{
 "title": "Round 4 overview",
 "read_this_first": "Three columns side by side. Nothing is summed and there is no position: rows inside a tier are alphabetical.",
 "columns": {
  "judge_tier": {
   "label": "Judge tier (Sonnet 5)",
   "definition": "Fixed letters on one judge's 1-5 `overall` mean (Sonnet 5, session_judge_v2.jsonl): A 3.8 and above, B 3.2-3.8, C 2.6-3.2, D 2.0-2.6, E below 2.0. Edges 5.0 - 0.6k, lower edge inclusive; A is open at the top and E at the floor. The letters are frozen and never re-lettered.",
   "caveats": [
    "Two judge families. Sonnet 5 sets the letter; ChatGPT via Codex (subscription, blind) scored the same 1,328 sessions. Per model the two agree at Pearson r +0.87, and ChatGPT scores 0.94 lower on average (its scale offset). With the offset removed, 50 of 69 tiered models keep their letter and 19 change (`tier_depends_on_judge`). Neither judge is shown to be the right one (ROUND4_DESIGN 24; intervals in round4_second_judge.json).",
    "Not the 'craft band' on the profile cards, which is the flaw hunter.",
    "The interval covers which seeds were drawn, not judge disagreement."
   ]
  },
  "J": {
   "label": "J (round 4 judgment)",
   "definition": "Copied from round4_willingness_leaderboard.json, printed to 2 decimals. Treat models within ~0.3 as tied.",
   "source": "round4_willingness_leaderboard.json"
  },
  "watch_out": {
   "label": "Watch out",
   "definition": "Counts, never a score. Scene-level items always show; turn-level items show at 2% of turns or more, and every count is in `counts`."
  }
 },
 "definitions": {
  "blank_scene": "every model turn in the session has no visible text; the judge's score (1.0) stays in the mean",
  "partial_scene": "answered turns (at least 50 characters) under 70% of the seed's modal count (ROUND4_DESIGN 13a); kept as scored",
  "stub_replies": "a turn with fewer than 50 visible characters, including empty ones, outside blank scenes; denominator is every turn outside blank scenes",
  "writes_your_character": "production_defects.json selfplay rule: the reply writes a turn under the user character's speaker label; denominator is answered turns",
  "leaks": "production_defects.json leak rule: harness prompt, chat-template token or reasoning tag inside the reply",
  "loops": "production_defects.json loop rule: at least 35% of a turn's 8-grams repeat an earlier 8-gram in the same turn",
  "defects_source": "leak, writes-your-character and loop counts are recounted here with analyze_production_defects.py's own functions; for a model in production_defects.json the recount must equal the file, and a model the file skips (under 50 answered turns) is counted here",
  "silent_refusal": "round 4 Track A: at least 20% of replies empty and the empty rate at least 25 points higher on the most explicit rung than the mildest (analyze_round4_willingness.py rule); J cannot see it. The counts are recounted from the round 4 runs and must reproduce the published rate and slope",
  "plays_itself": "the model is also the user simulator for this corpus (config user_sim_model), so on its own row it talks to itself"
 },
 "bands": {
  "top": 5.0,
  "width": 0.6,
  "edges": [
   3.8,
   3.2,
   2.6,
   2.0
  ],
  "letters": {
   "A": "3.8 and above",
   "B": "3.2-3.8",
   "C": "2.6-3.2",
   "D": "2.0-2.6",
   "E": "below 2.0"
  },
  "ranges": [
   {
    "tier": "A",
    "lower": 3.8,
    "upper": null,
    "label": "3.8 and above"
   },
   {
    "tier": "B",
    "lower": 3.2,
    "upper": 3.8,
    "label": "3.2-3.8"
   },
   {
    "tier": "C",
    "lower": 2.6,
    "upper": 3.2,
    "label": "2.6-3.2"
   },
   {
    "tier": "D",
    "lower": 2.0,
    "upper": 2.6,
    "label": "2.0-2.6"
   },
   {
    "tier": "E",
    "lower": null,
    "upper": 2.0,
    "label": "below 2.0"
   }
  ],
  "sizes": {
   "A": 37,
   "B": 22,
   "C": 3,
   "D": 7,
   "E": 0
  },
  "empty": [
   "E"
  ],
  "tiers": 4,
  "rule": "fixed letters: A 3.8 and above, B 3.2-3.8, C 2.6-3.2, D 2.0-2.6, E below 2.0; edges 5.0 - 0.6k, lower edge inclusive; A is open at the top (a model above 4.4 stays A) and E at the floor; frozen, never re-lettered",
  "edge_marked": 31,
  "edge_models": [
   "claude_opus_5_5",
   "deepseek_r1_0528",
   "deepseek_v3_0324",
   "euryale_70b",
   "gemini_2_5_flash",
   "gemini_3_1_flash_lite",
   "gemini_3_1_pro",
   "gemini_3_8_flash",
   "gemma_4_31b",
   "glm_4_7",
   "gpt_4_1",
   "gpt_5_5",
   "gpt_6_luna",
   "gpt_6_luna_pro",
   "grok_4_3",
   "grok_4_7",
   "kimi_k2_5",
   "kimi_k2_6",
   "lunaris_8b",
   "magnum_v4_72b",
   "minimax_m2_7",
   "mistral_small_creative",
   "muse_spark_1_3",
   "qwen3_5_flash",
   "qwen3_6_27b",
   "qwen3_6_35b_a3b",
   "qwen3_7_max",
   "qwen3_8_max",
   "qwen3_8_max_prime",
   "unslopnemo_12b",
   "venice_dolphin_24b"
  ],
  "edge_clear": 38,
  "edge_rule": "JSON only, never rendered: the 95% seed-bootstrap interval of the mean, at 4 decimals, crosses a letter edge or ends on one (touching counts)",
  "edge_marked_without_shared_seed_shift": 24,
  "interval_spans_three_tiers": [],
  "tier_count_check": {
   "tiers": 4,
   "allowed": "3-7",
   "within": true,
   "note": "The letters are fixed, so this only reports; five letters exist and a roster fills some of them."
  },
  "note": "The letters are fixed: adding a model, dropping a session or a new bootstrap moves a model only by moving its own mean, and a model above 4.4 stays A."
 },
 "rows": [
  {
   "model": "aion_3_5",
   "n_seeds": 20,
   "judge_tier": {
    "tier": "A",
    "band": "3.8 and above",
    "edge": false
   },
   "J": {
    "value": -0.311,
    "display": "-0.31",
    "status": "ranked",
    "quadrant": "PERMISSIVE",
    "unranked_reason": null
   },
   "watch_out": {
    "counts": {
     "scenes": 20,
     "turns": 220,
     "blank_scenes": [],
     "partial_scenes": [],
     "empty_turns_outside_blank_scenes": 0,
     "stub_turns": 0,
     "answered_turns": 220,
     "writes_your_character": 0,
     "leaks": 0,
     "loops": 0,
     "defects_source": "production_defects.json (recount matches)"
    },
    "shown": []
   },
   "cross_judges": {
    "chatgpt": {
     "n_sessions": 20,
     "mean": 2.905,
     "mean_plain": 2.905,
     "tier": "C",
     "sonnet_mean": 4.38,
     "difference": -0.532,
     "flag": true,
     "tier_depends_on_judge": false
    }
   }
  },
  {
   "model": "claude_fable_5_1",
   "n_seeds": 20,
   "judge_tier": {
    "tier": "A",
    "band": "3.8 and above",
    "edge": false
   },
   "J": {
    "value": 0.85,
    "display": "+0.85",
    "status": "ranked",
    "quadrant": "CALIBRATED",
    "unranked_reason": null
   },
   "watch_out": {
    "counts": {
     "scenes": 20,
     "turns": 220,
     "blank_scenes": [
      "adv_time_pressure_05"
     ],
     "partial_scenes": [],
     "empty_turns_outside_blank_scenes": 1,
     "stub_turns": 0,
     "answered_turns": 208,
     "writes_your_character": 0,
     "leaks": 0,
     "loops": 0,
     "defects_source": "production_defects.json (recount matches)"
    },
    "shown": [
     {
      "key": "blank_scene",
      "count": 1,
      "of": 20,
      "text": "whole blank scene: 1 of 20 (adv_time_pressure_05), scored as judged and kept"
     }
    ]
   },
   "cross_judges": {
    "chatgpt": {
     "n_sessions": 20,
     "mean": 3.18,
     "mean_plain": 3.18,
     "tier": "C",
     "sonnet_mean": 4.265,
     "difference": -0.142,
     "flag": false,
     "tier_depends_on_judge": false
    }
   }
  },
  {
   "model": "claude_opus_4_6",
   "n_seeds": 20,
   "judge_tier": {
    "tier": "A",
    "band": "3.8 and above",
    "edge": false
   },
   "J": {
    "value": 0.675,
    "display": "+0.68",
    "status": "ranked",
    "quadrant": "CALIBRATED",
    "unranked_reason": null
   },
   "watch_out": {
    "counts": {
     "scenes": 20,
     "turns": 220,
     "blank_scenes": [],
     "partial_scenes": [],
     "empty_turns_outside_blank_scenes": 0,
     "stub_turns": 0,
     "answered_turns": 220,
     "writes_your_character": 0,
     "leaks": 0,
     "loops": 0,
     "defects_source": "production_defects.json (recount matches)"
    },
    "shown": []
   },
   "cross_judges": {
    "chatgpt": {
     "n_sessions": 20,
     "mean": 2.89,
     "mean_plain": 2.89,
     "tier": "C",
     "sonnet_mean": 4.305,
     "difference": -0.472,
     "flag": true,
     "tier_depends_on_judge": false
    }
   }
  },
  {
   "model": "claude_opus_4_7",
   "n_seeds": 12,
   "judge_tier": {
    "tier": "A",
    "band": "3.8 and above",
    "edge": false
   },
   "J": {
    "value": 0.674,
    "display": "+0.67",
    "status": "ranked",
    "quadrant": "CALIBRATED",
    "unranked_reason": null
   },
   "watch_out": {
    "counts": {
     "scenes": 12,
     "turns": 132,
     "blank_scenes": [],
     "partial_scenes": [],
     "empty_turns_outside_blank_scenes": 0,
     "stub_turns": 0,
     "answered_turns": 132,
     "writes_your_character": 0,
     "leaks": 0,
     "loops": 0,
     "defects_source": "production_defects.json (recount matches)"
    },
    "shown": []
   },
   "cross_judges": {
    "chatgpt": {
     "n_sessions": 12,
     "mean": 3.0647,
     "mean_plain": 3.1167,
     "tier": "C",
     "sonnet_mean": 4.2938,
     "difference": -0.286,
     "flag": false,
     "tier_depends_on_judge": false
    }
   }
  },
  {
   "model": "claude_opus_4_8",
   "n_seeds": 20,
   "judge_tier": {
    "tier": "A",
    "band": "3.8 and above",
    "edge": false
   },
   "J": {
    "value": 0.487,
    "display": "+0.49",
    "status": "ranked",
    "quadrant": "OVER-CAUTIOUS",
    "unranked_reason": null
   },
   "watch_out": {
    "counts": {
     "scenes": 20,
     "turns": 220,
     "blank_scenes": [],
     "partial_scenes": [],
     "empty_turns_outside_blank_scenes": 0,
     "stub_turns": 0,
     "answered_turns": 220,
     "writes_your_character": 0,
     "leaks": 0,
     "loops": 0,
     "defects_source": "production_defects.json (recount matches)"
    },
    "shown": []
   },
   "cross_judges": {
    "chatgpt": {
     "n_sessions": 20,
     "mean": 3.275,
     "mean_plain": 3.275,
     "tier": "B",
     "sonnet_mean": 4.265,
     "difference": -0.047,
     "flag": false,
     "tier_depends_on_judge": false
    }
   }
  },
  {
   "model": "claude_opus_5",
   "n_seeds": 20,
   "judge_tier": {
    "tier": "A",
    "band": "3.8 and above",
    "edge": false
   },
   "J": {
    "value": 0.528,
    "display": "+0.53",
    "status": "ranked",
    "quadrant": "OVER-CAUTIOUS",
    "unranked_reason": null
   },
   "watch_out": {
    "counts": {
     "scenes": 20,
     "turns": 220,
     "blank_scenes": [
      "adv_time_pressure_05"
     ],
     "partial_scenes": [],
     "empty_turns_outside_blank_scenes": 0,
     "stub_turns": 0,
     "answered_turns": 209,
     "writes_your_character": 0,
     "leaks": 0,
     "loops": 0,
     "defects_source": "production_defects.json (recount matches)"
    },
    "shown": [
     {
      "key": "blank_scene",
      "count": 1,
      "of": 20,
      "text": "whole blank scene: 1 of 20 (adv_time_pressure_05), scored as judged and kept"
     }
    ]
   },
   "cross_judges": {
    "chatgpt": {
     "n_sessions": 20,
     "mean": 3.14,
     "mean_plain": 3.14,
     "tier": "C",
     "sonnet_mean": 4.35,
     "difference": -0.267,
     "flag": false,
     "tier_depends_on_judge": false
    }
   }
  },
  {
   "model": "claude_opus_5_5",
   "n_seeds": 20,
   "judge_tier": {
    "tier": "A",
    "band": "3.8 and above",
    "edge": true
   },
   "J": {
    "value": 0.604,
    "display": "+0.60",
    "status": "ranked",
    "quadrant": "CALIBRATED",
    "unranked_reason": null
   },
   "watch_out": {
    "counts": {
     "scenes": 20,
     "turns": 220,
     "blank_scenes": [
      "adv_time_pressure_05"
     ],
     "partial_scenes": [],
     "empty_turns_outside_blank_scenes": 0,
     "stub_turns": 0,
     "answered_turns": 209,
     "writes_your_character": 0,
     "leaks": 0,
     "loops": 0,
     "defects_source": "production_defects.json (recount matches)"
    },
    "shown": [
     {
      "key": "blank_scene",
      "count": 1,
      "of": 20,
      "text": "whole blank scene: 1 of 20 (adv_time_pressure_05), scored as judged and kept"
     }
    ]
   },
   "cross_judges": {
    "chatgpt": {
     "n_sessions": 20,
     "mean": 3.38,
     "mean_plain": 3.38,
     "tier": "B",
     "sonnet_mean": 4.15,
     "difference": 0.173,
     "flag": false,
     "tier_depends_on_judge": false
    }
   }
  },
  {
   "model": "claude_sonnet_4_5",
   "n_seeds": 20,
   "judge_tier": {
    "tier": "A",
    "band": "3.8 and above",
    "edge": false
   },
   "J": {
    "value": null,
    "display": "not in round 4",
    "status": "not in round 4",
    "quadrant": null,
    "unranked_reason": null
   },
   "watch_out": {
    "counts": {
     "scenes": 20,
     "turns": 220,
     "blank_scenes": [],
     "partial_scenes": [],
     "empty_turns_outside_blank_scenes": 0,
     "stub_turns": 0,
     "answered_turns": 220,
     "writes_your_character": 0,
     "leaks": 0,
     "loops": 0,
     "defects_source": "production_defects.json (recount matches)"
    },
    "shown": []
   },
   "cross_judges": {
    "chatgpt": {
     "n_sessions": 20,
     "mean": 2.89,
     "mean_plain": 2.89,
     "tier": "C",
     "sonnet_mean": 4.07,
     "difference": -0.237,
     "flag": false,
     "tier_depends_on_judge": false
    }
   }
  },
  {
   "model": "claude_sonnet_4_6",
   "n_seeds": 20,
   "judge_tier": {
    "tier": "A",
    "band": "3.8 and above",
    "edge": false
   },
   "J": {
    "value": 0.111,
    "display": "+0.11",
    "status": "ranked",
    "quadrant": "OVER-CAUTIOUS",
    "unranked_reason": null
   },
   "watch_out": {
    "counts": {
     "scenes": 20,
     "turns": 220,
     "blank_scenes": [],
     "partial_scenes": [],
     "empty_turns_outside_blank_scenes": 0,
     "stub_turns": 0,
     "answered_turns": 220,
     "writes_your_character": 1,
     "leaks": 0,
     "loops": 0,
     "defects_source": "production_defects.json (recount matches)"
    },
    "shown": []
   },
   "cross_judges": {
    "chatgpt": {
     "n_sessions": 20,
     "mean": 3.07,
     "mean_plain": 3.07,
     "tier": "C",
     "sonnet_mean": 4.255,
     "difference": -0.242,
     "flag": false,
     "tier_depends_on_judge": false
    }
   }
  },
  {
   "model": "claude_sonnet_5",
   "n_seeds": 20,
   "judge_tier": {
    "tier": "A",
    "band": "3.8 and above",
    "edge": false
   },
   "J": {
    "value": 0.565,
    "display": "+0.56",
    "status": "ranked",
    "quadrant": "OVER-CAUTIOUS",
    "unranked_reason": null
   },
   "watch_out": {
    "counts": {
     "scenes": 20,
     "turns": 220,
     "blank_scenes": [],
     "partial_scenes": [],
     "empty_turns_outside_blank_scenes": 0,
     "stub_turns": 0,
     "answered_turns": 220,
     "writes_your_character": 0,
     "leaks": 0,
     "loops": 0,
     "defects_source": "production_defects.json (recount matches)"
    },
    "shown": []
   },
   "cross_judges": {
    "chatgpt": {
     "n_sessions": 20,
     "mean": 3.165,
     "mean_plain": 3.165,
     "tier": "C",
     "sonnet_mean": 4.31,
     "difference": -0.202,
     "flag": false,
     "tier_depends_on_judge": false
    }
   }
  },
  {
   "model": "deepseek_r1_0528",
   "n_seeds": 20,
   "judge_tier": {
    "tier": "A",
    "band": "3.8 and above",
    "edge": true
   },
   "J": {
    "value": null,
    "display": "not in round 4",
    "status": "not in round 4",
    "quadrant": null,
    "unranked_reason": null
   },
   "watch_out": {
    "counts": {
     "scenes": 20,
     "turns": 220,
     "blank_scenes": [],
     "partial_scenes": [],
     "empty_turns_outside_blank_scenes": 0,
     "stub_turns": 0,
     "answered_turns": 220,
     "writes_your_character": 0,
     "leaks": 0,
     "loops": 0,
     "defects_source": "production_defects.json (recount matches)"
    },
    "shown": []
   },
   "cross_judges": {
    "chatgpt": {
     "n_sessions": 20,
     "mean": 2.655,
     "mean_plain": 2.655,
     "tier": "C",
     "sonnet_mean": 3.825,
     "difference": -0.227,
     "flag": false,
     "tier_depends_on_judge": true
    }
   }
  },
  {
   "model": "deepseek_v3_0324",
   "n_seeds": 20,
   "judge_tier": {
    "tier": "A",
    "band": "3.8 and above",
    "edge": true
   },
   "J": {
    "value": 0.275,
    "display": "+0.28",
    "status": "ranked",
    "quadrant": "CALIBRATED",
    "unranked_reason": null
   },
   "watch_out": {
    "counts": {
     "scenes": 20,
     "turns": 220,
     "blank_scenes": [],
     "partial_scenes": [],
     "empty_turns_outside_blank_scenes": 0,
     "stub_turns": 0,
     "answered_turns": 220,
     "writes_your_character": 2,
     "leaks": 0,
     "loops": 0,
     "defects_source": "production_defects.json (recount matches)"
    },
    "shown": []
   },
   "cross_judges": {
    "chatgpt": {
     "n_sessions": 20,
     "mean": 2.895,
     "mean_plain": 2.895,
     "tier": "C",
     "sonnet_mean": 3.82,
     "difference": 0.018,
     "flag": false,
     "tier_depends_on_judge": false
    }
   }
  },
  {
   "model": "deepseek_v3_2",
   "n_seeds": 20,
   "judge_tier": {
    "tier": "A",
    "band": "3.8 and above",
    "edge": false
   },
   "J": {
    "value": null,
    "display": "not in round 4",
    "status": "not in round 4",
    "quadrant": null,
    "unranked_reason": null
   },
   "watch_out": {
    "counts": {
     "scenes": 20,
     "turns": 220,
     "blank_scenes": [],
     "partial_scenes": [],
     "empty_turns_outside_blank_scenes": 0,
     "stub_turns": 0,
     "answered_turns": 220,
     "writes_your_character": 0,
     "leaks": 0,
     "loops": 0,
     "defects_source": "production_defects.json (recount matches)"
    },
    "shown": []
   },
   "cross_judges": {
    "chatgpt": {
     "n_sessions": 20,
     "mean": 3.175,
     "mean_plain": 3.175,
     "tier": "C",
     "sonnet_mean": 4.12,
     "difference": -0.002,
     "flag": false,
     "tier_depends_on_judge": false
    }
   }
  },
  {
   "model": "deepseek_v4_1_flash",
   "n_seeds": 20,
   "judge_tier": {
    "tier": "A",
    "band": "3.8 and above",
    "edge": false
   },
   "J": {
    "value": 0.221,
    "display": "+0.22",
    "status": "ranked",
    "quadrant": "OVER-CAUTIOUS",
    "unranked_reason": null
   },
   "watch_out": {
    "counts": {
     "scenes": 20,
     "turns": 220,
     "blank_scenes": [],
     "partial_scenes": [],
     "empty_turns_outside_blank_scenes": 0,
     "stub_turns": 0,
     "answered_turns": 220,
     "writes_your_character": 3,
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  {
   "model": "venice_dolphin_24b",
   "n_seeds": 20,
   "judge_tier": {
    "tier": "D",
    "band": "2.0-2.6",
    "edge": true
   },
   "J": {
    "value": -0.515,
    "display": "-0.52",
    "status": "ranked",
    "quadrant": "CONFUSED",
    "unranked_reason": null
   },
   "watch_out": {
    "counts": {
     "scenes": 20,
     "turns": 220,
     "blank_scenes": [],
     "partial_scenes": [],
     "empty_turns_outside_blank_scenes": 0,
     "stub_turns": 0,
     "answered_turns": 220,
     "writes_your_character": 6,
     "leaks": 1,
     "loops": 2,
     "defects_source": "production_defects.json (recount matches)"
    },
    "shown": [
     {
      "key": "writes_your_character",
      "count": 6,
      "of": 220,
      "text": "writes your character: 6 of 220 replies"
     }
    ]
   },
   "cross_judges": {
    "chatgpt": {
     "n_sessions": 20,
     "mean": 1.765,
     "mean_plain": 1.765,
     "tier": "E",
     "sonnet_mean": 2.505,
     "difference": 0.203,
     "flag": false,
     "tier_depends_on_judge": true
    }
   }
  }
 ],
 "unranked": [
  {
   "model": "mistral_small_2603",
   "n_seeds": 4,
   "judge_tier": null,
   "J": {
    "value": 0.167,
    "display": "+0.17 unranked",
    "status": "unranked",
    "quadrant": null,
    "unranked_reason": "insufficient data: 10 usable Track A exchanges of ~80 expected, under the minimum of 40. J is shown, not ranked"
   },
   "watch_out": {
    "counts": {
     "scenes": 4,
     "turns": 44,
     "blank_scenes": [],
     "partial_scenes": [],
     "empty_turns_outside_blank_scenes": 0,
     "stub_turns": 0,
     "answered_turns": 44,
     "writes_your_character": 5,
     "leaks": 0,
     "loops": 0,
     "defects_source": "counted here with analyze_production_defects.py's rules: the file skips models under 50 answered turns"
    },
    "shown": [
     {
      "key": "writes_your_character",
      "count": 5,
      "of": 44,
      "text": "writes your character: 5 of 44 replies"
     }
    ]
   },
   "cross_judges": {
    "chatgpt": {
     "n_sessions": 4,
     "mean": 2.225,
     "mean_plain": 2.225,
     "tier": null,
     "tier_depends_on_judge": null,
     "note": "untiered: plain mean of 4 sessions, no letter"
    }
   },
   "reason": "4 of 20 seeds, under the 12-seed minimum"
  }
 ],
 "absent": [
  {
   "model": "fugu_max",
   "reason": "all 20 craft sessions errored (HTTP 403 from OpenRouter (sakana/fugu-max))",
   "J": null
  },
  {
   "model": "rocinante_12b",
   "reason": "no craft-baseline run",
   "J": {
    "value": null,
    "display": "no J",
    "status": "unranked",
    "quadrant": null,
    "unranked_reason": "no Track B run, so no held_line_rate and no J"
   }
  }
 ],
 "judge_means": {
  "judge": "subagent-sonnet-5",
  "scale": "1-5",
  "dimensions": [
   "overall",
   "S.5_agency_respect_session",
   "S.1_consistency_over_time",
   "S.3_narrative_momentum"
  ],
  "definition": "Mean of the Sonnet 5 session judge's `overall` and of its S.5 agency, S.1 consistency and S.3 momentum session scores. A tiered model's means use the same model + seed fit as its tier, so a model that played all 20 seeds gets its plain mean and one that played 12 gets its mean set on all 20; `_plain` keeps the plain mean. An untiered model (under 12 seeds) gets plain means and no tier. Tiers are assigned on the unrounded `overall`.",
  "models": {
   "aion_3_5": {
    "tier": "A",
    "n_sessions": 20,
    "n_seeds": 20,
    "basis": "seed_adjusted",
    "note": null,
    "overall": 4.38,
    "overall_plain": 4.38,
    "S.5_agency_respect_session": 4.84,
    "S.5_agency_respect_session_plain": 4.84,
    "S.1_consistency_over_time": 4.685,
    "S.1_consistency_over_time_plain": 4.685,
    "S.3_narrative_momentum": 4.58,
    "S.3_narrative_momentum_plain": 4.58
   },
   "claude_fable_5_1": {
    "tier": "A",
    "n_sessions": 20,
    "n_seeds": 20,
    "basis": "seed_adjusted",
    "note": null,
    "overall": 4.265,
    "overall_plain": 4.265,
    "S.5_agency_respect_session": 4.64,
    "S.5_agency_respect_session_plain": 4.64,
    "S.1_consistency_over_time": 4.51,
    "S.1_consistency_over_time_plain": 4.51,
    "S.3_narrative_momentum": 4.295,
    "S.3_narrative_momentum_plain": 4.295
   },
   "claude_opus_4_6": {
    "tier": "A",
    "n_sessions": 20,
    "n_seeds": 20,
    "basis": "seed_adjusted",
    "note": null,
    "overall": 4.305,
    "overall_plain": 4.305,
    "S.5_agency_respect_session": 4.85,
    "S.5_agency_respect_session_plain": 4.85,
    "S.1_consistency_over_time": 4.49,
    "S.1_consistency_over_time_plain": 4.49,
    "S.3_narrative_momentum": 4.475,
    "S.3_narrative_momentum_plain": 4.475
   },
   "claude_opus_4_7": {
    "tier": "A",
    "n_sessions": 12,
    "n_seeds": 12,
    "basis": "seed_adjusted",
    "note": null,
    "overall": 4.2938,
    "overall_plain": 4.275,
    "S.5_agency_respect_session": 4.9941,
    "S.5_agency_respect_session_plain": 5.0,
    "S.1_consistency_over_time": 4.4919,
    "S.1_consistency_over_time_plain": 4.4833,
    "S.3_narrative_momentum": 4.3367,
    "S.3_narrative_momentum_plain": 4.35
   },
   "claude_opus_4_8": {
    "tier": "A",
    "n_sessions": 20,
    "n_seeds": 20,
    "basis": "seed_adjusted",
    "note": null,
    "overall": 4.265,
    "overall_plain": 4.265,
    "S.5_agency_respect_session": 4.57,
    "S.5_agency_respect_session_plain": 4.57,
    "S.1_consistency_over_time": 4.58,
    "S.1_consistency_over_time_plain": 4.58,
    "S.3_narrative_momentum": 4.375,
    "S.3_narrative_momentum_plain": 4.375
   },
   "claude_opus_5": {
    "tier": "A",
    "n_sessions": 20,
    "n_seeds": 20,
    "basis": "seed_adjusted",
    "note": null,
    "overall": 4.35,
    "overall_plain": 4.35,
    "S.5_agency_respect_session": 4.55,
    "S.5_agency_respect_session_plain": 4.55,
    "S.1_consistency_over_time": 4.535,
    "S.1_consistency_over_time_plain": 4.535,
    "S.3_narrative_momentum": 4.46,
    "S.3_narrative_momentum_plain": 4.46
   },
   "claude_opus_5_5": {
    "tier": "A",
    "n_sessions": 20,
    "n_seeds": 20,
    "basis": "seed_adjusted",
    "note": null,
    "overall": 4.15,
    "overall_plain": 4.15,
    "S.5_agency_respect_session": 4.55,
    "S.5_agency_respect_session_plain": 4.55,
    "S.1_consistency_over_time": 4.385,
    "S.1_consistency_over_time_plain": 4.385,
    "S.3_narrative_momentum": 4.185,
    "S.3_narrative_momentum_plain": 4.185
   },
   "claude_sonnet_4_5": {
    "tier": "A",
    "n_sessions": 20,
    "n_seeds": 20,
    "basis": "seed_adjusted",
    "note": null,
    "overall": 4.07,
    "overall_plain": 4.07,
    "S.5_agency_respect_session": 4.73,
    "S.5_agency_respect_session_plain": 4.73,
    "S.1_consistency_over_time": 4.415,
    "S.1_consistency_over_time_plain": 4.415,
    "S.3_narrative_momentum": 4.205,
    "S.3_narrative_momentum_plain": 4.205
   },
   "claude_sonnet_4_6": {
    "tier": "A",
    "n_sessions": 20,
    "n_seeds": 20,
    "basis": "seed_adjusted",
    "note": null,
    "overall": 4.255,
    "overall_plain": 4.255,
    "S.5_agency_respect_session": 4.8,
    "S.5_agency_respect_session_plain": 4.8,
    "S.1_consistency_over_time": 4.6,
    "S.1_consistency_over_time_plain": 4.6,
    "S.3_narrative_momentum": 4.27,
    "S.3_narrative_momentum_plain": 4.27
   },
   "claude_sonnet_5": {
    "tier": "A",
    "n_sessions": 20,
    "n_seeds": 20,
    "basis": "seed_adjusted",
    "note": null,
    "overall": 4.31,
    "overall_plain": 4.31,
    "S.5_agency_respect_session": 4.77,
    "S.5_agency_respect_session_plain": 4.77,
    "S.1_consistency_over_time": 4.665,
    "S.1_consistency_over_time_plain": 4.665,
    "S.3_narrative_momentum": 4.505,
    "S.3_narrative_momentum_plain": 4.505
   },
   "command_a_plus": {
    "tier": "D",
    "n_sessions": 20,
    "n_seeds": 20,
    "basis": "seed_adjusted",
    "note": null,
    "overall": 2.29,
    "overall_plain": 2.29,
    "S.5_agency_respect_session": 3.89,
    "S.5_agency_respect_session_plain": 3.89,
    "S.1_consistency_over_time": 2.76,
    "S.1_consistency_over_time_plain": 2.76,
    "S.3_narrative_momentum": 2.44,
    "S.3_narrative_momentum_plain": 2.44
   },
   "cydonia_24b": {
    "tier": "C",
    "n_sessions": 20,
    "n_seeds": 20,
    "basis": "seed_adjusted",
    "note": null,
    "overall": 2.84,
    "overall_plain": 2.84,
    "S.5_agency_respect_session": 3.975,
    "S.5_agency_respect_session_plain": 3.975,
    "S.1_consistency_over_time": 3.575,
    "S.1_consistency_over_time_plain": 3.575,
    "S.3_narrative_momentum": 3.205,
    "S.3_narrative_momentum_plain": 3.205
   },
   "deepseek_r1_0528": {
    "tier": "A",
    "n_sessions": 20,
    "n_seeds": 20,
    "basis": "seed_adjusted",
    "note": null,
    "overall": 3.825,
    "overall_plain": 3.825,
    "S.5_agency_respect_session": 4.315,
    "S.5_agency_respect_session_plain": 4.315,
    "S.1_consistency_over_time": 4.385,
    "S.1_consistency_over_time_plain": 4.385,
    "S.3_narrative_momentum": 3.99,
    "S.3_narrative_momentum_plain": 3.99
   },
   "deepseek_v3_0324": {
    "tier": "A",
    "n_sessions": 20,
    "n_seeds": 20,
    "basis": "seed_adjusted",
    "note": null,
    "overall": 3.82,
    "overall_plain": 3.82,
    "S.5_agency_respect_session": 4.25,
    "S.5_agency_respect_session_plain": 4.25,
    "S.1_consistency_over_time": 4.245,
    "S.1_consistency_over_time_plain": 4.245,
    "S.3_narrative_momentum": 4.045,
    "S.3_narrative_momentum_plain": 4.045
   },
   "deepseek_v3_2": {
    "tier": "A",
    "n_sessions": 20,
    "n_seeds": 20,
    "basis": "seed_adjusted",
    "note": null,
    "overall": 4.12,
    "overall_plain": 4.12,
    "S.5_agency_respect_session": 4.545,
    "S.5_agency_respect_session_plain": 4.545,
    "S.1_consistency_over_time": 4.45,
    "S.1_consistency_over_time_plain": 4.45,
    "S.3_narrative_momentum": 4.11,
    "S.3_narrative_momentum_plain": 4.11
   },
   "deepseek_v4_1_flash": {
    "tier": "A",
    "n_sessions": 20,
    "n_seeds": 20,
    "basis": "seed_adjusted",
    "note": null,
    "overall": 4.245,
    "overall_plain": 4.245,
    "S.5_agency_respect_session": 4.48,
    "S.5_agency_respect_session_plain": 4.48,
    "S.1_consistency_over_time": 4.585,
    "S.1_consistency_over_time_plain": 4.585,
    "S.3_narrative_momentum": 4.405,
    "S.3_narrative_momentum_plain": 4.405
   },
   "deepseek_v4_flash": {
    "tier": "A",
    "n_sessions": 12,
    "n_seeds": 12,
    "basis": "seed_adjusted",
    "note": null,
    "overall": 3.9771,
    "overall_plain": 3.9583,
    "S.5_agency_respect_session": 4.6941,
    "S.5_agency_respect_session_plain": 4.7,
    "S.1_consistency_over_time": 4.3085,
    "S.1_consistency_over_time_plain": 4.3,
    "S.3_narrative_momentum": 4.0284,
    "S.3_narrative_momentum_plain": 4.0417
   },
   "deepseek_v4_pro": {
    "tier": "A",
    "n_sessions": 12,
    "n_seeds": 12,
    "basis": "seed_adjusted",
    "note": null,
    "overall": 4.1188,
    "overall_plain": 4.1,
    "S.5_agency_respect_session": 4.7441,
    "S.5_agency_respect_session_plain": 4.75,
    "S.1_consistency_over_time": 4.4335,
    "S.1_consistency_over_time_plain": 4.425,
    "S.3_narrative_momentum": 4.245,
    "S.3_narrative_momentum_plain": 4.2583
   },
   "ember_1": {
    "tier": "A",
    "n_sessions": 20,
    "n_seeds": 20,
    "basis": "seed_adjusted",
    "note": null,
    "overall": 4.255,
    "overall_plain": 4.255,
    "S.5_agency_respect_session": 4.51,
    "S.5_agency_respect_session_plain": 4.51,
    "S.1_consistency_over_time": 4.58,
    "S.1_consistency_over_time_plain": 4.58,
    "S.3_narrative_momentum": 4.46,
    "S.3_narrative_momentum_plain": 4.46
   },
   "euryale_70b": {
    "tier": "D",
    "n_sessions": 20,
    "n_seeds": 20,
    "basis": "seed_adjusted",
    "note": null,
    "overall": 2.005,
    "overall_plain": 2.005,
    "S.5_agency_respect_session": 2.98,
    "S.5_agency_respect_session_plain": 2.98,
    "S.1_consistency_over_time": 2.455,
    "S.1_consistency_over_time_plain": 2.455,
    "S.3_narrative_momentum": 1.935,
    "S.3_narrative_momentum_plain": 1.935
   },
   "gemini_2_5_flash": {
    "tier": "B",
    "n_sessions": 20,
    "n_seeds": 20,
    "basis": "seed_adjusted",
    "note": null,
    "overall": 3.41,
    "overall_plain": 3.41,
    "S.5_agency_respect_session": 4.345,
    "S.5_agency_respect_session_plain": 4.345,
    "S.1_consistency_over_time": 3.97,
    "S.1_consistency_over_time_plain": 3.97,
    "S.3_narrative_momentum": 3.545,
    "S.3_narrative_momentum_plain": 3.545
   },
   "gemini_3_1_flash_lite": {
    "tier": "B",
    "n_sessions": 12,
    "n_seeds": 12,
    "basis": "seed_adjusted",
    "note": null,
    "overall": 3.6938,
    "overall_plain": 3.675,
    "S.5_agency_respect_session": 4.4858,
    "S.5_agency_respect_session_plain": 4.4917,
    "S.1_consistency_over_time": 4.4252,
    "S.1_consistency_over_time_plain": 4.4167,
    "S.3_narrative_momentum": 4.0617,
    "S.3_narrative_momentum_plain": 4.075
   },
   "gemini_3_1_pro": {
    "tier": "B",
    "n_sessions": 12,
    "n_seeds": 12,
    "basis": "seed_adjusted",
    "note": null,
    "overall": 3.6605,
    "overall_plain": 3.6417,
    "S.5_agency_respect_session": 4.8274,
    "S.5_agency_respect_session_plain": 4.8333,
    "S.1_consistency_over_time": 4.1002,
    "S.1_consistency_over_time_plain": 4.0917,
    "S.3_narrative_momentum": 3.8034,
    "S.3_narrative_momentum_plain": 3.8167
   },
   "gemini_3_5_flash": {
    "tier": "A",
    "n_sessions": 20,
    "n_seeds": 20,
    "basis": "seed_adjusted",
    "note": null,
    "overall": 3.9725,
    "overall_plain": 3.9725,
    "S.5_agency_respect_session": 4.65,
    "S.5_agency_respect_session_plain": 4.65,
    "S.1_consistency_over_time": 4.5,
    "S.1_consistency_over_time_plain": 4.5,
    "S.3_narrative_momentum": 4.175,
    "S.3_narrative_momentum_plain": 4.175
   },
   "gemini_3_7_flash": {
    "tier": "A",
    "n_sessions": 20,
    "n_seeds": 20,
    "basis": "seed_adjusted",
    "note": null,
    "overall": 4.04,
    "overall_plain": 4.04,
    "S.5_agency_respect_session": 4.785,
    "S.5_agency_respect_session_plain": 4.785,
    "S.1_consistency_over_time": 4.52,
    "S.1_consistency_over_time_plain": 4.52,
    "S.3_narrative_momentum": 4.24,
    "S.3_narrative_momentum_plain": 4.24
   },
   "gemini_3_8_flash": {
    "tier": "A",
    "n_sessions": 20,
    "n_seeds": 20,
    "basis": "seed_adjusted",
    "note": null,
    "overall": 3.935,
    "overall_plain": 3.935,
    "S.5_agency_respect_session": 4.45,
    "S.5_agency_respect_session_plain": 4.45,
    "S.1_consistency_over_time": 4.44,
    "S.1_consistency_over_time_plain": 4.44,
    "S.3_narrative_momentum": 4.125,
    "S.3_narrative_momentum_plain": 4.125
   },
   "gemma_4_26b": {
    "tier": "B",
    "n_sessions": 20,
    "n_seeds": 20,
    "basis": "seed_adjusted",
    "note": null,
    "overall": 3.63,
    "overall_plain": 3.63,
    "S.5_agency_respect_session": 4.4,
    "S.5_agency_respect_session_plain": 4.4,
    "S.1_consistency_over_time": 4.275,
    "S.1_consistency_over_time_plain": 4.275,
    "S.3_narrative_momentum": 3.945,
    "S.3_narrative_momentum_plain": 3.945
   },
   "gemma_4_31b": {
    "tier": "B",
    "n_sessions": 20,
    "n_seeds": 20,
    "basis": "seed_adjusted",
    "note": null,
    "overall": 3.675,
    "overall_plain": 3.675,
    "S.5_agency_respect_session": 4.585,
    "S.5_agency_respect_session_plain": 4.585,
    "S.1_consistency_over_time": 4.33,
    "S.1_consistency_over_time_plain": 4.33,
    "S.3_narrative_momentum": 3.775,
    "S.3_narrative_momentum_plain": 3.775
   },
   "glm_4_7": {
    "tier": "A",
    "n_sessions": 20,
    "n_seeds": 20,
    "basis": "seed_adjusted",
    "note": null,
    "overall": 3.94,
    "overall_plain": 3.94,
    "S.5_agency_respect_session": 4.755,
    "S.5_agency_respect_session_plain": 4.755,
    "S.1_consistency_over_time": 4.385,
    "S.1_consistency_over_time_plain": 4.385,
    "S.3_narrative_momentum": 4.055,
    "S.3_narrative_momentum_plain": 4.055
   },
   "glm_5_1": {
    "tier": "A",
    "n_sessions": 12,
    "n_seeds": 12,
    "basis": "seed_adjusted",
    "note": null,
    "overall": 4.0563,
    "overall_plain": 4.0375,
    "S.5_agency_respect_session": 4.5858,
    "S.5_agency_respect_session_plain": 4.5917,
    "S.1_consistency_over_time": 4.4669,
    "S.1_consistency_over_time_plain": 4.4583,
    "S.3_narrative_momentum": 4.2867,
    "S.3_narrative_momentum_plain": 4.3
   },
   "glm_5_3_flash": {
    "tier": "A",
    "n_sessions": 20,
    "n_seeds": 20,
    "basis": "seed_adjusted",
    "note": null,
    "overall": 4.34,
    "overall_plain": 4.34,
    "S.5_agency_respect_session": 4.825,
    "S.5_agency_respect_session_plain": 4.825,
    "S.1_consistency_over_time": 4.695,
    "S.1_consistency_over_time_plain": 4.695,
    "S.3_narrative_momentum": 4.63,
    "S.3_narrative_momentum_plain": 4.63
   },
   "glm_5_3_flashx": {
    "tier": "A",
    "n_sessions": 20,
    "n_seeds": 20,
    "basis": "seed_adjusted",
    "note": null,
    "overall": 4.165,
    "overall_plain": 4.165,
    "S.5_agency_respect_session": 4.605,
    "S.5_agency_respect_session_plain": 4.605,
    "S.1_consistency_over_time": 4.57,
    "S.1_consistency_over_time_plain": 4.57,
    "S.3_narrative_momentum": 4.295,
    "S.3_narrative_momentum_plain": 4.295
   },
   "glm_5_3_prime": {
    "tier": "A",
    "n_sessions": 20,
    "n_seeds": 20,
    "basis": "seed_adjusted",
    "note": null,
    "overall": 4.09,
    "overall_plain": 4.09,
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   "models_with_a_figure": 69,
   "min_sessions": 3,
   "basis": "the overview's own: the model + seed fit over the tiered pool with this judge's own seed effects (the plain mean for a model that played every seed); an untiered model gets its plain mean and no letter",
   "pearson_model_means": 0.87,
   "scale_offset": {
    "value": 0.943,
    "method": "mean over the 69 tiered models of Sonnet's model mean minus this judge's, each model weighted once; adding it gives both judges the same mean across these models"
   },
   "tier_rule": "`tier`: this judge's mean on the same frozen letters (A 3.8 and above, B 3.2-3.8, C 2.6-3.2, D 2.0-2.6, E below 2.0), raw, so a judge that uses the scale lower reads lower letters for that reason alone",
   "tier_depends_rule": "`tier_depends_on_judge`: this judge's mean plus the scale offset falls in another letter than Sonnet's; the adjusted letter, with its interval, is in round4_second_judge.json",
   "flag_rule": "`flag`: |difference| > 0.3, the card's band; difference is this judge's mean plus the scale offset minus Sonnet's",
   "raw_same_letter": 1,
   "same_letter_after_offset": 50,
   "tier_depends_on_judge": [
    "command_a_plus",
    "deepseek_r1_0528",
    "gemini_3_1_pro",
    "glm_5_3_prime",
    "gpt_4_1",
    "grok_4_3",
    "grok_4_7",
    "hemmingway_1",
    "llama_4_maverick",
    "lunaris_8b",
    "magnum_v4_72b",
    "mimo_2_5_pro",
    "mimo_2_6_flash",
    "minimax_m2_7",
    "minimax_m3",
    "mistral_small_creative",
    "qwen3_6_35b_a3b",
    "unslopnemo_12b",
    "venice_dolphin_24b"
   ],
   "flagged": [
    "aion_3_5",
    "claude_opus_4_6",
    "command_a_plus",
    "deepseek_v4_1_flash",
    "euryale_70b",
    "glm_5_3_flash",
    "glm_5_3_prime",
    "gpt_6_astra",
    "gpt_6_luna",
    "gpt_6_luna_pro",
    "gpt_6_sol",
    "gpt_6_sol_pro",
    "hemmingway_1",
    "llama_4_maverick",
    "magnum_v4_72b",
    "mimo_2_6_flash",
    "minimax_m3"
   ],
   "source": "results/judge_full_chatgpt/merged",
   "stale_or_unhashed_dropped": 0,
   "unmatched_dropped": 0,
   "rows_by_source": {
    "judge_full_chatgpt/app_pass": 1149,
    "judge_inc1_chatgpt/external_blind_pass": 84,
    "judge_round2_chatgpt/external_blind_pass": 95
   }
  }
 },
 "checks": {
  "blank_sessions_dropped": {
   "tier_changes": [],
   "tier_sizes_after": {
    "A": 37,
    "B": 22,
    "C": 3,
    "D": 7,
    "E": 0
   },
   "dropped_sessions": [
    "claude_fable_5_1::adv_time_pressure_05",
    "claude_opus_5::adv_time_pressure_05",
    "claude_opus_5_5::adv_time_pressure_05",
    "glm_5_3_prime::adv_passive_user_03"
   ]
  },
  "self_preference": {
   "sessions": 203,
   "models": 68,
   "sessions_per_model": [
    1,
    5
   ],
   "claude_sessions": 27,
   "claude_models": 9,
   "stale_or_unhashed_dropped": {
    "chatgpt": 10,
    "gemini": 10
   },
   "note": "The sample all three families scored: 1 to 5 sessions per model, too few for a per-model figure. Nothing in the overview is adjusted by it. The tilt is relative: it cannot say whether Sonnet is generous to Claude or the others are harsh (ROUND4_DESIGN 17b). ChatGPT's figures on every session are in round4_second_judge.json (ROUND4_DESIGN 24).",
   "method": "each judge rescaled to Sonnet's mean and sd over these sessions; tilt = mean(Sonnet - other) on Claude sessions minus the same on non-Claude sessions (vs_non_claude, the size a Claude-only correction uses) or on all sessions (vs_all_sessions); SE and 95% interval from 10000 draws that resample models with replacement, numpy default_rng(20260926), rescaling inside each draw",
   "model_draws": 10000,
   "model_draws_skipped": 0,
   "tilt": {
    "chatgpt": {
     "vs_non_claude": 0.2,
     "vs_non_claude_se_model_resampled": 0.106,
     "vs_non_claude_95_model_resampled": [
      -0.013,
      0.406
     ],
     "vs_all_sessions": 0.173,
     "vs_all_sessions_se_model_resampled": 0.094,
     "vs_all_sessions_95_model_resampled": [
      -0.012,
      0.358
     ]
    },
    "gemini": {
     "vs_non_claude": 0.107,
     "vs_non_claude_se_model_resampled": 0.049,
     "vs_non_claude_95_model_resampled": [
      0.0,
      0.192
     ],
     "vs_all_sessions": 0.093,
     "vs_all_sessions_se_model_resampled": 0.043,
     "vs_all_sessions_95_model_resampled": [
      0.0,
      0.171
     ]
    }
   }
  },
  "claude_shift_by_measured_tilt": {
   "chatgpt": {
    "basis": "Claude minus non-Claude (vs_non_claude): only Claude is shifted",
    "measured": {
     "shift": -0.2,
     "claude_models": 9,
     "claude_models_changing_tier": 0,
     "tier_changes": [],
     "tier_sizes_after": {
      "A": 37,
      "B": 22,
      "C": 3,
      "D": 7,
      "E": 0
     }
    },
    "interval_upper": {
     "shift": -0.406,
     "claude_models": 9,
     "claude_models_changing_tier": 2,
     "tier_changes": [
      {
       "model": "claude_opus_5_5",
       "from_tier": "A",
       "to_tier": "B",
       "mean_after": 3.744
      },
      {
       "model": "claude_sonnet_4_5",
       "from_tier": "A",
       "to_tier": "B",
       "mean_after": 3.664
      }
     ],
     "tier_sizes_after": {
      "A": 35,
      "B": 24,
      "C": 3,
      "D": 7,
      "E": 0
     }
    }
   },
   "gemini": {
    "basis": "Claude minus non-Claude (vs_non_claude): only Claude is shifted",
    "measured": {
     "shift": -0.107,
     "claude_models": 9,
     "claude_models_changing_tier": 0,
     "tier_changes": [],
     "tier_sizes_after": {
      "A": 37,
      "B": 22,
      "C": 3,
      "D": 7,
      "E": 0
     }
    },
    "interval_upper": {
     "shift": -0.192,
     "claude_models": 9,
     "claude_models_changing_tier": 0,
     "tier_changes": [],
     "tier_sizes_after": {
      "A": 37,
      "B": 22,
      "C": 3,
      "D": 7,
      "E": 0
     }
    }
   },
   "smallest_shift_that_moves_a_claude_model": {
    "model": "claude_sonnet_4_5",
    "more_than": 0.27,
    "note": "a Claude-only shift has to exceed this to move any Claude model down a letter"
   }
  },
  "human_multiturn_arena": {
   "source": "multiturn_arena_bayesian.json",
   "votes": 1943,
   "voters": null,
   "note": "Public file only. Spearman against the Sonnet 5 judge mean; p from 20000 label permutations.",
   "all": {
    "n": 20,
    "spearman": 0.445,
    "p": 0.0481
   },
   "without the user simulator": {
    "n": 19,
    "spearman": 0.384,
    "p": 0.1079
   },
   "human_mean_by_tier": {
    "A": {
     "n": 9,
     "mean": 1504.2
    },
    "B": {
     "n": 10,
     "mean": 1481.1
    },
    "C": {
     "n": 1,
     "mean": 1457.5
    }
   }
  }
 },
 "judge_elo": {
  "file": "round4_judge_elo.json",
  "note": "ELO and rank range live there only"
 },
 "inputs": {
  "session_judge_v2.jsonl": "af47ffaf6ad2478a",
  "production_defects.json": "2b54bcee3463b180",
  "round4_willingness_leaderboard.json": "433018785f96df8f",
  "craft_baseline_20260926_050941.json": "85ca536deeab078a",
  "craft_baseline_20260924_231143.json": "5d810de4576db4e0",
  "craft_baseline_20260924_224934.json": "5cdc00596feb3133",
  "craft_baseline_20260924_143626.json": "0fe0e4b77888365f",
  "craft_baseline_20260924_123104.json": "4de926c1ec681d8a",
  "craft_baseline_20260924_122936.json": "09c7fd3c6e91f8bc",
  "craft_baseline_20260921_174824.json": "3f4c94d84b2f05ef",
  "craft_baseline_20260921_125936.json": "04da84eed4affc53",
  "multiturn_merged_all_v2.json": "8f0b319b2ffe6a4d",
  "r4_full_20260925_125329.json": "0b9f127672442ae4",
  "r4_full_20260924_231143.json": "f175edcf6d6b8b04",
  "r4_full_20260924_224934.json": "1076b40d8a2d6198",
  "r4_full_20260924_150115.json": "2ef5c7fcc56ed774",
  "r4_full_20260924_123104.json": "956fcd194e98b349",
  "r4_full_20260921_180507.json": "48d5c3827f4af036",
  "r4_full_20260806_095625.json": "35f8b96394d3798b",
  "judge_full_chatgpt/merged/external_part_app.json": "e0b5e432f47214a6",
  "judge_full_chatgpt/merged/external_part_reused_inc1_chatgpt.json": "a3643f112bf7a753",
  "judge_full_chatgpt/merged/external_part_reused_round2_chatgpt.json": "6ff475f055c27932",
  "judge_full_chatgpt/merged/_manifest.json": "2b7fe262127d13ea"
 }
}