event,car30,lo,hi,p_calibrated Border power cut (2025-02-05),-0.008414725556328051,-3.670912505542567,3.8188317508238057,1.0 Offshore exchanges blocked (2025-06-28),-2.8260121727652887,-2.4609987746030275,2.430857769841971,0.6933333333333334 Prince Group sanctions (2025-10-14),2.542087544144021,-1.0718265467746222,1.0598016287625327,0.7266666666666667