""" 09 — Dataset size sensitivity study + error decomposition. Trains a fresh POD-NN at each of several training sizes against a fixed 400-sample held-out test set. For each model, total Test MSE is decomposed into MSE_POD (truncation error: Y_test vs POD-projected Y_test) and MSE_NN (regression error: NN-predicted vs POD-projected). Outputs: - dataset_size_sensitivity.png — Test MSE & Max AE vs N (paper Fig 3a) - error_decomposition.png — MSE_POD vs MSE_NN per N (paper Fig 5) - dataset_size_sensitivity.csv — raw numbers """ import csv import numpy as np import matplotlib.pyplot as plt from sklearn.metrics import mean_squared_error from _utils import ( load_data, train_pod_nn, predict_field, seed_all, TEST_SIZE, N_MODES, EPOCHS, ANALYZED_DIR, PLOTS_DIR, ) SIZES = [10, 25, 50, 75, 100, 150, 200, 500, 1000, 1600] def main(): parameters, fields, _, _ = load_data() X_test = parameters[-TEST_SIZE:] Y_test = fields[-TEST_SIZE:] n_pool = len(parameters) - TEST_SIZE results = [] for size in SIZES: if size > n_pool: print(f"Skipping size={size} (exceeds train pool {n_pool})") continue seed_all() print(f"\n=== Training N={size} ===") trained = train_pod_nn(parameters[:size], fields[:size], n_modes=N_MODES, epochs=EPOCHS, verbose=0) Y_pred = predict_field(trained, X_test) mse = mean_squared_error(Y_test.flatten(), Y_pred.flatten()) max_ae = float(np.max(np.abs(Y_test - Y_pred))) # Error decomposition pca = trained["pca"] Y_pod = pca.inverse_transform(pca.transform(Y_test)) mse_pod = float(np.mean((Y_pod - Y_test) ** 2)) mse_nn = float(np.mean((Y_pred - Y_pod) ** 2)) results.append({ "dataset_size": size, "mse": mse, "max_ae": max_ae, "mse_pod": mse_pod, "mse_nn": mse_nn, }) print(f" MSE={mse:.4f} MaxAE={max_ae:.4f} " f"MSE_POD={mse_pod:.4f} MSE_NN={mse_nn:.4f}") # Save raw numbers csv_path = ANALYZED_DIR / "dataset_size_sensitivity.csv" csv_path.parent.mkdir(parents=True, exist_ok=True) with open(csv_path, "w", newline="") as f: w = csv.DictWriter(f, fieldnames=["dataset_size", "mse", "max_ae", "mse_pod", "mse_nn"]) w.writeheader(); w.writerows(results) print(f"\nSaved {csv_path}") sizes = [r["dataset_size"] for r in results] mses = [r["mse"] for r in results] max_aes = [r["max_ae"] for r in results] FS = 24 fig, ax1 = plt.subplots(figsize=(10, 6)) ax2 = ax1.twinx() ax1.plot(sizes, mses, "o-", color="tab:blue", linewidth=2, markersize=8, label=r"Test MSE (K$^2$)") ax2.plot(sizes, max_aes, "D-", color="tab:red", linewidth=2, markersize=8, label="Test Max AE (K)") ax1.set_xlabel("Training Dataset Size", fontsize=FS) ax1.set_ylabel(r"Test MSE (K$^2$)", fontsize=FS, color="tab:blue") ax2.set_ylabel("Test Max AE (K)", fontsize=FS, color="tab:red") ax1.tick_params(labelsize=FS - 4, axis="both") ax2.tick_params(labelsize=FS - 4, axis="y", labelcolor="tab:red") ax1.tick_params(axis="y", labelcolor="tab:blue") ax1.grid(True, alpha=0.3) plt.tight_layout() PLOTS_DIR.mkdir(parents=True, exist_ok=True) out = PLOTS_DIR / "dataset_size_sensitivity.png" plt.savefig(out, dpi=300, bbox_inches="tight") print(f"Saved {out}") plt.close() # --- Error decomposition bar plot (paper Fig 5) --- mse_pods = [r["mse_pod"] for r in results] mse_nns = [r["mse_nn"] for r in results] FS2 = 20 x = np.arange(len(sizes)) width = 0.35 fig, ax = plt.subplots(figsize=(14, 6)) bars_pod = ax.bar(x - width / 2, mse_pods, width, label=r"$\mathrm{MSE_{POD}}$", color="tab:orange", edgecolor="black", linewidth=0.5) bars_nn = ax.bar(x + width / 2, mse_nns, width, label=r"$\mathrm{MSE_{NN}}$", color="tab:purple", edgecolor="black", linewidth=0.5) for bar in list(bars_pod) + list(bars_nn): ax.text(bar.get_x() + bar.get_width() / 2, bar.get_height(), f"{bar.get_height():.1f}", ha="center", va="bottom", fontsize=FS2 - 4) ax.set_xlabel("Training Dataset Size (N)", fontsize=FS2) ax.set_ylabel(r"MSE (K$^2$)", fontsize=FS2) ax.set_xticks(x) ax.set_xticklabels([str(s) for s in sizes]) ax.tick_params(labelsize=FS2 - 4) ax.legend(fontsize=FS2 - 4) ax.grid(True, alpha=0.3, axis="y") plt.tight_layout() out_decomp = PLOTS_DIR / "error_decomposition.png" plt.savefig(out_decomp, dpi=300, bbox_inches="tight") print(f"Saved {out_decomp}") plt.close() if __name__ == "__main__": main()