{ "branch": "pretrain", "n_p2": 166, "pilot_30": [ "AnnAssign", "Assert", "Assign", "Attribute", "AugAssign", "BinOp", "BoolOp", "Call", "Compare", "Delete", "Dict", "For", "FunctionDef", "GeneratorExp", "If", "IfExp", "ImportFrom", "List", "ListComp", "NamedExpr", "Pass", "Return", "Set", "Slice", "Starred", "Subscript", "Tuple", "UnaryOp", "While", "With" ], "pilot_disclosure": { "extrapolated_date_form": { "spearman": -0.3, "n": 30, "p": 0.1 }, "measured_turnover_form": { "spearman": 0.54, "n": 30, "p": 0.002 }, "status": "both exploratory; the phase battery's reading is reported with and without these 30 constructs" }, "c3": { "n_p3": { "product": 0, "layer": 12 }, "verdict_threshold": 43, "powered_threshold": 84, "verdict": "NO VERDICT on P2: |P3| is below C3's threshold in both spaces, so step 0b's clause applies -- P2 is reported as the correlation with its interval and no verdict" }, "step1_clause": { "product": { "status": "UNDETERMINED", "n": 0, "why": "fewer than three constructs are dated under both thetas", "primary": "aft", "note": "the clause promotes the Spearman only on a positive finding; an undetermined condition leaves the AFT primary and is reported as undetermined, not as a negative" }, "layer": { "status": "NOT DECIDABLE BY THE CONTRACT", "spearman_between_thetas": 0.8186813186813187, "n_dated_under_both": 13, "thetas": [ 0.7, 0.75 ], "pilot_observed_range": [ 0.89, 1.0 ], "below_the_pilot_range": true, "primary": "aft", "note": "the plan names no cut for 'reference-dependent', so the AFT stays primary by default and the measured agreement is reported; whether the choice matters is answered by `primary_choice_is_material`, not by a threshold", "primary_choice_is_material|with_pilot": false, "primary_choice_is_material|without_pilot": false } }, "spearman": { "product|with_pilot": { "n": 162, "distinct_ranks": 1, "n_censored": 162, "n_dated": 0, "spearman": null, "why": "the date column has a single rank (1): every construct is censored, so a rank correlation against it is undefined rather than zero" }, "product|without_pilot": { "n": 149, "distinct_ranks": 1, "n_censored": 149, "n_dated": 0, "spearman": null, "why": "the date column has a single rank (1): every construct is censored, so a rank correlation against it is undefined rather than zero" }, "layer|with_pilot": { "n": 162, "distinct_ranks": 2, "n_censored": 151, "n_dated": 11, "n_distinct_dates": 1, "measures": "whether a construct is DATED AT ALL against its frequency -- not which dates come first: all dated constructs share one checkpoint, so there is no order among the dates to correlate with", "is_the_p2_quantity": false, "spearman": 0.34959273278345204, "permutation_interval": [ -0.15025517080503958, 0.15832642460323285 ], "permutation_p": 0.0, "n_draws": 10000 }, "layer|without_pilot": { "n": 149, "distinct_ranks": 2, "n_censored": 138, "n_dated": 11, "n_distinct_dates": 1, "measures": "whether a construct is DATED AT ALL against its frequency -- not which dates come first: all dated constructs share one checkpoint, so there is no order among the dates to correlate with", "is_the_p2_quantity": false, "spearman": 0.35653302896317635, "permutation_interval": [ -0.16049424501310475, 0.1638098375975422 ], "permutation_p": 0.0, "n_draws": 10000 } }, "aft": { "product|with_pilot|lognormal": { "n": 162, "n_events": 0, "fit": null, "why": "fewer than ten events: a regression on this column would be an interval and not an estimate" }, "product|with_pilot|weibull": { "n": 162, "n_events": 0, "fit": null, "why": "fewer than ten events: a regression on this column would be an interval and not an estimate" }, "product|without_pilot|lognormal": { "n": 149, "n_events": 0, "fit": null, "why": "fewer than ten events: a regression on this column would be an interval and not an estimate" }, "product|without_pilot|weibull": { "n": 149, "n_events": 0, "fit": null, "why": "fewer than ten events: a regression on this column would be an interval and not an estimate" }, "layer|with_pilot|lognormal": { "n": 162, "n_events": 11, "n_composite": 7, "composite_entered": false, "names": [ "intercept", "log_frequency", "frame:builtin reference", "frame:header+suite", "frame:operand position" ], "fit": { "converged": true, "nll": 89.43949528683751, "beta": [ 32.06600246481953, 0.1308126910623666, -2.3770635976505643, 0.7653762631852457, 6.386974448601922 ], "log_scale": -0.8436829018411521, "dist": "lognormal", "n": 162 }, "coefficients": { "intercept": { "beta": 32.06600246481953, "lo": 29.93682029391696, "hi": 63.682749363684046, "excludes_zero": true }, "log_frequency": { "beta": 0.1308126910623666, "lo": 0.09245074199399071, "hi": 0.1843977302659035, "excludes_zero": true }, "frame:builtin reference": { "beta": -2.3770635976505643, "lo": -34.07627087080867, "hi": -0.09620066180980985, "excludes_zero": true }, "frame:header+suite": { "beta": 0.7653762631852457, "lo": -31.398092800336816, "hi": 27.479738698376675, "excludes_zero": false }, "frame:operand position": { "beta": 6.386974448601922, "lo": -9.380539736820449, "hi": 98.63599914214178, "excludes_zero": false } }, "permutation_p_log_frequency": 0.0, "n_bootstrap": 200, "n_permutations": 200 }, "layer|with_pilot|weibull": { "n": 162, "n_events": 11, "n_composite": 7, "composite_entered": false, "names": [ "intercept", "log_frequency", "frame:builtin reference", "frame:header+suite", "frame:operand position" ], "fit": { "converged": true, "nll": 91.37033871224388, "beta": [ 45.10972018027097, 0.12817763666470106, -15.358532774155869, -8.294576149256686, 13.993049030365688 ], "log_scale": -1.33082141078288, "dist": "weibull", "n": 162 }, "coefficients": { "intercept": { "beta": 45.10972018027097, "lo": 30.05936812597074, "hi": 74.16854885919483, "excludes_zero": true }, "log_frequency": { "beta": 0.12817763666470106, "lo": 0.08401368325582154, "hi": 0.19500850085382912, "excludes_zero": true }, "frame:builtin reference": { "beta": -15.358532774155869, "lo": -44.530362728801386, "hi": 0.11285317063027606, "excludes_zero": false }, "frame:header+suite": { "beta": -8.294576149256686, "lo": -29.80719417472475, "hi": 44.1163671126458, "excludes_zero": false }, "frame:operand position": { "beta": 13.993049030365688, "lo": -12.28710552093677, "hi": 78.72207075303147, "excludes_zero": false } }, "permutation_p_log_frequency": 0.0, "n_bootstrap": 200, "n_permutations": 200 }, "layer|without_pilot|lognormal": { "n": 149, "n_events": 11, "n_composite": 4, "composite_entered": false, "names": [ "intercept", "log_frequency", "frame:builtin reference" ], "fit": { "converged": true, "nll": 89.43949528683788, "beta": [ 32.30869495920375, 0.1308126922553674, -2.6197560604628167 ], "log_scale": -0.8436829248997222, "dist": "lognormal", "n": 149 }, "coefficients": { "intercept": { "beta": 32.30869495920375, "lo": 30.764814094196627, "hi": 34.35356998673611, "excludes_zero": true }, "log_frequency": { "beta": 0.1308126922553674, "lo": 0.09716133111606483, "hi": 0.20194203989109735, "excludes_zero": true }, "frame:builtin reference": { "beta": -2.6197560604628167, "lo": -4.215686486476544, "hi": -0.8542930966376433, "excludes_zero": true } }, "permutation_p_log_frequency": 0.0, "n_bootstrap": 200, "n_permutations": 200 }, "layer|without_pilot|weibull": { "n": 149, "n_events": 11, "n_composite": 4, "composite_entered": false, "names": [ "intercept", "log_frequency", "frame:builtin reference" ], "fit": { "converged": true, "nll": 91.37033871224492, "beta": [ 36.72437359336768, 0.12817764653690045, -6.973186098031237 ], "log_scale": -1.3308213083352753, "dist": "weibull", "n": 149 }, "coefficients": { "intercept": { "beta": 36.72437359336768, "lo": 30.837064031132805, "hi": 52.98799627957624, "excludes_zero": true }, "log_frequency": { "beta": 0.12817764653690045, "lo": 0.0885961542952031, "hi": 0.2158982608197191, "excludes_zero": true }, "frame:builtin reference": { "beta": -6.973186098031237, "lo": -23.025825671551743, "hi": -1.0552733989785184, "excludes_zero": true } }, "permutation_p_log_frequency": 0.0, "n_bootstrap": 200, "n_permutations": 200 } }, "assembly": { "product|with_pilot": { "n_composites": 7, "n_usable_pairs": 0, "composites": { "AsyncFor": { "components": [ "Break", "Continue" ], "n_components_dated": 0, "composite_date": null, "readable": false, "why": "the composite has no date inside the record" }, "Continue": { "components": [ "For" ], "n_components_dated": 0, "composite_date": null, "readable": false, "why": "the composite has no date inside the record" }, "For": { "components": [ "Break", "Continue" ], "n_components_dated": 0, "composite_date": null, "readable": false, "why": "the composite has no date inside the record" }, "Global": { "components": [ "FunctionDef", "Assign" ], "n_components_dated": 0, "composite_date": null, "readable": false, "why": "the composite has no date inside the record" }, "Return": { "components": [ "FunctionDef" ], "n_components_dated": 0, "composite_date": null, "readable": false, "why": "the composite has no date inside the record" }, "Try": { "components": [ "ExceptHandler" ], "n_components_dated": 0, "composite_date": null, "readable": false, "why": "the composite has no date inside the record" }, "While": { "components": [ "Break", "Continue" ], "n_components_dated": 0, "composite_date": null, "readable": false, "why": "the composite has no date inside the record" } }, "outcome": "EMPTY", "why": "no composite has both its own stability date and a date for any construct it obliges, so the assembly rival cannot be tested on this record; the dated set and the composite set do not intersect" }, "product|without_pilot": { "n_composites": 4, "n_usable_pairs": 0, "composites": { "AsyncFor": { "components": [ "Break", "Continue" ], "n_components_dated": 0, "composite_date": null, "readable": false, "why": "the composite has no date inside the record" }, "Continue": { "components": [ "For" ], "n_components_dated": 0, "composite_date": null, "readable": false, "why": "the composite has no date inside the record" }, "Global": { "components": [ "FunctionDef", "Assign" ], "n_components_dated": 0, "composite_date": null, "readable": false, "why": "the composite has no date inside the record" }, "Try": { "components": [ "ExceptHandler" ], "n_components_dated": 0, "composite_date": null, "readable": false, "why": "the composite has no date inside the record" } }, "outcome": "EMPTY", "why": "no composite has both its own stability date and a date for any construct it obliges, so the assembly rival cannot be tested on this record; the dated set and the composite set do not intersect" }, "layer|with_pilot": { "n_composites": 7, "n_usable_pairs": 0, "composites": { "AsyncFor": { "components": [ "Break", "Continue" ], "n_components_dated": 0, "composite_date": null, "readable": false, "why": "the composite has no date inside the record" }, "Continue": { "components": [ "For" ], "n_components_dated": 0, "composite_date": null, "readable": false, "why": "the composite has no date inside the record" }, "For": { "components": [ "Break", "Continue" ], "n_components_dated": 0, "composite_date": null, "readable": false, "why": "the composite has no date inside the record" }, "Global": { "components": [ "FunctionDef", "Assign" ], "n_components_dated": 0, "composite_date": null, "readable": false, "why": "the composite has no date inside the record" }, "Return": { "components": [ "FunctionDef" ], "n_components_dated": 0, "composite_date": null, "readable": false, "why": "the composite has no date inside the record" }, "Try": { "components": [ "ExceptHandler" ], "n_components_dated": 0, "composite_date": null, "readable": false, "why": "the composite has no date inside the record" }, "While": { "components": [ "Break", "Continue" ], "n_components_dated": 0, "composite_date": null, "readable": false, "why": "the composite has no date inside the record" } }, "outcome": "EMPTY", "why": "no composite has both its own stability date and a date for any construct it obliges, so the assembly rival cannot be tested on this record; the dated set and the composite set do not intersect" }, "layer|without_pilot": { "n_composites": 4, "n_usable_pairs": 0, "composites": { "AsyncFor": { "components": [ "Break", "Continue" ], "n_components_dated": 0, "composite_date": null, "readable": false, "why": "the composite has no date inside the record" }, "Continue": { "components": [ "For" ], "n_components_dated": 0, "composite_date": null, "readable": false, "why": "the composite has no date inside the record" }, "Global": { "components": [ "FunctionDef", "Assign" ], "n_components_dated": 0, "composite_date": null, "readable": false, "why": "the composite has no date inside the record" }, "Try": { "components": [ "ExceptHandler" ], "n_components_dated": 0, "composite_date": null, "readable": false, "why": "the composite has no date inside the record" } }, "outcome": "EMPTY", "why": "no composite has both its own stability date and a date for any construct it obliges, so the assembly rival cannot be tested on this record; the dated set and the composite set do not intersect" } }, "exploratory_cross_reference": { "with_pilot": { "column": "curve2_norm", "beta": -0.27367094241636647, "interval": [ -0.4261031903634231, -0.14117845445229976 ], "permutation_p": 0.0, "status": "EXPLORATORY (A35, step 3's third sense). Frequency predicts the NORM's date, not the stability date C3 names. Reported beside P2, never as P2." }, "without_pilot": { "column": "curve2_norm", "beta": -0.2957392539329919, "interval": [ -0.4311526217591251, -0.1753695411081646 ], "permutation_p": 0.0, "status": "EXPLORATORY (A35, step 3's third sense). Frequency predicts the NORM's date, not the stability date C3 names. Reported beside P2, never as P2." } }, "withdrawn_by_a38": { "n_dated_under_the_spacing_check": { "product": 0, "layer": 0 }, "spacing_dependence_spearman": -0.8131468225548475, "what": "every verdict-layer coefficient below -- the Spearman and both AFT fits -- is WITHDRAWN: it is computed on twelve dates that are a partner-spacing artefact, not twelve settling dates", "what_stands": "P2 has NO VERDICT, now because |P3| = 0 in both spaces rather than 12 < 43; the assembly rival is empty; the composite indicator is out; step 1's clause is not decidable by the contract" }, "direction": { "layer|with_pilot|lognormal": { "beta": 0.1308126910623666, "excludes_zero": true, "prediction_is": "negative: frequent constructs settle first", "observed": "POSITIVE -- the opposite of the prediction", "but": "C3's condition |P3| >= 43 is not met, and the dated constructs share a single checkpoint, so this is not a verdict in either direction" }, "layer|with_pilot|weibull": { "beta": 0.12817763666470106, "excludes_zero": true, "prediction_is": "negative: frequent constructs settle first", "observed": "POSITIVE -- the opposite of the prediction", "but": "C3's condition |P3| >= 43 is not met, and the dated constructs share a single checkpoint, so this is not a verdict in either direction" }, "layer|without_pilot|lognormal": { "beta": 0.1308126922553674, "excludes_zero": true, "prediction_is": "negative: frequent constructs settle first", "observed": "POSITIVE -- the opposite of the prediction", "but": "C3's condition |P3| >= 43 is not met, and the dated constructs share a single checkpoint, so this is not a verdict in either direction" }, "layer|without_pilot|weibull": { "beta": 0.12817764653690045, "excludes_zero": true, "prediction_is": "negative: frequent constructs settle first", "observed": "POSITIVE -- the opposite of the prediction", "but": "C3's condition |P3| >= 43 is not met, and the dated constructs share a single checkpoint, so this is not a verdict in either direction" } } }