import OAI.Probability.FreeIsing.Brownian.ContinuousIntegral import OAI.Probability.FreeIsing.Stochastic.IntegralAssociativityLimit namespace OAI noncomputable section open MeasureTheory ProbabilityTheory Filter open scoped NNReal Topology namespace Problem367.BrownianIntegralProcess variable {Ω : Type*} theorem stopped_sum_at_grid (B : ℝ≥0 → Ω → ℝ) (τ : ℕ → ℝ≥0) (hτ : Monotone τ) (H : ℕ → Ω → ℝ) {n j : ℕ} (hj : j ≤ n) : (fun ω => ∑ i ∈ Finset.range n, StoppedSimpleIntegral.intervalSum B (H i) (τ i) (τ (i + 1)) (τ j) ω) = BrownianGrid.integralSum B τ H j := by funext ω calc _ = ∑ i ∈ Finset.range j, StoppedSimpleIntegral.intervalSum B (H i) (τ i) (τ (i + 1)) (τ j) ω := by symm apply Finset.sum_subset (Finset.range_mono hj) intro i hi hij have hji : j ≤ i := by simpa only [Finset.mem_range, not_lt] using hij simp only [StoppedSimpleIntegral.intervalSum, min_eq_left (hτ hji), min_eq_left (hτ (hji.trans (Nat.le_succ i))), sub_self, mul_zero] _ = _ := by apply Finset.sum_congr rfl intro i hi have hij : i + 1 ≤ j := Finset.mem_range.mp hi simp only [StoppedSimpleIntegral.intervalSum, min_eq_right (hτ hij), min_eq_right (hτ (Nat.le_of_succ_le hij))] theorem stoppedUniformSum_at_grid (B H : ℝ≥0 → Ω → ℝ) (T : ℝ≥0) {n j : ℕ} (hj : j ≤ n) : stoppedUniformSum B H T n (BrownianGrid.uniformGrid T n j) = BrownianGrid.integralSum B (BrownianGrid.uniformGrid T n) (fun i => H (BrownianGrid.uniformGrid T n i)) j := stopped_sum_at_grid B _ (BrownianGrid.uniformGrid_mono T n) _ hj end Problem367.BrownianIntegralProcess namespace Problem367.BrownianContinuousAssociativity open BrownianGrid BrownianIntegralProcess variable {Ω : Type*} [mΩ : MeasurableSpace Ω] {P : Measure Ω} {B H K : ℝ≥0 → Ω → ℝ} {F : Filtration ℝ≥0 mΩ} def mixedSum (B H K : ℝ≥0 → Ω → ℝ) (T : ℝ≥0) (n k : ℕ) : Ω → ℝ := integralSum B (uniformGrid T (n * k)) (fun i ω => K (uniformGrid T n (i / k)) ω * H (uniformGrid T (n * k) i) ω) (n * k) theorem mixedSum_difference_bound (hB : IsPreBrownianReal B P) (hAd : StronglyAdapted F B) (hind : ∀ s t, s ≤ t → Indep (MeasurableSpace.comap (fun ω => B t ω - B s ω) inferInstance) (F s) P) (hH : StronglyAdapted F H) (hK : StronglyAdapted F K) {C D : ℝ} (hC : 0 ≤ C) (_hD : 0 ≤ D) (hbH : ∀ᵐ ω ∂P, ∀ t, |H t ω| ≤ C) (hbK : ∀ᵐ ω ∂P, ∀ t, |K t ω| ≤ D) (T : ℝ≥0) {n k : ℕ} (hn : 0 < n) (hk : 0 < k) {ε : ℝ} (happrox : ∀ i < n * k, (∫ ω, (K (uniformGrid T n (i / k)) ω - K (uniformGrid T (n * k) i) ω) ^ 2 ∂P) ≤ ε) : (∫ ω, (mixedSum B H K T n k ω - uniformSum B (fun t ω => K t ω * H t ω) T (n * k) ω) ^ 2 ∂P) ≤ (T : ℝ) * (C ^ 2 * ε) := by let : IsProbabilityMeasure P := hB.isGaussianProcess.isProbabilityMeasure have hH2 (t : ℝ≥0) : MemLp (H t) 2 P := by apply MemLp.of_bound ((hH t).mono (F.le t)).aestronglyMeasurable C filter_upwards [hbH] with ω hω exact hω t have hK2 (t : ℝ≥0) : MemLp (K t) 2 P := by apply MemLp.of_bound ((hK t).mono (F.le t)).aestronglyMeasurable D filter_upwards [hbK] with ω hω exact hω t have hKH2 (s t : ℝ≥0) : MemLp (fun ω => K s ω * H t ω) 2 P := memLp_compose_of_bounded (hH2 t) (hK2 s).aestronglyMeasurable (hbK.mono (fun ω hω => hω s)) have hbound := composed_integralSum_difference_bound hB hAd hind (uniformGrid T (n * k)) (uniformGrid_mono T (n * k)) (fun i => H (uniformGrid T (n * k) i)) (fun j => K (uniformGrid T n j)) (fun i ω => K (uniformGrid T (n * k) i) ω * H (uniformGrid T (n * k) i) ω) hk (fun i => hH _) (fun j => by rw [uniformGrid_refine T hn hk]; exact hK _) (fun i => (hK _).mul (hH _)) (fun i => hKH2 _ _) (fun i => hKH2 _ _) n (ε := C ^ 2 * ε) ?_ · simpa only [integralSum_compose_refined B _ _ _ n hk, uniformGrid_end T (Nat.mul_pos hn hk), uniformGrid_zero, NNReal.coe_zero, sub_zero, mixedSum, uniformSum] using hbound · intro i hi let s := uniformGrid T n (i / k) let t := uniformGrid T (n * k) i calc _ ≤ ∫ ω, C ^ 2 * (K s ω - K t ω) ^ 2 ∂P := by apply integral_mono_ae ((hKH2 s t).sub (hKH2 t t)).integrable_sq (((hK2 s).sub (hK2 t)).integrable_sq.const_mul (C ^ 2)) filter_upwards [hbH] with ω hω have hs : H t ω ^ 2 ≤ C ^ 2 := by simpa only [sq_abs] using (sq_le_sq₀ (abs_nonneg _) hC).mpr (hω t) calc _ = H t ω ^ 2 * (K s ω - K t ω) ^ 2 := by simp only [Pi.sub_apply]; ring _ ≤ _ := mul_le_mul_of_nonneg_right hs (sq_nonneg _) _ = C ^ 2 * ∫ ω, (K s ω - K t ω) ^ 2 ∂P := integral_const_mul _ _ _ ≤ C ^ 2 * ε := mul_le_mul_of_nonneg_left (happrox i hi) (sq_nonneg C) theorem mixedSum_difference_tendsto (hB : IsPreBrownianReal B P) (hAd : StronglyAdapted F B) (hind : ∀ s t, s ≤ t → Indep (MeasurableSpace.comap (fun ω => B t ω - B s ω) inferInstance) (F s) P) (hH : StronglyAdapted F H) (hK : StronglyAdapted F K) (hcK : ∀ᵐ ω ∂P, Continuous (fun t => K t ω)) {C D : ℝ} (hC : 0 ≤ C) (hD : 0 ≤ D) (hbH : ∀ᵐ ω ∂P, ∀ t, |H t ω| ≤ C) (hbK : ∀ᵐ ω ∂P, ∀ t, |K t ω| ≤ D) (T : ℝ≥0) : Tendsto (fun n => ∫ ω, (mixedSum B H K T (n + 1) (n + 1) ω - uniformSum B (fun t ω => K t ω * H t ω) T ((n + 1) * (n + 1)) ω) ^ 2 ∂P) atTop (𝓝 0) := by let : IsProbabilityMeasure P := hB.isGaussianProcess.isProbabilityMeasure apply Metric.tendsto_atTop.mpr intro ε hε let η := ε / ((T : ℝ) * C ^ 2 + 1) have hη : 0 < η := div_pos hε (by positivity) obtain ⟨δ, hδ, hmod⟩ := MeanSquareContinuity.uniform_integral_sq_sub_le (fun t => ((hK t).mono (F.le t)).aestronglyMeasurable) hcK hD hbK T hη have hwidth : Tendsto (fun n : ℕ => (T : ℝ) / (n : ℝ)) atTop (𝓝 0) := tendsto_const_nhds.div_atTop tendsto_natCast_atTop_atTop obtain ⟨N, hN⟩ := (hwidth.eventually (gt_mem_nhds hδ)).exists_forall_of_atTop refine ⟨N, ?_⟩ intro n hn have hmesh : (T : ℝ) / ((n + 1 : ℕ) : ℝ) ≤ δ := (hN (n + 1) (hn.trans (Nat.le_succ n))).le have hbound := mixedSum_difference_bound hB hAd hind hH hK hC hD hbH hbK T (Nat.succ_pos n) (Nat.succ_pos n) (ε := η) (fun i hi => hmod _ _ (uniformGrid_floor_le T (Nat.succ_pos n) (Nat.succ_pos n) i) (uniformGrid_le_horizon T (Nat.mul_pos (Nat.succ_pos n) (Nat.succ_pos n)) hi.le) ((uniformGrid_floor_sub_le T (Nat.succ_pos n) (Nat.succ_pos n) i).trans hmesh)) rw [Real.dist_eq, sub_zero, abs_of_nonneg (integral_nonneg (fun ω => sq_nonneg _))] apply hbound.trans_lt dsimp [η] have hp : 0 < (T : ℝ) * C ^ 2 + 1 := by positivity rw [← mul_assoc, ← mul_div_assoc] apply (div_lt_iff₀ hp).mpr nlinarith omit mΩ in theorem uniformSum_stoppedUniformSum_eq_mixedSum (B H K : ℝ≥0 → Ω → ℝ) (T : ℝ≥0) {n k : ℕ} (hn : 0 < n) (hk : 0 < k) : uniformSum (stoppedUniformSum B H T (n * k)) K T n = mixedSum B H K T n k := by have hp (j : ℕ) (hj : j ≤ n) : stoppedUniformSum B H T (n * k) (uniformGrid T n j) = integralSum B (uniformGrid T (n * k)) (fun i => H (uniformGrid T (n * k) i)) (j * k) := by rw [← uniformGrid_refine T hn hk j] exact stoppedUniformSum_at_grid B H T (Nat.mul_le_mul_right k hj) funext ω dsimp only [mixedSum] rw [← integralSum_compose_refined B (uniformGrid T (n * k)) (fun i => H (uniformGrid T (n * k) i)) (fun j => K (uniformGrid T n j)) n hk] unfold uniformSum integralSum apply Finset.sum_congr rfl intro i hi have hin : i + 1 ≤ n := Finset.mem_range.mp hi rw [hp (i + 1) hin, hp i (Nat.le_of_succ_le hin)] rfl theorem uniformSum_memLp {M : ℝ≥0 → Ω → ℝ} (hM2 : ∀ t, MemLp (M t) 2 P) (hK : StronglyAdapted F K) {D : ℝ} (hbK : ∀ᵐ ω ∂P, ∀ t, |K t ω| ≤ D) (T : ℝ≥0) (n : ℕ) : MemLp (uniformSum M K T n) 2 P := by exact SimpleIntegral.coarseTransform_memLp (fun j => K (uniformGrid T n j)) (fun j => ((hK _).mono (F.le _)).aestronglyMeasurable) (fun _ => D) (fun j => hbK.mono (fun ω hω => hω _)) (fun j => hM2 _) n theorem mixedSum_outer_difference_tendsto (hB : IsPreBrownianReal B P) (hAd : StronglyAdapted F B) (hind : ∀ s t, s ≤ t → Indep (MeasurableSpace.comap (fun ω => B t ω - B s ω) inferInstance) (F s) P) (hH : StronglyAdapted F H) (hK : StronglyAdapted F K) {C D : ℝ} (hD : 0 ≤ D) (hbH : ∀ᵐ ω ∂P, ∀ t, |H t ω| ≤ C) (hbK : ∀ᵐ ω ∂P, ∀ t, |K t ω| ≤ D) {M : ℝ≥0 → Ω → ℝ} (hM : Martingale M F P) (hM2 : ∀ t, MemLp (M t) 2 P) (T : ℝ≥0) (hlim : Tendsto (fun n => ∫ ω, (uniformSum B H T n ω - M T ω) ^ 2 ∂P) atTop (𝓝 0)) : Tendsto (fun n => ∫ ω, (mixedSum B H K T (n + 1) (n + 1) ω - uniformSum M K T (n + 1) ω) ^ 2 ∂P) atTop (𝓝 0) := by let : IsProbabilityMeasure P := hB.isGaussianProcess.isProbabilityMeasure have hH2 (t : ℝ≥0) : MemLp (H t) 2 P := by apply MemLp.of_bound ((hH t).mono (F.le t)).aestronglyMeasurable C filter_upwards [hbH] with ω hω exact hω t let I (n : ℕ) := stoppedUniformSum B H T ((n + 1) * (n + 1)) have hI2 (n : ℕ) (t : ℝ≥0) : MemLp (I n t) 2 P := BrownianFiltration.stopped_predictable_sum_memLp_two hB hind _ (uniformGrid_mono T _) _ (fun i => hH _) (fun i => hH2 _) _ t have hIM (n : ℕ) : Martingale (I n) F P := by apply BrownianFiltration.stopped_predictable_sum_martingale hB hAd hind _ (uniformGrid_mono T _) _ (fun i => hH _) (fun _ => C) (fun i => ?_) _ filter_upwards [hbH] with ω hω exact hω _ have hcofinal : Tendsto (fun n : ℕ => (n + 1) * (n + 1)) atTop atTop := by apply tendsto_atTop.mpr intro b exact eventually_atTop.mpr ⟨b, fun n hn => hn.trans ((Nat.le_succ n).trans (Nat.le_mul_self _))⟩ have hterminal : Tendsto (fun n => ∫ ω, (I n T ω - M T ω) ^ 2 ∂P) atTop (𝓝 0) := by simpa only [I, stoppedUniformSum_terminal, Function.comp_def] using hlim.comp hcofinal have herr := MartingaleTransformL2.tendsto_integral_sq_grid_transform (fun n => (hIM n).sub hM) (fun n t => (hI2 n t).sub (hM2 t)) (fun n => uniformGrid T (n + 1)) (fun n => uniformGrid_mono T (n + 1)) (fun n => n + 1) (fun n => uniformGrid_end T (Nat.succ_pos n)) (fun n j => K (uniformGrid T (n + 1) j)) (fun n j => hK _) hD (fun n j => hbK.mono (fun ω hω => hω _)) hterminal refine herr.congr (fun n => ?_) rw [← uniformSum_stoppedUniformSum_eq_mixedSum B H K T (Nat.succ_pos n) (Nat.succ_pos n)] congr 1 funext ω simp only [uniformSum, integralSum, Pi.sub_apply, I] rw [← Finset.sum_sub_distrib] congr 1 apply Finset.sum_congr rfl intro i hi ring theorem mixedSum_memLp (hB : IsPreBrownianReal B P) (hind : ∀ s t, s ≤ t → Indep (MeasurableSpace.comap (fun ω => B t ω - B s ω) inferInstance) (F s) P) (hH : StronglyAdapted F H) (hK : StronglyAdapted F K) {C D : ℝ} (hbH : ∀ᵐ ω ∂P, ∀ t, |H t ω| ≤ C) (hbK : ∀ᵐ ω ∂P, ∀ t, |K t ω| ≤ D) (T : ℝ≥0) {n k : ℕ} (hn : 0 < n) (hk : 0 < k) : MemLp (mixedSum B H K T n k) 2 P := by let : IsProbabilityMeasure P := hB.isGaussianProcess.isProbabilityMeasure have hH2 (t : ℝ≥0) : MemLp (H t) 2 P := MemLp.of_bound ((hH t).mono (F.le t)).aestronglyMeasurable C (hbH.mono (fun ω hω => hω t)) rw [← uniformSum_stoppedUniformSum_eq_mixedSum B H K T hn hk] exact uniformSum_memLp (fun t => BrownianFiltration.stopped_predictable_sum_memLp_two hB hind _ (uniformGrid_mono T _) _ (fun i => hH _) (fun i => hH2 _) _ t) hK hbK T n theorem uniformSum_associativity (hB : IsPreBrownianReal B P) (hAd : StronglyAdapted F B) (hind : ∀ s t, s ≤ t → Indep (MeasurableSpace.comap (fun ω => B t ω - B s ω) inferInstance) (F s) P) (hH : StronglyAdapted F H) (hK : StronglyAdapted F K) (hcK : ∀ᵐ ω ∂P, Continuous (fun t => K t ω)) {C D : ℝ} (hC : 0 ≤ C) (hD : 0 ≤ D) (hbH : ∀ᵐ ω ∂P, ∀ t, |H t ω| ≤ C) (hbK : ∀ᵐ ω ∂P, ∀ t, |K t ω| ≤ D) {M : ℝ≥0 → Ω → ℝ} (hM : Martingale M F P) (hM2 : ∀ t, MemLp (M t) 2 P) (T : ℝ≥0) (hlim : Tendsto (fun n => ∫ ω, (uniformSum B H T n ω - M T ω) ^ 2 ∂P) atTop (𝓝 0)) {Z : Ω → ℝ} (hZ : MemLp Z 2 P) (hZlim : Tendsto (fun n => ∫ ω, (uniformSum B (fun t ω => K t ω * H t ω) T n ω - Z ω) ^ 2 ∂P) atTop (𝓝 0)) : Tendsto (fun n => ∫ ω, (uniformSum M K T n ω - Z ω) ^ 2 ∂P) atTop (𝓝 0) := by let : IsProbabilityMeasure P := hB.isGaussianProcess.isProbabilityMeasure have hH2 (t : ℝ≥0) : MemLp (H t) 2 P := MemLp.of_bound ((hH t).mono (F.le t)).aestronglyMeasurable C (hbH.mono (fun ω hω => hω t)) have hKH2 (t : ℝ≥0) : MemLp (fun ω => K t ω * H t ω) 2 P := memLp_compose_of_bounded (hH2 t) ((hK t).mono (F.le t)).aestronglyMeasurable (hbK.mono (fun ω hω => hω t)) have hproduct2 (n : ℕ) : MemLp (uniformSum B (fun t ω => K t ω * H t ω) T ((n + 1) * (n + 1))) 2 P := BrownianFiltrationGrid.uniformSum_memLp hB hAd hind _ (fun t => (hK t).mul (hH t)) hKH2 T _ have hmixed2 (n : ℕ) : MemLp (mixedSum B H K T (n + 1) (n + 1)) 2 P := mixedSum_memLp hB hind hH hK hbH hbK T (Nat.succ_pos n) (Nat.succ_pos n) have hcofinal : Tendsto (fun n : ℕ => (n + 1) * (n + 1)) atTop atTop := by apply tendsto_atTop.mpr intro b exact eventually_atTop.mpr ⟨b, fun n hn => hn.trans ((Nat.le_succ n).trans (Nat.le_mul_self _))⟩ have hproduct := hZlim.comp hcofinal have hclose := mixedSum_difference_tendsto hB hAd hind hH hK hcK hC hD hbH hbK T have hclose' : Tendsto (fun n => ∫ ω, (uniformSum B (fun t ω => K t ω * H t ω) T ((n + 1) * (n + 1)) ω - mixedSum B H K T (n + 1) (n + 1) ω) ^ 2 ∂P) atTop (𝓝 0) := by refine hclose.congr (fun n => ?_) apply integral_congr_ae exact Filter.Eventually.of_forall (fun ω => by ring) have hmixed := SimpleIntegral.meanSquare_limit_of_close hproduct2 hmixed2 hZ hclose' hproduct apply (tendsto_add_atTop_iff_nat 1).mp exact SimpleIntegral.meanSquare_limit_of_close hmixed2 (fun n => uniformSum_memLp hM2 hK hbK T (n + 1)) hZ (mixedSum_outer_difference_tendsto hB hAd hind hH hK hD hbH hbK hM hM2 T hlim) hmixed theorem exists_terminal_associative_integral (hB : IsPreBrownianReal B P) (hAd : StronglyAdapted F B) (hind : ∀ s t, s ≤ t → Indep (MeasurableSpace.comap (fun ω => B t ω - B s ω) inferInstance) (F s) P) (hH : StronglyAdapted F H) (hK : StronglyAdapted F K) (hcH : ∀ᵐ ω ∂P, Continuous (fun t => H t ω)) (hcK : ∀ᵐ ω ∂P, Continuous (fun t => K t ω)) {C D : ℝ} (hC : 0 ≤ C) (hD : 0 ≤ D) (hbH : ∀ᵐ ω ∂P, ∀ t, |H t ω| ≤ C) (hbK : ∀ᵐ ω ∂P, ∀ t, |K t ω| ≤ D) {M : ℝ≥0 → Ω → ℝ} (hM : Martingale M F P) (hM2 : ∀ t, MemLp (M t) 2 P) (T : ℝ≥0) (hlim : Tendsto (fun n => ∫ ω, (uniformSum B H T n ω - M T ω) ^ 2 ∂P) atTop (𝓝 0)) : ∃ Z : Ω → ℝ, StronglyMeasurable[F T] Z ∧ MemLp Z 2 P ∧ (∫ ω, Z ω ∂P) = 0 ∧ Tendsto (fun n => ∫ ω, (uniformSum B (fun t ω => K t ω * H t ω) T n ω - Z ω) ^ 2 ∂P) atTop (𝓝 0) ∧ Tendsto (fun n => ∫ ω, (uniformSum M K T n ω - Z ω) ^ 2 ∂P) atTop (𝓝 0) := by have hKH : StronglyAdapted F (fun t ω => K t ω * H t ω) := fun t => (hK t).mul (hH t) have hcKH : ∀ᵐ ω ∂P, Continuous (fun t => K t ω * H t ω) := by filter_upwards [hcK, hcH] with ω hKω hHω exact hKω.mul hHω have hbKH : ∀ᵐ ω ∂P, ∀ t, |K t ω * H t ω| ≤ D * C := by filter_upwards [hbK, hbH] with ω hKω hHω intro t rw [abs_mul] exact mul_le_mul (hKω t) (hHω t) (abs_nonneg _) hD obtain ⟨Z, hZm, hZ2, hZ0, hZlim⟩ := BrownianFiltrationGrid.exists_terminal_uniform_integral_of_bounded_continuous hB hAd hind _ hKH hcKH (mul_nonneg hD hC) hbKH T exact ⟨Z, hZm, hZ2, hZ0, hZlim, uniformSum_associativity hB hAd hind hH hK hcK hC hD hbH hbK hM hM2 T hlim hZ2 hZlim⟩ end Problem367.BrownianContinuousAssociativity end end OAI