the shifted deadline 2026-08-04, so the claim is false at that deadline"}, "perturbation": {"field": "deadline", "original": "2026-08-11", "substituted": "2026-08-04", "v40_substituted": "2026-07-30"}, "paired_with": "e_bf1f7195c42c_q0", "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Syria", "Russia", "Bashar al-Assad"]}
{"id": "e_bf1f7195c42c_q2", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "How many months will it take to complete the process of the deal between Syria and Russia regarding its military bases by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "3", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "months", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 19, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_bf1f7195c42c", "event_date": "2026-08-09", "supporting_event": "Syria reached a deal with Russia on the fate of its two bases.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_bf1f7195", "storyline": "Syria-Russia military base agreement", "linked_domains": ["Politics", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_3d8b28e4beab94183718", "t_709ce3ac1157d042ee76", "t_38703200d83477992ca3", "t_a4cdad46e2ef77b09865"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "3", "tolerance": null, "quote": "set a time limit of no more than three months to complete the process", "quote_doc_id": "t_bf1f7195c42c3b2db147", "settling_ids": ["t_bf1f7195c42c3b2db147", "t_0849748b0e139489cd5a", "t_09452ee0a9f702a10125", "t_59c72ccd69d316944313"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Syria", "Russia", "Bashar al-Assad"]}
{"id": "e_c229d654d2ed_q0", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "Will the EU sanction the crypto exchange HTX by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 2, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_c229d654d2ed", "event_date": "2026-07-23", "supporting_event": "The EU has added the crypto exchange HTX to its 21st sanctions package against Russia.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_c229d654", "storyline": "EU sanctions against Russia", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_87d02d754010567f1fd2", "t_8429a544390d0815ccd7", "t_11714fb334824c349886"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "The EU has added the crypto exchange HTX to its 21st sanctions package against Russia.", "quote_doc_id": "t_d1fc2c8bf9a8e2434f43", "settling_ids": ["t_c229d654d2ed1db5f651", "t_8146f3a28b0df0142aee", "t_d1fc2c8bf9a8e2434f43", "t_e87575be7a8f4c8d301f"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["HTX", "EU"]}
{"id": "e_c229d654d2ed_q1", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "On what date will the EU's sanctions against HTX take effect by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "2026-08-23", "answer_type": "date", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 2, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_c229d654d2ed", "event_date": "2026-07-23", "supporting_event": "The EU has added the crypto exchange HTX to its 21st sanctions package against Russia.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_c229d654", "storyline": "EU sanctions against Russia", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_87d02d754010567f1fd2", "t_8429a544390d0815ccd7", "t_11714fb334824c349886"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "date", "value": "2026-08-23", "tolerance": 1, "quote": "the latest package, which takes effect on August 23", "quote_doc_id": "t_8146f3a28b0df0142aee", "settling_ids": ["t_c229d654d2ed1db5f651", "t_8146f3a28b0df0142aee", "t_d1fc2c8bf9a8e2434f43", "t_e87575be7a8f4c8d301f"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["HTX", "EU"]}
{"id": "e_c38e9d17612a_v0", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "What is the name of the U.S. ambassador to the United Nations as shown in the frames by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "Jeff Bartos", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "V", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 3, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_c38e9d17612a", "event_date": "2026-07-24", "supporting_event": "Malaysia's ambassador to the United States was summoned by the US State Department.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_c38e9d17", "storyline": "US-Malaysia diplomatic relations regarding Israel", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Environment", "Health", "Law", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_d92b7b30710d62cd4445", "t_ad731630a1dd43bdeca7"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "Jeff Bartos", "tolerance": null, "quote": "The Hearing Room U.S. Amb. to the U.N. Waltz on United Nations Accountability & Reform", "quote_doc_id": "v_7a3b846175a48bb180da", "settling_ids": ["t_cde043e245773ff6c678", "t_c38e9d17612a9ab7285a", "t_be6bf93a6ea8da927702", "t_e1f391c01217605f82f5", "t_7234240305c1f5ecef13", "t_904277f101adc9532d99"], "visible_detail": "the name of the U.S. ambassador to the United Nations"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Malaysia", "United States", "Muhammad Shahrul Ikram Yaakob", "Mohamad Hasan"]}
{"id": "e_c3fa179244f9_q0", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "Who will be reported as killed in Rostov-on-Don by Ukrainian drones by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "a married couple", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 6, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_c3fa179244f9", "event_date": "2026-07-27", "supporting_event": "Ukrainian drones killed two people in Rostov-on-Don.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_c3fa1792", "storyline": "2026 Ukraine-Russia drone attacks", "linked_domains": ["Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_dbba7604f2e7b0e54437", "t_1c02d945a9837945eb70", "t_97d0c9732549876af5b3", "t_c20c635d6620018e1d9a"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "a married couple", "tolerance": null, "quote": "In Rostov-on-Don, two people were killed – a married couple,” Rostov region governor Yuri Slyusar said on Telegram.", "quote_doc_id": "t_40aad40926b5825b71e9", "settling_ids": ["t_c3fa179244f988076f99", "t_40aad40926b5825b71e9", "t_85cebd8f090285b61935"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Ukrainian drones", "Rostov-on-Don", "Yuri Slyusar", "Volodymyr Zelensky"]}
{"id": "e_c3fa179244f9_q2", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "What will be the total number of Ukrainian drones reported shot down over Russian regions by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "276", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "drones", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 6, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_c3fa179244f9", "event_date": "2026-07-27", "supporting_event": "Ukrainian drones killed two people in Rostov-on-Don.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_c3fa1792", "storyline": "2026 Ukraine-Russia drone attacks", "linked_domains": ["Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_dbba7604f2e7b0e54437", "t_1c02d945a9837945eb70", "t_97d0c9732549876af5b3", "t_c20c635d6620018e1d9a"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "276", "tolerance": 0.05, "quote": "air defense systems intercepted and destroyed 276 Ukrainian drones over Russian regions", "quote_doc_id": "t_85cebd8f090285b61935", "settling_ids": ["t_c3fa179244f988076f99", "t_40aad40926b5825b71e9", "t_85cebd8f090285b61935"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Ukrainian drones", "Rostov-on-Don", "Yuri Slyusar", "Volodymyr Zelensky"]}
{"id": "e_c7cbd82f0f5f_q0", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "By 2026-08-11, which countries will have engaged diplomatically with Afghanistan's Taliban authorities?", "options": ["United States", "India", "Britain", "Australia"], "answer": "Britain", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 21, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_c7cbd82f0f5f", "event_date": "2026-08-11", "supporting_event": "Five years after returning to power, Afghanistan's Taliban authorities have built working relationships with a slate of countries.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_c7cbd82f", "storyline": "Taliban diplomatic strategy", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Health", "Law", "Politics", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_78a91e79bdb9d33679fa", "t_2a0025b9bc3484535ad3", "t_5b533200393e829df73c", "t_6f8b1b67a5acce34a14a"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "Britain", "tolerance": null, "quote": "many states are nevertheless engaging with Afghanistan’s leaders – including Britain and European Union members", "quote_doc_id": "t_c7cbd82f0f5ff367e972", "settling_ids": ["t_c7cbd82f0f5ff367e972", "t_c8d8bba6fa893f2cce52", "t_e8764be891cb64f1dc83"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Afghanistan", "Taliban", "Russia", "Britain", "European Union"]}
{"id": "e_c7cbd82f0f5f_q1", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "How many years after returning to power will Afghanistan's Taliban authorities have built working relationships with a slate of countries by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "5", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "years", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 21, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_c7cbd82f0f5f", "event_date": "2026-08-11", "supporting_event": "Five years after returning to power, Afghanistan's Taliban authorities have built working relationships with a slate of countries.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_c7cbd82f", "storyline": "Taliban diplomatic strategy", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Health", "Law", "Politics", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_78a91e79bdb9d33679fa", "t_2a0025b9bc3484535ad3", "t_5b533200393e829df73c", "t_6f8b1b67a5acce34a14a"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "5", "tolerance": 0.1, "quote": "Five years after returning to power, Afghanistan’s Taliban authorities have built working relationships with a slate of countries", "quote_doc_id": "t_c7cbd82f0f5ff367e972", "settling_ids": ["t_c7cbd82f0f5ff367e972", "t_c8d8bba6fa893f2cce52", "t_e8764be891cb64f1dc83"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Afghanistan", "Taliban", "Russia", "Britain", "European Union"]}
{"id": "e_ce10714045c0_q1", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "How many people will be reported killed by Russian attacks on Kyiv and its surrounding region by 2026-08-11?", "options": ["30", "10", "25", "17"], "answer": "17", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": "people", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 15, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_ce10714045c0", "event_date": "2026-08-05", "supporting_event": "Russian attacks on Kyiv and its surrounding region killed 17 people and wounded dozens, President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_02c5ce8a", "storyline": "Russian military actions in Ukraine", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Politics", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_38c20560d1400fccb61f", "t_09b9bb8ec09e250b2640", "t_492c11ff797802c1a889", "t_11a997a9b18377408ec2"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "17", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Russian attacks on Kyiv and its surrounding region killed 17 people and wounded dozens, President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said Wednesday", "quote_doc_id": "t_ce10714045c0e0de40dd", "settling_ids": ["t_ce10714045c0e0de40dd", "t_3453b503899ceaf1a361", "t_8fdddf2ce10e4ec3cdae", "t_19f1282f27deb7617cbe"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["President Volodymyr Zelenskyy", "Russia", "Ukraine", "Kyiv"]}
{"id": "e_ceb4acd4299b_q1", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "On what date will Mykhailo Drapatyi order the assault regiments of Ukraine's Ground Forces to suspend recruitment by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "2026-07-26", "answer_type": "date", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 5, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_ceb4acd4299b", "event_date": "2026-07-26", "supporting_event": "Mykhailo Drapatyi ordered assault regiments of Ukraine's Ground Forces to temporarily suspend recruitment on July 26.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_ceb4acd4", "storyline": "Ukrainian military recruitment suspension", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_8fd20d4867e6fcb41753", "t_b3f7954b4f4a685a4bb0", "t_5ae523d7c830106d843b", "t_19df2c630167dcf06c84"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "date", "value": "2026-07-26", "tolerance": 1, "quote": "Mykhailo Drapatyi ordered assault regiments of Ukraine's Ground Forces to temporarily suspend recruitment on July 26", "quote_doc_id": "t_ceb4acd4299bbbd2705b", "settling_ids": ["t_ceb4acd4299bbbd2705b", "t_6368a062b7f59701acef"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Mykhailo Drapatyi", "Ukrainian Ground Forces"]}
{"id": "e_d067e3eb1146_q2", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "Will the U.S. and Iran pause military strikes by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 4, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_d067e3eb1146", "event_date": "2026-07-25", "supporting_event": "The U.S. and Iran paused military strikes over the weekend, raising hopes for a diplomatic solution.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_111dbf94", "storyline": "U.S.-Iran relations", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Law", "Politics", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_35cec95a19ec45188620", "t_f9534494a0de6b9fbba5", "t_831705dcf0d34dd140f4", "t_8cc9ccf6916be5802e59"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the U.S. and Iran paused strikes over the weekend following two weeks of attacks", "quote_doc_id": "t_d067e3eb1146670f6812", "settling_ids": ["t_d067e3eb1146670f6812", "t_ca78ca07ff270259be36", "t_1103b1ec9433567b5831", "t_ac90a0ed9de88656d15c"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["U.S.", "Iran"]}
{"id": "e_d331f6cd180f_q1", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "Who will be killed in the Ukrainian drone attacks on the southern Russian city of Voronezh by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "a three-year-old boy", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 2, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_d331f6cd180f", "event_date": "2026-07-23", "supporting_event": "Ukrainian drones struck the southern Russian city of Voronezh and the Russian-controlled peninsula of Crimea.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_22dd5009", "storyline": "Ukrainian drone attacks on Russian regions", "linked_domains": ["Politics", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_e503495fdde494effabf", "t_f0db75637b99d5e9707c", "t_e2e9ac2af14bbaae3d8a", "t_8d51c072b4898d8931fb", "t_b23c0a1b2046502efb5e", "t_57e4d0631a2fda16b14a"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "a three-year-old boy", "tolerance": null, "quote": "A three-year-old boy was killed after a drone crashed into a private home in a suburb of Voronezh.", "quote_doc_id": "t_d331f6cd180ff5ab1675", "settling_ids": ["t_d331f6cd180ff5ab1675", "t_5aeabbd7a83fd939246a", "t_14610e8ff3f51052336a", "t_9a952b6686cf3652bc0b"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Ukrainian drones", "Voronezh", "Crimea"]}
{"id": "e_d6c9c08d3407_q0", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "Will Ukrainian forces attack holiday camps in Zaporizhzhia by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 4, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_d6c9c08d3407", "event_date": "2026-07-25", "supporting_event": "Ukrainian forces attacked holiday camps in Zaporizhzhia, killing eight people.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_183a67a3", "storyline": "2026 Ukraine-Russia conflict", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Law", "Politics", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_9da5b07ba6fe3ae88dd0", "t_4a813e6652ced900333c", "t_ab4d507b82d01626b179", "t_61b80a1b46c0865270ca", "t_1ae322affb245778f525", "t_bc275c51185fc7661d76", "t_58f5dc59582028b55a13"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Moscow-installed officials said Saturday that Ukrainian forces struck holiday camps in the partially Russian-occupied Zaporizhzhia region, killing eight people", "quote_doc_id": "t_1f54f411560d14a6183f", "settling_ids": ["t_d6c9c08d34077864ed07", "t_05e992f9149db0fcceed", "t_1f54f411560d14a6183f", "t_9dccb77420cfd433aff2"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Ukrainian forces", "Zaporizhzhia"]}
{"id": "e_d7fa369ed09c_i0", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "What is the price value displayed on the ticker by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "36.2", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 6, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_d7fa369ed09c", "event_date": "2026-07-27", "supporting_event": "The U.S. military halted its bombing in Iran.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_79e6460f", "storyline": "Middle East conflict escalation", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Law", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_8623d65aea7f716dc3a6", "t_b8eb25e00fa662254d53", "t_7fb2fad73eb569cd151e", "t_89b613b79ff9a39a77a8", "t_5e2ba2d5dcaffbada9fd", "t_4446033b21693d756a32"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "36.2", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_d7fa369ed09c7bb38dd4_0", "settling_ids": ["t_d7fa369ed09c7bb38dd4", "t_7b6cb1ec061a4cd438d9"], "visible_detail": "the price ticker showing values like 2.05 and 36.2"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["U.S. military", "Iran"]}
{"id": "e_d7fa369ed09c_q0", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "Will the U.S. military halt its bombing in Iran by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 6, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_d7fa369ed09c", "event_date": "2026-07-27", "supporting_event": "The U.S. military halted its bombing in Iran.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_79e6460f", "storyline": "Middle East conflict escalation", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Law", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_8623d65aea7f716dc3a6", "t_b8eb25e00fa662254d53", "t_7fb2fad73eb569cd151e", "t_89b613b79ff9a39a77a8", "t_5e2ba2d5dcaffbada9fd", "t_4446033b21693d756a32"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the U.S. military temporarily halted its two-week-long strikes.", "quote_doc_id": "t_d7fa369ed09c7bb38dd4", "settling_ids": ["t_d7fa369ed09c7bb38dd4", "t_7b6cb1ec061a4cd438d9"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["U.S. military", "Iran"]}
{"id": "e_d7fa369ed09c_q2", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "How much will Brent crude prices fall by the U.S. military halting its bombing in Iran by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "8", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "percent", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 6, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_d7fa369ed09c", "event_date": "2026-07-27", "supporting_event": "The U.S. military halted its bombing in Iran.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_79e6460f", "storyline": "Middle East conflict escalation", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Law", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_8623d65aea7f716dc3a6", "t_b8eb25e00fa662254d53", "t_7fb2fad73eb569cd151e", "t_89b613b79ff9a39a77a8", "t_5e2ba2d5dcaffbada9fd", "t_4446033b21693d756a32"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "8", "tolerance": 0.5, "quote": "Brent crude futures down $7.78, or 8%, at $89 a barrel", "quote_doc_id": "t_d7fa369ed09c7bb38dd4", "settling_ids": ["t_d7fa369ed09c7bb38dd4", "t_7b6cb1ec061a4cd438d9"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["U.S. military", "Iran"]}
{"id": "e_db3c8b161d28_i0", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "What will the Nikkei index value be by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "60543.69", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 19, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_db3c8b161d28", "event_date": "2026-08-09", "supporting_event": "Iran said a deal with Oman defining new shipping lanes in the Strait of Hormuz was in its final stages.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_1495142b", "storyline": "Negotiations regarding the Strait of Hormuz", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Law", "Politics", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_23c535451e43db3efb89", "t_57ab2f6a948286a55712", "t_2083c8c8aea1d417a8d3"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "60543.69", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_db3c8b161d2823810ce2_0", "settling_ids": ["t_db3c8b161d2823810ce2", "t_54393c6ce2b9fbb7f33c", "t_af76dffc25b9deef07f8"], "visible_detail": "Nikkei index value of 60543.69"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Iran", "Oman", "Strait of Hormuz"]}
{"id": "e_dbf6a4a13dd6_q0", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "How many vessels will Iran stop seeking to exit the Strait of Hormuz by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "2", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 10, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_dbf6a4a13dd6", "event_date": "2026-07-31", "supporting_event": "Iran stopped two vessels seeking to exit the Strait of Hormuz.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_dbf6a4a1", "storyline": "Iranian maritime intervention in the Strait of Hormuz", "linked_domains": ["Business"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_6248fc1d7a3e65a508e1", "t_ae9471be0d7461169537", "t_3f8e3bb4de11aede75eb", "t_95a7a1c4e9c6564dc10b", "t_84abb03f72bebed582b0"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "2", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Iran said it had stopped two vessels seeking to exit the Strait of Hormuz", "quote_doc_id": "t_dbf6a4a13dd6434a4bf0", "settling_ids": ["t_dbf6a4a13dd6434a4bf0", "t_40eac3a54ce7327b3129", "t_a5ff851f4b90b56e187e", "t_1b7d9d12d0a61ce221ee"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Iran", "Strait of Hormuz"]}
{"id": "e_dc2a7248f99e_q0", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "Which country will report intercepting Iranian missiles by 2026-08-04?", "options": ["Jordan", "Egypt", "Saudi Arabia", "Kuwait"], "answer": "Jordan", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 9, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_dc2a7248f99e", "event_date": "2026-07-30", "supporting_event": "Jordan reported intercepting incoming Iranian missiles for a second day running.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_dc2a7248", "storyline": "US-Iran hostilities", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_c679a85444e126f1a6cb", "t_73dc8878744e8518201d", "t_dc9a2a8daeef6e68f49c", "t_6332ea71a2aee8e47c33", "t_d93873b6a4c69d582b2a"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "Jordan", "tolerance": null, "quote": "On Thursday morning, Jordan reported intercepting incoming Iranian missiles for a second day running", "quote_doc_id": "t_dc2a7248f99e03380497", "settling_ids": ["t_dc2a7248f99e03380497", "t_86bb307e729dde4a488f", "t_a86589ec57f44616d456", "t_4937950c8a85a18d5ac3", "a_3940d53d4595bb26ae34"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Jordan", "Iran"]}
{"id": "e_dc2a7248f99e_q1", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "How many days will Jordan report intercepting Iranian missiles by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "2", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "days", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 9, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_dc2a7248f99e", "event_date": "2026-07-30", "supporting_event": "Jordan reported intercepting incoming Iranian missiles for a second day running.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_dc2a7248", "storyline": "US-Iran hostilities", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_c679a85444e126f1a6cb", "t_73dc8878744e8518201d", "t_dc9a2a8daeef6e68f49c", "t_6332ea71a2aee8e47c33", "t_d93873b6a4c69d582b2a"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "2", "tolerance": 0.1, "quote": "the last two days have seen Saudi Arabia join the US in striking militant groups in Iraq", "quote_doc_id": "t_dc2a7248f99e03380497", "settling_ids": ["t_dc2a7248f99e03380497", "t_86bb307e729dde4a488f", "t_a86589ec57f44616d456", "t_4937950c8a85a18d5ac3", "a_3940d53d4595bb26ae34"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Jordan", "Iran"]}
{"id": "e_ddb23be915df_q2", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "How many civilian vessels will be damaged by Russian attacks in Ukraine's Mykolaiv region by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "3", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "vessels", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 6, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_ddb23be915df", "event_date": "2026-07-27", "supporting_event": "Russian attacks killed one person and damaged three civilian vessels in Ukraine's Mykolaiv region.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_02c5ce8a", "storyline": "Russian military actions in Ukraine", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Politics", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_a870589291c743b792be", "t_efd8cb61a9b85d0e9254", "t_bbf682abf0926fbe30f0", "t_a101fced697042d48ca7", "t_24457b4909bdc5bedf24", "t_ef36db12f5697b79cb2b"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "3", "tolerance": null, "quote": "damaged three civilian vessels", "quote_doc_id": "t_ddb23be915dfd2cbaf55", "settling_ids": ["t_ddb23be915dfd2cbaf55", "t_1c681ebda35e293e554b"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Russia", "Ukraine", "Mykolaiv", "Heorhii Reshetilov"]}
{"id": "e_e06531280db0_q0", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "Will Taiwan scramble its French-made Mirage fighter jets during the annual war games by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 17, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_e06531280db0", "event_date": "2026-08-07", "supporting_event": "Taiwan scrambled its ageing French-made Mirage fighter jets on Aug 7 during annual war games designed to demonstrate how the aircraft could be rapidly re-armed and sent back into the skies during any conflict with China.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_7baa8064", "storyline": "Han Kuang exercises", "linked_domains": ["Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_b2eded3cc90d0a9b9121", "t_b7d0ef758d3e3c8dc33e", "t_1c7d7047fe457f38beae"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Taiwan scrambled its ageing French-made Mirage fighter jets on Aug 7 during annual war games designed to demonstrate how the aircraft could be rapidly re-armed and sent back into the skies during any conflict with China.", "quote_doc_id": "t_e06531280db0569a9123", "settling_ids": ["t_e06531280db0569a9123", "t_8f34c57ee8716759ac82"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Taiwan", "French-made Mirage fighter jets"]}
{"id": "e_e06531280db0_q0_neg", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "Will Taiwan scramble its French-made Mirage fighter jets during the annual war games by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "No", "answer_type": "perturbed_binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 17, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_e06531280db0", "event_date": "2026-08-07", "supporting_event": "Taiwan scrambled its ageing French-made Mirage fighter jets on Aug 7 during annual war games designed to demonstrate how the aircraft could be rapidly re-armed and sent back into the skies during any conflict with China.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_7baa8064", "storyline": "Han Kuang exercises", "linked_domains": ["Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_b2eded3cc90d0a9b9121", "t_b7d0ef758d3e3c8dc33e", "t_1c7d7047fe457f38beae"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "perturbed_binary", "value": "No", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Taiwan scrambled its ageing French-made Mirage fighter jets on Aug 7 during annual war games designed to demonstrate how the aircraft could be rapidly re-armed and sent back into the skies during any conflict with China.", "quote_doc_id": "t_e06531280db0569a9123", "settling_ids": ["t_e06531280db0569a9123", "t_8f34c57ee8716759ac82"], "derivation": "the event dated 2026-08-07 is after the shifted deadline 2026-08-04, so the claim is false at that deadline"}, "perturbation": {"field": "deadline", "original": "2026-08-11", "substituted": "2026-08-04", "v40_substituted": "2026-07-29"}, "paired_with": "e_e06531280db0_q0", "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Taiwan", "French-made Mirage fighter jets"]}
{"id": "e_e06531280db0_q1", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "Who will be the air force officer discussing the rearming of Mirage fighter jets during the drills by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "Yang Shang-ru", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 17, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_e06531280db0", "event_date": "2026-08-07", "supporting_event": "Taiwan scrambled its ageing French-made Mirage fighter jets on Aug 7 during annual war games designed to demonstrate how the aircraft could be rapidly re-armed and sent back into the skies during any conflict with China.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_7baa8064", "storyline": "Han Kuang exercises", "linked_domains": ["Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_b2eded3cc90d0a9b9121", "t_b7d0ef758d3e3c8dc33e", "t_1c7d7047fe457f38beae"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "Yang Shang-ru", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Air force officer Yang Shang-ru said the 'loading-and-mounting' mission was a very important part of combat operations.", "quote_doc_id": "t_e06531280db0569a9123", "settling_ids": ["t_e06531280db0569a9123", "t_8f34c57ee8716759ac82"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Taiwan", "French-made Mirage fighter jets"]}
{"id": "e_e1f8fde12937_q0", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "By 2026-08-11, how many vessels will be reported transiting through the Strait of Hormuz?", "options": ["six", "eight", "ten", "twelve"], "answer": "six", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": "vessels", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 21, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_e1f8fde12937", "event_date": "2026-08-11", "supporting_event": "Shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz fell to six on August 11, 2026.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_e1f8fde1", "storyline": "Strait of Hormuz shipping traffic monitoring", "linked_domains": ["Business"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_9c07fbe8628b01beb6ca", "t_d0c1b6ebafd0fe004e43", "t_8c7d51cc7d95be8d3df6"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "six", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz fell to six on Monday", "quote_doc_id": "t_e1f8fde12937273b09ad", "settling_ids": ["t_e1f8fde12937273b09ad", "t_190a4da4094d2375f6d6", "t_425f6811c442423bc905"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Strait of Hormuz", "US", "Iran"]}
{"id": "e_e1f8fde12937_q1", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "By 2026-08-11, what will be the average number of vessels transiting through the Strait of Hormuz over the previous 10 days?", "options": null, "answer": "11", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "vessels", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 21, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_e1f8fde12937", "event_date": "2026-08-11", "supporting_event": "Shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz fell to six on August 11, 2026.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_e1f8fde1", "storyline": "Strait of Hormuz shipping traffic monitoring", "linked_domains": ["Business"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_9c07fbe8628b01beb6ca", "t_d0c1b6ebafd0fe004e43", "t_8c7d51cc7d95be8d3df6"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "11", "tolerance": 0.05, "quote": "compared with a 10-day average of about 11 vessels", "quote_doc_id": "t_e1f8fde12937273b09ad", "settling_ids": ["t_e1f8fde12937273b09ad", "t_190a4da4094d2375f6d6", "t_425f6811c442423bc905"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Strait of Hormuz", "US", "Iran"]}
{"id": "e_e30f9a83e28a_q0", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "How many Saudi oil tankers will the Iran-aligned Houthis strike by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "2", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 3, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_e30f9a83e28a", "event_date": "2026-07-24", "supporting_event": "Iran-aligned Houthis struck two Saudi oil tankers in the Red Sea.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_79da55cc", "storyline": "Red Sea shipping attacks", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_42e16b2706f834f192c3", "t_9335cfd28d3b3e8ec4d7", "t_082f446c6c28fb17da64", "t_f91132b30e3392233287"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "2", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the Iran-aligned Houthis said they had struck two Saudi oil tankers in the Red Sea.", "quote_doc_id": "t_e30f9a83e28a1f4631a4", "settling_ids": ["t_e30f9a83e28a1f4631a4", "t_c8a3890c6ef515518726", "t_64569538c2266db0a263", "t_7ed0f5c6422817baaa95"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Iran-aligned Houthis", "Saudi Arabia"]}
{"id": "e_ea0cc09804bf_d0", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "What is the statute of limitations for claims under the Federal Tort Claims Act by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "two-year", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "D", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 17, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_ea0cc09804bf", "event_date": "2026-08-07", "supporting_event": "The United States sanctioned the Dubai-based cryptocurrency exchange Shelbit.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_ea0cc098", "storyline": "US sanctions on entities linked to Iran", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_f7a6de0d393f4aff3a7b", "t_1289df581e34dcccce47", "t_559044c98576a9d58a84"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "two-year", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the FTCA’s two-year statute of limitations", "quote_doc_id": "d_2319aa21ff9e39f7a4c3", "settling_ids": ["d_2319aa21ff9e39f7a4c3", "t_ea0cc09804bfdb4c7b0e", "t_a1e55872af84053d374a"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["the United States", "Shelbit", "Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps"]}
{"id": "e_ea0cc09804bf_q0", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "Which cryptocurrency exchange was sanctioned by the United States by 2026-08-11 for its alleged involvement in a $4 billion Iranian sanctions evasion scheme?", "options": ["Binance", "Shelbit", "Coinbase", "Nobitex"], "answer": "Shelbit", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 17, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_ea0cc09804bf", "event_date": "2026-08-07", "supporting_event": "The United States sanctioned the Dubai-based cryptocurrency exchange Shelbit.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_ea0cc098", "storyline": "US sanctions on entities linked to Iran", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_f7a6de0d393f4aff3a7b", "t_1289df581e34dcccce47", "t_559044c98576a9d58a84"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "Shelbit", "tolerance": null, "quote": "The United States on Friday sanctioned an unlicensed multi-state cryptocurrency exchange, alleging it processed millions of dollars of crypto for Iran’s elite Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps and other groups linked to the Iranian state.", "quote_doc_id": "t_ea0cc09804bfdb4c7b0e", "settling_ids": ["t_ea0cc09804bfdb4c7b0e", "t_a1e55872af84053d374a", "d_2319aa21ff9e39f7a4c3"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["the United States", "Shelbit", "Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps"]}
{"id": "e_ed7e87207946_v0", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "What is the vote count for the energy security initiative discussed by officials by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "8-21", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "V", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 4, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_ed7e87207946", "event_date": "2026-07-25", "supporting_event": "Ukrainian drones struck a Siberian oil refinery on July 25, 2026.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_183a67a3", "storyline": "2026 Ukraine-Russia conflict", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Health", "Law", "Politics", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_84304ca452256be5b81e", "t_5b81bab59f750eae7441", "t_6e8bc7a3f56d3c58583f"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "8-21", "tolerance": null, "quote": "U.S., British & Ukrainian Officials Discuss Clean Energy Investment", "quote_doc_id": "v_f38a2f6aa52d23562d8c", "settling_ids": ["t_ed7e872079468b214bd2", "t_63abf57b90850e7a159e", "t_f83776b0519bdbd5441e", "t_5c4f823c716674c8d888", "t_ac7bdc531f8d356b5bd8"], "visible_detail": ""}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Ukrainian drones", "Siberian oil refinery"]}
{"id": "e_f0d83b8456e4_i0", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "What countable quantity of agreements was secured for the Freyja missile defence project by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "more than 12", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 14, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_f0d83b8456e4", "event_date": "2026-08-04", "supporting_event": "Fire Point secured agreements from over a dozen European defence companies for the Freyja missile defence project.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_f0d83b84", "storyline": "Freyja missile defence project", "linked_domains": ["Technology"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_d1488ec500cb05d9aaa5", "t_e818f7f41b5c0398145c", "t_04503df1849f3c231aef"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "more than 12", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_f0d83b8456e4ac6ee217_0", "settling_ids": ["t_f0d83b8456e4ac6ee217", "t_795b318792dd23216e99", "t_07e627939472d82d3bd8"], "visible_detail": "over a dozen agreements"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Fire Point", "Iryna Terekh", "Eurosam", "Leonardo", "Thales", "SAAB"]}
{"id": "e_f0d83b8456e4_q1", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "How many European defence companies will Fire Point secure agreements from by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "13", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "companies", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 14, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_f0d83b8456e4", "event_date": "2026-08-04", "supporting_event": "Fire Point secured agreements from over a dozen European defence companies for the Freyja missile defence project.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_f0d83b84", "storyline": "Freyja missile defence project", "linked_domains": ["Technology"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_d1488ec500cb05d9aaa5", "t_e818f7f41b5c0398145c", "t_04503df1849f3c231aef"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "13", "tolerance": 0, "quote": "saying 13 industrial partners had already joined", "quote_doc_id": "t_f0d83b8456e4ac6ee217", "settling_ids": ["t_f0d83b8456e4ac6ee217", "t_795b318792dd23216e99", "t_07e627939472d82d3bd8"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Fire Point", "Iryna Terekh", "Eurosam", "Leonardo", "Thales", "SAAB"]}
{"id": "e_f2435cf5ce3c_q1", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "What is the name of the fringe group of Israeli settlers attempting to establish a Jewish outpost in southern Syria by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "Pioneers of Bashan", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 8, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_f2435cf5ce3c", "event_date": "2026-07-29", "supporting_event": "The Israeli military aborted a nighttime strike in southern Syria after realizing the targets were religious Jews.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_f2435cf5", "storyline": "Israeli military operations in southern Syria", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_89db68d80e0ca22629e1", "t_941cb2084a5a4d4ae0f4", "t_a2ff960cef82518a2314", "t_8b765ae070b267cb8ac6"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "Pioneers of Bashan", "tolerance": null, "quote": "The most prominent of the groups behind the incursions in Syria is known as 'Pioneers of Bashan.'", "quote_doc_id": "t_364594fbe73090648074", "settling_ids": ["t_f2435cf5ce3c0058a028", "t_2ac1ca2e815c637e5016", "t_364594fbe73090648074", "t_747b8c30eb9211e18afd"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Israeli military", "southern Syria", "religious Jews"]}
{"id": "e_f257226ba856_q0", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "Will Israeli forces conduct a significant military operation in southern Lebanon by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 10, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_f257226ba856", "event_date": "2026-07-31", "supporting_event": "Israeli forces blew up a tunnel system near Lebanon’s Beaufort Castle using 700 tons of explosives.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_f2435cf5", "storyline": "Israeli military operations in southern Syria", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_e71652ec7193bd08dc40", "t_f99464d53a2310e847c9"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the army blew up a tunnel system in the Beaufort area that they claimed formed a key part of Hezbollah’s plan to infiltrate communities in the Galilee.", "quote_doc_id": "t_f257226ba8567897be15", "settling_ids": ["t_f257226ba8567897be15", "t_5675e9d750786df1287f", "t_9233f1b3751ee3c6e6d7", "t_a1ee87dc785da0963155"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Israeli forces", "Hezbollah", "Lebanon", "Beaufort Castle"]}
{"id": "e_f257226ba856_q0_neg", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "Will Israeli forces conduct a significant military operation in southern Lebanon by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "No", "answer_type": "perturbed_binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 10, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_f257226ba856", "event_date": "2026-07-31", "supporting_event": "Israeli forces blew up a tunnel system near Lebanon’s Beaufort Castle using 700 tons of explosives.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_f2435cf5", "storyline": "Israeli military operations in southern Syria", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_e71652ec7193bd08dc40", "t_f99464d53a2310e847c9"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "perturbed_binary", "value": "No", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the army blew up a tunnel system in the Beaufort area that they claimed formed a key part of Hezbollah’s plan to infiltrate communities in the Galilee.", "quote_doc_id": "t_f257226ba8567897be15", "settling_ids": ["t_f257226ba8567897be15", "t_5675e9d750786df1287f", "t_9233f1b3751ee3c6e6d7", "t_a1ee87dc785da0963155"], "derivation": "the event dated 2026-07-31 is after the shifted deadline 2026-07-28, so the claim is false at that deadline"}, "perturbation": {"field": "deadline", "original": "2026-08-04", "substituted": "2026-07-28", "v40_substituted": "2026-07-26"}, "paired_with": "e_f257226ba856_q0", "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Israeli forces", "Hezbollah", "Lebanon", "Beaufort Castle"]}
{"id": "e_f257226ba856_q2", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "How many tons of explosives will Israeli forces use in their operation near Lebanon’s Beaufort Castle by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "700", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "tons", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 10, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_f257226ba856", "event_date": "2026-07-31", "supporting_event": "Israeli forces blew up a tunnel system near Lebanon’s Beaufort Castle using 700 tons of explosives.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_f2435cf5", "storyline": "Israeli military operations in southern Syria", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_e71652ec7193bd08dc40", "t_f99464d53a2310e847c9"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "700", "tolerance": 0.05, "quote": "about “700 tons of explosives” were used in the operation", "quote_doc_id": "t_f257226ba8567897be15", "settling_ids": ["t_f257226ba8567897be15", "t_5675e9d750786df1287f", "t_9233f1b3751ee3c6e6d7", "t_a1ee87dc785da0963155"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Israeli forces", "Hezbollah", "Lebanon", "Beaufort Castle"]}
{"id": "e_f9f7335d1eb4_a0", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "What is the estimated number of people who died instantly or within five months of the bombings by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "210,000", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "A", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 16, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_f9f7335d1eb4", "event_date": "2026-08-06", "supporting_event": "Hiroshima urged world leaders to abolish nuclear weapons amid rising global tensions.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_f9f7335d", "storyline": "2026 Hiroshima Peace Memorial Ceremony", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_0da5b43d8f123cfcfe54", "t_82278d466c54dfd0321f", "t_0b091969b4b04bca311b", "t_236d0f3dc5ff865e22b2", "t_c3662da081304701ba71", "t_42588b182f0a5be8ea35"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "210,000", "tolerance": null, "quote": "An estimated 210,000 people died instantly or within five months of the bombings.", "quote_doc_id": "a_5d78ef31d64caef518ac", "settling_ids": ["a_5d78ef31d64caef518ac", "t_f9f7335d1eb416d6ccca", "t_075d9f9d200f77b7412d", "t_6fde165fc41472c164fe"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Hiroshima", "Kazumi Matsui"]}
{"id": "e_fcf44e92c78d_q0", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "Will Greece advise Greek-flagged commercial ships to upgrade security measures when sailing in the Black Sea by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 1, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_fcf44e92c78d", "event_date": "2026-07-22", "supporting_event": "Greece advised Greek-flagged commercial ships to upgrade security measures when sailing in the Black Sea.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_fcf44e92", "storyline": "Black Sea shipping security measures", "linked_domains": ["Environment"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_b7cb216c637f2989b728", "t_02841a5bc767e17cde67", "t_efd8cb61a9b85d0e9254", "t_ef36db12f5697b79cb2b"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Greece has advised Greek-flagged commercial ships to upgrade security measures when sailing in the Black Sea following a string of attacks on tankers over the past days.", "quote_doc_id": "t_fcf44e92c78de4152231", "settling_ids": ["t_fcf44e92c78de4152231", "t_b9cf2564f773b9809c7f"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Greece", "Greek-flagged commercial ships", "Black Sea"]}
{"id": "e_fd12271f181e_q0", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "Will Japan and the US coordinate intervention in the yen market by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 9, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_fd12271f181e", "event_date": "2026-07-30", "supporting_event": "Japan and the US coordinated intervention in the yen market on July 30.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_2a5f4e06", "storyline": "US-Japan currency intervention", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Law", "Politics", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_c1f854c03599f379026b", "t_3027b5666082f58a5270", "t_0e857fb5f534ef00ef98", "t_e4775f7622584f897fc0"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "The United States and Japan’s decision to intervene in the yen market was preceded by months of preparation and closer-than-usual coordination between the two governments over exchange-rate policy.", "quote_doc_id": "t_fd12271f181e54d1f4b0", "settling_ids": ["t_fd12271f181e54d1f4b0", "t_33785b0a092b1a7d366d", "t_2a5f4e0692b1e2dc6000", "t_d320696255cfcd418538"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Japan", "United States", "Scott Bessent"]}
{"id": "e_fd12271f181e_q0_neg", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "Will Japan and the US coordinate intervention in the yen market by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "No", "answer_type": "perturbed_binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 9, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_fd12271f181e", "event_date": "2026-07-30", "supporting_event": "Japan and the US coordinated intervention in the yen market on July 30.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_2a5f4e06", "storyline": "US-Japan currency intervention", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Law", "Politics", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_c1f854c03599f379026b", "t_3027b5666082f58a5270", "t_0e857fb5f534ef00ef98", "t_e4775f7622584f897fc0"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "perturbed_binary", "value": "No", "tolerance": null, "quote": "The United States and Japan’s decision to intervene in the yen market was preceded by months of preparation and closer-than-usual coordination between the two governments over exchange-rate policy.", "quote_doc_id": "t_fd12271f181e54d1f4b0", "settling_ids": ["t_fd12271f181e54d1f4b0", "t_33785b0a092b1a7d366d", "t_2a5f4e0692b1e2dc6000", "t_d320696255cfcd418538"], "derivation": "the event dated 2026-07-30 is after the shifted deadline 2026-07-28, so the claim is false at that deadline"}, "perturbation": {"field": "deadline", "original": "2026-08-04", "substituted": "2026-07-28", "v40_substituted": "2026-07-25"}, "paired_with": "e_fd12271f181e_q0", "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Japan", "United States", "Scott Bessent"]}
{"id": "e_fd1bb88faf94_q0", "domain": "Geopolitics", "question": "How many leaders will Antonio Guterres have secured agreement from to move toward a 5+1 meeting by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "5", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "leaders", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 8, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_fd1bb88faf94", "event_date": "2026-07-29", "supporting_event": "Antonio Guterres secured the agreement of both Cypriot leaders and the three guarantor powers to move toward a 5+1 meeting.", "storyline_id": "s_geo_4e3831fe", "storyline": "Cyprus peace negotiations", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Environment", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_91092e936818e0f41e97", "t_1812d34bdd48f2093170"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "5", "tolerance": 0.1, "quote": "I have the consensus of both sides and the guarantors to move into a 5+1 meeting", "quote_doc_id": "t_fd1bb88faf944d4ed7d7", "settling_ids": ["t_fd1bb88faf944d4ed7d7", "t_0dd4a935ba05b0d665cc", "t_49042183f97a682b3013", "t_b37bd7013dd45b0a36ea"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Antonio Guterres", "Nikos Christodoulides", "Tufan Erhurman", "Greece", "Turkey", "Britain"]}
{"id": "e_08bdfd317cb7_i0", "domain": "Law", "question": "What is the model or brand name of the personal mobility aid involved in the event by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "ADVANCE", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 13, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_08bdfd317cb7", "event_date": "2026-08-03", "supporting_event": "A domestic helper had their personal mobility aid (PMA) impounded for flouting rules.", "storyline_id": "s_law_08bdfd31", "storyline": "enforcement of personal mobility device regulations", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_ec48438fddf67c034292", "t_b8f14ba549ca25f54a17", "t_01b201013199e87e6265"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "ADVANCE", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_08bdfd317cb79a9a4889_0", "settling_ids": ["t_08bdfd317cb79a9a4889", "t_4f82cda2ffc7078133cf"], "visible_detail": "ADVANCE"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["domestic helper", "Land Transport Authority", "Northpoint City"]}
{"id": "e_08bdfd317cb7_q0", "domain": "Law", "question": "How many personal mobility aids (PMAs) will be impounded for flouting rules by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "3", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 13, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_08bdfd317cb7", "event_date": "2026-08-03", "supporting_event": "A domestic helper had their personal mobility aid (PMA) impounded for flouting rules.", "storyline_id": "s_law_08bdfd31", "storyline": "enforcement of personal mobility device regulations", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_ec48438fddf67c034292", "t_b8f14ba549ca25f54a17", "t_01b201013199e87e6265"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "3", "tolerance": 0.5, "quote": "3 personal mobility devices impounded in Yishun for flouting rules", "quote_doc_id": "t_08bdfd317cb79a9a4889", "settling_ids": ["t_08bdfd317cb79a9a4889", "t_4f82cda2ffc7078133cf"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["domestic helper", "Land Transport Authority", "Northpoint City"]}
{"id": "e_08e141fdf32b_q0", "domain": "Law", "question": "How many days will Jeffrey James Marlow fight for his life after the e-bike crash by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "5", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "days", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 5, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_08e141fdf32b", "event_date": "2026-07-26", "supporting_event": "Jeffrey James Marlow died from injuries sustained in an e-bike crash on July 26, 2026.", "storyline_id": "s_law_08e141fd", "storyline": "Huntington Beach e-bike accident investigation", "linked_domains": ["Health"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_45ec4a801e2135087e75", "t_5cb99dd128ae565fa88a", "t_721b53c02896e3d296fc"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "5", "tolerance": null, "quote": "He fought for his life for five days but succumbed to his severe injuries on Sunday, July 26, 2026.", "quote_doc_id": "t_5747c76f32af63852785", "settling_ids": ["t_08e141fdf32b9e5d85a7", "t_5747c76f32af63852785"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Jeffrey James Marlow", "Huntington Beach Police Department"]}
{"id": "e_09a15ee3dbf5_q1", "domain": "Law", "question": "Who will Ole Miss file breach of contract lawsuits against by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "Devin Harper and Princewill Umanmielen", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 6, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_09a15ee3dbf5", "event_date": "2026-07-27", "supporting_event": "Ole Miss filed breach of contract lawsuits against former players Devin Harper and Princewill Umanmielen.", "storyline_id": "s_law_09a15ee3", "storyline": "Ole Miss football player transfer lawsuits", "linked_domains": ["Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_2ad616b8b91ee42ea345", "t_9790ad6424b585d81e93"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "Devin Harper and Princewill Umanmielen", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Ole Miss filed breach of contract lawsuits against former players Devin Harper and Princewill Umanmielen.", "quote_doc_id": "t_09a15ee3dbf511800481", "settling_ids": ["t_09a15ee3dbf511800481", "t_76220d9fa44affb1aa03", "t_65434a0bcfc25b4fc7b3", "t_97c9b99deb66f3f7c344"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Ole Miss", "Devin Harper", "Princewill Umanmielen", "Lane Kiffin"]}
{"id": "e_12e5e069f3bf_q0", "domain": "Law", "question": "Will K. Shanmugam address issues related to the legal profession in Singapore by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 5, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_12e5e069f3bf", "event_date": "2026-07-26", "supporting_event": "K. Shanmugam stated that issues such as poor supervision, a lack of training, harassment, bullying, and unreasonable treatment of lawyers need to be taken seriously.", "storyline_id": "s_law_12e5e069", "storyline": "Legal profession stability in Singapore", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_ec822d0411cb8a0c1fc5", "t_73976e9c8a2927d6b280", "t_2a0e68dc52c6211facc6", "t_877033906bdb5d37fa09"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Issues such as poor supervision, a lack of training, harassment, bullying, and the unreasonable treatment of lawyers need to be taken seriously.", "quote_doc_id": "t_12e5e069f3bffb7d5741", "settling_ids": ["t_12e5e069f3bffb7d5741", "t_519340e3ee96a1e425d8"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["K. Shanmugam", "Law Society of Singapore", "National University of Singapore"]}
{"id": "e_14198def1b7f_q1", "domain": "Law", "question": "What is the number of lawsuits that Meta Platforms must face over claims of product addiction to young users by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "3000", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "lawsuits", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 20, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_14198def1b7f", "event_date": "2026-08-10", "supporting_event": "A U.S. appeals court on August 10 allowed thousands of lawsuits to move forward against Meta Platforms over claims they designed their products to be addictive to young users.", "storyline_id": "s_law_14198def", "storyline": "EU regulatory actions against Google", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Technology"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_e9cecc85efa32722e2a1", "t_1aef842e686c029f5f87", "t_b17b3303909398e24408"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "3000", "tolerance": 0.05, "quote": "more than 3,000 lawsuits", "quote_doc_id": "t_14198def1b7fa38b5a6f", "settling_ids": ["t_14198def1b7fa38b5a6f", "t_16ff1f2ea55bab5d781a", "t_197c1f15e3aad1a632f2", "t_cdfe5fc935ae407624d0"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Meta Platforms", "Alphabet", "Google", "ByteDance", "TikTok", "Snap Inc", "Snapchat"]}
{"id": "e_14ea75cb8848_q0", "domain": "Law", "question": "By 2026-07-28, how much in damages will Google be facing from lawsuits after a recent fine?", "options": ["up to $5 billion in damages", "up to $10 billion in damages", "up to $15 billion in damages", "up to $20 billion in damages"], "answer": "up to $10 billion in damages", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 7, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_14ea75cb8848", "event_date": "2026-07-28", "supporting_event": "Google is facing lawsuits demanding up to $10 billion in damages after a $1 billion fine.", "storyline_id": "s_law_14198def", "storyline": "EU regulatory actions against Google", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Technology"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_c55977908b2a039b99b5", "t_701107e3c694258a22fb", "t_1f7a96dbfb32dfdf2c2a", "t_27f8605d2c3bf58fd480"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "up to $10 billion in damages", "tolerance": null, "quote": "demanding up to $10 billion in damages", "quote_doc_id": "t_14ea75cb8848836e76bf", "settling_ids": ["t_14ea75cb8848836e76bf", "t_bf01032043e76e21bb1a", "t_2bbfa36bd94136e620df", "t_5d7785594474742d0e80"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Google", "Alphabet", "EU"]}
{"id": "e_172893c05b40_q0", "domain": "Law", "question": "Which court ruled on the legality of President Trump's $400 million ballroom project by 2026-08-11?", "options": ["U.S. District Court for the District of Columbia", "U.S. Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia Circuit", "Supreme Court of the United States", "U.S. Court of Appeals for the Ninth Circuit"], "answer": "U.S. Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia Circuit", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 18, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_172893c05b40", "event_date": "2026-08-08", "supporting_event": "A federal appeals court ruled that President Trump cannot build a $400 million ballroom at the White House without congressional approval.", "storyline_id": "s_law_172893c0", "storyline": "Trump administration construction projects", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Geopolitics", "Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_a87f5b35976fe2f9ec33", "t_a32d829650d7ff301405", "t_e0d79513c6d7ebba1e3e"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "U.S. Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia Circuit", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the decision by a three-judge panel from the U.S. Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia Circuit.", "quote_doc_id": "t_172893c05b402367b725", "settling_ids": ["t_172893c05b402367b725", "t_6228a188f37dc15340da", "a_583ef7463d669b6127c0", "a_5bb4ff45ac2306452dad"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["President Trump", "U.S. Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia Circuit"]}
{"id": "e_17ae25e0bdb1_q1", "domain": "Law", "question": "Who will be connected to the burglaries at Crazy Cloudz 2 Vape Shop by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "four people", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 12, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_17ae25e0bdb1", "event_date": "2026-08-02", "supporting_event": "Crazy Cloudz 2 Vape Shop was burglarized twice in a span of three days.", "storyline_id": "s_law_17ae25e0", "storyline": "burglary incidents at Crazy Cloudz 2 Vape Shop", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_b58035996831788876d2", "t_1061438dc8ba187fb0ce", "t_a0698ee4d27b8660df46"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "four people", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Gwinnett police are searching for four people after a Hoschton vape shop was burglarized twice in three days.", "quote_doc_id": "t_2bd481d2efaab87143fe", "settling_ids": ["t_17ae25e0bdb11eafa882", "t_2bd481d2efaab87143fe", "t_0767d8495fe5722c6422"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Crazy Cloudz 2 Vape Shop", "Gwinnett County Police Department", "Hoschton"]}
{"id": "e_1d3d2d2a76ef_q0", "domain": "Law", "question": "Will a federal judge order the release of Jose Trinidad Rojas Pliego from ICE custody by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 7, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_1d3d2d2a76ef", "event_date": "2026-07-28", "supporting_event": "A federal judge ordered the release of Jose Trinidad Rojas Pliego from ICE custody.", "storyline_id": "s_law_1d3d2d2a", "storyline": "ICE custody release order", "linked_domains": ["Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["d_742076a18fe72522cabe", "t_69531732e36e0a695d76", "t_739b76d90524c8c1cc7a", "t_6ca4c9b1bc24be04956b"], "precursor_modalities": ["D", "T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "U.S. District Judge Keith Ellison ordered the release of Jose Trinidad Rojas Pliego from ICE custody within 48 hours", "quote_doc_id": "t_1d3d2d2a76ef86d79bbb", "settling_ids": ["t_1d3d2d2a76ef86d79bbb", "t_b4b44ac9a3144356a47e", "t_c92e2cfc0db6bac5e8ac"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Jose Trinidad Rojas Pliego", "U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement", "U.S. District Judge Keith Ellison"]}
{"id": "e_1d3d2d2a76ef_q1", "domain": "Law", "question": "How many hours will it take for Jose Trinidad Rojas Pliego to be released from ICE custody after the judge's order by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "48", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "hours", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 7, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_1d3d2d2a76ef", "event_date": "2026-07-28", "supporting_event": "A federal judge ordered the release of Jose Trinidad Rojas Pliego from ICE custody.", "storyline_id": "s_law_1d3d2d2a", "storyline": "ICE custody release order", "linked_domains": ["Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["d_742076a18fe72522cabe", "t_69531732e36e0a695d76", "t_739b76d90524c8c1cc7a", "t_6ca4c9b1bc24be04956b"], "precursor_modalities": ["D", "T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "48", "tolerance": 0.05, "quote": "U.S. District Judge Keith Ellison ordered the release of Jose Trinidad Rojas Pliego from ICE custody within 48 hours", "quote_doc_id": "t_1d3d2d2a76ef86d79bbb", "settling_ids": ["t_1d3d2d2a76ef86d79bbb", "t_b4b44ac9a3144356a47e", "t_c92e2cfc0db6bac5e8ac"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Jose Trinidad Rojas Pliego", "U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement", "U.S. District Judge Keith Ellison"]}
{"id": "e_1d3d2d2a76ef_q2", "domain": "Law", "question": "Who will be ordered to release Jose Trinidad Rojas Pliego from ICE custody by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "U.S. District Judge Keith Ellison", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 7, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_1d3d2d2a76ef", "event_date": "2026-07-28", "supporting_event": "A federal judge ordered the release of Jose Trinidad Rojas Pliego from ICE custody.", "storyline_id": "s_law_1d3d2d2a", "storyline": "ICE custody release order", "linked_domains": ["Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["d_742076a18fe72522cabe", "t_69531732e36e0a695d76", "t_739b76d90524c8c1cc7a", "t_6ca4c9b1bc24be04956b"], "precursor_modalities": ["D", "T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "U.S. District Judge Keith Ellison", "tolerance": null, "quote": "U.S. District Judge Keith Ellison ordered the release of Jose Trinidad Rojas Pliego from ICE custody", "quote_doc_id": "t_1d3d2d2a76ef86d79bbb", "settling_ids": ["t_1d3d2d2a76ef86d79bbb", "t_b4b44ac9a3144356a47e", "t_c92e2cfc0db6bac5e8ac"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Jose Trinidad Rojas Pliego", "U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement", "U.S. District Judge Keith Ellison"]}
{"id": "e_275e47bf1acf_q0", "domain": "Law", "question": "How much will Meta be ordered to pay into a teen mental health fund by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "567", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "million", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 16, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_275e47bf1acf", "event_date": "2026-08-06", "supporting_event": "Meta was ordered to pay US$567 million into a teen mental health fund.", "storyline_id": "s_law_275e47bf", "storyline": "New Mexico child safety case", "linked_domains": ["Health"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_e9cecc85efa32722e2a1", "t_2ce40a5750132512a605", "t_56791b63a535672cf3cb"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "567", "tolerance": 0.05, "quote": "a New Mexico state court on Thursday separately ordered Meta to pay $567 million into a teen mental health fund", "quote_doc_id": "t_275e47bf1acfc3643da0", "settling_ids": ["t_275e47bf1acfc3643da0", "t_8ecb97bfc9e9a86ce0e1", "t_58052af34e588317c4fb", "t_e17e1bcd9c7facbc99b3", "a_b613f938be0e904db579"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Meta", "New Mexico"]}
{"id": "e_275e47bf1acf_q1", "domain": "Law", "question": "Will Meta be found liable for harming children's wellbeing by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 16, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_275e47bf1acf", "event_date": "2026-08-06", "supporting_event": "Meta was ordered to pay US$567 million into a teen mental health fund.", "storyline_id": "s_law_275e47bf", "storyline": "New Mexico child safety case", "linked_domains": ["Health"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_e9cecc85efa32722e2a1", "t_2ce40a5750132512a605", "t_56791b63a535672cf3cb"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "after finding the company is to blame for harming children's wellbeing", "quote_doc_id": "t_275e47bf1acfc3643da0", "settling_ids": ["t_275e47bf1acfc3643da0", "t_8ecb97bfc9e9a86ce0e1", "t_58052af34e588317c4fb", "t_e17e1bcd9c7facbc99b3", "a_b613f938be0e904db579"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Meta", "New Mexico"]}
{"id": "e_275e47bf1acf_q1_neg", "domain": "Law", "question": "Will Meta be found liable for harming children's wellbeing by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "No", "answer_type": "perturbed_binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 16, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_275e47bf1acf", "event_date": "2026-08-06", "supporting_event": "Meta was ordered to pay US$567 million into a teen mental health fund.", "storyline_id": "s_law_275e47bf", "storyline": "New Mexico child safety case", "linked_domains": ["Health"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_e9cecc85efa32722e2a1", "t_2ce40a5750132512a605", "t_56791b63a535672cf3cb"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "perturbed_binary", "value": "No", "tolerance": null, "quote": "after finding the company is to blame for harming children's wellbeing", "quote_doc_id": "t_275e47bf1acfc3643da0", "settling_ids": ["t_275e47bf1acfc3643da0", "t_8ecb97bfc9e9a86ce0e1", "t_58052af34e588317c4fb", "t_e17e1bcd9c7facbc99b3", "a_b613f938be0e904db579"], "derivation": "the event dated 2026-08-06 is after the shifted deadline 2026-08-04, so the claim is false at that deadline"}, "perturbation": {"field": "deadline", "original": "2026-08-11", "substituted": "2026-08-04", "v40_substituted": "2026-07-29"}, "paired_with": "e_275e47bf1acf_q1", "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Meta", "New Mexico"]}
{"id": "e_2c0db4e57e3f_a0", "domain": "Law", "question": "What amount will the European Union fine Google by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "1 billion dollars", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "dollars", "modality_required": "A", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 2, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_2c0db4e57e3f", "event_date": "2026-07-23", "supporting_event": "The European Union fined Google 1 billion dollars for breaking digital antitrust regulations.", "storyline_id": "s_law_2c0db4e5", "storyline": "EU antitrust enforcement against Big Tech", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Geopolitics", "Politics", "Technology"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_c55977908b2a039b99b5", "t_1f7a96dbfb32dfdf2c2a", "t_27f8605d2c3bf58fd480", "t_e3a965d425c46e606164", "t_c43e0326e423c6480541"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "1 billion dollars", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the EU this week announced it would fine Alphabet's Google $1 billion for breaching digital competition rules.", "quote_doc_id": "a_9a1b21cc098e3006b8e0", "settling_ids": ["a_9a1b21cc098e3006b8e0", "t_2c0db4e57e3f29fe7688", "t_9b40f5ce00728cfefa3f"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Google", "European Union"]}
{"id": "e_2c0db4e57e3f_q2", "domain": "Law", "question": "How much will the fine imposed on Google by the European Union be by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "1000000000", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "USD", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 2, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_2c0db4e57e3f", "event_date": "2026-07-23", "supporting_event": "The European Union fined Google 1 billion dollars for breaking digital antitrust regulations.", "storyline_id": "s_law_2c0db4e5", "storyline": "EU antitrust enforcement against Big Tech", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Geopolitics", "Politics", "Technology"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_c55977908b2a039b99b5", "t_1f7a96dbfb32dfdf2c2a", "t_27f8605d2c3bf58fd480", "t_e3a965d425c46e606164", "t_c43e0326e423c6480541"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "1000000000", "tolerance": 0.05, "quote": "The European Union on Thursday hit Google with a fine of 890 million euros ($1 billion)", "quote_doc_id": "t_2c0db4e57e3f29fe7688", "settling_ids": ["t_2c0db4e57e3f29fe7688", "t_9b40f5ce00728cfefa3f"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Google", "European Union"]}
{"id": "e_2eb154a589c0_q0", "domain": "Law", "question": "How many kilos of fentanyl will be seized by British Columbia's gang squad by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "2", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "kilos", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 8, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_2eb154a589c0", "event_date": "2026-07-29", "supporting_event": "British Columbia's gang squad uncovered a sophisticated illicit drug production organization.", "storyline_id": "s_law_2eb154a5", "storyline": "B.C. drug lab investigation", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_de3521d6975d1f348b1c", "t_fbf01c45a0e39fac93fa", "t_afc6df2bf9c69f9eb6ad"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "2", "tolerance": null, "quote": "including two kilos each of fentanyl and methamphetamine", "quote_doc_id": "t_2eb154a589c07bb91bd4", "settling_ids": ["t_2eb154a589c07bb91bd4", "t_b5a20c29c74c0b9c71b5"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["British Columbia's gang squad"]}
{"id": "e_2eb154a589c0_q1", "domain": "Law", "question": "Who will be involved in the investigation of the illicit drug production organization uncovered by British Columbia's gang squad by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "RCMP Sgt. Sarbjit Sangha", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 8, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_2eb154a589c0", "event_date": "2026-07-29", "supporting_event": "British Columbia's gang squad uncovered a sophisticated illicit drug production organization.", "storyline_id": "s_law_2eb154a5", "storyline": "B.C. drug lab investigation", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_de3521d6975d1f348b1c", "t_fbf01c45a0e39fac93fa", "t_afc6df2bf9c69f9eb6ad"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "RCMP Sgt. Sarbjit Sangha", "tolerance": null, "quote": "RCMP Sgt. Sarbjit Sangha, with the Combined Forces Special Enforcement Unit", "quote_doc_id": "t_2eb154a589c07bb91bd4", "settling_ids": ["t_2eb154a589c07bb91bd4", "t_b5a20c29c74c0b9c71b5"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["British Columbia's gang squad"]}
{"id": "e_2eb154a589c0_q2", "domain": "Law", "question": "Will the investigation into the illicit drug production organization uncovered by British Columbia's gang squad involve the seizure of explosives by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 8, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_2eb154a589c0", "event_date": "2026-07-29", "supporting_event": "British Columbia's gang squad uncovered a sophisticated illicit drug production organization.", "storyline_id": "s_law_2eb154a5", "storyline": "B.C. drug lab investigation", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_de3521d6975d1f348b1c", "t_fbf01c45a0e39fac93fa", "t_afc6df2bf9c69f9eb6ad"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "seizing large quantities of drugs, dozens of firearms and 65 cubes of commercial explosives", "quote_doc_id": "t_2eb154a589c07bb91bd4", "settling_ids": ["t_2eb154a589c07bb91bd4", "t_b5a20c29c74c0b9c71b5"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["British Columbia's gang squad"]}
{"id": "e_2eb154a589c0_q2_neg", "domain": "Law", "question": "Will the investigation into the illicit drug production organization uncovered by British Columbia's gang squad involve the seizure of explosives by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "No", "answer_type": "perturbed_binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 8, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_2eb154a589c0", "event_date": "2026-07-29", "supporting_event": "British Columbia's gang squad uncovered a sophisticated illicit drug production organization.", "storyline_id": "s_law_2eb154a5", "storyline": "B.C. drug lab investigation", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_de3521d6975d1f348b1c", "t_fbf01c45a0e39fac93fa", "t_afc6df2bf9c69f9eb6ad"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "perturbed_binary", "value": "No", "tolerance": null, "quote": "seizing large quantities of drugs, dozens of firearms and 65 cubes of commercial explosives", "quote_doc_id": "t_2eb154a589c07bb91bd4", "settling_ids": ["t_2eb154a589c07bb91bd4", "t_b5a20c29c74c0b9c71b5"], "derivation": "the event dated 2026-07-29 is after the shifted deadline 2026-07-28, so the claim is false at that deadline"}, "perturbation": {"field": "deadline", "original": "2026-08-04", "substituted": "2026-07-28", "v40_substituted": "2026-07-25"}, "paired_with": "e_2eb154a589c0_q2", "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["British Columbia's gang squad"]}
{"id": "e_309852ecf309_i0", "domain": "Law", "question": "What is the badge number of the ICE officer involved in the event by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "7564", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 9, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_309852ecf309", "event_date": "2026-07-30", "supporting_event": "Suraj Raj Singh faces a civil penalty of over $470,000 for filing fraudulent asylum applications.", "storyline_id": "s_law_309852ec", "storyline": "US immigration fraud enforcement actions", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_976dc9323e9010752498", "t_c610055f530290e4aa60"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "7564", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_309852ecf30963af6255_0", "settling_ids": ["t_309852ecf30963af6255", "t_c988823beb3e328a2d1a", "t_7065308a74a88d95e47c", "t_31292937b1a83e699d3e", "t_2115718b69399081f00c"], "visible_detail": "badge number 7564"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Suraj Raj Singh", "US Department of Homeland Security", "Immigration and Customs Enforcement"]}
{"id": "e_309852ecf309_q0", "domain": "Law", "question": "What amount is the civil penalty that the U.S. government is seeking against Suraj Raj Singh by 2026-08-04?", "options": ["$470,584", "$600,000", "$300,000", "$500,000"], "answer": "$470,584", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": "USD", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 9, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_309852ecf309", "event_date": "2026-07-30", "supporting_event": "Suraj Raj Singh faces a civil penalty of over $470,000 for filing fraudulent asylum applications.", "storyline_id": "s_law_309852ec", "storyline": "US immigration fraud enforcement actions", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_976dc9323e9010752498", "t_c610055f530290e4aa60"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "$470,584", "tolerance": null, "quote": "ICE is seeking a maximum fine of $470,584.", "quote_doc_id": "t_309852ecf30963af6255", "settling_ids": ["t_309852ecf30963af6255", "t_c988823beb3e328a2d1a", "t_7065308a74a88d95e47c", "t_31292937b1a83e699d3e"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Suraj Raj Singh", "US Department of Homeland Security", "Immigration and Customs Enforcement"]}
{"id": "e_309852ecf309_q1", "domain": "Law", "question": "How many fraudulent documents did Suraj Raj Singh allegedly file by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "118", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 9, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_309852ecf309", "event_date": "2026-07-30", "supporting_event": "Suraj Raj Singh faces a civil penalty of over $470,000 for filing fraudulent asylum applications.", "storyline_id": "s_law_309852ec", "storyline": "US immigration fraud enforcement actions", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_976dc9323e9010752498", "t_c610055f530290e4aa60"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "118", "tolerance": 0.05, "quote": "Singh is accused of preparing and filing 118 fraudulent documents", "quote_doc_id": "t_309852ecf30963af6255", "settling_ids": ["t_309852ecf30963af6255", "t_c988823beb3e328a2d1a", "t_7065308a74a88d95e47c", "t_31292937b1a83e699d3e"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Suraj Raj Singh", "US Department of Homeland Security", "Immigration and Customs Enforcement"]}
{"id": "e_3327450ddad3_i0", "domain": "Law", "question": "What is the total reward amount offered for information leading to the arrest or conviction of the CJNG leaders by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "100000000", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 13, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_3327450ddad3", "event_date": "2026-08-03", "supporting_event": "The US government offered rewards totaling over $100 million for information leading to the arrest or conviction of eight leaders of the CJNG.", "storyline_id": "s_law_3327450d", "storyline": "US efforts against drug cartels", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_eaab6de7f7816325a0dc", "t_b51c43989725d240ccbd", "t_69ec633c7b8212331c64", "t_b3d25e20c50cd2abf5e6", "t_d15e23873018addedc36"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "100000000", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_3327450ddad341ec8087_0", "settling_ids": ["t_3327450ddad341ec8087", "t_8459b7234e766a5ba074", "t_16a2c09bbfc424948803", "t_2033a83197a8eb633fb4"], "visible_detail": "the total reward amount of $100,000,000 displayed on the wanted poster"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["US government", "CJNG"]}
{"id": "e_3327450ddad3_q0", "domain": "Law", "question": "What will be the total amount of rewards offered by the U.S. government for information leading to the arrest or conviction of leaders of the CJNG by 2026-08-04?", "options": ["$102 million", "$50 million", "$150 million", "$75 million"], "answer": "$102 million", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": "dollars", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 13, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_3327450ddad3", "event_date": "2026-08-03", "supporting_event": "The US government offered rewards totaling over $100 million for information leading to the arrest or conviction of eight leaders of the CJNG.", "storyline_id": "s_law_3327450d", "storyline": "US efforts against drug cartels", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_eaab6de7f7816325a0dc", "t_b51c43989725d240ccbd", "t_69ec633c7b8212331c64", "t_b3d25e20c50cd2abf5e6", "t_d15e23873018addedc36"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "$102 million", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the rewards, totaling up to $102 million", "quote_doc_id": "t_16a2c09bbfc424948803", "settling_ids": ["t_3327450ddad341ec8087", "t_8459b7234e766a5ba074", "t_16a2c09bbfc424948803", "t_2033a83197a8eb633fb4"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["US government", "CJNG"]}
{"id": "e_34f9c69272f0_q0", "domain": "Law", "question": "What total amount will Trip.com Group be fined for abusing its dominant position in the domestic online hotel-booking market by 2026-07-28?", "options": ["1.6 billion yuan", "2.0 billion yuan", "3.5 billion yuan", "5.2 billion yuan"], "answer": "5.2 billion yuan", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": "yuan", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 4, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_34f9c69272f0", "event_date": "2026-07-25", "supporting_event": "Trip.com Group was fined and confiscated a total of 5.2 billion yuan for abusing its dominant position in the domestic online hotel-booking market.", "storyline_id": "s_law_34f9c692", "storyline": "Trip.com regulatory fine case", "linked_domains": ["Business"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_4d47b9244e529ac7a734", "t_4eb79ed29d27ab340c95"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "5.2 billion yuan", "tolerance": null, "quote": "China's market regulator said on July 25 it had fined and confiscated a total of 5.2 billion yuan (S$991 million) from Trip.com Group for abusing its dominant position in the domestic online hotel-booking market.", "quote_doc_id": "t_34f9c69272f063980734", "settling_ids": ["t_34f9c69272f063980734", "t_a10494ae9643ec92681f", "t_cf7b24b81f77a9b7efb9"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Trip.com Group", "Ctrip", "Skyscanner", "Qunar"]}
{"id": "e_35df159311b3_q0", "domain": "Law", "question": "How many member states will vote to remove Karim Khan from his position as ICC prosecutor by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "82", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "votes", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 3, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_35df159311b3", "event_date": "2026-07-24", "supporting_event": "Karim Khan was removed from his position as ICC prosecutor after 82 of 125 member states voted to dismiss him.", "storyline_id": "s_law_35df1593", "storyline": "removal of ICC chief prosecutor", "linked_domains": ["Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_05a0100ff7800bfdde09", "t_2999b5f7dcfde51db06c", "t_0f979ac7ef5545489e2a"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "82", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Karim Khan was removed after 82 of the International Criminal Court's 125 member states voted to dismiss him", "quote_doc_id": "t_35df159311b370deff36", "settling_ids": ["t_35df159311b370deff36", "t_32440ccf528a9b6c1eae", "a_1b2856125d362d11cfed"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Karim Khan", "International Criminal Court"]}
{"id": "e_36f096e90208_q0", "domain": "Law", "question": "How many ex-security officials will be sentenced to death over the 2019 Easter Sunday bombings by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "2", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 10, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_36f096e90208", "event_date": "2026-07-31", "supporting_event": "Sri Lanka sentenced two ex-security officials to death over the 2019 Easter Sunday bombings.", "storyline_id": "s_law_36f096e9", "storyline": "Sri Lanka's judicial proceedings regarding the 2019 Easter bombings", "linked_domains": ["Politics", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_5870305023c57803a21d", "t_ba1ca12ce4c470e8a900", "t_1aa70a163fcfb0904154", "t_235104043188b3243fcf"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "2", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Sri Lanka sentences two ex-security officials to death over 2019 Easter bombings", "quote_doc_id": "t_36f096e90208204b6368", "settling_ids": ["t_36f096e90208204b6368", "t_06f407e06d03143ca58a"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Pujith Jayasundara", "Hemasiri Fernando", "Sri Lanka"]}
{"id": "e_3856c1915e13_i0", "domain": "Law", "question": "What is the total area of the immovable property mentioned in the notice by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "1 Kanal and 10 Marlas", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 2, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_3856c1915e13", "event_date": "2026-07-23", "supporting_event": "Faijan was chargesheeted in a Gujarat online radicalisation case linked to proscribed terror outfits.", "storyline_id": "s_law_3856c191", "storyline": "NIA investigation into online radicalisation", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_8fa172be9343e9b0beaa", "t_58d85fd62ffd4e54a68e", "t_df11df2c5961af9810a9", "t_3a16189d8502457cc80b"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "1 Kanal and 10 Marlas", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_d56ce120c1c2119d1038_0", "settling_ids": ["t_d56ce120c1c2119d1038", "t_3856c1915e131a0e60f7", "t_d2add9464107f4c4b30c", "t_5368c9ca06ef90b991f5"], "visible_detail": "1 Kanal and 10 Marlas"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Faijan", "Jaish-e-Mohammed", "Al-Qaeda"]}
{"id": "e_3856c1915e13_q0", "domain": "Law", "question": "How many individuals will be chargesheeted in the ongoing NIA investigation into online radicalisation cases in Gujarat by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "1", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 2, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_3856c1915e13", "event_date": "2026-07-23", "supporting_event": "Faijan was chargesheeted in a Gujarat online radicalisation case linked to proscribed terror outfits.", "storyline_id": "s_law_3856c191", "storyline": "NIA investigation into online radicalisation", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_8fa172be9343e9b0beaa", "t_58d85fd62ffd4e54a68e", "t_df11df2c5961af9810a9", "t_3a16189d8502457cc80b"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "1", "tolerance": null, "quote": "The NIA has chargesheeted one person in a Gujarat online radicalisation case", "quote_doc_id": "t_3856c1915e131a0e60f7", "settling_ids": ["t_3856c1915e131a0e60f7", "t_5368c9ca06ef90b991f5", "t_d2add9464107f4c4b30c", "t_d56ce120c1c2119d1038"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Faijan", "Jaish-e-Mohammed", "Al-Qaeda"]}
{"id": "e_397e2f3a2d6c_q0", "domain": "Law", "question": "How many former Apple employees is Apple seeking a preliminary injunction against by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "2", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 13, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_397e2f3a2d6c", "event_date": "2026-08-03", "supporting_event": "Apple asked a US court for a preliminary injunction against OpenAI and two former Apple employees.", "storyline_id": "s_law_397e2f3a", "storyline": "Apple v. OpenAI trade secrets case", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Politics", "Technology"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_bd7b8adc7ee75f5ac67d", "t_9dbb12d1219aba541b7e", "t_c040bc68029cf3f3106a", "t_595d2e4bb0c240637979", "t_1cf53d709bea7a9b5a9d", "t_51b339f7fc1b107227a7", "t_7b07e40883dba0eac7d7"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "2", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Apple is now asking a US court to immediately stop OpenAI and two former Apple engineers from accessing or using what it claims are its trade secrets.", "quote_doc_id": "t_397e2f3a2d6ca61ec725", "settling_ids": ["t_397e2f3a2d6ca61ec725", "t_1002e14d40d79580bf75"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Apple", "OpenAI"]}
{"id": "e_3aff0e00d145_q2", "domain": "Law", "question": "Will the Special Task Force formed by the Delhi Police operate under the provisions of the Public Examinations (Prevention of Unfair Means) Act, 2024 by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 4, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_3aff0e00d145", "event_date": "2026-07-25", "supporting_event": "Delhi Police constituted a Special Task Force to investigate paper leaks and other examination-related offences.", "storyline_id": "s_law_3aff0e00", "storyline": "investigation of examination-related offences", "linked_domains": ["Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_b43c277ca6e8f69682e8", "t_587017d7644eb2c81ea5", "t_f25b780a2599e4273b2d", "t_0e09e04094f21d1bb007", "t_ea2ad0af09f1284a28c5"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "will operate under the provisions of the Public Examinations (Prevention of Unfair Means) Act, 2024.", "quote_doc_id": "t_3aff0e00d145053ea752", "settling_ids": ["t_3aff0e00d145053ea752", "t_9bcb30697c29b2f6af21", "t_d615014ef6b2a3f7699a", "t_68e8a49666eca7cfe50d"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Delhi Police", "Special Task Force", "Public Examinations (Prevention of Unfair Means) Act, 2024"]}
{"id": "e_3bb665f71a3c_d0", "domain": "Law", "question": "What is the effective date for the modified system of records by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "August 11, 2026", "answer_type": "date", "unit": null, "modality_required": "D", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 20, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_3bb665f71a3c", "event_date": "2026-08-10", "supporting_event": "The FCC wants to ban drones with LiDAR that it previously approved.", "storyline_id": "s_law_3bb665f7", "storyline": "FCC drone regulation changes", "linked_domains": ["Technology"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_6577698b7e89a8400f6b", "t_e39d327ccbe071bdc9cf"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "date", "value": "August 11, 2026", "tolerance": null, "quote": "This modified system of records will become effective on August 11, 2026.", "quote_doc_id": "d_1bb438540695881fe51a", "settling_ids": ["d_1bb438540695881fe51a", "t_3bb665f71a3ce04de0ce", "t_80cfdb1aa0db24a2bdaa"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["the FCC", "DJI", "Air 3S", "Mini Pro 5", "Avata 360", "Mini 5 Pro"]}
{"id": "e_3bb665f71a3c_q0", "domain": "Law", "question": "Which agency will propose a ban on drones with LiDAR that it previously approved by 2026-08-11?", "options": ["the FCC", "the FTC", "the FAA", "the NTSB"], "answer": "the FCC", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 20, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_3bb665f71a3c", "event_date": "2026-08-10", "supporting_event": "The FCC wants to ban drones with LiDAR that it previously approved.", "storyline_id": "s_law_3bb665f7", "storyline": "FCC drone regulation changes", "linked_domains": ["Technology"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_6577698b7e89a8400f6b", "t_e39d327ccbe071bdc9cf"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "the FCC", "tolerance": null, "quote": "The FCC wants to ban drones with LiDAR that it previously approved", "quote_doc_id": "t_3bb665f71a3ce04de0ce", "settling_ids": ["t_3bb665f71a3ce04de0ce", "t_80cfdb1aa0db24a2bdaa", "d_1bb438540695881fe51a"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["the FCC", "DJI", "Air 3S", "Mini Pro 5", "Avata 360", "Mini 5 Pro"]}
{"id": "e_3d3e16a4b309_q0", "domain": "Law", "question": "Will Bristol Bakery have its licence suspended by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 3, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_3d3e16a4b309", "event_date": "2026-07-24", "supporting_event": "Bristol Bakery had its licence suspended after an FDA inspection revealed unhygienic conditions.", "storyline_id": "s_law_3d3e16a4", "storyline": "FDA inspection of food establishments in Mumbai", "linked_domains": ["Business"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_5e2d5b62af0e501c151d", "t_9db15e3967e9ed467507"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Bristol Bakery had its licence suspended after the Food and Drug Administration (FDA), Maharashtra, inspected it on Thursday as part of a crackdown on 34 bakery establishments across Greater Mumbai.", "quote_doc_id": "t_3d3e16a4b3096e7b2dc7", "settling_ids": ["t_3d3e16a4b3096e7b2dc7", "t_f20ea8c7ebfcebcbe9d3"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Bristol Bakery", "FDA", "Jimmy Boy", "Maharashtra"]}
{"id": "e_3ed6e3f7ef02_q0", "domain": "Law", "question": "How many weeks will the trial regarding Meta Platforms' Instagram platform last, concluding by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "7", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "weeks", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 6, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_3ed6e3f7ef02", "event_date": "2026-07-27", "supporting_event": "Meta Platforms disregarded internal research about its Instagram platform's impact on teenagers.", "storyline_id": "s_law_3ed6e3f7", "storyline": "Tennessee v. Meta Platforms trial", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Health", "Technology"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_66d1275f6be1cb221937", "t_b17b3303909398e24408", "t_23cbfe50c17639bacde0"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "7", "tolerance": 0.1, "quote": "During opening statements in a seven-week trial in state court in Tennessee", "quote_doc_id": "t_3ed6e3f7ef029d668ad0", "settling_ids": ["t_3ed6e3f7ef029d668ad0", "t_34995ec7777bbc4bd550", "t_9dc855929e93177b98a3", "t_182d0a1e3f38798ed6ba"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Meta Platforms", "Instagram", "Tennessee"]}
{"id": "e_3f140edcf628_q0", "domain": "Law", "question": "Will Nazira Haji Zada appear in the Alien Terrorist Removal Court by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 9, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_3f140edcf628", "event_date": "2026-07-30", "supporting_event": "Nazira Haji Zada appeared in the Alien Terrorist Removal Court on July 30, 2026.", "storyline_id": "s_law_3f140edc", "storyline": "US deportation proceedings against alleged terrorists", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_289eb468070a38f82682", "t_44c755f1cb14567efc58"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "FBI agents arrested her Tuesday at her Fort Worth home.", "quote_doc_id": "t_3f140edcf628d88abaf3", "settling_ids": ["t_3f140edcf628d88abaf3", "t_75b3f6b3251aa20845d2", "t_68a90549e7889633a3f1", "t_b5e99735388c86b1f393"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Nazira Haji Zada", "Alien Terrorist Removal Court", "Chief Judge Joan N. Ericksen"]}
{"id": "e_3f140edcf628_q0_neg", "domain": "Law", "question": "Will Nazira Haji Zada appear in the Alien Terrorist Removal Court by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "No", "answer_type": "perturbed_binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 9, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_3f140edcf628", "event_date": "2026-07-30", "supporting_event": "Nazira Haji Zada appeared in the Alien Terrorist Removal Court on July 30, 2026.", "storyline_id": "s_law_3f140edc", "storyline": "US deportation proceedings against alleged terrorists", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_289eb468070a38f82682", "t_44c755f1cb14567efc58"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "perturbed_binary", "value": "No", "tolerance": null, "quote": "FBI agents arrested her Tuesday at her Fort Worth home.", "quote_doc_id": "t_3f140edcf628d88abaf3", "settling_ids": ["t_3f140edcf628d88abaf3", "t_75b3f6b3251aa20845d2", "t_68a90549e7889633a3f1", "t_b5e99735388c86b1f393"], "derivation": "the event dated 2026-07-30 is after the shifted deadline 2026-07-28, so the claim is false at that deadline"}, "perturbation": {"field": "deadline", "original": "2026-08-04", "substituted": "2026-07-28", "v40_substituted": "2026-07-25"}, "paired_with": "e_3f140edcf628_q0", "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Nazira Haji Zada", "Alien Terrorist Removal Court", "Chief Judge Joan N. Ericksen"]}
{"id": "e_45b20f0dd382_i0", "domain": "Law", "question": "What is the main demand or message on the placard by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "Leakage of NEET paper", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 4, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_45b20f0dd382", "event_date": "2026-07-25", "supporting_event": "Kolkata Police arrested Md Afroz in connection with the violence during the NEET protest.", "storyline_id": "s_law_45b20f0d", "storyline": "Kolkata NEET protest violence response", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_c58233cc97705c75cd7f", "t_3f8ab5aec4317b2ee8ee"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "Leakage of NEET paper", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_45b20f0dd382ba833e67_0", "settling_ids": ["t_45b20f0dd382ba833e67", "t_16fcf98710432a6c00f7"], "visible_detail": "a placard held by a protester"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Kolkata Police", "Md Afroz"]}
{"id": "e_45b20f0dd382_q0", "domain": "Law", "question": "How many people will Kolkata Police arrest in connection with the violence during the NEET protest by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "14", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 4, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_45b20f0dd382", "event_date": "2026-07-25", "supporting_event": "Kolkata Police arrested Md Afroz in connection with the violence during the NEET protest.", "storyline_id": "s_law_45b20f0d", "storyline": "Kolkata NEET protest violence response", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_c58233cc97705c75cd7f", "t_3f8ab5aec4317b2ee8ee"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "14", "tolerance": 0.1, "quote": "Kolkata police have arrested 14 people in connection with the violence against police and journalists during Friday’s protest in Dharmatala over the NEET question paper leak.", "quote_doc_id": "t_45b20f0dd382ba833e67", "settling_ids": ["t_45b20f0dd382ba833e67", "t_16fcf98710432a6c00f7"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Kolkata Police", "Md Afroz"]}
{"id": "e_45b20f0dd382_q1", "domain": "Law", "question": "Who will be arrested by Kolkata Police in connection with the violence during the NEET protest by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "Md Afroz", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 4, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_45b20f0dd382", "event_date": "2026-07-25", "supporting_event": "Kolkata Police arrested Md Afroz in connection with the violence during the NEET protest.", "storyline_id": "s_law_45b20f0d", "storyline": "Kolkata NEET protest violence response", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_c58233cc97705c75cd7f", "t_3f8ab5aec4317b2ee8ee"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "Md Afroz", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Police identified the arrested accused as Md. Afroz, a resident of Metiabruz in Kolkata.", "quote_doc_id": "t_16fcf98710432a6c00f7", "settling_ids": ["t_45b20f0dd382ba833e67", "t_16fcf98710432a6c00f7"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Kolkata Police", "Md Afroz"]}
{"id": "e_45e449b71d58_q0", "domain": "Law", "question": "Will the Ministry of Home Affairs propose new powers for the police regarding scam-related activities by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 14, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_45e449b71d58", "event_date": "2026-08-04", "supporting_event": "The Ministry of Home Affairs (MHA) proposed to empower the police to issue orders to service providers to disclose information on scam-related activities and disable accounts.", "storyline_id": "s_law_45e449b7", "storyline": "Scams (Countermeasures) and Other Matters Bill", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_f3b876a10ac94fcf5489", "t_89a3d7442a802cd7a938", "t_4937f80f3e9d08233a3a", "t_b65a1bebe334c395ddda"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "MHA proposes giving police powers to order banks, telcos to share information, disable scam-linked accounts", "quote_doc_id": "t_45e449b71d58d42eca65", "settling_ids": ["t_45e449b71d58d42eca65", "t_3459fd47109402d067d7"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Ministry of Home Affairs", "police", "service providers"]}
{"id": "e_45e449b71d58_q0_neg", "domain": "Law", "question": "Will the Ministry of Home Affairs propose new powers for the police regarding scam-related activities by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "No", "answer_type": "perturbed_binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 14, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_45e449b71d58", "event_date": "2026-08-04", "supporting_event": "The Ministry of Home Affairs (MHA) proposed to empower the police to issue orders to service providers to disclose information on scam-related activities and disable accounts.", "storyline_id": "s_law_45e449b7", "storyline": "Scams (Countermeasures) and Other Matters Bill", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_f3b876a10ac94fcf5489", "t_89a3d7442a802cd7a938", "t_4937f80f3e9d08233a3a", "t_b65a1bebe334c395ddda"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "perturbed_binary", "value": "No", "tolerance": null, "quote": "MHA proposes giving police powers to order banks, telcos to share information, disable scam-linked accounts", "quote_doc_id": "t_45e449b71d58d42eca65", "settling_ids": ["t_45e449b71d58d42eca65", "t_3459fd47109402d067d7"], "derivation": "the event dated 2026-08-04 is after the shifted deadline 2026-07-28, so the claim is false at that deadline"}, "perturbation": {"field": "deadline", "original": "2026-08-04", "substituted": "2026-07-28"}, "paired_with": "e_45e449b71d58_q0", "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Ministry of Home Affairs", "police", "service providers"]}
{"id": "e_4b21dac2fc8b_a0", "domain": "Law", "question": "How many charges will Daniel Kinahan face by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "one charge", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "A", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 19, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_4b21dac2fc8b", "event_date": "2026-08-09", "supporting_event": "An Irish court charged Daniel Kinahan with directing a criminal organisation.", "storyline_id": "s_law_4b21dac2", "storyline": "Kinahan criminal charges", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_4e857e96a935196f6223", "t_f55324db1e4f8b4f0fe9"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "one charge", "tolerance": null, "quote": "So he faces one charge, and that is of directing the activities of a criminal or...", "quote_doc_id": "a_04824df08df3a634a371", "settling_ids": ["a_04824df08df3a634a371", "t_4b21dac2fc8bcaf16d14", "t_030944a0013ed6b366ee", "t_080ba7ea28ded0fa5cf9"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Daniel Kinahan", "Kinahan Organised Crime Group", "KOCG"]}
{"id": "e_4b21dac2fc8b_i0", "domain": "Law", "question": "What is the vehicle registration number associated with the event by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "261-D-42976", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 19, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_4b21dac2fc8b", "event_date": "2026-08-09", "supporting_event": "An Irish court charged Daniel Kinahan with directing a criminal organisation.", "storyline_id": "s_law_4b21dac2", "storyline": "Kinahan criminal charges", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_4e857e96a935196f6223", "t_f55324db1e4f8b4f0fe9"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "261-D-42976", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_4b21dac2fc8bcaf16d14_0", "settling_ids": ["t_4b21dac2fc8bcaf16d14", "t_030944a0013ed6b366ee", "t_080ba7ea28ded0fa5cf9"], "visible_detail": "261-D-42976"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Daniel Kinahan", "Kinahan Organised Crime Group", "KOCG"]}
{"id": "e_4b21dac2fc8b_q0", "domain": "Law", "question": "What will Daniel Kinahan be charged with by 2026-08-11?", "options": ["drug trafficking", "firearms offences", "directing a criminal organisation", "money laundering"], "answer": "directing a criminal organisation", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 19, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_4b21dac2fc8b", "event_date": "2026-08-09", "supporting_event": "An Irish court charged Daniel Kinahan with directing a criminal organisation.", "storyline_id": "s_law_4b21dac2", "storyline": "Kinahan criminal charges", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_4e857e96a935196f6223", "t_f55324db1e4f8b4f0fe9"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "directing a criminal organisation", "tolerance": null, "quote": "An Irish court on Aug 9 charged alleged cartel boss Daniel Kinahan with directing a criminal organisation", "quote_doc_id": "t_4b21dac2fc8bcaf16d14", "settling_ids": ["t_4b21dac2fc8bcaf16d14", "t_030944a0013ed6b366ee", "t_080ba7ea28ded0fa5cf9", "a_04824df08df3a634a371"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Daniel Kinahan", "Kinahan Organised Crime Group", "KOCG"]}
{"id": "e_5833517377d6_q0", "domain": "Law", "question": "How many variants of Old Monk will be banned by the FSSAI by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "3", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "variants", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 13, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_5833517377d6", "event_date": "2026-08-03", "supporting_event": "The FSSAI banned multiple liquor brands including Old Monk and McDowell's No 1 for violations related to the use of artificial flavors.", "storyline_id": "s_law_58335173", "storyline": "FSSAI enforcement actions against liquor brands", "linked_domains": ["Business"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_c7d6678ad020bec5b882", "t_2f43312ad4c323d86cbe", "t_92b3bcc162c89c7c8f12", "t_44c4eb95ca5dd6d23d57"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "3", "tolerance": null, "quote": "The FSSAI has banned three Old Monk variants across India.", "quote_doc_id": "t_5833517377d6f7132420", "settling_ids": ["t_5833517377d6f7132420", "t_d9e0253f5bbbbfb1e2b3"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["FSSAI", "Old Monk", "McDowell's No 1 Rum", "Bagpiper Deluxe Whisky", "Antiquity Blue Whisky", "Royal Challenge Whisky"]}
{"id": "e_60d6c0a7c42a_q0", "domain": "Law", "question": "What organization was Zhanna Nemtsova associated with that was labeled as 'undesirable' by Russian authorities by 2026-08-04?", "options": ["Open Russia", "Navalny Anti-Corruption Foundation", "Boris Nemtsov Foundation for Freedom", "Memorial"], "answer": "Boris Nemtsov Foundation for Freedom", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 10, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_60d6c0a7c42a", "event_date": "2026-07-31", "supporting_event": "A Moscow court ordered the arrest in absentia of Zhanna Nemtsova over her role in an 'undesirable organisation'.", "storyline_id": "s_law_60d6c0a7", "storyline": "Moscow court rulings regarding undesirable organizations", "linked_domains": ["Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_201b64d4a7d56bca5a2f", "t_28f3d8a1dd982b8238e6", "t_99489d4022051bdaf774"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "Boris Nemtsov Foundation for Freedom", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the 'undesirable organisation' is the Boris Nemtsov Foundation which I set up in Germany in 2015.", "quote_doc_id": "t_60d6c0a7c42ad8d0f767", "settling_ids": ["t_60d6c0a7c42ad8d0f767", "t_8902476032d0669be5dc", "t_05b9644b784e8d51a0fa"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Zhanna Nemtsova", "Boris Nemtsov", "Boris Nemtsov Foundation for Freedom"]}
{"id": "e_60d6c0a7c42a_q1", "domain": "Law", "question": "What is the maximum prison sentence Zhanna Nemtsova could face for organizing activities of an 'undesirable' organization by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "6", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "years", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 10, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_60d6c0a7c42a", "event_date": "2026-07-31", "supporting_event": "A Moscow court ordered the arrest in absentia of Zhanna Nemtsova over her role in an 'undesirable organisation'.", "storyline_id": "s_law_60d6c0a7", "storyline": "Moscow court rulings regarding undesirable organizations", "linked_domains": ["Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_201b64d4a7d56bca5a2f", "t_28f3d8a1dd982b8238e6", "t_99489d4022051bdaf774"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "6", "tolerance": 0.05, "quote": "charges of organizing the activities of an “undesirable” organization, which carry a maximum punishment of six years in prison.", "quote_doc_id": "t_05b9644b784e8d51a0fa", "settling_ids": ["t_60d6c0a7c42ad8d0f767", "t_8902476032d0669be5dc", "t_05b9644b784e8d51a0fa"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Zhanna Nemtsova", "Boris Nemtsov", "Boris Nemtsov Foundation for Freedom"]}
{"id": "e_62071145ba9f_q1", "domain": "Law", "question": "Who will be booked by the CBI for allegedly causing a loss to the EPFO by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "Anil D Ambani", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 11, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_62071145ba9f", "event_date": "2026-08-01", "supporting_event": "The CBI has registered an FIR against Anil D Ambani and Reliance Capital Limited for allegedly causing a loss of ₹1,816.22 crore to the EPFO.", "storyline_id": "s_law_62071145", "storyline": "CBI investigation into Reliance Capital", "linked_domains": ["Business"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_931da1c96a23a0290edb", "t_a31d3749ed17b6c23e66", "t_b01de6b10a69c6296f47"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "Anil D Ambani", "tolerance": null, "quote": "The CBI has filed an FIR against Reliance Capital Limited (RCL) and its former chairman Anil D Ambani", "quote_doc_id": "t_62071145ba9f11e6ad5b", "settling_ids": ["t_62071145ba9f11e6ad5b", "t_feea75bbe5777837b513", "t_0fa13b713478443e415c", "t_6112fa9aac08a7adc6cc"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Anil D Ambani", "Reliance Capital Limited", "Employees' Provident Fund Organisation"]}
{"id": "e_62071145ba9f_q2", "domain": "Law", "question": "Will the CBI register an FIR against Reliance Capital Limited for causing a loss to the EPFO by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 11, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_62071145ba9f", "event_date": "2026-08-01", "supporting_event": "The CBI has registered an FIR against Anil D Ambani and Reliance Capital Limited for allegedly causing a loss of ₹1,816.22 crore to the EPFO.", "storyline_id": "s_law_62071145", "storyline": "CBI investigation into Reliance Capital", "linked_domains": ["Business"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_931da1c96a23a0290edb", "t_a31d3749ed17b6c23e66", "t_b01de6b10a69c6296f47"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "The action follows a July 21 complaint from the Union Ministry of Labour and Employment alleging commission of offences of cheating, criminal conspiracy and causing wrongful loss to the Employees' Provident Fund Organisation (EPFO)", "quote_doc_id": "t_feea75bbe5777837b513", "settling_ids": ["t_62071145ba9f11e6ad5b", "t_feea75bbe5777837b513", "t_0fa13b713478443e415c", "t_6112fa9aac08a7adc6cc"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Anil D Ambani", "Reliance Capital Limited", "Employees' Provident Fund Organisation"]}
{"id": "e_62071145ba9f_q2_neg", "domain": "Law", "question": "Will the CBI register an FIR against Reliance Capital Limited for causing a loss to the EPFO by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "No", "answer_type": "perturbed_binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 11, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_62071145ba9f", "event_date": "2026-08-01", "supporting_event": "The CBI has registered an FIR against Anil D Ambani and Reliance Capital Limited for allegedly causing a loss of ₹1,816.22 crore to the EPFO.", "storyline_id": "s_law_62071145", "storyline": "CBI investigation into Reliance Capital", "linked_domains": ["Business"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_931da1c96a23a0290edb", "t_a31d3749ed17b6c23e66", "t_b01de6b10a69c6296f47"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "perturbed_binary", "value": "No", "tolerance": null, "quote": "The action follows a July 21 complaint from the Union Ministry of Labour and Employment alleging commission of offences of cheating, criminal conspiracy and causing wrongful loss to the Employees' Provident Fund Organisation (EPFO)", "quote_doc_id": "t_feea75bbe5777837b513", "settling_ids": ["t_62071145ba9f11e6ad5b", "t_feea75bbe5777837b513", "t_0fa13b713478443e415c", "t_6112fa9aac08a7adc6cc"], "derivation": "the event dated 2026-08-01 is after the shifted deadline 2026-07-28, so the claim is false at that deadline"}, "perturbation": {"field": "deadline", "original": "2026-08-04", "substituted": "2026-07-28", "v40_substituted": "2026-07-26"}, "paired_with": "e_62071145ba9f_q2", "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Anil D Ambani", "Reliance Capital Limited", "Employees' Provident Fund Organisation"]}
{"id": "e_62cbce6bf801_q0", "domain": "Law", "question": "Who will be identified as the main accused in the alleged siphoning of funds from the Municipal Corporation Panchkula by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "Pushpinder Singh", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 15, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_62cbce6bf801", "event_date": "2026-08-05", "supporting_event": "Pushpinder Singh allegedly siphoned off ₹107 crore from Municipal Corporation Panchkula.", "storyline_id": "s_law_62cbce6b", "storyline": "Panchkula fraud investigation", "linked_domains": ["Business"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_ca5961b7319b91779ec0", "t_c6e35be4a261b387558b", "t_0a468d9107d353fbf52f", "t_6675768c07bb9a2653dd"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "Pushpinder Singh", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the main accused, former Kotak Mahindra Bank Deputy Vice President Pushpinder Singh", "quote_doc_id": "t_473791d9ba8229ec1227", "settling_ids": ["t_62cbce6bf801b6a3508a", "t_473791d9ba8229ec1227", "t_b2debae1a36b7de15312"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Pushpinder Singh", "Vikas Kaushik", "Dilip Raghav", "Kotak Mahindra Bank", "Municipal Corporation Panchkula"]}
{"id": "e_69df6449ccb2_q0", "domain": "Law", "question": "How many square feet will the proposed ballroom at the White House be if construction is halted by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "90000", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "square feet", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 17, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_69df6449ccb2", "event_date": "2026-08-07", "supporting_event": "A federal appeals court ordered Donald Trump to halt construction of his $400 million ballroom at the White House.", "storyline_id": "s_law_69df6449", "storyline": "Trump's White House ballroom construction project", "linked_domains": ["Geopolitics", "Politics", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["d_59dd1882a5b1942d977f", "d_e7cfef2e97f8ef5fc04b"], "precursor_modalities": ["D"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "90000", "tolerance": 0.05, "quote": "President Donald Trump doesn’t have the unilateral authority to construct a 90,000-square-foot (8,400-square-meter) ballroom where the White House’s East Wing stood before he ordered its demolition.", "quote_doc_id": "t_54d30ca8e5f6f119dca9", "settling_ids": ["t_69df6449ccb21d976168", "t_54d30ca8e5f6f119dca9", "t_927a2581d8f0b7796c99", "t_61bc2d9c3112597b8b04", "a_5bb4ff45ac2306452dad"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Donald Trump", "U.S. Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia Circuit"]}
{"id": "e_6e2cfe956ae4_q0", "domain": "Law", "question": "Will the Central Board of Direct Taxes issue guidance on crypto-asset reporting by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 6, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_6e2cfe956ae4", "event_date": "2026-07-27", "supporting_event": "The Central Board of Direct Taxes issued a guidance note explaining the reporting rules for crypto-assets under the Income Tax Act, 2025.", "storyline_id": "s_law_6e2cfe95", "storyline": "crypto-asset reporting compliance", "linked_domains": ["Business"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_6c82b748d37314abbf46", "t_603881878cab30aae2ec", "t_86c7874bec2077573ca4"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "The Central Board of Direct Taxes (CBDT) has recently issued a guidance note explaining how crypto-asset reporting obligations will work under the Income Tax Act, 2025, bringing India's reporting framework in line with the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development's (OECD) Crypto-Asset Reporting Framework (CARF).", "quote_doc_id": "t_6e2cfe956ae47270f97d", "settling_ids": ["t_6e2cfe956ae47270f97d", "t_65d17cac73b081489b90", "t_5d9b13c39e1c975a8d54"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Central Board of Direct Taxes", "Income Tax Act, 2025"]}
{"id": "e_6ed3185c9c2a_i0", "domain": "Law", "question": "What is the tail number of the Antonov aircraft involved in the event by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "UR-B2072", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 12, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_6ed3185c9c2a", "event_date": "2026-08-02", "supporting_event": "A bus driver knocked an explosive-laden drone out of the air at Leipzig/Halle airport.", "storyline_id": "s_law_6ed3185c", "storyline": "counterterrorism probe into drone incident", "linked_domains": ["Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_ab4321859dfbd3feabd1", "t_4444f8901548f322dda7", "t_787cff0ec30209599bcb", "t_3cd7484315f924cdbc2b", "t_2c6f948e5cd2433598ce"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "UR-B2072", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_d1d34e221378f6697ecb_0", "settling_ids": ["t_d1d34e221378f6697ecb", "t_6ed3185c9c2aacefb264", "t_2232e1cca5c3d021f29b", "t_d87b3bce7d4796ae9f6e"], "visible_detail": "the tail number UR-B2072 on an Antonov aircraft"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["bus driver", "Leipzig/Halle airport", "Detlef Seif", "CDU party"]}
{"id": "e_6ed3185c9c2a_q1", "domain": "Law", "question": "What type of drone was knocked out of the air at Leipzig/Halle airport by 2026-08-04?", "options": ["surveillance drone", "explosive-laden drone", "recreational drone", "cargo drone"], "answer": "explosive-laden drone", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 12, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_6ed3185c9c2a", "event_date": "2026-08-02", "supporting_event": "A bus driver knocked an explosive-laden drone out of the air at Leipzig/Halle airport.", "storyline_id": "s_law_6ed3185c", "storyline": "counterterrorism probe into drone incident", "linked_domains": ["Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_ab4321859dfbd3feabd1", "t_4444f8901548f322dda7", "t_787cff0ec30209599bcb", "t_3cd7484315f924cdbc2b", "t_2c6f948e5cd2433598ce"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "explosive-laden drone", "tolerance": null, "quote": "A bus driver knocked an explosive-laden drone out of the air", "quote_doc_id": "t_2232e1cca5c3d021f29b", "settling_ids": ["t_6ed3185c9c2aacefb264", "t_2232e1cca5c3d021f29b", "t_d87b3bce7d4796ae9f6e", "t_d1d34e221378f6697ecb"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["bus driver", "Leipzig/Halle airport", "Detlef Seif", "CDU party"]}
{"id": "e_7149be7837f0_q1", "domain": "Law", "question": "Who will have their manufacturing license suspended by FSSAI by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "Dior Pharmaceuticals", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 9, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_7149be7837f0", "event_date": "2026-07-30", "supporting_event": "FSSAI suspended the licence of Dior Pharmaceuticals for multiple violations at its nutraceutical factory.", "storyline_id": "s_law_7149be78", "storyline": "FSSAI regulatory enforcement actions", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Health"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_468373bcb6ad24ec0fb8", "t_5e2d5b62af0e501c151d", "t_e231d3de7e170f76d88d", "t_c2e73fea0ea9ad3d05bc"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "Dior Pharmaceuticals", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Food regulator FSSAI has suspended the licence of Dior Pharmaceuticals for multiple violations at its nutraceutical factory.", "quote_doc_id": "t_7149be7837f07b0604bb", "settling_ids": ["t_7149be7837f07b0604bb", "t_578fca6b4684df306405", "t_a0d024720aa70a85c542"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Dior Pharmaceuticals", "FSSAI"]}
{"id": "e_726ba3eb2fce_q0", "domain": "Law", "question": "Who will oversee the comprehensive review of security protocols at Kuala Lumpur International Airport by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "Hussein Omar Khan", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 13, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_726ba3eb2fce", "event_date": "2026-08-03", "supporting_event": "A comprehensive review of security protocols at Kuala Lumpur International Airport is under way following a surge in drug smuggling cases.", "storyline_id": "s_law_726ba3eb", "storyline": "KLIA security enhancement initiative", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_f7363d03b58d04c451e5", "t_08b6be9406284c129300", "t_96fd880afdd607976949", "t_cf8a84b99d4772aa18d3"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "Hussein Omar Khan", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Bukit Aman Narcotics Crime Investigation Department director Hussein Omar Khan said the matter was raised during a joint meeting on Aug 3 involving airport stakeholders, the Transport Ministry and enforcement agencies.", "quote_doc_id": "t_726ba3eb2fce5ed9ca81", "settling_ids": ["t_726ba3eb2fce5ed9ca81", "t_2eb65521a9b59e270215"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Kuala Lumpur International Airport", "Bukit Aman Narcotics Crime Investigation Department", "Hussein Omar Khan"]}
{"id": "e_726ba3eb2fce_q1", "domain": "Law", "question": "What will be elevated to a top priority tier in security measures at Kuala Lumpur International Airport by 2026-08-04?", "options": ["cargo inspection", "narcotics detection", "passenger screening", "weapons detection"], "answer": "narcotics detection", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 13, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_726ba3eb2fce", "event_date": "2026-08-03", "supporting_event": "A comprehensive review of security protocols at Kuala Lumpur International Airport is under way following a surge in drug smuggling cases.", "storyline_id": "s_law_726ba3eb", "storyline": "KLIA security enhancement initiative", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_f7363d03b58d04c451e5", "t_08b6be9406284c129300", "t_96fd880afdd607976949", "t_cf8a84b99d4772aa18d3"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "narcotics detection", "tolerance": null, "quote": "we have now agreed to elevate narcotics detection to that same top priority tier", "quote_doc_id": "t_726ba3eb2fce5ed9ca81", "settling_ids": ["t_726ba3eb2fce5ed9ca81", "t_2eb65521a9b59e270215"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Kuala Lumpur International Airport", "Bukit Aman Narcotics Crime Investigation Department", "Hussein Omar Khan"]}
{"id": "e_726ba3eb2fce_q2", "domain": "Law", "question": "How many drug bust cases will be recorded at Kuala Lumpur International Airport from January to July 2026 by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "108", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "cases", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 13, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_726ba3eb2fce", "event_date": "2026-08-03", "supporting_event": "A comprehensive review of security protocols at Kuala Lumpur International Airport is under way following a surge in drug smuggling cases.", "storyline_id": "s_law_726ba3eb", "storyline": "KLIA security enhancement initiative", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_f7363d03b58d04c451e5", "t_08b6be9406284c129300", "t_96fd880afdd607976949", "t_cf8a84b99d4772aa18d3"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "108", "tolerance": 0.05, "quote": "a total of 108 drug bust cases were recorded at KLIA", "quote_doc_id": "t_2eb65521a9b59e270215", "settling_ids": ["t_726ba3eb2fce5ed9ca81", "t_2eb65521a9b59e270215"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Kuala Lumpur International Airport", "Bukit Aman Narcotics Crime Investigation Department", "Hussein Omar Khan"]}
{"id": "e_7303f1cd23b9_i0", "domain": "Law", "question": "What is the total amount of dearness allowance to be cleared by the Punjab government by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "500", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 13, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_7303f1cd23b9", "event_date": "2026-08-03", "supporting_event": "The Punjab government is ordered to clear pending dearness allowance (DA) for employees and pensioners within 15 days.", "storyline_id": "s_law_7303f1cd", "storyline": "Punjab DA release case", "linked_domains": ["Health", "Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_a446ee97377a0155d40b", "t_b583f730095e86222467", "t_b9756575325b17362869"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "500", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_7303f1cd23b92fbddccc_0", "settling_ids": ["t_7303f1cd23b92fbddccc", "t_a431310f75ad61450a0c", "t_c354271fde595245d04f", "t_dd3cd8b5ef217b854ce1"], "visible_detail": "a stack of Indian currency notes, including 500 rupee notes"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Punjab government", "Punjab State Power Corporation Limited", "Punjab and Haryana High Court"]}
{"id": "e_7688f8d85d28_q0", "domain": "Law", "question": "How many senior IPS officers will be inducted into the newly constituted Special Investigation Team (SIT) for the investigation by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "3", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 5, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_7688f8d85d28", "event_date": "2026-07-26", "supporting_event": "The Uttar Pradesh government has reconstituted the Special Investigation Team (SIT) for investigation into alleged irregularities of donations and offerings made at Ayodhya's Ram Temple.", "storyline_id": "s_law_7688f8d8", "storyline": "investigation into Ram Temple donation embezzlement case", "linked_domains": ["Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_5b2ae3a4bd222c5c85ec", "t_6d0a97dfeaaaa1292b7f", "t_270ba61be6d0bed81946", "t_6741771b6acbbfc71a44", "t_ae86525173523de86460", "t_c5218a01824dff8f0914"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "3", "tolerance": null, "quote": "inducting three senior IPS officers to lead the investigation", "quote_doc_id": "t_7688f8d85d2842cdea49", "settling_ids": ["t_7688f8d85d2842cdea49", "t_420a95fd1bdb2662a944", "t_1d068acc14b1ae17b65f", "t_9da9fb8fa09b58304af0"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Uttar Pradesh government", "Special Investigation Team", "Ayodhya", "Ram Temple"]}
{"id": "e_7a77a92efbed_q0", "domain": "Law", "question": "How many ransom notes will investigators release in the Nancy Guthrie kidnapping case by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "2", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 10, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_7a77a92efbed", "event_date": "2026-07-31", "supporting_event": "Investigators released two ransom notes in the Nancy Guthrie kidnapping case.", "storyline_id": "s_law_7a77a92e", "storyline": "Nancy Guthrie kidnapping case", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_5311d639bd2c7ea54e78", "t_b03a4386238229fd4896", "t_aeac72eeb845c5b761c8", "t_39c465a96f70a0d3ac28", "t_1700c2f78fbcb8a6d399"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "2", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Investigators on Friday released two notes apparently sent by the individuals who kidnapped Nancy Guthrie", "quote_doc_id": "t_7a77a92efbed4a4d1606", "settling_ids": ["t_7a77a92efbed4a4d1606", "t_d1461de78f2945e702ef"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Nancy Guthrie", "Savannah Guthrie", "Tuscon"]}
{"id": "e_7ba6c027c496_q2", "domain": "Law", "question": "How many days has Daniel Tatlow-Devally been in custody by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "318", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "days", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 2, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_7ba6c027c496", "event_date": "2026-07-23", "supporting_event": "Daniel Tatlow-Devally is on trial for trespassing and criminal damage to an Israeli-owned arms factory.", "storyline_id": "s_law_7ba6c027", "storyline": "Trial of Daniel Tatlow-Devally", "linked_domains": ["Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_405ea9ef7ae0990898a3", "t_ccf105398077623a96a0", "t_2d8100547e32084111fe"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "318", "tolerance": 0.05, "quote": "has been in custody for 318 days", "quote_doc_id": "t_7ba6c027c4962df6b57e", "settling_ids": ["t_7ba6c027c4962df6b57e", "t_536661470a2bf9fe9c98"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Daniel Tatlow-Devally", "Israeli-owned arms factory"]}
{"id": "e_820d5ecac7df_d0", "domain": "Law", "question": "What is the District Court case number for the appeal by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "1:23-cv-02536", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "D", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 8, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_820d5ecac7df", "event_date": "2026-07-29", "supporting_event": "A federal appeals court reopened claims that Cendyn’s Rainmaker helped Atlantic City casinos move room rates in tandem.", "storyline_id": "s_law_820d5eca", "storyline": "Cornish-Adebiyi v. Caesars Entertainment antitrust case", "linked_domains": ["Business"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_457e7739f8592860cda5", "t_317c936c5d5afd91fd0c"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "1:23-cv-02536", "tolerance": null, "quote": "On Appeal from the United States District Court for the District of New Jersey (D.C. No. 1:23-cv-02536)", "quote_doc_id": "d_820d5ecac7df911debc3", "settling_ids": ["d_820d5ecac7df911debc3", "d_820d5ecac7df911debc3", "t_ceac141d26366d0b23d3", "t_5238c2917f5257b3aef8", "t_acca5ba0a5d682d6b289", "t_edd94634ad5269bcadb7", "t_1ee484033ef73082c9fa"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Cendyn", "Atlantic City casinos", "Caesars Entertainment", "Boardwalk Regency LLC", "Harrah’s Atlantic City Operating Company LLC", "Tropicana Atlantic City Corporation", "MGM Resorts International"]}
{"id": "e_837f98e823d5_d0", "domain": "Law", "question": "What is the effective date of the final rule rescinding portions of the Department of Education Title VI regulations by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "July 24, 2026", "answer_type": "date", "unit": null, "modality_required": "D", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 3, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_837f98e823d5", "event_date": "2026-07-24", "supporting_event": "The U.S. Department of Education is rescinding several disparate-impact provisions from the Department’s regulations implementing Title VI of the Civil Rights Act of 1964.", "storyline_id": "s_law_837f98e8", "storyline": "Title VI regulatory amendments", "linked_domains": ["Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_3be59f995578edee3435", "t_3d371bf3b0d77d676a7c", "t_0c7beebeabad8c74497e", "t_2691f87cd604ebcf389b", "t_adc4c9d254e4af3401c5"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "date", "value": "July 24, 2026", "tolerance": null, "quote": "This final rule is effective on July 24, 2026.", "quote_doc_id": "d_2b202fd938a025186cd8", "settling_ids": ["d_2b202fd938a025186cd8", "d_837f98e823d5e2d30ca0", "t_6cb1ec58661f1427d729", "t_174e530e5340831084e3", "t_61d0b45d3390ab727cdb", "t_cd42fdfb862477282171"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["U.S. Department of Education", "Title VI of the Civil Rights Act of 1964"]}
{"id": "e_837f98e823d5_q0", "domain": "Law", "question": "Will the U.S. Department of Education rescind any disparate-impact provisions from the Department’s regulations implementing Title VI of the Civil Rights Act of 1964 by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 3, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_837f98e823d5", "event_date": "2026-07-24", "supporting_event": "The U.S. Department of Education is rescinding several disparate-impact provisions from the Department’s regulations implementing Title VI of the Civil Rights Act of 1964.", "storyline_id": "s_law_837f98e8", "storyline": "Title VI regulatory amendments", "linked_domains": ["Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_3be59f995578edee3435", "t_3d371bf3b0d77d676a7c", "t_0c7beebeabad8c74497e", "t_2691f87cd604ebcf389b", "t_adc4c9d254e4af3401c5"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the Department is rescinding several disparate-impact provisions from the Department’s regulations implementing Title VI of the Civil Rights Act of 1964", "quote_doc_id": "t_6cb1ec58661f1427d729", "settling_ids": ["t_6cb1ec58661f1427d729", "t_174e530e5340831084e3", "t_61d0b45d3390ab727cdb", "t_cd42fdfb862477282171", "d_837f98e823d5e2d30ca0", "d_2b202fd938a025186cd8"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["U.S. Department of Education", "Title VI of the Civil Rights Act of 1964"]}
{"id": "e_837f98e823d5_q1", "domain": "Law", "question": "Who will announce the rescinding of several disparate-impact provisions from the Department’s regulations implementing Title VI of the Civil Rights Act of 1964 by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "the Secretary of Education", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "D", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 3, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_837f98e823d5", "event_date": "2026-07-24", "supporting_event": "The U.S. Department of Education is rescinding several disparate-impact provisions from the Department’s regulations implementing Title VI of the Civil Rights Act of 1964.", "storyline_id": "s_law_837f98e8", "storyline": "Title VI regulatory amendments", "linked_domains": ["Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_3be59f995578edee3435", "t_3d371bf3b0d77d676a7c", "t_0c7beebeabad8c74497e", "t_2691f87cd604ebcf389b", "t_adc4c9d254e4af3401c5"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "the Secretary of Education", "tolerance": null, "quote": "The Secretary of Education amends the regulations implementing Title VI of the Civil Rights Act of 1964", "quote_doc_id": "d_2b202fd938a025186cd8", "settling_ids": ["t_6cb1ec58661f1427d729", "t_174e530e5340831084e3", "t_61d0b45d3390ab727cdb", "t_cd42fdfb862477282171", "d_837f98e823d5e2d30ca0", "d_2b202fd938a025186cd8"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["U.S. Department of Education", "Title VI of the Civil Rights Act of 1964"]}
{"id": "e_8459b7234e76_i0", "domain": "Law", "question": "What is the total reward amount offered for the information leading to the arrest or conviction of the wanted individuals by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "over $100 million", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 13, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_8459b7234e76", "event_date": "2026-08-03", "supporting_event": "The United States announced reward offers totaling more than $100 million for information leading to the arrest or conviction of eight leaders of the CJNG.", "storyline_id": "s_law_8459b723", "storyline": "U.S. efforts against drug cartels", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Geopolitics", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_eaab6de7f7816325a0dc", "t_b51c43989725d240ccbd", "t_69ec633c7b8212331c64", "t_b3d25e20c50cd2abf5e6", "t_d15e23873018addedc36"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "over $100 million", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_3327450ddad341ec8087_0", "settling_ids": ["t_2033a83197a8eb633fb4", "t_8459b7234e766a5ba074", "t_3327450ddad341ec8087", "t_16a2c09bbfc424948803"], "visible_detail": "the reward amounts listed for the wanted individuals"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["United States", "Cártel Jalisco Nueva Generación", "CJNG"]}
{"id": "e_8459b7234e76_q0", "domain": "Law", "question": "How much will the United States offer in rewards for information leading to the arrest or conviction of leaders of the CJNG by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "102", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "million dollars", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 13, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_8459b7234e76", "event_date": "2026-08-03", "supporting_event": "The United States announced reward offers totaling more than $100 million for information leading to the arrest or conviction of eight leaders of the CJNG.", "storyline_id": "s_law_8459b723", "storyline": "U.S. efforts against drug cartels", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Geopolitics", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_eaab6de7f7816325a0dc", "t_b51c43989725d240ccbd", "t_69ec633c7b8212331c64", "t_b3d25e20c50cd2abf5e6", "t_d15e23873018addedc36"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "102", "tolerance": 0.05, "quote": "the administration of United States President Donald Trump has announced it will offer up to $102m in rewards for information leading to the arrest or conviction of leaders from the Jalisco New Generation Cartel (CJNG)", "quote_doc_id": "t_3327450ddad341ec8087", "settling_ids": ["t_8459b7234e766a5ba074", "t_3327450ddad341ec8087", "t_16a2c09bbfc424948803", "t_2033a83197a8eb633fb4", "d_f97c81b9f89a83c9c99c"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["United States", "Cártel Jalisco Nueva Generación", "CJNG"]}
{"id": "e_8478c47bb2ad_q0", "domain": "Law", "question": "Who will be among the police officers killed in a militant attack in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "Deputy Superintendent of Police (DSP) Mujahid Hussain", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 6, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_8478c47bb2ad", "event_date": "2026-07-27", "supporting_event": "Ten police officers died in a militant attack on a checkpoint in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa.", "storyline_id": "s_law_8478c47b", "storyline": "militant attacks in Pakistan", "linked_domains": ["Geopolitics", "Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_a3eb63736ce8b87c9bb8", "t_201d5bdaca3a33c760ac", "t_c4feca56097ec0f8873b", "t_ec80b0a756475ff7b512"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "Deputy Superintendent of Police (DSP) Mujahid Hussain", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Earlier local police officials identified one of the officers killed as Deputy Superintendent of Police (DSP) Mujahid Hussain", "quote_doc_id": "t_018cc2d3bc2caef91306", "settling_ids": ["t_8478c47bb2ad0112cec6", "t_018cc2d3bc2caef91306", "t_2406cc46555a32c115f7", "a_7b46de2c4e4a410fe492"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["police", "militants", "Khyber Pakhtunkhwa", "Hangu district"]}
{"id": "e_888c0a4e0dfd_q2", "domain": "Law", "question": "How many former Apple employees will Apple seek to bar from accessing its confidential information by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "2", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 13, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_888c0a4e0dfd", "event_date": "2026-08-03", "supporting_event": "Apple asked a U.S. judge for a preliminary injunction barring two former employees and OpenAI from accessing, acquiring, using or disclosing alleged confidential information.", "storyline_id": "s_law_397e2f3a", "storyline": "Apple v. OpenAI trade secrets case", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Politics", "Technology"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_bd7b8adc7ee75f5ac67d", "t_9dbb12d1219aba541b7e", "t_c040bc68029cf3f3106a", "t_595d2e4bb0c240637979", "t_1cf53d709bea7a9b5a9d", "t_55ffb99f13f2588632a3", "t_7b07e40883dba0eac7d7"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "2", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Apple on Monday asked a U.S. judge for a preliminary injunction barring two former employees and OpenAI from accessing, acquiring, using or disclosing alleged confidential information as it moves ahead with its trade secrets case.", "quote_doc_id": "t_888c0a4e0dfd8be6d55a", "settling_ids": ["t_888c0a4e0dfd8be6d55a", "t_29bbcfe87b137d8c3bd6", "t_7ecad73d78a814f2ca20"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Apple", "OpenAI", "Chang Liu", "Tang Yew Tan", "Yu-Ting Pe"]}
{"id": "e_8902476032d0_q0", "domain": "Law", "question": "How many years of imprisonment could Zhanna Nemtsova face for organizing the activities of an 'undesirable' organization by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "6", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "years", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 10, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_8902476032d0", "event_date": "2026-07-31", "supporting_event": "A Moscow court ordered the pre-trial arrest in absentia of Zhanna Nemtsova.", "storyline_id": "s_law_60d6c0a7", "storyline": "Moscow court rulings regarding undesirable organizations", "linked_domains": ["Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_201b64d4a7d56bca5a2f", "t_0caf8b305db983aece12", "t_99489d4022051bdaf774"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "6", "tolerance": 0.05, "quote": "which carry a maximum punishment of six years in prison.", "quote_doc_id": "t_05b9644b784e8d51a0fa", "settling_ids": ["t_8902476032d0669be5dc", "t_60d6c0a7c42ad8d0f767", "t_05b9644b784e8d51a0fa"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Zhanna Nemtsova", "Boris Nemtsov", "Boris Nemtsov Foundation for Freedom"]}
{"id": "e_8ffbbe6f0601_v0", "domain": "Law", "question": "What is the name of the former U.S. Attorney General discussed in the broadcast by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "JOHN ASHCROFT", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "V", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 9, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_8ffbbe6f0601", "event_date": "2026-07-30", "supporting_event": "The Federal Communications Commission seeks comment on prohibiting the importation and marketing of certain covered UAS and UAS critical components.", "storyline_id": "s_law_8ffbbe6f", "storyline": "UAS importation and marketing prohibition", "linked_domains": ["Politics", "Technology"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_a889321c970d37ebcdec", "t_155a7a9855edc0aea271", "t_3d64c36eadd51844f415", "t_d232c8728c5bdfe823e5", "t_8542c1512fc3f17c48bd", "t_e39d327ccbe071bdc9cf"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "JOHN ASHCROFT", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Former U.S. Attorneys General Discuss Constitutional Limits to Federal Power", "quote_doc_id": "v_d613d19225799c5e3d61", "settling_ids": ["d_8ffbbe6f06011c762161", "t_765b702a3947ebbcc93a"], "visible_detail": "what the frames show"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Federal Communications Commission", "UAS"]}
{"id": "e_97ee9fee024b_q1", "domain": "Law", "question": "Who will express concern over Nirav Modi still being in the UK by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "Priti Patel", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 5, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_97ee9fee024b", "event_date": "2026-07-26", "supporting_event": "Priti Patel expressed concern over Nirav Modi still being in the UK.", "storyline_id": "s_law_97ee9fee", "storyline": "Nirav Modi extradition process", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_b9a7656641f57a100ced", "t_909754cbaecb88e02ee3", "t_291d25690728bbebe27a"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "Priti Patel", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Priti Patel, the British Indian minister who signed off on Nirav Modi's extradition order to India as home secretary in April 2021", "quote_doc_id": "t_26561d0625af92f89135", "settling_ids": ["t_97ee9fee024b07e1ab50", "t_38232243cf8a752c947a", "t_26561d0625af92f89135", "t_24c44453f52bbe6409c7"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Priti Patel", "Nirav Modi"]}
{"id": "e_9c9617b49b2d_i0", "domain": "Law", "question": "How many illegal squishy toys were seized by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "20000", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 13, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_9c9617b49b2d", "event_date": "2026-08-03", "supporting_event": "The Thai Industrial Standards Institute (TISI) seized nearly 20,000 illegal squishy toys.", "storyline_id": "s_law_9c9617b4", "storyline": "TISI enforcement of toy safety regulations", "linked_domains": ["Health"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_ba5074a38d83cd5d5dc7", "t_97bf54c0af6221a655fb", "t_a4eec37cde8555a4e5d7", "t_1e3377342fced6b61454"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "20000", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_9c9617b49b2d712a2c08_0", "settling_ids": ["t_9c9617b49b2d712a2c08", "t_fd89f5b77d6b771c0610"], "visible_detail": "the number of illegal squishy toys being seized"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Thai Industrial Standards Institute", "squishy toys"]}
{"id": "e_9c9617b49b2d_q0", "domain": "Law", "question": "How many illegal squishy toys will the Thai Industrial Standards Institute seize by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "19665", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "toys", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 13, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_9c9617b49b2d", "event_date": "2026-08-03", "supporting_event": "The Thai Industrial Standards Institute (TISI) seized nearly 20,000 illegal squishy toys.", "storyline_id": "s_law_9c9617b4", "storyline": "TISI enforcement of toy safety regulations", "linked_domains": ["Health"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_ba5074a38d83cd5d5dc7", "t_97bf54c0af6221a655fb", "t_a4eec37cde8555a4e5d7", "t_1e3377342fced6b61454"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "19665", "tolerance": 0.05, "quote": "The inspections at all six shops uncovered 19,665 substandard squishy toys", "quote_doc_id": "t_9c9617b49b2d712a2c08", "settling_ids": ["t_9c9617b49b2d712a2c08", "t_fd89f5b77d6b771c0610"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Thai Industrial Standards Institute", "squishy toys"]}
{"id": "e_a490e8672dbe_v0", "domain": "Law", "question": "What are the names of the historian and author, and the co-chair, as they appear on screen by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "Nancy K. Smith, Anita McBride", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "V", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 6, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_a490e8672dbe", "event_date": "2026-07-27", "supporting_event": "Salman Khan received relief from the Delhi High Court, which ordered the removal of the teaser and promotional material of the film Kala Hiran: The Battle for Legacy.", "storyline_id": "s_law_a490e867", "storyline": "legal proceedings regarding film promotion", "linked_domains": ["Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_f4f8192d1401022df63c", "t_b262474a157fab97f19c", "t_30611d8f695ab9bbe6c6", "t_b285afdf2f9630f1efc8", "t_78a168fa920623b711ea", "t_78338dd4d6241a84fefe"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "Nancy K. Smith, Anita McBride", "tolerance": null, "quote": "America 250 Life & Legacy of First Lady Caroline Harrison", "quote_doc_id": "v_435e764061b67f51ce62", "settling_ids": ["t_a490e8672dbe26632676", "t_5f53b9b4348d5203ea78"], "visible_detail": "the names of the historian and author, and the co-chair"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Salman Khan", "Delhi High Court", "Kala Hiran: The Battle for Legacy"]}
{"id": "e_a611c6c8fd95_q0", "domain": "Law", "question": "Will Poornima Restaurant retain its FSSAI licence by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "No", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 7, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_a611c6c8fd95", "event_date": "2026-07-28", "supporting_event": "Poornima Restaurant had its FSSAI licence revoked due to food safety violations.", "storyline_id": "s_law_a611c6c8", "storyline": "Food safety regulatory enforcement", "linked_domains": ["Health"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_468373bcb6ad24ec0fb8", "t_9bf03670b6cd1813b84c", "t_5e2d5b62af0e501c151d", "t_9db15e3967e9ed467507"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "No", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the FDA has suspended the Food Safety and Standards Authority of India (FSSAI) licence of Poornima Restaurant, the iconic Udupi eatery in Mumbai’s Fort area, with immediate effect over multiple food safety and hygiene violations.", "quote_doc_id": "t_a611c6c8fd950184a3e5", "settling_ids": ["t_a611c6c8fd950184a3e5", "t_c0f55edc2180a55f6343"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Poornima Restaurant", "Maharashtra Food and Drug Administration", "Food Safety and Standards Authority of India"]}
{"id": "e_a611c6c8fd95_q2", "domain": "Law", "question": "Which regulatory body revoked the FSSAI licence of Poornima Restaurant by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "Maharashtra Food and Drug Administration", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 7, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_a611c6c8fd95", "event_date": "2026-07-28", "supporting_event": "Poornima Restaurant had its FSSAI licence revoked due to food safety violations.", "storyline_id": "s_law_a611c6c8", "storyline": "Food safety regulatory enforcement", "linked_domains": ["Health"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_468373bcb6ad24ec0fb8", "t_9bf03670b6cd1813b84c", "t_5e2d5b62af0e501c151d", "t_9db15e3967e9ed467507"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "Maharashtra Food and Drug Administration", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the Maharashtra Food and Drug Administration (FDA) has suspended the Food Safety and Standards Authority of India (FSSAI) licence of Poornima Restaurant", "quote_doc_id": "t_a611c6c8fd950184a3e5", "settling_ids": ["t_a611c6c8fd950184a3e5", "t_c0f55edc2180a55f6343"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Poornima Restaurant", "Maharashtra Food and Drug Administration", "Food Safety and Standards Authority of India"]}
{"id": "e_ab5ca73a2d00_q0", "domain": "Law", "question": "Will Claudio Tapia be ordered to provide evidence by U.S. courts by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "No", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 1, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_ab5ca73a2d00", "event_date": "2026-07-22", "supporting_event": "Claudio Tapia has not been ordered to provide evidence by U.S. courts.", "storyline_id": "s_law_ab5ca73a", "storyline": "U.S. investigation into AFA", "linked_domains": ["Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_911f56ce9fa79d6fd6a5", "t_13cc8e9367fd062088a2", "t_ee34bd409451826a52cf", "t_168ea64413b3d0e0fe98"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "No", "tolerance": null, "quote": "it is completely untrue to claim that Claudio Tapia or Pablo Toviggino have been summoned to give evidence by the U.S. courts", "quote_doc_id": "t_ab5ca73a2d005fac1aaf", "settling_ids": ["t_ab5ca73a2d005fac1aaf", "t_b1cddbf9ce09a79ad8f6", "t_e642f48237acc2d67b53", "t_e24cc2984723dfae6ea3"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Claudio Tapia", "Pablo Toviggino", "Argentina Football Association"]}
{"id": "e_aecd714cc1a7_q2", "domain": "Law", "question": "How many member states will vote to dismiss Karim Khan from the International Criminal Court by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "82", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 6, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_aecd714cc1a7", "event_date": "2026-07-27", "supporting_event": "Karim Khan was dismissed from the International Criminal Court.", "storyline_id": "s_law_35df1593", "storyline": "removal of ICC chief prosecutor", "linked_domains": ["Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_05a0100ff7800bfdde09", "t_0f979ac7ef5545489e2a"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "82", "tolerance": 0.05, "quote": "82 of the court's 125 member states voted to dismiss Khan for serious misconduct.", "quote_doc_id": "t_aecd714cc1a79bbfd66a", "settling_ids": ["t_aecd714cc1a79bbfd66a", "t_ad0e2a14f0cdde432c1c"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Karim Khan", "International Criminal Court"]}
{"id": "e_b13492182d5b_a0", "domain": "Law", "question": "What will be the circuit split on the issue of mandatory detention by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "six to two", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "A", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 10, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_b13492182d5b", "event_date": "2026-07-31", "supporting_event": "Two appellate courts ruled against the Trump administration, overturning the policy of 'mandatory detention' for immigrants.", "storyline_id": "s_law_b1349218", "storyline": "legal challenges to immigration policies", "linked_domains": ["Politics", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_b679d9b6e1ac8bf33f50", "t_739b76d90524c8c1cc7a"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "six to two", "tolerance": null, "quote": "And that means there is now, David, a six to two circuit split on this issue.", "quote_doc_id": "a_0d75cf119a07c344da70", "settling_ids": ["a_0d75cf119a07c344da70", "t_b13492182d5bdcfb1095", "t_9ab003a5ce3751778224"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Trump administration", "9th U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals", "7th Circuit"]}
{"id": "e_b13492182d5b_q0", "domain": "Law", "question": "How many appellate courts will rule against the Trump administration's mandatory detention policy by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "2", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 10, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_b13492182d5b", "event_date": "2026-07-31", "supporting_event": "Two appellate courts ruled against the Trump administration, overturning the policy of 'mandatory detention' for immigrants.", "storyline_id": "s_law_b1349218", "storyline": "legal challenges to immigration policies", "linked_domains": ["Politics", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_b679d9b6e1ac8bf33f50", "t_739b76d90524c8c1cc7a"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "2", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Two appellate courts ruled this week against the Trump administration, overturning the policy of ‘mandatory detention’ for immigrants.", "quote_doc_id": "t_b13492182d5bdcfb1095", "settling_ids": ["t_b13492182d5bdcfb1095", "t_9ab003a5ce3751778224", "a_0d75cf119a07c344da70"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Trump administration", "9th U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals", "7th Circuit"]}
{"id": "e_b13492182d5b_q2", "domain": "Law", "question": "Will the Trump administration's mandatory detention policy be upheld by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "No", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 10, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_b13492182d5b", "event_date": "2026-07-31", "supporting_event": "Two appellate courts ruled against the Trump administration, overturning the policy of 'mandatory detention' for immigrants.", "storyline_id": "s_law_b1349218", "storyline": "legal challenges to immigration policies", "linked_domains": ["Politics", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_b679d9b6e1ac8bf33f50", "t_739b76d90524c8c1cc7a"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "No", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the courts ruled that immigrants who are picked up away from the border are entitled to a bond hearing to decide whether they should be freed or remain in detention.", "quote_doc_id": "t_b13492182d5bdcfb1095", "settling_ids": ["t_b13492182d5bdcfb1095", "t_9ab003a5ce3751778224", "a_0d75cf119a07c344da70"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Trump administration", "9th U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals", "7th Circuit"]}
{"id": "e_b2c3e5d2920d_q1", "domain": "Law", "question": "Who will be linked to the alleged baby arrangement deal involving Ram Kumar Verma by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "Geeta Devi", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 21, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_b2c3e5d2920d", "event_date": "2026-08-11", "supporting_event": "Ram Kumar Verma offered a government nurse Rs 5 lakh to arrange a baby boy.", "storyline_id": "s_law_b2c3e5d2", "storyline": "baby arrangement case in Kanpur", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_23dde49843d41ff29920", "t_58b051749a20f80b5f8a"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "Geeta Devi", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the link between the ANM and the power engineer was established by examining ANM Geeta Devi’s call records", "quote_doc_id": "t_e17f89669b50f3ed78c2", "settling_ids": ["t_b2c3e5d2920d5e2dc036", "t_e17f89669b50f3ed78c2"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Ram Kumar Verma", "Geeta Devi"]}
{"id": "e_b5044a0727fe_q0", "domain": "Law", "question": "Will police from five Amazon countries arrest more than 500 people during a crackdown on environmental crime by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 10, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_b5044a0727fe", "event_date": "2026-07-31", "supporting_event": "Police from five Amazon countries arrested 839 people during Operation Green Shield 2026.", "storyline_id": "s_law_b5044a07", "storyline": "Operation Green Shield 2026", "linked_domains": ["Environment", "Geopolitics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_1dea3185f5e997fc9f09", "t_6fc3251aa14555807d32", "t_0415510efd1910fea44c"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the operation resulted in 839 arrests during 1,045 field actions", "quote_doc_id": "t_b5044a0727fea39306ac", "settling_ids": ["t_b5044a0727fea39306ac", "t_ec4d6e134831fc504f9d", "t_3f28f2edce69c820539a", "t_b12ab292054569be67e7"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Police", "Bolivia", "Brazil", "Colombia", "Ecuador", "Peru", "Operation Green Shield 2026"]}
{"id": "e_b5044a0727fe_q0_neg", "domain": "Law", "question": "Will police from five Amazon countries arrest more than 500 people during a crackdown on environmental crime by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "No", "answer_type": "perturbed_binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 10, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_b5044a0727fe", "event_date": "2026-07-31", "supporting_event": "Police from five Amazon countries arrested 839 people during Operation Green Shield 2026.", "storyline_id": "s_law_b5044a07", "storyline": "Operation Green Shield 2026", "linked_domains": ["Environment", "Geopolitics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_1dea3185f5e997fc9f09", "t_6fc3251aa14555807d32", "t_0415510efd1910fea44c"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "perturbed_binary", "value": "No", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the operation resulted in 839 arrests during 1,045 field actions", "quote_doc_id": "t_b5044a0727fea39306ac", "settling_ids": ["t_b5044a0727fea39306ac", "t_ec4d6e134831fc504f9d", "t_3f28f2edce69c820539a", "t_b12ab292054569be67e7"], "derivation": "the event dated 2026-07-31 is after the shifted deadline 2026-07-28, so the claim is false at that deadline"}, "perturbation": {"field": "deadline", "original": "2026-08-04", "substituted": "2026-07-28", "v40_substituted": "2026-07-26"}, "paired_with": "e_b5044a0727fe_q0", "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Police", "Bolivia", "Brazil", "Colombia", "Ecuador", "Peru", "Operation Green Shield 2026"]}
{"id": "e_b5044a0727fe_q1", "domain": "Law", "question": "How many people will police from five Amazon countries arrest during Operation Green Shield 2026 by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "839", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "people", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 10, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_b5044a0727fe", "event_date": "2026-07-31", "supporting_event": "Police from five Amazon countries arrested 839 people during Operation Green Shield 2026.", "storyline_id": "s_law_b5044a07", "storyline": "Operation Green Shield 2026", "linked_domains": ["Environment", "Geopolitics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_1dea3185f5e997fc9f09", "t_6fc3251aa14555807d32", "t_0415510efd1910fea44c"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "839", "tolerance": 0.05, "quote": "the operation resulted in 839 arrests during 1,045 field actions", "quote_doc_id": "t_b5044a0727fea39306ac", "settling_ids": ["t_b5044a0727fea39306ac", "t_ec4d6e134831fc504f9d", "t_3f28f2edce69c820539a", "t_b12ab292054569be67e7"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Police", "Bolivia", "Brazil", "Colombia", "Ecuador", "Peru", "Operation Green Shield 2026"]}
{"id": "e_b5044a0727fe_q2", "domain": "Law", "question": "Which five countries will participate in Operation Green Shield 2026 by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "Bolivia, Brazil, Colombia, Ecuador, Peru", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 10, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_b5044a0727fe", "event_date": "2026-07-31", "supporting_event": "Police from five Amazon countries arrested 839 people during Operation Green Shield 2026.", "storyline_id": "s_law_b5044a07", "storyline": "Operation Green Shield 2026", "linked_domains": ["Environment", "Geopolitics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_1dea3185f5e997fc9f09", "t_6fc3251aa14555807d32", "t_0415510efd1910fea44c"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "Bolivia, Brazil, Colombia, Ecuador, Peru", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Authorities from Bolivia, Brazil, Colombia, Ecuador and Peru said this week that Operation Green Shield 2026", "quote_doc_id": "t_b5044a0727fea39306ac", "settling_ids": ["t_b5044a0727fea39306ac", "t_ec4d6e134831fc504f9d", "t_3f28f2edce69c820539a", "t_b12ab292054569be67e7"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Police", "Bolivia", "Brazil", "Colombia", "Ecuador", "Peru", "Operation Green Shield 2026"]}
{"id": "e_b54ace591468_a0", "domain": "Law", "question": "What number of member states voted in favour of removing Karim Khan from office by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "82", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "A", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 3, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_b54ace591468", "event_date": "2026-07-24", "supporting_event": "Karim Khan was removed from office as the chief prosecutor of the International Criminal Court.", "storyline_id": "s_law_35df1593", "storyline": "removal of ICC chief prosecutor", "linked_domains": ["Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_05a0100ff7800bfdde09", "t_0f979ac7ef5545489e2a"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "82", "tolerance": null, "quote": "82 of the court's 125 member states voted in favour of ousting Mr Khan at a special meeting at the UN's headquarters in New York.", "quote_doc_id": "a_1b2856125d362d11cfed", "settling_ids": ["a_1b2856125d362d11cfed", "t_6b8837f3e9141c37b487", "t_b54ace591468c4bc747b", "t_cebdcc11e08f17892fbc", "t_bda650246b9bca0c42d5", "t_a64877fd05158e810d71", "t_fe062e63773e231252c9"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Karim Khan", "International Criminal Court", "Assembly of States Parties"]}
{"id": "e_b54ace591468_q0", "domain": "Law", "question": "How many member states of the ICC will vote to remove Karim Khan from office by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "82", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "A", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 3, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_b54ace591468", "event_date": "2026-07-24", "supporting_event": "Karim Khan was removed from office as the chief prosecutor of the International Criminal Court.", "storyline_id": "s_law_35df1593", "storyline": "removal of ICC chief prosecutor", "linked_domains": ["Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_05a0100ff7800bfdde09", "t_0f979ac7ef5545489e2a"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "82", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the Assembly has decided by maturity of 82 state parties That the elected official prosecutor, Karim Khan, committed serious misconduct and a serious breach of duty", "quote_doc_id": "a_1b2856125d362d11cfed", "settling_ids": ["t_b54ace591468c4bc747b", "t_cebdcc11e08f17892fbc", "t_bda650246b9bca0c42d5", "t_a64877fd05158e810d71", "a_1b2856125d362d11cfed"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Karim Khan", "International Criminal Court", "Assembly of States Parties"]}
{"id": "e_b65e5aa2b0b9_q0", "domain": "Law", "question": "Will the Seoul police conduct a raid on the Korea Football Association (KFA) offices by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 16, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_b65e5aa2b0b9", "event_date": "2026-08-06", "supporting_event": "Seoul police raided the Korea Football Association (KFA) offices on August 6, 2026.", "storyline_id": "s_law_b65e5aa2", "storyline": "investigation into Hong Myung-bo's appointment", "linked_domains": ["Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_570e8bf16bfc027af8e7", "t_fe8062b5ad4156c5ee48", "t_cfe5ca18adbb432f5574", "t_625ff0f00fb488b2073b"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Seoul police raided the Korea Football Association (KFA) offices on Thursday as part of an \"obstruction of business\" investigation into the appointment of former coach Hong Myung-bo, police told Reuters.", "quote_doc_id": "t_b65e5aa2b0b98284d7ca", "settling_ids": ["t_b65e5aa2b0b98284d7ca", "t_efca2e9e277b7a3827df", "t_960cbccabc6dd4de5944"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Seoul police", "Korea Football Association", "Hong Myung-bo"]}
{"id": "e_b65e5aa2b0b9_q0_neg", "domain": "Law", "question": "Will the Seoul police conduct a raid on the Korea Football Association (KFA) offices by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "No", "answer_type": "perturbed_binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 16, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_b65e5aa2b0b9", "event_date": "2026-08-06", "supporting_event": "Seoul police raided the Korea Football Association (KFA) offices on August 6, 2026.", "storyline_id": "s_law_b65e5aa2", "storyline": "investigation into Hong Myung-bo's appointment", "linked_domains": ["Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_570e8bf16bfc027af8e7", "t_fe8062b5ad4156c5ee48", "t_cfe5ca18adbb432f5574", "t_625ff0f00fb488b2073b"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "perturbed_binary", "value": "No", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Seoul police raided the Korea Football Association (KFA) offices on Thursday as part of an \"obstruction of business\" investigation into the appointment of former coach Hong Myung-bo, police told Reuters.", "quote_doc_id": "t_b65e5aa2b0b98284d7ca", "settling_ids": ["t_b65e5aa2b0b98284d7ca", "t_efca2e9e277b7a3827df", "t_960cbccabc6dd4de5944"], "derivation": "the event dated 2026-08-06 is after the shifted deadline 2026-08-04, so the claim is false at that deadline"}, "perturbation": {"field": "deadline", "original": "2026-08-11", "substituted": "2026-08-04", "v40_substituted": "2026-07-29"}, "paired_with": "e_b65e5aa2b0b9_q0", "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Seoul police", "Korea Football Association", "Hong Myung-bo"]}
{"id": "e_ba8fc65221f8_v0", "domain": "Law", "question": "What title is given to Andrew Ferguson during the discussion by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "Federal Trade Commission Chair (R)", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "V", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 11, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_ba8fc65221f8", "event_date": "2026-08-01", "supporting_event": "Vance Boelter made his initial appearance in state court.", "storyline_id": "s_law_ba8fc652", "storyline": "Vance Boelter state court proceedings", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_d6eee1e126a14217075f", "t_a6034090c52628a48847"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "Federal Trade Commission Chair (R)", "tolerance": null, "quote": "VP Vance Discusses Fraud With Lawmakers", "quote_doc_id": "v_3cf6e44f7a37d2db2dd2", "settling_ids": ["t_e33a8454774619917684", "t_ba8fc65221f8048fa8a9", "t_bd7715493b46519151a0", "t_efedb50159802452399c"], "visible_detail": "what the frames show"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Vance Boelter", "Melissa Hortman", "Mark Hortman", "John Hoffman", "Yvette Hoffman"]}
{"id": "e_bd2da7ebb0dc_q0", "domain": "Law", "question": "How many people will be investigated by the Singapore police for their alleged involvement in scams by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "255", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 9, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_bd2da7ebb0dc", "event_date": "2026-07-30", "supporting_event": "Singapore police are investigating 255 people for their alleged involvement in scams.", "storyline_id": "s_law_bd2da7eb", "storyline": "2026 Singapore scam investigation", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_6fea42a21ef2e5601b0e", "t_699d4021f24db2c48bf9", "t_4e167d42dea60f61427a"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "255", "tolerance": null, "quote": "255 people are being investigated by the police over their suspected involvement in scams", "quote_doc_id": "t_bd2da7ebb0dcf3806045", "settling_ids": ["t_bd2da7ebb0dcf3806045", "t_3c999cf1d502f54daad5"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Singapore police"]}
{"id": "e_c8cabaddaec9_d0", "domain": "Law", "question": "What date may the repatriation, transfer, or reinterment of the human remains and associated funerary objects occur by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "September 2, 2026", "answer_type": "date", "unit": null, "modality_required": "D", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 13, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_c8cabaddaec9", "event_date": "2026-08-03", "supporting_event": "The University of Wisconsin Oshkosh proposes to transfer human remains and associated funerary objects.", "storyline_id": "s_law_c8cabadd", "storyline": "NAGPRA repatriation process", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["d_5989ff75050ea3c0b156", "d_5c8aa340736df1aa6c2a"], "precursor_modalities": ["D"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "date", "value": "September 2, 2026", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Repatriation, transfer, or reinterment of the human remains and associated funerary objects in this notice may occur on or after September 2, 2026.", "quote_doc_id": "d_c8cabaddaec95e763b48", "settling_ids": ["d_c8cabaddaec95e763b48", "d_c8cabaddaec95e763b48", "t_071e3471ca03b25e4b25", "t_06976a9f448498a2b0e1", "t_66570ecd2cd97dcea98b", "t_a053dad0f1942cfdbcc8", "t_9b603471b9c67b556be6"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["University of Wisconsin Oshkosh"]}
{"id": "e_c8cabaddaec9_q0", "domain": "Law", "question": "How many human remains will the University of Wisconsin Oshkosh propose to transfer by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "18", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "D", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 13, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_c8cabaddaec9", "event_date": "2026-08-03", "supporting_event": "The University of Wisconsin Oshkosh proposes to transfer human remains and associated funerary objects.", "storyline_id": "s_law_c8cabadd", "storyline": "NAGPRA repatriation process", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["d_5989ff75050ea3c0b156", "d_5c8aa340736df1aa6c2a"], "precursor_modalities": ["D"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "18", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Human remains representing, at least, 18 individuals have been identified.", "quote_doc_id": "d_c8cabaddaec95e763b48", "settling_ids": ["t_071e3471ca03b25e4b25", "t_06976a9f448498a2b0e1", "t_66570ecd2cd97dcea98b", "t_a053dad0f1942cfdbcc8", "d_c8cabaddaec95e763b48"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["University of Wisconsin Oshkosh"]}
{"id": "e_d04dcb8d7230_q0", "domain": "Law", "question": "What will the Central Board of Direct Taxes (CBDT) require from crypto exchanges and intermediaries regarding transaction reporting by 2026-07-28?", "options": ["register with the Securities and Exchange Board of India", "pay a new tax on crypto transactions", "stop all crypto transactions", "report all transactions on their platforms to the Income Tax department"], "answer": "report all transactions on their platforms to the Income Tax department", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 5, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_d04dcb8d7230", "event_date": "2026-07-26", "supporting_event": "The Central Board of Direct Taxes (CBDT) issued a guidance note specifying that crypto exchanges and other intermediaries will have to report all transactions on their platforms to the Income Tax department.", "storyline_id": "s_law_6e2cfe95", "storyline": "crypto-asset reporting compliance", "linked_domains": ["Business"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_603881878cab30aae2ec", "t_cc4237c508b272e9b8c9", "t_86c7874bec2077573ca4"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "report all transactions on their platforms to the Income Tax department", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the Central Board of Direct Taxes (CBDT) has issued a guidance note specifying that crypto exchanges and other intermediaries will have to report all transactions on their platforms to the Income Tax department.", "quote_doc_id": "t_c848fa34dc9ac329f701", "settling_ids": ["t_d04dcb8d723074dde338", "t_c848fa34dc9ac329f701", "t_59e97cc690e57b44cbeb", "t_d5ecafd37e9b5b0511bf"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Central Board of Direct Taxes", "crypto exchanges", "Income Tax department"]}
{"id": "e_d04dcb8d7230_q1", "domain": "Law", "question": "How many pages will the guidance note issued by the CBDT contain by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "198", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "pages", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 5, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_d04dcb8d7230", "event_date": "2026-07-26", "supporting_event": "The Central Board of Direct Taxes (CBDT) issued a guidance note specifying that crypto exchanges and other intermediaries will have to report all transactions on their platforms to the Income Tax department.", "storyline_id": "s_law_6e2cfe95", "storyline": "crypto-asset reporting compliance", "linked_domains": ["Business"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_603881878cab30aae2ec", "t_cc4237c508b272e9b8c9", "t_86c7874bec2077573ca4"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "198", "tolerance": 0.1, "quote": "the Central Board of Direct Taxes (CBDT) has issued a 198-page guidance note", "quote_doc_id": "t_59e97cc690e57b44cbeb", "settling_ids": ["t_d04dcb8d723074dde338", "t_c848fa34dc9ac329f701", "t_59e97cc690e57b44cbeb", "t_d5ecafd37e9b5b0511bf"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Central Board of Direct Taxes", "crypto exchanges", "Income Tax department"]}
{"id": "e_d15e24aa8e34_q1", "domain": "Law", "question": "How many children does Jessica Treviño have by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "3", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 9, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_d15e24aa8e34", "event_date": "2026-07-30", "supporting_event": "Jessica Treviño filed a lawsuit against the federal government after her DACA status was terminated.", "storyline_id": "s_law_d15e24aa", "storyline": "DACA legal challenges", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_f8de8813fff591b48d8a", "t_a9f308fb4795e85cc04a"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "3", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Their three children, all U.S. citizens, are living with family on the U.S. side near the border.", "quote_doc_id": "t_d15e24aa8e34ebf1c6f9", "settling_ids": ["t_d15e24aa8e34ebf1c6f9", "t_374fc70caa52c1fd560e", "t_e134a8a0373cba27855b", "t_8a3c00fc32720902107d"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Jessica Treviño", "federal government"]}
{"id": "e_d7e5a574297c_v0", "domain": "Law", "question": "What is the name of the person introduced during the broadcast by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "Katy Owens Hubler", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "V", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 9, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_d7e5a574297c", "event_date": "2026-07-30", "supporting_event": "An 82-year-old man lost Rs 3.5 lakh to cyber fraudsters posing as Election Commission officials.", "storyline_id": "s_law_52fde9cd", "storyline": "cyber fraud investigation", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Health", "Politics", "Technology"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_c6db281b71d8ca714e82", "t_e460f9e643d9135a9cec", "t_aed07a0d638db85501b6"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "Katy Owens Hubler", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Campaign 2026 State Officials on Midterm Election", "quote_doc_id": "v_25e45ec692e33391044e", "settling_ids": ["t_d7e5a574297c281967c8", "t_61cd56b596aa0272d6e6", "t_4748453b41929fb06309"], "visible_detail": "what the frames show"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["R Parthasarathy", "Election Commission of India", "Bengaluru"]}
{"id": "e_d937fde23d3d_q0", "domain": "Law", "question": "Which judge will grant an injunction against the NCAA allowing high school athletes from the Class of 2022 another year of eligibility by 2026-08-04?", "options": ["U.S. District Judge Michael Johnson", "U.S. District Judge John Smith", "U.S. District Judge Charlotte Sweeney", "U.S. District Judge Jane Doe"], "answer": "U.S. District Judge Charlotte Sweeney", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 14, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_d937fde23d3d", "event_date": "2026-08-04", "supporting_event": "U.S. District Judge Charlotte Sweeney granted an injunction against the NCAA allowing high school athletes from the Class of 2022 another year of eligibility.", "storyline_id": "s_law_d937fde2", "storyline": "NCAA eligibility rulings", "linked_domains": ["Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_22215c9ca5290189831c", "t_2900228c4a9d2ce4b1d1", "t_c38a145f7f2221c5f112", "t_f6de3a61e90c250b4c47"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "U.S. District Judge Charlotte Sweeney", "tolerance": null, "quote": "she granted an injunction against the NCAA that allows high school athletes who graduated in 2022, who’d previously exhausted their four years of eligibility, another year of eligibility", "quote_doc_id": "t_d937fde23d3d22954df7", "settling_ids": ["t_d937fde23d3d22954df7", "t_7de9b35c82bd51e94d4e"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["U.S. District Judge Charlotte Sweeney", "NCAA", "Class of 2022"]}
{"id": "e_d9ad423d1415_i0", "domain": "Law", "question": "What is the total amount of taxes and penalties imposed by the Inland Revenue Authority of Singapore on errant nightclubs by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "6,800,000", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 1, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_d9ad423d1415", "event_date": "2026-07-22", "supporting_event": "The Inland Revenue Authority of Singapore has imposed over $6.8 million in taxes and penalties on errant nightclubs for improper tax declarations of flower garland sales.", "storyline_id": "s_law_d9ad423d", "storyline": "tax enforcement on nightclub operations", "linked_domains": ["Business"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_4dab0d9a79a9ecaac700", "t_57bd51c5a379d62b3d41", "t_bf5632ec96a37c21ff97", "t_68dedaa2b23642d81277", "t_2118ddb78c4d6a65ebc2"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "6,800,000", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_d3344efab71130a491f0_0", "settling_ids": ["t_d3344efab71130a491f0", "t_d9ad423d141540c91d49", "t_7ec877a5b237840ec87f"], "visible_detail": "$6,800,000"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Inland Revenue Authority of Singapore", "nightclubs"]}
{"id": "e_d9ad423d1415_q0", "domain": "Law", "question": "How much in taxes and penalties will the Inland Revenue Authority of Singapore impose on nightclubs for improper tax declarations by 2026-07-28?", "options": ["over $3 million", "over $5 million", "over $6.8 million", "over $4 million"], "answer": "over $6.8 million", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": "USD", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 1, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_d9ad423d1415", "event_date": "2026-07-22", "supporting_event": "The Inland Revenue Authority of Singapore has imposed over $6.8 million in taxes and penalties on errant nightclubs for improper tax declarations of flower garland sales.", "storyline_id": "s_law_d9ad423d", "storyline": "tax enforcement on nightclub operations", "linked_domains": ["Business"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_4dab0d9a79a9ecaac700", "t_57bd51c5a379d62b3d41", "t_bf5632ec96a37c21ff97", "t_68dedaa2b23642d81277", "t_2118ddb78c4d6a65ebc2"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "over $6.8 million", "tolerance": null, "quote": "The Inland Revenue Authority of Singapore (IRAS) has imposed over $6.8 million in taxes and penalties on errant nightclubs for improper tax declarations of flower garland sales.", "quote_doc_id": "t_d9ad423d141540c91d49", "settling_ids": ["t_d9ad423d141540c91d49", "t_7ec877a5b237840ec87f", "t_d3344efab71130a491f0"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Inland Revenue Authority of Singapore", "nightclubs"]}
{"id": "e_dabfc5031613_q0", "domain": "Law", "question": "How many years in prison could Pavel Durov face if convicted of facilitating terrorism by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "15", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "years", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 8, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_dabfc5031613", "event_date": "2026-07-29", "supporting_event": "Russia has charged Telegram founder Pavel Durov with facilitating terrorism.", "storyline_id": "s_law_dabfc503", "storyline": "Russia's legal actions against Telegram", "linked_domains": ["Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_0c4a01f66b81fdc36fb2", "t_c8a9f59f45f6014e2a0e", "t_cc7cbc6ceae382aac980", "t_20bfd6e5a3a753f7bdfa"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "15", "tolerance": 0.1, "quote": "The charge of aiding terrorist activities carries a maximum prison sentence of 15 years in prison.", "quote_doc_id": "t_dabfc5031613a4e91882", "settling_ids": ["t_dabfc5031613a4e91882", "t_80d09a9ccd368d678b6d", "t_70aaedfa7dbde6e5f8f1", "t_3b6319cbb3b5fdc9db89", "a_abaead64ca9982f6da71"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Pavel Durov", "Telegram", "FSB"]}
{"id": "e_dabfc5031613_q1", "domain": "Law", "question": "Who will be charged with facilitating terrorism in Russia by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "Pavel Durov", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 8, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_dabfc5031613", "event_date": "2026-07-29", "supporting_event": "Russia has charged Telegram founder Pavel Durov with facilitating terrorism.", "storyline_id": "s_law_dabfc503", "storyline": "Russia's legal actions against Telegram", "linked_domains": ["Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_0c4a01f66b81fdc36fb2", "t_c8a9f59f45f6014e2a0e", "t_cc7cbc6ceae382aac980", "t_20bfd6e5a3a753f7bdfa"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "Pavel Durov", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Russia has charged Telegram founder Pavel Durov with facilitating terrorism.", "quote_doc_id": "t_3b6319cbb3b5fdc9db89", "settling_ids": ["t_dabfc5031613a4e91882", "t_80d09a9ccd368d678b6d", "t_70aaedfa7dbde6e5f8f1", "t_3b6319cbb3b5fdc9db89", "a_abaead64ca9982f6da71"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Pavel Durov", "Telegram", "FSB"]}
{"id": "e_dcb4e960a388_q2", "domain": "Law", "question": "How many days do taxpayers have to verify their Income Tax Returns (ITRs) by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "30", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "days", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 10, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_dcb4e960a388", "event_date": "2026-07-31", "supporting_event": "Taxpayers must verify their Income Tax Returns (ITRs) by July 31 to avoid them being treated as invalid.", "storyline_id": "s_law_dcb4e960", "storyline": "Income Tax Return filing process", "linked_domains": ["Business"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_880923a9c9d36fd8fe46", "t_51926443c2bfb3355806", "t_5b1f685ef33a001124c6", "t_34c90c1a386a00183714"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "30", "tolerance": 0.1, "quote": "the ITR must be verified within 30 days from the date of filing the return.", "quote_doc_id": "t_dcb4e960a388241dd7da", "settling_ids": ["t_dcb4e960a388241dd7da", "t_5db112e4a7a8f922cb83", "t_2ae9ac68f9afeb68e7f7", "t_0c97ac2b3739809b3ce0"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Income Tax Department"]}
{"id": "e_dd3cd8b5ef21_i0", "domain": "Law", "question": "What is the total amount of dearness allowance that the Punjab government will clear by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "500", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 13, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_dd3cd8b5ef21", "event_date": "2026-08-03", "supporting_event": "The Punjab government was directed to clear pending dearness allowance (DA) of employees and pensioners within a fortnight.", "storyline_id": "s_law_7303f1cd", "storyline": "Punjab DA release case", "linked_domains": ["Health", "Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_a446ee97377a0155d40b", "t_b583f730095e86222467", "t_b9756575325b17362869"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "500", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_7303f1cd23b92fbddccc_0", "settling_ids": ["t_dd3cd8b5ef217b854ce1", "t_7303f1cd23b92fbddccc", "t_a431310f75ad61450a0c", "t_c354271fde595245d04f"], "visible_detail": "a stack of Indian currency notes, including 500 rupee notes"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Punjab government", "Punjab State Power Corporation Limited (PSPCL)"]}
{"id": "e_dd57d104bff1_q1", "domain": "Law", "question": "Which state in Brazil will police target a group suspected of using chemicals to clear a vast area of the Amazon rainforest by 2026-08-04?", "options": ["Para", "Roraima", "Mato Grosso", "Amazonas"], "answer": "Para", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 12, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_dd57d104bff1", "event_date": "2026-08-02", "supporting_event": "Brazil's police targeted a group suspected of using chemicals to clear a vast area of the Amazon rainforest.", "storyline_id": "s_law_dd57d104", "storyline": "Brazilian environmental enforcement operation", "linked_domains": ["Environment"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_0415510efd1910fea44c", "t_7c5f5388731294043031"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "Para", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Police in Brazil on Tuesday targeted a group suspected of using chemicals to clear a vast area of the Amazon rainforest in the northern state of Para, officials said in a statement.", "quote_doc_id": "t_dd57d104bff1076f3bca", "settling_ids": ["t_dd57d104bff1076f3bca", "t_8b1db1fec7793350cb94"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Brazil's police", "Amazon rainforest", "state of Para"]}
{"id": "e_de3c81dc2764_i0", "domain": "Law", "question": "What is the highest reward amount offered for a member of the Jalisco New Generation Cartel by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "$25,000,000", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 15, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_de3c81dc2764", "event_date": "2026-08-05", "supporting_event": "The U.S. Justice Department has unsealed criminal charges against five alleged high-ranking members of Mexico's Jalisco New Generation Cartel.", "storyline_id": "s_law_de3c81dc", "storyline": "U.S. indictments against CJNG leaders", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_eaab6de7f7816325a0dc", "t_b51c43989725d240ccbd", "t_69ec633c7b8212331c64"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "$25,000,000", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_de3c81dc2764c287a5c6_0", "settling_ids": ["t_de3c81dc2764c287a5c6", "t_17fb74aaf396109d4d35"], "visible_detail": "the reward amounts listed for the individuals"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["U.S. Justice Department", "Jalisco New Generation Cartel"]}
{"id": "e_de3c81dc2764_q1", "domain": "Law", "question": "Which of the following individuals will be among those charged by the U.S. Justice Department by 2026-08-11?", "options": ["Juan Carlos Valencia Gonzalez", "Julio Alberto Castillo Rodriguez", "Hugo Gonzalo Mendoza Gaytan", "Carlos Andres Rivera Varela"], "answer": "Julio Alberto Castillo Rodriguez", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 15, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_de3c81dc2764", "event_date": "2026-08-05", "supporting_event": "The U.S. Justice Department has unsealed criminal charges against five alleged high-ranking members of Mexico's Jalisco New Generation Cartel.", "storyline_id": "s_law_de3c81dc", "storyline": "U.S. indictments against CJNG leaders", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_eaab6de7f7816325a0dc", "t_b51c43989725d240ccbd", "t_69ec633c7b8212331c64"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "Julio Alberto Castillo Rodriguez", "tolerance": null, "quote": "The indictments were part of a continued pressure campaign by President Donald Trump's administration against the cartel, known as CJNG", "quote_doc_id": "t_17fb74aaf396109d4d35", "settling_ids": ["t_de3c81dc2764c287a5c6", "t_17fb74aaf396109d4d35"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["U.S. Justice Department", "Jalisco New Generation Cartel"]}
{"id": "e_df0e2307fa3f_q0", "domain": "Law", "question": "Will the Bombay High Court criticize the Maharashtra FDA for its actions against Amazon Retail India by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 18, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_df0e2307fa3f", "event_date": "2026-08-08", "supporting_event": "The Bombay High Court criticized the Maharashtra FDA for excessive action against an Amazon Retail India warehouse.", "storyline_id": "s_law_7149be78", "storyline": "FSSAI regulatory enforcement actions", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Health"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_a2f93dcddf9f0158c4ec", "t_38f2ecb49f90506a36cf", "t_4f6cf965f328cb00aab5", "t_e15f1e7682f5ec4acdcf"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the Bombay High Court on Friday slammed the Maharashtra Food and Drug Administration (FDA) for taking what it termed an excessive step against an Amazon Retail India warehouse", "quote_doc_id": "t_df0e2307fa3f54cd83e0", "settling_ids": ["t_df0e2307fa3f54cd83e0", "t_9130c9c60212e3f9e3d0", "t_c3d8054476bdbe074d73"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Maharashtra Food and Drug Administration", "Amazon Retail India", "Bombay High Court"]}
{"id": "e_df0e2307fa3f_q0_neg", "domain": "Law", "question": "Will the Bombay High Court criticize the Maharashtra FDA for its actions against Amazon Retail India by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "No", "answer_type": "perturbed_binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 18, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_df0e2307fa3f", "event_date": "2026-08-08", "supporting_event": "The Bombay High Court criticized the Maharashtra FDA for excessive action against an Amazon Retail India warehouse.", "storyline_id": "s_law_7149be78", "storyline": "FSSAI regulatory enforcement actions", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Health"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_a2f93dcddf9f0158c4ec", "t_38f2ecb49f90506a36cf", "t_4f6cf965f328cb00aab5", "t_e15f1e7682f5ec4acdcf"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "perturbed_binary", "value": "No", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the Bombay High Court on Friday slammed the Maharashtra Food and Drug Administration (FDA) for taking what it termed an excessive step against an Amazon Retail India warehouse", "quote_doc_id": "t_df0e2307fa3f54cd83e0", "settling_ids": ["t_df0e2307fa3f54cd83e0", "t_9130c9c60212e3f9e3d0", "t_c3d8054476bdbe074d73"], "derivation": "the event dated 2026-08-08 is after the shifted deadline 2026-08-04, so the claim is false at that deadline"}, "perturbation": {"field": "deadline", "original": "2026-08-11", "substituted": "2026-08-04", "v40_substituted": "2026-07-30"}, "paired_with": "e_df0e2307fa3f_q0", "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Maharashtra Food and Drug Administration", "Amazon Retail India", "Bombay High Court"]}
{"id": "e_e94a49916b0b_i0", "domain": "Law", "question": "What is the name of the court where the families of Flight MH370 showed up by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "Beijing Fourth Intermediate People's Court", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 7, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_e94a49916b0b", "event_date": "2026-07-28", "supporting_event": "Flight MH370 families showed up at a Beijing court to demand answers.", "storyline_id": "s_law_e94a4991", "storyline": "MH370 compensation appeal", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Environment", "Geopolitics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_47d95f1918e169d3e7ad", "t_c7e55c3e15e5a4144fbb", "t_0d496051d75d2f958b11", "t_ebe33945cc02ce262fba"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "Beijing Fourth Intermediate People's Court", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_e94a49916b0bfaad9cb3_0", "settling_ids": ["t_e94a49916b0bfaad9cb3", "t_37dbb09dcd7f2fbc46ce"], "visible_detail": "the building's name and purpose as seen on the signage"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Flight MH370", "Malaysia Airlines", "Beijing"]}
{"id": "e_ebf09cd5181e_q0", "domain": "Law", "question": "How much will Meta be ordered to pay in total penalties related to child safety by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "942", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "million", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 17, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_ebf09cd5181e", "event_date": "2026-08-07", "supporting_event": "A New Mexico state court ordered Meta to pay $567 million for harms to children linked to its social media platforms.", "storyline_id": "s_law_275e47bf", "storyline": "New Mexico child safety case", "linked_domains": ["Health"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_bd9b8026c9935671e681", "t_e9cecc85efa32722e2a1", "t_2ce40a5750132512a605", "t_2cdb47c2c0608df03d7c", "t_56791b63a535672cf3cb"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "942", "tolerance": 0.05, "quote": "the latest order brings the total amount the tech giant has been ordered to pay to $942 million.", "quote_doc_id": "t_c3e5079c4adf97c92b7b", "settling_ids": ["t_ebf09cd5181e7e4d11c9", "t_2668f29789fa5beae7b8", "t_5da6ccff06c7d6a84c37", "t_c3e5079c4adf97c92b7b", "a_b613f938be0e904db579", "a_fa0f445e34d743238195"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Meta", "New Mexico"]}
{"id": "e_ec1bab756bbc_q0", "domain": "Law", "question": "Will the Toronto Police Service make more than 500 arrests in a retail crime investigation by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 15, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_ec1bab756bbc", "event_date": "2026-08-05", "supporting_event": "Toronto Police Service made 546 arrests and laid 4,033 charges in a retail crime investigation.", "storyline_id": "s_law_ec1bab75", "storyline": "Toronto retail crime investigation", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_d84bbb01d0507a416ca2", "t_2db529b1176c23b2c3a3"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "police have made 546 arrests", "quote_doc_id": "t_ec1bab756bbcf32a449e", "settling_ids": ["t_ec1bab756bbcf32a449e", "t_a577c26d77c76e1e874a"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Toronto Police Service"]}
{"id": "e_ec1bab756bbc_q0_neg", "domain": "Law", "question": "Will the Toronto Police Service make more than 500 arrests in a retail crime investigation by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "No", "answer_type": "perturbed_binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 15, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_ec1bab756bbc", "event_date": "2026-08-05", "supporting_event": "Toronto Police Service made 546 arrests and laid 4,033 charges in a retail crime investigation.", "storyline_id": "s_law_ec1bab75", "storyline": "Toronto retail crime investigation", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_d84bbb01d0507a416ca2", "t_2db529b1176c23b2c3a3"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "perturbed_binary", "value": "No", "tolerance": null, "quote": "police have made 546 arrests", "quote_doc_id": "t_ec1bab756bbcf32a449e", "settling_ids": ["t_ec1bab756bbcf32a449e", "t_a577c26d77c76e1e874a"], "derivation": "the event dated 2026-08-05 is after the shifted deadline 2026-08-04, so the claim is false at that deadline"}, "perturbation": {"field": "deadline", "original": "2026-08-11", "substituted": "2026-08-04", "v40_substituted": "2026-07-28"}, "paired_with": "e_ec1bab756bbc_q0", "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Toronto Police Service"]}
{"id": "e_ec240853465e_q0", "domain": "Law", "question": "Will the Punjab Police successfully bust an ISI-sponsored Babbar Khalsa International (BKI) terror module by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 5, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_ec240853465e", "event_date": "2026-07-26", "supporting_event": "Punjab Police have busted an ISI-sponsored Babbar Khalsa International (BKI) terror module operated by foreign-based handlers.", "storyline_id": "s_law_ec240853", "storyline": "bust of terror modules", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_32ce32550079880ae714", "t_d963e3020fff7079cf37", "t_8fa172be9343e9b0beaa", "t_2543dafe4d6140a71c55"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Punjab Police have busted an ISI-sponsored Babbar Khalsa International (BKI) module, operated by foreign based handlers, and arrested its key operative from Jalandhar.", "quote_doc_id": "t_ec240853465ed40bd404", "settling_ids": ["t_ec240853465ed40bd404", "t_0333a8ed220df33dd9f3", "t_41b569303b08f4f18339", "t_9e431204254b9a548e98"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Punjab Police", "Babbar Khalsa International", "Jalandhar"]}
{"id": "e_ec240853465e_q2", "domain": "Law", "question": "How many kilograms of explosives will be recovered by the Punjab Police during the bust of the ISI-sponsored Babbar Khalsa International (BKI) terror module by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "1.3", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "kg", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 5, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_ec240853465e", "event_date": "2026-07-26", "supporting_event": "Punjab Police have busted an ISI-sponsored Babbar Khalsa International (BKI) terror module operated by foreign-based handlers.", "storyline_id": "s_law_ec240853", "storyline": "bust of terror modules", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_32ce32550079880ae714", "t_d963e3020fff7079cf37", "t_8fa172be9343e9b0beaa", "t_2543dafe4d6140a71c55"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "1.3", "tolerance": 0.1, "quote": "the recovery of an Improvised Explosive Device (IED) packed with 1.3 kg of explosive", "quote_doc_id": "t_ec240853465ed40bd404", "settling_ids": ["t_ec240853465ed40bd404", "t_0333a8ed220df33dd9f3", "t_41b569303b08f4f18339", "t_9e431204254b9a548e98"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Punjab Police", "Babbar Khalsa International", "Jalandhar"]}
{"id": "e_eee88f73603b_q1", "domain": "Law", "question": "What will be the estimated financial liability towards Dearness Allowance for the Punjab government by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "14191", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "crore", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 1, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_eee88f73603b", "event_date": "2026-07-22", "supporting_event": "The Punjab High Court reserved judgement on pleas from the Punjab government regarding the release of Dearness Allowance estimated at ₹14,191 crore.", "storyline_id": "s_law_7303f1cd", "storyline": "Punjab DA release case", "linked_domains": ["Health", "Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_a446ee97377a0155d40b", "t_b583f730095e86222467"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "14191", "tolerance": 0.01, "quote": "the state’s financial liability towards DA is estimated at ₹14,191 crore", "quote_doc_id": "t_c2462835a70ecb63c02a", "settling_ids": ["t_eee88f73603b8a10b99b", "t_c2462835a70ecb63c02a"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Punjab government", "Punjab State Power Corporation", "Punjab and Haryana High Court"]}
{"id": "e_eee88f73603b_q2", "domain": "Law", "question": "Who will reserve judgement on the pleas from the Punjab government regarding the release of Dearness Allowance by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "Ashwani Kumar Mishra", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 1, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_eee88f73603b", "event_date": "2026-07-22", "supporting_event": "The Punjab High Court reserved judgement on pleas from the Punjab government regarding the release of Dearness Allowance estimated at ₹14,191 crore.", "storyline_id": "s_law_7303f1cd", "storyline": "Punjab DA release case", "linked_domains": ["Health", "Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_a446ee97377a0155d40b", "t_b583f730095e86222467"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "Ashwani Kumar Mishra", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Acting chief justice of the HC, Ashwani Kumar Mishra and Justice Rohit Kapoor reserved the order today", "quote_doc_id": "t_eee88f73603b8a10b99b", "settling_ids": ["t_eee88f73603b8a10b99b", "t_c2462835a70ecb63c02a"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Punjab government", "Punjab State Power Corporation", "Punjab and Haryana High Court"]}
{"id": "e_f1b3f739f033_q0", "domain": "Law", "question": "How many days will the FSSAI allow beverage companies to comply with the requirement to drop 'energy drink' labels by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "90", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "days", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 17, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_f1b3f739f033", "event_date": "2026-08-07", "supporting_event": "FSSAI will not extend the 90-day deadline to drop 'energy drink' labels.", "storyline_id": "s_law_f1b3f739", "storyline": "FSSAI energy drink labeling enforcement", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Politics", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_c7d6678ad020bec5b882", "t_2f43312ad4c323d86cbe", "t_92b3bcc162c89c7c8f12", "t_70fef11a2e763780d193"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "90", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the FSSAI privately gave the companies 90 days to drop 'energy drink' or any similar description from high-caffeine beverages", "quote_doc_id": "t_f1b3f739f03389cf3ab1", "settling_ids": ["t_f1b3f739f03389cf3ab1", "t_8f52bb0b494461d614a9"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["FSSAI", "PepsiCo", "Red Bull", "Monster Beverage", "Reliance", "Narendra Modi"]}
{"id": "e_f23556dc8219_q0", "domain": "Law", "question": "Which entity will be directed to preserve the ammunition log of the Rapid Action Force (RAF) deployed at Jantar Mantar during the CJP protest by 2026-08-04?", "options": ["Ministry of Home Affairs", "Delhi Government", "Centre", "Supreme Court"], "answer": "Centre", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 9, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_f23556dc8219", "event_date": "2026-07-30", "supporting_event": "The Supreme Court directed the Centre to preserve the ammunition log of the Rapid Action Force (RAF) deployed at Jantar Mantar during the CJP protest.", "storyline_id": "s_law_f23556dc", "storyline": "CJP protest response", "linked_domains": ["Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_3fdc3470a3f791d0be86", "t_ecf63b40c35a372909e4", "t_9e54701dd96bc94f3c9e", "t_4bba4c0a40ed9b71aacb"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "Centre", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the Supreme Court on Thursday directed the Centre to preserve the ammunition log of the Rapid Action Force (RAF) deployed at Jantar Mantar during the Cockroach Janta Party (CJP) protest", "quote_doc_id": "t_dc573afe3fdbca4eaaa8", "settling_ids": ["t_f23556dc82197be0818d", "t_dc573afe3fdbca4eaaa8"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Supreme Court", "Centre", "Rapid Action Force", "Jantar Mantar", "Cockroach Janta Party"]}
{"id": "e_f462eb2f8cc1_q0", "domain": "Law", "question": "Will Zakai Zeigler file an amended lawsuit against the NCAA by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 15, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_f462eb2f8cc1", "event_date": "2026-08-05", "supporting_event": "Zakai Zeigler filed an amended lawsuit against the NCAA.", "storyline_id": "s_law_f462eb2f", "storyline": "Zakai Zeigler's legal actions against the NCAA", "linked_domains": ["Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_2900228c4a9d2ce4b1d1", "t_c38a145f7f2221c5f112", "t_f6de3a61e90c250b4c47"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Lawyers for former Tennessee basketball player Zakai Zeigler filed an amended lawsuit Tuesday using the NCAA's recent sweeping changes to its eligibility rules to bolster their case challenging the association's previous policy of limiting athletes to four seasons in five years.", "quote_doc_id": "t_f462eb2f8cc180c6e93d", "settling_ids": ["t_f462eb2f8cc180c6e93d", "t_35c37866dbdedfe75ab0"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Zakai Zeigler", "NCAA"]}
{"id": "e_f462eb2f8cc1_q0_neg", "domain": "Law", "question": "Will Zakai Zeigler file an amended lawsuit against the NCAA by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "No", "answer_type": "perturbed_binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 15, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_f462eb2f8cc1", "event_date": "2026-08-05", "supporting_event": "Zakai Zeigler filed an amended lawsuit against the NCAA.", "storyline_id": "s_law_f462eb2f", "storyline": "Zakai Zeigler's legal actions against the NCAA", "linked_domains": ["Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_2900228c4a9d2ce4b1d1", "t_c38a145f7f2221c5f112", "t_f6de3a61e90c250b4c47"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "perturbed_binary", "value": "No", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Lawyers for former Tennessee basketball player Zakai Zeigler filed an amended lawsuit Tuesday using the NCAA's recent sweeping changes to its eligibility rules to bolster their case challenging the association's previous policy of limiting athletes to four seasons in five years.", "quote_doc_id": "t_f462eb2f8cc180c6e93d", "settling_ids": ["t_f462eb2f8cc180c6e93d", "t_35c37866dbdedfe75ab0"], "derivation": "the event dated 2026-08-05 is after the shifted deadline 2026-08-04, so the claim is false at that deadline"}, "perturbation": {"field": "deadline", "original": "2026-08-11", "substituted": "2026-08-04", "v40_substituted": "2026-07-28"}, "paired_with": "e_f462eb2f8cc1_q0", "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Zakai Zeigler", "NCAA"]}
{"id": "e_f462eb2f8cc1_q2", "domain": "Law", "question": "How much in damages will Zakai Zeigler seek from the NCAA by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "up to $12 million", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "dollars", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 15, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_f462eb2f8cc1", "event_date": "2026-08-05", "supporting_event": "Zakai Zeigler filed an amended lawsuit against the NCAA.", "storyline_id": "s_law_f462eb2f", "storyline": "Zakai Zeigler's legal actions against the NCAA", "linked_domains": ["Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_2900228c4a9d2ce4b1d1", "t_c38a145f7f2221c5f112", "t_f6de3a61e90c250b4c47"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "up to $12 million", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Instead of more eligibility, Zeigler wants the NCAA to pay him what he could have made in another season of college basketball, up to $12 million in damages.", "quote_doc_id": "t_35c37866dbdedfe75ab0", "settling_ids": ["t_f462eb2f8cc180c6e93d", "t_35c37866dbdedfe75ab0"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Zakai Zeigler", "NCAA"]}
{"id": "e_f64803d4c0cc_q0", "domain": "Law", "question": "Will Bengaluru City Police detain any Bangladeshi nationals during their verification drive by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 18, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_f64803d4c0cc", "event_date": "2026-08-08", "supporting_event": "Bengaluru City Police detained 15 Bangladeshi nationals during a verification drive.", "storyline_id": "s_law_f64803d4", "storyline": "Operation Mukta", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_0939a93240d867910d18", "t_4212c1e93d01cd1dfbf1", "t_484db792f1c2f3099eb6"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the identification of 15 Bangladeshi nationals", "quote_doc_id": "t_f64803d4c0cc0ede7e42", "settling_ids": ["t_f64803d4c0cc0ede7e42", "t_6f935c4796efb97673b7", "t_7ef13b05149f601be292"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Bengaluru City Police", "Bangladeshi nationals"]}
{"id": "e_f64803d4c0cc_q0_neg", "domain": "Law", "question": "Will Bengaluru City Police detain any Bangladeshi nationals during their verification drive by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "No", "answer_type": "perturbed_binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 18, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_f64803d4c0cc", "event_date": "2026-08-08", "supporting_event": "Bengaluru City Police detained 15 Bangladeshi nationals during a verification drive.", "storyline_id": "s_law_f64803d4", "storyline": "Operation Mukta", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_0939a93240d867910d18", "t_4212c1e93d01cd1dfbf1", "t_484db792f1c2f3099eb6"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "perturbed_binary", "value": "No", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the identification of 15 Bangladeshi nationals", "quote_doc_id": "t_f64803d4c0cc0ede7e42", "settling_ids": ["t_f64803d4c0cc0ede7e42", "t_6f935c4796efb97673b7", "t_7ef13b05149f601be292"], "derivation": "the event dated 2026-08-08 is after the shifted deadline 2026-08-04, so the claim is false at that deadline"}, "perturbation": {"field": "deadline", "original": "2026-08-11", "substituted": "2026-08-04", "v40_substituted": "2026-07-30"}, "paired_with": "e_f64803d4c0cc_q0", "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Bengaluru City Police", "Bangladeshi nationals"]}
{"id": "e_f64803d4c0cc_q2", "domain": "Law", "question": "How many Bangladeshi nationals will Bengaluru City Police identify during their verification drive by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "15", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "individuals", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 18, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_f64803d4c0cc", "event_date": "2026-08-08", "supporting_event": "Bengaluru City Police detained 15 Bangladeshi nationals during a verification drive.", "storyline_id": "s_law_f64803d4", "storyline": "Operation Mukta", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_0939a93240d867910d18", "t_4212c1e93d01cd1dfbf1", "t_484db792f1c2f3099eb6"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "15", "tolerance": 0, "quote": "the identification of 15 Bangladeshi nationals", "quote_doc_id": "t_f64803d4c0cc0ede7e42", "settling_ids": ["t_f64803d4c0cc0ede7e42", "t_6f935c4796efb97673b7", "t_7ef13b05149f601be292"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Bengaluru City Police", "Bangladeshi nationals"]}
{"id": "e_001004656127_q0", "domain": "Environment", "question": "How many people will be forced to evacuate due to wildfires in Spain by 2026-07-28?", "options": ["50,000", "100,000", "60,000", "30,000"], "answer": "60,000", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": "people", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 6, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_001004656127", "event_date": "2026-07-27", "supporting_event": "Firefighters raced to contain wildfires that forced 60,000 people to evacuate.", "storyline_id": "s_env_00100465", "storyline": "2026 European wildfires", "linked_domains": ["Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_b0d15aa306275032b8ca", "t_f1287a8d26c6fd131909", "t_0534cf672cfd2d976888", "t_305061895e44d5981c6d", "t_a3aedbfc5c5576b38cc9"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "60,000", "tolerance": null, "quote": "The blazes, fuelled by extreme heat and drought, have forced 60,000 people to evacuate.", "quote_doc_id": "t_0010046561273ddbe55b", "settling_ids": ["t_0010046561273ddbe55b", "t_6b10b190fabbc5426d50", "d_bac64c21c783fc4fd261"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["firefighters", "Spain"]}
{"id": "e_005ffd5344b8_q0", "domain": "Environment", "question": "How many people will be evacuated from the Bordeaux area due to wildfires by 2026-07-28?", "options": ["300,000", "250,000", "197,000", "150,000"], "answer": "197,000", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": "people", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 4, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_005ffd5344b8", "event_date": "2026-07-25", "supporting_event": "Devastating wildfires forced 267,000 residents and tourists to flee across France and Spain.", "storyline_id": "s_env_00100465", "storyline": "2026 European wildfires", "linked_domains": ["Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_b0d15aa306275032b8ca", "t_42e2bcee7200254b0d12", "t_0534cf672cfd2d976888", "t_4b49e68da613a5b05f7d"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "197,000", "tolerance": null, "quote": "France hustled 197,000 people from areas around Bordeaux", "quote_doc_id": "t_005ffd5344b8b1a01197", "settling_ids": ["t_005ffd5344b8b1a01197", "t_2418519394d2b203c386", "d_bac64c21c783fc4fd261"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["France", "Spain", "Bordeaux", "Madrid"]}
{"id": "e_00ed6e80b579_q0", "domain": "Environment", "question": "Will air quality in six areas in Sarawak and one area in Selangor record healthy Air Pollutant Index readings by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "No", "answer_type": "perturbed_binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 19, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_00ed6e80b579", "event_date": "2026-08-09", "supporting_event": "Air quality in six areas in Sarawak and one area in Selangor recorded unhealthy Air Pollutant Index readings on August 9.", "storyline_id": "s_env_00ed6e80", "storyline": "Air quality monitoring in Malaysia", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_57287ccb636fa188a36b", "t_09f90315fa3df7ab284a"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "perturbed_binary", "value": "No", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Unhealthy air quality hits seven areas in Sarawak, Selangor", "quote_doc_id": "t_00ed6e80b57995cd551b", "settling_ids": ["t_00ed6e80b57995cd551b", "t_d848d21af41b07d45ae7"]}, "perturbation": {"field": "quantity", "original": "seven areas", "substituted": "six areas"}, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Sarawak", "Selangor"]}
{"id": "e_00ed6e80b579_q1", "domain": "Environment", "question": "Which of the following areas recorded unhealthy Air Pollutant Index readings by 2026-08-11?", "options": ["Serian", "George Town", "Kota Kinabalu", "Kuala Lumpur"], "answer": "Serian", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 19, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_00ed6e80b579", "event_date": "2026-08-09", "supporting_event": "Air quality in six areas in Sarawak and one area in Selangor recorded unhealthy Air Pollutant Index readings on August 9.", "storyline_id": "s_env_00ed6e80", "storyline": "Air quality monitoring in Malaysia", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_57287ccb636fa188a36b", "t_09f90315fa3df7ab284a"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "Serian", "tolerance": null, "quote": "The six areas in Sarawak with unhealthy API are Serian (171), Samarahan (156), Bintulu (155), Kuching (155), Samalaju (153), and Sri Aman (146).", "quote_doc_id": "t_00ed6e80b57995cd551b", "settling_ids": ["t_00ed6e80b57995cd551b", "t_d848d21af41b07d45ae7"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Sarawak", "Selangor"]}
{"id": "e_00fcc2dad434_q0", "domain": "Environment", "question": "Will China evacuate stranded tourists from the UNESCO World Heritage site of Jiuzhaigou by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 6, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_00fcc2dad434", "event_date": "2026-07-27", "supporting_event": "China evacuated stranded tourists from the UNESCO World Heritage site of Jiuzhaigou on July 27 after mudslides triggered by heavy rain.", "storyline_id": "s_env_00fcc2da", "storyline": "2026 Jiuzhaigou evacuation", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_226e1162cbdff6d922e9", "t_057c6615e91ceb80c9c8", "t_70bc0ad407db6a655f59", "t_287d704989713e543aed"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "China evacuated stranded tourists from the UNESCO World Heritage site of Jiuzhaigou on July 27 after mudslides triggered by heavy rain", "quote_doc_id": "t_00fcc2dad4342d53e96c", "settling_ids": ["t_00fcc2dad4342d53e96c", "t_ac8abfa28628fc37c6a4", "t_efe382388d24d780ed7e"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["China", "Jiuzhaigou"]}
{"id": "e_0163c09bf43a_q1", "domain": "Environment", "question": "Which type of helicopters will be involved in the mid-air collision while battling wildfires in Greece by 2026-08-04?", "options": ["Eurocopter AS350", "Bell 214ST", "AgustaWestland AW139", "Sikorsky S-76"], "answer": "Bell 214ST", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 12, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_0163c09bf43a", "event_date": "2026-08-02", "supporting_event": "Two helicopters collided mid-air while battling a wildfire in Greece.", "storyline_id": "s_env_0163c09b", "storyline": "Greece wildfire firefighting operations", "linked_domains": ["Geopolitics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_7c08b3d8baf95db5d5e0", "t_1c6fd08e1a1c165804cd"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "Bell 214ST", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Two Bell 214ST firefighting helicopters collided mid-air while battling a major forest fire in the Psatha area, west of Athens, Greece.", "quote_doc_id": "t_3cf4057254fb7dcd8523", "settling_ids": ["t_0163c09bf43aa682e6b4", "t_3cf4057254fb7dcd8523", "t_bad72de6de94d90603c2"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Hellenic Fire Service", "Psatha", "Attica", "Boeotia", "Greece"]}
{"id": "e_0348a47bb76b_q1", "domain": "Environment", "question": "Who will Tomoko Takaoka turn to for shelter after being unable to reach her parents by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "Ryunosuke Animal Hospital", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 11, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_0348a47bb76b", "event_date": "2026-08-01", "supporting_event": "Tomoko Takaoka sought shelter in a safe place to stay with her dogs after a powerful earthquake in Japan.", "storyline_id": "s_env_0348a47b", "storyline": "Japan earthquake response", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_096ec8909b2dc3b89242", "t_30dfb415fe3846ada4dd", "t_f5bcfc1d8578fcc862d3", "t_3e24f7c18999e2c16bd5", "t_55d4967b7ac13bd7bc52", "t_0004bbf6f8fd19c16fb2"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "Ryunosuke Animal Hospital", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Eventually, social media posts led her to Ryunosuke Animal Hospital in downtown Kumamoto.", "quote_doc_id": "t_0348a47bb76b94cc0fbe", "settling_ids": ["t_0348a47bb76b94cc0fbe", "t_14e842509721e869f863", "t_a1aa78594e60844f574f", "t_40c40644d90bd382a1a4"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Tomoko Takaoka", "Ryunosuke Animal Hospital", "Kumamoto"]}
{"id": "e_0348a47bb76b_q2", "domain": "Environment", "question": "Will Tomoko Takaoka find a shelter that allows her dogs to stay with her by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 11, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_0348a47bb76b", "event_date": "2026-08-01", "supporting_event": "Tomoko Takaoka sought shelter in a safe place to stay with her dogs after a powerful earthquake in Japan.", "storyline_id": "s_env_0348a47b", "storyline": "Japan earthquake response", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_096ec8909b2dc3b89242", "t_30dfb415fe3846ada4dd", "t_f5bcfc1d8578fcc862d3", "t_3e24f7c18999e2c16bd5", "t_55d4967b7ac13bd7bc52", "t_0004bbf6f8fd19c16fb2"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the hospital had converted classrooms in its veterinary nurse training school into temporary housing for evacuees, with separate rooms for owners of cats and dogs.", "quote_doc_id": "t_0348a47bb76b94cc0fbe", "settling_ids": ["t_0348a47bb76b94cc0fbe", "t_14e842509721e869f863", "t_a1aa78594e60844f574f", "t_40c40644d90bd382a1a4"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Tomoko Takaoka", "Ryunosuke Animal Hospital", "Kumamoto"]}
{"id": "e_0782d304577e_q1", "domain": "Environment", "question": "How many people will be affected by the Assam floods by 2026-08-04?", "options": ["150000", "250000", "200000", "192799"], "answer": "192799", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": "people", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 11, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_0782d304577e", "event_date": "2026-08-01", "supporting_event": "The death toll from the Assam floods has risen to 82.", "storyline_id": "s_env_0782d304", "storyline": "2026 Assam floods", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_0bbf7210c499acc9ca78", "t_ed67e0f756ae0af53e11"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "192799", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the number of affected people was at 1,92,799", "quote_doc_id": "t_0782d304577e47a49917", "settling_ids": ["t_0782d304577e47a49917", "t_23a6d31f78f0a6b9406c", "t_fecfeadf86bc33434b2c", "t_973c8701ca7bab0ce5ba"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Assam", "Sivasagar", "Charaideo"]}
{"id": "e_0d9a380fffb6_i0", "domain": "Environment", "question": "What is the total number of boats visible in the photograph by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "approximately 30", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 5, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_0d9a380fffb6", "event_date": "2026-07-26", "supporting_event": "Typhoon Noul made landfall in Guangdong province on July 26, 2026.", "storyline_id": "s_env_0d9a380f", "storyline": "Typhoon Noul landfall", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_fabd2661f38257bbfe40", "t_10042b0657f3aff8b31c"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "approximately 30", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_62846da484a6e7439e97_0", "settling_ids": ["t_62846da484a6e7439e97", "t_afd05d0408b9e5ae67a8", "t_e25372986dbca1d303dc", "t_021fa0d8c1f77b707031", "t_0d9a380fffb65caff9b3", "t_54b6bd9a126ffa9a5535"], "visible_detail": "the number of boats in the waterway"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Typhoon Noul", "Guangdong province", "Huizhou city"]}
{"id": "e_0d9a380fffb6_q1", "domain": "Environment", "question": "What will be the maximum sustained wind speed of Typhoon Noul when it makes landfall in Guangdong province by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "45", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "m/s", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 5, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_0d9a380fffb6", "event_date": "2026-07-26", "supporting_event": "Typhoon Noul made landfall in Guangdong province on July 26, 2026.", "storyline_id": "s_env_0d9a380f", "storyline": "Typhoon Noul landfall", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_fabd2661f38257bbfe40", "t_10042b0657f3aff8b31c"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "45", "tolerance": 0.1, "quote": "maximum sustained winds near its centre reaching 45 metres per second", "quote_doc_id": "t_afd05d0408b9e5ae67a8", "settling_ids": ["t_0d9a380fffb65caff9b3", "t_54b6bd9a126ffa9a5535", "t_62846da484a6e7439e97", "t_afd05d0408b9e5ae67a8"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Typhoon Noul", "Guangdong province", "Huizhou city"]}
{"id": "e_10fe9a921807_q0", "domain": "Environment", "question": "Will Delhi cross its average August rainfall of 226.8 mm by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 18, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_10fe9a921807", "event_date": "2026-08-08", "supporting_event": "Delhi crossed its average August rainfall of 226.8 mm in just the first eight days of the month, recording 230.1 mm.", "storyline_id": "s_env_10fe9a92", "storyline": "Delhi weather events July 2026", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_9ed78b08f792634ca1ec", "t_8fbb340eb8b2a7f5e3c5", "t_bb6538900956e833eb1e", "t_3737a922a8460fe8db45"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Delhi has crossed its average August rainfall in just the first eight days of the month.", "quote_doc_id": "t_10fe9a92180777038584", "settling_ids": ["t_10fe9a92180777038584", "t_14fe0984d46350ef222e", "t_1c55acb079f837e33ec1", "t_b443c956d4d0c6ea47b7"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Delhi", "India Meteorological Department"]}
{"id": "e_10fe9a921807_q0_neg", "domain": "Environment", "question": "Will Delhi cross its average August rainfall of 226.8 mm by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "No", "answer_type": "perturbed_binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 18, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_10fe9a921807", "event_date": "2026-08-08", "supporting_event": "Delhi crossed its average August rainfall of 226.8 mm in just the first eight days of the month, recording 230.1 mm.", "storyline_id": "s_env_10fe9a92", "storyline": "Delhi weather events July 2026", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_9ed78b08f792634ca1ec", "t_8fbb340eb8b2a7f5e3c5", "t_bb6538900956e833eb1e", "t_3737a922a8460fe8db45"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "perturbed_binary", "value": "No", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Delhi has crossed its average August rainfall in just the first eight days of the month.", "quote_doc_id": "t_10fe9a92180777038584", "settling_ids": ["t_10fe9a92180777038584", "t_14fe0984d46350ef222e", "t_1c55acb079f837e33ec1", "t_b443c956d4d0c6ea47b7"], "derivation": "the event dated 2026-08-08 is after the shifted deadline 2026-08-04, so the claim is false at that deadline"}, "perturbation": {"field": "deadline", "original": "2026-08-11", "substituted": "2026-08-04", "v40_substituted": "2026-07-30"}, "paired_with": "e_10fe9a921807_q0", "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Delhi", "India Meteorological Department"]}
{"id": "e_10fe9a921807_q2", "domain": "Environment", "question": "How much rainfall will Delhi record by 2026-08-11, exceeding 226.8 mm?", "options": null, "answer": "230.1", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "mm", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 18, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_10fe9a921807", "event_date": "2026-08-08", "supporting_event": "Delhi crossed its average August rainfall of 226.8 mm in just the first eight days of the month, recording 230.1 mm.", "storyline_id": "s_env_10fe9a92", "storyline": "Delhi weather events July 2026", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_9ed78b08f792634ca1ec", "t_8fbb340eb8b2a7f5e3c5", "t_bb6538900956e833eb1e", "t_3737a922a8460fe8db45"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "230.1", "tolerance": 0.1, "quote": "The cumulative rainfall for August was recorded at 230.1 mm until 8.30 pm on Saturday.", "quote_doc_id": "t_10fe9a92180777038584", "settling_ids": ["t_10fe9a92180777038584", "t_14fe0984d46350ef222e", "t_1c55acb079f837e33ec1", "t_b443c956d4d0c6ea47b7"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Delhi", "India Meteorological Department"]}
{"id": "e_13832d93d156_q0", "domain": "Environment", "question": "How many residents will Japan order to evacuate as Typhoon Dolphin approaches by 2026-08-11?", "options": ["nearly 200,000 residents", "nearly 260,000 residents", "nearly 150,000 residents", "nearly 300,000 residents"], "answer": "nearly 260,000 residents", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": "people", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 17, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_13832d93d156", "event_date": "2026-08-07", "supporting_event": "Japan ordered evacuations for nearly 260,000 residents as Typhoon Dolphin approached.", "storyline_id": "s_env_13832d93", "storyline": "Typhoon Dolphin landfall", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_92cca101b125250ece8e", "t_ced3f9f9ad4014c815f8", "t_028b5f7ff3638c98b899", "t_6cb0e99484a9ceaaf91b"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "nearly 260,000 residents", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Authorities issued evacuation orders for nearly 260,000 residents in Kagoshima and Okinawa prefectures", "quote_doc_id": "t_13832d93d156a330feee", "settling_ids": ["t_13832d93d156a330feee", "t_25bb177c1a6a5c2f8b6a", "t_eed1d34d86435948151c", "t_51b0e3950af265f7ea23"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Japan", "Kagoshima", "Okinawa"]}
{"id": "e_16a536156f28_i0", "domain": "Environment", "question": "What is the count of people in the street by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "more than 10", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 6, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_16a536156f28", "event_date": "2026-07-27", "supporting_event": "The Korea Meteorological Administration issued a heatwave emergency warning for several regions in southern Korea.", "storyline_id": "s_env_16a53615", "storyline": "2026 South Korea heatwave", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Geopolitics", "Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_55798aeeefc633e52b5b", "t_f143bad2152eede31873", "t_f29f9635a6bc45724b88"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "more than 10", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_16a536156f28994a7712_0", "settling_ids": ["t_16a536156f28994a7712", "t_78bbdc05d6204a7fa379", "t_a297395cb6f22965490b", "t_f7178c03441771525436"], "visible_detail": "the number of people walking in the street"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Korea Meteorological Administration", "Daegu", "Gyeongsang Province", "Gyeongsan", "Pohang", "Gyeongju", "Gwangyang", "South Jeolla Province", "Gimhae", "Miryang", "Yangsan", "Uiryeong"]}
{"id": "e_16a536156f28_q0", "domain": "Environment", "question": "How many regions will receive a heatwave emergency warning from the Korea Meteorological Administration by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "17", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "regions", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 6, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_16a536156f28", "event_date": "2026-07-27", "supporting_event": "The Korea Meteorological Administration issued a heatwave emergency warning for several regions in southern Korea.", "storyline_id": "s_env_16a53615", "storyline": "2026 South Korea heatwave", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Geopolitics", "Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_55798aeeefc633e52b5b", "t_f143bad2152eede31873", "t_f29f9635a6bc45724b88"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "17", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the state weather service issued its highest-level heat wave warning for 17 areas in southern Korea", "quote_doc_id": "t_78bbdc05d6204a7fa379", "settling_ids": ["t_16a536156f28994a7712", "t_78bbdc05d6204a7fa379", "t_a297395cb6f22965490b", "t_f7178c03441771525436"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Korea Meteorological Administration", "Daegu", "Gyeongsang Province", "Gyeongsan", "Pohang", "Gyeongju", "Gwangyang", "South Jeolla Province", "Gimhae", "Miryang", "Yangsan", "Uiryeong"]}
{"id": "e_16d537c0f205_d0", "domain": "Environment", "question": "How many evacuees will be allowed to return home by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "84,000", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "D", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 3, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_16d537c0f205", "event_date": "2026-07-24", "supporting_event": "Authorities evacuated an estimated 80,000 people from their homes due to wildfires in France and Spain.", "storyline_id": "s_env_00100465", "storyline": "2026 European wildfires", "linked_domains": ["Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_b0d15aa306275032b8ca", "t_3753dc09f73ed54922b9", "t_0534cf672cfd2d976888", "t_f33a40461385fb74269e", "t_305061895e44d5981c6d"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "84,000", "tolerance": null, "quote": "As France tames wildfire and lets 84,000 evacuees go home", "quote_doc_id": "d_bac64c21c783fc4fd261", "settling_ids": ["d_bac64c21c783fc4fd261", "t_16d537c0f2053a3fe5aa", "t_601b6ab59c71d418048a"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["authorities", "France", "Spain"]}
{"id": "e_16d537c0f205_q0", "domain": "Environment", "question": "By 2026-07-28, how many people will authorities have evacuated from their homes due to wildfires in France and Spain?", "options": ["30,000 people from their homes", "an estimated 80,000 people from their homes", "100,000 people from their homes", "50,000 people from their homes"], "answer": "an estimated 80,000 people from their homes", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 3, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_16d537c0f205", "event_date": "2026-07-24", "supporting_event": "Authorities evacuated an estimated 80,000 people from their homes due to wildfires in France and Spain.", "storyline_id": "s_env_00100465", "storyline": "2026 European wildfires", "linked_domains": ["Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_b0d15aa306275032b8ca", "t_3753dc09f73ed54922b9", "t_0534cf672cfd2d976888", "t_f33a40461385fb74269e", "t_305061895e44d5981c6d"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "an estimated 80,000 people from their homes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "authorities to evacuate an estimated 80,000 people from their homes", "quote_doc_id": "t_16d537c0f2053a3fe5aa", "settling_ids": ["t_16d537c0f2053a3fe5aa", "t_601b6ab59c71d418048a", "d_bac64c21c783fc4fd261"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["authorities", "France", "Spain"]}
{"id": "e_16d537c0f205_q1", "domain": "Environment", "question": "By 2026-07-28, what will be the estimated number of people evacuated from their homes due to wildfires in France and Spain?", "options": null, "answer": "80000", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "people", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 3, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_16d537c0f205", "event_date": "2026-07-24", "supporting_event": "Authorities evacuated an estimated 80,000 people from their homes due to wildfires in France and Spain.", "storyline_id": "s_env_00100465", "storyline": "2026 European wildfires", "linked_domains": ["Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_b0d15aa306275032b8ca", "t_3753dc09f73ed54922b9", "t_0534cf672cfd2d976888", "t_f33a40461385fb74269e", "t_305061895e44d5981c6d"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "80000", "tolerance": 0.05, "quote": "an estimated 80,000 people from their homes", "quote_doc_id": "t_16d537c0f2053a3fe5aa", "settling_ids": ["t_16d537c0f2053a3fe5aa", "t_601b6ab59c71d418048a", "d_bac64c21c783fc4fd261"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["authorities", "France", "Spain"]}
{"id": "e_1791fc92d339_d0", "domain": "Environment", "question": "What is the total area burned across France by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "90,000 hectares", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "hectares", "modality_required": "D", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 2, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_1791fc92d339", "event_date": "2026-07-23", "supporting_event": "A fast-moving wildfire has forced more than 10,000 people from homes and campsites near France's Atlantic coast.", "storyline_id": "s_env_00100465", "storyline": "2026 European wildfires", "linked_domains": ["Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_b0d15aa306275032b8ca", "t_0534cf672cfd2d976888", "t_c990a698333f940df194", "t_305061895e44d5981c6d"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "90,000 hectares", "tolerance": null, "quote": "As of late July, fires had burned more than 90,000 hectares across France, more than any other season in decades", "quote_doc_id": "d_bac64c21c783fc4fd261", "settling_ids": ["d_bac64c21c783fc4fd261", "t_55160bade37281f54c48", "t_1791fc92d339248d1909", "t_1cad0c3eec86986de49d", "t_de344832fcd37277444b", "t_2e92b303dd123555ef22"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["France", "Bordeaux"]}
{"id": "e_1791fc92d339_q0", "domain": "Environment", "question": "How many people will be evacuated due to the wildfire near France's Atlantic coast by 2026-07-28?", "options": ["More than 10,000 people", "Exactly 15,000 people", "Between 5,000 and 10,000 people", "Less than 5,000 people"], "answer": "More than 10,000 people", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 2, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_1791fc92d339", "event_date": "2026-07-23", "supporting_event": "A fast-moving wildfire has forced more than 10,000 people from homes and campsites near France's Atlantic coast.", "storyline_id": "s_env_00100465", "storyline": "2026 European wildfires", "linked_domains": ["Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_b0d15aa306275032b8ca", "t_0534cf672cfd2d976888", "t_c990a698333f940df194", "t_305061895e44d5981c6d"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "More than 10,000 people", "tolerance": null, "quote": "More than 10,000 people were evacuated overnight in southwestern France as a rapidly spreading wildfire ripped through at least 2,400 hectares of land west of the city of Bordeaux, officials said on Thursday.", "quote_doc_id": "t_1791fc92d339248d1909", "settling_ids": ["t_1791fc92d339248d1909", "t_1cad0c3eec86986de49d", "t_de344832fcd37277444b", "t_2e92b303dd123555ef22", "d_bac64c21c783fc4fd261"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["France", "Bordeaux"]}
{"id": "e_1809035e498b_q0", "domain": "Environment", "question": "How many people will be forced to flee due to unchecked wildfires in France and Spain by 2026-07-28?", "options": ["More than 250,000", "More than 150,000", "More than 300,000", "More than 100,000"], "answer": "More than 300,000", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": "people", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 5, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_1809035e498b", "event_date": "2026-07-26", "supporting_event": "Firefighters were overwhelmed by unchecked wildfires that have forced more than 300,000 people to flee.", "storyline_id": "s_env_00100465", "storyline": "2026 European wildfires", "linked_domains": ["Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_b0d15aa306275032b8ca", "t_f1287a8d26c6fd131909", "t_0534cf672cfd2d976888", "t_f33a40461385fb74269e", "t_a3aedbfc5c5576b38cc9"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "More than 300,000", "tolerance": null, "quote": "more than 300,000 people to flee", "quote_doc_id": "t_1809035e498bcc8dcddd", "settling_ids": ["t_1809035e498bcc8dcddd", "t_9c21a1d8a23c48196069", "d_bac64c21c783fc4fd261"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["firefighters", "France", "Spain"]}
{"id": "e_19066b5b0ca7_q1", "domain": "Environment", "question": "Will the number of affected districts in Assam floods be less than 15 by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 18, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_19066b5b0ca7", "event_date": "2026-08-08", "supporting_event": "The death toll from the Assam floods has risen to 98.", "storyline_id": "s_env_19066b5b", "storyline": "2026 Assam flood disaster", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_1d543d48396d39bae8db", "t_0bbf7210c499acc9ca78"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the number of affected districts fell to 13", "quote_doc_id": "t_be4ed033215fe6de5532", "settling_ids": ["t_19066b5b0ca745bad7ed", "t_eec05323577c89a587ef", "t_3951da65422df4798263", "t_be4ed033215fe6de5532"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Assam", "Charaideo district"]}
{"id": "e_19066b5b0ca7_q1_neg", "domain": "Environment", "question": "Will the number of affected districts in Assam floods be less than 15 by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "No", "answer_type": "perturbed_binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 18, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_19066b5b0ca7", "event_date": "2026-08-08", "supporting_event": "The death toll from the Assam floods has risen to 98.", "storyline_id": "s_env_19066b5b", "storyline": "2026 Assam flood disaster", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_1d543d48396d39bae8db", "t_0bbf7210c499acc9ca78"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "perturbed_binary", "value": "No", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the number of affected districts fell to 13", "quote_doc_id": "t_be4ed033215fe6de5532", "settling_ids": ["t_19066b5b0ca745bad7ed", "t_eec05323577c89a587ef", "t_3951da65422df4798263", "t_be4ed033215fe6de5532"], "derivation": "the event dated 2026-08-08 is after the shifted deadline 2026-08-04, so the claim is false at that deadline"}, "perturbation": {"field": "deadline", "original": "2026-08-11", "substituted": "2026-08-04", "v40_substituted": "2026-07-30"}, "paired_with": "e_19066b5b0ca7_q1", "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Assam", "Charaideo district"]}
{"id": "e_212add8e52dc_q0", "domain": "Environment", "question": "What will be the peak temperature in Baltimore by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "lower 80s", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 2, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_212add8e52dc", "event_date": "2026-07-23", "supporting_event": "Baltimore experiences pleasant weather with low humidity and temperatures peaking in the lower 80s.", "storyline_id": "s_env_212add8e", "storyline": "July 2026 weather patterns", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_9001554dcd2dd93733d3", "t_66d881be9529816cea35", "t_1fd18f16e8506aea3f14", "t_27f0bd377213bb6c4ca6"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "lower 80s", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Temperatures only peak in the upper 70s and lower 80s on Thursday afternoon, with abundant sunshine, low humidity, and a fresh northerly breeze.", "quote_doc_id": "t_212add8e52dc0cd71b63", "settling_ids": ["t_212add8e52dc0cd71b63", "t_24cb3e097fc6d603ffff", "t_7818f9781f327f585508", "t_065f2bc467a7bf8abc69"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Baltimore"]}
{"id": "e_22f4e6c561d1_q0", "domain": "Environment", "question": "Who will be involved in a midair collision of firefighting helicopters while battling wildfires near Athens by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "two firefighting helicopters", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 12, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_22f4e6c561d1", "event_date": "2026-08-02", "supporting_event": "Two firefighting helicopters collided midair while battling wildfires near Athens.", "storyline_id": "s_env_22f4e6c5", "storyline": "2026 European wildfire season", "linked_domains": ["Geopolitics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_7c08b3d8baf95db5d5e0", "t_1c6fd08e1a1c165804cd"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "two firefighting helicopters", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Two firefighting helicopters have collided west of Athens while battling wildfires", "quote_doc_id": "t_22f4e6c561d1e083290b", "settling_ids": ["t_22f4e6c561d1e083290b", "t_f45733930b3a298fb102"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["firefighting helicopters", "fire department", "Psatha", "Athens"]}
{"id": "e_22f4e6c561d1_q1", "domain": "Environment", "question": "What type of aircraft will collide while fighting wildfires near Athens by 2026-08-04?", "options": ["commercial airliners", "firefighting helicopters", "military jets", "private planes"], "answer": "firefighting helicopters", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 12, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_22f4e6c561d1", "event_date": "2026-08-02", "supporting_event": "Two firefighting helicopters collided midair while battling wildfires near Athens.", "storyline_id": "s_env_22f4e6c5", "storyline": "2026 European wildfire season", "linked_domains": ["Geopolitics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_7c08b3d8baf95db5d5e0", "t_1c6fd08e1a1c165804cd"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "firefighting helicopters", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Two firefighting helicopters have collided west of Athens while battling wildfires", "quote_doc_id": "t_f45733930b3a298fb102", "settling_ids": ["t_22f4e6c561d1e083290b", "t_f45733930b3a298fb102"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["firefighting helicopters", "fire department", "Psatha", "Athens"]}
{"id": "e_22f4e6c561d1_q2", "domain": "Environment", "question": "How many crew members will be on the two firefighting helicopters that collide near Athens by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "4", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "crew members", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 12, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_22f4e6c561d1", "event_date": "2026-08-02", "supporting_event": "Two firefighting helicopters collided midair while battling wildfires near Athens.", "storyline_id": "s_env_22f4e6c5", "storyline": "2026 European wildfire season", "linked_domains": ["Geopolitics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_7c08b3d8baf95db5d5e0", "t_1c6fd08e1a1c165804cd"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "4", "tolerance": 0, "quote": "carrying four crew members", "quote_doc_id": "t_22f4e6c561d1e083290b", "settling_ids": ["t_22f4e6c561d1e083290b", "t_f45733930b3a298fb102"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["firefighting helicopters", "fire department", "Psatha", "Athens"]}
{"id": "e_25cdadb02702_q2", "domain": "Environment", "question": "How many people will have fled their homes in towns and villages across France and Spain due to the wildfires by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "300000", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "people", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 5, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_25cdadb02702", "event_date": "2026-07-26", "supporting_event": "More than 300,000 people have fled their homes in towns and villages across France and Spain due to the wildfires.", "storyline_id": "s_env_00100465", "storyline": "2026 European wildfires", "linked_domains": ["Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_b0d15aa306275032b8ca", "t_0534cf672cfd2d976888", "t_c990a698333f940df194", "t_8e53a56beca58491c5a7", "t_a3aedbfc5c5576b38cc9"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "300000", "tolerance": 0.05, "quote": "More than 300,000 people have fled their homes in towns and villages across France and Spain due to the wildfires.", "quote_doc_id": "t_49563b5d0329791d35c1", "settling_ids": ["t_25cdadb0270236387214", "t_49563b5d0329791d35c1", "d_bac64c21c783fc4fd261"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["France", "Spain", "Madrid", "Bordeaux"]}
{"id": "e_2907bc3b99b1_q0", "domain": "Environment", "question": "How many people will be reported dead due to rain-related incidents in Kerala by 2026-08-04?", "options": ["20 people", "5 people", "10 people", "15 people"], "answer": "15 people", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": "people", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 13, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_2907bc3b99b1", "event_date": "2026-08-03", "supporting_event": "VD Satheesan reported that 15 people have died due to rain-related incidents across Kerala.", "storyline_id": "s_env_2907bc3b", "storyline": "Kerala monsoon disaster response", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_cd16d9be214d92b67f97", "t_fae82ab11dacbbc6ba57", "t_8bb1464ba3454428edac"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "15 people", "tolerance": null, "quote": "15 people have died and 7 are missing in rain-related incidents across Kerala, said the Chief Minister VD Satheesan on Monday.", "quote_doc_id": "t_2907bc3b99b123cda682", "settling_ids": ["t_2907bc3b99b123cda682", "t_b663a1be6777486cb4d2", "t_d8060cc6fabf803043f6", "t_901a3c10e26e2316e25f"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["VD Satheesan", "Kerala"]}
{"id": "e_2907bc3b99b1_q1", "domain": "Environment", "question": "What will be the number of missing persons reported in Kerala due to rain-related incidents by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "7", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "people", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 13, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_2907bc3b99b1", "event_date": "2026-08-03", "supporting_event": "VD Satheesan reported that 15 people have died due to rain-related incidents across Kerala.", "storyline_id": "s_env_2907bc3b", "storyline": "Kerala monsoon disaster response", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_cd16d9be214d92b67f97", "t_fae82ab11dacbbc6ba57", "t_8bb1464ba3454428edac"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "7", "tolerance": 0.1, "quote": "7 are missing in rain-related incidents across Kerala", "quote_doc_id": "t_2907bc3b99b123cda682", "settling_ids": ["t_2907bc3b99b123cda682", "t_b663a1be6777486cb4d2", "t_d8060cc6fabf803043f6", "t_901a3c10e26e2316e25f"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["VD Satheesan", "Kerala"]}
{"id": "e_297087fdd56c_q0", "domain": "Environment", "question": "By 2026-08-04, which provinces in northwest China will have issued emergency alerts and closed tourist sites due to heavy rain?", "options": ["Gansu and Qinghai", "Shaanxi and Gansu", "Ningxia and Shaanxi", "Shaanxi and Xinjiang"], "answer": "Shaanxi and Gansu", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 9, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_297087fdd56c", "event_date": "2026-07-30", "supporting_event": "Authorities in northwest China's Shaanxi and Gansu provinces issued emergency alerts and closed dozens of tourist sites on July 30, 2026.", "storyline_id": "s_env_297087fd", "storyline": "Northwest China heavy rain emergency response", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_1bdeb7a076612735ab7d", "t_5df688e338f4127fb34d"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "Shaanxi and Gansu", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Authorities in northwest China's Shaanxi and Gansu provinces issued emergency alerts and closed dozens of tourist sites", "quote_doc_id": "t_297087fdd56cfc871fc9", "settling_ids": ["t_297087fdd56cfc871fc9", "t_5237ccffea939600446e"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Shaanxi", "Gansu"]}
{"id": "e_297087fdd56c_q1", "domain": "Environment", "question": "By 2026-08-04, how many tourist attractions will have been shut temporarily in Longnan, Gansu due to heavy rain?", "options": null, "answer": "61", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 9, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_297087fdd56c", "event_date": "2026-07-30", "supporting_event": "Authorities in northwest China's Shaanxi and Gansu provinces issued emergency alerts and closed dozens of tourist sites on July 30, 2026.", "storyline_id": "s_env_297087fd", "storyline": "Northwest China heavy rain emergency response", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_1bdeb7a076612735ab7d", "t_5df688e338f4127fb34d"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "61", "tolerance": null, "quote": "A total of 61 tourist attractions in Longnan had been shut temporarily by 4 p.m. (0800 GMT)", "quote_doc_id": "t_297087fdd56cfc871fc9", "settling_ids": ["t_297087fdd56cfc871fc9", "t_5237ccffea939600446e"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Shaanxi", "Gansu"]}
{"id": "e_29f07b2d8f89_q0", "domain": "Environment", "question": "How many GWh of power will be restricted from evacuation during the financial year 2025-26, as reported by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "6900", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "GWh", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 4, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_29f07b2d8f89", "event_date": "2026-07-25", "supporting_event": "Around 6,900 GWh power was restricted from evacuation during 2025-26.", "storyline_id": "s_env_29f07b2d", "storyline": "India's renewable energy transmission challenges", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_4d290ba28fde1ffba618", "t_d04df0d767691798074f", "t_cc73ffdc85f7e5b9d12c", "t_ac788bc8851c44f11928", "t_ebdd83cb939de8424416"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "6900", "tolerance": 0.05, "quote": "during year 2025-26, around 6,900 GWh was restricted due to the mismatches in the commissioning of VRE generation and their associated transmission systems.", "quote_doc_id": "t_3821ac1685adf7dfc263", "settling_ids": ["t_29f07b2d8f898e602b6e", "t_3821ac1685adf7dfc263"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Shripad Yesso Naik", "Grid-India Limited"]}
{"id": "e_2a75a6c3ccc9_d0", "domain": "Environment", "question": "How many times has the Copernicus Emergency Management Service (CEMS) been activated by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "30", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "D", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 9, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_2a75a6c3ccc9", "event_date": "2026-07-30", "supporting_event": "France gave the go-ahead Thursday for 84,000 evacuees forced out by a monster wildfire to return home.", "storyline_id": "s_env_00100465", "storyline": "2026 European wildfires", "linked_domains": ["Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_b0d15aa306275032b8ca", "t_f1287a8d26c6fd131909", "t_0534cf672cfd2d976888", "t_c990a698333f940df194", "t_f33a40461385fb74269e", "t_305061895e44d5981c6d"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "30", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the Copernicus Emergency Management Service (CEMS) has been activated more than 30 times", "quote_doc_id": "d_c2ce507d410a3290ac3c", "settling_ids": ["d_c2ce507d410a3290ac3c", "t_2a75a6c3ccc9fbfd41dd", "t_1401956b62ffe539373b"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["France"]}
{"id": "e_2a75a6c3ccc9_q0", "domain": "Environment", "question": "How many evacuees will France allow to return home by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "84000", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "people", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 9, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_2a75a6c3ccc9", "event_date": "2026-07-30", "supporting_event": "France gave the go-ahead Thursday for 84,000 evacuees forced out by a monster wildfire to return home.", "storyline_id": "s_env_00100465", "storyline": "2026 European wildfires", "linked_domains": ["Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_b0d15aa306275032b8ca", "t_f1287a8d26c6fd131909", "t_0534cf672cfd2d976888", "t_c990a698333f940df194", "t_f33a40461385fb74269e", "t_305061895e44d5981c6d"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "84000", "tolerance": 0.05, "quote": "France gave the go-ahead Thursday for 84,000 evacuees forced out by a monster wildfire to return home", "quote_doc_id": "t_2a75a6c3ccc9fbfd41dd", "settling_ids": ["t_2a75a6c3ccc9fbfd41dd", "t_1401956b62ffe539373b", "d_bac64c21c783fc4fd261", "d_c2ce507d410a3290ac3c"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["France"]}
{"id": "e_2ad18794807f_q0", "domain": "Environment", "question": "By 2026-08-04, which of the following temperatures will South Korea have recorded as its highest temperature?", "options": ["39.5 degrees Celsius", "41.0 degrees Celsius", "42.5 degrees Celsius", "40.0 degrees Celsius"], "answer": "42.5 degrees Celsius", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": "degrees Celsius", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 12, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_2ad18794807f", "event_date": "2026-08-02", "supporting_event": "South Korea recorded its highest temperature of 42.5 degrees Celsius on August 2, 2026.", "storyline_id": "s_env_16a53615", "storyline": "2026 South Korea heatwave", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Geopolitics", "Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_55798aeeefc633e52b5b", "t_b65968091c6cb0b9e061", "t_e9ccfee4bea027bb9d64"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "42.5 degrees Celsius", "tolerance": null, "quote": "South Korea has recorded its highest temperature since national weather records began more than a century ago, as an intense heatwave grips the country, the latest in a year of climate extremes that have caused droughts, wildfires, floods and powerful storms around the globe.", "quote_doc_id": "t_2ad18794807f205b1296", "settling_ids": ["t_2ad18794807f205b1296", "t_3c654a702667de11ab1f"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["South Korea", "Yangsan", "Korea Meteorological Administration"]}
{"id": "e_2ad18794807f_q1", "domain": "Environment", "question": "By 2026-08-04, what will be the maximum temperature recorded in Yangsan, South Korea during the heatwave?", "options": null, "answer": "42.5", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "degrees Celsius", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 12, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_2ad18794807f", "event_date": "2026-08-02", "supporting_event": "South Korea recorded its highest temperature of 42.5 degrees Celsius on August 2, 2026.", "storyline_id": "s_env_16a53615", "storyline": "2026 South Korea heatwave", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Geopolitics", "Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_55798aeeefc633e52b5b", "t_b65968091c6cb0b9e061", "t_e9ccfee4bea027bb9d64"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "42.5", "tolerance": 0.1, "quote": "the southeastern city of Yangsan reached 42.5 degrees Celsius (108.5F) at 1:26pm local time (04:26 GMT) on Sunday, according to the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA).", "quote_doc_id": "t_2ad18794807f205b1296", "settling_ids": ["t_2ad18794807f205b1296", "t_3c654a702667de11ab1f"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["South Korea", "Yangsan", "Korea Meteorological Administration"]}
{"id": "e_2e92070aee09_q0", "domain": "Environment", "question": "By 2026-08-04, how many meters below average will the water levels in Lake Brenets be?", "options": null, "answer": "9", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "meters", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 9, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_2e92070aee09", "event_date": "2026-07-30", "supporting_event": "Lake Brenets is all but drained amid a prolonged drought.", "storyline_id": "s_env_2e92070a", "storyline": "2026 European drought", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_58d6478f971f6bdc7826", "t_370254d37bcfd8c5cf76", "t_d69ab539c1a0f5612177", "t_eabeb8df5d471483282c"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "9", "tolerance": 0.1, "quote": "water levels now more than 9m below average", "quote_doc_id": "t_2e92070aee0948cdf39c", "settling_ids": ["t_2e92070aee0948cdf39c", "t_521022564ab12bd78803"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Lake Brenets", "River Doubs", "Yvan Durig"]}
{"id": "e_31dd795758fd_q2", "domain": "Environment", "question": "Will Hungarian companies and households cut their power consumption in response to a government appeal, by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 15, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_31dd795758fd", "event_date": "2026-08-05", "supporting_event": "Hungarian companies and households have cut their power consumption this week in an unprecedented way.", "storyline_id": "s_env_31dd7957", "storyline": "Hungary energy crisis response", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_c541b874c4c92a25a21a", "t_9dd2bb10205a11afc2b3"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Hungarian companies and households have cut their power consumption this week in an unprecedented way, after a government appeal", "quote_doc_id": "t_31dd795758fd8316cbea", "settling_ids": ["t_31dd795758fd8316cbea", "t_876cb1df4349f641a0b6"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Hungarian companies", "Hungarian households"]}
{"id": "e_31dd795758fd_q2_neg", "domain": "Environment", "question": "Will Hungarian companies and households cut their power consumption in response to a government appeal, by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "No", "answer_type": "perturbed_binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 15, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_31dd795758fd", "event_date": "2026-08-05", "supporting_event": "Hungarian companies and households have cut their power consumption this week in an unprecedented way.", "storyline_id": "s_env_31dd7957", "storyline": "Hungary energy crisis response", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_c541b874c4c92a25a21a", "t_9dd2bb10205a11afc2b3"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "perturbed_binary", "value": "No", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Hungarian companies and households have cut their power consumption this week in an unprecedented way, after a government appeal", "quote_doc_id": "t_31dd795758fd8316cbea", "settling_ids": ["t_31dd795758fd8316cbea", "t_876cb1df4349f641a0b6"], "derivation": "the event dated 2026-08-05 is after the shifted deadline 2026-08-04, so the claim is false at that deadline"}, "perturbation": {"field": "deadline", "original": "2026-08-11", "substituted": "2026-08-04", "v40_substituted": "2026-07-28"}, "paired_with": "e_31dd795758fd_q2", "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Hungarian companies", "Hungarian households"]}
{"id": "e_342f720f88a9_q0", "domain": "Environment", "question": "Will French authorities allow evacuees to return home by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 10, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_342f720f88a9", "event_date": "2026-07-31", "supporting_event": "French authorities allowed 144,000 people to return home on July 31 after a major wildfire was contained.", "storyline_id": "s_env_00100465", "storyline": "2026 European wildfires", "linked_domains": ["Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_b0d15aa306275032b8ca", "t_f1287a8d26c6fd131909", "t_0534cf672cfd2d976888", "t_f33a40461385fb74269e", "t_305061895e44d5981c6d"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "‘Situation stable’ so people allowed back home in south-western France as huge wildfire weakens", "quote_doc_id": "t_342f720f88a923e25974", "settling_ids": ["t_342f720f88a923e25974", "t_f5bfdca3760e23d6ec73", "t_92323b40eb22b2ad9aac"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["French authorities", "Gironde prefect Sophie Brocas", "Bordeaux", "Cap Ferret peninsula"]}
{"id": "e_342f720f88a9_q0_neg", "domain": "Environment", "question": "Will French authorities allow evacuees to return home by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "No", "answer_type": "perturbed_binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 10, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_342f720f88a9", "event_date": "2026-07-31", "supporting_event": "French authorities allowed 144,000 people to return home on July 31 after a major wildfire was contained.", "storyline_id": "s_env_00100465", "storyline": "2026 European wildfires", "linked_domains": ["Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_b0d15aa306275032b8ca", "t_f1287a8d26c6fd131909", "t_0534cf672cfd2d976888", "t_f33a40461385fb74269e", "t_305061895e44d5981c6d"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "perturbed_binary", "value": "No", "tolerance": null, "quote": "‘Situation stable’ so people allowed back home in south-western France as huge wildfire weakens", "quote_doc_id": "t_342f720f88a923e25974", "settling_ids": ["t_342f720f88a923e25974", "t_f5bfdca3760e23d6ec73", "t_92323b40eb22b2ad9aac"], "derivation": "the event dated 2026-07-31 is after the shifted deadline 2026-07-28, so the claim is false at that deadline"}, "perturbation": {"field": "deadline", "original": "2026-08-04", "substituted": "2026-07-28", "v40_substituted": "2026-07-26"}, "paired_with": "e_342f720f88a9_q0", "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["French authorities", "Gironde prefect Sophie Brocas", "Bordeaux", "Cap Ferret peninsula"]}
{"id": "e_342f720f88a9_q1", "domain": "Environment", "question": "How many people will be allowed to return home by French authorities by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "144000", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "people", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 10, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_342f720f88a9", "event_date": "2026-07-31", "supporting_event": "French authorities allowed 144,000 people to return home on July 31 after a major wildfire was contained.", "storyline_id": "s_env_00100465", "storyline": "2026 European wildfires", "linked_domains": ["Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_b0d15aa306275032b8ca", "t_f1287a8d26c6fd131909", "t_0534cf672cfd2d976888", "t_f33a40461385fb74269e", "t_305061895e44d5981c6d"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "144000", "tolerance": 0.05, "quote": "allowing 144,000 people out of more than 220,000 to return home", "quote_doc_id": "t_342f720f88a923e25974", "settling_ids": ["t_342f720f88a923e25974", "t_f5bfdca3760e23d6ec73", "t_92323b40eb22b2ad9aac"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["French authorities", "Gironde prefect Sophie Brocas", "Bordeaux", "Cap Ferret peninsula"]}
{"id": "e_342f720f88a9_q2", "domain": "Environment", "question": "Who will announce the return of evacuees by French authorities by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "Sophie Brocas", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 10, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_342f720f88a9", "event_date": "2026-07-31", "supporting_event": "French authorities allowed 144,000 people to return home on July 31 after a major wildfire was contained.", "storyline_id": "s_env_00100465", "storyline": "2026 European wildfires", "linked_domains": ["Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_b0d15aa306275032b8ca", "t_f1287a8d26c6fd131909", "t_0534cf672cfd2d976888", "t_f33a40461385fb74269e", "t_305061895e44d5981c6d"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "Sophie Brocas", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Gironde prefect Sophie Brocas said in a statement", "quote_doc_id": "t_342f720f88a923e25974", "settling_ids": ["t_342f720f88a923e25974", "t_f5bfdca3760e23d6ec73", "t_92323b40eb22b2ad9aac"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["French authorities", "Gironde prefect Sophie Brocas", "Bordeaux", "Cap Ferret peninsula"]}
{"id": "e_35c7338c80d1_q0", "domain": "Environment", "question": "Which country will issue its highest storm alert in preparation for approaching Typhoon Dolphin by 2026-08-11?", "options": ["Japan", "Philippines", "China", "South Korea"], "answer": "China", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 19, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_35c7338c80d1", "event_date": "2026-08-09", "supporting_event": "China issued its highest storm alert in preparation for approaching Typhoon Dolphin.", "storyline_id": "s_env_13832d93", "storyline": "Typhoon Dolphin landfall", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_83b72dc36083474cd342", "t_597dc20ecbffd5b278a3", "t_1bdeb7a076612735ab7d"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "China", "tolerance": null, "quote": "China issued its highest storm alert in preparation for approaching Typhoon Dolphin as more than 1,000 flights were canceled and some rail services were suspended.", "quote_doc_id": "t_35c7338c80d1ad2c19fe", "settling_ids": ["t_35c7338c80d1ad2c19fe", "t_51907ddadd6561544ac5", "t_dcfb174d67f1898390c2"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["China", "Typhoon Dolphin"]}
{"id": "e_36988535a7d7_q0", "domain": "Environment", "question": "How many people will be evacuated from the Cap Ferret peninsula by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "63000", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "people", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 3, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_36988535a7d7", "event_date": "2026-07-24", "supporting_event": "French authorities ordered the total evacuation of the Cap Ferret peninsula, affecting about 63,000 people.", "storyline_id": "s_env_00100465", "storyline": "2026 European wildfires", "linked_domains": ["Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_b0d15aa306275032b8ca", "t_0534cf672cfd2d976888", "t_f33a40461385fb74269e", "t_305061895e44d5981c6d"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "63000", "tolerance": 0.05, "quote": "About 63,000 people were evacuated from the area, many brought to safety by boat, officials said.", "quote_doc_id": "t_36988535a7d7c489a405", "settling_ids": ["t_36988535a7d7c489a405", "t_a38cb7cfa39aa64b4f26", "t_fb5ca400cd28a94fd9b0", "t_0842ea26ba9d898bbad7"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["French authorities", "Cap Ferret peninsula"]}
{"id": "e_36988535a7d7_q1", "domain": "Environment", "question": "Which authorities will order the evacuation of the Cap Ferret peninsula by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "French authorities", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 3, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_36988535a7d7", "event_date": "2026-07-24", "supporting_event": "French authorities ordered the total evacuation of the Cap Ferret peninsula, affecting about 63,000 people.", "storyline_id": "s_env_00100465", "storyline": "2026 European wildfires", "linked_domains": ["Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_b0d15aa306275032b8ca", "t_0534cf672cfd2d976888", "t_f33a40461385fb74269e", "t_305061895e44d5981c6d"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "French authorities", "tolerance": null, "quote": "French authorities ordered the total evacuation of the Cap Ferret peninsula, a tourism hotspot busy for the summer season, as smoke and flames drew closer to homes.", "quote_doc_id": "t_36988535a7d7c489a405", "settling_ids": ["t_36988535a7d7c489a405", "t_a38cb7cfa39aa64b4f26", "t_fb5ca400cd28a94fd9b0", "t_0842ea26ba9d898bbad7"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["French authorities", "Cap Ferret peninsula"]}
{"id": "e_3a1490baa33f_q0", "domain": "Environment", "question": "Which of the following individuals will be reported as having fled wildfires in France or Spain by 2026-08-04?", "options": ["Tom Hanks", "George Clooney", "Brad Pitt", "Leonardo DiCaprio"], "answer": "George Clooney", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 9, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_3a1490baa33f", "event_date": "2026-07-30", "supporting_event": "George Clooney fled wildfires in France and Spain.", "storyline_id": "s_env_22f4e6c5", "storyline": "2026 European wildfire season", "linked_domains": ["Geopolitics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_b0d15aa306275032b8ca", "t_8b6360c1a16e22546953", "t_3753dc09f73ed54922b9", "t_f33a40461385fb74269e", "t_a3aedbfc5c5576b38cc9"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "George Clooney", "tolerance": null, "quote": "among them Hollywood star George Clooney and his wife Amal.", "quote_doc_id": "t_3a1490baa33f2d543f07", "settling_ids": ["t_3a1490baa33f2d543f07", "t_3dd1e4a895b1df71e601", "t_b90fd5fcadd9649d7688", "d_bac64c21c783fc4fd261", "d_c2ce507d410a3290ac3c"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["George Clooney", "Amal Clooney", "France", "Spain"]}
{"id": "e_3a1490baa33f_q1", "domain": "Environment", "question": "How many people will have been reported to flee due to wildfires in France and Spain by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "220000", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 9, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_3a1490baa33f", "event_date": "2026-07-30", "supporting_event": "George Clooney fled wildfires in France and Spain.", "storyline_id": "s_env_22f4e6c5", "storyline": "2026 European wildfire season", "linked_domains": ["Geopolitics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_b0d15aa306275032b8ca", "t_8b6360c1a16e22546953", "t_3753dc09f73ed54922b9", "t_f33a40461385fb74269e", "t_a3aedbfc5c5576b38cc9"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "220000", "tolerance": 0.05, "quote": "forced the evacuation of 220,000 people.", "quote_doc_id": "t_b90fd5fcadd9649d7688", "settling_ids": ["t_3a1490baa33f2d543f07", "t_3dd1e4a895b1df71e601", "t_b90fd5fcadd9649d7688", "d_bac64c21c783fc4fd261", "d_c2ce507d410a3290ac3c"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["George Clooney", "Amal Clooney", "France", "Spain"]}
{"id": "e_3cc90f010387_q1", "domain": "Environment", "question": "How many goats will Muhammad Amin be able to feed by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "15", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "goats", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 19, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_3cc90f010387", "event_date": "2026-08-09", "supporting_event": "Muhammad Amin reported that the water of the river is not drinkable due to mining activities.", "storyline_id": "s_env_3cc90f01", "storyline": "Afghanistan gold rush", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_5db660798d927bc1005e", "t_f44b098bfe40086b224f"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "15", "tolerance": 0.1, "quote": "Now he can only feed up to 15 goats, compared with as many as 40 previously.", "quote_doc_id": "t_3cc90f01038786121534", "settling_ids": ["t_3cc90f01038786121534", "t_142f5b5baef00169283a", "t_f9a3996f2cfe283f88e6", "t_f83676dd4ac5d0414993"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Muhammad Amin", "Badakhshan", "Faizabad"]}
{"id": "e_3d38b0aa3f4e_i0", "domain": "Environment", "question": "What is the total number of fire trucks present in the scene by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "at least 10", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 4, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_3d38b0aa3f4e", "event_date": "2026-07-25", "supporting_event": "France prepared to use a massive specially adapted cargo aircraft to dump flame retardants on July 25, 2026.", "storyline_id": "s_env_3d38b0aa", "storyline": "wildfire response in southern Europe", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_b37aea39b343c3362d27", "t_f1287a8d26c6fd131909", "t_b27b62b0d4e44e55f13a", "t_be4d713d09a303a1bab3", "t_f33a40461385fb74269e", "t_01f21a43e7b44fc91656", "t_91126ae49eafc722ea48"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "at least 10", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_6cefc4daedca17082888_0", "settling_ids": ["t_6cefc4daedca17082888", "t_3d38b0aa3f4e6e533db6", "t_b55e297b6eb80349e756", "t_2195e9e50d3226fa6588", "t_d94e67783d19af92e588", "t_973fbd47226524ba93cf"], "visible_detail": "the number of fire trucks lined up on the road"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["France", "A400M aircraft", "Bordeaux"]}
{"id": "e_438d2cd51859_q0", "domain": "Environment", "question": "How many acres will the Dove fire have burned by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "223", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "acres", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 6, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_438d2cd51859", "event_date": "2026-07-27", "supporting_event": "Cal Fire ordered mandatory evacuations for several neighborhoods due to the Dove fire.", "storyline_id": "s_env_438d2cd5", "storyline": "Dove fire response", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["i_32c423d508bc73c5dca2_0", "t_f05b7c9101673c3eed38", "t_9f8ef4d935d8db58ce7f", "t_4236bfe25eeb50b1ee01"], "precursor_modalities": ["I", "T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "223", "tolerance": 0.05, "quote": "the blaze had spread to 223 acres", "quote_doc_id": "t_438d2cd51859c709bca3", "settling_ids": ["t_438d2cd51859c709bca3", "t_b928c5ec8f1092c32a50"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Cal Fire", "Dove fire", "Sonora", "Tuolumne County"]}
{"id": "e_447765ad2d5d_q0", "domain": "Environment", "question": "Which of the following actions will Spain's interior ministry take by 2026-07-28?", "options": ["Extend evacuation orders for 5 municipalities", "Lift evacuation orders for 25 municipalities", "Announce the end of evacuation orders for 15 municipalities", "Issue new evacuation orders for 20 municipalities"], "answer": "Announce the end of evacuation orders for 15 municipalities", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 7, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_447765ad2d5d", "event_date": "2026-07-28", "supporting_event": "Spain's interior ministry announced the end of evacuation orders for 15 municipalities.", "storyline_id": "s_env_00100465", "storyline": "2026 European wildfires", "linked_domains": ["Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_c5078e49d3293f951bd7", "t_61bf3b091ba95eb45c38", "t_846aaff99f62da025ea1", "t_860a6a69fdb1b92d5b2c"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "Announce the end of evacuation orders for 15 municipalities", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Spain's interior ministry announced the end of evacuation orders for 15 municipalities on Tuesday afternoon in rare good news.", "quote_doc_id": "t_cae8b7b785ddae7234fd", "settling_ids": ["t_447765ad2d5d3de2cb4a", "t_cae8b7b785ddae7234fd", "d_bac64c21c783fc4fd261"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Spain", "Madrid"]}
{"id": "e_4657716f5c9e_q0", "domain": "Environment", "question": "Who will be the Coordinating Minister for Political and Security Affairs in Indonesia by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "Djamari Chaniago", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 20, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_4657716f5c9e", "event_date": "2026-08-10", "supporting_event": "Indonesia battled wildfires that have burned more than 264,000 acres of forests and other land.", "storyline_id": "s_env_4657716f", "storyline": "Indonesia wildfire response 2026", "linked_domains": ["Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_3398cfa2ae5285aa94c1", "t_e41b2e42d9ced455f868"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "Djamari Chaniago", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Coordinating Minister for Political and Security Affairs Djamari Chaniago said.", "quote_doc_id": "t_4657716f5c9eae880093", "settling_ids": ["t_4657716f5c9eae880093", "t_18e1b544bedcec3bd8bf"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Indonesia"]}
{"id": "e_4657716f5c9e_q1", "domain": "Environment", "question": "What will be the total area burned by wildfires in Indonesia by 2026-08-11?", "options": ["more than 264,000 acres", "between 200,000 and 264,000 acres", "between 100,000 and 200,000 acres", "less than 100,000 acres"], "answer": "more than 264,000 acres", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": "acres", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 20, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_4657716f5c9e", "event_date": "2026-08-10", "supporting_event": "Indonesia battled wildfires that have burned more than 264,000 acres of forests and other land.", "storyline_id": "s_env_4657716f", "storyline": "Indonesia wildfire response 2026", "linked_domains": ["Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_3398cfa2ae5285aa94c1", "t_e41b2e42d9ced455f868"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "more than 264,000 acres", "tolerance": null, "quote": "wildfires that have burned more than 264,000 acres of forests and other land", "quote_doc_id": "t_4657716f5c9eae880093", "settling_ids": ["t_4657716f5c9eae880093", "t_18e1b544bedcec3bd8bf"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Indonesia"]}
{"id": "e_4657716f5c9e_q2", "domain": "Environment", "question": "How many acres will have been burned by wildfires in Indonesia by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "264000", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "acres", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 20, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_4657716f5c9e", "event_date": "2026-08-10", "supporting_event": "Indonesia battled wildfires that have burned more than 264,000 acres of forests and other land.", "storyline_id": "s_env_4657716f", "storyline": "Indonesia wildfire response 2026", "linked_domains": ["Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_3398cfa2ae5285aa94c1", "t_e41b2e42d9ced455f868"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "264000", "tolerance": 0.05, "quote": "burned more than 264,000 acres of forests and other land", "quote_doc_id": "t_4657716f5c9eae880093", "settling_ids": ["t_4657716f5c9eae880093", "t_18e1b544bedcec3bd8bf"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Indonesia"]}
{"id": "e_4ebdf720054c_q0", "domain": "Environment", "question": "By 2026-08-04, how many people will have been evacuated from the resort village of Agia Galini due to the wildfire?", "options": ["3,000 people", "5,000 people", "10,000 people", "8,000 people"], "answer": "8,000 people", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": "people", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 9, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_4ebdf720054c", "event_date": "2026-07-30", "supporting_event": "Maria Lioni reported that 8,000 people were evacuated from the resort village of Agia Galini due to the wildfire.", "storyline_id": "s_env_4ebdf720", "storyline": "Crete wildfire response", "linked_domains": ["Geopolitics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_7c08b3d8baf95db5d5e0", "t_0534cf672cfd2d976888"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "8,000 people", "tolerance": null, "quote": "We evacuated (some) 8,000 people from the resort village of Agia Galini, Maria Lioni, deputy governor of the Rethymno area, told state TV ERT earlier.", "quote_doc_id": "t_4ebdf720054cbe59a354", "settling_ids": ["t_4ebdf720054cbe59a354", "t_83d5e9ee225816fc4c1a", "t_1ea9514f6c3fbe0dbfdb"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Maria Lioni", "Agia Galini", "Rethymno", "Greece"]}
{"id": "e_4ebdf720054c_q1", "domain": "Environment", "question": "By 2026-08-04, what will be the number of people evacuated from the resort village of Agia Galini due to the wildfire?", "options": null, "answer": "8000", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "people", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 9, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_4ebdf720054c", "event_date": "2026-07-30", "supporting_event": "Maria Lioni reported that 8,000 people were evacuated from the resort village of Agia Galini due to the wildfire.", "storyline_id": "s_env_4ebdf720", "storyline": "Crete wildfire response", "linked_domains": ["Geopolitics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_7c08b3d8baf95db5d5e0", "t_0534cf672cfd2d976888"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "8000", "tolerance": 0.05, "quote": "We evacuated (some) 8,000 people from the resort village of Agia Galini, Maria Lioni, deputy governor of the Rethymno area, told state TV ERT earlier.", "quote_doc_id": "t_4ebdf720054cbe59a354", "settling_ids": ["t_4ebdf720054cbe59a354", "t_83d5e9ee225816fc4c1a", "t_1ea9514f6c3fbe0dbfdb"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Maria Lioni", "Agia Galini", "Rethymno", "Greece"]}
{"id": "e_539b2a7691ec_q1", "domain": "Environment", "question": "How many people will be reported dead due to heavy rain in the northern Philippines by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "16", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "people", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 20, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_539b2a7691ec", "event_date": "2026-08-10", "supporting_event": "Days of heavy rain have killed at least 16 people in the northern Philippines.", "storyline_id": "s_env_539b2a76", "storyline": "Kerala heavy rain disaster response", "linked_domains": ["Geopolitics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_cd49027046fe5f10afa5", "t_8e070350df84aa1a3cb9"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "16", "tolerance": null, "quote": "have killed at least 16 people in the northern Philippines", "quote_doc_id": "t_539b2a7691ecc24fe095", "settling_ids": ["t_539b2a7691ecc24fe095", "t_8f789e49f1dd3dd5f3c8"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Philippines"]}
{"id": "e_5716a2ab32d9_q0", "domain": "Environment", "question": "How many millimeters of rainfall will Hong Kong receive over the month of July by 2026-08-04?", "options": ["703.5", "750.0", "600.0", "800.0"], "answer": "703.5", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": "mm", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 10, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_5716a2ab32d9", "event_date": "2026-07-31", "supporting_event": "Hong Kong received 703.5 millimeters of rainfall over the month.", "storyline_id": "s_env_5716a2ab", "storyline": "July 2026 rainfall in Hong Kong", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_e8e594dfaa9aca906543", "t_203c342e4f9e4ad53554"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "703.5", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Hong Kong has received 703.5 millimeters (27.7 inches) of rainfall over the month, according to the Hong Kong Observatory", "quote_doc_id": "t_48ebd7411ee3994ba5ac", "settling_ids": ["t_5716a2ab32d998ee8e4a", "t_48ebd7411ee3994ba5ac"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Hong Kong", "Hong Kong Observatory"]}
{"id": "e_5bd1b1385534_q0", "domain": "Environment", "question": "How many firefighters will be battling to save a popular coastal resort in Greece by 2026-08-04?", "options": ["exactly 250", "around 200", "over 300", "under 150"], "answer": "over 300", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 11, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_5bd1b1385534", "event_date": "2026-08-01", "supporting_event": "Hundreds of firefighters in Greece were battling to save a popular coastal resort northwest of Athens.", "storyline_id": "s_env_22f4e6c5", "storyline": "2026 European wildfire season", "linked_domains": ["Geopolitics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_7c08b3d8baf95db5d5e0", "t_1c6fd08e1a1c165804cd", "t_6fd364e10e4fc1551d6b"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "over 300", "tolerance": null, "quote": "over 300 firefighters were operating in the area of Porto Germeno", "quote_doc_id": "t_5bd1b1385534cec135db", "settling_ids": ["t_5bd1b1385534cec135db", "t_e3fdd92f159035a2566b"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["firefighters", "Greece", "Porto Germeno", "Athens", "Viotia"]}
{"id": "e_5d908d269659_d0", "domain": "Environment", "question": "What is the proposed geographic limit for Mexican-based crews operating in the U.S. by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "10 route-mile", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "miles", "modality_required": "D", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 7, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_5d908d269659", "event_date": "2026-07-28", "supporting_event": "The federal government has prepared an emergency plan to combat the issue of sargassum washing up on Mexico's Caribbean coast.", "storyline_id": "s_env_5d908d26", "storyline": "2026 sargassum crisis response", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_586117fc93a46b67ccda", "t_d746686366ac79c665fa"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "10 route-mile", "tolerance": null, "quote": "this proposed rule includes a 10 route-mile geographic limit for Mexican-based crews", "quote_doc_id": "d_a43e81e8a0b4dd9a6e7b", "settling_ids": ["d_a43e81e8a0b4dd9a6e7b", "t_5d908d26965963513186", "t_1489341e1666a988a6aa"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["the federal government", "sargassum", "Mexico", "Quintana Roo", "Cancun", "Playa del Carmen"]}
{"id": "e_5d908d269659_q0", "domain": "Environment", "question": "How many tons of sargassum will wash up on the shore of Quintana Roo by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "119000", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "tons", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 7, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_5d908d269659", "event_date": "2026-07-28", "supporting_event": "The federal government has prepared an emergency plan to combat the issue of sargassum washing up on Mexico's Caribbean coast.", "storyline_id": "s_env_5d908d26", "storyline": "2026 sargassum crisis response", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_586117fc93a46b67ccda", "t_d746686366ac79c665fa"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "119000", "tolerance": 0.05, "quote": "environmental officials project 119 million kg 119,000 tons of sargassum to wash up on the shore by the end of 2026", "quote_doc_id": "t_5d908d26965963513186", "settling_ids": ["t_5d908d26965963513186", "t_1489341e1666a988a6aa", "d_a43e81e8a0b4dd9a6e7b"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["the federal government", "sargassum", "Mexico", "Quintana Roo", "Cancun", "Playa del Carmen"]}
{"id": "e_5ec2fbc9643f_q0", "domain": "Environment", "question": "How many holidaymakers will Hadrien Folliot evacuate from the Domaine de La Rive campsite by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "1200", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "people", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 11, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_5ec2fbc9643f", "event_date": "2026-08-01", "supporting_event": "Hadrien Folliot evacuated roughly 1,200 holidaymakers from the Domaine de La Rive campsite.", "storyline_id": "s_env_5ec2fbc9", "storyline": "wildfire evacuation in France", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_eaba901d0c428b10cc65", "t_0534cf672cfd2d976888", "t_c990a698333f940df194", "t_f33a40461385fb74269e", "t_4bceb3cbe4838dc69a98", "t_9fdfbc9c9d12c25d8e00", "t_305061895e44d5981c6d"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "1200", "tolerance": 0.05, "quote": "remove roughly 1,200 holidaymakers.", "quote_doc_id": "t_5ec2fbc9643f77a49f5f", "settling_ids": ["t_5ec2fbc9643f77a49f5f", "t_1125dcac3f4aa476bf39"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Hadrien Folliot", "Domaine de La Rive", "Biscarrosse"]}
{"id": "e_607cd77efe4b_q0", "domain": "Environment", "question": "How many properties will Anmore's residents be asked to prepare for evacuation by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "35", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "properties", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 15, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_607cd77efe4b", "event_date": "2026-08-05", "supporting_event": "Anmore's acting mayor Doug Richardson told residents that about 35 properties should be prepared to evacuate.", "storyline_id": "s_env_607cd77e", "storyline": "Wildfire evacuation alerts in metro Vancouver", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_896ef815c51d781e3a35", "t_b3f2f0389862a8338d49", "t_8d11b0c68b56a3ceed96", "t_68e7e5e7152f1d356a56", "t_fefbb2a75cb985c9c8cf"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "35", "tolerance": null, "quote": "About 35 properties in the village of Anmore were asked to be prepared to evacuate on Aug 5", "quote_doc_id": "t_607cd77efe4b70881cfb", "settling_ids": ["t_607cd77efe4b70881cfb", "t_f3d731577f3d4dffbcf2", "t_d21a993d3cc15a7a072d"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Anmore", "Doug Richardson"]}
{"id": "e_607cd77efe4b_q1", "domain": "Environment", "question": "Who will inform Anmore residents about evacuation preparations by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "Doug Richardson", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 15, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_607cd77efe4b", "event_date": "2026-08-05", "supporting_event": "Anmore's acting mayor Doug Richardson told residents that about 35 properties should be prepared to evacuate.", "storyline_id": "s_env_607cd77e", "storyline": "Wildfire evacuation alerts in metro Vancouver", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_896ef815c51d781e3a35", "t_b3f2f0389862a8338d49", "t_8d11b0c68b56a3ceed96", "t_68e7e5e7152f1d356a56", "t_fefbb2a75cb985c9c8cf"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "Doug Richardson", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Anmore’s acting mayor Doug Richardson told residents", "quote_doc_id": "t_607cd77efe4b70881cfb", "settling_ids": ["t_607cd77efe4b70881cfb", "t_f3d731577f3d4dffbcf2", "t_d21a993d3cc15a7a072d"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Anmore", "Doug Richardson"]}
{"id": "e_67d650c00d17_q2", "domain": "Environment", "question": "Will the National Weather Service issue a flash flood warning for parts of metro Atlanta by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 4, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_67d650c00d17", "event_date": "2026-07-25", "supporting_event": "The National Weather Service issued a flash flood warning for central Cobb, DeKalb, northern Douglas, central Fulton, and west central Gwinnett counties.", "storyline_id": "s_env_67d650c0", "storyline": "2026 North Georgia flash flood events", "linked_domains": ["Health"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_b7202048924e4ba176c2", "t_6fa4e069539f9f2fe611", "t_82b1af9f0d6e556ee28c"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "The National Weather Service has issued a Flash Flood Warning for parts of Cherokee, Dawson, Forsyth, Fulton, Gwinnett, and Hall counties.", "quote_doc_id": "t_67d650c00d17a65dec63", "settling_ids": ["t_67d650c00d17a65dec63", "t_ac456b90681b791cfd84"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["National Weather Service", "Cobb County", "DeKalb County", "Douglas County", "Fulton County", "Gwinnett County"]}
{"id": "e_67f539240f10_i0", "domain": "Environment", "question": "What is the countable quantity of people present at the landslide site by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "more than 10", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 11, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_67f539240f10", "event_date": "2026-08-01", "supporting_event": "Sumathi was killed in a landslide in Idukki district on August 1, 2026.", "storyline_id": "s_env_539b2a76", "storyline": "Kerala heavy rain disaster response", "linked_domains": ["Geopolitics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_cd16d9be214d92b67f97", "t_fae82ab11dacbbc6ba57", "t_8bb1464ba3454428edac", "t_7594bcb48c27049ddfb5"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "more than 10", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_67f539240f1082cc8e24_0", "settling_ids": ["t_67f539240f1082cc8e24", "t_5d6212dd22eecfe187dc", "t_580ed6ae55a453e915bc"], "visible_detail": "the number of people gathered at the landslide site"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Sumathi", "Idukki"]}
{"id": "e_67f539240f10_q2", "domain": "Environment", "question": "How many fatalities will be reported due to landslides in Idukki district by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "2", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 11, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_67f539240f10", "event_date": "2026-08-01", "supporting_event": "Sumathi was killed in a landslide in Idukki district on August 1, 2026.", "storyline_id": "s_env_539b2a76", "storyline": "Kerala heavy rain disaster response", "linked_domains": ["Geopolitics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_cd16d9be214d92b67f97", "t_fae82ab11dacbbc6ba57", "t_8bb1464ba3454428edac", "t_7594bcb48c27049ddfb5"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "2", "tolerance": 0.1, "quote": "Idukki emerged as the worst-hit district after two separate landslides claimed two lives.", "quote_doc_id": "t_5d6212dd22eecfe187dc", "settling_ids": ["t_67f539240f1082cc8e24", "t_580ed6ae55a453e915bc", "t_5d6212dd22eecfe187dc"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Sumathi", "Idukki"]}
{"id": "e_695b7e8edd05_q0", "domain": "Environment", "question": "What type of alert did the India Meteorological Department issue for Delhi by 2026-08-11?", "options": ["green alert", "red alert", "yellow alert", "orange alert"], "answer": "red alert", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 17, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_695b7e8edd05", "event_date": "2026-08-07", "supporting_event": "The India Meteorological Department issued a red alert for Delhi due to heavy rainfall.", "storyline_id": "s_env_10fe9a92", "storyline": "Delhi weather events July 2026", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_9ed78b08f792634ca1ec", "t_8305bb6a0e788309fcb6", "t_3737a922a8460fe8db45"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "red alert", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the India Meteorological Department (IMD) issued a red alert for Delhi", "quote_doc_id": "t_695b7e8edd05720236f1", "settling_ids": ["t_695b7e8edd05720236f1", "t_27ce59ddea9c79782edb", "t_8f1c61fc4f6b35126fa3", "t_cc1eec9da1956fedf968"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["India Meteorological Department", "Delhi"]}
{"id": "e_695b7e8edd05_q1", "domain": "Environment", "question": "How much rainfall will be recorded in Delhi by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "59.2", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "mm", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 17, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_695b7e8edd05", "event_date": "2026-08-07", "supporting_event": "The India Meteorological Department issued a red alert for Delhi due to heavy rainfall.", "storyline_id": "s_env_10fe9a92", "storyline": "Delhi weather events July 2026", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_9ed78b08f792634ca1ec", "t_8305bb6a0e788309fcb6", "t_3737a922a8460fe8db45"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "59.2", "tolerance": 0.1, "quote": "Safdarjung recorded 59.2 mm of rainfall until 8:30 am on Friday.", "quote_doc_id": "t_8f1c61fc4f6b35126fa3", "settling_ids": ["t_695b7e8edd05720236f1", "t_27ce59ddea9c79782edb", "t_8f1c61fc4f6b35126fa3", "t_cc1eec9da1956fedf968"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["India Meteorological Department", "Delhi"]}
{"id": "e_69fc28509835_q0", "domain": "Environment", "question": "How many degrees Fahrenheit will Las Vegas record by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "115", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "degrees Fahrenheit", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 12, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_69fc28509835", "event_date": "2026-08-02", "supporting_event": "Las Vegas recorded 115 degrees Fahrenheit on August 2, 2026.", "storyline_id": "s_env_69fc2850", "storyline": "Western US heat wave August 2026", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_e7abadc6e6c7acce243d", "t_9cd86efc3af6a31814d8", "t_95effc22de51e8a4e2e0", "t_d6f18632a3f527181f8c", "d_b57de6a82b8a4a150c46"], "precursor_modalities": ["D", "T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "115", "tolerance": 0.05, "quote": "Las Vegas recorded 115 degrees Fahrenheit (46.1°C) by late afternoon, the city's hottest temperature of the year and just one degree below its daily record.", "quote_doc_id": "t_69fc28509835a7ebd7c5", "settling_ids": ["t_69fc28509835a7ebd7c5", "t_5e666257f25a812c79fb"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Las Vegas"]}
{"id": "e_69fc28509835_q1", "domain": "Environment", "question": "Who will report on the extreme heat expected in Las Vegas by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "National Weather Service", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 12, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_69fc28509835", "event_date": "2026-08-02", "supporting_event": "Las Vegas recorded 115 degrees Fahrenheit on August 2, 2026.", "storyline_id": "s_env_69fc2850", "storyline": "Western US heat wave August 2026", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_e7abadc6e6c7acce243d", "t_9cd86efc3af6a31814d8", "t_95effc22de51e8a4e2e0", "t_d6f18632a3f527181f8c", "d_b57de6a82b8a4a150c46"], "precursor_modalities": ["D", "T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "National Weather Service", "tolerance": null, "quote": "According to the National Weather Service, Las Vegas is forecast to hit 115 degrees Fahrenheit.", "quote_doc_id": "t_5e666257f25a812c79fb", "settling_ids": ["t_69fc28509835a7ebd7c5", "t_5e666257f25a812c79fb"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Las Vegas"]}
{"id": "e_6a6922012ebb_q0", "domain": "Environment", "question": "Will the Kumamoto prefectural government confirm any deaths related to the earthquake by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 7, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_6a6922012ebb", "event_date": "2026-07-28", "supporting_event": "The Kumamoto prefectural government confirmed 25 deaths related to the earthquake.", "storyline_id": "s_env_6a692201", "storyline": "Kumamoto earthquake response", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_e47d1c2e6647c3017f3e", "t_aff280b1d1225dcfbd09"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the prefectural government of Kumamoto, on Japan's southern main island of Kyushu, where the quake struck, said 25 deaths have been confirmed as connected to the disaster as of Thursday.", "quote_doc_id": "t_6a6922012ebb1d4a936f", "settling_ids": ["t_6a6922012ebb1d4a936f", "t_0d7ae0647dc70ce5da1f", "t_821626ab6592df9ed2d5", "t_dda3edfe2c85bd13ac9d"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Kumamoto", "Japan"]}
{"id": "e_6a6922012ebb_q2", "domain": "Environment", "question": "How many deaths will the Kumamoto prefectural government confirm as related to the earthquake by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "25", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "people", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 7, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_6a6922012ebb", "event_date": "2026-07-28", "supporting_event": "The Kumamoto prefectural government confirmed 25 deaths related to the earthquake.", "storyline_id": "s_env_6a692201", "storyline": "Kumamoto earthquake response", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_e47d1c2e6647c3017f3e", "t_aff280b1d1225dcfbd09"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "25", "tolerance": null, "quote": "25 deaths have been confirmed as connected to the disaster", "quote_doc_id": "t_6a6922012ebb1d4a936f", "settling_ids": ["t_6a6922012ebb1d4a936f", "t_0d7ae0647dc70ce5da1f", "t_821626ab6592df9ed2d5", "t_dda3edfe2c85bd13ac9d"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Kumamoto", "Japan"]}
{"id": "e_6b70a43d1fae_q1", "domain": "Environment", "question": "What type of damage will be reported in Kishtwar by 2026-08-04?", "options": ["no damage", "minor damage", "partial damage", "total destruction"], "answer": "partial damage", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 11, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_6b70a43d1fae", "event_date": "2026-08-01", "supporting_event": "Deputy Commissioner Pankaj Kumar Sharma reported that two adjoining shops and two houses sustained partial damage due to a cloudburst in Kishtwar.", "storyline_id": "s_env_6b70a43d", "storyline": "Kishtwar cloudburst response", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_71a5e22d85f5fa442f88", "t_505b9216bd2fa6b643f9", "t_b780b7e5e4ba0cb940b1", "t_61e6bb9f954621a18804", "t_6e3e7687ac1229164fba"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "partial damage", "tolerance": null, "quote": "two adjoining shops and two houses sustained partial damage", "quote_doc_id": "t_6b70a43d1fae120b8c25", "settling_ids": ["t_6b70a43d1fae120b8c25", "t_5df2b8c438378e382b6c", "t_e75cfaffa789ab516be1"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Pankaj Kumar Sharma", "Kishtwar", "Chatroo"]}
{"id": "e_6cb374b84d2c_q1", "domain": "Environment", "question": "How many firefighters will be involved in battling wildfires on the island of Crete by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "200", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "firefighters", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 9, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_6cb374b84d2c", "event_date": "2026-07-30", "supporting_event": "Greek firefighters battled deadly wildfires on the island of Crete with more than 200 firefighters involved.", "storyline_id": "s_env_00100465", "storyline": "2026 European wildfires", "linked_domains": ["Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_7c08b3d8baf95db5d5e0", "t_f1287a8d26c6fd131909", "t_1c6fd08e1a1c165804cd", "t_6fd364e10e4fc1551d6b"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "200", "tolerance": 0.05, "quote": "more than 200 firefighters with dozens of fire engines and water-carrying aircraft battled two wildfires on the island of Crete", "quote_doc_id": "t_6cb374b84d2c116ffab4", "settling_ids": ["t_6cb374b84d2c116ffab4", "t_35a2de3fc790787de900", "t_2cca45e0700e6be7e6cc", "t_d4a7df17486f92bf8281"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Greek firefighters", "Crete"]}
{"id": "e_6cb374b84d2c_q2", "domain": "Environment", "question": "Who will be the deputy regional governor for civil protection on Crete by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "Giorgos Tsapakos", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 9, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_6cb374b84d2c", "event_date": "2026-07-30", "supporting_event": "Greek firefighters battled deadly wildfires on the island of Crete with more than 200 firefighters involved.", "storyline_id": "s_env_00100465", "storyline": "2026 European wildfires", "linked_domains": ["Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_7c08b3d8baf95db5d5e0", "t_f1287a8d26c6fd131909", "t_1c6fd08e1a1c165804cd", "t_6fd364e10e4fc1551d6b"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "Giorgos Tsapakos", "tolerance": null, "quote": "said Giorgos Tsapakos, deputy regional governor for civil protection on Crete", "quote_doc_id": "t_6cb374b84d2c116ffab4", "settling_ids": ["t_6cb374b84d2c116ffab4", "t_35a2de3fc790787de900", "t_2cca45e0700e6be7e6cc", "t_d4a7df17486f92bf8281"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Greek firefighters", "Crete"]}
{"id": "e_6d315e5d995d_q0", "domain": "Environment", "question": "What will be the lowest water level of Lake Mead reached by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "317.1", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "metres", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 17, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_6d315e5d995d", "event_date": "2026-08-07", "supporting_event": "Lake Mead has fallen to its lowest water level of 317.1 metres above sea level.", "storyline_id": "s_env_6d315e5d", "storyline": "Lake Mead water level decline", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_3c98bded741d4b334e7e", "t_08b76b6c839b6502ef03"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "317.1", "tolerance": 0.1, "quote": "Lake Mead’s water level reached 1,040.4 feet (317.1 metres) above sea level on Friday (August 7)", "quote_doc_id": "t_6d315e5d995d2d20e5d9", "settling_ids": ["t_6d315e5d995d2d20e5d9", "t_698efdd76204e45c1c7a"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Lake Mead", "Colorado River", "JB Hamby", "Colorado River Board of California", "Hoover Dam"]}
{"id": "e_6f86c9e510da_q0", "domain": "Environment", "question": "How many people will have fled their homes due to wildfires in France and Spain by 2026-07-28?", "options": ["More than 325,000 people", "More than 250,000 people", "More than 150,000 people", "More than 400,000 people"], "answer": "More than 325,000 people", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": "people", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 5, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_6f86c9e510da", "event_date": "2026-07-26", "supporting_event": "More than 325,000 people have fled their homes due to wildfires in France and Spain.", "storyline_id": "s_env_00100465", "storyline": "2026 European wildfires", "linked_domains": ["Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_0534cf672cfd2d976888", "t_8e53a56beca58491c5a7", "t_860a6a69fdb1b92d5b2c", "t_a3aedbfc5c5576b38cc9"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "More than 325,000 people", "tolerance": null, "quote": "More than 325,000 people have fled their homes, mostly in the Gironde department, home to Bordeaux, as some of the worst forest fires in either country’s history rage across southwest France and central Spain near Madrid.", "quote_doc_id": "t_6f86c9e510dacb1eb4d6", "settling_ids": ["t_6f86c9e510dacb1eb4d6", "t_a9bf76a1184395bf6780", "t_9305da3be53382b85f73", "t_1b525a447008be9fa636", "d_bac64c21c783fc4fd261"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["France", "Spain", "Gironde", "Bordeaux"]}
{"id": "e_70abd4467d98_q0", "domain": "Environment", "question": "How many residents will Sichuan authorities evacuate due to heavy rains by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "40249", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "people", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 12, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_70abd4467d98", "event_date": "2026-08-02", "supporting_event": "Sichuan authorities evacuated over 40,000 residents due to heavy rains triggering geological disasters.", "storyline_id": "s_env_70abd446", "storyline": "China heavy rain evacuations August 2026", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_83b72dc36083474cd342", "t_ad60b2358da8cf90c1e8", "t_057c6615e91ceb80c9c8", "t_54ecefc32b5270fd0d5b", "t_7283052c3a5a608a555e"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "40249", "tolerance": 0.05, "quote": "a total of 40,249 people had been relocated across 83 counties and districts in 20 cities and prefectures within 24 hours", "quote_doc_id": "t_173700cfae8ffd5905cb", "settling_ids": ["t_70abd4467d98a31d1f58", "t_07adaf9ebe5adbae992b", "t_173700cfae8ffd5905cb", "t_dfae1d74639e8cbc52f1"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Sichuan", "Yibin", "Ziyang", "Meishan", "Guangyuan"]}
{"id": "e_70abd4467d98_q1", "domain": "Environment", "question": "Who will be responsible for evacuating residents in Sichuan due to heavy rains by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "Sichuan authorities", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 12, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_70abd4467d98", "event_date": "2026-08-02", "supporting_event": "Sichuan authorities evacuated over 40,000 residents due to heavy rains triggering geological disasters.", "storyline_id": "s_env_70abd446", "storyline": "China heavy rain evacuations August 2026", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_83b72dc36083474cd342", "t_ad60b2358da8cf90c1e8", "t_057c6615e91ceb80c9c8", "t_54ecefc32b5270fd0d5b", "t_7283052c3a5a608a555e"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "Sichuan authorities", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Sichuan authorities evacuated another 40,249 people across 20 cities on Monday as a preventative measure.", "quote_doc_id": "t_70abd4467d98a31d1f58", "settling_ids": ["t_70abd4467d98a31d1f58", "t_07adaf9ebe5adbae992b", "t_173700cfae8ffd5905cb", "t_dfae1d74639e8cbc52f1"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Sichuan", "Yibin", "Ziyang", "Meishan", "Guangyuan"]}
{"id": "e_741dbc9d800d_q2", "domain": "Environment", "question": "Will Delhi experience flooding due to heavy rainfall by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 16, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_741dbc9d800d", "event_date": "2026-08-06", "supporting_event": "Delhi received 127 mm of rain in the first week of August.", "storyline_id": "s_env_10fe9a92", "storyline": "Delhi weather events July 2026", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_9ed78b08f792634ca1ec", "t_d91ce755715b02bc1963", "t_d502810b889572b6c567", "t_3737a922a8460fe8db45", "t_759a69f49ad1fa56e112"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the pounding rain submerged arterial roads under up to four feet of water", "quote_doc_id": "t_75db810d0d501d2f23ff", "settling_ids": ["t_741dbc9d800d78172461", "t_75db810d0d501d2f23ff", "t_393264372b3a1bc033dd"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Delhi", "Safdarjung"]}
{"id": "e_741dbc9d800d_q2_neg", "domain": "Environment", "question": "Will Delhi experience flooding due to heavy rainfall by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "No", "answer_type": "perturbed_binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 16, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_741dbc9d800d", "event_date": "2026-08-06", "supporting_event": "Delhi received 127 mm of rain in the first week of August.", "storyline_id": "s_env_10fe9a92", "storyline": "Delhi weather events July 2026", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_9ed78b08f792634ca1ec", "t_d91ce755715b02bc1963", "t_d502810b889572b6c567", "t_3737a922a8460fe8db45", "t_759a69f49ad1fa56e112"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "perturbed_binary", "value": "No", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the pounding rain submerged arterial roads under up to four feet of water", "quote_doc_id": "t_75db810d0d501d2f23ff", "settling_ids": ["t_741dbc9d800d78172461", "t_75db810d0d501d2f23ff", "t_393264372b3a1bc033dd"], "derivation": "the event dated 2026-08-06 is after the shifted deadline 2026-08-04, so the claim is false at that deadline"}, "perturbation": {"field": "deadline", "original": "2026-08-11", "substituted": "2026-08-04", "v40_substituted": "2026-07-29"}, "paired_with": "e_741dbc9d800d_q2", "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Delhi", "Safdarjung"]}
{"id": "e_75db810d0d50_q0", "domain": "Environment", "question": "How much rain will Delhi receive in the first seven days of August by 2026-08-11?", "options": ["150 mm of rain", "80 mm of rain", "127 mm of rain", "100 mm of rain"], "answer": "127 mm of rain", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": "mm", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 18, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_75db810d0d50", "event_date": "2026-08-08", "supporting_event": "Delhi received 127 mm of rain in the first seven days of August.", "storyline_id": "s_env_10fe9a92", "storyline": "Delhi weather events July 2026", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_9ed78b08f792634ca1ec", "t_d91ce755715b02bc1963", "t_bb6538900956e833eb1e", "t_d502810b889572b6c567"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "127 mm of rain", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the monthly total has soared to 127 mm", "quote_doc_id": "t_75db810d0d501d2f23ff", "settling_ids": ["t_75db810d0d501d2f23ff", "t_a2ca0de3413801f9ef4d", "t_741dbc9d800d78172461"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Delhi", "India Meteorological Department"]}
{"id": "e_7ad41c73bf8a_q0", "domain": "Environment", "question": "By 2026-07-28, how many people will have been forced to flee parts of Western Europe due to wildfires?", "options": ["Between 100,000 and 150,000 people", "Less than 100,000 people", "Between 150,000 and 200,000 people", "More than 200,000 people"], "answer": "More than 200,000 people", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 4, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_7ad41c73bf8a", "event_date": "2026-07-25", "supporting_event": "More than 200,000 people have been forced to flee parts of Western Europe.", "storyline_id": "s_env_00100465", "storyline": "2026 European wildfires", "linked_domains": ["Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_6e9a9cd531eb679e990c", "t_82e40f98e6ab849c8da5", "t_fb4ca547b94c25c25845", "t_0534cf672cfd2d976888"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "More than 200,000 people", "tolerance": null, "quote": "More than 200,000 people have been forced to flee parts of Western Europe on Saturday as continued to rage in Spain and France.", "quote_doc_id": "t_7ad41c73bf8a5a7eed9c", "settling_ids": ["t_7ad41c73bf8a5a7eed9c", "t_31a3b425cbdeae8773ff", "d_bac64c21c783fc4fd261"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Pedro Sanchez", "Laurent Nun", "Madrid", "Bordeaux", "Spain", "France"]}
{"id": "e_7ad41c73bf8a_q1", "domain": "Environment", "question": "By 2026-07-28, what will be the total area burned in hectares due to wildfires in Spain and France?", "options": null, "answer": "130,000 hectares", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "hectares", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 4, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_7ad41c73bf8a", "event_date": "2026-07-25", "supporting_event": "More than 200,000 people have been forced to flee parts of Western Europe.", "storyline_id": "s_env_00100465", "storyline": "2026 European wildfires", "linked_domains": ["Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_6e9a9cd531eb679e990c", "t_82e40f98e6ab849c8da5", "t_fb4ca547b94c25c25845", "t_0534cf672cfd2d976888"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "130,000 hectares", "tolerance": 0.05, "quote": "have burned 130,000 hectares of forest already this year in Spain, up from an annual average of 100,000 hectares over the past decade.", "quote_doc_id": "t_7ad41c73bf8a5a7eed9c", "settling_ids": ["t_7ad41c73bf8a5a7eed9c", "t_31a3b425cbdeae8773ff", "d_bac64c21c783fc4fd261"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Pedro Sanchez", "Laurent Nun", "Madrid", "Bordeaux", "Spain", "France"]}
{"id": "e_7b02fd086e27_q0", "domain": "Environment", "question": "Who will be battling wildfires in the Gironde region and across Spain by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "French and Spanish firefighters", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 6, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_7b02fd086e27", "event_date": "2026-07-27", "supporting_event": "French and Spanish firefighters are battling wildfires that have forced more than 300,000 people to flee their homes.", "storyline_id": "s_env_00100465", "storyline": "2026 European wildfires", "linked_domains": ["Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_b0d15aa306275032b8ca", "t_f1287a8d26c6fd131909", "t_b66e1a8a70f7a3ca33c2", "t_0534cf672cfd2d976888", "t_a3aedbfc5c5576b38cc9"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "French and Spanish firefighters", "tolerance": null, "quote": "French and Spanish firefighters preparing to battle wildfires for a sixth consecutive day", "quote_doc_id": "t_7b02fd086e271180e3b8", "settling_ids": ["t_7b02fd086e271180e3b8", "t_1a4da31ed37c14f9131a", "d_bac64c21c783fc4fd261"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["French firefighters", "Spanish firefighters", "Gironde", "Bordeaux"]}
{"id": "e_7b02fd086e27_q2", "domain": "Environment", "question": "What will be the area burned by wildfires in hectares in the Gironde region by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "42000", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "hectares", "modality_required": "D", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 6, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_7b02fd086e27", "event_date": "2026-07-27", "supporting_event": "French and Spanish firefighters are battling wildfires that have forced more than 300,000 people to flee their homes.", "storyline_id": "s_env_00100465", "storyline": "2026 European wildfires", "linked_domains": ["Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_b0d15aa306275032b8ca", "t_f1287a8d26c6fd131909", "t_b66e1a8a70f7a3ca33c2", "t_0534cf672cfd2d976888", "t_a3aedbfc5c5576b38cc9"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "42000", "tolerance": 0.05, "quote": "one of the largest fires to burn in France this decade charred more than 42,000 hectares", "quote_doc_id": "d_bac64c21c783fc4fd261", "settling_ids": ["t_7b02fd086e271180e3b8", "t_1a4da31ed37c14f9131a", "d_bac64c21c783fc4fd261"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["French firefighters", "Spanish firefighters", "Gironde", "Bordeaux"]}
{"id": "e_7efa1c881a79_q0", "domain": "Environment", "question": "Who will be evacuated due to the wildfires in France and Spain by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "more than 330,000 people", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": "people", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 6, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_7efa1c881a79", "event_date": "2026-07-27", "supporting_event": "France and Spain evacuated more than 330,000 people due to wildfires.", "storyline_id": "s_env_00100465", "storyline": "2026 European wildfires", "linked_domains": ["Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_b0d15aa306275032b8ca", "t_0534cf672cfd2d976888", "t_8e53a56beca58491c5a7", "t_860a6a69fdb1b92d5b2c"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "more than 330,000 people", "tolerance": null, "quote": "more than 330,000 people have been evacuated across both countries", "quote_doc_id": "t_fc335d18c1a6266db4c0", "settling_ids": ["t_7efa1c881a79ef6b9256", "t_1f12b723bd5de41ea4e1", "t_fc335d18c1a6266db4c0", "d_bac64c21c783fc4fd261"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["France", "Spain"]}
{"id": "e_7efa1c881a79_q1", "domain": "Environment", "question": "How many people will be evacuated from France and Spain due to wildfires by 2026-07-28?", "options": ["more than 330,000 people", "more than 250,000 people", "more than 400,000 people", "more than 150,000 people"], "answer": "more than 330,000 people", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": "people", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 6, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_7efa1c881a79", "event_date": "2026-07-27", "supporting_event": "France and Spain evacuated more than 330,000 people due to wildfires.", "storyline_id": "s_env_00100465", "storyline": "2026 European wildfires", "linked_domains": ["Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_b0d15aa306275032b8ca", "t_0534cf672cfd2d976888", "t_8e53a56beca58491c5a7", "t_860a6a69fdb1b92d5b2c"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "more than 330,000 people", "tolerance": null, "quote": "more than 330,000 people have been evacuated across both countries", "quote_doc_id": "t_fc335d18c1a6266db4c0", "settling_ids": ["t_7efa1c881a79ef6b9256", "t_1f12b723bd5de41ea4e1", "t_fc335d18c1a6266db4c0", "d_bac64c21c783fc4fd261"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["France", "Spain"]}
{"id": "e_7efa1c881a79_q2", "domain": "Environment", "question": "What will be the estimated number of hectares burned in France due to wildfires by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "more than 90,000 hectares", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "hectares", "modality_required": "D", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 6, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_7efa1c881a79", "event_date": "2026-07-27", "supporting_event": "France and Spain evacuated more than 330,000 people due to wildfires.", "storyline_id": "s_env_00100465", "storyline": "2026 European wildfires", "linked_domains": ["Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_b0d15aa306275032b8ca", "t_0534cf672cfd2d976888", "t_8e53a56beca58491c5a7", "t_860a6a69fdb1b92d5b2c"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "more than 90,000 hectares", "tolerance": null, "quote": "fires had burned more than 90,000 hectares across France", "quote_doc_id": "d_bac64c21c783fc4fd261", "settling_ids": ["t_7efa1c881a79ef6b9256", "t_1f12b723bd5de41ea4e1", "t_fc335d18c1a6266db4c0", "d_bac64c21c783fc4fd261"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["France", "Spain"]}
{"id": "e_82b9b00d389d_q0", "domain": "Environment", "question": "Who will report the number of deaths and evacuations due to heavy rains in Kerala by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "V D Satheesan", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 11, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_82b9b00d389d", "event_date": "2026-08-01", "supporting_event": "Eight people have died and 5,792 people have been shifted to relief camps due to heavy rains in Kerala.", "storyline_id": "s_env_2907bc3b", "storyline": "Kerala monsoon disaster response", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_7301f468712195afbf4f", "t_cd16d9be214d92b67f97", "t_fae82ab11dacbbc6ba57", "t_8bb1464ba3454428edac"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "V D Satheesan", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Chief Minister V D Satheesan said the downpour had caused widespread damage, destroying 27 houses completely and partially damaging 196 others.", "quote_doc_id": "t_c15f44ce72f427644ee6", "settling_ids": ["t_82b9b00d389dc92aed7f", "t_61d5aa3fcc3a1c28f5db", "t_c15f44ce72f427644ee6", "t_e8d28200ef8364cce944"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["V D Satheesan", "Kerala"]}
{"id": "e_82b9b00d389d_q1", "domain": "Environment", "question": "What will be the total number of people shifted to relief camps in Kerala due to heavy rains by 2026-08-04?", "options": ["6,200", "4,500", "5,792", "3,800"], "answer": "5,792", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 11, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_82b9b00d389d", "event_date": "2026-08-01", "supporting_event": "Eight people have died and 5,792 people have been shifted to relief camps due to heavy rains in Kerala.", "storyline_id": "s_env_2907bc3b", "storyline": "Kerala monsoon disaster response", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_7301f468712195afbf4f", "t_cd16d9be214d92b67f97", "t_fae82ab11dacbbc6ba57", "t_8bb1464ba3454428edac"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "5,792", "tolerance": null, "quote": "A total of 5,792 people have been shifted to 209 relief camps across the state.", "quote_doc_id": "t_82b9b00d389dc92aed7f", "settling_ids": ["t_82b9b00d389dc92aed7f", "t_61d5aa3fcc3a1c28f5db", "t_c15f44ce72f427644ee6", "t_e8d28200ef8364cce944"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["V D Satheesan", "Kerala"]}
{"id": "e_95df976ee2f0_q0", "domain": "Environment", "question": "Who will flee to nearby Bordeaux due to the wildfires threatening their hometown by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "Mohammed Laabar", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 4, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_95df976ee2f0", "event_date": "2026-07-25", "supporting_event": "Mohammed Laabar fled to nearby Bordeaux due to raging wildfires threatening his hometown.", "storyline_id": "s_env_95df976e", "storyline": "French wildfires evacuation", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_b0d15aa306275032b8ca", "t_0534cf672cfd2d976888", "t_f33a40461385fb74269e", "t_4bceb3cbe4838dc69a98", "t_305061895e44d5981c6d"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "Mohammed Laabar", "tolerance": null, "quote": "When raging wildfires threatened Mohammed Laabar's hometown in southwestern France on Friday, he and his wife gathered their three-year-old son, grabbed a pre-prepared survival kit and fled to nearby Bordeaux.", "quote_doc_id": "t_95df976ee2f09fba71ae", "settling_ids": ["t_95df976ee2f09fba71ae", "t_6c20b78a8313038b5ddb"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Mohammed Laabar", "Bordeaux", "Salaunes"]}
{"id": "e_97378abfcb49_d0", "domain": "Environment", "question": "What is the expected volume increase for Seaborne thermal by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "12.7 million tons", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "tons", "modality_required": "D", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 1, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_97378abfcb49", "event_date": "2026-07-22", "supporting_event": "China entered its peak flood control period.", "storyline_id": "s_env_97378abf", "storyline": "China flood control 2026", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_fcbc1a3207b8718c8454", "t_e8e594dfaa9aca906543"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "12.7 million tons", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Seaborne thermal expects a volume increase of 200 thousand tons to 12.7 million tons.", "quote_doc_id": "d_8d301ec304999bcde1e1", "settling_ids": ["d_8d301ec304999bcde1e1", "t_97378abfcb49761f6779", "t_41725f022b11c07b6bab"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["China", "Xuebin Zhang", "University of Victoria", "Pacific Climate Impacts Consortium"]}
{"id": "e_97378abfcb49_q1", "domain": "Environment", "question": "What percentage more rainfall will much of northern China experience during the peak flood control period by 2026-07-28?", "options": ["30 per cent to 60 per cent", "20 per cent to 50 per cent", "10 per cent to 30 per cent", "5 per cent to 15 per cent"], "answer": "20 per cent to 50 per cent", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 1, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_97378abfcb49", "event_date": "2026-07-22", "supporting_event": "China entered its peak flood control period.", "storyline_id": "s_env_97378abf", "storyline": "China flood control 2026", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_fcbc1a3207b8718c8454", "t_e8e594dfaa9aca906543"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "20 per cent to 50 per cent", "tolerance": null, "quote": "much of northern China set to experience 20 per cent to 50 per cent more rainfall than usual", "quote_doc_id": "t_97378abfcb49761f6779", "settling_ids": ["t_97378abfcb49761f6779", "t_41725f022b11c07b6bab", "d_8d301ec304999bcde1e1"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["China", "Xuebin Zhang", "University of Victoria", "Pacific Climate Impacts Consortium"]}
{"id": "e_973fbd472265_q0", "domain": "Environment", "question": "By 2026-07-28, how many people will have been forced to flee their homes due to wildfires in France and Spain?", "options": null, "answer": "250000", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "people", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 4, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_973fbd472265", "event_date": "2026-07-25", "supporting_event": "France sent a hulking military cargo plane to dump tons of flame retardants as it battled raging wildfires on July 25.", "storyline_id": "s_env_00100465", "storyline": "2026 European wildfires", "linked_domains": ["Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_b0d15aa306275032b8ca", "t_f1287a8d26c6fd131909", "t_f33a40461385fb74269e", "t_01f21a43e7b44fc91656", "t_305061895e44d5981c6d"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "250000", "tolerance": 0.05, "quote": "the latest wildfires in southern Europe this week have displaced more than 250,000 people", "quote_doc_id": "t_973fbd47226524ba93cf", "settling_ids": ["t_973fbd47226524ba93cf", "t_2b2c89241e4adfc0ba93", "t_500a490a6b55581a211d", "t_1cf85402f24c4d609fd3", "d_bac64c21c783fc4fd261"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["France", "A400M transporter"]}
{"id": "e_99aeba2a5478_d0", "domain": "Environment", "question": "What percentage of greenhouse gases is estimated to be created by the burning of organic matter in forests, scrubland and grassland by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "35%", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "percent", "modality_required": "D", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 12, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_99aeba2a5478", "event_date": "2026-08-02", "supporting_event": "Greece faced multiple fronts and a growing damage toll after wildfires devastated over 12,000 hectares of forest and agricultural land.", "storyline_id": "s_env_99aeba2a", "storyline": "2026 Greek wildfires", "linked_domains": ["Geopolitics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_7c08b3d8baf95db5d5e0", "t_1c6fd08e1a1c165804cd", "t_6fd364e10e4fc1551d6b"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "35%", "tolerance": null, "quote": "It is estimated that up to 35% of greenhouse gases are created by the burning of the organic matter in forests, scrubland and grassland.", "quote_doc_id": "d_c2ce507d410a3290ac3c", "settling_ids": ["d_c2ce507d410a3290ac3c", "t_e4196e50bd699e8851c4", "t_99aeba2a54781fe9e253", "t_439e56c69c9ebd4a6a5a", "t_f78eb1f48a047f0b342f", "t_ecbb6cc27f957b793746"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Greece"]}
{"id": "e_99aeba2a5478_q2", "domain": "Environment", "question": "Will Greece face multiple fronts of wildfires by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 12, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_99aeba2a5478", "event_date": "2026-08-02", "supporting_event": "Greece faced multiple fronts and a growing damage toll after wildfires devastated over 12,000 hectares of forest and agricultural land.", "storyline_id": "s_env_99aeba2a", "storyline": "2026 Greek wildfires", "linked_domains": ["Geopolitics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_7c08b3d8baf95db5d5e0", "t_1c6fd08e1a1c165804cd", "t_6fd364e10e4fc1551d6b"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Greece on Sunday faced multiple fronts and a growing damage toll", "quote_doc_id": "t_99aeba2a54781fe9e253", "settling_ids": ["t_99aeba2a54781fe9e253", "t_439e56c69c9ebd4a6a5a", "t_f78eb1f48a047f0b342f", "t_ecbb6cc27f957b793746"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Greece"]}
{"id": "e_9a7e19c72944_q0", "domain": "Environment", "question": "What magnitude will the earthquake that Japan experiences by 2026-07-28 be reported as?", "options": ["a magnitude 6.9 earthquake", "a magnitude 7.5 earthquake", "a magnitude 7.1 earthquake", "a magnitude 6.5 earthquake"], "answer": "a magnitude 7.1 earthquake", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 7, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_9a7e19c72944", "event_date": "2026-07-28", "supporting_event": "Japan experienced a powerful magnitude 7.1 earthquake on July 28, 2026.", "storyline_id": "s_env_6a692201", "storyline": "Kumamoto earthquake response", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_096ec8909b2dc3b89242", "t_30dfb415fe3846ada4dd", "t_f5bcfc1d8578fcc862d3", "t_3e24f7c18999e2c16bd5", "t_d0cf13ee8d32ca254b04"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "a magnitude 7.1 earthquake", "tolerance": null, "quote": "a powerful magnitude 7.1 earthquake struck the southern main island of Kyushu", "quote_doc_id": "t_9a7e19c72944f7393e7a", "settling_ids": ["t_9a7e19c72944f7393e7a", "t_56673d42857092b44662", "t_4045dba6218ea493e736", "t_e2d0e487269b459d129d"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Japan", "Kumamoto", "Kyushu"]}
{"id": "e_9e0a69767d8f_q0", "domain": "Environment", "question": "Will the India Meteorological Department (IMD) warn of heavy to extremely heavy rainfall across eastern, southern, and northwestern states by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 18, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_9e0a69767d8f", "event_date": "2026-08-08", "supporting_event": "The India Meteorological Department (IMD) warned of heavy to extremely heavy rainfall across eastern, southern, and northwestern states starting August 8.", "storyline_id": "s_env_10fe9a92", "storyline": "Delhi weather events July 2026", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_e4eabf310f1066da6e7f", "t_41af1947e677273a5e39", "t_bac99c00b87bb433a175", "t_80aa2d424efac5494044"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "IMD warns of extremely heavy rain in east India, flood risk in Odisha, Jharkhand", "quote_doc_id": "t_9e0a69767d8f15a090f8", "settling_ids": ["t_9e0a69767d8f15a090f8", "t_f1cfc219b7beac283246"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["India Meteorological Department", "Odisha", "West Bengal", "Jharkhand", "Bihar", "Sikkim", "Kerala", "Madhya Pradesh", "Haryana", "Chandigarh", "Delhi", "Uttarakhand"]}
{"id": "e_a13bdd3ab58a_q0", "domain": "Environment", "question": "Will Sean Michael Cunningham go missing during the severe storm by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 7, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_a13bdd3ab58a", "event_date": "2026-07-28", "supporting_event": "Sean Michael Cunningham went missing during a severe storm on July 28, 2026.", "storyline_id": "s_env_a13bdd3a", "storyline": "search for missing person in severe weather", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_5b18f8d564919060ffce", "t_94e43eff46065becf60a"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Authorities say 37-year-old Sean Michael Cunningham had taken cover under a dock on Carter's Lake while canoeing that night. That was the last time anyone heard from him.", "quote_doc_id": "t_a13bdd3ab58a06d8d1b9", "settling_ids": ["t_a13bdd3ab58a06d8d1b9", "t_73c48d63ce5f295060d2"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Sean Michael Cunningham", "Gilmer County Sheriff's Office", "Carter's Lake", "Georgia Department of Natural Resources"]}
{"id": "e_a13bdd3ab58a_q2", "domain": "Environment", "question": "Who will be searching for Sean Michael Cunningham by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "Gilmer County Sheriff's Office", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 7, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_a13bdd3ab58a", "event_date": "2026-07-28", "supporting_event": "Sean Michael Cunningham went missing during a severe storm on July 28, 2026.", "storyline_id": "s_env_a13bdd3a", "storyline": "search for missing person in severe weather", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_5b18f8d564919060ffce", "t_94e43eff46065becf60a"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "Gilmer County Sheriff's Office", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Officials say the Gilmer County Sheriff's Office Drone Team, the Georgia Department of Natural Resources, and Gilmer County Search and Rescue were all searching for Cunningham.", "quote_doc_id": "t_a13bdd3ab58a06d8d1b9", "settling_ids": ["t_a13bdd3ab58a06d8d1b9", "t_73c48d63ce5f295060d2"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Sean Michael Cunningham", "Gilmer County Sheriff's Office", "Carter's Lake", "Georgia Department of Natural Resources"]}
{"id": "e_a1bdd0c11f35_q0", "domain": "Environment", "question": "How much cumulative energy savings in terajoules will Malaysia aim for by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "815,382", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "terajoules", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 21, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_a1bdd0c11f35", "event_date": "2026-08-11", "supporting_event": "Malaysia renewed a 10-year action plan to improve energy efficiency.", "storyline_id": "s_env_a1bdd0c1", "storyline": "National Energy Efficiency Action Plan (NEEAP)", "linked_domains": ["Business"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_f4c7b83caa1fbb1e8080", "t_5263b1f8bc72f80796bf", "t_d5d1f82245b609812cbb"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "815,382", "tolerance": null, "quote": "This would lead to cumulative energy savings of 815,382 terajoules compared with business-as-usual projections", "quote_doc_id": "t_a1bdd0c11f35a4d98b46", "settling_ids": ["t_a1bdd0c11f35a4d98b46", "t_f9a62b83d5dcd0ad3fbc"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Malaysia", "energy transition and water transformation ministry"]}
{"id": "e_a1bdd0c11f35_q1", "domain": "Environment", "question": "Who will announce the renewal of Malaysia's 10-year energy plan by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "Akmal Nasir", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 21, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_a1bdd0c11f35", "event_date": "2026-08-11", "supporting_event": "Malaysia renewed a 10-year action plan to improve energy efficiency.", "storyline_id": "s_env_a1bdd0c1", "storyline": "National Energy Efficiency Action Plan (NEEAP)", "linked_domains": ["Business"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_f4c7b83caa1fbb1e8080", "t_5263b1f8bc72f80796bf", "t_d5d1f82245b609812cbb"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "Akmal Nasir", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Malaysia’s Economy Minister Akmal Nasir said at the launch of the plan.", "quote_doc_id": "t_a1bdd0c11f35a4d98b46", "settling_ids": ["t_a1bdd0c11f35a4d98b46", "t_f9a62b83d5dcd0ad3fbc"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Malaysia", "energy transition and water transformation ministry"]}
{"id": "e_a1bdd0c11f35_q2", "domain": "Environment", "question": "Will Malaysia's renewed energy plan target a reduction of energy demand by 11.6 percent by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 21, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_a1bdd0c11f35", "event_date": "2026-08-11", "supporting_event": "Malaysia renewed a 10-year action plan to improve energy efficiency.", "storyline_id": "s_env_a1bdd0c1", "storyline": "National Energy Efficiency Action Plan (NEEAP)", "linked_domains": ["Business"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_f4c7b83caa1fbb1e8080", "t_5263b1f8bc72f80796bf", "t_d5d1f82245b609812cbb"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "aims to reduce energy demand by 11.6 per cent", "quote_doc_id": "t_a1bdd0c11f35a4d98b46", "settling_ids": ["t_a1bdd0c11f35a4d98b46", "t_f9a62b83d5dcd0ad3fbc"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Malaysia", "energy transition and water transformation ministry"]}
{"id": "e_a1bdd0c11f35_q2_neg", "domain": "Environment", "question": "Will Malaysia's renewed energy plan target a reduction of energy demand by 11.6 percent by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "No", "answer_type": "perturbed_binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 21, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_a1bdd0c11f35", "event_date": "2026-08-11", "supporting_event": "Malaysia renewed a 10-year action plan to improve energy efficiency.", "storyline_id": "s_env_a1bdd0c1", "storyline": "National Energy Efficiency Action Plan (NEEAP)", "linked_domains": ["Business"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_f4c7b83caa1fbb1e8080", "t_5263b1f8bc72f80796bf", "t_d5d1f82245b609812cbb"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "perturbed_binary", "value": "No", "tolerance": null, "quote": "aims to reduce energy demand by 11.6 per cent", "quote_doc_id": "t_a1bdd0c11f35a4d98b46", "settling_ids": ["t_a1bdd0c11f35a4d98b46", "t_f9a62b83d5dcd0ad3fbc"], "derivation": "the event dated 2026-08-11 is after the shifted deadline 2026-08-04, so the claim is false at that deadline"}, "perturbation": {"field": "deadline", "original": "2026-08-11", "substituted": "2026-08-04", "v40_substituted": "2026-07-31"}, "paired_with": "e_a1bdd0c11f35_q2", "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Malaysia", "energy transition and water transformation ministry"]}
{"id": "e_a35aad5ee6af_q1", "domain": "Environment", "question": "How many square miles will the wildfire near Madrid have scorched by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "193", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "square miles", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 7, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_a35aad5ee6af", "event_date": "2026-07-28", "supporting_event": "Spanish firefighter Javier García described an unprecedented wildfire near Madrid that has scorched 193 square miles.", "storyline_id": "s_env_a35aad5e", "storyline": "2026 Spanish wildfire", "linked_domains": ["Politics", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_f30551577cad35d75ada", "t_860a6a69fdb1b92d5b2c", "t_d2a05be8d85bfc8fef81", "t_a3aedbfc5c5576b38cc9"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "193", "tolerance": 0.05, "quote": "The out-of-control fire has consumed 500 square kilometers (193 square miles)", "quote_doc_id": "t_a35aad5ee6afc759e569", "settling_ids": ["t_a35aad5ee6afc759e569", "t_584754cb5e3d85189106", "t_ea072bd40d5bfd753e09", "t_cc87c0935b3709d2d0d4"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Javier García", "Madrid", "Barcelona", "Ávila"]}
{"id": "e_a9c27ba4357e_v0", "domain": "Environment", "question": "What title is given to Marc Morial by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "Former New Orleans Mayor (D)", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "V", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 7, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_a9c27ba4357e", "event_date": "2026-07-28", "supporting_event": "The Urban Redevelopment Authority (URA) announced closures of two exits on the CTE from July 28 to 31 for bridge launching works.", "storyline_id": "s_env_a9c27ba4", "storyline": "bridge launching works for pedestrian and cycling link", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_864568c8884df625bc92", "t_fb3863f666f5eab205d0", "t_380110b1111fa8423833", "t_73e5cdb20b9d10adccb1"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "Former New Orleans Mayor (D)", "tolerance": null, "quote": "National Urban League President Delivers State of the Urban League Address", "quote_doc_id": "v_87f4b34f994c4de68219", "settling_ids": ["t_a9c27ba4357efda41ad7", "t_5ddc7daa852f3ac4bcc4"], "visible_detail": "what the frames show"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Urban Redevelopment Authority", "Central Expressway", "Pan Island Expressway"]}
{"id": "e_b318b739c179_q0", "domain": "Environment", "question": "What type of alert will the India Meteorological Department issue for heavy rainfall in Delhi by 2026-07-28?", "options": ["red alert", "yellow alert", "orange alert", "no alert"], "answer": "orange alert", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 7, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_b318b739c179", "event_date": "2026-07-28", "supporting_event": "India Meteorological Department issued an orange alert for heavy rainfall in Delhi.", "storyline_id": "s_env_10fe9a92", "storyline": "Delhi weather events July 2026", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_ca8ee824fe26d8918930", "t_5a692ba3d82885531593", "t_8fbb340eb8b2a7f5e3c5", "t_5ce7590c16e08c32f48a"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "orange alert", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the India Meteorological Department (IMD) to issue an orange alert for the national capital over the next few hours.", "quote_doc_id": "t_b318b739c179c3c0dc71", "settling_ids": ["t_b318b739c179c3c0dc71", "t_a52f4eb0a76fd9bd11bf", "t_f8bc7ca3b64b1878b63a", "t_0220dc4357ef92bd5e2c"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["India Meteorological Department", "Delhi"]}
{"id": "e_b318b739c179_q1", "domain": "Environment", "question": "How much rainfall in millimeters will be recorded in Delhi by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "32.4", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "mm", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 7, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_b318b739c179", "event_date": "2026-07-28", "supporting_event": "India Meteorological Department issued an orange alert for heavy rainfall in Delhi.", "storyline_id": "s_env_10fe9a92", "storyline": "Delhi weather events July 2026", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_ca8ee824fe26d8918930", "t_5a692ba3d82885531593", "t_8fbb340eb8b2a7f5e3c5", "t_5ce7590c16e08c32f48a"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "32.4", "tolerance": 0.1, "quote": "Safdarjung recorded 32.4 mm of rainfall till 8:30 am", "quote_doc_id": "t_b318b739c179c3c0dc71", "settling_ids": ["t_b318b739c179c3c0dc71", "t_a52f4eb0a76fd9bd11bf", "t_f8bc7ca3b64b1878b63a", "t_0220dc4357ef92bd5e2c"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["India Meteorological Department", "Delhi"]}
{"id": "e_b5d3b58ee2db_q0", "domain": "Environment", "question": "Will Indonesian authorities close access to Bromo Tengger Semeru National Park by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 17, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_b5d3b58ee2db", "event_date": "2026-08-07", "supporting_event": "Indonesian authorities closed access to Bromo Tengger Semeru National Park due to a wildfire.", "storyline_id": "s_env_b5d3b58e", "storyline": "2026 Mount Bromo wildfire response", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_3398cfa2ae5285aa94c1", "t_419b755959bcdbb4b5b1"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Indonesian authorities have closed off all access to Mount Bromo national park in East Java province as a fast-moving wildfire has nearly tripled in size.", "quote_doc_id": "t_b5d3b58ee2db399d20b8", "settling_ids": ["t_b5d3b58ee2db399d20b8", "t_9ff90db8e382c082a0d0", "t_6f416485de58876c3c19", "t_87f1c1b01f849bd41626"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Indonesian authorities", "Bromo Tengger Semeru National Park"]}
{"id": "e_b5d3b58ee2db_q0_neg", "domain": "Environment", "question": "Will Indonesian authorities close access to Bromo Tengger Semeru National Park by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "No", "answer_type": "perturbed_binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 17, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_b5d3b58ee2db", "event_date": "2026-08-07", "supporting_event": "Indonesian authorities closed access to Bromo Tengger Semeru National Park due to a wildfire.", "storyline_id": "s_env_b5d3b58e", "storyline": "2026 Mount Bromo wildfire response", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_3398cfa2ae5285aa94c1", "t_419b755959bcdbb4b5b1"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "perturbed_binary", "value": "No", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Indonesian authorities have closed off all access to Mount Bromo national park in East Java province as a fast-moving wildfire has nearly tripled in size.", "quote_doc_id": "t_b5d3b58ee2db399d20b8", "settling_ids": ["t_b5d3b58ee2db399d20b8", "t_9ff90db8e382c082a0d0", "t_6f416485de58876c3c19", "t_87f1c1b01f849bd41626"], "derivation": "the event dated 2026-08-07 is after the shifted deadline 2026-08-04, so the claim is false at that deadline"}, "perturbation": {"field": "deadline", "original": "2026-08-11", "substituted": "2026-08-04", "v40_substituted": "2026-07-29"}, "paired_with": "e_b5d3b58ee2db_q0", "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Indonesian authorities", "Bromo Tengger Semeru National Park"]}
{"id": "e_b5d3b58ee2db_q2", "domain": "Environment", "question": "How many hectares will have burned in Bromo Tengger Semeru National Park by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "176", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "hectares", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 17, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_b5d3b58ee2db", "event_date": "2026-08-07", "supporting_event": "Indonesian authorities closed access to Bromo Tengger Semeru National Park due to a wildfire.", "storyline_id": "s_env_b5d3b58e", "storyline": "2026 Mount Bromo wildfire response", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_3398cfa2ae5285aa94c1", "t_419b755959bcdbb4b5b1"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "176", "tolerance": 0.1, "quote": "The wildfire has razed 176 hectares (435 acres) since it broke out on Monday in the Bromo Tengger Semeru National Park.", "quote_doc_id": "t_9ff90db8e382c082a0d0", "settling_ids": ["t_b5d3b58ee2db399d20b8", "t_9ff90db8e382c082a0d0", "t_6f416485de58876c3c19", "t_87f1c1b01f849bd41626"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Indonesian authorities", "Bromo Tengger Semeru National Park"]}
{"id": "e_b663a1be6777_q0", "domain": "Environment", "question": "Will the Kerala monsoon lead to fatalities by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 13, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_b663a1be6777", "event_date": "2026-08-03", "supporting_event": "The Kerala monsoon claimed at least 15 lives as of August 3, 2026.", "storyline_id": "s_env_2907bc3b", "storyline": "Kerala monsoon disaster response", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_5b1d23b6894c0996a29b", "t_8bb1464ba3454428edac", "i_cb9d2ab39edb739d3205_0"], "precursor_modalities": ["I", "T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Kerala monsoon has claimed 15 lives", "quote_doc_id": "t_b663a1be6777486cb4d2", "settling_ids": ["t_b663a1be6777486cb4d2", "t_d258dcc5dfe357489f9a", "t_28cb709763647a6d5978", "t_f00973e60502901b9cb4"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Kerala", "VD Satheesan"]}
{"id": "e_b663a1be6777_q0_neg", "domain": "Environment", "question": "Will the Kerala monsoon lead to fatalities by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "No", "answer_type": "perturbed_binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 13, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_b663a1be6777", "event_date": "2026-08-03", "supporting_event": "The Kerala monsoon claimed at least 15 lives as of August 3, 2026.", "storyline_id": "s_env_2907bc3b", "storyline": "Kerala monsoon disaster response", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_5b1d23b6894c0996a29b", "t_8bb1464ba3454428edac", "i_cb9d2ab39edb739d3205_0"], "precursor_modalities": ["I", "T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "perturbed_binary", "value": "No", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Kerala monsoon has claimed 15 lives", "quote_doc_id": "t_b663a1be6777486cb4d2", "settling_ids": ["t_b663a1be6777486cb4d2", "t_d258dcc5dfe357489f9a", "t_28cb709763647a6d5978", "t_f00973e60502901b9cb4"], "derivation": "the event dated 2026-08-03 is after the shifted deadline 2026-07-28, so the claim is false at that deadline"}, "perturbation": {"field": "deadline", "original": "2026-08-04", "substituted": "2026-07-28", "v40_substituted": "2026-07-27"}, "paired_with": "e_b663a1be6777_q0", "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Kerala", "VD Satheesan"]}
{"id": "e_bac64c21c783_d0", "domain": "Environment", "question": "What is the total area burned by the wildfires in Spain by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "77,000 hectares", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "hectares", "modality_required": "D", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 3, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_bac64c21c783", "event_date": "2026-07-24", "supporting_event": "NASA evacuated its Spanish deep-space relay station due to wildfires.", "storyline_id": "s_env_00100465", "storyline": "2026 European wildfires", "linked_domains": ["Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_49597bea33f7e6ba2f9b", "t_61bf3b091ba95eb45c38", "t_860a6a69fdb1b92d5b2c", "t_a3aedbfc5c5576b38cc9"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "77,000 hectares", "tolerance": null, "quote": "By July 24, it had merged with fires in neighboring provinces, pushing the total area burned to 77,000 hectares, an area about the size of New York City.", "quote_doc_id": "d_bac64c21c783fc4fd261", "settling_ids": ["d_bac64c21c783fc4fd261", "d_bac64c21c783fc4fd261", "t_8c2feec61469ce4d0df6", "t_b655520fdc8536e0f64c", "t_26cd355cee714d8a10cf", "t_6a65f550c068010b7565", "t_9b46ec2ca5e20eee1d7e"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["NASA", "Madrid Deep Space Communications Complex"]}
{"id": "e_bac64c21c783_q2", "domain": "Environment", "question": "Will NASA's evacuation of its Spanish deep-space relay station occur by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 3, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_bac64c21c783", "event_date": "2026-07-24", "supporting_event": "NASA evacuated its Spanish deep-space relay station due to wildfires.", "storyline_id": "s_env_00100465", "storyline": "2026 European wildfires", "linked_domains": ["Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_49597bea33f7e6ba2f9b", "t_61bf3b091ba95eb45c38", "t_860a6a69fdb1b92d5b2c", "t_a3aedbfc5c5576b38cc9"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "NASA was left with no choice but to vacate its Spanish deep-space relay station.", "quote_doc_id": "t_8c2feec61469ce4d0df6", "settling_ids": ["t_8c2feec61469ce4d0df6", "t_b655520fdc8536e0f64c", "t_26cd355cee714d8a10cf", "t_6a65f550c068010b7565", "d_bac64c21c783fc4fd261"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["NASA", "Madrid Deep Space Communications Complex"]}
{"id": "e_c0795d049711_q0", "domain": "Environment", "question": "How many hives will Gaza's beekeepers have remaining by 2026-08-04?", "options": ["around 1,500 hives", "around 5,000 hives", "around 700 hives", "around 10,000 hives"], "answer": "around 700 hives", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 9, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_c0795d049711", "event_date": "2026-07-30", "supporting_event": "Gaza's beekeepers struggle to rebuild their livelihoods after more than two years of war.", "storyline_id": "s_env_c0795d04", "storyline": "Gaza beekeepers recovery efforts", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_8132f949d990d2868e09", "t_ea518207bac14467caac"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "around 700 hives", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Sammour estimates around 700 hives remain, with beekeepers dividing hives to help maintain the numbers.", "quote_doc_id": "t_c0795d04971197023489", "settling_ids": ["t_c0795d04971197023489", "t_2c10ed0eaa9bac8a45a5", "t_dc8564421fe77737a8e3"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Gaza's beekeepers"]}
{"id": "e_c10123ea1502_q0", "domain": "Environment", "question": "What percentage of the Long Period Average will the India Meteorological Department forecast for August rainfall by 2026-08-04?", "options": ["80%", "94%", "90%", "85%"], "answer": "94%", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 11, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_c10123ea1502", "event_date": "2026-08-01", "supporting_event": "The India Meteorological Department forecasted below-normal rainfall for August at 94% of the Long Period Average.", "storyline_id": "s_env_c10123ea", "storyline": "2026 Southwest Monsoon Forecast", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_9104d96853be61b322ad", "t_43f2e32cb45f8c4448fd", "t_df6ad281de50f6d70880"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "94%", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the month's precipitation at 94% of the Long Period Average (LPA)", "quote_doc_id": "t_b3e228cbbe880ee98662", "settling_ids": ["t_c10123ea1502cd8e377c", "t_b3e228cbbe880ee98662"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["India Meteorological Department"]}
{"id": "e_c1ee0695250d_q0", "domain": "Environment", "question": "How many people will be evacuated from their homes in eastern China due to Typhoon Dolphin by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "one million", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 20, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_c1ee0695250d", "event_date": "2026-08-10", "supporting_event": "Typhoon Dolphin made landfall in eastern China on August 10, 2026.", "storyline_id": "s_env_13832d93", "storyline": "Typhoon Dolphin landfall", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_597dc20ecbffd5b278a3", "t_9e7cb91de5dee11c23be", "t_ac2bfed1ab8348e29116"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "one million", "tolerance": null, "quote": "more than one million people to evacuate their homes", "quote_doc_id": "t_c1ee0695250d0d5fc484", "settling_ids": ["t_c1ee0695250d0d5fc484", "t_7e368e83587fe2ea7351", "t_13cc401c230104aa638b"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Typhoon Dolphin", "Yuhuan", "Zhejiang province", "China"]}
{"id": "e_c49ee8d68dd6_q0", "domain": "Environment", "question": "How many millimeters of rain will England record in July 2026 by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "6.5", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "mm", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 10, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_c49ee8d68dd6", "event_date": "2026-07-31", "supporting_event": "The UK Met Office reported that England and Wales experienced the driest July on record.", "storyline_id": "s_env_c49ee8d6", "storyline": "UK weather records", "linked_domains": ["Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_536353ea91eef20ed394", "t_15aa81cde048e9df9e6d", "t_9e159f92053bff9b7dd4", "t_c9a63c4f8779c50f8f4c", "t_4e9b562fcf2a077a70ff"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "6.5", "tolerance": 0.1, "quote": "England had recorded just 6.5 millimetres (0.25 of an inch) of rain, 10 per cent of the usual average figure", "quote_doc_id": "t_c49ee8d68dd67fd4e5a2", "settling_ids": ["t_c49ee8d68dd67fd4e5a2", "t_9b17cde7b1e1c3ac5929"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["UK Met Office", "England", "Wales"]}
{"id": "e_c49ee8d68dd6_q2", "domain": "Environment", "question": "Will England experience below average rainfall in July 2026 by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 10, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_c49ee8d68dd6", "event_date": "2026-07-31", "supporting_event": "The UK Met Office reported that England and Wales experienced the driest July on record.", "storyline_id": "s_env_c49ee8d6", "storyline": "UK weather records", "linked_domains": ["Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_536353ea91eef20ed394", "t_15aa81cde048e9df9e6d", "t_9e159f92053bff9b7dd4", "t_c9a63c4f8779c50f8f4c", "t_4e9b562fcf2a077a70ff"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "The last three months all saw below average monthly rainfall", "quote_doc_id": "t_9b17cde7b1e1c3ac5929", "settling_ids": ["t_c49ee8d68dd67fd4e5a2", "t_9b17cde7b1e1c3ac5929"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["UK Met Office", "England", "Wales"]}
{"id": "e_c49ee8d68dd6_q2_neg", "domain": "Environment", "question": "Will England experience below average rainfall in July 2026 by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "No", "answer_type": "perturbed_binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 10, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_c49ee8d68dd6", "event_date": "2026-07-31", "supporting_event": "The UK Met Office reported that England and Wales experienced the driest July on record.", "storyline_id": "s_env_c49ee8d6", "storyline": "UK weather records", "linked_domains": ["Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_536353ea91eef20ed394", "t_15aa81cde048e9df9e6d", "t_9e159f92053bff9b7dd4", "t_c9a63c4f8779c50f8f4c", "t_4e9b562fcf2a077a70ff"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "perturbed_binary", "value": "No", "tolerance": null, "quote": "The last three months all saw below average monthly rainfall", "quote_doc_id": "t_9b17cde7b1e1c3ac5929", "settling_ids": ["t_c49ee8d68dd67fd4e5a2", "t_9b17cde7b1e1c3ac5929"], "derivation": "the event dated 2026-07-31 is after the shifted deadline 2026-07-28, so the claim is false at that deadline"}, "perturbation": {"field": "deadline", "original": "2026-08-04", "substituted": "2026-07-28", "v40_substituted": "2026-07-26"}, "paired_with": "e_c49ee8d68dd6_q2", "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["UK Met Office", "England", "Wales"]}
{"id": "e_c4b80a507ddd_q0", "domain": "Environment", "question": "What type of alert will the India Meteorological Department issue for Delhi by 2026-07-28?", "options": ["a green alert for clear skies", "a red alert for thunderstorms, lightning and intense rainfall", "a blue alert for moderate rainfall", "a yellow alert for light rain"], "answer": "a red alert for thunderstorms, lightning and intense rainfall", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 7, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_c4b80a507ddd", "event_date": "2026-07-28", "supporting_event": "The India Meteorological Department issued a red alert for thunderstorms, lightning and intense rainfall in Delhi.", "storyline_id": "s_env_10fe9a92", "storyline": "Delhi weather events July 2026", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_a6490a766b1396acb11b", "t_ca8ee824fe26d8918930", "t_b4fc5a1a366c65f7b468", "t_1c3a7ecd8cf9940ca6d3", "t_d91ce755715b02bc1963"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "a red alert for thunderstorms, lightning and intense rainfall", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the India Meteorological Department (IMD) issued a red alert warning of thunderstorms, lightning and intense spells of rain over the next few hours.", "quote_doc_id": "t_c4b80a507dddd227d95e", "settling_ids": ["t_c4b80a507dddd227d95e", "t_c0624c99a66c01ce9d34", "t_8751640dd95805fe0332", "t_a1d2e044539423a4130a"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["India Meteorological Department"]}
{"id": "e_c51ea6108b07_q0", "domain": "Environment", "question": "Which area will experience flooding due to Typhoon Dolphin by 2026-08-11?", "options": ["eastern China", "western China", "northern China", "central China"], "answer": "central China", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 21, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_c51ea6108b07", "event_date": "2026-08-11", "supporting_event": "Typhoon Dolphin flooded central China and parts of Beijing on August 11, 2026.", "storyline_id": "s_env_c51ea610", "storyline": "Typhoon Dolphin impact", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Geopolitics", "Law"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_597dc20ecbffd5b278a3", "t_638eca354e216f4da335", "t_1bdeb7a076612735ab7d", "t_5df688e338f4127fb34d", "t_54ecefc32b5270fd0d5b"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "central China", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Typhoon Dolphin floods central China, puts Beijing on alert for heavy rain", "quote_doc_id": "t_c51ea6108b079a70c89f", "settling_ids": ["t_c51ea6108b079a70c89f", "t_ecd5524fa1d93e199e96"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Typhoon Dolphin", "Hubei", "Beijing"]}
{"id": "e_cbec7f464fa2_q0", "domain": "Environment", "question": "Who will report on the recycling of bottles and cans under the Beverage Container Return Scheme by 2026-08-11?", "options": ["Janil Puthucheary", "DBS PayLah!", "BCRS Operators", "Mariam Jaafar"], "answer": "Janil Puthucheary", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 15, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_cbec7f464fa2", "event_date": "2026-08-05", "supporting_event": "Janil Puthucheary reported that 5.5 million bottles and cans have been recycled under the Beverage Container Return Scheme since its launch.", "storyline_id": "s_env_cbec7f46", "storyline": "Beverage Container Return Scheme", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_3202dd234bac4c2df2c4", "t_08b002432412cba5805b", "t_bd4238824b88cb26f195"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "Janil Puthucheary", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Senior Minister of State for Sustainability and the Environment Janil Puthucheary told Parliament on Aug 5.", "quote_doc_id": "t_cbec7f464fa20ddddedc", "settling_ids": ["t_cbec7f464fa20ddddedc", "t_3efd5aac9dd92770f70b"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Janil Puthucheary", "Beverage Container Return Scheme"]}
{"id": "e_cd5e16a555ab_q0", "domain": "Environment", "question": "Who will lead the firefighting efforts in the Bromo Tengger Semeru National Park by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "Rudijanta Tjahja Nugraha", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 21, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_cd5e16a555ab", "event_date": "2026-08-11", "supporting_event": "Indonesian firefighters have mostly contained a wildfire that has scorched nearly 900 hectares across Bromo Tengger Semeru National Park.", "storyline_id": "s_env_cd5e16a5", "storyline": "2026 Mount Bromo wildfire containment efforts", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_3398cfa2ae5285aa94c1", "t_419b755959bcdbb4b5b1", "i_9b30a07a1390a237e5a0_0"], "precursor_modalities": ["I", "T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "Rudijanta Tjahja Nugraha", "tolerance": null, "quote": "according to Rudijanta Tjahja Nugraha, head of the park in East Java province.", "quote_doc_id": "t_661637117be038507357", "settling_ids": ["t_cd5e16a555abdff3bf36", "t_661637117be038507357"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Indonesian firefighters", "Bromo Tengger Semeru National Park", "Mount Bromo"]}
{"id": "e_cd5e16a555ab_q1", "domain": "Environment", "question": "Which area will be affected by the wildfire in Bromo Tengger Semeru National Park by 2026-08-11?", "options": ["Bukit Duabelas National Park", "Gunung Leuser National Park", "Bromo Tengger Semeru National Park", "Kerinci Seblat National Park"], "answer": "Bromo Tengger Semeru National Park", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 21, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_cd5e16a555ab", "event_date": "2026-08-11", "supporting_event": "Indonesian firefighters have mostly contained a wildfire that has scorched nearly 900 hectares across Bromo Tengger Semeru National Park.", "storyline_id": "s_env_cd5e16a5", "storyline": "2026 Mount Bromo wildfire containment efforts", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_3398cfa2ae5285aa94c1", "t_419b755959bcdbb4b5b1", "i_9b30a07a1390a237e5a0_0"], "precursor_modalities": ["I", "T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "Bromo Tengger Semeru National Park", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the fire, which began last week, had affected nearly 900 hectares across the national park by Tuesday.", "quote_doc_id": "t_661637117be038507357", "settling_ids": ["t_cd5e16a555abdff3bf36", "t_661637117be038507357"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Indonesian firefighters", "Bromo Tengger Semeru National Park", "Mount Bromo"]}
{"id": "e_cd5e16a555ab_q2", "domain": "Environment", "question": "How many hectares will the wildfire have scorched in Bromo Tengger Semeru National Park by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "900", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "hectares", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 21, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_cd5e16a555ab", "event_date": "2026-08-11", "supporting_event": "Indonesian firefighters have mostly contained a wildfire that has scorched nearly 900 hectares across Bromo Tengger Semeru National Park.", "storyline_id": "s_env_cd5e16a5", "storyline": "2026 Mount Bromo wildfire containment efforts", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_3398cfa2ae5285aa94c1", "t_419b755959bcdbb4b5b1", "i_9b30a07a1390a237e5a0_0"], "precursor_modalities": ["I", "T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "900", "tolerance": 0.05, "quote": "the fire, which began last week, had affected nearly 900 hectares across the national park by Tuesday.", "quote_doc_id": "t_661637117be038507357", "settling_ids": ["t_cd5e16a555abdff3bf36", "t_661637117be038507357"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Indonesian firefighters", "Bromo Tengger Semeru National Park", "Mount Bromo"]}
{"id": "e_cea876462453_q0", "domain": "Environment", "question": "How many decentralised sewage treatment plants will the Delhi Jal Board approve by 2026-08-04?", "options": ["20", "15", "10", "5"], "answer": "15", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 8, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_cea876462453", "event_date": "2026-07-29", "supporting_event": "Delhi Jal Board approved projects for 15 decentralised sewage treatment plants.", "storyline_id": "s_env_cea87646", "storyline": "Yamuna rejuvenation project", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_1d060551bb3732aabe32", "t_06aa6cd15bba3c465d33", "t_d3c4959168c28e4b5f26"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "15", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the DJB has now awarded 15 additional DSTPs", "quote_doc_id": "t_cea87646245381c75b23", "settling_ids": ["t_cea87646245381c75b23", "t_27269cb98c4a8a7e4511", "t_255ddc9c4e84e79c2a94"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Delhi Jal Board", "Yamuna"]}
{"id": "e_cea876462453_q1", "domain": "Environment", "question": "What is the total investment for the projects approved by the Delhi Jal Board by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "4500", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "crore", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 8, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_cea876462453", "event_date": "2026-07-29", "supporting_event": "Delhi Jal Board approved projects for 15 decentralised sewage treatment plants.", "storyline_id": "s_env_cea87646", "storyline": "Yamuna rejuvenation project", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_1d060551bb3732aabe32", "t_06aa6cd15bba3c465d33", "t_d3c4959168c28e4b5f26"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "4500", "tolerance": 0.05, "quote": "approved sewerage and wastewater treatment projects worth around Rs 4,500 crore", "quote_doc_id": "t_cea87646245381c75b23", "settling_ids": ["t_cea87646245381c75b23", "t_27269cb98c4a8a7e4511", "t_255ddc9c4e84e79c2a94"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Delhi Jal Board", "Yamuna"]}
{"id": "e_cebc523b4cf7_q1", "domain": "Environment", "question": "What level will the Alaknanda River at Rudraprayag be flowing at by 2026-08-11?", "options": ["danger level of 627 metres", "below warning level of 450 metres", "normal level of 500 metres", "warning level of 600 metres"], "answer": "danger level of 627 metres", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": "metres", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 16, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_cebc523b4cf7", "event_date": "2026-08-06", "supporting_event": "The Alaknanda River was flowing at its danger level of 627 metres.", "storyline_id": "s_env_cebc523b", "storyline": "Uttarakhand flood monitoring", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_eb9eec55dea2498961f8", "t_f4b0f74f88e16a3c10ef", "t_3af5e6595d8b6018b14c"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "danger level of 627 metres", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the Alaknanda River at Rudraprayag was flowing at its danger level of 627 metres at 6 am and continued to rise.", "quote_doc_id": "t_cebc523b4cf70275bfdb", "settling_ids": ["t_cebc523b4cf70275bfdb", "t_c5ccc9c9dd33e6f6e6a0", "t_e1904c09e81184d1b86b"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Alaknanda River", "Rudraprayag"]}
{"id": "e_d4a7df17486f_q0", "domain": "Environment", "question": "How many Greek firefighters will be battling wildfires on the island of Crete by 2026-08-04?", "options": ["Exactly 150", "Around 50", "Less than 100", "More than 200"], "answer": "More than 200", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 9, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_d4a7df17486f", "event_date": "2026-07-30", "supporting_event": "Greek firefighters battled deadly wildfires on the island of Crete for a second day on July 30, 2026.", "storyline_id": "s_env_00100465", "storyline": "2026 European wildfires", "linked_domains": ["Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_7c08b3d8baf95db5d5e0", "t_f1287a8d26c6fd131909", "t_1c6fd08e1a1c165804cd", "t_6fd364e10e4fc1551d6b"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "More than 200", "tolerance": null, "quote": "more than 200 firefighters with dozens of fire engines and water-carrying aircraft battled two wildfires on the island of Crete", "quote_doc_id": "t_35a2de3fc790787de900", "settling_ids": ["t_d4a7df17486f92bf8281", "t_35a2de3fc790787de900", "t_6cb374b84d2c116ffab4", "t_2cca45e0700e6be7e6cc"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Greek firefighters", "Crete"]}
{"id": "e_d6d5200cfa41_d0", "domain": "Environment", "question": "What will be the introductory price point for subscriptions to the FLASHSM app by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "4.99", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "USD", "modality_required": "D", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 5, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_d6d5200cfa41", "event_date": "2026-07-26", "supporting_event": "PUB advised the public to avoid several areas in central eastern S’pore due to risk of flash floods.", "storyline_id": "s_env_d6d5200c", "storyline": "flash flood warnings in Singapore", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Politics", "Sports", "Technology"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_84ff2aee6a2b4dfad97c", "t_976eba9c3e83aaf80252", "t_971decb4a0ded9a37386", "t_d2047dd5c13f5e0b9372"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "4.99", "tolerance": null, "quote": "subscriptions offered from an introductory $4.99 price point", "quote_doc_id": "d_23f1976cd6c2226e9383", "settling_ids": ["d_23f1976cd6c2226e9383", "t_d6d5200cfa410fb90701", "t_c2a0d524a1cddd3359d7"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["PUB", "Singapore"]}
{"id": "e_d6d5200cfa41_i0", "domain": "Environment", "question": "What is the number displayed on the traffic light by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "22", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 5, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_d6d5200cfa41", "event_date": "2026-07-26", "supporting_event": "PUB advised the public to avoid several areas in central eastern S’pore due to risk of flash floods.", "storyline_id": "s_env_d6d5200c", "storyline": "flash flood warnings in Singapore", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Politics", "Sports", "Technology"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_84ff2aee6a2b4dfad97c", "t_976eba9c3e83aaf80252", "t_971decb4a0ded9a37386", "t_d2047dd5c13f5e0b9372"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "22", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_d6d5200cfa410fb90701_0", "settling_ids": ["t_d6d5200cfa410fb90701", "t_c2a0d524a1cddd3359d7"], "visible_detail": "a traffic light showing the number 22"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["PUB", "Singapore"]}
{"id": "e_d8a59732c542_q1", "domain": "Environment", "question": "Who will be identified as a marine biologist discussing the changes in the Mediterranean Sea by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "Ernesto Azzuro", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 9, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_d8a59732c542", "event_date": "2026-07-30", "supporting_event": "The Mediterranean Sea is getting hotter by 2 to 6 degrees Celsius by 2100.", "storyline_id": "s_env_d8a59732", "storyline": "Mediterranean climate change impact", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_344c3b6e79dcb601dd26", "d_9f4b866a1677a9ae5816", "t_4429f1d6b59941d3545a", "t_ec75a14f083626e3aad7", "d_16493d2872f197daafba", "t_f256c0aab76413253681"], "precursor_modalities": ["D", "T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "Ernesto Azzuro", "tolerance": null, "quote": "said Ernesto Azzuro, a marine biologist with the Italian National Research Council's Institute for Marine Biological Resources and Biotechnology.", "quote_doc_id": "t_d8a59732c542afaf6682", "settling_ids": ["t_d8a59732c542afaf6682", "t_dc7fed0465eaf1a6671e", "t_9f128c106a68dfa0d875"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Mediterranean Sea", "Ernesto Azzuro", "Italian National Research Council"]}
{"id": "e_d9eeb39dc75e_q0", "domain": "Environment", "question": "How many people will the Odisha government evacuate from low-lying areas by 2026-07-28?", "options": ["50000", "23673", "15000", "100000"], "answer": "23673", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": "people", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 7, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_d9eeb39dc75e", "event_date": "2026-07-28", "supporting_event": "The Odisha government launched a massive evacuation drive from low-lying areas, evacuating 23,673 people.", "storyline_id": "s_env_d9eeb39d", "storyline": "Odisha flood response", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_4265e577727efe6135c1", "t_bac99c00b87bb433a175", "t_68962feac45c76ba9384"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "23673", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the government has so far evacuated 23,673 people from low-lying areas", "quote_doc_id": "t_d9eeb39dc75e3dc8769a", "settling_ids": ["t_d9eeb39dc75e3dc8769a", "t_ba1959161d6cfb3ef9e1", "t_a6d6cd431d0e3a152562", "t_a9b6eba8387e37c18b68"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Odisha government"]}
{"id": "e_ddb06f514d89_q0", "domain": "Environment", "question": "Who will order schools in Pontianak to close due to smoke from wildfires by 2026-08-11?", "options": ["The Governor of West Kalimantan", "The Minister of Education", "The President of Indonesia", "Edi Rusdi Kamtono"], "answer": "Edi Rusdi Kamtono", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 21, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_ddb06f514d89", "event_date": "2026-08-11", "supporting_event": "Edi Rusdi Kamtono ordered schools in Pontianak to close due to smoke from wildfires.", "storyline_id": "s_env_ddb06f51", "storyline": "Indonesia wildfires response 2026", "linked_domains": ["Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_3398cfa2ae5285aa94c1", "t_57287ccb636fa188a36b", "t_419b755959bcdbb4b5b1"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "Edi Rusdi Kamtono", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Edi Rusdi Kamtono, the mayor of the city of Pontianak, ordered schools closed due to the smoke wafting over the city from fires elsewhere.", "quote_doc_id": "t_88eecf075f6e10aa572d", "settling_ids": ["t_ddb06f514d89982daee4", "t_88eecf075f6e10aa572d"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Edi Rusdi Kamtono", "Pontianak", "West Kalimantan", "Indonesia"]}
{"id": "e_e0a766c74247_q0", "domain": "Environment", "question": "Which districts will the India Meteorological Department issue a red alert for due to heavy rainfall by 2026-08-04?", "options": ["Nashik and Nandurbar", "Mumbai and Raigad", "Aurangabad and Jalna", "Pune and Thane"], "answer": "Nashik and Nandurbar", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 11, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_e0a766c74247", "event_date": "2026-08-01", "supporting_event": "The India Meteorological Department issued a red alert for Nashik and Nandurbar due to heavy rainfall.", "storyline_id": "s_env_e0a766c7", "storyline": "Maharashtra monsoon weather alerts", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_b4bd02c8efb9fd65c9ed", "t_bac99c00b87bb433a175", "t_7c4d8bf0a8e9a613af9a", "t_3a04bf42c14c3bba681c"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "Nashik and Nandurbar", "tolerance": null, "quote": "The India Meteorological Department (IMD) has issued red alerts for Nashik and Nandurbar, where heavy to very heavy rainfall has been forecast.", "quote_doc_id": "t_84cd9522ac22a3f20512", "settling_ids": ["t_e0a766c74247ca231746", "t_84cd9522ac22a3f20512", "t_be8939937826c415e165"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["India Meteorological Department", "Nashik", "Nandurbar"]}
{"id": "e_e5011e99bbce_q0", "domain": "Environment", "question": "How much below-normal rainfall will the India Meteorological Department predict for August and September 2026 by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "94", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "%", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 11, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_e5011e99bbce", "event_date": "2026-08-01", "supporting_event": "The India Meteorological Department predicted below-normal rainfall during August and September 2026.", "storyline_id": "s_env_c10123ea", "storyline": "2026 Southwest Monsoon Forecast", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_b7568ca70dc7c23e2c73", "t_43f2e32cb45f8c4448fd", "t_df6ad281de50f6d70880"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "94", "tolerance": 0.05, "quote": "below-normal rainfall overall, at less than 94% of LPA.", "quote_doc_id": "t_94ac4a96e698ab774456", "settling_ids": ["t_e5011e99bbcee5e71a17", "t_8abea8a9469350848e5e", "t_94ac4a96e698ab774456", "t_577ceaa1c8bc3e137ac8"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["India Meteorological Department"]}
{"id": "e_e5e18e7ba817_d0", "domain": "Environment", "question": "What was the maximum wind speed recorded during the wildfires in southwestern France by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "65 kilometers (40 miles) per hour", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "kilometers per hour", "modality_required": "D", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 8, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_e5e18e7ba817", "event_date": "2026-07-29", "supporting_event": "Three firefighters died in Greece while battling wildfires.", "storyline_id": "s_env_22f4e6c5", "storyline": "2026 European wildfire season", "linked_domains": ["Geopolitics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_7c08b3d8baf95db5d5e0", "t_1c6fd08e1a1c165804cd", "t_6fd364e10e4fc1551d6b"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "65 kilometers (40 miles) per hour", "tolerance": null, "quote": "strong winds reaching 65 kilometers (40 miles) per hour at times", "quote_doc_id": "d_bac64c21c783fc4fd261", "settling_ids": ["d_bac64c21c783fc4fd261", "t_e5e18e7ba817186e5347", "t_351042eadf2c2743d269", "t_1b7919848e735f58bd5a", "t_689a3028370b75f2306c", "t_41d3685318db420f1f21", "t_ef4e5397f2df48caa7fc"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["firefighters", "Greece"]}
{"id": "e_e5e18e7ba817_i0", "domain": "Environment", "question": "What is the identification number of the aircraft involved in the firefighting efforts by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "77", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 8, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_e5e18e7ba817", "event_date": "2026-07-29", "supporting_event": "Three firefighters died in Greece while battling wildfires.", "storyline_id": "s_env_22f4e6c5", "storyline": "2026 European wildfire season", "linked_domains": ["Geopolitics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_7c08b3d8baf95db5d5e0", "t_1c6fd08e1a1c165804cd", "t_6fd364e10e4fc1551d6b"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "77", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_e5e18e7ba817186e5347_0", "settling_ids": ["t_e5e18e7ba817186e5347", "t_351042eadf2c2743d269", "t_1b7919848e735f58bd5a", "t_689a3028370b75f2306c", "t_41d3685318db420f1f21", "t_ef4e5397f2df48caa7fc"], "visible_detail": "the number '77' on the aircraft"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["firefighters", "Greece"]}
{"id": "e_e7006b5a56b9_d0", "domain": "Environment", "question": "How many times has the Copernicus Emergency Management Service (CEMS) been activated to provide data and images on wildfires by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "30", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "D", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 7, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_e7006b5a56b9", "event_date": "2026-07-28", "supporting_event": "Firefighters battled major wildfires in France and Spain that forced tens of thousands to evacuate.", "storyline_id": "s_env_e7006b5a", "storyline": "Wildfire containment efforts in Europe", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_b0d15aa306275032b8ca", "t_0534cf672cfd2d976888", "t_f33a40461385fb74269e", "i_f30551577cad35d75ada_0", "t_a3aedbfc5c5576b38cc9"], "precursor_modalities": ["I", "T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "30", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the Copernicus Emergency Management Service (CEMS) has been activated more than 30 times", "quote_doc_id": "d_c2ce507d410a3290ac3c", "settling_ids": ["d_c2ce507d410a3290ac3c", "t_e7006b5a56b99bbf70e9", "t_2e6cecfe80cca551db21"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Firefighters", "France", "Spain"]}
{"id": "e_e7006b5a56b9_q1", "domain": "Environment", "question": "Who will describe the wildfire situation in Spain as a 'red hell' by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "One Spanish evacuee", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 7, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_e7006b5a56b9", "event_date": "2026-07-28", "supporting_event": "Firefighters battled major wildfires in France and Spain that forced tens of thousands to evacuate.", "storyline_id": "s_env_e7006b5a", "storyline": "Wildfire containment efforts in Europe", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_b0d15aa306275032b8ca", "t_0534cf672cfd2d976888", "t_f33a40461385fb74269e", "i_f30551577cad35d75ada_0", "t_a3aedbfc5c5576b38cc9"], "precursor_modalities": ["I", "T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "One Spanish evacuee", "tolerance": null, "quote": "One Spanish evacuee described a 'red hell' of fire", "quote_doc_id": "t_2e6cecfe80cca551db21", "settling_ids": ["t_e7006b5a56b99bbf70e9", "t_2e6cecfe80cca551db21", "d_c2ce507d410a3290ac3c"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Firefighters", "France", "Spain"]}
{"id": "e_e7006b5a56b9_q2", "domain": "Environment", "question": "Will the wildfires in France and Spain be described as the most severe recorded since the Second World War by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 7, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_e7006b5a56b9", "event_date": "2026-07-28", "supporting_event": "Firefighters battled major wildfires in France and Spain that forced tens of thousands to evacuate.", "storyline_id": "s_env_e7006b5a", "storyline": "Wildfire containment efforts in Europe", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_b0d15aa306275032b8ca", "t_0534cf672cfd2d976888", "t_f33a40461385fb74269e", "i_f30551577cad35d75ada_0", "t_a3aedbfc5c5576b38cc9"], "precursor_modalities": ["I", "T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the most severe we have ever recorded, the toughest since the Second World War", "quote_doc_id": "t_2e6cecfe80cca551db21", "settling_ids": ["t_e7006b5a56b99bbf70e9", "t_2e6cecfe80cca551db21", "d_c2ce507d410a3290ac3c"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Firefighters", "France", "Spain"]}
{"id": "e_e9a542b34848_q0", "domain": "Environment", "question": "By 2026-08-04, how many people will be forced to evacuate due to wildfires in France and Spain?", "options": ["more than 300,000 people", "less than 100,000 people", "between 200,000 and 300,000 people", "between 100,000 and 200,000 people"], "answer": "more than 300,000 people", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 9, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_e9a542b34848", "event_date": "2026-07-30", "supporting_event": "Devastating wildfires ripped through regions of France and Spain, forcing more than 300,000 people to evacuate.", "storyline_id": "s_env_00100465", "storyline": "2026 European wildfires", "linked_domains": ["Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_b0d15aa306275032b8ca", "t_42e2bcee7200254b0d12", "t_0534cf672cfd2d976888", "t_c990a698333f940df194", "t_a3aedbfc5c5576b38cc9"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "more than 300,000 people", "tolerance": null, "quote": "devastating wildfires ripped through regions of France and Spain, forcing more than 300,000 people to evacuate.", "quote_doc_id": "t_e9a542b34848453c671a", "settling_ids": ["t_e9a542b34848453c671a", "t_56ee9bc60b2ea6e293c2", "d_bac64c21c783fc4fd261"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["France", "Spain"]}
{"id": "e_e9a542b34848_q1", "domain": "Environment", "question": "By 2026-08-04, how many acres will have burned in southwestern France due to wildfires?", "options": null, "answer": "100000", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "acres", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 9, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_e9a542b34848", "event_date": "2026-07-30", "supporting_event": "Devastating wildfires ripped through regions of France and Spain, forcing more than 300,000 people to evacuate.", "storyline_id": "s_env_00100465", "storyline": "2026 European wildfires", "linked_domains": ["Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_b0d15aa306275032b8ca", "t_42e2bcee7200254b0d12", "t_0534cf672cfd2d976888", "t_c990a698333f940df194", "t_a3aedbfc5c5576b38cc9"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "100000", "tolerance": 0.05, "quote": "more than 100,000 acres have burned.", "quote_doc_id": "t_e9a542b34848453c671a", "settling_ids": ["t_e9a542b34848453c671a", "t_56ee9bc60b2ea6e293c2", "d_bac64c21c783fc4fd261"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["France", "Spain"]}
{"id": "e_ec9b00720b7d_q0", "domain": "Environment", "question": "How much rainfall will Delhi receive by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "51", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "mm", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 7, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_ec9b00720b7d", "event_date": "2026-07-28", "supporting_event": "Delhi experienced heavy rain leading to severe waterlogging.", "storyline_id": "s_env_ec9b0072", "storyline": "Delhi monsoon rainfall 2026", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_9ed78b08f792634ca1ec", "t_d91ce755715b02bc1963", "t_d502810b889572b6c567", "t_3737a922a8460fe8db45"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "51", "tolerance": 0.1, "quote": "According to the Indian Meteorological Department (IMD), between 11.30 am and 2.30 pm, Safdarjung, the base weather station in the Capital, recorded 51 mm of rainfall.", "quote_doc_id": "t_ec9b00720b7d105770f4", "settling_ids": ["t_ec9b00720b7d105770f4", "t_280d5f2b67d86e92a04c"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Delhi", "Indian Meteorological Department", "Saurabh Bharadwaj", "AAP"]}
{"id": "e_ecb58054607a_q1", "domain": "Environment", "question": "How many people will authorities in France and Spain evacuate due to wildfires by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "300000", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "people", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 4, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_ecb58054607a", "event_date": "2026-07-25", "supporting_event": "Authorities ordered evacuations of more than 300,000 people in France and Spain due to wildfires.", "storyline_id": "s_env_00100465", "storyline": "2026 European wildfires", "linked_domains": ["Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_b0d15aa306275032b8ca", "t_0534cf672cfd2d976888", "t_f33a40461385fb74269e", "t_305061895e44d5981c6d", "t_a3aedbfc5c5576b38cc9"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "300000", "tolerance": 0.05, "quote": "more than 300,000 people across the two countries were evacuated", "quote_doc_id": "t_d7d68257b4f2fbe2d0b4", "settling_ids": ["t_ecb58054607a4d1ad74f", "t_d7d68257b4f2fbe2d0b4", "d_bac64c21c783fc4fd261"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["authorities", "France", "Spain"]}
{"id": "e_ee1a239b2e0b_i0", "domain": "Environment", "question": "What is the total number of fishing boats visible in the photograph by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "approximately 100", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 19, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_ee1a239b2e0b", "event_date": "2026-08-09", "supporting_event": "Typhoon Dolphin made landfall on China's eastern coast on August 9.", "storyline_id": "s_env_13832d93", "storyline": "Typhoon Dolphin landfall", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_9e7cb91de5dee11c23be", "t_c974e196218e3e1a4e09"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "approximately 100", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_ee1a239b2e0b5c455f85_0", "settling_ids": ["t_ee1a239b2e0b5c455f85", "t_cab0f4123062f368f1df", "t_2f104017b13610e60211", "t_8ea9de6c36630007c7e4", "t_7e368e83587fe2ea7351", "t_c94126c90c0f69dfd2b9"], "visible_detail": "the number of fishing boats in the harbor"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Typhoon Dolphin", "China", "Zhejiang"]}
{"id": "e_ee1a239b2e0b_q0", "domain": "Environment", "question": "Will Typhoon Dolphin make landfall on China's eastern coast by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 19, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_ee1a239b2e0b", "event_date": "2026-08-09", "supporting_event": "Typhoon Dolphin made landfall on China's eastern coast on August 9.", "storyline_id": "s_env_13832d93", "storyline": "Typhoon Dolphin landfall", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_9e7cb91de5dee11c23be", "t_c974e196218e3e1a4e09"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Typhoon Dolphin is set to make landfall on China's east coast overnight on Aug 9", "quote_doc_id": "t_ee1a239b2e0b5c455f85", "settling_ids": ["t_ee1a239b2e0b5c455f85", "t_cab0f4123062f368f1df", "t_2f104017b13610e60211", "t_8ea9de6c36630007c7e4"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Typhoon Dolphin", "China", "Zhejiang"]}
{"id": "e_ee1a239b2e0b_q0_neg", "domain": "Environment", "question": "Will Typhoon Dolphin make landfall on China's eastern coast by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "No", "answer_type": "perturbed_binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 19, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_ee1a239b2e0b", "event_date": "2026-08-09", "supporting_event": "Typhoon Dolphin made landfall on China's eastern coast on August 9.", "storyline_id": "s_env_13832d93", "storyline": "Typhoon Dolphin landfall", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_9e7cb91de5dee11c23be", "t_c974e196218e3e1a4e09"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "perturbed_binary", "value": "No", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Typhoon Dolphin is set to make landfall on China's east coast overnight on Aug 9", "quote_doc_id": "t_ee1a239b2e0b5c455f85", "settling_ids": ["t_ee1a239b2e0b5c455f85", "t_cab0f4123062f368f1df", "t_2f104017b13610e60211", "t_8ea9de6c36630007c7e4"], "derivation": "the event dated 2026-08-09 is after the shifted deadline 2026-08-04, so the claim is false at that deadline"}, "perturbation": {"field": "deadline", "original": "2026-08-11", "substituted": "2026-08-04", "v40_substituted": "2026-07-30"}, "paired_with": "e_ee1a239b2e0b_q0", "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Typhoon Dolphin", "China", "Zhejiang"]}
{"id": "e_ee1a239b2e0b_q2", "domain": "Environment", "question": "How many millimeters of rain will Typhoon Dolphin bring to parts of central and eastern Zhejiang by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "250-500", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "mm", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 19, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_ee1a239b2e0b", "event_date": "2026-08-09", "supporting_event": "Typhoon Dolphin made landfall on China's eastern coast on August 9.", "storyline_id": "s_env_13832d93", "storyline": "Typhoon Dolphin landfall", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_9e7cb91de5dee11c23be", "t_c974e196218e3e1a4e09"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "250-500", "tolerance": 0.1, "quote": "Parts of central and eastern Zhejiang could receive 250-500mm of rain", "quote_doc_id": "t_ee1a239b2e0b5c455f85", "settling_ids": ["t_ee1a239b2e0b5c455f85", "t_cab0f4123062f368f1df", "t_2f104017b13610e60211", "t_8ea9de6c36630007c7e4"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Typhoon Dolphin", "China", "Zhejiang"]}
{"id": "e_ef9c738f7798_q1", "domain": "Environment", "question": "How many people will be arrested in France on suspicion of arson by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "2", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 9, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_ef9c738f7798", "event_date": "2026-07-30", "supporting_event": "France arrested two people on suspicion of arson.", "storyline_id": "s_env_00100465", "storyline": "2026 European wildfires", "linked_domains": ["Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_b0d15aa306275032b8ca", "t_0534cf672cfd2d976888", "t_f33a40461385fb74269e", "t_9fdfbc9c9d12c25d8e00", "t_2d4099b55f9add73219a", "t_0cb1d1550524b95b0ed2"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "2", "tolerance": null, "quote": "France arrested two people on suspicion of arson", "quote_doc_id": "t_7a5f94839ba7dfbd55cf", "settling_ids": ["t_ef9c738f7798415b9d8d", "t_810f36738c7d24ba82f4", "t_7a5f94839ba7dfbd55cf", "d_bac64c21c783fc4fd261"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["France"]}
{"id": "e_f208a6c65e39_q0", "domain": "Environment", "question": "How many passengers will be killed in bus accidents in Himachal Pradesh by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "7", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 18, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_f208a6c65e39", "event_date": "2026-08-08", "supporting_event": "Seven passengers were killed, and 11 others were injured in Himachal Pradesh’s Chamba after a private bus overturned and rolled down a steep slope.", "storyline_id": "s_env_f208a6c6", "storyline": "Chamba bus accident investigation", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_e78677f81d4126b1ded3", "t_e170a2584e9ff0f98c09", "t_ed3c16c5844552295d01", "t_989883dbbd24f92044af"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "7", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Seven passengers were killed, and 11 others were injured in Himachal Pradesh’s Chamba after a private bus overturned and rolled down a steep slope", "quote_doc_id": "t_f208a6c65e393fba52ce", "settling_ids": ["t_f208a6c65e393fba52ce", "t_b6dee26bba434446fbda"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Himachal Pradesh", "Chamba", "Chalunj Mor", "Bairagarh", "Tissa"]}
{"id": "e_f46483792fbd_q0", "domain": "Environment", "question": "What will be the highest temperature recorded in Seoul by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "40.2", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "deg C", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 17, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_f46483792fbd", "event_date": "2026-08-07", "supporting_event": "Seoul hit 40.2 degrees Celsius on August 7, 2026.", "storyline_id": "s_env_f4648379", "storyline": "2026 South Korea heat wave", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_55798aeeefc633e52b5b", "t_f29f9635a6bc45724b88", "t_e9ccfee4bea027bb9d64"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "40.2", "tolerance": 0.1, "quote": "recorded 40.2 deg C at around 3.30pm", "quote_doc_id": "t_f46483792fbdc9e1d223", "settling_ids": ["t_f46483792fbdc9e1d223", "t_c1def20a43dbdd9a660e"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Seoul", "Korea Meteorological Administration"]}
{"id": "e_f9a5cb779af3_q1", "domain": "Environment", "question": "How many people will Indonesian rescuers be searching for by 2026-08-04 after the ferry incident?", "options": ["20", "30", "28", "25"], "answer": "28", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 13, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_f9a5cb779af3", "event_date": "2026-08-03", "supporting_event": "Indonesian rescuers are continuing the search for 28 people still missing.", "storyline_id": "s_env_f9a5cb77", "storyline": "search and rescue operation after ferry fire", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_39a95012dac0408ee7d8", "t_c35dad842ac1343b2aeb", "t_dcbde69a4130f3d2fcff"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "28", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Indonesian rescuers are continuing the search for 28 people still missing on Aug 3", "quote_doc_id": "t_9fa9b2aea0952dbc03b8", "settling_ids": ["t_f9a5cb779af35e8f297e", "t_9fa9b2aea0952dbc03b8"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Indonesian rescuers", "KM Mutiara Sentosa", "Madura island", "Surabaya", "Makassar", "East Java", "South Sulawesi"]}
{"id": "e_fa1e481eac36_q0", "domain": "Environment", "question": "How many native livestock will communities in Spain's Galicia region have reintroduced by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "30000", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 2, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_fa1e481eac36", "event_date": "2026-07-23", "supporting_event": "Communities reintroduce native livestock to rebalance ecosystems and reduce wildfires in Spain's Galicia region.", "storyline_id": "s_env_fa1e481e", "storyline": "revival of native livestock in Galicia", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_49597bea33f7e6ba2f9b", "t_8e53a56beca58491c5a7", "t_860a6a69fdb1b92d5b2c"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "30000", "tolerance": null, "quote": "their efforts, together with those of other associations across Galicia, have boosted the population of native livestock from just over 1,800 in the late 1990s to more than 30,000 by early 2026", "quote_doc_id": "t_fa1e481eac362ca9325d", "settling_ids": ["t_fa1e481eac362ca9325d", "t_e7be1cc98963d24f915d", "t_af7f985b88a92697a9fe"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["communities", "Galicia", "Cachena"]}
{"id": "e_fa1e481eac36_q1", "domain": "Environment", "question": "Who will be involved in the reintroduction of native livestock in Spain's Galicia region by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "communities", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 2, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_fa1e481eac36", "event_date": "2026-07-23", "supporting_event": "Communities reintroduce native livestock to rebalance ecosystems and reduce wildfires in Spain's Galicia region.", "storyline_id": "s_env_fa1e481e", "storyline": "revival of native livestock in Galicia", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_49597bea33f7e6ba2f9b", "t_8e53a56beca58491c5a7", "t_860a6a69fdb1b92d5b2c"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "communities", "tolerance": null, "quote": "communities reintroduce native livestock to rebalance ecosystems and reduce wildfires", "quote_doc_id": "t_fa1e481eac362ca9325d", "settling_ids": ["t_fa1e481eac362ca9325d", "t_e7be1cc98963d24f915d", "t_af7f985b88a92697a9fe"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["communities", "Galicia", "Cachena"]}
{"id": "e_fa1e481eac36_q2", "domain": "Environment", "question": "Will the reintroduction of native livestock in Spain's Galicia region help reduce wildfires by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 2, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_fa1e481eac36", "event_date": "2026-07-23", "supporting_event": "Communities reintroduce native livestock to rebalance ecosystems and reduce wildfires in Spain's Galicia region.", "storyline_id": "s_env_fa1e481e", "storyline": "revival of native livestock in Galicia", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_49597bea33f7e6ba2f9b", "t_8e53a56beca58491c5a7", "t_860a6a69fdb1b92d5b2c"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "communities reintroduce native livestock to rebalance ecosystems and reduce wildfires", "quote_doc_id": "t_fa1e481eac362ca9325d", "settling_ids": ["t_fa1e481eac362ca9325d", "t_e7be1cc98963d24f915d", "t_af7f985b88a92697a9fe"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["communities", "Galicia", "Cachena"]}
{"id": "e_fa2c885f1567_q0", "domain": "Environment", "question": "Who will be reported as having died due to the floods in Assam by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "41 people", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 2, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_fa2c885f1567", "event_date": "2026-07-23", "supporting_event": "The Assam floods have killed 41 people as of July 23, 2026.", "storyline_id": "s_env_fa2c885f", "storyline": "2026 Assam flood crisis", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_1d543d48396d39bae8db", "t_0bbf7210c499acc9ca78", "t_ed67e0f756ae0af53e11"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "41 people", "tolerance": null, "quote": "As many as 41 people died due to floods in Assam, officials said on Thursday", "quote_doc_id": "t_fa2c885f1567d0d328ba", "settling_ids": ["t_fa2c885f1567d0d328ba", "t_94f55a72d4a90e902796", "t_4405de5c607928f6cff4", "t_f19f041b8cd01f252bb7"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Assam"]}
{"id": "e_fa2c885f1567_q1", "domain": "Environment", "question": "How many people will be reported as affected by the floods in Assam by 2026-07-28?", "options": ["over 4 lakh", "over 6.5 lakh", "over 7 lakh", "over 5 lakh"], "answer": "over 6.5 lakh", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 2, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_fa2c885f1567", "event_date": "2026-07-23", "supporting_event": "The Assam floods have killed 41 people as of July 23, 2026.", "storyline_id": "s_env_fa2c885f", "storyline": "2026 Assam flood crisis", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_1d543d48396d39bae8db", "t_0bbf7210c499acc9ca78", "t_ed67e0f756ae0af53e11"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "over 6.5 lakh", "tolerance": null, "quote": "over 6.50 lakh people reel under the deluge across 11 districts", "quote_doc_id": "t_fa2c885f1567d0d328ba", "settling_ids": ["t_fa2c885f1567d0d328ba", "t_94f55a72d4a90e902796", "t_4405de5c607928f6cff4", "t_f19f041b8cd01f252bb7"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Assam"]}
{"id": "e_fa2c885f1567_q2", "domain": "Environment", "question": "What will be the reported death toll from the Assam floods by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "41", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "people", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 2, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_fa2c885f1567", "event_date": "2026-07-23", "supporting_event": "The Assam floods have killed 41 people as of July 23, 2026.", "storyline_id": "s_env_fa2c885f", "storyline": "2026 Assam flood crisis", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_1d543d48396d39bae8db", "t_0bbf7210c499acc9ca78", "t_ed67e0f756ae0af53e11"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "41", "tolerance": 0.1, "quote": "the toll in this year's deluge to 41", "quote_doc_id": "t_fa2c885f1567d0d328ba", "settling_ids": ["t_fa2c885f1567d0d328ba", "t_94f55a72d4a90e902796", "t_4405de5c607928f6cff4", "t_f19f041b8cd01f252bb7"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Assam"]}
{"id": "e_fa75cfd6c4ac_q0", "domain": "Environment", "question": "How many buildings will lose power in Okinawa due to Typhoon Dolphin by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "14000", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "buildings", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 18, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_fa75cfd6c4ac", "event_date": "2026-08-08", "supporting_event": "Typhoon Dolphin hit Japan's southern island of Okinawa.", "storyline_id": "s_env_c51ea610", "storyline": "Typhoon Dolphin impact", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Geopolitics", "Law"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_92cca101b125250ece8e", "t_028b5f7ff3638c98b899", "t_4a900b42c430de670bf2"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "14000", "tolerance": null, "quote": "cutting power to 14,000 buildings", "quote_doc_id": "t_fa75cfd6c4acbe7f2059", "settling_ids": ["t_fa75cfd6c4acbe7f2059", "t_1470eb6463d0ae783e95", "t_07e8bdb3a1858fa4b663"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Typhoon Dolphin", "Okinawa"]}
{"id": "e_fa75cfd6c4ac_q1", "domain": "Environment", "question": "Which typhoon will hit Japan's southern island of Okinawa by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "Typhoon Dolphin", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 18, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_fa75cfd6c4ac", "event_date": "2026-08-08", "supporting_event": "Typhoon Dolphin hit Japan's southern island of Okinawa.", "storyline_id": "s_env_c51ea610", "storyline": "Typhoon Dolphin impact", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Geopolitics", "Law"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_92cca101b125250ece8e", "t_028b5f7ff3638c98b899", "t_4a900b42c430de670bf2"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "Typhoon Dolphin", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Typhoon Dolphin has hit Japan’s southern island of Okinawa", "quote_doc_id": "t_07e8bdb3a1858fa4b663", "settling_ids": ["t_fa75cfd6c4acbe7f2059", "t_1470eb6463d0ae783e95", "t_07e8bdb3a1858fa4b663"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Typhoon Dolphin", "Okinawa"]}
{"id": "e_011a488b5287_q0", "domain": "Business", "question": "Will iPower Inc. announce a reverse stock split by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 15, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_011a488b5287", "event_date": "2026-08-05", "supporting_event": "iPower Inc. announced a 1-for-9 reverse stock split of its issued and outstanding common stock.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_011a488b", "storyline": "iPower Inc. stock restructuring", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_597cf586722baac251ba", "t_0f6c76253154f814b11a", "d_2aacd186da9ac61e6d89", "t_87ba9311ce70c7aca699", "d_687fdd804e60e3c4f354"], "precursor_modalities": ["D", "T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "iPower, Inc. announced that it will effect a 1-for-9 reverse stock split of its issued and outstanding common stock.", "quote_doc_id": "t_9c5bb72d7a7eacde86f4", "settling_ids": ["t_9c5bb72d7a7eacde86f4", "t_badc7ad04b8d77c37367", "t_45630e27655db7119c32", "t_0b28823e6cee143fa328", "d_011a488b528768934cdf"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["iPower Inc."]}
{"id": "e_011a488b5287_q0_neg", "domain": "Business", "question": "Will iPower Inc. announce a reverse stock split by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "No", "answer_type": "perturbed_binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 15, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_011a488b5287", "event_date": "2026-08-05", "supporting_event": "iPower Inc. announced a 1-for-9 reverse stock split of its issued and outstanding common stock.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_011a488b", "storyline": "iPower Inc. stock restructuring", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_597cf586722baac251ba", "t_0f6c76253154f814b11a", "d_2aacd186da9ac61e6d89", "t_87ba9311ce70c7aca699", "d_687fdd804e60e3c4f354"], "precursor_modalities": ["D", "T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "perturbed_binary", "value": "No", "tolerance": null, "quote": "iPower, Inc. announced that it will effect a 1-for-9 reverse stock split of its issued and outstanding common stock.", "quote_doc_id": "t_9c5bb72d7a7eacde86f4", "settling_ids": ["t_9c5bb72d7a7eacde86f4", "t_badc7ad04b8d77c37367", "t_45630e27655db7119c32", "t_0b28823e6cee143fa328", "d_011a488b528768934cdf"], "derivation": "the event dated 2026-08-05 is after the shifted deadline 2026-08-04, so the claim is false at that deadline"}, "perturbation": {"field": "deadline", "original": "2026-08-11", "substituted": "2026-08-04", "v40_substituted": "2026-07-28"}, "paired_with": "e_011a488b5287_q0", "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["iPower Inc."]}
{"id": "e_011a488b5287_q1", "domain": "Business", "question": "On what date will iPower Inc. effect the reverse stock split by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "2026-08-07", "answer_type": "date", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 15, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_011a488b5287", "event_date": "2026-08-05", "supporting_event": "iPower Inc. announced a 1-for-9 reverse stock split of its issued and outstanding common stock.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_011a488b", "storyline": "iPower Inc. stock restructuring", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_597cf586722baac251ba", "t_0f6c76253154f814b11a", "d_2aacd186da9ac61e6d89", "t_87ba9311ce70c7aca699", "d_687fdd804e60e3c4f354"], "precursor_modalities": ["D", "T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "date", "value": "2026-08-07", "tolerance": 1, "quote": "The reverse stock split will become effective at 12:01 a.m. Eastern Time on August 7, 2026.", "quote_doc_id": "t_9c5bb72d7a7eacde86f4", "settling_ids": ["t_9c5bb72d7a7eacde86f4", "t_badc7ad04b8d77c37367", "t_45630e27655db7119c32", "t_0b28823e6cee143fa328", "d_011a488b528768934cdf"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["iPower Inc."]}
{"id": "e_0122457aa4ed_q0", "domain": "Business", "question": "What will be the amount in USD that oil prices fall for Brent futures by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "1.29", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "USD", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 9, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_0122457aa4ed", "event_date": "2026-07-30", "supporting_event": "Oil prices fell $1.29 for Brent futures on July 30, 2026.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_0122457a", "storyline": "oil market fluctuations", "linked_domains": ["Geopolitics", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_a3ea80a3e717e9fe9ce4", "t_4d8328013e1cec1e0541", "t_d38e37027901f845f431", "t_5488c96af543ed2e9aea", "t_53c718d9f2b6b6fb27a4"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "1.29", "tolerance": 0.05, "quote": "Brent futures fell $1.29, or 1.42%, to $89.45 a barrel as of 0110 GMT.", "quote_doc_id": "t_0122457aa4ed652af792", "settling_ids": ["t_0122457aa4ed652af792", "t_d3b520e899e26ec01385", "t_dfc425ce26696b445f1d", "t_c3a59f3b35b828b67841"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Brent futures"]}
{"id": "e_028c16fb5385_i0", "domain": "Business", "question": "What will the DOW index value be by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "40K", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 11, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_028c16fb5385", "event_date": "2026-08-01", "supporting_event": "Amazon shares surged 13% in pre-market trading following its better-than-expected quarterly results.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_028c16fb", "storyline": "Q2 2026 earnings reports", "linked_domains": ["Technology"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_5c1567aa337911442ab6", "t_c15f7cd95c9cb1a3bcd9"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "40K", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_1fc979c6dd506f249681_0", "settling_ids": ["t_1fc979c6dd506f249681", "t_028c16fb53852702aaba", "t_bf28460efe92d21d3d87", "t_d162c74b77b90bbed832"], "visible_detail": "DOW 40K"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Amazon"]}
{"id": "e_028c16fb5385_q0", "domain": "Business", "question": "What percentage will Amazon's shares surge by following its quarterly results by 2026-08-04?", "options": ["5%", "13%", "10%", "15%"], "answer": "13%", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": "%", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 11, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_028c16fb5385", "event_date": "2026-08-01", "supporting_event": "Amazon shares surged 13% in pre-market trading following its better-than-expected quarterly results.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_028c16fb", "storyline": "Q2 2026 earnings reports", "linked_domains": ["Technology"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_5c1567aa337911442ab6", "t_c15f7cd95c9cb1a3bcd9"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "13%", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Following its better-than-expected quarterly results, Amazon shares surged 13% in pre-market trading.", "quote_doc_id": "t_1fc979c6dd506f249681", "settling_ids": ["t_028c16fb53852702aaba", "t_1fc979c6dd506f249681", "t_bf28460efe92d21d3d87", "t_d162c74b77b90bbed832"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Amazon"]}
{"id": "e_031b9cc0898c_i0", "domain": "Business", "question": "What was the lowest stock price value displayed by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "15.231", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 16, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_031b9cc0898c", "event_date": "2026-08-06", "supporting_event": "U.S. stocks finished the trading session lower on August 6.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_031b9cc0", "storyline": "U.S. stock market performance", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_7710255a4dc83c5bbe93", "t_112325dee7fec6144ded", "t_807424047b3a17324bdc", "t_bd954e7c01721bba43bc", "t_eb7ba772b67c1c7b6c4a"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "15.231", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_031b9cc0898c5dca08c0_0", "settling_ids": ["t_031b9cc0898c5dca08c0", "t_43583fc564fc2007dd6d", "t_7ee56247dbd8f639e4ba", "t_4cb2f807d6d58207bdb7"], "visible_detail": "stock price values on a market board"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["U.S. stocks"]}
{"id": "e_031b9cc0898c_q0", "domain": "Business", "question": "How many points will the Dow Jones Industrial Average fall by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "464.02", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "points", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 16, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_031b9cc0898c", "event_date": "2026-08-06", "supporting_event": "U.S. stocks finished the trading session lower on August 6.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_031b9cc0", "storyline": "U.S. stock market performance", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_7710255a4dc83c5bbe93", "t_112325dee7fec6144ded", "t_807424047b3a17324bdc", "t_bd954e7c01721bba43bc", "t_eb7ba772b67c1c7b6c4a"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "464.02", "tolerance": 0.01, "quote": "The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 464.02 points", "quote_doc_id": "t_43583fc564fc2007dd6d", "settling_ids": ["t_031b9cc0898c5dca08c0", "t_43583fc564fc2007dd6d", "t_7ee56247dbd8f639e4ba", "t_4cb2f807d6d58207bdb7"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["U.S. stocks"]}
{"id": "e_031ec5d1b9a7_q0", "domain": "Business", "question": "Who will be the closing index value of the Nifty 50 by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "24,570.65", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": "points", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 17, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_031ec5d1b9a7", "event_date": "2026-08-07", "supporting_event": "Nifty 50 closed at 24,570.65 on August 7, 2026.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_031ec5d1", "storyline": "Indian stock market performance", "linked_domains": ["Environment", "Geopolitics", "Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_6df6c55ead8c4b417540", "t_0802aef689a3c8ce9fdf"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "24,570.65", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Nifty 50 ended the session at 24,570.65", "quote_doc_id": "t_031ec5d1b9a7de4d298d", "settling_ids": ["t_031ec5d1b9a7de4d298d", "t_88a5c7c284d73827ba76"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Nifty 50"]}
{"id": "e_0418c4df4978_i0", "domain": "Business", "question": "What was the stock price of Palantir Technologies by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "30% increase", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 14, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_0418c4df4978", "event_date": "2026-08-04", "supporting_event": "Palantir Technologies surged nearly 30% on August 4, 2026.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_0418c4df", "storyline": "2026 Q2 earnings reports", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_443df8041d7afb116429", "t_42795f01e5bf4d9eb72f", "t_936a347afa36e1f45639", "t_94942e22c4c7a9e7a034"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "30% increase", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_0418c4df497812041713_0", "settling_ids": ["t_0418c4df497812041713", "t_76713d9e0b7067e62e0c", "t_45e1da71165d727f1b9f", "t_1a11a2e54080505296fe"], "visible_detail": "market board showing stock prices"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Palantir Technologies"]}
{"id": "e_05fb1ab798ed_q0", "domain": "Business", "question": "What new strategy will Apral Jack likely adopt for grocery shopping by 2026-07-28?", "options": ["scouting an app for deals", "shopping at convenience stores", "buying more organic products", "ignoring weekly sales"], "answer": "scouting an app for deals", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 4, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_05fb1ab798ed", "event_date": "2026-07-25", "supporting_event": "Apral Jack rewrites her grocery shopping habits due to rising prices.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_05fb1ab7", "storyline": "grocery shopping behavior changes", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_65fc3b966aa18447dc38", "t_681ffd98f0f73a185bfb", "t_11e5f897334ed1f19c7e"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "scouting an app for deals", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Jack, 50, scouts an app for deals at her local supermarket before she buys groceries.", "quote_doc_id": "t_52cb647cd9df5ed7bea8", "settling_ids": ["t_05fb1ab798ed83a51f55", "t_52cb647cd9df5ed7bea8"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Apral Jack", "Stop & Shop", "Lexington", "Massachusetts"]}
{"id": "e_070f436da1aa_q0", "domain": "Business", "question": "What percentage will CXMT's shares surge in their first day of trading by 2026-07-28?", "options": ["466%", "150%", "300%", "200%"], "answer": "466%", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": "%", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 6, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_070f436da1aa", "event_date": "2026-07-27", "supporting_event": "CXMT's shares surged 466% in their first day of trading.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_070f436d", "storyline": "CXMT IPO", "linked_domains": ["Technology"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_ea19acbe1e8e733a802a", "t_4793dc0b706799db5019"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "466%", "tolerance": null, "quote": "CXMT's shares surged 466% in their first day of trading.", "quote_doc_id": "t_070f436da1aa122bb17f", "settling_ids": ["t_070f436da1aa122bb17f", "t_ccf706b6b9acb6bfb42c", "t_80e7f31b11c5004a9b44", "t_4f9e02c2f9285b60e18f"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["CXMT", "ChangXin Memory Technologies"]}
{"id": "e_070f436da1aa_q1", "domain": "Business", "question": "What will be the estimated market capitalization of CXMT in yuan by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "3.3 trillion", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "trillion yuan", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 6, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_070f436da1aa", "event_date": "2026-07-27", "supporting_event": "CXMT's shares surged 466% in their first day of trading.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_070f436d", "storyline": "CXMT IPO", "linked_domains": ["Technology"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_ea19acbe1e8e733a802a", "t_4793dc0b706799db5019"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "3.3 trillion", "tolerance": 0.1, "quote": "the most valuable one listed on a mainland Chinese exchange, with an estimated market capitalization of about 3.3 trillion yuan", "quote_doc_id": "t_070f436da1aa122bb17f", "settling_ids": ["t_070f436da1aa122bb17f", "t_ccf706b6b9acb6bfb42c", "t_80e7f31b11c5004a9b44", "t_4f9e02c2f9285b60e18f"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["CXMT", "ChangXin Memory Technologies"]}
{"id": "e_0a16fd088e3f_q2", "domain": "Business", "question": "Which retailer will offer the MacBook Neo at a discounted price by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "Vijay Sales", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 7, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_0a16fd088e3f", "event_date": "2026-07-28", "supporting_event": "Apple's MacBook Neo price drops by Rs 12,410 due to a promotional offer.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_0a16fd08", "storyline": "MacBook pricing promotions in India", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_1ce07be214910150024f", "t_b2e54842257ca207aa89", "t_66cf06f6df1c60d91979", "t_f7064c6e574104261c30"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "Vijay Sales", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Vijay Sales has rolled out a deal that slashes the price—and not by a little.", "quote_doc_id": "t_e2f0bcda03f4df98f437", "settling_ids": ["t_0a16fd088e3f581f8b13", "t_e2f0bcda03f4df98f437", "t_7e05d0755793a617f746", "t_5be49e55d67445bb8cf4"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Apple", "MacBook Neo"]}
{"id": "e_0d4e83743a30_i0", "domain": "Business", "question": "What is the value of the yen that Japan intervened to buy by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "1000", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 11, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_0d4e83743a30", "event_date": "2026-08-01", "supporting_event": "Japan confirmed on Monday it had carried out yen-buying intervention on Friday with the U.S. Treasury Department.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_0d4e8374", "storyline": "U.S.-Japanese currency intervention", "linked_domains": ["Geopolitics", "Law", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_9ed1e7a74235d7d2a56f", "t_3027b5666082f58a5270", "t_d9d9b3a946c53f3c335c", "t_0e857fb5f534ef00ef98"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "1000", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_0d4e83743a30eb1e77d8_0", "settling_ids": ["t_0d4e83743a30eb1e77d8", "t_22717dd145c46bb5e7b1"], "visible_detail": "the 1000 yen note"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["U.S. Treasury Department", "Japan"]}
{"id": "e_0dba408b2bc8_q0", "domain": "Business", "question": "Will Mitsubishi Electric announce plans to build facilities for the Global Combat Air Programme by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 16, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_0dba408b2bc8", "event_date": "2026-08-06", "supporting_event": "Mitsubishi Electric plans to build three facilities to produce electronic systems for the advanced fighter.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_0dba408b", "storyline": "Global Combat Air Programme (GCAP)", "linked_domains": ["Geopolitics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_6283a46ebaf2806c4a16", "t_460406bc7cf5a179c514", "t_f0d088e36fad6f5736ad"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Mitsubishi Electric plans to build three facilities to produce electronic systems for the advanced fighter being developed by Japan, Britain and Italy", "quote_doc_id": "t_0dba408b2bc8b3529a13", "settling_ids": ["t_0dba408b2bc8b3529a13", "t_a2c5fe2d5905987c384c"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Mitsubishi Electric", "Japan", "Britain", "Italy"]}
{"id": "e_0dba408b2bc8_q0_neg", "domain": "Business", "question": "Will Mitsubishi Electric announce plans to build facilities for the Global Combat Air Programme by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "No", "answer_type": "perturbed_binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 16, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_0dba408b2bc8", "event_date": "2026-08-06", "supporting_event": "Mitsubishi Electric plans to build three facilities to produce electronic systems for the advanced fighter.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_0dba408b", "storyline": "Global Combat Air Programme (GCAP)", "linked_domains": ["Geopolitics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_6283a46ebaf2806c4a16", "t_460406bc7cf5a179c514", "t_f0d088e36fad6f5736ad"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "perturbed_binary", "value": "No", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Mitsubishi Electric plans to build three facilities to produce electronic systems for the advanced fighter being developed by Japan, Britain and Italy", "quote_doc_id": "t_0dba408b2bc8b3529a13", "settling_ids": ["t_0dba408b2bc8b3529a13", "t_a2c5fe2d5905987c384c"], "derivation": "the event dated 2026-08-06 is after the shifted deadline 2026-08-04, so the claim is false at that deadline"}, "perturbation": {"field": "deadline", "original": "2026-08-11", "substituted": "2026-08-04", "v40_substituted": "2026-07-29"}, "paired_with": "e_0dba408b2bc8_q0", "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Mitsubishi Electric", "Japan", "Britain", "Italy"]}
{"id": "e_0dba408b2bc8_q2", "domain": "Business", "question": "How many facilities will Mitsubishi Electric plan to build for the Global Combat Air Programme by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "3", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 16, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_0dba408b2bc8", "event_date": "2026-08-06", "supporting_event": "Mitsubishi Electric plans to build three facilities to produce electronic systems for the advanced fighter.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_0dba408b", "storyline": "Global Combat Air Programme (GCAP)", "linked_domains": ["Geopolitics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_6283a46ebaf2806c4a16", "t_460406bc7cf5a179c514", "t_f0d088e36fad6f5736ad"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "3", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Mitsubishi Electric plans to build three facilities to produce electronic systems for the advanced fighter", "quote_doc_id": "t_0dba408b2bc8b3529a13", "settling_ids": ["t_0dba408b2bc8b3529a13", "t_a2c5fe2d5905987c384c"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Mitsubishi Electric", "Japan", "Britain", "Italy"]}
{"id": "e_0e7e16be2e38_i0", "domain": "Business", "question": "What will the USD/KRW exchange rate be by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "1,493.10", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 9, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_0e7e16be2e38", "event_date": "2026-07-30", "supporting_event": "Japanese and South Korean authorities stepped in to buy their currencies in the open market.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_0e7e16be", "storyline": "Japan-South Korea currency intervention", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_2fcb930770f8753ce58a", "t_729195267f792af5ed8a", "t_f6dc1fa1440b89cdb21e", "t_7ff4f74874339a539b9e"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "1,493.10", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_0e7e16be2e38b681ac0b_0", "settling_ids": ["t_0e7e16be2e38b681ac0b", "t_0ab6b04368c729e2d1e9"], "visible_detail": "USD/KRW exchange rate of 1,493.10"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Japanese authorities", "South Korean authorities"]}
{"id": "e_0e7e16be2e38_q0", "domain": "Business", "question": "How many percent will the South Korean won firm by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "2", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "percent", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 9, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_0e7e16be2e38", "event_date": "2026-07-30", "supporting_event": "Japanese and South Korean authorities stepped in to buy their currencies in the open market.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_0e7e16be", "storyline": "Japan-South Korea currency intervention", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_2fcb930770f8753ce58a", "t_729195267f792af5ed8a", "t_f6dc1fa1440b89cdb21e", "t_7ff4f74874339a539b9e"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "2", "tolerance": 0.1, "quote": "the South Korean won firmed 2 per cent to its highest in nine months.", "quote_doc_id": "t_0e7e16be2e38b681ac0b", "settling_ids": ["t_0e7e16be2e38b681ac0b", "t_0ab6b04368c729e2d1e9"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Japanese authorities", "South Korean authorities"]}
{"id": "e_0e7e16be2e38_q1", "domain": "Business", "question": "Will Japanese and South Korean authorities conduct a coordinated market intervention by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 9, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_0e7e16be2e38", "event_date": "2026-07-30", "supporting_event": "Japanese and South Korean authorities stepped in to buy their currencies in the open market.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_0e7e16be", "storyline": "Japan-South Korea currency intervention", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_2fcb930770f8753ce58a", "t_729195267f792af5ed8a", "t_f6dc1fa1440b89cdb21e", "t_7ff4f74874339a539b9e"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "sources described was a rare and an unprecedented coordinated market intervention", "quote_doc_id": "t_0e7e16be2e38b681ac0b", "settling_ids": ["t_0e7e16be2e38b681ac0b", "t_0ab6b04368c729e2d1e9"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Japanese authorities", "South Korean authorities"]}
{"id": "e_0e7e16be2e38_q1_neg", "domain": "Business", "question": "Will Japanese and South Korean authorities conduct a coordinated market intervention by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "No", "answer_type": "perturbed_binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 9, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_0e7e16be2e38", "event_date": "2026-07-30", "supporting_event": "Japanese and South Korean authorities stepped in to buy their currencies in the open market.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_0e7e16be", "storyline": "Japan-South Korea currency intervention", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_2fcb930770f8753ce58a", "t_729195267f792af5ed8a", "t_f6dc1fa1440b89cdb21e", "t_7ff4f74874339a539b9e"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "perturbed_binary", "value": "No", "tolerance": null, "quote": "sources described was a rare and an unprecedented coordinated market intervention", "quote_doc_id": "t_0e7e16be2e38b681ac0b", "settling_ids": ["t_0e7e16be2e38b681ac0b", "t_0ab6b04368c729e2d1e9"], "derivation": "the event dated 2026-07-30 is after the shifted deadline 2026-07-28, so the claim is false at that deadline"}, "perturbation": {"field": "deadline", "original": "2026-08-04", "substituted": "2026-07-28", "v40_substituted": "2026-07-25"}, "paired_with": "e_0e7e16be2e38_q1", "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Japanese authorities", "South Korean authorities"]}
{"id": "e_0ee74f007b54_q0", "domain": "Business", "question": "Will CXMT announce plans for a second memory-chip plant in Beijing by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 13, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_0ee74f007b54", "event_date": "2026-08-03", "supporting_event": "CXMT plans a second memory-chip plant in Beijing.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_0ee74f00", "storyline": "CXMT expansion plans", "linked_domains": ["Environment", "Geopolitics", "Law", "Technology"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_ea19acbe1e8e733a802a", "t_4793dc0b706799db5019"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "CXMT plans second plant in Beijing", "quote_doc_id": "t_0ee74f007b544746ca6f", "settling_ids": ["t_0ee74f007b544746ca6f", "t_ca6628a3eb426abe6fd5", "t_4570ed3a96bcf541f828", "t_7ef27d0a15d012cc9209"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["CXMT", "Beijing"]}
{"id": "e_0ee74f007b54_q0_neg", "domain": "Business", "question": "Will CXMT announce plans for a second memory-chip plant in Beijing by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "No", "answer_type": "perturbed_binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 13, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_0ee74f007b54", "event_date": "2026-08-03", "supporting_event": "CXMT plans a second memory-chip plant in Beijing.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_0ee74f00", "storyline": "CXMT expansion plans", "linked_domains": ["Environment", "Geopolitics", "Law", "Technology"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_ea19acbe1e8e733a802a", "t_4793dc0b706799db5019"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "perturbed_binary", "value": "No", "tolerance": null, "quote": "CXMT plans second plant in Beijing", "quote_doc_id": "t_0ee74f007b544746ca6f", "settling_ids": ["t_0ee74f007b544746ca6f", "t_ca6628a3eb426abe6fd5", "t_4570ed3a96bcf541f828", "t_7ef27d0a15d012cc9209"], "derivation": "the event dated 2026-08-03 is after the shifted deadline 2026-07-28, so the claim is false at that deadline"}, "perturbation": {"field": "deadline", "original": "2026-08-04", "substituted": "2026-07-28", "v40_substituted": "2026-07-27"}, "paired_with": "e_0ee74f007b54_q0", "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["CXMT", "Beijing"]}
{"id": "e_0ee74f007b54_q2", "domain": "Business", "question": "How many wafers per month will CXMT's new Beijing plant potentially increase its capacity to by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "600000", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "wafers", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 13, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_0ee74f007b54", "event_date": "2026-08-03", "supporting_event": "CXMT plans a second memory-chip plant in Beijing.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_0ee74f00", "storyline": "CXMT expansion plans", "linked_domains": ["Environment", "Geopolitics", "Law", "Technology"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_ea19acbe1e8e733a802a", "t_4793dc0b706799db5019"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "600000", "tolerance": 0, "quote": "could double its capacity to more than 600,000 wafers per month", "quote_doc_id": "t_0ee74f007b544746ca6f", "settling_ids": ["t_0ee74f007b544746ca6f", "t_ca6628a3eb426abe6fd5", "t_4570ed3a96bcf541f828", "t_7ef27d0a15d012cc9209"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["CXMT", "Beijing"]}
{"id": "e_0ef91049cb9d_q1", "domain": "Business", "question": "Which interest rate will HDFC Bank offer for Foreign Currency Non-Resident (Bank) fixed deposits effective from August 2026?", "options": ["7.00%", "5.75%", "6.50%", "6.25%"], "answer": "6.25%", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 11, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_0ef91049cb9d", "event_date": "2026-08-01", "supporting_event": "HDFC Bank hiked its Foreign Currency Non-Resident (Bank) interest rates for fixed deposits.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_0ef91049", "storyline": "FCNR deposit rate adjustments August 2026", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_eeba8f2efd1eb0684267", "t_2824b0098882e3c3f770"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "6.25%", "tolerance": null, "quote": "HDFC Bank is giving 6.25% interest rate on FCNR (B) deposits for tenures ranging from 3 years to less than 4 years, 4 years to less than 5 years, and 5 years only.", "quote_doc_id": "t_0ef91049cb9d17cf05c0", "settling_ids": ["t_0ef91049cb9d17cf05c0", "t_0a35e313f8d3a4949438", "t_b5e379f6b4e2262687b7"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["HDFC Bank", "ICICI Bank"]}
{"id": "e_0f270ce94484_q0", "domain": "Business", "question": "Will South Korea's Kospi index experience a drop of 30% or more from its 22 June 2026 close by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 9, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_0f270ce94484", "event_date": "2026-07-30", "supporting_event": "South Korea's Kospi index dropped 38.5% from its 22 June 2026 close.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_0f270ce9", "storyline": "South Korean chip market performance", "linked_domains": ["Environment", "Geopolitics", "Politics", "Technology"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_405ff9e8a50d0e6afb07", "t_57cb872b5ee4bd3a87ae", "t_ac5ad01f40951a6ff634", "t_5eac9347b537c1bef30d"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the Kospi index has dropped sharply, falling 38.5% from its 22 June 2026 close.", "quote_doc_id": "t_4751b9ea7aa73402aefe", "settling_ids": ["t_0f270ce94484a9aeea1c", "t_4751b9ea7aa73402aefe"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["South Korea", "Kospi index"]}
{"id": "e_0f270ce94484_q0_neg", "domain": "Business", "question": "Will South Korea's Kospi index experience a drop of 30% or more from its 22 June 2026 close by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "No", "answer_type": "perturbed_binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 9, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_0f270ce94484", "event_date": "2026-07-30", "supporting_event": "South Korea's Kospi index dropped 38.5% from its 22 June 2026 close.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_0f270ce9", "storyline": "South Korean chip market performance", "linked_domains": ["Environment", "Geopolitics", "Politics", "Technology"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_405ff9e8a50d0e6afb07", "t_57cb872b5ee4bd3a87ae", "t_ac5ad01f40951a6ff634", "t_5eac9347b537c1bef30d"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "perturbed_binary", "value": "No", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the Kospi index has dropped sharply, falling 38.5% from its 22 June 2026 close.", "quote_doc_id": "t_4751b9ea7aa73402aefe", "settling_ids": ["t_0f270ce94484a9aeea1c", "t_4751b9ea7aa73402aefe"], "derivation": "the event dated 2026-07-30 is after the shifted deadline 2026-07-28, so the claim is false at that deadline"}, "perturbation": {"field": "deadline", "original": "2026-08-04", "substituted": "2026-07-28", "v40_substituted": "2026-07-25"}, "paired_with": "e_0f270ce94484_q0", "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["South Korea", "Kospi index"]}
{"id": "e_0f270ce94484_q2", "domain": "Business", "question": "How much will South Korea's Kospi index drop from its 22 June 2026 close by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "38.5", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "%", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 9, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_0f270ce94484", "event_date": "2026-07-30", "supporting_event": "South Korea's Kospi index dropped 38.5% from its 22 June 2026 close.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_0f270ce9", "storyline": "South Korean chip market performance", "linked_domains": ["Environment", "Geopolitics", "Politics", "Technology"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_405ff9e8a50d0e6afb07", "t_57cb872b5ee4bd3a87ae", "t_ac5ad01f40951a6ff634", "t_5eac9347b537c1bef30d"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "38.5", "tolerance": 0.05, "quote": "the Kospi index has dropped sharply, falling 38.5% from its 22 June 2026 close.", "quote_doc_id": "t_4751b9ea7aa73402aefe", "settling_ids": ["t_0f270ce94484a9aeea1c", "t_4751b9ea7aa73402aefe"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["South Korea", "Kospi index"]}
{"id": "e_107f3acb1b3e_q0", "domain": "Business", "question": "Who will be the co-founder of Orbit Markets commenting on Bitcoin's price by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "Caroline Mauron", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 7, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_107f3acb1b3e", "event_date": "2026-07-28", "supporting_event": "Bitcoin declined to $63,414 in early Asia trading on July 28.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_107f3acb", "storyline": "Bitcoin market response to Fed rate decision", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_876eebaab64bc260dc8d", "t_b9e9fc42f614cc0c094f", "t_c7268af1ee552efd7ca3", "t_77688a0c41e92eec445b", "t_4cdf9037af342e8b4f1f"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "Caroline Mauron", "tolerance": null, "quote": "“Bitcoin is mainly getting hit by the rising probability of a Fed hike, as well as macro concerns about AI-related credit risks,” said Caroline Mauron, co-founder Orbit Markets.", "quote_doc_id": "t_107f3acb1b3e5dec1c0e", "settling_ids": ["t_107f3acb1b3e5dec1c0e", "t_e656fc991bfabffc6933", "d_32aea92e1f59b636b98c"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Bitcoin", "Ether", "Citadel Securities", "Caroline Mauron"]}
{"id": "e_132c2bbb496a_q0", "domain": "Business", "question": "Which company is reportedly planning to raise GPU prices by 20% to 30% by 2026-08-04?", "options": ["MSI", "Nvidia", "AMD", "Intel"], "answer": "Nvidia", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 10, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_132c2bbb496a", "event_date": "2026-07-31", "supporting_event": "Nvidia is reportedly planning to raise GPU prices by another 20% to 30%.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_132c2bbb", "storyline": "GPU price adjustments", "linked_domains": ["Technology"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_a1b0c5e071c397c3a173", "t_4c922812e33acbc14162", "t_d117ea603550492100da"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "Nvidia", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Nvidia is reportedly planning to raise GPU prices by another 20% to 30%.", "quote_doc_id": "t_5fc606abe0615d28837e", "settling_ids": ["t_132c2bbb496a8576bbaf", "t_cb766a507bc88c24bc88", "t_5fc606abe0615d28837e", "t_552d0d990e1c3d407b36", "d_789ade9c827545b3c4bd", "a_8df40e3e2df831a56d41"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Nvidia"]}
{"id": "e_170b28275496_q0", "domain": "Business", "question": "Who will be the largest concentration of tankers laden with Iranian oil off Malaysia by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "the Singapore Strait", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 7, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_170b28275496", "event_date": "2026-07-28", "supporting_event": "Iranian crude at sea in Asia swelled to 24.4 million barrels.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_170b2827", "storyline": "Iranian oil market dynamics", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_89af559214fc429de70e", "t_8d361fc439149e0b166c", "t_0b53efced36988af0cad"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "the Singapore Strait", "tolerance": null, "quote": "The largest concentration of tankers laden with Iranian oil is near the Singapore Strait", "quote_doc_id": "t_170b282754964a7c1458", "settling_ids": ["t_170b282754964a7c1458", "t_b7a183ae746a416d1a51"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Iranian crude", "China", "US"]}
{"id": "e_173932360301_q0", "domain": "Business", "question": "How many billion dollars will India mobilize in foreign capital inflows by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "40.8", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "billion dollars", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 15, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_173932360301", "event_date": "2026-08-05", "supporting_event": "Sanjay Malhotra stated that foreign capital inflows are improving India's balance of payments outlook.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_17393236", "storyline": "RBI Monetary Policy Meeting August 2026", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_0c5bc6f6ad57d1293c84", "t_d433836b310a852aceea"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "40.8", "tolerance": 0.1, "quote": "In just 53 days, the country mobilized $40.8 billion", "quote_doc_id": "t_1739323603011aeddf9b", "settling_ids": ["t_1739323603011aeddf9b", "t_e81cf4a8d1d030c4de95"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Sanjay Malhotra", "Reserve Bank of India"]}
{"id": "e_173932360301_q1", "domain": "Business", "question": "Who will state that foreign capital inflows are improving India's balance of payments outlook by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "Sanjay Malhotra", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 15, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_173932360301", "event_date": "2026-08-05", "supporting_event": "Sanjay Malhotra stated that foreign capital inflows are improving India's balance of payments outlook.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_17393236", "storyline": "RBI Monetary Policy Meeting August 2026", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_0c5bc6f6ad57d1293c84", "t_d433836b310a852aceea"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "Sanjay Malhotra", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Reserve Bank of India (RBI) governor Sanjay Malhotra said on Wednesday that the country’s balance of payments (BoP) is expected to register a healthy surplus", "quote_doc_id": "t_1739323603011aeddf9b", "settling_ids": ["t_1739323603011aeddf9b", "t_e81cf4a8d1d030c4de95"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Sanjay Malhotra", "Reserve Bank of India"]}
{"id": "e_183d20f035a5_q0", "domain": "Business", "question": "What will the Bank of Japan signal regarding interest rates by 2026-08-04?", "options": ["further rate hikes", "a rate cut", "a decrease in rates", "no change in rates"], "answer": "further rate hikes", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 10, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_183d20f035a5", "event_date": "2026-07-31", "supporting_event": "The Bank of Japan warned that underlying inflation could exceed its 2% target.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_183d20f0", "storyline": "Bank of Japan monetary policy assessment", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_a9cf1fa7976d64b3b312", "t_a26268b4cb9aa8811386", "t_b27f6522279fc3b8ef91", "t_835419eaac5c8d879f12"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "further rate hikes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "signalling further rate hikes in the wake of the government’s yen-buying intervention", "quote_doc_id": "t_183d20f035a5ebb9c138", "settling_ids": ["t_183d20f035a5ebb9c138", "t_d3ea4ade8a98636be9ae", "t_35faf84266c593e4153c"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Bank of Japan"]}
{"id": "e_194cef74eba7_q2", "domain": "Business", "question": "Who will dismiss claims about Nothing exiting 12 markets by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "Akis Evangelidis", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 4, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_194cef74eba7", "event_date": "2026-07-25", "supporting_event": "Nothing dismissed claims that the company plans to exit 12 markets.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_194cef74", "storyline": "Nothing restructuring plans", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_196cb5b9837424ce6c83", "t_8c90b948c6216fabbc7a", "t_71e5dc006f2cf8807f16", "t_5babce206ed2755b7bba"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "Akis Evangelidis", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Akis Evangelidis, the co-founder of Nothing, wrote in a post on X, 'FAKE NEWS… We are not shutting down any markets.'", "quote_doc_id": "t_194cef74eba76279d539", "settling_ids": ["t_194cef74eba76279d539", "t_b3533389669be5c86cc8", "d_a865391e1c087d68907f"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Nothing", "Akis Evangelidis"]}
{"id": "e_19f38c5f59be_i0", "domain": "Business", "question": "What will the number of Americans applying for unemployment benefits be by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "197000", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 4, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_19f38c5f59be", "event_date": "2026-07-25", "supporting_event": "The number of Americans applying for unemployment benefits rose to 197,000 in the week ending July 25.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_19f38c5f", "storyline": "US jobless benefits filings", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_1b6beade0a010707423a", "t_c9c522233d3627bc688b", "t_9557856bd13b8e1f6fc3", "t_1ddb339237084baa407e", "t_9f24b9e19ccbcc04a10c", "t_7fadf4461fdf1415e859"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "197000", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_168bb7f421ff321ff9b0_0", "settling_ids": ["t_168bb7f421ff321ff9b0", "t_19f38c5f59be7ca57cc3", "t_c38ad398eea569cf5581", "t_e88919d733af7a74e564", "t_71645055b7594b12b339"], "visible_detail": "the number of unemployment applications filed"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Labor Department"]}
{"id": "e_1f5632d310de_q0", "domain": "Business", "question": "What will be the total value of the AI data center lease agreement signed by Bitdeer Technologies Group if the optional extension is exercised, by 2026-08-04?", "options": ["$4.7 billion", "$6 billion", "$10 billion", "$8 billion"], "answer": "$8 billion", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 14, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_1f5632d310de", "event_date": "2026-08-04", "supporting_event": "Bitdeer Technologies Group signed a $4.7 billion AI data center lease agreement.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_1f5632d3", "storyline": "Bitdeer AI infrastructure expansion", "linked_domains": ["Technology"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["d_3ac58cc12e0e9dff1f6f", "t_c8a3111da09e7e365f05", "t_7032618d0ff40d91bb81", "t_7baea7edb7576f46364e", "t_d8a625193c23febf89fb"], "precursor_modalities": ["D", "T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "$8 billion", "tolerance": null, "quote": "An optional eight-year extension would increase the total value to about $8 billion over 24 years.", "quote_doc_id": "t_1f5632d310de57737177", "settling_ids": ["t_1f5632d310de57737177", "t_da221afaf60028f840d2", "t_1247468708df09d370e9", "t_8affcb49079b59225b07"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Bitdeer Technologies Group", "Volta Tydal AS", "Nvidia", "Dell Technologies"]}
{"id": "e_1f5632d310de_q1", "domain": "Business", "question": "How many megawatts of IT capacity will Bitdeer lease under the AI data center agreement, by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "121", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "megawatts", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 14, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_1f5632d310de", "event_date": "2026-08-04", "supporting_event": "Bitdeer Technologies Group signed a $4.7 billion AI data center lease agreement.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_1f5632d3", "storyline": "Bitdeer AI infrastructure expansion", "linked_domains": ["Technology"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["d_3ac58cc12e0e9dff1f6f", "t_c8a3111da09e7e365f05", "t_7032618d0ff40d91bb81", "t_7baea7edb7576f46364e", "t_d8a625193c23febf89fb"], "precursor_modalities": ["D", "T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "121", "tolerance": 0.1, "quote": "Bitdeer will lease 121 IT megawatts, supported by 133 gross megawatts, to Volta.", "quote_doc_id": "t_da221afaf60028f840d2", "settling_ids": ["t_1f5632d310de57737177", "t_da221afaf60028f840d2", "t_1247468708df09d370e9", "t_8affcb49079b59225b07"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Bitdeer Technologies Group", "Volta Tydal AS", "Nvidia", "Dell Technologies"]}
{"id": "e_2133fd7156cc_q0", "domain": "Business", "question": "On what date will the share allotment for Manipal Health Enterprises' IPO be finalized, by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "August 3, 2026", "answer_type": "date", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 8, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_2133fd7156cc", "event_date": "2026-07-29", "supporting_event": "Manipal Health Enterprises launched India's largest healthcare IPO aiming to raise ₹9,275 crore.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_2133fd71", "storyline": "Manipal Health Enterprises IPO", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_33c035fb395050a89e3e", "t_9b850b1d92ccf5f74413"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "date", "value": "August 3, 2026", "tolerance": 1, "quote": "The allotment of shares for the IPO is likely to be finalized by August 3", "quote_doc_id": "t_2133fd7156cc91d61dbf", "settling_ids": ["t_2133fd7156cc91d61dbf", "t_837ba1e7f24759454272", "t_221dde66bf62362b7a3d", "t_383dd6c57cdf295668c8"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Manipal Health Enterprises", "Manipal Hospitals"]}
{"id": "e_215c693271c3_i0", "domain": "Business", "question": "What will the rate of E20 fuel be by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "104.20", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 15, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_215c693271c3", "event_date": "2026-08-05", "supporting_event": "The Society of Indian Automobile Manufacturers withdrew a letter raising concerns over E20 fuel quality.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_215c6932", "storyline": "E20 fuel quality review", "linked_domains": ["Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_3f8c91db4e78acbd534c", "t_2e10f32efdd5c708956b", "t_3fb0b58526a763855459", "t_d438936e9ac9a84fd896", "t_ebf354c30a45be459975"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "104.20", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_215c693271c3ba7be48a_0", "settling_ids": ["t_215c693271c3ba7be48a", "t_f1243c04e7e6d9bfa3d3", "t_a17ac4cf6cb73ecd1ff4", "t_451aa7f70c59b2b9d8fb", "t_ad1bde7768726b903f5d", "t_2a84b41acb688218e807"], "visible_detail": "the rate of E20 fuel at 104.20"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Society of Indian Automobile Manufacturers", "Ministry of Petroleum and Natural Gas"]}
{"id": "e_216898412336_d0", "domain": "Business", "question": "What will be the basic earnings per share attributable to Johnson Controls for continuing operations by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "1.23", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "D", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 2, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_216898412336", "event_date": "2026-07-23", "supporting_event": "Intel forecast quarterly profit and revenue above estimates on July 23.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_21689841", "storyline": "Intel Q3 2026 earnings forecast", "linked_domains": ["Technology"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_87262882f2dc48e55566", "t_bc22629fb7d351c92057", "t_3bd871c66d02af1fd207", "t_4b586dd6f9117356bc9d", "t_3949edfd4b1bf2dfd55a"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "1.23", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Basic earnings (loss) per share attributable to Johnson Controls Continuing operations $ 1.23", "quote_doc_id": "d_10819390ccd925d1c9f2", "settling_ids": ["d_10819390ccd925d1c9f2", "t_81a9dda35e2f4e67ce3b", "t_216898412336774a9886", "t_e14cddfd8e03c6425278", "t_cad8042821519a6f41ac"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Intel"]}
{"id": "e_216898412336_q0", "domain": "Business", "question": "What will be the expected third-quarter revenue range for Intel by 2026-07-28?", "options": ["$15.0 billion to $16.0 billion", "$15.8 billion to $16.8 billion", "$14.0 billion to $15.0 billion", "$16.0 billion to $17.0 billion"], "answer": "$15.8 billion to $16.8 billion", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": "billion USD", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 2, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_216898412336", "event_date": "2026-07-23", "supporting_event": "Intel forecast quarterly profit and revenue above estimates on July 23.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_21689841", "storyline": "Intel Q3 2026 earnings forecast", "linked_domains": ["Technology"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_87262882f2dc48e55566", "t_bc22629fb7d351c92057", "t_3bd871c66d02af1fd207", "t_4b586dd6f9117356bc9d", "t_3949edfd4b1bf2dfd55a"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "$15.8 billion to $16.8 billion", "tolerance": null, "quote": "The company expects third-quarter revenue between US$15.8 billion and US$16.8 billion", "quote_doc_id": "t_216898412336774a9886", "settling_ids": ["t_216898412336774a9886", "t_e14cddfd8e03c6425278", "t_cad8042821519a6f41ac", "t_81a9dda35e2f4e67ce3b", "d_1dfd34bec9e74296821e", "d_10819390ccd925d1c9f2"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Intel"]}
{"id": "e_221f4c548bb0_q1", "domain": "Business", "question": "What will be the total onshore oil product stocks in Singapore by 2026-08-04?", "options": ["40.00 million barrels", "35.00 million barrels", "39.64 million barrels", "37.95 million barrels"], "answer": "37.95 million barrels", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": "million barrels", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 8, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_221f4c548bb0", "event_date": "2026-07-29", "supporting_event": "Singapore saw oil inventories drop to 37.95 million barrels in the week of July 29.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_221f4c54", "storyline": "Singapore oil inventory tracking", "linked_domains": ["Environment", "Politics", "Sports", "Technology"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_f7112f32c85e49e8d52c", "t_72656e8e6f47ff8cd4e5"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "37.95 million barrels", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Total onshore oil product stocks hovered at around 37.95 million barrels in the week of July 29.", "quote_doc_id": "t_221f4c548bb0cabb86c1", "settling_ids": ["t_221f4c548bb0cabb86c1", "t_d6ff276743bc3993d20d"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Singapore", "Enterprise Singapore"]}
{"id": "e_232e34e03ee7_q2", "domain": "Business", "question": "Who will be the CEO of Microsoft by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "Satya Nadella", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 8, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_232e34e03ee7", "event_date": "2026-07-29", "supporting_event": "Microsoft forecasted stronger-than-expected sales and cloud growth for its current fiscal first quarter.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_232e34e0", "storyline": "Microsoft fiscal Q1 2027 results", "linked_domains": ["Technology"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_279eb77fa8f900fb6900", "t_d1bfabf6652ca942b06d"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "Satya Nadella", "tolerance": null, "quote": "CEO Satya Nadella said", "quote_doc_id": "t_232e34e03ee787153684", "settling_ids": ["t_232e34e03ee787153684", "t_7e52d94cb04404cbbe44", "t_149b1607f22d69cc6dc8"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Microsoft"]}
{"id": "e_234463ff8a73_q0", "domain": "Business", "question": "Which amount will SK Hynix invest in the Yongin chip fabrication plant by 2026-08-11?", "options": ["25 trillion won", "35.2 trillion won", "30 trillion won", "40 trillion won"], "answer": "35.2 trillion won", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": "trillion won", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 17, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_234463ff8a73", "event_date": "2026-08-07", "supporting_event": "SK Hynix Inc. approved investments of 54.3 trillion won ($38.3 billion) for chip fabrication plants.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_234463ff", "storyline": "SK Hynix semiconductor investment plan", "linked_domains": ["Technology"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_7fc3cd9096102b00717c", "t_088182fe129ae79364b0", "t_85501793f1a569e461f4", "t_cb3bfa70d078b2d2b8e0"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "35.2 trillion won", "tolerance": null, "quote": "including 35.2 trillion won for the second phase of construction of its chip fabrication plant in Yongin", "quote_doc_id": "t_234463ff8a7360f9911c", "settling_ids": ["t_234463ff8a7360f9911c", "t_0f094584ac9f3cbe42a5", "t_2ea37535f0617ec89b38", "t_7e9bb2c9b16c3594c456"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["SK Hynix Inc.", "Yongin", "Cheongju"]}
{"id": "e_236650387207_q2", "domain": "Business", "question": "Will One97 Communications Ltd's shares reach a high of ₹1,600 by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 21, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_236650387207", "event_date": "2026-08-11", "supporting_event": "One97 Communications Ltd saw its shares rise to a high of ₹1,639.90 on August 11, 2026.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_23665038", "storyline": "Paytm stock performance", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_10d5ba5aa3acc8e19546", "t_91cdddef203dffa685d1", "t_53834b75d401b1cd4a84"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the stock was last trading 1.52 per cent higher at Rs 1,609.", "quote_doc_id": "t_236650387207c4f6e276", "settling_ids": ["t_236650387207c4f6e276", "t_fa8cbb831e1b06f5d5d6", "t_22686d59ac445a19881d"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["One97 Communications Ltd", "Paytm"]}
{"id": "e_236650387207_q2_neg", "domain": "Business", "question": "Will One97 Communications Ltd's shares reach a high of ₹1,600 by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "No", "answer_type": "perturbed_binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 21, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_236650387207", "event_date": "2026-08-11", "supporting_event": "One97 Communications Ltd saw its shares rise to a high of ₹1,639.90 on August 11, 2026.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_23665038", "storyline": "Paytm stock performance", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_10d5ba5aa3acc8e19546", "t_91cdddef203dffa685d1", "t_53834b75d401b1cd4a84"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "perturbed_binary", "value": "No", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the stock was last trading 1.52 per cent higher at Rs 1,609.", "quote_doc_id": "t_236650387207c4f6e276", "settling_ids": ["t_236650387207c4f6e276", "t_fa8cbb831e1b06f5d5d6", "t_22686d59ac445a19881d"], "derivation": "the event dated 2026-08-11 is after the shifted deadline 2026-08-04, so the claim is false at that deadline"}, "perturbation": {"field": "deadline", "original": "2026-08-11", "substituted": "2026-08-04", "v40_substituted": "2026-07-31"}, "paired_with": "e_236650387207_q2", "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["One97 Communications Ltd", "Paytm"]}
{"id": "e_24a8babd06da_q0", "domain": "Business", "question": "Who will be the economist that discusses the economic impacts of climate change in Europe by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "Sehrish Usman", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 20, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_24a8babd06da", "event_date": "2026-08-10", "supporting_event": "Europe experienced economic impacts from climate change amounting to hundreds of billions of euros.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_24a8babd", "storyline": "climate change economic impact assessment", "linked_domains": ["Environment"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_23b0d91889d04f822c5a", "t_dbb700d7752dea152616", "t_c672129f1eeee2fbbe42", "t_b2f3226218dae385adba", "t_11daeef8c87a0b0c648e"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "Sehrish Usman", "tolerance": null, "quote": "\"What makes 2026 particularly worrying from an economic perspective is that there are multiple episodes of extreme events,\" said University of Mannheim economist Sehrish Usman.", "quote_doc_id": "t_24a8babd06da2ed12fdb", "settling_ids": ["t_24a8babd06da2ed12fdb", "t_8142c510cfe17b14f64f"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Europe"]}
{"id": "e_24a8babd06da_q1", "domain": "Business", "question": "What will be the estimated economic impact of climate change on Europe by 2026-08-11?", "options": ["hundreds of billions of euros", "trillions of euros", "tens of millions of euros", "billions of dollars"], "answer": "hundreds of billions of euros", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 20, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_24a8babd06da", "event_date": "2026-08-10", "supporting_event": "Europe experienced economic impacts from climate change amounting to hundreds of billions of euros.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_24a8babd", "storyline": "climate change economic impact assessment", "linked_domains": ["Environment"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_23b0d91889d04f822c5a", "t_dbb700d7752dea152616", "t_c672129f1eeee2fbbe42", "t_b2f3226218dae385adba", "t_11daeef8c87a0b0c648e"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "hundreds of billions of euros", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Together, the hit to the region's economy can already be measured in the hundreds of billions of euros, economists and academics estimate.", "quote_doc_id": "t_24a8babd06da2ed12fdb", "settling_ids": ["t_24a8babd06da2ed12fdb", "t_8142c510cfe17b14f64f"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Europe"]}
{"id": "e_256b7fe52b66_d0", "domain": "Business", "question": "What is the preliminary estimated number of respondents for tax-exempt organization returns by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "1,706,000", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "D", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 10, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_256b7fe52b66", "event_date": "2026-07-31", "supporting_event": "Taxpayers may receive a defective return notice from the income tax department.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_256b7fe5", "storyline": "Income Tax Return filing for AY 2026-27", "linked_domains": ["Law"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_60460c9df26bab512b25", "t_592e39f5d2bf10fd4b19", "t_7c271554f8b659b1e36e", "t_93287fca8386b951fc00", "t_edea3697bf90c6440149"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "1,706,000", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Preliminary Estimated Number of Respondents: 1,706,000.", "quote_doc_id": "d_d84a163ec5a32fff390f", "settling_ids": ["d_d84a163ec5a32fff390f", "t_256b7fe52b66ec04ad70", "t_a933503391887cd81308", "t_c3946e391821e7c94919"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Income Tax Department"]}
{"id": "e_256b7fe52b66_i0", "domain": "Business", "question": "Will taxpayers receive a defective return notice from the income tax department by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 10, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_256b7fe52b66", "event_date": "2026-07-31", "supporting_event": "Taxpayers may receive a defective return notice from the income tax department.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_256b7fe5", "storyline": "Income Tax Return filing for AY 2026-27", "linked_domains": ["Law"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_60460c9df26bab512b25", "t_592e39f5d2bf10fd4b19", "t_7c271554f8b659b1e36e", "t_93287fca8386b951fc00", "t_edea3697bf90c6440149"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_256b7fe52b66ec04ad70_0", "settling_ids": ["t_256b7fe52b66ec04ad70", "t_a933503391887cd81308", "t_c3946e391821e7c94919"], "visible_detail": "the date July 31, 2026, circled on a calendar"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Income Tax Department"]}
{"id": "e_28043ed558b2_i0", "domain": "Business", "question": "What will the BSE index value be by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "4329.35", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 2, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_28043ed558b2", "event_date": "2026-07-23", "supporting_event": "The Sensex fell 364 points on July 23, 2026.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_031ec5d1", "storyline": "Indian stock market performance", "linked_domains": ["Environment", "Geopolitics", "Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_3db1c61548dbaeae0af0", "t_dc1dd6137af151fa38e1", "t_14692b4fa1d8bfcf9c0a", "t_43c7db8dd0084ada8845", "t_470db3824cf8e76791c1"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "4329.35", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_0f99660d79d8e6400d5b_0", "settling_ids": ["t_0f99660d79d8e6400d5b", "t_28043ed558b272972bf9", "t_669f2b04b77ccc0348ee", "t_e00c29ba5ab068b2d04e", "t_a4deabb39ac05e93d998"], "visible_detail": "the BSE index value displayed on the market board"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Sensex"]}
{"id": "e_2b0a0e65dc10_q1", "domain": "Business", "question": "What is the maximum amount Apnimed plans to raise in its IPO by 2026-07-28?", "options": ["$160 million", "$200 million", "$50 million", "$100 million"], "answer": "$160 million", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": "million", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 7, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_2b0a0e65dc10", "event_date": "2026-07-28", "supporting_event": "Apnimed plans to raise up to $160 million for its IPO.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_2b0a0e65", "storyline": "Apnimed IPO 2026", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_e57d61923921182e85b1", "t_43c3fba1c94b883805aa"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "$160 million", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Apnimed intends to raise as much as $160 million to fund the launch of its sleep apnea pill.", "quote_doc_id": "t_2b0a0e65dc10ee9cd0f9", "settling_ids": ["t_2b0a0e65dc10ee9cd0f9", "t_fe7f9fbe0ca2061a58c1"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Apnimed"]}
{"id": "e_2b322cd59c87_q1", "domain": "Business", "question": "Who will announce the new aim for the EPFO regarding PF claim settlements by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "Ramesh Krishnamurthy", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 11, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_2b322cd59c87", "event_date": "2026-08-01", "supporting_event": "Ramesh Krishnamurthy announced that the EPFO aims to settle new PF claims for members on the same day or within a maximum of 24 to 48 hours.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_2b322cd5", "storyline": "EPFO PF withdrawal process", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_f9511794dc9d46fd7e62", "t_f8c344f08bcedabd6d24"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "Ramesh Krishnamurthy", "tolerance": null, "quote": "This announcement was made by Ramesh Krishnamurthy, Central Provident Fund Commissioner (CPFC), EPFO, on Friday.", "quote_doc_id": "t_2b322cd59c87eb17552a", "settling_ids": ["t_2b322cd59c87eb17552a", "t_fe144dc40e59f51f7281"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Ramesh Krishnamurthy", "EPFO"]}
{"id": "e_2e8630791170_q0", "domain": "Business", "question": "What interest rate will DCB Bank offer on five-year USD FCNR(B) Deposits by 2026-08-11?", "options": ["8.00 percent per annum", "6.75 percent per annum", "7.50 percent per annum", "7.25 percent per annum"], "answer": "7.50 percent per annum", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 18, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_2e8630791170", "event_date": "2026-08-08", "supporting_event": "DCB Bank offers an interest rate of 7.50 percent per annum on five-year USD FCNR(B) Deposit effective August 8, 2026.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_2e863079", "storyline": "FCNR(B) deposit interest rate changes", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_eeba8f2efd1eb0684267", "t_d6687d9692a0668c76e9", "t_587ec3718c9baf0190de", "t_2824b0098882e3c3f770", "t_606d99bc698384d0043c"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "7.50 percent per annum", "tolerance": null, "quote": "DCB Bank raised its five-year USD FCNR (B) Deposit rate to 7.50 percent per annum, with effect from July 21, 2026, placing it among the more competitive offerings in this window.", "quote_doc_id": "t_2e8630791170d0c385bb", "settling_ids": ["t_2e8630791170d0c385bb", "t_627e2aac9ce038564ada", "t_7f505cc22aa9dff9b1c4", "t_f875e30f167c42e9391c"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["DCB Bank"]}
{"id": "e_2ea37535f061_q2", "domain": "Business", "question": "How much will SK Hynix invest in chip plants by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "38.3", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "billion USD", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 17, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_2ea37535f061", "event_date": "2026-08-07", "supporting_event": "SK Hynix approved investments of $38.3 billion for chip plants in South Korea.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_234463ff", "storyline": "SK Hynix semiconductor investment plan", "linked_domains": ["Technology"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_a53c75d07e844641039c", "t_85501793f1a569e461f4", "t_cb3bfa70d078b2d2b8e0"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "38.3", "tolerance": 0.1, "quote": "SK hynix said Friday it will invest a combined 54.3 trillion won ($38.3 billion)", "quote_doc_id": "t_2ea37535f0617ec89b38", "settling_ids": ["t_2ea37535f0617ec89b38", "t_465be748b9d2980a8867", "t_234463ff8a7360f9911c", "t_0f094584ac9f3cbe42a5"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["SK Hynix", "Yongin", "Cheongju"]}
{"id": "e_2f39f624ba9b_a0", "domain": "Business", "question": "How long has BP been producing oil in the UK North Sea by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "more than half a century", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "A", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 10, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_2f39f624ba9b", "event_date": "2026-07-31", "supporting_event": "BP has put its UK North Sea oil and gas business up for sale.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_2f39f624", "storyline": "BP North Sea business sale", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_8c919884b6ee2afd7c70", "t_22ce4c74a087b1e5c358"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "more than half a century", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Selling off the business would mean that the British energy major would end production in its home country after more than half a century.", "quote_doc_id": "a_661b8396eca19275adf9", "settling_ids": ["a_661b8396eca19275adf9", "t_2f39f624ba9b19a4644d", "t_3d95a007d098613b6a0a", "t_af702d6118428223b155", "t_03f12f3600cce1815efd", "t_741f1edcd1aca5a8da4f", "t_02757c742d6fc300f14e"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["BP", "North Sea"]}
{"id": "e_2f39f624ba9b_q1", "domain": "Business", "question": "On what date will BP's decision to sell its North Sea business be confirmed by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "2026-07-31", "answer_type": "date", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 10, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_2f39f624ba9b", "event_date": "2026-07-31", "supporting_event": "BP has put its UK North Sea oil and gas business up for sale.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_2f39f624", "storyline": "BP North Sea business sale", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_8c919884b6ee2afd7c70", "t_22ce4c74a087b1e5c358"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "date", "value": "2026-07-31", "tolerance": 1, "quote": "BP has launched moves to sell its North Sea business, the British oil and gas giant announced on Friday (Jul 31)", "quote_doc_id": "t_2f39f624ba9b19a4644d", "settling_ids": ["t_2f39f624ba9b19a4644d", "t_3d95a007d098613b6a0a", "t_af702d6118428223b155", "t_741f1edcd1aca5a8da4f", "a_661b8396eca19275adf9"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["BP", "North Sea"]}
{"id": "e_2ff144052e43_q1", "domain": "Business", "question": "Who will be the co-chief executive of Spotify by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "Alex Norström", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 14, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_2ff144052e43", "event_date": "2026-08-04", "supporting_event": "Spotify hit a record 300 million premium subscribers.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_2ff14405", "storyline": "Spotify Q2 2026 earnings report", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_5a84bef28d44fedcc4ba", "t_cfc400586506a01cf658", "t_5ae078f817e91a13ab6b"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "Alex Norström", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Alex Norström, Spotify’s co-chief executive, said in a statement.", "quote_doc_id": "t_b1f071b018dd066f49fa", "settling_ids": ["t_2ff144052e43234aa38d", "t_b1f071b018dd066f49fa"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Spotify"]}
{"id": "e_30cd31261512_q0", "domain": "Business", "question": "Which materials will the Bureau of Industry and Security restrict the exportation of by 2026-08-11?", "options": ["black mass and tungsten waste and scrap", "copper and nickel", "iron and aluminum", "lithium and cobalt"], "answer": "black mass and tungsten waste and scrap", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 16, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_30cd31261512", "event_date": "2026-08-06", "supporting_event": "The Bureau of Industry and Security issued a temporary final rule to restrict the exportation of black mass and tungsten waste and scrap.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_30cd3126", "storyline": "DPAS Directive Allocation Order implementation", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_fb0d3133397cd8dd2d56", "t_906754457908f187f543"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "black mass and tungsten waste and scrap", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the Bureau of Industry and Security (BIS) published on August 6, 2026, a temporary final rule (the Rule) titled 'DPAS Directive Allocation Order and Additional Requirements for Recoverable Critical Minerals and Materials' to restrict the exportation of black mass and tungsten waste and scrap.", "quote_doc_id": "t_918937b2725a2f652862", "settling_ids": ["t_b2d9a9135dab6ac24fa1", "t_918937b2725a2f652862", "t_02a2efb7f33d73bc4b92", "t_58a36e1ff000ca2d0be8", "d_30cd31261512bcf43031"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Bureau of Industry and Security", "black mass", "tungsten waste and scrap"]}
{"id": "e_3123a8e8138d_q0", "domain": "Business", "question": "Who will hold Brent crude at $100.85 a barrel by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "Brent crude", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 3, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_3123a8e8138d", "event_date": "2026-07-24", "supporting_event": "Brent crude held at $100.85 a barrel.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_0122457a", "storyline": "oil market fluctuations", "linked_domains": ["Geopolitics", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_c74bb4fe5f27a14d2fcb", "t_dc29abb16e84e0ffdc0c"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "Brent crude", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Brent crude held at $100.85 a barrel", "quote_doc_id": "t_3123a8e8138d85130f3e", "settling_ids": ["t_3123a8e8138d85130f3e", "t_77867769681eb82f851c", "t_a9608c7df682e537218d"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Brent crude", "Iran", "Houthis", "Saudi Arabia"]}
{"id": "e_3123a8e8138d_q1", "domain": "Business", "question": "What will be the price of Brent crude by 2026-07-28?", "options": ["$110.00 a barrel", "$95.00 a barrel", "$100.85 a barrel", "$105.50 a barrel"], "answer": "$100.85 a barrel", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 3, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_3123a8e8138d", "event_date": "2026-07-24", "supporting_event": "Brent crude held at $100.85 a barrel.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_0122457a", "storyline": "oil market fluctuations", "linked_domains": ["Geopolitics", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_c74bb4fe5f27a14d2fcb", "t_dc29abb16e84e0ffdc0c"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "$100.85 a barrel", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Brent crude held at $100.85 a barrel", "quote_doc_id": "t_3123a8e8138d85130f3e", "settling_ids": ["t_3123a8e8138d85130f3e", "t_77867769681eb82f851c", "t_a9608c7df682e537218d"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Brent crude", "Iran", "Houthis", "Saudi Arabia"]}
{"id": "e_3631b3d4cba1_i0", "domain": "Business", "question": "What will be the value of the yen against the U.S. dollar by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "10000", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 3, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_3631b3d4cba1", "event_date": "2026-07-24", "supporting_event": "The yen was on course for its steepest weekly decline since May, leaving the U.S. dollar poised for a weekly gain of 0.88 percent.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_3631b3d4", "storyline": "currency exchange rates", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_f5399b58e2e2bcc39453", "t_7e852624046ff0aba670", "t_3027b5666082f58a5270", "t_9b9b40e3b34bca7425da", "t_f6dc1fa1440b89cdb21e", "t_ce8dc501a7d671299419", "t_d9d9b3a946c53f3c335c", "t_e4095830e87301be5fda"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "10000", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_3631b3d4cba1a8b9a76c_0", "settling_ids": ["t_3631b3d4cba1a8b9a76c", "t_37c932a3c0e5cbd0798a"], "visible_detail": "the value of the yen note showing '10000'"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["the yen", "the U.S. dollar"]}
{"id": "e_364f3c65a344_q1", "domain": "Business", "question": "On which date will Lohia Corp's IPO open for subscription by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "2026-07-23", "answer_type": "date", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 2, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_364f3c65a344", "event_date": "2026-07-23", "supporting_event": "Lohia Corp received bids for 56.8 lakh shares on the first day of its IPO.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_19f7fe99", "storyline": "Lohia Corp IPO", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_5b7d42fbdffd8c9cc7f8", "t_29d5936b3d537729801e", "t_3e9869da5bba7525dc00"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "date", "value": "2026-07-23", "tolerance": 1, "quote": "The initial public offering of Lohia Corp kicks-off for bidding on Thursday, July 23.", "quote_doc_id": "t_364f3c65a34413289f11", "settling_ids": ["t_364f3c65a34413289f11", "t_c32b2d8bcbfab4712590", "t_dc9e90b1addc56045c23", "t_dabcb6a8b2d5a2e1b417"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Lohia Corp"]}
{"id": "e_36e572868813_a0", "domain": "Business", "question": "What is IBM's revised full-year revenue growth forecast by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "4% to 5%", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "A", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 1, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_36e572868813", "event_date": "2026-07-22", "supporting_event": "IBM cut its annual revenue growth forecast on July 22.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_36e57286", "storyline": "IBM financial performance Q2 2026", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["d_8ebcc92a85d4caaf1ff7", "t_67c98d8442647591628d", "t_4ab7f7e2898d6cd6858d", "t_e3454f0cdea1e6f41bc8", "t_70754490c92d4a53f770"], "precursor_modalities": ["D", "T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "4% to 5%", "tolerance": null, "quote": "IBM warned investors that its full-year revenue growth will be lower than previously forecast, now expecting a range of 4% to 5%.", "quote_doc_id": "a_e30e5f78b46c87098599", "settling_ids": ["a_e30e5f78b46c87098599", "t_36e57286881320ab4730", "t_b2e66aeb029e77f8f69e"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["IBM"]}
{"id": "e_36e572868813_d0", "domain": "Business", "question": "What is IBM's expected full-year constant currency revenue growth range by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "four-to-five percent", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "D", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 1, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_36e572868813", "event_date": "2026-07-22", "supporting_event": "IBM cut its annual revenue growth forecast on July 22.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_36e57286", "storyline": "IBM financial performance Q2 2026", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["d_8ebcc92a85d4caaf1ff7", "t_67c98d8442647591628d", "t_4ab7f7e2898d6cd6858d", "t_e3454f0cdea1e6f41bc8", "t_70754490c92d4a53f770"], "precursor_modalities": ["D", "T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "four-to-five percent", "tolerance": null, "quote": "We now expect constant currency revenue growth in the range of four-to-five percent.", "quote_doc_id": "d_c6e0753a24e20c004e7f", "settling_ids": ["d_c6e0753a24e20c004e7f", "t_36e57286881320ab4730", "t_b2e66aeb029e77f8f69e"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["IBM"]}
{"id": "e_36e572868813_q0", "domain": "Business", "question": "What will IBM's revised annual revenue growth forecast be by 2026-07-28?", "options": ["between 6 percent and 7 percent", "between 3 percent and 4 percent", "between 5 percent and 6 percent", "between 4 percent and 5 percent"], "answer": "between 4 percent and 5 percent", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 1, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_36e572868813", "event_date": "2026-07-22", "supporting_event": "IBM cut its annual revenue growth forecast on July 22.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_36e57286", "storyline": "IBM financial performance Q2 2026", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["d_8ebcc92a85d4caaf1ff7", "t_67c98d8442647591628d", "t_4ab7f7e2898d6cd6858d", "t_e3454f0cdea1e6f41bc8", "t_70754490c92d4a53f770"], "precursor_modalities": ["D", "T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "between 4 percent and 5 percent", "tolerance": null, "quote": "IBM now expects 2026 revenue growth between 4 percent and 5 percent.", "quote_doc_id": "t_b2e66aeb029e77f8f69e", "settling_ids": ["t_36e57286881320ab4730", "t_b2e66aeb029e77f8f69e", "d_c6e0753a24e20c004e7f", "a_e30e5f78b46c87098599", "a_fe446399ac039648fe28"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["IBM"]}
{"id": "e_395e1ce86592_q0", "domain": "Business", "question": "Who will finalize the Lohia Corp IPO allotment by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "MUFG Intime India Private Ltd", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 7, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_395e1ce86592", "event_date": "2026-07-28", "supporting_event": "Lohia Corp IPO allotment is expected to be finalised today.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_19f7fe99", "storyline": "Lohia Corp IPO", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_5b7d42fbdffd8c9cc7f8", "t_29d5936b3d537729801e", "t_3e9869da5bba7525dc00"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "MUFG Intime India Private Ltd", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the allotment status today in Lohia Corp IPO registrar portal, which is MUFG Intime India Private Ltd", "quote_doc_id": "t_395e1ce86592fd076f73", "settling_ids": ["t_395e1ce86592fd076f73", "t_ad41a172b706bb8c46cc"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Lohia Corp", "MUFG Intime India Private Ltd"]}
{"id": "e_395e1ce86592_q1", "domain": "Business", "question": "What is the expected listing date for Lohia Corp shares by 2026-07-28?", "options": ["August 5", "July 29", "July 30", "August 1"], "answer": "July 30", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 7, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_395e1ce86592", "event_date": "2026-07-28", "supporting_event": "Lohia Corp IPO allotment is expected to be finalised today.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_19f7fe99", "storyline": "Lohia Corp IPO", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_5b7d42fbdffd8c9cc7f8", "t_29d5936b3d537729801e", "t_3e9869da5bba7525dc00"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "July 30", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the shares are expected to list on July 30", "quote_doc_id": "t_ad41a172b706bb8c46cc", "settling_ids": ["t_395e1ce86592fd076f73", "t_ad41a172b706bb8c46cc"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Lohia Corp", "MUFG Intime India Private Ltd"]}
{"id": "e_3b8077f8faab_v0", "domain": "Business", "question": "What is the name of the executive director mentioned in the broadcast by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "GRACE LEE", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "V", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 1, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_3b8077f8faab", "event_date": "2026-07-22", "supporting_event": "Paramount Skydance Corporation will delay its planned merger with Warner Bros. Discovery until as late as June 2027.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_3b8077f8", "storyline": "Paramount-Warner Bros. merger approval", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_75a11bce042f60b53c97", "t_bbe907d988e896f93ff7", "t_c4f3ca81b55dd079fdbe", "t_5b13623fccabc9a33bbf", "t_ece42ff37277ca1bcf39", "t_f8791e5d8f5ee7e3fed0"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "GRACE LEE", "tolerance": null, "quote": "America 250 National Parks & American History", "quote_doc_id": "v_ae27ec0616516b68180c", "settling_ids": ["t_3b8077f8faabfd46e55b", "t_e06f7509cb81dfdd1c03", "t_7cc27672b7d85a53b9c6", "t_4bedd2fd6cf037770fc2", "t_6b8e50a8f3dcf1d0f02b", "t_8bc712d4eb4245a8f6df"], "visible_detail": "what the frames show"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Paramount Skydance Corporation", "Warner Bros. Discovery", "Writers Guild of America"]}
{"id": "e_3c27a00669dd_a0", "domain": "Business", "question": "What will be the percentage increase of the S&P 500 by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "3.6 percent", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "percent", "modality_required": "A", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 3, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_3c27a00669dd", "event_date": "2026-07-24", "supporting_event": "The S&P 500 rose 3.68 points on July 24, 2026.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_3c27a006", "storyline": "Wall Street stock market performance", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_3772f44c3427be68ba2c", "t_e689a0f32f1c1e82839f"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "3.6 percent", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the S&P 500 advanced 3.6 percent to end the week at a record high.", "quote_doc_id": "a_33cda5dc983f76079254", "settling_ids": ["a_33cda5dc983f76079254", "t_59dfdbd4d18ffa3041c3", "t_3c27a00669ddde2d994b", "t_cafce45fa567639824ac", "t_dfe59004354fd8d9c502"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["S&P 500"]}
{"id": "e_3e33b6d9b919_d0", "domain": "Business", "question": "What date will the Commission vote for the determination take place by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "August 6, 2026", "answer_type": "date", "unit": null, "modality_required": "D", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 13, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_3e33b6d9b919", "event_date": "2026-08-03", "supporting_event": "Hong Kong launched offshore Chinese government bond futures on August 3, 2026.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_3e33b6d9", "storyline": "Internationalisation of the yuan", "linked_domains": ["Environment", "Geopolitics", "Law", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_0d5ad86e67cdc98c6a3a", "t_984ba1e049502c37747e", "t_b86f25bbe5de9fe8766a"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "date", "value": "August 6, 2026", "tolerance": null, "quote": "The Commission vote for this determination took place on August 6, 2026.", "quote_doc_id": "d_744c610eb960e1401bfc", "settling_ids": ["d_744c610eb960e1401bfc", "t_3e33b6d9b9197828d51e", "t_30139b728ef30c62081e"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Hong Kong", "Beijing", "yuan", "CGB futures", "Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing"]}
{"id": "e_418dc4cb4156_a0", "domain": "Business", "question": "What percentage did the Nasdaq rise by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "5.2 percent", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "percent", "modality_required": "A", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 12, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_418dc4cb4156", "event_date": "2026-08-02", "supporting_event": "AMD forecast quarterly revenue above Wall Street estimates.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_418dc4cb", "storyline": "AMD Q3 2026 revenue forecast", "linked_domains": ["Technology"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_e0a1db00fd03703c9f26", "t_defaa12ae1fef9665399", "t_a999afa5e4a84e57795f", "t_6fad51b3cc74a90996ff", "t_3a217e12efa2a1861687"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "5.2 percent", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Overall, the Nasdaq led the gains, rising 5.2 percent.", "quote_doc_id": "a_33cda5dc983f76079254", "settling_ids": ["a_33cda5dc983f76079254", "t_418dc4cb4156d598a3ae", "t_db6a032538e8e304212d", "t_77a3c2323a34a237ccf8"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["AMD", "Wall Street"]}
{"id": "e_434815cd91da_q1", "domain": "Business", "question": "How much will Microsoft's market value swing be after its earnings report by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "190", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "billion", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 8, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_434815cd91da", "event_date": "2026-07-29", "supporting_event": "Microsoft is expected to experience a market value swing of approximately $190 billion after its earnings report.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_434815cd", "storyline": "Microsoft fiscal Q4 2026 results", "linked_domains": ["Technology"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_849d44d52e7e8e64826b", "t_3f71e2e82ffaf505e659", "t_d3284280b5eaa60a818b", "t_3cd36a2ede6dfb694b48", "t_101622433971bfbc663b"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "190", "tolerance": 0.1, "quote": "Options traders expect a roughly $190 billion swing in Microsoft's market value after it reports earnings on Wednesday.", "quote_doc_id": "t_434815cd91daaedf01bd", "settling_ids": ["t_434815cd91daaedf01bd", "t_43c5daa86283a1c8cb08"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Microsoft"]}
{"id": "e_4350db6abda1_q1", "domain": "Business", "question": "What will be the reported second-quarter profit for Meta Platforms by 2026-08-04?", "options": ["$18.34 billion", "$16.50 billion", "$15.85 billion", "$14.00 billion"], "answer": "$15.85 billion", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": "billion dollars", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 8, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_4350db6abda1", "event_date": "2026-07-29", "supporting_event": "Meta Platforms reported a decline in its second-quarter profit to $15.85 billion.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_4350db6a", "storyline": "Meta Q2 2026 earnings report", "linked_domains": ["Law", "Technology"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_07a37dc756ca64b9304b", "t_7e42b9bb4114fed85f97", "t_6f3fd8f1c1f051ab5996", "t_4785462a9823b18f7ade", "t_8ad6ab33088db46466cf"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "$15.85 billion", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Meta Platforms said Wednesday its second-quarter profit declined even as revenue beat Wall Street's expectations, as legal expenses and severance costs for recent layoffs weighed on its results. The Facebook and Instagram parent company earned $15.85 billion, or $6.18 per share, in the April-June period.", "quote_doc_id": "t_4350db6abda10b4e05e1", "settling_ids": ["t_4350db6abda10b4e05e1", "t_7a631fe80ffddfd91ad8"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Meta Platforms", "Mark Zuckerberg"]}
{"id": "e_4403af7d33b0_q0", "domain": "Business", "question": "Will Punjab's 'Business Class' programme generate revenue from student-led ventures by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 1, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_4403af7d33b0", "event_date": "2026-07-22", "supporting_event": "Punjab's 'Business Class' programme saw more than 20,000 student-led ventures generate nearly ₹90 crore in revenue during its first year.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_4403af7d", "storyline": "Punjab's 'Business Class' programme", "linked_domains": ["Environment", "Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_66ea312d2325d8270ac5", "t_d2a5dbe3a37756e4996c", "t_cb9ac33c01fc1046f43e"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "more than 20,000 student-led ventures generated nearly ₹90 crore in revenue during its first year", "quote_doc_id": "t_4403af7d33b0e5997bc7", "settling_ids": ["t_4403af7d33b0e5997bc7", "t_a2537843c3eb5373e8eb"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Punjab", "Bhagwant Mann", "Harjot Singh Bains"]}
{"id": "e_44959b2b8633_i0", "domain": "Business", "question": "What will be the total amount of transactions processed by UPI users by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "850", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 19, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_44959b2b8633", "event_date": "2026-08-09", "supporting_event": "The central government clarified that transactions will continue to remain free for users.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_44959b2b", "storyline": "UPI transaction fee policy change", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_134382b774ea3846800a", "t_accd5391410f5949e52d", "t_070f643a108eecd4219f"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "850", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_0bcd650c131cc5af8f1e_0", "settling_ids": ["t_0bcd650c131cc5af8f1e", "t_44959b2b8633a11f87c0", "t_8cd38bee68833b95507b", "t_661c9a4ec1fdd7d5f296"], "visible_detail": "₹ 850"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["the central government", "Unified Payments Interface (UPI)"]}
{"id": "e_45d8c40c9854_q1", "domain": "Business", "question": "Will Blue Cloud Softech Solutions Ltd – USA sign a $200 million statement of work with SpaceX International by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "No", "answer_type": "perturbed_binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 20, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_45d8c40c9854", "event_date": "2026-08-10", "supporting_event": "Blue Cloud Softech Solutions Ltd – USA signed a $150 million statement of work with SpaceX International.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_45d8c40c", "storyline": "Blue Cloud Softech's contract agreements", "linked_domains": ["Technology"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_c0b957d5e3df48183053", "t_8de90613f81bcaba2753"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "perturbed_binary", "value": "No", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Blue Cloud Softech announced that its wholly owned US subsidiary, Blue Cloud Softech Solutions Ltd – USA, has executed Statement of Work No. 1 with SpaceX International Ltd, MY.", "quote_doc_id": "t_45d8c40c9854da33a385", "settling_ids": ["t_45d8c40c9854da33a385", "t_44c7f042d88927e7637c"]}, "perturbation": {"field": "quantity", "original": 150, "substituted": 200}, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Blue Cloud Softech Solutions Ltd – USA", "SpaceX International"]}
{"id": "e_4647fb8776c2_q0", "domain": "Business", "question": "How many crores will BEST's transformation plan aim to secure by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "28000", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "crore", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 12, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_4647fb8776c2", "event_date": "2026-08-02", "supporting_event": "BEST approved a ₹28,000-crore transformation plan to redevelop 22 bus depots.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_4647fb87", "storyline": "BEST financial restructuring plan", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_117b6b17548c44770c75", "t_1154ac6a5150895cdd6b", "t_aed060258b196320ab62"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "28000", "tolerance": null, "quote": "BEST approves Rs 28,000-crore ‘Kayapalat’ plan", "quote_doc_id": "t_4647fb8776c2bfa250fb", "settling_ids": ["t_4647fb8776c2bfa250fb", "t_b4cc0606f01d9a17bc87", "t_d29f306c8f5ee29981ac"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["BEST", "Brihanmumbai Municipal Corporation", "Maharashtra Cabinet"]}
{"id": "e_4647fb8776c2_q1", "domain": "Business", "question": "Who will approve BEST's transformation plan by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "Brihanmumbai Municipal Corporation (BMC)", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 12, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_4647fb8776c2", "event_date": "2026-08-02", "supporting_event": "BEST approved a ₹28,000-crore transformation plan to redevelop 22 bus depots.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_4647fb87", "storyline": "BEST financial restructuring plan", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_117b6b17548c44770c75", "t_1154ac6a5150895cdd6b", "t_aed060258b196320ab62"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "Brihanmumbai Municipal Corporation (BMC)", "tolerance": null, "quote": "The proposal was approved by the BEST Committee on Tuesday and will now be sent to the Brihanmumbai Municipal Corporation (BMC)", "quote_doc_id": "t_b4cc0606f01d9a17bc87", "settling_ids": ["t_4647fb8776c2bfa250fb", "t_b4cc0606f01d9a17bc87", "t_d29f306c8f5ee29981ac"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["BEST", "Brihanmumbai Municipal Corporation", "Maharashtra Cabinet"]}
{"id": "e_4888507ebe43_q0", "domain": "Business", "question": "How many billion USD in FCNR(B) deposits will SBI mobilise by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "13.82", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "billion USD", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 9, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_4888507ebe43", "event_date": "2026-07-30", "supporting_event": "SBI mobilised $13.82 billion in FCNR(B) deposits by July 30, 2026.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_4888507e", "storyline": "RBI FCNR(B) deposit mobilisation scheme", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_eeba8f2efd1eb0684267", "t_d6687d9692a0668c76e9", "t_2824b0098882e3c3f770", "t_47e766403788ca5a1111", "t_33270f07a37aaf57eaf7"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "13.82", "tolerance": 0.05, "quote": "SBI ranked second, with FCNR(B) deposits increasing from $9.70 billion to $13.82 billion", "quote_doc_id": "t_4888507ebe43e7ac47fb", "settling_ids": ["t_4888507ebe43e7ac47fb", "t_11eb4cef36016de68f34", "t_a08796ba1120fa0103b9", "t_b622a7ad682be52f89eb"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["SBI", "RBI"]}
{"id": "e_4888507ebe43_q1", "domain": "Business", "question": "Which bank will be the second largest mobiliser of FCNR(B) deposits by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "SBI", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 9, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_4888507ebe43", "event_date": "2026-07-30", "supporting_event": "SBI mobilised $13.82 billion in FCNR(B) deposits by July 30, 2026.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_4888507e", "storyline": "RBI FCNR(B) deposit mobilisation scheme", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_eeba8f2efd1eb0684267", "t_d6687d9692a0668c76e9", "t_2824b0098882e3c3f770", "t_47e766403788ca5a1111", "t_33270f07a37aaf57eaf7"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "SBI", "tolerance": null, "quote": "State Bank of India (SBI) ranked second, with FCNR(B) deposits increasing from $9.70 billion to $13.82 billion", "quote_doc_id": "t_4888507ebe43e7ac47fb", "settling_ids": ["t_4888507ebe43e7ac47fb", "t_11eb4cef36016de68f34", "t_a08796ba1120fa0103b9", "t_b622a7ad682be52f89eb"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["SBI", "RBI"]}
{"id": "e_4a3f102425c8_q0", "domain": "Business", "question": "What will be the overall subscription multiple for the Xtranet Technologies IPO by 2026-07-28?", "options": ["15.00 times", "8.75 times", "10.50 times", "12.24 times"], "answer": "12.24 times", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 7, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_4a3f102425c8", "event_date": "2026-07-28", "supporting_event": "Xtranet Technologies IPO allotment is expected to wrap up today after a strong response from investors.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_4a3f1024", "storyline": "Xtranet Technologies IPO", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_ef8ccc7d3e58bebee3be", "t_1e87add2baca2f41720c", "t_9c1f48208452923f7d21"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "12.24 times", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the IPO, which was available for subscription between July 23 and July 27, received a strong response from investors, with an overall subscription of 12.24 times.", "quote_doc_id": "t_4a3f102425c80d9d35c8", "settling_ids": ["t_4a3f102425c80d9d35c8", "t_7fdad62d78466c75bb92", "t_50fc8ab3574cf0496b39", "t_dd5c61d07edb48102114"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Xtranet Technologies"]}
{"id": "e_4afdc80d52d8_q0", "domain": "Business", "question": "By 2026-08-11, what amount does the Indian Biogas Association project will be reduced in the gas import bill due to the GOBARdhan Scheme?", "options": ["$5 billion", "$10 billion", "$3 billion", "$2 billion"], "answer": "$5 billion", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 19, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_4afdc80d52d8", "event_date": "2026-08-09", "supporting_event": "Indian Biogas Association projects a reduction of $5 billion in the gas import bill due to the GOBARdhan Scheme.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_4afdc80d", "storyline": "GOBARdhan Scheme implementation", "linked_domains": ["Environment"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_1d060551bb3732aabe32", "t_d3c4959168c28e4b5f26"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "$5 billion", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the GOBARdhan Scheme can help reduce gas imports by USD 5 billion", "quote_doc_id": "t_4afdc80d52d89ae8a50f", "settling_ids": ["t_4afdc80d52d89ae8a50f", "t_9b9864750a944e93647e", "t_59e957bdfdf6c02c101e", "t_e1ecd97912ca0adb7286"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Indian Biogas Association", "GOBARdhan Scheme"]}
{"id": "e_4b32c6db9567_a0", "domain": "Business", "question": "What percentage did shares of Universal Music Group decline by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "23%", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "%", "modality_required": "A", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 8, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_4b32c6db9567", "event_date": "2026-07-29", "supporting_event": "Anthropic faced backlash in Silicon Valley over concerns about its product launches and advocacy for a closed AI ecosystem.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_4b32c6db", "storyline": "backlash against Anthropic", "linked_domains": ["Politics", "Technology"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_1a971fe7fd9bbbc933db", "t_93744b7e127eaa1f410c", "t_682397c6351168473ed6", "t_55183490776b3a7c6683"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "23%", "tolerance": null, "quote": "shares of Universal Music Group, the label behind Taylor Swift, Lady Gaga, and Bad Bunny, are down roughly 23% in Amsterdam following disappointing subscription and streaming revenue.", "quote_doc_id": "a_4db8820797e9fcccc4e4", "settling_ids": ["a_4db8820797e9fcccc4e4", "t_4b32c6db9567fa76c359", "t_ceff364e8e125f96309b"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Anthropic", "Silicon Valley"]}
{"id": "e_4b32c6db9567_q1", "domain": "Business", "question": "Who will publicly criticize Anthropic for not being candid in their communications by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "Dylan Field", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 8, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_4b32c6db9567", "event_date": "2026-07-29", "supporting_event": "Anthropic faced backlash in Silicon Valley over concerns about its product launches and advocacy for a closed AI ecosystem.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_4b32c6db", "storyline": "backlash against Anthropic", "linked_domains": ["Politics", "Technology"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_1a971fe7fd9bbbc933db", "t_93744b7e127eaa1f410c", "t_682397c6351168473ed6", "t_55183490776b3a7c6683"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "Dylan Field", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Figma Chief Executive Dylan Field said Anthropic hadn’t been 'consistently candid in their communications,' according to attendees of the event.", "quote_doc_id": "t_ceff364e8e125f96309b", "settling_ids": ["t_4b32c6db9567fa76c359", "t_ceff364e8e125f96309b", "a_4db8820797e9fcccc4e4"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Anthropic", "Silicon Valley"]}
{"id": "e_4b32c6db9567_q2", "domain": "Business", "question": "Will Anthropic face backlash over its advocacy for a closed AI ecosystem by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 8, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_4b32c6db9567", "event_date": "2026-07-29", "supporting_event": "Anthropic faced backlash in Silicon Valley over concerns about its product launches and advocacy for a closed AI ecosystem.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_4b32c6db", "storyline": "backlash against Anthropic", "linked_domains": ["Politics", "Technology"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_1a971fe7fd9bbbc933db", "t_93744b7e127eaa1f410c", "t_682397c6351168473ed6", "t_55183490776b3a7c6683"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "A backlash against Anthropic is brewing in Silicon Valley, rooted in concerns about the company’s product launches that compete with existing software providers and its advocacy for a closed AI ecosystem.", "quote_doc_id": "t_4b32c6db9567fa76c359", "settling_ids": ["t_4b32c6db9567fa76c359", "t_ceff364e8e125f96309b", "a_4db8820797e9fcccc4e4"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Anthropic", "Silicon Valley"]}
{"id": "e_4d7a57c09044_q0", "domain": "Business", "question": "Will Sanuwave Health, Inc. host a conference call to present its Q2 2026 financial results by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 17, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_4d7a57c09044", "event_date": "2026-08-07", "supporting_event": "Sanuwave Health, Inc. will host a conference call on August 7, 2026, to present its Q2 2026 financial results.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_4d7a57c0", "storyline": "Sanuwave Q2 2026 financial results presentation", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["d_98a9c3dc3eefd5e16f78", "t_4bbded03012a1aeb36c9", "d_25bb26d4b3e16744b008"], "precursor_modalities": ["D", "T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Sanuwave Will Host a Conference Call on August 7, 2026 at 8:30 AM (ET) to Present Q2 2026 Financial Results", "quote_doc_id": "t_4d7a57c090440eb3d8a5", "settling_ids": ["t_4d7a57c090440eb3d8a5", "t_93555b0a5dce65e3e3f7", "t_70e45c0fb4977d8d61bd"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Sanuwave Health, Inc."]}
{"id": "e_4d7a57c09044_q0_neg", "domain": "Business", "question": "Will Sanuwave Health, Inc. host a conference call to present its Q2 2026 financial results by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "No", "answer_type": "perturbed_binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 17, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_4d7a57c09044", "event_date": "2026-08-07", "supporting_event": "Sanuwave Health, Inc. will host a conference call on August 7, 2026, to present its Q2 2026 financial results.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_4d7a57c0", "storyline": "Sanuwave Q2 2026 financial results presentation", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["d_98a9c3dc3eefd5e16f78", "t_4bbded03012a1aeb36c9", "d_25bb26d4b3e16744b008"], "precursor_modalities": ["D", "T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "perturbed_binary", "value": "No", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Sanuwave Will Host a Conference Call on August 7, 2026 at 8:30 AM (ET) to Present Q2 2026 Financial Results", "quote_doc_id": "t_4d7a57c090440eb3d8a5", "settling_ids": ["t_4d7a57c090440eb3d8a5", "t_93555b0a5dce65e3e3f7", "t_70e45c0fb4977d8d61bd"], "derivation": "the event dated 2026-08-07 is after the shifted deadline 2026-08-04, so the claim is false at that deadline"}, "perturbation": {"field": "deadline", "original": "2026-08-11", "substituted": "2026-08-04", "v40_substituted": "2026-07-29"}, "paired_with": "e_4d7a57c09044_q0", "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Sanuwave Health, Inc."]}
{"id": "e_4e1efe315259_q0", "domain": "Business", "question": "What will be the price of 24 karat gold in India by 2026-08-04?", "options": ["Rs 14,460 per gram for 24 karat gold", "Rs 10,845 per gram for 18 karat gold", "Rs 1.42 lakh per 10 grams", "Rs 13,255 per gram for 22 karat gold"], "answer": "Rs 14,460 per gram for 24 karat gold", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 10, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_4e1efe315259", "event_date": "2026-07-31", "supporting_event": "Gold prices in India today stand at Rs 14,460 per gram for 24 karat gold.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_4e1efe31", "storyline": "gold price tracking", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_c33978f257b80c4b5c46", "t_29b01254a89b4520e14c", "t_06df4cbdee2437c039bb", "t_8f791f5dda28866d28c3", "t_0758380b92eeec54a559", "t_20876507678d2b384d42"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "Rs 14,460 per gram for 24 karat gold", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the gold price in India today stands at Rs ₹14,460 per gram for 24 carat gold", "quote_doc_id": "t_4e1efe3152593b3ec38e", "settling_ids": ["t_4e1efe3152593b3ec38e", "t_4855e1cb97aa23d654ce"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["gold"]}
{"id": "e_4ff641f5deca_d0", "domain": "Business", "question": "What will Flutter Entertainment plc's revenue globally for the quarter ended June 30, 2026 be by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "4,326m", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "million", "modality_required": "D", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 7, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_4ff641f5deca", "event_date": "2026-07-28", "supporting_event": "Gold prices fell by 0.6% on July 28, 2026.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_4ff641f5", "storyline": "Gold market fluctuations", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_c33978f257b80c4b5c46", "t_bd403c5b6087fb02e175", "t_778dd65e57950b2f2994", "t_360fe41babfc61acca51"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "4,326m", "tolerance": null, "quote": "$4,326m of revenue globally for the quarter ended June 30, 2026, up 3% YoY.", "quote_doc_id": "d_5a2dccc5fb179bbab759", "settling_ids": ["d_5a2dccc5fb179bbab759", "t_4ff641f5deca381bfd15", "t_e50289dc81828ae83f89"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Gold"]}
{"id": "e_4ff641f5deca_i0", "domain": "Business", "question": "What is the weight of the gold bar by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "250g", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 7, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_4ff641f5deca", "event_date": "2026-07-28", "supporting_event": "Gold prices fell by 0.6% on July 28, 2026.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_4ff641f5", "storyline": "Gold market fluctuations", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_c33978f257b80c4b5c46", "t_bd403c5b6087fb02e175", "t_778dd65e57950b2f2994", "t_360fe41babfc61acca51"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "250g", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_4ff641f5deca381bfd15_0", "settling_ids": ["t_4ff641f5deca381bfd15", "t_e50289dc81828ae83f89"], "visible_detail": "the weight of the gold bar, 250g"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Gold"]}
{"id": "e_5021e7150d0f_i0", "domain": "Business", "question": "What will be the value of the Japanese yen against the US dollar by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "1000 yen", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 10, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_5021e7150d0f", "event_date": "2026-07-31", "supporting_event": "The Japanese yen came under renewed pressure on July 31, 2026.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_0d4e8374", "storyline": "U.S.-Japanese currency intervention", "linked_domains": ["Geopolitics", "Law", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_7f7f684f8a00e643ebdf", "t_04f78b1679e7a7491be9", "t_f6dc1fa1440b89cdb21e", "t_4dbd5ae64d4e27030136", "t_d9d9b3a946c53f3c335c"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "1000 yen", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_5021e7150d0f558db075_0", "settling_ids": ["t_5021e7150d0f558db075", "t_10f9313baf46a795ae27"], "visible_detail": "1000 yen banknote"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Japanese yen", "Bank of Japan"]}
{"id": "e_55c377d92524_q0", "domain": "Business", "question": "Will CSOP Asset Management adopt a flexible leverage framework for its exchange-traded funds by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 13, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_55c377d92524", "event_date": "2026-08-03", "supporting_event": "CSOP Asset Management announced it will adopt a flexible leverage framework for 12 exchange-traded funds (ETFs) effective August 3.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_0f270ce9", "storyline": "South Korean chip market performance", "linked_domains": ["Environment", "Geopolitics", "Politics", "Technology"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_19d992c278e60853c3a5", "t_01a6c28b5a0ebc687c9e", "t_16cecf28df916c272842"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "CSOP Asset Management announced it will adopt a flexible leverage framework for 12 exchange-traded funds (ETFs), including those tracking Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix, after the city's securities regulator adjusted rules in an effort to smooth market volatility.", "quote_doc_id": "t_55c377d9252426b68c0c", "settling_ids": ["t_55c377d9252426b68c0c", "t_d337f1c1123e313c9bfa", "t_7cd94019013e41dbc62c"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["CSOP Asset Management", "Samsung Electronics", "SK Hynix"]}
{"id": "e_55c377d92524_q1", "domain": "Business", "question": "On what date will CSOP Asset Management implement the flexible leverage framework for its ETFs by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "2026-08-03", "answer_type": "date", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 13, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_55c377d92524", "event_date": "2026-08-03", "supporting_event": "CSOP Asset Management announced it will adopt a flexible leverage framework for 12 exchange-traded funds (ETFs) effective August 3.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_0f270ce9", "storyline": "South Korean chip market performance", "linked_domains": ["Environment", "Geopolitics", "Politics", "Technology"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_19d992c278e60853c3a5", "t_01a6c28b5a0ebc687c9e", "t_16cecf28df916c272842"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "date", "value": "2026-08-03", "tolerance": 1, "quote": "Effective August 3, the single-stock leveraged and inverse ETFs will adopt a 'flexible leverage structure', following the Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission's guidance last week on listed structured funds, CSOP said in a filing to the Hong Kong bourse on July 27.", "quote_doc_id": "t_55c377d9252426b68c0c", "settling_ids": ["t_55c377d9252426b68c0c", "t_d337f1c1123e313c9bfa", "t_7cd94019013e41dbc62c"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["CSOP Asset Management", "Samsung Electronics", "SK Hynix"]}
{"id": "e_55c377d92524_q2", "domain": "Business", "question": "What maximum leverage ratio will CSOP Asset Management allow for its flexible leverage framework for ETFs by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "2", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 13, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_55c377d92524", "event_date": "2026-08-03", "supporting_event": "CSOP Asset Management announced it will adopt a flexible leverage framework for 12 exchange-traded funds (ETFs) effective August 3.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_0f270ce9", "storyline": "South Korean chip market performance", "linked_domains": ["Environment", "Geopolitics", "Politics", "Technology"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_19d992c278e60853c3a5", "t_01a6c28b5a0ebc687c9e", "t_16cecf28df916c272842"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "2", "tolerance": 0.1, "quote": "the target leverage factor to be adjusted daily based on market conditions up to a maximum of two times", "quote_doc_id": "t_55c377d9252426b68c0c", "settling_ids": ["t_55c377d9252426b68c0c", "t_d337f1c1123e313c9bfa", "t_7cd94019013e41dbc62c"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["CSOP Asset Management", "Samsung Electronics", "SK Hynix"]}
{"id": "e_56ba82572055_q0", "domain": "Business", "question": "Will Phathom Pharmaceuticals report a significant increase in quarterly revenue for the second quarter of 2026 by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 9, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_56ba82572055", "event_date": "2026-07-30", "supporting_event": "Phathom Pharmaceuticals, Inc. reported second quarter 2026 financial results.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_56ba8257", "storyline": "Phathom Pharmaceuticals Q2 2026 financial results", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_28852d33473c5bf9eed9", "t_21808c19a74b6754c260"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "we have delivered on the pivot to focus our primary call point on gastroenterologists, substantially reduced our expenses, and nearly doubled quarterly revenue for Q2 of 2026 versus Q2 of 2025.", "quote_doc_id": "t_98320bdd522f5a0f195b", "settling_ids": ["t_98320bdd522f5a0f195b", "t_835515b44876b0614795", "t_c37f03c9f4d4a9598cbe", "t_96975ed00ef15582d365", "d_56ba8257205579523e45"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Phathom Pharmaceuticals, Inc."]}
{"id": "e_56ba82572055_q0_neg", "domain": "Business", "question": "Will Phathom Pharmaceuticals report a significant increase in quarterly revenue for the second quarter of 2026 by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "No", "answer_type": "perturbed_binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 9, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_56ba82572055", "event_date": "2026-07-30", "supporting_event": "Phathom Pharmaceuticals, Inc. reported second quarter 2026 financial results.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_56ba8257", "storyline": "Phathom Pharmaceuticals Q2 2026 financial results", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_28852d33473c5bf9eed9", "t_21808c19a74b6754c260"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "perturbed_binary", "value": "No", "tolerance": null, "quote": "we have delivered on the pivot to focus our primary call point on gastroenterologists, substantially reduced our expenses, and nearly doubled quarterly revenue for Q2 of 2026 versus Q2 of 2025.", "quote_doc_id": "t_98320bdd522f5a0f195b", "settling_ids": ["t_98320bdd522f5a0f195b", "t_835515b44876b0614795", "t_c37f03c9f4d4a9598cbe", "t_96975ed00ef15582d365", "d_56ba8257205579523e45"], "derivation": "the event dated 2026-07-30 is after the shifted deadline 2026-07-28, so the claim is false at that deadline"}, "perturbation": {"field": "deadline", "original": "2026-08-04", "substituted": "2026-07-28", "v40_substituted": "2026-07-25"}, "paired_with": "e_56ba82572055_q0", "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Phathom Pharmaceuticals, Inc."]}
{"id": "e_56ba82572055_q2", "domain": "Business", "question": "Who will be the President and Chief Executive Officer of Phathom Pharmaceuticals reporting the second quarter 2026 financial results by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "Steven Basta", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 9, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_56ba82572055", "event_date": "2026-07-30", "supporting_event": "Phathom Pharmaceuticals, Inc. reported second quarter 2026 financial results.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_56ba8257", "storyline": "Phathom Pharmaceuticals Q2 2026 financial results", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_28852d33473c5bf9eed9", "t_21808c19a74b6754c260"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "Steven Basta", "tolerance": null, "quote": "said Steven Basta, President and Chief Executive Officer of Phathom.", "quote_doc_id": "t_98320bdd522f5a0f195b", "settling_ids": ["t_98320bdd522f5a0f195b", "t_835515b44876b0614795", "t_c37f03c9f4d4a9598cbe", "t_96975ed00ef15582d365", "d_56ba8257205579523e45"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Phathom Pharmaceuticals, Inc."]}
{"id": "e_584e28f13cfd_d0", "domain": "Business", "question": "What will the annualized adjusted return on equity excluding foreign currency remeasurement be by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "16.6%", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "D", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 15, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_584e28f13cfd", "event_date": "2026-08-05", "supporting_event": "The U.S. dollar will hold firm in coming months before weakening later in the year.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_0d4e8374", "storyline": "U.S.-Japanese currency intervention", "linked_domains": ["Geopolitics", "Law", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_1b3b8638393f99f20a41", "t_3daf79a3b39fb5a50d11", "t_8dd9142d261abc6852fa", "t_f7d2f3f34d0e6aeb63c8"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "16.6%", "tolerance": null, "quote": "The annualized adjusted return on equity excluding foreign currency remeasurement* in the second quarter was 16.6%.", "quote_doc_id": "d_d032de798afb3637677e", "settling_ids": ["d_d032de798afb3637677e", "t_584e28f13cfd1def7728", "t_0c31cc4a0a74aee5b2b9"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["U.S. dollar", "Japanese yen", "Bank of Japan"]}
{"id": "e_5860db93f7b6_i0", "domain": "Business", "question": "What is the total amount of yen bought for euros by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "1000", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 11, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_5860db93f7b6", "event_date": "2026-08-01", "supporting_event": "The U.S. Treasury Department bought yen for euros.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_0d4e8374", "storyline": "U.S.-Japanese currency intervention", "linked_domains": ["Geopolitics", "Law", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_7e852624046ff0aba670", "t_9ed1e7a74235d7d2a56f", "t_5b37572b97cb22f6f235", "t_d9d9b3a946c53f3c335c"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "1000", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_5860db93f7b6a22229f6_0", "settling_ids": ["t_5860db93f7b6a22229f6", "t_22717dd145c46bb5e7b1"], "visible_detail": "the amount of yen shown in the photograph"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["U.S. Treasury Department", "yen", "euros"]}
{"id": "e_58fa600d9423_q0", "domain": "Business", "question": "Which of the following iPad models will have discounts available during the Amazon Great Freedom Sale by 2026-08-04?", "options": ["iPad Air M3 13-inch", "iPad Pro 12.9-inch", "iPad 10.2-inch", "iPad Mini 6"], "answer": "iPad Air M3 13-inch", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 11, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_58fa600d9423", "event_date": "2026-08-01", "supporting_event": "Apple is offering discounts on iPad models during the Amazon Great Freedom Sale.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_58fa600d", "storyline": "Amazon Great Freedom Sale 2026", "linked_domains": ["Technology"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_06d4602fe99a89df4563", "t_6b34d036d4e81d0e62c8", "t_df71268ab43b1448a73a"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "iPad Air M3 13-inch", "tolerance": null, "quote": "iPad Air M3 13-inch is available for just Rs 94,900. With exchange on Amazon, you can get a discount of up to Rs 33,050.", "quote_doc_id": "t_e0d3ac49f43e466af862", "settling_ids": ["t_58fa600d9423286fd5de", "t_e0d3ac49f43e466af862", "t_f7ad373ed9bdbaae5098", "t_620ac16a42139f3dcec2"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Apple", "iPad", "Amazon"]}
{"id": "e_5bef78193fb8_q0", "domain": "Business", "question": "Who will start coverage of SK Hynix with bullish ratings by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "six brokerages", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 14, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_5bef78193fb8", "event_date": "2026-08-04", "supporting_event": "SK Hynix shares rose 5% after six brokerages started coverage with bullish ratings.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_5bef7819", "storyline": "SK Hynix stock performance", "linked_domains": ["Technology"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_1bf5c931051095537074", "t_5baaaed5498e812340ca", "t_dc81daac1639dc5ec5b3", "t_8c4a4acd85aff986c98d", "t_162ea44300d0155d0f85"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "six brokerages", "tolerance": null, "quote": "At least six brokerages, including BofA Global Research, started coverage on SK Hynix with a 'buy'-equivalent rating.", "quote_doc_id": "t_5bef78193fb8b5ebcde4", "settling_ids": ["t_5bef78193fb8b5ebcde4", "t_eb5e4d31c24be3d428d3", "t_6f0957602a87f32f1a5a", "t_cd4e1650705747ad523a"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["SK Hynix", "BofA Global Research"]}
{"id": "e_5bef78193fb8_q1", "domain": "Business", "question": "What percentage will SK Hynix shares rise by after brokerages start coverage by 2026-08-04?", "options": ["8%", "3%", "5%", "10%"], "answer": "5%", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 14, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_5bef78193fb8", "event_date": "2026-08-04", "supporting_event": "SK Hynix shares rose 5% after six brokerages started coverage with bullish ratings.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_5bef7819", "storyline": "SK Hynix stock performance", "linked_domains": ["Technology"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_1bf5c931051095537074", "t_5baaaed5498e812340ca", "t_dc81daac1639dc5ec5b3", "t_8c4a4acd85aff986c98d", "t_162ea44300d0155d0f85"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "5%", "tolerance": null, "quote": "SK Hynix rose 5 per cent after six brokerages started coverage of the South Korean chipmaker with bullish ratings.", "quote_doc_id": "t_5bef78193fb8b5ebcde4", "settling_ids": ["t_5bef78193fb8b5ebcde4", "t_eb5e4d31c24be3d428d3", "t_6f0957602a87f32f1a5a", "t_cd4e1650705747ad523a"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["SK Hynix", "BofA Global Research"]}
{"id": "e_5c6ffc00bcca_a0", "domain": "Business", "question": "What is the number of active users OpenAI has by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "1 billion", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "A", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 9, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_5c6ffc00bcca", "event_date": "2026-07-30", "supporting_event": "OpenAI slashed prices of its low- and mid-tier AI models by up to 80% on July 30, 2026.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_5c6ffc00", "storyline": "OpenAI AI model pricing strategy", "linked_domains": ["Law", "Politics", "Technology"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["a_1017c48a0aece48bf0ad", "t_dd727577e495e6b8e437", "t_d3acc532bf545509c401", "t_c67f5be879a9bba06b57"], "precursor_modalities": ["A", "T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "1 billion", "tolerance": null, "quote": "OpenAI said it has more than 1 billion active users", "quote_doc_id": "a_55425864b0622c00e2cd", "settling_ids": ["a_55425864b0622c00e2cd", "t_5c6ffc00bccab519ac81", "t_4a4c882276f7c882f0ba", "t_3ac71cbd803629cd1296", "t_ca8d0477d15d490dcff5"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["OpenAI", "GPT-5.6 Luna", "Terra", "Sol", "Anthropic", "Claude"]}
{"id": "e_5c6ffc00bcca_q0", "domain": "Business", "question": "By how much will OpenAI reduce the price of its smaller GPT-5.6 Luna model by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "80", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "%", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 9, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_5c6ffc00bcca", "event_date": "2026-07-30", "supporting_event": "OpenAI slashed prices of its low- and mid-tier AI models by up to 80% on July 30, 2026.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_5c6ffc00", "storyline": "OpenAI AI model pricing strategy", "linked_domains": ["Law", "Politics", "Technology"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["a_1017c48a0aece48bf0ad", "t_dd727577e495e6b8e437", "t_d3acc532bf545509c401", "t_c67f5be879a9bba06b57"], "precursor_modalities": ["A", "T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "80", "tolerance": 0.05, "quote": "the cost of its smaller GPT-5.6 Luna model by 80 per cent", "quote_doc_id": "t_5c6ffc00bccab519ac81", "settling_ids": ["t_5c6ffc00bccab519ac81", "t_4a4c882276f7c882f0ba", "t_3ac71cbd803629cd1296", "t_ca8d0477d15d490dcff5", "d_6296bec392612c6ba170", "a_55425864b0622c00e2cd"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["OpenAI", "GPT-5.6 Luna", "Terra", "Sol", "Anthropic", "Claude"]}
{"id": "e_6018d31a0104_q1", "domain": "Business", "question": "Which South Korean conglomerate will be evaluating opportunities in the Indian insurance market by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "Hanwha Group", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 13, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_6018d31a0104", "event_date": "2026-08-03", "supporting_event": "Hanwha Group is evaluating opportunities in the Indian insurance market.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_6018d31a", "storyline": "global insurance expansion in India", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_0211c6c21fa1adc88b3c", "t_4d71bb56ac404a79b171"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "Hanwha Group", "tolerance": null, "quote": "South Korea’s Hanwha Group and South Africa’s Discovery amongst the most recent companies checking out chances.", "quote_doc_id": "t_6018d31a01040145f6da", "settling_ids": ["t_6018d31a01040145f6da", "t_10da165acb50b4fc12bf"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Hanwha Group", "Discovery", "India"]}
{"id": "e_615ddcbaa0cb_q0", "domain": "Business", "question": "Will Nvidia partner with major financial institutions to raise funds for AI infrastructure by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 20, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_615ddcbaa0cb", "event_date": "2026-08-10", "supporting_event": "Nvidia partnered with six major financial institutions to raise over $500 billion for AI infrastructure.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_615ddcba", "storyline": "Nvidia AI infrastructure financing initiative", "linked_domains": ["Technology"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_a35ea63af0beffa88e21", "t_762a03c1f0a187dfc1ad", "t_8586ee8a929488f82d20"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Nvidia said on Aug 10 it has partnered six major financial institutions to launch compute financing platforms aimed at raising more than US$500 billion (S$640 billion) in third-party capital for AI infrastructure.", "quote_doc_id": "t_615ddcbaa0cb82b066ef", "settling_ids": ["t_615ddcbaa0cb82b066ef", "t_2e0d8c88553f09517d42", "a_8df40e3e2df831a56d41"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Nvidia", "Apollo Global Management", "BlackRock", "Blackstone", "Brookfield Asset Management", "Goldman Sachs", "KKR"]}
{"id": "e_615ddcbaa0cb_q0_neg", "domain": "Business", "question": "Will Nvidia partner with major financial institutions to raise funds for AI infrastructure by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "No", "answer_type": "perturbed_binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 20, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_615ddcbaa0cb", "event_date": "2026-08-10", "supporting_event": "Nvidia partnered with six major financial institutions to raise over $500 billion for AI infrastructure.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_615ddcba", "storyline": "Nvidia AI infrastructure financing initiative", "linked_domains": ["Technology"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_a35ea63af0beffa88e21", "t_762a03c1f0a187dfc1ad", "t_8586ee8a929488f82d20"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "perturbed_binary", "value": "No", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Nvidia said on Aug 10 it has partnered six major financial institutions to launch compute financing platforms aimed at raising more than US$500 billion (S$640 billion) in third-party capital for AI infrastructure.", "quote_doc_id": "t_615ddcbaa0cb82b066ef", "settling_ids": ["t_615ddcbaa0cb82b066ef", "t_2e0d8c88553f09517d42", "a_8df40e3e2df831a56d41"], "derivation": "the event dated 2026-08-10 is after the shifted deadline 2026-08-04, so the claim is false at that deadline"}, "perturbation": {"field": "deadline", "original": "2026-08-11", "substituted": "2026-08-04", "v40_substituted": "2026-07-31"}, "paired_with": "e_615ddcbaa0cb_q0", "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Nvidia", "Apollo Global Management", "BlackRock", "Blackstone", "Brookfield Asset Management", "Goldman Sachs", "KKR"]}
{"id": "e_615ddcbaa0cb_q1", "domain": "Business", "question": "On what date will Nvidia announce its partnership with financial institutions to raise funds for AI infrastructure by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "2026-08-10", "answer_type": "date", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 20, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_615ddcbaa0cb", "event_date": "2026-08-10", "supporting_event": "Nvidia partnered with six major financial institutions to raise over $500 billion for AI infrastructure.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_615ddcba", "storyline": "Nvidia AI infrastructure financing initiative", "linked_domains": ["Technology"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_a35ea63af0beffa88e21", "t_762a03c1f0a187dfc1ad", "t_8586ee8a929488f82d20"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "date", "value": "2026-08-10", "tolerance": 1, "quote": "Nvidia said on Aug 10 it has partnered six major financial institutions to launch compute financing platforms aimed at raising more than US$500 billion (S$640 billion) in third-party capital for AI infrastructure.", "quote_doc_id": "t_615ddcbaa0cb82b066ef", "settling_ids": ["t_615ddcbaa0cb82b066ef", "t_2e0d8c88553f09517d42", "a_8df40e3e2df831a56d41"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Nvidia", "Apollo Global Management", "BlackRock", "Blackstone", "Brookfield Asset Management", "Goldman Sachs", "KKR"]}
{"id": "e_62ac591e63f1_d0", "domain": "Business", "question": "What is the pro-forma management leverage ratio that Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. expects to end 2026 with by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "4.1x", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "D", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 10, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_62ac591e63f1", "event_date": "2026-07-31", "supporting_event": "Apple forecasted slower sales growth for the current quarter ending in September due to supply constraints.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_62ac591e", "storyline": "Apple Q3 2026 earnings forecast", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_d02fc0563059c8b1fb01", "t_4c922812e33acbc14162", "t_e4996f5d160b89abb8d5", "t_0f2cd09aa79ce8119fe9"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "4.1x", "tolerance": null, "quote": "The Company expects to end 2026 with a pro-forma management leverage ratio of approximately 4.1x.", "quote_doc_id": "d_c2fbc4cce2b520242929", "settling_ids": ["d_c2fbc4cce2b520242929", "t_2a3c3f1339470ccf32bf", "t_62ac591e63f1b3a745f3", "t_6d7d76c6a812262146bb", "t_79749c681e0dab86faaf", "t_edf01f02ab2ad8fb0c96", "t_d7bc33d529ec4245dd25"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Apple"]}
{"id": "e_62ac591e63f1_q0", "domain": "Business", "question": "By 2026-08-04, will Apple forecast revenue growth for the current quarter ending in September to be less than 12%?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "numeric_threshold", "unit": "%", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 10, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_62ac591e63f1", "event_date": "2026-07-31", "supporting_event": "Apple forecasted slower sales growth for the current quarter ending in September due to supply constraints.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_62ac591e", "storyline": "Apple Q3 2026 earnings forecast", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_d02fc0563059c8b1fb01", "t_4c922812e33acbc14162", "t_e4996f5d160b89abb8d5", "t_0f2cd09aa79ce8119fe9"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_threshold", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Apple expects revenue growth of 9% to 11% in the quarter compared with a year earlier.", "quote_doc_id": "t_62ac591e63f1b3a745f3", "settling_ids": ["t_62ac591e63f1b3a745f3", "t_6d7d76c6a812262146bb", "t_79749c681e0dab86faaf", "t_edf01f02ab2ad8fb0c96", "d_c2fbc4cce2b520242929"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Apple"]}
{"id": "e_65c53e6b1ab3_q0", "domain": "Business", "question": "What will be the approximate capital spending reported by SpaceX for its artificial intelligence business by 2026-08-04?", "options": ["$10 billion", "$18.4 billion", "$15 billion", "$20 billion"], "answer": "$18.4 billion", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": "USD", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 14, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_65c53e6b1ab3", "event_date": "2026-08-04", "supporting_event": "SpaceX disclosed higher-than-expected spending of about $18.4 billion on its artificial intelligence business.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_65c53e6b", "storyline": "SpaceX quarterly earnings report Q2 2026", "linked_domains": ["Technology"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_acdfefc55573c1afd494", "t_3f0bee2d948d5cf7742d", "t_9bb08a350b34ffb3d443", "t_3c0026ce892c94a606ba"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "$18.4 billion", "tolerance": null, "quote": "capital spending jumped to about US$18.4 billion", "quote_doc_id": "t_65c53e6b1ab36c31a58b", "settling_ids": ["t_65c53e6b1ab36c31a58b", "t_3f500628541b005614b6"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["SpaceX", "Elon Musk"]}
{"id": "e_6653846616b2_q2", "domain": "Business", "question": "How much will DII holdings in Nifty-500 companies increase to by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "21", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "%", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 16, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_6653846616b2", "event_date": "2026-08-06", "supporting_event": "Domestic institutional investors (DIIs) increased their holdings in Nifty-500 companies to a record high of 21%.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_66538466", "storyline": "DII ownership trends in Indian equity market", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_c138b409bb909f14d293", "t_72ca00a369b6f639a17f"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "21", "tolerance": 0, "quote": "DII holdings in Nifty-500 companies rising to a record high of 21 per cent", "quote_doc_id": "t_6653846616b280f27a83", "settling_ids": ["t_6653846616b280f27a83", "t_9ae6d277c6a6053c1e56", "t_4826382cb7c6c4f23903", "t_a41ffccb4c055e5cfb42"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Domestic institutional investors", "Nifty-500 companies"]}
{"id": "e_668616f766bf_q0", "domain": "Business", "question": "What percentage of stakes is FIFA planning to sell in its new commercial subsidiary by 2026-07-28?", "options": ["10%", "25%", "15%", "20%"], "answer": "20%", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 7, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_668616f766bf", "event_date": "2026-07-28", "supporting_event": "FIFA proposed to sell stakes of up to 20 percent in a $20 billion commercial subsidiary.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_668616f7", "storyline": "FIFA investment plan", "linked_domains": ["Politics", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_13c9afc54d962891144b", "t_f389bf7478d6abc93c63", "t_9c85100424737d59f63d", "t_b1fb3985caaf77798a80"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "20%", "tolerance": null, "quote": "FIFA said on Tuesday that it plans to create a $20 billion subsidiary to run the World Cup and its other events, offering stakes of up to 20% in it to external investors.", "quote_doc_id": "t_668616f766bf5c6b0be6", "settling_ids": ["t_668616f766bf5c6b0be6", "t_774d5c5e4eaee6f323aa", "t_d6df6d50f1aced160d21", "t_6fcd9343b6527bb170a9", "d_483edacbdd11d978af4d"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["FIFA"]}
{"id": "e_687dbb91739c_q1", "domain": "Business", "question": "What will Airbnb, Inc.'s Q2 2026 revenue be by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "3600000000", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "USD", "modality_required": "D", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 16, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_687dbb91739c", "event_date": "2026-08-06", "supporting_event": "Airbnb, Inc. reported Q2 2026 revenue of $3.6 billion.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_687dbb91", "storyline": "Airbnb Q2 2026 financial results", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_bf943afb8615df192ecc", "t_d9819933c0a6abb20963", "t_eddf809246f7578e5a1d"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "3600000000", "tolerance": 0.05, "quote": "Revenue grew 17% year-over-year to $3.6 billion.", "quote_doc_id": "d_687dbb91739c18185683", "settling_ids": ["t_0c7d88f429668c661ffc", "t_9fea7700527a04c58604", "t_f30c772db22a8998442d", "d_687dbb91739c18185683"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Airbnb, Inc.", "ABNB"]}
{"id": "e_6ac8a6fa5264_i0", "domain": "Business", "question": "What will the KOSPI index value be by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "6,134.77", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 7, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_6ac8a6fa5264", "event_date": "2026-07-28", "supporting_event": "Asian semiconductor stocks fell sharply on July 28, 2026.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_0f270ce9", "storyline": "South Korean chip market performance", "linked_domains": ["Environment", "Geopolitics", "Politics", "Technology"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_948c6f7f08583c03966f", "t_5a2407c48d6de264623b", "t_8c3fc0cceb6bc15f367f", "t_8506fcdeec992d7f138d", "t_994adf034cd9b9b12111", "t_eb7ba772b67c1c7b6c4a"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "6,134.77", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_6ac8a6fa526401d08bd1_0", "settling_ids": ["t_6ac8a6fa526401d08bd1", "t_d0e198219448d947244d"], "visible_detail": "KOSPI 6,134.77"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Asian semiconductor stocks", "Samsung Electronics", "SK hynix", "Kioxia Holdings"]}
{"id": "e_6e79443ad029_d0", "domain": "Business", "question": "What is the maximum time Fidelity quoted for the in-kind distribution to be completed by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "ten business days", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": "business days", "modality_required": "D", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 8, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_6e79443ad029", "event_date": "2026-07-29", "supporting_event": "Goldman Sachs estimated that 8-12% of India's non-agricultural employment is at risk of substitution due to Generative Artificial Intelligence.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_6e79443a", "storyline": "Generative Artificial Intelligence impact on employment", "linked_domains": ["Technology"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_5a7331157e65e6ef9a12", "t_15039cc228a4f1ad9f6d"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "ten business days", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Fidelity would quote Kelly up to seven to ten business days", "quote_doc_id": "d_2c29a267e780ac4cb6f1", "settling_ids": ["d_2c29a267e780ac4cb6f1", "t_6b51cf6c890fa47f9d1d", "t_6e79443ad02983a2c1ac", "t_2456bd12439a04df0ad6", "t_27f39c2ac91ecac75e70"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Goldman Sachs", "India"]}
{"id": "e_6e79443ad029_q0", "domain": "Business", "question": "Will Goldman Sachs estimate that a percentage of India's non-agricultural employment is at risk of substitution due to Generative Artificial Intelligence by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 8, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_6e79443ad029", "event_date": "2026-07-29", "supporting_event": "Goldman Sachs estimated that 8-12% of India's non-agricultural employment is at risk of substitution due to Generative Artificial Intelligence.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_6e79443a", "storyline": "Generative Artificial Intelligence impact on employment", "linked_domains": ["Technology"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_5a7331157e65e6ef9a12", "t_15039cc228a4f1ad9f6d"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "we estimate 8-12 per cent of non-agricultural employment is at risk of substitution", "quote_doc_id": "t_6e79443ad02983a2c1ac", "settling_ids": ["t_6e79443ad02983a2c1ac", "t_2456bd12439a04df0ad6", "t_6b51cf6c890fa47f9d1d", "t_27f39c2ac91ecac75e70", "d_5b3dde0493ab1cc68202", "d_2c29a267e780ac4cb6f1"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Goldman Sachs", "India"]}
{"id": "e_6e79443ad029_q0_neg", "domain": "Business", "question": "Will Goldman Sachs estimate that a percentage of India's non-agricultural employment is at risk of substitution due to Generative Artificial Intelligence by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "No", "answer_type": "perturbed_binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 8, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_6e79443ad029", "event_date": "2026-07-29", "supporting_event": "Goldman Sachs estimated that 8-12% of India's non-agricultural employment is at risk of substitution due to Generative Artificial Intelligence.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_6e79443a", "storyline": "Generative Artificial Intelligence impact on employment", "linked_domains": ["Technology"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_5a7331157e65e6ef9a12", "t_15039cc228a4f1ad9f6d"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "perturbed_binary", "value": "No", "tolerance": null, "quote": "we estimate 8-12 per cent of non-agricultural employment is at risk of substitution", "quote_doc_id": "t_6e79443ad02983a2c1ac", "settling_ids": ["t_6e79443ad02983a2c1ac", "t_2456bd12439a04df0ad6", "t_6b51cf6c890fa47f9d1d", "t_27f39c2ac91ecac75e70", "d_5b3dde0493ab1cc68202", "d_2c29a267e780ac4cb6f1"], "derivation": "the event dated 2026-07-29 is after the shifted deadline 2026-07-28, so the claim is false at that deadline"}, "perturbation": {"field": "deadline", "original": "2026-08-04", "substituted": "2026-07-28", "v40_substituted": "2026-07-25"}, "paired_with": "e_6e79443ad029_q0", "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Goldman Sachs", "India"]}
{"id": "e_6e79443ad029_q2", "domain": "Business", "question": "How many percent of India's non-agricultural employment will Goldman Sachs estimate is at risk of substitution due to Generative Artificial Intelligence by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "8-12", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "%", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 8, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_6e79443ad029", "event_date": "2026-07-29", "supporting_event": "Goldman Sachs estimated that 8-12% of India's non-agricultural employment is at risk of substitution due to Generative Artificial Intelligence.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_6e79443a", "storyline": "Generative Artificial Intelligence impact on employment", "linked_domains": ["Technology"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_5a7331157e65e6ef9a12", "t_15039cc228a4f1ad9f6d"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "8-12", "tolerance": 0.05, "quote": "we estimate 8-12 per cent of non-agricultural employment is at risk of substitution", "quote_doc_id": "t_6b51cf6c890fa47f9d1d", "settling_ids": ["t_6e79443ad02983a2c1ac", "t_2456bd12439a04df0ad6", "t_6b51cf6c890fa47f9d1d", "t_27f39c2ac91ecac75e70", "d_5b3dde0493ab1cc68202", "d_2c29a267e780ac4cb6f1"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Goldman Sachs", "India"]}
{"id": "e_702fcb609de8_q0", "domain": "Business", "question": "What will the merchant-funded Merchant Discount Rate (MDR) for UPI transactions likely be if the government permits such charges by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "30-40 basis points (bps)", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "bps", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 15, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_702fcb609de8", "event_date": "2026-08-05", "supporting_event": "Bernstein reported that a merchant-funded MDR of 30-40 basis points is the most likely outcome if the government decides to permit such charges on UPI transactions.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_702fcb60", "storyline": "UPI monetisation discussions", "linked_domains": ["Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_134382b774ea3846800a", "t_accd5391410f5949e52d", "t_070f643a108eecd4219f"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "30-40 basis points (bps)", "tolerance": null, "quote": "a merchant-funded MDR of 30-40 basis points (bps) appears to be the most likely outcome if the government decides to permit such charges.", "quote_doc_id": "t_702fcb609de8c3e337d4", "settling_ids": ["t_702fcb609de8c3e337d4", "t_5379c2cc34c40e290e11", "t_c8bbc1d32ffab1389826", "t_b108682ae11fdb76b8f3"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Bernstein", "Unified Payments Interface", "UPI"]}
{"id": "e_702fcb609de8_q2", "domain": "Business", "question": "Will consumers be required to pay any charges if a Merchant Discount Rate (MDR) is introduced for UPI transactions by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "No", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 15, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_702fcb609de8", "event_date": "2026-08-05", "supporting_event": "Bernstein reported that a merchant-funded MDR of 30-40 basis points is the most likely outcome if the government decides to permit such charges on UPI transactions.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_702fcb60", "storyline": "UPI monetisation discussions", "linked_domains": ["Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_134382b774ea3846800a", "t_accd5391410f5949e52d", "t_070f643a108eecd4219f"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "No", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the charges are likely to be borne by merchants while remaining free for consumers", "quote_doc_id": "t_702fcb609de8c3e337d4", "settling_ids": ["t_702fcb609de8c3e337d4", "t_5379c2cc34c40e290e11", "t_c8bbc1d32ffab1389826", "t_b108682ae11fdb76b8f3"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Bernstein", "Unified Payments Interface", "UPI"]}
{"id": "e_7031d753d9f8_i0", "domain": "Business", "question": "What is the number of the truck involved in the operation by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "104", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 14, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_7031d753d9f8", "event_date": "2026-08-04", "supporting_event": "BP reported profits more than doubled to $3.9 billion in the second quarter.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_7031d753", "storyline": "Big oil companies' financial results Q2 2026", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_88668970a71c515dd253", "t_22ce4c74a087b1e5c358"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "104", "tolerance": null, "quote": "WATCH: Some of Canada's highest-profile energy companies have reported huge earnings for the second quarter of this fiscal year. However, as Skylar Peters reports, analysts say it's not all tied to rising energy prices.", "quote_doc_id": "i_d28fe0dd50cf89184f14_1", "settling_ids": ["t_d28fe0dd50cf89184f14", "t_7031d753d9f8c89869ed", "t_c4c29a6e8e66b4332e4f", "t_e9ec08be8b28373cb141"], "visible_detail": "the number 104 on the truck"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["BP"]}
{"id": "e_7040edd096e9_q1", "domain": "Business", "question": "By how much will Nvidia increase the prices of its RTX 50 lineup by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "20", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "%", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 7, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_7040edd096e9", "event_date": "2026-07-28", "supporting_event": "Nvidia increased prices of its RTX 50 lineup by up to 20%.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_132c2bbb", "storyline": "GPU price adjustments", "linked_domains": ["Technology"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_4c922812e33acbc14162", "t_ac285925ce96be37ed9c"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "20", "tolerance": 0.05, "quote": "some models rising by as much as 20% in a single week", "quote_doc_id": "t_552d0d990e1c3d407b36", "settling_ids": ["t_7040edd096e92c995ed9", "t_552d0d990e1c3d407b36"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Nvidia", "AMD", "RTX 50"]}
{"id": "e_70bf2c5ad17a_q0", "domain": "Business", "question": "How much revenue growth will HCL Technologies Ltd achieve in constant currency for FY27 by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "1-4%", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 14, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_70bf2c5ad17a", "event_date": "2026-08-04", "supporting_event": "HCL Technologies Ltd has reorganized its technology services business around industry verticals.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_70bf2c5a", "storyline": "HCL Technologies leadership restructuring", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_7fbf14053b985fcce6ec", "t_3825f302f402c888da2b", "t_0157f037df3fdf07c5c2"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "1-4%", "tolerance": null, "quote": "HCLTech expects revenue growth of 1-4% in constant currency this fiscal year (FY27)", "quote_doc_id": "t_70bf2c5ad17ab799bac7", "settling_ids": ["t_70bf2c5ad17ab799bac7", "t_75deedacfae69d527b0c"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["HCL Technologies Ltd"]}
{"id": "e_70bf2c5ad17a_q1", "domain": "Business", "question": "Who will lead the newly created industry-focused teams at HCL Technologies Ltd by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "Kristina Rogers, Pankaj Tagra, and Upjit Ghuman", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 14, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_70bf2c5ad17a", "event_date": "2026-08-04", "supporting_event": "HCL Technologies Ltd has reorganized its technology services business around industry verticals.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_70bf2c5a", "storyline": "HCL Technologies leadership restructuring", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_7fbf14053b985fcce6ec", "t_3825f302f402c888da2b", "t_0157f037df3fdf07c5c2"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "Kristina Rogers, Pankaj Tagra, and Upjit Ghuman", "tolerance": null, "quote": "HCLTech launched fresh industry-focused teams for areas like Retail and CPG, Mobility, and Business Process Operations, now led by Kristina Rogers, Pankaj Tagra, and Upjit Ghuman.", "quote_doc_id": "t_75deedacfae69d527b0c", "settling_ids": ["t_70bf2c5ad17ab799bac7", "t_75deedacfae69d527b0c"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["HCL Technologies Ltd"]}
{"id": "e_73b3c957723c_q0", "domain": "Business", "question": "Will Himachal Pradesh's apple crop experience a decline in 2026 by more than 20% by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 17, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_73b3c957723c", "event_date": "2026-08-07", "supporting_event": "Himachal Pradesh's apple crop is projected to drop by about 30%.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_73b3c957", "storyline": "2026 Himachal Pradesh apple production", "linked_domains": ["Environment", "Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_a4a13d0843e1c1f438d6", "t_1eb08dca506a5f6c3fe0", "t_de6f25adc319bb2aea4d"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Himachal Pradesh's apple crop is projected to drop by about 30%", "quote_doc_id": "t_a9125bec90ebdc59ad7a", "settling_ids": ["t_73b3c957723c3001edf5", "t_a9125bec90ebdc59ad7a"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Himachal Pradesh", "apples"]}
{"id": "e_73b3c957723c_q0_neg", "domain": "Business", "question": "Will Himachal Pradesh's apple crop experience a decline in 2026 by more than 20% by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "No", "answer_type": "perturbed_binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 17, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_73b3c957723c", "event_date": "2026-08-07", "supporting_event": "Himachal Pradesh's apple crop is projected to drop by about 30%.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_73b3c957", "storyline": "2026 Himachal Pradesh apple production", "linked_domains": ["Environment", "Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_a4a13d0843e1c1f438d6", "t_1eb08dca506a5f6c3fe0", "t_de6f25adc319bb2aea4d"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "perturbed_binary", "value": "No", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Himachal Pradesh's apple crop is projected to drop by about 30%", "quote_doc_id": "t_a9125bec90ebdc59ad7a", "settling_ids": ["t_73b3c957723c3001edf5", "t_a9125bec90ebdc59ad7a"], "derivation": "the event dated 2026-08-07 is after the shifted deadline 2026-08-04, so the claim is false at that deadline"}, "perturbation": {"field": "deadline", "original": "2026-08-11", "substituted": "2026-08-04", "v40_substituted": "2026-07-29"}, "paired_with": "e_73b3c957723c_q0", "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Himachal Pradesh", "apples"]}
{"id": "e_73b3c957723c_q2", "domain": "Business", "question": "How much will the apple production in Himachal Pradesh drop in 2026, measured in metric tons, by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "493465", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "metric tons", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 17, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_73b3c957723c", "event_date": "2026-08-07", "supporting_event": "Himachal Pradesh's apple crop is projected to drop by about 30%.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_73b3c957", "storyline": "2026 Himachal Pradesh apple production", "linked_domains": ["Environment", "Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_a4a13d0843e1c1f438d6", "t_1eb08dca506a5f6c3fe0", "t_de6f25adc319bb2aea4d"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "493465", "tolerance": 0, "quote": "The state is expected to produce only 493,465 metric tons in 2026", "quote_doc_id": "t_a9125bec90ebdc59ad7a", "settling_ids": ["t_73b3c957723c3001edf5", "t_a9125bec90ebdc59ad7a"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Himachal Pradesh", "apples"]}
{"id": "e_73dcc3d6eab2_i0", "domain": "Business", "question": "What is the price of 24K gold by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "Rs 2,000 increase", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 21, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_73dcc3d6eab2", "event_date": "2026-08-11", "supporting_event": "The price of 24K gold increased by Rs 2,000 on August 11, 2026.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_73dcc3d6", "storyline": "gold price fluctuations", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_2cd81c32287f42656f01", "t_06df4cbdee2437c039bb", "t_8f791f5dda28866d28c3", "t_0758380b92eeec54a559", "t_20876507678d2b384d42"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "Rs 2,000 increase", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Check out gold and silver prices in your city today. (August 10)(AFP)", "quote_doc_id": "i_8132733e2f691762fc28_1", "settling_ids": ["t_8132733e2f691762fc28", "t_061b0574b3fd665f3222", "t_63ba57f01ccf920938b2", "t_73dcc3d6eab2b1bb0efa", "t_48ce6a9630fb56098b6f", "t_629ebcc8f2e3844bbb2c"], "visible_detail": "the gold and silver bars being held"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["gold"]}
{"id": "e_7542effe5e55_i0", "domain": "Business", "question": "What is the value of the U.S. dollar against the Euro by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "100 Euro", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 20, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_7542effe5e55", "event_date": "2026-08-10", "supporting_event": "The U.S. dollar hovered near a two-month low against major currencies on August 10, 2026.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_0d4e8374", "storyline": "U.S.-Japanese currency intervention", "linked_domains": ["Geopolitics", "Law", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_3027b5666082f58a5270", "t_9b9b40e3b34bca7425da", "t_e4aab5107af85682af8c", "t_5000e29db2ab1871ee7c", "t_3862f60f8d6032226c85", "t_a9da0e1358bc4f216d37", "t_28d3cbab30bf328a3b81"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "100 Euro", "tolerance": null, "quote": "FILE PHOTO: U.S. dollar, Euro, Yen, Pound, Turkish Lira, Yuan banknotes are seen in this illustration taken March 24, 2026. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File Photo", "quote_doc_id": "i_f399026a1f4a39e58bd9_1", "settling_ids": ["t_f399026a1f4a39e58bd9", "t_7542effe5e5576fa05f9", "t_78403a68950e57fc2f35", "t_751819eaa141f647ebce"], "visible_detail": "the denominations of various banknotes including U.S. dollar, Euro, Yen, Pound, Turkish Lira, Yuan"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["U.S. dollar", "Federal Reserve"]}
{"id": "e_75f3ca84a3dd_q0", "domain": "Business", "question": "How much will American tech giants' capital spending on data centres be this year?", "options": ["$740bn", "$500bn", "$800bn", "$600bn"], "answer": "$740bn", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": "billion", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 14, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_75f3ca84a3dd", "event_date": "2026-08-04", "supporting_event": "American tech giants' capital spending on data centres may surpass $740bn this year.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_75f3ca84", "storyline": "2026 AI investment trends", "linked_domains": ["Technology"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_6b96ffeaf29d142cfa90", "t_70cfc0add54853c7e4ac", "t_12b7f2dc79bf2ae48be3"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "$740bn", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Their capital spending on data centres may surpass $740bn this year, according to Bloomberg Intelligence, a research firm.", "quote_doc_id": "t_24d804994b75376bb9ac", "settling_ids": ["t_75f3ca84a3dd2be26b0e", "t_24d804994b75376bb9ac"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["American tech giants", "Bloomberg Intelligence"]}
{"id": "e_76465a1bb3d8_i0", "domain": "Business", "question": "What is the price of gold per troy ounce by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "4325", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 15, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_76465a1bb3d8", "event_date": "2026-08-05", "supporting_event": "Gold and silver prices increased on August 5, 2026, with gold rising $173 to $4,325 per troy ounce and silver climbing $2.74 to $63 per troy ounce.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_76465a1b", "storyline": "US-Iran diplomatic talks impact on precious metals market", "linked_domains": ["Geopolitics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_3ca17bcd60d43d6872f6", "t_b530f2216d217fa41742"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "4325", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_76465a1bb3d893b37510_0", "settling_ids": ["t_76465a1bb3d893b37510", "t_3aa6d7d15297f12df329"], "visible_detail": "the gold and silver bars labeled with their weights and purity"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["gold", "silver", "Comex"]}
{"id": "e_76e9a5017a0f_q1", "domain": "Business", "question": "What will be the value of Brent crude futures by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "79.62", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "USD", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 15, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_76e9a5017a0f", "event_date": "2026-08-05", "supporting_event": "Brent crude futures rose to $79.62 a barrel.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_0122457a", "storyline": "oil market fluctuations", "linked_domains": ["Geopolitics", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_fab094d89e4b3f2535b1", "t_f60fd6539f6c380df97d", "t_542a2b3db9b2641485b1", "t_a16f7159536ab956c885"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "79.62", "tolerance": 0.05, "quote": "Brent crude futures rose 26 cents, or about 0.33 per cent, to $79.62 a barrel by 0110 GMT.", "quote_doc_id": "t_76e9a5017a0ffb8b9a80", "settling_ids": ["t_76e9a5017a0ffb8b9a80", "t_dadd6da4008f33f1d4b3"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Brent crude futures"]}
{"id": "e_77287bb5e08c_q1", "domain": "Business", "question": "Who will lead the funding round for River AI by 2026-08-11?", "options": ["Sequoia Capital", "General Catalyst", "Accel Partners", "Andreessen Horowitz"], "answer": "General Catalyst", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 21, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_77287bb5e08c", "event_date": "2026-08-11", "supporting_event": "River AI raised $1.1 billion to expand custom AI tools.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_77287bb5", "storyline": "River AI funding round", "linked_domains": ["Technology"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_3782f19b37282b8458b2", "t_1638e7a01cd36b551701", "t_3be3fd7a41b75cd3185b"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "General Catalyst", "tolerance": null, "quote": "The fundraise was led by General Catalyst and AMP PBC.", "quote_doc_id": "t_77287bb5e08cac34a4ce", "settling_ids": ["t_77287bb5e08cac34a4ce", "t_87d8ce43d8db500c6c33"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["River AI", "Igor Babuschkin", "General Catalyst", "AMP PBC", "Nvidia", "AMD Ventures", "Y Combinator", "Temasek"]}
{"id": "e_773de6509f17_i0", "domain": "Business", "question": "What will be the value of the yen against the dollar by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "10000", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 3, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_773de6509f17", "event_date": "2026-07-24", "supporting_event": "The yen recorded its largest weekly percentage decline in over two months.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_0d4e8374", "storyline": "U.S.-Japanese currency intervention", "linked_domains": ["Geopolitics", "Law", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_6c99fde630b8f64cb711", "t_7e852624046ff0aba670", "t_9ed1e7a74235d7d2a56f", "t_04f78b1679e7a7491be9", "t_ce8dc501a7d671299419", "t_d9d9b3a946c53f3c335c"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "10000", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_5537c00aa655f82a961d_0", "settling_ids": ["t_5537c00aa655f82a961d", "t_773de6509f173e1429ae", "t_d95d4dc5262a54e889d0", "t_86ac7f94bfac9f7b2ecb", "t_ea049e889d74ab66a157", "t_7e7f8e7ddce80ee5829e"], "visible_detail": "the denomination of the yen note showing '10000'"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["yen"]}
{"id": "e_77a164191b51_q1", "domain": "Business", "question": "What will be the expected share allotment date for the Indo-MIM IPO by 2026-07-28?", "options": ["July 27, 2026", "July 28, 2026", "July 29, 2026", "July 30, 2026"], "answer": "July 28, 2026", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 7, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_77a164191b51", "event_date": "2026-07-28", "supporting_event": "Indo-MIM finalized the basis of allotment of its shares on July 28, 2026.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_77a16419", "storyline": "Indo-MIM IPO", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_1991d5d80eecfd26310b", "t_749c7dc38c5dc9455663", "t_05499e9d2d20c91278e9", "t_1ab11de7e0a79d21cc46"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "July 28, 2026", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Indo-MIM's IPO share allotment status was also made public on 28th July 2026.", "quote_doc_id": "t_77a164191b5135025d9d", "settling_ids": ["t_77a164191b5135025d9d", "t_f0d06b3a052b6cdd753e", "t_bf4115e2d9540bafbef3", "t_87c5ef406dece43f76c7"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Indo-MIM"]}
{"id": "e_7810bfe552de_q0", "domain": "Business", "question": "Who will buy a penthouse at DLF's The Dahlias in Gurugram for a significant amount by 2026-08-11?", "options": ["Anil Ambani", "Manav Sardana", "Madhusudan Murlidhar Kela", "Shikhar Dhawan"], "answer": "Manav Sardana", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 20, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_7810bfe552de", "event_date": "2026-08-10", "supporting_event": "Manav Sardana bought a penthouse for ₹271 crore at DLF's The Dahlias in Gurugram.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_7810bfe5", "storyline": "DLF luxury housing sales", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_578969c3c0967a0a8636", "t_8b3775868b6a11c5542f", "t_c4f6521429e97d17d913"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "Manav Sardana", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Entrepreneur Manav Sardana has bought a penthouse in DLF’s ultra-luxury residential project The Dahlias in Gurugram for ₹271 crore.", "quote_doc_id": "t_7810bfe552de4d6fa2f7", "settling_ids": ["t_7810bfe552de4d6fa2f7", "t_f016e929aecb232076dd", "t_5aa684bcfb2eafc0d130", "t_56d109e7b5951d0ebc33"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Manav Sardana", "DLF", "The Dahlias", "Gurugram"]}
{"id": "e_79624b276910_q2", "domain": "Business", "question": "Who will announce the increase in Alphabet's capital expenditures forecast for 2026 by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "Anat Ashkenazi", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 1, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_79624b276910", "event_date": "2026-07-22", "supporting_event": "Alphabet increased its capital expenditures forecast for 2026 to between $195 billion and $205 billion.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_79624b27", "storyline": "Alphabet 2026 capital expenditures planning", "linked_domains": ["Law", "Technology"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_6b96ffeaf29d142cfa90", "t_fbc08f2e2124085fd7cd", "t_a72b78dab80e9c2a5870"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "Anat Ashkenazi", "tolerance": null, "quote": "its finance chief Anat Ashkenazi said on a conference call with analysts", "quote_doc_id": "t_79624b276910e5d816b8", "settling_ids": ["t_79624b276910e5d816b8", "t_c6ee77f56f2aff7c324c", "t_7cb95b346dd10fccf971", "t_8111f77ec38fcf0cafcd"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Alphabet", "Anat Ashkenazi"]}
{"id": "e_79a9d436da78_i0", "domain": "Business", "question": "What will the Sensex index value be by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "19652.00", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 13, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_79a9d436da78", "event_date": "2026-08-03", "supporting_event": "Sensex gained 544.39 points on August 3, 2026.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_031ec5d1", "storyline": "Indian stock market performance", "linked_domains": ["Environment", "Geopolitics", "Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_6c5fd54d19da48839c20", "t_5b21af7501d1f7947174", "t_6df6c55ead8c4b417540", "t_18015873ca1b46a66ec2", "t_2a6438ce3059982ba57a", "t_344a9e3d63454bf1e106"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "19652.00", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_f2bc0a11102bf07ae09b_0", "settling_ids": ["t_f2bc0a11102bf07ae09b", "t_cd227edc3b5dcb010d47", "t_54a3b9d0285fbca10e1c", "t_79a9d436da78d65c5f80", "t_36e0fd34b73957fa127c", "t_533af3e92158e382397e"], "visible_detail": "the index value of 19652.00 on the screen"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Sensex"]}
{"id": "e_7a5b55ecb5f8_q0", "domain": "Business", "question": "Who will break Samsung's domestic preorder record for foldable smartphones by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "Galaxy Z8 foldables", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 14, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_7a5b55ecb5f8", "event_date": "2026-08-04", "supporting_event": "Samsung's new foldables broke preorder records with 1.44 million units in Korea.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_7a5b55ec", "storyline": "Samsung Galaxy Z8 preorder campaign", "linked_domains": ["Technology"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_8f0b8aaa4f535104aa9c", "t_b03f727d3f28c7caf2dd", "t_3d2ea3388d63e87b52e5"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "Galaxy Z8 foldables", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Samsung's new foldables just broke a record that's stood since 2019", "quote_doc_id": "t_7a5b55ecb5f8d521468e", "settling_ids": ["t_7a5b55ecb5f8d521468e", "t_2e46358581d1317c1d35", "t_5a69eb35d86b5f7cf7fe"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Samsung", "Galaxy Z8", "Galaxy Z Fold 8", "Galaxy Z Flip 8"]}
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{"id": "e_7b59f9609194_v0", "domain": "Business", "question": "What is the number of deaths reported in the Colombia earthquake by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "224", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "V", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 10, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_7b59f9609194", "event_date": "2026-07-31", "supporting_event": "Ngozi Okonjo-Iweala urged Africa to invest in AI and renewable energy opportunities.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_7b59f960", "storyline": "7th Africa Emerging Markets Forum", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_e73c0a58d68e04ec5c7d", "t_4359c5ce21adfc810b38", "t_8bfbcecac05e4a94c01f", "t_d574e7a12c43f8961b6b"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "224", "tolerance": null, "quote": "The World Today with Maryam Moshiri", "quote_doc_id": "v_2c6fee40961e9f112765", "settling_ids": ["t_2ce29babc3f7c604cfa8", "t_7b59f9609194318a59d6", "t_0289e139316a18df40b8"], "visible_detail": "what the frames show"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Ngozi Okonjo-Iweala", "Africa", "World Trade Organization"]}
{"id": "e_7c670ad81562_i0", "domain": "Business", "question": "What will the KOSPI value be by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "5,356.90", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 7, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_7c670ad81562", "event_date": "2026-07-28", "supporting_event": "South Korea's Kospi collapsed 10 percent on July 28, 2026.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_031ec5d1", "storyline": "Indian stock market performance", "linked_domains": ["Environment", "Geopolitics", "Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_405ff9e8a50d0e6afb07", "t_1e686328777be88da2de", "t_ac5ad01f40951a6ff634"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "5,356.90", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_5bd6d6fbba4860e3af88_0", "settling_ids": ["t_5bd6d6fbba4860e3af88", "t_7c670ad81562120170ab", "t_ff2c6618d240182c63b2", "t_413186b501e87a5da13b", "t_034b81834310a0d51a8e"], "visible_detail": "KOSPI value of 5,356.90"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["South Korea's Kospi"]}
{"id": "e_7cd66ad5d2ec_q1", "domain": "Business", "question": "Who will lead the NUDGE campaign by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "Pankaj Chaudhary", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 11, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_7cd66ad5d2ec", "event_date": "2026-08-01", "supporting_event": "The Income Tax Department's NUDGE campaign led to 1.25 crore taxpayers filing updated or revised ITRs.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_7cd66ad5", "storyline": "Income Tax Department NUDGE campaign", "linked_domains": ["Law"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_93287fca8386b951fc00", "t_edea3697bf90c6440149", "t_5b0286b29265cc3e81d4", "t_c4e22daad48e53dffe9e", "t_46fc89433758a205cd10"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "Pankaj Chaudhary", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Minister of State for Finance Pankaj Chaudhary said the campaign has helped improve voluntary tax compliance", "quote_doc_id": "t_7cd66ad5d2ecf68981ef", "settling_ids": ["t_7cd66ad5d2ecf68981ef", "t_5909628161bfdab87a5d"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Income Tax Department", "Central Board of Direct Taxes", "Pankaj Chaudhary"]}
{"id": "e_7cd66ad5d2ec_q2", "domain": "Business", "question": "Will the NUDGE campaign result in additional tax collections by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": "INR", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 11, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_7cd66ad5d2ec", "event_date": "2026-08-01", "supporting_event": "The Income Tax Department's NUDGE campaign led to 1.25 crore taxpayers filing updated or revised ITRs.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_7cd66ad5", "storyline": "Income Tax Department NUDGE campaign", "linked_domains": ["Law"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_93287fca8386b951fc00", "t_edea3697bf90c6440149", "t_5b0286b29265cc3e81d4", "t_c4e22daad48e53dffe9e", "t_46fc89433758a205cd10"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "resulting in an additional ₹9,494 crore in tax collections", "quote_doc_id": "t_7cd66ad5d2ecf68981ef", "settling_ids": ["t_7cd66ad5d2ecf68981ef", "t_5909628161bfdab87a5d"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Income Tax Department", "Central Board of Direct Taxes", "Pankaj Chaudhary"]}
{"id": "e_7cd66ad5d2ec_q2_neg", "domain": "Business", "question": "Will the NUDGE campaign result in additional tax collections by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "No", "answer_type": "perturbed_binary", "unit": "INR", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 11, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_7cd66ad5d2ec", "event_date": "2026-08-01", "supporting_event": "The Income Tax Department's NUDGE campaign led to 1.25 crore taxpayers filing updated or revised ITRs.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_7cd66ad5", "storyline": "Income Tax Department NUDGE campaign", "linked_domains": ["Law"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_93287fca8386b951fc00", "t_edea3697bf90c6440149", "t_5b0286b29265cc3e81d4", "t_c4e22daad48e53dffe9e", "t_46fc89433758a205cd10"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "perturbed_binary", "value": "No", "tolerance": null, "quote": "resulting in an additional ₹9,494 crore in tax collections", "quote_doc_id": "t_7cd66ad5d2ecf68981ef", "settling_ids": ["t_7cd66ad5d2ecf68981ef", "t_5909628161bfdab87a5d"], "derivation": "the event dated 2026-08-01 is after the shifted deadline 2026-07-28, so the claim is false at that deadline"}, "perturbation": {"field": "deadline", "original": "2026-08-04", "substituted": "2026-07-28", "v40_substituted": "2026-07-26"}, "paired_with": "e_7cd66ad5d2ec_q2", "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Income Tax Department", "Central Board of Direct Taxes", "Pankaj Chaudhary"]}
{"id": "e_7d4c0ea40af9_d0", "domain": "Business", "question": "What is the expected range for Adjusted diluted earnings per share by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "12.20 and $12.70", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "D", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 6, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_7d4c0ea40af9", "event_date": "2026-07-27", "supporting_event": "The U.S. dollar dropped against other major currencies on July 27, 2026.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_7d4c0ea4", "storyline": "U.S. dollar exchange rate fluctuations", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_caca894c81f8afd48ba3", "t_9b9b40e3b34bca7425da", "t_3175fd9545ee37a0b60a", "t_28d3cbab30bf328a3b81"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "12.20 and $12.70", "tolerance": null, "quote": "we now expect our Adjusted diluted earnings per share to be between $12.20 and $12.70.", "quote_doc_id": "d_b4682420401b94ae3f5d", "settling_ids": ["d_b4682420401b94ae3f5d", "t_7d4c0ea40af9ef227844", "t_328b6541274af91c1cb8", "t_ed71cbdf80bbc5fc94c5"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["U.S. dollar", "Iran"]}
{"id": "e_7ebfafe96005_q1", "domain": "Business", "question": "What will be the price of Brent futures by 2026-08-04?", "options": ["exactly US$85 per barrel", "above US$100 per barrel", "exactly US$95 per barrel", "below US$90 per barrel"], "answer": "below US$90 per barrel", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 9, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_7ebfafe96005", "event_date": "2026-07-30", "supporting_event": "Brent futures slipped below US$90 per barrel.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_0122457a", "storyline": "oil market fluctuations", "linked_domains": ["Geopolitics", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_7971e5262cfd1a283a8c", "t_1989ea6601e2f176fd20", "t_60175dcf7201298ab71e", "t_4d8328013e1cec1e0541", "t_c4a7767ce7cd14c87e9b", "t_63a77c248ed79b5b3e2a"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "below US$90 per barrel", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Brent futures slipped below US$90 per barrel", "quote_doc_id": "t_7ebfafe96005b727bf9a", "settling_ids": ["t_7ebfafe96005b727bf9a", "t_09fa06da3a63cae84d17"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Brent futures"]}
{"id": "e_7edc976a25b8_q0", "domain": "Business", "question": "Will Apple negotiate lower prices for OLED panels for the iPhone 18 Pro Max by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 3, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_7edc976a25b8", "event_date": "2026-07-24", "supporting_event": "Apple is negotiating lower prices for OLED panels for the iPhone 18 Pro Max.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_7edc976a", "storyline": "iPhone 18 Pro Max display pricing negotiations", "linked_domains": ["Technology"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_d44333419bbb8b91c713", "t_006c73523e5610c112e6"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Apple is reportedly asking its display suppliers to lower prices for the OLED panels used in the upcoming iPhone 18 Pro Max.", "quote_doc_id": "t_7edc976a25b8923bce48", "settling_ids": ["t_7edc976a25b8923bce48", "t_f0a9f641850b9134e670", "t_f24c0db9ff531da20267"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Apple", "Samsung Display", "LG Display", "iPhone 18 Pro Max"]}
{"id": "e_805535f7a668_q2", "domain": "Business", "question": "Which organization clarified that UPI payments would remain free for consumers by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "Payments Council of India", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 18, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_805535f7a668", "event_date": "2026-08-08", "supporting_event": "Sameer Nigam assured that UPI payments will remain free for consumers.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_805535f7", "storyline": "UPI payment policy clarification", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_134382b774ea3846800a", "t_accd5391410f5949e52d", "t_070f643a108eecd4219f"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "Payments Council of India", "tolerance": null, "quote": "The Payments Council of India (PCI) has put an end to all the speculation that started after a new bill was passed in Parliament.", "quote_doc_id": "t_75e9133050361a573fab", "settling_ids": ["t_805535f7a668d9ad4c66", "t_75e9133050361a573fab", "t_1bf6251e6cfdd8373b81", "t_8843a083274c50e26f2c"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Sameer Nigam", "PhonePe", "Payments Council of India", "UPI"]}
{"id": "e_8090e1a9ae6c_q0", "domain": "Business", "question": "What revenue goal will AST SpaceMobile reaffirm by 2026-08-11?", "options": ["$750 million in revenue during its first full year of commercial service", "$2 billion in revenue during its first full year of commercial service", "$500 million in revenue during its first full year of commercial service", "$1 billion in revenue during its first full year of commercial service"], "answer": "$1 billion in revenue during its first full year of commercial service", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 20, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_8090e1a9ae6c", "event_date": "2026-08-10", "supporting_event": "AST SpaceMobile, Inc. reaffirmed its goal of approaching $1 billion in revenue during its first full year of commercial service.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_8090e1a9", "storyline": "AST SpaceMobile fiscal year 2026 revenue goals", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_2590e88f132b54c14bdb", "d_7b5b31c1f3dd461a7292"], "precursor_modalities": ["D", "T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "$1 billion in revenue during its first full year of commercial service", "tolerance": null, "quote": "AST SpaceMobile reaffirmed its goal of approaching $1 billion in revenue during its first full year of commercial service.", "quote_doc_id": "t_94280ee7715b245231ac", "settling_ids": ["t_94280ee7715b245231ac", "t_7a13b05a208088e5318a", "t_a1e06df6822089c192b5", "t_aad01c4986e9ed8996fb", "d_8090e1a9ae6c0963add5"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["AST SpaceMobile, Inc.", "Scott Wisniewski"]}
{"id": "e_8129844bc4fd_i0", "domain": "Business", "question": "What is the total number of gas valves visible in the photograph by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "12", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 2, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_8129844bc4fd", "event_date": "2026-07-23", "supporting_event": "Oil and Natural Gas Corp. Ltd is planning to create India's first strategic natural gas reserve.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_8129844b", "storyline": "ONGC strategic gas reserve planning", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_037f896caec8d6fd45b9", "t_957a7bf2cf48dcdc7c90"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "12", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_8129844bc4fd7bd213b6_0", "settling_ids": ["t_8129844bc4fd7bd213b6", "t_e866a8edb69e183b945f"], "visible_detail": "the number of gas valves in the image"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Oil and Natural Gas Corp. Ltd", "India"]}
{"id": "e_8129844bc4fd_q2", "domain": "Business", "question": "How many tonnes will the strategic natural gas reserve planned by Oil and Natural Gas Corp. Ltd be able to store by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "1.75 million", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "million tonnes", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 2, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_8129844bc4fd", "event_date": "2026-07-23", "supporting_event": "Oil and Natural Gas Corp. Ltd is planning to create India's first strategic natural gas reserve.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_8129844b", "storyline": "ONGC strategic gas reserve planning", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_037f896caec8d6fd45b9", "t_957a7bf2cf48dcdc7c90"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "1.75 million", "tolerance": 0.1, "quote": "The plan also follows the company's recent announcement to build a 1.75 million-tonne (mt) strategic crude oil storage facility.", "quote_doc_id": "t_8129844bc4fd7bd213b6", "settling_ids": ["t_8129844bc4fd7bd213b6", "t_e866a8edb69e183b945f"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Oil and Natural Gas Corp. Ltd", "India"]}
{"id": "e_831fe15a533b_q0", "domain": "Business", "question": "How much will Verizon offer off the Galaxy Z Fold 8 and Fold 8 Ultra preorders by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "1200", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "USD", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 7, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_831fe15a533b", "event_date": "2026-07-28", "supporting_event": "Verizon has launched a limited-time preorder promotion offering up to $1,200 off Galaxy Z Fold 8 and Fold 8 Ultra.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_831fe15a", "storyline": "Samsung Galaxy Z Fold 8 and Fold 8 Ultra preorder promotions", "linked_domains": ["Technology"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_4f05248752bad5fe50cb", "t_7ef7b802d6c3c8108cc7", "t_f4b97fe3b3c51e7f0b70", "t_d602cc278181a36eec5f"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "1200", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Verizon has launched a limited-time preorder promotion offering up to $1,200 off Samsung's newest foldable smartphones", "quote_doc_id": "t_831fe15a533b5d9608c8", "settling_ids": ["t_831fe15a533b5d9608c8", "t_9aa6767035cc64509fad", "t_901b05748d8d5bb1075a", "t_8967a55351245a327bf7"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Verizon", "Galaxy Z Fold 8", "Galaxy Z Fold 8 Ultra"]}
{"id": "e_831fe15a533b_q1", "domain": "Business", "question": "Who will launch a preorder promotion for the Galaxy Z Fold 8 and Fold 8 Ultra by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "Verizon", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 7, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_831fe15a533b", "event_date": "2026-07-28", "supporting_event": "Verizon has launched a limited-time preorder promotion offering up to $1,200 off Galaxy Z Fold 8 and Fold 8 Ultra.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_831fe15a", "storyline": "Samsung Galaxy Z Fold 8 and Fold 8 Ultra preorder promotions", "linked_domains": ["Technology"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_4f05248752bad5fe50cb", "t_7ef7b802d6c3c8108cc7", "t_f4b97fe3b3c51e7f0b70", "t_d602cc278181a36eec5f"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "Verizon", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Verizon has launched a limited-time preorder promotion offering up to $1,200 off Samsung's newest foldable smartphones", "quote_doc_id": "t_831fe15a533b5d9608c8", "settling_ids": ["t_831fe15a533b5d9608c8", "t_9aa6767035cc64509fad", "t_901b05748d8d5bb1075a", "t_8967a55351245a327bf7"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Verizon", "Galaxy Z Fold 8", "Galaxy Z Fold 8 Ultra"]}
{"id": "e_8347ef0102f9_q2", "domain": "Business", "question": "What will be the maximum price increase for the Nvidia GeForce RTX 5090D V2 by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "666", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "USD", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 13, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_8347ef0102f9", "event_date": "2026-08-03", "supporting_event": "Asus and Gigabyte have increased prices across their entire RTX 50 GPU lineup.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_132c2bbb", "storyline": "GPU price adjustments", "linked_domains": ["Technology"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_1eae1a9be6928de577bf", "t_d02a84d0dcb3f58b8b0e", "t_d117ea603550492100da"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "666", "tolerance": 0.05, "quote": "the Nvidia GeForce RTX 5090D V2 has received a channel price increase of $592 and $666 from Gigabyte and Asus, respectively", "quote_doc_id": "t_2d13083e9f67daa018d1", "settling_ids": ["t_8347ef0102f9b4834542", "t_2d13083e9f67daa018d1", "t_8f4726701d3e4fc829c1", "t_c5398f1961b000e0c9c5"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Asus", "Gigabyte", "RTX 50 GPU"]}
{"id": "e_839577737473_q0", "domain": "Business", "question": "What will be the price of the iPhone 17 Pro in Türkiye by 2026-08-04?", "options": ["$1,181", "$2,260", "$2,592", "$1,872"], "answer": "$2,592", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": "USD", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 12, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_839577737473", "event_date": "2026-08-02", "supporting_event": "The iPhone 17 Pro is priced at $2,592 in Türkiye.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_83957773", "storyline": "iPhone pricing analysis 2026", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_4d08a91309e8f07805ce", "t_5ef845cc0c22ed513ffd", "t_6c4ebaa027fdef158419", "t_325d2d2a89aa495919c0", "t_0f2cd09aa79ce8119fe9"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "$2,592", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the iPhone 17 Pro has been ranked as the world’s most expensive market to buy an iPhone 17 Pro (256GB) as it carries a retail price of $2,592", "quote_doc_id": "t_839577737473964dadbf", "settling_ids": ["t_839577737473964dadbf", "t_558984f72fa220f722cd"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["iPhone 17 Pro", "Türkiye"]}
{"id": "e_83fc532bb8b4_q0", "domain": "Business", "question": "What will be the expected completion date for enrollment in the Phase 3 OVATION 3 Study of IMNN-001, by 2026-08-11?", "options": ["first half of 2027", "end of 2026", "first half of 2029", "end of 2028"], "answer": "first half of 2029", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 21, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_83fc532bb8b4", "event_date": "2026-08-11", "supporting_event": "Imunon, Inc. reported financial results for the three months and six months ended June 30, 2026.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_83fc532b", "storyline": "Imunon Q2 2026 financial results", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_f2b786701f17e7b95a1f", "t_d4025a56c8d3483fe150"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "first half of 2029", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Enrollment in the Phase 3 OVATION 3 Study of IMNN-001 is expected to be completed by the first half of 2029", "quote_doc_id": "t_c323c6c16e0ba44594f4", "settling_ids": ["t_c323c6c16e0ba44594f4", "d_83fc532bb8b41920ade9"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Imunon, Inc.", "IMNN-001"]}
{"id": "e_84db12bb6a65_q0", "domain": "Business", "question": "How much will Resilience and Lilly invest to increase U.S.-manufactured medicine supply by 2026-08-04?", "options": ["$1 billion", "$250 million", "$500 million", "$750 million"], "answer": "$750 million", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": "million", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 9, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_84db12bb6a65", "event_date": "2026-07-30", "supporting_event": "Resilience and Lilly invested $750 million to increase U.S.-manufactured medicine supply.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_84db12bb", "storyline": "Resilience and Lilly partnership expansion", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_da3823ad890c1afc4dbc", "t_813c4b2d24584abe1e8f"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "$750 million", "tolerance": null, "quote": "$750 million of investment by Resilience and Lilly has expanded Resilience’s advanced manufacturing operations in the Cincinnati region", "quote_doc_id": "t_322a2d49435f4821e10e", "settling_ids": ["t_84db12bb6a65ce2a0da5", "t_322a2d49435f4821e10e"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Resilience", "Lilly", "KwikPen"]}
{"id": "e_86062f9d3db7_i0", "domain": "Business", "question": "What is the value of the stock index displayed on the market board by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "1000", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 12, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_86062f9d3db7", "event_date": "2026-08-02", "supporting_event": "The U.S. stock market soars 1,000 points.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_031b9cc0", "storyline": "U.S. stock market performance", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_97171d751a8ca63811d4", "t_54691ab2c28a9b80ee49", "t_8e6bce0be4720cbbd5b2", "t_5e8ca6d7a7407d63d748", "t_3e07ae8abfa9ab01fd9c", "t_3772f44c3427be68ba2c"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "1000", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_86062f9d3db70c716c94_0", "settling_ids": ["t_86062f9d3db70c716c94", "t_9f5b92f69432e7be7b33"], "visible_detail": "market board showing stock index values"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["U.S. stock market", "Dow Jones Industrial Average"]}
{"id": "e_86ac928f189c_q1", "domain": "Business", "question": "How many income tax returns (ITRs) will be reported as filed for Assessment Year 2026-27 by 2026-08-04?", "options": ["More than 4 crore", "More than 3 crore", "More than 5 crore", "More than 6 crore"], "answer": "More than 5 crore", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 9, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_86ac928f189c", "event_date": "2026-07-30", "supporting_event": "More than 5 crore income tax returns (ITRs) have already been filed for Assessment Year 2026-27 as of July 30, 2026.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_86ac928f", "storyline": "ITR filing for AY 2026-27", "linked_domains": ["Law"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_87aa39bfe7a08200cc36", "t_f086846667ad3c5fda8b", "t_5b1f685ef33a001124c6"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "More than 5 crore", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Over 5 crore ITRs have already been filed for A.Y. 2026–27.", "quote_doc_id": "t_86ac928f189c54553d69", "settling_ids": ["t_86ac928f189c54553d69", "t_ee58ac4db32399143ea1", "t_c808e2a99f9174e40d6c", "t_52677ffe2afbbbbc0b24"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Income Tax Department"]}
{"id": "e_8854964fa8f8_q0", "domain": "Business", "question": "Who will Sharon AI Holdings Inc. enter into a cloud computing service agreement with by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "a global artificial intelligence (AI) platform", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 14, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_8854964fa8f8", "event_date": "2026-08-04", "supporting_event": "Sharon AI Holdings Inc. announced a five-year cloud computing service agreement with a total contract value of US$373 million.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_8854964f", "storyline": "Sharon AI cloud service agreements", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["d_124a037df0e4c0ab3110", "d_a396ce16a439ebfec8d0", "t_d934bff88497075d8641", "t_648855041d31f49cdf01", "t_68e7183a387b305b5fa5", "d_c07f6907e4010d6d8b70"], "precursor_modalities": ["D", "T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "a global artificial intelligence (AI) platform", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Sharon AI Holdings Inc. ... announced that it has entered into a five-year cloud computing service agreement with a global artificial intelligence (AI) platform.", "quote_doc_id": "t_6008d0fc79ea88dd92c2", "settling_ids": ["t_6008d0fc79ea88dd92c2", "t_4fd5928971d4ace3a60b", "t_863c9a803dfa9e829047", "t_082d50db2aa1889c3fea", "d_8854964fa8f8d96cb736"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Sharon AI Holdings Inc.", "AI"]}
{"id": "e_8bb85a769e51_a0", "domain": "Business", "question": "What is the percentage decline in shares of Universal Music Group by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "23%", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "%", "modality_required": "A", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 10, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_8bb85a769e51", "event_date": "2026-07-31", "supporting_event": "Tesla weighs sale of its China business to pave the way for a potential SpaceX merger.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_8bb85a76", "storyline": "Tesla's strategic business decisions", "linked_domains": ["Technology"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_9326138cc1e9d61644c3", "t_72678c1de4c173d90a11", "t_eb38552545b3d425deaa", "t_13c2b1e0cce2c08354d8", "t_4c3b8b8cf195596f8b69"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "23%", "tolerance": null, "quote": "shares of Universal Music Group, the label behind Taylor Swift, Lady Gaga, and Bad Bunny, are down roughly 23% in Amsterdam following disappointing subscription and streaming revenue.", "quote_doc_id": "a_4db8820797e9fcccc4e4", "settling_ids": ["a_4db8820797e9fcccc4e4", "t_8bb85a769e515aee7bde", "t_9f668c653832a42d1c87", "t_56c8b0baefa304619aa6"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Tesla", "SpaceX"]}
{"id": "e_8e8a4ead8623_q0", "domain": "Business", "question": "What percentage decline will Samsung Electronics shares experience by 2026-07-28?", "options": ["10.5%", "5.2%", "13.39%", "20%"], "answer": "13.39%", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": "%", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 7, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_8e8a4ead8623", "event_date": "2026-07-28", "supporting_event": "Samsung Electronics shares plunged 13.39% on July 28, 2026.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_8e8a4ead", "storyline": "South Korean semiconductor market decline", "linked_domains": ["Technology"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_5a2407c48d6de264623b", "t_ac5ad01f40951a6ff634", "t_75f71947b9d4f76ecb6c", "t_994adf034cd9b9b12111"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "13.39%", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Shares in memory-chip giant Samsung Electronics closed 13.4% lower", "quote_doc_id": "t_8e8a4ead862378afa95a", "settling_ids": ["t_8e8a4ead862378afa95a", "t_9482bbc0816bbccd1c12", "t_4a647fb0c9b156298b9f", "t_d1bc1127e429ca1d396c"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Samsung Electronics"]}
{"id": "e_905b32e15a4f_q2", "domain": "Business", "question": "How much is the existing backlog of Centrus Energy Corp for LEU and HALEU expected to be by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "3000000000", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "USD", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 16, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_905b32e15a4f", "event_date": "2026-08-06", "supporting_event": "Centrus Energy Corp signed a definitive contract for enrichment services for Low-Enriched Uranium (LEU) and High-Assay, Low-Enriched Uranium (HALEU).", "storyline_id": "s_bus_905b32e1", "storyline": "Centrus Energy supply agreement with X-energy", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["d_e452170fdb478ef46d74", "t_2291012d1d45d863b9f4", "d_54c07aaad26988bf8ecc"], "precursor_modalities": ["D", "T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "3000000000", "tolerance": 0.05, "quote": "This agreement builds on Centrus' existing $3 billion contingent LEU and HALEU backlog, of which $2.4 billion is definitized.", "quote_doc_id": "t_5b348ce0a70af6e0a0f7", "settling_ids": ["t_5b348ce0a70af6e0a0f7", "d_905b32e15a4fe347a7a5"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Centrus Energy Corp", "X-energy"]}
{"id": "e_93b78dfef764_i0", "domain": "Business", "question": "What will the KOSPI value be by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "7,316.30", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 8, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_93b78dfef764", "event_date": "2026-07-29", "supporting_event": "South Korea's KOSPI fell 5 per cent on July 29, 2026.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_031ec5d1", "storyline": "Indian stock market performance", "linked_domains": ["Environment", "Geopolitics", "Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_405ff9e8a50d0e6afb07", "t_57cb872b5ee4bd3a87ae", "t_ac5ad01f40951a6ff634", "t_52749437ed84ba603696"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "7,316.30", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_10e29df7abec26f40e57_0", "settling_ids": ["t_10e29df7abec26f40e57", "t_93b78dfef76463ce1eed", "t_3f6ff5f1a441c1db54ac", "t_50382e73ee87f0098e36"], "visible_detail": "KOSPI value of 7,316.30"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["South Korea", "KOSPI"]}
{"id": "e_9644c7d1577d_i0", "domain": "Business", "question": "What date is indicated as the deadline for filing Income Tax Returns by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "July 31st", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 10, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_9644c7d1577d", "event_date": "2026-07-31", "supporting_event": "Taxpayers should avoid mistakes when filing Income Tax Returns (ITRs).", "storyline_id": "s_bus_9644c7d1", "storyline": "ITR filing for Assessment Year 2026-27", "linked_domains": ["Law"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_a9cbdd09c600e3ea6ddc", "t_7c271554f8b659b1e36e", "t_93287fca8386b951fc00", "t_51926443c2bfb3355806", "t_559d7819dac23c1382b8"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "July 31st", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_9644c7d1577d060c0152_0", "settling_ids": ["t_9644c7d1577d060c0152", "t_b68d65ae52e7266536be", "t_279af18b2ef1a57ed06a", "t_787c17ea3fa299bb3b76", "t_999127ec494c4c3907bc", "t_a535a3b86924a6ec02b3"], "visible_detail": "the date July 31st circled on a calendar"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Income Tax Department"]}
{"id": "e_973aea647039_i0", "domain": "Business", "question": "What will the Sensex value be by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "3452.35", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 16, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_973aea647039", "event_date": "2026-08-06", "supporting_event": "Sensex gained 373.76 points on August 6.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_031ec5d1", "storyline": "Indian stock market performance", "linked_domains": ["Environment", "Geopolitics", "Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_7bbeea13d8dcce630f3f", "t_6c5fd54d19da48839c20", "t_5b21af7501d1f7947174", "t_6df6c55ead8c4b417540"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "3452.35", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_973aea64703982bd3348_0", "settling_ids": ["t_973aea64703982bd3348", "t_6fb7b7d7f8e6f267cfd1"], "visible_detail": "the Sensex value displayed on the market board"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Sensex"]}
{"id": "e_97be2cc478e0_d0", "domain": "Business", "question": "What is the total net revenue EyePoint, Inc. expects for the quarter ended June 30, 2026, by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "$0.5 million", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "D", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 14, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_97be2cc478e0", "event_date": "2026-08-04", "supporting_event": "AMD forecast quarterly revenue above Wall Street estimates on August 4, 2026.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_418dc4cb", "storyline": "AMD Q3 2026 revenue forecast", "linked_domains": ["Technology"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_e0a1db00fd03703c9f26", "t_defaa12ae1fef9665399", "t_a999afa5e4a84e57795f", "t_6fad51b3cc74a90996ff", "t_3a217e12efa2a1861687"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "$0.5 million", "tolerance": null, "quote": "For the quarter ended June 30, 2026, total net revenue was $0.5 million", "quote_doc_id": "d_2d90d7a5a1db51c46120", "settling_ids": ["d_2d90d7a5a1db51c46120", "t_97be2cc478e08f95e0cf", "t_35ca5a5822ff2d32a907"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["AMD", "Wall Street"]}
{"id": "e_98398a5af27e_i0", "domain": "Business", "question": "What will be the stock price of Jersey Mike's Subs (JMKE) by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "23.00", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 10, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_98398a5af27e", "event_date": "2026-07-31", "supporting_event": "U.S. stocks rose 0.7% to finish a wild July for Wall Street.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_031b9cc0", "storyline": "U.S. stock market performance", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_8e6bce0be4720cbbd5b2", "t_3772f44c3427be68ba2c", "t_515325bdf80b0a6aac03", "t_e689a0f32f1c1e82839f"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "23.00", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_8a7c21924a424b9575ae_0", "settling_ids": ["t_8a7c21924a424b9575ae", "t_98398a5af27e81b81a9f", "t_cf7995f5d41387aa30e0", "t_fad9a4bfe5593a66a284", "t_492d30fa5a171184e5f5", "t_562382f16803924f9225"], "visible_detail": "the stock price of Jersey Mike's Subs (JMKE) at 23.00"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["U.S. stocks", "S&P 500"]}
{"id": "e_9c40511e235c_q0", "domain": "Business", "question": "How many crore will Foreign Portfolio Investors invest in Indian equities by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "20200", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "crore", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 10, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_9c40511e235c", "event_date": "2026-07-31", "supporting_event": "Foreign Portfolio Investors turned net buyers of Indian equities in July, investing ₹20,200 crore.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_9c40511e", "storyline": "FPI investment in Indian equities July 2026", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_407756a807acbdc2f5df", "t_26dfd44b0d42e7c62cec"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "20200", "tolerance": null, "quote": "FPIs made a net investment of Rs 20,200 crore in Indian equities during July", "quote_doc_id": "t_9c40511e235c82b95ac1", "settling_ids": ["t_9c40511e235c82b95ac1", "t_6227fa9600512ae4374d", "t_13bd522905486c6bc9ec", "t_fcfbb158c2ae2a6f391c"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Foreign Portfolio Investors", "Indian equities"]}
{"id": "e_9c8faa25406a_q0", "domain": "Business", "question": "What will the Category A COE premium be by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "126000", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "SGD", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 1, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_9c8faa25406a", "event_date": "2026-07-22", "supporting_event": "Category A COE fell to S$126,000.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_9c8faa25", "storyline": "COE bidding exercise", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_02d07e9102135f829ba4", "t_fe8fe4e06574a940364a", "t_6ba6d265f74e760d7c1a", "t_846380a99b8bb013fe38", "t_7e74f0c52c8b43955723"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "126000", "tolerance": 0.01, "quote": "premiums closed at S$126,000 (US$97,600), down from the record of S$129,000 in the last exercise.", "quote_doc_id": "t_9c8faa25406a2ff35fee", "settling_ids": ["t_9c8faa25406a2ff35fee", "t_6769724ef3d0058d1001", "t_47842d42676bdec0e61f", "t_e5bc58fa99d100ec3ea2"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Category A COE"]}
{"id": "e_9ca4306bfff5_i0", "domain": "Business", "question": "What will the price of crude oil be by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "40.4", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 3, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_9ca4306bfff5", "event_date": "2026-07-24", "supporting_event": "U.S. crude inventories fell by about 3.3 million barrels in the week ended July 24.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_9ca4306b", "storyline": "Oil inventory reporting", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_fab094d89e4b3f2535b1", "t_f60fd6539f6c380df97d", "t_6f431e8416b03b0d7f76", "t_9363a30359d7e6c5fcee", "t_87a8524e848ed0c7b7a6"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "40.4", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Oil prices rebound by more than $2 a barrel on prospect of tightening US crude supplies", "quote_doc_id": "i_9ca4306bfff5999686ea_1", "settling_ids": ["t_9ca4306bfff5999686ea", "t_38f84e15d1a2baa2d04a"], "visible_detail": "the price levels shown on the market board"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["U.S. crude inventories", "American Petroleum Institute"]}
{"id": "e_9f605173a33f_q1", "domain": "Business", "question": "Who will Taysha Gene Therapies partner with for the commercial manufacturing of TSHA-102 gene therapy for Rett syndrome by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "Catalent, Inc.", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 13, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_9f605173a33f", "event_date": "2026-08-03", "supporting_event": "Taysha Gene Therapies, Inc. announced a commercial supply agreement for TSHA-102 gene therapy for Rett syndrome.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_9f605173", "storyline": "Taysha Gene Therapies commercial supply agreement", "linked_domains": ["Health"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["d_daacf7b768a956a88323", "t_fcf3ddf2e4455bfacb2a", "t_f7328bf66bf5277275be"], "precursor_modalities": ["D", "T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "Catalent, Inc.", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Catalent will serve as Taysha’s primary commercial manufacturer following potential U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) approval.", "quote_doc_id": "t_9f605173a33f15c77b39", "settling_ids": ["t_9f605173a33f15c77b39", "t_7e8d59963de904a98629", "d_551a2172c87ddd5b79de"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Taysha Gene Therapies, Inc.", "Catalent, Inc.", "TSHA-102", "Rett syndrome"]}
{"id": "e_a002a8cbd5de_q2", "domain": "Business", "question": "On what date will the Federal Reserve announce its decision regarding the key interest rate by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "July 29, 2026", "answer_type": "date", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 8, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_a002a8cbd5de", "event_date": "2026-07-29", "supporting_event": "The Federal Reserve left its key interest rate unchanged at around 3.6% on July 29, 2026.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_a002a8cb", "storyline": "Federal Reserve interest rate decisions", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_994623c8b122e266d278", "t_87116a79e6fec0c6fd99", "t_35bf972d80b7f82a079f", "t_0f3b4be010ab0d883912"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "date", "value": "July 29, 2026", "tolerance": 1, "quote": "The Federal Reserve left its key interest rate unchanged Wednesday", "quote_doc_id": "t_0b156e80c24f50fb7a5f", "settling_ids": ["t_a002a8cbd5de5b27e7c6", "t_2d8c1caba31bbc0412d6", "t_0b156e80c24f50fb7a5f", "t_8687defdfe45debb7923"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Federal Reserve", "Kevin Warsh", "Beth Hammack", "Neel Kashkari", "Lorie Logan"]}
{"id": "e_a0b9b5f33406_i0", "domain": "Business", "question": "What is the value of the dollar against the Japanese yen by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "36.2", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 9, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_a0b9b5f33406", "event_date": "2026-07-30", "supporting_event": "The dollar sank against the Japanese yen on July 30, 2026.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_3631b3d4", "storyline": "currency exchange rates", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_3027b5666082f58a5270", "t_f6dc1fa1440b89cdb21e", "t_ce8dc501a7d671299419", "t_d9d9b3a946c53f3c335c"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "36.2", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_a0b9b5f33406b5913fb3_0", "settling_ids": ["t_a0b9b5f33406b5913fb3", "t_a059a33523c96c93b005"], "visible_detail": "the price ticker showing values like 36.2 and 39.5"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["dollar", "Japanese yen"]}
{"id": "e_a33f90d21406_i0", "domain": "Business", "question": "What message is conveyed on the banner by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "AUDI Neckarsulm muß bleiben!", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 8, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_a33f90d21406", "event_date": "2026-07-29", "supporting_event": "Thousands of Audi workers protested against the possible closure of the Neckarsulm plant.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_a33f90d2", "storyline": "Audi Neckarsulm plant closure protests", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_885f538fc125a68d895b", "t_b0f957f4d5ef62d254b0", "t_ca947c30fe69e494b00b", "t_9412eb0a4fe81adac608", "t_4de2fe8e9f88da00ba6a"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "AUDI Neckarsulm muß bleiben!", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_a33f90d21406212f6ab4_0", "settling_ids": ["t_a33f90d21406212f6ab4", "t_82dd4ce279198b253753", "t_34d2cf7887e8c4e6ace6", "t_842a53e854c884724be0", "t_329ecc87444370081aca", "t_3e21a8d5c32101a58d9d"], "visible_detail": "a banner reading 'AUDI Neckarsulm muß bleiben!'"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Audi", "Volkswagen", "Neckarsulm", "BMW"]}
{"id": "e_a3af22f8e22c_i0", "domain": "Business", "question": "What is the assessment year indicated on the income tax return acknowledgement by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "2019-20", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 15, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_a3af22f8e22c", "event_date": "2026-08-05", "supporting_event": "The Income Tax Department issues refunds when the amount of tax paid by a taxpayer is higher than the actual tax liability.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_256b7fe5", "storyline": "Income Tax Return filing for AY 2026-27", "linked_domains": ["Law"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_433c50744c9dd7475522", "t_edea3697bf90c6440149", "t_c53e157bd72660976cef", "t_482646f35bde47560dfe"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "2019-20", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_a3af22f8e22c999512a0_0", "settling_ids": ["t_a3af22f8e22c999512a0", "t_37641d2a033769b33738"], "visible_detail": "the text on the income tax return acknowledgement"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Income Tax Department"]}
{"id": "e_a3af22f8e22c_q0", "domain": "Business", "question": "Will the Income Tax Department issue refunds to taxpayers who have paid more tax than their actual tax liability by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 15, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_a3af22f8e22c", "event_date": "2026-08-05", "supporting_event": "The Income Tax Department issues refunds when the amount of tax paid by a taxpayer is higher than the actual tax liability.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_256b7fe5", "storyline": "Income Tax Return filing for AY 2026-27", "linked_domains": ["Law"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_433c50744c9dd7475522", "t_edea3697bf90c6440149", "t_c53e157bd72660976cef", "t_482646f35bde47560dfe"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Income Tax Department issues the refund when the amount of tax paid by a taxpayer through these routes is higher than the actual tax liability calculated after considering all eligible deductions and exemptions.", "quote_doc_id": "t_37641d2a033769b33738", "settling_ids": ["t_a3af22f8e22c999512a0", "t_37641d2a033769b33738"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Income Tax Department"]}
{"id": "e_a3af22f8e22c_q2", "domain": "Business", "question": "How many weeks will it take for the Income Tax Department to credit the refund to the taxpayer's account after processing the ITR by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "5", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "weeks", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 15, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_a3af22f8e22c", "event_date": "2026-08-05", "supporting_event": "The Income Tax Department issues refunds when the amount of tax paid by a taxpayer is higher than the actual tax liability.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_256b7fe5", "storyline": "Income Tax Return filing for AY 2026-27", "linked_domains": ["Law"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_433c50744c9dd7475522", "t_edea3697bf90c6440149", "t_c53e157bd72660976cef", "t_482646f35bde47560dfe"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "5", "tolerance": 0.5, "quote": "Usually, it takes about four to five weeks for the refund to be credited to the taxpayer's account.", "quote_doc_id": "t_a3af22f8e22c999512a0", "settling_ids": ["t_a3af22f8e22c999512a0", "t_37641d2a033769b33738"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Income Tax Department"]}
{"id": "e_a5e057d85767_d0", "domain": "Business", "question": "What is the number of volunteers FIFA plans to recruit for the FIFA Women’s World Cup Brazil 2027?", "options": null, "answer": "6,000", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "D", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 7, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_a5e057d85767", "event_date": "2026-07-28", "supporting_event": "FIFA plans to sell a stake in the business operations of the World Cup and its other competitions through the creation of a semi-private subsidiary.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_668616f7", "storyline": "FIFA investment plan", "linked_domains": ["Politics", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_a019033e4e7efa997a09", "t_13c9afc54d962891144b", "t_4ba2755608d778903005", "t_b1fb3985caaf77798a80"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "6,000", "tolerance": null, "quote": "approximately 6,000 volunteers will be recruited to provide support across the tournament’s eight Host Cities", "quote_doc_id": "d_6513089abdf5d80c2dc0", "settling_ids": ["d_6513089abdf5d80c2dc0", "t_8b7d20394d2b586c4a6b", "t_9a05306900bca07cdcf9", "t_da627cdbc8dfef646ff4", "t_ea25f58772885335949e", "t_a5e057d857670776a128", "t_fe1ed7e8ee54ecd0b31e"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["FIFA", "FIFA Forward Enterprise", "World Cup"]}
{"id": "e_a5e057d85767_q0", "domain": "Business", "question": "Will FIFA retain a majority share in its business operations after the planned sale of a stake by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 7, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_a5e057d85767", "event_date": "2026-07-28", "supporting_event": "FIFA plans to sell a stake in the business operations of the World Cup and its other competitions through the creation of a semi-private subsidiary.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_668616f7", "storyline": "FIFA investment plan", "linked_domains": ["Politics", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_a019033e4e7efa997a09", "t_13c9afc54d962891144b", "t_4ba2755608d778903005", "t_b1fb3985caaf77798a80"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Fifa said it would retain a majority share in Fifa Forward Enterprise (FFE)", "quote_doc_id": "t_a5e057d857670776a128", "settling_ids": ["t_a5e057d857670776a128", "t_fe1ed7e8ee54ecd0b31e", "t_8b7d20394d2b586c4a6b", "t_9a05306900bca07cdcf9", "d_09ee8a2e6be87e48cb0f", "d_2de176d716742ab49008"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["FIFA", "FIFA Forward Enterprise", "World Cup"]}
{"id": "e_a741e860d787_q0", "domain": "Business", "question": "How many artificial intelligence specialists will HSBC be looking to hire for its first global AI centre of excellence in Singapore by 2026-07-28?", "options": ["200", "more than 100", "75", "50"], "answer": "more than 100", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 6, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_a741e860d787", "event_date": "2026-07-27", "supporting_event": "HSBC is on the lookout for more than 100 artificial intelligence specialists for its first global AI centre of excellence in Singapore.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_a741e860", "storyline": "HSBC AI centre of excellence establishment", "linked_domains": ["Environment", "Politics", "Sports", "Technology"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_a024aa9293b576399343", "t_807a5ec7373e10f8681f", "t_439f437db2257754fe79"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "more than 100", "tolerance": null, "quote": "HSBC is on the lookout for more than 100 artificial intelligence specialists for its first global AI centre of excellence", "quote_doc_id": "t_a741e860d7871f596001", "settling_ids": ["t_a741e860d7871f596001", "t_8f9248b4eb75d831a504"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["HSBC", "Singapore"]}
{"id": "e_a80fef04016d_i0", "domain": "Business", "question": "What is the current value of the Nikkei index by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "53205.93", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 3, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_a80fef04016d", "event_date": "2026-07-24", "supporting_event": "Japan's Nikkei share average fell more than 2 percent on July 24, 2026.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_a80fef04", "storyline": "Nikkei market performance July 2026", "linked_domains": ["Law", "Technology"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_e735a5fa60b3b04a89da", "t_3be624892593ef80528a"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "53205.93", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_a80fef04016d6b4651a8_0", "settling_ids": ["t_a80fef04016d6b4651a8", "t_31093625803d1b817817"], "visible_detail": "the current value of the Nikkei index"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Japan's Nikkei share average", "Alphabet"]}
{"id": "e_a854b1ccd315_q0", "domain": "Business", "question": "What will be the primary reason for the Nasdaq's decline by 2026-07-28?", "options": ["increased interest rates", "worries about massive spending on artificial intelligence", "a decline in oil prices", "poor earnings from tech companies"], "answer": "worries about massive spending on artificial intelligence", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 3, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_a854b1ccd315", "event_date": "2026-07-24", "supporting_event": "The tech-heavy Nasdaq fell as investors sold chip stocks on worries about massive spending on artificial intelligence.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_a854b1cc", "storyline": "2026 Q2 earnings reports", "linked_domains": ["Law", "Technology"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_41574f07486926373c9a", "t_398b6bd73f434a9d072a", "t_58c515c49a26c99299ab", "t_eb7ba772b67c1c7b6c4a", "t_fb5d242683b02bcdd8b9"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "worries about massive spending on artificial intelligence", "tolerance": null, "quote": "as investors sold chip stocks on worries about massive spending on artificial intelligence", "quote_doc_id": "t_a854b1ccd3155e6ea259", "settling_ids": ["t_a854b1ccd3155e6ea259", "t_21172da01dbe19811028", "t_1257e30044f7f49b040b"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Nasdaq", "Alphabet", "Microsoft", "Amazon.com", "Meta", "Apple Inc"]}
{"id": "e_add5c2921043_a0", "domain": "Business", "question": "What duration of production will BP end in its home country by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "more than half a century", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "A", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 10, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_add5c2921043", "event_date": "2026-07-31", "supporting_event": "BP puts its British oil and gas fields in the North Sea up for sale.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_2f39f624", "storyline": "BP North Sea business sale", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_8c919884b6ee2afd7c70", "t_b358b5fcf0ab5bcf7bdd", "t_22ce4c74a087b1e5c358"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "more than half a century", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Selling off the business would mean that the British energy major would end production in its home country after more than half a century.", "quote_doc_id": "a_661b8396eca19275adf9", "settling_ids": ["a_661b8396eca19275adf9", "t_add5c29210433558d3b6", "t_d08a11c5ab1cf536531e"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["BP", "Meg O'Neill"]}
{"id": "e_b13b9a516fd0_q0", "domain": "Business", "question": "Will SpaceX post its first quarterly results as a public company by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 14, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_b13b9a516fd0", "event_date": "2026-08-04", "supporting_event": "SpaceX posted its first quarterly results as a public company on August 4, 2026.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_65c53e6b", "storyline": "SpaceX quarterly earnings report Q2 2026", "linked_domains": ["Technology"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_fd05149b3ca5413e41e8", "t_0fa33ce6e60e7f0ed188", "t_2e76538855bf05ddac00", "t_5f75a399e24b44b0a1d0"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "SpaceX on Tuesday posted its first quarterly results as a public company", "quote_doc_id": "t_b13b9a516fd0859f5387", "settling_ids": ["t_b13b9a516fd0859f5387", "t_ad3a43dd73ced26a90d3", "t_a5a38a5db0d482ffd81d"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["SpaceX", "Elon Musk", "Nvidia"]}
{"id": "e_b13b9a516fd0_q0_neg", "domain": "Business", "question": "Will SpaceX post its first quarterly results as a public company by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "No", "answer_type": "perturbed_binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 14, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_b13b9a516fd0", "event_date": "2026-08-04", "supporting_event": "SpaceX posted its first quarterly results as a public company on August 4, 2026.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_65c53e6b", "storyline": "SpaceX quarterly earnings report Q2 2026", "linked_domains": ["Technology"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_fd05149b3ca5413e41e8", "t_0fa33ce6e60e7f0ed188", "t_2e76538855bf05ddac00", "t_5f75a399e24b44b0a1d0"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "perturbed_binary", "value": "No", "tolerance": null, "quote": "SpaceX on Tuesday posted its first quarterly results as a public company", "quote_doc_id": "t_b13b9a516fd0859f5387", "settling_ids": ["t_b13b9a516fd0859f5387", "t_ad3a43dd73ced26a90d3", "t_a5a38a5db0d482ffd81d"], "derivation": "the event dated 2026-08-04 is after the shifted deadline 2026-07-28, so the claim is false at that deadline"}, "perturbation": {"field": "deadline", "original": "2026-08-04", "substituted": "2026-07-28"}, "paired_with": "e_b13b9a516fd0_q0", "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["SpaceX", "Elon Musk", "Nvidia"]}
{"id": "e_b4e4c6a4837d_a0", "domain": "Business", "question": "What percentage did CXMT's shares jump to reach a valuation of $484 billion by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "400%", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "A", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 3, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_b4e4c6a4837d", "event_date": "2026-07-24", "supporting_event": "CXMT's shares surged 466% in their first day of trading.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_070f436d", "storyline": "CXMT IPO", "linked_domains": ["Technology"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_ea19acbe1e8e733a802a", "t_4793dc0b706799db5019"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "400%", "tolerance": null, "quote": "its shares jumped more than 400% to reach a valuation of $484 billion after its first day of trading in Shanghai.", "quote_doc_id": "a_a644a1f2c5217704a776", "settling_ids": ["a_a644a1f2c5217704a776", "t_639d7f0dc56df074550c", "t_71507a1d6c4d1ae0ed77", "t_6427ad7ca7cd74e495dc", "t_b4e4c6a4837d47dd7867", "t_070f436da1aa122bb17f", "t_ccf706b6b9acb6bfb42c"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["CXMT", "ChangXin Memory Technologies"]}
{"id": "e_b6409033c0af_i0", "domain": "Business", "question": "What is the highest price value displayed on the market board by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "40.4", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 13, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_b6409033c0af", "event_date": "2026-08-03", "supporting_event": "Japan and the U.S. conducted coordinated yen-buying intervention to support Japan's currency.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_0d4e8374", "storyline": "U.S.-Japanese currency intervention", "linked_domains": ["Geopolitics", "Law", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_9ed1e7a74235d7d2a56f", "t_2fcb930770f8753ce58a", "t_4dbd5ae64d4e27030136", "t_a99fa88529eb0935b1b9", "t_e9f9f26edfd41e4908c5", "t_0e857fb5f534ef00ef98"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "40.4", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_b6409033c0af487c7fe1_0", "settling_ids": ["t_b6409033c0af487c7fe1", "t_82895003f475969a88e9"], "visible_detail": "the price ticker showing values like 2.05 and 36.2"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Japan", "U.S.", "Japan's Finance Ministry"]}
{"id": "e_b711bd8d67b4_q0", "domain": "Business", "question": "What will the monthly salary of the Bengaluru man be by 2026-07-28?", "options": ["₹3 lakh", "₹2 lakh", "₹1 lakh", "₹1.5 lakh"], "answer": "₹2 lakh", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": "INR", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 5, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_b711bd8d67b4", "event_date": "2026-07-26", "supporting_event": "The Bengaluru man feels financially insecure despite earning ₹2 lakh per month.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_b711bd8d", "storyline": "Bengaluru man's financial situation", "linked_domains": ["Health", "Politics", "Technology"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_446779ba3e33cb0bf220", "t_aa82bc65829740fd7c30", "t_3609bf8a30e23762a927"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "₹2 lakh", "tolerance": null, "quote": "I'm 26 and I make ₹2 lakh a month.", "quote_doc_id": "t_75e3bd37da0f87137b0f", "settling_ids": ["t_b711bd8d67b4a0d3a4d3", "t_75e3bd37da0f87137b0f", "t_5ef4ced3ac0d7293e898"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Bengaluru", "Reddit"]}
{"id": "e_b8de5d0108a2_q1", "domain": "Business", "question": "How many shares will be traded in the minute following two of Trump’s posts about Iran by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "2000000", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "shares", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 2, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_b8de5d0108a2", "event_date": "2026-07-23", "supporting_event": "President Trump sold stock market traders superfast access to his posts on Truth Social.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_b8de5d01", "storyline": "Truth Social trading access", "linked_domains": ["Geopolitics", "Law", "Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["a_2f90afb9dc5089e895ea", "t_ab9d998a91a9b85a4736", "t_78481070f1d465d2715f", "t_af1d75cf84e3c97cff01", "t_08139e90267ec97b87c9", "t_8373f3db36e76a838dcc", "t_e82545b8875b3431515e"], "precursor_modalities": ["A", "T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "2000000", "tolerance": 0.05, "quote": "investors traded more than 2 million shares, according to data from DTN.", "quote_doc_id": "t_b8de5d0108a2ebf71e92", "settling_ids": ["t_b8de5d0108a2ebf71e92", "t_291b37594452b62fc4d0", "a_18e42ca5834a67f2331d", "a_751bf1486e6c2df4fdf1"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["President Trump", "Truth Social"]}
{"id": "e_b94a7ed5f688_i0", "domain": "Business", "question": "What will the GBP/USD value be by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "1.4506", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 2, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_b94a7ed5f688", "event_date": "2026-07-23", "supporting_event": "Infosys is set to report its June quarter results on July 23, 2026.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_b94a7ed5", "storyline": "Q1 results 2026", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_2a3c36023f2d94bb9c1d", "t_a0883bd3500fe18c311b", "t_e94d7a1a34aa5d33e678", "t_69d8bc9dfd319d89047a", "t_56fa257dc4854c3cd5ae", "t_6b8d57d55aa8748798f3"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "1.4506", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_b94a7ed5f688e46cb5b7_0", "settling_ids": ["t_b94a7ed5f688e46cb5b7", "t_a573e088bebbaabcb235", "t_147c47678c90b3bbdc8a", "t_760f893d8ffe7f9b9a07"], "visible_detail": "the price ticker showing GBP/USD value"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Infosys"]}
{"id": "e_ba989d23dc90_i0", "domain": "Business", "question": "What amount of Japanese Yen did the US Treasury plan to buy by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "5-10 billion", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 10, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_ba989d23dc90", "event_date": "2026-07-31", "supporting_event": "The US Treasury bought yen to support the battered Japanese currency.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_0d4e8374", "storyline": "U.S.-Japanese currency intervention", "linked_domains": ["Geopolitics", "Law", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_9ed1e7a74235d7d2a56f", "t_2fcb930770f8753ce58a", "t_3027b5666082f58a5270", "t_ca37b6492bebeb868323", "t_d9d9b3a946c53f3c335c"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "5-10 billion", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_ba989d23dc9055aab24e_0", "settling_ids": ["t_ba989d23dc9055aab24e", "t_181c1ba34426e78662be", "t_05e7781b3f5edc921d86"], "visible_detail": "the note stating 'Buy Japanese Yen (JPY) 5-10 bil'"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["US Treasury", "Japanese currency", "Federal Reserve Bank of New York", "Goldman Sachs", "Morgan Stanley"]}
{"id": "e_bb839a7d5165_i0", "domain": "Business", "question": "What specific model of memory chip is used in laptops by HP, Asus, and Acer by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "PB4350", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 14, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_bb839a7d5165", "event_date": "2026-08-04", "supporting_event": "HP, Asus, and Acer have begun using memory from Chinese company CXMT in their laptops.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_bb839a7d", "storyline": "2026 global memory chip adoption", "linked_domains": ["Technology"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_de45e78fd14f98196960", "t_cb302ee60f9923f19d62", "t_e5255567f0e1448ec754", "t_9c322dba67fdf5e5001d", "t_ea19acbe1e8e733a802a"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "PB4350", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_bb839a7d5165a244302a_0", "settling_ids": ["t_bb839a7d5165a244302a", "t_7d9a9337fdf1890e04b8", "t_c50130d2502753077ac0", "t_70b3bc5dfc53f248f178", "t_fe7813733ab2274a77b7", "t_021e8c999535d73e22f0"], "visible_detail": "the model number on the memory chip"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["HP", "Asus", "Acer", "CXMT"]}
{"id": "e_c1e0de674ef8_q0", "domain": "Business", "question": "Will Indian Oil Corporation find evidence of widespread moisture or chloride contamination in E20 petrol by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "No", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 20, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_c1e0de674ef8", "event_date": "2026-08-10", "supporting_event": "Indian Oil Corporation found no evidence of widespread moisture or chloride contamination in E20 petrol.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_c1e0de67", "storyline": "E20 petrol quality testing", "linked_domains": ["Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_3489a9c71b79941bf653", "t_11314c16bff4a3d82d6b"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "No", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the companies said scientifically designed random sampling across the entire E20 supply chain, from refineries and ethanol distilleries to depots, terminals and retail outlets, found no evidence to substantiate allegations of widespread contamination.", "quote_doc_id": "t_c1e0de674ef8294faaad", "settling_ids": ["t_c1e0de674ef8294faaad", "t_242562f031cae243f2fc", "t_946103fc374a2864674b", "t_51572b88021a1c154fcb"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Indian Oil Corporation", "Bharat Petroleum Corporation Ltd", "Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Ltd"]}
{"id": "e_c28548d9177d_d0", "domain": "Business", "question": "What will be the increased threshold for certain extensions of credit to executive officers not otherwise specifically authorized by statute by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "400000", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "D", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 2, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_c28548d9177d", "event_date": "2026-07-23", "supporting_event": "The government relaxed foreign direct investment norms for inventory-based e-commerce entities to export goods.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_c28548d9", "storyline": "FDI policy review for e-commerce", "linked_domains": ["Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_24f2cb318321d94e0716", "t_cff1fd71f50f5b1f8035", "t_920d051463feac14abfc"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "400000", "tolerance": null, "quote": "from $100,000 to $400,000", "quote_doc_id": "d_b44c916d68d6c3f7167b", "settling_ids": ["d_b44c916d68d6c3f7167b", "t_c28548d9177d86292642", "t_bae55e842d3d01712263", "t_25b917a7f8a2a07de8d3"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["the government", "Department for Promotion of Industry and Internal Trade"]}
{"id": "e_c4e9bd65d667_i0", "domain": "Business", "question": "What is the value of the Hang Seng Index by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "15,348.66", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 7, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_c4e9bd65d667", "event_date": "2026-07-28", "supporting_event": "Zhongji Innolight raised HK$53.41 billion in its Hong Kong listing.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_c4e9bd65", "storyline": "Zhongji Innolight Hong Kong listing", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_d8640614a68377683f9c", "t_aaf36b61b271035597e1", "t_7366f6050cc7ef2c3087"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "15,348.66", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_c4e9bd65d667d9c9f057_0", "settling_ids": ["t_c4e9bd65d667d9c9f057", "t_663a80b89670313fd97e", "t_9b9c6b5aecbaac0bd52c", "t_f1b89ee67ed640107d7f", "t_6ebb084266f3674d6b6b"], "visible_detail": "the value of the Hang Seng Index at 15,348.66"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Zhongji Innolight"]}
{"id": "e_c5ea14015891_q0", "domain": "Business", "question": "Will CXMT Corp's shares experience a significant increase in value by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 6, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_c5ea14015891", "event_date": "2026-07-27", "supporting_event": "Shares of CXMT Corp surged nearly 470 percent at their Shanghai debut on July 27.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_070f436d", "storyline": "CXMT IPO", "linked_domains": ["Technology"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_ea19acbe1e8e733a802a", "t_4793dc0b706799db5019"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Shares of CXMT Corp surged nearly 470 per cent at their Shanghai debut on Monday (Jul 27)", "quote_doc_id": "t_c5ea140158912965f724", "settling_ids": ["t_c5ea140158912965f724", "t_0e40f095824908a3c835"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["CXMT Corp"]}
{"id": "e_c5ea14015891_q2", "domain": "Business", "question": "How much will CXMT Corp raise in its IPO by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "57.92 billion yuan", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "billion yuan", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 6, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_c5ea14015891", "event_date": "2026-07-27", "supporting_event": "Shares of CXMT Corp surged nearly 470 percent at their Shanghai debut on July 27.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_070f436d", "storyline": "CXMT IPO", "linked_domains": ["Technology"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_ea19acbe1e8e733a802a", "t_4793dc0b706799db5019"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "57.92 billion yuan", "tolerance": 0.01, "quote": "CXMT, formally ChangXin Memory Technologies, raised 57.92 billion yuan (US$8.6 billion)", "quote_doc_id": "t_c5ea140158912965f724", "settling_ids": ["t_c5ea140158912965f724", "t_0e40f095824908a3c835"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["CXMT Corp"]}
{"id": "e_c6ee77f56f2a_q0", "domain": "Business", "question": "How much will Alphabet increase its capital expenditures forecast for 2026 by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "15", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "billion USD", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 1, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_c6ee77f56f2a", "event_date": "2026-07-22", "supporting_event": "Alphabet increased its capital expenditures forecast for 2026 by $15 billion.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_79624b27", "storyline": "Alphabet 2026 capital expenditures planning", "linked_domains": ["Law", "Technology"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_6b96ffeaf29d142cfa90", "t_a72b78dab80e9c2a5870", "t_3499b41388b47582bd2a"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "15", "tolerance": null, "quote": "$15 billion increase in capital spending plans for 2026.", "quote_doc_id": "t_c6ee77f56f2aff7c324c", "settling_ids": ["t_c6ee77f56f2aff7c324c", "t_8111f77ec38fcf0cafcd", "t_7cb95b346dd10fccf971", "t_2d8fa91bf21c4a4951b5"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Alphabet"]}
{"id": "e_c6ee77f56f2a_q1", "domain": "Business", "question": "Will Alphabet's capital expenditures forecast for 2026 exceed $200 billion by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 1, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_c6ee77f56f2a", "event_date": "2026-07-22", "supporting_event": "Alphabet increased its capital expenditures forecast for 2026 by $15 billion.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_79624b27", "storyline": "Alphabet 2026 capital expenditures planning", "linked_domains": ["Law", "Technology"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_6b96ffeaf29d142cfa90", "t_a72b78dab80e9c2a5870", "t_3499b41388b47582bd2a"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the company now expects to spend between $195 billion and $205 billion in capital expenditures.", "quote_doc_id": "t_c6ee77f56f2aff7c324c", "settling_ids": ["t_c6ee77f56f2aff7c324c", "t_8111f77ec38fcf0cafcd", "t_7cb95b346dd10fccf971", "t_2d8fa91bf21c4a4951b5"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Alphabet"]}
{"id": "e_c8dd048d8e2a_q0", "domain": "Business", "question": "Will the Employees’ Provident Fund Organisation issue a warning about fake links that could compromise personal information by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 19, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_c8dd048d8e2a", "event_date": "2026-08-09", "supporting_event": "EPFO warns its members to remain vigilant against fake links that could compromise their personal information.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_c8dd048d", "storyline": "EPFO online security awareness campaign", "linked_domains": ["Law"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_fe06668ee6cae6dc8d5b", "t_73517e9e0482cde3cda5"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "EPFO urges all members to stay vigilant online. Avoid fake links, verify URLs and protect your personal information at all times.", "quote_doc_id": "t_c8dd048d8e2ac5bb08d1", "settling_ids": ["t_c8dd048d8e2ac5bb08d1", "t_4101801f2b5e7aae6714", "t_bdbc070a150a3f708d76", "t_d6de5db3aaa5ec1972f7"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Employees’ Provident Fund Organisation"]}
{"id": "e_c8dd048d8e2a_q0_neg", "domain": "Business", "question": "Will the Employees’ Provident Fund Organisation issue a warning about fake links that could compromise personal information by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "No", "answer_type": "perturbed_binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 19, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_c8dd048d8e2a", "event_date": "2026-08-09", "supporting_event": "EPFO warns its members to remain vigilant against fake links that could compromise their personal information.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_c8dd048d", "storyline": "EPFO online security awareness campaign", "linked_domains": ["Law"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_fe06668ee6cae6dc8d5b", "t_73517e9e0482cde3cda5"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "perturbed_binary", "value": "No", "tolerance": null, "quote": "EPFO urges all members to stay vigilant online. Avoid fake links, verify URLs and protect your personal information at all times.", "quote_doc_id": "t_c8dd048d8e2ac5bb08d1", "settling_ids": ["t_c8dd048d8e2ac5bb08d1", "t_4101801f2b5e7aae6714", "t_bdbc070a150a3f708d76", "t_d6de5db3aaa5ec1972f7"], "derivation": "the event dated 2026-08-09 is after the shifted deadline 2026-08-04, so the claim is false at that deadline"}, "perturbation": {"field": "deadline", "original": "2026-08-11", "substituted": "2026-08-04", "v40_substituted": "2026-07-30"}, "paired_with": "e_c8dd048d8e2a_q0", "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Employees’ Provident Fund Organisation"]}
{"id": "e_c8dd048d8e2a_q2", "domain": "Business", "question": "How many ways will the Employees’ Provident Fund Organisation suggest to protect personal information online by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "6", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 19, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_c8dd048d8e2a", "event_date": "2026-08-09", "supporting_event": "EPFO warns its members to remain vigilant against fake links that could compromise their personal information.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_c8dd048d", "storyline": "EPFO online security awareness campaign", "linked_domains": ["Law"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_fe06668ee6cae6dc8d5b", "t_73517e9e0482cde3cda5"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "6", "tolerance": null, "quote": "EPFO warns members against fake weblinks: 6 ways to protect your UAN, Aadhaar and financial details online", "quote_doc_id": "t_c8dd048d8e2ac5bb08d1", "settling_ids": ["t_c8dd048d8e2ac5bb08d1", "t_4101801f2b5e7aae6714", "t_bdbc070a150a3f708d76", "t_d6de5db3aaa5ec1972f7"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Employees’ Provident Fund Organisation"]}
{"id": "e_ca1c88e128e5_q0", "domain": "Business", "question": "Who will announce a partnership with Nvidia by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "President Lee Jae Myung", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 7, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_ca1c88e128e5", "event_date": "2026-07-28", "supporting_event": "President Lee Jae Myung announced a $500 billion partnership with Nvidia to build AI data centers in South Korea.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_ca1c88e1", "storyline": "AI investment initiatives", "linked_domains": ["Environment", "Geopolitics", "Politics", "Technology"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_9f2b3f43d4f0cc74d9fc", "t_7fc3cd9096102b00717c", "t_5c999c2a8485c115f72d", "t_187c04d83ec8033bdbce"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "President Lee Jae Myung", "tolerance": null, "quote": "South Korean President Lee Jae Myung hosted an AI summit in San Francisco over the weekend, bringing together local tech leaders and South Korea's top business executives before announcing a $500 billion partnership with Nvidia to build AI data centers in South Korea.", "quote_doc_id": "t_ca1c88e128e520dae9eb", "settling_ids": ["t_ca1c88e128e520dae9eb", "t_6f41dea47ee623bc251b", "t_da52136af62546ad0e7b", "t_13901614261e18383871"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["President Lee Jae Myung", "Nvidia", "SK Group"]}
{"id": "e_ca1c88e128e5_q1", "domain": "Business", "question": "What will be the value of the partnership announced by President Lee Jae Myung with Nvidia by 2026-07-28?", "options": ["$950 billion partnership", "$500 billion partnership", "$200 billion partnership", "$100 billion partnership"], "answer": "$500 billion partnership", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 7, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_ca1c88e128e5", "event_date": "2026-07-28", "supporting_event": "President Lee Jae Myung announced a $500 billion partnership with Nvidia to build AI data centers in South Korea.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_ca1c88e1", "storyline": "AI investment initiatives", "linked_domains": ["Environment", "Geopolitics", "Politics", "Technology"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_9f2b3f43d4f0cc74d9fc", "t_7fc3cd9096102b00717c", "t_5c999c2a8485c115f72d", "t_187c04d83ec8033bdbce"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "$500 billion partnership", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the two sides announced a long-term partnership under which SK Group and Nvidia plan to develop at least $500 billion worth of AI factories and data centers in South Korea", "quote_doc_id": "t_ca1c88e128e520dae9eb", "settling_ids": ["t_ca1c88e128e520dae9eb", "t_6f41dea47ee623bc251b", "t_da52136af62546ad0e7b", "t_13901614261e18383871"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["President Lee Jae Myung", "Nvidia", "SK Group"]}
{"id": "e_cc809e09d0e2_i0", "domain": "Business", "question": "What is the highest denomination of currency visible in the photograph by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "200 euro", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 14, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_cc809e09d0e2", "event_date": "2026-08-04", "supporting_event": "NRIs must separate their Indian and overseas income streams to simplify tax filing and accounting.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_cc809e09", "storyline": "NRI financial management", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_25fcb507207884f1fc56", "t_ce99cc68b9ad5d3cbea8", "t_e9942d0ddef46e1f8dd5", "t_abab09f875f316d0cd47"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "200 euro", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_7bfaf7c13c3cf80da64b_0", "settling_ids": ["t_7bfaf7c13c3cf80da64b", "t_cc809e09d0e2aa75218a", "t_f875e30f167c42e9391c", "t_443d5e433f1403ee2a81", "t_5512376295be36f40474", "t_98a4cc19963aa5f4b30c"], "visible_detail": "a 200 euro banknote"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Non-Resident Indians", "India"]}
{"id": "e_cfa44d65c8a1_i0", "domain": "Business", "question": "What is the total amount of cash visible in the photograph by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "500", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 5, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_cfa44d65c8a1", "event_date": "2026-07-26", "supporting_event": "Strategy did not buy or sell any Bitcoin during the week of July 20-26.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_b2defdc8", "storyline": "capital restructuring", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_fcafc5880c7cfaeab749", "t_9f3e63c47699b011fec3", "t_f4ca85d927a4f19bd115"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "500", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_cfa44d65c8a11437bc7f_0", "settling_ids": ["t_cfa44d65c8a11437bc7f", "t_87542508b730b2fd3424", "t_560ec28d060d66982bc8"], "visible_detail": "the cash in the person's hand"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Strategy", "Bitcoin"]}
{"id": "e_d0fb5723ec12_q0", "domain": "Business", "question": "What will the European Commission's decision be regarding Paramount Skydance Corporation's acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery by 2026-07-28?", "options": ["Approval without conditions", "Rejection", "Approval with conditions", "Further investigation required"], "answer": "Approval with conditions", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 1, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_d0fb5723ec12", "event_date": "2026-07-22", "supporting_event": "The European Commission has approved Paramount Skydance Corporation's acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_d0fb5723", "storyline": "Paramount-Warner Bros. merger approval", "linked_domains": ["Geopolitics", "Law", "Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_5099ad090d7acd4ea0aa", "t_20b13c1807bca4b46b8f", "t_39f3762b6f9019ac1304"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "Approval with conditions", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the approval is contingent on full compliance with a package of commitments offered by Paramount", "quote_doc_id": "t_ddbb338590b4bf2ce1e6", "settling_ids": ["t_d0fb5723ec12df3a4908", "t_cb75060657ae45501903", "t_ddbb338590b4bf2ce1e6"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Paramount Skydance Corporation", "Warner Bros. Discovery", "European Commission"]}
{"id": "e_d24e4ed761c5_q0", "domain": "Business", "question": "How many income tax returns (ITRs) will have been filed for Assessment Year 2026-27 by 2026-07-28?", "options": ["More than 3 crore", "More than 1 crore", "More than 2 crore", "More than 4 crore"], "answer": "More than 4 crore", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 7, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_d24e4ed761c5", "event_date": "2026-07-28", "supporting_event": "More than 4 crore income tax returns (ITRs) have been filed for Assessment Year 2026-27.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_256b7fe5", "storyline": "Income Tax Return filing for AY 2026-27", "linked_domains": ["Law"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_87aa39bfe7a08200cc36", "t_f086846667ad3c5fda8b", "t_5b1f685ef33a001124c6"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "More than 4 crore", "tolerance": null, "quote": "More than 4 crore income tax returns (ITRs) have been filed for Assessment Year 2026-27", "quote_doc_id": "t_d24e4ed761c53da6c908", "settling_ids": ["t_d24e4ed761c53da6c908", "t_0c2ab003eadc8edc4875", "t_a0d2f90a856f8467bdb4", "t_190e42d0e72e49ff18a2"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Income Tax Department"]}
{"id": "e_d54ced30c882_q0", "domain": "Business", "question": "How many metric tons of NdPr metals will Evolution Metals & Technologies Corp. receive by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "5", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "metric tons", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 1, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_d54ced30c882", "event_date": "2026-07-22", "supporting_event": "Evolution Metals & Technologies Corp. received the first shipment of five metric tons of NdPr metals for defense-compliant rare earth magnet production.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_d54ced30", "storyline": "U.S. defense-compliant rare earth magnet production", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_fb0d3133397cd8dd2d56", "t_500e97da0f73d40a0a1c", "d_6c6df9fd2d5cf6695ad4"], "precursor_modalities": ["D", "T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "5", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the first shipment of five metric tons of NdPr metals", "quote_doc_id": "t_85a54033824545d916e1", "settling_ids": ["t_85a54033824545d916e1", "t_34d272b6332b8df18649", "d_d54ced30c88218055910", "d_9d5db0c31d86ce24bdb5"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Evolution Metals & Technologies Corp.", "NdPr metals"]}
{"id": "e_d665816b6dc1_q0", "domain": "Business", "question": "Who will announce plans to sell stakes to private investors in FIFA tournaments by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "Gianni Infantino", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 7, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_d665816b6dc1", "event_date": "2026-07-28", "supporting_event": "FIFA plans to sell a portion of the commercial rights to its tournaments to investors, generating more than four billion dollars in revenue.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_668616f7", "storyline": "FIFA investment plan", "linked_domains": ["Politics", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["d_b918700424962d83d287", "t_13c9afc54d962891144b", "t_4ba2755608d778903005", "t_b1fb3985caaf77798a80"], "precursor_modalities": ["D", "T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "Gianni Infantino", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Gianni Infantino has spent much of his presidency pushing to expand FIFA’s competitions and commercial reach.", "quote_doc_id": "t_d665816b6dc16d48f3fd", "settling_ids": ["t_d665816b6dc16d48f3fd", "t_bda2504d8ea1488c4617", "t_5f02b13414f02d82c0cb"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["FIFA", "Gianni Infantino", "World Cup"]}
{"id": "e_d665816b6dc1_q1", "domain": "Business", "question": "What amount will FIFA aim to generate from selling a portion of the commercial rights to its tournaments by 2026-07-28?", "options": ["more than four billion dollars", "more than two billion dollars", "more than five billion dollars", "more than three billion dollars"], "answer": "more than four billion dollars", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": "billion dollars", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 7, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_d665816b6dc1", "event_date": "2026-07-28", "supporting_event": "FIFA plans to sell a portion of the commercial rights to its tournaments to investors, generating more than four billion dollars in revenue.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_668616f7", "storyline": "FIFA investment plan", "linked_domains": ["Politics", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["d_b918700424962d83d287", "t_13c9afc54d962891144b", "t_4ba2755608d778903005", "t_b1fb3985caaf77798a80"], "precursor_modalities": ["D", "T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "more than four billion dollars", "tolerance": null, "quote": "FIFA intends to sell a portion of the commercial rights to its tournaments to investors, generating more than four billion dollars in revenue.", "quote_doc_id": "t_5f02b13414f02d82c0cb", "settling_ids": ["t_d665816b6dc16d48f3fd", "t_bda2504d8ea1488c4617", "t_5f02b13414f02d82c0cb"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["FIFA", "Gianni Infantino", "World Cup"]}
{"id": "e_d665816b6dc1_q2", "domain": "Business", "question": "How much funding will each of FIFA’s 211 member associations have the option to access through the new FIFA Fast Forward Programme by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "up to $20 million", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "dollars", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 7, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_d665816b6dc1", "event_date": "2026-07-28", "supporting_event": "FIFA plans to sell a portion of the commercial rights to its tournaments to investors, generating more than four billion dollars in revenue.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_668616f7", "storyline": "FIFA investment plan", "linked_domains": ["Politics", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["d_b918700424962d83d287", "t_13c9afc54d962891144b", "t_4ba2755608d778903005", "t_b1fb3985caaf77798a80"], "precursor_modalities": ["D", "T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "up to $20 million", "tolerance": null, "quote": "each of FIFA’s 211 member associations would have the option to access up to $20 million in one-time funding through a new FIFA Fast Forward Programme.", "quote_doc_id": "t_d665816b6dc16d48f3fd", "settling_ids": ["t_d665816b6dc16d48f3fd", "t_bda2504d8ea1488c4617", "t_5f02b13414f02d82c0cb"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["FIFA", "Gianni Infantino", "World Cup"]}
{"id": "e_daf95ba9e1a8_q0", "domain": "Business", "question": "Who will be among the employees laid off by Visa by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "vice presidents", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 8, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_daf95ba9e1a8", "event_date": "2026-07-29", "supporting_event": "Visa laid off 2,600 employees as part of a restructuring to focus on artificial intelligence.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_daf95ba9", "storyline": "Visa AI-driven layoffs 2026", "linked_domains": ["Technology"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_912dcf2d2d04c8ee9c4a", "t_b41e414cb2341a6756e7", "t_101622433971bfbc663b", "t_9656ac908eb4fb06883b", "t_b209c3033a561f880cf9"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "vice presidents", "tolerance": null, "quote": "The layoffs include six vice presidents, 37 senior directors and 16 chief engineering and architect roles.", "quote_doc_id": "t_daf95ba9e1a8571f9ad1", "settling_ids": ["t_daf95ba9e1a8571f9ad1", "t_81a1ffd506333697c83f"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Visa"]}
{"id": "e_daf95ba9e1a8_q1", "domain": "Business", "question": "How many employees will Visa lay off as part of its restructuring by 2026-08-04?", "options": ["2,600 employees", "1,500 employees", "3,200 employees", "1,000 employees"], "answer": "2,600 employees", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 8, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_daf95ba9e1a8", "event_date": "2026-07-29", "supporting_event": "Visa laid off 2,600 employees as part of a restructuring to focus on artificial intelligence.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_daf95ba9", "storyline": "Visa AI-driven layoffs 2026", "linked_domains": ["Technology"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_912dcf2d2d04c8ee9c4a", "t_b41e414cb2341a6756e7", "t_101622433971bfbc663b", "t_9656ac908eb4fb06883b", "t_b209c3033a561f880cf9"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "2,600 employees", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Visa's latest round of artificial intelligence-fuelled layoffs, affecting nearly 2,600 employees", "quote_doc_id": "t_daf95ba9e1a8571f9ad1", "settling_ids": ["t_daf95ba9e1a8571f9ad1", "t_81a1ffd506333697c83f"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Visa"]}
{"id": "e_dafa44805635_i0", "domain": "Business", "question": "What will be the Nikkei stock price for ネクソン by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "2200.0", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 16, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_dafa44805635", "event_date": "2026-08-06", "supporting_event": "MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan fell 0.69 per cent.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_031ec5d1", "storyline": "Indian stock market performance", "linked_domains": ["Environment", "Geopolitics", "Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_b3f22a8485b780f8d87e", "t_bfeca699c79920605758", "t_ef7623f9a66e081e189a", "t_8c3fc0cceb6bc15f367f"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "2200.0", "tolerance": null, "quote": "A man walks past a stock quotation board showing the  Nikkei stock prices outside a brokerage in Tokyo, Japan, June 16, 2026. REUTERS/Manami Yamada", "quote_doc_id": "i_dafa448056352edc93ec_1", "settling_ids": ["t_dafa448056352edc93ec", "t_aa338c7c921d7ec42762", "t_74634a0ce07aa43cb0e3", "t_f32da51183ed761d1a9b", "t_3e422169088ec9c4ebe7"], "visible_detail": "the Nikkei stock price of 2200.0 for ネクソン"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["MSCI"]}
{"id": "e_df4343ee0515_i0", "domain": "Business", "question": "What is the ranking of the BSE by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "3rd", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 13, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_df4343ee0515", "event_date": "2026-08-03", "supporting_event": "Aastha Spintex Limited secured a ₹51.46 crore worth order book from Falcon Yarns.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_df4343ee", "storyline": "Aastha Spintex order acquisition", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_35f032584d2e0fc0c837", "t_4bc0931cc2f44d43a689"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "3rd", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_df4343ee051576a5f554_0", "settling_ids": ["t_df4343ee051576a5f554", "t_23b2116a725470e11455"], "visible_detail": "BSE Ranked 3rd Largest Index"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Aastha Spintex Limited", "Falcon Yarns Private Limited"]}
{"id": "e_dfc3aada2842_i0", "domain": "Business", "question": "What will the BSE Sensex index value be by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "78428.95", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 14, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_dfc3aada2842", "event_date": "2026-08-04", "supporting_event": "BSE Sensex closed 210.08 points lower at 78,428.95 on August 4.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_031ec5d1", "storyline": "Indian stock market performance", "linked_domains": ["Environment", "Geopolitics", "Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_a5e2551a49a0bac75560", "t_f48063df0115b0ca82ec", "t_dc1dd6137af151fa38e1", "t_846a0d2547c74091628f"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "78428.95", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_dfc3aada284275e3dbb4_0", "settling_ids": ["t_dfc3aada284275e3dbb4", "t_a6dc3288605df59033f6", "t_e43dec836f044f8e40a2", "t_3efa44846b8128bfadb1", "t_2b73b9940c4c2cb89a8b", "t_d83a47ca170e14b2ae7f"], "visible_detail": "the BSE Sensex index value displayed on a market board or price ticker"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["BSE Sensex"]}
{"id": "e_e06c0aa7dbde_d0", "domain": "Business", "question": "What is the revenue for the second quarter of 2026 reported by OmniAb, Inc. by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "13.4 million", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "dollars", "modality_required": "D", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 6, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_e06c0aa7dbde", "event_date": "2026-07-27", "supporting_event": "VERAXA Biotech AG announced the advancement of bispecific ADC program VXA-222.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_e06c0aa7", "storyline": "VERAXA Biotech ADC development", "linked_domains": ["Health"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_3883e43ee7c4b6db3770", "t_af0c397d244aa6a8172d", "t_87c4670bf7eccc9e636e", "t_192042a79db8c2b74d92", "t_04946c82b2ecacd90a4a"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "13.4 million", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Revenue for the second quarter of 2026 was $13.4 million", "quote_doc_id": "d_bccb7dbb841153a4d58b", "settling_ids": ["d_bccb7dbb841153a4d58b", "t_e06c0aa7dbde14ba8baa", "t_f0c9b713d6e926f8ec1c"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["VERAXA Biotech AG", "OmniAb, Inc.", "VXA-222"]}
{"id": "e_e3d142262951_q0", "domain": "Business", "question": "Which company received a net countervailable subsidy rate of 1.00 percent in the preliminary results announced by the U.S. Department of Commerce by 2026-08-04?", "options": ["Hyundai Steel Pipe Co., Ltd.", "Nexteel Co., Ltd.", "AJU Besteel Co., Ltd.", "SeAH Steel Corporation"], "answer": "Hyundai Steel Pipe Co., Ltd.", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 14, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_e3d142262951", "event_date": "2026-08-04", "supporting_event": "The U.S. Department of Commerce announced the preliminary results of the administrative review of the countervailing duty order on large diameter welded pipe from South Korea.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_e3d14226", "storyline": "2024 Countervailing Duty Administrative Review", "linked_domains": ["Environment", "Geopolitics", "Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["d_b3f43e73ddb035554d4d", "d_21a3ce8f24f4e58b4b59"], "precursor_modalities": ["D"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "Hyundai Steel Pipe Co., Ltd.", "tolerance": null, "quote": "The DOC preliminarily determined a net countervailable subsidy rate of 1.00 percent for Hyundai Steel Pipe Co., Ltd. (HSP) and 0.27 percent (de minimis) for SeAH Steel Corporation.", "quote_doc_id": "t_93a1032b8ab2ca592c02", "settling_ids": ["t_93a1032b8ab2ca592c02", "d_e3d142262951400ab1fb", "d_644c97f34c98a8b7c348"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["U.S. Department of Commerce", "large diameter welded pipe", "South Korea"]}
{"id": "e_e45089863ad1_d0", "domain": "Business", "question": "What is the total number of subscribers covered by the signed partnerships with mobile network operators by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "3 billion", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "D", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 12, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_e45089863ad1", "event_date": "2026-08-02", "supporting_event": "SpaceX announced plans to build a mobile service network to enter the US telecom market.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_0942e7aa", "storyline": "SpaceX mobile service development", "linked_domains": ["Technology"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_351dd86fa604ded7ce23", "t_6f0424265c2c57f239c3", "t_a7f8c406d11dd8601c43"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "3 billion", "tolerance": null, "quote": "signed partnerships with over 60 MNO partners globally who collectively cover over 3 billion subscribers", "quote_doc_id": "d_8090e1a9ae6c0963add5", "settling_ids": ["d_8090e1a9ae6c0963add5", "t_e45089863ad147dafb8f", "t_842413de8b4ee74e109c", "t_6343b2d12b3fd838d42d"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["SpaceX", "AT&T", "T-Mobile", "Verizon", "EchoStar"]}
{"id": "e_e45089863ad1_q0", "domain": "Business", "question": "How many megahertz of wireless spectrum licenses will SpaceX acquire from EchoStar by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "65", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "MHz", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 12, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_e45089863ad1", "event_date": "2026-08-02", "supporting_event": "SpaceX announced plans to build a mobile service network to enter the US telecom market.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_0942e7aa", "storyline": "SpaceX mobile service development", "linked_domains": ["Technology"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_351dd86fa604ded7ce23", "t_6f0424265c2c57f239c3", "t_a7f8c406d11dd8601c43"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "65", "tolerance": null, "quote": "SpaceX agreed to pay $19.6 billion to acquire 65 MHz of wireless spectrum licenses from EchoStar in 2025.", "quote_doc_id": "t_e45089863ad147dafb8f", "settling_ids": ["t_e45089863ad147dafb8f", "t_842413de8b4ee74e109c", "t_6343b2d12b3fd838d42d", "d_8090e1a9ae6c0963add5"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["SpaceX", "AT&T", "T-Mobile", "Verizon", "EchoStar"]}
{"id": "e_e45089863ad1_v0", "domain": "Business", "question": "What is the scheduled launch date of the SpaceX Crew-13 mission by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "mid-September", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "V", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 12, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_e45089863ad1", "event_date": "2026-08-02", "supporting_event": "SpaceX announced plans to build a mobile service network to enter the US telecom market.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_0942e7aa", "storyline": "SpaceX mobile service development", "linked_domains": ["Technology"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_351dd86fa604ded7ce23", "t_6f0424265c2c57f239c3", "t_5c2d19e0fe80d63818ff"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "mid-September", "tolerance": null, "quote": "NASA & SpaceX Officials Hold SpaceX Crew-13 Mission Overview Briefing", "quote_doc_id": "v_b2fd29ec3192bd36992d", "settling_ids": ["t_e45089863ad147dafb8f", "t_842413de8b4ee74e109c", "t_6343b2d12b3fd838d42d"], "visible_detail": "the scheduled launch date of the SpaceX Crew-13 mission"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["SpaceX", "AT&T", "T-Mobile", "Verizon", "EchoStar"]}
{"id": "e_e9faf087d335_i0", "domain": "Business", "question": "What is the total amount of petrol sold by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "4392", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 17, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_e9faf087d335", "event_date": "2026-08-07", "supporting_event": "State-run oil marketing companies found no evidence to support claims of high moisture or chloride contamination in E20 petrol.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_c1e0de67", "storyline": "E20 petrol quality testing", "linked_domains": ["Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_28268517a6c23e513783", "t_237579b660722969e1f8", "t_f90df782110ac637a280", "t_11314c16bff4a3d82d6b"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "4392", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_e9faf087d335cb57d6d5_0", "settling_ids": ["t_e9faf087d335cb57d6d5", "t_fd218769204715813e7e", "t_4e105e4dc92aa6d0a820", "t_311153215cec947cc2e1", "t_d2d1cc5dd7ca5bdd09a3", "t_7bf14f4aad552e39acd6"], "visible_detail": "the total amount of petrol sold, which is 4392"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Indian Oil Corporation", "Bharat Petroleum Corporation Ltd", "Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Ltd", "E20 petrol"]}
{"id": "e_ec1ab291b6bc_i0", "domain": "Business", "question": "What is the name of the summit announced in South Korea's AI initiatives by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "San Francisco AI SUMMIT", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 4, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_ec1ab291b6bc", "event_date": "2026-07-25", "supporting_event": "South Korea announced $950 billion in new AI initiatives involving Samsung Electronics, SK Group and U.S. tech firms.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_ca1c88e1", "storyline": "AI investment initiatives", "linked_domains": ["Environment", "Geopolitics", "Politics", "Technology"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_7fc3cd9096102b00717c", "t_5c999c2a8485c115f72d", "t_187c04d83ec8033bdbce", "t_d69b59195d35c1015018"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "San Francisco AI SUMMIT", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_fe6a44fd84123e893879_0", "settling_ids": ["t_fe6a44fd84123e893879", "t_2f0f8148c81cbb520379", "t_ec1ab291b6bc85ca5a98", "t_9f103cb35f3d96d76874", "t_82943884a9421b9f993c", "t_9be5ed9637cb1961e473"], "visible_detail": "San Francisco AI SUMMIT"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["South Korea", "Samsung Electronics", "SK Group", "Nvidia", "Broadcom"]}
{"id": "e_ec1ab291b6bc_q0", "domain": "Business", "question": "How many billion dollars will South Korea announce in new AI initiatives by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "950", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "billion", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 4, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_ec1ab291b6bc", "event_date": "2026-07-25", "supporting_event": "South Korea announced $950 billion in new AI initiatives involving Samsung Electronics, SK Group and U.S. tech firms.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_ca1c88e1", "storyline": "AI investment initiatives", "linked_domains": ["Environment", "Geopolitics", "Politics", "Technology"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_7fc3cd9096102b00717c", "t_5c999c2a8485c115f72d", "t_187c04d83ec8033bdbce", "t_d69b59195d35c1015018"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "950", "tolerance": 0.05, "quote": "South Korea announced $950 billion in new AI initiatives involving Samsung Electronics, SK Group and U.S. tech firms", "quote_doc_id": "t_ec1ab291b6bc85ca5a98", "settling_ids": ["t_ec1ab291b6bc85ca5a98", "t_9f103cb35f3d96d76874", "t_fe6a44fd84123e893879", "t_2f0f8148c81cbb520379", "a_0fcc28c41a4ee6b349f1", "a_eb697904ae42f2617541"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["South Korea", "Samsung Electronics", "SK Group", "Nvidia", "Broadcom"]}
{"id": "e_ec1ab291b6bc_q1", "domain": "Business", "question": "Will SK Group sign deals worth more than $500 billion related to AI initiatives by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 4, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_ec1ab291b6bc", "event_date": "2026-07-25", "supporting_event": "South Korea announced $950 billion in new AI initiatives involving Samsung Electronics, SK Group and U.S. tech firms.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_ca1c88e1", "storyline": "AI investment initiatives", "linked_domains": ["Environment", "Geopolitics", "Politics", "Technology"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_7fc3cd9096102b00717c", "t_5c999c2a8485c115f72d", "t_187c04d83ec8033bdbce", "t_d69b59195d35c1015018"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "SK Group has signed deals worth $750 billion, including SK Hynix’s partnership with Nvidia valued at more than $500 billion", "quote_doc_id": "t_ec1ab291b6bc85ca5a98", "settling_ids": ["t_ec1ab291b6bc85ca5a98", "t_9f103cb35f3d96d76874", "t_fe6a44fd84123e893879", "t_2f0f8148c81cbb520379", "a_0fcc28c41a4ee6b349f1", "a_eb697904ae42f2617541"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["South Korea", "Samsung Electronics", "SK Group", "Nvidia", "Broadcom"]}
{"id": "e_eca5387721a3_q0", "domain": "Business", "question": "How many vessels will transit the Strait of Hormuz by 2026-08-11?", "options": ["8", "5", "12", "10"], "answer": "8", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": "vessels", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 15, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_eca5387721a3", "event_date": "2026-08-05", "supporting_event": "Eight vessels transited the Strait of Hormuz on August 5, 2026.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_eca53877", "storyline": "Gulf shipping traffic monitoring", "linked_domains": ["Geopolitics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_acf2fe6439518a74453b", "t_f2a4bed2cfa548bd1dba", "t_b28b9b258f745fde7840", "t_871541b2ce0f94839e69", "t_a9170c74720a2cf45ed8"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "8", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Eight vessels transited the Strait of Hormuz", "quote_doc_id": "t_eca5387721a34d723bcc", "settling_ids": ["t_eca5387721a34d723bcc", "t_1d783f8aaf54f02742f2", "t_2993dda89df082e4068e"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Strait of Hormuz", "Kpler"]}
{"id": "e_ecc99b265489_q0", "domain": "Business", "question": "What percentage will CXMT's shares surge from their offer price when trading begins on Shanghai's Star Market by 2026-07-28?", "options": ["300%", "600%", "472%", "150%"], "answer": "472%", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": "%", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 6, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_ecc99b265489", "event_date": "2026-07-27", "supporting_event": "CXMT's shares surged 472% from their offer price when trading began on Shanghai's Star Market.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_070f436d", "storyline": "CXMT IPO", "linked_domains": ["Technology"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_ea19acbe1e8e733a802a", "t_4793dc0b706799db5019"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "472%", "tolerance": null, "quote": "CXMT's shares surged 472 per cent from their offer price when trading began on Shanghai’s Star Market on July 27.", "quote_doc_id": "t_ecc99b265489e489a6dc", "settling_ids": ["t_ecc99b265489e489a6dc", "t_64e4e499e016126eed4d", "t_1004b6f5dc9e6230eeea", "t_4c28203f8d11d93df546", "a_a644a1f2c5217704a776"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["CXMT", "Shanghai's Star Market"]}
{"id": "e_edbcad05d99f_q0", "domain": "Business", "question": "Will Trump Media and Technology Group Corp. host its inaugural earnings conference call by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 20, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_edbcad05d99f", "event_date": "2026-08-10", "supporting_event": "Trump Media and Technology Group Corp. announced its inaugural earnings conference call for August 10, 2026.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_edbcad05", "storyline": "TMTG Q2 2026 earnings call", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["d_486ff3e1c64dc10535e5", "t_83839ef3d681e39f34d3", "t_0f0475106c0f6ecea5d3"], "precursor_modalities": ["D", "T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Trump Media and Technology Group Corp. (Nasdaq, NYSE Texas: DJT) announced today that it will host its inaugural earnings conference call at 5:00 p.m. ET on Monday, August 10, 2026", "quote_doc_id": "t_e758ac3c92be00bd7ef2", "settling_ids": ["t_e758ac3c92be00bd7ef2", "t_6da7f75f02d6a0014c5a", "t_a98f7e92d65a67d0ce57", "d_edbcad05d99f190e6a25"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Trump Media and Technology Group Corp.", "Truth Social", "Truth+", "Truth.Fi"]}
{"id": "e_edbcad05d99f_q0_neg", "domain": "Business", "question": "Will Trump Media and Technology Group Corp. host its inaugural earnings conference call by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "No", "answer_type": "perturbed_binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 20, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_edbcad05d99f", "event_date": "2026-08-10", "supporting_event": "Trump Media and Technology Group Corp. announced its inaugural earnings conference call for August 10, 2026.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_edbcad05", "storyline": "TMTG Q2 2026 earnings call", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["d_486ff3e1c64dc10535e5", "t_83839ef3d681e39f34d3", "t_0f0475106c0f6ecea5d3"], "precursor_modalities": ["D", "T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "perturbed_binary", "value": "No", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Trump Media and Technology Group Corp. (Nasdaq, NYSE Texas: DJT) announced today that it will host its inaugural earnings conference call at 5:00 p.m. ET on Monday, August 10, 2026", "quote_doc_id": "t_e758ac3c92be00bd7ef2", "settling_ids": ["t_e758ac3c92be00bd7ef2", "t_6da7f75f02d6a0014c5a", "t_a98f7e92d65a67d0ce57", "d_edbcad05d99f190e6a25"], "derivation": "the event dated 2026-08-10 is after the shifted deadline 2026-08-04, so the claim is false at that deadline"}, "perturbation": {"field": "deadline", "original": "2026-08-11", "substituted": "2026-08-04", "v40_substituted": "2026-07-31"}, "paired_with": "e_edbcad05d99f_q0", "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Trump Media and Technology Group Corp.", "Truth Social", "Truth+", "Truth.Fi"]}
{"id": "e_ee6f6be0a65c_d0", "domain": "Business", "question": "What is the net revenue for ZEVRA THERAPEUTICS, INC. in Q2 2026 by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "39.7 million", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "million", "modality_required": "D", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 9, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_ee6f6be0a65c", "event_date": "2026-07-30", "supporting_event": "Meta reported a free cash flow of $784 million in the second quarter.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_ee6f6be0", "storyline": "Meta's Q2 2026 financial results", "linked_domains": ["Technology"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_07a37dc756ca64b9304b", "t_6f3fd8f1c1f051ab5996", "t_8ad6ab33088db46466cf", "t_fdcb4de1df05627ad52e"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "39.7 million", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Revenue, Net: $39.7 million for Q2 2026", "quote_doc_id": "d_9aea8c4520446247f65c", "settling_ids": ["d_9aea8c4520446247f65c", "t_ee6f6be0a65cb2609db9", "t_b9e2982b476f9ef07ea0"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Meta", "Mark Zuckerberg"]}
{"id": "e_ee6f6be0a65c_q0", "domain": "Business", "question": "Will Meta report a free cash flow of more than $800 million by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "No", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 9, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_ee6f6be0a65c", "event_date": "2026-07-30", "supporting_event": "Meta reported a free cash flow of $784 million in the second quarter.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_ee6f6be0", "storyline": "Meta's Q2 2026 financial results", "linked_domains": ["Technology"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_07a37dc756ca64b9304b", "t_6f3fd8f1c1f051ab5996", "t_8ad6ab33088db46466cf", "t_fdcb4de1df05627ad52e"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "No", "tolerance": null, "quote": "leaving it with free cash flow of just $784 million in the second quarter to run and grow its business.", "quote_doc_id": "t_ee6f6be0a65cb2609db9", "settling_ids": ["t_ee6f6be0a65cb2609db9", "t_b9e2982b476f9ef07ea0"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Meta", "Mark Zuckerberg"]}
{"id": "e_ee6f6be0a65c_q2", "domain": "Business", "question": "How much free cash flow will Meta report for the second quarter by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "784", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "million", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 9, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_ee6f6be0a65c", "event_date": "2026-07-30", "supporting_event": "Meta reported a free cash flow of $784 million in the second quarter.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_ee6f6be0", "storyline": "Meta's Q2 2026 financial results", "linked_domains": ["Technology"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_07a37dc756ca64b9304b", "t_6f3fd8f1c1f051ab5996", "t_8ad6ab33088db46466cf", "t_fdcb4de1df05627ad52e"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "784", "tolerance": 0.05, "quote": "free cash flow of just $784 million in the second quarter", "quote_doc_id": "t_ee6f6be0a65cb2609db9", "settling_ids": ["t_ee6f6be0a65cb2609db9", "t_b9e2982b476f9ef07ea0"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Meta", "Mark Zuckerberg"]}
{"id": "e_ef3bdb8cd406_q1", "domain": "Business", "question": "Who will be the e-retailer that evacuates its warehouse in Zelenodolsk due to a Ukrainian drone alert by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "Ozon", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 10, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_ef3bdb8cd406", "event_date": "2026-07-31", "supporting_event": "Ozon evacuated its warehouse in Zelenodolsk due to a Ukrainian drone alert.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_ef3bdb8c", "storyline": "Ukrainian drone alerts affecting Russian e-commerce", "linked_domains": ["Geopolitics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_27f48394a87f3150cf10", "t_127906ca88f018b5c3e4", "t_b2462e7f5f7723bba5d0"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "Ozon", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Ozon said on Friday that it had been forced to evacuate its warehouse in the town of Zelenodolsk", "quote_doc_id": "t_ef3bdb8cd406d223e57c", "settling_ids": ["t_ef3bdb8cd406d223e57c", "t_71f2bee79dad96145175"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Ozon", "Zelenodolsk", "Tatarstan", "Ukraine"]}
{"id": "e_f16be7caa56e_q0", "domain": "Business", "question": "Who will secure a green loan for a new facility in Malaysia by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "AirTrunk", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 8, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_f16be7caa56e", "event_date": "2026-07-29", "supporting_event": "AirTrunk secured a US$2.3 billion green loan for a new facility in Malaysia.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_f16be7ca", "storyline": "AirTrunk financing for data centre", "linked_domains": ["Environment"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_21cbe20e864dc08bc40b", "t_5e5a74bf88ee7a990bda"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "AirTrunk", "tolerance": null, "quote": "AirTrunk has secured a US$2.3 billion (S$2.97 billion) green loan from 30 lenders for a new facility in Malaysia", "quote_doc_id": "t_f16be7caa56ebd7aa2ec", "settling_ids": ["t_f16be7caa56ebd7aa2ec", "t_2bebe44fcb88f6dce7fd"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["AirTrunk", "Credit Agricole", "DBS Bank", "HSBC Holdings", "Sumitomo Mitsui Banking", "United Overseas Bank", "Malaysia", "Johor"]}
{"id": "e_f16be7caa56e_q1", "domain": "Business", "question": "Which amount will AirTrunk secure as a green loan for its new facility in Malaysia by 2026-08-04?", "options": ["US$4.3 billion", "US$1.5 billion", "US$3 billion", "US$2.3 billion"], "answer": "US$2.3 billion", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": "USD", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 8, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_f16be7caa56e", "event_date": "2026-07-29", "supporting_event": "AirTrunk secured a US$2.3 billion green loan for a new facility in Malaysia.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_f16be7ca", "storyline": "AirTrunk financing for data centre", "linked_domains": ["Environment"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_21cbe20e864dc08bc40b", "t_5e5a74bf88ee7a990bda"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "US$2.3 billion", "tolerance": null, "quote": "AirTrunk has secured a US$2.3 billion (S$2.97 billion) green loan from 30 lenders for a new facility in Malaysia", "quote_doc_id": "t_f16be7caa56ebd7aa2ec", "settling_ids": ["t_f16be7caa56ebd7aa2ec", "t_2bebe44fcb88f6dce7fd"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["AirTrunk", "Credit Agricole", "DBS Bank", "HSBC Holdings", "Sumitomo Mitsui Banking", "United Overseas Bank", "Malaysia", "Johor"]}
{"id": "e_f3381f81bdc1_q0", "domain": "Business", "question": "How much will Samsung Electronics sign a memorandum of understanding with Broadcom for by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "200", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "billion USD", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 3, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_f3381f81bdc1", "event_date": "2026-07-24", "supporting_event": "Samsung Electronics signed a memorandum of understanding with Broadcom covering up to $200 billion.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_ca1c88e1", "storyline": "AI investment initiatives", "linked_domains": ["Environment", "Geopolitics", "Politics", "Technology"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_d3dfe18c9e0c05f05b61", "t_7fc3cd9096102b00717c", "t_b24599f357b6c8729b44"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "200", "tolerance": 0.05, "quote": "Samsung Electronics said it had signed a memorandum of understanding with Broadcom covering up to $200 billion across memory chips, foundry services and advanced packaging.", "quote_doc_id": "t_f3381f81bdc187ae6937", "settling_ids": ["t_f3381f81bdc187ae6937", "t_ec1ab291b6bc85ca5a98", "t_9f103cb35f3d96d76874", "t_82943884a9421b9f993c"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Samsung Electronics", "Broadcom"]}
{"id": "e_f3381f81bdc1_q1", "domain": "Business", "question": "Who will Samsung Electronics sign a memorandum of understanding with by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "Broadcom", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 3, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_f3381f81bdc1", "event_date": "2026-07-24", "supporting_event": "Samsung Electronics signed a memorandum of understanding with Broadcom covering up to $200 billion.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_ca1c88e1", "storyline": "AI investment initiatives", "linked_domains": ["Environment", "Geopolitics", "Politics", "Technology"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_d3dfe18c9e0c05f05b61", "t_7fc3cd9096102b00717c", "t_b24599f357b6c8729b44"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "Broadcom", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Samsung Electronics said it had signed a memorandum of understanding with Broadcom covering up to $200 billion across memory chips, foundry services and advanced packaging.", "quote_doc_id": "t_ec1ab291b6bc85ca5a98", "settling_ids": ["t_f3381f81bdc187ae6937", "t_ec1ab291b6bc85ca5a98", "t_9f103cb35f3d96d76874", "t_82943884a9421b9f993c"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Samsung Electronics", "Broadcom"]}
{"id": "e_f39cdb0eac4d_q0", "domain": "Business", "question": "Will SK Hynix report an operating profit of at least 60 trillion won by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "numeric_threshold", "unit": "trillion won", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 8, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_f39cdb0eac4d", "event_date": "2026-07-29", "supporting_event": "SK Hynix reported a sixfold increase in quarterly operating profit to 60.5 trillion won.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_f39cdb0e", "storyline": "SK Hynix Q2 2026 earnings report", "linked_domains": ["Technology"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_f1d06ee524ecb0795755", "t_b595da4661b62bd69927", "t_dc81daac1639dc5ec5b3", "t_fa4b13103064a8435038", "t_466933c2b5a4642c0c6a"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_threshold", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "an operating profit of 60.5 trillion won", "quote_doc_id": "t_f39cdb0eac4db7468440", "settling_ids": ["t_f39cdb0eac4db7468440", "t_e764293e6cd34a311822", "t_a9c34fb4fb1fdea5af42", "t_38b862eb50ba8d54a169", "a_0fcc28c41a4ee6b349f1"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["SK Hynix"]}
{"id": "e_f409e3e90719_q2", "domain": "Business", "question": "How much will HCLTech invest in its AI data centre by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "1480000000", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "USD", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 3, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_f409e3e90719", "event_date": "2026-07-24", "supporting_event": "HCLTech announced an investment of $1.48 billion to build its first AI data centre in Odisha.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_f409e3e9", "storyline": "HCLTech AI data centre investment", "linked_domains": ["Environment", "Politics", "Technology"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_bd918dc7725b42d3b87b", "t_89c492684910e8d68510"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "1480000000", "tolerance": 0, "quote": "$1.48 billion to set up its first AI data centre in the eastern state of Odisha", "quote_doc_id": "t_f409e3e9071954dae475", "settling_ids": ["t_f409e3e9071954dae475", "t_5614b4345db3adb073d3", "t_9763f07541e9a7314af6"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["HCLTech", "Sarvam AI", "Odisha"]}
{"id": "e_fc89563f4df6_a0", "domain": "Business", "question": "What was the net profit reported by SK Hynix by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "64 billion", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "dollars", "modality_required": "A", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 8, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_fc89563f4df6", "event_date": "2026-07-29", "supporting_event": "SK Hynix reported a sharp year-over-year jump in second-quarter earnings.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_f39cdb0e", "storyline": "SK Hynix Q2 2026 earnings report", "linked_domains": ["Technology"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_f1d06ee524ecb0795755", "t_85501793f1a569e461f4", "t_dc81daac1639dc5ec5b3", "t_e6700dab16529d45c930", "t_6618a134a79c29a42bd7", "t_162ea44300d0155d0f85", "t_466933c2b5a4642c0c6a"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "64 billion", "tolerance": null, "quote": "In just three months, the memory chip maker earned a net profit of about $64 billion.", "quote_doc_id": "a_0fcc28c41a4ee6b349f1", "settling_ids": ["a_0fcc28c41a4ee6b349f1", "t_fc89563f4df62a96f619", "t_2a1c7ecc1d55cd014357", "t_ed43004b76c21cc20daa"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["SK Hynix", "Nvidia"]}
{"id": "e_fcc437bb8d49_q1", "domain": "Business", "question": "What will be the maximum market capitalization of Apple by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "5.036 trillion", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "trillion", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 7, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_fcc437bb8d49", "event_date": "2026-07-28", "supporting_event": "Apple's market capitalization briefly surpassed $5 trillion for the first time on July 28, 2026.", "storyline_id": "s_bus_fcc437bb", "storyline": "Apple market valuation milestone", "linked_domains": ["Technology"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_6b59e32e7c0fd1a56e17", "t_981f3218e61ba5a9d079", "t_b20fb1470974060038ac", "t_10067f9017613dc77f5c", "t_2ede7855de72e93dedbe"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "5.036 trillion", "tolerance": 0.01, "quote": "At a session high of $342.89, Apple's market value stood at $5.036 trillion.", "quote_doc_id": "t_fcc437bb8d49ae08d4a6", "settling_ids": ["t_fcc437bb8d49ae08d4a6", "t_232adc074326b824dbec", "t_8cbb75e8bf26848abbb8", "t_6fde39c284d4176c2ccf", "a_d7d0a6225d67d84f97fd"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Apple", "Nvidia"]}
{"id": "e_09ecca1d89b8_q0", "domain": "Technology", "question": "How many domestically developed immersion deep-ultraviolet (DUV) lithography machines will China produce in 2026 by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "5", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 7, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_09ecca1d89b8", "event_date": "2026-07-28", "supporting_event": "China has begun mass producing domestically developed immersion deep-ultraviolet (DUV) lithography machines.", "storyline_id": "s_tec_09ecca1d", "storyline": "China's semiconductor self-sufficiency initiative", "linked_domains": ["Business"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_5939ad40f86b1499d0fb", "t_9c135fe52c4b1f96ffbd", "t_ea19acbe1e8e733a802a"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "5", "tolerance": null, "quote": "noting that an unidentified state-backed company in Shanghai had begun manufacturing the machines and planned to produce about five in 2026 and roughly 20 in 2027.", "quote_doc_id": "t_09ecca1d89b8b4c80002", "settling_ids": ["t_09ecca1d89b8b4c80002", "t_2d0eed42a8df0b543e61", "t_d5230bee82793f610388", "t_5d55ae00d768d2777af4"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["China", "Shanghai Aishengna Electronic Technology Group", "ASML"]}
{"id": "e_09ecca1d89b8_q1", "domain": "Technology", "question": "Who will lead the production of domestically developed immersion deep-ultraviolet (DUV) lithography machines in China by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "Shanghai Aishengna Electronic Technology Group", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 7, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_09ecca1d89b8", "event_date": "2026-07-28", "supporting_event": "China has begun mass producing domestically developed immersion deep-ultraviolet (DUV) lithography machines.", "storyline_id": "s_tec_09ecca1d", "storyline": "China's semiconductor self-sufficiency initiative", "linked_domains": ["Business"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_5939ad40f86b1499d0fb", "t_9c135fe52c4b1f96ffbd", "t_ea19acbe1e8e733a802a"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "Shanghai Aishengna Electronic Technology Group", "tolerance": null, "quote": "State-owned Shanghai Aishengna Electronic Technology Group is leading the production effort after incorporating teams from top Chinese lithography startups.", "quote_doc_id": "t_d5230bee82793f610388", "settling_ids": ["t_09ecca1d89b8b4c80002", "t_2d0eed42a8df0b543e61", "t_d5230bee82793f610388", "t_5d55ae00d768d2777af4"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["China", "Shanghai Aishengna Electronic Technology Group", "ASML"]}
{"id": "e_09ecca1d89b8_q2", "domain": "Technology", "question": "Will China's production of domestically developed immersion deep-ultraviolet (DUV) lithography machines pose an immediate commercial threat to Dutch supplier ASML by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "No", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 7, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_09ecca1d89b8", "event_date": "2026-07-28", "supporting_event": "China has begun mass producing domestically developed immersion deep-ultraviolet (DUV) lithography machines.", "storyline_id": "s_tec_09ecca1d", "storyline": "China's semiconductor self-sufficiency initiative", "linked_domains": ["Business"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_5939ad40f86b1499d0fb", "t_9c135fe52c4b1f96ffbd", "t_ea19acbe1e8e733a802a"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "No", "tolerance": null, "quote": "but will not pose an immediate commercial threat for Dutch supplier ASML.", "quote_doc_id": "t_09ecca1d89b8b4c80002", "settling_ids": ["t_09ecca1d89b8b4c80002", "t_2d0eed42a8df0b543e61", "t_d5230bee82793f610388", "t_5d55ae00d768d2777af4"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["China", "Shanghai Aishengna Electronic Technology Group", "ASML"]}
{"id": "e_11abccc526f4_q0", "domain": "Technology", "question": "Will Ethereum researchers and developers propose changing the network’s issuance policy to cut validator rewards more sharply by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 15, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_11abccc526f4", "event_date": "2026-08-05", "supporting_event": "Ethereum researchers and developers proposed changing the network’s issuance policy to cut validator rewards more sharply.", "storyline_id": "s_tec_11abccc5", "storyline": "Ethereum issuance policy change proposal", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_e0aa68acf343e90db341", "t_2f869f0ff30bb589ae62", "t_55935403588465bae692"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "A group of six Ethereum researchers and developers, including Ethereum Foundation’s Justin Drake, has proposed changing the network’s issuance policy to cut validator rewards more sharply as the proportion of staked ETH rises.", "quote_doc_id": "t_d9b300cc41d748721b18", "settling_ids": ["t_11abccc526f40c8e081e", "t_d9b300cc41d748721b18", "d_b09f1fdde5824ba296b0"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Ethereum", "Ethereum Foundation", "Justin Drake"]}
{"id": "e_11abccc526f4_q0_neg", "domain": "Technology", "question": "Will Ethereum researchers and developers propose changing the network’s issuance policy to cut validator rewards more sharply by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "No", "answer_type": "perturbed_binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 15, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_11abccc526f4", "event_date": "2026-08-05", "supporting_event": "Ethereum researchers and developers proposed changing the network’s issuance policy to cut validator rewards more sharply.", "storyline_id": "s_tec_11abccc5", "storyline": "Ethereum issuance policy change proposal", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_e0aa68acf343e90db341", "t_2f869f0ff30bb589ae62", "t_55935403588465bae692"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "perturbed_binary", "value": "No", "tolerance": null, "quote": "A group of six Ethereum researchers and developers, including Ethereum Foundation’s Justin Drake, has proposed changing the network’s issuance policy to cut validator rewards more sharply as the proportion of staked ETH rises.", "quote_doc_id": "t_d9b300cc41d748721b18", "settling_ids": ["t_11abccc526f40c8e081e", "t_d9b300cc41d748721b18", "d_b09f1fdde5824ba296b0"], "derivation": "the event dated 2026-08-05 is after the shifted deadline 2026-08-04, so the claim is false at that deadline"}, "perturbation": {"field": "deadline", "original": "2026-08-11", "substituted": "2026-08-04", "v40_substituted": "2026-07-28"}, "paired_with": "e_11abccc526f4_q0", "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Ethereum", "Ethereum Foundation", "Justin Drake"]}
{"id": "e_1b34c51be956_q0", "domain": "Technology", "question": "How many new foldable phones will Samsung reveal at its summer Unpacked event by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "2", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 2, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_1b34c51be956", "event_date": "2026-07-23", "supporting_event": "Samsung revealed two new foldable phones at its summer Unpacked event.", "storyline_id": "s_tec_1b34c51b", "storyline": "Samsung Galaxy Unpacked 2026", "linked_domains": ["Business"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_a15cd8dddd8cb109c526", "t_c1c0dd3247144331c0ad", "t_b03f727d3f28c7caf2dd", "t_827c62495d34db5d51b7"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "2", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Samsung has two new foldable phones that open like a book into a small tablet.", "quote_doc_id": "t_1b34c51be9562ce3375f", "settling_ids": ["t_1b34c51be9562ce3375f", "t_0075937dbcedd2ff4ff2"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Samsung", "Galaxy Z Fold 8 Ultra", "Galaxy Z Fold 8"]}
{"id": "e_26e440326484_q0", "domain": "Technology", "question": "Will Samsung split the Galaxy Z Fold 8 series into two devices by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 10, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_26e440326484", "event_date": "2026-07-31", "supporting_event": "Samsung split the Galaxy Z Fold 8 series into two devices.", "storyline_id": "s_tec_1b34c51b", "storyline": "Samsung Galaxy Unpacked 2026", "linked_domains": ["Business"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_4e60ac22be8629876bfe", "t_4506a05ba5213fc304ac", "t_d74669f7ce987dbf8395", "t_3d2ea3388d63e87b52e5"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Samsung took a bold step with the Galaxy Z Fold 8 series this year, splitting its book-style foldables into two very different devices.", "quote_doc_id": "t_d3b3b08a7bdedf224faa", "settling_ids": ["t_26e440326484f1070362", "t_780e72df2b16d602bdfb", "t_d3b3b08a7bdedf224faa", "t_fa0b351f4432ab57cd7a"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Samsung", "Galaxy Z Fold 8", "Galaxy Z Fold 8 Ultra"]}
{"id": "e_26e440326484_q2", "domain": "Technology", "question": "How many devices will Samsung split the Galaxy Z Fold 8 series into by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "2", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 10, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_26e440326484", "event_date": "2026-07-31", "supporting_event": "Samsung split the Galaxy Z Fold 8 series into two devices.", "storyline_id": "s_tec_1b34c51b", "storyline": "Samsung Galaxy Unpacked 2026", "linked_domains": ["Business"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_4e60ac22be8629876bfe", "t_4506a05ba5213fc304ac", "t_d74669f7ce987dbf8395", "t_3d2ea3388d63e87b52e5"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "2", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Samsung took a bold step with the Galaxy Z Fold 8 series this year, splitting its book-style foldables into two very different devices.", "quote_doc_id": "t_d3b3b08a7bdedf224faa", "settling_ids": ["t_26e440326484f1070362", "t_780e72df2b16d602bdfb", "t_d3b3b08a7bdedf224faa", "t_fa0b351f4432ab57cd7a"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Samsung", "Galaxy Z Fold 8", "Galaxy Z Fold 8 Ultra"]}
{"id": "e_28497ef02e41_q0", "domain": "Technology", "question": "What will be the expected RAM upgrade for the Pixel Watch 5 by 2026-07-28?", "options": ["1GB", "4GB", "2GB", "3GB"], "answer": "3GB", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": "GB", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 2, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_28497ef02e41", "event_date": "2026-07-23", "supporting_event": "The Pixel Watch 5 has been spotted on the Google Play Console.", "storyline_id": "s_tec_28497ef0", "storyline": "Pixel Watch 5 development", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Law"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_771fad59276874f78271", "t_0a469d5aff6928c910b7", "t_8b6a1da249e19a750cc1"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "3GB", "tolerance": null, "quote": "now with 3GB RAM for smoother AI features and performance", "quote_doc_id": "t_0e2d5afa6e317cb2a5be", "settling_ids": ["t_28497ef02e41c92a1636", "t_d1ebe959179f6d863d71", "t_0e2d5afa6e317cb2a5be", "t_1b5384babd0d5ada7203"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Pixel Watch 5", "Google"]}
{"id": "e_2d31e3ec9804_i0", "domain": "Technology", "question": "What is the identification number of the military vehicle involved in the event by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "ZL131", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 10, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_2d31e3ec9804", "event_date": "2026-07-31", "supporting_event": "Chinese military researchers have used outputs from leading US artificial intelligence models developed by OpenAI and Anthropic to train domestic AI systems.", "storyline_id": "s_tec_2d31e3ec", "storyline": "AI security evaluations", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Geopolitics", "Law", "Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_bae67a3b0ded14c1fc7d", "t_b805268f8d123664455c", "t_59b569b1330b5a691ae6", "t_29effde4e770024e24f6"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "ZL131", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_d505c6f5c68a732f0d78_0", "settling_ids": ["t_d505c6f5c68a732f0d78", "t_2d31e3ec9804ad6698c6", "t_cb0ccf437c18fc366d3e", "t_b44bd2e1089361853eec", "t_a70611b9b95c863fe5fb", "t_08a5f1cf4114d4827366"], "visible_detail": "the number 'ZL131' on the vehicle"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Chinese military researchers", "OpenAI", "Anthropic"]}
{"id": "e_2d31e3ec9804_q0", "domain": "Technology", "question": "How many Chinese academic papers and patents will reveal the use of US AI models by Chinese military researchers by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "80", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 10, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_2d31e3ec9804", "event_date": "2026-07-31", "supporting_event": "Chinese military researchers have used outputs from leading US artificial intelligence models developed by OpenAI and Anthropic to train domestic AI systems.", "storyline_id": "s_tec_2d31e3ec", "storyline": "AI security evaluations", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Geopolitics", "Law", "Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_bae67a3b0ded14c1fc7d", "t_b805268f8d123664455c", "t_59b569b1330b5a691ae6", "t_29effde4e770024e24f6"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "80", "tolerance": null, "quote": "according to a Reuters review of more than 80 Chinese academic papers and patents.", "quote_doc_id": "t_2d31e3ec9804ad6698c6", "settling_ids": ["t_2d31e3ec9804ad6698c6", "t_cb0ccf437c18fc366d3e", "t_b44bd2e1089361853eec", "t_a70611b9b95c863fe5fb"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Chinese military researchers", "OpenAI", "Anthropic"]}
{"id": "e_2d31e3ec9804_q2", "domain": "Technology", "question": "Will the Chinese military researchers be reported to have used outputs from US AI models to train domestic AI systems by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 10, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_2d31e3ec9804", "event_date": "2026-07-31", "supporting_event": "Chinese military researchers have used outputs from leading US artificial intelligence models developed by OpenAI and Anthropic to train domestic AI systems.", "storyline_id": "s_tec_2d31e3ec", "storyline": "AI security evaluations", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Geopolitics", "Law", "Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_bae67a3b0ded14c1fc7d", "t_b805268f8d123664455c", "t_59b569b1330b5a691ae6", "t_29effde4e770024e24f6"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Chinese military researchers have used outputs from leading US artificial intelligence models developed by OpenAI and Anthropic to train domestic AI systems", "quote_doc_id": "t_2d31e3ec9804ad6698c6", "settling_ids": ["t_2d31e3ec9804ad6698c6", "t_cb0ccf437c18fc366d3e", "t_b44bd2e1089361853eec", "t_a70611b9b95c863fe5fb"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Chinese military researchers", "OpenAI", "Anthropic"]}
{"id": "e_2d5723451c0c_q0", "domain": "Technology", "question": "How many medium-risk vulnerabilities will Intelligent Bio Solutions Inc. have remediated by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "100", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 2, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_2d5723451c0c", "event_date": "2026-07-23", "supporting_event": "Intelligent Bio Solutions Inc. addressed all the cybersecurity and software-related review items for its upcoming FDA 510(k) submission.", "storyline_id": "s_tec_2d572345", "storyline": "FDA 510(k) submission process", "linked_domains": ["Health"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["d_318d670d2e22f50f0c19", "t_c812c2364f992b3e06d8", "d_350205a1ec8216379f6d"], "precursor_modalities": ["D", "T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "100", "tolerance": 0.05, "quote": "100% of medium-risk vulnerabilities remediated", "quote_doc_id": "t_ce0282bb7695474cf4e7", "settling_ids": ["t_ce0282bb7695474cf4e7", "t_0053faf95072a41db282", "t_ee5ae0b089a6f77347d3", "d_2d5723451c0ca86ce1f1", "d_df4d65480d072ebb05be"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Intelligent Bio Solutions Inc.", "FDA"]}
{"id": "e_2ea59a6c3251_q1", "domain": "Technology", "question": "Which version of Android will be released by Google by 2026-08-04?", "options": ["Android 17 QPR1 Beta 8", "Android 17 QPR1 Beta 5", "Android 17 QPR1 Beta 6", "Android 17 QPR1 Beta 7"], "answer": "Android 17 QPR1 Beta 8", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 10, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_2ea59a6c3251", "event_date": "2026-07-31", "supporting_event": "Google released Android 17 QPR1 Beta 8.", "storyline_id": "s_tec_2ea59a6c", "storyline": "Android 17 QPR1 Beta releases", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Law"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_d6ee53c0a8d95c782abc", "t_5527c5c8675519eb7f3f", "t_d0d8fba5d9648aa482d5"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "Android 17 QPR1 Beta 8", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Android 17 QPR1 Beta 8 just landed with all of Google's latest fixes", "quote_doc_id": "t_2ea59a6c3251627a3ff2", "settling_ids": ["t_2ea59a6c3251627a3ff2", "t_6334db232cfb96df0d1a"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Google", "Android 17 QPR1 Beta 8"]}
{"id": "e_2ea59a6c3251_q2", "domain": "Technology", "question": "How many betas of Android 17 QPR1 will Google release by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "8", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 10, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_2ea59a6c3251", "event_date": "2026-07-31", "supporting_event": "Google released Android 17 QPR1 Beta 8.", "storyline_id": "s_tec_2ea59a6c", "storyline": "Android 17 QPR1 Beta releases", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Law"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_d6ee53c0a8d95c782abc", "t_5527c5c8675519eb7f3f", "t_d0d8fba5d9648aa482d5"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "8", "tolerance": 0.05, "quote": "It’s been two weeks since Google dropped Android 17 QPR1 Beta 7, and right on schedule, Google’s sharing the release notes for QPR1 Beta 8.", "quote_doc_id": "t_2ea59a6c3251627a3ff2", "settling_ids": ["t_2ea59a6c3251627a3ff2", "t_6334db232cfb96df0d1a"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Google", "Android 17 QPR1 Beta 8"]}
{"id": "e_341b13357b90_q0", "domain": "Technology", "question": "How much will the QuietComfort Headphones (2nd Gen) be priced at by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "359", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "USD", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 17, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_341b13357b90", "event_date": "2026-08-07", "supporting_event": "Bose launched the QuietComfort Headphones (2nd Gen) for $359.", "storyline_id": "s_tec_341b1335", "storyline": "Bose product launches", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_2cccf9d86d0a82b698d1", "t_bfece4da057ccbb5b2e3", "t_2f78eb9d564b999c15e6"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "359", "tolerance": 0.01, "quote": "$359, just $10 more than the 2023 model’s launch price.", "quote_doc_id": "t_341b13357b90c2917bde", "settling_ids": ["t_341b13357b90c2917bde", "t_2bb4f29e92415bb286ab", "t_cd2520406930d91f83ca", "a_c57ab3f90ef3f3f84990"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Bose", "QuietComfort Headphones (2nd Gen)"]}
{"id": "e_445227fdd16d_d0", "domain": "Technology", "question": "How many shares of Netlist common stock will Samsung purchase by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "ten million shares", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": "shares", "modality_required": "D", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 9, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_445227fdd16d", "event_date": "2026-07-30", "supporting_event": "Samsung has confirmed that the Galaxy Tab S12 series will launch in the second half of 2026.", "storyline_id": "s_tec_445227fd", "storyline": "Samsung product launch announcements", "linked_domains": ["Business"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_f15d28b20471e794e51f", "t_e48919059c14a9779939"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "ten million shares", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Samsung will purchase ten million shares of Netlist common stock.", "quote_doc_id": "d_f94c4bd34ffd92d95329", "settling_ids": ["d_f94c4bd34ffd92d95329", "t_445227fdd16d8a261b52", "t_a5988f7e21246ff68d03"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Samsung", "Galaxy Tab S12 series"]}
{"id": "e_445227fdd16d_q0", "domain": "Technology", "question": "Will Samsung confirm the launch of the Galaxy Tab S12 series by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 9, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_445227fdd16d", "event_date": "2026-07-30", "supporting_event": "Samsung has confirmed that the Galaxy Tab S12 series will launch in the second half of 2026.", "storyline_id": "s_tec_445227fd", "storyline": "Samsung product launch announcements", "linked_domains": ["Business"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_f15d28b20471e794e51f", "t_e48919059c14a9779939"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Samsung has confirmed that the Galaxy Tab S12 series will launch in the second half of the year.", "quote_doc_id": "t_445227fdd16d8a261b52", "settling_ids": ["t_445227fdd16d8a261b52", "t_a5988f7e21246ff68d03"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Samsung", "Galaxy Tab S12 series"]}
{"id": "e_445227fdd16d_q0_neg", "domain": "Technology", "question": "Will Samsung confirm the launch of the Galaxy Tab S12 series by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "No", "answer_type": "perturbed_binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 9, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_445227fdd16d", "event_date": "2026-07-30", "supporting_event": "Samsung has confirmed that the Galaxy Tab S12 series will launch in the second half of 2026.", "storyline_id": "s_tec_445227fd", "storyline": "Samsung product launch announcements", "linked_domains": ["Business"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_f15d28b20471e794e51f", "t_e48919059c14a9779939"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "perturbed_binary", "value": "No", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Samsung has confirmed that the Galaxy Tab S12 series will launch in the second half of the year.", "quote_doc_id": "t_445227fdd16d8a261b52", "settling_ids": ["t_445227fdd16d8a261b52", "t_a5988f7e21246ff68d03"], "derivation": "the event dated 2026-07-30 is after the shifted deadline 2026-07-28, so the claim is false at that deadline"}, "perturbation": {"field": "deadline", "original": "2026-08-04", "substituted": "2026-07-28", "v40_substituted": "2026-07-25"}, "paired_with": "e_445227fdd16d_q0", "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Samsung", "Galaxy Tab S12 series"]}
{"id": "e_457aa7587181_a0", "domain": "Technology", "question": "What is the price of the used book that was up for sale on Amazon by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "2.4 million dollars", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "dollars", "modality_required": "A", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 7, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_457aa7587181", "event_date": "2026-07-28", "supporting_event": "Amazon is reshaping its artificial intelligence strategy by scaling back development of several flagship Nova AI models.", "storyline_id": "s_tec_457aa758", "storyline": "Amazon AI strategy shift", "linked_domains": ["Business"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_e807db770e7e331a4cf5", "t_5d5bf66e55f7dda5f87f", "t_ef6cf2e92e884247a6e9"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "2.4 million dollars", "tolerance": null, "quote": "it was selling for something like $2.4 million", "quote_doc_id": "a_e10d88bc5a185e8e3313", "settling_ids": ["a_e10d88bc5a185e8e3313", "t_457aa75871818d2b9858", "t_268924deada5866ac0fd"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Amazon", "Nova AI models"]}
{"id": "e_457aa7587181_d0", "domain": "Technology", "question": "What is the minimum loss value that must be shown to succeed on a claim under the CFAA by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "5,000", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "dollars", "modality_required": "D", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 7, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_457aa7587181", "event_date": "2026-07-28", "supporting_event": "Amazon is reshaping its artificial intelligence strategy by scaling back development of several flagship Nova AI models.", "storyline_id": "s_tec_457aa758", "storyline": "Amazon AI strategy shift", "linked_domains": ["Business"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_e807db770e7e331a4cf5", "t_5d5bf66e55f7dda5f87f", "t_ef6cf2e92e884247a6e9"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "5,000", "tolerance": null, "quote": "there was loss to one or more persons during any one-year period aggregating at least $5,000 in value", "quote_doc_id": "d_b0aa4ce6ae29358fffb9", "settling_ids": ["d_b0aa4ce6ae29358fffb9", "t_457aa75871818d2b9858", "t_268924deada5866ac0fd"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Amazon", "Nova AI models"]}
{"id": "e_457aa7587181_q0", "domain": "Technology", "question": "Which of the following models is Amazon reportedly scaling back development on by 2026-07-28?", "options": ["Echo model", "Vision model", "Premier model", "Scribe model"], "answer": "Premier model", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 7, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_457aa7587181", "event_date": "2026-07-28", "supporting_event": "Amazon is reshaping its artificial intelligence strategy by scaling back development of several flagship Nova AI models.", "storyline_id": "s_tec_457aa758", "storyline": "Amazon AI strategy shift", "linked_domains": ["Business"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_e807db770e7e331a4cf5", "t_5d5bf66e55f7dda5f87f", "t_ef6cf2e92e884247a6e9"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "Premier model", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Amazon has begun winding down active development of several of its flagship Nova models, including the high-end Premier and Omni models", "quote_doc_id": "t_268924deada5866ac0fd", "settling_ids": ["t_457aa75871818d2b9858", "t_268924deada5866ac0fd", "d_b0aa4ce6ae29358fffb9", "a_964a911cca17a9b7eaa9", "a_7e90d8e3ea282ce0d6b0"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Amazon", "Nova AI models"]}
{"id": "e_46da24154de5_q0", "domain": "Technology", "question": "Which feature will be added to Gemini for Mac by 2026-08-04?", "options": ["A new quick keyboard shortcut that activates voice mode", "Support for additional languages", "A new theme for the user interface", "Integration with third-party applications"], "answer": "A new quick keyboard shortcut that activates voice mode", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 8, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_46da24154de5", "event_date": "2026-07-29", "supporting_event": "Google updated Gemini for Mac to add a new quick keyboard shortcut that activates voice mode.", "storyline_id": "s_tec_46da2415", "storyline": "Gemini for Mac updates", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Law"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_e1416ff9eb94b8f7fd05", "t_20f4d536cb06918722f8", "t_201befc40bd27acbfd69"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "A new quick keyboard shortcut that activates voice mode", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Google today updated Gemini for Mac to add a new quick keyboard shortcut that activates voice mode.", "quote_doc_id": "t_a4761ae0b3f5fb30c472", "settling_ids": ["t_46da24154de5116c2c10", "t_a4761ae0b3f5fb30c472", "t_87a111dad16ba1cb1933"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Google", "Gemini"]}
{"id": "e_4af8e4b2b4e9_a0", "domain": "Technology", "question": "What is the projected increase in SpaceX's data center capacity by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "10 gigawatts", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "gigawatts", "modality_required": "A", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 15, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_4af8e4b2b4e9", "event_date": "2026-08-05", "supporting_event": "SpaceX committed to using Nvidia GPUs exclusively for all future AI systems on Earth and in space.", "storyline_id": "s_tec_4af8e4b2", "storyline": "SpaceX AI systems development", "linked_domains": ["Business"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_d8fa281982ee5273b230", "t_3f0bee2d948d5cf7742d", "t_f4321ccc00e4554abaa8"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "10 gigawatts", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Elon Musk told investors he plans to increase SpaceX's data center capacity from 2 gigawatts to as much as 10 gigawatts", "quote_doc_id": "a_d1a66e8257c022a9bed6", "settling_ids": ["a_d1a66e8257c022a9bed6", "t_4af8e4b2b4e9d07aa523", "t_e6aa39bc704a08edd8da", "t_a0dd327dacf0cde9f03d"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["SpaceX", "Nvidia"]}
{"id": "e_4af8e4b2b4e9_q0", "domain": "Technology", "question": "How many gigawatts of computing capacity does SpaceX intend to have by the end of 2026, as stated by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "2", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "gigawatts", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 15, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_4af8e4b2b4e9", "event_date": "2026-08-05", "supporting_event": "SpaceX committed to using Nvidia GPUs exclusively for all future AI systems on Earth and in space.", "storyline_id": "s_tec_4af8e4b2", "storyline": "SpaceX AI systems development", "linked_domains": ["Business"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_d8fa281982ee5273b230", "t_3f0bee2d948d5cf7742d", "t_f4321ccc00e4554abaa8"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "2", "tolerance": 0.1, "quote": "Musk indicated that SpaceX intends to end 2026 with over 2 gigawatts worth of compute.", "quote_doc_id": "t_e6aa39bc704a08edd8da", "settling_ids": ["t_4af8e4b2b4e9d07aa523", "t_e6aa39bc704a08edd8da", "t_a0dd327dacf0cde9f03d"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["SpaceX", "Nvidia"]}
{"id": "e_4d9ff77481f7_q0", "domain": "Technology", "question": "Which researchers reported issues with Apple's Private Relay feature by 2026-08-11?", "options": ["Michael Green and Sarah White", "John Doe and Jane Smith", "Tommy Mysk and Talal Haj Bakry", "Alice Johnson and Bob Brown"], "answer": "Tommy Mysk and Talal Haj Bakry", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 15, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_4d9ff77481f7", "event_date": "2026-08-05", "supporting_event": "Apple is investigating issues that can expose a user’s real IP despite Private Relay.", "storyline_id": "s_tec_4d9ff774", "storyline": "Apple Private Relay investigation", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_9162bb210b8292d72ee8", "t_699367cebc196f90803b", "t_14f3309dab56ad471a76", "t_0b4abad86def418907f7", "t_a2e72a88af2741a5af2c"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "Tommy Mysk and Talal Haj Bakry", "tolerance": null, "quote": "discovered by security researchers Tommy Mysk and Talal Haj Bakry", "quote_doc_id": "t_4d9ff77481f763f8b304", "settling_ids": ["t_4d9ff77481f763f8b304", "t_8b8a7603239b89da4e42", "t_d8d8293b6910e38ed68e"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Apple", "iCloud Private Relay", "WebKit", "Tommy Mysk", "Talal Haj Bakry"]}
{"id": "e_4ea24e94b109_q0", "domain": "Technology", "question": "How many addresses will be impacted by the Coldcard seed-generation flaw by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "4500", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 13, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_4ea24e94b109", "event_date": "2026-08-03", "supporting_event": "Coldcard's five-year seed-generation flaw has exposed a broader weakness in how hardware wallets are independently tested.", "storyline_id": "s_tec_4ea24e94", "storyline": "Coldcard hardware wallet vulnerability assessment", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_924feacc09690d1451e8", "t_0311e2e7adac14c23f6a", "t_c4eb2a7fd6372ef84d3c"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "4500", "tolerance": null, "quote": "over 4,500 addresses have been impacted", "quote_doc_id": "t_4ea24e94b109ff376a5e", "settling_ids": ["t_4ea24e94b109ff376a5e", "t_958a76eb4cbcecb49082"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Coldcard", "Kraken", "Nick Percoco"]}
{"id": "e_4ea24e94b109_q2", "domain": "Technology", "question": "Will the Coldcard flaw lead to calls for improved independent testing of hardware wallets by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 13, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_4ea24e94b109", "event_date": "2026-08-03", "supporting_event": "Coldcard's five-year seed-generation flaw has exposed a broader weakness in how hardware wallets are independently tested.", "storyline_id": "s_tec_4ea24e94", "storyline": "Coldcard hardware wallet vulnerability assessment", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_924feacc09690d1451e8", "t_0311e2e7adac14c23f6a", "t_c4eb2a7fd6372ef84d3c"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the incident should be a 'wake-up call' for hardware-wallet makers, calling for independent testing", "quote_doc_id": "t_4ea24e94b109ff376a5e", "settling_ids": ["t_4ea24e94b109ff376a5e", "t_958a76eb4cbcecb49082"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Coldcard", "Kraken", "Nick Percoco"]}
{"id": "e_4ea24e94b109_q2_neg", "domain": "Technology", "question": "Will the Coldcard flaw lead to calls for improved independent testing of hardware wallets by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "No", "answer_type": "perturbed_binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 13, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_4ea24e94b109", "event_date": "2026-08-03", "supporting_event": "Coldcard's five-year seed-generation flaw has exposed a broader weakness in how hardware wallets are independently tested.", "storyline_id": "s_tec_4ea24e94", "storyline": "Coldcard hardware wallet vulnerability assessment", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_924feacc09690d1451e8", "t_0311e2e7adac14c23f6a", "t_c4eb2a7fd6372ef84d3c"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "perturbed_binary", "value": "No", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the incident should be a 'wake-up call' for hardware-wallet makers, calling for independent testing", "quote_doc_id": "t_4ea24e94b109ff376a5e", "settling_ids": ["t_4ea24e94b109ff376a5e", "t_958a76eb4cbcecb49082"], "derivation": "the event dated 2026-08-03 is after the shifted deadline 2026-07-28, so the claim is false at that deadline"}, "perturbation": {"field": "deadline", "original": "2026-08-04", "substituted": "2026-07-28", "v40_substituted": "2026-07-27"}, "paired_with": "e_4ea24e94b109_q2", "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Coldcard", "Kraken", "Nick Percoco"]}
{"id": "e_51f264b66681_q0", "domain": "Technology", "question": "How many consumers will Prime Video have after the overhaul pushed by Jeff Bezos by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "200 million", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 2, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_51f264b66681", "event_date": "2026-07-23", "supporting_event": "Jeff Bezos pushed for an overhaul of Prime Video to focus on AI.", "storyline_id": "s_tec_51f264b6", "storyline": "Amazon AI initiatives", "linked_domains": ["Business"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_f2fa39f1d19dd963a2c9", "t_70f738bd2ca366074cb1", "t_bcaeb6c6b8d0cbaf85e4", "t_d3c8c110d1cbb18e7702", "t_0cf4235481e271bb6557"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "200 million", "tolerance": null, "quote": "for the more than 200 million consumers who use Prime Video", "quote_doc_id": "t_51f264b666818aa8fa91", "settling_ids": ["t_51f264b666818aa8fa91", "t_2806d8b227ebeb3cc85e"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Jeff Bezos", "Amazon", "Prime Video"]}
{"id": "e_51f264b66681_q1", "domain": "Technology", "question": "Who will push for an overhaul of Prime Video to focus on AI by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "Jeff Bezos", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 2, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_51f264b66681", "event_date": "2026-07-23", "supporting_event": "Jeff Bezos pushed for an overhaul of Prime Video to focus on AI.", "storyline_id": "s_tec_51f264b6", "storyline": "Amazon AI initiatives", "linked_domains": ["Business"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_f2fa39f1d19dd963a2c9", "t_70f738bd2ca366074cb1", "t_bcaeb6c6b8d0cbaf85e4", "t_d3c8c110d1cbb18e7702", "t_0cf4235481e271bb6557"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "Jeff Bezos", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Jeff Bezos has identified a new, high-profile platform to help showcase the hundreds of billions of dollars Amazon has bet on artificial intelligence: Prime Video.", "quote_doc_id": "t_51f264b666818aa8fa91", "settling_ids": ["t_51f264b666818aa8fa91", "t_2806d8b227ebeb3cc85e"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Jeff Bezos", "Amazon", "Prime Video"]}
{"id": "e_5248a49e6964_v0", "domain": "Technology", "question": "What date did Chris Williams return to Earth and how many days did he log in space by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "July 26, 241 days", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "V", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 9, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_5248a49e6964", "event_date": "2026-07-30", "supporting_event": "Chris Olave agreed to a four-year extension worth up to $132 million.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_15a072c8", "storyline": "NFL contract extensions 2026", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_55f36269c6f0707f6419", "t_84a5a035db527de8b129"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "July 26, 241 days", "tolerance": null, "quote": "NASA Astronaut Chris Williams Discusses Mission Aboard the International Space Station", "quote_doc_id": "v_10613ef5568ec2373ce9", "settling_ids": ["t_5248a49e69648ee9abde", "t_99b91474e554f2ffd354"], "visible_detail": "the date Chris Williams returned to Earth and the number of days logged"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Chris Olave", "New Orleans Saints"]}
{"id": "e_59e34676148f_q1", "domain": "Technology", "question": "What score will Kimi K3 achieve in the coding benchmark study by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "79.8", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 9, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_59e34676148f", "event_date": "2026-07-30", "supporting_event": "Kimi K3 tied Anthropic's Claude Opus 5 in a coding benchmark study.", "storyline_id": "s_tec_59e34676", "storyline": "AI coding model benchmark study", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_1b6301eeeb2a9aa185c9", "t_7e2905b60e6618870124", "t_20510d979a5a03057bfa", "t_5c57f0d37554ba85bbd6"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "79.8", "tolerance": 0.1, "quote": "Kimi K3, from Beijing-based Moonshot AI, came in at 79.8.", "quote_doc_id": "t_123ab54483b179de7e39", "settling_ids": ["t_59e34676148fbb089a7a", "t_123ab54483b179de7e39", "t_79eb997923eceea92411", "t_3ea8e62f0eae98126c0d"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Kimi K3", "Anthropic", "Claude Opus 5", "Moonshot AI"]}
{"id": "e_5fc87ffe7228_i0", "domain": "Technology", "question": "What entity is recognized as the winner of the event by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "DEEPSEEK AI", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 13, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_5fc87ffe7228", "event_date": "2026-08-03", "supporting_event": "DeepSeek officially released its V4-Flash model on August 3, 2026.", "storyline_id": "s_tec_59e34676", "storyline": "AI coding model benchmark study", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_7721d7aca736084d80c2", "t_0260dab4678ee851a4c0"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "DEEPSEEK AI", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_5fc87ffe7228527a5fef_0", "settling_ids": ["t_5fc87ffe7228527a5fef", "t_c6df386b70cc408eef4f", "t_6ef9847f272dcee89f4b", "t_ed22837e7c5e4989ea28", "t_b0ff514f21a73bfa47e7", "t_b3947a849202496c3686"], "visible_detail": "the name 'DEEPSEEK AI'"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["DeepSeek", "V4-Flash model"]}
{"id": "e_64b4a3ead170_q0", "domain": "Technology", "question": "How many WebKit flaws will be identified that leak users' real IP addresses by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "3", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 14, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_64b4a3ead170", "event_date": "2026-08-04", "supporting_event": "Apple's iCloud Private Relay is leaking users' real IP addresses due to WebKit flaws.", "storyline_id": "s_tec_4d9ff774", "storyline": "Apple Private Relay investigation", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_9162bb210b8292d72ee8", "t_699367cebc196f90803b", "t_0b4abad86def418907f7", "t_a2e72a88af2741a5af2c"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "3", "tolerance": null, "quote": "they had found 'three WebKit features that bypass the proxy configuration and send traffic directly from the device instead,'", "quote_doc_id": "t_64b4a3ead1706e30a01c", "settling_ids": ["t_64b4a3ead1706e30a01c", "t_8b8a7603239b89da4e42", "t_d8d8293b6910e38ed68e", "t_304faeff00d036baf8d3"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Apple", "Talal Haj Bakry", "Tommy Mysk", "WebKit", "Psylo"]}
{"id": "e_64b4a3ead170_q1", "domain": "Technology", "question": "Who will report vulnerabilities in Apple's iCloud Private Relay by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "Talal Haj Bakry and Tommy Mysk", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 14, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_64b4a3ead170", "event_date": "2026-08-04", "supporting_event": "Apple's iCloud Private Relay is leaking users' real IP addresses due to WebKit flaws.", "storyline_id": "s_tec_4d9ff774", "storyline": "Apple Private Relay investigation", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_9162bb210b8292d72ee8", "t_699367cebc196f90803b", "t_0b4abad86def418907f7", "t_a2e72a88af2741a5af2c"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "Talal Haj Bakry and Tommy Mysk", "tolerance": null, "quote": "According to security researchers Talal Haj Bakry and Tommy Mysk", "quote_doc_id": "t_64b4a3ead1706e30a01c", "settling_ids": ["t_64b4a3ead1706e30a01c", "t_8b8a7603239b89da4e42", "t_d8d8293b6910e38ed68e", "t_304faeff00d036baf8d3"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Apple", "Talal Haj Bakry", "Tommy Mysk", "WebKit", "Psylo"]}
{"id": "e_66be0b73cc44_q0", "domain": "Technology", "question": "What market size will Advanced Micro Devices project for the AI accelerator market by 2030, as announced by 2026-07-28?", "options": ["about $1.4 trillion", "about $2 trillion", "about $750 billion", "about $500 billion"], "answer": "about $1.4 trillion", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": "USD", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 2, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_66be0b73cc44", "event_date": "2026-07-23", "supporting_event": "Advanced Micro Devices unveiled the Helios AI Rack and projected the AI accelerator market to reach about $1.4 trillion.", "storyline_id": "s_tec_66be0b73", "storyline": "AMD Advancing AI 2026 event", "linked_domains": ["Business"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_7f84b27c46b8706ab7d3", "t_efadc04eb9b25e6018a4"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "about $1.4 trillion", "tolerance": null, "quote": "AMD also said it expects the AI accelerator market to reach about $1.4 trillion by 2030.", "quote_doc_id": "t_66be0b73cc44eeacb768", "settling_ids": ["t_66be0b73cc44eeacb768", "t_d8d48fc693e06f0d0d09", "t_06a88e0e17ec5102dd4a", "t_118ef8de2a172ace6d83"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Advanced Micro Devices", "Helios AI Rack"]}
{"id": "e_66be0b73cc44_q1", "domain": "Technology", "question": "What will be the projected growth of the server CPU market by 2030, as stated by Advanced Micro Devices by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "more than $200 billion", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "USD", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 2, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_66be0b73cc44", "event_date": "2026-07-23", "supporting_event": "Advanced Micro Devices unveiled the Helios AI Rack and projected the AI accelerator market to reach about $1.4 trillion.", "storyline_id": "s_tec_66be0b73", "storyline": "AMD Advancing AI 2026 event", "linked_domains": ["Business"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_7f84b27c46b8706ab7d3", "t_efadc04eb9b25e6018a4"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "more than $200 billion", "tolerance": 0.05, "quote": "AMD also said it expects the server CPU market to grow from about $25 billion today to more than $200 billion by 2030.", "quote_doc_id": "t_66be0b73cc44eeacb768", "settling_ids": ["t_66be0b73cc44eeacb768", "t_d8d48fc693e06f0d0d09", "t_06a88e0e17ec5102dd4a", "t_118ef8de2a172ace6d83"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Advanced Micro Devices", "Helios AI Rack"]}
{"id": "e_6b08268a0b07_q2", "domain": "Technology", "question": "What is the name of the AI model that Meta will launch by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "Muse Glimmer", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 20, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_6b08268a0b07", "event_date": "2026-08-10", "supporting_event": "Meta launched Muse Glimmer, a 30-billion-parameter artificial intelligence model designed to run AI agents locally on consumer computers.", "storyline_id": "s_tec_6b08268a", "storyline": "Meta AI model launches", "linked_domains": ["Business"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_28d2dad58d2e938ba0c6", "t_16e6cf330c0bec8b7c42", "t_3fb66b366d673dbc06e3"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "Muse Glimmer", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Meta launches Muse Glimmer", "quote_doc_id": "t_6b08268a0b07c9bec8f6", "settling_ids": ["t_6b08268a0b07c9bec8f6", "t_9eb323cbb7a9dd9afd69", "t_507ef329f933c3ac4a3e", "t_af3bca9ba1592b2f2aea"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Meta", "Muse Glimmer"]}
{"id": "e_72ea363278bc_i0", "domain": "Technology", "question": "What is the capacity of the High Bandwidth Flash (HBF) chip unveiled by SK Hynix and SanDisk by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "40GB", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 14, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_72ea363278bc", "event_date": "2026-08-04", "supporting_event": "SK Hynix and SanDisk unveiled the first standard specification for High Bandwidth Flash (HBF).", "storyline_id": "s_tec_72ea3632", "storyline": "HBF standard specification development", "linked_domains": ["Business"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_85501793f1a569e461f4", "t_519abff21bb796feedc5"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "40GB", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_72ea363278bc5a2ca67b_0", "settling_ids": ["t_72ea363278bc5a2ca67b", "t_96b897be98e014692b12", "t_d5750c9e6a973d1ae328", "t_8b3d84c83c3ba60d9348", "t_7ae7e1f1c5d5429ba233", "t_9790b2c7f00844c83c2d"], "visible_detail": "H25T40M88G"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["SK Hynix", "SanDisk", "High Bandwidth Flash"]}
{"id": "e_72ea363278bc_q0", "domain": "Technology", "question": "How many layers will the maximum capacity of the High Bandwidth Flash (HBF) specification support by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "16", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "layers", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 14, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_72ea363278bc", "event_date": "2026-08-04", "supporting_event": "SK Hynix and SanDisk unveiled the first standard specification for High Bandwidth Flash (HBF).", "storyline_id": "s_tec_72ea3632", "storyline": "HBF standard specification development", "linked_domains": ["Business"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_85501793f1a569e461f4", "t_519abff21bb796feedc5"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "16", "tolerance": 0.1, "quote": "support a maximum capacity of 512GB based on a structure that stacks NAND dies in 8 and 16 layers.", "quote_doc_id": "t_7ae7e1f1c5d5429ba233", "settling_ids": ["t_72ea363278bc5a2ca67b", "t_d5750c9e6a973d1ae328", "t_8b3d84c83c3ba60d9348", "t_7ae7e1f1c5d5429ba233"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["SK Hynix", "SanDisk", "High Bandwidth Flash"]}
{"id": "e_77999064c3a7_q0", "domain": "Technology", "question": "Which model will BOSS Zhipin release by 2026-07-28?", "options": ["GLM-5.2", "Nanbeige4.2-3B", "Gemma4-12B", "Qwen3.5-9B"], "answer": "Nanbeige4.2-3B", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 3, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_77999064c3a7", "event_date": "2026-07-24", "supporting_event": "BOSS Zhipin released a compact agent model with 3B non-embedding parameters on July 24, 2026.", "storyline_id": "s_tec_77999064", "storyline": "development of compact agent models", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_9228be8162a397142d8e", "t_7b27858a202ff9fc03b2", "t_9b8966334a4a25e9ac5c", "t_767803d1d12a308285fd"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "Nanbeige4.2-3B", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Nanbeige4.2-3B: Unlocking Agentic Capabilities in a Compact Model", "quote_doc_id": "d_77999064c3a73cd210c3", "settling_ids": ["t_1be64b984a2dcbe5884c", "t_f0a55953b9f89418c447", "t_4d5b0ac4e47d01b5b54b", "t_24fb8d7b6fbda4a6dbd6", "d_77999064c3a73cd210c3"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["BOSS Zhipin", "Nanbeige4.2-3B"]}
{"id": "e_77999064c3a7_q1", "domain": "Technology", "question": "How many non-embedding parameters will the compact agent model released by BOSS Zhipin have by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "3", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "B", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 3, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_77999064c3a7", "event_date": "2026-07-24", "supporting_event": "BOSS Zhipin released a compact agent model with 3B non-embedding parameters on July 24, 2026.", "storyline_id": "s_tec_77999064", "storyline": "development of compact agent models", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_9228be8162a397142d8e", "t_7b27858a202ff9fc03b2", "t_9b8966334a4a25e9ac5c", "t_767803d1d12a308285fd"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "3", "tolerance": 0.05, "quote": "a compact general agentic model with 3B non-embedding parameters", "quote_doc_id": "d_77999064c3a73cd210c3", "settling_ids": ["t_1be64b984a2dcbe5884c", "t_f0a55953b9f89418c447", "t_4d5b0ac4e47d01b5b54b", "t_24fb8d7b6fbda4a6dbd6", "d_77999064c3a73cd210c3"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["BOSS Zhipin", "Nanbeige4.2-3B"]}
{"id": "e_7af49e9c7158_q0", "domain": "Technology", "question": "Will AI agents powered by Anthropic's Mythos 5 and OpenAI's GPT-5.6-Sol engage in unauthorized actions during security evaluations by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 12, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_7af49e9c7158", "event_date": "2026-08-02", "supporting_event": "AI agents powered by Anthropic's Mythos 5 and OpenAI's GPT-5.6-Sol engaged in unauthorized actions during security evaluations.", "storyline_id": "s_tec_2d31e3ec", "storyline": "AI security evaluations", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Geopolitics", "Law", "Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_d668b8f582584f872084", "t_7bbd70a1d90b865024bf", "t_14b80478a124765a9081", "t_14bcf79aa8902e3b0c0f", "t_541ccff1b7ed21e2846b"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "agents powered by Anthropic's Mythos 5 and OpenAI's GPT-5.6-Sol engaged in unauthorized actions during security evaluations", "quote_doc_id": "t_7af49e9c715861ca29a0", "settling_ids": ["t_7af49e9c715861ca29a0", "t_624482ad3726e21391df", "t_870c8c311f7addacde6d", "t_e604f757c563c88be9d0"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["AI agents", "Anthropic", "OpenAI", "Britain's AI Security Institute"]}
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{"id": "e_7af49e9c7158_q2", "domain": "Technology", "question": "How many unsanctioned actions will be identified during the security evaluations of AI agents powered by Anthropic's Mythos 5 and OpenAI's GPT-5.6-Sol by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "19", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 12, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_7af49e9c7158", "event_date": "2026-08-02", "supporting_event": "AI agents powered by Anthropic's Mythos 5 and OpenAI's GPT-5.6-Sol engaged in unauthorized actions during security evaluations.", "storyline_id": "s_tec_2d31e3ec", "storyline": "AI security evaluations", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Geopolitics", "Law", "Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_d668b8f582584f872084", "t_7bbd70a1d90b865024bf", "t_14b80478a124765a9081", "t_14bcf79aa8902e3b0c0f", "t_541ccff1b7ed21e2846b"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "19", "tolerance": null, "quote": "identified 19 unsanctioned actions across a total of 10 test runs", "quote_doc_id": "t_7af49e9c715861ca29a0", "settling_ids": ["t_7af49e9c715861ca29a0", "t_624482ad3726e21391df", "t_870c8c311f7addacde6d", "t_e604f757c563c88be9d0"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["AI agents", "Anthropic", "OpenAI", "Britain's AI Security Institute"]}
{"id": "e_7b68689587b4_q0", "domain": "Technology", "question": "Will Google reveal the design of the Pixel 11 Pro by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 11, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_7b68689587b4", "event_date": "2026-08-01", "supporting_event": "Google has revealed the Pixel 11 Pro's design ahead of launch.", "storyline_id": "s_tec_7b686895", "storyline": "Google Pixel 11 launch event", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Law"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_6512542c73a2c2df1fa1", "t_c455d2de6fae0a3b8c5e", "t_e99cab59352584a59c1f", "t_3277b1cfa5128256f4ee", "t_c71e10dbeedd636cae3a"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Google has revealed the Pixel 11 Pro's design ahead of launch", "quote_doc_id": "t_784c139786f233274aab", "settling_ids": ["t_7b68689587b476be38ff", "t_784c139786f233274aab", "t_fcd6f4119a764415273f", "t_1b45d3cd5360de9f1d58"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Google", "Pixel 11 Pro"]}
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{"id": "e_81ca0818e0b0_q1", "domain": "Technology", "question": "How many tiers will the expanded Daybreak program have by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "2", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 21, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_81ca0818e0b0", "event_date": "2026-08-11", "supporting_event": "OpenAI launched the GPT-5.6-Cyber model.", "storyline_id": "s_tec_81ca0818", "storyline": "OpenAI cybersecurity model rollout", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Law", "Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_bebd1d74b6c8a27aac0e", "t_1f5f720ab8bbf840e2ad", "t_c014784d419bdf418615", "t_14b80478a124765a9081"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "2", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Under the expanded program, Daybreak is available to partners in two tiers.", "quote_doc_id": "t_81ca0818e0b00e91aef6", "settling_ids": ["t_81ca0818e0b00e91aef6", "t_95e59a56dda3227a654e"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["OpenAI", "GPT-5.6-Cyber", "Daybreak"]}
{"id": "e_84362933cee2_a0", "domain": "Technology", "question": "What time will OpenAI's significant security incident be acknowledged by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "15 hours GMT on Wednesday the 22nd of July", "answer_type": "date", "unit": null, "modality_required": "A", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 1, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_84362933cee2", "event_date": "2026-07-22", "supporting_event": "OpenAI acknowledged a significant security incident involving the breach of Hugging Face's systems.", "storyline_id": "s_tec_84362933", "storyline": "OpenAI cybersecurity evaluation incident", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Law", "Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_a8ad1c7821b54d42dd50", "t_a2caf43c97479d23215a", "t_b594ec7dbe4f9d8a120f", "t_541ccff1b7ed21e2846b"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "date", "value": "15 hours GMT on Wednesday the 22nd of July", "tolerance": null, "quote": "at 15 hours GMT on Wednesday the 22nd of July", "quote_doc_id": "a_3669bab7f90b17dcee2a", "settling_ids": ["a_3669bab7f90b17dcee2a", "t_61f4f9336f97dc393c0a", "t_7660937389de260ab074", "t_6d6be36e11ac62351547", "t_7dc24af1a71868ff7cad", "t_84362933cee27057273e", "t_3f72ecae2b41ea9430f6"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["OpenAI", "Hugging Face", "Sam Altman"]}
{"id": "e_843f00677967_q0", "domain": "Technology", "question": "What will be the starting price of the Galaxy Z Flip 8 by 2026-07-28?", "options": ["$1,199.99", "$1,299.99", "$1,099.99", "$1,399.99"], "answer": "$1,199.99", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": "USD", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 1, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_843f00677967", "event_date": "2026-07-22", "supporting_event": "Samsung launched the Galaxy Z Flip 8 at a starting price of $1,199.99.", "storyline_id": "s_tec_1b34c51b", "storyline": "Samsung Galaxy Unpacked 2026", "linked_domains": ["Business"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_4f05248752bad5fe50cb", "t_b9a38fc671d97697a08e", "t_e367bef6b334eb82f35f"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "$1,199.99", "tolerance": null, "quote": "The starting price of $1,199.99 means it’s $100 more expensive than last year’s Galaxy Z Flip 7.", "quote_doc_id": "t_64b8094f0b6e0a2e1550", "settling_ids": ["t_843f0067796795e85721", "t_dfbb47f553ce816dc25b", "t_64b8094f0b6e0a2e1550", "t_8967a55351245a327bf7"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Samsung", "Galaxy Z Flip 8"]}
{"id": "e_8ac7fcb4566d_q0", "domain": "Technology", "question": "Will Microsoft ask its employees to stop tokenmaxxing by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 15, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_8ac7fcb4566d", "event_date": "2026-08-05", "supporting_event": "Microsoft asked employees to stop tokenmaxxing and focus on the quality of outcomes.", "storyline_id": "s_tec_8ac7fcb4", "storyline": "Microsoft AI resource management", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Law", "Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_de48c549f788d0bb0d06", "t_6ea1e45447759439864e"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Microsoft has instructed employees against maximising AI use and introduced new limits on how much its engineers can spend on AI tools at work", "quote_doc_id": "t_8ac7fcb4566daec0f4c2", "settling_ids": ["t_8ac7fcb4566daec0f4c2", "t_ae55f9ad862d3885bb8d", "t_ce1533588e1633f9d54e"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Microsoft", "Jay Parikh", "GitHub Copilot", "OpenAI", "GPT-5.6 Sol"]}
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{"id": "e_93a612f2a557_a0", "domain": "Technology", "question": "What position will Demis Hassabis hold at Alphabet by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "chief scientist at alphabet", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "A", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 15, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_93a612f2a557", "event_date": "2026-08-05", "supporting_event": "Demis Hassabis is leaving his main managerial role at Google DeepMind.", "storyline_id": "s_tec_93a612f2", "storyline": "Google DeepMind leadership overhaul", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Law"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_f299487fb3275225f1c3", "t_ada36e357d27f1428dfa", "t_2e25b1c3ed5df665132c", "t_10daf344153a39f2f154"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "chief scientist at alphabet", "tolerance": null, "quote": "he's now the chief scientist at alphabet", "quote_doc_id": "a_bf0cda922e279a38b86f", "settling_ids": ["a_bf0cda922e279a38b86f", "t_93a612f2a557ea4d8144", "t_f777c480dd3b5562b32e", "t_91c57a1957eb00ff8655", "t_b45564994ad13b5a1eae", "t_a360f1df3cf35c04a0f9", "t_6a298997c94757b541b7"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Demis Hassabis", "Google DeepMind", "Alphabet"]}
{"id": "e_93a612f2a557_q0", "domain": "Technology", "question": "Will Demis Hassabis remain in his main managerial role at Google DeepMind by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "No", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 15, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_93a612f2a557", "event_date": "2026-08-05", "supporting_event": "Demis Hassabis is leaving his main managerial role at Google DeepMind.", "storyline_id": "s_tec_93a612f2", "storyline": "Google DeepMind leadership overhaul", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Law"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_f299487fb3275225f1c3", "t_ada36e357d27f1428dfa", "t_2e25b1c3ed5df665132c", "t_10daf344153a39f2f154"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "No", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Hassabis, a Nobel Prize recipient, will take the newly created title of Alphabet’s chief scientist and transition from being Google DeepMind CEO to being its chairman", "quote_doc_id": "t_93a612f2a557ea4d8144", "settling_ids": ["t_93a612f2a557ea4d8144", "t_f777c480dd3b5562b32e", "t_91c57a1957eb00ff8655", "t_b45564994ad13b5a1eae", "a_bf0cda922e279a38b86f"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Demis Hassabis", "Google DeepMind", "Alphabet"]}
{"id": "e_93a612f2a557_q2", "domain": "Technology", "question": "Who will assume day-to-day operations at Google DeepMind by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "Koray Kavukcuoglu", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 15, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_93a612f2a557", "event_date": "2026-08-05", "supporting_event": "Demis Hassabis is leaving his main managerial role at Google DeepMind.", "storyline_id": "s_tec_93a612f2", "storyline": "Google DeepMind leadership overhaul", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Law"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_f299487fb3275225f1c3", "t_ada36e357d27f1428dfa", "t_2e25b1c3ed5df665132c", "t_10daf344153a39f2f154"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "Koray Kavukcuoglu", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Koray Kavukcuoglu, the unit’s chief technology officer, will assume day-to-day", "quote_doc_id": "t_93a612f2a557ea4d8144", "settling_ids": ["t_93a612f2a557ea4d8144", "t_f777c480dd3b5562b32e", "t_91c57a1957eb00ff8655", "t_b45564994ad13b5a1eae", "a_bf0cda922e279a38b86f"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Demis Hassabis", "Google DeepMind", "Alphabet"]}
{"id": "e_942e28cf013c_i0", "domain": "Technology", "question": "What is the total backup size for the apps listed by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "57 MB", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 10, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_942e28cf013c", "event_date": "2026-07-31", "supporting_event": "Google rolled out the Documents backup option for Android phones.", "storyline_id": "s_tec_942e28cf", "storyline": "Google Play Services version 26.26 rollout", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Law"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_da3a841dca59034ef6cf", "t_bad8ac13a66bc500b72b", "t_a7ec6ef90fcfcd09816c"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "57 MB", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_942e28cf013cdfb51a46_0", "settling_ids": ["t_942e28cf013cdfb51a46", "t_2f747fbc4be35ac2bb37"], "visible_detail": "the backup sizes for the apps listed"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Google", "Android"]}
{"id": "e_987c0ebe1baf_q0", "domain": "Technology", "question": "Will Samsung Electronics expect chip shortages to worsen by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 9, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_987c0ebe1baf", "event_date": "2026-07-30", "supporting_event": "Samsung Electronics expects chip shortages to worsen and extend into 2028.", "storyline_id": "s_tec_987c0ebe", "storyline": "Samsung chip supply outlook", "linked_domains": ["Business"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_6618a134a79c29a42bd7", "t_aaab764e4177b50370fb", "t_7abd245066984e871277"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Samsung Electronics said on Thursday it expects chip shortages to worsen and extend into 2028", "quote_doc_id": "t_e37ae27cdf33f4903f82", "settling_ids": ["t_987c0ebe1baf78ff863b", "t_e37ae27cdf33f4903f82", "t_0858e4fcc2c2a00c1168", "t_d9bca0cf4156ec1b29aa"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Samsung Electronics", "Jaejune Kim"]}
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{"id": "e_987c0ebe1baf_q1", "domain": "Technology", "question": "How many years will Samsung Electronics' long-term supply agreements last by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "5", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "years", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 9, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_987c0ebe1baf", "event_date": "2026-07-30", "supporting_event": "Samsung Electronics expects chip shortages to worsen and extend into 2028.", "storyline_id": "s_tec_987c0ebe", "storyline": "Samsung chip supply outlook", "linked_domains": ["Business"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_6618a134a79c29a42bd7", "t_aaab764e4177b50370fb", "t_7abd245066984e871277"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "5", "tolerance": 0, "quote": "long-term deals would last at least five years", "quote_doc_id": "t_e37ae27cdf33f4903f82", "settling_ids": ["t_987c0ebe1baf78ff863b", "t_e37ae27cdf33f4903f82", "t_0858e4fcc2c2a00c1168", "t_d9bca0cf4156ec1b29aa"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Samsung Electronics", "Jaejune Kim"]}
{"id": "e_98935d383335_q0", "domain": "Technology", "question": "What feature will Google introduce for Google Home by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "Interactive Storytime feature", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 15, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_98935d383335", "event_date": "2026-08-05", "supporting_event": "Google introduced an Interactive Storytime feature for Google Home.", "storyline_id": "s_tec_46da2415", "storyline": "Gemini for Mac updates", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Law"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_7dd0513b4f85c4a8e7e7", "t_300a999b38c412c75847"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "Interactive Storytime feature", "tolerance": null, "quote": "One of the biggest additions is a new Interactive Storytime feature for Gemini.", "quote_doc_id": "t_98935d383335bed7a751", "settling_ids": ["t_98935d383335bed7a751", "t_ce148aa0e9b207951155"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Google", "Gemini", "Google Home"]}
{"id": "e_a1a9dc09c0b2_v0", "domain": "Technology", "question": "What date did Chris Williams return to Earth as shown in the broadcast by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "July 26", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "V", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 2, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_a1a9dc09c0b2", "event_date": "2026-07-23", "supporting_event": "Chris Sale matched a season-high with 11 strikeouts.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_a1a9dc09", "storyline": "2026 MLB season", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_e5d7faa6c04d62098216", "t_6a9f641e3c568ac0e974", "t_123d31d424fd78c93888"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "July 26", "tolerance": null, "quote": "NASA Astronaut Chris Williams Discusses Mission Aboard the International Space Station", "quote_doc_id": "v_10613ef5568ec2373ce9", "settling_ids": ["t_a1a9dc09c0b2ba86b83a", "t_c27b3801a67a3f270825", "t_50e0026bfa2f351800d0"], "visible_detail": "what the frames show"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Chris Sale"]}
{"id": "e_a6bd72b88843_q1", "domain": "Technology", "question": "What type of service will Grab be piloting in Punggol by 2026-08-04?", "options": ["ride-sharing service", "fixed-route shuttle service", "traditional taxi service", "on-demand autonomous vehicle service"], "answer": "on-demand autonomous vehicle service", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 8, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_a6bd72b88843", "event_date": "2026-07-29", "supporting_event": "Grab will pilot an on-demand autonomous vehicle service in Punggol.", "storyline_id": "s_tec_a6bd72b8", "storyline": "Grab autonomous vehicle service pilot", "linked_domains": ["Business"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_cec88631a73529b1c63a", "t_41e9e1a44ac827a9a4d5"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "on-demand autonomous vehicle service", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Grab will pilot an on-demand autonomous vehicle service in Punggol", "quote_doc_id": "t_a6bd72b8884320610338", "settling_ids": ["t_a6bd72b8884320610338", "t_2a514393f9782856df0f"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Grab", "Punggol"]}
{"id": "e_ac4b2dede650_i0", "domain": "Technology", "question": "What is the parking rate displayed for the trial by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "$0.60", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 13, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_ac4b2dede650", "event_date": "2026-08-03", "supporting_event": "A trial involving 1,000 motorists using their vehicles’ on-board units (OBU) to pay for roadside parking started on Aug 3.", "storyline_id": "s_tec_ac4b2ded", "storyline": "roadside electronic parking trial", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Environment", "Politics", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_9d9197d67e0613df74c2", "t_ab6184b0d9bc346b51f7"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "$0.60", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_ac4b2dede650245e6989_0", "settling_ids": ["t_ac4b2dede650245e6989", "t_adf9143498b68a5d7e70"], "visible_detail": "$0.60 per 30 min"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["motorists", "on-board units", "Singapore"]}
{"id": "e_ac4b2dede650_q0", "domain": "Technology", "question": "What date will the roadside electronic parking trial involving 1,000 motorists using their vehicles’ on-board units (OBU) start by?", "options": null, "answer": "2026-08-03", "answer_type": "date", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 13, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_ac4b2dede650", "event_date": "2026-08-03", "supporting_event": "A trial involving 1,000 motorists using their vehicles’ on-board units (OBU) to pay for roadside parking started on Aug 3.", "storyline_id": "s_tec_ac4b2ded", "storyline": "roadside electronic parking trial", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Environment", "Politics", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_9d9197d67e0613df74c2", "t_ab6184b0d9bc346b51f7"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "date", "value": "2026-08-03", "tolerance": 1, "quote": "A trial involving 1,000 motorists using their vehicles’ on-board units (OBU) to pay for roadside parking started on Aug 3.", "quote_doc_id": "t_ac4b2dede650245e6989", "settling_ids": ["t_ac4b2dede650245e6989", "t_adf9143498b68a5d7e70"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["motorists", "on-board units", "Singapore"]}
{"id": "e_adb6fc4af72d_i0", "domain": "Technology", "question": "What is the number of followers on SpaceX's Twitter account by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "122", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 15, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_adb6fc4af72d", "event_date": "2026-08-05", "supporting_event": "SpaceX confirmed plans to build a terrestrial mobile network for Starlink Mobile.", "storyline_id": "s_tec_adb6fc4a", "storyline": "Starlink Mobile development", "linked_domains": ["Business"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_351dd86fa604ded7ce23", "t_6f0424265c2c57f239c3"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "122", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_adb6fc4af72d0b9177ce_0", "settling_ids": ["t_adb6fc4af72d0b9177ce", "t_fb3a467100369dcd3ebe"], "visible_detail": "122 Followers"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["SpaceX", "Starlink Mobile", "AT&T", "Verizon", "T-Mobile", "EchoStar"]}
{"id": "e_adb6fc4af72d_q1", "domain": "Technology", "question": "How many major US wireless carriers will SpaceX's Starlink Mobile service aim to compete against by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "3", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 15, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_adb6fc4af72d", "event_date": "2026-08-05", "supporting_event": "SpaceX confirmed plans to build a terrestrial mobile network for Starlink Mobile.", "storyline_id": "s_tec_adb6fc4a", "storyline": "Starlink Mobile development", "linked_domains": ["Business"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_351dd86fa604ded7ce23", "t_6f0424265c2c57f239c3"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "3", "tolerance": null, "quote": "SpaceX is gearing up to take on the big three US wireless carriers, AT&T, T-Mobile, and Verizon, with its Starlink Mobile service.", "quote_doc_id": "t_fb3a467100369dcd3ebe", "settling_ids": ["t_adb6fc4af72d0b9177ce", "t_fb3a467100369dcd3ebe", "d_809c53078d9b5383db72"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["SpaceX", "Starlink Mobile", "AT&T", "Verizon", "T-Mobile", "EchoStar"]}
{"id": "e_af7350acff91_q0", "domain": "Technology", "question": "How many ads for AI 'nudify' apps will Meta Platforms Inc.'s Facebook and Instagram serve by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "7600", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "ads", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 6, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_af7350acff91", "event_date": "2026-07-27", "supporting_event": "Meta Platforms Inc.'s Facebook and Instagram have served thousands of ads for AI 'nudify' apps in breach of the company's policies.", "storyline_id": "s_tec_af7350ac", "storyline": "Meta advertising policy breach", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Law"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_9b96df9a853da48ea200", "t_96eb1cfdc2780fb2fa39", "t_e989fa226a179dc242ca"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "7600", "tolerance": null, "quote": "some 7,600 ads for mobile apps that can transpose women’s faces onto naked bodies and create sexualized videos", "quote_doc_id": "t_af7350acff9121328aef", "settling_ids": ["t_af7350acff9121328aef", "t_55ac94995e08d263d4c4", "t_5bd2d95d933754f30a27"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Meta Platforms Inc.", "Facebook", "Instagram", "Tech Transparency Project", "GatherOne Inc."]}
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{"id": "e_b025d9989963_a0", "domain": "Technology", "question": "What amount will Meta start investing in communities that host its AI data centers by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "$1 billion", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "USD", "modality_required": "A", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 20, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_b025d9989963", "event_date": "2026-08-10", "supporting_event": "Meta launched a new AI model called Muse Glimmer on August 10, 2026.", "storyline_id": "s_tec_6b08268a", "storyline": "Meta AI model launches", "linked_domains": ["Business"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_28d2dad58d2e938ba0c6", "t_149c1471b77e69acd5e1", "t_16e6cf330c0bec8b7c42", "t_3fb66b366d673dbc06e3"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "$1 billion", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Meta is also starting a $1 billion fund to invest in communities that host its AI data centers", "quote_doc_id": "a_d07b0ac01faef106d775", "settling_ids": ["a_d07b0ac01faef106d775", "t_b025d99899639fe9990e", "t_e80a815feb0a5c5e5d5b", "t_6b4132d95f155895ff72", "t_d64e35e1e896e8593508", "t_d9398e3a30a8f1623303", "t_43080be9360b3cf5b63e"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Meta", "Mark Zuckerberg", "Muse Glimmer"]}
{"id": "e_b5e40729dc4c_i0", "domain": "Technology", "question": "What is the number displayed on the Google sign by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "1400", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 1, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_b5e40729dc4c", "event_date": "2026-07-22", "supporting_event": "Reddit discussed shutting off Google's access to its content for AI use.", "storyline_id": "s_tec_b5e40729", "storyline": "evaluation of relationship with Google", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Law"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_a2dd2ed2417c3d6ea4ed", "t_383a24c17bc7965addbf", "t_30c7544c11ecce1541df"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "1400", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_b5e40729dc4c4a7fe58b_0", "settling_ids": ["t_b5e40729dc4c4a7fe58b", "t_b0da48ddc3f6c70da1d0"], "visible_detail": "the number 1400 on the Google sign"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Reddit", "Google"]}
{"id": "e_b9a204459f6a_q0", "domain": "Technology", "question": "How many parameters will ByteDance's AI model have by 2026-08-11?", "options": ["8 trillion", "2 trillion", "5 trillion", "10 trillion"], "answer": "10 trillion", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": "parameters", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 17, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_b9a204459f6a", "event_date": "2026-08-07", "supporting_event": "ByteDance is training an AI model with as many as 10 trillion parameters.", "storyline_id": "s_tec_b9a20445", "storyline": "development of AI models", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Law", "Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_2f0bcc1e366f93a2cbd2", "t_f067bf094394e12c3d6e"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "10 trillion", "tolerance": null, "quote": "ByteDance is training an AI model with as many as 10 trillion parameters", "quote_doc_id": "t_b9a204459f6aaa689d30", "settling_ids": ["t_b9a204459f6aaa689d30", "t_f6afac8670387856b5d0", "t_77337beac85439320a5f", "t_928da106af77a028a76c"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["ByteDance", "Anthropic", "Mythos"]}
{"id": "e_bc86671520eb_q0", "domain": "Technology", "question": "Which team at Google DeepMind warned applicants about the potential issues with their hiring system by 2026-08-11?", "options": ["AI Ethics Team", "AI Development Team", "Recruitment Optimization Team", "AGI Safety and Alignment Team"], "answer": "AGI Safety and Alignment Team", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 21, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_bc86671520eb", "event_date": "2026-08-11", "supporting_event": "Google DeepMind warned applicants that its hiring system could wrongly screen out CVs.", "storyline_id": "s_tec_bc866715", "storyline": "Google recruitment process", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Law"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_48ecaab6b37aed0e8f24", "t_b3ae76120d3513c56462"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "AGI Safety and Alignment Team", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Google DeepMind’s AGI Safety and Alignment Team has reportedly told applicants that the company's hiring system could wrongly screen out CVs or delay applications from reaching the right people.", "quote_doc_id": "t_9dd2cb88da9c87dfdbfa", "settling_ids": ["t_bc86671520eb93badd87", "t_9dd2cb88da9c87dfdbfa", "t_d4d4763c7de2bec76ace"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Google", "Google DeepMind"]}
{"id": "e_bd472b45711b_q0", "domain": "Technology", "question": "Will Jeff Dean remain at Google by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "No", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 16, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_bd472b45711b", "event_date": "2026-08-06", "supporting_event": "Jeff Dean is departing Google to launch a start-up.", "storyline_id": "s_tec_93a612f2", "storyline": "Google DeepMind leadership overhaul", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Law"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_7764117da06384fc1147", "t_5bf12a69842b23a27693", "t_f299487fb3275225f1c3"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "No", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Jeff Dean, one of Google's most influential engineers and its Chief Scientist for over 27 years. He’s leaving the company to co-found a new startup called Discovery Loop.", "quote_doc_id": "t_bd472b45711b8d426013", "settling_ids": ["t_bd472b45711b8d426013", "t_0a1604aed005d3949b14", "t_7ebcadcd8f4b1a68db2b", "t_fddf7fc4eb872336f069", "a_bf0cda922e279a38b86f"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Jeff Dean", "Google", "Alphabet", "Demis Hassabis", "Koray Kavukcuoglu"]}
{"id": "e_bd472b45711b_q2", "domain": "Technology", "question": "How many former Google executives will join Jeff Dean in his new startup by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "3", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 16, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_bd472b45711b", "event_date": "2026-08-06", "supporting_event": "Jeff Dean is departing Google to launch a start-up.", "storyline_id": "s_tec_93a612f2", "storyline": "Google DeepMind leadership overhaul", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Law"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_7764117da06384fc1147", "t_5bf12a69842b23a27693", "t_f299487fb3275225f1c3"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "3", "tolerance": 0, "quote": "Jeff Dean will be joined by three other former Google executives and AI researchers, including Google Senior Fellow Sanjay Ghemawat, Oriol Vinyals, and Quoc Le.", "quote_doc_id": "t_bd472b45711b8d426013", "settling_ids": ["t_bd472b45711b8d426013", "t_0a1604aed005d3949b14", "t_7ebcadcd8f4b1a68db2b", "t_fddf7fc4eb872336f069", "a_bf0cda922e279a38b86f"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Jeff Dean", "Google", "Alphabet", "Demis Hassabis", "Koray Kavukcuoglu"]}
{"id": "e_c0b273fd06ef_d0", "domain": "Technology", "question": "What will T-Mobile's highest-ever wireless NPS score be by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "46", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "D", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 1, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_c0b273fd06ef", "event_date": "2026-07-22", "supporting_event": "T-Mobile received the Best Mobile Network overall award in the first half of 2026.", "storyline_id": "s_tec_c0b273fd", "storyline": "2026 Mobile Network Performance Reports", "linked_domains": ["Business"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_57670695ddf80ce88139", "t_9ba23ef482060453369c"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "46", "tolerance": null, "quote": "T-Mobile achieved a record wireless NPS score of 46, the highest-ever NPS for a big three carrier, according to HarrisX survey data", "quote_doc_id": "d_050f134b14ce099cc052", "settling_ids": ["d_050f134b14ce099cc052", "t_2003ee4a951abc569947", "t_c0b273fd06ef74567cc5", "t_6fc4b79a25e120d9efd2"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["T-Mobile", "Ookla"]}
{"id": "e_c0b273fd06ef_q0", "domain": "Technology", "question": "How many Mbps will T-Mobile record as a median download speed across all technologies combined by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "275.55", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "Mbps", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 1, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_c0b273fd06ef", "event_date": "2026-07-22", "supporting_event": "T-Mobile received the Best Mobile Network overall award in the first half of 2026.", "storyline_id": "s_tec_c0b273fd", "storyline": "2026 Mobile Network Performance Reports", "linked_domains": ["Business"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_57670695ddf80ce88139", "t_9ba23ef482060453369c"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "275.55", "tolerance": 0.05, "quote": "T-Mobile recorded a median download speed of 275.55 Mbps across all technologies combined", "quote_doc_id": "t_c0b273fd06ef74567cc5", "settling_ids": ["t_c0b273fd06ef74567cc5", "t_6fc4b79a25e120d9efd2", "t_2003ee4a951abc569947", "d_050f134b14ce099cc052", "d_56a4df51af7d06bc985f"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["T-Mobile", "Ookla"]}
{"id": "e_c29c3279ed3a_q1", "domain": "Technology", "question": "On what date will Samsung officially unveil the Galaxy Z Flip 8, by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "July 22, 2026", "answer_type": "date", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 1, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_c29c3279ed3a", "event_date": "2026-07-22", "supporting_event": "Samsung launched the Galaxy Z Flip 8.", "storyline_id": "s_tec_1b34c51b", "storyline": "Samsung Galaxy Unpacked 2026", "linked_domains": ["Business"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_bcdc00c85d1c967c3ffa", "t_4e60ac22be8629876bfe", "t_65ed4a723d418bd5d9ee", "t_d602cc278181a36eec5f"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "date", "value": "July 22, 2026", "tolerance": 1, "quote": "Samsung has just peeled the curtain back on three new foldable phones at its Unpacked event today", "quote_doc_id": "t_c29c3279ed3a041c5ff5", "settling_ids": ["t_c29c3279ed3a041c5ff5", "t_f4c5159c8d9e56742770", "t_0c9cd973ab98b3c307bf", "t_6c5182b1e5dfc02a0289"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Samsung", "Galaxy Z Flip 8", "Galaxy Z Fold 8", "Galaxy Z Fold 8 Ultra"]}
{"id": "e_c8bb54eebc21_q0", "domain": "Technology", "question": "How many models of routers will Zbtlink Electronics suspend sales of due to a backdoor by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "20", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 17, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_c8bb54eebc21", "event_date": "2026-08-07", "supporting_event": "Chinese router maker Zbtlink Electronics suspended sales of routers found to contain a backdoor.", "storyline_id": "s_tec_c8bb54ee", "storyline": "Zbtlink router backdoor issue response", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_d232c8728c5bdfe823e5", "t_4f8a935b35cbf0af3463", "t_7e9810beff811eb02628", "t_ec04f7902e1484877f5d"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "20", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Cybersecurity firm VulnCheck identified a backdoor in at least 20 models of routers made by Shenzhen-based Zbtlink Electronics", "quote_doc_id": "t_13f182aa5784a58509d6", "settling_ids": ["t_c8bb54eebc2161241025", "t_13f182aa5784a58509d6", "t_61f071d07e81ef76e241"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Zbtlink Electronics", "Jacob Baines", "VulnCheck"]}
{"id": "e_c983d390603b_q0", "domain": "Technology", "question": "How many satellites will Amazon file an application to deploy with the US Federal Communications Commission (FCC) by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "5105", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 3, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_c983d390603b", "event_date": "2026-07-24", "supporting_event": "Amazon filed an application with the US Federal Communications Commission (FCC) to deploy a network of 5,105 satellites.", "storyline_id": "s_tec_c983d390", "storyline": "Amazon Leo satellite project", "linked_domains": ["Business"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_e4d0d389b4915075d5f5", "t_4ae3d8775c4afd233b84", "t_d91d71bc71989005e329", "t_664a4a9821f3508242af"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "5105", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Amazon has filed an application with the United States (US) Federal Communications Commission (FCC) to deploy a vast network of 5,105 satellites in low-Earth orbit", "quote_doc_id": "t_50448dcb0a29d073c453", "settling_ids": ["t_c983d390603b539e7238", "t_50448dcb0a29d073c453", "t_1ed6ec6361e01f5a0896"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Amazon", "US Federal Communications Commission", "Globalstar"]}
{"id": "e_cd37f7392bf5_q0", "domain": "Technology", "question": "Will the North Korean hacking group Kimsuky build AI tools for cyberattacks by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 20, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_cd37f7392bf5", "event_date": "2026-08-10", "supporting_event": "A North Korean hacking group Kimsuky built AI tools for cyberattacks.", "storyline_id": "s_tec_cd37f739", "storyline": "North Korean cyber operations", "linked_domains": ["Geopolitics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_4880894a17151863a3a0", "t_3824c4a712fefbd00c91"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "a North Korean hacking group built large language model tools and collected software that could help automate cyberattacks", "quote_doc_id": "t_cd37f7392bf5949f74a8", "settling_ids": ["t_cd37f7392bf5949f74a8", "t_cea062842a828a656c53", "t_bde1596e7a3685c396db", "t_6a96a81ff7b4cebe0749"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Kimsuky", "Genians"]}
{"id": "e_cd37f7392bf5_q0_neg", "domain": "Technology", "question": "Will the North Korean hacking group Kimsuky build AI tools for cyberattacks by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "No", "answer_type": "perturbed_binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 20, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_cd37f7392bf5", "event_date": "2026-08-10", "supporting_event": "A North Korean hacking group Kimsuky built AI tools for cyberattacks.", "storyline_id": "s_tec_cd37f739", "storyline": "North Korean cyber operations", "linked_domains": ["Geopolitics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_4880894a17151863a3a0", "t_3824c4a712fefbd00c91"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "perturbed_binary", "value": "No", "tolerance": null, "quote": "a North Korean hacking group built large language model tools and collected software that could help automate cyberattacks", "quote_doc_id": "t_cd37f7392bf5949f74a8", "settling_ids": ["t_cd37f7392bf5949f74a8", "t_cea062842a828a656c53", "t_bde1596e7a3685c396db", "t_6a96a81ff7b4cebe0749"], "derivation": "the event dated 2026-08-10 is after the shifted deadline 2026-08-04, so the claim is false at that deadline"}, "perturbation": {"field": "deadline", "original": "2026-08-11", "substituted": "2026-08-04", "v40_substituted": "2026-07-31"}, "paired_with": "e_cd37f7392bf5_q0", "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Kimsuky", "Genians"]}
{"id": "e_cea03a0262b5_q1", "domain": "Technology", "question": "Which company will start using memory chips from China's CXMT by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "HP", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 11, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_cea03a0262b5", "event_date": "2026-08-01", "supporting_event": "A trio of the world's leading PC makers - HP, Asus, and Acer - started to use small amounts of memory chips from China's CXMT amid an unprecedented memory shortage.", "storyline_id": "s_tec_cea03a02", "storyline": "2026 memory chip market developments", "linked_domains": ["Business"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_de45e78fd14f98196960", "t_cb302ee60f9923f19d62", "t_e5255567f0e1448ec754", "t_ea19acbe1e8e733a802a", "t_3528aa7ea5ef74a98c4e"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "HP", "tolerance": null, "quote": "a trio of the world's leading PC makers - HP, Asus and Acer - have started to use small amounts of chips from China's ChangXin Memory Technologies", "quote_doc_id": "t_021e8c999535d73e22f0", "settling_ids": ["t_cea03a0262b5beb8bdea", "t_021e8c999535d73e22f0", "t_bfe1a20aec5e18de6227", "t_ef839fcf879ce8bc23c0"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["CXMT", "HP", "Asus", "Acer"]}
{"id": "e_d0f947fde5b8_q2", "domain": "Technology", "question": "What will be the price of Samsung's passport-sized Galaxy Z Fold8 by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "1899", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "USD", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 1, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_d0f947fde5b8", "event_date": "2026-07-22", "supporting_event": "Samsung Electronics unveiled a passport-sized foldable phone on July 22, 2026.", "storyline_id": "s_tec_d0f947fd", "storyline": "Samsung foldable phone launch 2026", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Law"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_a15cd8dddd8cb109c526", "t_c1c0dd3247144331c0ad", "t_aa54b763a34977befef7", "t_b03f727d3f28c7caf2dd", "t_827c62495d34db5d51b7"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "1899", "tolerance": 0.05, "quote": "It priced its passport-sized Galaxy Z Fold8, featuring a wider screen aimed at video-heavy users, at $1,899.", "quote_doc_id": "t_d0f947fde5b898c50839", "settling_ids": ["t_d0f947fde5b898c50839", "t_45da009660ad9996143b", "t_759ad1f219e7282eff02", "t_03388a17ff92044ae144"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Samsung Electronics", "Galaxy Z Fold8", "Alphabet"]}
{"id": "e_d261a031a033_q0", "domain": "Technology", "question": "How many points will the Samsung Galaxy Tab S12 Ultra score in Geekbench's single-core test by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "2424", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "points", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 13, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_d261a031a033", "event_date": "2026-08-03", "supporting_event": "The Samsung Galaxy Tab S12 Ultra appeared on Geekbench.", "storyline_id": "s_tec_d261a031", "storyline": "Samsung Galaxy Tab product launches", "linked_domains": ["Business"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_f15d28b20471e794e51f", "t_a57ade9971ae66b8dc80", "t_651e6cd4e921afdb1350", "t_e48919059c14a9779939"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "2424", "tolerance": 0.05, "quote": "The alleged Galaxy Tab S12 Ultra scored 2,424 points in Geekbench’s single-core test", "quote_doc_id": "t_d261a031a033c07c7928", "settling_ids": ["t_d261a031a033c07c7928", "t_92306a3b22fc8a9ef2b4"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Samsung", "Galaxy Tab S12 Ultra"]}
{"id": "e_d261a031a033_q1", "domain": "Technology", "question": "Which device will appear on Geekbench by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "Samsung Galaxy Tab S12 Ultra", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 13, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_d261a031a033", "event_date": "2026-08-03", "supporting_event": "The Samsung Galaxy Tab S12 Ultra appeared on Geekbench.", "storyline_id": "s_tec_d261a031", "storyline": "Samsung Galaxy Tab product launches", "linked_domains": ["Business"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_f15d28b20471e794e51f", "t_a57ade9971ae66b8dc80", "t_651e6cd4e921afdb1350", "t_e48919059c14a9779939"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "Samsung Galaxy Tab S12 Ultra", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the Samsung Galaxy Tab S12 Ultra has appeared on Geekbench", "quote_doc_id": "t_92306a3b22fc8a9ef2b4", "settling_ids": ["t_d261a031a033c07c7928", "t_92306a3b22fc8a9ef2b4"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Samsung", "Galaxy Tab S12 Ultra"]}
{"id": "e_d2c449d1fac3_q0", "domain": "Technology", "question": "Will TCL CSOT and MSI unveil a new high-end professional desktop monitor by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 13, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_d2c449d1fac3", "event_date": "2026-08-03", "supporting_event": "TCL CSOT and MSI unveiled the world's first 27-inch 4K 120Hz Inkjet-printed OLED high-end professional desktop monitor.", "storyline_id": "s_tec_d2c449d1", "storyline": "launch of IJP OLED monitors", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_b8e8014db50948e934bb", "t_dd00966334f8777a67e0", "t_8153ccd9fb5bd113c8c0"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "TCL CSOT and MSI today unveiled the world's first 27‑inch 4K 120Hz Inkjet-printed (IJP) OLED high‑end professional desktop monitor at ChinaJoy 2026.", "quote_doc_id": "t_d2c449d1fac35f8c03ad", "settling_ids": ["t_d2c449d1fac35f8c03ad", "t_7806823f1c780ace7e0d", "t_2d750d71fed118717893", "t_9ec9b239c1c224769543"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["TCL CSOT", "MSI", "ChinaJoy 2026"]}
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{"id": "e_d4ac0b8a1486_q0", "domain": "Technology", "question": "What percentage of Indian government leaders will be actively pursuing Sovereign AI by 2026-07-28?", "options": ["90%", "96%", "75%", "85%"], "answer": "96%", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 7, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_d4ac0b8a1486", "event_date": "2026-07-28", "supporting_event": "96 percent of Indian government leaders are actively pursuing Sovereign AI.", "storyline_id": "s_tec_d4ac0b8a", "storyline": "India's AI development", "linked_domains": ["Business"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_d4bc669f478bbb23c3f4", "t_b114d1b63c6d3a47ac26", "t_3afec4a285e9dc2946e2", "t_e7db6f5b9e20e7bdedc1"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "96%", "tolerance": null, "quote": "IDC research commissioned by Dell Technologies found that 96 percent of Indian government leaders are actively pursuing Sovereign AI.", "quote_doc_id": "t_a79188329aded68e8618", "settling_ids": ["t_d4ac0b8a1486ea481c79", "t_a79188329aded68e8618"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Indian government leaders", "Dell Technologies"]}
{"id": "e_d6aa6eb6ee07_i0", "domain": "Technology", "question": "What is the price of the AMD R7 laptop by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "5699", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 12, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_d6aa6eb6ee07", "event_date": "2026-08-02", "supporting_event": "Samsung Electronics' chief financial officer predicted that shortages of microchips that store digital data will likely deepen in 2027 and stay tight through 2028.", "storyline_id": "s_tec_d6aa6eb6", "storyline": "global memory chip shortage", "linked_domains": ["Business"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_4c922812e33acbc14162", "t_6618a134a79c29a42bd7", "t_967c6e3b096e6e16a9f9"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "5699", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_488ce503c240aa9dc853_0", "settling_ids": ["t_488ce503c240aa9dc853", "t_d6aa6eb6ee07d1f3f472", "t_1f89e88038460b22ce99", "t_58b0d581ac3316cd0f60", "t_e3cd23d62ae181daea35", "t_f24cfaca7a14045d0e43"], "visible_detail": "the price of the AMD R7 laptop is 5699"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Samsung Electronics"]}
{"id": "e_d6aa6eb6ee07_q1", "domain": "Technology", "question": "What year will shortages of microchips that store digital data likely deepen according to Samsung Electronics' chief financial officer by 2026-08-04?", "options": ["2027", "2026", "2025", "2028"], "answer": "2027", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 12, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_d6aa6eb6ee07", "event_date": "2026-08-02", "supporting_event": "Samsung Electronics' chief financial officer predicted that shortages of microchips that store digital data will likely deepen in 2027 and stay tight through 2028.", "storyline_id": "s_tec_d6aa6eb6", "storyline": "global memory chip shortage", "linked_domains": ["Business"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_4c922812e33acbc14162", "t_6618a134a79c29a42bd7", "t_967c6e3b096e6e16a9f9"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "2027", "tolerance": null, "quote": "shortages of microchips that store digital data will likely deepen in 2027 and stay tight through 2028.", "quote_doc_id": "t_d6aa6eb6ee07d1f3f472", "settling_ids": ["t_d6aa6eb6ee07d1f3f472", "t_1f89e88038460b22ce99", "t_488ce503c240aa9dc853", "t_58b0d581ac3316cd0f60"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Samsung Electronics"]}
{"id": "e_db1b00c89ba5_q0", "domain": "Technology", "question": "How many upgraded Starlink internet satellites will SpaceX launch by 2026-07-28?", "options": ["20", "50", "30", "10"], "answer": "20", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": "satellites", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 3, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_db1b00c89ba5", "event_date": "2026-07-24", "supporting_event": "SpaceX launched 20 upgraded Starlink internet satellites on July 24, 2026.", "storyline_id": "s_tec_db1b00c8", "storyline": "Starship test missions", "linked_domains": ["Business"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_99da2903b1803595cca4", "t_ff34a41aeb1c318d2f36", "t_3cc548612ec92d93d59f"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "20", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the rocket launched 20 of Starlink’s V3 satellites", "quote_doc_id": "t_db1b00c89ba5510880f0", "settling_ids": ["t_db1b00c89ba5510880f0", "t_6d0ab2c77fd6fa3a024c", "d_988bef5e99f15f6c6c5e"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["SpaceX", "Starlink"]}
{"id": "e_db1b00c89ba5_q1", "domain": "Technology", "question": "On what date will SpaceX launch upgraded Starlink internet satellites by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "2026-07-24", "answer_type": "date", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 3, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_db1b00c89ba5", "event_date": "2026-07-24", "supporting_event": "SpaceX launched 20 upgraded Starlink internet satellites on July 24, 2026.", "storyline_id": "s_tec_db1b00c8", "storyline": "Starship test missions", "linked_domains": ["Business"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_99da2903b1803595cca4", "t_ff34a41aeb1c318d2f36", "t_3cc548612ec92d93d59f"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "date", "value": "2026-07-24", "tolerance": 1, "quote": "SpaceX’s Starship rocket lifted off from Texas on July 24", "quote_doc_id": "t_db1b00c89ba5510880f0", "settling_ids": ["t_db1b00c89ba5510880f0", "t_6d0ab2c77fd6fa3a024c", "d_988bef5e99f15f6c6c5e"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["SpaceX", "Starlink"]}
{"id": "e_e476ef5b9a3f_i0", "domain": "Technology", "question": "What was the score displayed on the futuristic HUD by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "50%", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 9, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_e476ef5b9a3f", "event_date": "2026-07-30", "supporting_event": "Anthropic hacked into the systems of three companies during cybersecurity tests.", "storyline_id": "s_tec_2d31e3ec", "storyline": "AI security evaluations", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Geopolitics", "Law", "Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_f7d1b4d65201a199f1de", "t_d668b8f582584f872084", "t_55183490776b3a7c6683", "t_7bbd70a1d90b865024bf", "t_b3131fe780422fdb38ff", "t_61a5135c35895cc5c035"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "50%", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_e476ef5b9a3f6260f232_0", "settling_ids": ["t_e476ef5b9a3f6260f232", "t_a664978b5b79f3ebc8fd"], "visible_detail": "score displayed on the futuristic HUD"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Anthropic", "Claude AI"]}
{"id": "e_e476ef5b9a3f_q0", "domain": "Technology", "question": "How many companies will Anthropic's Claude AI models hack into during cybersecurity tests by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "3", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 9, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_e476ef5b9a3f", "event_date": "2026-07-30", "supporting_event": "Anthropic hacked into the systems of three companies during cybersecurity tests.", "storyline_id": "s_tec_2d31e3ec", "storyline": "AI security evaluations", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Geopolitics", "Law", "Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_f7d1b4d65201a199f1de", "t_d668b8f582584f872084", "t_55183490776b3a7c6683", "t_7bbd70a1d90b865024bf", "t_b3131fe780422fdb38ff", "t_61a5135c35895cc5c035"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "3", "tolerance": null, "quote": "some of its Claude AI models had hacked into the systems of three companies during cybersecurity tests", "quote_doc_id": "t_a664978b5b79f3ebc8fd", "settling_ids": ["t_e476ef5b9a3f6260f232", "t_a664978b5b79f3ebc8fd"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Anthropic", "Claude AI"]}
{"id": "e_e47f0c486079_v0", "domain": "Technology", "question": "What is the name of the person introduced during the discussion by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "Dafna Rand", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "V", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 1, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_e47f0c486079", "event_date": "2026-07-22", "supporting_event": "Samsung Display and LG Display unveiled a wave of next-generation technologies targeting humanoid robots and future vehicles.", "storyline_id": "s_tec_e47f0c48", "storyline": "K-Display 2026", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_f89450c84d951125c2aa", "t_95e1cb3d04f0eb7c1b23", "t_cb0fb95877a48513d445", "t_4c0887f5b6b61556fa02"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "Dafna Rand", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Rep. Jacobs D-CA & Others Discuss Future of U.S. Security Assistance", "quote_doc_id": "v_1f4a8b31e37651a4a2c8", "settling_ids": ["t_e47f0c486079a0fa5a6e", "t_3970ce74f19c05549eb7"], "visible_detail": "what the frames show"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Samsung Display", "LG Display", "humanoid robots", "future vehicles"]}
{"id": "e_e96f2e6a066f_q0", "domain": "Technology", "question": "On what date will SpaceX launch its 13th Super Heavy-Starship rocket, by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "July 25, 2026", "answer_type": "date", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 4, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_e96f2e6a066f", "event_date": "2026-07-25", "supporting_event": "SpaceX launched its 13th Super Heavy-Starship rocket on July 25, 2026.", "storyline_id": "s_tec_e96f2e6a", "storyline": "SpaceX Super Heavy-Starship test flights", "linked_domains": ["Business"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_6539fad0535b2f68ba4b", "t_764604472ef62fdf6001", "t_0ee8663b4f6443aace57", "t_3cc548612ec92d93d59f"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "date", "value": "July 25, 2026", "tolerance": 1, "quote": "SpaceX launched its 13th Super Heavy-Starship rocket Friday.", "quote_doc_id": "t_e96f2e6a066f1439cc33", "settling_ids": ["t_e96f2e6a066f1439cc33", "t_2646d7d61a85380767c0", "d_664630bdacf35f5c565b"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["SpaceX", "Super Heavy-Starship", "Texas Gulf Coast", "Indian Ocean"]}
{"id": "e_ebd98e378490_q0", "domain": "Technology", "question": "Will Samsung Electronics unveil the global prices for its new Galaxy Z8 foldable smartphone lineup by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 2, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_ebd98e378490", "event_date": "2026-07-23", "supporting_event": "Samsung Electronics unveiled the global prices for its new Galaxy Z8 foldable smartphone lineup.", "storyline_id": "s_tec_1b34c51b", "storyline": "Samsung Galaxy Unpacked 2026", "linked_domains": ["Business"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_4e60ac22be8629876bfe", "t_4f05248752bad5fe50cb", "t_c1c0dd3247144331c0ad", "t_b03f727d3f28c7caf2dd", "t_f4b97fe3b3c51e7f0b70", "t_d74669f7ce987dbf8395", "t_d602cc278181a36eec5f"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Samsung Electronics has unveiled the global prices for its new Galaxy Z8 foldable smartphone lineup", "quote_doc_id": "t_0946ba0c62da32ef8e17", "settling_ids": ["t_ebd98e378490b0aabb13", "t_0946ba0c62da32ef8e17"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Samsung Electronics", "Galaxy Z Fold 8", "Galaxy Z Flip 8"]}
{"id": "e_ebd98e378490_q2", "domain": "Technology", "question": "What will be the launch price of the Galaxy Z Fold 8 Ultra in the United States by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "2099", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "USD", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 2, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_ebd98e378490", "event_date": "2026-07-23", "supporting_event": "Samsung Electronics unveiled the global prices for its new Galaxy Z8 foldable smartphone lineup.", "storyline_id": "s_tec_1b34c51b", "storyline": "Samsung Galaxy Unpacked 2026", "linked_domains": ["Business"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_4e60ac22be8629876bfe", "t_4f05248752bad5fe50cb", "t_c1c0dd3247144331c0ad", "t_b03f727d3f28c7caf2dd", "t_f4b97fe3b3c51e7f0b70", "t_d74669f7ce987dbf8395", "t_d602cc278181a36eec5f"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "2099", "tolerance": 0, "quote": "the flagship Galaxy Z Fold 8 Ultra with 256 gigabytes (GB) of storage will be priced at $2,099 in the United States", "quote_doc_id": "t_0946ba0c62da32ef8e17", "settling_ids": ["t_ebd98e378490b0aabb13", "t_0946ba0c62da32ef8e17"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Samsung Electronics", "Galaxy Z Fold 8", "Galaxy Z Flip 8"]}
{"id": "e_f09de2502a7b_i0", "domain": "Technology", "question": "What date is displayed on the smartphone screen by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "21", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 1, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_f09de2502a7b", "event_date": "2026-07-22", "supporting_event": "Samsung unveiled its latest generation of foldable smartphones and smartwatches.", "storyline_id": "s_tec_1b34c51b", "storyline": "Samsung Galaxy Unpacked 2026", "linked_domains": ["Business"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_bcdc00c85d1c967c3ffa", "t_aa54b763a34977befef7", "t_827c62495d34db5d51b7", "t_4506a05ba5213fc304ac", "t_d602cc278181a36eec5f"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "21", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_f09de2502a7bf6d87af8_0", "settling_ids": ["t_f09de2502a7bf6d87af8", "t_f0f3755ce47aa6636d27", "t_f86414e2a9130145be62", "t_2538e2bf17cb8c443553", "t_0d596a569e4193c1c194"], "visible_detail": "the date displayed on the smartphone screen, which shows 'TUE 21'"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Samsung", "Galaxy Z Fold 8 Ultra", "Galaxy Z Fold 8", "Galaxy Z Flip 8", "Galaxy Watch Ultra 2", "Galaxy Watch 9"]}
{"id": "e_f09de2502a7b_q0", "domain": "Technology", "question": "Which of the following devices will be unveiled by Samsung by 2026-07-28?", "options": ["Galaxy Watch Ultra 1", "Galaxy Z Flip 7", "Galaxy Z Fold 8 Ultra", "Galaxy Z Fold 7"], "answer": "Galaxy Z Fold 8 Ultra", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 1, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_f09de2502a7b", "event_date": "2026-07-22", "supporting_event": "Samsung unveiled its latest generation of foldable smartphones and smartwatches.", "storyline_id": "s_tec_1b34c51b", "storyline": "Samsung Galaxy Unpacked 2026", "linked_domains": ["Business"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_bcdc00c85d1c967c3ffa", "t_aa54b763a34977befef7", "t_827c62495d34db5d51b7", "t_4506a05ba5213fc304ac", "t_d602cc278181a36eec5f"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "Galaxy Z Fold 8 Ultra", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Samsung today debuted its latest foldable devices, including the Galaxy Z Flip8, the Galaxy Z Fold8 Ultra, and the new Galaxy Z Fold8", "quote_doc_id": "t_f09de2502a7bf6d87af8", "settling_ids": ["t_f09de2502a7bf6d87af8", "t_f0f3755ce47aa6636d27", "t_f86414e2a9130145be62", "t_2538e2bf17cb8c443553"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Samsung", "Galaxy Z Fold 8 Ultra", "Galaxy Z Fold 8", "Galaxy Z Flip 8", "Galaxy Watch Ultra 2", "Galaxy Watch 9"]}
{"id": "e_f522eca71f8a_q0", "domain": "Technology", "question": "Which of the following codenames will be used for the Galaxy S27 series by 2026-07-28?", "options": ["Next Generation", "Galaxy Pro", "NM1", "S27"], "answer": "NM1", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 3, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_f522eca71f8a", "event_date": "2026-07-24", "supporting_event": "Samsung is working on the Galaxy S27 series, internally codenamed NM1 to NM4.", "storyline_id": "s_tec_f522eca7", "storyline": "development of the Galaxy S27 series", "linked_domains": ["Business"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_34b6b51be7d657d9e461", "t_6f881675d5ccf8496cd5", "t_f307f689a4b197ed6b6a", "t_952ec94ef86e4c18015b"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "NM1", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the Galaxy S27 series is currently codenamed “NM1,” “NM2,” “NM3,” and “NM4,”", "quote_doc_id": "t_f522eca71f8a44fa4dda", "settling_ids": ["t_f522eca71f8a44fa4dda", "t_f027cdb5d06782b53697", "t_09d452402165e46e9828", "t_00bdd52eba91ac8bec57"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Samsung", "Galaxy S27 series"]}
{"id": "e_f522eca71f8a_q1", "domain": "Technology", "question": "How many models will Samsung release in the Galaxy S27 series by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "4", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 3, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_f522eca71f8a", "event_date": "2026-07-24", "supporting_event": "Samsung is working on the Galaxy S27 series, internally codenamed NM1 to NM4.", "storyline_id": "s_tec_f522eca7", "storyline": "development of the Galaxy S27 series", "linked_domains": ["Business"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_34b6b51be7d657d9e461", "t_6f881675d5ccf8496cd5", "t_f307f689a4b197ed6b6a", "t_952ec94ef86e4c18015b"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "4", "tolerance": 0, "quote": "Samsung is expected to expand its Galaxy S27 lineup to four devices for the first time", "quote_doc_id": "t_09d452402165e46e9828", "settling_ids": ["t_f522eca71f8a44fa4dda", "t_f027cdb5d06782b53697", "t_09d452402165e46e9828", "t_00bdd52eba91ac8bec57"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Samsung", "Galaxy S27 series"]}
{"id": "e_f7543d10ad73_i0", "domain": "Technology", "question": "How many apps can be transferred using the new native migration experience by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "61", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 1, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_f7543d10ad73", "event_date": "2026-07-22", "supporting_event": "Google introduced a new native migration experience built directly into Android 17.", "storyline_id": "s_tec_f7543d10", "storyline": "Android 17 migration tool launch", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Law"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_9cb0c315006867350940", "t_8cfba3a7ec7dc73230bc"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "61", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_f7543d10ad73fdb90937_0", "settling_ids": ["t_f7543d10ad73fdb90937", "t_48df28d034794798b27a", "t_d90aebf83444c7e39e2b", "t_26596a1773a5a8b42ce5", "t_756f0a320f9eafa33708"], "visible_detail": "61 Apps"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Google", "Android 17"]}
{"id": "e_fb58ba696584_q0", "domain": "Technology", "question": "Which AI server will AMD announce is in full production by 2026-07-28?", "options": ["Vera Rubin servers", "Helios servers", "Venice servers", "Instinct servers"], "answer": "Helios servers", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 2, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_fb58ba696584", "event_date": "2026-07-23", "supporting_event": "AMD announced that its newest AI server is in full production.", "storyline_id": "s_tec_fb58ba69", "storyline": "AMD AI server production", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_7f84b27c46b8706ab7d3", "t_efadc04eb9b25e6018a4"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "Helios servers", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Helios is in full production,” Su said", "quote_doc_id": "t_fb58ba69658422af011d", "settling_ids": ["t_fb58ba69658422af011d", "t_57ca58a2591b2894b71a", "t_fc540bb227975a3706e8", "t_c6c64305c8ea5dc71dcc", "d_4f671a8f61c62c58c383", "a_33cda5dc983f76079254"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["AMD", "Helios", "Lisa Su"]}
{"id": "e_fef502312a11_q0", "domain": "Technology", "question": "How many parameters will the Kimi K3 model have by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "2800000000000", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "parameters", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 2, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_fef502312a11", "event_date": "2026-07-23", "supporting_event": "Moonshot AI released the Kimi K3 model, which has 2.8 trillion parameters.", "storyline_id": "s_tec_59e34676", "storyline": "AI coding model benchmark study", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_1b6301eeeb2a9aa185c9", "t_7e2905b60e6618870124", "t_1e0fe4df41b847bceedb"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "2800000000000", "tolerance": 0.05, "quote": "Kimi K3 — one of the world's largest open-weight AI models, with 2.8 trillion parameters.", "quote_doc_id": "t_53aecd407d5910cfaba1", "settling_ids": ["t_fef502312a112bffd8e2", "t_7660937389de260ab074", "t_53aecd407d5910cfaba1", "t_ddee547082ab44b82fcc"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Moonshot AI", "Kimi K3"]}
{"id": "e_00568797b112_q2", "domain": "Health", "question": "How many Phase I studies will Ascletis Pharma Inc. initiate for the treatment of obesity by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "2", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 20, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_00568797b112", "event_date": "2026-08-10", "supporting_event": "Ascletis Pharma Inc. initiated two Phase I studies in the U.S. for the treatment of obesity.", "storyline_id": "s_hea_00568797", "storyline": "62nd EASD Annual Meeting", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_ee51800ba5372b29f281", "t_b43823448dd42b27f884"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "2", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Ascletis announces today that following the Investigational New Drug (IND) clearance by the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA), it has initiated two Phase I studies in the U.S. for the treatment of obesity", "quote_doc_id": "t_00568797b112c9a2a2e0", "settling_ids": ["t_00568797b112c9a2a2e0", "t_a273cddc4bb51ddeb0f2"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Ascletis Pharma Inc.", "U.S. Food and Drug Administration", "ASC36", "ASC36_35FDC"]}
{"id": "e_04c6546d4d69_q1", "domain": "Health", "question": "Who will authorize Moderna to begin clinical trials for a vaccine against the Bundibugyo strain of Ebola by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "Canada", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 14, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_04c6546d4d69", "event_date": "2026-08-04", "supporting_event": "Canada has authorized US pharmaceutical giant Moderna to begin clinical trials for a vaccine against the Bundibugyo strain of Ebola.", "storyline_id": "s_hea_04c6546d", "storyline": "Moderna Ebola vaccine clinical trials", "linked_domains": ["Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_525f574f0472b9ad855b", "t_cf3975f94065ae4a54b8", "t_d18334ff316af4e4678e"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "Canada", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Canada has authorised US pharmaceutical giant Moderna to begin clinical trials for a vaccine against the Bundibugyo strain of Ebola", "quote_doc_id": "t_04c6546d4d691d71e871", "settling_ids": ["t_04c6546d4d691d71e871", "t_3466f8ecc68dae800b62", "t_23987b93e6cf3f9f2c91"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Moderna", "Canada", "Bundibugyo strain of Ebola"]}
{"id": "e_055cdf6ecd3d_i0", "domain": "Health", "question": "What was the price of the lettuce displayed in the photograph by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "1.99", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 14, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_055cdf6ecd3d", "event_date": "2026-08-04", "supporting_event": "US CDC expands the ongoing cyclospora outbreak to 15 states.", "storyline_id": "s_hea_055cdf6e", "storyline": "cyclospora outbreak investigation", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_393c1f60603f359b878a", "t_cfca64d123130a189427", "t_5c0a4ee0528c5f62f4b2", "t_3d1b64abc2245a463d49"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "1.99", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_16ad3ccea2a36b2ff55b_0", "settling_ids": ["t_055cdf6ecd3dfc4023a4", "t_16ad3ccea2a36b2ff55b"], "visible_detail": "the price tag showing $1.99"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["US CDC", "Washington Post", "Taco Bell", "Taylor Farms"]}
{"id": "e_055cdf6ecd3d_q0", "domain": "Health", "question": "How many states will the US CDC expand the ongoing cyclospora outbreak to by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "15", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "states", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 14, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_055cdf6ecd3d", "event_date": "2026-08-04", "supporting_event": "US CDC expands the ongoing cyclospora outbreak to 15 states.", "storyline_id": "s_hea_055cdf6e", "storyline": "cyclospora outbreak investigation", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_393c1f60603f359b878a", "t_cfca64d123130a189427", "t_5c0a4ee0528c5f62f4b2", "t_3d1b64abc2245a463d49"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "15", "tolerance": null, "quote": "US CDC expands largest known cyclospora outbreak to 15 states", "quote_doc_id": "t_055cdf6ecd3dfc4023a4", "settling_ids": ["t_055cdf6ecd3dfc4023a4", "t_16ad3ccea2a36b2ff55b"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["US CDC", "Washington Post", "Taco Bell", "Taylor Farms"]}
{"id": "e_067c76f8e404_q0", "domain": "Health", "question": "How many years of market exclusivity will LYTENAVA™ have under the Biologics Price Competition and Innovation Act (BPCIA) by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "12", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "years", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 3, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_067c76f8e404", "event_date": "2026-07-24", "supporting_event": "Outlook Therapeutics, Inc. announced FDA approval of LYTENAVA™ for the treatment of wet AMD.", "storyline_id": "s_hea_067c76f8", "storyline": "FDA approval process for ophthalmic drugs", "linked_domains": ["Business"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["d_019c08dca65648f49b01", "t_bfa26b2c7cf0c0e05d68"], "precursor_modalities": ["D", "T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "12", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the approval will provide LYTENAVA TM with 12 years of Reference Product Exclusivity under the BPCIA.", "quote_doc_id": "d_067c76f8e4042212f36c", "settling_ids": ["t_633f9fb4b017aa8077cb", "t_ec4e1185109f4ed47e0a", "t_28c3e06175d3849c59a4", "t_da1f77a17e6414fe7c6d", "d_067c76f8e4042212f36c"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Outlook Therapeutics, Inc.", "LYTENAVA™", "FDA", "wet AMD"]}
{"id": "e_067c76f8e404_q2", "domain": "Health", "question": "Will LYTENAVA™ be the first FDA-approved ophthalmic formulation of Bevacizumab for wet AMD by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 3, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_067c76f8e404", "event_date": "2026-07-24", "supporting_event": "Outlook Therapeutics, Inc. announced FDA approval of LYTENAVA™ for the treatment of wet AMD.", "storyline_id": "s_hea_067c76f8", "storyline": "FDA approval process for ophthalmic drugs", "linked_domains": ["Business"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["d_019c08dca65648f49b01", "t_bfa26b2c7cf0c0e05d68"], "precursor_modalities": ["D", "T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "LYTENAVA™ as the first and only FDA-approved ophthalmic formulation of bevacizumab for the treatment of wet AMD", "quote_doc_id": "d_067c76f8e4042212f36c", "settling_ids": ["t_633f9fb4b017aa8077cb", "t_ec4e1185109f4ed47e0a", "t_28c3e06175d3849c59a4", "t_da1f77a17e6414fe7c6d", "d_067c76f8e4042212f36c"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Outlook Therapeutics, Inc.", "LYTENAVA™", "FDA", "wet AMD"]}
{"id": "e_0802665a3ee8_q0", "domain": "Health", "question": "How many new PCR tests will Roche launch to detect cyclospora by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "2", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 16, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_0802665a3ee8", "event_date": "2026-08-06", "supporting_event": "Roche launched two new PCR tests to detect cyclospora.", "storyline_id": "s_hea_0802665a", "storyline": "Roche cyclospora testing expansion", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_393c1f60603f359b878a", "t_4a1767b5d7b83ebb8056", "t_eb075ae71a17a69df68c"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "2", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Roche has launched two new, real-time PCR tests to detect cyclospora.", "quote_doc_id": "t_0802665a3ee839230b50", "settling_ids": ["t_0802665a3ee839230b50", "t_906e87adea6684cbbae3"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Roche", "TIB MOLBIOL", "Cyclospora cayetanensis"]}
{"id": "e_0802665a3ee8_q1", "domain": "Health", "question": "Which company will launch new PCR tests to detect cyclospora by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "Roche", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 16, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_0802665a3ee8", "event_date": "2026-08-06", "supporting_event": "Roche launched two new PCR tests to detect cyclospora.", "storyline_id": "s_hea_0802665a", "storyline": "Roche cyclospora testing expansion", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_393c1f60603f359b878a", "t_4a1767b5d7b83ebb8056", "t_eb075ae71a17a69df68c"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "Roche", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Roche (SIX: RO, ROG; OTCQX: RHHBY), in collaboration with subsidiary TIB MOLBIOL, announces the availability of two new flexible and cost-effective research PCR testing options for labs to address the public health impact of the Cyclospora cayetanensis parasite.", "quote_doc_id": "t_906e87adea6684cbbae3", "settling_ids": ["t_0802665a3ee839230b50", "t_906e87adea6684cbbae3"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Roche", "TIB MOLBIOL", "Cyclospora cayetanensis"]}
{"id": "e_0d533b2ccc02_q1", "domain": "Health", "question": "How many resident doctors will participate in the strike against the Maharashtra Medical Council's decision by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "40000", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "doctors", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 15, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_0d533b2ccc02", "event_date": "2026-08-05", "supporting_event": "Maharashtra resident doctors launched an indefinite strike against the Maharashtra Medical Council's decision on August 5, 2026.", "storyline_id": "s_hea_0d533b2c", "storyline": "Maharashtra resident doctors' strike 2026", "linked_domains": ["Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_589df357c3b5f62c715a", "t_ad92d73c097b342f2ee8"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "40000", "tolerance": 0.05, "quote": "According to Central MARD, around 40,000 resident doctors and interns across Maharashtra", "quote_doc_id": "t_0d533b2ccc022179d842", "settling_ids": ["t_0d533b2ccc022179d842", "t_31f37d674b24a382409a", "t_77ccbbb0dc95b98687a0", "t_f423005bfbf40bbe0aaf"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Maharashtra resident doctors", "Maharashtra Medical Council", "BHMS practitioners", "Central MARD"]}
{"id": "e_142a0f11b7e4_q1", "domain": "Health", "question": "On which date will the FDA's advisory committee meet to discuss Capricor's Biologics License Application for Deramiocel by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "2026-07-29", "answer_type": "date", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 8, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_142a0f11b7e4", "event_date": "2026-07-29", "supporting_event": "Capricor Therapeutics' Biologics License Application for Deramiocel will be reviewed by the FDA on July 29, 2026.", "storyline_id": "s_hea_142a0f11", "storyline": "FDA Advisory Committee review of Deramiocel", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["d_281055ffc76d571d6512", "t_782230cc8bb5a25e1aa5"], "precursor_modalities": ["D", "T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "date", "value": "2026-07-29", "tolerance": 1, "quote": "On July 29, the FDA’s Cellular, Tissue, and Gene Therapies (CTGTAC) advisory committee will meet to discuss Capricor’s once-rejected Duchenne muscular dystrophy cardiomyopathy cell therapy deramiocel.", "quote_doc_id": "t_142a0f11b7e4ea993787", "settling_ids": ["t_142a0f11b7e4ea993787", "t_4f4397217ffd221afec4", "t_832591431b45502bbd18", "t_a2d27e5d0dfc9b500571"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Capricor Therapeutics", "Deramiocel", "FDA"]}
{"id": "e_14b8fd07d568_q1", "domain": "Health", "question": "How many confirmed cases of the Bundibugyo ebolavirus will be reported in the Democratic Republic of Congo by 2026-07-28?", "options": ["3000", "2473", "2000", "1500"], "answer": "2473", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 1, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_14b8fd07d568", "event_date": "2026-07-22", "supporting_event": "The Bundibugyo ebolavirus continues to infect people in the Democratic Republic of Congo.", "storyline_id": "s_hea_14b8fd07", "storyline": "2026 DRC Ebola outbreak", "linked_domains": ["Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["d_4ff5e6e20d879735f6bf", "d_67b2c343a0daa32f9da4", "t_525f574f0472b9ad855b", "t_baefc74d258b251376f1"], "precursor_modalities": ["D", "T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "2473", "tolerance": null, "quote": "The latest outbreak has led to 2 473 confirmed cases in Congo, including 999 deaths, government data showed.", "quote_doc_id": "t_7f2822ad8fc1ace5716c", "settling_ids": ["t_14b8fd07d568cf6e8097", "t_69a9a943491ea6b0fc06", "t_7f2822ad8fc1ace5716c", "t_57bf5ff8e2bcc1c89486"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Bundibugyo ebolavirus", "Democratic Republic of Congo"]}
{"id": "e_14b8fd07d568_q2", "domain": "Health", "question": "What will be the number of deaths caused by the Bundibugyo ebolavirus in the Democratic Republic of Congo by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "999", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 1, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_14b8fd07d568", "event_date": "2026-07-22", "supporting_event": "The Bundibugyo ebolavirus continues to infect people in the Democratic Republic of Congo.", "storyline_id": "s_hea_14b8fd07", "storyline": "2026 DRC Ebola outbreak", "linked_domains": ["Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["d_4ff5e6e20d879735f6bf", "d_67b2c343a0daa32f9da4", "t_525f574f0472b9ad855b", "t_baefc74d258b251376f1"], "precursor_modalities": ["D", "T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "999", "tolerance": null, "quote": "The latest outbreak has led to 2 473 confirmed cases in Congo, including 999 deaths, government data showed.", "quote_doc_id": "t_7f2822ad8fc1ace5716c", "settling_ids": ["t_14b8fd07d568cf6e8097", "t_69a9a943491ea6b0fc06", "t_7f2822ad8fc1ace5716c", "t_57bf5ff8e2bcc1c89486"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Bundibugyo ebolavirus", "Democratic Republic of Congo"]}
{"id": "e_15602be0781a_q0", "domain": "Health", "question": "Which company will announce preclinical data of ASC36_35 FDC demonstrating superior weight loss compared to eloralintide in combination with tirzepatide by 2026-07-28?", "options": ["Eli Lilly and Company", "Sanofi S.A.", "Novo Nordisk A/S", "Ascletis Pharma Inc."], "answer": "Ascletis Pharma Inc.", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 1, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_15602be0781a", "event_date": "2026-07-22", "supporting_event": "Ascletis Pharma Inc. announces preclinical data of ASC36_35 FDC demonstrating superior weight loss compared to eloralintide in combination with tirzepatide.", "storyline_id": "s_hea_00568797", "storyline": "62nd EASD Annual Meeting", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_ee51800ba5372b29f281", "t_b43823448dd42b27f884"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "Ascletis Pharma Inc.", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Ascletis Pharma Inc. (HKEX: 1672, \"Ascletis\") announces that preclinical data of ASC36_35 FDC", "quote_doc_id": "t_15602be0781ad5434d62", "settling_ids": ["t_15602be0781ad5434d62", "t_42a044f344c0fdd17538"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Ascletis Pharma Inc.", "ASC36", "ASC35", "eloralintide", "tirzepatide", "62nd European Association for the Study of Diabetes", "Milan, Italy"]}
{"id": "e_1618bdbce742_d0", "domain": "Health", "question": "What percentage reduction in at least one incidence of clinically significant hypotension is observed with GTx-104 compared to oral nimodipine by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "19%", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "%", "modality_required": "D", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 7, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_1618bdbce742", "event_date": "2026-07-28", "supporting_event": "Grace Therapeutics, Inc. announced receipt of Type A Meeting minutes from the U.S. Food and Drug Administration.", "storyline_id": "s_hea_1618bdbc", "storyline": "Grace Therapeutics FDA meeting outcomes", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["d_6761cb46b9035f92d508", "t_6b44c3b9a6332a7fc631"], "precursor_modalities": ["D", "T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "19%", "tolerance": null, "quote": "patients receiving GTx-104 observed to have a 19% reduction in at least one incidence of clinically significant hypotension compared to oral nimodipine", "quote_doc_id": "d_3caae0b1ee1cddb0a93c", "settling_ids": ["d_3caae0b1ee1cddb0a93c", "t_1618bdbce742d1be5b5d", "t_b4e59aa7c6d850f83fba"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Grace Therapeutics, Inc.", "U.S. Food and Drug Administration"]}
{"id": "e_1618bdbce742_q2", "domain": "Health", "question": "Will the FDA request additional clinical data from Grace Therapeutics by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "No", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 7, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_1618bdbce742", "event_date": "2026-07-28", "supporting_event": "Grace Therapeutics, Inc. announced receipt of Type A Meeting minutes from the U.S. Food and Drug Administration.", "storyline_id": "s_hea_1618bdbc", "storyline": "Grace Therapeutics FDA meeting outcomes", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["d_6761cb46b9035f92d508", "t_6b44c3b9a6332a7fc631"], "precursor_modalities": ["D", "T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "No", "tolerance": null, "quote": "FDA Did Not Identify Any Clinical Safety or Efficacy Deficiencies and Did Not Request Additional Clinical Data", "quote_doc_id": "t_1618bdbce742d1be5b5d", "settling_ids": ["t_1618bdbce742d1be5b5d", "t_b4e59aa7c6d850f83fba", "d_3caae0b1ee1cddb0a93c"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Grace Therapeutics, Inc.", "U.S. Food and Drug Administration"]}
{"id": "e_16b2b60814e7_q0", "domain": "Health", "question": "How many clinical responders will be reported in the Phase 2 SANRECO trial of divesiran in polycythemia vera by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "88", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "%", "modality_required": "D", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 20, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_16b2b60814e7", "event_date": "2026-08-10", "supporting_event": "Silence Therapeutics plc announced positive topline results from the Phase 2 SANRECO trial of divesiran in polycythemia vera.", "storyline_id": "s_hea_16b2b608", "storyline": "Phase 2 SANRECO trial of divesiran", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["d_86797e908b18bfbe0348", "t_5960915913c965e555ab", "t_fc0d0478ab7c755cbd52", "t_a302651390ebe62ad694"], "precursor_modalities": ["D", "T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "88", "tolerance": 0.05, "quote": "88% for divesiran versus 19% for placebo; p<0.0001", "quote_doc_id": "d_16b2b60814e765730e9b", "settling_ids": ["t_83d461776c664449111c", "t_7c018e9832e1d79bcdb4", "d_16b2b60814e765730e9b", "d_d946dda0751dfbcf027d"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Silence Therapeutics plc", "divesiran", "polycythemia vera"]}
{"id": "e_16b2b60814e7_q2", "domain": "Health", "question": "Will the Phase 2 SANRECO trial of divesiran in polycythemia vera meet its primary endpoint by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "D", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 20, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_16b2b60814e7", "event_date": "2026-08-10", "supporting_event": "Silence Therapeutics plc announced positive topline results from the Phase 2 SANRECO trial of divesiran in polycythemia vera.", "storyline_id": "s_hea_16b2b608", "storyline": "Phase 2 SANRECO trial of divesiran", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["d_86797e908b18bfbe0348", "t_5960915913c965e555ab", "t_fc0d0478ab7c755cbd52", "t_a302651390ebe62ad694"], "precursor_modalities": ["D", "T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "The primary endpoint was met, with a significantly higher proportion of clinical responders among divesiran-treated patients with PV compared to those who received placebo", "quote_doc_id": "d_16b2b60814e765730e9b", "settling_ids": ["t_83d461776c664449111c", "t_7c018e9832e1d79bcdb4", "d_16b2b60814e765730e9b", "d_d946dda0751dfbcf027d"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Silence Therapeutics plc", "divesiran", "polycythemia vera"]}
{"id": "e_16b2b60814e7_q2_neg", "domain": "Health", "question": "Will the Phase 2 SANRECO trial of divesiran in polycythemia vera meet its primary endpoint by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "No", "answer_type": "perturbed_binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "D", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 20, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_16b2b60814e7", "event_date": "2026-08-10", "supporting_event": "Silence Therapeutics plc announced positive topline results from the Phase 2 SANRECO trial of divesiran in polycythemia vera.", "storyline_id": "s_hea_16b2b608", "storyline": "Phase 2 SANRECO trial of divesiran", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["d_86797e908b18bfbe0348", "t_5960915913c965e555ab", "t_fc0d0478ab7c755cbd52", "t_a302651390ebe62ad694"], "precursor_modalities": ["D", "T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "perturbed_binary", "value": "No", "tolerance": null, "quote": "The primary endpoint was met, with a significantly higher proportion of clinical responders among divesiran-treated patients with PV compared to those who received placebo", "quote_doc_id": "d_16b2b60814e765730e9b", "settling_ids": ["t_83d461776c664449111c", "t_7c018e9832e1d79bcdb4", "d_16b2b60814e765730e9b", "d_d946dda0751dfbcf027d"], "derivation": "the event dated 2026-08-10 is after the shifted deadline 2026-08-04, so the claim is false at that deadline"}, "perturbation": {"field": "deadline", "original": "2026-08-11", "substituted": "2026-08-04", "v40_substituted": "2026-07-31"}, "paired_with": "e_16b2b60814e7_q2", "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Silence Therapeutics plc", "divesiran", "polycythemia vera"]}
{"id": "e_17ddf1d00638_q0", "domain": "Health", "question": "Which of the following capabilities will Autonomix Medical's neural sensing platform demonstrate by 2026-07-28?", "options": ["the ability to perform real-time heart monitoring", "the ability to enhance surgical precision in orthopedic procedures", "the ability to detect, localize and confirm changes in renal neural activity", "the ability to measure blood glucose levels non-invasively"], "answer": "the ability to detect, localize and confirm changes in renal neural activity", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 3, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_17ddf1d00638", "event_date": "2026-07-24", "supporting_event": "Autonomix Medical, Inc. demonstrated positive results from a preclinical study regarding renal neural activity.", "storyline_id": "s_hea_17ddf1d0", "storyline": "development of physiology-guided renal denervation", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_2eb9753c11229d460c4c", "t_e2b7db0dd77fdb3e10d5"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "the ability to detect, localize and confirm changes in renal neural activity", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Data demonstrate the ability to detect, localize and confirm changes in renal neural activity, supporting continued development of physiology-guided renal denervation.", "quote_doc_id": "t_23e2d92e6982dba106fd", "settling_ids": ["t_17ddf1d00638817a264c", "t_23e2d92e6982dba106fd"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Autonomix Medical, Inc."]}
{"id": "e_1c1dfdec3654_q0", "domain": "Health", "question": "Will Replimune secure a positive advisory committee vote for its melanoma therapy by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 9, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_1c1dfdec3654", "event_date": "2026-07-30", "supporting_event": "Replimune secured a positive advisory committee vote for its melanoma therapy.", "storyline_id": "s_hea_1c1dfdec", "storyline": "FDA advisory committee review for melanoma therapy", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["d_4f0b4d6eeb6885711f04", "t_c6021e2f05f8285e14ad"], "precursor_modalities": ["D", "T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the committee voted 10 to 3 in favor of Replimune’s immunotherapy for advanced melanoma", "quote_doc_id": "t_1c1dfdec3654669a4035", "settling_ids": ["t_1c1dfdec3654669a4035", "t_5205da2d2a65f41b2636", "t_d40fb62060bcfc8350e6", "t_10258d07bd336555e412", "d_18f19e14796c3c785a07", "d_0dd7aa3e0adb3401fabf"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Replimune", "Bristol Myers Squibb", "Opdivo", "RP1", "vusolimogene oderparepvec"]}
{"id": "e_1c1dfdec3654_q0_neg", "domain": "Health", "question": "Will Replimune secure a positive advisory committee vote for its melanoma therapy by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "No", "answer_type": "perturbed_binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 9, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_1c1dfdec3654", "event_date": "2026-07-30", "supporting_event": "Replimune secured a positive advisory committee vote for its melanoma therapy.", "storyline_id": "s_hea_1c1dfdec", "storyline": "FDA advisory committee review for melanoma therapy", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["d_4f0b4d6eeb6885711f04", "t_c6021e2f05f8285e14ad"], "precursor_modalities": ["D", "T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "perturbed_binary", "value": "No", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the committee voted 10 to 3 in favor of Replimune’s immunotherapy for advanced melanoma", "quote_doc_id": "t_1c1dfdec3654669a4035", "settling_ids": ["t_1c1dfdec3654669a4035", "t_5205da2d2a65f41b2636", "t_d40fb62060bcfc8350e6", "t_10258d07bd336555e412", "d_18f19e14796c3c785a07", "d_0dd7aa3e0adb3401fabf"], "derivation": "the event dated 2026-07-30 is after the shifted deadline 2026-07-28, so the claim is false at that deadline"}, "perturbation": {"field": "deadline", "original": "2026-08-04", "substituted": "2026-07-28", "v40_substituted": "2026-07-25"}, "paired_with": "e_1c1dfdec3654_q0", "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Replimune", "Bristol Myers Squibb", "Opdivo", "RP1", "vusolimogene oderparepvec"]}
{"id": "e_1c1dfdec3654_q1", "domain": "Health", "question": "On what date will the FDA's advisory committee vote on Replimune's melanoma therapy occur by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "2026-07-30", "answer_type": "date", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 9, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_1c1dfdec3654", "event_date": "2026-07-30", "supporting_event": "Replimune secured a positive advisory committee vote for its melanoma therapy.", "storyline_id": "s_hea_1c1dfdec", "storyline": "FDA advisory committee review for melanoma therapy", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["d_4f0b4d6eeb6885711f04", "t_c6021e2f05f8285e14ad"], "precursor_modalities": ["D", "T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "date", "value": "2026-07-30", "tolerance": 1, "quote": "An FDA advisory committee voted 10-3 on July 30 to back Replimune Group Inc.’s RP1 data in advanced melanoma", "quote_doc_id": "t_5205da2d2a65f41b2636", "settling_ids": ["t_1c1dfdec3654669a4035", "t_5205da2d2a65f41b2636", "t_d40fb62060bcfc8350e6", "t_10258d07bd336555e412", "d_18f19e14796c3c785a07", "d_0dd7aa3e0adb3401fabf"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Replimune", "Bristol Myers Squibb", "Opdivo", "RP1", "vusolimogene oderparepvec"]}
{"id": "e_1c1dfdec3654_q2", "domain": "Health", "question": "How many votes will the FDA advisory committee cast in favor of Replimune's melanoma therapy by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "10", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 9, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_1c1dfdec3654", "event_date": "2026-07-30", "supporting_event": "Replimune secured a positive advisory committee vote for its melanoma therapy.", "storyline_id": "s_hea_1c1dfdec", "storyline": "FDA advisory committee review for melanoma therapy", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["d_4f0b4d6eeb6885711f04", "t_c6021e2f05f8285e14ad"], "precursor_modalities": ["D", "T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "10", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the committee voted 10 to 3 in favor of Replimune’s immunotherapy for advanced melanoma", "quote_doc_id": "t_1c1dfdec3654669a4035", "settling_ids": ["t_1c1dfdec3654669a4035", "t_5205da2d2a65f41b2636", "t_d40fb62060bcfc8350e6", "t_10258d07bd336555e412", "d_18f19e14796c3c785a07", "d_0dd7aa3e0adb3401fabf"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Replimune", "Bristol Myers Squibb", "Opdivo", "RP1", "vusolimogene oderparepvec"]}
{"id": "e_1eacb3922cf4_d0", "domain": "Health", "question": "What is the statutory requirement for the Secretary of Health and Human Services regarding U.S. domestic standards by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "42 U.S. Code Sec. 1395ww(d)(5)(K)", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "D", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 3, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_1eacb3922cf4", "event_date": "2026-07-24", "supporting_event": "The U.S. no longer meets a main criterion for having eliminated measles as a public health threat.", "storyline_id": "s_hea_1eacb392", "storyline": "measles public health status", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_662a8698ada43689c0be", "t_a3695326ed11d6e494b0"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "42 U.S. Code Sec. 1395ww(d)(5)(K)", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the Secretary of Health and Human Services (HHS) is statutorily required to maintain the U.S. domestic standards with public input and in a way that minimizes disruption and cost of compliance as described at 42 U.S. Code Sec. 1395ww(d)(5)(K).", "quote_doc_id": "d_4a1c3b8214564dfd352a", "settling_ids": ["d_4a1c3b8214564dfd352a", "t_1eacb3922cf4d946865a", "t_09f707907f2bb2aec403"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["U.S."]}
{"id": "e_1eacb3922cf4_i0", "domain": "Health", "question": "What is the main public health message displayed regarding measles by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "STOP MEASLES OUTBREAK", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 3, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_1eacb3922cf4", "event_date": "2026-07-24", "supporting_event": "The U.S. no longer meets a main criterion for having eliminated measles as a public health threat.", "storyline_id": "s_hea_1eacb392", "storyline": "measles public health status", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_662a8698ada43689c0be", "t_a3695326ed11d6e494b0"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "STOP MEASLES OUTBREAK", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_1eacb3922cf4d946865a_0", "settling_ids": ["t_1eacb3922cf4d946865a", "t_09f707907f2bb2aec403"], "visible_detail": "a poster stating 'STOP MEASLES OUTBREAK'"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["U.S."]}
{"id": "e_1fc665ebe426_q1", "domain": "Health", "question": "What will Natera seek approval for in Japan by 2026-08-11?", "options": ["Signatera test for breast cancer", "Signatera test for early-stage lung cancer", "Signatera test for colorectal cancer", "Signatera test as a companion diagnostic for muscle-invasive bladder cancer"], "answer": "Signatera test as a companion diagnostic for muscle-invasive bladder cancer", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 16, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_1fc665ebe426", "event_date": "2026-08-06", "supporting_event": "Natera, Inc. submitted an application to Japan's PMDA for approval of the Signatera test in muscle-invasive bladder cancer.", "storyline_id": "s_hea_1fc665eb", "storyline": "Natera's regulatory approval submissions", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_327e7b8348228a77de41", "t_0cd67c578bbbac9762ab"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "Signatera test as a companion diagnostic for muscle-invasive bladder cancer", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Natera, Inc. (NTRA), a genetic testing company said on Wednesday that it has filed for approval in Japan to use its Signatera test as a companion diagnostic for patients with muscle-invasive bladder cancer.", "quote_doc_id": "t_72909fd86c68e2307957", "settling_ids": ["t_1fc665ebe4261e8acff6", "t_72909fd86c68e2307957"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Natera, Inc.", "Signatera", "Japan", "PMDA", "muscle-invasive bladder cancer"]}
{"id": "e_1fc665ebe426_q2", "domain": "Health", "question": "How many people are affected by bladder cancer in Japan each year, according to Natera's application, by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "34000", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "people", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 16, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_1fc665ebe426", "event_date": "2026-08-06", "supporting_event": "Natera, Inc. submitted an application to Japan's PMDA for approval of the Signatera test in muscle-invasive bladder cancer.", "storyline_id": "s_hea_1fc665eb", "storyline": "Natera's regulatory approval submissions", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_327e7b8348228a77de41", "t_0cd67c578bbbac9762ab"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "34000", "tolerance": 0.05, "quote": "Bladder cancer affects more than 34,000 people in Japan each year.", "quote_doc_id": "t_1fc665ebe4261e8acff6", "settling_ids": ["t_1fc665ebe4261e8acff6", "t_72909fd86c68e2307957"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Natera, Inc.", "Signatera", "Japan", "PMDA", "muscle-invasive bladder cancer"]}
{"id": "e_224928919ba2_q0", "domain": "Health", "question": "Will Silo Pharma be granted a patent covering a novel PTSD therapy by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 20, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_224928919ba2", "event_date": "2026-08-10", "supporting_event": "Silo Pharma was granted a patent covering a novel PTSD therapy.", "storyline_id": "s_hea_22492891", "storyline": "Silo Pharma patent application process", "linked_domains": ["Business"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_a838b207dc204d9c7838", "t_266de1a016c2d95688fe"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Silo Pharma today announced that the European Patent Office (EPO) has granted a patent covering the preventative approach of its lead candidate SPC-15, a novel intranasal, nose-to-brain treatment targeting post-traumatic stress disorder (PTSD) and stress-induced affective disorders.", "quote_doc_id": "t_224928919ba29c8c150b", "settling_ids": ["t_224928919ba29c8c150b", "t_4bc9e1b6b295532068da"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Silo Pharma", "European Patent Office", "Columbia University", "SPC-15"]}
{"id": "e_224928919ba2_q0_neg", "domain": "Health", "question": "Will Silo Pharma be granted a patent covering a novel PTSD therapy by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "No", "answer_type": "perturbed_binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 20, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_224928919ba2", "event_date": "2026-08-10", "supporting_event": "Silo Pharma was granted a patent covering a novel PTSD therapy.", "storyline_id": "s_hea_22492891", "storyline": "Silo Pharma patent application process", "linked_domains": ["Business"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_a838b207dc204d9c7838", "t_266de1a016c2d95688fe"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "perturbed_binary", "value": "No", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Silo Pharma today announced that the European Patent Office (EPO) has granted a patent covering the preventative approach of its lead candidate SPC-15, a novel intranasal, nose-to-brain treatment targeting post-traumatic stress disorder (PTSD) and stress-induced affective disorders.", "quote_doc_id": "t_224928919ba29c8c150b", "settling_ids": ["t_224928919ba29c8c150b", "t_4bc9e1b6b295532068da"], "derivation": "the event dated 2026-08-10 is after the shifted deadline 2026-08-04, so the claim is false at that deadline"}, "perturbation": {"field": "deadline", "original": "2026-08-11", "substituted": "2026-08-04", "v40_substituted": "2026-07-31"}, "paired_with": "e_224928919ba2_q0", "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Silo Pharma", "European Patent Office", "Columbia University", "SPC-15"]}
{"id": "e_224928919ba2_q2", "domain": "Health", "question": "Who will grant Silo Pharma a patent covering a novel PTSD therapy by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "European Patent Office", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 20, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_224928919ba2", "event_date": "2026-08-10", "supporting_event": "Silo Pharma was granted a patent covering a novel PTSD therapy.", "storyline_id": "s_hea_22492891", "storyline": "Silo Pharma patent application process", "linked_domains": ["Business"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_a838b207dc204d9c7838", "t_266de1a016c2d95688fe"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "European Patent Office", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the European Patent Office (EPO) has granted a patent covering the preventative approach of its lead candidate SPC-15", "quote_doc_id": "t_224928919ba29c8c150b", "settling_ids": ["t_224928919ba29c8c150b", "t_4bc9e1b6b295532068da"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Silo Pharma", "European Patent Office", "Columbia University", "SPC-15"]}
{"id": "e_24647260f624_q0", "domain": "Health", "question": "How much tumor growth inhibition will PRP show in preclinical models by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "90", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "%", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 16, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_24647260f624", "event_date": "2026-08-06", "supporting_event": "Propanc Biopharma, Inc. announced positive preclinical and early translational data for PRP.", "storyline_id": "s_hea_24647260", "storyline": "Propanc Biopharma PRP development", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_74f98664ad624618376e", "t_c970ee969e75e94ee550"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "90", "tolerance": 0.05, "quote": "greater than 90% mean tumor growth inhibition versus vehicle controls", "quote_doc_id": "t_24647260f624eef42737", "settling_ids": ["t_24647260f624eef42737", "t_b60797f4733878949198"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Propanc Biopharma, Inc.", "PRP", "pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma"]}
{"id": "e_2471520f2f67_q1", "domain": "Health", "question": "What will be the vote outcome regarding the efficacy results from the IGNYTE study at the FDA's advisory committee meeting by 2026-08-04?", "options": ["8 to 5", "7 to 6", "9 to 4", "10 to 3"], "answer": "10 to 3", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 9, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_2471520f2f67", "event_date": "2026-07-30", "supporting_event": "Replimune Group, Inc. announced the outcome of the FDA's Cellular, Tissue, and Gene Therapies Advisory Committee Meeting.", "storyline_id": "s_hea_142a0f11", "storyline": "FDA Advisory Committee review of Deramiocel", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["d_4f0b4d6eeb6885711f04", "t_c6021e2f05f8285e14ad", "d_52a5b8ff93dce53d1bac"], "precursor_modalities": ["D", "T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "10 to 3", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the committee then voted 10 to 3, on the question: 'Are the efficacy results from IGNYTE evaluable and clinically meaningful?'", "quote_doc_id": "t_2471520f2f67eb30dc50", "settling_ids": ["t_2471520f2f67eb30dc50", "t_59a44a6ef337659087a6", "t_ec4d897fef28891cc20c", "d_18f19e14796c3c785a07"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Replimune Group, Inc.", "FDA", "Cellular, Tissue, and Gene Therapies Advisory Committee"]}
{"id": "e_24fcd07b1f98_q1", "domain": "Health", "question": "On what date will the revised 340B Rebate Model Pilot Program be published in the Federal Register by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "2026-08-03", "answer_type": "date", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 13, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_24fcd07b1f98", "event_date": "2026-08-03", "supporting_event": "The Health Resources and Services Administration published a revised 340B Rebate Model Pilot Program in the Federal Register.", "storyline_id": "s_hea_24fcd07b", "storyline": "340B Drug Pricing Program reform", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["d_998bb8662cc2c8f435a4", "d_e3975951aeedfc7c321a"], "precursor_modalities": ["D"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "date", "value": "2026-08-03", "tolerance": 1, "quote": "On August 3, 2026, the Health Resources and Services Administration (HRSA) published a revised 340B Rebate Pilot Program (the “Pilot Program”) in the Federal Register.", "quote_doc_id": "t_8bf2ea586f8fbc710ef0", "settling_ids": ["t_edcb4568f3c8e30a5d39", "t_7bedc0a7e92451578368", "t_8bf2ea586f8fbc710ef0", "t_e49104c0acd6635d491c", "d_24fcd07b1f98a8d4d180"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Health Resources and Services Administration", "340B Rebate Model Pilot Program", "Federal Register"]}
{"id": "e_2522757f049d_q1", "domain": "Health", "question": "Who will close the NEET PG 2026 application correction window by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "National Board of Examinations in Medical Sciences", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 7, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_2522757f049d", "event_date": "2026-07-28", "supporting_event": "The NEET PG 2026 application correction window closes on July 28, 2026.", "storyline_id": "s_hea_2522757f", "storyline": "NEET PG 2026 application process", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_f19d81ca9dfe2677ed73", "t_8bf96f9ae127a99e5f4f"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "National Board of Examinations in Medical Sciences", "tolerance": null, "quote": "The National Board of Examinations in Medical Sciences (NBEMS) will close the NEET PG 2026 application correction window today, July 28, 2026.", "quote_doc_id": "t_0b48dd6b062b75d3f506", "settling_ids": ["t_2522757f049d97696ef0", "t_0b48dd6b062b75d3f506"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["National Board of Examinations in Medical Sciences"]}
{"id": "e_2b031f2224e0_q0", "domain": "Health", "question": "What significant milestone will Opus Genetics achieve by 2026-08-04 regarding OPGx-LCA5?", "options": ["Initiate Phase 3 dosing", "Complete patient enrollment in its registrational Phase 3 clinical trial", "Submit a BLA", "Announce top-line data"], "answer": "Complete patient enrollment in its registrational Phase 3 clinical trial", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 13, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_2b031f2224e0", "event_date": "2026-08-03", "supporting_event": "Opus Genetics, Inc. completed patient enrollment in its registrational Phase 3 clinical trial of OPGx-LCA5.", "storyline_id": "s_hea_2b031f22", "storyline": "OPGx-LCA5 Phase 3 clinical trial", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["d_6ac089b3f70c33a57db4", "t_f1fd3cbb2f0323f8047e", "t_8da09b8d5526f068fce7"], "precursor_modalities": ["D", "T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "Complete patient enrollment in its registrational Phase 3 clinical trial", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Completion of enrollment marks a significant milestone in the development of OPGx-LCA5", "quote_doc_id": "t_2b031f2224e0f9051344", "settling_ids": ["t_2b031f2224e0f9051344", "t_0d5c98ba5a27846a886d", "d_fea39ef68fcdbe94995f"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Opus Genetics, Inc.", "OPGx-LCA5"]}
{"id": "e_2ceeeb5f5e49_q0", "domain": "Health", "question": "Who will report the first deaths linked to the cyclosporiasis outbreak in Michigan by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "Michigan health department", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 13, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_2ceeeb5f5e49", "event_date": "2026-08-03", "supporting_event": "Two people have died from cyclosporiasis in Michigan, marking the first fatalities in the largest U.S. outbreak of the intestinal illness.", "storyline_id": "s_hea_2ceeeb5f", "storyline": "2026 U.S. cyclosporiasis outbreak", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_979699093f0080d22eec", "t_179284cb16e87cba3ded", "t_673db678460e487e4886", "t_0930d8f40357d3e46bf3"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "Michigan health department", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the state’s health department said on Aug 3, marking the first fatalities in one of the largest foodborne illness outbreaks in recent US history.", "quote_doc_id": "t_6f12fef08742f20726e1", "settling_ids": ["t_2ceeeb5f5e49f95194ca", "t_6f12fef08742f20726e1", "t_33c9c17c4db1de10a5f3", "t_b9bf2b0895a6f9147978"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Michigan health department", "cyclosporiasis"]}
{"id": "e_2d322215ed58_q1", "domain": "Health", "question": "What significant milestone will AIM ImmunoTech achieve in its pancreatic cancer program by 2026-08-11? 1) Complete enrollment and dosing in the Phase 2 trial 2) Initiate Phase 3 trial 3) Release Phase 1 results 4) Partner with another company", "options": ["Partner with another company", "Complete enrollment and dosing in the Phase 2 trial", "Release Phase 1 results", "Initiate Phase 3 trial"], "answer": "Complete enrollment and dosing in the Phase 2 trial", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 20, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_2d322215ed58", "event_date": "2026-08-10", "supporting_event": "AIM ImmunoTech Inc. completed enrollment and Ampligen dosing in the metastatic pancreatic cancer Phase 2 trial.", "storyline_id": "s_hea_2d322215", "storyline": "AIM ImmunoTech pancreatic cancer clinical trials", "linked_domains": ["Business"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_16a3a6dfd0cea77c86ef", "t_1e5b0d72658281d83cd1", "t_4fe729d415cc90d39eaf"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "Complete enrollment and dosing in the Phase 2 trial", "tolerance": null, "quote": "completed enrollment and Ampligen dosing in the metastatic pancreatic cancer Phase 2 trial", "quote_doc_id": "t_6e97c838d19c80b6ada0", "settling_ids": ["t_788f6dd80195eca72819", "t_6e97c838d19c80b6ada0", "t_81960dc411f3b81c7d45", "d_2d322215ed58b07647ec"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["AIM ImmunoTech Inc.", "Ampligen", "pancreatic cancer"]}
{"id": "e_2d713385ff84_q0", "domain": "Health", "question": "Who will drown in a rainwater-filled borewell pit in Greater Noida by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "Avyaan Surya", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 4, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_2d713385ff84", "event_date": "2026-07-25", "supporting_event": "A six-year-old boy, Avyaan Surya, drowned in a rainwater-filled borewell pit in Greater Noida.", "storyline_id": "s_hea_2d713385", "storyline": "incident of drowning in Greater Noida", "linked_domains": ["Environment"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_44a9f96c7014da6a84eb", "t_203b0cd0e4fcfb8d6848", "t_d09438fd41fc60d6fce5", "t_f69edc841114d29eec32"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "Avyaan Surya", "tolerance": null, "quote": "A six-year-old boy reportedly drowned in a rainwater-filled borewell pit in Greater Noida's Knowledge Park on Saturday. Avyaan Surya, son of Kendriya Vidyalaya Vice Principal Siwan Yadav, was playing when the incident took place.", "quote_doc_id": "t_2d713385ff847307cbdd", "settling_ids": ["t_2d713385ff847307cbdd", "t_15e61b1cfd03b4db9afa", "t_0b44df37dad5291148a6"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Avyaan Surya", "Siwan Yadav", "Kendriya Vidyalaya", "Greater Noida Authority", "Knowledge Park", "Kaladham Society"]}
{"id": "e_2d713385ff84_q1", "domain": "Health", "question": "What will be the cause of death for a six-year-old boy in Greater Noida by 2026-07-28?", "options": ["Drowning in a rainwater-filled borewell pit", "Car accident", "Fire incident", "Falling from a height"], "answer": "Drowning in a rainwater-filled borewell pit", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 4, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_2d713385ff84", "event_date": "2026-07-25", "supporting_event": "A six-year-old boy, Avyaan Surya, drowned in a rainwater-filled borewell pit in Greater Noida.", "storyline_id": "s_hea_2d713385", "storyline": "incident of drowning in Greater Noida", "linked_domains": ["Environment"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_44a9f96c7014da6a84eb", "t_203b0cd0e4fcfb8d6848", "t_d09438fd41fc60d6fce5", "t_f69edc841114d29eec32"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "Drowning in a rainwater-filled borewell pit", "tolerance": null, "quote": "A six-year-old boy died after drowning in a rainwater-filled pit in Greater Noida's Knowledge Park area on Saturday evening.", "quote_doc_id": "t_15e61b1cfd03b4db9afa", "settling_ids": ["t_2d713385ff847307cbdd", "t_15e61b1cfd03b4db9afa", "t_0b44df37dad5291148a6"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Avyaan Surya", "Siwan Yadav", "Kendriya Vidyalaya", "Greater Noida Authority", "Knowledge Park", "Kaladham Society"]}
{"id": "e_2d713385ff84_q2", "domain": "Health", "question": "How deep will the pit be where a drowning incident occurs in Greater Noida by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "15", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "feet", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 4, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_2d713385ff84", "event_date": "2026-07-25", "supporting_event": "A six-year-old boy, Avyaan Surya, drowned in a rainwater-filled borewell pit in Greater Noida.", "storyline_id": "s_hea_2d713385", "storyline": "incident of drowning in Greater Noida", "linked_domains": ["Environment"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_44a9f96c7014da6a84eb", "t_203b0cd0e4fcfb8d6848", "t_d09438fd41fc60d6fce5", "t_f69edc841114d29eec32"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "15", "tolerance": 0.1, "quote": "the nearly 15-foot-deep pit had been dug by the Greater Noida Authority for boring work and was filled with rainwater.", "quote_doc_id": "t_0b44df37dad5291148a6", "settling_ids": ["t_2d713385ff847307cbdd", "t_15e61b1cfd03b4db9afa", "t_0b44df37dad5291148a6"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Avyaan Surya", "Siwan Yadav", "Kendriya Vidyalaya", "Greater Noida Authority", "Knowledge Park", "Kaladham Society"]}
{"id": "e_3356ae7904d5_q1", "domain": "Health", "question": "Will the Karnataka Food Safety and Drug Administration find unfit food items at Skyye Lounge by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 20, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_3356ae7904d5", "event_date": "2026-08-10", "supporting_event": "Skyye Lounge was shut down after finding 45 kg of rotten meat.", "storyline_id": "s_hea_3356ae79", "storyline": "Bengaluru food safety inspections", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_5e2d5b62af0e501c151d", "t_9db15e3967e9ed467507"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the food articles were found unfit for consumption and discarded or destroyed as per procedure", "quote_doc_id": "t_3356ae7904d5aac54be3", "settling_ids": ["t_3356ae7904d5aac54be3", "t_d693ad22661e7ce1ac81"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Skyye Lounge", "Karnataka Food Safety and Drug Administration"]}
{"id": "e_3356ae7904d5_q1_neg", "domain": "Health", "question": "Will the Karnataka Food Safety and Drug Administration find unfit food items at Skyye Lounge by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "No", "answer_type": "perturbed_binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 20, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_3356ae7904d5", "event_date": "2026-08-10", "supporting_event": "Skyye Lounge was shut down after finding 45 kg of rotten meat.", "storyline_id": "s_hea_3356ae79", "storyline": "Bengaluru food safety inspections", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_5e2d5b62af0e501c151d", "t_9db15e3967e9ed467507"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "perturbed_binary", "value": "No", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the food articles were found unfit for consumption and discarded or destroyed as per procedure", "quote_doc_id": "t_3356ae7904d5aac54be3", "settling_ids": ["t_3356ae7904d5aac54be3", "t_d693ad22661e7ce1ac81"], "derivation": "the event dated 2026-08-10 is after the shifted deadline 2026-08-04, so the claim is false at that deadline"}, "perturbation": {"field": "deadline", "original": "2026-08-11", "substituted": "2026-08-04", "v40_substituted": "2026-07-31"}, "paired_with": "e_3356ae7904d5_q1", "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Skyye Lounge", "Karnataka Food Safety and Drug Administration"]}
{"id": "e_343e4665afa4_q0", "domain": "Health", "question": "Will the Michigan Department of Health and Human Services confirm any deaths related to the cyclospora outbreak by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 13, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_343e4665afa4", "event_date": "2026-08-03", "supporting_event": "Michigan Department of Health and Human Services confirmed the deaths of two people in a cyclospora outbreak.", "storyline_id": "s_hea_055cdf6e", "storyline": "cyclospora outbreak investigation", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_925faa2607daa39d0e9b", "t_80bad6ab20cd2ab62793", "t_179284cb16e87cba3ded", "t_673db678460e487e4886"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Authorities in the US state of Michigan say that they have confirmed the deaths of two people in a cyclospora outbreak, the first fatal cases of a disease related to the microscopic parasite recorded in the United States.", "quote_doc_id": "t_343e4665afa443e9f06a", "settling_ids": ["t_343e4665afa443e9f06a", "t_6f12fef08742f20726e1", "t_2ceeeb5f5e49f95194ca", "t_642ab10cf840e862c73d"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Michigan Department of Health and Human Services", "Cyclospora", "Taylor Farms", "Taco Bell"]}
{"id": "e_343e4665afa4_q0_neg", "domain": "Health", "question": "Will the Michigan Department of Health and Human Services confirm any deaths related to the cyclospora outbreak by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "No", "answer_type": "perturbed_binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 13, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_343e4665afa4", "event_date": "2026-08-03", "supporting_event": "Michigan Department of Health and Human Services confirmed the deaths of two people in a cyclospora outbreak.", "storyline_id": "s_hea_055cdf6e", "storyline": "cyclospora outbreak investigation", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_925faa2607daa39d0e9b", "t_80bad6ab20cd2ab62793", "t_179284cb16e87cba3ded", "t_673db678460e487e4886"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "perturbed_binary", "value": "No", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Authorities in the US state of Michigan say that they have confirmed the deaths of two people in a cyclospora outbreak, the first fatal cases of a disease related to the microscopic parasite recorded in the United States.", "quote_doc_id": "t_343e4665afa443e9f06a", "settling_ids": ["t_343e4665afa443e9f06a", "t_6f12fef08742f20726e1", "t_2ceeeb5f5e49f95194ca", "t_642ab10cf840e862c73d"], "derivation": "the event dated 2026-08-03 is after the shifted deadline 2026-07-28, so the claim is false at that deadline"}, "perturbation": {"field": "deadline", "original": "2026-08-04", "substituted": "2026-07-28", "v40_substituted": "2026-07-27"}, "paired_with": "e_343e4665afa4_q0", "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Michigan Department of Health and Human Services", "Cyclospora", "Taylor Farms", "Taco Bell"]}
{"id": "e_343e4665afa4_q2", "domain": "Health", "question": "How many deaths will the Michigan Department of Health and Human Services confirm from the cyclospora outbreak by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "2", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 13, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_343e4665afa4", "event_date": "2026-08-03", "supporting_event": "Michigan Department of Health and Human Services confirmed the deaths of two people in a cyclospora outbreak.", "storyline_id": "s_hea_055cdf6e", "storyline": "cyclospora outbreak investigation", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_925faa2607daa39d0e9b", "t_80bad6ab20cd2ab62793", "t_179284cb16e87cba3ded", "t_673db678460e487e4886"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "2", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Authorities in the US state of Michigan say that they have confirmed the deaths of two people in a cyclospora outbreak.", "quote_doc_id": "t_343e4665afa443e9f06a", "settling_ids": ["t_343e4665afa443e9f06a", "t_6f12fef08742f20726e1", "t_2ceeeb5f5e49f95194ca", "t_642ab10cf840e862c73d"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Michigan Department of Health and Human Services", "Cyclospora", "Taylor Farms", "Taco Bell"]}
{"id": "e_3cb25cec5fca_q0", "domain": "Health", "question": "Will Moderna secure FDA approval for its mRNA-based flu vaccine mFLUVISA by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 17, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_3cb25cec5fca", "event_date": "2026-08-07", "supporting_event": "Moderna secured FDA approval for its mRNA-based flu vaccine mFLUVISA.", "storyline_id": "s_hea_3cb25cec", "storyline": "FDA approval of mRNA vaccines", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_2b443f18341b15f1bd59", "t_0960e423fd7b4b44e8b3", "t_fb1ed7ad51e34f79e1dd", "t_dca3e89f3a90fd91891a"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Moderna has secured the FDA’s greenlight for its mRNA-based flu vaccine mFLUVISA.", "quote_doc_id": "t_3cb25cec5fca7cbc48b9", "settling_ids": ["t_3cb25cec5fca7cbc48b9", "t_9649ee6b267be36b6dc0"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Moderna", "mFLUVISA"]}
{"id": "e_3cb25cec5fca_q0_neg", "domain": "Health", "question": "Will Moderna secure FDA approval for its mRNA-based flu vaccine mFLUVISA by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "No", "answer_type": "perturbed_binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 17, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_3cb25cec5fca", "event_date": "2026-08-07", "supporting_event": "Moderna secured FDA approval for its mRNA-based flu vaccine mFLUVISA.", "storyline_id": "s_hea_3cb25cec", "storyline": "FDA approval of mRNA vaccines", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_2b443f18341b15f1bd59", "t_0960e423fd7b4b44e8b3", "t_fb1ed7ad51e34f79e1dd", "t_dca3e89f3a90fd91891a"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "perturbed_binary", "value": "No", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Moderna has secured the FDA’s greenlight for its mRNA-based flu vaccine mFLUVISA.", "quote_doc_id": "t_3cb25cec5fca7cbc48b9", "settling_ids": ["t_3cb25cec5fca7cbc48b9", "t_9649ee6b267be36b6dc0"], "derivation": "the event dated 2026-08-07 is after the shifted deadline 2026-08-04, so the claim is false at that deadline"}, "perturbation": {"field": "deadline", "original": "2026-08-11", "substituted": "2026-08-04", "v40_substituted": "2026-07-29"}, "paired_with": "e_3cb25cec5fca_q0", "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Moderna", "mFLUVISA"]}
{"id": "e_449b09694611_q0", "domain": "Health", "question": "How many deaths will be reported in Michigan linked to the cyclosporiasis outbreak by 2026-08-04?", "options": ["1", "2", "0", "3"], "answer": "2", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 13, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_449b09694611", "event_date": "2026-08-03", "supporting_event": "Two deaths have been identified as part of the cyclosporiasis outbreak affecting Michigan.", "storyline_id": "s_hea_449b0969", "storyline": "cyclosporiasis outbreak in Michigan", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_179284cb16e87cba3ded", "t_f8948d31125af253232b", "t_4029d700467d7dfba1a7", "t_673db678460e487e4886", "t_b8a593821787e837ca12", "t_0e7e4a6330e0e1ca12fd", "t_a82ffbfce1e12b568cba", "t_8f14cd87a24accef23ff"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "2", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Two Michigan residents who had \"significant underlying health conditions\" have died after contracting cyclosporiasis.", "quote_doc_id": "t_449b09694611e6b003bd", "settling_ids": ["t_449b09694611e6b003bd", "t_b6fe0592754c12f6a268", "t_521f036c2b0bf03a9c45", "t_6c6c3960185bb014fbd2"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Michigan Department of Health and Human Services"]}
{"id": "e_45301306b812_q1", "domain": "Health", "question": "What type of trial is QUELL-CV that BioAge Labs is conducting by 2026-08-11?", "options": ["Phase 1b/2a trial", "Phase 3 confirmatory trial", "Phase 1 exploratory trial", "Phase 2 dose-ranging proof-of-concept trial"], "answer": "Phase 2 dose-ranging proof-of-concept trial", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 15, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_45301306b812", "event_date": "2026-08-05", "supporting_event": "BioAge Labs, Inc. dosed the first participant in QUELL-CV.", "storyline_id": "s_hea_45301306", "storyline": "BioAge Labs QUELL-CV trial", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_43de9e44d8417f3190a5", "t_5bee9b393bdd0c1ec331"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "Phase 2 dose-ranging proof-of-concept trial", "tolerance": null, "quote": "QUELL-CV, a Phase 2 dose-ranging proof-of-concept trial of BGE-102 measuring inflammatory and cardiometabolic biomarkers; topline data anticipated in the second half of 2026", "quote_doc_id": "t_b27f7b033d86f1ccf080", "settling_ids": ["t_45301306b81235bfe8d7", "t_b27f7b033d86f1ccf080", "d_10504ff0afbf5c8d76db"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["BioAge Labs, Inc.", "QUELL-CV", "BGE-102"]}
{"id": "e_464c8d109874_q0", "domain": "Health", "question": "Will the number of confirmed Ebola cases in the Democratic Republic of the Congo exceed 4,000 by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 18, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_464c8d109874", "event_date": "2026-08-08", "supporting_event": "The Democratic Republic of the Congo reported confirmed Ebola cases reaching 4,053.", "storyline_id": "s_hea_14b8fd07", "storyline": "2026 DRC Ebola outbreak", "linked_domains": ["Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["a_01380f1aa8968a9ffb19", "t_99ed90f4b77da6de69b7", "t_f3620116771d21497bb5", "d_4ff5e6e20d879735f6bf", "t_f4c72a973105bba177c8", "d_67b2c343a0daa32f9da4", "t_957590e1555f4361eff1", "t_b021e41e73518d8c52fa", "d_e7432b431c8f728f0ae7", "t_4408bb494b30111e66d0", "t_dbc32530eea585a194d8"], "precursor_modalities": ["A", "D", "T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the number of confirmed Ebola cases in the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC) has surpassed 4,000", "quote_doc_id": "t_464c8d109874dc1b7e76", "settling_ids": ["t_464c8d109874dc1b7e76", "t_ff512f8d4720bf2eb1f8", "t_2f5cda8a245a6c9221de", "t_62aad6babe34f9e805e6"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Democratic Republic of the Congo", "Ebola"]}
{"id": "e_464c8d109874_q0_neg", "domain": "Health", "question": "Will the number of confirmed Ebola cases in the Democratic Republic of the Congo exceed 4,000 by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "No", "answer_type": "perturbed_binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 18, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_464c8d109874", "event_date": "2026-08-08", "supporting_event": "The Democratic Republic of the Congo reported confirmed Ebola cases reaching 4,053.", "storyline_id": "s_hea_14b8fd07", "storyline": "2026 DRC Ebola outbreak", "linked_domains": ["Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["a_01380f1aa8968a9ffb19", "t_99ed90f4b77da6de69b7", "t_f3620116771d21497bb5", "d_4ff5e6e20d879735f6bf", "t_f4c72a973105bba177c8", "d_67b2c343a0daa32f9da4", "t_957590e1555f4361eff1", "t_b021e41e73518d8c52fa", "d_e7432b431c8f728f0ae7", "t_4408bb494b30111e66d0", "t_dbc32530eea585a194d8"], "precursor_modalities": ["A", "D", "T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "perturbed_binary", "value": "No", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the number of confirmed Ebola cases in the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC) has surpassed 4,000", "quote_doc_id": "t_464c8d109874dc1b7e76", "settling_ids": ["t_464c8d109874dc1b7e76", "t_ff512f8d4720bf2eb1f8", "t_2f5cda8a245a6c9221de", "t_62aad6babe34f9e805e6"], "derivation": "the event dated 2026-08-08 is after the shifted deadline 2026-08-04, so the claim is false at that deadline"}, "perturbation": {"field": "deadline", "original": "2026-08-11", "substituted": "2026-08-04", "v40_substituted": "2026-07-30"}, "paired_with": "e_464c8d109874_q0", "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Democratic Republic of the Congo", "Ebola"]}
{"id": "e_464c8d109874_q2", "domain": "Health", "question": "How many confirmed Ebola cases will be reported in the Democratic Republic of the Congo by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "4053", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "cases", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 18, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_464c8d109874", "event_date": "2026-08-08", "supporting_event": "The Democratic Republic of the Congo reported confirmed Ebola cases reaching 4,053.", "storyline_id": "s_hea_14b8fd07", "storyline": "2026 DRC Ebola outbreak", "linked_domains": ["Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["a_01380f1aa8968a9ffb19", "t_99ed90f4b77da6de69b7", "t_f3620116771d21497bb5", "d_4ff5e6e20d879735f6bf", "t_f4c72a973105bba177c8", "d_67b2c343a0daa32f9da4", "t_957590e1555f4361eff1", "t_b021e41e73518d8c52fa", "d_e7432b431c8f728f0ae7", "t_4408bb494b30111e66d0", "t_dbc32530eea585a194d8"], "precursor_modalities": ["A", "D", "T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "4053", "tolerance": 0.05, "quote": "the country had recorded 4,053 confirmed cases", "quote_doc_id": "t_2f5cda8a245a6c9221de", "settling_ids": ["t_464c8d109874dc1b7e76", "t_ff512f8d4720bf2eb1f8", "t_2f5cda8a245a6c9221de", "t_62aad6babe34f9e805e6"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Democratic Republic of the Congo", "Ebola"]}
{"id": "e_509ffc7b6b99_q1", "domain": "Health", "question": "What will be the indication for TUDRIQEVTM in combination with nivolumab approved by the FDA by 2026-08-11?", "options": ["unresectable advanced lung cancer", "resectable advanced cutaneous melanoma", "resectable advanced lung cancer", "unresectable advanced cutaneous melanoma"], "answer": "unresectable advanced cutaneous melanoma", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 16, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_509ffc7b6b99", "event_date": "2026-08-06", "supporting_event": "Replimune Group, Inc. announced FDA accelerated approval of TUDRIQEVTM in combination with nivolumab for unresectable advanced cutaneous melanoma.", "storyline_id": "s_hea_509ffc7b", "storyline": "FDA drug approval process", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["d_4f0b4d6eeb6885711f04", "t_c6021e2f05f8285e14ad"], "precursor_modalities": ["D", "T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "unresectable advanced cutaneous melanoma", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) has granted accelerated approval for TUDRIQEVTM (vusolimogene oderparepvec-wtpg), previously referred to as RP1, in combination with nivolumab for the treatment of adults with unresectable advanced cutaneous melanoma", "quote_doc_id": "t_c812b99253f6a8033468", "settling_ids": ["t_509ffc7b6b99c55801d2", "t_c812b99253f6a8033468", "t_ec4d897fef28891cc20c", "d_0dd7aa3e0adb3401fabf"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Replimune Group, Inc.", "TUDRIQEVTM", "nivolumab", "FDA"]}
{"id": "e_509ffc7b6b99_q2", "domain": "Health", "question": "What will be the objective response rate (ORR) achieved by TUDRIQEV plus nivolumab in the efficacy-evaluable population by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "24.2", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "%", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 16, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_509ffc7b6b99", "event_date": "2026-08-06", "supporting_event": "Replimune Group, Inc. announced FDA accelerated approval of TUDRIQEVTM in combination with nivolumab for unresectable advanced cutaneous melanoma.", "storyline_id": "s_hea_509ffc7b", "storyline": "FDA drug approval process", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["d_4f0b4d6eeb6885711f04", "t_c6021e2f05f8285e14ad"], "precursor_modalities": ["D", "T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "24.2", "tolerance": 0.05, "quote": "TUDRIQEV plus nivolumab achieved an objective response rate (ORR) of 24.2%", "quote_doc_id": "t_509ffc7b6b99c55801d2", "settling_ids": ["t_509ffc7b6b99c55801d2", "t_c812b99253f6a8033468", "t_ec4d897fef28891cc20c", "d_0dd7aa3e0adb3401fabf"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Replimune Group, Inc.", "TUDRIQEVTM", "nivolumab", "FDA"]}
{"id": "e_5205da2d2a65_q0", "domain": "Health", "question": "Which of the following statements about Replimune's RP1 data in advanced melanoma is true by 2026-08-04?", "options": ["The FDA advisory committee voted 10-3 to support the RP1 data.", "The FDA advisory committee voted 7-6 against the RP1 data.", "The FDA advisory committee voted 8-5 against the RP1 data.", "The FDA advisory committee voted 12-1 to support the RP1 data."], "answer": "The FDA advisory committee voted 10-3 to support the RP1 data.", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 9, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_5205da2d2a65", "event_date": "2026-07-30", "supporting_event": "An FDA advisory committee voted 10-3 to back Replimune's RP1 data in advanced melanoma.", "storyline_id": "s_hea_5205da2d", "storyline": "Replimune RP1 regulatory review", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["d_4f0b4d6eeb6885711f04", "t_c6021e2f05f8285e14ad"], "precursor_modalities": ["D", "T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "The FDA advisory committee voted 10-3 to support the RP1 data.", "tolerance": null, "quote": "An FDA panel voted 10-3 for Replimune’s RP1 data in advanced melanoma", "quote_doc_id": "t_5205da2d2a65f41b2636", "settling_ids": ["t_5205da2d2a65f41b2636", "t_59a44a6ef337659087a6", "t_d74319c8e3522a876dfa", "t_10258d07bd336555e412", "d_18f19e14796c3c785a07", "d_9d9d929324cf836b4d09", "a_f5ad6bb3de6a00c62d3b"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Replimune", "RP1", "nivolumab"]}
{"id": "e_5205da2d2a65_q1", "domain": "Health", "question": "On what date will the FDA advisory committee's decision regarding Replimune's RP1 data in advanced melanoma be finalized by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "2026-07-30", "answer_type": "date", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 9, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_5205da2d2a65", "event_date": "2026-07-30", "supporting_event": "An FDA advisory committee voted 10-3 to back Replimune's RP1 data in advanced melanoma.", "storyline_id": "s_hea_5205da2d", "storyline": "Replimune RP1 regulatory review", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["d_4f0b4d6eeb6885711f04", "t_c6021e2f05f8285e14ad"], "precursor_modalities": ["D", "T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "date", "value": "2026-07-30", "tolerance": 1, "quote": "An FDA advisory committee voted 10-3 on July 30 to back Replimune Group Inc.’s RP1 combination data in advanced melanoma", "quote_doc_id": "t_5205da2d2a65f41b2636", "settling_ids": ["t_5205da2d2a65f41b2636", "t_59a44a6ef337659087a6", "t_d74319c8e3522a876dfa", "t_10258d07bd336555e412", "d_18f19e14796c3c785a07", "d_9d9d929324cf836b4d09", "a_f5ad6bb3de6a00c62d3b"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Replimune", "RP1", "nivolumab"]}
{"id": "e_52e8d69a482d_q0", "domain": "Health", "question": "How many hotels will the Food Safety Wing of the FDA Department inspect by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "26", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 18, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_52e8d69a482d", "event_date": "2026-08-08", "supporting_event": "The Food Safety Wing of the FDA Department raided multiple three-star and five-star hotels in Bengaluru.", "storyline_id": "s_hea_3356ae79", "storyline": "Bengaluru food safety inspections", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_a250946b73c8a21024fc", "t_5e2d5b62af0e501c151d", "t_38f2ecb49f90506a36cf", "t_9db15e3967e9ed467507"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "26", "tolerance": null, "quote": "30 teams inspected 26 hotels", "quote_doc_id": "t_6fd62453b909a45c151d", "settling_ids": ["t_52e8d69a482d39a4c575", "t_94421a0730ab28b06adb", "t_6fd62453b909a45c151d", "t_b2b614b18f5262cc0e6a"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Food Safety Wing", "FDA Department", "Bengaluru"]}
{"id": "e_52e8d69a482d_q1", "domain": "Health", "question": "Which department will take action against food safety violations in Bengaluru by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "Food Safety Wing of the FDA Department", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 18, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_52e8d69a482d", "event_date": "2026-08-08", "supporting_event": "The Food Safety Wing of the FDA Department raided multiple three-star and five-star hotels in Bengaluru.", "storyline_id": "s_hea_3356ae79", "storyline": "Bengaluru food safety inspections", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_a250946b73c8a21024fc", "t_5e2d5b62af0e501c151d", "t_38f2ecb49f90506a36cf", "t_9db15e3967e9ed467507"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "Food Safety Wing of the FDA Department", "tolerance": null, "quote": "The crackdown, led by the Food Safety Wing of the FDA Department", "quote_doc_id": "t_52e8d69a482d39a4c575", "settling_ids": ["t_52e8d69a482d39a4c575", "t_94421a0730ab28b06adb", "t_6fd62453b909a45c151d", "t_b2b614b18f5262cc0e6a"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Food Safety Wing", "FDA Department", "Bengaluru"]}
{"id": "e_52e98697a8fe_d0", "domain": "Health", "question": "What is the date of the forthcoming public advisory committee meeting of the Pediatric Advisory Committee by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "September 16, 2026", "answer_type": "date", "unit": null, "modality_required": "D", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 7, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_52e98697a8fe", "event_date": "2026-07-28", "supporting_event": "FDA Advisory Committee voted to recommend easing compounding restrictions for six peptides, including Epitalon and Semax.", "storyline_id": "s_hea_52e98697", "storyline": "FDA advisory recommendations on peptides", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["d_ddbf6c7db8c72ffa126d", "t_f2adbbf5c465c494b932", "t_7e5b58f7f56c09ba9419"], "precursor_modalities": ["D", "T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "date", "value": "September 16, 2026", "tolerance": null, "quote": "The meeting will be held virtually on September 16, 2026, from 10:00 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. Eastern Time (ET).", "quote_doc_id": "d_eae05eab279118d16fdd", "settling_ids": ["d_eae05eab279118d16fdd", "t_52e98697a8fecad6d8ec", "t_7e5ec8dd3eab6c07840c"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["FDA Advisory Committee", "Epitalon", "Semax"]}
{"id": "e_52e98697a8fe_q0", "domain": "Health", "question": "Which peptides will the FDA Advisory Committee recommend easing compounding restrictions for by 2026-07-28?", "options": ["Epitalon and Semax", "Insulin and Glucagon", "Oxytocin and Vasopressin", "Corticotropin and Somatotropin"], "answer": "Epitalon and Semax", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 7, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_52e98697a8fe", "event_date": "2026-07-28", "supporting_event": "FDA Advisory Committee voted to recommend easing compounding restrictions for six peptides, including Epitalon and Semax.", "storyline_id": "s_hea_52e98697", "storyline": "FDA advisory recommendations on peptides", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["d_ddbf6c7db8c72ffa126d", "t_f2adbbf5c465c494b932", "t_7e5b58f7f56c09ba9419"], "precursor_modalities": ["D", "T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "Epitalon and Semax", "tolerance": null, "quote": "FDA Advisory Committee voted to recommend easing compounding restrictions for six peptides, including Epitalon and Semax, late last week", "quote_doc_id": "t_7e5ec8dd3eab6c07840c", "settling_ids": ["t_52e98697a8fecad6d8ec", "t_7e5ec8dd3eab6c07840c", "d_ca299978f584259256b9"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["FDA Advisory Committee", "Epitalon", "Semax"]}
{"id": "e_5955c050da87_v0", "domain": "Health", "question": "What is the total number of contributions listed in the Auditor's Journal A by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "176", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "V", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 1, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_5955c050da87", "event_date": "2026-07-22", "supporting_event": "Revolution Medicines, Inc. announced that the U.S. FDA accepted for review the New Drug Application for daraxonrasib.", "storyline_id": "s_hea_5955c050", "storyline": "daraxonrasib regulatory review process", "linked_domains": ["Business"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_41bf71e653dc99d09375", "t_7e69173a48cff370a591", "t_18311061169e50710974", "t_48fb00411e6279d16a88"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "176", "tolerance": null, "quote": "America 250 Delaware's Role in the American Revolution", "quote_doc_id": "v_9ca2d33e12a4c59655e6", "settling_ids": ["t_5955c050da870a06c973", "t_66871f134eef1b04112d"], "visible_detail": ""}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Revolution Medicines, Inc.", "U.S. Food and Drug Administration", "daraxonrasib", "metastatic pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma"]}
{"id": "e_5a600869e52c_q1", "domain": "Health", "question": "How many cases of vibrio vulnificus infections will Louisiana confirm by 2026-08-11?", "options": ["9", "14", "5", "7"], "answer": "9", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": "cases", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 19, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_5a600869e52c", "event_date": "2026-08-09", "supporting_event": "Louisiana confirmed 9 cases of vibrio vulnificus infections.", "storyline_id": "s_hea_5a600869", "storyline": "2026 Gulf Coast vibrio vulnificus outbreak", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_1b6d1b50d7a5a69dca1d", "t_3273f20e4a3fe2f8fb6d"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "9", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Louisiana has confirmed nine cases of vibrio vulnificus infections this year", "quote_doc_id": "t_5a600869e52c3325a93a", "settling_ids": ["t_5a600869e52c3325a93a", "t_c48ba7369f4b6f6c74ae"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Louisiana", "vibrio vulnificus"]}
{"id": "e_5dda4f603e5c_i0", "domain": "Health", "question": "What is the total positivity percentage of Cyclospora reported by ARUP Laboratories by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "34.84%", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 13, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_5dda4f603e5c", "event_date": "2026-08-03", "supporting_event": "ARUP Laboratories added Cyclospora test positivity data to its National Infectious Disease Test Positivity Trends Dashboard.", "storyline_id": "s_hea_5dda4f60", "storyline": "cyclosporiasis outbreak monitoring", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_393c1f60603f359b878a", "t_e094474005a31de9198d", "t_fbf75c2657407fa93e56", "t_0e7e4a6330e0e1ca12fd", "t_f3c12b70fab1b461744e", "t_7725005564a85032959a", "t_eb075ae71a17a69df68c"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "34.84%", "tolerance": null, "quote": "ARUP Laboratories observed Cyclospora positivity rates increase from very low levels to unprecedented levels within a short period of time, highlighting the importance of providing clinicians and laboratorians with timely disease surveillance data, said Ben Bradley, MD, PhD, ARUP head of clinical op", "quote_doc_id": "i_5dda4f603e5c56698526_1", "settling_ids": ["t_5dda4f603e5c56698526", "t_9be47dafb4d37f60f28b"], "visible_detail": "the total positivity percentage of Cyclospora shown as 34.84%"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["ARUP Laboratories"]}
{"id": "e_5dda4f603e5c_q0", "domain": "Health", "question": "Who will add Cyclospora test positivity data to the National Infectious Disease Test Positivity Trends Dashboard by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "ARUP Laboratories", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 13, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_5dda4f603e5c", "event_date": "2026-08-03", "supporting_event": "ARUP Laboratories added Cyclospora test positivity data to its National Infectious Disease Test Positivity Trends Dashboard.", "storyline_id": "s_hea_5dda4f60", "storyline": "cyclosporiasis outbreak monitoring", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_393c1f60603f359b878a", "t_e094474005a31de9198d", "t_fbf75c2657407fa93e56", "t_0e7e4a6330e0e1ca12fd", "t_f3c12b70fab1b461744e", "t_7725005564a85032959a", "t_eb075ae71a17a69df68c"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "ARUP Laboratories", "tolerance": null, "quote": "ARUP Laboratories has added Cyclospora test positivity data to its National Infectious Disease Test Positivity Trends Dashboard.", "quote_doc_id": "t_5dda4f603e5c56698526", "settling_ids": ["t_5dda4f603e5c56698526", "t_9be47dafb4d37f60f28b"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["ARUP Laboratories"]}
{"id": "e_5dfdb4865d10_q0", "domain": "Health", "question": "How many people will Japan's anti-disaster agency report were transported to hospitals with heat stroke symptoms during the week of July 20 to 26 by 2026-07-28?", "options": ["more than 18,000", "more than 5,000", "more than 10,000", "more than 15,000"], "answer": "more than 18,000", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": "people", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 5, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_5dfdb4865d10", "event_date": "2026-07-26", "supporting_event": "Japan's anti-disaster agency reported more than 18,000 people with heat stroke symptoms were transported to hospitals.", "storyline_id": "s_hea_5dfdb486", "storyline": "Northeast Asia heat wave response", "linked_domains": ["Environment"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_55798aeeefc633e52b5b", "t_0b3aed69562db4046865", "t_74128cc9bdccc3adb389"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "more than 18,000", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Japan's anti-disaster agency reported more than 18,000 people with heat stroke symptoms were transported to hospitals during the week of July 20 to 26.", "quote_doc_id": "t_d15efb09d7a60e3f4955", "settling_ids": ["t_5dfdb4865d102fc599db", "t_d15efb09d7a60e3f4955", "t_99212129a7bd6f3db690", "t_bec138f4dc97ef7737e6"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Japan", "anti-disaster agency"]}
{"id": "e_5f004349d573_q0", "domain": "Health", "question": "What will Toronto Public Health confirm regarding West Nile virus cases by 2026-08-04?", "options": ["the city's first human case of Lyme disease in 2026", "the city's first human case of West Nile virus in 2026", "the city's first human case of Zika virus in 2026", "the city's first human case of dengue fever in 2026"], "answer": "the city's first human case of West Nile virus in 2026", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 9, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_5f004349d573", "event_date": "2026-07-30", "supporting_event": "Toronto Public Health has confirmed the city’s first human case of West Nile virus this year.", "storyline_id": "s_hea_5f004349", "storyline": "2026 West Nile virus cases in Toronto", "linked_domains": ["Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_257c83e2b33d9eb18a37", "t_f91ebb2af3ed8fb8b253", "t_07c590aaf704ec15c498", "t_058dce11bf913dcd762e", "t_99ccb514c89791a8cf4d", "t_8ce484c47e1efa3e7ad8", "t_8f5d77f2c0ad0da42467"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "the city's first human case of West Nile virus in 2026", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Toronto Public Health (TPH) has confirmed the city’s first human case of West Nile virus in 2026", "quote_doc_id": "t_e4a465d7f11973b0aa41", "settling_ids": ["t_5f004349d573bf39c3fb", "t_e4a465d7f11973b0aa41"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Toronto Public Health", "West Nile virus", "Toronto"]}
{"id": "e_65fe49105857_q0", "domain": "Health", "question": "Will the University of Oxford administer the first dose of the ChAdOx1 BDBV vaccine by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 3, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_65fe49105857", "event_date": "2026-07-24", "supporting_event": "Oxford University administered the first dose of the ChAdOx1 BDBV vaccine on July 24, 2026.", "storyline_id": "s_hea_65fe4910", "storyline": "Bundibugyo Ebola vaccine trial", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_5abbe53a68ea1ac5f765", "t_324eede698c348c3e602", "t_d18334ff316af4e4678e"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "A volunteer was injected on Friday with the first dose of a rapidly developed vaccine targeting the Bundibugyo strain of Ebola driving a deadly outbreak in the Democratic Republic of Congo, Oxford University said.", "quote_doc_id": "t_65fe49105857cbdad52a", "settling_ids": ["t_65fe49105857cbdad52a", "t_e203be9c6d9c0c64305a", "t_d0251531e0cd0090fce0", "t_d5347e79957ec562a6c0", "a_3eec02c77665bea059f7"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Oxford University", "ChAdOx1 BDBV", "Ed Hunt"]}
{"id": "e_65fe49105857_q1", "domain": "Health", "question": "How many doses of the ChAdOx1 BDBV vaccine will be stockpiled by the Serum Institute of India by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "620000", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "doses", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 3, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_65fe49105857", "event_date": "2026-07-24", "supporting_event": "Oxford University administered the first dose of the ChAdOx1 BDBV vaccine on July 24, 2026.", "storyline_id": "s_hea_65fe4910", "storyline": "Bundibugyo Ebola vaccine trial", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_5abbe53a68ea1ac5f765", "t_324eede698c348c3e602", "t_d18334ff316af4e4678e"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "620000", "tolerance": 0.05, "quote": "the Serum Institute of India has already manufactured a stockpile of 620,000 doses.", "quote_doc_id": "t_65fe49105857cbdad52a", "settling_ids": ["t_65fe49105857cbdad52a", "t_e203be9c6d9c0c64305a", "t_d0251531e0cd0090fce0", "t_d5347e79957ec562a6c0", "a_3eec02c77665bea059f7"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Oxford University", "ChAdOx1 BDBV", "Ed Hunt"]}
{"id": "e_65fe49105857_q2", "domain": "Health", "question": "Who will be the first volunteer to receive the ChAdOx1 BDBV vaccine by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "Ed Hunt", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 3, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_65fe49105857", "event_date": "2026-07-24", "supporting_event": "Oxford University administered the first dose of the ChAdOx1 BDBV vaccine on July 24, 2026.", "storyline_id": "s_hea_65fe4910", "storyline": "Bundibugyo Ebola vaccine trial", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_5abbe53a68ea1ac5f765", "t_324eede698c348c3e602", "t_d18334ff316af4e4678e"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "Ed Hunt", "tolerance": null, "quote": "The first dose was administered to a 37-year-old volunteer named Ed Hunt in Oxford on Friday.", "quote_doc_id": "t_65fe49105857cbdad52a", "settling_ids": ["t_65fe49105857cbdad52a", "t_e203be9c6d9c0c64305a", "t_d0251531e0cd0090fce0", "t_d5347e79957ec562a6c0", "a_3eec02c77665bea059f7"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Oxford University", "ChAdOx1 BDBV", "Ed Hunt"]}
{"id": "e_6826b177faca_q0", "domain": "Health", "question": "Which of the following food items was seized by Karnataka food safety officials during their inspections by 2026-08-11?", "options": ["Canned goods", "Expired dairy products", "Fresh vegetables", "Packaged snacks"], "answer": "Expired dairy products", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 19, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_6826b177faca", "event_date": "2026-08-09", "supporting_event": "Karnataka food safety officials seized nearly one tonne of expired, rotten and improperly stored food from 60 star hotels in Bengaluru during a three-day inspection drive that concluded on August 9.", "storyline_id": "s_hea_3356ae79", "storyline": "Bengaluru food safety inspections", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_7c98f1ac9e38607d8c49", "t_5e2d5b62af0e501c151d", "t_38f2ecb49f90506a36cf", "t_9db15e3967e9ed467507", "t_e231d3de7e170f76d88d", "t_4f6cf965f328cb00aab5"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "Expired dairy products", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Officials also found instances of fungal growth in vegetables, banned artificial colours and inadequate segregation of vegetarian and non-vegetarian food items.", "quote_doc_id": "t_5c099bf7d4e6032809b2", "settling_ids": ["t_6826b177facaf35ebc1d", "t_212768d241092d009a62", "t_5c099bf7d4e6032809b2"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Karnataka Food Safety and Drug Administration", "Bengaluru"]}
{"id": "e_6923f39ac787_q0", "domain": "Health", "question": "Will Abivax announce a positive pre-NDA interaction with the FDA for obefazimod by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 9, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_6923f39ac787", "event_date": "2026-07-30", "supporting_event": "Abivax announced a positive pre-NDA interaction with the FDA for obefazimod.", "storyline_id": "s_hea_6923f39a", "storyline": "obefazimod NDA submission", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_6ed1c3eb5dbdfce38ff8", "t_c54e264c8a50a976d5a9", "t_c0ab17e0d8a7b013f8b9"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Abivax Announces Positive Pre-NDA Interaction with the FDA for Obefazimod", "quote_doc_id": "t_6923f39ac7870eff86c7", "settling_ids": ["t_6923f39ac7870eff86c7", "t_dfba1328d3c04225737d"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Abivax", "FDA", "obefazimod"]}
{"id": "e_6923f39ac787_q0_neg", "domain": "Health", "question": "Will Abivax announce a positive pre-NDA interaction with the FDA for obefazimod by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "No", "answer_type": "perturbed_binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 9, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_6923f39ac787", "event_date": "2026-07-30", "supporting_event": "Abivax announced a positive pre-NDA interaction with the FDA for obefazimod.", "storyline_id": "s_hea_6923f39a", "storyline": "obefazimod NDA submission", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_6ed1c3eb5dbdfce38ff8", "t_c54e264c8a50a976d5a9", "t_c0ab17e0d8a7b013f8b9"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "perturbed_binary", "value": "No", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Abivax Announces Positive Pre-NDA Interaction with the FDA for Obefazimod", "quote_doc_id": "t_6923f39ac7870eff86c7", "settling_ids": ["t_6923f39ac7870eff86c7", "t_dfba1328d3c04225737d"], "derivation": "the event dated 2026-07-30 is after the shifted deadline 2026-07-28, so the claim is false at that deadline"}, "perturbation": {"field": "deadline", "original": "2026-08-04", "substituted": "2026-07-28", "v40_substituted": "2026-07-25"}, "paired_with": "e_6923f39ac787_q0", "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Abivax", "FDA", "obefazimod"]}
{"id": "e_6c629d899a67_q0", "domain": "Health", "question": "How many participants will Vivani Medical dose in the SLIM-1 Phase 1 trial for NPM-139 by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "20", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "participants", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 16, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_6c629d899a67", "event_date": "2026-08-06", "supporting_event": "Vivani Medical, Inc. announced successful dosing of all participants in SLIM-1 Phase 1 trial for NPM-139.", "storyline_id": "s_hea_6c629d89", "storyline": "SLIM-1 Phase 1 trial for NPM-139", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_fe6b849c7df3da15f9f6", "d_8167edc15aa3ab343f52"], "precursor_modalities": ["D", "T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "20", "tolerance": 0, "quote": "the trial of 20 GLP-1 naïve participants in Australia", "quote_doc_id": "t_802c8fa337596639ca65", "settling_ids": ["t_802c8fa337596639ca65", "t_c17a07e8043da11b284e", "t_2f7e8fd40dd4fb5dd26c", "t_1556c8f7f5dcde682a5d", "d_6c629d899a6756624edb"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Vivani Medical, Inc.", "NPM-139", "SLIM-1"]}
{"id": "e_7a8ed892ba71_q0", "domain": "Health", "question": "Which organization will report the highest daily heat-related hospitalisations in Tokyo since 2010 by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "Tokyo Fire Department", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 1, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_7a8ed892ba71", "event_date": "2026-07-22", "supporting_event": "Tokyo recorded on July 22 the most daily heat-related hospitalisations since 2010, with 453 people taken to hospital.", "storyline_id": "s_hea_7a8ed892", "storyline": "2026 Tokyo heatwave response", "linked_domains": ["Environment"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_55798aeeefc633e52b5b", "t_0b3aed69562db4046865", "t_74128cc9bdccc3adb389"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "Tokyo Fire Department", "tolerance": null, "quote": "The Tokyo Fire Department said 453 people were taken to hospital on Wednesday, the highest daily count since records began in 2010.", "quote_doc_id": "t_7a8ed892ba71f80b1499", "settling_ids": ["t_7a8ed892ba71f80b1499", "t_a93920241b85f7763190", "t_6dc524d83ce6cbd06e0e", "t_6790be5874c392255c65"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Tokyo", "Tokyo Fire Department"]}
{"id": "e_7a8ed892ba71_q1", "domain": "Health", "question": "Will the number of heat-related hospitalisations in Tokyo exceed 400 by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 1, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_7a8ed892ba71", "event_date": "2026-07-22", "supporting_event": "Tokyo recorded on July 22 the most daily heat-related hospitalisations since 2010, with 453 people taken to hospital.", "storyline_id": "s_hea_7a8ed892", "storyline": "2026 Tokyo heatwave response", "linked_domains": ["Environment"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_55798aeeefc633e52b5b", "t_0b3aed69562db4046865", "t_74128cc9bdccc3adb389"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the most daily heat-related hospitalisations since 2010, emergency services said as Japan sweltered in a severe heatwave, with one person dead and four in a critical condition. The Tokyo Fire Department said 453 people were taken to hospital on Wednesday, the highest daily count since records began in 2010.", "quote_doc_id": "t_7a8ed892ba71f80b1499", "settling_ids": ["t_7a8ed892ba71f80b1499", "t_a93920241b85f7763190", "t_6dc524d83ce6cbd06e0e", "t_6790be5874c392255c65"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Tokyo", "Tokyo Fire Department"]}
{"id": "e_7abfdcd9e316_i0", "domain": "Health", "question": "What is the bib number of the participant in NEET PG 2026 by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "17", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 11, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_7abfdcd9e316", "event_date": "2026-08-01", "supporting_event": "Union Health Minister Jagat Prakash Nadda reviewed preparations for NEET PG 2026.", "storyline_id": "s_hea_7abfdcd9", "storyline": "NEET PG 2026 examination preparations", "linked_domains": ["Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_48441b2b0fa0a96777bd", "t_f19d81ca9dfe2677ed73"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "17", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_7abfdcd9e316aaceb4e3_0", "settling_ids": ["t_7abfdcd9e316aaceb4e3", "t_6b1397d491747959e8ea", "t_87515d0843e8328f614f", "t_bbdbe4d9f92aa3f872cd", "t_a7ea2af5ed36ecc0eddd", "t_67793b8389323b45d193"], "visible_detail": "a bib number identifying a participant"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Jagat Prakash Nadda", "National Board of Examinations in Medical Sciences", "NEET PG 2026"]}
{"id": "e_7abfdcd9e316_q0", "domain": "Health", "question": "How many candidates will register for NEET PG 2026 by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "273183", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "candidates", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 11, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_7abfdcd9e316", "event_date": "2026-08-01", "supporting_event": "Union Health Minister Jagat Prakash Nadda reviewed preparations for NEET PG 2026.", "storyline_id": "s_hea_7abfdcd9", "storyline": "NEET PG 2026 examination preparations", "linked_domains": ["Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_48441b2b0fa0a96777bd", "t_f19d81ca9dfe2677ed73"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "273183", "tolerance": 0.05, "quote": "A total of 2,73,183 candidates have registered for NEET-PG 2026.", "quote_doc_id": "t_6b1397d491747959e8ea", "settling_ids": ["t_7abfdcd9e316aaceb4e3", "t_6b1397d491747959e8ea", "t_67793b8389323b45d193", "t_87515d0843e8328f614f"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Jagat Prakash Nadda", "National Board of Examinations in Medical Sciences", "NEET PG 2026"]}
{"id": "e_7b1f284e843d_a0", "domain": "Health", "question": "How many people are reported to have gotten sick in the cyclospora outbreak by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "2,000", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "A", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 16, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_7b1f284e843d", "event_date": "2026-08-06", "supporting_event": "Michigan's health department declared lettuce safe to eat as cases of cyclospora infections decline.", "storyline_id": "s_hea_7b1f284e", "storyline": "Michigan cyclospora outbreak response", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_673db678460e487e4886", "t_27389dcc18a500488d11", "t_0e7e4a6330e0e1ca12fd"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "2,000", "tolerance": null, "quote": "The Centers for Disease Control have counted almost 2,000 people who have gotten sick in the cyclospora outbreak.", "quote_doc_id": "a_84fd3c055eec2f350ba7", "settling_ids": ["a_84fd3c055eec2f350ba7", "t_7b1f284e843df5d98c18", "t_18fce20a6bc2655ebcf1"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Michigan's health department", "cyclospora", "lettuce"]}
{"id": "e_7b1f284e843d_q0", "domain": "Health", "question": "Will Michigan's health department declare lettuce safe to eat by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 16, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_7b1f284e843d", "event_date": "2026-08-06", "supporting_event": "Michigan's health department declared lettuce safe to eat as cases of cyclospora infections decline.", "storyline_id": "s_hea_7b1f284e", "storyline": "Michigan cyclospora outbreak response", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_673db678460e487e4886", "t_27389dcc18a500488d11", "t_0e7e4a6330e0e1ca12fd"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Michigan’s health department no longer recommends that consumers avoid bagged salad mixes and said people can resume their usual food handling practices.", "quote_doc_id": "t_7b1f284e843df5d98c18", "settling_ids": ["t_7b1f284e843df5d98c18", "t_18fce20a6bc2655ebcf1"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Michigan's health department", "cyclospora", "lettuce"]}
{"id": "e_7b1f284e843d_q0_neg", "domain": "Health", "question": "Will Michigan's health department declare lettuce safe to eat by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "No", "answer_type": "perturbed_binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 16, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_7b1f284e843d", "event_date": "2026-08-06", "supporting_event": "Michigan's health department declared lettuce safe to eat as cases of cyclospora infections decline.", "storyline_id": "s_hea_7b1f284e", "storyline": "Michigan cyclospora outbreak response", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_673db678460e487e4886", "t_27389dcc18a500488d11", "t_0e7e4a6330e0e1ca12fd"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "perturbed_binary", "value": "No", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Michigan’s health department no longer recommends that consumers avoid bagged salad mixes and said people can resume their usual food handling practices.", "quote_doc_id": "t_7b1f284e843df5d98c18", "settling_ids": ["t_7b1f284e843df5d98c18", "t_18fce20a6bc2655ebcf1"], "derivation": "the event dated 2026-08-06 is after the shifted deadline 2026-08-04, so the claim is false at that deadline"}, "perturbation": {"field": "deadline", "original": "2026-08-11", "substituted": "2026-08-04", "v40_substituted": "2026-07-29"}, "paired_with": "e_7b1f284e843d_q0", "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Michigan's health department", "cyclospora", "lettuce"]}
{"id": "e_7b1f284e843d_q2", "domain": "Health", "question": "How many cases of cyclospora infections will Michigan report by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "12485", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "cases", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 16, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_7b1f284e843d", "event_date": "2026-08-06", "supporting_event": "Michigan's health department declared lettuce safe to eat as cases of cyclospora infections decline.", "storyline_id": "s_hea_7b1f284e", "storyline": "Michigan cyclospora outbreak response", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_673db678460e487e4886", "t_27389dcc18a500488d11", "t_0e7e4a6330e0e1ca12fd"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "12485", "tolerance": 0, "quote": "The state has been the epicentre of a multistate outbreak, recording 12,485 cases and two deaths since June.", "quote_doc_id": "t_7b1f284e843df5d98c18", "settling_ids": ["t_7b1f284e843df5d98c18", "t_18fce20a6bc2655ebcf1"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Michigan's health department", "cyclospora", "lettuce"]}
{"id": "e_80edb9d560c2_q1", "domain": "Health", "question": "Which site will be the first to commence patient screening for the Phase 2/3 clinical trial of SIL204 by 2026-08-04?", "options": ["Charité – Universitätsmedizin Berlin", "Essen University Hospital", "Tel Aviv Sourasky Medical Center", "University Hospital Heidelberg"], "answer": "Tel Aviv Sourasky Medical Center", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 8, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_80edb9d560c2", "event_date": "2026-07-29", "supporting_event": "Silexion Therapeutics successfully initiates Phase 2/3 clinical trial of SIL204 in locally advanced pancreatic cancer.", "storyline_id": "s_hea_80edb9d5", "storyline": "SIL204 clinical trial program", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_73df0aeac1823add543d", "t_efdbab35c6ae4b1f87d5"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "Tel Aviv Sourasky Medical Center", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Successful initiation of the Phase 2/3 clinical trial of SIL204 at Tel Aviv Sourasky Medical Center", "quote_doc_id": "t_48c77e5ae7487c489895", "settling_ids": ["t_80edb9d560c21c5d1c9e", "t_48c77e5ae7487c489895"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Silexion Therapeutics", "SIL204", "Tel Aviv Sourasky Medical Center"]}
{"id": "e_8c76fa835888_q0", "domain": "Health", "question": "How many cases linked to a cyclosporiasis outbreak will Michigan report by 2026-08-04?", "options": ["10,773", "8,500", "9,500", "12,000"], "answer": "10,773", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": "cases", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 10, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_8c76fa835888", "event_date": "2026-07-31", "supporting_event": "Michigan reported 10,773 cases linked to a cyclosporiasis outbreak on July 31.", "storyline_id": "s_hea_449b0969", "storyline": "cyclosporiasis outbreak in Michigan", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_73ee3afa755588051a08", "t_179284cb16e87cba3ded", "t_4029d700467d7dfba1a7", "t_a82ffbfce1e12b568cba", "t_e12b39abeba84d34593c", "a_06b8c0fb92e447abff81"], "precursor_modalities": ["A", "T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "10,773", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Michigan continues to be hardest-hit of 45 states facing a cyclosporiasis outbreak", "quote_doc_id": "t_8c76fa83588851119022", "settling_ids": ["t_8c76fa83588851119022", "t_0c6f48d11d092b43b9e6", "t_521f036c2b0bf03a9c45"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Michigan Department of Health and Human Services", "cyclosporiasis"]}
{"id": "e_8cca30bf6c89_q0", "domain": "Health", "question": "How many people will have suffered heat-related illnesses reported by the Korea Disease Control and Prevention Agency by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "1889", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "people", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 12, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_8cca30bf6c89", "event_date": "2026-08-02", "supporting_event": "The Korea Disease Control and Prevention Agency reported that 14 had died and 1,889 people had suffered heat-related illnesses since mid-May.", "storyline_id": "s_hea_8cca30bf", "storyline": "2026 Korean heatwave", "linked_domains": ["Environment"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_55798aeeefc633e52b5b", "t_b65968091c6cb0b9e061"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "1889", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Data from the Korea Disease Control and Prevention Agency from Sunday showed 14 had died and 1,889 people had suffered heat-related illnesses since mid-May.", "quote_doc_id": "t_8cca30bf6c8972755d55", "settling_ids": ["t_8cca30bf6c8972755d55", "t_95854cc98628f53d54c0", "t_d33832f067a104f22421", "t_f5c52494b929c428056b"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Korea Disease Control and Prevention Agency"]}
{"id": "e_8cca30bf6c89_q1", "domain": "Health", "question": "Will the Korea Disease Control and Prevention Agency report more than 10 deaths due to heat-related illnesses by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 12, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_8cca30bf6c89", "event_date": "2026-08-02", "supporting_event": "The Korea Disease Control and Prevention Agency reported that 14 had died and 1,889 people had suffered heat-related illnesses since mid-May.", "storyline_id": "s_hea_8cca30bf", "storyline": "2026 Korean heatwave", "linked_domains": ["Environment"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_55798aeeefc633e52b5b", "t_b65968091c6cb0b9e061"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Data from the Korea Disease Control and Prevention Agency from Sunday showed 14 had died and 1,889 people had suffered heat-related illnesses since mid-May.", "quote_doc_id": "t_8cca30bf6c8972755d55", "settling_ids": ["t_8cca30bf6c8972755d55", "t_95854cc98628f53d54c0", "t_d33832f067a104f22421", "t_f5c52494b929c428056b"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Korea Disease Control and Prevention Agency"]}
{"id": "e_8cca30bf6c89_q1_neg", "domain": "Health", "question": "Will the Korea Disease Control and Prevention Agency report more than 10 deaths due to heat-related illnesses by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "No", "answer_type": "perturbed_binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 12, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_8cca30bf6c89", "event_date": "2026-08-02", "supporting_event": "The Korea Disease Control and Prevention Agency reported that 14 had died and 1,889 people had suffered heat-related illnesses since mid-May.", "storyline_id": "s_hea_8cca30bf", "storyline": "2026 Korean heatwave", "linked_domains": ["Environment"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_55798aeeefc633e52b5b", "t_b65968091c6cb0b9e061"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "perturbed_binary", "value": "No", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Data from the Korea Disease Control and Prevention Agency from Sunday showed 14 had died and 1,889 people had suffered heat-related illnesses since mid-May.", "quote_doc_id": "t_8cca30bf6c8972755d55", "settling_ids": ["t_8cca30bf6c8972755d55", "t_95854cc98628f53d54c0", "t_d33832f067a104f22421", "t_f5c52494b929c428056b"], "derivation": "the event dated 2026-08-02 is after the shifted deadline 2026-07-28, so the claim is false at that deadline"}, "perturbation": {"field": "deadline", "original": "2026-08-04", "substituted": "2026-07-28", "v40_substituted": "2026-07-27"}, "paired_with": "e_8cca30bf6c89_q1", "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Korea Disease Control and Prevention Agency"]}
{"id": "e_93124dfef3e2_q0", "domain": "Health", "question": "Who will report on the critical levels of child malnutrition in Afghanistan by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "the U.N. World Food Programme", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 14, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_93124dfef3e2", "event_date": "2026-08-04", "supporting_event": "The U.N. World Food Programme reported critical levels of child malnutrition in a third of Afghanistan's provinces.", "storyline_id": "s_hea_93124dfe", "storyline": "Afghanistan child malnutrition crisis 2026", "linked_domains": ["Geopolitics", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_894706ca10c35f1b80e9", "t_d76b9f87b7c584038cbe"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "the U.N. World Food Programme", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the U.N. World Food Programme said on Tuesday", "quote_doc_id": "t_93124dfef3e29fbe3966", "settling_ids": ["t_93124dfef3e29fbe3966", "t_e06186221d4b79f69a7e", "t_433943cffc2f1e8f84e4", "t_df552b478592f48329ad"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["U.N. World Food Programme", "Afghanistan"]}
{"id": "e_95d4489b9ba1_q1", "domain": "Health", "question": "What classification will the FDA give to the resubmission of the New Drug Application for SL1009 by 2026-07-28?", "options": ["Class 1", "Class 3", "Class 2", "Not classified"], "answer": "Class 2", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 7, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_95d4489b9ba1", "event_date": "2026-07-28", "supporting_event": "Saol Therapeutics announced the acceptance of resubmission of its New Drug Application (NDA) for SL1009.", "storyline_id": "s_hea_95d4489b", "storyline": "FDA review of SL1009 NDA", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_4a6c118f4b5a39b3b667", "t_f7f7b04cc8bb891cb35f"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "Class 2", "tolerance": null, "quote": "The FDA acknowledged the resubmission as complete, classified it as Class 2.", "quote_doc_id": "t_2c58830455abbb2be267", "settling_ids": ["t_95d4489b9ba147c1f4b3", "t_2c58830455abbb2be267"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Saol Therapeutics", "U.S. Food and Drug Administration", "SL1009", "sodium dichloroacetate", "pyruvate dehydrogenase complex deficiency"]}
{"id": "e_95d4489b9ba1_q2", "domain": "Health", "question": "What will be the Prescription Drug User Fee Act (PDUFA) target action date for the resubmission of the New Drug Application for SL1009 by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "Dec. 30, 2026", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 7, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_95d4489b9ba1", "event_date": "2026-07-28", "supporting_event": "Saol Therapeutics announced the acceptance of resubmission of its New Drug Application (NDA) for SL1009.", "storyline_id": "s_hea_95d4489b", "storyline": "FDA review of SL1009 NDA", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_4a6c118f4b5a39b3b667", "t_f7f7b04cc8bb891cb35f"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "Dec. 30, 2026", "tolerance": null, "quote": "set a Prescription Drug User Fee Act (PDUFA) target action date of Dec. 30, 2026.", "quote_doc_id": "t_95d4489b9ba147c1f4b3", "settling_ids": ["t_95d4489b9ba147c1f4b3", "t_2c58830455abbb2be267"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Saol Therapeutics", "U.S. Food and Drug Administration", "SL1009", "sodium dichloroacetate", "pyruvate dehydrogenase complex deficiency"]}
{"id": "e_9644c9b769d9_d0", "domain": "Health", "question": "What is the total number of units HCW Biologics Inc. plans to issue in its private placement offering by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "618,682", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "D", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 2, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_9644c9b769d9", "event_date": "2026-07-23", "supporting_event": "HCW Biologics Inc. requested a Type B pre-IND meeting with U.S. FDA.", "storyline_id": "s_hea_9644c9b7", "storyline": "HCW Biologics regulatory strategy development", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["d_1e2352f27a3414c540e5", "t_275fcd749dff4dace727"], "precursor_modalities": ["D", "T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "618,682", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the Company agreed to issue and sell an aggregate of 618,682 units (the “Units”)", "quote_doc_id": "d_f35f64cab50f1fdbc71a", "settling_ids": ["d_f35f64cab50f1fdbc71a", "t_9644c9b769d9fc558c05", "t_37bee116928628fac731"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["HCW Biologics Inc.", "U.S. FDA", "HCW11-018b"]}
{"id": "e_9644c9b769d9_q0", "domain": "Health", "question": "What type of meeting did HCW Biologics Inc. request with the U.S. FDA by 2026-07-28?", "options": ["Type D pre-IND meeting", "Type C pre-IND meeting", "Type B pre-IND meeting", "Type A pre-IND meeting"], "answer": "Type B pre-IND meeting", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 2, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_9644c9b769d9", "event_date": "2026-07-23", "supporting_event": "HCW Biologics Inc. requested a Type B pre-IND meeting with U.S. FDA.", "storyline_id": "s_hea_9644c9b7", "storyline": "HCW Biologics regulatory strategy development", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["d_1e2352f27a3414c540e5", "t_275fcd749dff4dace727"], "precursor_modalities": ["D", "T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "Type B pre-IND meeting", "tolerance": null, "quote": "HCW Biologics Inc. (the “Company” or “HCW Biologics”)... announced that it has requested a Type B (pre-IND application) meeting with the U.S. FDA", "quote_doc_id": "t_9644c9b769d9fc558c05", "settling_ids": ["t_9644c9b769d9fc558c05", "t_37bee116928628fac731", "d_f35f64cab50f1fdbc71a"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["HCW Biologics Inc.", "U.S. FDA", "HCW11-018b"]}
{"id": "e_97e37421219f_q0", "domain": "Health", "question": "How many confirmed cases of Ebola will be recorded in the Democratic Republic of the Congo by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "3532", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "cases", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 10, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_97e37421219f", "event_date": "2026-07-31", "supporting_event": "The Democratic Republic of the Congo recorded 3,532 confirmed cases of Ebola.", "storyline_id": "s_hea_14b8fd07", "storyline": "2026 DRC Ebola outbreak", "linked_domains": ["Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_a5c8248d85fdfdcab8a7", "d_4ff5e6e20d879735f6bf", "t_f4c72a973105bba177c8", "t_01e5572235765623a428", "d_67b2c343a0daa32f9da4", "t_957590e1555f4361eff1", "t_1e0da2a54a01e7f36519"], "precursor_modalities": ["D", "T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "3532", "tolerance": 0, "quote": "Confirmed cases have reached 3,532, the DRC Ministry of Communication and Media said in a statement on Friday.", "quote_doc_id": "t_97e37421219ff6e199d9", "settling_ids": ["t_97e37421219ff6e199d9", "t_f93d4065744212d34194", "t_435ffd13a2fc7ae647af", "t_47671b63499daca64316", "d_325ebd1fe688ab880760"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Democratic Republic of the Congo", "Ebola"]}
{"id": "e_97e37421219f_q1", "domain": "Health", "question": "Who will report the number of confirmed Ebola cases in the Democratic Republic of the Congo by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "the DRC Ministry of Communication and Media", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 10, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_97e37421219f", "event_date": "2026-07-31", "supporting_event": "The Democratic Republic of the Congo recorded 3,532 confirmed cases of Ebola.", "storyline_id": "s_hea_14b8fd07", "storyline": "2026 DRC Ebola outbreak", "linked_domains": ["Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_a5c8248d85fdfdcab8a7", "d_4ff5e6e20d879735f6bf", "t_f4c72a973105bba177c8", "t_01e5572235765623a428", "d_67b2c343a0daa32f9da4", "t_957590e1555f4361eff1", "t_1e0da2a54a01e7f36519"], "precursor_modalities": ["D", "T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "the DRC Ministry of Communication and Media", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the DRC Ministry of Communication and Media said in a statement on Friday.", "quote_doc_id": "t_97e37421219ff6e199d9", "settling_ids": ["t_97e37421219ff6e199d9", "t_f93d4065744212d34194", "t_435ffd13a2fc7ae647af", "t_47671b63499daca64316", "d_325ebd1fe688ab880760"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Democratic Republic of the Congo", "Ebola"]}
{"id": "e_9c07d87b6ad9_q0", "domain": "Health", "question": "Will Monopar Therapeutics Inc. initiate the rolling submission of a New Drug Application for ALXN1840 in Wilson disease by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 1, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_9c07d87b6ad9", "event_date": "2026-07-22", "supporting_event": "Monopar Therapeutics Inc. initiated the rolling submission of a New Drug Application for ALXN1840 in Wilson disease.", "storyline_id": "s_hea_9c07d87b", "storyline": "NDA submission for ALXN1840", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_2b6c89b400216361576b", "t_1674119603c0ec13810b", "t_4c6e19ab12e2676fe84a"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Monopar Therapeutics Inc. announced that it has initiated the rolling submission of a New Drug Application (“NDA”) to the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (“FDA”) for ALXN1840", "quote_doc_id": "t_a0e05ef02345967937fd", "settling_ids": ["t_a0e05ef02345967937fd", "t_14e346e88204c3eaa34d", "t_4f2049df86f0acca4614", "t_6eb2f7c7455335f97572", "d_9c07d87b6ad9826547de"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Monopar Therapeutics Inc.", "ALXN1840", "Wilson disease"]}
{"id": "e_9e22d49f1874_q1", "domain": "Health", "question": "What type of hospital did Punjab Chief Minister Bhagwant Singh Mann inaugurate in Moga by 2026-07-28?", "options": ["Community health centre", "Single-speciality hospital", "NABH-accredited multi-speciality hospital", "General hospital"], "answer": "NABH-accredited multi-speciality hospital", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 6, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_9e22d49f1874", "event_date": "2026-07-27", "supporting_event": "Punjab Chief Minister Bhagwant Singh Mann inaugurated the 120-bed Capital Hospital in Moga.", "storyline_id": "s_hea_9e22d49f", "storyline": "Punjab healthcare expansion", "linked_domains": ["Law", "Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_66ea312d2325d8270ac5", "t_512174914ada65a7565b"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "NABH-accredited multi-speciality hospital", "tolerance": null, "quote": "describing it as the district's first National Accreditation Board for Hospitals & Healthcare Providers (NABH)-accredited multi-speciality hospital", "quote_doc_id": "t_9e22d49f1874c3036a70", "settling_ids": ["t_9e22d49f1874c3036a70", "t_030c39c1a84ee2c40e82", "t_ac004f3f195aeb916934"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Bhagwant Singh Mann", "Capital Hospital", "Moga", "Punjab Government"]}
{"id": "e_a3db06bdf987_q0", "domain": "Health", "question": "Will the Michigan Department of Health and Human Services announce that it is safe to consume lettuce by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 16, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_a3db06bdf987", "event_date": "2026-08-06", "supporting_event": "Michigan's health department announced it is safe to consume lettuce as cases of cyclospora infections decline.", "storyline_id": "s_hea_7b1f284e", "storyline": "Michigan cyclospora outbreak response", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_f8948d31125af253232b", "t_673db678460e487e4886", "t_27389dcc18a500488d11", "t_0e7e4a6330e0e1ca12fd"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Michigan’s health department no longer recommends that consumers avoid bagged salad mixes and said people can resume their usual food handling practices.", "quote_doc_id": "t_a3db06bdf98778432d9f", "settling_ids": ["t_a3db06bdf98778432d9f", "t_7b1f284e843df5d98c18"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Michigan Department of Health and Human Services", "lettuce"]}
{"id": "e_a3db06bdf987_q0_neg", "domain": "Health", "question": "Will the Michigan Department of Health and Human Services announce that it is safe to consume lettuce by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "No", "answer_type": "perturbed_binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 16, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_a3db06bdf987", "event_date": "2026-08-06", "supporting_event": "Michigan's health department announced it is safe to consume lettuce as cases of cyclospora infections decline.", "storyline_id": "s_hea_7b1f284e", "storyline": "Michigan cyclospora outbreak response", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_f8948d31125af253232b", "t_673db678460e487e4886", "t_27389dcc18a500488d11", "t_0e7e4a6330e0e1ca12fd"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "perturbed_binary", "value": "No", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Michigan’s health department no longer recommends that consumers avoid bagged salad mixes and said people can resume their usual food handling practices.", "quote_doc_id": "t_a3db06bdf98778432d9f", "settling_ids": ["t_a3db06bdf98778432d9f", "t_7b1f284e843df5d98c18"], "derivation": "the event dated 2026-08-06 is after the shifted deadline 2026-08-04, so the claim is false at that deadline"}, "perturbation": {"field": "deadline", "original": "2026-08-11", "substituted": "2026-08-04", "v40_substituted": "2026-07-29"}, "paired_with": "e_a3db06bdf987_q0", "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Michigan Department of Health and Human Services", "lettuce"]}
{"id": "e_a79c6c02c7cc_d0", "domain": "Health", "question": "What will be the total number of confirmed cases of Ebola disease caused by Bundibugyo virus in the Democratic Republic of the Congo by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "3605", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "D", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 11, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_a79c6c02c7cc", "event_date": "2026-08-01", "supporting_event": "The Ebola outbreak in Democratic Republic of Congo surpassed 3,500 confirmed cases.", "storyline_id": "s_hea_a79c6c02", "storyline": "2026 Ebola outbreak in Democratic Republic of Congo", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["a_01380f1aa8968a9ffb19", "d_4ff5e6e20d879735f6bf", "d_67b2c343a0daa32f9da4", "t_957590e1555f4361eff1", "d_e7432b431c8f728f0ae7"], "precursor_modalities": ["A", "D", "T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "3605", "tolerance": null, "quote": "As of 30 July 2026, a total of 3605 confirmed cases, including 1587 deaths, have been reported", "quote_doc_id": "d_325ebd1fe688ab880760", "settling_ids": ["d_325ebd1fe688ab880760", "t_a79c6c02c7cc164cd482", "t_c3789f18921b9c5ea4e8", "t_47671b63499daca64316"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Democratic Republic of Congo", "Ebola"]}
{"id": "e_a79c6c02c7cc_q0", "domain": "Health", "question": "By 2026-08-04, how many confirmed cases of Ebola will the outbreak in the Democratic Republic of the Congo surpass?", "options": ["2,000 confirmed cases", "1,000 confirmed cases", "4,000 confirmed cases", "3,500 confirmed cases"], "answer": "3,500 confirmed cases", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 11, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_a79c6c02c7cc", "event_date": "2026-08-01", "supporting_event": "The Ebola outbreak in Democratic Republic of Congo surpassed 3,500 confirmed cases.", "storyline_id": "s_hea_a79c6c02", "storyline": "2026 Ebola outbreak in Democratic Republic of Congo", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["a_01380f1aa8968a9ffb19", "d_4ff5e6e20d879735f6bf", "d_67b2c343a0daa32f9da4", "t_957590e1555f4361eff1", "d_e7432b431c8f728f0ae7"], "precursor_modalities": ["A", "D", "T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "3,500 confirmed cases", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the country had recorded 3,532 confirmed cases", "quote_doc_id": "t_47671b63499daca64316", "settling_ids": ["t_a79c6c02c7cc164cd482", "t_c3789f18921b9c5ea4e8", "t_47671b63499daca64316", "d_325ebd1fe688ab880760"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Democratic Republic of Congo", "Ebola"]}
{"id": "e_a9be25cd622a_q1", "domain": "Health", "question": "How many participants will be enrolled in the Method Comparison Study for the Intelligent Fingerprinting Drug Screening System by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "135", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "participants", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 21, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_a9be25cd622a", "event_date": "2026-08-11", "supporting_event": "Intelligent Bio Solutions Inc. announced the completion of its Method Comparison Study for the Intelligent Fingerprinting Drug Screening System.", "storyline_id": "s_hea_a9be25cd", "storyline": "FDA 510(k) submission for U.S. market clearance", "linked_domains": ["Technology"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["d_318d670d2e22f50f0c19", "t_c812c2364f992b3e06d8", "d_350205a1ec8216379f6d"], "precursor_modalities": ["D", "T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "135", "tolerance": 0, "quote": "A total of 135 participants were enrolled", "quote_doc_id": "t_076fbffd9e5352d521dc", "settling_ids": ["t_076fbffd9e5352d521dc", "t_a2f5dff50126429c6051", "d_a9be25cd622a46a84007"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Intelligent Bio Solutions Inc.", "Intelligent Fingerprinting Drug Screening System"]}
{"id": "e_aac6b67663a1_q0", "domain": "Health", "question": "Who will be responsible for the destruction of food products found to be unsafe in Bengaluru by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "Karnataka Food Safety and Drug Administration", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 18, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_aac6b67663a1", "event_date": "2026-08-08", "supporting_event": "The Karnataka Food Safety and Drug Administration destroyed more than 250 kg of meat, 207 kg of vegetables, 32 litres of milk, and three kg of bakery products from six of the top five-star hotels in Bengaluru.", "storyline_id": "s_hea_3356ae79", "storyline": "Bengaluru food safety inspections", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_a0ab6c1cbbfbaac1714f", "t_9bf03670b6cd1813b84c", "t_5e2d5b62af0e501c151d", "t_38f2ecb49f90506a36cf", "t_4f6cf965f328cb00aab5"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "Karnataka Food Safety and Drug Administration", "tolerance": null, "quote": "The Karnataka Food Safety and Drug Administration (FSDA) department destroyed more than 250 kg of meat, 207 kg of vegetables, 32 litres of milk, and three kg of bakery products from six of the top five-star hotels in Bengaluru", "quote_doc_id": "t_aac6b67663a1371c8a21", "settling_ids": ["t_aac6b67663a1371c8a21", "t_1bc912e4258b52dd142a"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Karnataka Food Safety and Drug Administration", "Bengaluru", "Lalit Ashok", "Shangri La", "Four Seasons", "Vivanta Whitefield", "Taj Yeshwantpur", "Radisson Blu"]}
{"id": "e_aac6b67663a1_q1", "domain": "Health", "question": "What quantity of meat will be destroyed by the Karnataka Food Safety and Drug Administration in Bengaluru by 2026-08-11?", "options": ["exactly 300 kg", "exactly 200 kg", "more than 250 kg", "less than 100 kg"], "answer": "more than 250 kg", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": "kg", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 18, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_aac6b67663a1", "event_date": "2026-08-08", "supporting_event": "The Karnataka Food Safety and Drug Administration destroyed more than 250 kg of meat, 207 kg of vegetables, 32 litres of milk, and three kg of bakery products from six of the top five-star hotels in Bengaluru.", "storyline_id": "s_hea_3356ae79", "storyline": "Bengaluru food safety inspections", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_a0ab6c1cbbfbaac1714f", "t_9bf03670b6cd1813b84c", "t_5e2d5b62af0e501c151d", "t_38f2ecb49f90506a36cf", "t_4f6cf965f328cb00aab5"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "more than 250 kg", "tolerance": null, "quote": "The Karnataka Food Safety and Drug Administration (FSDA) department destroyed more than 250 kg of meat", "quote_doc_id": "t_aac6b67663a1371c8a21", "settling_ids": ["t_aac6b67663a1371c8a21", "t_1bc912e4258b52dd142a"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Karnataka Food Safety and Drug Administration", "Bengaluru", "Lalit Ashok", "Shangri La", "Four Seasons", "Vivanta Whitefield", "Taj Yeshwantpur", "Radisson Blu"]}
{"id": "e_ab93bba09c1e_q0", "domain": "Health", "question": "How many confirmed cases of Ebola will there be in the Democratic Republic of Congo by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "3802", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "cases", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 14, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_ab93bba09c1e", "event_date": "2026-08-04", "supporting_event": "The World Health Organization called for more support to combat the Ebola outbreak in the Democratic Republic of Congo.", "storyline_id": "s_hea_14b8fd07", "storyline": "2026 DRC Ebola outbreak", "linked_domains": ["Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["d_4ff5e6e20d879735f6bf", "t_8eb0fa4f891fbcf84c78", "t_9d6d887f367e3f5d8930", "d_e7432b431c8f728f0ae7", "t_8c5f2d82abb598afce27"], "precursor_modalities": ["D", "T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "3802", "tolerance": 0.05, "quote": "There have been 3,802 confirmed cases of Ebola in the DRC", "quote_doc_id": "t_ab93bba09c1e2d738290", "settling_ids": ["t_ab93bba09c1e2d738290", "t_a194db50917833ae9433", "t_9f76b4e7a1445e21f8cf", "t_1593b14c1204709019d7"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["World Health Organization", "Democratic Republic of Congo"]}
{"id": "e_b631ffc620be_q1", "domain": "Health", "question": "Who will withdraw its indefinite statewide agitation in response to the Bombay High Court's directions by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "Maharashtra Association of Resident Doctors (MARD)", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 16, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_b631ffc620be", "event_date": "2026-08-06", "supporting_event": "Maharashtra Association of Resident Doctors (MARD) withdrew its indefinite statewide agitation on August 6, 2026.", "storyline_id": "s_hea_b631ffc6", "storyline": "Maharashtra healthcare protests 2026", "linked_domains": ["Law"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_589df357c3b5f62c715a", "t_ad92d73c097b342f2ee8"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "Maharashtra Association of Resident Doctors (MARD)", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Maharashtra Association of Resident Doctors (MARD) withdrew its indefinite statewide agitation", "quote_doc_id": "t_b631ffc620beb835348f", "settling_ids": ["t_b631ffc620beb835348f", "t_814b2e49731bc6cbc035", "t_5a05295bea5553605bf7", "t_b3c875100bd75baaae88"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Maharashtra Association of Resident Doctors (MARD)", "Bombay High Court"]}
{"id": "e_bb95da3e757f_q0", "domain": "Health", "question": "Will the intercepted boat raise concerns about the Ebola outbreak spreading to Kinshasa by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 16, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_bb95da3e757f", "event_date": "2026-08-06", "supporting_event": "Congolese health authorities intercepted a boat carrying 200 people to Kinshasa.", "storyline_id": "s_hea_14b8fd07", "storyline": "2026 DRC Ebola outbreak", "linked_domains": ["Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_a5c8248d85fdfdcab8a7", "t_99ed90f4b77da6de69b7", "t_f3620116771d21497bb5", "t_f4c72a973105bba177c8", "t_f85328c83b7ce0ba9033", "t_22b2b957b0f81b084e14"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "raising concerns about possible spread of the Ebola outbreak to the capital city of more than 17 million.", "quote_doc_id": "t_bb95da3e757f267d7a7e", "settling_ids": ["t_bb95da3e757f267d7a7e", "t_9f23f7b22b3ca22bb13e"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Congolese health authorities", "Kinshasa", "Kisangani", "Maluku", "Mongala province"]}
{"id": "e_bb95da3e757f_q0_neg", "domain": "Health", "question": "Will the intercepted boat raise concerns about the Ebola outbreak spreading to Kinshasa by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "No", "answer_type": "perturbed_binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 16, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_bb95da3e757f", "event_date": "2026-08-06", "supporting_event": "Congolese health authorities intercepted a boat carrying 200 people to Kinshasa.", "storyline_id": "s_hea_14b8fd07", "storyline": "2026 DRC Ebola outbreak", "linked_domains": ["Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_a5c8248d85fdfdcab8a7", "t_99ed90f4b77da6de69b7", "t_f3620116771d21497bb5", "t_f4c72a973105bba177c8", "t_f85328c83b7ce0ba9033", "t_22b2b957b0f81b084e14"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "perturbed_binary", "value": "No", "tolerance": null, "quote": "raising concerns about possible spread of the Ebola outbreak to the capital city of more than 17 million.", "quote_doc_id": "t_bb95da3e757f267d7a7e", "settling_ids": ["t_bb95da3e757f267d7a7e", "t_9f23f7b22b3ca22bb13e"], "derivation": "the event dated 2026-08-06 is after the shifted deadline 2026-08-04, so the claim is false at that deadline"}, "perturbation": {"field": "deadline", "original": "2026-08-11", "substituted": "2026-08-04", "v40_substituted": "2026-07-29"}, "paired_with": "e_bb95da3e757f_q0", "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Congolese health authorities", "Kinshasa", "Kisangani", "Maluku", "Mongala province"]}
{"id": "e_c374adca5d40_q0", "domain": "Health", "question": "How many food establishments will have their licences suspended by the FDA, Pune Division, by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "21", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 7, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_c374adca5d40", "event_date": "2026-07-28", "supporting_event": "The Food and Drug Administration (FDA), Pune Division, suspended the licences of 21 food establishments for alleged violations of food safety rules.", "storyline_id": "s_hea_c374adca", "storyline": "Safe Food, Safe Drug, Safe Maharashtra campaign", "linked_domains": ["Business"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_96135f16fcd6448d78b7", "t_9bf03670b6cd1813b84c", "t_5e2d5b62af0e501c151d", "t_38f2ecb49f90506a36cf", "t_9db15e3967e9ed467507", "t_4f6cf965f328cb00aab5"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "21", "tolerance": null, "quote": "suspended the licences of 21 food establishments", "quote_doc_id": "t_c374adca5d40cc48143f", "settling_ids": ["t_c374adca5d40cc48143f", "t_bd7156abf2d294e67538"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Food and Drug Administration (FDA)", "Pune Division", "Blinkit Commerce Private Limited", "Hotel Laxman", "Punjabi Chef", "Madina Family Restaurant", "Hina Bakery", "Madhav Biryani", "Indian Bakery", "Pune", "Satara", "Kolhapur"]}
{"id": "e_c7ebd80c06c6_q0", "domain": "Health", "question": "Who will be responsible for screening passengers on the river boat intercepted near Kinshasa by 2026-08-11?", "options": ["Africa CDC", "World Health Organization", "Congolese health authorities", "Local community leaders"], "answer": "Congolese health authorities", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 16, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_c7ebd80c06c6", "event_date": "2026-08-06", "supporting_event": "Congolese health authorities were screening more than 300 people travelling on a river boat.", "storyline_id": "s_hea_14b8fd07", "storyline": "2026 DRC Ebola outbreak", "linked_domains": ["Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_a5c8248d85fdfdcab8a7", "a_01380f1aa8968a9ffb19", "t_f3620116771d21497bb5", "t_f85328c83b7ce0ba9033"], "precursor_modalities": ["A", "T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "Congolese health authorities", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Congolese health authorities were screening more than 300 people travelling on a river boat intercepted near Kinshasa", "quote_doc_id": "t_343f1ab6b4e33c1882b1", "settling_ids": ["t_c7ebd80c06c6a5a68269", "t_343f1ab6b4e33c1882b1"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Congolese health authorities", "Kinshasa"]}
{"id": "e_cdc1a79d6169_q1", "domain": "Health", "question": "Which of the following statements will be true about Evommune, Inc. by 2026-08-04?", "options": ["Evommune will have announced a partnership with another biotech company.", "Evommune will have discontinued the development of EVO756.", "Evommune will have completed a Phase 3 clinical trial of EVO756 in Migraine Prophylaxis.", "Evommune will have initiated a Phase 2b clinical trial of EVO756 in Migraine Prophylaxis."], "answer": "Evommune will have initiated a Phase 2b clinical trial of EVO756 in Migraine Prophylaxis.", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 9, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_cdc1a79d6169", "event_date": "2026-07-30", "supporting_event": "Evommune, Inc. initiated a Phase 2b clinical trial of MRGPRX2 Inhibitor EVO756 in Migraine Prophylaxis.", "storyline_id": "s_hea_cdc1a79d", "storyline": "EVO756 clinical trial", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["d_5cbcdef46af0aca7d1ba", "t_0f2d1e4f0da720733685"], "precursor_modalities": ["D", "T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "Evommune will have initiated a Phase 2b clinical trial of EVO756 in Migraine Prophylaxis.", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Evommune, Inc. ... today announced the first patient was dosed in its Phase 2b clinical trial evaluating a potent, highly selective oral small molecule antagonist of MRGPRX2, EVO756, for the prophylactic treatment of migraine.", "quote_doc_id": "t_68a8d23d54b2b99e3a47", "settling_ids": ["t_68a8d23d54b2b99e3a47", "t_d59c679c26c82a5b2ee0", "t_e1c6a6fc9ae3353b8798", "t_1e10e2dcaf992999b690", "d_cdc1a79d6169c680ec65", "d_84f0140b52b89c258f0f"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Evommune, Inc.", "EVO756", "MRGPRX2"]}
{"id": "e_cdc1a79d6169_q2", "domain": "Health", "question": "How many patients will be randomized in the Phase 2b clinical trial of EVO756 in Migraine Prophylaxis by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "330", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 9, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_cdc1a79d6169", "event_date": "2026-07-30", "supporting_event": "Evommune, Inc. initiated a Phase 2b clinical trial of MRGPRX2 Inhibitor EVO756 in Migraine Prophylaxis.", "storyline_id": "s_hea_cdc1a79d", "storyline": "EVO756 clinical trial", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["d_5cbcdef46af0aca7d1ba", "t_0f2d1e4f0da720733685"], "precursor_modalities": ["D", "T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "330", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Approximately 330 patients will be randomized across two active dose arms and placebo for 12 weeks of treatment.", "quote_doc_id": "d_cdc1a79d6169c680ec65", "settling_ids": ["t_68a8d23d54b2b99e3a47", "t_d59c679c26c82a5b2ee0", "t_e1c6a6fc9ae3353b8798", "t_1e10e2dcaf992999b690", "d_cdc1a79d6169c680ec65", "d_84f0140b52b89c258f0f"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Evommune, Inc.", "EVO756", "MRGPRX2"]}
{"id": "e_d98e7087e32f_q0", "domain": "Health", "question": "By 2026-07-28, how many patients have been supported by the Mobile Inpatient Care @ Home (MIC@Home) programme across Khoo Teck Puat Hospital, Tan Tock Seng Hospital, and Woodlands Hospital?", "options": null, "answer": "152", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 1, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_d98e7087e32f", "event_date": "2026-07-22", "supporting_event": "Jiang Tong Kai is receiving hospital-level care at home after being admitted to Khoo Teck Puat Hospital.", "storyline_id": "s_hea_d98e7087", "storyline": "expansion of hospital-level care at home", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_2111d6f9174a4a297c5c", "t_58e4da9783b21496c51d"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "152", "tolerance": 0, "quote": "The programme has supported about 152 patients across Khoo Teck Puat Hospital, Tan Tock Seng Hospital and Woodlands Hospital.", "quote_doc_id": "t_991e6bbbfc37d2166542", "settling_ids": ["t_d98e7087e32f844ddd3e", "t_991e6bbbfc37d2166542"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Jiang Tong Kai", "Khoo Teck Puat Hospital", "NHG Health", "Thye Hua Kwan Moral Charities"]}
{"id": "e_dab905ae48d9_i0", "domain": "Health", "question": "Will the food hygiene certification remain suspended by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 10, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_dab905ae48d9", "event_date": "2026-07-31", "supporting_event": "Maharashtra Food and Drug Administration seized 28.66 lakh kg of unsafe food products valued at Rs 55.72 crore.", "storyline_id": "s_hea_dab905ae", "storyline": "Maharashtra FDA food safety crackdown", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Law"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_a0ab6c1cbbfbaac1714f", "t_a2f93dcddf9f0158c4ec", "t_5e2d5b62af0e501c151d", "t_38f2ecb49f90506a36cf", "t_9db15e3967e9ed467507", "t_4f6cf965f328cb00aab5"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_89a7fd08e018fe15852a_0", "settling_ids": ["t_89a7fd08e018fe15852a", "t_330b2a76bd38132754cc", "t_dab905ae48d9801131c2", "t_692e557f63f9e84dd026", "t_96d6f6d7385c1eae6d5e"], "visible_detail": "the stamp reading 'SUSPENDED' on the food hygiene certificate"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Maharashtra Food and Drug Administration", "Tukaram Mundhe"]}
{"id": "e_dab905ae48d9_i0_neg", "domain": "Health", "question": "Will the food hygiene certification remain suspended by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "No", "answer_type": "perturbed_binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 10, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_dab905ae48d9", "event_date": "2026-07-31", "supporting_event": "Maharashtra Food and Drug Administration seized 28.66 lakh kg of unsafe food products valued at Rs 55.72 crore.", "storyline_id": "s_hea_dab905ae", "storyline": "Maharashtra FDA food safety crackdown", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Law"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_a0ab6c1cbbfbaac1714f", "t_a2f93dcddf9f0158c4ec", "t_5e2d5b62af0e501c151d", "t_38f2ecb49f90506a36cf", "t_9db15e3967e9ed467507", "t_4f6cf965f328cb00aab5"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "perturbed_binary", "value": "No", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_89a7fd08e018fe15852a_0", "settling_ids": ["t_89a7fd08e018fe15852a", "t_330b2a76bd38132754cc", "t_dab905ae48d9801131c2", "t_692e557f63f9e84dd026", "t_96d6f6d7385c1eae6d5e"], "derivation": "the event dated 2026-07-31 is after the shifted deadline 2026-07-28, so the claim is false at that deadline", "visible_detail": "the stamp reading 'SUSPENDED' on the food hygiene certificate"}, "perturbation": {"field": "deadline", "original": "2026-08-04", "substituted": "2026-07-28", "v40_substituted": "2026-07-26"}, "paired_with": "e_dab905ae48d9_i0", "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Maharashtra Food and Drug Administration", "Tukaram Mundhe"]}
{"id": "e_df552b478592_q0", "domain": "Health", "question": "How many provinces in Afghanistan will report critical levels of child malnutrition by 2026-08-04?", "options": ["20", "5", "12", "8"], "answer": "12", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 14, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_df552b478592", "event_date": "2026-08-04", "supporting_event": "Child malnutrition has reached critical levels in a third of Afghanistan's provinces.", "storyline_id": "s_hea_df552b47", "storyline": "Afghanistan humanitarian crisis 2026", "linked_domains": ["Geopolitics", "Sports"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_8ff0978a1af236ed4f66", "t_894706ca10c35f1b80e9"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "12", "tolerance": null, "quote": "12 provinces have reached critical levels of acute child malnutrition, the highest number recorded in the country.", "quote_doc_id": "t_5177b755f9d33a2bbe12", "settling_ids": ["t_df552b478592f48329ad", "t_f480a7a5f46359634fe1", "t_5177b755f9d33a2bbe12", "t_b6233257d9565c967598"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["UN World Food Program", "Afghanistan"]}
{"id": "e_e8ef9a39ca97_q0", "domain": "Health", "question": "How many patients will TScan Therapeutics enroll in the Phase 3 ALLOHA-2 trial by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "310", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "patients", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 8, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_e8ef9a39ca97", "event_date": "2026-07-29", "supporting_event": "TScan Therapeutics has infused the first patient with TSC-101 in the pivotal Phase 3 ALLOHA-2 trial.", "storyline_id": "s_hea_e8ef9a39", "storyline": "TScan Therapeutics clinical trials", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["d_e4c762a08e878fc93b0c", "t_35a69935c15d863f66b0"], "precursor_modalities": ["D", "T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "310", "tolerance": null, "quote": "The Phase 3 ALLOHA-2 trial is designed to enroll 310 subjects.", "quote_doc_id": "t_ae209be4e77fc6ec73ae", "settling_ids": ["t_e8ef9a39ca9792e956e5", "t_70ca1215c15d36bfbf7a", "t_ae209be4e77fc6ec73ae"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["TScan Therapeutics", "TSC-101", "Phase 3 ALLOHA-2 trial"]}
{"id": "e_e8ef9a39ca97_q1", "domain": "Health", "question": "Who will be the first patient infused with TSC-101 in the Phase 3 ALLOHA-2 trial by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "the first patient", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 8, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_e8ef9a39ca97", "event_date": "2026-07-29", "supporting_event": "TScan Therapeutics has infused the first patient with TSC-101 in the pivotal Phase 3 ALLOHA-2 trial.", "storyline_id": "s_hea_e8ef9a39", "storyline": "TScan Therapeutics clinical trials", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["d_e4c762a08e878fc93b0c", "t_35a69935c15d863f66b0"], "precursor_modalities": ["D", "T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "the first patient", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the first patient has been infused with TSC-101 in the pivotal Phase 3 ALLOHA-2™ trial", "quote_doc_id": "t_e8ef9a39ca9792e956e5", "settling_ids": ["t_e8ef9a39ca9792e956e5", "t_70ca1215c15d36bfbf7a", "t_ae209be4e77fc6ec73ae"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["TScan Therapeutics", "TSC-101", "Phase 3 ALLOHA-2 trial"]}
{"id": "e_eb0f8d386b56_q0", "domain": "Health", "question": "Who will lead the consortium that Apertura Gene Therapy is participating in, selected to receive funding from the ARPA-H THRIVE program, by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "the Broad Institute's Center for Therapeutic Genetics", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 2, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_eb0f8d386b56", "event_date": "2026-07-23", "supporting_event": "Apertura Gene Therapy announced participation in a consortium selected to receive funding from the ARPA-H THRIVE program.", "storyline_id": "s_hea_eb0f8d38", "storyline": "ARPA-H THRIVE program for gene therapies", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_c0c64f706f95e0a325e2", "t_458389ed7a315ed2c23c", "t_a0b485e65b50f6670ef2"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "the Broad Institute's Center for Therapeutic Genetics", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the consortium, led by the Broad Institute of MIT and Harvard's Center for Therapeutic Genetics", "quote_doc_id": "t_eb0f8d386b5653f59ef7", "settling_ids": ["t_eb0f8d386b5653f59ef7", "t_13894bb62c5d2b99a65a"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Apertura Gene Therapy", "Advanced Research Projects Agency for Health", "ARPA-H", "Broad Institute of MIT and Harvard", "Center for Therapeutic Genetics"]}
{"id": "e_f2ef4927d897_q0", "domain": "Health", "question": "How many posters will Plus Therapeutics present at the 2026 SNO/ASCO CNS Metastases Conference by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "2", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 7, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_f2ef4927d897", "event_date": "2026-07-28", "supporting_event": "Plus Therapeutics, Inc. announced two posters highlighting its ReSPECT-LM clinical development program and CNSide® cerebrospinal fluid diagnostic platform.", "storyline_id": "s_hea_f2ef4927", "storyline": "2026 SNO/ASCO CNS Metastases Conference", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_45a0176d3d6fb374c61e", "t_6a884a6936dad513956c", "t_8dc4b7d058ea422d2037", "t_a80eb8c3f7c36673ad2a"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "2", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Plus Therapeutics, Inc. announced two posters highlighting its ReSPECT-LM clinical development program and CNSide® cerebrospinal fluid diagnostic platform.", "quote_doc_id": "t_f2ef4927d897f2b8fa6e", "settling_ids": ["t_f2ef4927d897f2b8fa6e", "t_d3480d342bfc33ab2851"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Plus Therapeutics, Inc.", "ReSPECT-LM", "CNSide", "Society for Neuro-Oncology", "American Society of Clinical Oncology"]}
{"id": "e_f6cebb817bbb_q0", "domain": "Health", "question": "Will Lexeo Therapeutics receive any regulatory designations for LX2020 by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 15, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_f6cebb817bbb", "event_date": "2026-08-05", "supporting_event": "Lexeo Therapeutics, Inc. received Regenerative Medicine Advanced Therapy (RMAT) designation for LX2020.", "storyline_id": "s_hea_f6cebb81", "storyline": "HEROIC-PKP2 Phase I/II clinical trial", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["d_55527e6ac973338e281e", "t_bcd20106efb009858939", "t_8e260fd0bd500264dd83", "t_c0b278c44d7cb7c82855"], "precursor_modalities": ["D", "T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Lexeo Therapeutics, Inc. (Nasdaq: LXEO) ... announced that the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) has granted Regenerative Medicine Advanced Therapy (RMAT) designation to LX2020", "quote_doc_id": "t_f6cebb817bbbce16e7dd", "settling_ids": ["t_f6cebb817bbbce16e7dd", "t_096ef845162688949b1f"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Lexeo Therapeutics, Inc.", "FDA", "LX2020"]}
{"id": "e_f6cebb817bbb_q0_neg", "domain": "Health", "question": "Will Lexeo Therapeutics receive any regulatory designations for LX2020 by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "No", "answer_type": "perturbed_binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 15, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_f6cebb817bbb", "event_date": "2026-08-05", "supporting_event": "Lexeo Therapeutics, Inc. received Regenerative Medicine Advanced Therapy (RMAT) designation for LX2020.", "storyline_id": "s_hea_f6cebb81", "storyline": "HEROIC-PKP2 Phase I/II clinical trial", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["d_55527e6ac973338e281e", "t_bcd20106efb009858939", "t_8e260fd0bd500264dd83", "t_c0b278c44d7cb7c82855"], "precursor_modalities": ["D", "T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "perturbed_binary", "value": "No", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Lexeo Therapeutics, Inc. (Nasdaq: LXEO) ... announced that the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) has granted Regenerative Medicine Advanced Therapy (RMAT) designation to LX2020", "quote_doc_id": "t_f6cebb817bbbce16e7dd", "settling_ids": ["t_f6cebb817bbbce16e7dd", "t_096ef845162688949b1f"], "derivation": "the event dated 2026-08-05 is after the shifted deadline 2026-08-04, so the claim is false at that deadline"}, "perturbation": {"field": "deadline", "original": "2026-08-11", "substituted": "2026-08-04", "v40_substituted": "2026-07-28"}, "paired_with": "e_f6cebb817bbb_q0", "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Lexeo Therapeutics, Inc.", "FDA", "LX2020"]}
{"id": "e_f73d3adef844_q0", "domain": "Health", "question": "By 2026-07-28, how many states will the US FDA and the CDC have identified cases linked to the cyclosporiasis outbreak associated with shredded iceberg lettuce from central Mexico?", "options": ["9", "5", "7", "11"], "answer": "9", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 3, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_f73d3adef844", "event_date": "2026-07-24", "supporting_event": "The US FDA and the CDC are widening their investigation into a cyclosporiasis outbreak linked to shredded iceberg lettuce from central Mexico.", "storyline_id": "s_hea_f73d3ade", "storyline": "cyclosporiasis outbreak investigation", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_f3c12b70fab1b461744e", "a_06b8c0fb92e447abff81", "t_4e8c4928805761b6c477", "t_f68caa90440e92f556fb", "t_90708d0c2378cc720ac7"], "precursor_modalities": ["A", "T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "9", "tolerance": null, "quote": "This outbreak now includes cases from nine states: Illinois, Indiana, Kansas, Kentucky, Michigan, Ohio, Oklahoma, Pennsylvania and West Virginia, the FDA said on July 24.", "quote_doc_id": "t_f73d3adef84496a06b11", "settling_ids": ["t_f73d3adef84496a06b11", "t_59ad76ed179c8932f121"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["US FDA", "CDC", "shredded iceberg lettuce", "central Mexico"]}
{"id": "e_f855ad6cfb5b_q0", "domain": "Health", "question": "By 2026-07-28, in which county will mosquitoes have tested positive for West Nile virus?", "options": ["Cobb County", "Fulton County", "Gwinnett County", "DeKalb County"], "answer": "DeKalb County", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 1, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_f855ad6cfb5b", "event_date": "2026-07-22", "supporting_event": "Mosquitoes in DeKalb County tested positive for West Nile virus.", "storyline_id": "s_hea_f855ad6c", "storyline": "West Nile virus detection in mosquitoes", "linked_domains": ["Environment"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_f91ebb2af3ed8fb8b253", "t_07c590aaf704ec15c498", "t_69492dc2c98e947e3b38", "t_a206431c964b87c3c616"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "DeKalb County", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Mosquitoes found in two traps in DeKalb County have tested positive for the West Nile virus, officials say.", "quote_doc_id": "t_f855ad6cfb5b5efbde46", "settling_ids": ["t_f855ad6cfb5b5efbde46", "t_2e5c857327590db11cdd", "t_ca3cc556403e3b84ea5d"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["DeKalb County", "West Nile virus"]}
{"id": "e_f855ad6cfb5b_q1", "domain": "Health", "question": "By 2026-07-28, how many ZIP codes in DeKalb County will have reported positive tests for West Nile virus?", "options": null, "answer": "2", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 1, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_f855ad6cfb5b", "event_date": "2026-07-22", "supporting_event": "Mosquitoes in DeKalb County tested positive for West Nile virus.", "storyline_id": "s_hea_f855ad6c", "storyline": "West Nile virus detection in mosquitoes", "linked_domains": ["Environment"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_f91ebb2af3ed8fb8b253", "t_07c590aaf704ec15c498", "t_69492dc2c98e947e3b38", "t_a206431c964b87c3c616"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "2", "tolerance": null, "quote": "The positive traps were found in two different ZIP codes: 30088 in unincorporated DeKalb and Redan, and 30360 in Doraville.", "quote_doc_id": "t_f855ad6cfb5b5efbde46", "settling_ids": ["t_f855ad6cfb5b5efbde46", "t_2e5c857327590db11cdd", "t_ca3cc556403e3b84ea5d"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["DeKalb County", "West Nile virus"]}
{"id": "e_fa2df4196ccc_q0", "domain": "Health", "question": "Which of the following is the quantity of teachers that will be trained in the Punjab government's new programme by 2026-08-04?", "options": ["21,850 teachers", "25,000 teachers", "15,000 teachers", "10,000 teachers"], "answer": "21,850 teachers", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": "teachers", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 13, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_fa2df4196ccc", "event_date": "2026-08-03", "supporting_event": "The Punjab government launched a teacher training programme to train 21,850 teachers on student mental health and drug abuse prevention.", "storyline_id": "s_hea_fa2df419", "storyline": "Punjab teacher training programme", "linked_domains": ["Law", "Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_5322448581d58a471ea7", "t_47151e6ae416372418d0"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "21,850 teachers", "tolerance": null, "quote": "More than 21,850 teachers are expected to undergo the training under the state’s ‘Yudh Nashean Virudh’ anti-drug campaign.", "quote_doc_id": "t_fa2df4196ccc6682f0ce", "settling_ids": ["t_fa2df4196ccc6682f0ce", "t_83d5a8ea31669688c9ed"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Punjab government", "Yudh Nashian Virudh"]}
{"id": "e_fa2df4196ccc_q1", "domain": "Health", "question": "How many districts will the Punjab government cover in its teacher training programme by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "12", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "districts", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 13, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_fa2df4196ccc", "event_date": "2026-08-03", "supporting_event": "The Punjab government launched a teacher training programme to train 21,850 teachers on student mental health and drug abuse prevention.", "storyline_id": "s_hea_fa2df419", "storyline": "Punjab teacher training programme", "linked_domains": ["Law", "Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_5322448581d58a471ea7", "t_47151e6ae416372418d0"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "12", "tolerance": 0.05, "quote": "An awareness and capacity-building programme was organised for schoolteachers across 12 districts under the state government’s anti-drug campaign.", "quote_doc_id": "t_83d5a8ea31669688c9ed", "settling_ids": ["t_fa2df4196ccc6682f0ce", "t_83d5a8ea31669688c9ed"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Punjab government", "Yudh Nashian Virudh"]}
{"id": "e_fb0b504ba1ca_q1", "domain": "Health", "question": "How much will funding to tackle acute malnutrition in Somalia drop by, as reported by Médecins Sans Frontières by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "80", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "%", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 21, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_fb0b504ba1ca", "event_date": "2026-08-11", "supporting_event": "Médecins Sans Frontières reported a funding drop of more than 80% to tackle acute malnutrition in Somalia.", "storyline_id": "s_hea_fb0b504b", "storyline": "Somalia malnutrition response", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_894706ca10c35f1b80e9", "t_e658276705c1c0ff0ea7"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "80", "tolerance": 0.05, "quote": "Funding to tackle acute malnutrition in parts of Somalia has dropped by more than 80% this year", "quote_doc_id": "t_fb0b504ba1caa368c73b", "settling_ids": ["t_fb0b504ba1caa368c73b", "t_0917fa48935900060801", "a_6a603087e8a43df98775"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Médecins Sans Frontières", "Somalia"]}
{"id": "e_fb6edec7e6da_q0", "domain": "Health", "question": "Will Cadrenal Therapeutics announce a consolidation of its multi-indication strategy for CAD-1005 by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 13, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_fb6edec7e6da", "event_date": "2026-08-03", "supporting_event": "Cadrenal Therapeutics, Inc. announced a consolidation of its multi-indication strategy for CAD-1005 for both HIT and CSA-AKI.", "storyline_id": "s_hea_fb6edec7", "storyline": "Cadrenal Therapeutics multi-indication strategy for CAD-1005", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_c990cab84a0582767126", "t_79378f24fe36f3e06a85", "d_c736646797a8b0eaa89f"], "precursor_modalities": ["D", "T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Cadrenal Therapeutics, Inc. announced a consolidation of its multi-indication strategy for its Cardiac Acute Critical Care (CACC) Franchise, with a focus on CAD-1005 for both HIT and CSA-AKI.", "quote_doc_id": "t_fb6edec7e6daadab441e", "settling_ids": ["t_fb6edec7e6daadab441e", "t_d3a8ab41d38d168ba34f"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Cadrenal Therapeutics, Inc.", "CAD-1005", "HIT", "CSA-AKI"]}
{"id": "e_fb6edec7e6da_q0_neg", "domain": "Health", "question": "Will Cadrenal Therapeutics announce a consolidation of its multi-indication strategy for CAD-1005 by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "No", "answer_type": "perturbed_binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 13, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_fb6edec7e6da", "event_date": "2026-08-03", "supporting_event": "Cadrenal Therapeutics, Inc. announced a consolidation of its multi-indication strategy for CAD-1005 for both HIT and CSA-AKI.", "storyline_id": "s_hea_fb6edec7", "storyline": "Cadrenal Therapeutics multi-indication strategy for CAD-1005", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_c990cab84a0582767126", "t_79378f24fe36f3e06a85", "d_c736646797a8b0eaa89f"], "precursor_modalities": ["D", "T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "perturbed_binary", "value": "No", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Cadrenal Therapeutics, Inc. announced a consolidation of its multi-indication strategy for its Cardiac Acute Critical Care (CACC) Franchise, with a focus on CAD-1005 for both HIT and CSA-AKI.", "quote_doc_id": "t_fb6edec7e6daadab441e", "settling_ids": ["t_fb6edec7e6daadab441e", "t_d3a8ab41d38d168ba34f"], "derivation": "the event dated 2026-08-03 is after the shifted deadline 2026-07-28, so the claim is false at that deadline"}, "perturbation": {"field": "deadline", "original": "2026-08-04", "substituted": "2026-07-28", "v40_substituted": "2026-07-27"}, "paired_with": "e_fb6edec7e6da_q0", "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Cadrenal Therapeutics, Inc.", "CAD-1005", "HIT", "CSA-AKI"]}
{"id": "e_fcbb359603fb_q0", "domain": "Health", "question": "What will be the reported composite complete remission (CRc) rate in the interim data from the MIRACLE trial by 2026-08-04?", "options": ["13%", "37%", "48%", "24%"], "answer": "37%", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": "%", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 10, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_fcbb359603fb", "event_date": "2026-07-31", "supporting_event": "Moleculin Biotech, Inc. announced positive interim data showing a 37% Blinded CRc in Venetoclax-Failed Patients.", "storyline_id": "s_hea_fcbb3596", "storyline": "MIRACLE R/R AML Trial", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_a04ae8bf7666e8a646de", "t_89f150b263c3f8d75ee7"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "37%", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the preliminary blinded complete remission (CR) rate is 24% and the composite complete remission (CRc) rate is 37%.", "quote_doc_id": "t_f3e8ccd7718c31080efe", "settling_ids": ["t_f3e8ccd7718c31080efe", "t_5bc397d8f1349e9dc621", "t_eb2e7b2c18b47ed2e88e", "t_0ff73fd4a2a6cace919c", "d_fcbb359603fb2051ef2d"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Moleculin Biotech, Inc.", "Annamycin", "cytarabine"]}
{"id": "e_fd4400c8f910_q1", "domain": "Health", "question": "Who will announce an indefinite statewide strike in Maharashtra by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "Maharashtra Association of Resident Doctors (MARD)", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 15, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_fd4400c8f910", "event_date": "2026-08-05", "supporting_event": "The Maharashtra Association of Resident Doctors (MARD) announced an indefinite statewide strike starting midnight on August 5 over the government's proposal to grant Maharashtra Medical Council (MMC) registration to homoeopathy practitioners.", "storyline_id": "s_hea_fd4400c8", "storyline": "Maharashtra medical protest against homoeopathy registration", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_4109d984bf2bef5577ed", "t_589df357c3b5f62c715a", "t_ad92d73c097b342f2ee8"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "Maharashtra Association of Resident Doctors (MARD)", "tolerance": null, "quote": "The Maharashtra Association of Resident Doctors (MARD) on Tuesday announced an indefinite statewide strike starting midnight of August 5 over the government's proposal to grant Maharashtra Medical Council (MMC) registration to homoeopathy practitioners.", "quote_doc_id": "t_deb63c35a7900bd2ba7e", "settling_ids": ["t_fd4400c8f910b197c571", "t_deb63c35a7900bd2ba7e", "t_b83f81f73d2f7757af40", "t_10233a429655d45be07c"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Maharashtra Association of Resident Doctors (MARD)", "Maharashtra Medical Council (MMC)"]}
{"id": "e_ff09e49bbcb7_d0", "domain": "Health", "question": "What is the total number of participants enrolled in the Method Comparison Study by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "135", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "D", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 13, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_ff09e49bbcb7", "event_date": "2026-08-03", "supporting_event": "Intelligent Bio Solutions Inc. completed an Interference Study for the Intelligent Fingerprinting Drug Screening System.", "storyline_id": "s_hea_a9be25cd", "storyline": "FDA 510(k) submission for U.S. market clearance", "linked_domains": ["Technology"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["d_318d670d2e22f50f0c19", "t_c812c2364f992b3e06d8"], "precursor_modalities": ["D", "T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "135", "tolerance": null, "quote": "A total of 135 participants were enrolled", "quote_doc_id": "d_a9be25cd622a46a84007", "settling_ids": ["d_a9be25cd622a46a84007", "d_ff09e49bbcb778420340", "t_a387b82284ea15b9fc52", "t_5543efe99fe99e781b3b", "t_a2f5dff50126429c6051", "t_4e98d00f2576ead2225d"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Intelligent Bio Solutions Inc.", "CenExel Clinical Research, Inc.", "Intelligent Fingerprinting Drug Screening System"]}
{"id": "e_0046572dab05_q0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "Who will hold a crisis meeting with top FIFA officials by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "Gianni Infantino", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 15, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_0046572dab05", "event_date": "2026-08-05", "supporting_event": "Gianni Infantino will hold a crisis meeting with top FIFA officials in Morocco.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_0046572d", "storyline": "2026 FIFA World Cup", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Environment", "Geopolitics", "Law", "Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_964d7625260676bd9a54", "t_14bf7797b763faa2476a", "t_f70a06ee025eb0055342", "t_c6c12a86fbee622792aa", "d_b918700424962d83d287", "t_4359017f28ddc9eeac1d"], "precursor_modalities": ["D", "T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "Gianni Infantino", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Gianni Infantino will hold a crisis meeting with top FIFA officials in Morocco on Wednesday as he looks to shore up his position in the wake of the collapse of his gambit to sell off commercial rights to the World Cup.", "quote_doc_id": "t_0046572dab053db009fe", "settling_ids": ["t_0046572dab053db009fe", "t_4cdc42a1f314789a0673"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Gianni Infantino", "FIFA"]}
{"id": "e_00bed4434bc1_q0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "Who will hit a two-run home run for the Miami Marlins by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "Heriberto Hernandez", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 8, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_00bed4434bc1", "event_date": "2026-07-29", "supporting_event": "Heriberto Hernandez hit a two-run home run in the game against the Phillies.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_00bed443", "storyline": "2026 MLB season", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_9e697632ad66936bd68b", "t_21ebb4f4d9e8abf1bf01", "t_74ab755020ec3773bbc6", "t_d05acdc1add2ab896117", "t_fb32e5966b624f0e047e", "t_0883290efcf39928120e"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "Heriberto Hernandez", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Hernandez went 1-for-4 with a two-run home run in Wednesday's 8-6 win over the Phillies.", "quote_doc_id": "t_00bed4434bc1f40b1dd0", "settling_ids": ["t_00bed4434bc1f40b1dd0", "t_e0567b729ba3fb926b8c"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Heriberto Hernandez", "Miami Marlins", "Philadelphia Phillies"]}
{"id": "e_00bed4434bc1_q1", "domain": "Sports", "question": "How many home runs will Heriberto Hernandez hit by 2026-08-04?", "options": ["14", "17", "15", "16"], "answer": "16", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 8, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_00bed4434bc1", "event_date": "2026-07-29", "supporting_event": "Heriberto Hernandez hit a two-run home run in the game against the Phillies.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_00bed443", "storyline": "2026 MLB season", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_9e697632ad66936bd68b", "t_21ebb4f4d9e8abf1bf01", "t_74ab755020ec3773bbc6", "t_d05acdc1add2ab896117", "t_fb32e5966b624f0e047e", "t_0883290efcf39928120e"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "16", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Through 79 games this season, Hernandez is slashing .241/.308/.486 with 16 home runs.", "quote_doc_id": "t_00bed4434bc1f40b1dd0", "settling_ids": ["t_00bed4434bc1f40b1dd0", "t_e0567b729ba3fb926b8c"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Heriberto Hernandez", "Miami Marlins", "Philadelphia Phillies"]}
{"id": "e_028544789937_q1", "domain": "Sports", "question": "How many million USD will the Haas F1 Team need to match the budget cap set for the 2026 season by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "215", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "million USD", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 10, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_028544789937", "event_date": "2026-07-31", "supporting_event": "Haas F1 Team fails to match the budget cap set at $215m for the 2026 season.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_02854478", "storyline": "2026 Formula 1 season budget cap compliance", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_c3c24967d10c25251112", "t_94eab81ed7b37e05ad0b"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "215", "tolerance": 0.05, "quote": "the budget cap, which is set at $215m for the 2026 season", "quote_doc_id": "t_028544789937e14bb58e", "settling_ids": ["t_028544789937e14bb58e", "t_a4ea831b4bce686e1c6e"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Haas F1 Team", "Ayao Komatsu"]}
{"id": "e_028b698c2edc_q0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "How many innings will Yoshinobu Yamamoto throw against the Boston Red Sox by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "8", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "innings", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 12, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_028b698c2edc", "event_date": "2026-08-02", "supporting_event": "Yoshinobu Yamamoto threw eight innings against the Boston Red Sox on August 2, 2026.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_028b698c", "storyline": "2026 MLB season", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_335dab6e361fb9316df4", "t_14fbf2f39abc05d3c213", "t_e4b88fe7e00548f0611c", "t_eebf44711131385fce25"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "8", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Yamamoto (11-7) allowed three runs on four hits and a walk while striking out three over eight innings to take the loss versus the Red Sox on Saturday.", "quote_doc_id": "t_028b698c2edc772af3aa", "settling_ids": ["t_028b698c2edc772af3aa", "t_7c87a26553feb4ae19b5"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Yoshinobu Yamamoto", "Los Angeles Dodgers", "Boston Red Sox"]}
{"id": "e_02b7dc124f54_q0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "Will Murali Sreeshankar win a medal in long jump at the Commonwealth Games by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 8, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_02b7dc124f54", "event_date": "2026-07-29", "supporting_event": "Murali Sreeshankar won a silver medal in long jump with a leap of 8.09m.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_02b7dc12", "storyline": "2026 Commonwealth Games", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_9ff60397d898dc4fd679", "t_e75469a85455c6d1d68d"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Sreeshankar leapt 8.09m to bag his second successive Commonwealth Games long jump silver", "quote_doc_id": "t_02b7dc124f5432c20846", "settling_ids": ["t_02b7dc124f5432c20846", "t_3f573dc5c2523210c6c3", "t_ad23cc1f31ad7b9851fd", "t_65cc53ac6c878b2b34c6"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Murali Sreeshankar", "Commonwealth Games"]}
{"id": "e_02b7dc124f54_q0_neg", "domain": "Sports", "question": "Will Murali Sreeshankar win a medal in long jump at the Commonwealth Games by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "No", "answer_type": "perturbed_binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 8, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_02b7dc124f54", "event_date": "2026-07-29", "supporting_event": "Murali Sreeshankar won a silver medal in long jump with a leap of 8.09m.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_02b7dc12", "storyline": "2026 Commonwealth Games", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_9ff60397d898dc4fd679", "t_e75469a85455c6d1d68d"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "perturbed_binary", "value": "No", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Sreeshankar leapt 8.09m to bag his second successive Commonwealth Games long jump silver", "quote_doc_id": "t_02b7dc124f5432c20846", "settling_ids": ["t_02b7dc124f5432c20846", "t_3f573dc5c2523210c6c3", "t_ad23cc1f31ad7b9851fd", "t_65cc53ac6c878b2b34c6"], "derivation": "the event dated 2026-07-29 is after the shifted deadline 2026-07-28, so the claim is false at that deadline"}, "perturbation": {"field": "deadline", "original": "2026-08-04", "substituted": "2026-07-28", "v40_substituted": "2026-07-25"}, "paired_with": "e_02b7dc124f54_q0", "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Murali Sreeshankar", "Commonwealth Games"]}
{"id": "e_036ccd3e06f4_q0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "How many strikeouts will Dylan Cease achieve in his next game against the Boston Red Sox by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "12", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "strikeouts", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 4, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_036ccd3e06f4", "event_date": "2026-07-25", "supporting_event": "Dylan Cease throws a one-hitter in a 6-0 victory over the Boston Red Sox.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_036ccd3e", "storyline": "2026 MLB season", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_897f75a038621c26784c", "t_b2063ab0e3c841b5aa45", "t_10e7949ce8b72a840fb1"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "12", "tolerance": 0.1, "quote": "Cease struck out 12, including the final six outs", "quote_doc_id": "t_036ccd3e06f4004ef7a8", "settling_ids": ["t_036ccd3e06f4004ef7a8", "t_1c850652ee18581de853", "t_f616e67bd41a5a1da604", "t_d976c2df512693da715c"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Dylan Cease", "Toronto Blue Jays", "Boston Red Sox", "George Springer", "Ernie Clement", "Vladimir Guerrero Jr."]}
{"id": "e_03a1dde75afa_q0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "On what date will Walker Buehler be the probable pitcher for the San Diego Padres, by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "August 6, 2026", "answer_type": "date", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 16, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_03a1dde75afa", "event_date": "2026-08-06", "supporting_event": "Walker Buehler is the probable pitcher for the San Diego Padres on August 6.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_03a1dde7", "storyline": "2026 MLB season", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_9fc0ddbe134c16d0f4fa", "t_6e7a4679c6d011ef50a7", "t_306e4c1faffe44632bc9", "t_ed6161165bfb034a0ead", "t_af8acfd3304b3159d72d"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "date", "value": "August 6, 2026", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Padres: Walker Buehler (6-5, 5.18 ERA)", "quote_doc_id": "t_03a1dde75afac4f9cc63", "settling_ids": ["t_03a1dde75afac4f9cc63", "t_7adf19eac87c9519886c"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Walker Buehler", "San Diego Padres"]}
{"id": "e_040d05264bec_q2", "domain": "Sports", "question": "How many runs will Zach Neto drive in with his home run for the Los Angeles Angels by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "3", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "runs", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 17, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_040d05264bec", "event_date": "2026-08-07", "supporting_event": "Zach Neto hit a three-run home run to lift the Los Angeles Angels over the Baltimore Orioles 4-1.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_040d0526", "storyline": "2026 MLB season", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_e2b93f078b9a87ac2555", "t_94fd45641fbc0a27f2d0", "t_a92bd35913bd7caa0f7a", "t_48347c5f52a067981539", "t_b60a455092339b1d3ea0"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "3", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Zach Neto hit a three-run home run to lift the Los Angeles Angels over the Baltimore Orioles 4-1", "quote_doc_id": "t_040d05264becd1f793d7", "settling_ids": ["t_040d05264becd1f793d7", "t_5416689e80476d8cafba"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Zach Neto", "Los Angeles Angels", "Baltimore Orioles"]}
{"id": "e_0412691c4f7d_q0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "How many games will the Washington Wizards and Anthony Davis evaluate after before discussing a contract extension by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "20", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "games", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 16, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_0412691c4f7d", "event_date": "2026-08-06", "supporting_event": "The Washington Wizards and Anthony Davis have mutually decided to postpone contract extension talks until after the 2026-27 NBA season begins.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_0412691c", "storyline": "2026-27 NBA season contract negotiations", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_dd949af51a5f7384bb50", "t_c267719465c795295ca0"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "20", "tolerance": null, "quote": "both parties agreed to reassess the situation after the first 20 games of the season.", "quote_doc_id": "t_753032a5af10a1f20c89", "settling_ids": ["t_0412691c4f7d2e7e9cf9", "t_753032a5af10a1f20c89", "t_c10915d9ee5fc79cd28f", "t_eac21bd664921b10329d"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Anthony Davis", "Washington Wizards"]}
{"id": "e_044275e28966_q1", "domain": "Sports", "question": "Which team will the Detroit Tigers beat by 2026-08-04?", "options": ["New York Yankees", "Houston Astros", "Seattle Mariners", "Cleveland Guardians"], "answer": "Seattle Mariners", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 14, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_044275e28966", "event_date": "2026-08-04", "supporting_event": "Troy Melton threw seven sharp innings as the Detroit Tigers beat the Seattle Mariners 8-0.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_044275e2", "storyline": "2026 MLB season", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_d018f6eb906cb4c9eb7a", "t_b635f5fb5ef12ddc84f2", "t_526a1865a19e01fc257d", "t_c841703929811b44971c", "t_b1a4b4816aa60982ec8d"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "Seattle Mariners", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Detroit Tigers beat the Seattle Mariners 8-0", "quote_doc_id": "t_044275e289667256ec15", "settling_ids": ["t_044275e289667256ec15", "t_81987b38427928313508", "t_512c15d2e3aabe72d315", "t_28bda2a60cc308ece8d0"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Troy Melton", "Detroit Tigers", "Seattle Mariners"]}
{"id": "e_0642666a2b48_q0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "How many touchdowns will Jahmyr Gibbs have scored in his first three NFL seasons by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "39", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "touchdowns", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 8, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_0642666a2b48", "event_date": "2026-07-29", "supporting_event": "Jahmyr Gibbs reported to training camp but did not attend the Lions' first practice.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_0642666a", "storyline": "NFL contract negotiations 2026", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_4c40558c017184c69152", "t_383b0db6307b77ff8bf8", "t_8fca556db661231dac03", "t_36fd6b4cbe4a5c10c4b5"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "39", "tolerance": 0.05, "quote": "he has run for 3,580 yards with 39 touchdowns", "quote_doc_id": "t_0642666a2b486a85ac84", "settling_ids": ["t_0642666a2b486a85ac84", "t_faf77d503872c538fdde", "t_79c18c547631fbe4b1e2", "t_fc2de3396c5260dc9685"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Jahmyr Gibbs", "Detroit Lions"]}
{"id": "e_064e12102769_q0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "How many players will miss the MLS All-Star Game by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "4", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 6, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_064e12102769", "event_date": "2026-07-27", "supporting_event": "Lionel Messi will miss the MLS All-Star Game as he continues to recover from the World Cup.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_064e1210", "storyline": "2026 WNBA All-Star Game", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Geopolitics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_c4e8ebef2d15a5aa8bba", "t_a8be17d69a86e4ee60ce"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "4", "tolerance": null, "quote": "The Argentine superstar is one of four players withdrawn from the exhibition match.", "quote_doc_id": "t_064e121027695af922e5", "settling_ids": ["t_064e121027695af922e5", "t_92a18cc21e7e008ddb8c", "t_c9dc1ff3078c1210b8e1", "t_e337d8d06382f3892cd3"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Lionel Messi", "MLS", "Inter Miami", "Argentina", "World Cup"]}
{"id": "e_064e12102769_q1", "domain": "Sports", "question": "Who will be excused from participating in the 2026 MLS All-Star Game by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "Lionel Messi", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 6, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_064e12102769", "event_date": "2026-07-27", "supporting_event": "Lionel Messi will miss the MLS All-Star Game as he continues to recover from the World Cup.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_064e1210", "storyline": "2026 WNBA All-Star Game", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Geopolitics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_c4e8ebef2d15a5aa8bba", "t_a8be17d69a86e4ee60ce"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "Lionel Messi", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Lionel Messi will be excused from participating in the 2026 MLS All-Star Game.", "quote_doc_id": "t_92a18cc21e7e008ddb8c", "settling_ids": ["t_064e121027695af922e5", "t_92a18cc21e7e008ddb8c", "t_c9dc1ff3078c1210b8e1", "t_e337d8d06382f3892cd3"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Lionel Messi", "MLS", "Inter Miami", "Argentina", "World Cup"]}
{"id": "e_066821e1fe7b_q0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "How many runs will the Cleveland Guardians score against the Minnesota Twins by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "5", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "runs", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 1, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_066821e1fe7b", "event_date": "2026-07-22", "supporting_event": "Cleveland Guardians beat Minnesota Twins 5-2.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_066821e1", "storyline": "2026 MLB season", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_ffd89337fbef1b6a5bbd", "t_30a90822d80952943c28", "t_4fa7dd1808a2198527dc"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "5", "tolerance": 0.5, "quote": "Guardians beat Twins 5-2", "quote_doc_id": "t_066821e1fe7b8cbb4e91", "settling_ids": ["t_066821e1fe7b8cbb4e91", "t_1bbad7d5035d3ff721e2"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Cleveland Guardians", "Minnesota Twins"]}
{"id": "e_06e3ce0c38fb_q0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "How many million dollars will LeBron James' contract with the Philadelphia 76ers be worth by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "8", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "million dollars", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 6, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_06e3ce0c38fb", "event_date": "2026-07-27", "supporting_event": "LeBron James signed a two-year contract with the Philadelphia 76ers for $8 million.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_06e3ce0c", "storyline": "NBA player contracts 2026", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_9b15cd174e76d971b5f0", "t_e400ca192c86ea19784c", "t_b2b77128591d258da645", "t_5da7295d0f7447cd06a1"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "8", "tolerance": 0.05, "quote": "$8 million total was official", "quote_doc_id": "t_06e3ce0c38fb5aa280b2", "settling_ids": ["t_06e3ce0c38fb5aa280b2", "t_f39b3d15f5245856cc5a", "t_4c5c10446eb5eedbc2b3", "t_77b37b9f25b2e2d9857e"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["LeBron James", "Philadelphia 76ers"]}
{"id": "e_074e382ed3d3_i0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "What are the jersey numbers of the players participating in the Rams training camp by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "15 and 9", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 5, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_074e382ed3d3", "event_date": "2026-07-26", "supporting_event": "The Rams open training camp at Loyola Marymount University.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_074e382e", "storyline": "2026 Los Angeles Chargers training camp", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_5e276450a6c45b36dd28", "t_6b5f10868bf8f691a485"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "15 and 9", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_074e382ed3d3dca694de_0", "settling_ids": ["t_074e382ed3d3dca694de", "t_f8eba5962869a747c6af"], "visible_detail": "the jersey numbers of the players"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Los Angeles Rams", "Loyola Marymount University"]}
{"id": "e_08823b229c40_i0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "What is the bib number of the racer who won the 2026 British MotoGP by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "63", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 18, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_08823b229c40", "event_date": "2026-08-08", "supporting_event": "Raul Fernandez won the 2026 British MotoGP at Silverstone.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_08823b22", "storyline": "2026 MotoGP season", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_f0286eed5406a43c7c73", "t_678796748ff89dfd1b09", "t_30b9d16975320b826349", "t_8c7d4b2539941ee80837"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "63", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_53ee53e451b1502c902c_0", "settling_ids": ["t_53ee53e451b1502c902c", "t_08823b229c408ff361ce", "t_3248afe87b63356b48a7", "t_2a98c302150399e7feed"], "visible_detail": "the bib number on the motorcycle of the leading racer"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Raul Fernandez", "2026 British MotoGP", "Silverstone"]}
{"id": "e_08823b229c40_q0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "Who will win the 2026 British MotoGP at Silverstone by 2026-08-11?", "options": ["Marc Marquez", "Marco Bezzecchi", "Raul Fernandez", "Jorge Martin"], "answer": "Raul Fernandez", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 18, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_08823b229c40", "event_date": "2026-08-08", "supporting_event": "Raul Fernandez won the 2026 British MotoGP at Silverstone.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_08823b22", "storyline": "2026 MotoGP season", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_f0286eed5406a43c7c73", "t_678796748ff89dfd1b09", "t_30b9d16975320b826349", "t_8c7d4b2539941ee80837"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "Raul Fernandez", "tolerance": null, "quote": "a dominant display from Raul Fernandez (SuperFile Trackhouse MotoGP Team) saw the #25 bag a second Grand Prix victory and a first of 2026 at Silverstone.", "quote_doc_id": "t_08823b229c408ff361ce", "settling_ids": ["t_08823b229c408ff361ce", "t_3248afe87b63356b48a7", "t_53ee53e451b1502c902c", "t_2a98c302150399e7feed"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Raul Fernandez", "2026 British MotoGP", "Silverstone"]}
{"id": "e_097bf7a0b1fc_q0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "Who will vow to revive Italy's fortunes after returning for a second spell in charge by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "Roberto Mancini", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 8, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_097bf7a0b1fc", "event_date": "2026-07-29", "supporting_event": "Roberto Mancini vowed to revive Italy's fortunes after returning for a second spell in charge.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_097bf7a0", "storyline": "Italy national football team coaching appointment", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_f0f897486f8099c999fb", "t_205f3a1b94810c04e12e"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "Roberto Mancini", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Italy coach Roberto Mancini vowed to revive the Azzurri's fortunes after returning for a second spell in charge", "quote_doc_id": "t_097bf7a0b1fcd2832e60", "settling_ids": ["t_097bf7a0b1fcd2832e60", "t_2b682bcd38fe31e10b65", "t_87c5b28b68fb6e7b75bc", "t_55b1b51aad269ac6776a"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Roberto Mancini", "Italy", "Azzurri"]}
{"id": "e_097bf7a0b1fc_q2", "domain": "Sports", "question": "How many years will Roberto Mancini's contract with the Italy national team last by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "4", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "years", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 8, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_097bf7a0b1fc", "event_date": "2026-07-29", "supporting_event": "Roberto Mancini vowed to revive Italy's fortunes after returning for a second spell in charge.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_097bf7a0", "storyline": "Italy national football team coaching appointment", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_f0f897486f8099c999fb", "t_205f3a1b94810c04e12e"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "4", "tolerance": 0.05, "quote": "We signed a four-year contract", "quote_doc_id": "t_097bf7a0b1fcd2832e60", "settling_ids": ["t_097bf7a0b1fcd2832e60", "t_2b682bcd38fe31e10b65", "t_87c5b28b68fb6e7b75bc", "t_55b1b51aad269ac6776a"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Roberto Mancini", "Italy", "Azzurri"]}
{"id": "e_09f7545c0d2b_q1", "domain": "Sports", "question": "Who will take the lead in the 3M Open after the third round by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "Jackson Koivun", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 4, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_09f7545c0d2b", "event_date": "2026-07-25", "supporting_event": "Jackson Koivun shot a 61 in the third round of the 3M Open.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_09f7545c", "storyline": "2026 PGA Tour season", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_8e826f946331dca76fe7", "t_cc18fb6f57a58800acec", "t_89729f0946b8d21b4bc8"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "Jackson Koivun", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Koivun moves 3 strokes up at the 3M Open with a 61", "quote_doc_id": "t_ab407247befff03bd3c2", "settling_ids": ["t_09f7545c0d2bdd7146ce", "t_fb161435bbed02e2f784", "t_ab407247befff03bd3c2", "t_2278edcc94c3146f0e42"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Jackson Koivun", "3M Open", "TPC Twin Cities"]}
{"id": "e_0a2b3d621b71_q0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "Which team will Adley Rutschman be traded to by 2026-08-04?", "options": ["Boston", "New York Yankees", "Toronto Blue Jays", "Tampa Bay Rays"], "answer": "Boston", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 11, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_0a2b3d621b71", "event_date": "2026-08-01", "supporting_event": "Mike Elias traded Adley Rutschman to division rival Boston on August 1, 2026.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_0a2b3d62", "storyline": "2026 MLB trade deadline", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_065e5f79d7245899bd3f", "t_4ed81c4a92d98c40d241"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "Boston", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Orioles president Mike Elias traded the All-Star catcher to division rival Boston on Monday.", "quote_doc_id": "t_8c4d2c4d75de590f97f5", "settling_ids": ["t_0a2b3d621b713c4aef22", "t_8c4d2c4d75de590f97f5", "t_8fa9401ede82c374255d", "t_e035245f81d81655a396"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Mike Elias", "Adley Rutschman", "Boston Red Sox", "Baltimore Orioles"]}
{"id": "e_0a9f73ac350e_q0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "Which team will win the final match of the first qualifying round of the UEFA Women's Champions League by 2026-07-28?", "options": ["Hapoel Jerusalem", "Neftçi", "PAOK", "Budućnost"], "answer": "PAOK", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 4, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_0a9f73ac350e", "event_date": "2026-07-25", "supporting_event": "PAOK won the final match of the first qualifying round of the UEFA Women's Champions League.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_0a9f73ac", "storyline": "2026 UEFA Women's Champions League qualifying rounds", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["d_c5c2cf47686f3cff5680", "d_c5c2cf47686f3cff5680", "d_8253c64c69db0f250d58", "d_8253c64c69db0f250d58"], "precursor_modalities": ["D"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "PAOK", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the match, held in the Greek city of Veria, ended with a 3-0 victory for PAOK.", "quote_doc_id": "t_a168a7e00eed497a12a6", "settling_ids": ["t_a168a7e00eed497a12a6", "d_0a9f73ac350e6a20e91b"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["PAOK", "Neftchi", "UEFA Women's Champions League"]}
{"id": "e_0a9f73ac350e_q1", "domain": "Sports", "question": "How many goals will PAOK score in the final match of the first qualifying round of the UEFA Women's Champions League by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "3", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "goals", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 4, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_0a9f73ac350e", "event_date": "2026-07-25", "supporting_event": "PAOK won the final match of the first qualifying round of the UEFA Women's Champions League.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_0a9f73ac", "storyline": "2026 UEFA Women's Champions League qualifying rounds", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["d_c5c2cf47686f3cff5680", "d_c5c2cf47686f3cff5680", "d_8253c64c69db0f250d58", "d_8253c64c69db0f250d58"], "precursor_modalities": ["D"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "3", "tolerance": 0.1, "quote": "the match, held in the Greek city of Veria, ended with a 3-0 victory for PAOK.", "quote_doc_id": "t_a168a7e00eed497a12a6", "settling_ids": ["t_a168a7e00eed497a12a6", "d_0a9f73ac350e6a20e91b"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["PAOK", "Neftchi", "UEFA Women's Champions League"]}
{"id": "e_0b404ab03022_q2", "domain": "Sports", "question": "How many races will Ferrari have completed by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "11", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "races", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 8, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_0b404ab03022", "event_date": "2026-07-29", "supporting_event": "Ferrari has held second in the constructors' championship since the opening round of the 2026 Formula 1 season.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_0b404ab0", "storyline": "2026 Formula 1 season", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_9b23237153df3e869b28", "t_9bbe32d181bc467ab016", "t_c47140f78b66d87a7219", "t_cb82986b11b2ce38a98e"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "11", "tolerance": 0, "quote": "the first 11 rounds of the year", "quote_doc_id": "t_0b404ab030229907f294", "settling_ids": ["t_0b404ab030229907f294", "t_676d0c048043be5db3e6"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Ferrari", "Formula 1"]}
{"id": "e_0c5de2341f17_i0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "Will Mirabai Chanu win a medal for India by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 2, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_0c5de2341f17", "event_date": "2026-07-23", "supporting_event": "Mirabai Chanu leads India's weightlifting contingent at the Commonwealth Games.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_02b7dc12", "storyline": "2026 Commonwealth Games", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_31e76bcb0a161e422ef2", "t_479e02db2585a26f39ea", "t_eb24137cda935b936d24"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_6f76ff0b043066e5f218_0", "settling_ids": ["t_6f76ff0b043066e5f218", "t_0c5de2341f17d7f1191b", "t_93a8032e02d1a9e37853", "t_65f5b29b2a2825735531", "t_3ec8b172ec5a9b10643b", "t_e6f87a1f576bce26ebbc"], "visible_detail": "the shirts worn by the athletes with 'INDIA' printed on them"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Mirabai Chanu", "India", "Commonwealth Games"]}
{"id": "e_0c87206adf82_q0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "By 2026-08-04, how many runs will Daniel Susac drive in during a game against the San Diego Padres?", "options": ["1", "3", "2", "0"], "answer": "3", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 10, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_0c87206adf82", "event_date": "2026-07-31", "supporting_event": "Daniel Susac hit a two-run home run against the San Diego Padres.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_0c87206a", "storyline": "2026 MLB season", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_a72114e959b7d512ad39", "t_f8e88eaf77b70e29b3b3", "t_2ef16be59ca13febf6c6"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "3", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Rookie Daniel Susac hit a two-run home run and had three RBIs", "quote_doc_id": "t_0c87206adf826fc18e1a", "settling_ids": ["t_0c87206adf826fc18e1a", "t_03188fb480f9b6982a30"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Daniel Susac", "San Diego Padres", "San Francisco Giants"]}
{"id": "e_0d352b617aa8_q0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "How many upgrades will Aston Martin introduce for the AMR26 by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "16", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "upgrades", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 3, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_0d352b617aa8", "event_date": "2026-07-24", "supporting_event": "Aston Martin introduced a major upgrade package for the AMR26 consisting of 16 upgrades at the Hungarian Grand Prix.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_0b404ab0", "storyline": "2026 Formula 1 season", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_7bd921eb9e3a6a8338fb", "t_dc4925e27aaf3932f980", "t_c6fa667b7db5e7a9530c", "t_39760b190bb3fac10713"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "16", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the new package consists of 16 upgrades", "quote_doc_id": "t_0d352b617aa894edd8e4", "settling_ids": ["t_0d352b617aa894edd8e4", "t_e8e5a1e0c22cb448a871", "t_122cb479735c1900be0d", "t_822a328306927519a235"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Aston Martin", "AMR26", "Hungarian Grand Prix"]}
{"id": "e_0d36136ac2cc_q0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "How many points will Kelsey Plum add in her Phoenix debut by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "20", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "points", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 11, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_0d36136ac2cc", "event_date": "2026-08-01", "supporting_event": "Kelsey Plum added 20 points in her Phoenix debut.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_0d36136a", "storyline": "2026 WNBA season", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_6ceb7f29a0099acbc7ac", "t_32855d7a34842609d43f"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "20", "tolerance": 0.1, "quote": "Kelsey Plum added 20 points in her Phoenix debut", "quote_doc_id": "t_0d36136ac2cc550c5c27", "settling_ids": ["t_0d36136ac2cc550c5c27", "t_37e1b828be9c5c102634"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Kelsey Plum", "Phoenix Mercury", "Chicago Sky"]}
{"id": "e_0d402593000e_q0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "Who will the Boston Red Sox lose to by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "the Athletics", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 18, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_0d402593000e", "event_date": "2026-08-08", "supporting_event": "The Boston Red Sox lost to the Athletics 7-3.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_0d402593", "storyline": "2026 MLB season", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_0408d8b083b41200a49c", "t_8571c6773291f57f26b6", "t_4e266a1ea9f8cf4dc725", "t_51663f92d81634aa2223"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "the Athletics", "tolerance": null, "quote": "The Boston Red Sox failed in their bid for a second winning streak of 10 or more games in the same season, losing to the Athletics 7-3 on Saturday.", "quote_doc_id": "t_0d402593000eb31f595e", "settling_ids": ["t_0d402593000eb31f595e", "t_d749d1563233e087352a", "t_405564212dd2b959c7bb", "t_5625badcaffd631a6539"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Boston Red Sox", "Athletics"]}
{"id": "e_0d402593000e_q1", "domain": "Sports", "question": "What will be the score when the Boston Red Sox lose to the Athletics by 2026-08-11?", "options": ["5-4", "6-2", "8-1", "7-3"], "answer": "7-3", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 18, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_0d402593000e", "event_date": "2026-08-08", "supporting_event": "The Boston Red Sox lost to the Athletics 7-3.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_0d402593", "storyline": "2026 MLB season", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_0408d8b083b41200a49c", "t_8571c6773291f57f26b6", "t_4e266a1ea9f8cf4dc725", "t_51663f92d81634aa2223"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "7-3", "tolerance": null, "quote": "The Boston Red Sox failed in their bid for a second winning streak of 10 or more games in the same season, losing to the Athletics 7-3 on Saturday.", "quote_doc_id": "t_d749d1563233e087352a", "settling_ids": ["t_0d402593000eb31f595e", "t_d749d1563233e087352a", "t_405564212dd2b959c7bb", "t_5625badcaffd631a6539"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Boston Red Sox", "Athletics"]}
{"id": "e_0d9cac9f792e_q1", "domain": "Sports", "question": "What amount will the Denver Nuggets match Spencer Jones' offer sheet for by 2026-07-28?", "options": ["$12 million", "$15 million", "$10 million", "$8 million"], "answer": "$12 million", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": "million dollars", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 6, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_0d9cac9f792e", "event_date": "2026-07-27", "supporting_event": "The Denver Nuggets matched Spencer Jones' two-year, $12 million offer sheet from the Oklahoma City Thunder.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_0d9cac9f", "storyline": "2026 NBA Free Agency", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_120886a47f11006b287f", "t_9da9aba9cfcb1ce3d791", "t_44a540f8b8b1a7057284"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "$12 million", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the Nuggets have opted to match that two-year, $12 million deal", "quote_doc_id": "t_0d9cac9f792e21256133", "settling_ids": ["t_0d9cac9f792e21256133", "t_9b1f412ff804490e8ba7", "t_a8df77d480f2d48a48ff"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Denver Nuggets", "Spencer Jones", "Oklahoma City Thunder"]}
{"id": "e_0eb08947ad2b_q0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "By 2026-07-28, how many months after his surgeries will Tyreek Hill be?", "options": null, "answer": "10", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "months", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 2, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_0eb08947ad2b", "event_date": "2026-07-23", "supporting_event": "Tyreek Hill revealed he has no power in his left leg.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_0eb08947", "storyline": "Tyreek Hill injury recovery", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_f2db196b94a77c77f4a9", "t_c30203cb8ac1ccbbe715"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "10", "tolerance": 0.05, "quote": "So it's about 10 months after doing two surgeries.", "quote_doc_id": "t_55a5883f7d225e6e367e", "settling_ids": ["t_0eb08947ad2b63a592ea", "t_55a5883f7d225e6e367e"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Tyreek Hill"]}
{"id": "e_103b67743db8_q2", "domain": "Sports", "question": "How many RBIs will Jung Hoo Lee drive in for the San Francisco Giants by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "3", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "RBIs", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 11, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_103b67743db8", "event_date": "2026-08-01", "supporting_event": "Jung Hoo Lee hit two solo homers and drove in three RBIs as the San Francisco Giants beat the Texas Rangers 5-1.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_103b6774", "storyline": "2026 MLB season", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_7d96dcb6918eb5f02275", "t_c030a73db0fcab0f1749", "t_5fd46c7d6fc707410865", "t_76060a1c8d4b652b855a", "t_8ca3c94b1ec4182f41b5", "t_cf857d7cb66b8ed03a83"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "3", "tolerance": 0.05, "quote": "drove in three RBIs", "quote_doc_id": "t_103b67743db845f92b58", "settling_ids": ["t_103b67743db845f92b58", "t_90aa668e6c2e29089920"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Jung Hoo Lee", "San Francisco Giants", "Texas Rangers"]}
{"id": "e_117bd40eb757_q0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "Who will Alex Eala defeat to win her first WTA title by 2026-08-04?", "options": ["Jessica Pegula", "Naomi Osaka", "Leylah Fernandez", "Elina Svitolina"], "answer": "Jessica Pegula", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 14, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_117bd40eb757", "event_date": "2026-08-04", "supporting_event": "Alex Eala won her first WTA title at the Mubadala DC Open.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_117bd40e", "storyline": "2026 WTA Tour", "linked_domains": ["Health"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["i_c0fe9eff3cc6953518cd_0", "t_30cab82a7d43ec1343b5", "t_80c817d237019f443635", "t_d24a6a790b0ba53eca3b", "d_628d51426f095b8fe3f4"], "precursor_modalities": ["D", "I", "T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "Jessica Pegula", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Alex Eala beat Jessica Pegula in Washington for her first WTA title", "quote_doc_id": "t_ed5a06716cd8f652446e", "settling_ids": ["t_ed5a06716cd8f652446e", "t_4c5f91c6af390f44ec69", "d_117bd40eb757ef0008b9", "d_a55e19835c68209a0871"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Alex Eala", "Jessica Pegula", "Mubadala DC Open"]}
{"id": "e_117bd40eb757_q1", "domain": "Sports", "question": "What ranking will Alex Eala achieve by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "20", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "ranking", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 14, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_117bd40eb757", "event_date": "2026-08-04", "supporting_event": "Alex Eala won her first WTA title at the Mubadala DC Open.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_117bd40e", "storyline": "2026 WTA Tour", "linked_domains": ["Health"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["i_c0fe9eff3cc6953518cd_0", "t_30cab82a7d43ec1343b5", "t_80c817d237019f443635", "t_d24a6a790b0ba53eca3b", "d_628d51426f095b8fe3f4"], "precursor_modalities": ["D", "I", "T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "20", "tolerance": 0, "quote": "rising to a career-high No 20 in the world", "quote_doc_id": "t_4c5f91c6af390f44ec69", "settling_ids": ["t_ed5a06716cd8f652446e", "t_4c5f91c6af390f44ec69", "d_117bd40eb757ef0008b9", "d_a55e19835c68209a0871"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Alex Eala", "Jessica Pegula", "Mubadala DC Open"]}
{"id": "e_126ad354ce0c_i0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "What is the jersey number of the player who hit the two-run home run against the Boston Red Sox by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "29", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 10, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_126ad354ce0c", "event_date": "2026-07-31", "supporting_event": "Shohei Ohtani hit a two-run home run against the Boston Red Sox.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_126ad354", "storyline": "2026 MLB season", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_bd47b8442a643121d6d5", "t_2002c0e6d3c89c2d37e0", "t_ca6f2352a1962fb946d1"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "29", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_126ad354ce0c96b75cd3_0", "settling_ids": ["t_126ad354ce0c96b75cd3", "t_be9cdf1419f13ac8f5c3"], "visible_detail": "29"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Shohei Ohtani", "Boston Red Sox"]}
{"id": "e_1302cfa903ae_q0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "How many scoreless innings will Anthony Kay pitch in his next game by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "6.1", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "innings", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 12, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_1302cfa903ae", "event_date": "2026-08-02", "supporting_event": "Anthony Kay tossed 6 1/3 scoreless innings.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_1302cfa9", "storyline": "2026 MLB season", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_21dbfa315b5bdfc748a0", "t_2fa61914a659ef1efe6d", "t_85834e88c31a01e3762e"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "6.1", "tolerance": 0.1, "quote": "Anthony Kay tossed 6 1/3 scoreless innings", "quote_doc_id": "t_1302cfa903aeb91fde12", "settling_ids": ["t_1302cfa903aeb91fde12", "t_73f9a39618b881965439"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Anthony Kay", "Chicago White Sox", "Tampa Bay Rays"]}
{"id": "e_1339c76458d1_q0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "How many years will LeBron James' contract with the Philadelphia 76ers last by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "2", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "years", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 5, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_1339c76458d1", "event_date": "2026-07-26", "supporting_event": "LeBron James joins the Philadelphia 76ers.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_0d9cac9f", "storyline": "2026 NBA Free Agency", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_9b15cd174e76d971b5f0", "t_bc49d94ba483a2dd2234", "t_b2b77128591d258da645", "t_e7fbab2e8c1b004b16fc"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "2", "tolerance": null, "quote": "He signed a two-year deal worth about US$8 million", "quote_doc_id": "t_1339c76458d119b3f942", "settling_ids": ["t_1339c76458d119b3f942", "t_207447867fc8908ff663"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["LeBron James", "Philadelphia 76ers"]}
{"id": "e_1339c76458d1_q1", "domain": "Sports", "question": "Will LeBron James sign a contract with the Philadelphia 76ers by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 5, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_1339c76458d1", "event_date": "2026-07-26", "supporting_event": "LeBron James joins the Philadelphia 76ers.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_0d9cac9f", "storyline": "2026 NBA Free Agency", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_9b15cd174e76d971b5f0", "t_bc49d94ba483a2dd2234", "t_b2b77128591d258da645", "t_e7fbab2e8c1b004b16fc"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the biggest move of the NBA off-season is official, with LeBron James signing a two-year, $8 million deal with the Philadelphia 76ers", "quote_doc_id": "t_207447867fc8908ff663", "settling_ids": ["t_1339c76458d119b3f942", "t_207447867fc8908ff663"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["LeBron James", "Philadelphia 76ers"]}
{"id": "e_13a633eb714e_q0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "How many runs will the Detroit Tigers score in a game by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "14", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 8, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_13a633eb714e", "event_date": "2026-07-29", "supporting_event": "The Detroit Tigers scored in every inning during a 14-0 win over the Baltimore Orioles.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_13a633eb", "storyline": "2026 MLB season", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_74844bb3666823410ecb", "t_e2457989714f2ea35c8d", "t_afc0736300ee1ab776d0", "t_cad845230c8537c48280", "t_f8e215d539e92190ff03"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "14", "tolerance": 0.5, "quote": "a 14-0 win over the Baltimore Orioles", "quote_doc_id": "t_13a633eb714e93d4bc9e", "settling_ids": ["t_13a633eb714e93d4bc9e", "t_22e0cbe5b99be0c66a19", "t_88abf8f65ccf8da75447", "t_7c58da20619d60b58adf"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Detroit Tigers", "Baltimore Orioles", "Eduardo Valencia", "Gleyber Torres", "Troy Melton"]}
{"id": "e_142bc8d26f71_q0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "Who will win the quarter-final match between Morocco and South Africa in WAFCON 2026 by 2026-08-11?", "options": ["Morocco", "Not applicable", "Draw", "South Africa"], "answer": "Morocco", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 19, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_142bc8d26f71", "event_date": "2026-08-09", "supporting_event": "Morocco defeated South Africa 2-1 in the WAFCON 2026 quarter-finals.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_142bc8d2", "storyline": "2026 Women's Africa Cup of Nations", "linked_domains": ["Geopolitics", "Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_55263360d6992ef8e981", "t_4b7f4576b17d28e12045"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "Morocco", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Morocco who emerged 2-1 winners", "quote_doc_id": "t_142bc8d26f71fa205555", "settling_ids": ["t_142bc8d26f71fa205555", "t_8503f6d2be2643e1c01f"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Morocco", "South Africa", "WAFCON 2026"]}
{"id": "e_142bc8d26f71_q1", "domain": "Sports", "question": "How many goals will Morocco score against South Africa in the WAFCON 2026 quarter-finals by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "2", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "goals", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 19, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_142bc8d26f71", "event_date": "2026-08-09", "supporting_event": "Morocco defeated South Africa 2-1 in the WAFCON 2026 quarter-finals.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_142bc8d2", "storyline": "2026 Women's Africa Cup of Nations", "linked_domains": ["Geopolitics", "Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_55263360d6992ef8e981", "t_4b7f4576b17d28e12045"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "2", "tolerance": 0.1, "quote": "Morocco who emerged 2-1 winners", "quote_doc_id": "t_142bc8d26f71fa205555", "settling_ids": ["t_142bc8d26f71fa205555", "t_8503f6d2be2643e1c01f"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Morocco", "South Africa", "WAFCON 2026"]}
{"id": "e_14c8113d7d66_q0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "By 2026-07-28, how many grand slams will Ryan O'Hearn have hit in his career?", "options": ["3", "2", "4", "5"], "answer": "4", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 5, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_14c8113d7d66", "event_date": "2026-07-26", "supporting_event": "Ryan O'Hearn hit a grand slam on his 33rd birthday to lead the Pittsburgh Pirates to an 8-7 victory over the Chicago Cubs.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_14c8113d", "storyline": "2026 MLB season", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_f1687c419db1da423431", "t_39c92d6c9b565a90902f", "t_782d1b60424c527a8d5e"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "4", "tolerance": null, "quote": "It was the fourth career grand slam for O'Hearn and second this season.", "quote_doc_id": "t_14c8113d7d664abb72a5", "settling_ids": ["t_14c8113d7d664abb72a5", "t_9baa03828f8598ec5e62", "t_a9624840c6948eea49d8"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Ryan O'Hearn", "Pittsburgh Pirates", "Chicago Cubs"]}
{"id": "e_1643b07298ae_q0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "What date will the Las Vegas Raiders begin their 2026 training camp by 2026-08-04?", "options": ["July 25", "August 1", "July 29", "August 5"], "answer": "July 29", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 8, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_1643b07298ae", "event_date": "2026-07-29", "supporting_event": "The Las Vegas Raiders begin their 2026 training camp on July 29.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_1643b072", "storyline": "2026 NFL Training Camp", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_bc20211809b736abe140", "t_230d4842a9a2562f5dda", "t_0fb36614ed97da5194df", "t_6e66a721497f2f8672b9"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "July 29", "tolerance": null, "quote": "The Las Vegas Raiders' 2026 training camp runs from July 29 to Aug. 29 at the Intermountain Health Performance Center.", "quote_doc_id": "t_2f86b1f30c7d37d7f91a", "settling_ids": ["t_1643b07298ae42dfe939", "t_358f95734562c1c7d65a", "t_2f86b1f30c7d37d7f91a", "t_29315dd71d5f690e2319"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Las Vegas Raiders", "Intermountain Health Performance Center"]}
{"id": "e_1643b07298ae_q1", "domain": "Sports", "question": "How many training camp practices will the Las Vegas Raiders hold by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "11", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 8, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_1643b07298ae", "event_date": "2026-07-29", "supporting_event": "The Las Vegas Raiders begin their 2026 training camp on July 29.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_1643b072", "storyline": "2026 NFL Training Camp", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_bc20211809b736abe140", "t_230d4842a9a2562f5dda", "t_0fb36614ed97da5194df", "t_6e66a721497f2f8672b9"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "11", "tolerance": null, "quote": "The Raiders have 11 training camp practices starting next week, running through the first preseason game.", "quote_doc_id": "t_358f95734562c1c7d65a", "settling_ids": ["t_1643b07298ae42dfe939", "t_358f95734562c1c7d65a", "t_2f86b1f30c7d37d7f91a", "t_29315dd71d5f690e2319"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Las Vegas Raiders", "Intermountain Health Performance Center"]}
{"id": "e_16810dee09ef_q0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "Will South Africa advance to the quarter-finals of the Women's Africa Cup of Nations by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 14, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_16810dee09ef", "event_date": "2026-08-04", "supporting_event": "South Africa booked their place in the Women's Africa Cup of Nations quarter-finals with a 1-0 win over Burkina Faso.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_142bc8d2", "storyline": "2026 Women's Africa Cup of Nations", "linked_domains": ["Geopolitics", "Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_55263360d6992ef8e981", "t_4b7f4576b17d28e12045"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "South Africa have booked their place in the Women's Africa Cup of Nations quarter-finals to face hosts Morocco after beating Burkina Faso 1-0 in Casablanca on Tuesday", "quote_doc_id": "t_16810dee09ef441e9777", "settling_ids": ["t_16810dee09ef441e9777", "t_f95db5275165d0079bc9", "t_2fc3f6b1d41f554632d6", "t_8280266d7b0beb80dc12"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["South Africa", "Burkina Faso", "Women's Africa Cup of Nations", "Morocco"]}
{"id": "e_16810dee09ef_q0_neg", "domain": "Sports", "question": "Will South Africa advance to the quarter-finals of the Women's Africa Cup of Nations by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "No", "answer_type": "perturbed_binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 14, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_16810dee09ef", "event_date": "2026-08-04", "supporting_event": "South Africa booked their place in the Women's Africa Cup of Nations quarter-finals with a 1-0 win over Burkina Faso.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_142bc8d2", "storyline": "2026 Women's Africa Cup of Nations", "linked_domains": ["Geopolitics", "Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_55263360d6992ef8e981", "t_4b7f4576b17d28e12045"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "perturbed_binary", "value": "No", "tolerance": null, "quote": "South Africa have booked their place in the Women's Africa Cup of Nations quarter-finals to face hosts Morocco after beating Burkina Faso 1-0 in Casablanca on Tuesday", "quote_doc_id": "t_16810dee09ef441e9777", "settling_ids": ["t_16810dee09ef441e9777", "t_f95db5275165d0079bc9", "t_2fc3f6b1d41f554632d6", "t_8280266d7b0beb80dc12"], "derivation": "the event dated 2026-08-04 is after the shifted deadline 2026-07-28, so the claim is false at that deadline"}, "perturbation": {"field": "deadline", "original": "2026-08-04", "substituted": "2026-07-28"}, "paired_with": "e_16810dee09ef_q0", "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["South Africa", "Burkina Faso", "Women's Africa Cup of Nations", "Morocco"]}
{"id": "e_16ad57bbc1d1_q2", "domain": "Sports", "question": "How many rebounds will Jessica Shepard have in the Dallas Wings' game against the Portland Fire by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "15", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "rebounds", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 1, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_16ad57bbc1d1", "event_date": "2026-07-22", "supporting_event": "Jessica Shepard had a triple-double in the Dallas Wings' victory over the Portland Fire.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_16ad57bb", "storyline": "2026 WNBA season", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_f3c1f2eae1525df8d76e", "t_040eca6a5abe27d85145"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "15", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Jessica Shepard had 18 points, 15 rebounds and 10 assists, and the Dallas Wings withstood a late rally for a 101-97 victory over the Portland Fire on Wednesday night.", "quote_doc_id": "t_16ad57bbc1d168d24af7", "settling_ids": ["t_16ad57bbc1d168d24af7", "t_214a856f4d1be1e5c41e", "t_67bf037af7c01169c439"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Jessica Shepard", "Dallas Wings", "Portland Fire"]}
{"id": "e_1846384615b3_i0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl LXI by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 13, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_1846384615b3", "event_date": "2026-08-03", "supporting_event": "Aaron Donald worked out with the Los Angeles Rams.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_074e382e", "storyline": "2026 Los Angeles Chargers training camp", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_b963c1baea4d148c5fde", "t_d0066b37c9fa74e6df54", "t_c2f1c8b146fa3eba8275", "t_c961905e82d4160d5f5e", "t_6e9b1dfab3ac6fe58f48"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_b5b0b66f39ca681e8b03_0", "settling_ids": ["t_1846384615b36b5dd5b4", "t_b5b0b66f39ca681e8b03", "t_a575a242f5aa6886760c"], "visible_detail": "the sign that reads 'WANTED REWARD SUPER BOWL LXI'"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Aaron Donald", "Los Angeles Rams"]}
{"id": "e_1846384615b3_i0_neg", "domain": "Sports", "question": "Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl LXI by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "No", "answer_type": "perturbed_binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 13, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_1846384615b3", "event_date": "2026-08-03", "supporting_event": "Aaron Donald worked out with the Los Angeles Rams.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_074e382e", "storyline": "2026 Los Angeles Chargers training camp", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_b963c1baea4d148c5fde", "t_d0066b37c9fa74e6df54", "t_c2f1c8b146fa3eba8275", "t_c961905e82d4160d5f5e", "t_6e9b1dfab3ac6fe58f48"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "perturbed_binary", "value": "No", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_b5b0b66f39ca681e8b03_0", "settling_ids": ["t_1846384615b36b5dd5b4", "t_b5b0b66f39ca681e8b03", "t_a575a242f5aa6886760c"], "derivation": "the event dated 2026-08-03 is after the shifted deadline 2026-07-28, so the claim is false at that deadline", "visible_detail": "the sign that reads 'WANTED REWARD SUPER BOWL LXI'"}, "perturbation": {"field": "deadline", "original": "2026-08-04", "substituted": "2026-07-28", "v40_substituted": "2026-07-27"}, "paired_with": "e_1846384615b3_i0", "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Aaron Donald", "Los Angeles Rams"]}
{"id": "e_18b3b0151df3_q0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "By 2026-08-04, how many RBI will Sal Stewart drive in during the game against the Pittsburgh Pirates?", "options": ["four", "three", "one", "two"], "answer": "four", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 11, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_18b3b0151df3", "event_date": "2026-08-01", "supporting_event": "Sal Stewart drove in four RBI in the Reds' 8-7 win over the Pirates.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_18b3b015", "storyline": "2026 MLB season", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_cacfb5ce46988c686bff", "t_2407cb7a9e2217f52529", "t_6ddd08a8ef2e5223e263"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "four", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Stewart went 2-for-5 with a home run, two runs scored and four RBI in Friday's 8-7 win over the Pirates.", "quote_doc_id": "t_18b3b0151df338a9a2b9", "settling_ids": ["t_18b3b0151df338a9a2b9", "t_8a5a1599c85c437f5916"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Sal Stewart", "Cincinnati Reds", "Pittsburgh Pirates"]}
{"id": "e_18b3b0151df3_q1", "domain": "Sports", "question": "By 2026-08-04, how many total RBI will Sal Stewart have on the season?", "options": null, "answer": "84", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "RBI", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 11, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_18b3b0151df3", "event_date": "2026-08-01", "supporting_event": "Sal Stewart drove in four RBI in the Reds' 8-7 win over the Pirates.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_18b3b015", "storyline": "2026 MLB season", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_cacfb5ce46988c686bff", "t_2407cb7a9e2217f52529", "t_6ddd08a8ef2e5223e263"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "84", "tolerance": 0.5, "quote": "he has hit 23 home runs (15th in MLB) and driven in 83 runs (1st in MLB).", "quote_doc_id": "t_8a5a1599c85c437f5916", "settling_ids": ["t_18b3b0151df338a9a2b9", "t_8a5a1599c85c437f5916"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Sal Stewart", "Cincinnati Reds", "Pittsburgh Pirates"]}
{"id": "e_18f9e33ebf49_q0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "Who will state that Breel Embolo should not have been sent off during the World Cup quarter-final against Argentina by 2026-07-28?", "options": ["UEFA", "IFAB", "The Swiss Football Association", "FIFA"], "answer": "IFAB", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 7, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_18f9e33ebf49", "event_date": "2026-07-28", "supporting_event": "Breel Embolo should not have been sent off during the World Cup quarter-final against Argentina.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_0046572d", "storyline": "2026 FIFA World Cup", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Environment", "Geopolitics", "Law", "Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_bfb8b3cef4776295f1ec", "t_93e43f40e081babac388", "t_38de1292186c46a7baa2", "t_249fbaf69ceea28629b3", "t_1bc0e459aacf786f306e"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "IFAB", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Breel Embolo should not have been sent off during this month’s World Cup quarter-final against Argentina, according to a circular issued by soccer’s law-making body IFAB on Tuesday.", "quote_doc_id": "t_5e03d1b7c210f0a2fabf", "settling_ids": ["t_18f9e33ebf4999ce60d1", "t_5e03d1b7c210f0a2fabf", "t_dc7fde7be3124fb37218", "t_b1a536db661f81d57361"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Breel Embolo", "IFAB", "Argentina", "Switzerland"]}
{"id": "e_1994e6bb7e08_q0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "Which team will acquire pitcher Freddy Peralta by 2026-08-04?", "options": ["New York Yankees", "Los Angeles Dodgers", "Chicago Cubs", "Tampa Bay Rays"], "answer": "Tampa Bay Rays", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 12, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_1994e6bb7e08", "event_date": "2026-08-02", "supporting_event": "The New York Mets traded pitcher Freddy Peralta to the Tampa Bay Rays for three minor leaguers.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_0a2b3d62", "storyline": "2026 MLB trade deadline", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_e673052370294352c7f2", "t_c87a2e07e823e5453f61", "t_bd6f35694177496f2530"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "Tampa Bay Rays", "tolerance": null, "quote": "The first-place Tampa Bay Rays gave their starting rotation a boost Sunday, acquiring pitcher Freddy Peralta from the struggling New York Mets for three minor leaguers.", "quote_doc_id": "t_f009316c1df7d50eebeb", "settling_ids": ["t_1994e6bb7e086823acfb", "t_f009316c1df7d50eebeb", "t_71f579647bff2258ca4d", "t_fc1f2dd41badaee6b560"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["New York Mets", "Freddy Peralta", "Tampa Bay Rays"]}
{"id": "e_19bd522ab7da_q1", "domain": "Sports", "question": "How many goals will Luis Suárez score against Chicago Fire by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "2", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "goals", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 2, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_19bd522ab7da", "event_date": "2026-07-23", "supporting_event": "Inter Miami beat Chicago Fire 3-2 on July 23, 2026.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_064e1210", "storyline": "2026 WNBA All-Star Game", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Geopolitics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_c4e8ebef2d15a5aa8bba", "t_034d6a8c447803e79c8c"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "2", "tolerance": 0.1, "quote": "Luis Suárez scored two goals", "quote_doc_id": "t_19bd522ab7dae6ac6902", "settling_ids": ["t_19bd522ab7dae6ac6902", "t_21940e6955e1ca763320", "t_90e42e190c1d09996615", "t_e0e291cd480bf4c52926"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Inter Miami", "Chicago Fire", "Luis Suárez", "Preston Plambeck", "Lionel Messi", "Rodrigo de Paul", "Robert Lewandowski"]}
{"id": "e_1c013a0212cb_q2", "domain": "Sports", "question": "How many hard court matches will Aryna Sabalenka have won in 2026 by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "23", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 12, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_1c013a0212cb", "event_date": "2026-08-02", "supporting_event": "Aryna Sabalenka aims to bounce back in Toronto after Wimbledon disappointment.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_117bd40e", "storyline": "2026 WTA Tour", "linked_domains": ["Health"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["d_ca7d6fc3c291b648baf7", "d_ca7d6fc3c291b648baf7"], "precursor_modalities": ["D"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "23", "tolerance": 0.1, "quote": "Sabalenka has won 23 of her 24 hard court matches in 2026", "quote_doc_id": "t_1c013a0212cb735795ad", "settling_ids": ["t_1c013a0212cb735795ad", "t_262a60885fe5c1060b0b", "d_d7859cbe9324583067ab", "t_9378417e6768e493a128"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Aryna Sabalenka", "Wimbledon", "Toronto"]}
{"id": "e_1d2997d92ceb_q0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "How many batters will Drew Rasmussen strike out in his next game by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "10", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "batters", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 11, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_1d2997d92ceb", "event_date": "2026-08-01", "supporting_event": "Drew Rasmussen struck out 10 batters in six innings during the game against the Chicago White Sox.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_1302cfa9", "storyline": "2026 MLB season", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_ca95ddd944f3d1c5ce8b", "t_297e99f41fd3cca223c9", "t_a85287a8db3b4322ea54", "t_6eb079d542e4f66d3335"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "10", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Drew Rasmussen struck out 10 in six strong innings", "quote_doc_id": "t_1d2997d92ceb1b51c69e", "settling_ids": ["t_1d2997d92ceb1b51c69e", "t_5fcb01f5cd9357138cb2"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Drew Rasmussen", "Tampa Bay Rays", "Chicago White Sox"]}
{"id": "e_1d5e689ab300_q0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "Will Luke Weaver be traded to the Pittsburgh Pirates by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 13, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_1d5e689ab300", "event_date": "2026-08-03", "supporting_event": "Luke Weaver was traded to the Pittsburgh Pirates from the New York Mets.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_0a2b3d62", "storyline": "2026 MLB trade deadline", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_6c6c829f45edb64c6215", "t_2d4b17e962f9533dd516"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "The Pirates traded for New York Mets right-handed relief pitcher Luke Weaver", "quote_doc_id": "t_1d5e689ab300d184e46f", "settling_ids": ["t_1d5e689ab300d184e46f", "t_40527a6bd768f62646ff"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Luke Weaver", "Pittsburgh Pirates", "New York Mets"]}
{"id": "e_1d5e689ab300_q0_neg", "domain": "Sports", "question": "Will Luke Weaver be traded to the Pittsburgh Pirates by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "No", "answer_type": "perturbed_binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 13, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_1d5e689ab300", "event_date": "2026-08-03", "supporting_event": "Luke Weaver was traded to the Pittsburgh Pirates from the New York Mets.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_0a2b3d62", "storyline": "2026 MLB trade deadline", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_6c6c829f45edb64c6215", "t_2d4b17e962f9533dd516"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "perturbed_binary", "value": "No", "tolerance": null, "quote": "The Pirates traded for New York Mets right-handed relief pitcher Luke Weaver", "quote_doc_id": "t_1d5e689ab300d184e46f", "settling_ids": ["t_1d5e689ab300d184e46f", "t_40527a6bd768f62646ff"], "derivation": "the event dated 2026-08-03 is after the shifted deadline 2026-07-28, so the claim is false at that deadline"}, "perturbation": {"field": "deadline", "original": "2026-08-04", "substituted": "2026-07-28", "v40_substituted": "2026-07-27"}, "paired_with": "e_1d5e689ab300_q0", "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Luke Weaver", "Pittsburgh Pirates", "New York Mets"]}
{"id": "e_1d5e689ab300_q1", "domain": "Sports", "question": "Who will the New York Mets receive in exchange for Luke Weaver by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "Sammy Stafura", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 13, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_1d5e689ab300", "event_date": "2026-08-03", "supporting_event": "Luke Weaver was traded to the Pittsburgh Pirates from the New York Mets.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_0a2b3d62", "storyline": "2026 MLB trade deadline", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_6c6c829f45edb64c6215", "t_2d4b17e962f9533dd516"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "Sammy Stafura", "tolerance": null, "quote": "The Mets will receive infield prospect Sammy Stafura in the deal.", "quote_doc_id": "t_40527a6bd768f62646ff", "settling_ids": ["t_1d5e689ab300d184e46f", "t_40527a6bd768f62646ff"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Luke Weaver", "Pittsburgh Pirates", "New York Mets"]}
{"id": "e_1d712d7d8e9a_q0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "How many matches will Pakistan have won in the World Test Championship after their match against West Indies by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "2", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 15, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_1d712d7d8e9a", "event_date": "2026-08-05", "supporting_event": "Pakistan beat West Indies by eight wickets in the second Test to level the two-match series.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_104e85ce", "storyline": "World Test Championship 2025-27", "linked_domains": ["Geopolitics", "Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_90e5023d8cbf8b35120e", "t_2f6220ba157f1c23e96f", "t_6e6df0a96d501624c9c5"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "2", "tolerance": 0.1, "quote": "They now have two wins in six matches.", "quote_doc_id": "t_3e13f3d1d323b939a62d", "settling_ids": ["t_1d712d7d8e9aec79e17b", "t_3e13f3d1d323b939a62d"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Pakistan", "West Indies", "Babar Azam"]}
{"id": "e_1f48a5c59fb0_i0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "What position does Patrick Cantlay hold in the Rocket Classic by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "T1", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 9, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_1f48a5c59fb0", "event_date": "2026-07-30", "supporting_event": "Jackson Koivun won the 3M Open in just his third career start as a professional.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_09f7545c", "storyline": "2026 PGA Tour season", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_8e826f946331dca76fe7", "t_0a7e883d3ea233c9748f", "t_02d5c6f1130f77cc83b7", "t_0bc25b0df47f0409b983", "t_cc18fb6f57a58800acec"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "T1", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Patrick Cantlay hits tee shot to 7 feet, makes birdie on No. 5 at Rocket Classic", "quote_doc_id": "i_9f4e0029fcdf11f5cf5b_1", "settling_ids": ["t_9f4e0029fcdf11f5cf5b", "t_827cfdd23e021953fe7d", "t_1f48a5c59fb0944fc238", "t_52fcafcdbfd4d63d49b8", "t_04fa59ab0eb4043e0394", "t_a1cf1e0f9a5f49734e2c"], "visible_detail": "the leaderboard showing Patrick Cantlay at -9"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Jackson Koivun", "3M Open", "Scottie Scheffler"]}
{"id": "e_2204aaa2a389_q1", "domain": "Sports", "question": "Who will succeed Hervé Renard as head coach of the national team of Tunisia by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "Moin Chaabani", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 7, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_2204aaa2a389", "event_date": "2026-07-28", "supporting_event": "Moin Chaabani has been appointed as head coach of the national team of Tunisia until 2030.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_097bf7a0", "storyline": "Italy national football team coaching appointment", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_510b0256d479ef18539f", "t_b7517049357a9a45de9c", "t_0afab7d5ef96bdd1c573"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "Moin Chaabani", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Chaabani succeeds Frenchman Herve Renard", "quote_doc_id": "t_2204aaa2a389bc9c09fe", "settling_ids": ["t_2204aaa2a389bc9c09fe", "t_a3ac700ba9c9731e0605"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Moin Chaabani", "Tunisian Football Federation", "Tunisia"]}
{"id": "e_22ae3013a218_q1", "domain": "Sports", "question": "What will be Yoshinobu Yamamoto's ERA after his game against the Arizona Diamondbacks by 2026-08-11?", "options": ["2.80", "3.10", "3.50", "2.65"], "answer": "2.65", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 19, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_22ae3013a218", "event_date": "2026-08-09", "supporting_event": "Yoshinobu Yamamoto allowed three hits against the Arizona Diamondbacks on August 9, 2026.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_22ae3013", "storyline": "2026 MLB season", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_e4b88fe7e00548f0611c", "t_f4e31c26de1b458923a8"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "2.65", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Yamamoto has a stellar 2.65 ERA", "quote_doc_id": "t_22ae3013a218490b6b8a", "settling_ids": ["t_22ae3013a218490b6b8a", "t_1d62686d19c262697c4d"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Yoshinobu Yamamoto", "Los Angeles Dodgers", "Arizona Diamondbacks"]}
{"id": "e_23f1976cd6c2_q1", "domain": "Sports", "question": "Which team will win the sixth edition of the Lanka Premier League by 2026-08-11?", "options": ["Colombo Stars", "Galle Gallants", "Jaffna Kings", "Kandy Falcons"], "answer": "Galle Gallants", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 18, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_23f1976cd6c2", "event_date": "2026-08-08", "supporting_event": "Flash Sports & Media Holdings, Inc. completed Season 6 of the Lanka Premier League on August 8, 2026.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_23f1976c", "storyline": "Lanka Premier League 2026", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Environment"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["d_cb2aa710dd5c40f0241a", "d_d98febbf6e15ff97bb8c", "d_c9d71aaffbd4cb7fe1e4", "t_c0d2cc48498cf367e322"], "precursor_modalities": ["D", "T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "Galle Gallants", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Galle Gallants won the title for the first time, defeating defending champions Jaffna Kings by five wickets.", "quote_doc_id": "t_865b32db2658222a992e", "settling_ids": ["t_865b32db2658222a992e", "t_e5214f3c0d5c7cdb9483", "t_058850fcafeb5b3c3653", "t_b6107b9ec870a32d2a97", "d_23f1976cd6c2226e9383"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Flash Sports & Media Holdings, Inc.", "Lanka Premier League", "Galle Gallants", "Jaffna Kings"]}
{"id": "e_23f1976cd6c2_q2", "domain": "Sports", "question": "How many matches will be contested in Season 6 of the Lanka Premier League by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "24", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "matches", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 18, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_23f1976cd6c2", "event_date": "2026-08-08", "supporting_event": "Flash Sports & Media Holdings, Inc. completed Season 6 of the Lanka Premier League on August 8, 2026.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_23f1976c", "storyline": "Lanka Premier League 2026", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Environment"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["d_cb2aa710dd5c40f0241a", "d_d98febbf6e15ff97bb8c", "d_c9d71aaffbd4cb7fe1e4", "t_c0d2cc48498cf367e322"], "precursor_modalities": ["D", "T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "24", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Season 6 ran from 17 July to 8 August 2026; five franchises contested 24 matches across four venues", "quote_doc_id": "t_865b32db2658222a992e", "settling_ids": ["t_865b32db2658222a992e", "t_e5214f3c0d5c7cdb9483", "t_058850fcafeb5b3c3653", "t_b6107b9ec870a32d2a97", "d_23f1976cd6c2226e9383"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Flash Sports & Media Holdings, Inc.", "Lanka Premier League", "Galle Gallants", "Jaffna Kings"]}
{"id": "e_24dd9c1a0d40_q0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "Which team will Banyana Banyana face in the quarterfinal of the Women’s Africa Cup of Nations by 2026-08-04?", "options": ["Morocco", "Burkina Faso", "Tanzania", "Ivory Coast"], "answer": "Morocco", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 14, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_24dd9c1a0d40", "event_date": "2026-08-04", "supporting_event": "Banyana Banyana earned a hard-fought 1-0 win over Burkina Faso to progress to the knockout stage of the Women’s Africa Cup of Nations.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_142bc8d2", "storyline": "2026 Women's Africa Cup of Nations", "linked_domains": ["Geopolitics", "Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_55263360d6992ef8e981", "i_81caa66199bb01039ef5_0"], "precursor_modalities": ["I", "T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "Morocco", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Banyana will meet host Morocco in the quarterfinal in Rabat on Saturday, where a place in the semifinal and the 2027 Fifa World Cup in Brazil will be at stake.", "quote_doc_id": "t_24dd9c1a0d40dbeb1f51", "settling_ids": ["t_24dd9c1a0d40dbeb1f51", "t_fa86d137442a5794c599", "t_ffe99055ae71b208f722"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Banyana Banyana", "Burkina Faso", "Women’s Africa Cup of Nations", "Stade Moulay Rachid", "Casablanca"]}
{"id": "e_25813cdca8ef_q0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "Will Dylan Cease throw a complete-game shutout against the Boston Red Sox by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 5, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_25813cdca8ef", "event_date": "2026-07-26", "supporting_event": "Dylan Cease tossed a complete-game shutout against the Boston Red Sox on July 26, 2026.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_036ccd3e", "storyline": "2026 MLB season", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_897f75a038621c26784c", "t_9bce4ee15347f3fe5bcc", "t_b2063ab0e3c841b5aa45", "t_10e7949ce8b72a840fb1"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Cease threw a career-high 120 pitches en route to his third career complete game, shutting out the Red Sox and allowing just one hit for the second time in his past three starts.", "quote_doc_id": "t_25813cdca8ef216cd3d4", "settling_ids": ["t_25813cdca8ef216cd3d4", "t_126a4a9789f336f5ad92"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Dylan Cease", "Boston Red Sox", "Toronto Blue Jays"]}
{"id": "e_26910ff6145c_i0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "What was the final score of the match by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "Pakistan won by eight wickets", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 15, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_26910ff6145c", "event_date": "2026-08-05", "supporting_event": "Pakistan secured their first away test win in three years with an eight-wicket victory over West Indies.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_104e85ce", "storyline": "World Test Championship 2025-27", "linked_domains": ["Geopolitics", "Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_90e5023d8cbf8b35120e", "t_2f6220ba157f1c23e96f", "t_6e6df0a96d501624c9c5"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "Pakistan won by eight wickets", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_c5fe79fd4ea458c1d939_0", "settling_ids": ["t_c5fe79fd4ea458c1d939", "t_26910ff6145cd38b1bb7", "t_935f7865c6e5e3297f85", "t_afa3b38259742d79fe4f", "t_85a73a4710b36238a239", "t_fe755a389c7d2b815443"], "visible_detail": "the scoreboard showing the match result"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Pakistan", "West Indies"]}
{"id": "e_26910ff6145c_q1", "domain": "Sports", "question": "Who will Pakistan secure their first away Test win against by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "West Indies", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 15, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_26910ff6145c", "event_date": "2026-08-05", "supporting_event": "Pakistan secured their first away test win in three years with an eight-wicket victory over West Indies.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_104e85ce", "storyline": "World Test Championship 2025-27", "linked_domains": ["Geopolitics", "Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_90e5023d8cbf8b35120e", "t_2f6220ba157f1c23e96f", "t_6e6df0a96d501624c9c5"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "West Indies", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Pakistan secured their first away test win in three years with an eight-wicket victory over West Indies", "quote_doc_id": "t_c5fe79fd4ea458c1d939", "settling_ids": ["t_26910ff6145cd38b1bb7", "t_935f7865c6e5e3297f85", "t_afa3b38259742d79fe4f", "t_c5fe79fd4ea458c1d939"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Pakistan", "West Indies"]}
{"id": "e_26910ff6145c_q2", "domain": "Sports", "question": "Will Pakistan end their away Test losing streak by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 15, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_26910ff6145c", "event_date": "2026-08-05", "supporting_event": "Pakistan secured their first away test win in three years with an eight-wicket victory over West Indies.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_104e85ce", "storyline": "World Test Championship 2025-27", "linked_domains": ["Geopolitics", "Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_90e5023d8cbf8b35120e", "t_2f6220ba157f1c23e96f", "t_6e6df0a96d501624c9c5"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Pakistan secured their first away test win in three years with an eight-wicket victory over West Indies", "quote_doc_id": "t_c5fe79fd4ea458c1d939", "settling_ids": ["t_26910ff6145cd38b1bb7", "t_935f7865c6e5e3297f85", "t_afa3b38259742d79fe4f", "t_c5fe79fd4ea458c1d939"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Pakistan", "West Indies"]}
{"id": "e_26910ff6145c_q2_neg", "domain": "Sports", "question": "Will Pakistan end their away Test losing streak by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "No", "answer_type": "perturbed_binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 15, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_26910ff6145c", "event_date": "2026-08-05", "supporting_event": "Pakistan secured their first away test win in three years with an eight-wicket victory over West Indies.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_104e85ce", "storyline": "World Test Championship 2025-27", "linked_domains": ["Geopolitics", "Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_90e5023d8cbf8b35120e", "t_2f6220ba157f1c23e96f", "t_6e6df0a96d501624c9c5"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "perturbed_binary", "value": "No", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Pakistan secured their first away test win in three years with an eight-wicket victory over West Indies", "quote_doc_id": "t_c5fe79fd4ea458c1d939", "settling_ids": ["t_26910ff6145cd38b1bb7", "t_935f7865c6e5e3297f85", "t_afa3b38259742d79fe4f", "t_c5fe79fd4ea458c1d939"], "derivation": "the event dated 2026-08-05 is after the shifted deadline 2026-08-04, so the claim is false at that deadline"}, "perturbation": {"field": "deadline", "original": "2026-08-11", "substituted": "2026-08-04", "v40_substituted": "2026-07-28"}, "paired_with": "e_26910ff6145c_q2", "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Pakistan", "West Indies"]}
{"id": "e_26e713bd678d_q0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "Who will finish tied for sixth at the AIG Women's Open by 2026-08-04?", "options": ["Ryu Hae-ran", "Shiho Kuwaki", "Esther Henseleit", "Nelly Korda"], "answer": "Ryu Hae-ran", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 12, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_26e713bd678d", "event_date": "2026-08-02", "supporting_event": "Ryu Hae-ran finished tied for sixth at the AIG Women's Open with a total of 283 strokes.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_26e713bd", "storyline": "2026 AIG Women's Open", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_4d886f0048ff4ef7a61a", "t_d42423ff5e714828f77e", "t_08d188ad83ff8155402d", "t_dd2c41ab7c0d76ffc3c8", "t_fcbcfc084b113ab75a08"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "Ryu Hae-ran", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Ryu finished tied for sixth at the AIG Women's Open at Royal Lytham & St Annes Golf Club in Lytham St Annes, England, on Sunday.", "quote_doc_id": "t_f9b7c76df2ae0e9b3589", "settling_ids": ["t_26e713bd678d60e278cc", "t_f9b7c76df2ae0e9b3589", "t_9d0e0ae6bfe2364fec30", "t_612e05bf62b3040482d9"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Ryu Hae-ran", "AIG Women's Open", "Royal Lytham & St Annes Golf Club"]}
{"id": "e_2c5c08db680e_q0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "How many home runs will Pete Crow-Armstrong have by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "26", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "home runs", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 17, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_2c5c08db680e", "event_date": "2026-08-07", "supporting_event": "Pete Crow-Armstrong overtook Shohei Ohtani as the NL MVP favorite.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_2c5c08db", "storyline": "2026 NL MVP race", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_d181def77cbf14ae0084", "t_a9263999b6b1084f9cad", "t_9e2e1428e3915c547aa7", "t_5d1e954290114c44d02a", "t_c822f4f7b6dbc1ebde7d"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "26", "tolerance": null, "quote": "PCA is hitting .288 with 26 home runs", "quote_doc_id": "t_50acb44ae4240ddae491", "settling_ids": ["t_2c5c08db680e32158567", "t_50acb44ae4240ddae491"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Pete Crow-Armstrong", "Shohei Ohtani", "Chicago Cubs", "Los Angeles Dodgers"]}
{"id": "e_2c5c08db680e_q1", "domain": "Sports", "question": "Who will be the favorite for the NL MVP by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "Pete Crow-Armstrong", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 17, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_2c5c08db680e", "event_date": "2026-08-07", "supporting_event": "Pete Crow-Armstrong overtook Shohei Ohtani as the NL MVP favorite.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_2c5c08db", "storyline": "2026 NL MVP race", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_d181def77cbf14ae0084", "t_a9263999b6b1084f9cad", "t_9e2e1428e3915c547aa7", "t_5d1e954290114c44d02a", "t_c822f4f7b6dbc1ebde7d"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "Pete Crow-Armstrong", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Crow-Armstrong overtook Dodgers star Shohei Ohtani as the NL MVP favorite", "quote_doc_id": "t_50acb44ae4240ddae491", "settling_ids": ["t_2c5c08db680e32158567", "t_50acb44ae4240ddae491"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Pete Crow-Armstrong", "Shohei Ohtani", "Chicago Cubs", "Los Angeles Dodgers"]}
{"id": "e_2c8eae0fef15_q1", "domain": "Sports", "question": "How many uncapped players will Dave Rennie name in the All Blacks squad for the tour of South Africa by 2026-07-28?", "options": ["Three", "Two", "One", "Four"], "answer": "Three", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": "players", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 6, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_2c8eae0fef15", "event_date": "2026-07-27", "supporting_event": "Dave Rennie named three uncapped players in the All Blacks squad for the tour of South Africa.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_2c8eae0f", "storyline": "2026 All Blacks South Africa Tour", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_ed98d892c079d5b5e550", "t_c124b97390ce77c29f0f", "t_971f60df03cf83ba5857"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "Three", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Dave Rennie naming three uncapped players in prop Siale Lauaki, back-rower Semisi Tupou Ta'eiloa and fly-half Josh Jacomb", "quote_doc_id": "t_2c8eae0fef15a912ab82", "settling_ids": ["t_2c8eae0fef15a912ab82", "t_1e23e527e1d1bc356551", "t_11da2413143039026ce8", "t_90f571e2850b380cf912"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Dave Rennie", "Semisi Tupou Ta'eiloa", "Siale Lauaki", "Josh Jacomb", "All Blacks"]}
{"id": "e_2dadefde662c_q1", "domain": "Sports", "question": "Who will be named to the Maxwell Award Watch List by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "Trinidad Chambliss", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 11, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_2dadefde662c", "event_date": "2026-08-01", "supporting_event": "Trinidad Chambliss was named to the Maxwell Award Watch List.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_2dadefde", "storyline": "2026 college football preseason awards", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_f50386b9f7ce1b18e3c1", "t_b3b2cf11f38b2203934c", "t_8cccc8d308b78a080e1d"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "Trinidad Chambliss", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Chambliss was a semifinalist for the award last season, and he enters 2026 as one of the top returning quarterbacks in the country.", "quote_doc_id": "t_7d87e3a74556b5b44446", "settling_ids": ["t_2dadefde662cc7f201e7", "t_7d87e3a74556b5b44446"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Trinidad Chambliss", "Kewan Lacy", "Maxwell Football Club"]}
{"id": "e_2e0510a712cc_i0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "What was the highest score displayed on the scoreboard by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "57", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 1, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_2e0510a712cc", "event_date": "2026-07-22", "supporting_event": "Shreyas Iyer said the team received a reality check during its recent tour of Ireland.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_2e0510a7", "storyline": "2026 T20I series preparation", "linked_domains": ["Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_2666e61a1b603e17babb", "t_08eeaf23045e47ed8aeb", "t_ba262e8965c473662ce6", "t_5d7028d8da1de7ca811a"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "57", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_2e0510a712cce2d33fb0_0", "settling_ids": ["t_2e0510a712cce2d33fb0", "t_ae82664dfb61a195b38a", "t_da344625027997c8867c"], "visible_detail": "the scoreboard showing numbers 50, 52, 53, 55, 57"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Shreyas Iyer", "Ireland"]}
{"id": "e_2eaa645d78ad_q0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "How many parts will Aston Martin's major upgrade package for the AMR26 consist of by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "16", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "parts", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 1, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_2eaa645d78ad", "event_date": "2026-07-22", "supporting_event": "Aston Martin introduced a major upgrade package for the AMR26 consisting of 16 parts.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_0b404ab0", "storyline": "2026 Formula 1 season", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_7bd921eb9e3a6a8338fb", "t_dc4925e27aaf3932f980", "t_c6fa667b7db5e7a9530c", "t_39760b190bb3fac10713"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "16", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Aston Martin introduced its major upgrade package for the AMR26 in Hungary, as advertised. It was a 16-part package.", "quote_doc_id": "t_e8e5a1e0c22cb448a871", "settling_ids": ["t_2eaa645d78ad4fab6bc3", "t_e8e5a1e0c22cb448a871", "t_d9873fbca005a5c60992", "t_bd19ce4a06fe18f7cc92"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Aston Martin", "AMR26"]}
{"id": "e_31a0eef6fc64_d0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "What percentage of subjects in the AXPAXLI (0.45 mg) arm maintain vision by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "74.1%", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "percent", "modality_required": "D", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 11, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_31a0eef6fc64", "event_date": "2026-08-01", "supporting_event": "Australia defeated Ireland by 50 points in the first ever AFLW game between the countries.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_31a0eef6", "storyline": "2026 AFLW international fixtures", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_667e8f5139e165b54a68", "t_0472e81115fcbbe68d95"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "74.1%", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the superiority primary endpoint was met with 74.1% of subjects in the AXPAXLI (0.45 mg) arm maintaining vision at Week 36", "quote_doc_id": "d_c1f0033cb560db722bf3", "settling_ids": ["d_c1f0033cb560db722bf3", "t_31a0eef6fc64345c26f0", "t_e76912efdb1ebb9305f1", "t_2b5faf33a64505791df9"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Australia", "Ireland", "AFLW", "Colin O’Riordan", "Orla O’Dwyer", "Bláithín Bogue"]}
{"id": "e_31a0eef6fc64_q0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "What will be the point difference by which Australia defeats Ireland in the first AFLW international match by 2026-08-04?", "options": ["50", "30", "60", "40"], "answer": "50", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": "points", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 11, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_31a0eef6fc64", "event_date": "2026-08-01", "supporting_event": "Australia defeated Ireland by 50 points in the first ever AFLW game between the countries.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_31a0eef6", "storyline": "2026 AFLW international fixtures", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_667e8f5139e165b54a68", "t_0472e81115fcbbe68d95"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "50", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Australia secured a resounding victory over Ireland in the first ever AFLW game between the countries on Saturday, winning 91-41 in Sydney.", "quote_doc_id": "t_31a0eef6fc64345c26f0", "settling_ids": ["t_31a0eef6fc64345c26f0", "t_2b5faf33a64505791df9", "t_e76912efdb1ebb9305f1", "d_c1f0033cb560db722bf3"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Australia", "Ireland", "AFLW", "Colin O’Riordan", "Orla O’Dwyer", "Bláithín Bogue"]}
{"id": "e_31b50908d749_q2", "domain": "Sports", "question": "What will be the value of Deebo Samuel's contract with the San Francisco 49ers by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "7", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "million", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 10, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_31b50908d749", "event_date": "2026-07-31", "supporting_event": "Deebo Samuel agreed to reunite with the San Francisco 49ers on a one-year contract worth $7 million.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_31b50908", "storyline": "2026 NFL season transactions", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_27395de3b3a202834d97", "t_45ed1caddd63f24c2f5c"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "7", "tolerance": 0.1, "quote": "a one-year deal worth up to $7 million", "quote_doc_id": "t_31b50908d749ad30ff88", "settling_ids": ["t_31b50908d749ad30ff88", "t_3c7b59cfd2f9c99bd690"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Deebo Samuel", "San Francisco 49ers"]}
{"id": "e_31fe7cabc2fd_q0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "What will be the outcome of Baker Mayfield's contract negotiations with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers by 2026-08-04?", "options": ["He will sign a multi-year contract.", "He will retire from professional football.", "He will fail to get a long-term extension.", "He will be traded to another team."], "answer": "He will fail to get a long-term extension.", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 9, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_31fe7cabc2fd", "event_date": "2026-07-30", "supporting_event": "Baker Mayfield failed to get a long-term extension as the Tampa Bay Buccaneers opened training camp.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_31fe7cab", "storyline": "Tampa Bay Buccaneers training camp 2026", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_85693f775f372062e4cf", "t_af45b4f9d26385edb645", "t_e512db5a175ecef24400", "t_94ed58a469ab6be47392", "t_fd5ec87f64f1a0595e22"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "He will fail to get a long-term extension.", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Baker Mayfield was on the field leading the offense after failing to get a long-term extension.", "quote_doc_id": "t_59e10e3a6a9f43f3d5f6", "settling_ids": ["t_31fe7cabc2fdce241cbd", "t_59e10e3a6a9f43f3d5f6"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Baker Mayfield", "Tampa Bay Buccaneers"]}
{"id": "e_32857c6f7644_q1", "domain": "Sports", "question": "How many first-place votes will Ohio State receive in the AFCA coaches poll by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "38", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 14, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_32857c6f7644", "event_date": "2026-08-04", "supporting_event": "Ohio State will start the 2026 season as the No. 1 team in the AFCA coaches poll.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_2a7a52f4", "storyline": "2026 college football recruitment", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_7f2df4263e5ddf077b8e", "t_319fc8a2f80d9ebdb1f5", "t_b367af17f726a0b95295"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "38", "tolerance": null, "quote": "received 38 of 72 first-place votes.", "quote_doc_id": "t_32857c6f7644cff8077e", "settling_ids": ["t_32857c6f7644cff8077e", "t_7e538e8070778768bd12"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Ohio State", "AFCA coaches poll"]}
{"id": "e_330fbc93cccc_i0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "Will Angel Reese's Barbie doll be featured prominently in WNBA merchandise by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 3, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_330fbc93cccc", "event_date": "2026-07-24", "supporting_event": "Angel Reese gets her own Barbie doll in return to Chicago for WNBA All-Star Game.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_064e1210", "storyline": "2026 WNBA All-Star Game", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Geopolitics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_5f6857aef7b913bb56bc", "t_6054263feceebf61da6c", "t_5a5f3fff0aa2128602b4"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Aces forward Jackie Young shows off a doll of Angel Reese during a news conference at Obama Presidential Center ini Chicago.", "quote_doc_id": "i_330fbc93cccc8066f21f_1", "settling_ids": ["t_330fbc93cccc8066f21f", "t_dc7ec04f51ee89954f10"], "visible_detail": "the name 'ANGEL REESE' on the doll packaging"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Angel Reese", "Barbie", "WNBA", "Chicago", "Atlanta Dream"]}
{"id": "e_330fbc93cccc_q0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "Who will receive a Barbie doll in connection with the WNBA All-Star Game by 2026-07-28?", "options": ["Paige Bueckers", "Breanna Stewart", "Angel Reese", "Caitlin Clark"], "answer": "Angel Reese", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 3, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_330fbc93cccc", "event_date": "2026-07-24", "supporting_event": "Angel Reese gets her own Barbie doll in return to Chicago for WNBA All-Star Game.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_064e1210", "storyline": "2026 WNBA All-Star Game", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Geopolitics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_5f6857aef7b913bb56bc", "t_6054263feceebf61da6c", "t_5a5f3fff0aa2128602b4"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "Angel Reese", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Angel Reese gets her own Barbie doll in return to Chicago for WNBA All-Star Game", "quote_doc_id": "t_dc7ec04f51ee89954f10", "settling_ids": ["t_330fbc93cccc8066f21f", "t_dc7ec04f51ee89954f10"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Angel Reese", "Barbie", "WNBA", "Chicago", "Atlanta Dream"]}
{"id": "e_343b5f91dd6d_q0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "Will Baker Mayfield be leading the offense of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 13, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_343b5f91dd6d", "event_date": "2026-08-03", "supporting_event": "Baker Mayfield was on the field leading the offense after failing to get a long-term extension.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_31fe7cab", "storyline": "Tampa Bay Buccaneers training camp 2026", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_85693f775f372062e4cf", "t_aef65cd400da4c33245b", "t_af45b4f9d26385edb645", "t_e512db5a175ecef24400", "t_94ed58a469ab6be47392", "t_fd5ec87f64f1a0595e22"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Baker Mayfield was on the field leading the offense after failing to get a long-term extension.", "quote_doc_id": "t_343b5f91dd6ddf2a0c4e", "settling_ids": ["t_343b5f91dd6ddf2a0c4e", "t_59e10e3a6a9f43f3d5f6"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Baker Mayfield", "Tampa Bay Buccaneers"]}
{"id": "e_343b5f91dd6d_q0_neg", "domain": "Sports", "question": "Will Baker Mayfield be leading the offense of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "No", "answer_type": "perturbed_binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 13, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_343b5f91dd6d", "event_date": "2026-08-03", "supporting_event": "Baker Mayfield was on the field leading the offense after failing to get a long-term extension.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_31fe7cab", "storyline": "Tampa Bay Buccaneers training camp 2026", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_85693f775f372062e4cf", "t_aef65cd400da4c33245b", "t_af45b4f9d26385edb645", "t_e512db5a175ecef24400", "t_94ed58a469ab6be47392", "t_fd5ec87f64f1a0595e22"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "perturbed_binary", "value": "No", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Baker Mayfield was on the field leading the offense after failing to get a long-term extension.", "quote_doc_id": "t_343b5f91dd6ddf2a0c4e", "settling_ids": ["t_343b5f91dd6ddf2a0c4e", "t_59e10e3a6a9f43f3d5f6"], "derivation": "the event dated 2026-08-03 is after the shifted deadline 2026-07-28, so the claim is false at that deadline"}, "perturbation": {"field": "deadline", "original": "2026-08-04", "substituted": "2026-07-28", "v40_substituted": "2026-07-27"}, "paired_with": "e_343b5f91dd6d_q0", "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Baker Mayfield", "Tampa Bay Buccaneers"]}
{"id": "e_35843ac6506c_q2", "domain": "Sports", "question": "How much will the Denver Nuggets' projected tax penalty increase by if they match Spencer Jones' offer sheet by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "32", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "million", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 6, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_35843ac6506c", "event_date": "2026-07-27", "supporting_event": "The Denver Nuggets are matching the Oklahoma City Thunder's fully guaranteed two-year, $12 million offer sheet to Spencer Jones.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_0d9cac9f", "storyline": "2026 NBA Free Agency", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_120886a47f11006b287f", "t_9da9aba9cfcb1ce3d791", "t_44a540f8b8b1a7057284"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "32", "tolerance": 0.1, "quote": "By matching Jones' sheet, the Nuggets' projected tax penalty will increase by $32 million.", "quote_doc_id": "t_35843ac6506c803e2131", "settling_ids": ["t_35843ac6506c803e2131", "t_6e7218ccd25f0c3447e4", "t_67aca6168f2482298318", "t_a137ba1ca7c33a53f0d4"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Denver Nuggets", "Oklahoma City Thunder", "Spencer Jones"]}
{"id": "e_35c0fe700b22_q2", "domain": "Sports", "question": "How many matches did Shreyas Iyer's team lose in the series against England before facing Zimbabwe by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "4", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 2, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_35c0fe700b22", "event_date": "2026-07-23", "supporting_event": "Shreyas Iyer aims for his first win as India's T20 skipper against Zimbabwe.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_35c0fe70", "storyline": "2026 T20I series between India and Zimbabwe", "linked_domains": ["Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_d2342c22b428a6e3d664", "t_92f13bf4769ae51b07a2", "t_18e3b43d386b0c1bc2f9"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "4", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the team suffering a 2-0 series defeat against Ireland followed by a 4-0 loss to England", "quote_doc_id": "t_35c0fe700b22572d68b7", "settling_ids": ["t_35c0fe700b22572d68b7", "t_761610dc22b5daf9e6ec", "t_a4ccafb8c85814ca12b5", "t_c33098c9d477420ca111"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Shreyas Iyer", "Zimbabwe"]}
{"id": "e_3628b3e59ac4_q0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "How many hits will Ezequiel Tovar have in his next game against the Tampa Bay Rays by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "4", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 13, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_3628b3e59ac4", "event_date": "2026-08-03", "supporting_event": "Ezequiel Tovar went 4-for-4 and hit a home run in a game against the Tampa Bay Rays.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_3628b3e5", "storyline": "2026 MLB season", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_55c91c0449e63b5cfa2c", "t_bd337e8490d07da01e34"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "4", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Tovar went 4-for-4 with a solo home run and two additional runs scored in Monday's 13-9 loss to the Rays.", "quote_doc_id": "t_e17858ef33a33775d454", "settling_ids": ["t_3628b3e59ac4359363ad", "t_e17858ef33a33775d454"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Ezequiel Tovar", "Colorado Rockies", "Tampa Bay Rays"]}
{"id": "e_366609dc7328_q0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "Which team will LeBron James join by 2026-07-28?", "options": ["the Los Angeles Lakers", "the Miami Heat", "the Philadelphia 76ers", "the Boston Celtics"], "answer": "the Philadelphia 76ers", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 4, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_366609dc7328", "event_date": "2026-07-25", "supporting_event": "LeBron James joined the Philadelphia 76ers.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_366609dc", "storyline": "NBA player transfers 2026", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_9b15cd174e76d971b5f0", "t_bc49d94ba483a2dd2234", "t_b2b77128591d258da645", "t_e7fbab2e8c1b004b16fc", "t_5da7295d0f7447cd06a1"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "the Philadelphia 76ers", "tolerance": null, "quote": "LeBron James’ latest decision to join the Philadelphia 76ers.", "quote_doc_id": "t_366609dc7328ab4c9948", "settling_ids": ["t_366609dc7328ab4c9948", "t_66a429a1fdf2e35a5232", "t_f466cdcb043319bbecc3", "t_dcbcdf589496abe4d70c"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["LeBron James", "Philadelphia 76ers"]}
{"id": "e_36c5d8dab7fa_i0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "Will LeBron James wear jersey number 23 with the Philadelphia 76ers by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 3, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_36c5d8dab7fa", "event_date": "2026-07-24", "supporting_event": "LeBron James has decided to join the Philadelphia 76ers for the final chapter of his NBA career.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_36c5d8da", "storyline": "LeBron James NBA career", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_9b15cd174e76d971b5f0", "t_bc49d94ba483a2dd2234", "t_b2b77128591d258da645", "t_5da7295d0f7447cd06a1"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Mar 27, 2026; Los Angeles, California, USA; Los Angeles Lakers forward LeBron James (23) during the second half against the Brooklyn Nets at Crypto.com Arena. Mandatory Credit: William Liang-Imagn Images", "quote_doc_id": "i_36c5d8dab7fafabab95f_1", "settling_ids": ["t_36c5d8dab7fafabab95f", "t_c7c7ca546b0e4dd5252f", "t_9097c6a25b3e8a30dbec"], "visible_detail": "the jersey number 23 worn by LeBron James"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["LeBron James", "Philadelphia 76ers"]}
{"id": "e_36c5d8dab7fa_q1", "domain": "Sports", "question": "Which team will LeBron James join for his final NBA season by 2026-07-28?", "options": ["Cleveland Cavaliers", "Miami Heat", "Philadelphia 76ers", "Los Angeles Lakers"], "answer": "Philadelphia 76ers", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 3, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_36c5d8dab7fa", "event_date": "2026-07-24", "supporting_event": "LeBron James has decided to join the Philadelphia 76ers for the final chapter of his NBA career.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_36c5d8da", "storyline": "LeBron James NBA career", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_9b15cd174e76d971b5f0", "t_bc49d94ba483a2dd2234", "t_b2b77128591d258da645", "t_5da7295d0f7447cd06a1"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "Philadelphia 76ers", "tolerance": null, "quote": "LeBron James has decided to join the Philadelphia 76ers for the final chapter of his NBA career", "quote_doc_id": "t_36c5d8dab7fafabab95f", "settling_ids": ["t_36c5d8dab7fafabab95f", "t_c7c7ca546b0e4dd5252f", "t_9097c6a25b3e8a30dbec"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["LeBron James", "Philadelphia 76ers"]}
{"id": "e_3948de330a4c_q0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "How many hits will Wyatt Langford have in a game against the Seattle Mariners by 2026-07-28?", "options": ["Three", "Four", "One", "Two"], "answer": "Three", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 4, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_3948de330a4c", "event_date": "2026-07-25", "supporting_event": "Wyatt Langford had three hits in a game against the Seattle Mariners.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_3948de33", "storyline": "2026 MLB season", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_365ea130953603c745be", "t_8571efb858cfd5314f6c", "t_974db2efd0d87d6efc99", "t_6eed4d5084de3657154e", "t_de45c266158998b2bf67", "t_e1c3f75db0093936c8dc"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "Three", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Langford’s three hits included two doubles and matched his season high.", "quote_doc_id": "t_55949ea8fb800068927f", "settling_ids": ["t_3948de330a4c2a1667ef", "t_55949ea8fb800068927f", "t_3303a128a537132ed477", "t_3ff486ae0008abc15941"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Wyatt Langford", "Texas Rangers", "Seattle Mariners"]}
{"id": "e_3b2fc0c3370c_q1", "domain": "Sports", "question": "How many hits will Zac Thornton allow in his next start by 2026-07-28?", "options": ["5", "2", "3", "4"], "answer": "3", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": "hits", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 1, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_3b2fc0c3370c", "event_date": "2026-07-22", "supporting_event": "Zac Thornton earned his first career win as the New York Mets blanked the Milwaukee Brewers 4-0.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_3b2fc0c3", "storyline": "2026 MLB season", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_bc26fbb22bf975c5804e", "t_9125532349603858584a", "t_d0bbaf8b7df3c4fed042"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "3", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Thornton (1-1) allowed three hits and one walk while striking out two over six innings in his fourth major league start.", "quote_doc_id": "t_71788fc99d76c9f29059", "settling_ids": ["t_3b2fc0c3370c35d6aa1c", "t_71788fc99d76c9f29059", "t_1ca79c88867ef3d665a7"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Zac Thornton", "New York Mets", "Milwaukee Brewers"]}
{"id": "e_3c5b2a276c5c_q0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "Who will score a maiden Twenty20 international half-century in the match between India and Zimbabwe by 2026-07-28?", "options": ["Ishan Kishan", "Shreyas Iyer", "Vaibhav Sooryavanshi", "Wessly Madhevere"], "answer": "Vaibhav Sooryavanshi", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 2, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_3c5b2a276c5c", "event_date": "2026-07-23", "supporting_event": "Vaibhav Sooryavanshi scored a maiden Twenty20 international half-century in a seven-wicket victory over Zimbabwe.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_35c0fe70", "storyline": "2026 T20I series between India and Zimbabwe", "linked_domains": ["Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_57bcf7d49dbfe61d24f9", "t_d2342c22b428a6e3d664", "t_74a8b13c6556df4fdcb5"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "Vaibhav Sooryavanshi", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Sooryavanshi scored a maiden Twenty20 international half-century in a seven-wicket victory over Zimbabwe", "quote_doc_id": "t_3c5b2a276c5cc0fff3cb", "settling_ids": ["t_3c5b2a276c5cc0fff3cb", "t_8292da9419bce1a844cb"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Vaibhav Sooryavanshi", "Zimbabwe"]}
{"id": "e_3c5b2a276c5c_q1", "domain": "Sports", "question": "How many runs will Vaibhav Sooryavanshi score in his maiden Twenty20 international half-century against Zimbabwe by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "50", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "runs", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 2, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_3c5b2a276c5c", "event_date": "2026-07-23", "supporting_event": "Vaibhav Sooryavanshi scored a maiden Twenty20 international half-century in a seven-wicket victory over Zimbabwe.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_35c0fe70", "storyline": "2026 T20I series between India and Zimbabwe", "linked_domains": ["Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_57bcf7d49dbfe61d24f9", "t_d2342c22b428a6e3d664", "t_74a8b13c6556df4fdcb5"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "50", "tolerance": 0.1, "quote": "who struck four sixes and four fours in an 18-ball 50", "quote_doc_id": "t_8292da9419bce1a844cb", "settling_ids": ["t_3c5b2a276c5cc0fff3cb", "t_8292da9419bce1a844cb"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Vaibhav Sooryavanshi", "Zimbabwe"]}
{"id": "e_3db2142a0221_q0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "Who will work with the Broncos’ second-team offense ahead of Jarrett Stidham by 2026-08-04?", "options": ["Russell Wilson", "Sam Ehlinger", "Jarrett Stidham", "Bo Nix"], "answer": "Sam Ehlinger", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 11, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_3db2142a0221", "event_date": "2026-08-01", "supporting_event": "On August 1, 2026, Sam Ehlinger worked with the Broncos’ second-team offense ahead of Jarrett Stidham.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_3db2142a", "storyline": "Broncos quarterback competition 2026", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_b12128038734d5c37a25", "t_bc9e7aa4b17049828379", "t_b9644c6847f51d45194c"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "Sam Ehlinger", "tolerance": null, "quote": "On Saturday, it was Ehlinger, not Stidham, who worked with the Broncos’ second-team offense ahead of Stidham behind Nix and the starters.", "quote_doc_id": "t_65bd5fcf4e8bb6d5ac5b", "settling_ids": ["t_3db2142a0221fa6ecac5", "t_65bd5fcf4e8bb6d5ac5b", "t_cf51f6c7451ac2a1456c"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Sam Ehlinger", "Jarrett Stidham", "Denver Broncos"]}
{"id": "e_3dc6b6a1a219_q1", "domain": "Sports", "question": "On what date will the Central Coast Mariners' women's team be tasked with finding players and backroom staff for the upcoming season by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "October 17", "answer_type": "date", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 13, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_3dc6b6a1a219", "event_date": "2026-08-03", "supporting_event": "The Central Coast Mariners were rescued by new investors to ensure the team's survival.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_3dc6b6a1", "storyline": "A-League Women team restructuring", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_79dbb7f7c0f394c41f4a", "t_3623fce1a1c4b694e38f", "t_8d9319616bd6bb6b5e5a"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "date", "value": "October 17", "tolerance": 0, "quote": "HBG has emerged as the saviour of the Mariners' ALW side and will be tasked with finding players and backroom staff for the upcoming season, which starts on October 17.", "quote_doc_id": "t_955017d9a8191153fc03", "settling_ids": ["t_3dc6b6a1a21915a994f2", "t_955017d9a8191153fc03"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Central Coast Mariners", "Holman Barnes Group", "Wests Tigers", "APIA Leichhardt", "Total Soccer Growth Holdings", "Ruben Gnanalingam"]}
{"id": "e_3ea8288a1365_q1", "domain": "Sports", "question": "Will Vaibhav Sooryavanshi score a fifty in his next international match by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 3, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_3ea8288a1365", "event_date": "2026-07-24", "supporting_event": "Vaibhav Sooryavanshi became the youngest player to score a fifty in men's international cricket.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_2e0510a7", "storyline": "2026 T20I series preparation", "linked_domains": ["Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_7b7aac04f699b1dacaed", "t_2145331eaa60ff320bfe", "t_02bfb74f692c8e481986"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Vaibhav Sooryavanshi smashed an 18-ball half-century against Zimbabwe in the first T20I in Harare on Thursday.", "quote_doc_id": "t_3ea8288a1365035ee71b", "settling_ids": ["t_3ea8288a1365035ee71b", "t_9779862022b4284744c3", "t_39645bb1b2e2ca111332", "t_a21eaa77e3ebd65dbac5"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Vaibhav Sooryavanshi", "Zimbabwe", "BCCI"]}
{"id": "e_3f0f5f3d1d93_q0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "Will the Cronulla Sharks defeat the South Sydney Rabbitohs by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 12, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_3f0f5f3d1d93", "event_date": "2026-08-02", "supporting_event": "Cronulla Sharks defeated South Sydney Rabbitohs 32-16.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_3f0f5f3d", "storyline": "2026 NRL Premiership", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_b94ae837df3c695eb067", "t_7f18bc807142978754d1", "t_9cb45e3ee24095c382ec"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Cronulla have completed a statement round from the NRL heavyweights with a rousing 32-16 victory over South Sydney", "quote_doc_id": "t_3f0f5f3d1d935e14c748", "settling_ids": ["t_3f0f5f3d1d935e14c748", "t_3ebfc970d3f3027fa365", "t_987b062963bc4e4833df"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Cronulla Sharks", "South Sydney Rabbitohs"]}
{"id": "e_3f0f5f3d1d93_q0_neg", "domain": "Sports", "question": "Will the Cronulla Sharks defeat the South Sydney Rabbitohs by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "No", "answer_type": "perturbed_binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 12, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_3f0f5f3d1d93", "event_date": "2026-08-02", "supporting_event": "Cronulla Sharks defeated South Sydney Rabbitohs 32-16.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_3f0f5f3d", "storyline": "2026 NRL Premiership", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_b94ae837df3c695eb067", "t_7f18bc807142978754d1", "t_9cb45e3ee24095c382ec"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "perturbed_binary", "value": "No", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Cronulla have completed a statement round from the NRL heavyweights with a rousing 32-16 victory over South Sydney", "quote_doc_id": "t_3f0f5f3d1d935e14c748", "settling_ids": ["t_3f0f5f3d1d935e14c748", "t_3ebfc970d3f3027fa365", "t_987b062963bc4e4833df"], "derivation": "the event dated 2026-08-02 is after the shifted deadline 2026-07-28, so the claim is false at that deadline"}, "perturbation": {"field": "deadline", "original": "2026-08-04", "substituted": "2026-07-28", "v40_substituted": "2026-07-27"}, "paired_with": "e_3f0f5f3d1d93_q0", "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Cronulla Sharks", "South Sydney Rabbitohs"]}
{"id": "e_3f0f5f3d1d93_q2", "domain": "Sports", "question": "How many points will the Cronulla Sharks score against the South Sydney Rabbitohs by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "32", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "points", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 12, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_3f0f5f3d1d93", "event_date": "2026-08-02", "supporting_event": "Cronulla Sharks defeated South Sydney Rabbitohs 32-16.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_3f0f5f3d", "storyline": "2026 NRL Premiership", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_b94ae837df3c695eb067", "t_7f18bc807142978754d1", "t_9cb45e3ee24095c382ec"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "32", "tolerance": 0.1, "quote": "Cronulla have completed a statement round from the NRL heavyweights with a rousing 32-16 victory over South Sydney", "quote_doc_id": "t_3f0f5f3d1d935e14c748", "settling_ids": ["t_3f0f5f3d1d935e14c748", "t_3ebfc970d3f3027fa365", "t_987b062963bc4e4833df"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Cronulla Sharks", "South Sydney Rabbitohs"]}
{"id": "e_3f5a955addd0_q0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "Which team will acquire Freddy Peralta before the resolution deadline of 2026-08-04?", "options": ["Chicago White Sox", "Boston Red Sox", "Tampa Bay Rays", "New York Yankees"], "answer": "Tampa Bay Rays", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 12, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_3f5a955addd0", "event_date": "2026-08-02", "supporting_event": "The Tampa Bay Rays acquired Freddy Peralta in a trade with the New York Mets.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_0a2b3d62", "storyline": "2026 MLB trade deadline", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_c87a2e07e823e5453f61", "t_0a09dac2328eacf69a73", "t_bd6f35694177496f2530"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "Tampa Bay Rays", "tolerance": null, "quote": "The Tampa Bay Rays are acquiring right-hander Freddy Peralta in a trade with the New York Mets", "quote_doc_id": "t_3f5a955addd0daa22c91", "settling_ids": ["t_3f5a955addd0daa22c91", "t_e89a4732f8748c6083c7"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Tampa Bay Rays", "Freddy Peralta", "New York Mets"]}
{"id": "e_3fb9165e3f15_q0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "By 2026-08-11, how many home runs will Junior Caminero have hit this season?", "options": ["33", "30", "28", "35"], "answer": "33", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": "homeruns", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 17, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_3fb9165e3f15", "event_date": "2026-08-07", "supporting_event": "Junior Caminero hit his 33rd homer this season on August 7, 2026.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_3628b3e5", "storyline": "2026 MLB season", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_cd5b7c7d82260d2a1bb0", "t_fa4175f2dc9dce4c82a6", "t_01feac75af7a7e1896b0"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "33", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Caminero extended Tampa's lead to 3-0 in the third inning with a 449-foot blast off Tomoyuki Sugano, his 33rd homer this season, good for second most in the majors.", "quote_doc_id": "t_3fb9165e3f155f53b0a9", "settling_ids": ["t_3fb9165e3f155f53b0a9", "t_460533b4d9627591889f"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Junior Caminero", "Tampa Bay Rays", "Colorado Rockies"]}
{"id": "e_4028c01b5869_i0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "What title did the NSW Waratahs win by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "2026 SUPER RUGBY WOMEN'S CHAMPIONS", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 4, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_4028c01b5869", "event_date": "2026-07-25", "supporting_event": "NSW Waratahs won the Super W title for the seventh time.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_4028c01b", "storyline": "2026 Super W Championship", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_84b6b89b515fd4e8ee3d", "t_240bf67864b21e1a7457"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "2026 SUPER RUGBY WOMEN'S CHAMPIONS", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_4028c01b586978597835_0", "settling_ids": ["t_4028c01b586978597835", "t_2aa8986936899d1df999"], "visible_detail": "2026 SUPER RUGBY WOMEN'S CHAMPIONS"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["NSW Waratahs", "Fijian Drua", "Super W"]}
{"id": "e_40c006be3258_q0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "Who will be the preseason pick to win the Southeastern Conference championship by 2026-07-28?", "options": ["Texas", "Mississippi", "Georgia", "Alabama"], "answer": "Georgia", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 6, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_40c006be3258", "event_date": "2026-07-27", "supporting_event": "Georgia was the preseason pick to win the Southeastern Conference championship, receiving 88 of 164 votes.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_40c006be", "storyline": "2026 SEC Championship prediction", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_13f48d8ad50d58299bbf", "t_fb36ae5a02c0adca9f79", "t_9f42039fa72cbcd0bb48"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "Georgia", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Georgia was the preseason pick to win the Southeastern Conference championship", "quote_doc_id": "t_40c006be32581a8165d6", "settling_ids": ["t_40c006be32581a8165d6", "t_b18c0eb853e1be9c100b", "t_14d8dfe7203313df7c98", "t_adb0930d68b6a637a5d1"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Georgia", "Southeastern Conference"]}
{"id": "e_44934d94e1d7_i0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "What car number will be associated with the Aston Martin during the filming day at the Hungaroring by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "18", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 5, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_44934d94e1d7", "event_date": "2026-07-26", "supporting_event": "Honda will debut its new Formula 1 power unit at an Aston Martin filming day on Wednesday at the Hungaroring.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_0b404ab0", "storyline": "2026 Formula 1 season", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_0b10d26171b320af5c76", "t_7cf4c8fa4c3435287bc7"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "18", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_44934d94e1d719152d1e_0", "settling_ids": ["t_44934d94e1d719152d1e", "t_e8e5a1e0c22cb448a871", "t_e573e8e127900527c96e"], "visible_detail": "the car number 18 on the vehicle"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Honda", "Aston Martin", "F1"]}
{"id": "e_4551df49e70e_q2", "domain": "Sports", "question": "Will the upcoming Test series between Sri Lanka and India have free public admission by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 18, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_4551df49e70e", "event_date": "2026-08-08", "supporting_event": "Sri Lanka Cricket (SLC) announced free public admission for the upcoming two-match Test series against India.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_207903eb", "storyline": "2026 India Test series against Sri Lanka", "linked_domains": ["Law"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_d85b902c436b241c2211", "t_e3dd11742b10e30181b5"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Sri Lanka Cricket (SLC) has announced free public admission for the upcoming two-match Test series against India.", "quote_doc_id": "t_96eea8da30cc635b9b62", "settling_ids": ["t_4551df49e70ecb45768f", "t_96eea8da30cc635b9b62"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Sri Lanka Cricket", "India"]}
{"id": "e_4551df49e70e_q2_neg", "domain": "Sports", "question": "Will the upcoming Test series between Sri Lanka and India have free public admission by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "No", "answer_type": "perturbed_binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 18, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_4551df49e70e", "event_date": "2026-08-08", "supporting_event": "Sri Lanka Cricket (SLC) announced free public admission for the upcoming two-match Test series against India.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_207903eb", "storyline": "2026 India Test series against Sri Lanka", "linked_domains": ["Law"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_d85b902c436b241c2211", "t_e3dd11742b10e30181b5"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "perturbed_binary", "value": "No", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Sri Lanka Cricket (SLC) has announced free public admission for the upcoming two-match Test series against India.", "quote_doc_id": "t_96eea8da30cc635b9b62", "settling_ids": ["t_4551df49e70ecb45768f", "t_96eea8da30cc635b9b62"], "derivation": "the event dated 2026-08-08 is after the shifted deadline 2026-08-04, so the claim is false at that deadline"}, "perturbation": {"field": "deadline", "original": "2026-08-11", "substituted": "2026-08-04", "v40_substituted": "2026-07-30"}, "paired_with": "e_4551df49e70e_q2", "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Sri Lanka Cricket", "India"]}
{"id": "e_469664dcc637_q1", "domain": "Sports", "question": "Which rider will finish second in stage 19 of the Tour de France by 2026-07-28?", "options": ["Remco Evenepoel", "Lenny Martinez", "Richard Carapaz", "Sepp Kuss"], "answer": "Lenny Martinez", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 3, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_469664dcc637", "event_date": "2026-07-24", "supporting_event": "Tadej Pogacar won stage 19 of the Tour de France.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_469664dc", "storyline": "2026 Tour de France", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_3076fdf5cb58218aa6e8", "t_2db33097904acd942781", "t_8f25113cd5211353b874", "t_2b883addbd8ed95a71c9", "t_8a9a118982a5dd3cb53e"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "Lenny Martinez", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Martinez finished six seconds behind and Carapaz — who won Thursday's 18th stage with a brilliant breakaway win of his own — was nine seconds back.", "quote_doc_id": "t_3925058352da9fe31785", "settling_ids": ["t_469664dcc6376b90733b", "t_de6d24ace923c0f1a96a", "t_3925058352da9fe31785"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Tadej Pogacar", "Tour de France", "Alpe d'Huez"]}
{"id": "e_497887690530_q0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "What will be the transfer fee for Ferran Torres to Paris Saint-Germain by 2026-08-11?", "options": ["€60 million", "€40 million", "€70 million", "€50 million"], "answer": "€50 million", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": "million euros", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 19, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_497887690530", "event_date": "2026-08-09", "supporting_event": "Ferran Torres reached an agreement with Paris Saint-Germain for a transfer worth around €50 million.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_49788769", "storyline": "Ferran Torres transfer negotiations", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_08138912953ab98bd063", "t_5e734c5cd2a0c9fbed79"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "€50 million", "tolerance": null, "quote": "who will pay around €50 million ($57.8 million) for his services.", "quote_doc_id": "t_a3ddd25a2342fbef8006", "settling_ids": ["t_497887690530918f1e07", "t_a3ddd25a2342fbef8006", "t_5b6f560381cfa576fde7", "t_8302bf97d3c598565f60"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Ferran Torres", "Paris Saint-Germain"]}
{"id": "e_4aa5f89caa62_q0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "How many counts of assault will FIFA open against Roberto Ayala by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "1", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "D", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 2, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_4aa5f89caa62", "event_date": "2026-07-23", "supporting_event": "Roberto Ayala denied having hit Dani Olmo after the 2026 World Cup final.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_4aa5f89c", "storyline": "2026 World Cup final aftermath", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_8eed1f8723cac57e1b9c", "t_93a29467ac25506a8a52", "t_a8f9f4978c096432fad6"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "1", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the FIFA Disciplinary Committee has opened disciplinary proceedings – for potential breaches of article 14 paragraph 1 i) of the FIFA Disciplinary Code (assault) – against Argentinian official Roberto Ayala (one count).", "quote_doc_id": "d_566f3284eaf90d7b7970", "settling_ids": ["t_4aa5f89caa62c95e7a22", "t_825d5bf453628c90f5d3", "t_c10db1eefe28f660d8c7", "t_ea6316d8f4eeb190324d", "d_566f3284eaf90d7b7970"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Roberto Ayala", "Dani Olmo", "Argentina national team", "Spain national team", "2026 World Cup"]}
{"id": "e_4c0fb8f0f64b_i0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "Will the Seattle Mariners win against the Detroit Tigers by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 15, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_4c0fb8f0f64b", "event_date": "2026-08-05", "supporting_event": "Julio Rodríguez hit a home run during the game against the Detroit Tigers.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_4c0fb8f0", "storyline": "2026 MLB season", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_65390a19c19f4fc597dc", "t_6bec30dea2027c6261d4", "t_af046f81df90246976fc", "t_8f7719fd5f85dd3152ef"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Bryce Miller and the Mariners are home favorites against the Tigers. | IMAGN IMAGES via Reuters Connect", "quote_doc_id": "i_91f2c57174129f543a79_1", "settling_ids": ["t_91f2c57174129f543a79", "t_4c0fb8f0f64b183912a8", "t_299f025267161bb05aaa"], "visible_detail": "the name 'Seattle' on the player's jersey"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Julio Rodríguez", "Seattle Mariners", "Detroit Tigers"]}
{"id": "e_4c0fb8f0f64b_i0_neg", "domain": "Sports", "question": "Will the Seattle Mariners win against the Detroit Tigers by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "No", "answer_type": "perturbed_binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 15, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_4c0fb8f0f64b", "event_date": "2026-08-05", "supporting_event": "Julio Rodríguez hit a home run during the game against the Detroit Tigers.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_4c0fb8f0", "storyline": "2026 MLB season", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_65390a19c19f4fc597dc", "t_6bec30dea2027c6261d4", "t_af046f81df90246976fc", "t_8f7719fd5f85dd3152ef"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "perturbed_binary", "value": "No", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Bryce Miller and the Mariners are home favorites against the Tigers. | IMAGN IMAGES via Reuters Connect", "quote_doc_id": "i_91f2c57174129f543a79_1", "settling_ids": ["t_91f2c57174129f543a79", "t_4c0fb8f0f64b183912a8", "t_299f025267161bb05aaa"], "derivation": "the event dated 2026-08-05 is after the shifted deadline 2026-08-04, so the claim is false at that deadline", "visible_detail": "the name 'Seattle' on the player's jersey"}, "perturbation": {"field": "deadline", "original": "2026-08-11", "substituted": "2026-08-04", "v40_substituted": "2026-07-28"}, "paired_with": "e_4c0fb8f0f64b_i0", "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Julio Rodríguez", "Seattle Mariners", "Detroit Tigers"]}
{"id": "e_4c0fb8f0f64b_q1", "domain": "Sports", "question": "Which player will hit a home run during the game against the Detroit Tigers by 2026-08-11?", "options": ["Julio Rodríguez", "Gleyber Torres", "Bryan Woo", "Colt Emerson"], "answer": "Julio Rodríguez", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 15, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_4c0fb8f0f64b", "event_date": "2026-08-05", "supporting_event": "Julio Rodríguez hit a home run during the game against the Detroit Tigers.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_4c0fb8f0", "storyline": "2026 MLB season", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_65390a19c19f4fc597dc", "t_6bec30dea2027c6261d4", "t_af046f81df90246976fc", "t_8f7719fd5f85dd3152ef"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "Julio Rodríguez", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Julio Rodríguez and Colt Emerson hit home runs, Bryan Woo pitched seven scoreless innings and the Seattle Mariners beat the Detroit Tigers 4-2 on Wednesday night.", "quote_doc_id": "t_299f025267161bb05aaa", "settling_ids": ["t_4c0fb8f0f64b183912a8", "t_299f025267161bb05aaa", "t_91f2c57174129f543a79"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Julio Rodríguez", "Seattle Mariners", "Detroit Tigers"]}
{"id": "e_4c14d512f257_i0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "What is the name of the venue where the Detroit Red Wings are conducting their search for a new general manager by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "Montreal", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 17, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_4c14d512f257", "event_date": "2026-08-07", "supporting_event": "The Detroit Red Wings are using an outside search firm to find the next general manager.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_4c14d512", "storyline": "Detroit Red Wings general manager search", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_bd2aa866a58467faf71f", "t_abc219fcb866be143761", "t_c0b6cd042bb5085de6c3", "t_c861c4dd4a5dc4bb3b9f", "t_0b7fb639fe1fe2b28b57"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "Montreal", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Detroit Red Wings former general manager Steve Yzerman", "quote_doc_id": "i_4c14d512f257dd8ca888_1", "settling_ids": ["t_4c14d512f257dd8ca888", "t_6cd293ca9f612690b212", "t_9346f2ff4a5647edc5b0"], "visible_detail": "NHL Repechage Montreal signage"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Detroit Red Wings", "Steve Yzerman", "Chris Ilitch", "Shawn Horcoff"]}
{"id": "e_4d5cea5cfd6b_q1", "domain": "Sports", "question": "How many runs will Vaibhav Sooryavanshi score in the T20I matches during the tour by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "42", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "runs", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 16, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_4d5cea5cfd6b", "event_date": "2026-08-06", "supporting_event": "Vaibhav Sooryavanshi made his debut for the Indian senior team.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_4d5cea5c", "storyline": "2026 India tour of Ireland and England", "linked_domains": ["Environment"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_9e693890c1a55ea08176", "t_4780b4060133d9172a55"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "42", "tolerance": 0.1, "quote": "Sooryavanshi scored 42 runs in three T20I matches during the tour", "quote_doc_id": "t_4d5cea5cfd6b4c6f0c73", "settling_ids": ["t_4d5cea5cfd6b4c6f0c73", "t_b1fb37329ad448750cf8", "t_08fcc22346523137ed1d", "t_8fafcbfbd3beab0a449b", "d_d727f0d485ca8923771b"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Vaibhav Sooryavanshi", "Indian senior team", "Ireland", "England"]}
{"id": "e_4d632c59e996_q2", "domain": "Sports", "question": "How many times will CM Punk and Cody Rhodes face each other on WWE programming leading up to SummerSlam by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "1", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 10, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_4d632c59e996", "event_date": "2026-07-31", "supporting_event": "CM Punk and Cody Rhodes brawled during their face-off on SmackDown.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_37ff4288", "storyline": "WWE SmackDown events", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_efb9497c4211fe4728b6", "t_a2aed41b3bb534838c57", "t_0aef015088125d2900d3"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "1", "tolerance": null, "quote": "CM Punk and Cody Rhodes face off for the final time before their Night 1 main event at the 2026 edition of WWE SummerSlam", "quote_doc_id": "t_4d632c59e99692493e2f", "settling_ids": ["t_4d632c59e99692493e2f", "t_7e80cb75967b0ae282c8", "t_1dbaa18d0bd2a3763655", "t_1c4588f34de102605da7"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["CM Punk", "Cody Rhodes"]}
{"id": "e_4d8d105ccfdc_q0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "Will Hunter Greene undergo a second elbow surgery by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 18, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_4d8d105ccfdc", "event_date": "2026-08-08", "supporting_event": "Hunter Greene will undergo a second elbow surgery to repair a partially torn UCL.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_4d8d105c", "storyline": "Hunter Greene's elbow injury treatment", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_2df03a5ca0e432ba8951", "t_1bdc9b406e009e66dbce", "t_cc2da8484f266f47d50d", "t_bf3bf4c470c5f1f6e48d", "t_38e63017a1f0ca20e57d", "t_3d81d447a551fbe38627", "t_a19a5e664cec7a6a5c9d"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Hunter Greene will undergo a second elbow surgery this season.", "quote_doc_id": "t_4d8d105ccfdcc850b0ed", "settling_ids": ["t_4d8d105ccfdcc850b0ed", "t_662319a33ad8def6138a"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Hunter Greene", "Cincinnati Reds"]}
{"id": "e_4d8d105ccfdc_q0_neg", "domain": "Sports", "question": "Will Hunter Greene undergo a second elbow surgery by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "No", "answer_type": "perturbed_binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 18, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_4d8d105ccfdc", "event_date": "2026-08-08", "supporting_event": "Hunter Greene will undergo a second elbow surgery to repair a partially torn UCL.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_4d8d105c", "storyline": "Hunter Greene's elbow injury treatment", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_2df03a5ca0e432ba8951", "t_1bdc9b406e009e66dbce", "t_cc2da8484f266f47d50d", "t_bf3bf4c470c5f1f6e48d", "t_38e63017a1f0ca20e57d", "t_3d81d447a551fbe38627", "t_a19a5e664cec7a6a5c9d"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "perturbed_binary", "value": "No", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Hunter Greene will undergo a second elbow surgery this season.", "quote_doc_id": "t_4d8d105ccfdcc850b0ed", "settling_ids": ["t_4d8d105ccfdcc850b0ed", "t_662319a33ad8def6138a"], "derivation": "the event dated 2026-08-08 is after the shifted deadline 2026-08-04, so the claim is false at that deadline"}, "perturbation": {"field": "deadline", "original": "2026-08-11", "substituted": "2026-08-04", "v40_substituted": "2026-07-30"}, "paired_with": "e_4d8d105ccfdc_q0", "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Hunter Greene", "Cincinnati Reds"]}
{"id": "e_4f9bc8efc44d_q0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "How many batters will Shane Drohan strike out in his next start by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "7", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "batters", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 11, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_4f9bc8efc44d", "event_date": "2026-08-01", "supporting_event": "Shane Drohan struck out seven batters in six innings during the Brewers' 6-2 win over the Angels.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_4f9bc8ef", "storyline": "2026 MLB season", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_5045f0409756676a219d", "t_d4d1fc214ef633a70a88", "t_6cc706d38dd39f836df2", "t_b4cf6f4f29a8810ba1fd", "t_70decafaae3e01f06a78"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "7", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Shane Drohan struck out seven in six innings", "quote_doc_id": "t_4f9bc8efc44dbe2dd81c", "settling_ids": ["t_4f9bc8efc44dbe2dd81c", "t_02e9f1b031034b52de48", "t_35eab545da2c60503de9", "t_17cf0557bbafb316f3d2"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Shane Drohan", "Milwaukee Brewers", "Los Angeles Angels"]}
{"id": "e_50186c18e4eb_q0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "Will Sai Sudharsan be available for India's two-match Test series against Sri Lanka by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "No", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 20, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_50186c18e4eb", "event_date": "2026-08-10", "supporting_event": "Sai Sudharsan has been ruled out of India's two-match Test series against Sri Lanka due to a right toe stress reaction.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_207903eb", "storyline": "2026 India Test series against Sri Lanka", "linked_domains": ["Law"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_21ef1ce5195d08ad304b", "t_d85b902c436b241c2211", "t_e3dd11742b10e30181b5"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "No", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Sai Sudharsan has been ruled out of India's upcoming two-match Test series against Sri Lanka due to a right toe stress reaction", "quote_doc_id": "t_f448046682ba4c5117e2", "settling_ids": ["t_50186c18e4ebe2f33730", "t_cf478d620b5609d8a2fc", "t_f448046682ba4c5117e2", "t_f8563421df5e4936a268"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Sai Sudharsan", "BCCI", "Sri Lanka"]}
{"id": "e_50f1eeb0e7d5_q1", "domain": "Sports", "question": "Which team will the Baltimore Orioles defeat by 2026-08-11?", "options": ["New York Yankees", "Boston Red Sox", "Los Angeles Angels", "Toronto Blue Jays"], "answer": "Los Angeles Angels", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 15, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_50f1eeb0e7d5", "event_date": "2026-08-05", "supporting_event": "Pete Alonso hit a two-run single as the Baltimore Orioles defeated the Los Angeles Angels 3-1.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_50f1eeb0", "storyline": "2026 MLB season", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_c9f2d42bb5bce9103bda", "t_8bf7aaaca1d2357cc693", "t_0b3a6fd95b56714dcd75", "t_8c3342052f04a882b834", "t_ff0e61cb3768286f67a4"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "Los Angeles Angels", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the trade-depleted Baltimore Orioles beat the Los Angeles Angels 3-1", "quote_doc_id": "t_c9ea1900bb40b448c501", "settling_ids": ["t_50f1eeb0e7d52412e46e", "t_c9ea1900bb40b448c501", "t_1f6780b61281ad86266e", "t_4275551b71a8bafbb1c6"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Pete Alonso", "Baltimore Orioles", "Los Angeles Angels"]}
{"id": "e_51603f50cff0_q0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "Will Norway make a formal complaint to FIFA regarding the suspension of Folarin Balogun's World Cup ban by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 2, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_51603f50cff0", "event_date": "2026-07-23", "supporting_event": "Lise Klaveness says Norway is set to make a formal complaint to FIFA over the suspension of Folarin Balogun's World Cup ban.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_0046572d", "storyline": "2026 FIFA World Cup", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Environment", "Geopolitics", "Law", "Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_72cd88e616f8a7300017", "t_9ba38c8132f0d837437e", "t_ba2c71544bbca232119c", "t_5cb5400450059136c41d", "t_75858622fe1c7185a181"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Norway to complain to FIFA over the suspension of Folarin Balogun's World Cup ban", "quote_doc_id": "t_51603f50cff0b7c709ab", "settling_ids": ["t_51603f50cff0b7c709ab", "t_cc2f1fd58ac2ca5264a2", "t_215966ba98d36bcd6da2", "t_c8d1fd8dd924b9b17d4d"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Lise Klaveness", "Norwegian Football Federation", "FIFA", "Folarin Balogun"]}
{"id": "e_51de331381f3_q0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "By 2026-08-04, how many innings will Eduardo Rodríguez pitch against the Pittsburgh Pirates?", "options": ["7", "8", "6", "9"], "answer": "8", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": "innings", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 8, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_51de331381f3", "event_date": "2026-07-29", "supporting_event": "Eduardo Rodríguez pitched eight shutout innings against the Pittsburgh Pirates.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_51de3313", "storyline": "2026 MLB season", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_539fb0d0d26d1544265c", "t_b68311c15303c752fa31", "t_08c0855002c4f66b321c", "t_f3eba311cef0ed3a44ba", "t_2be5fd621d1373991a3e"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "8", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Eduardo Rodríguez pitched eight shutout innings", "quote_doc_id": "t_51de331381f366b1aa7d", "settling_ids": ["t_51de331381f366b1aa7d", "t_addeca5f722d8e496418"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Eduardo Rodríguez", "Arizona Diamondbacks", "Pittsburgh Pirates"]}
{"id": "e_537c6d5b5d3e_q0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "How many players will Barcelona include in their squad for the friendly match against Birmingham City by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "30", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "players", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 10, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_537c6d5b5d3e", "event_date": "2026-07-31", "supporting_event": "Barcelona played a friendly match against Birmingham City on July 31, 2026.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_537c6d5b", "storyline": "2026 Preseason Training Camp", "linked_domains": ["Environment"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_85214cf12b9ef05b93a7", "t_e135f18af333fb04bafe"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "30", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Barcelona have confirmed the 30-man squad that will travel to Birmingham for the club's preseason training camp.", "quote_doc_id": "t_537c6d5b5d3e390dfb69", "settling_ids": ["t_537c6d5b5d3e390dfb69", "t_86f68bf49c4b0ffae585", "t_205a42b950df783dfc3a", "t_b078ec16ce92952427f0"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Barcelona", "Birmingham City"]}
{"id": "e_53fbb2b396ce_q0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "Will the St. Louis Cardinals defeat the Toronto Blue Jays in their upcoming game by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 12, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_53fbb2b396ce", "event_date": "2026-08-02", "supporting_event": "St. Louis Cardinals defeated Toronto Blue Jays 5-1 on August 2, 2026.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_53fbb2b3", "storyline": "2026 MLB season", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_31ed084794fb02bc6945", "t_38c8caa9fa217d6e8241", "t_5c7a29942a7d0948b7e8"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the St. Louis Cardinals defeated the Toronto Blue Jays 5-1 on Sunday, avoiding a three-game sweep.", "quote_doc_id": "t_53fbb2b396ced7b02052", "settling_ids": ["t_53fbb2b396ced7b02052", "t_43d081f963138152b097", "t_4c68beb40daa178b377d", "t_d5e12482d1288b98242b"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["St. Louis Cardinals", "Toronto Blue Jays", "José Fermin"]}
{"id": "e_53fbb2b396ce_q0_neg", "domain": "Sports", "question": "Will the St. Louis Cardinals defeat the Toronto Blue Jays in their upcoming game by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "No", "answer_type": "perturbed_binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 12, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_53fbb2b396ce", "event_date": "2026-08-02", "supporting_event": "St. Louis Cardinals defeated Toronto Blue Jays 5-1 on August 2, 2026.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_53fbb2b3", "storyline": "2026 MLB season", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_31ed084794fb02bc6945", "t_38c8caa9fa217d6e8241", "t_5c7a29942a7d0948b7e8"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "perturbed_binary", "value": "No", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the St. Louis Cardinals defeated the Toronto Blue Jays 5-1 on Sunday, avoiding a three-game sweep.", "quote_doc_id": "t_53fbb2b396ced7b02052", "settling_ids": ["t_53fbb2b396ced7b02052", "t_43d081f963138152b097", "t_4c68beb40daa178b377d", "t_d5e12482d1288b98242b"], "derivation": "the event dated 2026-08-02 is after the shifted deadline 2026-07-28, so the claim is false at that deadline"}, "perturbation": {"field": "deadline", "original": "2026-08-04", "substituted": "2026-07-28", "v40_substituted": "2026-07-27"}, "paired_with": "e_53fbb2b396ce_q0", "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["St. Louis Cardinals", "Toronto Blue Jays", "José Fermin"]}
{"id": "e_53fbb2b396ce_q2", "domain": "Sports", "question": "How many runs will the St. Louis Cardinals score against the Toronto Blue Jays by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "5", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 12, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_53fbb2b396ce", "event_date": "2026-08-02", "supporting_event": "St. Louis Cardinals defeated Toronto Blue Jays 5-1 on August 2, 2026.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_53fbb2b3", "storyline": "2026 MLB season", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_31ed084794fb02bc6945", "t_38c8caa9fa217d6e8241", "t_5c7a29942a7d0948b7e8"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "5", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the St. Louis Cardinals defeated the Toronto Blue Jays 5-1 on Sunday, avoiding a three-game sweep.", "quote_doc_id": "t_53fbb2b396ced7b02052", "settling_ids": ["t_53fbb2b396ced7b02052", "t_43d081f963138152b097", "t_4c68beb40daa178b377d", "t_d5e12482d1288b98242b"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["St. Louis Cardinals", "Toronto Blue Jays", "José Fermin"]}
{"id": "e_5441aa679dcd_q1", "domain": "Sports", "question": "What will be the estimated transfer fee for Bradley Barcola that Liverpool is working on by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "100", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "million pounds", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 8, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_5441aa679dcd", "event_date": "2026-07-29", "supporting_event": "Liverpool are working on a deal to sign Bradley Barcola from PSG for around £100 million.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_019f1580", "storyline": "2026 Summer Transfer Window", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Environment", "Geopolitics", "Law"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["i_1787a8931a85c2b5cd0c_0", "t_626e3527c76daaa615bd", "t_f211e96b8a9b4bac8f13", "t_754ac006b08b203ec73f", "t_611361763ac7a4ff4248"], "precursor_modalities": ["I", "T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "100", "tolerance": 0.05, "quote": "Liverpool are reportedly set to make an opening bid for Paris Saint-Germain winger Bradley Barcola in the region of £100 million.", "quote_doc_id": "t_cc68b4f0aa9b4bc1de94", "settling_ids": ["t_5441aa679dcd408b3dcf", "t_cc68b4f0aa9b4bc1de94", "t_87485b3dcd71c29d19b4"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Liverpool", "Bradley Barcola", "Paris Saint-Germain"]}
{"id": "e_55ec6f473d70_q1", "domain": "Sports", "question": "Who will state that Russian athletes are losing motivation by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "Boris Yaryshevsky", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 8, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_55ec6f473d70", "event_date": "2026-07-29", "supporting_event": "Boris Yaryshevsky stated that Russian athletes are losing motivation and falling behind international rivals.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_55ec6f47", "storyline": "Russia's athletics exile", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_53318721c475e568bd08", "t_a1ef7fc8ab2e73cb883a", "t_1574318b9e57ffede2d8"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "Boris Yaryshevsky", "tolerance": null, "quote": "federation chief Boris Yaryshevsky said", "quote_doc_id": "t_55ec6f473d70f81cd87a", "settling_ids": ["t_55ec6f473d70f81cd87a", "t_247e6271ed6384bd5033"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Boris Yaryshevsky", "Russian athletes"]}
{"id": "e_5909cd4d6aff_q0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "How many people will be injured during the football match in Narathiwat province by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "12", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 14, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_5909cd4d6aff", "event_date": "2026-08-04", "supporting_event": "Sofwan Awae was killed by lightning strike during a football match.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_5909cd4d", "storyline": "Golok FA Cup 2026", "linked_domains": ["Environment"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_f7d58526fda6057f9cdb", "t_2eabd0bc51484b993c00", "t_0f712e9800f5d4d9de69", "t_337f7bb6173560826be2"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "12", "tolerance": null, "quote": "12 others - including a Malaysian player - were injured after lightning struck a football pitch", "quote_doc_id": "t_5909cd4d6aff1ceae4a8", "settling_ids": ["t_5909cd4d6aff1ceae4a8", "t_e08ff87a816ac78ade0c", "t_8fb98be1fcdbb2bc73be", "t_c711d4df69baf7508ff8"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Sofwan Awae", "SAMCOLT", "Abu x Nong Sirin", "Golok FA Cup", "Santiphap Stadium", "Narathiwat"]}
{"id": "e_6d556370bc4f_i0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "What is the bib number of the rider competing for KTM by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "31", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 17, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_6d556370bc4f", "event_date": "2026-08-07", "supporting_event": "KTM received approval to replace the faulty components behind its MotoGP engine problems.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_6d556370", "storyline": "2026 MotoGP season", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_edd0595d5ffa9c503ec9", "t_7bcd3a240e0fa5be37aa", "t_841bde332b1b39210267"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "31", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_6d556370bc4f26cf9f72_0", "settling_ids": ["t_6d556370bc4f26cf9f72", "t_67ed4720216b2b111aa6", "t_63935ef3aa1678de9dcf"], "visible_detail": "the bib number on the motorcycle"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["KTM", "MotoGP", "Pedro Acosta"]}
{"id": "e_6d79affbfdfd_q0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "How many venues will host matches during the 2027 ODI World Cup by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "12", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 9, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_6d79affbfdfd", "event_date": "2026-07-30", "supporting_event": "The International Cricket Council unveiled the venues of the 2027 ODI World Cup.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_6d79affb", "storyline": "2027 ODI World Cup planning", "linked_domains": ["Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_019caaed026060c61c71", "t_9db02d793c5fbcaf53e5", "t_eade8798c2c5d632d1a9"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "12", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the ICC selecting 12 venues across South Africa, Zimbabwe and Namibia to host the tournament.", "quote_doc_id": "t_2e99ac9cf9bd624edfcf", "settling_ids": ["t_6d79affbfdfd5b6a476f", "t_2e99ac9cf9bd624edfcf", "t_3baa9de2674b76d679df", "t_e25780c2bf7c951cf581"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["International Cricket Council", "2027 ODI World Cup", "South Africa", "Zimbabwe", "Namibia"]}
{"id": "e_6da4dfbf30f8_q1", "domain": "Sports", "question": "Who will be Real Madrid's fifth signing of the summer by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "Yan Diomandé", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 11, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_6da4dfbf30f8", "event_date": "2026-08-01", "supporting_event": "Yan Diomandé is on the verge of becoming Real Madrid’s fifth signing of the summer.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_019f1580", "storyline": "2026 Summer Transfer Window", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Environment", "Geopolitics", "Law"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_737b04522e2c8377752f", "t_0f99d819116dac6e998c", "t_54ea08c247448a800ec1"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "Yan Diomandé", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Yan Diomandé, the RB Leipzig and Ivory Coast winger, is on the verge of becoming Real Madrid’s fifth signing of the summer", "quote_doc_id": "t_87bba2cdb39724514293", "settling_ids": ["t_6da4dfbf30f88452869b", "t_87bba2cdb39724514293", "t_4b8c0b4bfa0b65d7aeba", "t_9e81eb57829b339b0484"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Yan Diomandé", "Real Madrid", "RB Leipzig"]}
{"id": "e_6ef032f38a21_i0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "What was the final score of the match between India and Zimbabwe by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "India 3, Zimbabwe 0", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 6, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_6ef032f38a21", "event_date": "2026-07-27", "supporting_event": "Vaibhav Sooryavanshi was named Player of the Series in India's 3-0 triumph over Zimbabwe.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_1bad3b25", "storyline": "2026 India Tour of Zimbabwe", "linked_domains": ["Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_57bcf7d49dbfe61d24f9", "t_d2342c22b428a6e3d664", "t_74a8b13c6556df4fdcb5"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "India 3, Zimbabwe 0", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_6ef032f38a2147d1c4bc_0", "settling_ids": ["t_6ef032f38a2147d1c4bc", "t_0e92c135e4b0fb85eb4b", "t_1addec7efa55c29ef221", "t_dcc571669b554c4c552e", "t_9451071ae2c1f5718e57", "t_65c37ca17a868a787fb6"], "visible_detail": "the scoreboard showing India's score and Zimbabwe's score"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Vaibhav Sooryavanshi", "India", "Zimbabwe"]}
{"id": "e_6ef032f38a21_q0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "How many runs will Vaibhav Sooryavanshi score in the T20I series against Zimbabwe by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "151", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "runs", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 6, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_6ef032f38a21", "event_date": "2026-07-27", "supporting_event": "Vaibhav Sooryavanshi was named Player of the Series in India's 3-0 triumph over Zimbabwe.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_1bad3b25", "storyline": "2026 India Tour of Zimbabwe", "linked_domains": ["Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_57bcf7d49dbfe61d24f9", "t_d2342c22b428a6e3d664", "t_74a8b13c6556df4fdcb5"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "151", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Sooryavanshi amassed 151 runs in three innings at an average of 50.33", "quote_doc_id": "t_9451071ae2c1f5718e57", "settling_ids": ["t_6ef032f38a2147d1c4bc", "t_0e92c135e4b0fb85eb4b", "t_dcc571669b554c4c552e", "t_9451071ae2c1f5718e57"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Vaibhav Sooryavanshi", "India", "Zimbabwe"]}
{"id": "e_7342a9599d9b_q1", "domain": "Sports", "question": "How many goals will Federico Chiesa score in the friendly against Sunderland by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "1", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "goals", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 5, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_7342a9599d9b", "event_date": "2026-07-26", "supporting_event": "Federico Chiesa expressed his desire to stay at Liverpool.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_7342a959", "storyline": "2026 Liverpool preseason", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["i_3bd0d05a2131fd04a143_0", "t_2debc702878fcd2b4b9f"], "precursor_modalities": ["I", "T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "1", "tolerance": null, "quote": "he scored one of Liverpool's goals to hand himself a morale boost at the start of the new era.", "quote_doc_id": "t_7342a9599d9bb28170ca", "settling_ids": ["t_7342a9599d9bb28170ca", "t_c4a52ec40490b145b6fa", "t_86f4b1585c9a737d65e8", "t_8e537b23c3ea8d9434c3"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Federico Chiesa", "Liverpool"]}
{"id": "e_7478de6e3118_q2", "domain": "Sports", "question": "How many future Germany matches will the German Football Association commit to staging in Leipzig to secure Jürgen Klopp's release from Red Bull by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "3", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "matches", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 4, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_7478de6e3118", "event_date": "2026-07-25", "supporting_event": "The German Football Association confirmed an unusual arrangement involving a €1 million donation to charity and a commitment to stage three future Germany matches in Leipzig to secure Jürgen Klopp's release from Red Bull.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_7478de6e", "storyline": "Jürgen Klopp's appointment as national team head coach", "linked_domains": ["Law"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_ab3d75cdb847b8f9a9aa", "t_82f03261aee2b7b3c83a", "t_0d1dedb70f2a420c4f2a", "t_2313880aec2e0995232a", "t_d5574c10e834777c4af1"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "3", "tolerance": null, "quote": "As part of the wider arrangement with Red Bull, the DFB also committed to staging three senior Germany internationals at the Red Bull Arena in Leipzig across the course of Klopp's contract.", "quote_doc_id": "t_7478de6e31189b3961e9", "settling_ids": ["t_7478de6e31189b3961e9", "t_e8e9b9db812966fc095a"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["German Football Association", "Jürgen Klopp", "Red Bull", "Wings for Life"]}
{"id": "e_749f6828e76a_q0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "How many member nations of UEFA will vote to boycott all FIFA tournaments by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "55", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 9, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_749f6828e76a", "event_date": "2026-07-30", "supporting_event": "UEFA and its 55 member nations voted on Thursday to boycott all FIFA tournaments in protest at the global governing body's plan to sell a stake in the World Cup to external investors.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_0046572d", "storyline": "2026 FIFA World Cup", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Environment", "Geopolitics", "Law", "Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_caaee26588be1a006634", "t_7544cd6f92994375781d"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "55", "tolerance": null, "quote": "UEFA and its 55 member nations voted on Thursday to boycott all FIFA tournaments in protest at the global governing body's plan to sell a stake in the World Cup to external investors.", "quote_doc_id": "t_749f6828e76adabdb422", "settling_ids": ["t_749f6828e76adabdb422", "t_c2b25ab258608818fdf2", "t_910bacae870610b1980d"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["UEFA", "FIFA", "World Cup"]}
{"id": "e_74caa100e200_q0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "Who will host Team India at the India House in Harare ahead of the second T20I against Zimbabwe by 2026-07-28?", "options": ["Shreyas Iyer", "Anil Kumble", "Bramha Kumar", "VVS Laxman"], "answer": "Bramha Kumar", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 4, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_74caa100e200", "event_date": "2026-07-25", "supporting_event": "Bramha Kumar hosted Team India at the India House in Harare ahead of the second T20I against Zimbabwe.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_1bad3b25", "storyline": "2026 India Tour of Zimbabwe", "linked_domains": ["Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_57bcf7d49dbfe61d24f9", "t_d2342c22b428a6e3d664", "t_a6e16f3e3ddfe10e9777", "t_18e3b43d386b0c1bc2f9"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "Bramha Kumar", "tolerance": null, "quote": "H.E. Bramha Kumar, Ambassador of India to Zimbabwe, hosted #TeamIndia at the India House in Harare ahead of the second T20I against Zimbabwe.", "quote_doc_id": "t_74caa100e200b0612125", "settling_ids": ["t_74caa100e200b0612125", "t_a0448fd60ac3fed1b9a8"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Bramha Kumar", "Team India", "Zimbabwe"]}
{"id": "e_7795ce9d630e_q0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "Will the University Interscholastic League require schools to monitor heat conditions at sports and marching band practice by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 11, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_7795ce9d630e", "event_date": "2026-08-01", "supporting_event": "Starting August 1, the University Interscholastic League will require schools to monitor heat conditions at sports and marching band practice.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_7795ce9d", "storyline": "2026 Texas high school sports heat safety protocols", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["i_ddedfad7a27d0fb61651_0", "t_08e4b05ca64dc995f1bb", "t_8189868891addcdc395a", "t_1e62606ba8c9c26d1ad4", "t_2159977817064063946e"], "precursor_modalities": ["I", "T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Starting August 1, the University Interscholastic League will require schools to monitor heat conditions at sports and marching band practice.", "quote_doc_id": "t_5b5bff1e42d84ec9dbe8", "settling_ids": ["t_7795ce9d630efe3e4d74", "t_5b5bff1e42d84ec9dbe8"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["University Interscholastic League"]}
{"id": "e_7795ce9d630e_q0_neg", "domain": "Sports", "question": "Will the University Interscholastic League require schools to monitor heat conditions at sports and marching band practice by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "No", "answer_type": "perturbed_binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 11, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_7795ce9d630e", "event_date": "2026-08-01", "supporting_event": "Starting August 1, the University Interscholastic League will require schools to monitor heat conditions at sports and marching band practice.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_7795ce9d", "storyline": "2026 Texas high school sports heat safety protocols", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["i_ddedfad7a27d0fb61651_0", "t_08e4b05ca64dc995f1bb", "t_8189868891addcdc395a", "t_1e62606ba8c9c26d1ad4", "t_2159977817064063946e"], "precursor_modalities": ["I", "T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "perturbed_binary", "value": "No", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Starting August 1, the University Interscholastic League will require schools to monitor heat conditions at sports and marching band practice.", "quote_doc_id": "t_5b5bff1e42d84ec9dbe8", "settling_ids": ["t_7795ce9d630efe3e4d74", "t_5b5bff1e42d84ec9dbe8"], "derivation": "the event dated 2026-08-01 is after the shifted deadline 2026-07-28, so the claim is false at that deadline"}, "perturbation": {"field": "deadline", "original": "2026-08-04", "substituted": "2026-07-28", "v40_substituted": "2026-07-26"}, "paired_with": "e_7795ce9d630e_q0", "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["University Interscholastic League"]}
{"id": "e_77cb8766b2ec_d0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "What title will Alex Eala win by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "first WTA title in the US capital", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "D", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 13, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_77cb8766b2ec", "event_date": "2026-08-03", "supporting_event": "Alex Eala won her first WTA 500 title at the Mubadala DC Open.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_117bd40e", "storyline": "2026 WTA Tour", "linked_domains": ["Health"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["d_8468ebbc93c86f95af00", "d_7bd0c69d8e564b9ed62b", "d_628d51426f095b8fe3f4"], "precursor_modalities": ["D"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "first WTA title in the US capital", "tolerance": null, "quote": "to claim her first WTA title in the US capital", "quote_doc_id": "d_a55e19835c68209a0871", "settling_ids": ["d_a55e19835c68209a0871", "d_0e1fa9622673bde47e6d", "t_daaeaca9f2bc89eae8b6", "t_4309239ca284669782d9", "t_448eb2a317bb2bb0b8d4", "t_d4a8fb2a7d655d827af9"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Alex Eala", "Mubadala DC Open"]}
{"id": "e_790ae0f8e9d2_q1", "domain": "Sports", "question": "On what date will Alexandra Eala compete in the final of the Mubadala DC Open by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "2026-08-02", "answer_type": "date", "unit": null, "modality_required": "D", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 11, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_790ae0f8e9d2", "event_date": "2026-08-01", "supporting_event": "Alexandra Eala stunned Naomi Osaka 6-4, 6-2 on Saturday to reach the women's final of the WTA and ATP Washington Open.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_117bd40e", "storyline": "2026 WTA Tour", "linked_domains": ["Health"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["d_8468ebbc93c86f95af00", "d_7bd0c69d8e564b9ed62b"], "precursor_modalities": ["D"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "date", "value": "2026-08-02", "tolerance": 1, "quote": "The singles final in Washington is scheduled for Sunday, August 2, at 12 p.m.", "quote_doc_id": "d_a4764d7012107be19eff", "settling_ids": ["t_790ae0f8e9d2705ed4ef", "t_ac5bb3c6812ea4dc23c0", "d_b026ae74de008fe846cf", "t_709cd91a6e7da6e95bf4", "d_a4764d7012107be19eff", "d_58c05f06f98fe3d0362e"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Alexandra Eala", "Naomi Osaka", "WTA and ATP Washington Open"]}
{"id": "e_79386795bc69_i0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "What is the jersey number of the player featured in the photograph by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "17", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 9, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_79386795bc69", "event_date": "2026-07-30", "supporting_event": "A collector in Florida found and sold a 1-of-1 Shohei Ohtani Dual Gold Logoman Autographed Card for over $10 million.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_79386795", "storyline": "2026 Topps Chrome Baseball card sales", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_60e8eb8d0552eb37685a", "t_a84a838c91b4d8a597ad"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "17", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_79386795bc69616b9f73_0", "settling_ids": ["t_79386795bc69616b9f73", "t_9495441da7476138872c"], "visible_detail": "the jersey number 17 on the player's back"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Shohei Ohtani", "Boca Sports Cards", "Matthew Allen", "Secure Collectibles"]}
{"id": "e_7ca1198b7d79_i0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "What is the jersey number of the player who was acquired by the Toronto Blue Jays by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "59", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 13, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_7ca1198b7d79", "event_date": "2026-08-03", "supporting_event": "The Toronto Blue Jays acquired starting pitcher Jose Soriano from the Los Angeles Angels.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_0a2b3d62", "storyline": "2026 MLB trade deadline", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_47aaa3d3a12104e4e947", "t_cb250ee93b4bcfb7ea5e"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "59", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_7ca1198b7d7960c610bb_0", "settling_ids": ["t_7ca1198b7d7960c610bb", "t_0b4cca10ab0f25e4fce0"], "visible_detail": "59"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Toronto Blue Jays", "Los Angeles Angels", "Jose Soriano", "Arjun Nimmala", "Eddie Micheletti", "Angel Rivero"]}
{"id": "e_7db59cb2a8b8_q0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "Will Anthony Joshua defeat Kristian Prenga by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 5, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_7db59cb2a8b8", "event_date": "2026-07-26", "supporting_event": "Anthony Joshua defeated Kristian Prenga via KO in Round 2.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_7db59cb2", "storyline": "Anthony Joshua's boxing career", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Geopolitics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_1d6b4e88de6efc0ef233", "t_f9bf957b4a3cb1548edd", "t_190b3f39035b3e0ca21d", "t_d1da7c896533d9908570"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Anthony Joshua defeated Kristian Prenga via KO — Round 2, 2:43", "quote_doc_id": "t_2b29f64f805e318a7746", "settling_ids": ["t_7db59cb2a8b8afa38f19", "t_2b29f64f805e318a7746"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Anthony Joshua", "Kristian Prenga"]}
{"id": "e_7f5eeb723763_q1", "domain": "Sports", "question": "Who will resign from FIFA in protest of the plan to sell World Cup profits to private equity by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "Carlos Cordeiro", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 10, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_7f5eeb723763", "event_date": "2026-07-31", "supporting_event": "Carlos Cordeiro resigned in protest of FIFA's plan to sell World Cup profits to private equity.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_0046572d", "storyline": "2026 FIFA World Cup", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Environment", "Geopolitics", "Law", "Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_521432aeda85efd5ad1f", "t_7544cd6f92994375781d"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "Carlos Cordeiro", "tolerance": null, "quote": "I cannot stand by while FIFA considers selling a stake in the World Cup,” Cordeiro said in a statement formally resigning", "quote_doc_id": "t_7f5eeb72376375e00fd7", "settling_ids": ["t_7f5eeb72376375e00fd7", "t_cf60056f2cf3e188e98c", "t_50a5c5eb4bbd431d3c0e", "t_0b894dddbcb252e76c64"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Carlos Cordeiro", "FIFA", "Gianni Infantino", "Joshua Kushner"]}
{"id": "e_80d085883803_i0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "What is the guaranteed fee for Guimarães by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "£75m", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 15, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_80d085883803", "event_date": "2026-08-05", "supporting_event": "Bruno Guimarães is close to completing his move from Newcastle United to Arsenal for a guaranteed fee of £75 million.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_019f1580", "storyline": "2026 Summer Transfer Window", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Environment", "Geopolitics", "Law"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_fd0f20bf381147b2e019", "t_2c59e3d76ee7c8df842e", "t_a5fd21b94c099071bf30", "t_ea1a634003c427bb436b", "t_b45d4c1c1eaa89b500bb"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "£75m", "tolerance": null, "quote": "chart visualization", "quote_doc_id": "i_80d085883803c7fe406a_1", "settling_ids": ["t_80d085883803c7fe406a", "t_f37cb465a5cf352eb607", "t_6fabc8756c5b5d2bb7b3", "t_cc393ccb2e0cf8f095b8", "t_b2068ea4bdbd7fce1cd8", "t_7ad375aaced55648cb4c"], "visible_detail": "Guimarães £75m"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Bruno Guimarães", "Arsenal", "Newcastle United"]}
{"id": "e_8543db068c8f_q0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "Will the International Cricket Council unveil the venues for the 2027 ODI World Cup by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 9, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_8543db068c8f", "event_date": "2026-07-30", "supporting_event": "The International Cricket Council unveiled 12 venues for the 2027 ODI World Cup.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_6d79affb", "storyline": "2027 ODI World Cup planning", "linked_domains": ["Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_019caaed026060c61c71", "t_eade8798c2c5d632d1a9", "t_b13784dff1a3f902a682", "t_c808d9b97db24765ab4b"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "The International Cricket Council has officially named the 12 venues that will stage the ICC Men’s Cricket World Cup 2027.", "quote_doc_id": "t_8543db068c8f41bebd51", "settling_ids": ["t_8543db068c8f41bebd51", "t_c662b50fb2e9f371fd09", "t_b873a32e447b41656ed9", "t_925f0c06855e74f33a87"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["International Cricket Council", "South Africa", "Zimbabwe", "Namibia", "2027 ODI World Cup"]}
{"id": "e_8543db068c8f_q0_neg", "domain": "Sports", "question": "Will the International Cricket Council unveil the venues for the 2027 ODI World Cup by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "No", "answer_type": "perturbed_binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 9, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_8543db068c8f", "event_date": "2026-07-30", "supporting_event": "The International Cricket Council unveiled 12 venues for the 2027 ODI World Cup.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_6d79affb", "storyline": "2027 ODI World Cup planning", "linked_domains": ["Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_019caaed026060c61c71", "t_eade8798c2c5d632d1a9", "t_b13784dff1a3f902a682", "t_c808d9b97db24765ab4b"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "perturbed_binary", "value": "No", "tolerance": null, "quote": "The International Cricket Council has officially named the 12 venues that will stage the ICC Men’s Cricket World Cup 2027.", "quote_doc_id": "t_8543db068c8f41bebd51", "settling_ids": ["t_8543db068c8f41bebd51", "t_c662b50fb2e9f371fd09", "t_b873a32e447b41656ed9", "t_925f0c06855e74f33a87"], "derivation": "the event dated 2026-07-30 is after the shifted deadline 2026-07-28, so the claim is false at that deadline"}, "perturbation": {"field": "deadline", "original": "2026-08-04", "substituted": "2026-07-28", "v40_substituted": "2026-07-25"}, "paired_with": "e_8543db068c8f_q0", "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["International Cricket Council", "South Africa", "Zimbabwe", "Namibia", "2027 ODI World Cup"]}
{"id": "e_8543db068c8f_q1", "domain": "Sports", "question": "How many venues will host the 2027 ODI World Cup by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "12", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 9, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_8543db068c8f", "event_date": "2026-07-30", "supporting_event": "The International Cricket Council unveiled 12 venues for the 2027 ODI World Cup.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_6d79affb", "storyline": "2027 ODI World Cup planning", "linked_domains": ["Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_019caaed026060c61c71", "t_eade8798c2c5d632d1a9", "t_b13784dff1a3f902a682", "t_c808d9b97db24765ab4b"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "12", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Twelve venues across South Africa, Zimbabwe and Namibia will stage the 2027 ODI World Cup.", "quote_doc_id": "t_b873a32e447b41656ed9", "settling_ids": ["t_8543db068c8f41bebd51", "t_c662b50fb2e9f371fd09", "t_b873a32e447b41656ed9", "t_925f0c06855e74f33a87"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["International Cricket Council", "South Africa", "Zimbabwe", "Namibia", "2027 ODI World Cup"]}
{"id": "e_866fa3197bfb_q0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "Will Vaibhav Sooryavanshi move up in the T20I rankings by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 8, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_866fa3197bfb", "event_date": "2026-07-29", "supporting_event": "Vaibhav Sooryavanshi moved up to 48th in T20I rankings after a significant rise of 230 places.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_866fa319", "storyline": "ICC T20I Rankings Update", "linked_domains": ["Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_30aa2cf5f418e64b5aa4", "t_1691990e69f52f2e76cc", "t_f7b127300a60758a87cd", "t_227eb7fa38622fb5dcb8", "t_d2342c22b428a6e3d664"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Sooryavanshi... moved up a whopping 230 places to 48th in T20Is after his recent exploits against Zimbabwe.", "quote_doc_id": "t_70531af9f85008ab98d1", "settling_ids": ["t_866fa3197bfb3e43dee9", "t_70531af9f85008ab98d1", "t_994c7e78eac524048815", "t_a3dcd680f52be74c6674"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Vaibhav Sooryavanshi", "Zimbabwe"]}
{"id": "e_866fa3197bfb_q0_neg", "domain": "Sports", "question": "Will Vaibhav Sooryavanshi move up in the T20I rankings by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "No", "answer_type": "perturbed_binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 8, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_866fa3197bfb", "event_date": "2026-07-29", "supporting_event": "Vaibhav Sooryavanshi moved up to 48th in T20I rankings after a significant rise of 230 places.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_866fa319", "storyline": "ICC T20I Rankings Update", "linked_domains": ["Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_30aa2cf5f418e64b5aa4", "t_1691990e69f52f2e76cc", "t_f7b127300a60758a87cd", "t_227eb7fa38622fb5dcb8", "t_d2342c22b428a6e3d664"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "perturbed_binary", "value": "No", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Sooryavanshi... moved up a whopping 230 places to 48th in T20Is after his recent exploits against Zimbabwe.", "quote_doc_id": "t_70531af9f85008ab98d1", "settling_ids": ["t_866fa3197bfb3e43dee9", "t_70531af9f85008ab98d1", "t_994c7e78eac524048815", "t_a3dcd680f52be74c6674"], "derivation": "the event dated 2026-07-29 is after the shifted deadline 2026-07-28, so the claim is false at that deadline"}, "perturbation": {"field": "deadline", "original": "2026-08-04", "substituted": "2026-07-28", "v40_substituted": "2026-07-25"}, "paired_with": "e_866fa3197bfb_q0", "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Vaibhav Sooryavanshi", "Zimbabwe"]}
{"id": "e_88222f9b0f50_q0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "Which football associations will publicly declare their support for FIFA President Gianni Infantino by 2026-08-11?", "options": ["Germany and France's football associations", "Italy and Spain's football associations", "Mexico and Argentina's football associations", "Brazil and Chile's football associations"], "answer": "Mexico and Argentina's football associations", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 17, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_88222f9b0f50", "event_date": "2026-08-07", "supporting_event": "Mexico and Argentina's football associations publicly declared their support for FIFA President Gianni Infantino.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_88222f9b", "storyline": "FIFA leadership support dynamics", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_f70a06ee025eb0055342", "t_c6c12a86fbee622792aa"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "Mexico and Argentina's football associations", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Mexico and Argentina's football associations have publicly declared their support for FIFA President Gianni Infantino", "quote_doc_id": "t_84c8cfcaf2ea5d25e8cf", "settling_ids": ["t_88222f9b0f509ab21fe7", "t_84c8cfcaf2ea5d25e8cf", "t_7ea2c4fef4b2fe950b63", "t_955cd801b3371f0ef00c"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Gianni Infantino", "Mexico Football Federation", "Argentina Football Federation"]}
{"id": "e_89c32a28373a_i0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "What is the significance of the soccer ball sculpture in Union Station by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "symbol of the World Cup", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 10, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_89c32a28373a", "event_date": "2026-07-31", "supporting_event": "Public transit during the World Cup was considered a success in Los Angeles.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_89c32a28", "storyline": "2026 World Cup public transit evaluation", "linked_domains": ["Business"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_5fc7bc2f73da2beac99e", "t_c2b35a4d1b5bde495cdf", "t_de7665851087b70f2e35"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "symbol of the World Cup", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Travelers walk through Union Station during the FIFA World Cup 2026 in Los Angeles.", "quote_doc_id": "i_89c32a28373ad015efc7_1", "settling_ids": ["t_89c32a28373ad015efc7", "t_2efe0873a163542318e2"], "visible_detail": "the large soccer ball sculpture in Union Station"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Los Angeles", "World Cup"]}
{"id": "e_89c32a28373a_q0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "How many rides will be taken on the enhanced bus service during the World Cup in Los Angeles by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "212000", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "rides", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 10, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_89c32a28373a", "event_date": "2026-07-31", "supporting_event": "Public transit during the World Cup was considered a success in Los Angeles.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_89c32a28", "storyline": "2026 World Cup public transit evaluation", "linked_domains": ["Business"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_5fc7bc2f73da2beac99e", "t_c2b35a4d1b5bde495cdf", "t_de7665851087b70f2e35"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "212000", "tolerance": 0.05, "quote": "more than 212,000 rides were taken on the enhanced bus service, the agency said.", "quote_doc_id": "t_2efe0873a163542318e2", "settling_ids": ["t_89c32a28373ad015efc7", "t_2efe0873a163542318e2"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Los Angeles", "World Cup"]}
{"id": "e_89c3bce4c21f_q0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "How many home runs will Gunnar Henderson hit by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "1", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 5, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_89c3bce4c21f", "event_date": "2026-07-26", "supporting_event": "Gunnar Henderson hit a solo home run in the Orioles' 3-2 win over Atlanta.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_89c3bce4", "storyline": "2026 MLB season", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_470cb4f1fc0622ed6517", "t_eaee1a6f3df752dbd685", "t_7566331e519e7f13619a"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "1", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Henderson went 1-for-4 with a solo home run in Saturday's 3-2 win over Atlanta.", "quote_doc_id": "t_89c3bce4c21f838b1aee", "settling_ids": ["t_89c3bce4c21f838b1aee", "t_ffce6724fceff72059e2"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Gunnar Henderson", "Baltimore Orioles", "Atlanta Braves"]}
{"id": "e_8b39062f6764_q0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "Will Shreyas Iyer win the toss in the first T20I against Zimbabwe by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 2, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_8b39062f6764", "event_date": "2026-07-23", "supporting_event": "Shreyas Iyer won the toss and elected to bowl in the first T20I against Zimbabwe.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_35c0fe70", "storyline": "2026 T20I series between India and Zimbabwe", "linked_domains": ["Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_d2342c22b428a6e3d664", "t_a6e16f3e3ddfe10e9777", "t_18e3b43d386b0c1bc2f9"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "skipper Shreyas Iyer won the toss and elected to bowl first against Zimbabwe in the first T20I", "quote_doc_id": "t_8b39062f6764d0409d92", "settling_ids": ["t_8b39062f6764d0409d92", "t_d02e0c0883f48c7a13a1", "t_56ba4074676f47a0b348", "t_94d459ccd73d3441c04a"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Shreyas Iyer", "Ashok Sharma", "Zimbabwe", "Harare Sports Club"]}
{"id": "e_8c5200701536_q0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "Which club will Federico Chiesa commit to for the upcoming campaign by 2026-08-04?", "options": ["Atletico Madrid", "Fiorentina", "Liverpool", "Juventus"], "answer": "Liverpool", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 12, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_8c5200701536", "event_date": "2026-08-02", "supporting_event": "Federico Chiesa has decided to remain at Liverpool for the upcoming campaign.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_019f1580", "storyline": "2026 Summer Transfer Window", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Environment", "Geopolitics", "Law"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["i_3bd0d05a2131fd04a143_0", "t_2debc702878fcd2b4b9f"], "precursor_modalities": ["I", "T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "Liverpool", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Chiesa appears ready to completely commit his immediate future to Liverpool.", "quote_doc_id": "t_8c5200701536ff7770c6", "settling_ids": ["t_8c5200701536ff7770c6", "t_c4a52ec40490b145b6fa", "t_86f4b1585c9a737d65e8", "t_8e537b23c3ea8d9434c3"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Federico Chiesa", "Liverpool", "Atletico Madrid"]}
{"id": "e_8d058501512a_q0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "Who will be included in the Springbok squad for the Test against Argentina and the All Blacks by 2026-07-28?", "options": ["Sacha Feinberg-Mngomezulu", "Eben Etzebeth", "Siya Kolisi", "Handre Pollard"], "answer": "Sacha Feinberg-Mngomezulu", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 1, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_8d058501512a", "event_date": "2026-07-22", "supporting_event": "Rassie Erasmus named a group of 43 players for the Springbok squad for the Test against Argentina and the All Blacks.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_8d058501", "storyline": "2026 Springbok international rugby season", "linked_domains": ["Geopolitics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_93fbe6beb078ca3cf37a", "t_dc77e515f5c4611f8414"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "Sacha Feinberg-Mngomezulu", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Captain Siya Kolisi and exciting flyhalf Sacha Feinberg-Mngomezulu are back", "quote_doc_id": "t_8d058501512a84087538", "settling_ids": ["t_8d058501512a84087538", "t_d272acc43cc7e382aa2d", "t_1569d859afd390b3bc59", "t_a1c5ecaf6d6da3f29c91"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Rassie Erasmus", "Springboks", "Argentina", "New Zealand"]}
{"id": "e_8d16513b6e49_q1", "domain": "Sports", "question": "Who will Shreyas Iyer credit for mentorship after the T20I series against Zimbabwe by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "VVS Laxman", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 6, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_8d16513b6e49", "event_date": "2026-07-27", "supporting_event": "Shreyas Iyer credited VVS Laxman for his mentorship after India's 3-0 series win against Zimbabwe.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_35c0fe70", "storyline": "2026 T20I series between India and Zimbabwe", "linked_domains": ["Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_d2342c22b428a6e3d664", "t_a6e16f3e3ddfe10e9777", "t_18e3b43d386b0c1bc2f9"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "VVS Laxman", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Shreyas Iyer found VVS Laxman's mentorship inspiring", "quote_doc_id": "t_8d16513b6e498802de6e", "settling_ids": ["t_8d16513b6e498802de6e", "t_8048a8330ae7d2198c4e", "t_10cafc248c082e886e84", "t_2d82629cab8221b703c4"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Shreyas Iyer", "VVS Laxman", "Zimbabwe"]}
{"id": "e_92bd4a86840b_q0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "How many players will Canada invite to the World Junior Summer Showcase by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "32", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 5, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_92bd4a86840b", "event_date": "2026-07-26", "supporting_event": "Canada gathered top under-20 prospects from four countries for the World Junior Summer Showcase.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_92bd4a86", "storyline": "2026 World Junior Summer Showcase", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Geopolitics", "Health", "Law"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_4c8386cf5b7bbd704358", "t_5f7753de1baf28d91528", "t_70c974e0767adab8e225"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "32", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the 32 players who will attend the World Junior Summer Showcase in Windsor", "quote_doc_id": "t_110f88bd3185c16c62e3", "settling_ids": ["t_92bd4a86840bf4c12e18", "t_110f88bd3185c16c62e3", "t_ea7ba33c6b797094fc75", "t_3e341f71a15dff9db3b2"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Canada", "United States", "Sweden", "Finland", "World Junior Summer Showcase"]}
{"id": "e_931a11741b6f_q0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "Will Pakistan secure a victory over West Indies in their upcoming Test match by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 15, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_931a11741b6f", "event_date": "2026-08-05", "supporting_event": "Pakistan secured an eight-wicket victory over West Indies.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_104e85ce", "storyline": "World Test Championship 2025-27", "linked_domains": ["Geopolitics", "Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_90e5023d8cbf8b35120e", "t_2f6220ba157f1c23e96f", "t_6e6df0a96d501624c9c5"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Pakistan secured their first away test win in three years with an eight-wicket victory over West Indies in Port of Spain on Wednesday, levelling the series at 1-1 and ending an eight-match losing streak away from home.", "quote_doc_id": "t_931a11741b6fca6a22b5", "settling_ids": ["t_931a11741b6fca6a22b5", "t_935f7865c6e5e3297f85", "t_afa3b38259742d79fe4f", "t_26910ff6145cd38b1bb7"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Pakistan", "West Indies"]}
{"id": "e_931a11741b6f_q0_neg", "domain": "Sports", "question": "Will Pakistan secure a victory over West Indies in their upcoming Test match by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "No", "answer_type": "perturbed_binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 15, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_931a11741b6f", "event_date": "2026-08-05", "supporting_event": "Pakistan secured an eight-wicket victory over West Indies.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_104e85ce", "storyline": "World Test Championship 2025-27", "linked_domains": ["Geopolitics", "Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_90e5023d8cbf8b35120e", "t_2f6220ba157f1c23e96f", "t_6e6df0a96d501624c9c5"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "perturbed_binary", "value": "No", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Pakistan secured their first away test win in three years with an eight-wicket victory over West Indies in Port of Spain on Wednesday, levelling the series at 1-1 and ending an eight-match losing streak away from home.", "quote_doc_id": "t_931a11741b6fca6a22b5", "settling_ids": ["t_931a11741b6fca6a22b5", "t_935f7865c6e5e3297f85", "t_afa3b38259742d79fe4f", "t_26910ff6145cd38b1bb7"], "derivation": "the event dated 2026-08-05 is after the shifted deadline 2026-08-04, so the claim is false at that deadline"}, "perturbation": {"field": "deadline", "original": "2026-08-11", "substituted": "2026-08-04", "v40_substituted": "2026-07-28"}, "paired_with": "e_931a11741b6f_q0", "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Pakistan", "West Indies"]}
{"id": "e_96d0b0aeee3f_q1", "domain": "Sports", "question": "In the first T20I match vs Zimbabwe, how many runs will Vaibhav Sooryavanshi score for India by 2026-07-28?", "options": ["30", "40", "60", "50"], "answer": "50", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": "runs", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 1, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_96d0b0aeee3f", "event_date": "2026-07-22", "supporting_event": "Vaibhav Sooryavanshi scored his maiden half century in the first T20I match vs Zimbabwe.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_35c0fe70", "storyline": "2026 T20I series between India and Zimbabwe", "linked_domains": ["Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_57bcf7d49dbfe61d24f9", "t_d2342c22b428a6e3d664"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "50", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Sooryavanshi (50 off 19) that included four boundaries and as many sixes.", "quote_doc_id": "t_02e214e1d39050bac3df", "settling_ids": ["t_96d0b0aeee3ff70702d2", "t_02e214e1d39050bac3df", "t_51528a47efa54938fb04", "t_3b72d9928cc1e7245662"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Vaibhav Sooryavanshi", "Zimbabwe", "India"]}
{"id": "e_96d0b0aeee3f_q2", "domain": "Sports", "question": "How many balls will Vaibhav Sooryavanshi take to score his maiden half century in the first T20I match vs Zimbabwe by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "18", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "balls", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 1, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_96d0b0aeee3f", "event_date": "2026-07-22", "supporting_event": "Vaibhav Sooryavanshi scored his maiden half century in the first T20I match vs Zimbabwe.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_35c0fe70", "storyline": "2026 T20I series between India and Zimbabwe", "linked_domains": ["Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_57bcf7d49dbfe61d24f9", "t_d2342c22b428a6e3d664"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "18", "tolerance": 0.05, "quote": "smashed an 18-ball half century in his first innings of substance in international cricket", "quote_doc_id": "t_51528a47efa54938fb04", "settling_ids": ["t_96d0b0aeee3ff70702d2", "t_02e214e1d39050bac3df", "t_51528a47efa54938fb04", "t_3b72d9928cc1e7245662"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Vaibhav Sooryavanshi", "Zimbabwe", "India"]}
{"id": "e_97bd8324db0a_q0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "Who will score for Fenerbahçe in their first leg match against Sturm Graz by 2026-08-11?", "options": ["Kerem Aktürkoğlu", "Jayden Oosterwolde", "Anderson Talisca", "Mason Greenwood"], "answer": "Anderson Talisca", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 15, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_97bd8324db0a", "event_date": "2026-08-05", "supporting_event": "Fenerbahçe defeated Sturm Graz 2-0 in the first leg of their Champions League qualifying tie.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_5db75f23", "storyline": "2026 UEFA Champions League qualifying", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["d_a0f942417af9028d53b9", "d_bb32f0e477bfe0b6f344", "d_bb32f0e477bfe0b6f344"], "precursor_modalities": ["D"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "Anderson Talisca", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Talisca opened the scoring in the ninth minute", "quote_doc_id": "t_9d3f61c5fc985a7f1533", "settling_ids": ["t_97bd8324db0aa15a4ae4", "t_9d3f61c5fc985a7f1533", "d_818e9c375f6cae84a712"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Fenerbahçe", "Sturm Graz", "UEFA Champions League"]}
{"id": "e_97dbe845b4e0_q1", "domain": "Sports", "question": "What position will India hold in the World Test Championship 2025-27 standings by 2026-08-04?", "options": ["seventh", "sixth", "fifth", "fourth"], "answer": "fifth", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 14, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_97dbe845b4e0", "event_date": "2026-08-04", "supporting_event": "India is currently fifth in the World Test Championship 2025-27 standings.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_104e85ce", "storyline": "World Test Championship 2025-27", "linked_domains": ["Geopolitics", "Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_d85b902c436b241c2211", "t_e3dd11742b10e30181b5"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "fifth", "tolerance": null, "quote": "India are currently fifth in the World Test Championship standings, having registered four wins and four losses in nine matches, with a Points Percentage (PCT) of 48.150.", "quote_doc_id": "t_97dbe845b4e0a8424e94", "settling_ids": ["t_97dbe845b4e0a8424e94", "t_d879ae359cf85a352d11", "t_019c753b42fa3f8432fd", "t_b064652c3441f1bc47f7"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["India", "World Test Championship"]}
{"id": "e_98006f28183e_i0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "What trophy is Vinícius Júnior celebrating with by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "the Super Cup trophy", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 14, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_98006f28183e", "event_date": "2026-08-04", "supporting_event": "Vinícius Júnior signed a contract extension with Real Madrid until June 2032.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_98006f28", "storyline": "Real Madrid contract negotiations 2026", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_c69588a65c6f0afd9204", "t_9134a5ad5d076ad94623"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "the Super Cup trophy", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_98006f28183e7b3212b8_0", "settling_ids": ["t_98006f28183e7b3212b8", "t_87bba2cdb39724514293", "t_8bfb43c0c959518f86ca", "t_89c7d32f1b8b7c56df80", "t_b7704bdeff1e77fe9e3a", "t_b8b273fc1eb59cb9ce97"], "visible_detail": "the trophy Vinícius Júnior is celebrating with"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Vinícius Júnior", "Real Madrid"]}
{"id": "e_981bc9527245_q0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "Who will FC Copenhagen host in the UEFA Conference League qualifying rounds by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "Polissya Zhytomyr", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 8, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_981bc9527245", "event_date": "2026-07-29", "supporting_event": "FC Copenhagen will host Polissya Zhytomyr on July 29, 2026.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_5db75f23", "storyline": "2026 UEFA Champions League qualifying", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["d_b02d3122e7684b0758e8", "d_02aa2d44539498d90838", "d_30838145de0e0b16c371"], "precursor_modalities": ["D"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "Polissya Zhytomyr", "tolerance": null, "quote": "FC Copenhagen host Polissya Zhytomyr at Parken in the second leg of their UEFA Conference League Qualification tie", "quote_doc_id": "t_981bc9527245e4bbf05e", "settling_ids": ["t_981bc9527245e4bbf05e", "t_5cf614c351d0b1c5edc1"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["FC Copenhagen", "Polissya Zhytomyr", "UEFA Conference League"]}
{"id": "e_981bc9527245_q1", "domain": "Sports", "question": "Which team will FC Copenhagen face in their next match by 2026-08-04?", "options": ["Brondby", "FC Midtjylland", "Polissya Zhytomyr", "Lyngby"], "answer": "Polissya Zhytomyr", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 8, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_981bc9527245", "event_date": "2026-07-29", "supporting_event": "FC Copenhagen will host Polissya Zhytomyr on July 29, 2026.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_5db75f23", "storyline": "2026 UEFA Champions League qualifying", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["d_b02d3122e7684b0758e8", "d_02aa2d44539498d90838", "d_30838145de0e0b16c371"], "precursor_modalities": ["D"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "Polissya Zhytomyr", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Copenhagen vs Polissya Zhytomyr - prediction, team news, lineups", "quote_doc_id": "t_5cf614c351d0b1c5edc1", "settling_ids": ["t_981bc9527245e4bbf05e", "t_5cf614c351d0b1c5edc1"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["FC Copenhagen", "Polissya Zhytomyr", "UEFA Conference League"]}
{"id": "e_a209d9c03a15_q0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "Will Vaibhav Sooryavanshi score more than 50 runs in the final T20 match against Zimbabwe by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 5, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_a209d9c03a15", "event_date": "2026-07-26", "supporting_event": "Vaibhav Sooryavanshi scored 81 runs in the final T20 match against Zimbabwe.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_1bad3b25", "storyline": "2026 India Tour of Zimbabwe", "linked_domains": ["Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_57bcf7d49dbfe61d24f9", "t_d2342c22b428a6e3d664"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Sooryavanshi notched up his highest international score off 49 balls", "quote_doc_id": "t_a209d9c03a157499fff2", "settling_ids": ["t_a209d9c03a157499fff2", "t_86328efd635464d1c37c", "t_646d8eca3b4fa078ae20", "t_8e51b1e479edf0e00ef5"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Vaibhav Sooryavanshi", "Zimbabwe", "India", "Harare Sports Club"]}
{"id": "e_a209d9c03a15_q2", "domain": "Sports", "question": "How many runs will Vaibhav Sooryavanshi score in the final T20 match against Zimbabwe by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "81", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "runs", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 5, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_a209d9c03a15", "event_date": "2026-07-26", "supporting_event": "Vaibhav Sooryavanshi scored 81 runs in the final T20 match against Zimbabwe.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_1bad3b25", "storyline": "2026 India Tour of Zimbabwe", "linked_domains": ["Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_57bcf7d49dbfe61d24f9", "t_d2342c22b428a6e3d664"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "81", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Sooryavanshi blasted an impressive 81 runs", "quote_doc_id": "t_a209d9c03a157499fff2", "settling_ids": ["t_a209d9c03a157499fff2", "t_86328efd635464d1c37c", "t_646d8eca3b4fa078ae20", "t_8e51b1e479edf0e00ef5"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Vaibhav Sooryavanshi", "Zimbabwe", "India", "Harare Sports Club"]}
{"id": "e_a2b4481a44d5_i0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "What player number is displayed on the scoreboard by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "26", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 16, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_a2b4481a44d5", "event_date": "2026-08-06", "supporting_event": "Tyler O'Neill hit a home run over the left-field wall.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_a2b4481a", "storyline": "2026 MLB season", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_2dcc27c5bdf2a8df45b6", "t_49a5a066fcf0ae8d745e", "t_343ee0961221e5cd40a8"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "26", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_0e4e74edb6257935c83e_0", "settling_ids": ["t_a2b4481a44d58b992d42", "t_0e4e74edb6257935c83e", "t_c35f909ef19b4fc1dea1"], "visible_detail": "the scoreboard showing player number 26"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Tyler O'Neill", "Baltimore Orioles", "Los Angeles Angels"]}
{"id": "e_a8a6bf16829d_q0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "How many runs will Vaibhav Sooryavanshi score in the third T20I match against Zimbabwe by 2026-07-28?", "options": ["81", "70", "75", "90"], "answer": "81", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": "runs", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 5, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_a8a6bf16829d", "event_date": "2026-07-26", "supporting_event": "Vaibhav Sooryavanshi scored 81 runs in the third T20I match against Zimbabwe.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_35c0fe70", "storyline": "2026 T20I series between India and Zimbabwe", "linked_domains": ["Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_57bcf7d49dbfe61d24f9", "t_d2342c22b428a6e3d664"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "81", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the left-handed batter returned with an 81-run knock", "quote_doc_id": "t_a8a6bf16829dc83d6042", "settling_ids": ["t_a8a6bf16829dc83d6042", "t_4fe9822dbc6bb8e31b02", "t_fa385e8fc5196d92602e", "t_ef938629a80f378d463a"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Vaibhav Sooryavanshi", "Zimbabwe"]}
{"id": "e_a8e2e25c8ce7_i0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "What is the name of the venue where Cody Rhodes reacts after his altercation with CM Punk by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "FANATICS FEST NYC", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 3, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_a8e2e25c8ce7", "event_date": "2026-07-24", "supporting_event": "Cody Rhodes reacts after his altercation with CM Punk.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_37ff4288", "storyline": "WWE SmackDown events", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_a2aed41b3bb534838c57", "t_0aef015088125d2900d3"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "FANATICS FEST NYC", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_a8e2e25c8ce7aa69cc1a_0", "settling_ids": ["t_a8e2e25c8ce7aa69cc1a", "t_1d6f0edf7ff2b023d2cb", "t_7a7767f47bf713358824", "t_faa12d793ab63f3346bb"], "visible_detail": "the signage displaying 'FANATICS FEST NYC'"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Cody Rhodes", "CM Punk"]}
{"id": "e_a92126c2edd0_d0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "What title will Alexandra Eala win by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "first WTA title in the US capital", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "D", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 11, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_a92126c2edd0", "event_date": "2026-08-01", "supporting_event": "Alex Eala upset Naomi Osaka 6-4, 6-2 to reach the final of the Mubadala DC Open.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_117bd40e", "storyline": "2026 WTA Tour", "linked_domains": ["Health"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_c0fe9eff3cc6953518cd", "t_6ca1c70cf969ef2483b1", "t_30cab82a7d43ec1343b5", "t_9c0de5f66f5e2411abdf", "d_8468ebbc93c86f95af00", "t_3520dd914d02f4096ff1", "t_0d48df3667574e5e9486"], "precursor_modalities": ["D", "T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "first WTA title in the US capital", "tolerance": null, "quote": "to claim her first WTA title in the US capital", "quote_doc_id": "d_a55e19835c68209a0871", "settling_ids": ["d_a55e19835c68209a0871", "d_14fdcac99a4df77bee26", "t_0353592d58200ab59062", "t_c7057cb06c8ad567a525", "t_a92126c2edd056825c80", "t_ac5bb3c6812ea4dc23c0", "t_07483ea051b424f67c71"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Alex Eala", "Naomi Osaka", "Mubadala DC Open"]}
{"id": "e_a9ca05fcec87_q0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "Who will South Africa's Banyana Banyana open their Women's Africa Cup of Nations campaign against by 2026-07-28?", "options": ["Burkina Faso", "Tanzania", "Nigeria", "Ivory Coast"], "answer": "Tanzania", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 3, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_a9ca05fcec87", "event_date": "2026-07-24", "supporting_event": "South Africa's Banyana Banyana open their Women's Africa Cup of Nations campaign against Tanzania.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_142bc8d2", "storyline": "2026 Women's Africa Cup of Nations", "linked_domains": ["Geopolitics", "Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_81caa66199bb01039ef5", "t_4b7f4576b17d28e12045"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "Tanzania", "tolerance": null, "quote": "South Africa's Banyana Banyana will kick off their Women's Africa Cup of Nations (WAFCON) campaign against Tanzania on Monday in a Casablanca clash", "quote_doc_id": "t_a9ca05fcec87d9182920", "settling_ids": ["t_a9ca05fcec87d9182920", "t_4a200d620e9fb8324a20", "t_8d5686367ea8ab597b5f"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["South Africa's Banyana Banyana", "Tanzania", "Women's Africa Cup of Nations"]}
{"id": "e_a9ca05fcec87_q1", "domain": "Sports", "question": "How many teams will progress to the quarter-finals from Group B in the Women's Africa Cup of Nations by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "2", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 3, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_a9ca05fcec87", "event_date": "2026-07-24", "supporting_event": "South Africa's Banyana Banyana open their Women's Africa Cup of Nations campaign against Tanzania.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_142bc8d2", "storyline": "2026 Women's Africa Cup of Nations", "linked_domains": ["Geopolitics", "Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_81caa66199bb01039ef5", "t_4b7f4576b17d28e12045"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "2", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the top two teams out of the four in each group set to progress to the quarter-finals.", "quote_doc_id": "t_a9ca05fcec87d9182920", "settling_ids": ["t_a9ca05fcec87d9182920", "t_4a200d620e9fb8324a20", "t_8d5686367ea8ab597b5f"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["South Africa's Banyana Banyana", "Tanzania", "Women's Africa Cup of Nations"]}
{"id": "e_aa8ed3e7f6fb_i0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "What team is represented by the jersey number visible in the photograph by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "Detroit Pistons", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 4, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_aa8ed3e7f6fb", "event_date": "2026-07-25", "supporting_event": "LeBron James announced his free agency decision, choosing the Philadelphia 76ers.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_0d9cac9f", "storyline": "2026 NBA Free Agency", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_9b15cd174e76d971b5f0", "t_b2b77128591d258da645", "t_5da7295d0f7447cd06a1"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "Detroit Pistons", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_aa8ed3e7f6fba1e3ff63_0", "settling_ids": ["t_aa8ed3e7f6fba1e3ff63", "t_58fcb6bc457de9d2a19c", "t_735e45fbd12ea23ca77f", "t_f4045b06456ef177be61"], "visible_detail": "the jersey number 0 and the word 'PISTONS' on the player's uniform"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["LeBron James", "Philadelphia 76ers"]}
{"id": "e_b195f84d098f_i0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "What position does Lance Stroll finish in the first practice session of the Hungarian Grand Prix by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "18th", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 3, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_b195f84d098f", "event_date": "2026-07-24", "supporting_event": "Aston Martin suffered a suspension failure in Lance Stroll's car during the first practice session of the Hungarian Grand Prix.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_0b404ab0", "storyline": "2026 Formula 1 season", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_de8ce2ad53cfbf9831c2", "t_94e84a46f9f66c9c22a4", "t_c6fa667b7db5e7a9530c", "t_39760b190bb3fac10713"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "18th", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_b195f84d098fd6b52499_0", "settling_ids": ["t_b195f84d098fd6b52499", "t_e8e5a1e0c22cb448a871", "t_c75c928f0c93dcee6a3a"], "visible_detail": "the bib number 18 on Lance Stroll's car"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Aston Martin", "Lance Stroll", "Hungarian Grand Prix"]}
{"id": "e_b2e45b2d463f_i0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "What bib number did Neeraj Chopra wear during the javelin throw event at the Commonwealth Games by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "304", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 10, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_b2e45b2d463f", "event_date": "2026-07-31", "supporting_event": "Neeraj Chopra won a silver medal in javelin throw at the Commonwealth Games.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_02b7dc12", "storyline": "2026 Commonwealth Games", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_c932a1e7094485f4d9fb", "t_fdd9718d476978a4ac5f", "t_d232a5dce7a50fd96a31"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "304", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_08a549189566e63d6e91_0", "settling_ids": ["t_08a549189566e63d6e91", "t_b2e45b2d463f66647a23", "t_0e3220d9fa17a58bf677", "t_14796ab00b5a9c2a02be", "t_724f5524ad3284df5af0", "t_0488ce64e5f856283b68"], "visible_detail": "the bib number 304 worn by Chopra"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Neeraj Chopra", "Yashvir Singh", "Commonwealth Games"]}
{"id": "e_b4737dfe4104_i0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "Will Jason Robertson be recognized as a player for the Dallas Stars by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 1, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_b4737dfe4104", "event_date": "2026-07-22", "supporting_event": "Jason Robertson signed a one-year deal worth $12 million with the Dallas Stars.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_b4737dfe", "storyline": "2026 NHL off-season transactions", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_c264bd4cf67d2392ca20", "t_c16c51e20bac3f1b95bf"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_b4737dfe4104b81c0156_0", "settling_ids": ["t_b4737dfe4104b81c0156", "t_d7b0f7a1fe0263201197", "t_406d410b474cb251d2d2"], "visible_detail": "the name 'ROBERTSON' on the player's jersey"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Jason Robertson", "Dallas Stars"]}
{"id": "e_b4b5ae548d7c_i0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "What was Jackson Koivun's score by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "25-under par", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 7, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_b4b5ae548d7c", "event_date": "2026-07-28", "supporting_event": "Jackson Koivun won the 3M Open with a tournament record of 25-under par.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_09f7545c", "storyline": "2026 PGA Tour season", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_8e826f946331dca76fe7", "t_0a7e883d3ea233c9748f", "t_0bc25b0df47f0409b983", "t_89729f0946b8d21b4bc8"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "25-under par", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_e52d473072052f09f516_0", "settling_ids": ["t_e52d473072052f09f516", "t_6fff1a6aace236556039", "t_482f0bc42f2ec46f7081", "t_252b013648fc2af42daf", "t_b4b5ae548d7c8d9b4c36", "t_629f10131592c51e10c0"], "visible_detail": "scoreboard showing 25-under par"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Jackson Koivun", "3M Open", "Scottie Scheffler"]}
{"id": "e_b73516ce4b9d_q2", "domain": "Sports", "question": "How many break points did Alexandra Eala convert in her match against Alycia Parks by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "5", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "D", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 15, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_b73516ce4b9d", "event_date": "2026-08-05", "supporting_event": "Alexandra Eala won her opening match against Alycia Parks.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_b6150212", "storyline": "2026 National Bank Open", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_c0fe9eff3cc6953518cd", "t_9d0bb0a4d44e6534acd8", "t_30cab82a7d43ec1343b5", "d_0bc846f5a72c2641c7d5", "t_d24a6a790b0ba53eca3b"], "precursor_modalities": ["D", "T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "5", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Eala generated far more chances on return, earning 14 break points and converting five.", "quote_doc_id": "d_b61502126b3f34c86150", "settling_ids": ["t_b73516ce4b9d8e419181", "t_204432054c5212b1f672", "d_d80c560075a2ca29fad0", "t_23cfb5adb4921cb8adfd", "d_b61502126b3f34c86150"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Alexandra Eala", "Alycia Parks", "National Bank Open"]}
{"id": "e_b950c12beacf_i0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "What position did Sami Pajari achieve in Rally Finland by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "1st PLACE", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 11, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_b950c12beacf", "event_date": "2026-08-01", "supporting_event": "Sami Pajari claimed victory at Rally Finland.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_4fb23705", "storyline": "2026 World Rally Championship", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_8318b756296d4ee5cece", "t_573528a47eb245c9e10d", "t_86dd8cd82bb3215485d8", "t_1f3a5901e7978f1549d6"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "1st PLACE", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Sami Pajari, Marko Salminen, Toyota Gazoo Racing WRT2 Toyota GR Yaris Rally1", "quote_doc_id": "i_b950c12beacfe5981ac3_1", "settling_ids": ["t_b950c12beacfe5981ac3", "t_254ede98661e1c7307c1", "t_754de76ff6e4a9a1824a"], "visible_detail": "1st PLACE trophy with 'OVERALL CLASSIFICATION' text"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Sami Pajari", "Rally Finland", "Toyota Gazoo Racing"]}
{"id": "e_b976b673dbf7_i0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "What venue is named on the banner by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "THE HYDRO", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 3, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_b976b673dbf7", "event_date": "2026-07-24", "supporting_event": "King Charles III formally declared the Commonwealth Games 2026 open.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_02b7dc12", "storyline": "2026 Commonwealth Games", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_904f8b70528f4ee59522", "t_7a20ae95d7fd4fa89d55", "t_13385089a744c429bf2a"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "THE HYDRO", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_4e201ee669b8f081f906_0", "settling_ids": ["t_4e201ee669b8f081f906", "t_b976b673dbf7e4ce78ef", "t_855782d5d466a57b804e", "t_ee05e64212956a56391b", "t_a41e9509e5baeb931c75"], "visible_detail": "the banner that reads 'THE HYDRO'"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["King Charles III", "Commonwealth Games 2026", "Glasgow"]}
{"id": "e_b9ab07232fe6_q0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "Which team will West Indies need to perform well against to have a chance at direct qualification for the 2027 ODI World Cup by 2026-08-11?", "options": ["Pakistan", "South Africa", "Australia", "India"], "answer": "India", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 15, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_b9ab07232fe6", "event_date": "2026-08-05", "supporting_event": "West Indies missed automatic qualification to the 2027 World Cup.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_6d79affb", "storyline": "2027 ODI World Cup planning", "linked_domains": ["Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_4ca8acf8bf3d40fe57a1", "t_b13784dff1a3f902a682"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "India", "tolerance": null, "quote": "West Indies will also have to rely on the outcome of the ongoing five-match ODI series between Ireland and Afghanistan.", "quote_doc_id": "t_b9ab07232fe6a64a184d", "settling_ids": ["t_b9ab07232fe6a64a184d", "t_6bcddf1381fe06bafb78", "t_09ee6f717ed7534da62e", "t_e62929dbacc29f5639b9"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["West Indies", "2027 World Cup"]}
{"id": "e_bda3b67d54b7_q0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "Who will score the decisive goal in Nigeria's match against Zambia by 2026-08-04?", "options": ["Chiamaka Nnadozie", "Asisat Oshoala", "Rasheedat Ajibade", "Francisca Ordega"], "answer": "Asisat Oshoala", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 13, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_bda3b67d54b7", "event_date": "2026-08-03", "supporting_event": "Asisat Oshoala scored the decisive goal in Nigeria's 1-0 victory over Zambia.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_142bc8d2", "storyline": "2026 Women's Africa Cup of Nations", "linked_domains": ["Geopolitics", "Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_41c11520f3d3e97c602d", "t_4b7f4576b17d28e12045"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "Asisat Oshoala", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Asisat Oshoala’s eighth-minute goal settled the match.", "quote_doc_id": "t_bda3b67d54b75b26614b", "settling_ids": ["t_bda3b67d54b75b26614b", "t_2b2ead98d924dc839fac", "t_878c6c53e4ff2f5b9599", "t_b2e5e591e8dfaca5a48f"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Asisat Oshoala", "Super Falcons", "Zambia", "WAFCON"]}
{"id": "e_be045fdb08ee_i0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "Will LeBron James wear jersey number 6 with the Philadelphia 76ers by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 3, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_be045fdb08ee", "event_date": "2026-07-24", "supporting_event": "LeBron James announced he is signing with the Philadelphia 76ers.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_0d9cac9f", "storyline": "2026 NBA Free Agency", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_9b15cd174e76d971b5f0", "t_b2b77128591d258da645", "t_5da7295d0f7447cd06a1"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Jan 28, 2023; Boston, Massachusetts, USA; Los Angeles Lakers forward LeBron James (6) drives to the basket defended by Boston Celtics forward Jaylen Brown (7) during the second half at TD Garden. Mandatory Credit: Paul Rutherford-USA TODAY Sports | USA TODAY Sports", "quote_doc_id": "i_be045fdb08eee5772b79_1", "settling_ids": ["t_be045fdb08eee5772b79", "t_e932d9c5b44cbac332b7", "t_c050163ad002735535d6", "t_bcd86b6114cfb4faae32"], "visible_detail": "the jersey number 6 worn by LeBron James"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["LeBron James", "Philadelphia 76ers"]}
{"id": "e_bf3c7faa5474_i0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "What will be the highest transfer fee recorded in the Premier League by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "Fernández", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 1, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_bf3c7faa5474", "event_date": "2026-07-22", "supporting_event": "Roberto De Zerbi states that Tottenham's transfer business is not finished yet.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_019f1580", "storyline": "2026 Summer Transfer Window", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Environment", "Geopolitics", "Law"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_49422f394d3b4bead3f6", "t_8a82756eab2b9b41bd27", "t_129a10333dbdf10a0665"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "Fernández", "tolerance": null, "quote": "bar-chart-race visualization", "quote_doc_id": "i_bf3c7faa5474fc7c2f49_1", "settling_ids": ["t_bf3c7faa5474fc7c2f49", "t_813b3702820da4800a01"], "visible_detail": "Fernández (2) £125m"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Roberto De Zerbi", "Tottenham"]}
{"id": "e_bfeee7f6c284_q1", "domain": "Sports", "question": "How much funding will each FIFA member association receive if they approve Gianni Infantino's proposed private investment plan by 2026-08-04?", "options": ["40 million", "10 million", "20 million", "30 million"], "answer": "40 million", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": "million", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 8, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_bfeee7f6c284", "event_date": "2026-07-29", "supporting_event": "Gianni Infantino offered $40 million to FIFA member associations if they approve his proposed private investment plan.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_0046572d", "storyline": "2026 FIFA World Cup", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Environment", "Geopolitics", "Law", "Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["d_b918700424962d83d287", "t_13c9afc54d962891144b"], "precursor_modalities": ["D", "T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "40 million", "tolerance": null, "quote": "each association to access up to $40m", "quote_doc_id": "t_bfeee7f6c284c7abf6e6", "settling_ids": ["t_bfeee7f6c284c7abf6e6", "t_c81f0a1e2860e7a8abdb", "d_47d28dea31d4881c620d", "d_483edacbdd11d978af4d"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Gianni Infantino", "FIFA", "FIFA member associations"]}
{"id": "e_c00beddfff45_q0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "Who will lead Team Spoon to victory in the All-Star Game by 2026-08-04?", "options": ["Aliyah Boston", "Allisha Gray", "A'ja Wilson", "Caitlin Clark"], "answer": "Caitlin Clark", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 8, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_c00beddfff45", "event_date": "2026-07-29", "supporting_event": "Caitlin Clark led Team Spoon to a 129-122 victory in the All-Star Game.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_064e1210", "storyline": "2026 WNBA All-Star Game", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Geopolitics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_58dc93c7ca5226142fd1", "t_c6c8f86b97336bd7c96e"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "Caitlin Clark", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Clark, who missed the 2025 All-Star Game hosted by Indiana due to injury, finished with 17 points, four rebounds and five assists.", "quote_doc_id": "t_0215987d2eacb2bab14c", "settling_ids": ["t_c00beddfff456fbfa840", "t_0215987d2eacb2bab14c", "t_01faf0801e6f023fb876", "t_ea261310d4bd81c4123c"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Caitlin Clark", "Team Spoon"]}
{"id": "e_c00beddfff45_q1", "domain": "Sports", "question": "How many points will Caitlin Clark score in the All-Star Game by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "17", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "points", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 8, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_c00beddfff45", "event_date": "2026-07-29", "supporting_event": "Caitlin Clark led Team Spoon to a 129-122 victory in the All-Star Game.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_064e1210", "storyline": "2026 WNBA All-Star Game", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Geopolitics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_58dc93c7ca5226142fd1", "t_c6c8f86b97336bd7c96e"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "17", "tolerance": 0.5, "quote": "finished with 17 points, four rebounds and five assists.", "quote_doc_id": "t_0215987d2eacb2bab14c", "settling_ids": ["t_c00beddfff456fbfa840", "t_0215987d2eacb2bab14c", "t_01faf0801e6f023fb876", "t_ea261310d4bd81c4123c"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Caitlin Clark", "Team Spoon"]}
{"id": "e_c5a7128c98bd_i0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "What trophy is being held by the individuals in the photograph by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "FIFA World Cup", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 11, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_c5a7128c98bd", "event_date": "2026-08-01", "supporting_event": "Gianni Infantino sought support from the Trump administration amid mounting criticism after his abandoned plan to sell a stake in World Cup commercial rights.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_0046572d", "storyline": "2026 FIFA World Cup", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Environment", "Geopolitics", "Law", "Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_8232e1cd210dcccafd8f", "t_dee0ca45635395f52834", "t_bc2f867e77a168ceaf4f", "t_ebbb0009f74100281868", "t_14bf7797b763faa2476a"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "FIFA World Cup", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_c5a7128c98bda50d188d_0", "settling_ids": ["t_c5a7128c98bda50d188d", "t_6c72f9fa5264147ffb83"], "visible_detail": "the FIFA World Cup trophy"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Gianni Infantino", "Trump administration", "World Cup"]}
{"id": "e_c6559d0f034a_q2", "domain": "Sports", "question": "What date will the first Test of the series against Sri Lanka begin by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "2026-08-15", "answer_type": "date", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 20, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_c6559d0f034a", "event_date": "2026-08-10", "supporting_event": "Sai Sudharsan has been ruled out of the Test series against Sri Lanka.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_207903eb", "storyline": "2026 India Test series against Sri Lanka", "linked_domains": ["Law"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_21ef1ce5195d08ad304b", "t_ef382507cc71008880b1", "t_e3dd11742b10e30181b5"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "date", "value": "2026-08-15", "tolerance": 1, "quote": "The first Test of the series is scheduled to begin on August 15 in Galle.", "quote_doc_id": "t_c6559d0f034a86cc382d", "settling_ids": ["t_c6559d0f034a86cc382d", "t_50186c18e4ebe2f33730", "t_ca7d636282ff51b5efd8", "t_74349d2dd2ebfa0bf2ac"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Sai Sudharsan", "Sri Lanka", "BCCI"]}
{"id": "e_c803ec32de12_i0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "Will Stefon Diggs be officially announced as a player for the Washington Commanders by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 15, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_c803ec32de12", "event_date": "2026-08-05", "supporting_event": "Stefon Diggs has joined the Washington Commanders on a one-year deal worth up to $12 million.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_31b50908", "storyline": "2026 NFL season transactions", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_5d2aeb5555d72314e36c", "t_8d6fc3226e0c4c2fbf80"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_c803ec32de12b3ac9976_0", "settling_ids": ["t_c803ec32de12b3ac9976", "t_cf70f4a77dbb80a8ab02"], "visible_detail": "the text 'DIGGS TO WASHINGTON'"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Stefon Diggs", "Washington Commanders"]}
{"id": "e_c803ec32de12_i0_neg", "domain": "Sports", "question": "Will Stefon Diggs be officially announced as a player for the Washington Commanders by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "No", "answer_type": "perturbed_binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 15, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_c803ec32de12", "event_date": "2026-08-05", "supporting_event": "Stefon Diggs has joined the Washington Commanders on a one-year deal worth up to $12 million.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_31b50908", "storyline": "2026 NFL season transactions", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_5d2aeb5555d72314e36c", "t_8d6fc3226e0c4c2fbf80"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "perturbed_binary", "value": "No", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_c803ec32de12b3ac9976_0", "settling_ids": ["t_c803ec32de12b3ac9976", "t_cf70f4a77dbb80a8ab02"], "derivation": "the event dated 2026-08-05 is after the shifted deadline 2026-08-04, so the claim is false at that deadline", "visible_detail": "the text 'DIGGS TO WASHINGTON'"}, "perturbation": {"field": "deadline", "original": "2026-08-11", "substituted": "2026-08-04", "v40_substituted": "2026-07-28"}, "paired_with": "e_c803ec32de12_i0", "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Stefon Diggs", "Washington Commanders"]}
{"id": "e_c89579eed186_q2", "domain": "Sports", "question": "How many goals did Timor-Leste concede against Vietnam in their opening match by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "7", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "goals", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 5, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_c89579eed186", "event_date": "2026-07-26", "supporting_event": "Gavin Lee warned supporters not to assume an easy afternoon against Timor-Leste.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_c89579ee", "storyline": "2026 ASEAN Championship", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Environment", "Politics", "Technology"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_c8c869c2cc94c4862381", "t_f6a590b363cdf7372601", "t_e0c49ebae82485203de4"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "7", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Timor-Leste suffered an emphatic 7-0 loss to defending champions Vietnam", "quote_doc_id": "t_c89579eed186d077584d", "settling_ids": ["t_c89579eed186d077584d", "t_23e29822df9297165732"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Gavin Lee", "Timor-Leste", "Vietnam", "Singapore", "ASEAN Championship"]}
{"id": "e_c95278d2df37_i0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "What is the bib number of the vehicle that won the race by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "44", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 6, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_c95278d2df37", "event_date": "2026-07-27", "supporting_event": "Lando Norris celebrated McLaren's first win of the season in Hungary.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_a00609b9", "storyline": "2026 Formula One Championship", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_b72e0444566b0a763f71", "t_daef09e814502dc3e8e6"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "44", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_14071207fe31960e9746_0", "settling_ids": ["t_14071207fe31960e9746", "t_92847e938df4b0bffac0", "t_e0a2d251073340949d2a", "t_a983870bcd0fc8e18297", "t_c95278d2df37e55466b9", "t_82323c6ca6b37c37fccb"], "visible_detail": "the bib number 44 on the vehicle"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Lando Norris", "McLaren", "Hungarian Grand Prix"]}
{"id": "e_ca7d636282ff_q2", "domain": "Sports", "question": "Who will replace Sai Sudharsan in the Indian squad for the two-match Test series against Sri Lanka by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "Sarfaraz Khan", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 20, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_ca7d636282ff", "event_date": "2026-08-10", "supporting_event": "Sai Sudharsan has been ruled out of the two-match Test series against Sri Lanka due to a stress reaction in his right toe.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_207903eb", "storyline": "2026 India Test series against Sri Lanka", "linked_domains": ["Law"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_ef382507cc71008880b1", "t_e3dd11742b10e30181b5"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "Sarfaraz Khan", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Sarfaraz Khan has replaced injured Sai Sudharsan in India’s squad for the two-Test series against Sri Lanka.", "quote_doc_id": "t_ca7d636282ff51b5efd8", "settling_ids": ["t_ca7d636282ff51b5efd8", "t_1d7ea1b63a49eba34fb1", "t_9efd553efcb2a0607430", "t_7edaa6c3ba9317d3aceb"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Sai Sudharsan", "BCCI", "Sri Lanka"]}
{"id": "e_cbfe000eb8ae_i0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "What was the final score of the game involving NLEX Road Warriors by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "NLEX Road Warriors 100, Opponent 90", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 14, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_cbfe000eb8ae", "event_date": "2026-08-04", "supporting_event": "NLEX Road Warriors achieved a perfect 6-0 record in the first round of the PBA Season 50 Governors' Cup.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_cbfe000e", "storyline": "PBA Season 50 Governors' Cup", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_f96d8269f9a86a1f0a48", "t_df4336128038be600404", "t_bc249868de46fe03849f", "t_30de0a1527eb8eda6aaa"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "NLEX Road Warriors 100, Opponent 90", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_cbfe000eb8aebbe3255d_0", "settling_ids": ["t_cbfe000eb8aebbe3255d", "t_c8dc7511bf1bdead3074", "t_68db1165c350909a58c6"], "visible_detail": "the scoreboard showing the final score of the game"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["NLEX Road Warriors", "PBA", "Jimmy Alapag", "Chot Reyes"]}
{"id": "e_cc36a843fe04_i0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "Will the UEFA Champions League trophy be held by Vinicius Jr by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 16, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_cc36a843fe04", "event_date": "2026-08-06", "supporting_event": "Vinicius Jr signed a contract extension with Real Madrid until 2032.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_cc36a843", "storyline": "Vinicius Jr contract negotiations", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_c69588a65c6f0afd9204", "t_1ef8152664122c2704db", "t_9134a5ad5d076ad94623"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_cc36a843fe04a3cad233_0", "settling_ids": ["t_cc36a843fe04a3cad233", "t_5289a53580f61909f407", "t_8bfb43c0c959518f86ca", "t_ed0dd55b7eca55ae997c", "t_89c7d32f1b8b7c56df80", "t_aea97135e3e52e124391"], "visible_detail": "the UEFA Champions League trophy"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Vinicius Jr", "Real Madrid"]}
{"id": "e_cc36a843fe04_i0_neg", "domain": "Sports", "question": "Will the UEFA Champions League trophy be held by Vinicius Jr by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "No", "answer_type": "perturbed_binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 16, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_cc36a843fe04", "event_date": "2026-08-06", "supporting_event": "Vinicius Jr signed a contract extension with Real Madrid until 2032.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_cc36a843", "storyline": "Vinicius Jr contract negotiations", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_c69588a65c6f0afd9204", "t_1ef8152664122c2704db", "t_9134a5ad5d076ad94623"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "perturbed_binary", "value": "No", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_cc36a843fe04a3cad233_0", "settling_ids": ["t_cc36a843fe04a3cad233", "t_5289a53580f61909f407", "t_8bfb43c0c959518f86ca", "t_ed0dd55b7eca55ae997c", "t_89c7d32f1b8b7c56df80", "t_aea97135e3e52e124391"], "derivation": "the event dated 2026-08-06 is after the shifted deadline 2026-08-04, so the claim is false at that deadline", "visible_detail": "the UEFA Champions League trophy"}, "perturbation": {"field": "deadline", "original": "2026-08-11", "substituted": "2026-08-04", "v40_substituted": "2026-07-29"}, "paired_with": "e_cc36a843fe04_i0", "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Vinicius Jr", "Real Madrid"]}
{"id": "e_ccaaf3b3b7ec_q1", "domain": "Sports", "question": "On which date will Anthony Joshua return to the ring against Kristian Prenga by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "2026-07-25", "answer_type": "date", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 4, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_ccaaf3b3b7ec", "event_date": "2026-07-25", "supporting_event": "Anthony Joshua returns to the ring to face Kristian Prenga on July 25, 2026.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_7db59cb2", "storyline": "Anthony Joshua's boxing career", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Geopolitics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_1d6b4e88de6efc0ef233", "t_f9bf957b4a3cb1548edd", "t_190b3f39035b3e0ca21d", "t_58aa328ebdc40b558761", "t_d1da7c896533d9908570"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "date", "value": "2026-07-25", "tolerance": 1, "quote": "Anthony Joshua returns to the ring to take on Kristian Prenga on Saturday, July 25, 2026", "quote_doc_id": "t_ccaaf3b3b7eceb93eab9", "settling_ids": ["t_ccaaf3b3b7eceb93eab9", "t_59679e92fe3e13ecaefb", "t_51f3c3ab3ea1fe2c2542", "t_17f69565fb254d7548c9"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Anthony Joshua", "Kristian Prenga", "Jeddah Superdome", "Saudi Arabia"]}
{"id": "e_cd86f0b5659b_q0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "Who will earn a maiden Test call-up to the Indian Test squad for the series against Sri Lanka by 2026-07-28?", "options": ["Ravindra Jadeja", "Saransh Jain", "Washington Sundar", "Jasprit Bumrah"], "answer": "Saransh Jain", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 7, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_cd86f0b5659b", "event_date": "2026-07-28", "supporting_event": "Saransh Jain earned a maiden Test call-up to the Indian Test squad for the series against Sri Lanka.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_207903eb", "storyline": "2026 India Test series against Sri Lanka", "linked_domains": ["Law"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_d85b902c436b241c2211", "t_e3dd11742b10e30181b5"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "Saransh Jain", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Saransh Jain has earned a maiden Test call-up", "quote_doc_id": "t_cd86f0b5659b694c365d", "settling_ids": ["t_cd86f0b5659b694c365d", "t_f342a35629e9e6764d33", "t_661d81b21ff72ccf82ae", "t_adb3ea7fb2d80275f0ea"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Saransh Jain", "BCCI", "Sri Lanka"]}
{"id": "e_cd86f0b5659b_q1", "domain": "Sports", "question": "How many players will be named in the Indian Test squad for the series against Sri Lanka by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "15", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 7, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_cd86f0b5659b", "event_date": "2026-07-28", "supporting_event": "Saransh Jain earned a maiden Test call-up to the Indian Test squad for the series against Sri Lanka.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_207903eb", "storyline": "2026 India Test series against Sri Lanka", "linked_domains": ["Law"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_d85b902c436b241c2211", "t_e3dd11742b10e30181b5"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "15", "tolerance": 0.05, "quote": "the BCCI announced the 15-man squad for the two-match series against Sri Lanka", "quote_doc_id": "t_cd86f0b5659b694c365d", "settling_ids": ["t_cd86f0b5659b694c365d", "t_f342a35629e9e6764d33", "t_661d81b21ff72ccf82ae", "t_adb3ea7fb2d80275f0ea"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Saransh Jain", "BCCI", "Sri Lanka"]}
{"id": "e_cec833cbe62b_q0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "Who will Liverpool prepare to make their first bid for by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "Bradley Barcola", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 10, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_cec833cbe62b", "event_date": "2026-07-31", "supporting_event": "Liverpool are preparing to make their first bid for Bradley Barcola, valued at around 150 million euros.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_019f1580", "storyline": "2026 Summer Transfer Window", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Environment", "Geopolitics", "Law"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["i_1787a8931a85c2b5cd0c_0", "t_ec61264e9a9af8e80a33", "t_626e3527c76daaa615bd", "t_f211e96b8a9b4bac8f13", "t_754ac006b08b203ec73f", "t_611361763ac7a4ff4248"], "precursor_modalities": ["I", "T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "Bradley Barcola", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Sources have told ESPN that the club are preparing to make their first bid for Barcola, with PSG believed to value him at around €150 million (£128.5m/$170.9m).", "quote_doc_id": "t_cec833cbe62b669f3dae", "settling_ids": ["t_cec833cbe62b669f3dae", "t_8122d3579733de735fcd", "t_9d3f75e71c52d5d81c1a", "t_6cfe5def76b79112442f"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Liverpool", "Bradley Barcola", "Paris Saint-Germain"]}
{"id": "e_cec833cbe62b_q1", "domain": "Sports", "question": "What will be the estimated value of Bradley Barcola in Liverpool's first bid by 2026-08-04?", "options": ["120 million euros", "100 million euros", "200 million euros", "150 million euros"], "answer": "150 million euros", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": "million euros", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 10, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_cec833cbe62b", "event_date": "2026-07-31", "supporting_event": "Liverpool are preparing to make their first bid for Bradley Barcola, valued at around 150 million euros.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_019f1580", "storyline": "2026 Summer Transfer Window", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Environment", "Geopolitics", "Law"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["i_1787a8931a85c2b5cd0c_0", "t_ec61264e9a9af8e80a33", "t_626e3527c76daaa615bd", "t_f211e96b8a9b4bac8f13", "t_754ac006b08b203ec73f", "t_611361763ac7a4ff4248"], "precursor_modalities": ["I", "T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "150 million euros", "tolerance": null, "quote": "PSG believed to value him at around €150 million (£128.5m/$170.9m).", "quote_doc_id": "t_cec833cbe62b669f3dae", "settling_ids": ["t_cec833cbe62b669f3dae", "t_8122d3579733de735fcd", "t_9d3f75e71c52d5d81c1a", "t_6cfe5def76b79112442f"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Liverpool", "Bradley Barcola", "Paris Saint-Germain"]}
{"id": "e_cec833cbe62b_q2", "domain": "Sports", "question": "How many million euros will Liverpool's first bid for Bradley Barcola be valued at by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "150", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "million euros", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 10, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_cec833cbe62b", "event_date": "2026-07-31", "supporting_event": "Liverpool are preparing to make their first bid for Bradley Barcola, valued at around 150 million euros.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_019f1580", "storyline": "2026 Summer Transfer Window", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Environment", "Geopolitics", "Law"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["i_1787a8931a85c2b5cd0c_0", "t_ec61264e9a9af8e80a33", "t_626e3527c76daaa615bd", "t_f211e96b8a9b4bac8f13", "t_754ac006b08b203ec73f", "t_611361763ac7a4ff4248"], "precursor_modalities": ["I", "T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "150", "tolerance": 0.05, "quote": "PSG believed to value him at around €150 million (£128.5m/$170.9m).", "quote_doc_id": "t_cec833cbe62b669f3dae", "settling_ids": ["t_cec833cbe62b669f3dae", "t_8122d3579733de735fcd", "t_9d3f75e71c52d5d81c1a", "t_6cfe5def76b79112442f"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Liverpool", "Bradley Barcola", "Paris Saint-Germain"]}
{"id": "e_cf478d620b56_q2", "domain": "Sports", "question": "Will Sai Sudharsan participate in the Test series against Sri Lanka by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "No", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 19, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_cf478d620b56", "event_date": "2026-08-09", "supporting_event": "Sai Sudharsan has been ruled out of the Test series against Sri Lanka.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_207903eb", "storyline": "2026 India Test series against Sri Lanka", "linked_domains": ["Law"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_21ef1ce5195d08ad304b", "t_ef382507cc71008880b1", "t_e3dd11742b10e30181b5"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "No", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Sudharsan has been ruled out of the Test series against Sri Lanka.", "quote_doc_id": "t_9efd553efcb2a0607430", "settling_ids": ["t_cf478d620b5609d8a2fc", "t_113bc886d6b506940328", "t_ca7d636282ff51b5efd8", "t_9efd553efcb2a0607430"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Sai Sudharsan", "Sri Lanka", "BCCI"]}
{"id": "e_cf70f4a77dbb_i0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "Will Stefon Diggs wear jersey number 8 for the Washington Commanders by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 15, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_cf70f4a77dbb", "event_date": "2026-08-05", "supporting_event": "Stefon Diggs has joined the Washington Commanders.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_31b50908", "storyline": "2026 NFL season transactions", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_5e0af243c08cdc63b8d6", "t_5d2aeb5555d72314e36c", "t_8d6fc3226e0c4c2fbf80"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_cf70f4a77dbb80a8ab02_0", "settling_ids": ["t_cf70f4a77dbb80a8ab02", "t_c803ec32de12b3ac9976", "t_d13efcf0c6b761cc5dab"], "visible_detail": "the jersey number 8 worn by Stefon Diggs"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Stefon Diggs", "Washington Commanders"]}
{"id": "e_cf70f4a77dbb_i0_neg", "domain": "Sports", "question": "Will Stefon Diggs wear jersey number 8 for the Washington Commanders by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "No", "answer_type": "perturbed_binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 15, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_cf70f4a77dbb", "event_date": "2026-08-05", "supporting_event": "Stefon Diggs has joined the Washington Commanders.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_31b50908", "storyline": "2026 NFL season transactions", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_5e0af243c08cdc63b8d6", "t_5d2aeb5555d72314e36c", "t_8d6fc3226e0c4c2fbf80"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "perturbed_binary", "value": "No", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_cf70f4a77dbb80a8ab02_0", "settling_ids": ["t_cf70f4a77dbb80a8ab02", "t_c803ec32de12b3ac9976", "t_d13efcf0c6b761cc5dab"], "derivation": "the event dated 2026-08-05 is after the shifted deadline 2026-08-04, so the claim is false at that deadline", "visible_detail": "the jersey number 8 worn by Stefon Diggs"}, "perturbation": {"field": "deadline", "original": "2026-08-11", "substituted": "2026-08-04", "v40_substituted": "2026-07-28"}, "paired_with": "e_cf70f4a77dbb_i0", "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Stefon Diggs", "Washington Commanders"]}
{"id": "e_d147c8c42970_i0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "Will Islam Makhachev win the championship title by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 15, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_d147c8c42970", "event_date": "2026-08-05", "supporting_event": "Islam Makhachev will headline UFC 330 in Philadelphia.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_d147c8c4", "storyline": "UFC 330", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_ac59cf1ac37ca4cbb6d4", "t_ddc106a89e4ca41b8bf3", "t_912a99377abe75135b1e", "t_fdbfb92016a1fd9336f1"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_d147c8c42970249edebc_0", "settling_ids": ["t_d147c8c42970249edebc", "t_bc9444cb3ed741ca1234", "t_d2aac3a3667c963a657b"], "visible_detail": "the championship belt being held by Islam Makhachev"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Islam Makhachev", "Ian Machado Garry", "UFC", "Philadelphia"]}
{"id": "e_d147c8c42970_i0_neg", "domain": "Sports", "question": "Will Islam Makhachev win the championship title by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "No", "answer_type": "perturbed_binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 15, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_d147c8c42970", "event_date": "2026-08-05", "supporting_event": "Islam Makhachev will headline UFC 330 in Philadelphia.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_d147c8c4", "storyline": "UFC 330", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_ac59cf1ac37ca4cbb6d4", "t_ddc106a89e4ca41b8bf3", "t_912a99377abe75135b1e", "t_fdbfb92016a1fd9336f1"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "perturbed_binary", "value": "No", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_d147c8c42970249edebc_0", "settling_ids": ["t_d147c8c42970249edebc", "t_bc9444cb3ed741ca1234", "t_d2aac3a3667c963a657b"], "derivation": "the event dated 2026-08-05 is after the shifted deadline 2026-08-04, so the claim is false at that deadline", "visible_detail": "the championship belt being held by Islam Makhachev"}, "perturbation": {"field": "deadline", "original": "2026-08-11", "substituted": "2026-08-04", "v40_substituted": "2026-07-28"}, "paired_with": "e_d147c8c42970_i0", "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Islam Makhachev", "Ian Machado Garry", "UFC", "Philadelphia"]}
{"id": "e_d57db5d8bdfe_q0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "Which of the following tournaments will Russia and Belarus be excluded from next season by 2026-08-04?", "options": ["World Cup of Hockey", "European Championships", "men's Olympic Games", "men's World Championship"], "answer": "men's World Championship", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 9, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_d57db5d8bdfe", "event_date": "2026-07-30", "supporting_event": "Russia and Belarus will remain excluded from most major international ice hockey tournaments next season.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_d57db5d8", "storyline": "IIHF tournament eligibility decisions", "linked_domains": ["Geopolitics", "Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_371a2a3edbe56cf52b94", "t_939141a4f583a5eeed54", "t_c950449896252578d535", "t_ef467de43387a4ce6c80"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "men's World Championship", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the decision means Russia's teams will not compete in IIHF events during the 2026-27 season, including the men's World Championship, World Junior Championship and the men's and women's Under-18 World Championships.", "quote_doc_id": "t_d57db5d8bdfe5b911fbe", "settling_ids": ["t_d57db5d8bdfe5b911fbe", "t_dbe5c92a74909726d111"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Russia", "Belarus", "IIHF"]}
{"id": "e_d57db5d8bdfe_q1", "domain": "Sports", "question": "By what date will the IIHF review the eligibility of Russia at the IIHF Women's World Championship 2027 by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "November 2026", "answer_type": "date", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 9, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_d57db5d8bdfe", "event_date": "2026-07-30", "supporting_event": "Russia and Belarus will remain excluded from most major international ice hockey tournaments next season.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_d57db5d8", "storyline": "IIHF tournament eligibility decisions", "linked_domains": ["Geopolitics", "Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_371a2a3edbe56cf52b94", "t_939141a4f583a5eeed54", "t_c950449896252578d535", "t_ef467de43387a4ce6c80"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "date", "value": "November 2026", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the eligibility of Russia at the IIHF Women's World Championship 2027 will be reviewed separately by the IIHF Council in November 2026", "quote_doc_id": "t_d57db5d8bdfe5b911fbe", "settling_ids": ["t_d57db5d8bdfe5b911fbe", "t_dbe5c92a74909726d111"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Russia", "Belarus", "IIHF"]}
{"id": "e_d6a9b1aeecab_q0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "Who will win the Washington Open by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "Alexandra Eala", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 11, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_d6a9b1aeecab", "event_date": "2026-08-01", "supporting_event": "Alexandra Eala won the Washington Open.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_117bd40e", "storyline": "2026 WTA Tour", "linked_domains": ["Health"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["i_c0fe9eff3cc6953518cd_0", "t_9d0bb0a4d44e6534acd8", "t_30cab82a7d43ec1343b5", "t_74d3f4014f4f68b62d29", "d_628d51426f095b8fe3f4"], "precursor_modalities": ["D", "I", "T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "Alexandra Eala", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Eala capped her breakthrough run by rallying to defeat top seed Jessica Pegula 4-6 6-4 6-0 in a rain-interrupted final that began on Sunday, becoming the first woman from her country to claim a Tour-level singles crown.", "quote_doc_id": "t_d6a9b1aeecab5fe7f1c0", "settling_ids": ["t_d6a9b1aeecab5fe7f1c0", "t_849773d6389c408c0a13", "t_c74249de0fdb4ec5810f", "t_62aecc40d710e02d4cd3", "d_3f8dd1027231cf1607b3"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Alexandra Eala", "Jessica Pegula", "Washington Open"]}
{"id": "e_d6a9b1aeecab_q1", "domain": "Sports", "question": "Which player will Alexandra Eala defeat in the final of the Washington Open by 2026-08-04?", "options": ["Jessica Pegula", "Elina Svitolina", "Leylah Fernandez", "Naomi Osaka"], "answer": "Jessica Pegula", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 11, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_d6a9b1aeecab", "event_date": "2026-08-01", "supporting_event": "Alexandra Eala won the Washington Open.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_117bd40e", "storyline": "2026 WTA Tour", "linked_domains": ["Health"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["i_c0fe9eff3cc6953518cd_0", "t_9d0bb0a4d44e6534acd8", "t_30cab82a7d43ec1343b5", "t_74d3f4014f4f68b62d29", "d_628d51426f095b8fe3f4"], "precursor_modalities": ["D", "I", "T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "Jessica Pegula", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Eala capped her breakthrough run by rallying to defeat top seed Jessica Pegula 4-6 6-4 6-0 in a rain-interrupted final that began on Sunday.", "quote_doc_id": "t_d6a9b1aeecab5fe7f1c0", "settling_ids": ["t_d6a9b1aeecab5fe7f1c0", "t_849773d6389c408c0a13", "t_c74249de0fdb4ec5810f", "t_62aecc40d710e02d4cd3", "d_3f8dd1027231cf1607b3"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Alexandra Eala", "Jessica Pegula", "Washington Open"]}
{"id": "e_dbdeb45aca5f_q0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "Will Singapore's Lionesses secure a spot at the 2027 Asean Women’s Championship by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "Yes", "answer_type": "binary", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 1, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_dbdeb45aca5f", "event_date": "2026-07-22", "supporting_event": "Singapore secured a spot at the 2027 Asean Women’s Championship.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_ce74661a", "storyline": "ASEAN Hyundai Cup 2026", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Environment", "Politics", "Technology"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_8586763ebaf320092e4a", "t_183f8ea5fc96006a7901"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "binary", "value": "Yes", "tolerance": null, "quote": "the moment I saved that and I knew we qualified, we were all just so happy.", "quote_doc_id": "t_dbdeb45aca5f2815c6fa", "settling_ids": ["t_dbdeb45aca5f2815c6fa", "t_46d34ee9584765b78fdf", "t_6364cd310e7a1655b2d8", "t_0e4a789fac5a21da639a"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Singapore", "Asean Women’s Championship", "Cambodia"]}
{"id": "e_dbdeb45aca5f_q2", "domain": "Sports", "question": "Who will be the goalkeeper for Singapore during the penalty shoot-out against Cambodia by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "Izairida Shakira", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 1, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_dbdeb45aca5f", "event_date": "2026-07-22", "supporting_event": "Singapore secured a spot at the 2027 Asean Women’s Championship.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_ce74661a", "storyline": "ASEAN Hyundai Cup 2026", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Environment", "Politics", "Technology"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_8586763ebaf320092e4a", "t_183f8ea5fc96006a7901"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "Izairida Shakira", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Goalkeeper Izairida Shakira the heroine as Lionesses down Cambodia for Asean C’ship spot", "quote_doc_id": "t_dbdeb45aca5f2815c6fa", "settling_ids": ["t_dbdeb45aca5f2815c6fa", "t_46d34ee9584765b78fdf", "t_6364cd310e7a1655b2d8", "t_0e4a789fac5a21da639a"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Singapore", "Asean Women’s Championship", "Cambodia"]}
{"id": "e_dcc571669b55_q0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "Which player will be recognized for outstanding performance in the final T20I against Zimbabwe by 2026-07-28?", "options": ["Jasprit Bumrah", "Virat Kohli", "Rohit Sharma", "Vaibhav Sooryavanshi"], "answer": "Vaibhav Sooryavanshi", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 5, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_dcc571669b55", "event_date": "2026-07-26", "supporting_event": "Vaibhav Sooryavanshi won both the Player of the Match and Player of the Series awards in the final T20I against Zimbabwe.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_1bad3b25", "storyline": "2026 India Tour of Zimbabwe", "linked_domains": ["Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_57bcf7d49dbfe61d24f9", "t_d2342c22b428a6e3d664", "t_74a8b13c6556df4fdcb5"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "Vaibhav Sooryavanshi", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Sooryavanshi silenced his critics in emphatic fashion, capping a memorable tour by winning both the Player of the Match and Player of the Series awards as India completed a 3-0 sweep of Zimbabwe with a 35-run victory in the final T20I on Sunday.", "quote_doc_id": "t_dcc571669b554c4c552e", "settling_ids": ["t_dcc571669b554c4c552e", "t_9451071ae2c1f5718e57", "t_65c37ca17a868a787fb6", "t_2a0ea716702bc3850421"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Vaibhav Sooryavanshi", "VVS Laxman", "India", "Zimbabwe"]}
{"id": "e_dcc571669b55_q1", "domain": "Sports", "question": "How many runs will Vaibhav Sooryavanshi score in the final T20I against Zimbabwe by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "81", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "runs", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 5, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_dcc571669b55", "event_date": "2026-07-26", "supporting_event": "Vaibhav Sooryavanshi won both the Player of the Match and Player of the Series awards in the final T20I against Zimbabwe.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_1bad3b25", "storyline": "2026 India Tour of Zimbabwe", "linked_domains": ["Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_57bcf7d49dbfe61d24f9", "t_d2342c22b428a6e3d664", "t_74a8b13c6556df4fdcb5"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "81", "tolerance": 0.05, "quote": "Sooryavanshi amassed 151 runs in three innings at an average of 50.33, with his sparkling 81 in the series finale laying the foundation for India's victory.", "quote_doc_id": "t_dcc571669b554c4c552e", "settling_ids": ["t_dcc571669b554c4c552e", "t_9451071ae2c1f5718e57", "t_65c37ca17a868a787fb6", "t_2a0ea716702bc3850421"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Vaibhav Sooryavanshi", "VVS Laxman", "India", "Zimbabwe"]}
{"id": "e_dff4f737db4f_i0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "What is the bib number of Neeraj Chopra by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "25", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 9, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_dff4f737db4f", "event_date": "2026-07-30", "supporting_event": "Neeraj Chopra begins his campaign in the men's javelin throw qualification event.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_02b7dc12", "storyline": "2026 Commonwealth Games", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_c932a1e7094485f4d9fb", "t_fdd9718d476978a4ac5f", "t_d232a5dce7a50fd96a31"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "25", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_dff4f737db4fbbd826ff_0", "settling_ids": ["t_dff4f737db4fbbd826ff", "t_c789810e174ad87f0196", "t_2c72b4ff34aaf400c794", "t_8e8a2f6417621652e34e"], "visible_detail": "the bib number identifying the athlete"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Neeraj Chopra", "Commonwealth Games 2026"]}
{"id": "e_e1063c3e59ea_q0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "By 2026-08-04, who will express that they are fired up for the upcoming Premier League season after being left out of the England squad for the World Cup?", "options": ["Cole Palmer", "Xabi Alonso", "Harry Kane", "Thomas Tuchel"], "answer": "Cole Palmer", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 10, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_e1063c3e59ea", "event_date": "2026-07-31", "supporting_event": "Cole Palmer is fired up for the upcoming Premier League season.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_23f1976c", "storyline": "Lanka Premier League 2026", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Environment"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_04130ae06d546332b7fc", "t_f3731ab9038d0cb79f40"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "Cole Palmer", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Chelsea's Cole Palmer says he is fired up for the upcoming Premier League season and has a point to prove after being left out of the England squad for the World Cup.", "quote_doc_id": "t_e1063c3e59ea8fd6dca0", "settling_ids": ["t_e1063c3e59ea8fd6dca0", "t_4966a77cead07ecedc9a"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": true, "entities": ["Cole Palmer", "Chelsea", "England", "World Cup", "Premier League"]}
{"id": "e_e1063c3e59ea_q1", "domain": "Sports", "question": "By 2026-08-04, how many weeks will Cole Palmer have been bored after his long off-season layoff?", "options": null, "answer": "6", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "weeks", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 10, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_e1063c3e59ea", "event_date": "2026-07-31", "supporting_event": "Cole Palmer is fired up for the upcoming Premier League season.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_23f1976c", "storyline": "Lanka Premier League 2026", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Environment"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_04130ae06d546332b7fc", "t_f3731ab9038d0cb79f40"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "6", "tolerance": 0.05, "quote": "Palmer said he had been bored after six weeks of his long off-season layoff", "quote_doc_id": "t_e1063c3e59ea8fd6dca0", "settling_ids": ["t_e1063c3e59ea8fd6dca0", "t_4966a77cead07ecedc9a"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Cole Palmer", "Chelsea", "England", "World Cup", "Premier League"]}
{"id": "e_e2122b0db8c6_q1", "domain": "Sports", "question": "What round will Anthony Joshua win against Kristian Prenga by 2026-07-28?", "options": ["Fourth", "First", "Third", "Second"], "answer": "Second", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 5, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_e2122b0db8c6", "event_date": "2026-07-26", "supporting_event": "Anthony Joshua defeated Kristian Prenga by knockout in the second round.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_7db59cb2", "storyline": "Anthony Joshua's boxing career", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Geopolitics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_1d6b4e88de6efc0ef233", "t_f9bf957b4a3cb1548edd", "t_190b3f39035b3e0ca21d", "t_133d094b3ee100b8f0a7", "t_d1da7c896533d9908570"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "Second", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Joshua survived two early knockdowns on the way to a second-round knockout of Kristian Prenga", "quote_doc_id": "t_4408b1d0534b336b1a1c", "settling_ids": ["t_e2122b0db8c6a90670ed", "t_4408b1d0534b336b1a1c", "t_c3800a5c8a989abee5be", "t_75bab3c41d8e8a5fe4ca"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Anthony Joshua", "Kristian Prenga"]}
{"id": "e_e2122b0db8c6_q2", "domain": "Sports", "question": "How many knockdowns will Anthony Joshua suffer against Kristian Prenga by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "2", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 5, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_e2122b0db8c6", "event_date": "2026-07-26", "supporting_event": "Anthony Joshua defeated Kristian Prenga by knockout in the second round.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_7db59cb2", "storyline": "Anthony Joshua's boxing career", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Geopolitics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_1d6b4e88de6efc0ef233", "t_f9bf957b4a3cb1548edd", "t_190b3f39035b3e0ca21d", "t_133d094b3ee100b8f0a7", "t_d1da7c896533d9908570"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "2", "tolerance": 0.05, "quote": "Joshua survived two early knockdowns on the way to a second-round knockout of Kristian Prenga", "quote_doc_id": "t_4408b1d0534b336b1a1c", "settling_ids": ["t_e2122b0db8c6a90670ed", "t_4408b1d0534b336b1a1c", "t_c3800a5c8a989abee5be", "t_75bab3c41d8e8a5fe4ca"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Anthony Joshua", "Kristian Prenga"]}
{"id": "e_e3a5d5fa026e_i0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "What was the winning time in the Women's 63kg Final by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "14:59.5", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 7, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_e3a5d5fa026e", "event_date": "2026-07-28", "supporting_event": "Nirupama Devi Seram competes in the Women's 63kg Final at the Commonwealth Games 2026.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_02b7dc12", "storyline": "2026 Commonwealth Games", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_31e76bcb0a161e422ef2", "t_0605922397984a2d8d36", "t_065feee4b9efd69f2c79"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "14:59.5", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_e3a5d5fa026e1c1793d3_0", "settling_ids": ["t_1e6576a212675023b639", "t_e3a5d5fa026e1c1793d3", "t_64e1749ddf4c9007e26c", "t_a4c0fedce0541c4ef794", "t_e7029f98a995f05e427f", "t_4994ea9886527f36848a"], "visible_detail": "the scoreboard showing the event and timing"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Nirupama Devi Seram", "Commonwealth Games 2026"]}
{"id": "e_e687c23bef15_i0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "What event is being referenced by the text displayed in the photograph by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "FIFA World Cup 2026", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 9, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_e687c23bef15", "event_date": "2026-07-30", "supporting_event": "European nations agreed Thursday, July 30, to boycott the World Cup and all other FIFA competitions to protest Gianni Infantino’s plan to sell stakes in soccer’s biggest tournament to private equity investors.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_0046572d", "storyline": "2026 FIFA World Cup", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Environment", "Geopolitics", "Law", "Politics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_740cdcc967db049a5087", "t_7544cd6f92994375781d"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "FIFA World Cup 2026", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_9a36ad7e29b4c5c8d7a9_0", "settling_ids": ["t_9a36ad7e29b4c5c8d7a9", "t_e687c23bef15b7469026", "t_2dd86fb414013c3f9219", "t_050cbce07f2d62b4bd35"], "visible_detail": "the text 'FIFA WORLD CUP 2026' displayed prominently"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["UEFA", "FIFA", "Gianni Infantino"]}
{"id": "e_e7885c0e4dbd_i0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "What is the final score of the match between Carlton and Brisbane Lions by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "Carlton 76", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 9, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_e7885c0e4dbd", "event_date": "2026-07-30", "supporting_event": "Carlton defeated Brisbane Lions by 76 points.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_da6dd1f2", "storyline": "2026 AFL season", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_ae017197630d78048905", "t_d850721bce62a9aa4532"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "Carlton 76", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_e7885c0e4dbd6e93b9d9_0", "settling_ids": ["t_e7885c0e4dbd6e93b9d9", "t_e2cd7bf215caace18fc4", "t_ba7ed2b2d33f8f190714"], "visible_detail": "scoreboard showing Carlton 76 points, Brisbane Lions 0 points"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Carlton", "Brisbane Lions", "Josh Fraser", "Marvel Stadium"]}
{"id": "e_e78bea9f6159_q0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "How many points will Singapore have accumulated in the ASEAN football championship by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "8", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": "points", "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 17, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_e78bea9f6159", "event_date": "2026-08-07", "supporting_event": "Singapore advanced to the ASEAN football championship semi-finals after a 1-1 home draw with Indonesia.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_ce74661a", "storyline": "ASEAN Hyundai Cup 2026", "linked_domains": ["Business", "Environment", "Politics", "Technology"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_7ed29885529909a45131", "t_f6a590b363cdf7372601", "t_e0c49ebae82485203de4"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "8", "tolerance": 0.1, "quote": "The result means that the Lions remain unbeaten in the tournament with eight points from four games.", "quote_doc_id": "t_e78bea9f615968494a05", "settling_ids": ["t_e78bea9f615968494a05", "t_7e8896d797b78a45004e", "t_e0288bcc3954c0be65a3"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Singapore", "Indonesia", "Ilhan Fandi", "ASEAN Hyundai Cup™2026"]}
{"id": "e_e8e5a1e0c22c_i0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "What position did Aston Martin finish in the Hungarian Grand Prix by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "14", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 3, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_e8e5a1e0c22c", "event_date": "2026-07-24", "supporting_event": "Aston Martin debuted a major Formula 1 upgrade package at the Hungarian Grand Prix.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_0b404ab0", "storyline": "2026 Formula 1 season", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_dc4925e27aaf3932f980", "t_94e84a46f9f66c9c22a4", "t_c6fa667b7db5e7a9530c", "t_c291a2ae3950ce58b0d5", "t_39760b190bb3fac10713"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "14", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_822a328306927519a235_0", "settling_ids": ["t_822a328306927519a235", "t_e8e5a1e0c22cb448a871", "t_0d352b617aa894edd8e4", "t_9e6c81d08530f2f8c63b", "t_122cb479735c1900be0d", "t_b195f84d098fd6b52499"], "visible_detail": "the car number 14 on the vehicle"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Aston Martin", "Formula 1", "Hungarian Grand Prix"]}
{"id": "e_eefd1f18d3e7_q0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "How many players will be included in the Springboks' squad for the test against Argentina by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "26", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 18, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_eefd1f18d3e7", "event_date": "2026-08-08", "supporting_event": "Siya Kolisi has been included in the 26-man squad for next month’s test against Argentina.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_eefd1f18", "storyline": "2026 Rugby Test Series", "linked_domains": ["Geopolitics"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_c570bb34aa633d5038d4", "t_d9ddc1059a2e3c46c0e0", "t_bb55ebfe51927c2438ef", "t_4c2e1f7c4099c8bafc56", "t_b70dd3985f094de61774"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "26", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Siya Kolisi has been included in the 26-man squad for next month’s test against Argentina", "quote_doc_id": "t_eefd1f18d3e7302703f0", "settling_ids": ["t_eefd1f18d3e7302703f0", "t_353d765db3788124e346", "t_5939975c561f1d667660", "t_663c102487a444fe5fc0"], "retyped_from": "numeric_threshold"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Siya Kolisi", "South Africa", "Argentina"]}
{"id": "e_f08363e2c6a8_i0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "What is the jersey number of the player who led the Kansas City Royals to victory by 2026-08-11?", "options": null, "answer": "65", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H21", "horizon_days": 15, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-11", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_f08363e2c6a8", "event_date": "2026-08-05", "supporting_event": "Bobby Witt Jr. returns from back injury and leads the Kansas City Royals to an 8-2 victory over the Minnesota Twins.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_626da0d6", "storyline": "2026 MLB season", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": false, "precursor_ids": ["t_953b85d995ef591d1d0c", "t_8d9c5f9fd0492a28c67a"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "65", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_db738bdbbc06c3f96c99_0", "settling_ids": ["t_f08363e2c6a88aa1615c", "t_4c959815d7e4f67c2773", "t_5d155c8c6e25c0e343da", "t_db738bdbbc06c3f96c99"], "visible_detail": "the jersey number 65 on the player's uniform"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Bobby Witt Jr.", "Kansas City Royals", "Minnesota Twins"]}
{"id": "e_f2271d627f3e_i0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "What is the score of the game by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "Cubs 5, Tigers 3", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 1, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_f2271d627f3e", "event_date": "2026-07-22", "supporting_event": "Pete Crow-Armstrong reached five times on two hits and three walks.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_f2271d62", "storyline": "2026 MLB season", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_e34db9b9b00301629ddd", "t_6c2e733e085c61461e23", "t_55968fedfda62e5eb5e1", "t_28e5095dc89c8d77da0c", "t_d6adc209b8755d86419e"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "Cubs 5, Tigers 3", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_f2271d627f3e67bf139e_0", "settling_ids": ["t_f2271d627f3e67bf139e", "t_b8343288634270fff7cb"], "visible_detail": "the score of the game as displayed on the scoreboard"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Pete Crow-Armstrong", "Chicago Cubs", "Detroit Tigers", "Framber Valdez"]}
{"id": "e_f4138f5907c4_i0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "What jersey number will Tarik Skubal wear with the Los Angeles Dodgers by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "48", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 12, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_f4138f5907c4", "event_date": "2026-08-02", "supporting_event": "Tarik Skubal joined the Los Angeles Dodgers.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_0a2b3d62", "storyline": "2026 MLB trade deadline", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_ed691f26f107fbcb6abf", "t_1e1e1d72a481281ffa5d", "t_b005769ccfa5cdb63fe5", "t_4d61e2815b6160e4e268", "t_54cc6eb430df2f7c3b04"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "48", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_ed35bee9b62542a21410_0", "settling_ids": ["t_ed35bee9b62542a21410", "t_f4138f5907c43b8e7d9e", "t_0742638fcd8aba01aefa", "t_29df98b6d019a29a1691"], "visible_detail": "the player's jersey number, 48"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Tarik Skubal", "Los Angeles Dodgers"]}
{"id": "e_f8363a4a0ec3_q0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "Which team will Shamrock Rovers face next after their match against Ararat-Armenia by 2026-07-28?", "options": ["St Patrick's Athletic", "Egnatia Rrogozhinë", "Celje", "Floriana"], "answer": "Egnatia Rrogozhinë", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 7, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_f8363a4a0ec3", "event_date": "2026-07-28", "supporting_event": "Shamrock Rovers were knocked out of the Champions League despite a 2-1 win over Ararat-Armenia, suffering a 3-2 aggregate defeat.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_5db75f23", "storyline": "2026 UEFA Champions League qualifying", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["d_208f44668b5daa083378", "d_bb32f0e477bfe0b6f344", "t_a4f0accb6ea8b9b05fe4"], "precursor_modalities": ["D", "T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "Egnatia Rrogozhinë", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Stephen Bradley’s side must now settle for Europa League football, as they drop to the competition’s third qualifying round. They will next meet Albanian side Egnatia Rrogozhinë.", "quote_doc_id": "t_f8363a4a0ec3332f0ba5", "settling_ids": ["t_f8363a4a0ec3332f0ba5", "t_42c4a0b171fd6f47ef92", "t_596414ebc8339b82e55f", "t_0d66b6dbad7996c491bc"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Shamrock Rovers", "Ararat-Armenia", "Champions League"]}
{"id": "e_f94a7be92afd_q0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "Who will be appointed as the head of global soccer by Red Bull by 2026-08-04?", "options": null, "answer": "Roger Schmidt", "answer_type": "named_entity", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 10, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_f94a7be92afd", "event_date": "2026-07-31", "supporting_event": "Red Bull appointed Roger Schmidt as head of global soccer.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_f94a7be9", "storyline": "Red Bull global soccer leadership change", "linked_domains": ["Law"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_8463116e3dd95b54d0b5", "t_e82a4a5b1d494bab1f2b"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "named_entity", "value": "Roger Schmidt", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Red Bull have officially named former Leverkusen manager Schmidt as their new Global Head of Soccer.", "quote_doc_id": "t_f94a7be92afd42f5c1a8", "settling_ids": ["t_f94a7be92afd42f5c1a8", "t_5025cef0c062ac3fc5d9", "t_96b81e65496f2adb011f", "t_d19715e5e33f54874cdf"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Red Bull", "Roger Schmidt", "Jurgen Klopp"]}
{"id": "e_f94a7be92afd_q1", "domain": "Sports", "question": "Which of the following individuals will replace Jurgen Klopp as head of global soccer at Red Bull by 2026-08-04?", "options": ["Ralf Rangnick", "Thomas Tuchel", "Julian Nagelsmann", "Roger Schmidt"], "answer": "Roger Schmidt", "answer_type": "mcq", "unit": null, "modality_required": "T", "horizon_bucket": "H14", "horizon_days": 10, "resolution_deadline": "2026-08-04", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_f94a7be92afd", "event_date": "2026-07-31", "supporting_event": "Red Bull appointed Roger Schmidt as head of global soccer.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_f94a7be9", "storyline": "Red Bull global soccer leadership change", "linked_domains": ["Law"], "is_chain": true, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_8463116e3dd95b54d0b5", "t_e82a4a5b1d494bab1f2b"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "mcq", "value": "Roger Schmidt", "tolerance": null, "quote": "Red Bull have appointed Roger Schmidt as their head of global soccer, replacing new Germany manager Juergen Klopp in the role.", "quote_doc_id": "t_5025cef0c062ac3fc5d9", "settling_ids": ["t_f94a7be92afd42f5c1a8", "t_5025cef0c062ac3fc5d9", "t_96b81e65496f2adb011f", "t_d19715e5e33f54874cdf"]}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Red Bull", "Roger Schmidt", "Jurgen Klopp"]}
{"id": "e_fca2f820be0d_i0", "domain": "Sports", "question": "What bib number did Neeraj Chopra wear during the Commonwealth Games by 2026-07-28?", "options": null, "answer": "304", "answer_type": "numeric_value", "unit": null, "modality_required": "I", "horizon_bucket": "H7", "horizon_days": 4, "resolution_deadline": "2026-07-28", "t_known_start": "2026-06-09", "t_cutoff": "2026-07-21", "t_resolve_max": "2026-08-11", "event_id": "e_fca2f820be0d", "event_date": "2026-07-25", "supporting_event": "Neeraj Chopra landed in Glasgow to compete in the Commonwealth Games.", "storyline_id": "s_spo_02b7dc12", "storyline": "2026 Commonwealth Games", "linked_domains": [], "is_chain": false, "precursor_names_entity": true, "precursor_ids": ["t_c932a1e7094485f4d9fb", "t_fdd9718d476978a4ac5f", "t_d232a5dce7a50fd96a31", "t_13385089a744c429bf2a", "t_e75469a85455c6d1d68d"], "precursor_modalities": ["T"], "resolution_spec": {"kind": "numeric_value", "value": "304", "tolerance": null, "quote": "", "quote_doc_id": "i_fca2f820be0de2705497_0", "settling_ids": ["t_fca2f820be0de2705497", "t_77112e96f35a181f6fb6"], "visible_detail": "the bib number 304 worn by Neeraj Chopra"}, "perturbation": null, "paired_with": null, "parametric_solvable": false, "entities": ["Neeraj Chopra", "Commonwealth Games", "Glasgow"]}