#!/usr/bin/env python3 """Evaluate the declared Sentinel-1 Otsu baseline against evaluator-only labels. The canonical tasks intentionally ask for properties of a predicted mask. This script is a separate construct-validity check: it recreates that mask from each declared S1 input and compares it with the Sen1Floods11 ``LabelHand`` reference. Reference labels are never added to the agent's initial artifacts or answers. """ from __future__ import annotations import argparse import hashlib import json from collections import Counter, defaultdict from pathlib import Path from typing import Any, Iterable import numpy as np import rasterio METHOD = "s1_min_backscatter_otsu_v1" REFERENCE_NAME = "Sen1Floods11 v1.1 LabelHand" ACCURACY_KEYS = {"accuracy", "iou", "f1", "precision", "recall"} def sha256(path: Path) -> str: digest = hashlib.sha256() with path.open("rb") as stream: for chunk in iter(lambda: stream.read(1024 * 1024), b""): digest.update(chunk) return digest.hexdigest() def round6(value: float | None) -> float | None: return None if value is None else round(float(value), 6) def safe_div(numerator: int, denominator: int) -> float | None: return None if denominator == 0 else numerator / denominator def otsu_threshold(values: np.ndarray) -> float: """Match the worker's 256-bin Otsu implementation exactly.""" values = values[np.isfinite(values)] if values.size == 0: return 0.0 hist, edges = np.histogram(values, bins=256) centers = (edges[:-1] + edges[1:]) / 2 total = int(hist.sum()) if total == 0: return float(np.nanmean(values)) weight1 = np.cumsum(hist) weight2 = total - weight1 mean1 = np.cumsum(hist * centers) / np.maximum(weight1, 1) mean2 = ( np.cumsum((hist * centers)[::-1]) / np.maximum(np.cumsum(hist[::-1]), 1) )[::-1] between = weight1[:-1] * weight2[:-1] * (mean1[:-1] - mean2[1:]) ** 2 if between.size == 0: return float(np.nanmean(values)) return float(centers[:-1][int(np.argmax(between))]) def predicted_mask(path: Path) -> tuple[np.ndarray, np.ndarray, float, dict[str, Any]]: with rasterio.open(path) as dataset: band1 = dataset.read(1).astype("float32") band2 = dataset.read(2).astype("float32") if dataset.count >= 2 else band1 valid = np.isfinite(band1) & np.isfinite(band2) if dataset.nodata is not None and np.isfinite(float(dataset.nodata)): valid &= (band1 != float(dataset.nodata)) & (band2 != float(dataset.nodata)) score = np.minimum(band1, band2) threshold = otsu_threshold(score[valid]) mask = valid & (score <= threshold) profile = { "shape": [dataset.height, dataset.width], "crs": str(dataset.crs) if dataset.crs else None, "transform": list(dataset.transform)[:6], } return mask, valid, threshold, profile def contains_accuracy_field(value: Any) -> bool: if isinstance(value, dict): if any(str(key).lower() in ACCURACY_KEYS for key in value): return True return any(contains_accuracy_field(item) for item in value.values()) if isinstance(value, list): return any(contains_accuracy_field(item) for item in value) return False def declared_paths(value: Any) -> Iterable[str]: if isinstance(value, dict): path = value.get("path") if isinstance(path, str): yield path for item in value.values(): yield from declared_paths(item) elif isinstance(value, list): for item in value: yield from declared_paths(item) def load_contract(dataset_path: Path) -> tuple[dict[str, dict[str, Any]], dict[str, Any]]: samples: dict[str, dict[str, Any]] = {} records = [] forbidden_declarations = [] accuracy_answer_ids = [] wrong_method_ids = [] with dataset_path.open(encoding="utf-8") as stream: for line_number, line in enumerate(stream, 1): record = json.loads(line) record_id = str(record.get("id", "")) if not record_id.startswith("sen1_flood/"): continue records.append(record) sample_id = str(record["sample_id"]) question_type = str(record["question_type"]) expected = record.get("expected_final_answer") or {} if expected.get("prediction_method") != METHOD: wrong_method_ids.append(record_id) if contains_accuracy_field(expected): accuracy_answer_ids.append(record_id) for path in declared_paths(record.get("initial_artifacts") or {}): lowered = path.lower() if "/labelhand.tif" in lowered or "s1otsulabelhand.tif" in lowered: forbidden_declarations.append({"id": record_id, "path": path}) s1_path = ( record["initial_artifacts"]["sar_chip_1"]["paths"]["s1_image"]["path"] ) entry = samples.setdefault( sample_id, { "sample_id": sample_id, "split": record["split"], "s1_path": s1_path, "question_types": [], "expected_flood_percentages": [], }, ) if entry["split"] != record["split"] or entry["s1_path"] != s1_path: raise ValueError(f"inconsistent split or S1 path for {sample_id}") entry["question_types"].append(question_type) if "flood_percentage" in expected: entry["expected_flood_percentages"].append( {"question_type": question_type, "value": float(expected["flood_percentage"])} ) if len(records) != 500 or len(samples) != 100: raise ValueError(f"expected 500 records/100 samples, found {len(records)}/{len(samples)}") for sample_id, entry in samples.items(): if Counter(entry["question_types"]) != Counter("ABCDE"): raise ValueError(f"{sample_id}: expected one record for each of A-E") audit = { "records": len(records), "unique_samples": len(samples), "question_types": sorted({str(row["question_type"]) for row in records}), "records_with_declared_reference_label": len(forbidden_declarations), "declared_reference_label_violations": forbidden_declarations, "records_with_accuracy_fields_in_expected_answer": len(accuracy_answer_ids), "accuracy_field_answer_ids": accuracy_answer_ids, "records_with_wrong_or_missing_prediction_method": len(wrong_method_ids), "wrong_method_ids": wrong_method_ids, "expected_answer_contract": ( "agent-facing answers describe deterministic Otsu predictions; " "reference-label accuracy is evaluator-only" ), } return samples, audit def evaluate_sample(root: Path, entry: dict[str, Any]) -> dict[str, Any]: sample_id = entry["sample_id"] s1_path = root / entry["s1_path"] label_path = root / "source_assets" / "sen1_flood" / sample_id / "labels" / "LabelHand.tif" if not s1_path.is_file(): raise FileNotFoundError(f"missing declared S1 input: {s1_path}") if not label_path.is_file(): raise FileNotFoundError(f"missing evaluator-only reference label: {label_path}") prediction, source_valid, threshold, source_profile = predicted_mask(s1_path) with rasterio.open(label_path) as dataset: label = dataset.read(1) label_profile = { "shape": [dataset.height, dataset.width], "crs": str(dataset.crs) if dataset.crs else None, "transform": list(dataset.transform)[:6], } same_grid = ( source_profile["shape"] == label_profile["shape"] and source_profile["crs"] == label_profile["crs"] and np.allclose( source_profile["transform"], label_profile["transform"], rtol=0.0, atol=1e-12, ) ) if not same_grid: raise ValueError(f"{sample_id}: S1/reference grids differ") values = {int(value) for value in np.unique(label)} if not values.issubset({-1, 0, 1}): raise ValueError(f"{sample_id}: unsupported reference values {sorted(values)}") full_prediction_count = int(prediction.sum()) full_valid_count = int(source_valid.sum()) full_percentage = full_prediction_count / full_valid_count * 100 if full_valid_count else 0.0 expected_percentages = entry["expected_flood_percentages"] canonical_percentage_match = bool(expected_percentages) and all( abs(round(full_percentage, 6) - round(item["value"], 6)) <= 1e-6 for item in expected_percentages ) valid = label != -1 ground_truth = label == 1 prediction = prediction & valid tp = int((prediction & ground_truth).sum()) fp = int((prediction & (label == 0)).sum()) fn = int(((~prediction) & ground_truth & valid).sum()) tn = int(((~prediction) & (label == 0) & valid).sum()) precision = safe_div(tp, tp + fp) recall = safe_div(tp, tp + fn) iou = safe_div(tp, tp + fp + fn) f1 = safe_div(2 * tp, 2 * tp + fp + fn) return { "sample_id": sample_id, "split": entry["split"], "question_record_count": 5, "prediction_method": METHOD, "reference": REFERENCE_NAME, "s1_path": entry["s1_path"], "reference_label_path": str(label_path.relative_to(root)), "s1_sha256": sha256(s1_path), "reference_label_sha256": sha256(label_path), "prediction_threshold": round(float(threshold), 8), "computed_full_s1_flood_percentage": round6(full_percentage), "canonical_expected_flood_percentages": expected_percentages, "canonical_prediction_percentage_match": canonical_percentage_match, "valid_reference_pixels": int(valid.sum()), "reference_flood_pixels": int(ground_truth.sum()), "predicted_flood_pixels_in_reference_footprint": int(prediction.sum()), "TP": tp, "FP": fp, "FN": fn, "TN": tn, "IoU": round6(iou), "precision": round6(precision), "recall": round6(recall), "F1": round6(f1), } def summarize(rows: list[dict[str, Any]]) -> dict[str, Any]: def metric_mean(name: str) -> float | None: values = [float(row[name]) for row in rows if row.get(name) is not None] return round6(float(np.mean(values))) if values else None aggregate = {name: sum(int(row[name]) for row in rows) for name in ("TP", "FP", "FN", "TN")} tp, fp, fn = aggregate["TP"], aggregate["FP"], aggregate["FN"] return { "samples": len(rows), "question_records_represented": len(rows) * 5, "samples_without_reference_flood_pixels": sum( int(row["reference_flood_pixels"]) == 0 for row in rows ), "macro": { "IoU": metric_mean("IoU"), "precision": metric_mean("precision"), "recall": metric_mean("recall"), "F1": metric_mean("F1"), "recall_defined_samples": sum(row.get("recall") is not None for row in rows), }, "aggregate_confusion": aggregate, "micro": { "IoU": round6(safe_div(tp, tp + fp + fn)), "precision": round6(safe_div(tp, tp + fp)), "recall": round6(safe_div(tp, tp + fn)), "F1": round6(safe_div(2 * tp, 2 * tp + fp + fn)), }, } def write_report(output_dir: Path, result: dict[str, Any]) -> None: output_dir.mkdir(parents=True, exist_ok=True) (output_dir / "summary.json").write_text( json.dumps(result, indent=2, sort_keys=False) + "\n", encoding="utf-8" ) with (output_dir / "per_sample_metrics.jsonl").open("w", encoding="utf-8") as stream: for row in result["per_sample_metrics"]: stream.write(json.dumps(row, sort_keys=True) + "\n") held_out = result["summaries"]["test"] overall = result["summaries"]["all"] audit = result["contract_audit"] text = f"""# C12 Sentinel-1 reference-label evaluation This is an evaluator-side construct-validity report. The 500 agent-facing questions and expected answers describe outputs of `{METHOD}`. They do not claim that those outputs equal the Sen1Floods11 hand labels, and the labels are not declared agent inputs. ## Contract audit - Sentinel records: {audit['records']} (100 scenes x A-E) - Declared reference-label paths: {audit['records_with_declared_reference_label']} - Expected answers containing accuracy/IoU/F1/precision/recall: {audit['records_with_accuracy_fields_in_expected_answer']} - Wrong or missing `prediction_method`: {audit['records_with_wrong_or_missing_prediction_method']} - Scenes whose recomputed flood percentage matches the canonical answer: {audit['samples_matching_canonical_prediction_percentage']}/100 ## Held-out test result - Scenes: {held_out['samples']} ({held_out['question_records_represented']} question records) - Macro IoU / F1: {held_out['macro']['IoU']} / {held_out['macro']['F1']} - Macro precision / recall: {held_out['macro']['precision']} / {held_out['macro']['recall']} - Micro IoU / F1: {held_out['micro']['IoU']} / {held_out['micro']['F1']} - Micro precision / recall: {held_out['micro']['precision']} / {held_out['micro']['recall']} ## All-scene diagnostic - Scenes: {overall['samples']} ({overall['question_records_represented']} question records) - Macro IoU / F1: {overall['macro']['IoU']} / {overall['macro']['F1']} - Micro IoU / F1: {overall['micro']['IoU']} / {overall['micro']['F1']} - Scenes with no positive reference pixels (recall undefined): {overall['samples_without_reference_flood_pixels']} ## Interpretation The baseline has relatively high recall and low precision; it is a simple, reproducible flood-candidate baseline, not a validated operational flood map. The held-out metrics quantify its agreement with `LabelHand`, but do not turn the agent-facing targets into ground-truth flood masks. No acceptance threshold was selected after observing these results. """ (output_dir / "README.md").write_text(text, encoding="utf-8") def parser() -> argparse.ArgumentParser: result = argparse.ArgumentParser(description=__doc__) root = Path(__file__).resolve().parents[1] result.add_argument("--root", type=Path, default=root) result.add_argument( "--dataset", type=Path, default=Path("data/core/geodisaster_2921_source_with_splits.jsonl"), ) result.add_argument( "--output-dir", type=Path, default=Path("sen1_accuracy_results"), ) return result def main() -> None: args = parser().parse_args() root = args.root.resolve() dataset = args.dataset if args.dataset.is_absolute() else root / args.dataset output_dir = args.output_dir if args.output_dir.is_absolute() else root / args.output_dir samples, audit = load_contract(dataset) if audit["records_with_declared_reference_label"]: raise RuntimeError("reference-label leakage detected in declared initial artifacts") if audit["records_with_accuracy_fields_in_expected_answer"]: raise RuntimeError("agent-facing expected answers improperly contain accuracy fields") if audit["records_with_wrong_or_missing_prediction_method"]: raise RuntimeError("Sentinel expected-answer method contract is inconsistent") rows = [evaluate_sample(root, samples[key]) for key in sorted(samples)] canonical_mismatches = [ row["sample_id"] for row in rows if not row["canonical_prediction_percentage_match"] ] audit["samples_matching_canonical_prediction_percentage"] = len(rows) - len(canonical_mismatches) audit["canonical_prediction_percentage_mismatches"] = canonical_mismatches if canonical_mismatches: raise RuntimeError( "evaluator prediction does not reproduce canonical expected values for: " + ", ".join(canonical_mismatches) ) grouped: dict[str, list[dict[str, Any]]] = defaultdict(list) for row in rows: grouped[str(row["split"])].append(row) if set(grouped) != {"train", "test"}: raise ValueError(f"unexpected sample splits: {sorted(grouped)}") result = { "schema_version": "c12_sen1_reference_label_evaluation_v1", "dataset": str(dataset.relative_to(root)), "dataset_sha256": sha256(dataset), "prediction_method": METHOD, "reference": REFERENCE_NAME, "reference_valid_values": [0, 1], "reference_nodata_value": -1, "contract_audit": audit, "summaries": { "all": summarize(rows), "train": summarize(grouped["train"]), "test": summarize(grouped["test"]), }, "per_sample_metrics": rows, } write_report(output_dir, result) print(json.dumps({"output_dir": str(output_dir), "summaries": result["summaries"]}, indent=2)) if __name__ == "__main__": main()