import Mathlib import OAI.Probability.SKGap.Localization.PlantedTilt import OAI.Probability.SKGap.Localization.PlantedMarginalLaw namespace OAI section noncomputable section namespace SKGap.ObservationBridge open Matrix Real Set MeasureTheory ProbabilityTheory open scoped BigOperators ENNReal NNReal variable {n : ℕ} local instance annealedMatrixMeasurable : MeasurableSpace (Matrix (Fin n) (Fin n) ℝ) := borel _ local instance annealedMatrixBorel : BorelSpace (Matrix (Fin n) (Fin n) ℝ) := ⟨rfl⟩ def gibbsObservationBad (j A K ε c ρ t : ℝ) (s : Spin n) : Set (Disorder n × Field n) := {p | (coupling p.1,(fun i=>t*spinValue (s i)+p.2 i))∈literalBadPair j A K ε c ρ} lemma measurableSet_gibbsObservationBad (j A K ε c ρ t : ℝ) (s : Spin n) : MeasurableSet (gibbsObservationBad j A K ε c ρ t s) := by have hmap : Continuous (fun p : Disorder n × Field n=> (coupling p.1,(fun i=>t*spinValue (s i)+p.2 i)) : Disorder n × Field n→Matrix (Fin n) (Fin n) ℝ × Field n) := (continuous_coupling.comp continuous_fst).prodMk (by fun_prop) have hmmap : Measurable (fun p : Disorder n × Field n=> (coupling p.1,(fun i=>t*spinValue (s i)+p.2 i)) : Disorder n × Field n→Matrix (Fin n) (Fin n) ℝ × Field n) := hmap.measurable exact (measurableSet_literalBadPair j A K ε c ρ).preimage hmmap def conditionalSpinFailure (j A K ε c ρ t : ℝ) (s : Spin n) (J : Disorder n) : ℝ≥0∞ := (Measure.pi (fun _ : Fin n=>gaussianReal 0 t.toNNReal)) ((Prod.mk J) ⁻¹' gibbsObservationBad j A K ε c ρ t s) lemma measurable_conditionalSpinFailure (j A K ε c ρ t : ℝ) (s : Spin n) : Measurable (conditionalSpinFailure j A K ε c ρ t s) := measurable_measure_prodMk_left (measurableSet_gibbsObservationBad j A K ε c ρ t s) lemma conditionalSpinFailure_le_one (j A K ε c ρ t : ℝ) (s : Spin n) (J : Disorder n) : conditionalSpinFailure j A K ε c ρ t s J ≤ 1 := prob_le_one def fixedTimeFailureENN (j A K ε c ρ t : ℝ) (J : Disorder n) : ℝ≥0∞ := ∑ s : Spin n, ENNReal.ofReal (mass J 0 s)*conditionalSpinFailure j A K ε c ρ t s J lemma measurable_fixedTimeFailureENN (j A K ε c ρ t : ℝ) : Measurable (fixedTimeFailureENN (n:=n) j A K ε c ρ t) := by apply Finset.measurable_sum intro s _ have hm : Measurable (fun J : Disorder n=>mass J 0 s) := by simpa only [sqrt_one,one_mul] using scaled_spin_mass_measurable 1 s exact hm.ennreal_ofReal.mul (measurable_conditionalSpinFailure j A K ε c ρ t s) lemma fixedTimeFailureENN_le_one (j A K ε c ρ t : ℝ) (J : Disorder n) : fixedTimeFailureENN j A K ε c ρ t J ≤ 1 := by calc _ ≤ ∑ s : Spin n, ENNReal.ofReal (mass J 0 s)*1 := Finset.sum_le_sum (fun s _=>mul_le_mul_right (conditionalSpinFailure_le_one j A K ε c ρ t s J) _) _ = 1 := by simp only [mul_one] rw [← ENNReal.ofReal_sum_of_nonneg (fun s _=>mass_nonneg J 0 s),sum_mass,ENNReal.ofReal_one] lemma planted_spin_failure_integral (s : Spin n) (r j A K ε c ρ t : ℝ) : (∫⁻ g : Disorder n,conditionalSpinFailure j A K ε c ρ t s (plantedEdges r s g) ∂gaussianCoordinates (Edge n)) = ((gaussianCoordinates (Edge n)).prod (Measure.pi (fun _ : Fin n=>gaussianReal 0 t.toNNReal))) {p | (coupling (plusPlantedEdges r p.1),(fun i=>t+p.2 i))∈literalBadPair j A K ε c ρ} := by let E := (Prod.map (plantedEdges r s) id) ⁻¹' gibbsObservationBad j A K ε c ρ t s have hE : MeasurableSet E := (measurableSet_gibbsObservationBad j A K ε c ρ t s).preimage ((show Measurable (plantedEdges r s) by unfold plantedEdges;fun_prop).prodMap measurable_id) have he := Measure.prod_apply (μ:=gaussianCoordinates (Edge n)) (ν:=Measure.pi (fun _ : Fin n=>gaussianReal 0 t.toNNReal)) hE exact he.symm.trans (gauged_fixed_time_probability s r j A K ε c ρ t) theorem fixed_time_size_bias_identity (β A K ε c ρ t : ℝ) : (∫⁻ J : Disorder n, ENNReal.ofReal (partition J 0/(∫ J,partition J 0 ∂disorderLaw β n))* fixedTimeFailureENN (β^2) A K ε c ρ t J ∂disorderLaw β n) = ((gaussianCoordinates (MatrixCoordinates (Fin n))).prod (Measure.pi (fun _ : Fin n=>gaussianReal 0 t.toNNReal))) (erasedPlantedRootBad n (β^2) A K ε c ρ t) := by rw [show fixedTimeFailureENN (n:=n) (β^2) A K ε c ρ t = (fun J=>∑ s,ENNReal.ofReal (mass J 0 s)*conditionalSpinFailure (β^2) A K ε c ρ t s J) from rfl] rw [planted_disorder_joint_tilt β _ (fun s=>measurable_conditionalSpinFailure (β^2) A K ε c ρ t s)] have he (s : Spin n) : (∫⁻ g : Disorder n,conditionalSpinFailure (β^2) A K ε c ρ t s (fun e=>sqrt (β^2/(n:ℝ))*g e+β^2/(n:ℝ)*spinValue (s e.1.1)*spinValue (s e.1.2)) ∂gaussianCoordinates (Edge n)) = ((gaussianCoordinates (MatrixCoordinates (Fin n))).prod (Measure.pi (fun _ : Fin n=>gaussianReal 0 t.toNNReal))) (erasedPlantedRootBad n (β^2) A K ε c ρ t) := (planted_spin_failure_integral s _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _).trans (plus_planted_marginal_probability (sq_nonneg β) A K ε c ρ t) simp_rw [he] rw [Finset.sum_const,Finset.card_univ,nsmul_eq_mul,← mul_assoc] have hc : (Fintype.card (Spin n):ℝ) ≠ 0 := by positivity have hh : ENNReal.ofReal (1/(Fintype.card (Spin n):ℝ))*(Fintype.card (Spin n):ℝ≥0∞)=1 := by rw [← ENNReal.ofReal_natCast,← ENNReal.ofReal_mul (by positivity : (0:ℝ)≤1/(Fintype.card (Spin n):ℝ))] simp rw [hh,one_mul] theorem annealed_fixed_time_root_stability {β T : ℝ} (hβ : 0<β) (hβ1 : β<1) (hT : 0