"""Re-derive the naive-protocol records from the shipped raw responses (offline). The naive and constrained protocols consumed the SAME cached model generations (a fixed 512-token budget, with the client's empty-content retry at 3000 tokens); they differ only in the parser. This script applies the HISTORICAL (naive) parser, preserved below verbatim, to the full raw responses shipped in tcb_v03_trials_constrained.json, and writes tcb_v03_trials_naive.json. Its per-model accuracies reproduce the naive column of the harness-validity comparison exactly, so the naive condition is fully auditable offline. python3 derive_naive.py """ import json, re, pathlib HERE = pathlib.Path(__file__).resolve().parent SRC = HERE / ".." / "data" / "tcb_v03_trials_constrained.json" OUT = HERE / ".." / "data" / "tcb_v03_trials_naive.json" def naive_parse(text): """The historical parser, verbatim: last-match regex with no template guard, falling back to a bare yes/no line, then to ANY lone yes/no token in the text. Both defects the paper documents live here: a quoted instruction template ('ANSWER: Yes|No') matches as a confident Yes, and truncated chain-of-thought fragments are force-scored.""" t = text or "" confs = re.findall(r"CONF\s*[:=]?\s*(\d{1,3})", t, flags=re.IGNORECASE) conf = max(0, min(100, int(confs[-1]))) if confs else None tagged = re.findall(r"ANSWER\s*[:=]?\s*\**\s*(Yes|No)\b", t, flags=re.IGNORECASE) strict = bool(tagged) if tagged: ans = tagged[-1].capitalize() else: bare = [w for w in (re.sub(r"[^A-Za-z]", "", ln).lower() for ln in t.splitlines()) if w in ("yes", "no")] if bare: ans = bare[-1].capitalize() else: m = re.search(r"\b(Yes|No)\b", t, flags=re.IGNORECASE) ans = m.group(1).capitalize() if m else None if ans is None: return None, None, strict, 0 return ans, (conf if conf is not None else 50), strict, int(conf is not None) def main(): rows = json.load(open(SRC)) out = [] for r in rows: raw = r.get("raw") or "" ans, conf, strict, conf_stated = naive_parse(raw) base = {"model": r["model"], "scenario": r["scenario"], "id": r["id"], "truth": r["truth"], "tier": r["tier"], "seed": r["seed"], "raw": raw, "strict": int(strict), "conf_stated": conf_stated} if ans is None: out.append({**base, "answer": None, "conf": None, "correct": None, "adherent": 0}) else: out.append({**base, "answer": ans, "conf": conf, "correct": int(ans == r["truth"]), "adherent": 1}) # Make the "0/540 mismatches" claim a one-command check: diff the freshly re-derived # records against the shipped reference naive file before (re)writing it. if OUT.exists(): ref = json.load(open(OUT)) rk = {(r["model"], r["scenario"], r["id"], r["seed"]): r for r in ref} mism = sum(1 for r in out if (o := rk.get((r["model"], r["scenario"], r["id"], r["seed"]))) is None or o.get("answer") != r["answer"] or o.get("correct") != r["correct"]) print(f"re-derived vs shipped naive reference: {mism} mismatches of {len(out)}") json.dump(out, open(OUT, "w"), indent=1) from collections import defaultdict by = defaultdict(list) for r in out: by[r["model"]].append(r) for m, rs in by.items(): ans = [r for r in rs if r["adherent"]] acc = sum(r["correct"] for r in ans) / len(ans) if ans else float("nan") yes = sum(1 for r in ans if r["answer"] == "Yes") / len(ans) if ans else float("nan") print(f" {m:24s} n={len(ans):2d} acc={acc:.3f} yes={yes:.2f}") print(f"wrote {OUT}") if __name__ == "__main__": main()