{ "what": "paper 2 test 6: where a neuron goes when it leaves a construct's carrier set", "departure_from": "the carrier set (top 5%), not the core (21 Oct)", "chance_matched_on": "corpus frequency (log per-file rate, within 0.5) and the pair's carrier-set overlap with the construct left at the earlier checkpoint (within 0.05)", "readings": { "drift": "no rise beyond chance in any construct", "displacement": "a rise in any construct", "branching": "a rise concentrated in related constructs" }, "measures": [ "family", "tokens", "cooccurrence", "tokens_at_read_site", "tokens_in_cores_only" ], "pairs": { "0001000:0002000": { "departures": 862254, "family": { "n_with_both_measurable": 831957, "related_observed": 168807, "related_chance": 168016, "rate_observed": 0.2029035154461108, "rate_chance": 0.20195274515389616, "lift": 1.0047078849633369, "lift_ci95": [ 0.9773335339403507, 1.0362516328701312 ], "bootstrap_unit": "construct", "n_constructs": 169 }, "tokens": { "n_with_both_measurable": 831957, "related_observed": 3667, "related_chance": 2609, "rate_observed": 0.004407679723831881, "rate_chance": 0.003135979383549871, "lift": 1.4055193560751247, "lift_ci95": [ 1.0849302705928434, 1.725140922077022 ], "bootstrap_unit": "construct", "n_constructs": 169 }, "cooccurrence": { "n_with_both_measurable": 305898, "related_observed": 123178, "related_chance": 118124, "rate_observed": 0.40267670922987403, "rate_chance": 0.3861548620782091, "lift": 1.0427855473908774, "lift_ci95": [ 1.0226493006037647, 1.0675465830207647 ], "bootstrap_unit": "construct", "n_constructs": 152 }, "tokens_at_read_site": { "n_with_both_measurable": 831957, "related_observed": 52, "related_chance": 168, "rate_observed": 6.250323033522165e-05, "rate_chance": 0.0002019335133907161, "lift": 0.30952380952380953, "lift_ci95": [ 0.3095238095238095, 0.3095238095238096 ], "bootstrap_unit": "construct", "n_constructs": 169 }, "tokens_in_cores_only": { "n_with_both_measurable": 831957, "related_observed": 3615, "related_chance": 2441, "rate_observed": 0.004345176493496659, "rate_chance": 0.002934045870159155, "lift": 1.4809504301515772, "lift_ci95": [ 1.097246505016928, 1.7567690781719485 ], "bootstrap_unit": "construct", "n_constructs": 169 }, "cross_twin": { "family": { "n": 831957, "related_observed": 171713, "related_chance": 168016, "rate_observed": 0.20639648443369069, "rate_chance": 0.20195274515389616, "lift": 1.0220038567755452, "lift_ci95": [ 0.9922562902734584, 1.0527799309106873 ] }, "tokens": { "n": 831957, "related_observed": 4119, "related_chance": 2609, "rate_observed": 0.004950977033668808, "rate_chance": 0.003135979383549871, "lift": 1.5787658106554237, "lift_ci95": [ 1.2795153122739331, 1.9694476574840047 ] } }, "displacement": { "n": 831957, "rate_observed": 1.0, "rate_chance": 0.5000919518677047, "lift": 1.9996322601579117, "lift_ci95": [ 1.9949853720870572, 2.004282303582967 ], "what": "share of departures followed by a rise in ANY other construct, against the matched chance construct" }, "verdict_by_the_rule": "outside the rule's three verdicts" }, "0002000:0003000": { "departures": 689387, "family": { "n_with_both_measurable": 669444, "related_observed": 139565, "related_chance": 138650, "rate_observed": 0.2084789765835529, "rate_chance": 0.20711217069687682, "lift": 1.0065993508835196, "lift_ci95": [ 0.982039338831043, 1.0360606093538312 ], "bootstrap_unit": "construct", "n_constructs": 169 }, "tokens": { "n_with_both_measurable": 669444, "related_observed": 3157, "related_chance": 2028, "rate_observed": 0.0047158537532639025, "rate_chance": 0.0030293796045673723, "lift": 1.556706114398422, "lift_ci95": [ 1.2718226931398111, 1.9062119373345097 ], "bootstrap_unit": "construct", "n_constructs": 169 }, "cooccurrence": { "n_with_both_measurable": 248808, "related_observed": 103726, "related_chance": 95520, "rate_observed": 0.41689173981544003, "rate_chance": 0.38391048519340215, "lift": 1.0859087102177554, "lift_ci95": [ 1.0677366066772647, 1.106846007338088 ], "bootstrap_unit": "construct", "n_constructs": 151 }, "tokens_at_read_site": { "n_with_both_measurable": 669444, "related_observed": 0, "related_chance": 0, "rate_observed": 0.0, "rate_chance": 0.0, "lift": null, "lift_ci95": null, "bootstrap_unit": "construct", "n_constructs": 169 }, "tokens_in_cores_only": { "n_with_both_measurable": 669444, "related_observed": 3157, "related_chance": 2028, "rate_observed": 0.0047158537532639025, "rate_chance": 0.0030293796045673723, "lift": 1.556706114398422, "lift_ci95": [ 1.293083527033051, 1.9351608969592862 ], "bootstrap_unit": "construct", "n_constructs": 169 }, "cross_twin": { "family": { "n": 669444, "related_observed": 141560, "related_chance": 138650, "rate_observed": 0.21145906154958444, "rate_chance": 0.20711217069687682, "lift": 1.0209880995311937, "lift_ci95": [ 0.9941444635629907, 1.0589968513992414 ] }, "tokens": { "n": 669444, "related_observed": 3564, "related_chance": 2028, "rate_observed": 0.005323820961872837, "rate_chance": 0.0030293796045673723, "lift": 1.7573964497041419, "lift_ci95": [ 1.4362314597021888, 2.214623070937621 ] } }, "displacement": { "n": 669444, "rate_observed": 1.0, "rate_chance": 0.5008559341782136, "lift": 1.996582114257594, "lift_ci95": [ 1.9920475685721546, 2.0007461381988687 ], "what": "share of departures followed by a rise in ANY other construct, against the matched chance construct" }, "verdict_by_the_rule": "outside the rule's three verdicts" }, "0019000:0020000": { "departures": 414083, "family": { "n_with_both_measurable": 403382, "related_observed": 81707, "related_chance": 77755, "rate_observed": 0.20255489833458112, "rate_chance": 0.19275773336440397, "lift": 1.0508263134203588, "lift_ci95": [ 1.011364092612335, 1.0901726901713178 ], "bootstrap_unit": "construct", "n_constructs": 169 }, "tokens": { "n_with_both_measurable": 403382, "related_observed": 2297, "related_chance": 1298, "rate_observed": 0.005694354234943552, "rate_chance": 0.003217793555488346, "lift": 1.7696456086286594, "lift_ci95": [ 1.3853620271580989, 2.424563442997261 ], "bootstrap_unit": "construct", "n_constructs": 169 }, "cooccurrence": { "n_with_both_measurable": 159551, "related_observed": 67795, "related_chance": 60862, "rate_observed": 0.42491115693414644, "rate_chance": 0.38145796641826124, "lift": 1.1139134435279814, "lift_ci95": [ 1.0880217887183607, 1.14032447151927 ], "bootstrap_unit": "construct", "n_constructs": 152 }, "tokens_at_read_site": { "n_with_both_measurable": 403382, "related_observed": 17, "related_chance": 234, "rate_observed": 4.214367522596447e-05, "rate_chance": 0.0005800952942868051, "lift": 0.07264957264957264, "lift_ci95": [ 0.07264957264957264, 0.07264957264957266 ], "bootstrap_unit": "construct", "n_constructs": 169 }, "tokens_in_cores_only": { "n_with_both_measurable": 403382, "related_observed": 2280, "related_chance": 1064, "rate_observed": 0.005652210559717588, "rate_chance": 0.002637698261201541, "lift": 2.142857142857143, "lift_ci95": [ 1.632337870698797, 2.7885477519749196 ], "bootstrap_unit": "construct", "n_constructs": 169 }, "cross_twin": { "family": { "n": 403382, "related_observed": 82769, "related_chance": 77755, "rate_observed": 0.2051876385163443, "rate_chance": 0.19275773336440397, "lift": 1.0644845990611536, "lift_ci95": [ 1.0281454855186338, 1.1031789276411288 ] }, "tokens": { "n": 403382, "related_observed": 2620, "related_chance": 1298, "rate_observed": 0.006495084064236877, "rate_chance": 0.003217793555488346, "lift": 2.0184899845916795, "lift_ci95": [ 1.547745183654067, 3.003898615635179 ] } }, "displacement": { "n": 403382, "rate_observed": 1.0, "rate_chance": 0.49912241993941225, "lift": 2.0035164922493136, "lift_ci95": [ 1.997452447160884, 2.0097776018806486 ], "what": "share of departures followed by a rise in ANY other construct, against the matched chance construct" }, "verdict_by_the_rule": "branching" } }, "minutes": 67.85703190167744, "provenance": { "inputs": [ "profiles//twin1/.npz", "validation/paper2/RELATEDNESS.json", "validation/paper2/COOCCURRENCE.json" ], "reference": null, "battery_prompt_hash": "570b42db13f8fe5772b8d1a9ad7d55d6fa1279dae5948ad94e8363789bcbc1ad", "code_commit": "7ade464", "design": "9-Paper-1/2610-18Oct_PAPER-1-Design.md sha256 47f6a664\u2026" }, "verdicts": { "0001000:0002000": "outside the rule's three verdicts", "0002000:0003000": "outside the rule's three verdicts", "0019000:0020000": "branching" }, "trend": { "family": [ 1.005, 1.007, 1.051 ], "tokens": [ 1.406, 1.557, 1.77 ], "cooccurrence": [ 1.043, 1.086, 1.114 ], "cross_twin_tokens": [ 1.579, 1.757, 2.018 ] }, "displacement_withdrawn": "the displacement number as first computed is degenerate: the maximum rise over 168 constructs is almost surely positive, so 'did any construct rise' is answered yes by construction (observed 1.0000 at every pair). Redone with a threshold." }