import Mathlib import OAI.Probability.CriticalPercolation.Exploration.AdaptiveReveal namespace OAI section section noncomputable section open Set Function MeasureTheory ProbabilityTheory open scoped Classical ENNReal namespace CriticalPercolation.BernoulliProduct def DecisionCode : ℕ → Type | 0 => Unit | n+1 => DecisionCode n×Bool instance (n : ℕ) : Fintype (DecisionCode n) := by induction n with | zero => exact inferInstanceAs (Fintype Unit) | succ n ih => exact inferInstanceAs (Fintype (DecisionCode n×Bool)) structure DecisionRule (E S : Type*) where initial : S block : S → Set E further : ℕ → S → Set E contained : ∀ n s, block s⊆further n s active : ℕ → S → Prop accept : ℕ → S → Set (Set E) measurable : ∀ n s, MeasurableSet[blockSigma (further n s)] (accept n s) update : ℕ → S → Bool → S block_update : ∀ n s b, block (update n s b)=further n s namespace DecisionRule variable {E S : Type*} (D : DecisionRule E S) def state : (n : ℕ) → DecisionCode n → S | 0,_ => D.initial | n+1,(w,b) => D.update n (state n w) b def partitionWithBlock : (n : ℕ) → {P : RevealPartition E (DecisionCode n) // ∀ w, P.block w=D.block (D.state n w)} | 0 => ⟨{ block := fun _ => D.block D.initial cell := fun _ => Set.univ measurable := fun _ => MeasurableSet.univ disjoint := by intro i j hne; have he : i=j := @Subsingleton.elim Unit _ i j; exact (hne he).elim cover := Set.eq_univ_of_forall (fun _ => Set.mem_iUnion.mpr ⟨(),Set.mem_univ _⟩) }, fun _ => rfl⟩ | n+1 => by let P := (partitionWithBlock n).val have hP := (partitionWithBlock n).property let Q := P.enlarge (fun w => D.further n (D.state n w)) (by intro w rw [hP w] exact D.contained n (D.state n w)) let T := Q.decide (fun w ω => if ω∈D.accept n (D.state n w) then true else false) (by intro w exact Measurable.ite (D.measurable n (D.state n w)) measurable_const measurable_const) refine ⟨T,?_⟩ intro w change D.further n (D.state n w.1)=D.block (D.update n (D.state n w.1) w.2) exact (D.block_update n _ _).symm def partition (n : ℕ) : RevealPartition E (DecisionCode n) := (D.partitionWithBlock n).val lemma partition_block (n : ℕ) (w : DecisionCode n) : (D.partition n).block w=D.block (D.state n w) := (D.partitionWithBlock n).property w lemma partition_cell_succ (n : ℕ) (w : DecisionCode n) (b : Bool) : (D.partition (n+1)).cell (w,b)=(D.partition n).cell w∩ {ω | (if ω∈D.accept n (D.state n w) then true else false)=b} := rfl lemma historySigma_step (n : ℕ) : (D.partition n).historySigma ≤ (D.partition (n+1)).historySigma := by intro A hA w rcases w with ⟨w,b⟩ change MeasurableSet[blockSigma (D.further n (D.state n w))] (A ∩ ((D.partition n).cell w ∩ {ω | (if ω∈D.accept n (D.state n w) then true else false)=b})) rw [← Set.inter_assoc] have hmono : blockSigma (D.block (D.state n w)) ≤ blockSigma (D.further n (D.state n w)) := iSup₂_mono' (fun e he => ⟨e,D.contained n (D.state n w) he,le_rfl⟩) refine (hmono _ ?_).inter ?_ · rw [← D.partition_block n w] exact hA w · have hm : @Measurable (Set E) Bool (blockSigma (D.further n (D.state n w))) inferInstance (fun ω => if ω∈D.accept n (D.state n w) then true else false) := Measurable.ite (D.measurable n (D.state n w)) measurable_const measurable_const exact hm (MeasurableSet.singleton b) lemma historySigma_mono : Monotone (fun n => (D.partition n).historySigma) := monotone_nat_of_le_succ D.historySigma_step def failure (n : ℕ) : Set (Set E) := ⋃ w : DecisionCode n, (D.partition n).cell w∩{ω | D.active n (D.state n w) ∧ ω∉D.accept n (D.state n w)} lemma failure_on_cell (n : ℕ) {w : DecisionCode n} {ω : Set E} (hw : ω∈(D.partition n).cell w) : ω∈D.failure n ↔ D.active n (D.state n w) ∧ ω∉D.accept n (D.state n w) := by constructor · intro h obtain ⟨v,hv,hf⟩ := Set.mem_iUnion.mp h have he := (D.partition n).cell_unique hv hw change D.active n (D.state n v) ∧ ω∉D.accept n (D.state n v) at hf simpa only [he] using hf · intro h exact Set.mem_iUnion.mpr ⟨w,hw,h⟩ lemma failure_measurable (n : ℕ) : MeasurableSet (D.failure n) := by apply MeasurableSet.iUnion intro w exact ((D.partition n).cell_measurable w).inter ((MeasurableSet.const _).inter ((blockSigma_le _) _ (D.measurable n (D.state n w))).compl) lemma failure_history_measurable (n : ℕ) : MeasurableSet[(D.partition (n+1)).historySigma] (D.failure n) := by intro w rcases w with ⟨w,b⟩ have he : D.failure n∩(D.partition (n+1)).cell (w,b)= {ω | D.active n (D.state n w) ∧ ω∉D.accept n (D.state n w)}∩ (D.partition (n+1)).cell (w,b) := by ext ω constructor <;> intro h · exact ⟨(D.failure_on_cell n (by rw [D.partition_cell_succ] at h; exact h.2.1)).mp h.1,h.2⟩ · exact ⟨(D.failure_on_cell n (by rw [D.partition_cell_succ] at h; exact h.2.1)).mpr h.1,h.2⟩ rw [he] apply MeasurableSet.inter _ ((D.partition (n+1)).measurable (w,b)) change MeasurableSet[blockSigma (D.further n (D.state n w))] _ exact (MeasurableSet.const _).inter (D.measurable n (D.state n w)).compl lemma failure_probability_on_cell (q : E → unitInterval) (n : ℕ) {w : DecisionCode n} {σ : Set E} (hw : σ∈(D.partition n).cell w) : blockProbability q ((D.partition n).block w) (D.failure n) σ= blockProbability q (D.block (D.state n w)) {ω | D.active n (D.state n w) ∧ ω∉D.accept n (D.state n w)} σ := by rw [← D.partition_block n w] unfold blockProbability congr 1 ext ω apply D.failure_on_cell exact (block_event_forceOn _ _ ((D.partition n).measurable w) σ ω).mpr hw theorem conditional_failure_bound (q : E → unitInterval) (B : Set (Set E)) (ε : ℝ) (hε : 0 ≤ ε) (hlocal : ∀ n w σ, σ∈(D.partition n).cell w → σ∈B → (blockProbability q (D.block (D.state n w)) {ω | D.active n (D.state n w) ∧ ω∉D.accept n (D.state n w)} σ).toReal ≤ ε) : ∀ n A, MeasurableSet[(D.partition n).historySigma] A → A⊆B → (law q).real (A∩D.failure n) ≤ ε*(law q).real A := by intro n A hmA hAB apply (D.partition n).measureReal_inter_le q (D.failure n) A (D.failure_measurable n) hmA ε hε intro σ hσ obtain ⟨w,hw⟩ := (D.partition n).exists_cell σ rw [(D.partition n).probability_on_cell q (D.failure n) hw,D.failure_probability_on_cell q n hw] exact (ENNReal.toReal_le_toReal (ne_of_lt (lt_of_le_of_lt (blockProbability_le_one _ _ _ _) ENNReal.one_lt_top)) ENNReal.ofReal_ne_top).mp (by rw [ENNReal.toReal_ofReal hε]; exact hlocal n w σ hw (hAB hσ)) def codeOf : (n : ℕ) → Set E → DecisionCode n | 0,_ => () | n+1,ω => (codeOf n ω,if ω∈D.accept n (D.state n (codeOf n ω)) then true else false) lemma codeOf_mem (n : ℕ) (ω : Set E) : ω∈(D.partition n).cell (D.codeOf n ω) := by induction n with | zero => trivial | succ n ih => exact ⟨ih,rfl⟩ lemma codeOf_eq_of_mem {n : ℕ} {w : DecisionCode n} {ω : Set E} (h : ω∈(D.partition n).cell w) : D.codeOf n ω=w := (D.partition n).cell_unique (D.codeOf_mem n ω) h end DecisionRule end CriticalPercolation.BernoulliProduct end end end end OAI