{ "task": "dnf", "model": "logistic", "overall": { "auc_roc": 0.5204493642592989, "auc_pr": 0.22895999087860608, "f1": 0.30536659108087677, "mcc": -0.04284829391565917, "calibration": 0.31883188538468926, "n": 2260, "positive_rate": 0.1827433628318584 }, "stratified": { "by_event": { "222": { "auc_roc": 0.47087668429131846, "auc_pr": 0.12693325694059734, "f1": 0.2185792349726776, "mcc": -0.08874307253097133, "calibration": 0.3749911600205171, "n": 327, "positive_rate": 0.12538226299694188 }, "333": { "auc_roc": 0.44446817092557, "auc_pr": 0.09684905706163471, "f1": 0.15443037974683543, "mcc": -0.09282917429710102, "calibration": 0.4144254441278866, "n": 732, "positive_rate": 0.0860655737704918 }, "333bf": { "auc_roc": 0.4197674418604651, "auc_pr": 0.9480116829462152, "f1": 0.96, "mcc": -0.036145627700751984, "calibration": 0.44441820716720914, "n": 91, "positive_rate": 0.945054945054945 }, "333fm": { "auc_roc": 0.6780952380952381, "auc_pr": 0.5987181317568917, "f1": 0.5434782608695652, "mcc": NaN, "calibration": 0.127325462490731, "n": 67, "positive_rate": 0.373134328358209 }, "333mbf": { "auc_roc": 0.3333333333333333, "auc_pr": 0.6428571428571428, "f1": 0.7272727272727273, "mcc": NaN, "calibration": 0.4498099614488395, "n": 7, "positive_rate": 0.5714285714285714 }, "333oh": { "auc_roc": 0.5709549071618037, "auc_pr": 0.21677331005923456, "f1": 0.18439716312056736, "mcc": 0.029589504779624957, "calibration": 0.3995970207999105, "n": 129, "positive_rate": 0.10077519379844961 }, "444": { "auc_roc": 0.5118181818181818, "auc_pr": 0.11778637943191318, "f1": 0.18333333333333332, "mcc": 0.0449260350337442, "calibration": 0.40105645600882317, "n": 111, "positive_rate": 0.0990990990990991 }, "444bf": { "auc_roc": NaN, "auc_pr": 1.0, "f1": 0.8888888888888888, "mcc": NaN, "calibration": 0.5000334226224141, "n": 5, "positive_rate": 1.0 }, "555": { "auc_roc": 0.46210163652024117, "auc_pr": 0.23512750355420434, "f1": 0.11188811188811189, "mcc": -0.1293009355023637, "calibration": 0.43519146816253385, "n": 138, "positive_rate": 0.06521739130434782 }, "555bf": { "auc_roc": NaN, "auc_pr": 1.0, "f1": 0.8571428571428571, "mcc": NaN, "calibration": 0.5000283755881285, "n": 4, "positive_rate": 1.0 }, "666": { "auc_roc": 0.59375, "auc_pr": 0.10101010101010101, "f1": 0.11428571428571428, "mcc": 0.04351941398892446, "calibration": 0.44131069043338933, "n": 34, "positive_rate": 0.058823529411764705 }, "777": { "auc_roc": 0.7777777777777778, "auc_pr": 0.5347222222222222, "f1": 0.22857142857142856, "mcc": NaN, "calibration": 0.37111555369316696, "n": 31, "positive_rate": 0.12903225806451613 }, "clock": { "auc_roc": 0.48909754360982555, "auc_pr": 0.5058742967575535, "f1": 0.6666666666666666, "mcc": NaN, "calibration": 0.00033070410353230884, "n": 212, "positive_rate": 0.5 }, "minx": { "auc_roc": 0.4599483204134367, "auc_pr": 0.19739926872996474, "f1": 0.17307692307692307, "mcc": NaN, "calibration": 0.40590415727039947, "n": 95, "positive_rate": 0.09473684210526316 }, "pyram": { "auc_roc": 0.5086027111574557, "auc_pr": 0.11824216176112337, "f1": 0.1728395061728395, "mcc": 0.04551279468647915, "calibration": 0.40752023068153964, "n": 151, "positive_rate": 0.09271523178807947 }, "skewb": { "auc_roc": 0.4603174603174603, "auc_pr": 0.11485671191553544, "f1": 0.18181818181818182, "mcc": -0.11633501014942219, "calibration": 0.37500906362897996, "n": 24, "positive_rate": 0.125 }, "sq1": { "auc_roc": 0.288961038961039, "auc_pr": 0.10816530320452176, "f1": 0.2413793103448276, "mcc": NaN, "calibration": 0.36315763172873333, "n": 102, "positive_rate": 0.13725490196078433 } }, "by_skill_level": { "advanced": { "auc_roc": 0.4772234273318872, "auc_pr": 0.14435627070288876, "f1": 0.24013157894736842, "mcc": -0.12751461846291334, "calibration": 0.3625131587132647, "n": 537, "positive_rate": 0.14152700186219738 }, "elite": { "auc_roc": 0.4793346774193548, "auc_pr": 0.156766171736908, "f1": 0.29545454545454547, "mcc": NaN, "calibration": 0.32714225999258106, "n": 300, "positive_rate": 0.17333333333333334 }, "intermediate": { "auc_roc": 0.5224007226827154, "auc_pr": 0.1911360023209754, "f1": 0.25905598243688255, "mcc": -0.06267205955146052, "calibration": 0.3501523522580639, "n": 798, "positive_rate": 0.15162907268170425 }, "novice": { "auc_roc": 0.6225001322681339, "auc_pr": 0.4173174376624096, "f1": 0.4154838709677419, "mcc": 0.016554843752353787, "calibration": 0.23892395455412044, "n": 625, "positive_rate": 0.2624 } }, "by_time_slice": { "test_a": { "auc_roc": 0.5132225028058361, "auc_pr": 0.3231737677636219, "f1": 0.2903225806451613, "mcc": NaN, "calibration": 0.33521517784198773, "n": 636, "positive_rate": 0.16981132075471697 }, "test_b": { "auc_roc": 0.5408369143695629, "auc_pr": 0.369074405775869, "f1": 0.41354723707664887, "mcc": NaN, "calibration": 0.23978924182036904, "n": 445, "positive_rate": 0.2606741573033708 }, "test_c": { "auc_roc": 0.4878627545294212, "auc_pr": 0.20380702235131212, "f1": 0.2684563758389262, "mcc": -0.07220001878699694, "calibration": 0.3398278161593123, "n": 1179, "positive_rate": 0.16030534351145037 } }, "by_continent": { "_Asia": { "auc_roc": 0.5405, "auc_pr": 0.405812918643263, "f1": 0.38461538461538464, "mcc": NaN, "calibration": 0.27375356273292806, "n": 210, "positive_rate": 0.23809523809523808 }, "_Europe": { "auc_roc": 0.4934137052203545, "auc_pr": 0.20852900168511987, "f1": 0.26452905811623245, "mcc": -0.08426887160543375, "calibration": 0.3406473313771572, "n": 884, "positive_rate": 0.1595022624434389 }, "_North America": { "auc_roc": 0.4713447925250218, "auc_pr": 0.20732133362882138, "f1": 0.32005792903692976, "mcc": NaN, "calibration": 0.31028997282746446, "n": 1160, "positive_rate": 0.19051724137931034 }, "_Oceania": { "auc_roc": NaN, "auc_pr": NaN, "f1": 0.0, "mcc": NaN, "calibration": 0.5008602055293269, "n": 3, "positive_rate": 0.0 }, "_South America": { "auc_roc": 0.5, "auc_pr": 0.5, "f1": 0.5, "mcc": NaN, "calibration": 0.16687425387642257, "n": 3, "positive_rate": 0.3333333333333333 } }, "by_split": { "test": { "auc_roc": 0.5204493642592989, "auc_pr": 0.22895999087860608, "f1": 0.30536659108087677, "mcc": -0.04284829391565917, "calibration": 0.31883188538468926, "n": 2260, "positive_rate": 0.1827433628318584 } } }, "hard_subset": { "overall": {}, "n": 0 }, "cost": { "mode": "small", "baseline_kind": "method", "device": "cpu", "wall_clock_sec": 0.7267883000004076, "cpu_hours": 0.00020188563888900212 }, "extras": { "cold_start": { "overall": { "auc_roc": 0.45159313725490197, "auc_pr": 0.1622023288463277, "f1": 0.2641509433962264, "mcc": -0.14265304876591547, "calibration": 0.32257814605120516, "n": 248, "positive_rate": 0.1774193548387097 }, "n_cold": 248, "n_warm": 2012 }, "n": 2260 }, "significance": { "metric": "auc_pr", "paired_unit": "competition_event_round", "n_pairs": 80, "mean_diff": 0.27754620459203905, "ci95": [ 0.22090226508251717, 0.32902366512861747 ], "p_value": 1.5654667081066664e-15, "effect_size": { "name": "cohens_d", "value": 1.5700592158151472, "cliffs_delta": 0.725 }, "test": "paired_t", "seed": 42, "t_stat": 9.921476171938712, "reference": "xgboost_dnf" }, "elapsed_sec": 35.895626068115234, "seed": 42, "data_summary": { "n_persons": 298551, "n_competitions": 18708, "n_results": 502260, "n_attempts": 31847257, "n_events": 21, "n_frozen_person_event": 612224 } }