import OAI.Probability.FreeIsing.Brownian.ArrayFiltrationIntegral import OAI.Probability.FreeIsing.Brownian.IntegralHorizon import OAI.Probability.FreeIsing.Estimates.CompensatedSquareLimit import OAI.Probability.FreeIsing.Stochastic.StoppedBrownianCross namespace OAI noncomputable section open MeasureTheory ProbabilityTheory Filter open scoped NNReal Topology namespace Problem367.BrownianContinuousCross variable {Ω : Type*} [mΩ : MeasurableSpace Ω] {P : Measure Ω} theorem tendsto_eLpNorm_mul_sub {N : Type*} {l : Filter N} {f g : N → Ω → ℝ} {u v : Ω → ℝ} (hf : ∀ n, MemLp (f n) 2 P) (hg : ∀ n, MemLp (g n) 2 P) (hu : MemLp u 2 P) (hv : MemLp v 2 P) (hfu : Tendsto (fun n => eLpNorm (f n - u) 2 P) l (𝓝 0)) (hgv : Tendsto (fun n => eLpNorm (g n - v) 2 P) l (𝓝 0)) : Tendsto (fun n => eLpNorm (f n * g n - u * v) 1 P) l (𝓝 0) := by let M : Lp ℝ 2 P →L[ℝ] Lp ℝ 2 P →L[ℝ] Lp ℝ 1 P := ContinuousLinearMap.holderL P 2 2 1 (ContinuousLinearMap.mul ℝ ℝ) have hmul {a b : Ω → ℝ} (ha : MemLp a 2 P) (hb : MemLp b 2 P) : M (ha.toLp a) (hb.toLp b) = (memLp_one_iff_integrable.mpr (ha.integrable_mul hb)).toLp (a * b) := by apply Lp.ext have hm := (ContinuousLinearMap.mul ℝ ℝ).coeFn_holder (r := 1) (ha.toLp a) (hb.toLp b) filter_upwards [hm, ha.coeFn_toLp, hb.coeFn_toLp, (memLp_one_iff_integrable.mpr (ha.integrable_mul hb)).coeFn_toLp] with ω hm hωa hωb hab change M (ha.toLp a) (hb.toLp b) ω = (ha.toLp a) ω * (hb.toLp b) ω at hm rw [hωa, hωb] at hm exact hm.trans hab.symm have hfLp := (Lp.tendsto_Lp_iff_tendsto_eLpNorm'' f hf u hu).mpr hfu have hgLp := (Lp.tendsto_Lp_iff_tendsto_eLpNorm'' g hg v hv).mpr hgv have h := (M.continuous₂.tendsto (hu.toLp u, hv.toLp v)).comp (hfLp.prodMk_nhds hgLp) change Tendsto (fun n => M ((hf n).toLp (f n)) ((hg n).toLp (g n))) l (𝓝 (M (hu.toLp u) (hv.toLp v))) at h simp only [hmul] at h exact (Lp.tendsto_Lp_iff_tendsto_eLpNorm'' (fun n => f n * g n) (fun n => (memLp_one_iff_integrable.mpr ((hf n).integrable_mul (hg n)))) (u * v) (memLp_one_iff_integrable.mpr (hu.integrable_mul hv))).mp h theorem condExp_ae_eq_of_L1_limits {ι N : Type*} [LinearOrder ι] [IsFiniteMeasure P] {F : Filtration ι mΩ} {l : Filter N} [l.NeBot] {X : N → ι → Ω → ℝ} (hX : ∀ n, Martingale (X n) F P) {s t : ι} (hst : s ≤ t) {u v : Ω → ℝ} (hu : StronglyMeasurable[F s] u) (hui : Integrable u P) (hvi : Integrable v P) (hs : Tendsto (fun n => eLpNorm (X n s - u) 1 P) l (𝓝 0)) (ht : Tendsto (fun n => eLpNorm (X n t - v) 1 P) l (𝓝 0)) : P[v | F s] =ᵐ[P] u := by apply (ae_eq_condExp_of_forall_setIntegral_eq (F.le s) hvi (fun A hA _ => hui.integrableOn) ?_ hu.aestronglyMeasurable).symm intro A hA hAfin have hs' := tendsto_setIntegral_of_L1' u (Eventually.of_forall (fun n => (hX n).integrable s)) hs A have ht' := tendsto_setIntegral_of_L1' v (Eventually.of_forall (fun n => (hX n).integrable t)) ht A have heq : (fun n => ∫ ω in A, X n s ω ∂P) = (fun n => ∫ ω in A, X n t ω ∂P) := funext fun n => (hX n).setIntegral_eq hst hA rw [heq] at hs' exact tendsto_nhds_unique hs' ht' theorem global_uniform_limits_product_martingale {B C H G I J : ℝ≥0 → Ω → ℝ} {F : Filtration ℝ≥0 mΩ} (hB : IsPreBrownianReal B P) (hC : IsPreBrownianReal C P) (hAdB : StronglyAdapted F B) (hAdC : StronglyAdapted F C) (hpair : ∀ s t, s ≤ t → Indep (MeasurableSpace.comap (fun ω => (B t ω - B s ω, C t ω - C s ω)) inferInstance) (F s) P) (hind : ∀ s t, s ≤ t → IndepFun (fun ω => B t ω - B s ω) (fun ω => C t ω - C s ω) P) (hH : StronglyAdapted F H) (hG : StronglyAdapted F G) {K L : ℝ} (hboundH : ∀ᵐ ω ∂P, ∀ t, ‖H t ω‖ ≤ K) (hboundG : ∀ᵐ ω ∂P, ∀ t, ‖G t ω‖ ≤ L) (hI : StronglyAdapted F I) (hJ : StronglyAdapted F J) (hI2 : ∀ t, MemLp (I t) 2 P) (hJ2 : ∀ t, MemLp (J t) 2 P) (hlimI : ∀ (N : ℕ), 0 < N → ∀ t ≤ (N : ℝ≥0), Tendsto (fun n => ∫ ω, (BrownianIntegralProcess.stoppedUniformSum B H N n t ω - I t ω) ^ 2 ∂P) atTop (𝓝 0)) (hlimJ : ∀ (N : ℕ), 0 < N → ∀ t ≤ (N : ℝ≥0), Tendsto (fun n => ∫ ω, (BrownianIntegralProcess.stoppedUniformSum C G N n t ω - J t ω) ^ 2 ∂P) atTop (𝓝 0)) : Martingale (fun t ω => I t ω * J t ω) F P := by let : IsProbabilityMeasure P := hB.isGaussianProcess.isProbabilityMeasure have hB2 (t : ℝ≥0) := (hB.isGaussianProcess.hasGaussianLaw_eval t).memLp_two have hC2 (t : ℝ≥0) := (hC.isGaussianProcess.hasGaussianLaw_eval t).memLp_two have hBH (t : ℝ≥0) : ∀ᵐ ω ∂P, ‖H t ω‖ ≤ K := hboundH.mono fun ω hω => hω t have hCG (t : ℝ≥0) : ∀ᵐ ω ∂P, ‖G t ω‖ ≤ L := hboundG.mono fun ω hω => hω t refine ⟨fun t => (hI t).mul (hJ t), ?_⟩ intro s t hst obtain ⟨N, hN⟩ := exists_nat_ge t have htN : t ≤ ((N + 1 : ℕ) : ℝ≥0) := hN.trans (by exact_mod_cast Nat.le_succ N) let X := fun n => BrownianIntegralProcess.stoppedUniformSum B H ((N + 1 : ℕ) : ℝ≥0) n let Y := fun n => BrownianIntegralProcess.stoppedUniformSum C G ((N + 1 : ℕ) : ℝ≥0) n have hX2 (n : ℕ) (r : ℝ≥0) : MemLp (X n r) 2 P := by apply memLp_finsetSum (Finset.range n) intro i hi exact StoppedBrownianCross.intervalSum_memLp_two_of_bounded hB2 (hH _) (hBH _) r have hY2 (n : ℕ) (r : ℝ≥0) : MemLp (Y n r) 2 P := by apply memLp_finsetSum (Finset.range n) intro i hi exact StoppedBrownianCross.intervalSum_memLp_two_of_bounded hC2 (hG _) (hCG _) r have hM (n : ℕ) : Martingale (fun r ω => X n r ω * Y n r ω) F P := StoppedBrownianCross.stopped_brownian_sum_product_martingale hB hC hAdB hAdC hpair hind (BrownianGrid.uniformGrid ((N + 1 : ℕ) : ℝ≥0) n) (BrownianGrid.uniformGrid_mono _ _) (fun i => H (BrownianGrid.uniformGrid ((N + 1 : ℕ) : ℝ≥0) n i)) (fun i => G (BrownianGrid.uniformGrid ((N + 1 : ℕ) : ℝ≥0) n i)) (fun i => hH _) (fun i => hG _) (fun _ => K) (fun _ => L) (fun i => hBH _) (fun i => hCG _) n have hprod (r : ℝ≥0) (hr : r ≤ ((N + 1 : ℕ) : ℝ≥0)) : Tendsto (fun n => eLpNorm (X n r * Y n r - I r * J r) 1 P) atTop (𝓝 0) := tendsto_eLpNorm_mul_sub (fun n => hX2 n r) (fun n => hY2 n r) (hI2 r) (hJ2 r) (CompensatedSquareLimit.tendsto_eLpNorm_two_of_meanSquare (fun n => hX2 n r) (hI2 r) (hlimI (N + 1) (Nat.succ_pos N) r hr)) (CompensatedSquareLimit.tendsto_eLpNorm_two_of_meanSquare (fun n => hY2 n r) (hJ2 r) (hlimJ (N + 1) (Nat.succ_pos N) r hr)) exact condExp_ae_eq_of_L1_limits hM hst ((hI s).mul (hJ s)) ((hI2 s).integrable_mul (hJ2 s)) ((hI2 t).integrable_mul (hJ2 t)) (hprod s (hst.trans htN)) (hprod t htN) end Problem367.BrownianContinuousCross namespace Problem367.BrownianArrayFiltration variable {Ω ι : Type*} [mΩ : MeasurableSpace Ω] {P : Measure Ω} {B H I : ι → ℝ≥0 → Ω → ℝ} {F : Filtration ℝ≥0 mΩ} theorem global_uniform_limits_pairwise_product_martingale (hB : ∀ a, IsPreBrownianReal (B a) P) (hAd : ∀ a, StronglyAdapted F (B a)) (hpast : ∀ s t, s ≤ t → Indep (MeasurableSpace.comap (fun ω a => B a t ω - B a s ω) inferInstance) (F s) P) (hind : ∀ s t, s ≤ t → Pairwise fun a b => IndepFun (fun ω => B a t ω - B a s ω) (fun ω => B b t ω - B b s ω) P) (hH : ∀ a, StronglyAdapted F (H a)) {K : ι → ℝ} (hbound : ∀ a, ∀ᵐ ω ∂P, ∀ t, ‖H a t ω‖ ≤ K a) (hI : ∀ a, StronglyAdapted F (I a)) (hI2 : ∀ a t, MemLp (I a t) 2 P) (hlim : ∀ a (N : ℕ), 0 < N → ∀ t ≤ (N : ℝ≥0), Tendsto (fun n => ∫ ω, (BrownianIntegralProcess.stoppedUniformSum (B a) (H a) N n t ω - I a t ω) ^ 2 ∂P) atTop (𝓝 0)) : Pairwise fun a b => Martingale (fun t ω => I a t ω * I b t ω) F P := by intro a b hab apply BrownianContinuousCross.global_uniform_limits_product_martingale (hB a) (hB b) (hAd a) (hAd b) ?_ (fun s t hst => hind s t hst hab) (hH a) (hH b) (hbound a) (hbound b) (hI a) (hI b) (hI2 a) (hI2 b) (hlim a) (hlim b) intro s t hst apply indep_of_indep_of_le_left (hpast s t hst) have hm : Measurable[MeasurableSpace.comap (fun ω c => B c t ω - B c s ω) inferInstance] (fun ω c => B c t ω - B c s ω) := measurable_iff_comap_le.mpr le_rfl exact (((measurable_pi_apply a).comp hm).prodMk ((measurable_pi_apply b).comp hm)).comap_le theorem exists_global_continuous_channel_integrals (hB : ∀ a, IsPreBrownianReal (B a) P) (hAd : ∀ a, StronglyAdapted F (B a)) (hpast : ∀ s t, s ≤ t → Indep (MeasurableSpace.comap (fun ω a => B a t ω - B a s ω) inferInstance) (F s) P) (hind : ∀ s t, s ≤ t → Pairwise fun a b => IndepFun (fun ω => B a t ω - B a s ω) (fun ω => B b t ω - B b s ω) P) (hBc : ∀ a, ∀ᵐ ω ∂P, Continuous (fun t => B a t ω)) (hH : ∀ a, StronglyAdapted F (H a)) (hHc : ∀ a, ∀ᵐ ω ∂P, Continuous (fun t => H a t ω)) {K : ι → ℝ} (hK : ∀ a, 0 ≤ K a) (hbound : ∀ a, ∀ᵐ ω ∂P, ∀ t, |H a t ω| ≤ K a) : ∃ I : ι → ℝ≥0 → Ω → ℝ, (∀ a, IsStronglyPredictable F (I a)) ∧ (∀ a, Martingale (I a) F P) ∧ (∀ a, ∀ᵐ ω ∂P, Continuous (fun t => I a t ω)) ∧ (∀ a t, MemLp (I a t) 2 P) ∧ (∀ a, I a 0 =ᵐ[P] 0) ∧ (∀ a t, (∫ ω, I a t ω ∂P) = 0) ∧ (∀ a t, (∫ ω, (I a t ω) ^ 2 ∂P) = ∫ s in (0 : ℝ)..(t : ℝ), ∫ ω, (H a s.toNNReal ω) ^ 2 ∂P) ∧ (∀ a (N : ℕ), 0 < N → ∀ t ≤ (N : ℝ≥0), Tendsto (fun n => ∫ ω, (BrownianIntegralProcess.stoppedUniformSum (B a) (H a) N n t ω - I a t ω) ^ 2 ∂P) atTop (𝓝 0)) ∧ (Pairwise fun a b => Martingale (fun t ω => I a t ω * I b t ω) F P) := by have hex (a : ι) := BrownianIntegralProcess.exists_global_continuous_uniform_integral (hB a) (hAd a) (fun s t hst => coordinate_increment_indep_past (hpast s t hst) a) (hBc a) (hH a) (hHc a) (hK a) (hbound a) choose I hIp hIM hIc hI2 hIz hImean hIiso hIlim using hex refine ⟨I, hIp, hIM, hIc, hI2, hIz, hImean, hIiso, hIlim, ?_⟩ exact global_uniform_limits_pairwise_product_martingale hB hAd hpast hind hH (by simpa only [Real.norm_eq_abs] using hbound) (fun a => (hIM a).stronglyAdapted) hI2 hIlim end Problem367.BrownianArrayFiltration end end OAI