{ "model": "Qwen/Qwen3.5-4B", "revision": "851bf6e806efd8d0a36b00ddf55e13ccb7b8cd0a", "training_method": "BF16 LoRA rank16; next-hour position-side imitation; single answer token", "completed_steps": 1024, "trainable_parameters": 32464896, "splits": { "train": { "count": 4096, "labels": { "flat": 299, "long": 1366, "short": 2431 } }, "validation": { "count": 128, "labels": { "short": 95, "long": 33 } }, "test": { "count": 128, "labels": { "long": 70, "short": 58 } } }, "baseline": { "validation": { "count": 128, "accuracy": 0.9453125, "macro_f1": 0.6211902042887959, "per_class": { "long": { "precision": 0.8421052631578947, "recall": 0.9696969696969697, "f1": 0.9014084507042254, "support": 33 }, "short": { "precision": 0.9888888888888889, "recall": 0.9368421052631579, "f1": 0.9621621621621621, "support": 95 }, "flat": { "precision": 0.0, "recall": 0.0, "f1": 0.0, "support": 0 } }, "confusion_matrix": [ [ 32, 1, 0 ], [ 6, 89, 0 ], [ 0, 0, 0 ] ], "confusion_order": [ "long", "short", "flat" ], "confusion_axes": "rows=target, columns=prediction", "persistence_baseline": { "count": 128, "accuracy": 0.984375, "macro_f1": 0.653056884635832, "per_class": { "long": { "precision": 0.9696969696969697, "recall": 0.9696969696969697, "f1": 0.9696969696969697, "support": 33 }, "short": { "precision": 0.9894736842105263, "recall": 0.9894736842105263, "f1": 0.9894736842105263, "support": 95 }, "flat": { "precision": 0.0, "recall": 0.0, "f1": 0.0, "support": 0 } }, "confusion_matrix": [ [ 32, 1, 0 ], [ 1, 94, 0 ], [ 0, 0, 0 ] ], "confusion_order": [ "long", "short", "flat" ], "confusion_axes": "rows=target, columns=prediction" }, "position_change_subset": { "count": 2, "accuracy": 0.0, "persistence_accuracy": 0.0 } }, "test": { "count": 128, "accuracy": 0.96875, "macro_f1": 0.6455026455026455, "per_class": { "long": { "precision": 0.9459459459459459, "recall": 1.0, "f1": 0.9722222222222222, "support": 70 }, "short": { "precision": 1.0, "recall": 0.9310344827586207, "f1": 0.9642857142857143, "support": 58 }, "flat": { "precision": 0.0, "recall": 0.0, "f1": 0.0, "support": 0 } }, "confusion_matrix": [ [ 70, 0, 0 ], [ 4, 54, 0 ], [ 0, 0, 0 ] ], "confusion_order": [ "long", "short", "flat" ], "confusion_axes": "rows=target, columns=prediction", "persistence_baseline": { "count": 128, "accuracy": 0.9921875, "macro_f1": 0.6614040497481756, "per_class": { "long": { "precision": 0.9859154929577465, "recall": 1.0, "f1": 0.9929078014184397, "support": 70 }, "short": { "precision": 1.0, "recall": 0.9827586206896551, "f1": 0.9913043478260869, "support": 58 }, "flat": { "precision": 0.0, "recall": 0.0, "f1": 0.0, "support": 0 } }, "confusion_matrix": [ [ 70, 0, 0 ], [ 1, 57, 0 ], [ 0, 0, 0 ] ], "confusion_order": [ "long", "short", "flat" ], "confusion_axes": "rows=target, columns=prediction" }, "position_change_subset": { "count": 1, "accuracy": 0.0, "persistence_accuracy": 0.0 } } }, "after": { "validation": { "count": 128, "accuracy": 0.984375, "macro_f1": 0.653056884635832, "per_class": { "long": { "precision": 0.9696969696969697, "recall": 0.9696969696969697, "f1": 0.9696969696969697, "support": 33 }, "short": { "precision": 0.9894736842105263, "recall": 0.9894736842105263, "f1": 0.9894736842105263, "support": 95 }, "flat": { "precision": 0.0, "recall": 0.0, "f1": 0.0, "support": 0 } }, "confusion_matrix": [ [ 32, 1, 0 ], [ 1, 94, 0 ], [ 0, 0, 0 ] ], "confusion_order": [ "long", "short", "flat" ], "confusion_axes": "rows=target, columns=prediction", "persistence_baseline": { "count": 128, "accuracy": 0.984375, "macro_f1": 0.653056884635832, "per_class": { "long": { "precision": 0.9696969696969697, "recall": 0.9696969696969697, "f1": 0.9696969696969697, "support": 33 }, "short": { "precision": 0.9894736842105263, "recall": 0.9894736842105263, "f1": 0.9894736842105263, "support": 95 }, "flat": { "precision": 0.0, "recall": 0.0, "f1": 0.0, "support": 0 } }, "confusion_matrix": [ [ 32, 1, 0 ], [ 1, 94, 0 ], [ 0, 0, 0 ] ], "confusion_order": [ "long", "short", "flat" ], "confusion_axes": "rows=target, columns=prediction" }, "position_change_subset": { "count": 2, "accuracy": 0.0, "persistence_accuracy": 0.0 } }, "test": { "count": 128, "accuracy": 0.9921875, "macro_f1": 0.6614040497481756, "per_class": { "long": { "precision": 0.9859154929577465, "recall": 1.0, "f1": 0.9929078014184397, "support": 70 }, "short": { "precision": 1.0, "recall": 0.9827586206896551, "f1": 0.9913043478260869, "support": 58 }, "flat": { "precision": 0.0, "recall": 0.0, "f1": 0.0, "support": 0 } }, "confusion_matrix": [ [ 70, 0, 0 ], [ 1, 57, 0 ], [ 0, 0, 0 ] ], "confusion_order": [ "long", "short", "flat" ], "confusion_axes": "rows=target, columns=prediction", "persistence_baseline": { "count": 128, "accuracy": 0.9921875, "macro_f1": 0.6614040497481756, "per_class": { "long": { "precision": 0.9859154929577465, "recall": 1.0, "f1": 0.9929078014184397, "support": 70 }, "short": { "precision": 1.0, "recall": 0.9827586206896551, "f1": 0.9913043478260869, "support": 58 }, "flat": { "precision": 0.0, "recall": 0.0, "f1": 0.0, "support": 0 } }, "confusion_matrix": [ [ 70, 0, 0 ], [ 1, 57, 0 ], [ 0, 0, 0 ] ], "confusion_order": [ "long", "short", "flat" ], "confusion_axes": "rows=target, columns=prediction" }, "position_change_subset": { "count": 1, "accuracy": 0.0, "persistence_accuracy": 0.0 } } }, "reload_cases": 12, "reload_max_logit_difference": 0.0, "reload_predictions_identical": true, "interpretation": "No improvement over previous-position persistence. Historical exposure imitation, not demonstrated profitable trading." }