{
 "n_tasks": 200,
 "label": "arm 2 (exploratory, not pre-registered)",
 "rows": [
  {
   "model": "base",
   "decoding": "sampled",
   "checkpoint_step": 0,
   "reward_mean": 0.0,
   "ci95": [
    0.0,
    0.0
   ],
   "valid_rate": 0.0,
   "feasible_rate": 0.0,
   "rate_ok": 0.0,
   "rate_all_idle": 0.0,
   "rate_overfill": 0.0,
   "rate_sell_before_charge": 0.0,
   "rate_end_short": 0.0,
   "rate_rate": 0.0,
   "rate_cycle_cap": 0.0,
   "rate_malformed": 1.0,
   "rate_truncated": 0.0,
   "completion_len_mean": 86.7,
   "by_start": {
    "empty": {
     "n": 56,
     "reward_mean": 0.0,
     "ci95": [
      0.0,
      0.0
     ]
    },
    "half": {
     "n": 71,
     "reward_mean": 0.0,
     "ci95": [
      0.0,
      0.0
     ]
    },
    "full": {
     "n": 73,
     "reward_mean": 0.0,
     "ci95": [
      0.0,
      0.0
     ]
    }
   }
  },
  {
   "model": "base",
   "decoding": "greedy",
   "checkpoint_step": 0,
   "reward_mean": 0.0,
   "ci95": [
    0.0,
    0.0
   ],
   "valid_rate": 0.0,
   "feasible_rate": 0.0,
   "rate_ok": 0.0,
   "rate_all_idle": 0.0,
   "rate_overfill": 0.0,
   "rate_sell_before_charge": 0.0,
   "rate_end_short": 0.0,
   "rate_rate": 0.0,
   "rate_cycle_cap": 0.0,
   "rate_malformed": 1.0,
   "rate_truncated": 0.0,
   "completion_len_mean": 86.8,
   "by_start": {
    "empty": {
     "n": 56,
     "reward_mean": 0.0,
     "ci95": [
      0.0,
      0.0
     ]
    },
    "half": {
     "n": 71,
     "reward_mean": 0.0,
     "ci95": [
      0.0,
      0.0
     ]
    },
    "full": {
     "n": 73,
     "reward_mean": 0.0,
     "ci95": [
      0.0,
      0.0
     ]
    }
   }
  },
  {
   "model": "sft200 (arm 1 warm start)",
   "decoding": "sampled",
   "checkpoint_step": 0,
   "reward_mean": 0.2336,
   "ci95": [
    0.2088,
    0.2599
   ],
   "valid_rate": 0.99,
   "feasible_rate": 0.305,
   "rate_ok": 0.215,
   "rate_all_idle": 0.0,
   "rate_overfill": 0.495,
   "rate_sell_before_charge": 0.11,
   "rate_end_short": 0.09,
   "rate_rate": 0.035,
   "rate_cycle_cap": 0.045,
   "rate_malformed": 0.01,
   "rate_truncated": 0.0,
   "completion_len_mean": 162.2,
   "by_start": {
    "empty": {
     "n": 56,
     "reward_mean": 0.2473,
     "ci95": [
      0.1867,
      0.3114
     ]
    },
    "half": {
     "n": 71,
     "reward_mean": 0.2577,
     "ci95": [
      0.2084,
      0.3083
     ]
    },
    "full": {
     "n": 73,
     "reward_mean": 0.1998,
     "ci95": [
      0.1855,
      0.2173
     ]
    }
   }
  },
  {
   "model": "sft200 (arm 1 warm start)",
   "decoding": "greedy",
   "checkpoint_step": 0,
   "reward_mean": 0.2423,
   "ci95": [
    0.2172,
    0.268
   ],
   "valid_rate": 1.0,
   "feasible_rate": 0.39,
   "rate_ok": 0.315,
   "rate_all_idle": 0.0,
   "rate_overfill": 0.5,
   "rate_sell_before_charge": 0.07,
   "rate_end_short": 0.075,
   "rate_rate": 0.01,
   "rate_cycle_cap": 0.03,
   "rate_malformed": 0.0,
   "rate_truncated": 0.0,
   "completion_len_mean": 158.7,
   "by_start": {
    "empty": {
     "n": 56,
     "reward_mean": 0.2968,
     "ci95": [
      0.2325,
      0.362
     ]
    },
    "half": {
     "n": 71,
     "reward_mean": 0.2427,
     "ci95": [
      0.1956,
      0.2941
     ]
    },
    "full": {
     "n": 73,
     "reward_mean": 0.2,
     "ci95": [
      0.2,
      0.2
     ]
    }
   }
  },
  {
   "model": "arm 1: sft200+grpo280",
   "decoding": "sampled",
   "checkpoint_step": 280,
   "reward_mean": 0.329,
   "ci95": [
    0.3057,
    0.3537
   ],
   "valid_rate": 0.99,
   "feasible_rate": 0.565,
   "rate_ok": 0.41,
   "rate_all_idle": 0.0,
   "rate_overfill": 0.41,
   "rate_sell_before_charge": 0.0,
   "rate_end_short": 0.155,
   "rate_rate": 0.015,
   "rate_cycle_cap": 0.0,
   "rate_malformed": 0.01,
   "rate_truncated": 0.0,
   "completion_len_mean": 122.1,
   "by_start": {
    "empty": {
     "n": 56,
     "reward_mean": 0.4932,
     "ci95": [
      0.4444,
      0.5423
     ]
    },
    "half": {
     "n": 71,
     "reward_mean": 0.3378,
     "ci95": [
      0.3093,
      0.3665
     ]
    },
    "full": {
     "n": 73,
     "reward_mean": 0.1945,
     "ci95": [
      0.1863,
      0.2
     ]
    }
   }
  },
  {
   "model": "arm 1: sft200+grpo280",
   "decoding": "greedy",
   "checkpoint_step": 280,
   "reward_mean": 0.329,
   "ci95": [
    0.3052,
    0.3539
   ],
   "valid_rate": 0.985,
   "feasible_rate": 0.565,
   "rate_ok": 0.41,
   "rate_all_idle": 0.0,
   "rate_overfill": 0.41,
   "rate_sell_before_charge": 0.0,
   "rate_end_short": 0.155,
   "rate_rate": 0.01,
   "rate_cycle_cap": 0.0,
   "rate_malformed": 0.015,
   "rate_truncated": 0.0,
   "completion_len_mean": 122.1,
   "by_start": {
    "empty": {
     "n": 56,
     "reward_mean": 0.4973,
     "ci95": [
      0.4491,
      0.5462
     ]
    },
    "half": {
     "n": 71,
     "reward_mean": 0.3345,
     "ci95": [
      0.3049,
      0.3638
     ]
    },
    "full": {
     "n": 73,
     "reward_mean": 0.1945,
     "ci95": [
      0.1863,
      0.2
     ]
    }
   }
  },
  {
   "model": "sft2 (arm 2 warm start)",
   "decoding": "sampled",
   "checkpoint_step": 0,
   "reward_mean": 0.5418,
   "ci95": [
    0.493,
    0.5887
   ],
   "valid_rate": 0.99,
   "feasible_rate": 0.64,
   "rate_ok": 0.585,
   "rate_all_idle": 0.0,
   "rate_overfill": 0.155,
   "rate_sell_before_charge": 0.09,
   "rate_end_short": 0.055,
   "rate_rate": 0.08,
   "rate_cycle_cap": 0.025,
   "rate_malformed": 0.005,
   "rate_truncated": 0.005,
   "completion_len_mean": 261.0,
   "by_start": {
    "empty": {
     "n": 56,
     "reward_mean": 0.5549,
     "ci95": [
      0.4597,
      0.649
     ]
    },
    "half": {
     "n": 71,
     "reward_mean": 0.4712,
     "ci95": [
      0.3951,
      0.5484
     ]
    },
    "full": {
     "n": 73,
     "reward_mean": 0.6004,
     "ci95": [
      0.5202,
      0.6765
     ]
    }
   }
  },
  {
   "model": "sft2 (arm 2 warm start)",
   "decoding": "greedy",
   "checkpoint_step": 0,
   "reward_mean": 0.5828,
   "ci95": [
    0.5343,
    0.6303
   ],
   "valid_rate": 0.985,
   "feasible_rate": 0.69,
   "rate_ok": 0.66,
   "rate_all_idle": 0.0,
   "rate_overfill": 0.1,
   "rate_sell_before_charge": 0.09,
   "rate_end_short": 0.03,
   "rate_rate": 0.075,
   "rate_cycle_cap": 0.03,
   "rate_malformed": 0.015,
   "rate_truncated": 0.0,
   "completion_len_mean": 259.0,
   "by_start": {
    "empty": {
     "n": 56,
     "reward_mean": 0.6156,
     "ci95": [
      0.524,
      0.7019
     ]
    },
    "half": {
     "n": 71,
     "reward_mean": 0.4889,
     "ci95": [
      0.4086,
      0.5702
     ]
    },
    "full": {
     "n": 73,
     "reward_mean": 0.6489,
     "ci95": [
      0.5749,
      0.7206
     ]
    }
   }
  },
  {
   "model": "arm 2: sft2+grpo",
   "decoding": "sampled",
   "checkpoint_step": 75,
   "reward_mean": 0.579,
   "ci95": [
    0.5376,
    0.6199
   ],
   "valid_rate": 0.995,
   "feasible_rate": 0.775,
   "rate_ok": 0.75,
   "rate_all_idle": 0.0,
   "rate_overfill": 0.1,
   "rate_sell_before_charge": 0.05,
   "rate_end_short": 0.025,
   "rate_rate": 0.07,
   "rate_cycle_cap": 0.0,
   "rate_malformed": 0.0,
   "rate_truncated": 0.005,
   "completion_len_mean": 243.5,
   "by_start": {
    "empty": {
     "n": 56,
     "reward_mean": 0.599,
     "ci95": [
      0.5187,
      0.6764
     ]
    },
    "half": {
     "n": 71,
     "reward_mean": 0.6404,
     "ci95": [
      0.5779,
      0.6978
     ]
    },
    "full": {
     "n": 73,
     "reward_mean": 0.5039,
     "ci95": [
      0.4327,
      0.5755
     ]
    }
   }
  },
  {
   "model": "arm 2: sft2+grpo",
   "decoding": "greedy",
   "checkpoint_step": 75,
   "reward_mean": 0.5818,
   "ci95": [
    0.5388,
    0.6237
   ],
   "valid_rate": 0.995,
   "feasible_rate": 0.795,
   "rate_ok": 0.77,
   "rate_all_idle": 0.0,
   "rate_overfill": 0.08,
   "rate_sell_before_charge": 0.035,
   "rate_end_short": 0.025,
   "rate_rate": 0.085,
   "rate_cycle_cap": 0.0,
   "rate_malformed": 0.0,
   "rate_truncated": 0.005,
   "completion_len_mean": 241.5,
   "by_start": {
    "empty": {
     "n": 56,
     "reward_mean": 0.5882,
     "ci95": [
      0.504,
      0.6703
     ]
    },
    "half": {
     "n": 71,
     "reward_mean": 0.6302,
     "ci95": [
      0.5659,
      0.691
     ]
    },
    "full": {
     "n": 73,
     "reward_mean": 0.5297,
     "ci95": [
      0.4596,
      0.6012
     ]
    }
   }
  },
  {
   "model": "rule:greedy",
   "reward_mean": 0.764,
   "ci95": [
    0.7259,
    0.7998
   ],
   "valid_rate": 1.0,
   "by_start": {
    "empty": {
     "n": 56,
     "reward_mean": 0.7805,
     "ci95": [
      0.7049,
      0.8502
     ]
    },
    "half": {
     "n": 71,
     "reward_mean": 0.7963,
     "ci95": [
      0.7421,
      0.8451
     ]
    },
    "full": {
     "n": 73,
     "reward_mean": 0.72,
     "ci95": [
      0.6527,
      0.7841
     ]
    }
   }
  },
  {
   "model": "rule:threshold",
   "reward_mean": 0.6371,
   "ci95": [
    0.6008,
    0.6726
   ],
   "valid_rate": 1.0,
   "by_start": {
    "empty": {
     "n": 56,
     "reward_mean": 0.59,
     "ci95": [
      0.5087,
      0.6689
     ]
    },
    "half": {
     "n": 71,
     "reward_mean": 0.6956,
     "ci95": [
      0.6427,
      0.7484
     ]
    },
    "full": {
     "n": 73,
     "reward_mean": 0.6164,
     "ci95": [
      0.5617,
      0.6704
     ]
    }
   }
  },
  {
   "model": "rule:clock",
   "reward_mean": 0.4979,
   "ci95": [
    0.4598,
    0.5355
   ],
   "valid_rate": 1.0,
   "by_start": {
    "empty": {
     "n": 56,
     "reward_mean": 0.4649,
     "ci95": [
      0.3917,
      0.5372
     ]
    },
    "half": {
     "n": 71,
     "reward_mean": 0.5267,
     "ci95": [
      0.4613,
      0.5924
     ]
    },
    "full": {
     "n": 73,
     "reward_mean": 0.4952,
     "ci95": [
      0.4354,
      0.5568
     ]
    }
   }
  },
  {
   "model": "rule:random",
   "reward_mean": 0.0702,
   "ci95": [
    0.0523,
    0.0892
   ],
   "valid_rate": 1.0,
   "by_start": {
    "empty": {
     "n": 56,
     "reward_mean": 0.0424,
     "ci95": [
      0.0165,
      0.0746
     ]
    },
    "half": {
     "n": 71,
     "reward_mean": 0.0764,
     "ci95": [
      0.0406,
      0.1182
     ]
    },
    "full": {
     "n": 73,
     "reward_mean": 0.0854,
     "ci95": [
      0.0604,
      0.1123
     ]
    }
   }
  },
  {
   "model": "rule:idle",
   "reward_mean": 0.2
  },
  {
   "model": "dp optimum",
   "reward_mean": 1.0
  }
 ],
 "paired": {
  "arm2_sampled_minus_arm1": {
   "mean": 0.25,
   "ci95": [
    0.2073,
    0.2921
   ],
   "win_rate": 0.74
  },
  "arm2_sampled_minus_sft2": {
   "mean": 0.0372,
   "ci95": [
    -0.0161,
    0.0908
   ],
   "win_rate": 0.45
  },
  "arm2_sampled_minus_threshold": {
   "mean": -0.0582,
   "ci95": [
    -0.1125,
    -0.0041
   ],
   "win_rate": 0.405
  },
  "arm2_sampled_minus_greedy": {
   "mean": -0.1851,
   "ci95": [
    -0.2371,
    -0.133
   ],
   "win_rate": 0.21
  },
  "arm2_greedy_minus_arm1": {
   "mean": 0.2527,
   "ci95": [
    0.2092,
    0.2957
   ],
   "win_rate": 0.755
  },
  "arm2_greedy_minus_sft2": {
   "mean": -0.001,
   "ci95": [
    -0.0538,
    0.0523
   ],
   "win_rate": 0.415
  },
  "arm2_greedy_minus_threshold": {
   "mean": -0.0554,
   "ci95": [
    -0.1122,
    0.0008
   ],
   "win_rate": 0.415
  },
  "arm2_greedy_minus_greedy": {
   "mean": -0.1823,
   "ci95": [
    -0.2357,
    -0.1293
   ],
   "win_rate": 0.205
  }
 }
}