"""Synthetic-rating alignment per TTS voice (Table 12). python analysis/06_voice_study/06_synth_alignment.py For each (voice, synthetic rater): per-clip mean synthetic rating against per-clip mean human rating, over the 60 clips of the 30 voice-study prompts. Pearson r, Spearman rho, MAE, and mean signed difference (synthetic − human; positive = synthetic rater above human). Human means come from the analyzed rater set (attention-check exclusions applied): the new voice arms from long_voice_normalized.csv, the af_heart baseline from the main study's long_audio_table_normalized.csv restricted to the same 30 prompts. Synthetic means average the 10 draws per clip; the baseline draws are the main study's runs (data/main_study/synth_long_audio_*), the new voice arms the re-rendered runs in data/voice_study/synth/. """ from __future__ import annotations from pathlib import Path import pandas as pd from scipy import stats ROOT = Path(__file__).resolve().parent.parent.parent VOICE_DATA = ROOT / "data/voice_study" CONTEXT_DATA = ROOT / "data/audio_context_study" DERIVED = ROOT / "results/06_voice_study" SD = ROOT / "data/main_study" MODELS = ["gpt4o", "gemini_36_flash", "qwen35_omni_flash"] ARMS = ["kokoro_am_michael", "chatterbox", "qwen3tts_serena"] def clip_means(df: pd.DataFrame) -> pd.Series: return df.groupby("AudioClip")["Rating"].mean() def align(h: pd.Series, s: pd.Series) -> dict | None: m = pd.concat([h.rename("h"), s.rename("s")], axis=1).dropna() if len(m) < 3: return None return dict(clips=len(m), r=stats.pearsonr(m.h, m.s)[0], rho=stats.spearmanr(m.h, m.s)[0], mae=(m.s - m.h).abs().mean(), signed=(m.s - m.h).mean()) def main() -> None: prompts = set(pd.read_csv(ROOT / "stimuli/voice_study/prompts.csv")["PromptID"]) human = {} voice = pd.read_csv(VOICE_DATA / "long_voice_normalized.csv") for arm, g in voice.groupby("Arm"): human[arm] = clip_means(g) base = pd.read_csv(SD / "long_audio_table_normalized.csv") base = base[~base["IsAttentionCheck"].astype(bool)] base = base[base["PromptID"].isin(prompts)] human["kokoro_af_heart (baseline)"] = clip_means(base) rows = [] for voice_name, h in human.items(): for model in MODELS: if "baseline" in voice_name: path = SD / f"synth_long_audio_table_{model}.csv" else: path = (VOICE_DATA / "synth" / f"synth_long_audio_table_{voice_name}_{model}.csv") if not path.exists(): continue s = pd.read_csv(path) s = s[s["PromptID"].astype(str).isin(prompts)] res = align(h, clip_means(s)) if res: rows.append(dict(voice=voice_name, rater=model, **res)) out = pd.DataFrame(rows) print(out.to_string(index=False, float_format=lambda v: f"{v:.3f}")) out.to_csv(DERIVED / "synth_alignment_by_voice.csv", index=False) print(f"\n -> results/06_voice_study/synth_alignment_by_voice.csv") if __name__ == "__main__": main()