# RAP Benchmark Dataset Card ## Task RAP evaluates whether an agent can estimate the distribution of newly posted papers across eight operational research directions and forecast the distribution in the following six months. Each episode uses `forecast_date=T` as its boundary. The history windows describe the available past periods and the future window is `[T, T+6 months)`. The State task estimates the distribution observed in the most recent six-month window. The Forecast task predicts the distribution in the next six-month window. ## Package contents - `inputs/` contains the model-facing Dev/Test episode inputs. - `targets/` contains evaluator-only recent and future counts, shares, and diagnostics. - `evaluator/` contains combined episode records for scoring and offline baselines. - `data/` contains the frozen evaluation scope and Search-manifest indexes. - `search_shards/` contains the metadata-only Search snapshot. Each row in `inputs/` contains the field, cutoff date, time-window metadata, and eight direction definitions. It does not contain history counts, recent shares, future counts, or future shares. Those evaluator-only values are stored in `targets/` and `evaluator/`. ## Splits and evaluation Dev and Test are frozen field-level splits rather than random episode-level splits. Dev contains 335 episodes from 67 fields; Test contains 1,055 episodes from 211 fields. The evaluation-code repository provides the prompt protocol, scorer, contract checks, and offline statistical baselines. Target shares are normalized across the eight directions, using primary-direction counts. Direction definitions and episode boundaries are provided in each input record. Use `inputs/` for agent runs and `targets/` or `evaluator/` for scoring. ## Search snapshot `search_shards/fixed/` enforces the window `[T-6m, T)`, while `search_shards/expanding/` enforces `