{
  "generated_at": "2026-09-25T14:04:07+00:00",
  "test": "incident-lead vs null model",
  "method": "episodes down reels (hors runs ou >=50% des providers tombent ensemble = panne locale LEGION); p0 = part d'instants aleatoires precedes d'un incident critical/high en 72h; test binomial unilateral; survit si n>=5 et p<0.05",
  "caveat": "date_collected = date de collecte, pas date d'incident: biais de calendrier possible",
  "results": [
    {
      "provider": "anthropic",
      "episodes_total": 0,
      "episodes_local_artifact": 0,
      "episodes_real": 0,
      "incidents_ch": 7,
      "episodes_preceded": 0,
      "base_rate_p0": 0.485,
      "p_value": null,
      "verdict": "no_non_local_episodes"
    },
    {
      "provider": "cohere",
      "episodes_total": 0,
      "episodes_local_artifact": 0,
      "episodes_real": 0,
      "incidents_ch": 0,
      "episodes_preceded": 0,
      "base_rate_p0": 0.0,
      "p_value": null,
      "verdict": "no_incidents"
    },
    {
      "provider": "google",
      "episodes_total": 0,
      "episodes_local_artifact": 0,
      "episodes_real": 0,
      "incidents_ch": 6,
      "episodes_preceded": 0,
      "base_rate_p0": 0.303,
      "p_value": null,
      "verdict": "no_non_local_episodes"
    },
    {
      "provider": "groq",
      "episodes_total": 0,
      "episodes_local_artifact": 0,
      "episodes_real": 0,
      "incidents_ch": 0,
      "episodes_preceded": 0,
      "base_rate_p0": 0.0,
      "p_value": null,
      "verdict": "no_incidents"
    },
    {
      "provider": "huggingface",
      "episodes_total": 0,
      "episodes_local_artifact": 0,
      "episodes_real": 0,
      "incidents_ch": 1,
      "episodes_preceded": 0,
      "base_rate_p0": 0.0,
      "p_value": null,
      "verdict": "no_non_local_episodes"
    },
    {
      "provider": "mistral",
      "episodes_total": 0,
      "episodes_local_artifact": 0,
      "episodes_real": 0,
      "incidents_ch": 0,
      "episodes_preceded": 0,
      "base_rate_p0": 0.0,
      "p_value": null,
      "verdict": "no_incidents"
    },
    {
      "provider": "ollama_hub",
      "episodes_total": 0,
      "episodes_local_artifact": 0,
      "episodes_real": 0,
      "incidents_ch": 0,
      "episodes_preceded": 0,
      "base_rate_p0": 0.0,
      "p_value": null,
      "verdict": "no_incidents"
    },
    {
      "provider": "openai",
      "episodes_total": 0,
      "episodes_local_artifact": 0,
      "episodes_real": 0,
      "incidents_ch": 17,
      "episodes_preceded": 0,
      "base_rate_p0": 0.951,
      "p_value": null,
      "verdict": "no_non_local_episodes"
    },
    {
      "provider": "together",
      "episodes_total": 0,
      "episodes_local_artifact": 0,
      "episodes_real": 0,
      "incidents_ch": 0,
      "episodes_preceded": 0,
      "base_rate_p0": 0.0,
      "p_value": null,
      "verdict": "no_incidents"
    }
  ]
}