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"dataset_config": "Port_Activity/W/short", + "num_series": 99, + "num_windows": 4, + "num_variates": 2, + "prediction_length": 13, + "num_quantiles": 9, + "quantile_levels": [ + 0.1, + 0.2, + 0.3, + 0.4, + 0.5, + 0.6, + 0.7, + 0.8, + 0.9 + ], + "freq": "W", + "seasonality": 1, + "context_length": 291, + "metric_names": [ + "MSE", + "MAE", + "RMSE", + "MAPE", + "sMAPE", + "MASE", + "ND", + "CRPS" + ], + "prediction_scale_factor": 100.0, + "model": "ChakraTS", + "configuration": "chakra-ts-time" +} \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/results/ChakraTS/Port_Activity/W/short/metrics.npz b/results/ChakraTS/Port_Activity/W/short/metrics.npz new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..ab72138d5275e0f15dec27568961c36fca8fd79a --- /dev/null +++ b/results/ChakraTS/Port_Activity/W/short/metrics.npz @@ -0,0 +1,3 @@ +version https://git-lfs.github.com/spec/v1 +oid sha256:3d90facc74dad4574c25ce243f7c680a538eaaa1921bbe56d791f1f72eb7ca42 +size 47798 diff --git a/results/ChakraTS/Port_Activity/W/short/predictions.npz b/results/ChakraTS/Port_Activity/W/short/predictions.npz new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..e3036eb769946e253cb80bbfe76df78e4661433a --- /dev/null +++ b/results/ChakraTS/Port_Activity/W/short/predictions.npz @@ -0,0 +1,3 @@ +version https://git-lfs.github.com/spec/v1 +oid sha256:26ea108566303013897c59c3c21d954e1606be8afb0af8376a6cb988ca009c90 +size 153533 diff --git a/results/ChakraTS/README.md b/results/ChakraTS/README.md new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..a1080bf6ddf2bc9450af8d946f4cd64d6e61b951 --- /dev/null +++ b/results/ChakraTS/README.md @@ -0,0 +1,10 @@ +# ChakraTS on TIME + +Evaluation results of **ChakraTS** ([YHat Labs](https://yhatlabs.com), model card: https://huggingface.co/yhatlabs/ChakraTS) on all 98 TIME tasks (50 datasets, short / medium / long terms). + +- Zero-shot: a pretrained compound time-series model served through an API; no TIME data was used in training any part of it. +- Results are for the TIME configuration of ChakraTS (`chakra-ts-time`): univariate forecasting of every variate, full available context per window, nine quantiles (0.1 to 0.9). +- Files follow the TIME layout: `{dataset}/{freq}/{term}/{config.json, metrics.npz, predictions.npz}`, written with `timebench.evaluation.saver.save_window_predictions` at the benchmark settings (official `datasets.yaml` prediction lengths and test lengths). +- `scripts/compute_local_leaderboard.py` over this folder: MASE (norm.) 0.639, CRPS (norm.) 0.537. + +Contact: shubham@yhatlabs.com diff --git a/results/ChakraTS/SG_Carpark/15T/long/config.json b/results/ChakraTS/SG_Carpark/15T/long/config.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..25acd7138e1a84395a5a865cb3dd31d198c2729b --- /dev/null +++ b/results/ChakraTS/SG_Carpark/15T/long/config.json @@ -0,0 +1,35 @@ +{ + "dataset_config": "SG_Carpark/15T/long", + "num_series": 354, + "num_windows": 1, 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"context_length": 14399, + "metric_names": [ + "MSE", + "MAE", + "RMSE", + "MAPE", + "sMAPE", + "MASE", + "ND", + "CRPS" + ], + "prediction_scale_factor": 1.0, + "model": "ChakraTS", + "configuration": "chakra-ts-time" +} \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/results/ChakraTS/SG_Carpark/15T/medium/metrics.npz b/results/ChakraTS/SG_Carpark/15T/medium/metrics.npz new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..0b2df6afd478679f6a6d257bf47e2e1d1c31f074 --- /dev/null +++ b/results/ChakraTS/SG_Carpark/15T/medium/metrics.npz @@ -0,0 +1,3 @@ +version https://git-lfs.github.com/spec/v1 +oid sha256:cc2ed7fa2aecb062a8f30b3afe41487594721ea0e203a51baddb9e2c9bbeda7c +size 144909 diff --git a/results/ChakraTS/SG_Carpark/15T/medium/predictions.npz b/results/ChakraTS/SG_Carpark/15T/medium/predictions.npz new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..560cb18b52c2f3f0352fda63962a9cc501440e56 --- /dev/null +++ b/results/ChakraTS/SG_Carpark/15T/medium/predictions.npz @@ -0,0 +1,3 @@ +version https://git-lfs.github.com/spec/v1 +oid sha256:7d332c4c387e786127d375de2fe5995dbe831f6d51ac387d046ba1f141a0ef22 +size 2790386 diff --git a/results/ChakraTS/SG_Carpark/15T/short/config.json b/results/ChakraTS/SG_Carpark/15T/short/config.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..0746fc0b8d61796a189f05ad27f87b7ccbd03ccc --- /dev/null +++ b/results/ChakraTS/SG_Carpark/15T/short/config.json @@ -0,0 +1,35 @@ +{ + "dataset_config": "SG_Carpark/15T/short", + "num_series": 354, + "num_windows": 42, + "num_variates": 1, + "prediction_length": 16, + "num_quantiles": 9, + "quantile_levels": [ + 0.1, + 0.2, + 0.3, + 0.4, + 0.5, + 0.6, + 0.7, + 0.8, + 0.9 + ], + "freq": "15T", + "seasonality": 96, + "context_length": 14479, + "metric_names": [ + "MSE", + "MAE", + "RMSE", + "MAPE", + "sMAPE", + "MASE", + "ND", + "CRPS" + ], + "prediction_scale_factor": 1.0, + "model": "ChakraTS", + 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