""" Student Performance Prediction - Machine Learning with MongoDB & Python Complete End-to-End Project Script Author: B.Tech CSE Student Project Database: MongoDB (Localhost: 27017) Library: PyMongo, Pandas, NumPy, Scikit-learn, Matplotlib Algorithm: Linear Regression """ import numpy as np import pandas as pd from pymongo import MongoClient from sklearn.model_selection import train_test_split from sklearn.linear_model import LinearRegression from sklearn.metrics import r2_score, mean_absolute_error, mean_squared_error import matplotlib.pyplot as plt # ========================================== # STEP 1: GENERATE REALISTIC DATASET (1,000 RECORDS) # ========================================== def generate_dataset(num_records=1000): print("\n" + "="*50) print("STEP 1: GENERATING 1,000 REALISTIC STUDENT RECORDS") print("="*50) # Set seed for reproducibility so outputs remain consistent np.random.seed(42) student_ids = [f"STU{1001 + i}" for i in range(num_records)] # Realistic feature distributions: # 1. Study Hours: between 1.0 to 10.0 hours daily study_hours = np.round(np.random.uniform(1.0, 9.5, num_records), 1) # 2. Attendance Percentage: between 60% and 99% attendance = np.round(np.random.uniform(60.0, 99.0, num_records), 1) # 3. Previous Exam Marks: between 40 and 95 previous_marks = np.round(np.random.uniform(40.0, 95.0, num_records), 1) # 4. Assignments Completed: between 4 and 10 assignments_score = np.random.randint(4, 11, num_records) # Realistic formula for Final Marks with slight realistic noise: # Final Marks depends on previous marks (40%), study hours (30%), attendance (20%), assignments (10%) noise = np.random.normal(0, 2.5, num_records) final_marks = ( 0.45 * previous_marks + 3.5 * study_hours + 0.25 * attendance + 1.5 * assignments_score + noise ) # Clip marks between 30 and 100 final_marks = np.round(np.clip(final_marks, 30.0, 100.0), 1) df = pd.DataFrame({ "student_id": student_ids, "study_hours": study_hours, "attendance": attendance, "previous_marks": previous_marks, "assignments_score": assignments_score, "final_marks": final_marks }) print(f"-> Successfully generated {len(df)} student records.") return df # ========================================== # STEP 2: STORE DATASET IN MONGODB # ========================================== def save_to_mongodb(df, db_name="student_performance_db", collection_name="students"): print("\n" + "="*50) print("STEP 2: CONNECTING TO MONGODB & INSERTING RECORDS") print("="*50) # Connect to local MongoDB instance client = MongoClient("mongodb://localhost:27017/") db = client[db_name] collection = db[collection_name] # Clean up old records if re-running collection.delete_many({}) print("-> Cleared existing data in collection (if any).") # Convert DataFrame to dictionary format suitable for MongoDB records = df.to_dict(orient="records") # Insert all 1,000 records result = collection.insert_many(records) print(f"-> Connected to Database: '{db_name}'") print(f"-> Connected to Collection: '{collection_name}'") print(f"-> Successfully inserted {len(result.inserted_ids)} records into MongoDB!") client.close() # ========================================== # STEP 3: FETCH DATASET FROM MONGODB USING PYMONGO # ========================================== def fetch_from_mongodb(db_name="student_performance_db", collection_name="students"): print("\n" + "="*50) print("STEP 3: FETCHING DATA FROM MONGODB USING PYMONGO") print("="*50) client = MongoClient("mongodb://localhost:27017/") db = client[db_name] collection = db[collection_name] # Retrieve all documents cursor = collection.find() # Convert MongoDB cursor directly to a Pandas DataFrame df = pd.DataFrame(list(cursor)) print(f"-> Successfully fetched {len(df)} records from MongoDB.") # Display 5 sample records print("\n--- 5 Sample Records Retreived from MongoDB ---") print(df.head(5).to_string(index=False)) client.close() return df # ========================================== # STEP 4: DATA PREPROCESSING # ========================================== def preprocess_data(df): print("\n" + "="*50) print("STEP 4: DATA PREPROCESSING") print("="*50) # 1. Drop MongoDB default '_id' and identifier 'student_id' # These are identifiers, not predictive numerical features cols_to_drop = [col for col in ['_id', 'student_id'] if col in df.columns] data = df.drop(columns=cols_to_drop) print(f"-> Removed non-predictive columns: {cols_to_drop}") # 2. Check for missing / null values null_counts = data.isnull().sum() print("-> Missing values in each column:") for col, count in null_counts.items(): print(f" - {col}: {count} missing") # 3. Separate features (X) and target label (y) # Features (Inputs): study_hours, attendance, previous_marks, assignments_score # Target (Output to predict): final_marks X = data.drop(columns=['final_marks']) y = data['final_marks'] print("\n-> Features (Inputs - X):", list(X.columns)) print("-> Target (Output to Predict - y): final_marks") # 4. Train-Test Split (80% Training, 20% Testing) X_train, X_test, y_train, y_test = train_test_split( X, y, test_size=0.20, random_state=42 ) print(f"\n-> Total records: {len(data)}") print(f"-> Training dataset size (80%): {X_train.shape[0]} records") print(f"-> Testing dataset size (20%): {X_test.shape[0]} records") return X_train, X_test, y_train, y_test, X.columns # ========================================== # STEP 5: TRAIN MACHINE LEARNING MODEL # ========================================== def train_and_evaluate(X_train, X_test, y_train, y_test, feature_names): print("\n" + "="*50) print("STEP 5: TRAINING MACHINE LEARNING MODEL (LINEAR REGRESSION)") print("="*50) # Initialize the Linear Regression model model = LinearRegression() # Train (fit) the model on the training data model.fit(X_train, y_train) print("-> Model training complete!") # Display learned weights (coefficients) print("\n--- Learned Equation Parameters ---") for feat, coef in zip(feature_names, model.coef_): print(f" Weight for '{feat}': {coef:.4f}") print(f" Intercept (Base value): {model.intercept_:.4f}") # Make predictions on test dataset y_pred = model.predict(X_test) # ========================================== # STEP 6: EVALUATION METRICS # ========================================== print("\n" + "="*50) print("STEP 6: MODEL EVALUATION METRICS") print("="*50) r2 = r2_score(y_test, y_pred) mae = mean_absolute_error(y_test, y_pred) mse = mean_squared_error(y_test, y_pred) rmse = np.sqrt(mse) print(f"1. R-Squared (R2) Score : {r2:.4f} ({r2*100:.2f}% variance explained)") print(f"2. Mean Absolute Error : {mae:.2f} marks") print(f"3. Root Mean Sq. Error : {rmse:.2f} marks") # ========================================== # STEP 7: ACTUAL VS PREDICTED COMPARISON # ========================================== print("\n" + "="*50) print("STEP 7: ACTUAL VS PREDICTED RESULTS (FIRST 10 TEST STUDENTS)") print("="*50) comparison_df = pd.DataFrame({ "Actual Marks": y_test.values[:10], "Predicted Marks": np.round(y_pred[:10], 1), "Difference (Error)": np.round(np.abs(y_test.values[:10] - y_pred[:10]), 1) }) print(comparison_df.to_string(index=True)) # ========================================== # STEP 8: VISUALIZATION # ========================================== print("\n" + "="*50) print("STEP 8: SAVING VISUALIZATION PLOT") print("="*50) plt.figure(figsize=(12, 5)) # Subplot 1: Actual vs Predicted Scatter Plot plt.subplot(1, 2, 1) plt.scatter(y_test, y_pred, color='#2563EB', alpha=0.6, edgecolors='k', s=40) plt.plot([y_test.min(), y_test.max()], [y_test.min(), y_test.max()], color='#DC2626', linestyle='--', linewidth=2, label='Perfect Fit (y=x)') plt.title("Actual Marks vs Predicted Marks", fontsize=12, fontweight='bold') plt.xlabel("Actual Final Marks", fontsize=10) plt.ylabel("Predicted Final Marks", fontsize=10) plt.grid(True, linestyle=':', alpha=0.6) plt.legend() # Subplot 2: Bar Chart for first 10 students plt.subplot(1, 2, 2) indices = np.arange(10) bar_width = 0.35 plt.bar(indices - bar_width/2, y_test.values[:10], bar_width, label='Actual', color='#3B82F6') plt.bar(indices + bar_width/2, y_pred[:10], bar_width, label='Predicted', color='#10B981') plt.title("Comparison for 10 Students", fontsize=12, fontweight='bold') plt.xlabel("Sample Student Index", fontsize=10) plt.ylabel("Marks", fontsize=10) plt.xticks(indices, [f"S{i+1}" for i in indices]) plt.legend() plt.grid(True, linestyle=':', alpha=0.6) plt.tight_layout() plot_file = "actual_vs_predicted.png" plt.savefig(plot_file, dpi=300) plt.close() print(f"-> Plot successfully saved as '{plot_file}'") # ========================================== # STEP 9: SAMPLE CUSTOM PREDICTION # ========================================== print("\n" + "="*50) print("STEP 9: TESTING PREDICTION WITH A NEW CUSTOM STUDENT") print("="*50) # Example student: study_hours=6.5, attendance=88.0, previous_marks=78.0, assignments_score=9 new_student = pd.DataFrame([{ "study_hours": 6.5, "attendance": 88.0, "previous_marks": 78.0, "assignments_score": 9 }]) predicted_score = model.predict(new_student)[0] print("Input Features for New Student:") print(" - Daily Study Hours: 6.5 hrs") print(" - Attendance: 88.0%") print(" - Previous Exam Marks: 78.0 / 100") print(" - Assignments Score: 9 / 10") print(f"-> Predicted Final Marks: {predicted_score:.1f} / 100") print("="*50 + "\n") return model # ========================================== # MAIN EXECUTION CONTROLLER # ========================================== if __name__ == "__main__": # 1. Create dataset raw_df = generate_dataset(num_records=1000) # Also save to CSV for local inspection raw_df.to_csv("student_data.csv", index=False) print("-> Saved backup copy as 'student_data.csv'") # 2. Store to MongoDB save_to_mongodb(raw_df) # 3. Read back from MongoDB df_from_db = fetch_from_mongodb() # 4. Preprocess data X_train, X_test, y_train, y_test, features = preprocess_data(df_from_db) # 5. Train & evaluate model model = train_and_evaluate(X_train, X_test, y_train, y_test, features) print("ALL PROJECT STEPS EXECUTED SUCCESSFULLY!")