"""Analyses added for the paper: cross-engine agreement, trivial baselines, top-1 and its chance level, per-engine and per-query means, position combination, overlap check. Usage: python code/analyses.py . Writes results/analyses/extra_analyses.json. Reuses reproduce_tables.py (same Spearman, same query-clustered bootstrap, seed 88).""" import collections, glob, json, os, sys import numpy as np A = sys.argv[1] OUT = A + "/results/analyses/extra_analyses.json" PREV = json.load(open(OUT)) if os.path.exists(OUT) else {} sys.path.insert(0, A + "/code") import reproduce_tables as R lab = R.labels() P = A + "/benchmark/predictions/" SC = {"jev_listwise": "judges/jev_1.13_listwise", "jev_pointwise": "judges/jev_1.13_pointwise", "jev27b": "open_decision_models/jev27b_listwise", "pplx27b": "open_decision_models/pplx27b_listwise", "jev9b": "open_decision_models/jev9b_listwise", "student4b_s42": "students/student_4b_s42", "student4b_ens3": "students/student_4b_ensemble3", "student06_s42": "students/student_0.6b_s42", "qwen_rr4b_zs": "zero_shot/qwen3_reranker_4b", "nim_zs": "zero_shot/nim_reranker_by_group"} f = {k: R.load_scorer(P + v + ".json") for k, v in SC.items()} rho = {k: R.per_group(lab, s) for k, s in f.items()} out = {} r3 = lambda t: [round(x, 4) for x in t[:3]] + [t[3]] # 1. Cross-engine agreement: other engines' mean label on the same query byq = collections.defaultdict(dict) for g, l in lab.items(): e, q = g.split("::", 1); byq[q][e] = l def loo(g, s): e, q = g.split("::", 1) o = [byq[q][x][s] for x in byq[q] if x != e] return sum(o) / len(o) if o else None cons = R.per_group(lab, loo) out["consensus"] = r3(R.boot(cons)) for k in ("jev_listwise", "jev27b", "student4b_s42", "student4b_ens3"): sub = {g: rho[k][g] for g in cons} out[f"{k}_on_consensus_groups"] = r3(R.boot(sub)) out[f"consensus_minus_{k}"] = r3(R.paired(cons, rho[k])) # 2. Trivial baselines txt = {} for l in open(A + "/benchmark/passages.jsonl"): r = json.loads(l); txt[(r["query"], r["src_idx"])] = r["text"].lower().split() N = len(txt); avg = sum(map(len, txt.values())) / N df = collections.Counter(w for d in txt.values() for w in set(d)) def bm25(g, s, k1=1.2, b=0.75): q = g.split("::", 1)[1]; d = txt[(q, s)]; tf = collections.Counter(d); sc = 0.0 for w in set(q.lower().split()): if w in tf: sc += np.log(1 + (N - df[w] + .5) / (df[w] + .5)) * tf[w] * (k1 + 1) / (tf[w] + k1 * (1 - b + b * len(d) / avg)) return sc base = {"position": lambda g, s: -s, "bm25": bm25, "length": lambda g, s: len(txt[(g.split("::", 1)[1], s)])} for k, fn in base.items(): out[f"baseline_{k}"] = r3(R.boot(R.per_group(lab, fn))) pos_mean = collections.defaultdict(list) for g, l in lab.items(): for s, v in l.items(): pos_mean[s].append(v) out["mean_label_by_position"] = {s: round(float(np.mean(v)), 4) for s, v in sorted(pos_mean.items())} # 3. Top-1 accuracy (prediction's top source is a most-cited source) def top1(fn): h = {} for g, l in lab.items(): y = [l[s] for s in sorted(l)] if max(y) == min(y): continue p = [fn(g, s) for s in sorted(l)] if any(v is None for v in p): continue h[g] = float(y[int(np.argmax(p))] == max(y)) return h out["top1"] = {k: r3(R.boot(top1(fn))) for k, fn in list(f.items()) + [("position", base["position"])]} # 4. Per-engine macro average eng = collections.defaultdict(lambda: collections.defaultdict(list)) for k in SC: for g, v in rho[k].items(): eng[k][g.split("::")[0]].append(v) out["per_engine"] = {k: {e: [round(float(np.mean(v)), 4), len(v)] for e, v in sorted(d.items())} for k, d in eng.items()} out["macro_over_engines"] = {k: round(float(np.mean([np.mean(v) for v in d.values()])), 4) for k, d in eng.items()} # 5. Score + source position, weight fitted on four folds, applied to the fifth folds = json.load(open(A + "/benchmark/folds_query.json")) def ranks5(x): return R.ranks(x) def combo(fn, w): def g_(g, s): sis = sorted(lab[g]); p = [fn(g, t) for t in sis] if any(v is None for v in p): return None return ranks5(p)[sis.index(s)] + w * (4 - s) return g_ W = [0, .1, .2, .3, .5, .75, 1, 1.5, 2, 3] for k in ("student4b_s42", "jev_listwise"): pre = {w: R.per_group(lab, combo(f[k], w)) for w in W} oof, chosen = {}, [] for fo in range(5): tr = lambda g: folds[g.split("::", 1)[1]] != fo best = max(W, key=lambda w: np.mean([v for g, v in pre[w].items() if tr(g)])) chosen.append(best) oof.update({g: v for g, v in pre[best].items() if not tr(g)}) out[f"{k}_plus_position_oof"] = {"rho": r3(R.boot(oof)), "weights": chosen, "gain": r3(R.paired(oof, rho[k]))} # 7. Cross-engine agreement excluding engines of the same vendor VEND = {"gpt": "openai", "openai": "openai", "gemini": "google", "google": "google", "mistralai": "mistral", "qwen": "qwen", "meta": "meta", "nex-agi": "nex"} vend = lambda e: VEND[e.split("/")[0] if "/" in e else e.split("-")[0]] def loo_v(g, s): e, q = g.split("::", 1) o = [byq[q][x][s] for x in byq[q] if vend(x) != vend(e)] return sum(o) / len(o) if o else None cv = R.per_group(lab, loo_v) out["consensus_other_vendors"] = r3(R.boot(cv)) out["consensus_other_vendors_minus_jev_listwise"] = r3(R.paired(cv, rho["jev_listwise"])) out["consensus_other_vendors_minus_student4b_s42"] = r3(R.paired(cv, rho["student4b_s42"])) json.dump(out, open(OUT, "w"), indent=1) print({k: out[k] for k in out if k.startswith("consensus_other")}) # 8. Agreement between the two teachers (0.759): computed on teacher labels, which are not redistributed out["teacher_agreement"] = PREV.get("teacher_agreement") # 9. Per-query mean (each query weighted once) and chance level of top-1 pq = {} for k in SC: byq_r = collections.defaultdict(list) for g, v in rho[k].items(): byq_r[g.split("::", 1)[1]].append(v) pq[k] = round(float(np.mean([np.mean(v) for v in byq_r.values()])), 4) out["per_query_mean"] = pq ch = [sum(1 for v in l.values() if v == max(l.values())) / 5 for g, l in lab.items() if len(set(l.values())) > 1] out["top1_chance"] = round(float(np.mean(ch)), 4) # 10. Overlap: evaluation passages whose first 40 words also open a training source key40 = lambda t: " ".join(t.split()[:40]) train_txt = {key40(json.loads(l)["text"]) for l in open(A + "/benchmark/training_groups.jsonl")} shared = {(r["query"], r["src_idx"]) for r in map(json.loads, open(A + "/benchmark/passages.jsonl")) if key40(r["text"]) in train_txt} touched = {g for g, l in lab.items() if any((g.split("::", 1)[1], s) in shared for s in l)} allp = {os.path.relpath(p, A + "/benchmark/predictions")[:-5]: R.per_group(lab, R.load_scorer(p)) for p in glob.glob(A + "/benchmark/predictions/**/*.json", recursive=True)} shift = {k: abs(np.mean(list(v.values())) - np.mean([x for g, x in v.items() if g not in touched])) for k, v in allp.items()} out["overlap"] = {"shared_passages": len(shared), "groups_touched": len([g for g in touched if g in rho["student4b_s42"]]), "max_abs_shift": round(float(max(shift.values())), 4), "argmax": max(shift, key=shift.get), "n_configurations": len(shift), "max_abs_shift_students": round(float(max(v for k, v in shift.items() if k.startswith("students/"))), 4), "signed_shift_student4b_s42": round(float(np.mean([x for g, x in allp["students/student_4b_s42"].items() if g not in touched]) - np.mean(list(allp["students/student_4b_s42"].values()))), 4)} json.dump(out, open(OUT, "w"), indent=1) print(out["per_query_mean"], out["top1_chance"], out["overlap"])