import OAI.Probability.PosteriorReplicas.Learners.CompletedKernelLaw namespace OAI open MeasureTheory ProbabilityTheory Set Filter Function open scoped ENNReal NNReal RealInnerProductSpace unitInterval noncomputable section namespace PosteriorRegression namespace CompletedKernelLearner open Learner def uniformSuccess {d M : ℕ} (K : CompletedKernelLearner d M) (T : ℕ) (ε : ℝ) : ℝ≥0∞ := ∫⁻ z : UnitSphere d × Samples d T, K.estimateLaw z.1 z.2 {ŝ | angularError z.1 ŝ ≤ ε} ∂((uniformSphere d).prod (sampleLaw d T)) lemma angularBall_measurable {d : ℕ} (s : UnitSphere d) (ε : ℝ) : MeasurableSet {ŝ : UnitSphere d | angularError s ŝ ≤ ε} := by exact measurableSet_le (Real.continuous_arccos.measurable.comp (measurable_subtype_coe.inner measurable_const)) measurable_const lemma Realization.uniformSuccess_eq {d M T : ℕ} (hd : 3≤d) {K : CompletedKernelLearner d M} (R : Realization K) (ε : ℝ) : (R.toLearner T).uniformSuccess (coinsLaw T) ε = K.uniformSuccess T ε := by have : NeZero d := ⟨by omega⟩ let S : Set (UnitSphere d × (Coins T × Samples d T)) := {z | angularError z.1 ((R.toLearner T).estimate z.1 z.2.1 z.2.2) ≤ ε} have hS : NullMeasurableSet S ((uniformSphere d).prod ((coinsLaw T).prod (sampleLaw d T))) := (R.uniformAdmissible hd).angularSuccess_nullMeasurable ε let e : ((UnitSphere d × Samples d T) × Coins T) ≃ᵐ UnitSphere d × (Coins T × Samples d T) := MeasurableEquiv.prodAssoc.trans ((MeasurableEquiv.refl _).prodCongr MeasurableEquiv.prodComm) have he : MeasurePreserving e (((uniformSphere d).prod (sampleLaw d T)).prod (coinsLaw T)) ((uniformSphere d).prod ((coinsLaw T).prod (sampleLaw d T))) := ((MeasurePreserving.id (uniformSphere d)).prod (Measure.measurePreserving_swap (μ := sampleLaw d T) (ν := coinsLaw T))).comp (measurePreserving_prodAssoc (uniformSphere d) (sampleLaw d T) (coinsLaw T)) have hQ := hS.preimage he.quasiMeasurePreserving have hI := (aemeasurable_const : AEMeasurable (fun _ : (UnitSphere d × Samples d T) × Coins T => (1 : ℝ≥0∞)) (((uniformSphere d).prod (sampleLaw d T)).prod (coinsLaw T))).indicator₀ hQ change ((uniformSphere d).prod ((coinsLaw T).prod (sampleLaw d T))) S = _ rw [← he.measure_preimage hS] rw [← one_mul ((((uniformSphere d).prod (sampleLaw d T)).prod (coinsLaw T)) (e ⁻¹' S)), ← lintegral_indicator_const₀ hQ 1, lintegral_prod _ hI] unfold uniformSuccess apply lintegral_congr intro z have hball := angularBall_measurable z.1 ε rw [← R.estimate_law z.1 z.2, Measure.map_apply (R.measurable_estimate z.1 z.2) hball] have hm : MeasurableSet {ω : Coins T | angularError z.1 ((R.toLearner T).estimate z.1 ω z.2) ≤ ε} := (R.measurable_estimate z.1 z.2) hball change (∫⁻ ω, ({ω : Coins T | angularError z.1 ((R.toLearner T).estimate z.1 ω z.2) ≤ ε}).indicator (fun _ => (1 : ℝ≥0∞)) ω ∂coinsLaw T) = _ rw [lintegral_indicator_const hm] simp only [one_mul] rfl lemma uniformSuccess_le_one {d M : ℕ} [NeZero d] (K : CompletedKernelLearner d M) (T : ℕ) (ε : ℝ) : K.uniformSuccess T ε ≤ 1 := by apply (lintegral_mono (fun z => prob_le_one)).trans simp lemma fixed_quadratic_memory {d M T : ℕ} {A : ℝ} (hA : 0