import Mathlib import OAI.Combinatorics.IndependentSets.Repetition.Value namespace OAI noncomputable section namespace IndependentSetsGames.Foundations.Games.FiniteDistribution open scoped BigOperators theorem iid_pushforward {Ω Γ : Type*} [Fintype Ω] [Fintype Γ] (μ : FiniteDistribution Ω) (f : Ω → Γ) (n : Nat) : (μ.pushforward f).iid n = (μ.iid n).pushforward (fun answers i => f (answers i)) := by classical apply eq_of_weight_eq intro y simp only [iid, pushforward] rw [Fintype.prod_sum] apply Finset.sum_congr rfl intro x _ by_cases h : (fun i => f (x i)) = y · have hp : ∀ i, f (x i) = y i := congrFun h simp [hp] · rw [ite_eq_right h] have hn : ¬ ∀ i, f (x i) = y i := fun hp => h (funext hp) obtain ⟨i, hi⟩ := not_forall.mp hn apply Finset.prod_eq_zero (Finset.mem_univ i) simp [hi] def uniform (Ω : Type*) [Fintype Ω] [Nonempty Ω] : FiniteDistribution Ω where weight _ := 1 / (Fintype.card Ω : ℝ) nonnegative _ := div_nonneg zero_le_one (Nat.cast_nonneg _) normalized := by have hn : (Fintype.card Ω : ℝ) ≠ 0 := Nat.cast_ne_zero.mpr Fintype.card_ne_zero simp only [Finset.sum_const, Finset.card_univ, nsmul_eq_mul, one_div] exact mul_inv_cancel₀ hn theorem iid_uniform {Ω : Type*} [Fintype Ω] [Nonempty Ω] (n : Nat) : (uniform Ω).iid n = uniform (Fin n → Ω) := by classical apply eq_of_weight_eq intro x simp [iid, uniform, Nat.cast_pow, one_div] theorem expectation_uniform {Ω : Type*} [Fintype Ω] [Nonempty Ω] (f : Ω → ℝ) : (uniform Ω).expectation f = (∑ x, f x) / (Fintype.card Ω : ℝ) := by unfold expectation uniform rw [← Finset.mul_sum] simp [div_eq_mul_inv, mul_comm] end IndependentSetsGames.Foundations.Games.FiniteDistribution namespace IndependentSetsGames.Foundations.Games open scoped BigOperators namespace FiniteDistribution variable {Ω : Type*} [Fintype Ω] def condition (μ : FiniteDistribution Ω) (given : Ω → Bool) (positive : 0 < μ.probability given) : FiniteDistribution Ω where weight x := if given x then μ.weight x / μ.probability given else 0 nonnegative x := by split · exact div_nonneg (μ.nonnegative x) positive.le · exact le_rfl normalized := by calc _ = (∑ x, if given x then μ.weight x else 0) / μ.probability given := by simp only [div_eq_mul_inv, Finset.sum_mul] apply Finset.sum_congr rfl intro x _ by_cases hx : given x = true <;> simp [hx] _ = 1 := div_self (ne_of_gt positive) theorem probability_condition (μ : FiniteDistribution Ω) (given event : Ω → Bool) (positive : 0 < μ.probability given) : (μ.condition given positive).probability event = μ.probability (fun x => given x && event x) / μ.probability given := by simp only [probability, condition, div_eq_mul_inv, Finset.sum_mul] apply Finset.sum_congr rfl intro x _ by_cases hg : given x = true <;> by_cases he : event x = true <;> simp [hg, he] theorem probability_inter_eq_mul_conditional (μ : FiniteDistribution Ω) (given event : Ω → Bool) (positive : 0 < μ.probability given) : μ.probability (fun x => given x && event x) = μ.probability given * (μ.condition given positive).probability event := by have h := (eq_div_iff (ne_of_gt positive)).mp (μ.probability_condition given event positive) simpa only [mul_comm] using h.symm theorem probability_and_le_left (μ : FiniteDistribution Ω) (event event' : Ω → Bool) : μ.probability (fun x => event x && event' x) ≤ μ.probability event := by apply μ.probability_mono intro x hx have h : event x = true ∧ event' x = true := by simpa using hx exact h.1 theorem probability_and_le_right (μ : FiniteDistribution Ω) (event event' : Ω → Bool) : μ.probability (fun x => event x && event' x) ≤ μ.probability event' := by apply μ.probability_mono intro x hx have h : event x = true ∧ event' x = true := by simpa using hx exact h.2 theorem probability_and_eq_zero_of_probability_eq_zero (μ : FiniteDistribution Ω) (given event : Ω → Bool) (zero : μ.probability given = 0) : μ.probability (fun x => given x && event x) = 0 := by apply le_antisymm · exact (μ.probability_and_le_left given event).trans_eq zero · exact μ.probability_nonnegative _ @[simp] theorem probability_condition_given (μ : FiniteDistribution Ω) (given : Ω → Bool) (positive : 0 < μ.probability given) : (μ.condition given positive).probability given = 1 := by rw [μ.probability_condition] simpa only [Bool.and_self] using div_self (ne_of_gt positive) end FiniteDistribution namespace Game variable {Q₁ Q₂ A₁ A₂ : Type*} [Fintype Q₁] [Fintype Q₂] [Fintype A₁] [Fintype A₂] {n : Nat} theorem selectedWins_insert (G : Game Q₁ Q₂ A₁ A₂) (strategy : Strategy (Fin n → Q₁) (Fin n → Q₂) (Fin n → A₁) (Fin n → A₂)) (selected : Finset (Fin n)) (coordinate : Fin n) : G.selectedWins strategy (insert coordinate selected) = fun questions => G.selectedWins strategy selected questions && G.coordinateWin strategy coordinate questions := by classical funext questions apply Bool.eq_iff_iff.mpr simp [selectedWins, and_comm] def selectedSuccess (G : Game Q₁ Q₂ A₁ A₂) (strategy : Strategy (Fin n → Q₁) (Fin n → Q₂) (Fin n → A₁) (Fin n → A₂)) (selected : Finset (Fin n)) : ℝ := (G.repetition n).questions.probability (G.selectedWins strategy selected) theorem selectedSuccess_nonnegative (G : Game Q₁ Q₂ A₁ A₂) (strategy : Strategy (Fin n → Q₁) (Fin n → Q₂) (Fin n → A₁) (Fin n → A₂)) (selected : Finset (Fin n)) : 0 ≤ G.selectedSuccess strategy selected := (G.repetition n).questions.probability_nonnegative _ theorem selectedSuccess_le_one (G : Game Q₁ Q₂ A₁ A₂) (strategy : Strategy (Fin n → Q₁) (Fin n → Q₂) (Fin n → A₁) (Fin n → A₂)) (selected : Finset (Fin n)) : G.selectedSuccess strategy selected ≤ 1 := (G.repetition n).questions.probability_le_one _ @[simp] theorem selectedSuccess_empty (G : Game Q₁ Q₂ A₁ A₂) (strategy : Strategy (Fin n → Q₁) (Fin n → Q₂) (Fin n → A₁) (Fin n → A₂)) : G.selectedSuccess strategy ∅ = 1 := by have h : G.selectedWins strategy ∅ = fun _ => true := funext (G.selectedWins_empty strategy) rw [selectedSuccess, h, FiniteDistribution.probability_true] theorem selectedSuccess_univ (G : Game Q₁ Q₂ A₁ A₂) (strategy : Strategy (Fin n → Q₁) (Fin n → Q₂) (Fin n → A₁) (Fin n → A₂)) : G.selectedSuccess strategy Finset.univ = (G.repetition n).success strategy := by rw [selectedSuccess, G.selectedWins_univ] rfl theorem selectedSuccess_antitone (G : Game Q₁ Q₂ A₁ A₂) (strategy : Strategy (Fin n → Q₁) (Fin n → Q₂) (Fin n → A₁) (Fin n → A₂)) : Antitone (G.selectedSuccess strategy) := by intro selected selected' h exact G.selectedWins_mono strategy h theorem selectedSuccess_insert (G : Game Q₁ Q₂ A₁ A₂) (strategy : Strategy (Fin n → Q₁) (Fin n → Q₂) (Fin n → A₁) (Fin n → A₂)) (selected : Finset (Fin n)) (coordinate : Fin n) (positive : 0 < G.selectedSuccess strategy selected) : G.selectedSuccess strategy (insert coordinate selected) = G.selectedSuccess strategy selected * ((G.repetition n).questions.condition (G.selectedWins strategy selected) positive).probability (G.coordinateWin strategy coordinate) := by unfold selectedSuccess rw [G.selectedWins_insert] exact (G.repetition n).questions.probability_inter_eq_mul_conditional _ _ positive theorem selectedSuccess_insert_eq_zero (G : Game Q₁ Q₂ A₁ A₂) (strategy : Strategy (Fin n → Q₁) (Fin n → Q₂) (Fin n → A₁) (Fin n → A₂)) (selected : Finset (Fin n)) (coordinate : Fin n) (zero : G.selectedSuccess strategy selected = 0) : G.selectedSuccess strategy (insert coordinate selected) = 0 := by apply le_antisymm · exact (G.selectedSuccess_antitone strategy (Finset.subset_insert coordinate selected)).trans_eq zero · exact G.selectedSuccess_nonnegative _ _ end Game end IndependentSetsGames.Foundations.Games end end OAI