diff --git a/.gitattributes b/.gitattributes index dc9682427882c6b5d65f8d624a2e3c62b5dcc8de..08e6e7ff91f3423fbcd88f4fc874e783df2d2b05 100644 --- a/.gitattributes +++ b/.gitattributes @@ -93,3 +93,29 @@ assets/maps/ssta_t15.png filter=lfs diff=lfs merge=lfs -text assets/maps/ssta_t16.png filter=lfs diff=lfs merge=lfs -text data/canglong_atmos_start20261008.nc filter=lfs diff=lfs merge=lfs -text data/canglong_sst_init202609.nc filter=lfs diff=lfs merge=lfs -text +assets/maps/pupper_t01.png filter=lfs diff=lfs merge=lfs -text +assets/maps/pupper_t02.png filter=lfs diff=lfs merge=lfs -text +assets/maps/pupper_t03.png filter=lfs diff=lfs merge=lfs -text +assets/maps/pupper_t04.png filter=lfs diff=lfs merge=lfs -text +assets/maps/pupper_t05.png filter=lfs diff=lfs merge=lfs -text +assets/maps/pupper_t06.png filter=lfs diff=lfs merge=lfs -text +assets/maps/pupper_t07.png filter=lfs diff=lfs merge=lfs -text +assets/maps/pupper_t08.png filter=lfs diff=lfs merge=lfs -text +assets/maps/pupper_t09.png filter=lfs diff=lfs merge=lfs -text +assets/maps/pupper_t10.png filter=lfs diff=lfs merge=lfs -text +assets/maps/pupper_t11.png filter=lfs diff=lfs merge=lfs -text +assets/maps/pupper_t12.png filter=lfs diff=lfs merge=lfs -text +assets/maps/sigma_t01.png filter=lfs diff=lfs merge=lfs -text +assets/maps/sigma_t02.png filter=lfs diff=lfs merge=lfs -text +assets/maps/sigma_t03.png filter=lfs diff=lfs merge=lfs -text +assets/maps/sigma_t04.png filter=lfs diff=lfs merge=lfs -text +assets/maps/sigma_t05.png filter=lfs diff=lfs merge=lfs -text +assets/maps/sigma_t06.png filter=lfs diff=lfs merge=lfs -text +assets/maps/sigma_t07.png filter=lfs diff=lfs merge=lfs -text +assets/maps/sigma_t08.png filter=lfs diff=lfs merge=lfs -text +assets/maps/sigma_t09.png filter=lfs diff=lfs merge=lfs -text +assets/maps/sigma_t10.png filter=lfs diff=lfs merge=lfs -text +assets/maps/sigma_t11.png filter=lfs diff=lfs merge=lfs -text +assets/maps/sigma_t12.png filter=lfs diff=lfs merge=lfs -text +data/canglong_atmos_start20261022.nc filter=lfs diff=lfs merge=lfs -text +data/canglong_sst_round5_init202609.nc filter=lfs diff=lfs merge=lfs -text diff --git a/README.md b/README.md index 8650b759be270ef70c3d87045f53d50f3a5020e2..0136e899af7615cd8ba309d975c698e9dd98521d 100644 --- a/README.md +++ b/README.md @@ -9,7 +9,11 @@ python_version: "3.12" app_file: app.py pinned: true license: mit -short_description: Live 16-month global SST and ENSO forecast from CAS-Canglong +short_description: 12-month global SST & ENSO outlook with probabilities +models: + - LonghaoWang/CAS-Canglong-SST +datasets: + - LonghaoWang/SST-Hindcast-2016-2022-1deg-lead1-12 tags: - weather - climate @@ -22,19 +26,21 @@ tags: # 🐉 CAS-Canglong · global SST & ENSO forecast -The current operational run of **CAS-Canglong**, a 3-D Earth-specific transformer for sub-seasonal to seasonal prediction -of global sea-surface temperature ([*Advanced Science* 2026](https://doi.org/10.1002/advs.78271) · -[code](https://github.com/GISWLH/CAS-Canglong) · live portal [canglong.earth](https://canglong.earth)). +The latest run of the **2026-10-25 release of the CAS-Canglong 1° SST model** +([weights and code](https://huggingface.co/LonghaoWang/CAS-Canglong-SST) · +[2016–2022 hindcast](https://huggingface.co/datasets/LonghaoWang/SST-Hindcast-2016-2022-1deg-lead1-12) · +[paper, *Advanced Science* 2026](https://doi.org/10.1002/advs.78271) · [code](https://github.com/GISWLH/CAS-Canglong) · +live portal [canglong.earth](https://canglong.earth)). -* **Ocean & ENSO** — 16 monthly SST and SST-anomaly maps (1° model grid and 0.25° refined field) and the Niño 3.4 - outlook against the IRI ENSO plume. +* **Ocean & ENSO** — 12 monthly maps of SST, SST anomaly, the chance of a top-quintile month and the forecast spread, and + the Niño 3.4 outlook against the IRI ENSO plume. * **Regional outlook** — Niño regions, the Indian Ocean Dipole, the tropical North Atlantic, the Kuroshio, the - Mediterranean and more, month by month. + Mediterranean and more, with the last 12 observed months. +* **Skill & hindcasts** — a held-out test on 2023–2026 targets and the 2016–2022 Niño 3.4 hindcast, lead by lead. * **Atmosphere · 6 weeks (experimental)** — weekly 2 m temperature, precipitation, sea-level pressure and 500 hPa height from the CAS-Canglong atmospheric run, read with [WeatherPre](https://github.com/GISWLH/WeatherPre). -* **Data** — the NetCDF and CSV files behind every map. +* **Model & data** — the NetCDF and CSV files behind every map, and code to load the model and the hindcast. -The fields are identical to those on canglong.earth. They come from re-running the frozen checkpoints on a GPU -workstation; the Space only displays them. Assets are rebuilt with -[`hf_space/scripts/build_assets.py`](https://github.com/GISWLH/CAS-Canglong/tree/main/hf_space). -This is a research forecast, not an official warning product; see the *About* tab for limitations. +The Space only displays precomputed fields; they come from the frozen model run on a GPU workstation and are rebuilt with +[`hf_space/scripts/build_assets.py`](https://github.com/GISWLH/CAS-Canglong/tree/main/hf_space). This is a research +forecast, not an official warning product; see the *About* tab for its limits, in particular for ENSO. diff --git a/app.py b/app.py index 896d65b9ee22bb4c3087d523f9a574140eec300d..fdd30a862a88f6e18e319790803d4abfb37306c7 100644 --- a/app.py +++ b/app.py @@ -1,6 +1,6 @@ """CAS-Canglong forecast showcase (Hugging Face Space). -Everything shown is read from `data/` and `assets/`, written by `scripts/build_assets.py` from one forecast run. +Everything shown is read from `data/` and `assets/`, written by `scripts/build_assets.py` from one forecast release. """ from __future__ import annotations @@ -18,16 +18,22 @@ DATA, MAPS = ROOT / "data", ROOT / "assets" / "maps" RUN = json.loads((DATA / "run.json").read_text()) SST = xr.open_dataset(DATA / RUN["sst_file"]).load() IRI = json.loads((DATA / "iri_plume.json").read_text()) +HINDCAST = pd.read_csv(DATA / "hindcast_nino34.csv", parse_dates=["target_month"]) +HINDCAST_SKILL = pd.read_csv(DATA / "hindcast_nino34_skill.csv") +HELDOUT = pd.read_csv(DATA / "round6_heldout_metrics.csv") +MODEL_REPO, HINDCAST_REPO = RUN["model_repo"], RUN["hindcast_dataset"] SURFACE, GRIDLINE, BASELINE, INK, INK2, MUTED = "#fcfcfb", "#e1e0d9", "#c3c2b7", "#0b0b0b", "#52514e", "#898781" CAS_BLUE, DYN_ORANGE, STAT_AQUA, CONTEXT = "#2a78d6", "#eb6834", "#1baf7a", "#c3c2b7" FONT = "system-ui, -apple-system, Segoe UI, sans-serif" -FRAMES = RUN["frames"] # index 0 = observed initial month, 1..16 = forecast leads +FRAMES = RUN["frames"] # index 0 = observed last input month, 1..12 = forecast leads WEEKS = RUN["weeks"] MONTHS = pd.to_datetime(SST.time.values) OBS_MONTH = pd.Timestamp(SST.obs_time.values[-1]) -NINO = SST.nino34.values.astype(float) +HIST = pd.to_datetime(SST.hist_time.values) # last 12 observed months, ending with OBS_MONTH +NINO = SST.nino34_9120.values.astype(float) +NINO_HIST = SST.nino34_history_9120.values.astype(float) # lat/lon boxes on the 0..360 grid; DMI is west minus east REGIONS = { @@ -44,6 +50,18 @@ REGIONS = { "Mediterranean (30°N–46°N, 0°–36°E)": [(30, 46, 0, 36)], "Global ocean (60°S–60°N)": [(-60, 60, 0, 360)], } +FIELDS = {"SST anomaly": "ssta", "SST": "sst", "Chance of a top-quintile month": "pupper", "Forecast uncertainty (σ)": "sigma"} +HELDOUT_TRACKS = { + "12 common start months, Jul 2023–Jun 2024 (8 models)": "all_available_models", + "25 common start months, Jul 2023–Jul 2025 (7 models)": "longer_common_period", + "34 fixed target months, Dec 2023–Sep 2026 (own models only)": "own_fixed_target_months", +} +HELDOUT_REGIONS = {"Global": "Global", "Niño 3.4": "Nino3.4", "Tropical Indo-Pacific (20°S–20°N)": "WP", + "North Pacific (20°N–70°N)": "PDO", "Arctic (70°N–90°N)": "AO", "South Indian (60°S–40°S)": "SIO", + "South Pacific (60°S–40°S)": "SPO", "South Atlantic (60°S–40°S)": "SAO"} +HELDOUT_LABELS = {"Cutoff-2022 model": "CAS-Canglong method, refit with data to 2022", + "Seasonal baseline": "frozen seasonal model (before calibration)", + "Original baseline": "original head", "Surface baseline": "surface head", "Joint baseline": "joint head"} def box_mean(field: xr.DataArray, boxes) -> np.ndarray: @@ -56,7 +74,8 @@ def box_mean(field: xr.DataArray, boxes) -> np.ndarray: def region_series(name: str) -> np.ndarray: - fields = xr.concat([SST.observed_ssta.expand_dims(time=[np.datetime64(OBS_MONTH, "ns")]), SST.ssta], "time") + """12 observed months (ending with the last input month) followed by the 12 forecast months, 1991-2020 base.""" + fields = xr.concat([SST.history_ssta_9120.rename(hist_time="t"), SST.ssta_9120.rename(time="t")], "t") spec = REGIONS[name] if spec == "dmi": return box_mean(fields, [(-10, 10, 50, 70)]) - box_mean(fields, [(-10, 0, 90, 110)]) @@ -89,18 +108,8 @@ def _center(season: str) -> pd.Timestamp | None: def plume_figure() -> go.Figure: fig = go.Figure() - obs = [(_center(o["season"]), o["data"], o["label"]) for o in IRI["observed"]] - iri_anchor = max(obs, key=lambda o: o[0]) - - def connect_observation(anchor, x, y, color, width, group): - # A visual bridge to the first forecast; no extra forecast values are introduced. - fig.add_trace(go.Scatter(x=[anchor[0], x[0]], y=[anchor[1], y[0]], mode="lines", - line=dict(color=color, width=width, dash="dot"), - legendgroup=group, showlegend=False, hoverinfo="skip")) - for k, m in enumerate(IRI["models"]): x = [_center(s) for s in m["seasons"]] - connect_observation(iri_anchor, x, m["data"], CONTEXT, 1, "iri") fig.add_trace(go.Scatter(x=x, y=m["data"], mode="lines", line=dict(color=CONTEXT, width=1), name="IRI plume models", legendgroup="iri", showlegend=k == 0, opacity=0.9, hovertemplate=f"{m['model']} ({m['type'].lower()}): %{{y:+.2f}} °C")) @@ -109,26 +118,20 @@ def plume_figure() -> go.Figure: if avg["model"] not in colors: continue x = [_center(s) for s in avg["seasons"]] name = f"IRI {avg['model']} mean" - connect_observation(iri_anchor, x, avg["data"], colors[avg["model"]], 2, name) - fig.add_trace(go.Scatter(x=x, y=avg["data"], mode="lines+markers", name=name, legendgroup=name, + fig.add_trace(go.Scatter(x=x, y=avg["data"], mode="lines+markers", name=name, line=dict(color=colors[avg["model"]], width=2), marker=dict(size=8, line=dict(color=SURFACE, width=2)), hovertemplate=f"{name}: %{{y:+.2f}} °C")) - run = pd.Series(NINO).rolling(3, center=True).mean().values[1:-1] + fig.add_trace(go.Scatter(x=HIST, y=NINO_HIST, mode="lines", name="ERA5 observed (monthly)", + line=dict(color=INK, width=1.5), hovertemplate="ERA5 %{x|%b %Y}: %{y:+.2f} °C")) + run = pd.Series(NINO).rolling(3, center=True).mean().values[1:-1] # forecast-only seasons, OND .. JAS xs = MONTHS[1:-1] - cas_anchor = (OBS_MONTH, float(SST.observed_nino34.values[-1])) - connect_observation(cas_anchor, xs, run, CAS_BLUE, 3, "cas") fig.add_trace(go.Scatter(x=xs, y=run, mode="lines+markers", name="CAS-Canglong (3-month mean)", - legendgroup="cas", line=dict(color=CAS_BLUE, width=3), marker=dict(size=8, line=dict(color=SURFACE, width=2)), hovertemplate="CAS-Canglong: %{y:+.2f} °C")) fig.add_annotation(x=xs[-1], y=run[-1], text="CAS-Canglong", xanchor="left", xshift=8, showarrow=False, font=dict(color=INK, size=12)) - fig.add_trace(go.Scatter(x=[cas_anchor[0]], y=[cas_anchor[1]], mode="markers", - name=f"Observed (ERA5, {OBS_MONTH:%b %Y})", - marker=dict(color=CAS_BLUE, size=10, symbol="diamond", line=dict(color=SURFACE, width=2)), - hovertemplate="ERA5 observed %{x|%b %Y}: %{y:+.2f} °C")) - fig.add_trace(go.Scatter(x=[o[0] for o in obs], y=[o[1] for o in obs], mode="lines+markers", name="Observed (IRI)", - line=dict(color=INK, width=2), + obs = [(_center(o["season"]), o["data"], o["label"]) for o in IRI["observed"]] + fig.add_trace(go.Scatter(x=[o[0] for o in obs], y=[o[1] for o in obs], mode="markers", name="Observed (IRI)", marker=dict(color=INK, size=9, symbol="diamond", line=dict(color=SURFACE, width=2)), text=[o[2] for o in obs], hovertemplate="%{text}: %{y:+.2f} °C")) for y, label in ((0.5, "El Niño +0.5 °C"), (-0.5, "La Niña −0.5 °C")): @@ -136,38 +139,48 @@ def plume_figure() -> go.Figure: fig.add_annotation(x=0, xref="paper", y=y, text=label, xanchor="left", yanchor="bottom", xshift=4, showarrow=False, font=dict(color=MUTED, size=11)) fig.update_xaxes(dtick="M2", tickformat="%b
%Y", tickangle=0) - return _layout(fig, "Niño 3.4 SST anomaly (°C)", 460) + return _layout(fig, "Niño 3.4 SST anomaly (°C, 1991–2020 base)", 460) def region_figure(name: str) -> go.Figure: y = region_series(name) - x = [OBS_MONTH, *MONTHS] + x = [*HIST, *MONTHS] + n = len(HIST) fig = go.Figure() - fig.add_trace(go.Scatter(x=x, y=y, mode="lines+markers", name="CAS-Canglong forecast", - line=dict(color=CAS_BLUE, width=2), - marker=dict(size=[0] + [8] * len(MONTHS), line=dict(color=SURFACE, width=2)), - text=["ERA5 observed"] + ["CAS-Canglong forecast"] * len(MONTHS), - hovertemplate="%{text} %{x|%b %Y}: %{y:+.2f} °C")) - fig.add_trace(go.Scatter(x=x[:1], y=y[:1], mode="markers", name=f"ERA5 observed {OBS_MONTH:%b %Y}", - marker=dict(color=INK, size=10, symbol="diamond", line=dict(color=SURFACE, width=2)), + fig.add_trace(go.Scatter(x=x[:n], y=y[:n], mode="lines+markers", name="ERA5 observed", + line=dict(color=INK, width=1.5), marker=dict(size=6), hovertemplate="observed %{x|%b %Y}: %{y:+.2f} °C")) + fig.add_trace(go.Scatter(x=x[n - 1:n + 1], y=y[n - 1:n + 1], mode="lines", line=dict(color=CAS_BLUE, width=2, dash="dot"), + showlegend=False, hoverinfo="skip")) + fig.add_trace(go.Scatter(x=x[n:], y=y[n:], mode="lines+markers", name="CAS-Canglong forecast", + line=dict(color=CAS_BLUE, width=2), marker=dict(size=8, line=dict(color=SURFACE, width=2)), + hovertemplate="%{x|%b %Y}: %{y:+.2f} °C")) if name.startswith("Niño"): for v in (0.5, -0.5): fig.add_hline(y=v, line=dict(color=MUTED, width=1, dash="dot")) fig.update_xaxes(dtick="M2", tickformat="%b
%Y", tickangle=0) - return _layout(fig, "SST anomaly (°C)", 400) + return _layout(fig, "SST anomaly (°C, 1991–2020 base)", 400) def region_table(name: str) -> pd.DataFrame: - y = region_series(name) + y = region_series(name)[len(HIST) - 1:] labels = [f"{OBS_MONTH:%b %Y} (observed)"] + [f"{t:%b %Y}" for t in MONTHS] return pd.DataFrame({"Month": labels, "Lead (months)": ["0"] + [str(i) for i in range(1, len(MONTHS) + 1)], "SST anomaly (°C)": [f"{v:+.2f}" for v in y]}) def map_path(field: str, index: int) -> str: - key = FRAMES[int(index)]["key"] - return str(MAPS / f"{'ssta' if field.startswith('SST anomaly') else 'sst'}_{key}.png") + code, i = FIELDS[field], int(index) + if code in ("pupper", "sigma"): + i = max(i, 1) # probability and spread exist for forecast months only + return str(MAPS / f"{code}_{FRAMES[i]['key']}.png") + + +def frame_label(field: str, index: int) -> str: + i = int(index) + if FIELDS[field] in ("pupper", "sigma") and i == 0: + return f"**{FRAMES[1]['label']}** — probability and spread maps start at lead 1" + return f"**{FRAMES[i]['label']}**" def atmos_path(var: str, week: int) -> str: @@ -176,80 +189,152 @@ def atmos_path(var: str, week: int) -> str: return str(MAPS / f"atm_{code}_w{int(week)}.png") -def frame_label(index: int) -> str: - return f"**{FRAMES[int(index)]['label']}**" - - def week_label(week: int) -> str: return f"**{WEEKS[int(week) - 1]['label']}**" -above = [t for t, v in zip(MONTHS, NINO) if v > 0.5] -peak_i = int(np.argmax(NINO)) +def heldout_figure(track: str, region: str, metric: str) -> go.Figure: + col = "acc_spatial" if metric.startswith("Spatial ACC") else "rmse_K" + d = HELDOUT[(HELDOUT.track == HELDOUT_TRACKS[track]) & (HELDOUT.region == HELDOUT_REGIONS[region])] + fig = go.Figure() + greys = iter(["#898781", "#a9a79f", "#c3c2b7", "#d9d8d2"]) + nwp = iter([DYN_ORANGE, "#b8421b", "#f3a5a1"]) + for model, g in sorted(d.groupby("model"), key=lambda kv: (kv[0] != "Cutoff-2022 model", "baseline" not in kv[0], kv[0])): + g = g.sort_values("lead") + main = model == "Cutoff-2022 model" + color = CAS_BLUE if main else next(greys) if "baseline" in model else next(nwp) + fig.add_trace(go.Scatter(x=g.lead, y=g[col], mode="lines+markers", name=HELDOUT_LABELS.get(model, f"{model} (raw archive)"), + line=dict(color=color, width=3 if main else 1.6, dash=None if main or "baseline" in model else "dash"), + marker=dict(size=7 if main else 5), + hovertemplate=f"{model} · lead %{{x}}: %{{y:.3f}}")) + fig.update_xaxes(title="Lead (months)", dtick=1) + fig = _layout(fig, "Spatial ACC" if col == "acc_spatial" else "RMSE (°C)", 480) + fig.update_layout(hovermode="closest", margin=dict(r=40, b=110), legend=dict(y=-0.2)) + return fig + + +def heldout_table(track: str, region: str) -> pd.DataFrame: + d = HELDOUT[(HELDOUT.track == HELDOUT_TRACKS[track]) & (HELDOUT.region == HELDOUT_REGIONS[region])] + t = d.groupby("model").agg(acc=("acc_spatial", "mean"), rmse=("rmse_K", "mean"), months=("n_months", "first"), + first=("first_valid", "min"), last=("last_valid", "max")).sort_values("acc", ascending=False) + return pd.DataFrame({"Model": [HELDOUT_LABELS.get(m, f"{m} (raw archive)") for m in t.index], + "Mean spatial ACC (leads 1–12)": t.acc.round(3).values, + "Mean RMSE °C (leads 1–12)": t.rmse.round(3).values, "Samples per lead": t.months.values, + "Target months": [f"{a} – {b}" for a, b in zip(t["first"], t["last"])]}) + + +def hindcast_figure(lead: int) -> go.Figure: + fig = go.Figure() + fig.add_trace(go.Scatter(x=HINDCAST.target_month, y=HINDCAST.obs, mode="lines", name="ERA5 observed", + line=dict(color=INK, width=2), hovertemplate="observed %{x|%b %Y}: %{y:+.2f} °C")) + fig.add_trace(go.Scatter(x=HINDCAST.target_month, y=HINDCAST[f"lead{int(lead)}"], mode="lines", + name=f"CAS-Canglong hindcast, lead {int(lead)}", line=dict(color=CAS_BLUE, width=2), + hovertemplate="hindcast %{x|%b %Y}: %{y:+.2f} °C")) + for v in (0.5, -0.5): + fig.add_hline(y=v, line=dict(color=MUTED, width=1, dash="dot")) + fig.update_xaxes(dtick="M6", tickformat="%b
%Y", tickangle=0) + return _layout(fig, "Niño 3.4 anomaly (°C, 1959–2009 base)", 400) + + +def hindcast_caption(lead: int) -> str: + r = HINDCAST_SKILL[HINDCAST_SKILL.lead == int(lead)].iloc[0] + return (f"Lead {int(lead)}: correlation **{r['corr']:.2f}**, RMSE **{r['rmse_K']:.2f} °C** over {int(r['n'])} target months " + "(2016–2022). These targets were used to calibrate the released model, so the scores are in-sample.") + + +above = [t for t, v in zip(MONTHS, NINO) if v >= 0.5] glob = region_series("Global ocean (60°S–60°N)") KPIS = [ - ("Niño 3.4 · " + f"{MONTHS[0]:%b %Y}", f"{NINO[0]:+.2f} °C", "first forecast month"), - ("Niño 3.4 · " + f"{MONTHS[3]:%b %Y}", f"{NINO[3]:+.2f} °C", "boreal winter, 4-month lead"), - ("El Niño (> +0.5 °C)", f"{above[0]:%b %Y} – {above[-1]:%b %Y}" if above else "–", f"{len(above)} of {len(NINO)} forecast months"), - ("Global ocean 60°S–60°N", f"{glob[1]:+.2f} °C", f"area-mean anomaly, {MONTHS[0]:%b %Y}"), + (f"Niño 3.4 · {OBS_MONTH:%b %Y}", f"{NINO_HIST[-1]:+.2f} °C", "observed (ERA5), last input month"), + (f"Niño 3.4 · {MONTHS[0]:%b %Y}", f"{NINO[0]:+.2f} °C", "forecast, 1-month lead"), + (f"Niño 3.4 · {MONTHS[3]:%b %Y}", f"{NINO[3]:+.2f} °C", "forecast, 4-month lead"), + ("El Niño (≥ +0.5 °C)", f"{above[0]:%b %Y} – {above[-1]:%b %Y}" if above else "–", f"{len(above)} of {len(NINO)} forecast months"), + ("Global ocean 60°S–60°N", f"{glob[len(HIST)]:+.2f} °C", f"area-mean anomaly, {MONTHS[0]:%b %Y}"), ] kpi_html = "".join(f'
{a}
{b}
' f'
{c}
' for a, b, c in KPIS) HEADER = f"""
-
CAS-Canglong · live research forecast
+
CAS-Canglong · research forecast · model release 2026-10-25

🐉 Global sea-surface temperature & ENSO outlook

-

Input: ERA5 monthly means through {OBS_MONTH:%B %Y} → forecasts for {MONTHS[0]:%b %Y} – {MONTHS[-1]:%b %Y} - (16 months) · six-week atmosphere from {RUN['atmos_start']}

+

Input: ERA5 monthly means through {OBS_MONTH:%B %Y} → mean, spread and calibrated quintile probabilities for + {MONTHS[0]:%b %Y} – {MONTHS[-1]:%b %Y} (12 months) · six-week atmosphere from {RUN['atmos_start']}

+ 🧠 Model weights + 🗂️ Hindcast 2016–2022 📄 Paper · Advanced Science ⭐ GitHub 🌍 canglong.earth - 🧩 WeatherAI (PyTorch port) 📊 WeatherPre
{kpi_html}
""" +HELDOUT_NOTE = """ +**What was held out.** These curves come from a copy of the released method that was re-fitted with targets up to +December 2022 only (calibration settings chosen on 2021–2022) and then scored on 2023-01 to 2026-09 targets it never saw. +The four base heads were trained on targets up to August 2009 and validated up to April 2016. The published weights themselves were calibrated with +targets through September 2026, so they have no held-out score of their own. The method design was shaped by earlier +looks at the post-2022 period, so this is a retrospective out-of-time check, not a pristine blind test. +Spatial ACC is the area-weighted anomaly correlation of each map (not the grid-point temporal correlation). The three +dynamical systems are raw ensemble-mean archives with no drift or bias correction, which inflates their RMSE. 12–34 +monthly samples per lead are serially correlated; no significance test was made. **Niño 3.4 is the weak spot:** there the +refit's ACC is below that of its own uncalibrated seasonal model at every lead. +""" + ABOUT = f""" ### What this is -CAS-Canglong is a 3-D Earth-specific transformer for sub-seasonal to seasonal prediction of global sea-surface -temperature (SST) ([Wang et al., *Advanced Science* 2026](https://doi.org/10.1002/advs.78271); -preprint [arXiv:2409.05369](https://arxiv.org/abs/2409.05369)). This Space shows the **current operational run**, the same -forecast that [canglong.earth](https://canglong.earth) serves: - -* **Ocean (16 months)** — a one-pass Swin-transformer SST model on a 1° grid reads 16 months of eight ERA5 monthly - fields (SST, MSLP, latent heat flux, 10 m winds, 500/850 hPa geopotential, net solar radiation) and predicts the next - 16 monthly SST fields in one forward pass; a learned refiner adds 0.25° detail without changing the 1° block means. +CAS-Canglong learns the coupled ocean–atmosphere system from ERA5 to predict global sea-surface temperature (SST) +([Wang et al., *Advanced Science* 2026](https://doi.org/10.1002/advs.78271); preprint +[arXiv:2409.05369](https://arxiv.org/abs/2409.05369)). This Space shows the **2026-10-25 release of the 1° monthly SST +model** ([weights and code on Hugging Face](https://huggingface.co/{MODEL_REPO})): + +* **Inputs** — the last 120 months of eight ERA5 monthly fields on a 1° grid: SST, mean sea-level pressure, surface latent + heat flux, 10 m u and v wind, 500 and 850 hPa geopotential, net surface solar radiation. +* **Core** — four frozen heads built on a 1° CAS-Canglong network: the original network/EOF blend, a slow-background + branch, a joint ocean–atmosphere branch and a seasonal-state branch whose response depends on the calendar month. +* **Calibration** — a per-grid-cell ridge correction (α = 0.05, 19 coefficients per lead and cell, using the four head + forecasts, the observed SST anomaly of the last 1, 3 and 12 months, annual/semi-annual harmonics, a time trend and a + few seasonal interactions), + mixed 10 % with 90 % of the seasonal model; a CRPS-fitted Gaussian spread; and quintile probabilities calibrated in the + spirit of the probability-based correction of [Guan et al., *Nature* 2026](https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-026-11126-x). +* **Output** — 12 monthly leads on 40,701 ocean cells (nominal 1°): mean SST, Gaussian σ and quantiles, and the + probability of each fifth of the 1959–2009 climate. Leads 13–16 are not produced. * **Atmosphere (6 weeks, experimental)** — CAS-Canglong V3.5 weekly means published on canglong.earth, read through [WeatherPre](https://github.com/GISWLH/WeatherPre) (`wp.forecast("canglong", "t2m", "6w")`). ### How to read the maps -* **SST anomaly** maps are the native 1° model output minus the ERA5 1959–2016 monthly climatology (the model's training - period, the same reference as its Niño 3.4 index). On the 1991–2020 base that IRI uses, Niño 3.4 values would be - about 0.1 °C lower (0.04–0.18 °C, depending on the month). -* **SST** maps are the 0.25° field. Within about 2° of land it is blended with the latest ERA5 SST for display (8 grid - rings replaced, 6 rings faded), exactly as on canglong.earth. That coastal belt is a visual repair, not model skill. -* The **ENSO plume** compares CAS-Canglong's 3-month running mean with the - [IRI ENSO plume]({IRI['source']}) published {IRI['published']}. The plume is redrawn from IRI's own figure. +* **SST anomaly** maps and all regional and Niño 3.4 series here use the WMO 1991–2020 normal, computed from the same + ERA5 record as the inputs, so they can be compared with the [IRI ENSO plume]({IRI['source']}) (published + {IRI['published']}, redrawn). The model's own reference is 1959-01–2009-08; on that base Niño 3.4 is 0.04–0.23 °C higher, + depending on the month. Both are in the NetCDF. +* **Chance of a top-quintile month** is the calibrated probability that the monthly SST falls in the warmest fifth of the + 1959–2009 climate for that calendar month (20 % = climatological odds). Because the ocean has warmed since then, high + values are widespread. +* **Forecast uncertainty (σ)** is a per-cell Gaussian spread. The probabilities are marginal per grid cell, not a coherent + ensemble, so they cannot be summed into regional or Niño 3.4 uncertainties. ### Limits — please read -* A research forecast, not an official or operational warning product. No probability is implied: this is one - deterministic run. -* Checkpoint acceptance for the operational ocean model used agreement with the historical NWP multi-model mean and - with the current IRI plume, so this run is **not an independent test of skill**. Published hindcast skill is in the paper. -* The six-week atmospheric run is **not drift-corrected**. Against the ERA5 1990–2017 weekly climatology, its - area-mean 2 m temperature poleward of 60°N is about +5 °C in week 1 and +14 °C in week 6, while 60°S–60°N stays within - ±1 °C. Treat high-latitude fields as model climate, not as anomalies; anomaly maps are therefore not shown. +* A research forecast, not an official or operational warning product. +* The released weights were calibrated with targets through 2026-09, and the calibration settings were selected on + year-blocked diagnostics of the same years. Every historical score of these exact weights, including the published + 2016–2022 hindcast, is therefore in-sample. The *Skill & hindcasts* tab shows the held-out check of a refit copy. +* **ENSO:** the forecast damps the 2026 El Niño quickly. Niño 3.4 drops from {NINO_HIST[-1]:+.2f} °C observed in + {OBS_MONTH:%B} to {NINO[0]:+.2f} °C in {MONTHS[0]:%B}, well below the IRI dynamical models. The damping is already in + the four frozen base heads (lead 1: +1.5 to +1.8 °C on the model base), and Niño 3.4 is the region where the held-out + check found this method weakest. Read the Niño 3.4 outlook with that in mind. canglong.earth still serves the previous + 16-month Public-Swin run, whose Niño 3.4 stays at +3.2 °C or more through December 2026 (on its 1959–2016 base). +* The six-week atmospheric run is **not drift-corrected**; high-latitude 2 m temperature drifts warm with lead time + (about +5 °C in week 1 to +14 °C in week 6 poleward of 60°N in earlier runs). Read those fields as model output; anomaly + maps are not shown. ### Provenance of this run -* Ocean run: {RUN['run_time_utc'][:16].replace('T', ' ')} UTC, re-run from the frozen checkpoints in an isolated - directory; identical to the operational product (max |ΔSST| = {RUN['check_vs_operational']['max_abs_sst_diff_K']} K, - max |ΔNiño 3.4| = {RUN['check_vs_operational']['max_abs_nino34_diff_K']} K). -* Checkpoint SHA-256: 1° `{RUN['checkpoint_sha256']['lowres_checkpoint'][:16]}…`, 0.25° refiner - `{RUN['checkpoint_sha256']['highres_checkpoint'][:16]}…`; input cache `{RUN['input_cache_sha256'][:16]}…`. +* Forecast file: `{RUN['sst_file']}`, derived from the release NetCDF (SHA-256 `{(RUN['source_forecast_sha256'] or '')[:16]}…`) + without changing any value. Checks: SST − anomaly reproduces the stored climatology to + {RUN['checks']['forecast_sst_minus_ssta_vs_climatology_max_abs_K']:.1e} K, and the observed {OBS_MONTH:%B} anomaly + equals the model's own input context (max |Δ| = {RUN['checks']['observed_ssta_vs_model_context_max_abs_K']} K). * Atmosphere: {RUN['atmos_source']}. ### Cite @@ -275,7 +360,7 @@ CSS = """ .hero .chips a {text-decoration: none !important; padding: 5px 12px; border-radius: 999px; font-size: .9rem; border: 1px solid var(--border-color-primary); color: var(--body-text-color) !important; background: var(--block-background-fill);} .hero .chips a:hover {border-color: var(--color-accent);} -.kpis {display: grid; grid-template-columns: repeat(auto-fit, minmax(190px, 1fr)); gap: 10px; margin: 14px 0 4px;} +.kpis {display: grid; grid-template-columns: repeat(auto-fit, minmax(170px, 1fr)); gap: 10px; margin: 14px 0 4px;} .kpi {padding: 12px 14px; border-radius: 12px; border: 1px solid var(--border-color-primary); background: var(--block-background-fill);} .kpi-label {font-size: .8rem; color: var(--body-text-color-subdued);} .kpi-value {font-size: 1.55rem; font-weight: 650; margin: 2px 0;} @@ -287,26 +372,43 @@ with gr.Blocks(title="CAS-Canglong · SST & ENSO forecast") as demo: with gr.Tabs(): with gr.Tab("🌊 Ocean & ENSO"): with gr.Row(equal_height=True): - field = gr.Radio(["SST anomaly (1°)", "SST (0.25°)"], value="SST anomaly (1°)", label="Field", scale=1) + field = gr.Radio(list(FIELDS), value="SST anomaly", label="Field", scale=2) lead = gr.Slider(0, len(FRAMES) - 1, value=1, step=1, label="Month (0 = last observed input month)", scale=3) - caption = gr.Markdown(frame_label(1)) + caption = gr.Markdown(frame_label("SST anomaly", 1)) image = gr.Image(map_path("SST anomaly", 1), show_label=False, interactive=False, buttons=["download", "fullscreen"]) gr.Markdown("#### Niño 3.4 outlook vs the IRI ENSO plume") gr.Plot(plume_figure(), show_label=False) - gr.Markdown("Dotted lines connect each forecast curve to its latest available monthly observation " - "(IRI for the IRI models; ERA5 for CAS-Canglong). These are visual guides from monthly " - "observations to 3-month forecast means; diamonds mark observations.") - gr.Markdown("Monthly CAS-Canglong Niño 3.4 (°C): " + ", ".join( - f"{t:%b %Y} {v:+.2f}" for t, v in zip(MONTHS, NINO)) + ".") - lead.change(lambda f, i: (map_path(f, i), frame_label(i)), [field, lead], [image, caption]) - field.change(lambda f, i: map_path(f, i), [field, lead], image) + gr.Markdown("Monthly CAS-Canglong Niño 3.4 (°C, 1991–2020 base): " + ", ".join( + f"{t:%b %Y} {v:+.2f}" for t, v in zip(MONTHS, NINO)) + ". The forecast damps the observed El Niño " + "much faster than the IRI dynamical models; see *About* and *Skill & hindcasts*.") + lead.change(lambda f, i: (map_path(f, i), frame_label(f, i)), [field, lead], [image, caption]) + field.change(lambda f, i: (map_path(f, i), frame_label(f, i)), [field, lead], [image, caption]) with gr.Tab("📍 Regional outlook"): region = gr.Dropdown(list(REGIONS), value=list(REGIONS)[0], label="Region") rplot = gr.Plot(region_figure(list(REGIONS)[0]), show_label=False) - gr.Markdown(f"Box means of the native 1° anomaly field (cos-latitude weighted, ocean cells only). The headline " - f"Niño 3.4 ({NINO[0]:+.2f} °C for {MONTHS[0]:%b %Y}) is the operational index from the 0.25° field.") + gr.Markdown("Box means of the native 1° anomaly field (cos-latitude weighted, model ocean cells only), " + "relative to ERA5 1991–2020, with the last 12 observed months for context.") rtable = gr.Dataframe(region_table(list(REGIONS)[0]), interactive=False) region.change(lambda r: (region_figure(r), region_table(r)), region, [rplot, rtable]) + with gr.Tab("📈 Skill & hindcasts"): + gr.Markdown("#### Held-out test on 2023–2026") + with gr.Row(): + htrack = gr.Dropdown(list(HELDOUT_TRACKS), value=list(HELDOUT_TRACKS)[0], label="Comparison", scale=3) + hregion = gr.Dropdown(list(HELDOUT_REGIONS), value="Global", label="Region", scale=2) + hmetric = gr.Radio(["Spatial ACC (higher is better)", "RMSE (lower is better)"], + value="Spatial ACC (higher is better)", label="Metric", scale=2) + hplot = gr.Plot(heldout_figure(list(HELDOUT_TRACKS)[0], "Global", "Spatial ACC"), show_label=False) + htable = gr.Dataframe(heldout_table(list(HELDOUT_TRACKS)[0], "Global"), interactive=False) + gr.Markdown(HELDOUT_NOTE) + for c in (htrack, hregion, hmetric): + c.change(lambda t, r, m: (heldout_figure(t, r, m), heldout_table(t, r)), [htrack, hregion, hmetric], [hplot, htable]) + gr.Markdown(f"#### Hindcast 2016–2022 · [dataset](https://huggingface.co/datasets/{HINDCAST_REPO})") + hlead = gr.Slider(1, 12, value=3, step=1, label="Lead (months)") + hcplot = gr.Plot(hindcast_figure(3), show_label=False) + hccap = gr.Markdown(hindcast_caption(3)) + hlead.change(lambda k: (hindcast_figure(k), hindcast_caption(k)), hlead, [hcplot, hccap]) + gr.Dataframe(HINDCAST_SKILL.rename(columns={"lead": "Lead", "n": "Months", "corr": "Correlation", "rmse_K": "RMSE (°C)"}), + interactive=False, label="Niño 3.4 hindcast scores by lead (in-sample)") with gr.Tab("🌦️ Atmosphere · 6 weeks (experimental)"): gr.Markdown("Weekly-mean fields of the CAS-Canglong V3.5 atmospheric run published on canglong.earth. " "**Not drift-corrected** — high-latitude temperatures drift warm with lead time (see *About*).") @@ -318,15 +420,31 @@ with gr.Blocks(title="CAS-Canglong · SST & ENSO forecast") as demo: aimg = gr.Image(atmos_path("2 m temperature", 1), show_label=False, interactive=False, buttons=["download", "fullscreen"]) week.change(lambda v, w: (atmos_path(v, w), week_label(w)), [avar, week], [aimg, wcap]) avar.change(lambda v, w: atmos_path(v, w), [avar, week], aimg) - with gr.Tab("📦 Data"): - gr.Markdown("NetCDF and CSV files behind every map and chart on this page.") - gr.File([str(DATA / RUN["sst_file"]), str(DATA / RUN["atmos_file"]), str(DATA / "nino34.csv"), str(DATA / "run.json")], + with gr.Tab("📦 Model & data"): + gr.Markdown(f"* **Model** — frozen weights, calibration states, inference code and a CPU example: " + f"[{MODEL_REPO}](https://huggingface.co/{MODEL_REPO})\n" + f"* **Hindcast** — observed and lead 1–12 SST for every target month of 2016–2022: " + f"[{HINDCAST_REPO}](https://huggingface.co/datasets/{HINDCAST_REPO})\n" + "* **This run** — the files behind every map and chart on this page:") + gr.File([str(DATA / RUN["sst_file"]), str(DATA / "nino34.csv"), str(DATA / RUN["atmos_file"]), + str(DATA / "hindcast_nino34.csv"), str(DATA / "round6_heldout_metrics.csv"), str(DATA / "run.json")], file_count="multiple", label="Downloads", interactive=False) gr.Code(f"""import xarray as xr -from huggingface_hub import hf_hub_download -path = hf_hub_download("LonghaoWang/CAS-Canglong", "data/{RUN['sst_file']}", repo_type="space") -ds = xr.open_dataset(path) # ssta / sst (1°), sst_025 (0.25°), nino34, observed fields -print(ds.nino34.to_series())""", language="python", label="Load in Python") +from huggingface_hub import hf_hub_download, snapshot_download + +# this run: mean, anomaly (both bases), sigma, 10/90 % quantiles, quintile probabilities, Nino 3.4 +ds = xr.open_dataset(hf_hub_download("LonghaoWang/CAS-Canglong", "data/{RUN['sst_file']}", repo_type="space")) +print(ds.nino34_9120.to_series().round(2)) + +# the model: verify the frozen package and replay the October 2026 forecast on a CPU +pkg = snapshot_download("{MODEL_REPO}", allow_patterns=["frozen_model_20261025_v1/*"]) +# cd /frozen_model_20261025_v1 && python -B run_frozen.py --verify-only +# python -B run_frozen.py --prepared-input examples/input_only_202610.npz --output /tmp/forecast_202610.nc + +# the 2016-2022 hindcast (obs + lead1..lead12 per target month) +hc = xr.open_dataset(hf_hub_download("{HINDCAST_REPO}", + "hindcast_2016_2022_v1/sst_hindcast_201601_202212_lead01_12.nc", repo_type="dataset"))""", + language="python", label="Load in Python") with gr.Tab("ℹ️ About"): gr.Markdown(ABOUT) diff --git a/assets/maps/atm_msl_w1.png b/assets/maps/atm_msl_w1.png index 31789ebac3c7adee7074d0d268b8f3137b0a4acd..84cf198b25c9e4c6414c1cbdc200386c2bf242ca 100644 --- a/assets/maps/atm_msl_w1.png +++ b/assets/maps/atm_msl_w1.png @@ -1,3 +1,3 @@ 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baseline,SIO,1,12,2783,0.8140668647738335,0.6082028096106987,2023-07,2024-06,2023-07,2024-06 +all_available_models,Joint baseline,SIO,1,12,2783,0.8153233796249748,0.6032054627726607,2023-07,2024-06,2023-07,2024-06 +all_available_models,CanSIPS-IC4,SIO,1,12,2783,0.7772421260362959,0.5884677008427381,2023-07,2024-06,2023-07,2024-06 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,SIO,1,12,2783,0.6227001393764665,0.8502947699875285,2023-07,2024-06,2023-07,2024-06 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,SIO,1,12,2783,0.648422609922829,0.8426406629306639,2023-07,2024-06,2023-07,2024-06 +all_available_models,Cutoff-2022 model,SPO,1,12,2486,0.888817442676033,0.4456073000619363,2023-07,2024-06,2023-07,2024-06 +all_available_models,Seasonal baseline,SPO,1,12,2486,0.8784417750487163,0.5059670597440528,2023-07,2024-06,2023-07,2024-06 +all_available_models,Original baseline,SPO,1,12,2486,0.8942132109239305,0.5157669397925932,2023-07,2024-06,2023-07,2024-06 +all_available_models,Surface baseline,SPO,1,12,2486,0.8730202050105631,0.5126075083388785,2023-07,2024-06,2023-07,2024-06 +all_available_models,Joint baseline,SPO,1,12,2486,0.8775409129283916,0.5038852845616397,2023-07,2024-06,2023-07,2024-06 +all_available_models,CanSIPS-IC4,SPO,1,12,2486,0.8838794488780247,0.4056140906254779,2023-07,2024-06,2023-07,2024-06 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,SPO,1,12,2486,0.7974563148937621,0.5441968733277186,2023-07,2024-06,2023-07,2024-06 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,SPO,1,12,2486,0.8023905700127977,0.5381964053854144,2023-07,2024-06,2023-07,2024-06 +all_available_models,Cutoff-2022 model,SAO,1,12,1307,0.8207507588634665,0.5119402244996744,2023-07,2024-06,2023-07,2024-06 +all_available_models,Seasonal baseline,SAO,1,12,1307,0.7419577128039571,0.6355602074003424,2023-07,2024-06,2023-07,2024-06 +all_available_models,Original baseline,SAO,1,12,1307,0.8102657208373242,0.5863530728428885,2023-07,2024-06,2023-07,2024-06 +all_available_models,Surface baseline,SAO,1,12,1307,0.7429930562347633,0.6414360732608596,2023-07,2024-06,2023-07,2024-06 +all_available_models,Joint baseline,SAO,1,12,1307,0.7453155959681595,0.6357619742102402,2023-07,2024-06,2023-07,2024-06 +all_available_models,CanSIPS-IC4,SAO,1,12,1307,0.7828314445693056,0.5977585770368977,2023-07,2024-06,2023-07,2024-06 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,SAO,1,12,1307,0.5552208332228703,0.8778184091065118,2023-07,2024-06,2023-07,2024-06 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,SAO,1,12,1307,0.5716489364758341,0.8723531443397236,2023-07,2024-06,2023-07,2024-06 +all_available_models,Cutoff-2022 model,Global,2,12,39906,0.8310331415841222,0.5911399940956715,2023-07,2024-06,2023-08,2024-07 +all_available_models,Seasonal baseline,Global,2,12,39906,0.7866877070096194,0.7273960476083894,2023-07,2024-06,2023-08,2024-07 +all_available_models,Original baseline,Global,2,12,39906,0.8262673632621259,0.7739597250537322,2023-07,2024-06,2023-08,2024-07 +all_available_models,Surface baseline,Global,2,12,39906,0.7800132055615338,0.7440801232264308,2023-07,2024-06,2023-08,2024-07 +all_available_models,Joint baseline,Global,2,12,39906,0.7860337175751965,0.7333021971866781,2023-07,2024-06,2023-08,2024-07 +all_available_models,CanSIPS-IC4,Global,2,12,39906,0.6829426041656941,0.8023571532466584,2023-07,2024-06,2023-08,2024-07 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,Global,2,12,39906,0.3403380394818658,1.2836541143825642,2023-07,2024-06,2023-08,2024-07 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,Global,2,12,39906,0.4136310756249031,1.2344169025781924,2023-07,2024-06,2023-08,2024-07 +all_available_models,Cutoff-2022 model,AO,2,12,5419,0.8566793628741172,0.6143679318688805,2023-07,2024-06,2023-08,2024-07 +all_available_models,Seasonal baseline,AO,2,12,5419,0.7458714894404866,0.8324038796696304,2023-07,2024-06,2023-08,2024-07 +all_available_models,Original baseline,AO,2,12,5419,0.7969002229922285,0.8728111426710813,2023-07,2024-06,2023-08,2024-07 +all_available_models,Surface baseline,AO,2,12,5419,0.7360362519424727,0.844612391490997,2023-07,2024-06,2023-08,2024-07 +all_available_models,Joint baseline,AO,2,12,5419,0.7376719492185297,0.8390925531818063,2023-07,2024-06,2023-08,2024-07 +all_available_models,CanSIPS-IC4,AO,2,12,5419,0.7231170390639959,0.7561630839338778,2023-07,2024-06,2023-08,2024-07 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,AO,2,12,5419,0.0037797883759454,1.1649680232777389,2023-07,2024-06,2023-08,2024-07 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,AO,2,12,5419,0.1006268583889304,1.0753883245982716,2023-07,2024-06,2023-08,2024-07 +all_available_models,Cutoff-2022 model,PDO,2,12,4113,0.8064134483236791,0.7582315541091823,2023-07,2024-06,2023-08,2024-07 +all_available_models,Seasonal baseline,PDO,2,12,4113,0.7119581095539956,0.9897524814488576,2023-07,2024-06,2023-08,2024-07 +all_available_models,Original baseline,PDO,2,12,4113,0.7986651417738647,1.0000152777340932,2023-07,2024-06,2023-08,2024-07 +all_available_models,Surface baseline,PDO,2,12,4113,0.6964521601676074,1.0154461769192142,2023-07,2024-06,2023-08,2024-07 +all_available_models,Joint baseline,PDO,2,12,4113,0.7068197271243023,0.9988239220704952,2023-07,2024-06,2023-08,2024-07 +all_available_models,CanSIPS-IC4,PDO,2,12,4113,0.6725485883708823,1.0157903799796928,2023-07,2024-06,2023-08,2024-07 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,PDO,2,12,4113,0.4324903852248477,1.396646381534248,2023-07,2024-06,2023-08,2024-07 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,PDO,2,12,4113,0.5418490765322753,1.2316832871071066,2023-07,2024-06,2023-08,2024-07 +all_available_models,Cutoff-2022 model,WP,2,12,8373,0.9008714389644203,0.464851765066917,2023-07,2024-06,2023-08,2024-07 +all_available_models,Seasonal baseline,WP,2,12,8373,0.9008379966030708,0.6240940880146469,2023-07,2024-06,2023-08,2024-07 +all_available_models,Original baseline,WP,2,12,8373,0.9173841508062084,0.7074477377432918,2023-07,2024-06,2023-08,2024-07 +all_available_models,Surface baseline,WP,2,12,8373,0.8944179321936375,0.6647740422993922,2023-07,2024-06,2023-08,2024-07 +all_available_models,Joint baseline,WP,2,12,8373,0.8994053004702867,0.6401956359451506,2023-07,2024-06,2023-08,2024-07 +all_available_models,CanSIPS-IC4,WP,2,12,8373,0.73937076838875,0.6905235337387411,2023-07,2024-06,2023-08,2024-07 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,WP,2,12,8373,0.3678781763931031,1.2515216037601309,2023-07,2024-06,2023-08,2024-07 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,WP,2,12,8373,0.4672383429163322,1.1432663717199754,2023-07,2024-06,2023-08,2024-07 +all_available_models,Cutoff-2022 model,Nino3.4,2,12,500,0.8068712411436727,0.5723125317701465,2023-07,2024-06,2023-08,2024-07 +all_available_models,Seasonal baseline,Nino3.4,2,12,500,0.8531805924316402,0.9140279401601246,2023-07,2024-06,2023-08,2024-07 +all_available_models,Original baseline,Nino3.4,2,12,500,0.8996781753855299,1.031306288143958,2023-07,2024-06,2023-08,2024-07 +all_available_models,Surface baseline,Nino3.4,2,12,500,0.8882845935929534,1.0388595213669187,2023-07,2024-06,2023-08,2024-07 +all_available_models,Joint baseline,Nino3.4,2,12,500,0.8811318783670142,0.9687014004003804,2023-07,2024-06,2023-08,2024-07 +all_available_models,CanSIPS-IC4,Nino3.4,2,12,500,0.6326159424760801,1.3271689336963388,2023-07,2024-06,2023-08,2024-07 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,Nino3.4,2,12,500,0.8132307319752914,0.5522728237290963,2023-07,2024-06,2023-08,2024-07 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,Nino3.4,2,12,500,0.8496745075029065,0.5992393969875084,2023-07,2024-06,2023-08,2024-07 +all_available_models,Cutoff-2022 model,SIO,2,12,2783,0.7437408171806569,0.655374700371192,2023-07,2024-06,2023-08,2024-07 +all_available_models,Seasonal baseline,SIO,2,12,2783,0.6800978437694972,0.7363759103936117,2023-07,2024-06,2023-08,2024-07 +all_available_models,Original baseline,SIO,2,12,2783,0.7359205402245831,0.7589117381033961,2023-07,2024-06,2023-08,2024-07 +all_available_models,Surface baseline,SIO,2,12,2783,0.6870535570398836,0.7364923386138493,2023-07,2024-06,2023-08,2024-07 +all_available_models,Joint baseline,SIO,2,12,2783,0.686072043553328,0.7344141576934075,2023-07,2024-06,2023-08,2024-07 +all_available_models,CanSIPS-IC4,SIO,2,12,2783,0.6253630667659865,0.7699800428554082,2023-07,2024-06,2023-08,2024-07 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,SIO,2,12,2783,0.5785369532327314,1.07362019243427,2023-07,2024-06,2023-08,2024-07 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,SIO,2,12,2783,0.5957954379418764,1.1055201940847108,2023-07,2024-06,2023-08,2024-07 +all_available_models,Cutoff-2022 model,SPO,2,12,2486,0.781837735571087,0.6075721025215488,2023-07,2024-06,2023-08,2024-07 +all_available_models,Seasonal baseline,SPO,2,12,2486,0.7856722129063631,0.6357212739000037,2023-07,2024-06,2023-08,2024-07 +all_available_models,Original baseline,SPO,2,12,2486,0.8152456252212604,0.684752213239697,2023-07,2024-06,2023-08,2024-07 +all_available_models,Surface baseline,SPO,2,12,2486,0.7900755704458926,0.6279706263959921,2023-07,2024-06,2023-08,2024-07 +all_available_models,Joint baseline,SPO,2,12,2486,0.79096835022399,0.6269984123691155,2023-07,2024-06,2023-08,2024-07 +all_available_models,CanSIPS-IC4,SPO,2,12,2486,0.7271099474277382,0.6267104341640863,2023-07,2024-06,2023-08,2024-07 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,SPO,2,12,2486,0.6995409924044123,0.7578617916475399,2023-07,2024-06,2023-08,2024-07 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,SPO,2,12,2486,0.7158294004001178,0.7460861410794055,2023-07,2024-06,2023-08,2024-07 +all_available_models,Cutoff-2022 model,SAO,2,12,1307,0.7131418603380743,0.6109269145418248,2023-07,2024-06,2023-08,2024-07 +all_available_models,Seasonal baseline,SAO,2,12,1307,0.5355102279662171,0.7421049881680768,2023-07,2024-06,2023-08,2024-07 +all_available_models,Original baseline,SAO,2,12,1307,0.663641003988099,0.7221037319204165,2023-07,2024-06,2023-08,2024-07 +all_available_models,Surface baseline,SAO,2,12,1307,0.5435376543202944,0.741203714458714,2023-07,2024-06,2023-08,2024-07 +all_available_models,Joint baseline,SAO,2,12,1307,0.542600327558577,0.7399380502167973,2023-07,2024-06,2023-08,2024-07 +all_available_models,CanSIPS-IC4,SAO,2,12,1307,0.6407296865603699,0.7565172025661543,2023-07,2024-06,2023-08,2024-07 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,SAO,2,12,1307,0.4588195681590605,1.2112937477454668,2023-07,2024-06,2023-08,2024-07 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,SAO,2,12,1307,0.4665375700328627,1.2664166497672378,2023-07,2024-06,2023-08,2024-07 +all_available_models,Cutoff-2022 model,Global,3,12,39906,0.789167571114359,0.642293219288016,2023-07,2024-06,2023-09,2024-08 +all_available_models,Seasonal baseline,Global,3,12,39906,0.7550056463656319,0.7488457629967744,2023-07,2024-06,2023-09,2024-08 +all_available_models,Original baseline,Global,3,12,39906,0.7846053338323565,0.7992931168328,2023-07,2024-06,2023-09,2024-08 +all_available_models,Surface baseline,Global,3,12,39906,0.7511663405661584,0.7610722150905533,2023-07,2024-06,2023-09,2024-08 +all_available_models,Joint baseline,Global,3,12,39906,0.7548125477264872,0.7538616340605999,2023-07,2024-06,2023-09,2024-08 +all_available_models,CanSIPS-IC4,Global,3,12,39906,0.5342652008275869,0.9595497897776122,2023-07,2024-06,2023-09,2024-08 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,Global,3,12,39906,0.2761497400183063,1.384884694165137,2023-07,2024-06,2023-09,2024-08 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,Global,3,12,39906,0.3482637857202147,1.370587867720472,2023-07,2024-06,2023-09,2024-08 +all_available_models,Cutoff-2022 model,AO,3,12,5419,0.8517971207201379,0.6664952843716407,2023-07,2024-06,2023-09,2024-08 +all_available_models,Seasonal baseline,AO,3,12,5419,0.7415769580438827,0.8885343054400404,2023-07,2024-06,2023-09,2024-08 +all_available_models,Original baseline,AO,3,12,5419,0.7696120535187411,0.9517914845076482,2023-07,2024-06,2023-09,2024-08 +all_available_models,Surface baseline,AO,3,12,5419,0.7343972417116214,0.8930598988393883,2023-07,2024-06,2023-09,2024-08 +all_available_models,Joint baseline,AO,3,12,5419,0.7375687205736693,0.8899981994299361,2023-07,2024-06,2023-09,2024-08 +all_available_models,CanSIPS-IC4,AO,3,12,5419,0.6328579417290493,0.8885649217618052,2023-07,2024-06,2023-09,2024-08 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,AO,3,12,5419,-0.0875077369180095,1.2512858666277713,2023-07,2024-06,2023-09,2024-08 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,AO,3,12,5419,-0.0105132911766428,1.291411195378016,2023-07,2024-06,2023-09,2024-08 +all_available_models,Cutoff-2022 model,PDO,3,12,4113,0.7662282000248738,0.8116315784371095,2023-07,2024-06,2023-09,2024-08 +all_available_models,Seasonal baseline,PDO,3,12,4113,0.6748055407837611,1.0147943292829558,2023-07,2024-06,2023-09,2024-08 +all_available_models,Original baseline,PDO,3,12,4113,0.7564246267555522,1.0283512381108606,2023-07,2024-06,2023-09,2024-08 +all_available_models,Surface baseline,PDO,3,12,4113,0.6598747835504143,1.0372709287023931,2023-07,2024-06,2023-09,2024-08 +all_available_models,Joint baseline,PDO,3,12,4113,0.6686517959341177,1.024304844310122,2023-07,2024-06,2023-09,2024-08 +all_available_models,CanSIPS-IC4,PDO,3,12,4113,0.6111931924211714,1.1289667080742214,2023-07,2024-06,2023-09,2024-08 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,PDO,3,12,4113,0.389310923964894,1.4305680868762898,2023-07,2024-06,2023-09,2024-08 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,PDO,3,12,4113,0.4986250520839921,1.2812824451430154,2023-07,2024-06,2023-09,2024-08 +all_available_models,Cutoff-2022 model,WP,3,12,8373,0.8665056569969058,0.5076732989656032,2023-07,2024-06,2023-09,2024-08 +all_available_models,Seasonal baseline,WP,3,12,8373,0.8796049307186027,0.6352863048843645,2023-07,2024-06,2023-09,2024-08 +all_available_models,Original baseline,WP,3,12,8373,0.8943441357558751,0.7201920885639479,2023-07,2024-06,2023-09,2024-08 +all_available_models,Surface baseline,WP,3,12,8373,0.8777690361131039,0.6690919990859014,2023-07,2024-06,2023-09,2024-08 +all_available_models,Joint baseline,WP,3,12,8373,0.8804030301882761,0.6497701919083656,2023-07,2024-06,2023-09,2024-08 +all_available_models,CanSIPS-IC4,WP,3,12,8373,0.5713118240382391,0.8556611290570699,2023-07,2024-06,2023-09,2024-08 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,WP,3,12,8373,0.2506568554767415,1.3688381440371276,2023-07,2024-06,2023-09,2024-08 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,WP,3,12,8373,0.3570214007092395,1.2444851838378164,2023-07,2024-06,2023-09,2024-08 +all_available_models,Cutoff-2022 model,Nino3.4,3,12,500,0.6927879909084802,0.7127451472312043,2023-07,2024-06,2023-09,2024-08 +all_available_models,Seasonal baseline,Nino3.4,3,12,500,0.7834376847764631,0.957594779687502,2023-07,2024-06,2023-09,2024-08 +all_available_models,Original baseline,Nino3.4,3,12,500,0.8620677824122832,1.069795444525703,2023-07,2024-06,2023-09,2024-08 +all_available_models,Surface baseline,Nino3.4,3,12,500,0.8420733568053058,1.0721878627630483,2023-07,2024-06,2023-09,2024-08 +all_available_models,Joint baseline,Nino3.4,3,12,500,0.8242863819680784,1.0120352894038085,2023-07,2024-06,2023-09,2024-08 +all_available_models,CanSIPS-IC4,Nino3.4,3,12,500,0.4146750975903825,1.6326391268689169,2023-07,2024-06,2023-09,2024-08 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,Nino3.4,3,12,500,0.7681161892077134,0.8185710325101022,2023-07,2024-06,2023-09,2024-08 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,Nino3.4,3,12,500,0.6600993372618706,1.2460934774434924,2023-07,2024-06,2023-09,2024-08 +all_available_models,Cutoff-2022 model,SIO,3,12,2783,0.6969216465203888,0.7126305883887926,2023-07,2024-06,2023-09,2024-08 +all_available_models,Seasonal baseline,SIO,3,12,2783,0.6661373180023352,0.7600421385333791,2023-07,2024-06,2023-09,2024-08 +all_available_models,Original baseline,SIO,3,12,2783,0.7078752545242198,0.789405496154514,2023-07,2024-06,2023-09,2024-08 +all_available_models,Surface baseline,SIO,3,12,2783,0.67475304621858,0.758124844641177,2023-07,2024-06,2023-09,2024-08 +all_available_models,Joint baseline,SIO,3,12,2783,0.6726326582895336,0.7573056546587448,2023-07,2024-06,2023-09,2024-08 +all_available_models,CanSIPS-IC4,SIO,3,12,2783,0.5283904924877642,0.8859376814641823,2023-07,2024-06,2023-09,2024-08 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,SIO,3,12,2783,0.5606227035122506,1.269044073293735,2023-07,2024-06,2023-09,2024-08 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,SIO,3,12,2783,0.5624450554808001,1.3491941546481565,2023-07,2024-06,2023-09,2024-08 +all_available_models,Cutoff-2022 model,SPO,3,12,2486,0.7219295839287616,0.6634193736995991,2023-07,2024-06,2023-09,2024-08 +all_available_models,Seasonal baseline,SPO,3,12,2486,0.768837976996168,0.6609903146029485,2023-07,2024-06,2023-09,2024-08 +all_available_models,Original baseline,SPO,3,12,2486,0.7813560669692231,0.7159946319612425,2023-07,2024-06,2023-09,2024-08 +all_available_models,Surface baseline,SPO,3,12,2486,0.7819211332873088,0.647567898065991,2023-07,2024-06,2023-09,2024-08 +all_available_models,Joint baseline,SPO,3,12,2486,0.7783425653585394,0.6514546729595939,2023-07,2024-06,2023-09,2024-08 +all_available_models,CanSIPS-IC4,SPO,3,12,2486,0.6066404814220129,0.7576595834379546,2023-07,2024-06,2023-09,2024-08 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,SPO,3,12,2486,0.6503367194416675,0.9204032065766284,2023-07,2024-06,2023-09,2024-08 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,SPO,3,12,2486,0.6691475452024206,0.9684322442680584,2023-07,2024-06,2023-09,2024-08 +all_available_models,Cutoff-2022 model,SAO,3,12,1307,0.6683974070204671,0.6272350555512631,2023-07,2024-06,2023-09,2024-08 +all_available_models,Seasonal baseline,SAO,3,12,1307,0.4823588236382602,0.7445185446138386,2023-07,2024-06,2023-09,2024-08 +all_available_models,Original baseline,SAO,3,12,1307,0.5930082584629243,0.725724577572643,2023-07,2024-06,2023-09,2024-08 +all_available_models,Surface baseline,SAO,3,12,1307,0.4865290428672484,0.743840455951067,2023-07,2024-06,2023-09,2024-08 +all_available_models,Joint baseline,SAO,3,12,1307,0.4840619768151379,0.7438400226638484,2023-07,2024-06,2023-09,2024-08 +all_available_models,CanSIPS-IC4,SAO,3,12,1307,0.5259209314656962,0.9017348400622696,2023-07,2024-06,2023-09,2024-08 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,SAO,3,12,1307,0.4348552857511463,1.388362676084533,2023-07,2024-06,2023-09,2024-08 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,SAO,3,12,1307,0.4285646208255766,1.6075934991767626,2023-07,2024-06,2023-09,2024-08 +all_available_models,Cutoff-2022 model,Global,4,12,39906,0.7547908141041694,0.6788947808275412,2023-07,2024-06,2023-10,2024-09 +all_available_models,Seasonal baseline,Global,4,12,39906,0.7002241182902513,0.7922973957849184,2023-07,2024-06,2023-10,2024-09 +all_available_models,Original baseline,Global,4,12,39906,0.6998597408421992,0.8747952869085506,2023-07,2024-06,2023-10,2024-09 +all_available_models,Surface baseline,Global,4,12,39906,0.6974628480087567,0.801169707919219,2023-07,2024-06,2023-10,2024-09 +all_available_models,Joint baseline,Global,4,12,39906,0.6989974128641948,0.797129638031294,2023-07,2024-06,2023-10,2024-09 +all_available_models,CanSIPS-IC4,Global,4,12,39906,0.4060617215737052,1.0873890423119998,2023-07,2024-06,2023-10,2024-09 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,Global,4,12,39906,0.2433590526557703,1.4711568996474234,2023-07,2024-06,2023-10,2024-09 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,Global,4,12,39906,0.3186158042687929,1.4857924609301605,2023-07,2024-06,2023-10,2024-09 +all_available_models,Cutoff-2022 model,AO,4,12,5419,0.853970566300209,0.6681922578320986,2023-07,2024-06,2023-10,2024-09 +all_available_models,Seasonal baseline,AO,4,12,5419,0.733711555213333,0.900935810483147,2023-07,2024-06,2023-10,2024-09 +all_available_models,Original baseline,AO,4,12,5419,0.7515281091381191,0.9722106829950412,2023-07,2024-06,2023-10,2024-09 +all_available_models,Surface baseline,AO,4,12,5419,0.7330714051211946,0.8950126951858774,2023-07,2024-06,2023-10,2024-09 +all_available_models,Joint baseline,AO,4,12,5419,0.7368769931450712,0.8955159908556068,2023-07,2024-06,2023-10,2024-09 +all_available_models,CanSIPS-IC4,AO,4,12,5419,0.6324468167334715,0.9227228183898264,2023-07,2024-06,2023-10,2024-09 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,AO,4,12,5419,-0.1498490223191141,1.3514437801538997,2023-07,2024-06,2023-10,2024-09 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,AO,4,12,5419,-0.0094663292938416,1.4879863281420442,2023-07,2024-06,2023-10,2024-09 +all_available_models,Cutoff-2022 model,PDO,4,12,4113,0.7371493889038785,0.8550588451572599,2023-07,2024-06,2023-10,2024-09 +all_available_models,Seasonal baseline,PDO,4,12,4113,0.5655106748181354,1.1022025751582605,2023-07,2024-06,2023-10,2024-09 +all_available_models,Original baseline,PDO,4,12,4113,0.5478861658733619,1.1694751256884657,2023-07,2024-06,2023-10,2024-09 +all_available_models,Surface baseline,PDO,4,12,4113,0.5426093138267946,1.1224150847731889,2023-07,2024-06,2023-10,2024-09 +all_available_models,Joint baseline,PDO,4,12,4113,0.5518600749302298,1.112732410317715,2023-07,2024-06,2023-10,2024-09 +all_available_models,CanSIPS-IC4,PDO,4,12,4113,0.5193167213604905,1.2676025048914807,2023-07,2024-06,2023-10,2024-09 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,PDO,4,12,4113,0.378520213623724,1.4522315174403453,2023-07,2024-06,2023-10,2024-09 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,PDO,4,12,4113,0.4584993444619103,1.3617734838943187,2023-07,2024-06,2023-10,2024-09 +all_available_models,Cutoff-2022 model,WP,4,12,8373,0.8306388015853935,0.5445272752391289,2023-07,2024-06,2023-10,2024-09 +all_available_models,Seasonal baseline,WP,4,12,8373,0.8436578295871066,0.6672453101214122,2023-07,2024-06,2023-10,2024-09 +all_available_models,Original baseline,WP,4,12,8373,0.8360091316946976,0.7844374098547922,2023-07,2024-06,2023-10,2024-09 +all_available_models,Surface baseline,WP,4,12,8373,0.8465034472653384,0.6953043926696519,2023-07,2024-06,2023-10,2024-09 +all_available_models,Joint baseline,WP,4,12,8373,0.8462729182782165,0.6812200064052264,2023-07,2024-06,2023-10,2024-09 +all_available_models,CanSIPS-IC4,WP,4,12,8373,0.3960393610183871,1.0123047102410108,2023-07,2024-06,2023-10,2024-09 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,WP,4,12,8373,0.1385414600261772,1.4731278740556355,2023-07,2024-06,2023-10,2024-09 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,WP,4,12,8373,0.2753435227249901,1.3389754775006215,2023-07,2024-06,2023-10,2024-09 +all_available_models,Cutoff-2022 model,Nino3.4,4,12,500,0.6308568177040387,0.8109211987614064,2023-07,2024-06,2023-10,2024-09 +all_available_models,Seasonal baseline,Nino3.4,4,12,500,0.7031806823097658,1.0038547241019011,2023-07,2024-06,2023-10,2024-09 +all_available_models,Original baseline,Nino3.4,4,12,500,0.6701166102868571,1.1477718060840558,2023-07,2024-06,2023-10,2024-09 +all_available_models,Surface baseline,Nino3.4,4,12,500,0.7469322634286848,1.107344861555393,2023-07,2024-06,2023-10,2024-09 +all_available_models,Joint baseline,Nino3.4,4,12,500,0.7253233129562279,1.0583659455471972,2023-07,2024-06,2023-10,2024-09 +all_available_models,CanSIPS-IC4,Nino3.4,4,12,500,0.3997337033141633,1.901671855242098,2023-07,2024-06,2023-10,2024-09 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,Nino3.4,4,12,500,0.6057996856865929,1.0924149839951758,2023-07,2024-06,2023-10,2024-09 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,Nino3.4,4,12,500,0.6747883589841478,1.5853540718644938,2023-07,2024-06,2023-10,2024-09 +all_available_models,Cutoff-2022 model,SIO,4,12,2783,0.6468752922139867,0.7587210282469472,2023-07,2024-06,2023-10,2024-09 +all_available_models,Seasonal baseline,SIO,4,12,2783,0.604349221081281,0.8069686640382971,2023-07,2024-06,2023-10,2024-09 +all_available_models,Original baseline,SIO,4,12,2783,0.5632823787946749,0.8729293402078405,2023-07,2024-06,2023-10,2024-09 +all_available_models,Surface baseline,SIO,4,12,2783,0.6140559856779092,0.8046855029488443,2023-07,2024-06,2023-10,2024-09 +all_available_models,Joint baseline,SIO,4,12,2783,0.6103152817858094,0.8053381518956271,2023-07,2024-06,2023-10,2024-09 +all_available_models,CanSIPS-IC4,SIO,4,12,2783,0.455503763049832,0.969737073481718,2023-07,2024-06,2023-10,2024-09 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,SIO,4,12,2783,0.5611503869929512,1.3997916837678108,2023-07,2024-06,2023-10,2024-09 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,SIO,4,12,2783,0.5589040291515245,1.520569314471631,2023-07,2024-06,2023-10,2024-09 +all_available_models,Cutoff-2022 model,SPO,4,12,2486,0.6879352464995452,0.6932752938383809,2023-07,2024-06,2023-10,2024-09 +all_available_models,Seasonal baseline,SPO,4,12,2486,0.7358529144458102,0.7035681131427236,2023-07,2024-06,2023-10,2024-09 +all_available_models,Original baseline,SPO,4,12,2486,0.7239389482167651,0.7853415962252702,2023-07,2024-06,2023-10,2024-09 +all_available_models,Surface baseline,SPO,4,12,2486,0.7612310861941362,0.6854128611015057,2023-07,2024-06,2023-10,2024-09 +all_available_models,Joint baseline,SPO,4,12,2486,0.7514882885942383,0.6937042681604182,2023-07,2024-06,2023-10,2024-09 +all_available_models,CanSIPS-IC4,SPO,4,12,2486,0.5316743868508276,0.8194356721460525,2023-07,2024-06,2023-10,2024-09 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,SPO,4,12,2486,0.650523011107787,1.039361875658198,2023-07,2024-06,2023-10,2024-09 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,SPO,4,12,2486,0.6590421232006071,1.1248431423094023,2023-07,2024-06,2023-10,2024-09 +all_available_models,Cutoff-2022 model,SAO,4,12,1307,0.6401470707781718,0.6460978453391056,2023-07,2024-06,2023-10,2024-09 +all_available_models,Seasonal baseline,SAO,4,12,1307,0.3678748113093159,0.7806546233647159,2023-07,2024-06,2023-10,2024-09 +all_available_models,Original baseline,SAO,4,12,1307,0.3306848434145029,0.7961277778832377,2023-07,2024-06,2023-10,2024-09 +all_available_models,Surface baseline,SAO,4,12,1307,0.3743473234936506,0.7773579770359538,2023-07,2024-06,2023-10,2024-09 +all_available_models,Joint baseline,SAO,4,12,1307,0.3710168917901493,0.7786039597230705,2023-07,2024-06,2023-10,2024-09 +all_available_models,CanSIPS-IC4,SAO,4,12,1307,0.4287048454530964,1.0201160575251895,2023-07,2024-06,2023-10,2024-09 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,SAO,4,12,1307,0.4216228009237747,1.5130777934273942,2023-07,2024-06,2023-10,2024-09 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,SAO,4,12,1307,0.4133086261714156,1.8825920722318292,2023-07,2024-06,2023-10,2024-09 +all_available_models,Cutoff-2022 model,Global,5,12,39906,0.7331003824970236,0.6980340082910151,2023-07,2024-06,2023-11,2024-10 +all_available_models,Seasonal baseline,Global,5,12,39906,0.6888076065640695,0.7947365931105476,2023-07,2024-06,2023-11,2024-10 +all_available_models,Original baseline,Global,5,12,39906,0.6843301567331818,0.8753295798245868,2023-07,2024-06,2023-11,2024-10 +all_available_models,Surface baseline,Global,5,12,39906,0.6864838460753506,0.8023599481681641,2023-07,2024-06,2023-11,2024-10 +all_available_models,Joint baseline,Global,5,12,39906,0.6872069081086339,0.7997321895492414,2023-07,2024-06,2023-11,2024-10 +all_available_models,CanSIPS-IC4,Global,5,12,39906,0.2883725054792262,1.1797113651447106,2023-07,2024-06,2023-11,2024-10 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,Global,5,12,39906,0.221371946417286,1.533205577995402,2023-07,2024-06,2023-11,2024-10 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,Global,5,12,39906,0.3007745349717803,1.5696643209469456,2023-07,2024-06,2023-11,2024-10 +all_available_models,Cutoff-2022 model,AO,5,12,5419,0.843935245087279,0.6927045700631603,2023-07,2024-06,2023-11,2024-10 +all_available_models,Seasonal baseline,AO,5,12,5419,0.7366808227906446,0.9107107012629668,2023-07,2024-06,2023-11,2024-10 +all_available_models,Original baseline,AO,5,12,5419,0.7558183680930132,0.9843268464807784,2023-07,2024-06,2023-11,2024-10 +all_available_models,Surface baseline,AO,5,12,5419,0.742348410789338,0.902149655746727,2023-07,2024-06,2023-11,2024-10 +all_available_models,Joint baseline,AO,5,12,5419,0.7450542686304148,0.9038356230780392,2023-07,2024-06,2023-11,2024-10 +all_available_models,CanSIPS-IC4,AO,5,12,5419,0.6353234207626849,0.9327763891565478,2023-07,2024-06,2023-11,2024-10 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,AO,5,12,5419,-0.1911696587311528,1.435447957471204,2023-07,2024-06,2023-11,2024-10 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,AO,5,12,5419,-0.0246464272033375,1.5841719674924126,2023-07,2024-06,2023-11,2024-10 +all_available_models,Cutoff-2022 model,PDO,5,12,4113,0.7219751745093385,0.8886212752294369,2023-07,2024-06,2023-11,2024-10 +all_available_models,Seasonal baseline,PDO,5,12,4113,0.5488348863979011,1.1392987986935936,2023-07,2024-06,2023-11,2024-10 +all_available_models,Original baseline,PDO,5,12,4113,0.5422084580604303,1.2013839111450124,2023-07,2024-06,2023-11,2024-10 +all_available_models,Surface baseline,PDO,5,12,4113,0.5245474059237307,1.1594671543560684,2023-07,2024-06,2023-11,2024-10 +all_available_models,Joint baseline,PDO,5,12,4113,0.5312428760327741,1.151574140181075,2023-07,2024-06,2023-11,2024-10 +all_available_models,CanSIPS-IC4,PDO,5,12,4113,0.441791281134062,1.3723367504847377,2023-07,2024-06,2023-11,2024-10 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,PDO,5,12,4113,0.3909942478346739,1.4432981651742784,2023-07,2024-06,2023-11,2024-10 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,PDO,5,12,4113,0.4481572194604633,1.4018385192997378,2023-07,2024-06,2023-11,2024-10 +all_available_models,Cutoff-2022 model,WP,5,12,8373,0.802893803007819,0.5622091325250133,2023-07,2024-06,2023-11,2024-10 +all_available_models,Seasonal baseline,WP,5,12,8373,0.8275957498112114,0.6519558759700659,2023-07,2024-06,2023-11,2024-10 +all_available_models,Original baseline,WP,5,12,8373,0.8127187685596309,0.76390115162442,2023-07,2024-06,2023-11,2024-10 +all_available_models,Surface baseline,WP,5,12,8373,0.8380227659947533,0.6744063020057717,2023-07,2024-06,2023-11,2024-10 +all_available_models,Joint baseline,WP,5,12,8373,0.8345118649556759,0.6641865871360358,2023-07,2024-06,2023-11,2024-10 +all_available_models,CanSIPS-IC4,WP,5,12,8373,0.2435776704765397,1.104078091519079,2023-07,2024-06,2023-11,2024-10 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,WP,5,12,8373,0.0514320862275389,1.5705473306368862,2023-07,2024-06,2023-11,2024-10 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,WP,5,12,8373,0.2112495020968921,1.4230744758153728,2023-07,2024-06,2023-11,2024-10 +all_available_models,Cutoff-2022 model,Nino3.4,5,12,500,0.5983262183036864,0.8923459295198312,2023-07,2024-06,2023-11,2024-10 +all_available_models,Seasonal baseline,Nino3.4,5,12,500,0.6951797351782449,0.9865110531221049,2023-07,2024-06,2023-11,2024-10 +all_available_models,Original baseline,Nino3.4,5,12,500,0.6606936069902843,1.1058105981647863,2023-07,2024-06,2023-11,2024-10 +all_available_models,Surface baseline,Nino3.4,5,12,500,0.7255965589797352,1.0752620770012211,2023-07,2024-06,2023-11,2024-10 +all_available_models,Joint baseline,Nino3.4,5,12,500,0.7101767237859448,1.0358775583073785,2023-07,2024-06,2023-11,2024-10 +all_available_models,CanSIPS-IC4,Nino3.4,5,12,500,0.3493243198930769,1.8712786645974275,2023-07,2024-06,2023-11,2024-10 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,Nino3.4,5,12,500,0.5426894284800462,1.3270514291747777,2023-07,2024-06,2023-11,2024-10 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,Nino3.4,5,12,500,0.6446759008756109,1.966625888299079,2023-07,2024-06,2023-11,2024-10 +all_available_models,Cutoff-2022 model,SIO,5,12,2783,0.6217047112176616,0.7809859003719256,2023-07,2024-06,2023-11,2024-10 +all_available_models,Seasonal baseline,SIO,5,12,2783,0.6194346411108198,0.8058582628822882,2023-07,2024-06,2023-11,2024-10 +all_available_models,Original baseline,SIO,5,12,2783,0.5696152753498622,0.8787284692093389,2023-07,2024-06,2023-11,2024-10 +all_available_models,Surface baseline,SIO,5,12,2783,0.6215858867354073,0.8084003296907981,2023-07,2024-06,2023-11,2024-10 +all_available_models,Joint baseline,SIO,5,12,2783,0.619917411168386,0.8079461759214132,2023-07,2024-06,2023-11,2024-10 +all_available_models,CanSIPS-IC4,SIO,5,12,2783,0.3583584998563038,1.043494703978556,2023-07,2024-06,2023-11,2024-10 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,SIO,5,12,2783,0.5468375404745421,1.4761369744301756,2023-07,2024-06,2023-11,2024-10 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,SIO,5,12,2783,0.562464546576503,1.6274129709669949,2023-07,2024-06,2023-11,2024-10 +all_available_models,Cutoff-2022 model,SPO,5,12,2486,0.6653496797080801,0.7079229402507798,2023-07,2024-06,2023-11,2024-10 +all_available_models,Seasonal baseline,SPO,5,12,2486,0.7398186895789282,0.7064241947440569,2023-07,2024-06,2023-11,2024-10 +all_available_models,Original baseline,SPO,5,12,2486,0.7105819143121831,0.7946113330717313,2023-07,2024-06,2023-11,2024-10 +all_available_models,Surface baseline,SPO,5,12,2486,0.7650675611855301,0.6914015336353172,2023-07,2024-06,2023-11,2024-10 +all_available_models,Joint baseline,SPO,5,12,2486,0.7548079683977987,0.6993145936107684,2023-07,2024-06,2023-11,2024-10 +all_available_models,CanSIPS-IC4,SPO,5,12,2486,0.4821950636857837,0.8854455734953741,2023-07,2024-06,2023-11,2024-10 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,SPO,5,12,2486,0.6349071426511124,1.1064075893478655,2023-07,2024-06,2023-11,2024-10 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,SPO,5,12,2486,0.6404054218298284,1.3969220530626745,2023-07,2024-06,2023-11,2024-10 +all_available_models,Cutoff-2022 model,SAO,5,12,1307,0.6299639817343912,0.6450807320340263,2023-07,2024-06,2023-11,2024-10 +all_available_models,Seasonal baseline,SAO,5,12,1307,0.3632607725255983,0.7668542362740539,2023-07,2024-06,2023-11,2024-10 +all_available_models,Original baseline,SAO,5,12,1307,0.3168977471441542,0.7830031884684139,2023-07,2024-06,2023-11,2024-10 +all_available_models,Surface baseline,SAO,5,12,1307,0.3744349880637867,0.7616791159419365,2023-07,2024-06,2023-11,2024-10 +all_available_models,Joint baseline,SAO,5,12,1307,0.3706352465892028,0.7629289815667376,2023-07,2024-06,2023-11,2024-10 +all_available_models,CanSIPS-IC4,SAO,5,12,1307,0.4030339216155612,1.039577041562269,2023-07,2024-06,2023-11,2024-10 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,SAO,5,12,1307,0.427079410973106,1.6088148021041782,2023-07,2024-06,2023-11,2024-10 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,SAO,5,12,1307,0.419273086447996,1.903939885147163,2023-07,2024-06,2023-11,2024-10 +all_available_models,Cutoff-2022 model,Global,6,12,39906,0.7097361883365364,0.7135575685596204,2023-07,2024-06,2023-12,2024-11 +all_available_models,Seasonal baseline,Global,6,12,39906,0.6767246866195317,0.7932732617974916,2023-07,2024-06,2023-12,2024-11 +all_available_models,Original baseline,Global,6,12,39906,0.6687713640292333,0.8713639644871005,2023-07,2024-06,2023-12,2024-11 +all_available_models,Surface baseline,Global,6,12,39906,0.679628303429373,0.7975924885522829,2023-07,2024-06,2023-12,2024-11 +all_available_models,Joint baseline,Global,6,12,39906,0.6782516426751005,0.7966118572323253,2023-07,2024-06,2023-12,2024-11 +all_available_models,CanSIPS-IC4,Global,6,12,39906,0.181010269820538,1.2685417134664252,2023-07,2024-06,2023-12,2024-11 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,Global,6,12,39906,0.203418549399863,1.5684576312679086,2023-07,2024-06,2023-12,2024-11 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,Global,6,12,39906,0.2960811206919241,1.608884057428823,2023-07,2024-06,2023-12,2024-11 +all_available_models,Cutoff-2022 model,AO,6,12,5419,0.8436569452820875,0.7099844169573302,2023-07,2024-06,2023-12,2024-11 +all_available_models,Seasonal baseline,AO,6,12,5419,0.7473396844398835,0.9167082702135354,2023-07,2024-06,2023-12,2024-11 +all_available_models,Original baseline,AO,6,12,5419,0.760912066178682,0.9979348357814104,2023-07,2024-06,2023-12,2024-11 +all_available_models,Surface baseline,AO,6,12,5419,0.7506562594260742,0.9118738527072796,2023-07,2024-06,2023-12,2024-11 +all_available_models,Joint baseline,AO,6,12,5419,0.7536079202400691,0.9123770409436208,2023-07,2024-06,2023-12,2024-11 +all_available_models,CanSIPS-IC4,AO,6,12,5419,0.6212470945343743,0.902439633541346,2023-07,2024-06,2023-12,2024-11 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,AO,6,12,5419,-0.2070385791855764,1.538533970059229,2023-07,2024-06,2023-12,2024-11 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,AO,6,12,5419,-0.0348717369073687,1.6596420052638516,2023-07,2024-06,2023-12,2024-11 +all_available_models,Cutoff-2022 model,PDO,6,12,4113,0.710446200198993,0.906274563988558,2023-07,2024-06,2023-12,2024-11 +all_available_models,Seasonal baseline,PDO,6,12,4113,0.5392122736588466,1.154291449301481,2023-07,2024-06,2023-12,2024-11 +all_available_models,Original baseline,PDO,6,12,4113,0.5404453968044577,1.2103101653236514,2023-07,2024-06,2023-12,2024-11 +all_available_models,Surface baseline,PDO,6,12,4113,0.5153297376463695,1.171429917765055,2023-07,2024-06,2023-12,2024-11 +all_available_models,Joint baseline,PDO,6,12,4113,0.5229362705687931,1.1643492622751186,2023-07,2024-06,2023-12,2024-11 +all_available_models,CanSIPS-IC4,PDO,6,12,4113,0.3896113352835297,1.4155134289305011,2023-07,2024-06,2023-12,2024-11 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,PDO,6,12,4113,0.3840399201114619,1.431039937794072,2023-07,2024-06,2023-12,2024-11 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,PDO,6,12,4113,0.4329302459550612,1.44863951122666,2023-07,2024-06,2023-12,2024-11 +all_available_models,Cutoff-2022 model,WP,6,12,8373,0.768423305310137,0.579148581178778,2023-07,2024-06,2023-12,2024-11 +all_available_models,Seasonal baseline,WP,6,12,8373,0.8060029762759554,0.6358898144501561,2023-07,2024-06,2023-12,2024-11 +all_available_models,Original baseline,WP,6,12,8373,0.7806856327924577,0.7440503346103301,2023-07,2024-06,2023-12,2024-11 +all_available_models,Surface baseline,WP,6,12,8373,0.8264355797918265,0.6517773536744624,2023-07,2024-06,2023-12,2024-11 +all_available_models,Joint baseline,WP,6,12,8373,0.8194977538702322,0.6447143794608277,2023-07,2024-06,2023-12,2024-11 +all_available_models,CanSIPS-IC4,WP,6,12,8373,0.056086533563922,1.2393297338788425,2023-07,2024-06,2023-12,2024-11 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,WP,6,12,8373,-0.018622043902903,1.6169033562154127,2023-07,2024-06,2023-12,2024-11 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,WP,6,12,8373,0.1626223119770178,1.49117339841866,2023-07,2024-06,2023-12,2024-11 +all_available_models,Cutoff-2022 model,Nino3.4,6,12,500,0.5626885224804944,0.9383013049995124,2023-07,2024-06,2023-12,2024-11 +all_available_models,Seasonal baseline,Nino3.4,6,12,500,0.6606771435134996,0.9238586538190412,2023-07,2024-06,2023-12,2024-11 +all_available_models,Original baseline,Nino3.4,6,12,500,0.6279282659169145,1.0321560206888374,2023-07,2024-06,2023-12,2024-11 +all_available_models,Surface baseline,Nino3.4,6,12,500,0.6700174834659102,0.9960502466062192,2023-07,2024-06,2023-12,2024-11 +all_available_models,Joint baseline,Nino3.4,6,12,500,0.6650750883878926,0.9638617309121568,2023-07,2024-06,2023-12,2024-11 +all_available_models,CanSIPS-IC4,Nino3.4,6,12,500,0.3205417707278615,1.9371869204778125,2023-07,2024-06,2023-12,2024-11 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,Nino3.4,6,12,500,0.5609545127179656,1.3536762943171936,2023-07,2024-06,2023-12,2024-11 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,Nino3.4,6,12,500,0.6663031594936938,2.250208958693151,2023-07,2024-06,2023-12,2024-11 +all_available_models,Cutoff-2022 model,SIO,6,12,2783,0.5908340063823293,0.8018882574784012,2023-07,2024-06,2023-12,2024-11 +all_available_models,Seasonal baseline,SIO,6,12,2783,0.6201406780243461,0.8113933467716214,2023-07,2024-06,2023-12,2024-11 +all_available_models,Original baseline,SIO,6,12,2783,0.570434881868126,0.8839675658577996,2023-07,2024-06,2023-12,2024-11 +all_available_models,Surface baseline,SIO,6,12,2783,0.6253732583698745,0.8114554669244537,2023-07,2024-06,2023-12,2024-11 +all_available_models,Joint baseline,SIO,6,12,2783,0.6227120144171178,0.8122391031295766,2023-07,2024-06,2023-12,2024-11 +all_available_models,CanSIPS-IC4,SIO,6,12,2783,0.2704909613016354,1.1157819330056804,2023-07,2024-06,2023-12,2024-11 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,SIO,6,12,2783,0.5319972589214746,1.618598860921324,2023-07,2024-06,2023-12,2024-11 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,SIO,6,12,2783,0.5773942153529165,1.6783260156548971,2023-07,2024-06,2023-12,2024-11 +all_available_models,Cutoff-2022 model,SPO,6,12,2486,0.6642310068275697,0.7051298325606676,2023-07,2024-06,2023-12,2024-11 +all_available_models,Seasonal baseline,SPO,6,12,2486,0.7393425873114694,0.7015832733715791,2023-07,2024-06,2023-12,2024-11 +all_available_models,Original baseline,SPO,6,12,2486,0.7029382325220395,0.7921747917772971,2023-07,2024-06,2023-12,2024-11 +all_available_models,Surface baseline,SPO,6,12,2486,0.7669912887914131,0.6888580367256908,2023-07,2024-06,2023-12,2024-11 +all_available_models,Joint baseline,SPO,6,12,2486,0.7539828133125347,0.6972216166113904,2023-07,2024-06,2023-12,2024-11 +all_available_models,CanSIPS-IC4,SPO,6,12,2486,0.4716269865537663,0.926679838630336,2023-07,2024-06,2023-12,2024-11 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,SPO,6,12,2486,0.6187342003408483,1.151396022926391,2023-07,2024-06,2023-12,2024-11 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,SPO,6,12,2486,0.6239854499144553,1.436273929807442,2023-07,2024-06,2023-12,2024-11 +all_available_models,Cutoff-2022 model,SAO,6,12,1307,0.6170240331691262,0.6423972606202757,2023-07,2024-06,2023-12,2024-11 +all_available_models,Seasonal baseline,SAO,6,12,1307,0.3809917257365949,0.7443859374349401,2023-07,2024-06,2023-12,2024-11 +all_available_models,Original baseline,SAO,6,12,1307,0.322336278868953,0.7661108475639694,2023-07,2024-06,2023-12,2024-11 +all_available_models,Surface baseline,SAO,6,12,1307,0.3911673030185275,0.7395617956911561,2023-07,2024-06,2023-12,2024-11 +all_available_models,Joint baseline,SAO,6,12,1307,0.3881558732554818,0.740315221340037,2023-07,2024-06,2023-12,2024-11 +all_available_models,CanSIPS-IC4,SAO,6,12,1307,0.3309367400862481,1.109020074178089,2023-07,2024-06,2023-12,2024-11 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,SAO,6,12,1307,0.3821494020386197,1.6399032974504524,2023-07,2024-06,2023-12,2024-11 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,SAO,6,12,1307,0.3996176527749159,1.898931413908492,2023-07,2024-06,2023-12,2024-11 +all_available_models,Cutoff-2022 model,Global,7,12,39906,0.6981859931195463,0.7130212398137742,2023-07,2024-06,2024-01,2024-12 +all_available_models,Seasonal baseline,Global,7,12,39906,0.6684989212561242,0.7854857529720535,2023-07,2024-06,2024-01,2024-12 +all_available_models,Original baseline,Global,7,12,39906,0.664220247835149,0.8588748874967793,2023-07,2024-06,2024-01,2024-12 +all_available_models,Surface baseline,Global,7,12,39906,0.6776744187076944,0.7855952258152668,2023-07,2024-06,2024-01,2024-12 +all_available_models,Joint baseline,Global,7,12,39906,0.6739155908522473,0.7863896736986273,2023-07,2024-06,2024-01,2024-12 +all_available_models,CanSIPS-IC4,Global,7,12,39906,0.0775650369708112,1.3547460091114896,2023-07,2024-06,2024-01,2024-12 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,Global,7,12,39906,0.1890577312526465,1.582326574198492,2023-07,2024-06,2024-01,2024-12 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,Global,7,12,39906,0.2980571919654469,1.6283417496915735,2023-07,2024-06,2024-01,2024-12 +all_available_models,Cutoff-2022 model,AO,7,12,5419,0.842514052268312,0.7101089580919588,2023-07,2024-06,2024-01,2024-12 +all_available_models,Seasonal baseline,AO,7,12,5419,0.7535481786326569,0.9167340048438156,2023-07,2024-06,2024-01,2024-12 +all_available_models,Original baseline,AO,7,12,5419,0.7676007421979186,1.0008973210714716,2023-07,2024-06,2024-01,2024-12 +all_available_models,Surface baseline,AO,7,12,5419,0.7548841577861719,0.9141137433405156,2023-07,2024-06,2024-01,2024-12 +all_available_models,Joint baseline,AO,7,12,5419,0.7578759745847673,0.9129971894789156,2023-07,2024-06,2024-01,2024-12 +all_available_models,CanSIPS-IC4,AO,7,12,5419,0.5568762064852412,0.9823484808396838,2023-07,2024-06,2024-01,2024-12 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,AO,7,12,5419,-0.2662856718480562,1.6759323754204487,2023-07,2024-06,2024-01,2024-12 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,AO,7,12,5419,-0.0103178716337336,1.5876797181556286,2023-07,2024-06,2024-01,2024-12 +all_available_models,Cutoff-2022 model,PDO,7,12,4113,0.6965003223726355,0.9250393450813262,2023-07,2024-06,2024-01,2024-12 +all_available_models,Seasonal baseline,PDO,7,12,4113,0.5264133917708963,1.169348904832746,2023-07,2024-06,2024-01,2024-12 +all_available_models,Original baseline,PDO,7,12,4113,0.539961893824986,1.2131670055299402,2023-07,2024-06,2024-01,2024-12 +all_available_models,Surface baseline,PDO,7,12,4113,0.5117228305303109,1.1782145908856505,2023-07,2024-06,2024-01,2024-12 +all_available_models,Joint baseline,PDO,7,12,4113,0.5167665918112324,1.1742635634294287,2023-07,2024-06,2024-01,2024-12 +all_available_models,CanSIPS-IC4,PDO,7,12,4113,0.3116248754442169,1.503196882223225,2023-07,2024-06,2024-01,2024-12 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,PDO,7,12,4113,0.3986042385079764,1.4164767069715254,2023-07,2024-06,2024-01,2024-12 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,PDO,7,12,4113,0.4179271738439625,1.4653826932941365,2023-07,2024-06,2024-01,2024-12 +all_available_models,Cutoff-2022 model,WP,7,12,8373,0.7530972782464342,0.5712489257599402,2023-07,2024-06,2024-01,2024-12 +all_available_models,Seasonal baseline,WP,7,12,8373,0.7936245380305414,0.6104836889536044,2023-07,2024-06,2024-01,2024-12 +all_available_models,Original baseline,WP,7,12,8373,0.7653418733883459,0.7116049229448984,2023-07,2024-06,2024-01,2024-12 +all_available_models,Surface baseline,WP,7,12,8373,0.8200215318917495,0.619464258729961,2023-07,2024-06,2024-01,2024-12 +all_available_models,Joint baseline,WP,7,12,8373,0.8108268511739464,0.6153989980412415,2023-07,2024-06,2024-01,2024-12 +all_available_models,CanSIPS-IC4,WP,7,12,8373,-0.0722378763489867,1.3566458924549418,2023-07,2024-06,2024-01,2024-12 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,WP,7,12,8373,-0.0897188522700015,1.640322584487757,2023-07,2024-06,2024-01,2024-12 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,WP,7,12,8373,0.1343033351049627,1.5202646932695152,2023-07,2024-06,2024-01,2024-12 +all_available_models,Cutoff-2022 model,Nino3.4,7,12,500,0.5899481974926569,0.9061070927564492,2023-07,2024-06,2024-01,2024-12 +all_available_models,Seasonal baseline,Nino3.4,7,12,500,0.689204137401069,0.799245091464523,2023-07,2024-06,2024-01,2024-12 +all_available_models,Original baseline,Nino3.4,7,12,500,0.6591312716073412,0.8889084529133897,2023-07,2024-06,2024-01,2024-12 +all_available_models,Surface baseline,Nino3.4,7,12,500,0.6902436259016683,0.8529792276809703,2023-07,2024-06,2024-01,2024-12 +all_available_models,Joint baseline,Nino3.4,7,12,500,0.6900147086733331,0.8272884499612254,2023-07,2024-06,2024-01,2024-12 +all_available_models,CanSIPS-IC4,Nino3.4,7,12,500,0.3212399321677386,2.0961685966358634,2023-07,2024-06,2024-01,2024-12 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,Nino3.4,7,12,500,0.550847626626699,1.3829419809003292,2023-07,2024-06,2024-01,2024-12 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,Nino3.4,7,12,500,0.6199842335985382,2.265769274017092,2023-07,2024-06,2024-01,2024-12 +all_available_models,Cutoff-2022 model,SIO,7,12,2783,0.5787876586014511,0.8046856603343698,2023-07,2024-06,2024-01,2024-12 +all_available_models,Seasonal baseline,SIO,7,12,2783,0.6151969315446372,0.8125070539256914,2023-07,2024-06,2024-01,2024-12 +all_available_models,Original baseline,SIO,7,12,2783,0.5720079695472633,0.8810840847736003,2023-07,2024-06,2024-01,2024-12 +all_available_models,Surface baseline,SIO,7,12,2783,0.6213980591066238,0.811238692091483,2023-07,2024-06,2024-01,2024-12 +all_available_models,Joint baseline,SIO,7,12,2783,0.6182945049073905,0.8128843127788371,2023-07,2024-06,2024-01,2024-12 +all_available_models,CanSIPS-IC4,SIO,7,12,2783,0.2137916851738124,1.1817962308497425,2023-07,2024-06,2024-01,2024-12 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,SIO,7,12,2783,0.5268988581548606,1.683895187149372,2023-07,2024-06,2024-01,2024-12 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,SIO,7,12,2783,0.5825784943490963,1.7557197289036126,2023-07,2024-06,2024-01,2024-12 +all_available_models,Cutoff-2022 model,SPO,7,12,2486,0.6828158772613935,0.6881908938474319,2023-07,2024-06,2024-01,2024-12 +all_available_models,Seasonal baseline,SPO,7,12,2486,0.7468088837133143,0.6901007953471217,2023-07,2024-06,2024-01,2024-12 +all_available_models,Original baseline,SPO,7,12,2486,0.7058552993526527,0.782110471537718,2023-07,2024-06,2024-01,2024-12 +all_available_models,Surface baseline,SPO,7,12,2486,0.767851683020376,0.6818154676077415,2023-07,2024-06,2024-01,2024-12 +all_available_models,Joint baseline,SPO,7,12,2486,0.7578220189957331,0.6886101511594955,2023-07,2024-06,2024-01,2024-12 +all_available_models,CanSIPS-IC4,SPO,7,12,2486,0.4327712918401945,0.9607993271073204,2023-07,2024-06,2024-01,2024-12 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,SPO,7,12,2486,0.6295208513456761,1.1749333760093486,2023-07,2024-06,2024-01,2024-12 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,SPO,7,12,2486,0.6346493891300418,1.4900133039308894,2023-07,2024-06,2024-01,2024-12 +all_available_models,Cutoff-2022 model,SAO,7,12,1307,0.6028568604692003,0.6376420258065135,2023-07,2024-06,2024-01,2024-12 +all_available_models,Seasonal baseline,SAO,7,12,1307,0.3841365519606342,0.7271027277626841,2023-07,2024-06,2024-01,2024-12 +all_available_models,Original baseline,SAO,7,12,1307,0.3300223880094221,0.7476818554805927,2023-07,2024-06,2024-01,2024-12 +all_available_models,Surface baseline,SAO,7,12,1307,0.3913180858922425,0.7231289789054354,2023-07,2024-06,2024-01,2024-12 +all_available_models,Joint baseline,SAO,7,12,1307,0.3888799406701544,0.7239346179802421,2023-07,2024-06,2024-01,2024-12 +all_available_models,CanSIPS-IC4,SAO,7,12,1307,0.2505083175402308,1.188917859147166,2023-07,2024-06,2024-01,2024-12 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,SAO,7,12,1307,0.3216157918742932,1.6779703525111551,2023-07,2024-06,2024-01,2024-12 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,SAO,7,12,1307,0.342927900329547,2.0525231063194123,2023-07,2024-06,2024-01,2024-12 +all_available_models,Cutoff-2022 model,Global,8,12,39906,0.6898495981569756,0.7101831688635795,2023-07,2024-06,2024-02,2025-01 +all_available_models,Seasonal baseline,Global,8,12,39906,0.6621859701392286,0.778768048309641,2023-07,2024-06,2024-02,2025-01 +all_available_models,Original baseline,Global,8,12,39906,0.6512131457613161,0.8509659108886859,2023-07,2024-06,2024-02,2025-01 +all_available_models,Surface baseline,Global,8,12,39906,0.6743191276891255,0.7766241113212281,2023-07,2024-06,2024-02,2025-01 +all_available_models,Joint baseline,Global,8,12,39906,0.668866396831343,0.7785549445839866,2023-07,2024-06,2024-02,2025-01 +all_available_models,CanSIPS-IC4,Global,8,12,39906,0.0213918563698793,1.4179142377456615,2023-07,2024-06,2024-02,2025-01 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,Global,8,12,39906,0.1829199460292795,1.5989395538980318,2023-07,2024-06,2024-02,2025-01 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,Global,8,12,39906,0.2999724594797764,1.6613919687204166,2023-07,2024-06,2024-02,2025-01 +all_available_models,Cutoff-2022 model,AO,8,12,5419,0.842095303729108,0.7058894624771391,2023-07,2024-06,2024-02,2025-01 +all_available_models,Seasonal baseline,AO,8,12,5419,0.7552554557267235,0.9216730817859916,2023-07,2024-06,2024-02,2025-01 +all_available_models,Original baseline,AO,8,12,5419,0.7814521323165797,1.0035644400725474,2023-07,2024-06,2024-02,2025-01 +all_available_models,Surface baseline,AO,8,12,5419,0.7555471338341765,0.9188130587906506,2023-07,2024-06,2024-02,2025-01 +all_available_models,Joint baseline,AO,8,12,5419,0.7581272772698576,0.9174053239166334,2023-07,2024-06,2024-02,2025-01 +all_available_models,CanSIPS-IC4,AO,8,12,5419,0.5687460770970247,1.0142638737022358,2023-07,2024-06,2024-02,2025-01 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,AO,8,12,5419,-0.2775686188406274,1.69692665091741,2023-07,2024-06,2024-02,2025-01 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,AO,8,12,5419,-0.00567089196821,1.4932803142447215,2023-07,2024-06,2024-02,2025-01 +all_available_models,Cutoff-2022 model,PDO,8,12,4113,0.698590773824273,0.9286393587800464,2023-07,2024-06,2024-02,2025-01 +all_available_models,Seasonal baseline,PDO,8,12,4113,0.5263177566156733,1.1767694500133024,2023-07,2024-06,2024-02,2025-01 +all_available_models,Original baseline,PDO,8,12,4113,0.54521736143453,1.2148642506563874,2023-07,2024-06,2024-02,2025-01 +all_available_models,Surface baseline,PDO,8,12,4113,0.516094376805153,1.1818277536584223,2023-07,2024-06,2024-02,2025-01 +all_available_models,Joint baseline,PDO,8,12,4113,0.515993242320676,1.181688516121186,2023-07,2024-06,2024-02,2025-01 +all_available_models,CanSIPS-IC4,PDO,8,12,4113,0.2919342319240183,1.5523674883895666,2023-07,2024-06,2024-02,2025-01 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,PDO,8,12,4113,0.4000129955944827,1.4115635281727437,2023-07,2024-06,2024-02,2025-01 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,PDO,8,12,4113,0.383141932572371,1.5363209690392268,2023-07,2024-06,2024-02,2025-01 +all_available_models,Cutoff-2022 model,WP,8,12,8373,0.7373919298586552,0.558578868670456,2023-07,2024-06,2024-02,2025-01 +all_available_models,Seasonal baseline,WP,8,12,8373,0.7773416846159047,0.585732053030414,2023-07,2024-06,2024-02,2025-01 +all_available_models,Original baseline,WP,8,12,8373,0.734493037990419,0.6817991898217388,2023-07,2024-06,2024-02,2025-01 +all_available_models,Surface baseline,WP,8,12,8373,0.8090249978946881,0.5886180178115367,2023-07,2024-06,2024-02,2025-01 +all_available_models,Joint baseline,WP,8,12,8373,0.7976263634902886,0.5871113721154949,2023-07,2024-06,2024-02,2025-01 +all_available_models,CanSIPS-IC4,WP,8,12,8373,-0.1520882468579387,1.424653656975561,2023-07,2024-06,2024-02,2025-01 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,WP,8,12,8373,-0.1088696071678143,1.640622631408806,2023-07,2024-06,2024-02,2025-01 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,WP,8,12,8373,0.1443850234912216,1.5246251319705717,2023-07,2024-06,2024-02,2025-01 +all_available_models,Cutoff-2022 model,Nino3.4,8,12,500,0.5891747627486895,0.8964471814740964,2023-07,2024-06,2024-02,2025-01 +all_available_models,Seasonal baseline,Nino3.4,8,12,500,0.6900888348243105,0.6884775486866923,2023-07,2024-06,2024-02,2025-01 +all_available_models,Original baseline,Nino3.4,8,12,500,0.6242192427894024,0.7639352279707476,2023-07,2024-06,2024-02,2025-01 +all_available_models,Surface baseline,Nino3.4,8,12,500,0.6950931832242615,0.7237914830210948,2023-07,2024-06,2024-02,2025-01 +all_available_models,Joint baseline,Nino3.4,8,12,500,0.6995081719704445,0.7042472831670887,2023-07,2024-06,2024-02,2025-01 +all_available_models,CanSIPS-IC4,Nino3.4,8,12,500,0.3408909989383278,2.109524747947269,2023-07,2024-06,2024-02,2025-01 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,Nino3.4,8,12,500,0.5501893846433733,1.4654025012165564,2023-07,2024-06,2024-02,2025-01 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,Nino3.4,8,12,500,0.5993568850539085,2.291814773441915,2023-07,2024-06,2024-02,2025-01 +all_available_models,Cutoff-2022 model,SIO,8,12,2783,0.5722312266435734,0.7976975888440592,2023-07,2024-06,2024-02,2025-01 +all_available_models,Seasonal baseline,SIO,8,12,2783,0.6074527313366357,0.8062838730303583,2023-07,2024-06,2024-02,2025-01 +all_available_models,Original baseline,SIO,8,12,2783,0.5556055604010053,0.8741899435692341,2023-07,2024-06,2024-02,2025-01 +all_available_models,Surface baseline,SIO,8,12,2783,0.6093748844344737,0.8059394243319898,2023-07,2024-06,2024-02,2025-01 +all_available_models,Joint baseline,SIO,8,12,2783,0.6083930967120329,0.8072168812671299,2023-07,2024-06,2024-02,2025-01 +all_available_models,CanSIPS-IC4,SIO,8,12,2783,0.2058145906451432,1.1975090888518998,2023-07,2024-06,2024-02,2025-01 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,SIO,8,12,2783,0.5179034544367027,1.7500287786511135,2023-07,2024-06,2024-02,2025-01 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,SIO,8,12,2783,0.5774198304620594,1.8455386933590232,2023-07,2024-06,2024-02,2025-01 +all_available_models,Cutoff-2022 model,SPO,8,12,2486,0.687317487005907,0.7071009438024938,2023-07,2024-06,2024-02,2025-01 +all_available_models,Seasonal baseline,SPO,8,12,2486,0.7569224085946326,0.7134129065723037,2023-07,2024-06,2024-02,2025-01 +all_available_models,Original baseline,SPO,8,12,2486,0.6990914457030396,0.8118426051964196,2023-07,2024-06,2024-02,2025-01 +all_available_models,Surface baseline,SPO,8,12,2486,0.7695518997515332,0.7089044355852154,2023-07,2024-06,2024-02,2025-01 +all_available_models,Joint baseline,SPO,8,12,2486,0.7647935419996221,0.7128050195327368,2023-07,2024-06,2024-02,2025-01 +all_available_models,CanSIPS-IC4,SPO,8,12,2486,0.3579128656578119,1.0583259445280395,2023-07,2024-06,2024-02,2025-01 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,SPO,8,12,2486,0.6195350267285317,1.229136908906733,2023-07,2024-06,2024-02,2025-01 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,SPO,8,12,2486,0.6191966190751028,1.6628799503598424,2023-07,2024-06,2024-02,2025-01 +all_available_models,Cutoff-2022 model,SAO,8,12,1307,0.6062979936088122,0.630481471342898,2023-07,2024-06,2024-02,2025-01 +all_available_models,Seasonal baseline,SAO,8,12,1307,0.4079992204807699,0.7170145616589395,2023-07,2024-06,2024-02,2025-01 +all_available_models,Original baseline,SAO,8,12,1307,0.3495943302457898,0.7448918043297739,2023-07,2024-06,2024-02,2025-01 +all_available_models,Surface baseline,SAO,8,12,1307,0.412656887333533,0.7139171690485016,2023-07,2024-06,2024-02,2025-01 +all_available_models,Joint baseline,SAO,8,12,1307,0.4119947839673176,0.7141379168769078,2023-07,2024-06,2024-02,2025-01 +all_available_models,CanSIPS-IC4,SAO,8,12,1307,0.0978935308166497,1.3492327986006507,2023-07,2024-06,2024-02,2025-01 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,SAO,8,12,1307,0.2646652306615429,1.7597531787234164,2023-07,2024-06,2024-02,2025-01 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,SAO,8,12,1307,0.3073234315263841,2.1380178288569742,2023-07,2024-06,2024-02,2025-01 +all_available_models,Cutoff-2022 model,Global,9,12,39906,0.6819668173448846,0.706359856260751,2023-07,2024-06,2024-03,2025-02 +all_available_models,Seasonal baseline,Global,9,12,39906,0.656435101852442,0.7696470582847821,2023-07,2024-06,2024-03,2025-02 +all_available_models,Original baseline,Global,9,12,39906,0.6361185326450766,0.8418845025691725,2023-07,2024-06,2024-03,2025-02 +all_available_models,Surface baseline,Global,9,12,39906,0.6698131183463443,0.7667455376922606,2023-07,2024-06,2024-03,2025-02 +all_available_models,Joint baseline,Global,9,12,39906,0.6626540550002878,0.769388284509069,2023-07,2024-06,2024-03,2025-02 +all_available_models,CanSIPS-IC4,Global,9,12,39906,-0.0492846990633751,1.4784345880537364,2023-07,2024-06,2024-03,2025-02 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,Global,9,12,39906,0.1662904433360884,1.637803981465292,2023-07,2024-06,2024-03,2025-02 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,Global,9,12,39906,0.3049432766556267,1.6630325807808355,2023-07,2024-06,2024-03,2025-02 +all_available_models,Cutoff-2022 model,AO,9,12,5419,0.8401309992725264,0.7035275418937234,2023-07,2024-06,2024-03,2025-02 +all_available_models,Seasonal baseline,AO,9,12,5419,0.7516278483879434,0.9265987280433532,2023-07,2024-06,2024-03,2025-02 +all_available_models,Original baseline,AO,9,12,5419,0.7881148092545261,1.0135955029588222,2023-07,2024-06,2024-03,2025-02 +all_available_models,Surface baseline,AO,9,12,5419,0.7521784751811755,0.9268710150936168,2023-07,2024-06,2024-03,2025-02 +all_available_models,Joint baseline,AO,9,12,5419,0.7526841255225039,0.9257559378104808,2023-07,2024-06,2024-03,2025-02 +all_available_models,CanSIPS-IC4,AO,9,12,5419,0.5702493128990808,1.007401329021508,2023-07,2024-06,2024-03,2025-02 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,AO,9,12,5419,-0.3135598496123302,1.7100135566135952,2023-07,2024-06,2024-03,2025-02 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,AO,9,12,5419,0.0219188493404353,1.4318900478928165,2023-07,2024-06,2024-03,2025-02 +all_available_models,Cutoff-2022 model,PDO,9,12,4113,0.7074078584431686,0.9297183713087028,2023-07,2024-06,2024-03,2025-02 +all_available_models,Seasonal baseline,PDO,9,12,4113,0.5202193488940127,1.1887233637564785,2023-07,2024-06,2024-03,2025-02 +all_available_models,Original baseline,PDO,9,12,4113,0.5474887701162209,1.221739055547023,2023-07,2024-06,2024-03,2025-02 +all_available_models,Surface baseline,PDO,9,12,4113,0.5204254580678699,1.1890076051650875,2023-07,2024-06,2024-03,2025-02 +all_available_models,Joint baseline,PDO,9,12,4113,0.5128353865688507,1.192532559191145,2023-07,2024-06,2024-03,2025-02 +all_available_models,CanSIPS-IC4,PDO,9,12,4113,0.1900812815009859,1.6798596914717656,2023-07,2024-06,2024-03,2025-02 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,PDO,9,12,4113,0.3720834523683214,1.4762007573845626,2023-07,2024-06,2024-03,2025-02 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,PDO,9,12,4113,0.3746492555302184,1.5672015249927316,2023-07,2024-06,2024-03,2025-02 +all_available_models,Cutoff-2022 model,WP,9,12,8373,0.7134678956338715,0.5585351510898054,2023-07,2024-06,2024-03,2025-02 +all_available_models,Seasonal baseline,WP,9,12,8373,0.7564191266933493,0.5697338223514439,2023-07,2024-06,2024-03,2025-02 +all_available_models,Original baseline,WP,9,12,8373,0.6990934577670601,0.6593371882845335,2023-07,2024-06,2024-03,2025-02 +all_available_models,Surface baseline,WP,9,12,8373,0.7923764235290669,0.5667318762925679,2023-07,2024-06,2024-03,2025-02 +all_available_models,Joint baseline,WP,9,12,8373,0.7778758147581072,0.5683978589471085,2023-07,2024-06,2024-03,2025-02 +all_available_models,CanSIPS-IC4,WP,9,12,8373,-0.2218054946965199,1.4779012769855846,2023-07,2024-06,2024-03,2025-02 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,WP,9,12,8373,-0.1412997388706341,1.6659199435171677,2023-07,2024-06,2024-03,2025-02 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,WP,9,12,8373,0.1155290889963516,1.5320332243345762,2023-07,2024-06,2024-03,2025-02 +all_available_models,Cutoff-2022 model,Nino3.4,9,12,500,0.5750468895318274,0.89311930265042,2023-07,2024-06,2024-03,2025-02 +all_available_models,Seasonal baseline,Nino3.4,9,12,500,0.6669445557863627,0.603458456588892,2023-07,2024-06,2024-03,2025-02 +all_available_models,Original baseline,Nino3.4,9,12,500,0.5909372168493492,0.656525639992996,2023-07,2024-06,2024-03,2025-02 +all_available_models,Surface baseline,Nino3.4,9,12,500,0.679896273874535,0.6136934911235551,2023-07,2024-06,2024-03,2025-02 +all_available_models,Joint baseline,Nino3.4,9,12,500,0.6861482542972562,0.6038938424167457,2023-07,2024-06,2024-03,2025-02 +all_available_models,CanSIPS-IC4,Nino3.4,9,12,500,0.3097353406364375,2.20092384228937,2023-07,2024-06,2024-03,2025-02 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,Nino3.4,9,12,500,0.5779747695974254,1.5180469221951534,2023-07,2024-06,2024-03,2025-02 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,Nino3.4,9,12,500,0.6220582740952154,2.1092736033067805,2023-07,2024-06,2024-03,2025-02 +all_available_models,Cutoff-2022 model,SIO,9,12,2783,0.5608492765257984,0.7799460252620668,2023-07,2024-06,2024-03,2025-02 +all_available_models,Seasonal baseline,SIO,9,12,2783,0.6037650836615345,0.7821610408398842,2023-07,2024-06,2024-03,2025-02 +all_available_models,Original baseline,SIO,9,12,2783,0.5412016405784857,0.8512697409243212,2023-07,2024-06,2024-03,2025-02 +all_available_models,Surface baseline,SIO,9,12,2783,0.5972652036463633,0.7852380703638144,2023-07,2024-06,2024-03,2025-02 +all_available_models,Joint baseline,SIO,9,12,2783,0.6004594472271613,0.7842971364959941,2023-07,2024-06,2024-03,2025-02 +all_available_models,CanSIPS-IC4,SIO,9,12,2783,0.2085236074300608,1.15386401059053,2023-07,2024-06,2024-03,2025-02 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,SIO,9,12,2783,0.516346243204795,1.841439719774312,2023-07,2024-06,2024-03,2025-02 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,SIO,9,12,2783,0.5966497725647529,1.9214256282329671,2023-07,2024-06,2024-03,2025-02 +all_available_models,Cutoff-2022 model,SPO,9,12,2486,0.6788501350195277,0.7336269910789672,2023-07,2024-06,2024-03,2025-02 +all_available_models,Seasonal baseline,SPO,9,12,2486,0.7486137534942793,0.7390005414141614,2023-07,2024-06,2024-03,2025-02 +all_available_models,Original baseline,SPO,9,12,2486,0.6609248950768948,0.8435661944763441,2023-07,2024-06,2024-03,2025-02 +all_available_models,Surface baseline,SPO,9,12,2486,0.7590675523742375,0.7357214805710373,2023-07,2024-06,2024-03,2025-02 +all_available_models,Joint baseline,SPO,9,12,2486,0.7564316132014719,0.7373643759397605,2023-07,2024-06,2024-03,2025-02 +all_available_models,CanSIPS-IC4,SPO,9,12,2486,0.3222284400187802,1.0649480871501606,2023-07,2024-06,2024-03,2025-02 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,SPO,9,12,2486,0.6472462639928277,1.2015628620405268,2023-07,2024-06,2024-03,2025-02 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,SPO,9,12,2486,0.6466257635280895,1.513409671597046,2023-07,2024-06,2024-03,2025-02 +all_available_models,Cutoff-2022 model,SAO,9,12,1307,0.5792869067636809,0.6302710130204945,2023-07,2024-06,2024-03,2025-02 +all_available_models,Seasonal baseline,SAO,9,12,1307,0.4123133212373284,0.6924982555935704,2023-07,2024-06,2024-03,2025-02 +all_available_models,Original baseline,SAO,9,12,1307,0.3559101226012799,0.7209334311158447,2023-07,2024-06,2024-03,2025-02 +all_available_models,Surface baseline,SAO,9,12,1307,0.4097035579144405,0.6929107092207614,2023-07,2024-06,2024-03,2025-02 +all_available_models,Joint baseline,SAO,9,12,1307,0.4139071916513364,0.6913480722144668,2023-07,2024-06,2024-03,2025-02 +all_available_models,CanSIPS-IC4,SAO,9,12,1307,0.0175673990387517,1.444961377661153,2023-07,2024-06,2024-03,2025-02 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,SAO,9,12,1307,0.1916463397633845,1.809084442261389,2023-07,2024-06,2024-03,2025-02 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,SAO,9,12,1307,0.243936096626687,2.2375882896859194,2023-07,2024-06,2024-03,2025-02 +all_available_models,Cutoff-2022 model,Global,10,12,39906,0.6786814439380714,0.7009111195640281,2023-07,2024-06,2024-04,2025-03 +all_available_models,Seasonal baseline,Global,10,12,39906,0.647851875466552,0.7641468209452401,2023-07,2024-06,2024-04,2025-03 +all_available_models,Original baseline,Global,10,12,39906,0.6201817279105789,0.8370022468253162,2023-07,2024-06,2024-04,2025-03 +all_available_models,Surface baseline,Global,10,12,39906,0.6648815350294223,0.7601628027709046,2023-07,2024-06,2024-04,2025-03 +all_available_models,Joint baseline,Global,10,12,39906,0.6555435277597658,0.7633123219399081,2023-07,2024-06,2024-04,2025-03 +all_available_models,CanSIPS-IC4,Global,10,12,39906,-0.0967857142293051,1.5291626619851948,2023-07,2024-06,2024-04,2025-03 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,Global,10,12,39906,0.1640642429475261,1.6451471712991652,2023-07,2024-06,2024-04,2025-03 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,Global,10,12,39906,0.298603946996775,1.6713101714243914,2023-07,2024-06,2024-04,2025-03 +all_available_models,Cutoff-2022 model,AO,10,12,5419,0.8427481716960038,0.6849853751503839,2023-07,2024-06,2024-04,2025-03 +all_available_models,Seasonal baseline,AO,10,12,5419,0.7534600867581331,0.9134630855077266,2023-07,2024-06,2024-04,2025-03 +all_available_models,Original baseline,AO,10,12,5419,0.8014643780845594,1.0111023803971415,2023-07,2024-06,2024-04,2025-03 +all_available_models,Surface baseline,AO,10,12,5419,0.7559358631521792,0.9195975704808008,2023-07,2024-06,2024-04,2025-03 +all_available_models,Joint baseline,AO,10,12,5419,0.754254528624625,0.916714071755908,2023-07,2024-06,2024-04,2025-03 +all_available_models,CanSIPS-IC4,AO,10,12,5419,0.5543761661443488,0.9943458905566496,2023-07,2024-06,2024-04,2025-03 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,AO,10,12,5419,-0.3795600049309205,1.7184018398927494,2023-07,2024-06,2024-04,2025-03 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,AO,10,12,5419,0.0049331849104231,1.4217308581414414,2023-07,2024-06,2024-04,2025-03 +all_available_models,Cutoff-2022 model,PDO,10,12,4113,0.7286720423279407,0.9212781179299566,2023-07,2024-06,2024-04,2025-03 +all_available_models,Seasonal baseline,PDO,10,12,4113,0.5153598667459754,1.1953643464845038,2023-07,2024-06,2024-04,2025-03 +all_available_models,Original baseline,PDO,10,12,4113,0.5573684591918974,1.224003213665351,2023-07,2024-06,2024-04,2025-03 +all_available_models,Surface baseline,PDO,10,12,4113,0.531544184591172,1.189102906474501,2023-07,2024-06,2024-04,2025-03 +all_available_models,Joint baseline,PDO,10,12,4113,0.514499332825981,1.196272843463261,2023-07,2024-06,2024-04,2025-03 +all_available_models,CanSIPS-IC4,PDO,10,12,4113,0.0897587916501574,1.7961736786208222,2023-07,2024-06,2024-04,2025-03 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,PDO,10,12,4113,0.374199736155012,1.4882400433913716,2023-07,2024-06,2024-04,2025-03 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,PDO,10,12,4113,0.3461572830178255,1.6392991690839842,2023-07,2024-06,2024-04,2025-03 +all_available_models,Cutoff-2022 model,WP,10,12,8373,0.6915638786648945,0.5645575324858513,2023-07,2024-06,2024-04,2025-03 +all_available_models,Seasonal baseline,WP,10,12,8373,0.7246625943306976,0.5734391603363664,2023-07,2024-06,2024-04,2025-03 +all_available_models,Original baseline,WP,10,12,8373,0.64982893701135,0.6587354721144094,2023-07,2024-06,2024-04,2025-03 +all_available_models,Surface baseline,WP,10,12,8373,0.7692451599044343,0.5645478355838642,2023-07,2024-06,2024-04,2025-03 +all_available_models,Joint baseline,WP,10,12,8373,0.7498823713084911,0.5692326055839272,2023-07,2024-06,2024-04,2025-03 +all_available_models,CanSIPS-IC4,WP,10,12,8373,-0.270084928553128,1.5622644528563263,2023-07,2024-06,2024-04,2025-03 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,WP,10,12,8373,-0.1709227374368614,1.6978446720609794,2023-07,2024-06,2024-04,2025-03 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,WP,10,12,8373,0.0875959595050744,1.553651538662569,2023-07,2024-06,2024-04,2025-03 +all_available_models,Cutoff-2022 model,Nino3.4,10,12,500,0.4994012196089519,0.8415893728948523,2023-07,2024-06,2024-04,2025-03 +all_available_models,Seasonal baseline,Nino3.4,10,12,500,0.5839360372790349,0.5558504993044252,2023-07,2024-06,2024-04,2025-03 +all_available_models,Original baseline,Nino3.4,10,12,500,0.5420323333568372,0.5818660259403352,2023-07,2024-06,2024-04,2025-03 +all_available_models,Surface baseline,Nino3.4,10,12,500,0.6041177930850196,0.5412907323713859,2023-07,2024-06,2024-04,2025-03 +all_available_models,Joint baseline,Nino3.4,10,12,500,0.6033332699174393,0.544923452911551,2023-07,2024-06,2024-04,2025-03 +all_available_models,CanSIPS-IC4,Nino3.4,10,12,500,0.2166335328378513,2.376048305805499,2023-07,2024-06,2024-04,2025-03 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,Nino3.4,10,12,500,0.4733467028577445,1.5917234860455065,2023-07,2024-06,2024-04,2025-03 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,Nino3.4,10,12,500,0.4920643837798895,1.9987486115001043,2023-07,2024-06,2024-04,2025-03 +all_available_models,Cutoff-2022 model,SIO,10,12,2783,0.5566184685428656,0.7690512155536646,2023-07,2024-06,2024-04,2025-03 +all_available_models,Seasonal baseline,SIO,10,12,2783,0.6145112255528,0.760165136211546,2023-07,2024-06,2024-04,2025-03 +all_available_models,Original baseline,SIO,10,12,2783,0.5568399735766448,0.8323217368771835,2023-07,2024-06,2024-04,2025-03 +all_available_models,Surface baseline,SIO,10,12,2783,0.6022388147039494,0.7671815149866588,2023-07,2024-06,2024-04,2025-03 +all_available_models,Joint baseline,SIO,10,12,2783,0.6088802262973421,0.7635944433547066,2023-07,2024-06,2024-04,2025-03 +all_available_models,CanSIPS-IC4,SIO,10,12,2783,0.1975384395456736,1.1514996388562464,2023-07,2024-06,2024-04,2025-03 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,SIO,10,12,2783,0.5174285951870129,1.8410118720296849,2023-07,2024-06,2024-04,2025-03 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,SIO,10,12,2783,0.611596085447576,1.992901875172703,2023-07,2024-06,2024-04,2025-03 +all_available_models,Cutoff-2022 model,SPO,10,12,2486,0.6900379622765325,0.7290155632529898,2023-07,2024-06,2024-04,2025-03 +all_available_models,Seasonal baseline,SPO,10,12,2486,0.7402274006857134,0.7523200851137686,2023-07,2024-06,2024-04,2025-03 +all_available_models,Original baseline,SPO,10,12,2486,0.6356047460014652,0.8590718962207388,2023-07,2024-06,2024-04,2025-03 +all_available_models,Surface baseline,SPO,10,12,2486,0.7505292109501873,0.7484346651357452,2023-07,2024-06,2024-04,2025-03 +all_available_models,Joint baseline,SPO,10,12,2486,0.7489674931715324,0.7486115172112364,2023-07,2024-06,2024-04,2025-03 +all_available_models,CanSIPS-IC4,SPO,10,12,2486,0.2787404151315817,1.07037950629135,2023-07,2024-06,2024-04,2025-03 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,SPO,10,12,2486,0.6542508728333326,1.1583788675410156,2023-07,2024-06,2024-04,2025-03 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,SPO,10,12,2486,0.6710132246908316,1.3758374544935457,2023-07,2024-06,2024-04,2025-03 +all_available_models,Cutoff-2022 model,SAO,10,12,1307,0.5666639588018898,0.6278450955893984,2023-07,2024-06,2024-04,2025-03 +all_available_models,Seasonal baseline,SAO,10,12,1307,0.4274089298039991,0.6725778927378953,2023-07,2024-06,2024-04,2025-03 +all_available_models,Original baseline,SAO,10,12,1307,0.4027411265933803,0.6969533889091715,2023-07,2024-06,2024-04,2025-03 +all_available_models,Surface baseline,SAO,10,12,1307,0.4212513758166454,0.6744004447781047,2023-07,2024-06,2024-04,2025-03 +all_available_models,Joint baseline,SAO,10,12,1307,0.4269300969538473,0.6723306629335053,2023-07,2024-06,2024-04,2025-03 +all_available_models,CanSIPS-IC4,SAO,10,12,1307,-0.0084986216134894,1.405855763431422,2023-07,2024-06,2024-04,2025-03 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,SAO,10,12,1307,0.1294916198446905,1.896519478656869,2023-07,2024-06,2024-04,2025-03 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,SAO,10,12,1307,0.2139079397327127,2.275330115430958,2023-07,2024-06,2024-04,2025-03 +all_available_models,Cutoff-2022 model,Global,11,12,39906,0.6757695359840556,0.692770413621879,2023-07,2024-06,2024-05,2025-04 +all_available_models,Seasonal baseline,Global,11,12,39906,0.6416029322092505,0.7548077612408103,2023-07,2024-06,2024-05,2025-04 +all_available_models,Original baseline,Global,11,12,39906,0.6087410669413457,0.8275549840662673,2023-07,2024-06,2024-05,2025-04 +all_available_models,Surface baseline,Global,11,12,39906,0.6633824694753472,0.7489880509193002,2023-07,2024-06,2024-05,2025-04 +all_available_models,Joint baseline,Global,11,12,39906,0.6518586193310981,0.7528033680227073,2023-07,2024-06,2024-05,2025-04 +all_available_models,CanSIPS-IC4,Global,11,12,39906,-0.1484354403082148,1.592184584134522,2023-07,2024-06,2024-05,2025-04 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,Global,11,12,39906,0.1466949667497226,1.6618555510855089,2023-07,2024-06,2024-05,2025-04 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,Global,11,12,39906,0.2853073716246424,1.6928141920139423,2023-07,2024-06,2024-05,2025-04 +all_available_models,Cutoff-2022 model,AO,11,12,5419,0.8429209758805402,0.6827774963119523,2023-07,2024-06,2024-05,2025-04 +all_available_models,Seasonal baseline,AO,11,12,5419,0.7557205676496482,0.8996401926098395,2023-07,2024-06,2024-05,2025-04 +all_available_models,Original baseline,AO,11,12,5419,0.8065382292736428,1.007856271781726,2023-07,2024-06,2024-05,2025-04 +all_available_models,Surface baseline,AO,11,12,5419,0.7594961063148306,0.9101707193353508,2023-07,2024-06,2024-05,2025-04 +all_available_models,Joint baseline,AO,11,12,5419,0.7574261604164997,0.9055516826003358,2023-07,2024-06,2024-05,2025-04 +all_available_models,CanSIPS-IC4,AO,11,12,5419,0.5463313963649422,1.0124356081803123,2023-07,2024-06,2024-05,2025-04 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,AO,11,12,5419,-0.4456754255065412,1.8055222055025724,2023-07,2024-06,2024-05,2025-04 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,AO,11,12,5419,-0.0173147408105547,1.3692656884263998,2023-07,2024-06,2024-05,2025-04 +all_available_models,Cutoff-2022 model,PDO,11,12,4113,0.7404925888899386,0.9180956795354162,2023-07,2024-06,2024-05,2025-04 +all_available_models,Seasonal baseline,PDO,11,12,4113,0.5081541245961209,1.194226725361882,2023-07,2024-06,2024-05,2025-04 +all_available_models,Original baseline,PDO,11,12,4113,0.5415392899467927,1.2269906738271292,2023-07,2024-06,2024-05,2025-04 +all_available_models,Surface baseline,PDO,11,12,4113,0.5345672239430148,1.1853069264773637,2023-07,2024-06,2024-05,2025-04 +all_available_models,Joint baseline,PDO,11,12,4113,0.5125307935548166,1.1939593576451069,2023-07,2024-06,2024-05,2025-04 +all_available_models,CanSIPS-IC4,PDO,11,12,4113,0.0116310466146369,1.8907583227383284,2023-07,2024-06,2024-05,2025-04 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,PDO,11,12,4113,0.3428558466197889,1.5591333414674289,2023-07,2024-06,2024-05,2025-04 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,PDO,11,12,4113,0.344000676598003,1.7025293583350989,2023-07,2024-06,2024-05,2025-04 +all_available_models,Cutoff-2022 model,WP,11,12,8373,0.6837989975403724,0.5587147372152946,2023-07,2024-06,2024-05,2025-04 +all_available_models,Seasonal baseline,WP,11,12,8373,0.7090919753480782,0.5689860962996297,2023-07,2024-06,2024-05,2025-04 +all_available_models,Original baseline,WP,11,12,8373,0.6258299029573678,0.6493018511333838,2023-07,2024-06,2024-05,2025-04 +all_available_models,Surface baseline,WP,11,12,8373,0.758930470931804,0.5558532214127789,2023-07,2024-06,2024-05,2025-04 +all_available_models,Joint baseline,WP,11,12,8373,0.7368190528630238,0.5624018184164515,2023-07,2024-06,2024-05,2025-04 +all_available_models,CanSIPS-IC4,WP,11,12,8373,-0.3183751062407773,1.6598957958090048,2023-07,2024-06,2024-05,2025-04 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,WP,11,12,8373,-0.201209083111172,1.7226517381159792,2023-07,2024-06,2024-05,2025-04 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,WP,11,12,8373,0.0527321334521747,1.607719512443049,2023-07,2024-06,2024-05,2025-04 +all_available_models,Cutoff-2022 model,Nino3.4,11,12,500,0.4330181050008033,0.7777861153185736,2023-07,2024-06,2024-05,2025-04 +all_available_models,Seasonal baseline,Nino3.4,11,12,500,0.5302492997469822,0.5116233234693344,2023-07,2024-06,2024-05,2025-04 +all_available_models,Original baseline,Nino3.4,11,12,500,0.4803424508432923,0.5220553969222864,2023-07,2024-06,2024-05,2025-04 +all_available_models,Surface baseline,Nino3.4,11,12,500,0.5546431045342984,0.4879598757298994,2023-07,2024-06,2024-05,2025-04 +all_available_models,Joint baseline,Nino3.4,11,12,500,0.5538332311896464,0.4963160246181856,2023-07,2024-06,2024-05,2025-04 +all_available_models,CanSIPS-IC4,Nino3.4,11,12,500,0.2305862207282697,2.563011173914933,2023-07,2024-06,2024-05,2025-04 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,Nino3.4,11,12,500,0.3631452860948547,1.4562348527680338,2023-07,2024-06,2024-05,2025-04 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,Nino3.4,11,12,500,0.4197461384241245,2.042168805732496,2023-07,2024-06,2024-05,2025-04 +all_available_models,Cutoff-2022 model,SIO,11,12,2783,0.5594757090620831,0.7509318241241745,2023-07,2024-06,2024-05,2025-04 +all_available_models,Seasonal baseline,SIO,11,12,2783,0.6201039811651515,0.7367848453289464,2023-07,2024-06,2024-05,2025-04 +all_available_models,Original baseline,SIO,11,12,2783,0.5603511906880145,0.8121427797029684,2023-07,2024-06,2024-05,2025-04 +all_available_models,Surface baseline,SIO,11,12,2783,0.608216048603972,0.745164964675995,2023-07,2024-06,2024-05,2025-04 +all_available_models,Joint baseline,SIO,11,12,2783,0.6143262458250669,0.7405936475655157,2023-07,2024-06,2024-05,2025-04 +all_available_models,CanSIPS-IC4,SIO,11,12,2783,0.1948204583914514,1.146773788026375,2023-07,2024-06,2024-05,2025-04 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,SIO,11,12,2783,0.5159000578409146,1.8414242593788552,2023-07,2024-06,2024-05,2025-04 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,SIO,11,12,2783,0.6167710571184716,1.995392942592204,2023-07,2024-06,2024-05,2025-04 +all_available_models,Cutoff-2022 model,SPO,11,12,2486,0.6884031155952054,0.7147899673643768,2023-07,2024-06,2024-05,2025-04 +all_available_models,Seasonal baseline,SPO,11,12,2486,0.7215169330222847,0.7455568388023431,2023-07,2024-06,2024-05,2025-04 +all_available_models,Original baseline,SPO,11,12,2486,0.6023722832478736,0.8490997695046377,2023-07,2024-06,2024-05,2025-04 +all_available_models,Surface baseline,SPO,11,12,2486,0.7383829924728266,0.7375998032642556,2023-07,2024-06,2024-05,2025-04 +all_available_models,Joint baseline,SPO,11,12,2486,0.7352793350273149,0.7385845484081265,2023-07,2024-06,2024-05,2025-04 +all_available_models,CanSIPS-IC4,SPO,11,12,2486,0.1969775688553302,1.1348902318233065,2023-07,2024-06,2024-05,2025-04 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,SPO,11,12,2486,0.645598156945496,1.1427058959361371,2023-07,2024-06,2024-05,2025-04 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,SPO,11,12,2486,0.6675932292445514,1.3538044466245642,2023-07,2024-06,2024-05,2025-04 +all_available_models,Cutoff-2022 model,SAO,11,12,1307,0.5660496888332313,0.623215972890656,2023-07,2024-06,2024-05,2025-04 +all_available_models,Seasonal baseline,SAO,11,12,1307,0.4575218580502179,0.6537815106295903,2023-07,2024-06,2024-05,2025-04 +all_available_models,Original baseline,SAO,11,12,1307,0.4364784473133027,0.6826148875590105,2023-07,2024-06,2024-05,2025-04 +all_available_models,Surface baseline,SAO,11,12,1307,0.4395177793082634,0.6602851714014902,2023-07,2024-06,2024-05,2025-04 +all_available_models,Joint baseline,SAO,11,12,1307,0.4489283523682015,0.6569030591413486,2023-07,2024-06,2024-05,2025-04 +all_available_models,CanSIPS-IC4,SAO,11,12,1307,-0.0104707387004593,1.3902533406383282,2023-07,2024-06,2024-05,2025-04 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,SAO,11,12,1307,0.0934287627891463,1.9364148448215963,2023-07,2024-06,2024-05,2025-04 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,SAO,11,12,1307,0.1880168324237548,2.398326087634475,2023-07,2024-06,2024-05,2025-04 +all_available_models,Cutoff-2022 model,Global,12,12,39906,0.6774734219329591,0.6796821110414146,2023-07,2024-06,2024-06,2025-05 +all_available_models,Seasonal baseline,Global,12,12,39906,0.6402677084632649,0.7424176942131205,2023-07,2024-06,2024-06,2025-05 +all_available_models,Original baseline,Global,12,12,39906,0.6042988010903101,0.8151424091133943,2023-07,2024-06,2024-06,2025-05 +all_available_models,Surface baseline,Global,12,12,39906,0.6644580870291151,0.7353237943300922,2023-07,2024-06,2024-06,2025-05 +all_available_models,Joint baseline,Global,12,12,39906,0.6517320629425676,0.7395874037121977,2023-07,2024-06,2024-06,2025-05 +all_available_models,CanSIPS-IC4,Global,12,12,39906,-0.1921340590682462,1.6549358477895235,2023-07,2024-06,2024-06,2025-05 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,Global,12,12,39906,0.1408027024350397,1.6802921920674825,2023-07,2024-06,2024-06,2025-05 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,Global,12,12,39906,0.2791262276044706,1.684694235742778,2023-07,2024-06,2024-06,2025-05 +all_available_models,Cutoff-2022 model,AO,12,12,5419,0.842393927524501,0.6879703845486972,2023-07,2024-06,2024-06,2025-05 +all_available_models,Seasonal baseline,AO,12,12,5419,0.7507623787072188,0.904115354056794,2023-07,2024-06,2024-06,2025-05 +all_available_models,Original baseline,AO,12,12,5419,0.7984271681991997,1.0148515279436698,2023-07,2024-06,2024-06,2025-05 +all_available_models,Surface baseline,AO,12,12,5419,0.7526491803857939,0.915006132453587,2023-07,2024-06,2024-06,2025-05 +all_available_models,Joint baseline,AO,12,12,5419,0.7496810469221499,0.9103466801860596,2023-07,2024-06,2024-06,2025-05 +all_available_models,CanSIPS-IC4,AO,12,12,5419,0.5565832654183233,0.9172052349824076,2023-07,2024-06,2024-06,2025-05 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,AO,12,12,5419,-0.4980207550506413,1.834869887087045,2023-07,2024-06,2024-06,2025-05 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,AO,12,12,5419,-0.0718668548161249,1.4285161900723646,2023-07,2024-06,2024-06,2025-05 +all_available_models,Cutoff-2022 model,PDO,12,12,4113,0.7498665445311695,0.9012053308353316,2023-07,2024-06,2024-06,2025-05 +all_available_models,Seasonal baseline,PDO,12,12,4113,0.5325816478750758,1.171787329909162,2023-07,2024-06,2024-06,2025-05 +all_available_models,Original baseline,PDO,12,12,4113,0.552858224442373,1.2123636037819523,2023-07,2024-06,2024-06,2025-05 +all_available_models,Surface baseline,PDO,12,12,4113,0.5562963322051518,1.163500694915555,2023-07,2024-06,2024-06,2025-05 +all_available_models,Joint baseline,PDO,12,12,4113,0.5363260955515903,1.1718212506867494,2023-07,2024-06,2024-06,2025-05 +all_available_models,CanSIPS-IC4,PDO,12,12,4113,-0.0900009808850915,1.9914684243091016,2023-07,2024-06,2024-06,2025-05 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,PDO,12,12,4113,0.3167203666879807,1.6519693770438704,2023-07,2024-06,2024-06,2025-05 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,PDO,12,12,4113,0.3767701604503119,1.6327054799596965,2023-07,2024-06,2024-06,2025-05 +all_available_models,Cutoff-2022 model,WP,12,12,8373,0.6817525573672244,0.5465562043990522,2023-07,2024-06,2024-06,2025-05 +all_available_models,Seasonal baseline,WP,12,12,8373,0.7046691019684098,0.559190575358793,2023-07,2024-06,2024-06,2025-05 +all_available_models,Original baseline,WP,12,12,8373,0.6127571163188802,0.6365935788538655,2023-07,2024-06,2024-06,2025-05 +all_available_models,Surface baseline,WP,12,12,8373,0.759665091941535,0.5433443481613942,2023-07,2024-06,2024-06,2025-05 +all_available_models,Joint baseline,WP,12,12,8373,0.7342861515865869,0.5513451566455649,2023-07,2024-06,2024-06,2025-05 +all_available_models,CanSIPS-IC4,WP,12,12,8373,-0.3503872500593239,1.7637806513149283,2023-07,2024-06,2024-06,2025-05 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,WP,12,12,8373,-0.2130127941999587,1.7142764055259407,2023-07,2024-06,2024-06,2025-05 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,WP,12,12,8373,0.0122146406359257,1.6382150890261764,2023-07,2024-06,2024-06,2025-05 +all_available_models,Cutoff-2022 model,Nino3.4,12,12,500,0.353989689447426,0.7265779909655875,2023-07,2024-06,2024-06,2025-05 +all_available_models,Seasonal baseline,Nino3.4,12,12,500,0.4453633843486329,0.4877038064286686,2023-07,2024-06,2024-06,2025-05 +all_available_models,Original baseline,Nino3.4,12,12,500,0.4273817093704784,0.4760174804843661,2023-07,2024-06,2024-06,2025-05 +all_available_models,Surface baseline,Nino3.4,12,12,500,0.4921974856037399,0.459318307690447,2023-07,2024-06,2024-06,2025-05 +all_available_models,Joint baseline,Nino3.4,12,12,500,0.4798171750286449,0.4714570070054089,2023-07,2024-06,2024-06,2025-05 +all_available_models,CanSIPS-IC4,Nino3.4,12,12,500,0.221879961689106,2.855316391176723,2023-07,2024-06,2024-06,2025-05 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,Nino3.4,12,12,500,0.2506729501157022,1.2106008773084451,2023-07,2024-06,2024-06,2025-05 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,Nino3.4,12,12,500,0.3899681036283082,2.0197403315134017,2023-07,2024-06,2024-06,2025-05 +all_available_models,Cutoff-2022 model,SIO,12,12,2783,0.5608076216275638,0.7322524547620183,2023-07,2024-06,2024-06,2025-05 +all_available_models,Seasonal baseline,SIO,12,12,2783,0.6249672901879995,0.7125179423576298,2023-07,2024-06,2024-06,2025-05 +all_available_models,Original baseline,SIO,12,12,2783,0.5654310314690641,0.7897086764426672,2023-07,2024-06,2024-06,2025-05 +all_available_models,Surface baseline,SIO,12,12,2783,0.6122642714531016,0.722992498220924,2023-07,2024-06,2024-06,2025-05 +all_available_models,Joint baseline,SIO,12,12,2783,0.6186013210039382,0.7172355337556241,2023-07,2024-06,2024-06,2025-05 +all_available_models,CanSIPS-IC4,SIO,12,12,2783,0.1558591822219874,1.174040142293444,2023-07,2024-06,2024-06,2025-05 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,SIO,12,12,2783,0.519298522174987,1.8734387845742304,2023-07,2024-06,2024-06,2025-05 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,SIO,12,12,2783,0.623004233786098,2.005682035362913,2023-07,2024-06,2024-06,2025-05 +all_available_models,Cutoff-2022 model,SPO,12,12,2486,0.6903358809414833,0.6863379249028113,2023-07,2024-06,2024-06,2025-05 +all_available_models,Seasonal baseline,SPO,12,12,2486,0.703535088610153,0.7237092336944316,2023-07,2024-06,2024-06,2025-05 +all_available_models,Original baseline,SPO,12,12,2486,0.5885402909619537,0.8221942557548487,2023-07,2024-06,2024-06,2025-05 +all_available_models,Surface baseline,SPO,12,12,2486,0.7272293132381841,0.7133058753752282,2023-07,2024-06,2024-06,2025-05 +all_available_models,Joint baseline,SPO,12,12,2486,0.7226507466952229,0.7142048539929549,2023-07,2024-06,2024-06,2025-05 +all_available_models,CanSIPS-IC4,SPO,12,12,2486,0.1744210521051522,1.12679707727846,2023-07,2024-06,2024-06,2025-05 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,SPO,12,12,2486,0.6198697117063087,1.2344345534706611,2023-07,2024-06,2024-06,2025-05 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,SPO,12,12,2486,0.6572329273146288,1.3942705227255758,2023-07,2024-06,2024-06,2025-05 +all_available_models,Cutoff-2022 model,SAO,12,12,1307,0.5861469354448691,0.6217589188952404,2023-07,2024-06,2024-06,2025-05 +all_available_models,Seasonal baseline,SAO,12,12,1307,0.4866184645488263,0.6549656182607253,2023-07,2024-06,2024-06,2025-05 +all_available_models,Original baseline,SAO,12,12,1307,0.4536458892543118,0.6980908226338436,2023-07,2024-06,2024-06,2025-05 +all_available_models,Surface baseline,SAO,12,12,1307,0.4649796316467493,0.6639719417163835,2023-07,2024-06,2024-06,2025-05 +all_available_models,Joint baseline,SAO,12,12,1307,0.4780652370767617,0.6584338633597446,2023-07,2024-06,2024-06,2025-05 +all_available_models,CanSIPS-IC4,SAO,12,12,1307,-0.0133371976710165,1.4559960129907694,2023-07,2024-06,2024-06,2025-05 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,SAO,12,12,1307,0.1223927920356818,1.9676682384003263,2023-07,2024-06,2024-06,2025-05 +all_available_models,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,SAO,12,12,1307,0.1762384894088543,2.380894531934469,2023-07,2024-06,2024-06,2025-05 +longer_common_period,Cutoff-2022 model,Global,1,25,39906,0.884140147475047,0.4655135574973987,2023-07,2025-07,2023-07,2025-07 +longer_common_period,Seasonal baseline,Global,1,25,39906,0.8500381143331543,0.5822614154519192,2023-07,2025-07,2023-07,2025-07 +longer_common_period,Original baseline,Global,1,25,39906,0.8803125924811651,0.575120858980675,2023-07,2025-07,2023-07,2025-07 +longer_common_period,Surface baseline,Global,1,25,39906,0.8441822976561955,0.5971472479095775,2023-07,2025-07,2023-07,2025-07 +longer_common_period,Joint baseline,Global,1,25,39906,0.8491959087976427,0.586853787683347,2023-07,2025-07,2023-07,2025-07 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,Global,1,25,39906,0.4265177100188261,1.1214069102391562,2023-07,2025-07,2023-07,2025-07 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,Global,1,25,39906,0.4856854895322454,1.070371567765533,2023-07,2025-07,2023-07,2025-07 +longer_common_period,Cutoff-2022 model,AO,1,25,5419,0.9116549484591174,0.5275863269056699,2023-07,2025-07,2023-07,2025-07 +longer_common_period,Seasonal baseline,AO,1,25,5419,0.8336320571841261,0.7585537820766963,2023-07,2025-07,2023-07,2025-07 +longer_common_period,Original baseline,AO,1,25,5419,0.8934237330414314,0.7521799739675621,2023-07,2025-07,2023-07,2025-07 +longer_common_period,Surface baseline,AO,1,25,5419,0.8314856616340629,0.7659450173678691,2023-07,2025-07,2023-07,2025-07 +longer_common_period,Joint baseline,AO,1,25,5419,0.8311160363042819,0.7618252478159484,2023-07,2025-07,2023-07,2025-07 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,AO,1,25,5419,0.5084717107059314,1.0397442383335596,2023-07,2025-07,2023-07,2025-07 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,AO,1,25,5419,0.5550566717960587,0.9178246325353038,2023-07,2025-07,2023-07,2025-07 +longer_common_period,Cutoff-2022 model,PDO,1,25,4113,0.8954034603821107,0.6200181002515288,2023-07,2025-07,2023-07,2025-07 +longer_common_period,Seasonal baseline,PDO,1,25,4113,0.8529847687409925,0.8470687798180361,2023-07,2025-07,2023-07,2025-07 +longer_common_period,Original baseline,PDO,1,25,4113,0.8964269601691491,0.7956426591155497,2023-07,2025-07,2023-07,2025-07 +longer_common_period,Surface baseline,PDO,1,25,4113,0.8402911064581454,0.8835203408572979,2023-07,2025-07,2023-07,2025-07 +longer_common_period,Joint baseline,PDO,1,25,4113,0.8490606239543852,0.8596637352585931,2023-07,2025-07,2023-07,2025-07 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,PDO,1,25,4113,0.5973545577894308,1.1477463857808643,2023-07,2025-07,2023-07,2025-07 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,PDO,1,25,4113,0.6725902495780173,1.0353388238195784,2023-07,2025-07,2023-07,2025-07 +longer_common_period,Cutoff-2022 model,WP,1,25,8373,0.9066101631991372,0.36150446695137,2023-07,2025-07,2023-07,2025-07 +longer_common_period,Seasonal baseline,WP,1,25,8373,0.8980861550580153,0.4625067314013847,2023-07,2025-07,2023-07,2025-07 +longer_common_period,Original baseline,WP,1,25,8373,0.9033238364528496,0.4809284261454313,2023-07,2025-07,2023-07,2025-07 +longer_common_period,Surface baseline,WP,1,25,8373,0.8957728166622041,0.4877288181616663,2023-07,2025-07,2023-07,2025-07 +longer_common_period,Joint baseline,WP,1,25,8373,0.8979962653147358,0.4713596452385494,2023-07,2025-07,2023-07,2025-07 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,WP,1,25,8373,0.3580175511470442,1.145623193447146,2023-07,2025-07,2023-07,2025-07 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,WP,1,25,8373,0.4275061800308982,1.082725607682435,2023-07,2025-07,2023-07,2025-07 +longer_common_period,Cutoff-2022 model,Nino3.4,1,25,500,0.6735329228908499,0.4455309054614247,2023-07,2025-07,2023-07,2025-07 +longer_common_period,Seasonal baseline,Nino3.4,1,25,500,0.697031626848315,0.6035388885931726,2023-07,2025-07,2023-07,2025-07 +longer_common_period,Original baseline,Nino3.4,1,25,500,0.7176229587007065,0.6079941466957056,2023-07,2025-07,2023-07,2025-07 +longer_common_period,Surface baseline,Nino3.4,1,25,500,0.7217214873198887,0.6801796894675002,2023-07,2025-07,2023-07,2025-07 +longer_common_period,Joint baseline,Nino3.4,1,25,500,0.7125931559147163,0.6329875203730037,2023-07,2025-07,2023-07,2025-07 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,Nino3.4,1,25,500,0.7068914278503512,0.4498995760764808,2023-07,2025-07,2023-07,2025-07 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,Nino3.4,1,25,500,0.7373712594695979,0.445009921895881,2023-07,2025-07,2023-07,2025-07 +longer_common_period,Cutoff-2022 model,SIO,1,25,2783,0.847045097963118,0.487366500953582,2023-07,2025-07,2023-07,2025-07 +longer_common_period,Seasonal baseline,SIO,1,25,2783,0.8018244942342815,0.5764910235474381,2023-07,2025-07,2023-07,2025-07 +longer_common_period,Original baseline,SIO,1,25,2783,0.847191507772695,0.5536040436022048,2023-07,2025-07,2023-07,2025-07 +longer_common_period,Surface baseline,SIO,1,25,2783,0.8017996671833362,0.5792386105040549,2023-07,2025-07,2023-07,2025-07 +longer_common_period,Joint baseline,SIO,1,25,2783,0.8034878106375544,0.5763046481575461,2023-07,2025-07,2023-07,2025-07 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,SIO,1,25,2783,0.5904804511710315,0.8696924791788501,2023-07,2025-07,2023-07,2025-07 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,SIO,1,25,2783,0.624314610143514,0.8593144981895563,2023-07,2025-07,2023-07,2025-07 +longer_common_period,Cutoff-2022 model,SPO,1,25,2486,0.8965920095954916,0.4285934390868758,2023-07,2025-07,2023-07,2025-07 +longer_common_period,Seasonal baseline,SPO,1,25,2486,0.8793352147729716,0.4952360318468127,2023-07,2025-07,2023-07,2025-07 +longer_common_period,Original baseline,SPO,1,25,2486,0.8983706200351659,0.5010487667245761,2023-07,2025-07,2023-07,2025-07 +longer_common_period,Surface baseline,SPO,1,25,2486,0.8759099301213569,0.4951027568079964,2023-07,2025-07,2023-07,2025-07 +longer_common_period,Joint baseline,SPO,1,25,2486,0.8782948578625269,0.4922763510952169,2023-07,2025-07,2023-07,2025-07 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,SPO,1,25,2486,0.7850166853115532,0.5442677589309304,2023-07,2025-07,2023-07,2025-07 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,SPO,1,25,2486,0.7915571937887655,0.5356175658842983,2023-07,2025-07,2023-07,2025-07 +longer_common_period,Cutoff-2022 model,SAO,1,25,1307,0.7932965133923016,0.5065568039103446,2023-07,2025-07,2023-07,2025-07 +longer_common_period,Seasonal baseline,SAO,1,25,1307,0.7180912915881558,0.5925632193280863,2023-07,2025-07,2023-07,2025-07 +longer_common_period,Original baseline,SAO,1,25,1307,0.7744315045305059,0.5659833508830209,2023-07,2025-07,2023-07,2025-07 +longer_common_period,Surface baseline,SAO,1,25,1307,0.7176306224719998,0.5971179093942431,2023-07,2025-07,2023-07,2025-07 +longer_common_period,Joint baseline,SAO,1,25,1307,0.7205608955864975,0.5921897940815509,2023-07,2025-07,2023-07,2025-07 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,SAO,1,25,1307,0.4187070831506373,0.9269172432077728,2023-07,2025-07,2023-07,2025-07 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,SAO,1,25,1307,0.4496915504673046,0.9241897312057958,2023-07,2025-07,2023-07,2025-07 +longer_common_period,Cutoff-2022 model,Global,2,25,39906,0.8053658434777886,0.5817586330947578,2023-07,2025-07,2023-08,2025-08 +longer_common_period,Seasonal baseline,Global,2,25,39906,0.7513873384829496,0.6982379318385895,2023-07,2025-07,2023-08,2025-08 +longer_common_period,Original baseline,Global,2,25,39906,0.7897418098998128,0.7422930861611472,2023-07,2025-07,2023-08,2025-08 +longer_common_period,Surface baseline,Global,2,25,39906,0.7486354156345933,0.7067749889570984,2023-07,2025-07,2023-08,2025-08 +longer_common_period,Joint baseline,Global,2,25,39906,0.7521812843799002,0.7005694472598185,2023-07,2025-07,2023-08,2025-08 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,Global,2,25,39906,0.2911740420748451,1.2932155706401538,2023-07,2025-07,2023-08,2025-08 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,Global,2,25,39906,0.3738577619680292,1.2497627600956625,2023-07,2025-07,2023-08,2025-08 +longer_common_period,Cutoff-2022 model,AO,2,25,5419,0.8801232247353535,0.6734337983779499,2023-07,2025-07,2023-08,2025-08 +longer_common_period,Seasonal baseline,AO,2,25,5419,0.7719097061573172,0.9601440753133196,2023-07,2025-07,2023-08,2025-08 +longer_common_period,Original baseline,AO,2,25,5419,0.8272939844966218,1.012320756888183,2023-07,2025-07,2023-08,2025-08 +longer_common_period,Surface baseline,AO,2,25,5419,0.7676767003094667,0.9618209287035254,2023-07,2025-07,2023-08,2025-08 +longer_common_period,Joint baseline,AO,2,25,5419,0.7685985840554527,0.9594442725401086,2023-07,2025-07,2023-08,2025-08 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,AO,2,25,5419,0.0586715091833219,1.305545225185794,2023-07,2025-07,2023-08,2025-08 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,AO,2,25,5419,0.1860993744697343,1.171744161215353,2023-07,2025-07,2023-08,2025-08 +longer_common_period,Cutoff-2022 model,PDO,2,25,4113,0.8180174075080291,0.7933877205375054,2023-07,2025-07,2023-08,2025-08 +longer_common_period,Seasonal baseline,PDO,2,25,4113,0.7295841455039396,1.0420150226915608,2023-07,2025-07,2023-08,2025-08 +longer_common_period,Original baseline,PDO,2,25,4113,0.8099533422020824,1.0622528876466333,2023-07,2025-07,2023-08,2025-08 +longer_common_period,Surface baseline,PDO,2,25,4113,0.714504404197431,1.0677067442587216,2023-07,2025-07,2023-08,2025-08 +longer_common_period,Joint baseline,PDO,2,25,4113,0.7248391575696478,1.0505644796168565,2023-07,2025-07,2023-08,2025-08 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,PDO,2,25,4113,0.4599192438307588,1.4360272027194396,2023-07,2025-07,2023-08,2025-08 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,PDO,2,25,4113,0.5623209123607381,1.2805773800098772,2023-07,2025-07,2023-08,2025-08 +longer_common_period,Cutoff-2022 model,WP,2,25,8373,0.8501784872002931,0.4405824258068318,2023-07,2025-07,2023-08,2025-08 +longer_common_period,Seasonal baseline,WP,2,25,8373,0.842123785139391,0.5467540163399186,2023-07,2025-07,2023-08,2025-08 +longer_common_period,Original baseline,WP,2,25,8373,0.836126126446088,0.6189297230982326,2023-07,2025-07,2023-08,2025-08 +longer_common_period,Surface baseline,WP,2,25,8373,0.8442526457261254,0.5669243765054054,2023-07,2025-07,2023-08,2025-08 +longer_common_period,Joint baseline,WP,2,25,8373,0.8436471085067034,0.5543968952282189,2023-07,2025-07,2023-08,2025-08 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,WP,2,25,8373,0.2164068173722373,1.2650359937657096,2023-07,2025-07,2023-08,2025-08 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,WP,2,25,8373,0.3296373313121743,1.1607091875657098,2023-07,2025-07,2023-08,2025-08 +longer_common_period,Cutoff-2022 model,Nino3.4,2,25,500,0.5838019874864365,0.5835059812285066,2023-07,2025-07,2023-08,2025-08 +longer_common_period,Seasonal baseline,Nino3.4,2,25,500,0.6233759393190093,0.7143583196959845,2023-07,2025-07,2023-08,2025-08 +longer_common_period,Original baseline,Nino3.4,2,25,500,0.6429733845289145,0.7869423453894475,2023-07,2025-07,2023-08,2025-08 +longer_common_period,Surface baseline,Nino3.4,2,25,500,0.6344909470218686,0.7868292736797551,2023-07,2025-07,2023-08,2025-08 +longer_common_period,Joint baseline,Nino3.4,2,25,500,0.6339880663953178,0.74556097688507,2023-07,2025-07,2023-08,2025-08 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,Nino3.4,2,25,500,0.551403660009533,0.680901704673794,2023-07,2025-07,2023-08,2025-08 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,Nino3.4,2,25,500,0.6282614690794519,0.8541855076165945,2023-07,2025-07,2023-08,2025-08 +longer_common_period,Cutoff-2022 model,SIO,2,25,2783,0.7327191460974254,0.6193631960841633,2023-07,2025-07,2023-08,2025-08 +longer_common_period,Seasonal baseline,SIO,2,25,2783,0.6606755965754495,0.6966181281871048,2023-07,2025-07,2023-08,2025-08 +longer_common_period,Original baseline,SIO,2,25,2783,0.7184262571578932,0.7177924783471662,2023-07,2025-07,2023-08,2025-08 +longer_common_period,Surface baseline,SIO,2,25,2783,0.6650450671627719,0.6953827464437968,2023-07,2025-07,2023-08,2025-08 +longer_common_period,Joint baseline,SIO,2,25,2783,0.6651255328152931,0.6943549095707999,2023-07,2025-07,2023-08,2025-08 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,SIO,2,25,2783,0.5198639956416291,1.1437734763616882,2023-07,2025-07,2023-08,2025-08 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,SIO,2,25,2783,0.5583773410161931,1.1561797430977832,2023-07,2025-07,2023-08,2025-08 +longer_common_period,Cutoff-2022 model,SPO,2,25,2486,0.7970179336354007,0.574226767246285,2023-07,2025-07,2023-08,2025-08 +longer_common_period,Seasonal baseline,SPO,2,25,2486,0.7832663371481194,0.6144082279751298,2023-07,2025-07,2023-08,2025-08 +longer_common_period,Original baseline,SPO,2,25,2486,0.8080676609629363,0.6632724532576564,2023-07,2025-07,2023-08,2025-08 +longer_common_period,Surface baseline,SPO,2,25,2486,0.7877308849301181,0.6041241963937461,2023-07,2025-07,2023-08,2025-08 +longer_common_period,Joint baseline,SPO,2,25,2486,0.7866280879915487,0.6070962012239806,2023-07,2025-07,2023-08,2025-08 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,SPO,2,25,2486,0.6717132220508308,0.7674734347583158,2023-07,2025-07,2023-08,2025-08 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,SPO,2,25,2486,0.676592902134217,0.7939597296409078,2023-07,2025-07,2023-08,2025-08 +longer_common_period,Cutoff-2022 model,SAO,2,25,1307,0.7014202730045557,0.5960252449849729,2023-07,2025-07,2023-08,2025-08 +longer_common_period,Seasonal baseline,SAO,2,25,1307,0.5614368038484154,0.6838463618218993,2023-07,2025-07,2023-08,2025-08 +longer_common_period,Original baseline,SAO,2,25,1307,0.6466321492869609,0.6864178779206674,2023-07,2025-07,2023-08,2025-08 +longer_common_period,Surface baseline,SAO,2,25,1307,0.5613543915844256,0.6856327361639808,2023-07,2025-07,2023-08,2025-08 +longer_common_period,Joint baseline,SAO,2,25,1307,0.5651933463619764,0.6822465085943351,2023-07,2025-07,2023-08,2025-08 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,SAO,2,25,1307,0.3388382095348426,1.243483022442325,2023-07,2025-07,2023-08,2025-08 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,SAO,2,25,1307,0.360011107169768,1.31421365826188,2023-07,2025-07,2023-08,2025-08 +longer_common_period,Cutoff-2022 model,Global,3,25,39906,0.769574752589012,0.6194571748668471,2023-07,2025-07,2023-09,2025-09 +longer_common_period,Seasonal baseline,Global,3,25,39906,0.723896722839243,0.7136069545616084,2023-07,2025-07,2023-09,2025-09 +longer_common_period,Original baseline,Global,3,25,39906,0.7489773913472437,0.7620211295564385,2023-07,2025-07,2023-09,2025-09 +longer_common_period,Surface baseline,Global,3,25,39906,0.7240694544364413,0.7185405449924107,2023-07,2025-07,2023-09,2025-09 +longer_common_period,Joint baseline,Global,3,25,39906,0.7249852500810028,0.7153009525255043,2023-07,2025-07,2023-09,2025-09 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,Global,3,25,39906,0.2302848246506202,1.3950457016658466,2023-07,2025-07,2023-09,2025-09 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,Global,3,25,39906,0.3199838720476048,1.3846134227599234,2023-07,2025-07,2023-09,2025-09 +longer_common_period,Cutoff-2022 model,AO,3,25,5419,0.8753970051335505,0.6672300428739759,2023-07,2025-07,2023-09,2025-09 +longer_common_period,Seasonal baseline,AO,3,25,5419,0.7647352492889,0.9587883447091616,2023-07,2025-07,2023-09,2025-09 +longer_common_period,Original baseline,AO,3,25,5419,0.7977344714773732,1.0247558912907777,2023-07,2025-07,2023-09,2025-09 +longer_common_period,Surface baseline,AO,3,25,5419,0.7615837237419503,0.9541592000571923,2023-07,2025-07,2023-09,2025-09 +longer_common_period,Joint baseline,AO,3,25,5419,0.7645367890184707,0.9539993437166586,2023-07,2025-07,2023-09,2025-09 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,AO,3,25,5419,-0.0761707770037428,1.3488799303087853,2023-07,2025-07,2023-09,2025-09 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,AO,3,25,5419,0.0812936729508786,1.3124143372023849,2023-07,2025-07,2023-09,2025-09 +longer_common_period,Cutoff-2022 model,PDO,3,25,4113,0.790176536769368,0.8378269439322937,2023-07,2025-07,2023-09,2025-09 +longer_common_period,Seasonal baseline,PDO,3,25,4113,0.7048508590522786,1.0780765071532206,2023-07,2025-07,2023-09,2025-09 +longer_common_period,Original baseline,PDO,3,25,4113,0.7760696608096402,1.1045294792710352,2023-07,2025-07,2023-09,2025-09 +longer_common_period,Surface baseline,PDO,3,25,4113,0.6914011358558574,1.0980147696481712,2023-07,2025-07,2023-09,2025-09 +longer_common_period,Joint baseline,PDO,3,25,4113,0.6991403706465649,1.0860181126120725,2023-07,2025-07,2023-09,2025-09 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,PDO,3,25,4113,0.4115302875596061,1.5138585063116703,2023-07,2025-07,2023-09,2025-09 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,PDO,3,25,4113,0.5188542807758248,1.3764155924081438,2023-07,2025-07,2023-09,2025-09 +longer_common_period,Cutoff-2022 model,WP,3,25,8373,0.8156558040537303,0.4748913251333249,2023-07,2025-07,2023-09,2025-09 +longer_common_period,Seasonal baseline,WP,3,25,8373,0.8197829850882065,0.5554824771282998,2023-07,2025-07,2023-09,2025-09 +longer_common_period,Original baseline,WP,3,25,8373,0.8038424711703951,0.6295569378793486,2023-07,2025-07,2023-09,2025-09 +longer_common_period,Surface baseline,WP,3,25,8373,0.8251973867083331,0.5709094184195814,2023-07,2025-07,2023-09,2025-09 +longer_common_period,Joint baseline,WP,3,25,8373,0.8212192359834869,0.5624773058956063,2023-07,2025-07,2023-09,2025-09 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,WP,3,25,8373,0.1175633503410219,1.3723744380217324,2023-07,2025-07,2023-09,2025-09 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,WP,3,25,8373,0.2512101726157911,1.2586477980119108,2023-07,2025-07,2023-09,2025-09 +longer_common_period,Cutoff-2022 model,Nino3.4,3,25,500,0.5441401720654749,0.6664921169161061,2023-07,2025-07,2023-09,2025-09 +longer_common_period,Seasonal baseline,Nino3.4,3,25,500,0.595457449521994,0.7393220409728668,2023-07,2025-07,2023-09,2025-09 +longer_common_period,Original baseline,Nino3.4,3,25,500,0.6219286191627469,0.8119445595404826,2023-07,2025-07,2023-09,2025-09 +longer_common_period,Surface baseline,Nino3.4,3,25,500,0.5824540619479082,0.8091920635159366,2023-07,2025-07,2023-09,2025-09 +longer_common_period,Joint baseline,Nino3.4,3,25,500,0.5873263365623784,0.7743990586467789,2023-07,2025-07,2023-09,2025-09 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,Nino3.4,3,25,500,0.5753269920593733,0.9075415863297536,2023-07,2025-07,2023-09,2025-09 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,Nino3.4,3,25,500,0.559950542865627,1.4548561745570747,2023-07,2025-07,2023-09,2025-09 +longer_common_period,Cutoff-2022 model,SIO,3,25,2783,0.6861450613464308,0.6620249289876228,2023-07,2025-07,2023-09,2025-09 +longer_common_period,Seasonal baseline,SIO,3,25,2783,0.6461111469121924,0.707488675161218,2023-07,2025-07,2023-09,2025-09 +longer_common_period,Original baseline,SIO,3,25,2783,0.6837486024700345,0.7354983269024822,2023-07,2025-07,2023-09,2025-09 +longer_common_period,Surface baseline,SIO,3,25,2783,0.6487878726879527,0.7067580890483801,2023-07,2025-07,2023-09,2025-09 +longer_common_period,Joint baseline,SIO,3,25,2783,0.6487670427759682,0.7061201749393334,2023-07,2025-07,2023-09,2025-09 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,SIO,3,25,2783,0.5003241841925639,1.342072151900979,2023-07,2025-07,2023-09,2025-09 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,SIO,3,25,2783,0.5300823102070182,1.4016105053326,2023-07,2025-07,2023-09,2025-09 +longer_common_period,Cutoff-2022 model,SPO,3,25,2486,0.7349080018814743,0.6243750518110723,2023-07,2025-07,2023-09,2025-09 +longer_common_period,Seasonal baseline,SPO,3,25,2486,0.7665719289162142,0.6304839666285668,2023-07,2025-07,2023-09,2025-09 +longer_common_period,Original baseline,SPO,3,25,2486,0.7768388628063461,0.683259784730998,2023-07,2025-07,2023-09,2025-09 +longer_common_period,Surface baseline,SPO,3,25,2486,0.7754334054353827,0.6173124039400575,2023-07,2025-07,2023-09,2025-09 +longer_common_period,Joint baseline,SPO,3,25,2486,0.7724944190846447,0.6230589441373602,2023-07,2025-07,2023-09,2025-09 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,SPO,3,25,2486,0.632250944567177,0.8957442644261834,2023-07,2025-07,2023-09,2025-09 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,SPO,3,25,2486,0.6323577785318385,0.9701665422360056,2023-07,2025-07,2023-09,2025-09 +longer_common_period,Cutoff-2022 model,SAO,3,25,1307,0.6799440752921179,0.6154919695165373,2023-07,2025-07,2023-09,2025-09 +longer_common_period,Seasonal baseline,SAO,3,25,1307,0.5490295672968097,0.6865464428230992,2023-07,2025-07,2023-09,2025-09 +longer_common_period,Original baseline,SAO,3,25,1307,0.6061485749624488,0.697481894992461,2023-07,2025-07,2023-09,2025-09 +longer_common_period,Surface baseline,SAO,3,25,1307,0.5465983212288233,0.6889573958356907,2023-07,2025-07,2023-09,2025-09 +longer_common_period,Joint baseline,SAO,3,25,1307,0.5503304457041329,0.6858947227752938,2023-07,2025-07,2023-09,2025-09 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,SAO,3,25,1307,0.3365782518628338,1.4402149121951902,2023-07,2025-07,2023-09,2025-09 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,SAO,3,25,1307,0.3579088264115611,1.6300839453576463,2023-07,2025-07,2023-09,2025-09 +longer_common_period,Cutoff-2022 model,Global,4,25,39906,0.7428582987376042,0.6439583317309899,2023-07,2025-07,2023-10,2025-10 +longer_common_period,Seasonal baseline,Global,4,25,39906,0.6734893150718552,0.7482126060911216,2023-07,2025-07,2023-10,2025-10 +longer_common_period,Original baseline,Global,4,25,39906,0.6496571810173617,0.8278021629311161,2023-07,2025-07,2023-10,2025-10 +longer_common_period,Surface baseline,Global,4,25,39906,0.6768752567905963,0.7498867905269003,2023-07,2025-07,2023-10,2025-10 +longer_common_period,Joint baseline,Global,4,25,39906,0.674809672807982,0.7494953321452443,2023-07,2025-07,2023-10,2025-10 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,Global,4,25,39906,0.2004217667591891,1.478183934522765,2023-07,2025-07,2023-10,2025-10 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,Global,4,25,39906,0.3006179493284597,1.486742078239604,2023-07,2025-07,2023-10,2025-10 +longer_common_period,Cutoff-2022 model,AO,4,25,5419,0.8744440888348569,0.6501154849062216,2023-07,2025-07,2023-10,2025-10 +longer_common_period,Seasonal baseline,AO,4,25,5419,0.7579142799261782,0.9523145272532132,2023-07,2025-07,2023-10,2025-10 +longer_common_period,Original baseline,AO,4,25,5419,0.7896787902639821,1.032862113766184,2023-07,2025-07,2023-10,2025-10 +longer_common_period,Surface baseline,AO,4,25,5419,0.7575745025652586,0.940989173103958,2023-07,2025-07,2023-10,2025-10 +longer_common_period,Joint baseline,AO,4,25,5419,0.7617085762708158,0.9437729675636723,2023-07,2025-07,2023-10,2025-10 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,AO,4,25,5419,-0.1584500753498837,1.385280873394466,2023-07,2025-07,2023-10,2025-10 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,AO,4,25,5419,0.0507716222792918,1.470792008863364,2023-07,2025-07,2023-10,2025-10 +longer_common_period,Cutoff-2022 model,PDO,4,25,4113,0.7721686635190007,0.8567851288009636,2023-07,2025-07,2023-10,2025-10 +longer_common_period,Seasonal baseline,PDO,4,25,4113,0.6190549195913151,1.147574125470226,2023-07,2025-07,2023-10,2025-10 +longer_common_period,Original baseline,PDO,4,25,4113,0.6261445278192522,1.2217183833195149,2023-07,2025-07,2023-10,2025-10 +longer_common_period,Surface baseline,PDO,4,25,4113,0.6028660560402466,1.1611027156473344,2023-07,2025-07,2023-10,2025-10 +longer_common_period,Joint baseline,PDO,4,25,4113,0.6083466613126797,1.154569224862758,2023-07,2025-07,2023-10,2025-10 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,PDO,4,25,4113,0.4087391283275604,1.5125244982356814,2023-07,2025-07,2023-10,2025-10 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,PDO,4,25,4113,0.4980272496020312,1.4056941592332404,2023-07,2025-07,2023-10,2025-10 +longer_common_period,Cutoff-2022 model,WP,4,25,8373,0.7859307521273436,0.4998725340009103,2023-07,2025-07,2023-10,2025-10 +longer_common_period,Seasonal baseline,WP,4,25,8373,0.7826692574805588,0.5824171856319765,2023-07,2025-07,2023-10,2025-10 +longer_common_period,Original baseline,WP,4,25,8373,0.7086517579991316,0.6851264114713724,2023-07,2025-07,2023-10,2025-10 +longer_common_period,Surface baseline,WP,4,25,8373,0.7942964516952721,0.593088595467312,2023-07,2025-07,2023-10,2025-10 +longer_common_period,Joint baseline,WP,4,25,8373,0.7854640312563415,0.5888576499819418,2023-07,2025-07,2023-10,2025-10 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,WP,4,25,8373,0.0143698893077408,1.4633060382136458,2023-07,2025-07,2023-10,2025-10 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,WP,4,25,8373,0.1896725907922096,1.3335256763646866,2023-07,2025-07,2023-10,2025-10 +longer_common_period,Cutoff-2022 model,Nino3.4,4,25,500,0.5191135904369029,0.728668658836885,2023-07,2025-07,2023-10,2025-10 +longer_common_period,Seasonal baseline,Nino3.4,4,25,500,0.555477196264031,0.769138548278834,2023-07,2025-07,2023-10,2025-10 +longer_common_period,Original baseline,Nino3.4,4,25,500,0.5415088397123425,0.8634831382930784,2023-07,2025-07,2023-10,2025-10 +longer_common_period,Surface baseline,Nino3.4,4,25,500,0.523293733415808,0.8345186359135539,2023-07,2025-07,2023-10,2025-10 +longer_common_period,Joint baseline,Nino3.4,4,25,500,0.5301547251180894,0.8074250809354513,2023-07,2025-07,2023-10,2025-10 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,Nino3.4,4,25,500,0.4679766664506429,1.0950286945071857,2023-07,2025-07,2023-10,2025-10 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,Nino3.4,4,25,500,0.5342148834096939,1.6711609593365664,2023-07,2025-07,2023-10,2025-10 +longer_common_period,Cutoff-2022 model,SIO,4,25,2783,0.6408750278589253,0.6972823631101659,2023-07,2025-07,2023-10,2025-10 +longer_common_period,Seasonal baseline,SIO,4,25,2783,0.5779995944477786,0.7480840371565943,2023-07,2025-07,2023-10,2025-10 +longer_common_period,Original baseline,SIO,4,25,2783,0.5033593982310073,0.8135576613722255,2023-07,2025-07,2023-10,2025-10 +longer_common_period,Surface baseline,SIO,4,25,2783,0.5804027805874015,0.7479291960422871,2023-07,2025-07,2023-10,2025-10 +longer_common_period,Joint baseline,SIO,4,25,2783,0.5793631542136334,0.7481008941174493,2023-07,2025-07,2023-10,2025-10 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,SIO,4,25,2783,0.4976411249396411,1.4735096920701367,2023-07,2025-07,2023-10,2025-10 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,SIO,4,25,2783,0.5323295006742549,1.566491131372962,2023-07,2025-07,2023-10,2025-10 +longer_common_period,Cutoff-2022 model,SPO,4,25,2486,0.6945126572234129,0.651988517374693,2023-07,2025-07,2023-10,2025-10 +longer_common_period,Seasonal baseline,SPO,4,25,2486,0.7271554676621116,0.665219161438432,2023-07,2025-07,2023-10,2025-10 +longer_common_period,Original baseline,SPO,4,25,2486,0.671856165441705,0.7502347919265128,2023-07,2025-07,2023-10,2025-10 +longer_common_period,Surface baseline,SPO,4,25,2486,0.7432413469330832,0.6495885013794817,2023-07,2025-07,2023-10,2025-10 +longer_common_period,Joint baseline,SPO,4,25,2486,0.7377558052210433,0.6574030926129377,2023-07,2025-07,2023-10,2025-10 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,SPO,4,25,2486,0.6242548953591055,1.0208074532556068,2023-07,2025-07,2023-10,2025-10 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,SPO,4,25,2486,0.6153547847610032,1.1085528020797997,2023-07,2025-07,2023-10,2025-10 +longer_common_period,Cutoff-2022 model,SAO,4,25,1307,0.6645463159297041,0.630731692866239,2023-07,2025-07,2023-10,2025-10 +longer_common_period,Seasonal baseline,SAO,4,25,1307,0.4944177684182911,0.7105754527296627,2023-07,2025-07,2023-10,2025-10 +longer_common_period,Original baseline,SAO,4,25,1307,0.4578878486445317,0.7524596571292221,2023-07,2025-07,2023-10,2025-10 +longer_common_period,Surface baseline,SAO,4,25,1307,0.4914134692900948,0.7125773678416557,2023-07,2025-07,2023-10,2025-10 +longer_common_period,Joint baseline,SAO,4,25,1307,0.4956324973291661,0.7099587573183498,2023-07,2025-07,2023-10,2025-10 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,SAO,4,25,1307,0.3382511216428376,1.5984824157285384,2023-07,2025-07,2023-10,2025-10 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,SAO,4,25,1307,0.3701977705030551,1.8844438534998889,2023-07,2025-07,2023-10,2025-10 +longer_common_period,Cutoff-2022 model,Global,5,25,39906,0.7285638016072693,0.6536154877343858,2023-07,2025-07,2023-11,2025-11 +longer_common_period,Seasonal baseline,Global,5,25,39906,0.6656254779307179,0.7466368507515352,2023-07,2025-07,2023-11,2025-11 +longer_common_period,Original baseline,Global,5,25,39906,0.6385457236027919,0.8249529819301363,2023-07,2025-07,2023-11,2025-11 +longer_common_period,Surface baseline,Global,5,25,39906,0.6687426071324186,0.747551379739412,2023-07,2025-07,2023-11,2025-11 +longer_common_period,Joint baseline,Global,5,25,39906,0.666052588642888,0.7482184371233087,2023-07,2025-07,2023-11,2025-11 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,Global,5,25,39906,0.1823768987534714,1.536812091978366,2023-07,2025-07,2023-11,2025-11 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,Global,5,25,39906,0.2845786721042888,1.568328535560011,2023-07,2025-07,2023-11,2025-11 +longer_common_period,Cutoff-2022 model,AO,5,25,5419,0.8703695781331424,0.6589832092880583,2023-07,2025-07,2023-11,2025-11 +longer_common_period,Seasonal baseline,AO,5,25,5419,0.7604894391893166,0.9527463554548948,2023-07,2025-07,2023-11,2025-11 +longer_common_period,Original baseline,AO,5,25,5419,0.7925022723402071,1.0354442666942871,2023-07,2025-07,2023-11,2025-11 +longer_common_period,Surface baseline,AO,5,25,5419,0.7636680287803561,0.9407354255576764,2023-07,2025-07,2023-11,2025-11 +longer_common_period,Joint baseline,AO,5,25,5419,0.7668015616548465,0.9443665693814384,2023-07,2025-07,2023-11,2025-11 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,AO,5,25,5419,-0.1958043791869402,1.4521778009829984,2023-07,2025-07,2023-11,2025-11 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,AO,5,25,5419,0.0058683423753028,1.5755392688810923,2023-07,2025-07,2023-11,2025-11 +longer_common_period,Cutoff-2022 model,PDO,5,25,4113,0.7630165956258744,0.8635268924829088,2023-07,2025-07,2023-11,2025-11 +longer_common_period,Seasonal baseline,PDO,5,25,4113,0.6086957327501644,1.1510899952630749,2023-07,2025-07,2023-11,2025-11 +longer_common_period,Original baseline,PDO,5,25,4113,0.6265107242218746,1.2198746476539202,2023-07,2025-07,2023-11,2025-11 +longer_common_period,Surface baseline,PDO,5,25,4113,0.5946210557201099,1.1616129147148715,2023-07,2025-07,2023-11,2025-11 +longer_common_period,Joint baseline,PDO,5,25,4113,0.596293544628492,1.1584453376262545,2023-07,2025-07,2023-11,2025-11 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,PDO,5,25,4113,0.4006196465290704,1.508276099948384,2023-07,2025-07,2023-11,2025-11 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,PDO,5,25,4113,0.4934761175056399,1.4185434058395316,2023-07,2025-07,2023-11,2025-11 +longer_common_period,Cutoff-2022 model,WP,5,25,8373,0.7702933759851008,0.5064194479586696,2023-07,2025-07,2023-11,2025-11 +longer_common_period,Seasonal baseline,WP,5,25,8373,0.7707979837944781,0.5715439936366334,2023-07,2025-07,2023-11,2025-11 +longer_common_period,Original baseline,WP,5,25,8373,0.692262393557425,0.6701473436920787,2023-07,2025-07,2023-11,2025-11 +longer_common_period,Surface baseline,WP,5,25,8373,0.7821254762102879,0.5798940183520711,2023-07,2025-07,2023-11,2025-11 +longer_common_period,Joint baseline,WP,5,25,8373,0.7723733661129734,0.5778876638127525,2023-07,2025-07,2023-11,2025-11 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,WP,5,25,8373,-0.0597633591792396,1.531618479175569,2023-07,2025-07,2023-11,2025-11 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,WP,5,25,8373,0.1267568877655001,1.3997919100198628,2023-07,2025-07,2023-11,2025-11 +longer_common_period,Cutoff-2022 model,Nino3.4,5,25,500,0.5062654787115796,0.7664288100020366,2023-07,2025-07,2023-11,2025-11 +longer_common_period,Seasonal baseline,Nino3.4,5,25,500,0.548061254398223,0.7628766709221747,2023-07,2025-07,2023-11,2025-11 +longer_common_period,Original baseline,Nino3.4,5,25,500,0.538037373261869,0.8362879529071852,2023-07,2025-07,2023-11,2025-11 +longer_common_period,Surface baseline,Nino3.4,5,25,500,0.492290518638834,0.8203211780140729,2023-07,2025-07,2023-11,2025-11 +longer_common_period,Joint baseline,Nino3.4,5,25,500,0.509983385306526,0.7995736424478292,2023-07,2025-07,2023-11,2025-11 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,Nino3.4,5,25,500,0.3916322928292547,1.2090061350160717,2023-07,2025-07,2023-11,2025-11 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,Nino3.4,5,25,500,0.5217773354386468,1.794718168467576,2023-07,2025-07,2023-11,2025-11 +longer_common_period,Cutoff-2022 model,SIO,5,25,2783,0.6133964288464391,0.7162772694511046,2023-07,2025-07,2023-11,2025-11 +longer_common_period,Seasonal baseline,SIO,5,25,2783,0.5715925798301673,0.7512487761411716,2023-07,2025-07,2023-11,2025-11 +longer_common_period,Original baseline,SIO,5,25,2783,0.4900252455938594,0.8180647896671108,2023-07,2025-07,2023-11,2025-11 +longer_common_period,Surface baseline,SIO,5,25,2783,0.5710251504254839,0.7537289328841268,2023-07,2025-07,2023-11,2025-11 +longer_common_period,Joint baseline,SIO,5,25,2783,0.5706873281296584,0.7532547248450201,2023-07,2025-07,2023-11,2025-11 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,SIO,5,25,2783,0.4856844015678613,1.5665738076118116,2023-07,2025-07,2023-11,2025-11 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,SIO,5,25,2783,0.540413951681742,1.6819912575025715,2023-07,2025-07,2023-11,2025-11 +longer_common_period,Cutoff-2022 model,SPO,5,25,2486,0.6855231792112582,0.6528332830753516,2023-07,2025-07,2023-11,2025-11 +longer_common_period,Seasonal baseline,SPO,5,25,2486,0.7200920586847624,0.6647446924630726,2023-07,2025-07,2023-11,2025-11 +longer_common_period,Original baseline,SPO,5,25,2486,0.6473013358034696,0.7533552301969301,2023-07,2025-07,2023-11,2025-11 +longer_common_period,Surface baseline,SPO,5,25,2486,0.7333617381883164,0.6528888716524834,2023-07,2025-07,2023-11,2025-11 +longer_common_period,Joint baseline,SPO,5,25,2486,0.7302853525927188,0.6587231105411345,2023-07,2025-07,2023-11,2025-11 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,SPO,5,25,2486,0.5990514355326142,1.127041355935158,2023-07,2025-07,2023-11,2025-11 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,SPO,5,25,2486,0.5926815600925399,1.3410199585403304,2023-07,2025-07,2023-11,2025-11 +longer_common_period,Cutoff-2022 model,SAO,5,25,1307,0.6547195807345316,0.6343310061482442,2023-07,2025-07,2023-11,2025-11 +longer_common_period,Seasonal baseline,SAO,5,25,1307,0.4955549249263429,0.7013594271598327,2023-07,2025-07,2023-11,2025-11 +longer_common_period,Original baseline,SAO,5,25,1307,0.4504287679133153,0.744124776167207,2023-07,2025-07,2023-11,2025-11 +longer_common_period,Surface baseline,SAO,5,25,1307,0.496449083269883,0.7013409938364588,2023-07,2025-07,2023-11,2025-11 +longer_common_period,Joint baseline,SAO,5,25,1307,0.4985096661988524,0.6998873477045588,2023-07,2025-07,2023-11,2025-11 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,SAO,5,25,1307,0.3624802446172892,1.6936567503828286,2023-07,2025-07,2023-11,2025-11 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,SAO,5,25,1307,0.392434751273302,1.962244075295413,2023-07,2025-07,2023-11,2025-11 +longer_common_period,Cutoff-2022 model,Global,6,25,39906,0.713154140412777,0.663143876385907,2023-07,2025-07,2023-12,2025-12 +longer_common_period,Seasonal baseline,Global,6,25,39906,0.655798718480779,0.7453013381027147,2023-07,2025-07,2023-12,2025-12 +longer_common_period,Original baseline,Global,6,25,39906,0.6249515511104443,0.8215735879278557,2023-07,2025-07,2023-12,2025-12 +longer_common_period,Surface baseline,Global,6,25,39906,0.660231817092917,0.7449551291916904,2023-07,2025-07,2023-12,2025-12 +longer_common_period,Joint baseline,Global,6,25,39906,0.6567249605396419,0.7464775734904837,2023-07,2025-07,2023-12,2025-12 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,Global,6,25,39906,0.1688322484343509,1.571771914324042,2023-07,2025-07,2023-12,2025-12 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,Global,6,25,39906,0.2846855746199102,1.6114162995810932,2023-07,2025-07,2023-12,2025-12 +longer_common_period,Cutoff-2022 model,AO,6,25,5419,0.8717369943378991,0.6676775472417181,2023-07,2025-07,2023-12,2025-12 +longer_common_period,Seasonal baseline,AO,6,25,5419,0.7697192057464871,0.950757472959488,2023-07,2025-07,2023-12,2025-12 +longer_common_period,Original baseline,AO,6,25,5419,0.7956920171558653,1.0412786481340988,2023-07,2025-07,2023-12,2025-12 +longer_common_period,Surface baseline,AO,6,25,5419,0.7696829770462731,0.943266122007724,2023-07,2025-07,2023-12,2025-12 +longer_common_period,Joint baseline,AO,6,25,5419,0.7737115868866968,0.9454473879844943,2023-07,2025-07,2023-12,2025-12 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,AO,6,25,5419,-0.2402198441677293,1.5785860206422402,2023-07,2025-07,2023-12,2025-12 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,AO,6,25,5419,-0.0419277865344766,1.680230014900147,2023-07,2025-07,2023-12,2025-12 +longer_common_period,Cutoff-2022 model,PDO,6,25,4113,0.7518281707960015,0.87391036515778,2023-07,2025-07,2023-12,2025-12 +longer_common_period,Seasonal baseline,PDO,6,25,4113,0.6023732725704459,1.1476436781743764,2023-07,2025-07,2023-12,2025-12 +longer_common_period,Original baseline,PDO,6,25,4113,0.6235140849575319,1.2111552884413233,2023-07,2025-07,2023-12,2025-12 +longer_common_period,Surface baseline,PDO,6,25,4113,0.5878824190338223,1.1563666829458208,2023-07,2025-07,2023-12,2025-12 +longer_common_period,Joint baseline,PDO,6,25,4113,0.5899095710590243,1.1544054835206228,2023-07,2025-07,2023-12,2025-12 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,PDO,6,25,4113,0.3889628734148249,1.4992541321329644,2023-07,2025-07,2023-12,2025-12 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,PDO,6,25,4113,0.4901444804634763,1.427597054529428,2023-07,2025-07,2023-12,2025-12 +longer_common_period,Cutoff-2022 model,WP,6,25,8373,0.7571870198735321,0.5097677837247149,2023-07,2025-07,2023-12,2025-12 +longer_common_period,Seasonal baseline,WP,6,25,8373,0.7607807912724379,0.5586559185329043,2023-07,2025-07,2023-12,2025-12 +longer_common_period,Original baseline,WP,6,25,8373,0.6778416485826572,0.6548060407999927,2023-07,2025-07,2023-12,2025-12 +longer_common_period,Surface baseline,WP,6,25,8373,0.7710980194782016,0.5652555352661175,2023-07,2025-07,2023-12,2025-12 +longer_common_period,Joint baseline,WP,6,25,8373,0.761337566873553,0.5645870757956072,2023-07,2025-07,2023-12,2025-12 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,WP,6,25,8373,-0.1297351643111796,1.574920787407935,2023-07,2025-07,2023-12,2025-12 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,WP,6,25,8373,0.0882992511325146,1.4553533500665488,2023-07,2025-07,2023-12,2025-12 +longer_common_period,Cutoff-2022 model,Nino3.4,6,25,500,0.5063202951100558,0.7632976606800432,2023-07,2025-07,2023-12,2025-12 +longer_common_period,Seasonal baseline,Nino3.4,6,25,500,0.5386375447686965,0.7244503930036075,2023-07,2025-07,2023-12,2025-12 +longer_common_period,Original baseline,Nino3.4,6,25,500,0.5423072952723957,0.7885119733142181,2023-07,2025-07,2023-12,2025-12 +longer_common_period,Surface baseline,Nino3.4,6,25,500,0.4636018838705713,0.77598036627783,2023-07,2025-07,2023-12,2025-12 +longer_common_period,Joint baseline,Nino3.4,6,25,500,0.4867508760686698,0.7583000138506981,2023-07,2025-07,2023-12,2025-12 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,Nino3.4,6,25,500,0.3296005857717354,1.1711980588494388,2023-07,2025-07,2023-12,2025-12 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,Nino3.4,6,25,500,0.5773747183108493,1.9740993394735655,2023-07,2025-07,2023-12,2025-12 +longer_common_period,Cutoff-2022 model,SIO,6,25,2783,0.5736507856786528,0.7423411490809634,2023-07,2025-07,2023-12,2025-12 +longer_common_period,Seasonal baseline,SIO,6,25,2783,0.5492362967179854,0.7653949333402663,2023-07,2025-07,2023-12,2025-12 +longer_common_period,Original baseline,SIO,6,25,2783,0.4659988109788755,0.826827404352032,2023-07,2025-07,2023-12,2025-12 +longer_common_period,Surface baseline,SIO,6,25,2783,0.5517246024244016,0.7661120893645333,2023-07,2025-07,2023-12,2025-12 +longer_common_period,Joint baseline,SIO,6,25,2783,0.5502311018757424,0.7664468024075468,2023-07,2025-07,2023-12,2025-12 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,SIO,6,25,2783,0.4649797810985188,1.68934768696582,2023-07,2025-07,2023-12,2025-12 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,SIO,6,25,2783,0.5370937578579005,1.812408436824956,2023-07,2025-07,2023-12,2025-12 +longer_common_period,Cutoff-2022 model,SPO,6,25,2486,0.6854008191669816,0.6516643461366441,2023-07,2025-07,2023-12,2025-12 +longer_common_period,Seasonal baseline,SPO,6,25,2486,0.7087858997788559,0.6695852005240882,2023-07,2025-07,2023-12,2025-12 +longer_common_period,Original baseline,SPO,6,25,2486,0.6228507494813144,0.7590414192514179,2023-07,2025-07,2023-12,2025-12 +longer_common_period,Surface baseline,SPO,6,25,2486,0.7221975675168689,0.6596588009815173,2023-07,2025-07,2023-12,2025-12 +longer_common_period,Joint baseline,SPO,6,25,2486,0.7185501334872186,0.6651571791587892,2023-07,2025-07,2023-12,2025-12 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,SPO,6,25,2486,0.6042511139093001,1.177207405603298,2023-07,2025-07,2023-12,2025-12 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,SPO,6,25,2486,0.5922451873246174,1.4290676920785923,2023-07,2025-07,2023-12,2025-12 +longer_common_period,Cutoff-2022 model,SAO,6,25,1307,0.6481494479786317,0.6285009874211032,2023-07,2025-07,2023-12,2025-12 +longer_common_period,Seasonal baseline,SAO,6,25,1307,0.5071230307264978,0.6856119981424109,2023-07,2025-07,2023-12,2025-12 +longer_common_period,Original baseline,SAO,6,25,1307,0.4574666629756788,0.7316933266255666,2023-07,2025-07,2023-12,2025-12 +longer_common_period,Surface baseline,SAO,6,25,1307,0.5087054544875632,0.6853548674928949,2023-07,2025-07,2023-12,2025-12 +longer_common_period,Joint baseline,SAO,6,25,1307,0.509836535004848,0.684301318405254,2023-07,2025-07,2023-12,2025-12 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,SAO,6,25,1307,0.3563878565702058,1.759358854663554,2023-07,2025-07,2023-12,2025-12 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,SAO,6,25,1307,0.3907317185434826,2.022951055509347,2023-07,2025-07,2023-12,2025-12 +longer_common_period,Cutoff-2022 model,Global,7,25,39906,0.7017916058595222,0.666910066812602,2023-07,2025-07,2024-01,2026-01 +longer_common_period,Seasonal baseline,Global,7,25,39906,0.6464699204079487,0.7430759227131125,2023-07,2025-07,2024-01,2026-01 +longer_common_period,Original baseline,Global,7,25,39906,0.6190492077207125,0.8154610543523496,2023-07,2025-07,2024-01,2026-01 +longer_common_period,Surface baseline,Global,7,25,39906,0.6551181789364057,0.7399510043195785,2023-07,2025-07,2024-01,2026-01 +longer_common_period,Joint baseline,Global,7,25,39906,0.6498761643102747,0.7427473535455221,2023-07,2025-07,2024-01,2026-01 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,Global,7,25,39906,0.1612650907871169,1.597801970369279,2023-07,2025-07,2024-01,2026-01 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,Global,7,25,39906,0.2923065753021595,1.6416890016098713,2023-07,2025-07,2024-01,2026-01 +longer_common_period,Cutoff-2022 model,AO,7,25,5419,0.8686233969454598,0.670982649525357,2023-07,2025-07,2024-01,2026-01 +longer_common_period,Seasonal baseline,AO,7,25,5419,0.7717777889416664,0.9505148388590806,2023-07,2025-07,2024-01,2026-01 +longer_common_period,Original baseline,AO,7,25,5419,0.8001624974141912,1.0434293793116844,2023-07,2025-07,2024-01,2026-01 +longer_common_period,Surface baseline,AO,7,25,5419,0.7706540202451752,0.9456187504198498,2023-07,2025-07,2024-01,2026-01 +longer_common_period,Joint baseline,AO,7,25,5419,0.7744922120173154,0.9466768059135764,2023-07,2025-07,2024-01,2026-01 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,AO,7,25,5419,-0.2744842020080769,1.686429944796137,2023-07,2025-07,2024-01,2026-01 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,AO,7,25,5419,-0.0386701331042583,1.6532990839283346,2023-07,2025-07,2024-01,2026-01 +longer_common_period,Cutoff-2022 model,PDO,7,25,4113,0.7336598759189285,0.8960371890737483,2023-07,2025-07,2024-01,2026-01 +longer_common_period,Seasonal baseline,PDO,7,25,4113,0.5865500268604207,1.1548081591349133,2023-07,2025-07,2024-01,2026-01 +longer_common_period,Original baseline,PDO,7,25,4113,0.6128026233112124,1.2082529491694576,2023-07,2025-07,2024-01,2026-01 +longer_common_period,Surface baseline,PDO,7,25,4113,0.5797517432280148,1.1563364153022715,2023-07,2025-07,2024-01,2026-01 +longer_common_period,Joint baseline,PDO,7,25,4113,0.5799884778861911,1.1568443301056817,2023-07,2025-07,2024-01,2026-01 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,PDO,7,25,4113,0.3833785860476657,1.5001234365116354,2023-07,2025-07,2024-01,2026-01 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,PDO,7,25,4113,0.4628026730102032,1.4435950356806395,2023-07,2025-07,2024-01,2026-01 +longer_common_period,Cutoff-2022 model,WP,7,25,8373,0.7457496560480793,0.5072024479048011,2023-07,2025-07,2024-01,2026-01 +longer_common_period,Seasonal baseline,WP,7,25,8373,0.746503167287154,0.545758761302922,2023-07,2025-07,2024-01,2026-01 +longer_common_period,Original baseline,WP,7,25,8373,0.6703664350787928,0.6358691238458963,2023-07,2025-07,2024-01,2026-01 +longer_common_period,Surface baseline,WP,7,25,8373,0.7605386696246734,0.5480182115211004,2023-07,2025-07,2024-01,2026-01 +longer_common_period,Joint baseline,WP,7,25,8373,0.7486015457532286,0.5495991742763007,2023-07,2025-07,2024-01,2026-01 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,WP,7,25,8373,-0.181546824913945,1.6012046613560862,2023-07,2025-07,2024-01,2026-01 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,WP,7,25,8373,0.0626860147398347,1.480795250092845,2023-07,2025-07,2024-01,2026-01 +longer_common_period,Cutoff-2022 model,Nino3.4,7,25,500,0.5213128516778823,0.7393018784575343,2023-07,2025-07,2024-01,2026-01 +longer_common_period,Seasonal baseline,Nino3.4,7,25,500,0.5452482325520043,0.6556509355564165,2023-07,2025-07,2024-01,2026-01 +longer_common_period,Original baseline,Nino3.4,7,25,500,0.5584173325760987,0.7028011656890008,2023-07,2025-07,2024-01,2026-01 +longer_common_period,Surface baseline,Nino3.4,7,25,500,0.455985158902201,0.6946800793039359,2023-07,2025-07,2024-01,2026-01 +longer_common_period,Joint baseline,Nino3.4,7,25,500,0.4834213580691721,0.6821668246755681,2023-07,2025-07,2024-01,2026-01 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,Nino3.4,7,25,500,0.2442354906385775,1.1698327560480288,2023-07,2025-07,2024-01,2026-01 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,Nino3.4,7,25,500,0.5278568073968635,1.9721082612119667,2023-07,2025-07,2024-01,2026-01 +longer_common_period,Cutoff-2022 model,SIO,7,25,2783,0.5597129795788551,0.7470296022210496,2023-07,2025-07,2024-01,2026-01 +longer_common_period,Seasonal baseline,SIO,7,25,2783,0.544221135233063,0.7654130072798706,2023-07,2025-07,2024-01,2026-01 +longer_common_period,Original baseline,SIO,7,25,2783,0.4678565570145506,0.8234976940910477,2023-07,2025-07,2024-01,2026-01 +longer_common_period,Surface baseline,SIO,7,25,2783,0.5478922083024855,0.7653913118224092,2023-07,2025-07,2024-01,2026-01 +longer_common_period,Joint baseline,SIO,7,25,2783,0.5459928797701289,0.7661594790802688,2023-07,2025-07,2024-01,2026-01 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,SIO,7,25,2783,0.4627069717883148,1.7777795660472997,2023-07,2025-07,2024-01,2026-01 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,SIO,7,25,2783,0.542455765665184,1.92319552707829,2023-07,2025-07,2024-01,2026-01 +longer_common_period,Cutoff-2022 model,SPO,7,25,2486,0.6906808647490084,0.6513583299004675,2023-07,2025-07,2024-01,2026-01 +longer_common_period,Seasonal baseline,SPO,7,25,2486,0.6980730875236335,0.6803006381403907,2023-07,2025-07,2024-01,2026-01 +longer_common_period,Original baseline,SPO,7,25,2486,0.6038844199575255,0.7684640490695417,2023-07,2025-07,2024-01,2026-01 +longer_common_period,Surface baseline,SPO,7,25,2486,0.7086701962505225,0.6723333995641884,2023-07,2025-07,2024-01,2026-01 +longer_common_period,Joint baseline,SPO,7,25,2486,0.7058560491908764,0.6770167495347651,2023-07,2025-07,2024-01,2026-01 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,SPO,7,25,2486,0.6061561181630978,1.2490667257620152,2023-07,2025-07,2024-01,2026-01 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,SPO,7,25,2486,0.6126836408752762,1.494881573292628,2023-07,2025-07,2024-01,2026-01 +longer_common_period,Cutoff-2022 model,SAO,7,25,1307,0.64980425022348,0.6215596382412664,2023-07,2025-07,2024-01,2026-01 +longer_common_period,Seasonal baseline,SAO,7,25,1307,0.5127301525390642,0.6828683489438341,2023-07,2025-07,2024-01,2026-01 +longer_common_period,Original baseline,SAO,7,25,1307,0.4650021074250818,0.7291602093510965,2023-07,2025-07,2024-01,2026-01 +longer_common_period,Surface baseline,SAO,7,25,1307,0.5151402327633613,0.6816877884768955,2023-07,2025-07,2024-01,2026-01 +longer_common_period,Joint baseline,SAO,7,25,1307,0.5148110513139883,0.6818048320850227,2023-07,2025-07,2024-01,2026-01 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,SAO,7,25,1307,0.3394022974717182,1.8699317287573516,2023-07,2025-07,2024-01,2026-01 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,SAO,7,25,1307,0.3886436055573505,2.1987980628937964,2023-07,2025-07,2024-01,2026-01 +longer_common_period,Cutoff-2022 model,Global,8,25,39906,0.6962773361878983,0.6635573417278906,2023-07,2025-07,2024-02,2026-02 +longer_common_period,Seasonal baseline,Global,8,25,39906,0.6427828637333012,0.7368934371175614,2023-07,2025-07,2024-02,2026-02 +longer_common_period,Original baseline,Global,8,25,39906,0.6122605645711048,0.8089895659063203,2023-07,2025-07,2024-02,2026-02 +longer_common_period,Surface baseline,Global,8,25,39906,0.6527015123061645,0.7327126769486267,2023-07,2025-07,2024-02,2026-02 +longer_common_period,Joint baseline,Global,8,25,39906,0.6465662906482919,0.7361824736247072,2023-07,2025-07,2024-02,2026-02 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,Global,8,25,39906,0.1660186930240743,1.6144570503800038,2023-07,2025-07,2024-02,2026-02 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,Global,8,25,39906,0.2955540330057442,1.665549884872226,2023-07,2025-07,2024-02,2026-02 +longer_common_period,Cutoff-2022 model,AO,8,25,5419,0.8691277872500102,0.6618425389250535,2023-07,2025-07,2024-02,2026-02 +longer_common_period,Seasonal baseline,AO,8,25,5419,0.7680075133775511,0.9532086297948136,2023-07,2025-07,2024-02,2026-02 +longer_common_period,Original baseline,AO,8,25,5419,0.8038869283240649,1.043318704191612,2023-07,2025-07,2024-02,2026-02 +longer_common_period,Surface baseline,AO,8,25,5419,0.7659659042448148,0.9487705057124975,2023-07,2025-07,2024-02,2026-02 +longer_common_period,Joint baseline,AO,8,25,5419,0.7697824188529774,0.9493562665738424,2023-07,2025-07,2024-02,2026-02 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,AO,8,25,5419,-0.2749505512207826,1.7037129824634971,2023-07,2025-07,2024-02,2026-02 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,AO,8,25,5419,-0.0140792338750076,1.5598414096854447,2023-07,2025-07,2024-02,2026-02 +longer_common_period,Cutoff-2022 model,PDO,8,25,4113,0.7270840671364874,0.9022020319362528,2023-07,2025-07,2024-02,2026-02 +longer_common_period,Seasonal baseline,PDO,8,25,4113,0.5795457742555034,1.1595543524078853,2023-07,2025-07,2024-02,2026-02 +longer_common_period,Original baseline,PDO,8,25,4113,0.607024194639365,1.208335143576153,2023-07,2025-07,2024-02,2026-02 +longer_common_period,Surface baseline,PDO,8,25,4113,0.5755894773214885,1.1581130836052824,2023-07,2025-07,2024-02,2026-02 +longer_common_period,Joint baseline,PDO,8,25,4113,0.5725767595013294,1.1612976507048616,2023-07,2025-07,2024-02,2026-02 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,PDO,8,25,4113,0.3899552406411935,1.4898237112828412,2023-07,2025-07,2024-02,2026-02 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,PDO,8,25,4113,0.4199353704756947,1.4999518918560453,2023-07,2025-07,2024-02,2026-02 +longer_common_period,Cutoff-2022 model,WP,8,25,8373,0.7334789341489956,0.501018515650566,2023-07,2025-07,2024-02,2026-02 +longer_common_period,Seasonal baseline,WP,8,25,8373,0.7332489568566358,0.5327201334664536,2023-07,2025-07,2024-02,2026-02 +longer_common_period,Original baseline,WP,8,25,8373,0.6525381574229869,0.619345002885111,2023-07,2025-07,2024-02,2026-02 +longer_common_period,Surface baseline,WP,8,25,8373,0.7514496294348809,0.5309446023838388,2023-07,2025-07,2024-02,2026-02 +longer_common_period,Joint baseline,WP,8,25,8373,0.7374463358125716,0.5344937202194873,2023-07,2025-07,2024-02,2026-02 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,WP,8,25,8373,-0.1873507573944109,1.603910759237914,2023-07,2025-07,2024-02,2026-02 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,WP,8,25,8373,0.0573258113365717,1.4756992585301312,2023-07,2025-07,2024-02,2026-02 +longer_common_period,Cutoff-2022 model,Nino3.4,8,25,500,0.511873782145507,0.724976791069909,2023-07,2025-07,2024-02,2026-02 +longer_common_period,Seasonal baseline,Nino3.4,8,25,500,0.5345675340201723,0.585774909705429,2023-07,2025-07,2024-02,2026-02 +longer_common_period,Original baseline,Nino3.4,8,25,500,0.5305878177099335,0.6224882714294024,2023-07,2025-07,2024-02,2026-02 +longer_common_period,Surface baseline,Nino3.4,8,25,500,0.4591469898961813,0.6102936714177234,2023-07,2025-07,2024-02,2026-02 +longer_common_period,Joint baseline,Nino3.4,8,25,500,0.4868718303603117,0.6031588968484313,2023-07,2025-07,2024-02,2026-02 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,Nino3.4,8,25,500,0.193231475382489,1.2487539703680848,2023-07,2025-07,2024-02,2026-02 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,Nino3.4,8,25,500,0.5172649015741896,1.9130284838387623,2023-07,2025-07,2024-02,2026-02 +longer_common_period,Cutoff-2022 model,SIO,8,25,2783,0.5561738719342056,0.740674265278275,2023-07,2025-07,2024-02,2026-02 +longer_common_period,Seasonal baseline,SIO,8,25,2783,0.5452080619323795,0.7566838079839409,2023-07,2025-07,2024-02,2026-02 +longer_common_period,Original baseline,SIO,8,25,2783,0.4677120092278459,0.8150563183258248,2023-07,2025-07,2024-02,2026-02 +longer_common_period,Surface baseline,SIO,8,25,2783,0.5472833367435287,0.7568280362426615,2023-07,2025-07,2024-02,2026-02 +longer_common_period,Joint baseline,SIO,8,25,2783,0.5463887295646755,0.7574258513896057,2023-07,2025-07,2024-02,2026-02 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,SIO,8,25,2783,0.461752076973795,1.8604638516585688,2023-07,2025-07,2024-02,2026-02 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,SIO,8,25,2783,0.5449547924551099,2.008496706126937,2023-07,2025-07,2024-02,2026-02 +longer_common_period,Cutoff-2022 model,SPO,8,25,2486,0.6899952800322285,0.6526679919209409,2023-07,2025-07,2024-02,2026-02 +longer_common_period,Seasonal baseline,SPO,8,25,2486,0.7040157941461725,0.6781803508889969,2023-07,2025-07,2024-02,2026-02 +longer_common_period,Original baseline,SPO,8,25,2486,0.5931478999587199,0.7727841032420198,2023-07,2025-07,2024-02,2026-02 +longer_common_period,Surface baseline,SPO,8,25,2486,0.7090372119967395,0.6735308080687327,2023-07,2025-07,2024-02,2026-02 +longer_common_period,Joint baseline,SPO,8,25,2486,0.7092886317506634,0.6760737806622671,2023-07,2025-07,2024-02,2026-02 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,SPO,8,25,2486,0.6028456079158603,1.322694449954937,2023-07,2025-07,2024-02,2026-02 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,SPO,8,25,2486,0.6181993986906784,1.611474832080541,2023-07,2025-07,2024-02,2026-02 +longer_common_period,Cutoff-2022 model,SAO,8,25,1307,0.6563033245099085,0.6095875247861552,2023-07,2025-07,2024-02,2026-02 +longer_common_period,Seasonal baseline,SAO,8,25,1307,0.5224950819192383,0.6736296822943556,2023-07,2025-07,2024-02,2026-02 +longer_common_period,Original baseline,SAO,8,25,1307,0.4716148268284008,0.7230720223439192,2023-07,2025-07,2024-02,2026-02 +longer_common_period,Surface baseline,SAO,8,25,1307,0.5238094056621369,0.6728661691027108,2023-07,2025-07,2024-02,2026-02 +longer_common_period,Joint baseline,SAO,8,25,1307,0.5242882160745337,0.672873705596763,2023-07,2025-07,2024-02,2026-02 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,SAO,8,25,1307,0.3251664324421691,1.9478406155493808,2023-07,2025-07,2024-02,2026-02 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,SAO,8,25,1307,0.3701513043004025,2.307435002229625,2023-07,2025-07,2024-02,2026-02 +longer_common_period,Cutoff-2022 model,Global,9,25,39906,0.6913648003093068,0.6627032210516769,2023-07,2025-07,2024-03,2026-03 +longer_common_period,Seasonal baseline,Global,9,25,39906,0.6396835142920108,0.7327118745894995,2023-07,2025-07,2024-03,2026-03 +longer_common_period,Original baseline,Global,9,25,39906,0.6080159697433597,0.8044933859463145,2023-07,2025-07,2024-03,2026-03 +longer_common_period,Surface baseline,Global,9,25,39906,0.6512394842114173,0.7278070146413015,2023-07,2025-07,2024-03,2026-03 +longer_common_period,Joint baseline,Global,9,25,39906,0.6438493786397186,0.731813550277996,2023-07,2025-07,2024-03,2026-03 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,Global,9,25,39906,0.1682458890184336,1.6285870818433223,2023-07,2025-07,2024-03,2026-03 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,Global,9,25,39906,0.3015937646184115,1.6651112266808077,2023-07,2025-07,2024-03,2026-03 +longer_common_period,Cutoff-2022 model,AO,9,25,5419,0.8676634190240887,0.6563957869217656,2023-07,2025-07,2024-03,2026-03 +longer_common_period,Seasonal baseline,AO,9,25,5419,0.763577943907461,0.9534049708220272,2023-07,2025-07,2024-03,2026-03 +longer_common_period,Original baseline,AO,9,25,5419,0.8069808274082435,1.0468527692785132,2023-07,2025-07,2024-03,2026-03 +longer_common_period,Surface baseline,AO,9,25,5419,0.7631088607166667,0.9513310495452536,2023-07,2025-07,2024-03,2026-03 +longer_common_period,Joint baseline,AO,9,25,5419,0.7656616179882165,0.9512627418437716,2023-07,2025-07,2024-03,2026-03 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,AO,9,25,5419,-0.2939036151897351,1.6987562589673098,2023-07,2025-07,2024-03,2026-03 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,AO,9,25,5419,0.0291112170888915,1.46969109222284,2023-07,2025-07,2024-03,2026-03 +longer_common_period,Cutoff-2022 model,PDO,9,25,4113,0.7220740206313079,0.9127080125752548,2023-07,2025-07,2024-03,2026-03 +longer_common_period,Seasonal baseline,PDO,9,25,4113,0.5693240907803396,1.1709413307588952,2023-07,2025-07,2024-03,2026-03 +longer_common_period,Original baseline,PDO,9,25,4113,0.6009374283008071,1.2146320027720137,2023-07,2025-07,2024-03,2026-03 +longer_common_period,Surface baseline,PDO,9,25,4113,0.5708928402796603,1.1660103157315036,2023-07,2025-07,2024-03,2026-03 +longer_common_period,Joint baseline,PDO,9,25,4113,0.5637119313730933,1.1713830559204077,2023-07,2025-07,2024-03,2026-03 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,PDO,9,25,4113,0.3775092390201265,1.5562513300399097,2023-07,2025-07,2024-03,2026-03 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,PDO,9,25,4113,0.3985836630866953,1.5685266352289882,2023-07,2025-07,2024-03,2026-03 +longer_common_period,Cutoff-2022 model,WP,9,25,8373,0.7177048505765333,0.505056738646152,2023-07,2025-07,2024-03,2026-03 +longer_common_period,Seasonal baseline,WP,9,25,8373,0.7246063308083056,0.5258793854590529,2023-07,2025-07,2024-03,2026-03 +longer_common_period,Original baseline,WP,9,25,8373,0.6456691075819857,0.6086280336800667,2023-07,2025-07,2024-03,2026-03 +longer_common_period,Surface baseline,WP,9,25,8373,0.7448553639265105,0.5207614664347747,2023-07,2025-07,2024-03,2026-03 +longer_common_period,Joint baseline,WP,9,25,8373,0.7292951326570897,0.5262592273349567,2023-07,2025-07,2024-03,2026-03 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,WP,9,25,8373,-0.181626421190898,1.617267421349169,2023-07,2025-07,2024-03,2026-03 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,WP,9,25,8373,0.0469970119448274,1.4760417359196027,2023-07,2025-07,2024-03,2026-03 +longer_common_period,Cutoff-2022 model,Nino3.4,9,25,500,0.4719454502580838,0.720854763768145,2023-07,2025-07,2024-03,2026-03 +longer_common_period,Seasonal baseline,Nino3.4,9,25,500,0.5110981355153482,0.5339402890848792,2023-07,2025-07,2024-03,2026-03 +longer_common_period,Original baseline,Nino3.4,9,25,500,0.4882068125047835,0.5574317610420525,2023-07,2025-07,2024-03,2026-03 +longer_common_period,Surface baseline,Nino3.4,9,25,500,0.4698416706366115,0.5434644663085474,2023-07,2025-07,2024-03,2026-03 +longer_common_period,Joint baseline,Nino3.4,9,25,500,0.482113037098889,0.5425187823703662,2023-07,2025-07,2024-03,2026-03 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,Nino3.4,9,25,500,0.3049920340657241,1.276550734822888,2023-07,2025-07,2024-03,2026-03 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,Nino3.4,9,25,500,0.4493829122596491,1.7324098783897215,2023-07,2025-07,2024-03,2026-03 +longer_common_period,Cutoff-2022 model,SIO,9,25,2783,0.5482009246144466,0.7309291680881982,2023-07,2025-07,2024-03,2026-03 +longer_common_period,Seasonal baseline,SIO,9,25,2783,0.545286820187039,0.7419302507425096,2023-07,2025-07,2024-03,2026-03 +longer_common_period,Original baseline,SIO,9,25,2783,0.4639619977791641,0.8004039880908865,2023-07,2025-07,2024-03,2026-03 +longer_common_period,Surface baseline,SIO,9,25,2783,0.5434848053427351,0.743350685545532,2023-07,2025-07,2024-03,2026-03 +longer_common_period,Joint baseline,SIO,9,25,2783,0.5443027213939563,0.7430638453894342,2023-07,2025-07,2024-03,2026-03 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,SIO,9,25,2783,0.4712663319590983,1.886340996309508,2023-07,2025-07,2024-03,2026-03 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,SIO,9,25,2783,0.559215734967278,2.042428885044301,2023-07,2025-07,2024-03,2026-03 +longer_common_period,Cutoff-2022 model,SPO,9,25,2486,0.6839533494109312,0.6487753382994739,2023-07,2025-07,2024-03,2026-03 +longer_common_period,Seasonal baseline,SPO,9,25,2486,0.6990846104598709,0.6708196628525883,2023-07,2025-07,2024-03,2026-03 +longer_common_period,Original baseline,SPO,9,25,2486,0.5727751362142152,0.7681326723987042,2023-07,2025-07,2024-03,2026-03 +longer_common_period,Surface baseline,SPO,9,25,2486,0.7033706727269667,0.6673432910946904,2023-07,2025-07,2024-03,2026-03 +longer_common_period,Joint baseline,SPO,9,25,2486,0.7044283724632827,0.6683845208294241,2023-07,2025-07,2024-03,2026-03 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,SPO,9,25,2486,0.6310005650292204,1.282902491324882,2023-07,2025-07,2024-03,2026-03 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,SPO,9,25,2486,0.6392199065673833,1.5628071201501144,2023-07,2025-07,2024-03,2026-03 +longer_common_period,Cutoff-2022 model,SAO,9,25,1307,0.6496650468795317,0.6149188196942589,2023-07,2025-07,2024-03,2026-03 +longer_common_period,Seasonal baseline,SAO,9,25,1307,0.5340025359960822,0.6689002087983787,2023-07,2025-07,2024-03,2026-03 +longer_common_period,Original baseline,SAO,9,25,1307,0.4812897150820155,0.7234004229221838,2023-07,2025-07,2024-03,2026-03 +longer_common_period,Surface baseline,SAO,9,25,1307,0.5332810091577977,0.6694595163895892,2023-07,2025-07,2024-03,2026-03 +longer_common_period,Joint baseline,SAO,9,25,1307,0.5357438544880992,0.6683864847606724,2023-07,2025-07,2024-03,2026-03 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,SAO,9,25,1307,0.3160674829909044,1.9124783187389949,2023-07,2025-07,2024-03,2026-03 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,SAO,9,25,1307,0.363351097662954,2.3557891974112084,2023-07,2025-07,2024-03,2026-03 +longer_common_period,Cutoff-2022 model,Global,10,25,39906,0.6899512659158185,0.6623711044891526,2023-07,2025-07,2024-04,2026-04 +longer_common_period,Seasonal baseline,Global,10,25,39906,0.6322848576880087,0.7342087625922705,2023-07,2025-07,2024-04,2026-04 +longer_common_period,Original baseline,Global,10,25,39906,0.6015444196254514,0.8051694478903725,2023-07,2025-07,2024-04,2026-04 +longer_common_period,Surface baseline,Global,10,25,39906,0.6478548027287867,0.7278920529550984,2023-07,2025-07,2024-04,2026-04 +longer_common_period,Joint baseline,Global,10,25,39906,0.6384932885757362,0.7324588377040525,2023-07,2025-07,2024-04,2026-04 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,Global,10,25,39906,0.1667042911643752,1.6294510784426772,2023-07,2025-07,2024-04,2026-04 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,Global,10,25,39906,0.3014559540159177,1.6632927362966117,2023-07,2025-07,2024-04,2026-04 +longer_common_period,Cutoff-2022 model,AO,10,25,5419,0.8666492364807368,0.6576898492676194,2023-07,2025-07,2024-04,2026-04 +longer_common_period,Seasonal baseline,AO,10,25,5419,0.7628046876660959,0.9457844047987196,2023-07,2025-07,2024-04,2026-04 +longer_common_period,Original baseline,AO,10,25,5419,0.8127528915698597,1.0472134192202067,2023-07,2025-07,2024-04,2026-04 +longer_common_period,Surface baseline,AO,10,25,5419,0.7655785964133327,0.9467058236477984,2023-07,2025-07,2024-04,2026-04 +longer_common_period,Joint baseline,AO,10,25,5419,0.7662740734742477,0.9447636182746144,2023-07,2025-07,2024-04,2026-04 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,AO,10,25,5419,-0.3400049873561802,1.7248851993585896,2023-07,2025-07,2024-04,2026-04 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,AO,10,25,5419,0.0338772694678283,1.438924828444225,2023-07,2025-07,2024-04,2026-04 +longer_common_period,Cutoff-2022 model,PDO,10,25,4113,0.7246870272011016,0.9250568501541372,2023-07,2025-07,2024-04,2026-04 +longer_common_period,Seasonal baseline,PDO,10,25,4113,0.548030624733832,1.191681900862955,2023-07,2025-07,2024-04,2026-04 +longer_common_period,Original baseline,PDO,10,25,4113,0.5894032450319445,1.2294718378083045,2023-07,2025-07,2024-04,2026-04 +longer_common_period,Surface baseline,PDO,10,25,4113,0.5653363363209877,1.1801589021341283,2023-07,2025-07,2024-04,2026-04 +longer_common_period,Joint baseline,PDO,10,25,4113,0.5499612853100404,1.1888323763395716,2023-07,2025-07,2024-04,2026-04 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,PDO,10,25,4113,0.36890202223363,1.5948630226093292,2023-07,2025-07,2024-04,2026-04 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,PDO,10,25,4113,0.3862212815668353,1.6309120888656965,2023-07,2025-07,2024-04,2026-04 +longer_common_period,Cutoff-2022 model,WP,10,25,8373,0.711273422755897,0.5082101585156756,2023-07,2025-07,2024-04,2026-04 +longer_common_period,Seasonal baseline,WP,10,25,8373,0.7124994167381825,0.5297484532681954,2023-07,2025-07,2024-04,2026-04 +longer_common_period,Original baseline,WP,10,25,8373,0.6355414334481914,0.6103291687295179,2023-07,2025-07,2024-04,2026-04 +longer_common_period,Surface baseline,WP,10,25,8373,0.7366720328248877,0.5216741585368536,2023-07,2025-07,2024-04,2026-04 +longer_common_period,Joint baseline,WP,10,25,8373,0.7202551570172525,0.5281371749083927,2023-07,2025-07,2024-04,2026-04 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,WP,10,25,8373,-0.1812615889300836,1.6336931632905551,2023-07,2025-07,2024-04,2026-04 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,WP,10,25,8373,0.0504211136753128,1.4744886778768311,2023-07,2025-07,2024-04,2026-04 +longer_common_period,Cutoff-2022 model,Nino3.4,10,25,500,0.459306467864407,0.663822384286585,2023-07,2025-07,2024-04,2026-04 +longer_common_period,Seasonal baseline,Nino3.4,10,25,500,0.4754455952318733,0.4960584567155534,2023-07,2025-07,2024-04,2026-04 +longer_common_period,Original baseline,Nino3.4,10,25,500,0.4857602843706521,0.5100769589597549,2023-07,2025-07,2024-04,2026-04 +longer_common_period,Surface baseline,Nino3.4,10,25,500,0.4437894341413122,0.495249914511952,2023-07,2025-07,2024-04,2026-04 +longer_common_period,Joint baseline,Nino3.4,10,25,500,0.4536195738656971,0.4984607619348719,2023-07,2025-07,2024-04,2026-04 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,Nino3.4,10,25,500,0.2621936693486467,1.3188994643153795,2023-07,2025-07,2024-04,2026-04 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,Nino3.4,10,25,500,0.4653832347696959,1.6089463006060258,2023-07,2025-07,2024-04,2026-04 +longer_common_period,Cutoff-2022 model,SIO,10,25,2783,0.5391995685641022,0.7288077468813937,2023-07,2025-07,2024-04,2026-04 +longer_common_period,Seasonal baseline,SIO,10,25,2783,0.5485432045953852,0.7315034853534084,2023-07,2025-07,2024-04,2026-04 +longer_common_period,Original baseline,SIO,10,25,2783,0.4788927504125745,0.7879826543908105,2023-07,2025-07,2024-04,2026-04 +longer_common_period,Surface baseline,SIO,10,25,2783,0.5467648079557539,0.7333441314834306,2023-07,2025-07,2024-04,2026-04 +longer_common_period,Joint baseline,SIO,10,25,2783,0.5478176962826614,0.7325572663464915,2023-07,2025-07,2024-04,2026-04 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,SIO,10,25,2783,0.4782183782063381,1.883159286468502,2023-07,2025-07,2024-04,2026-04 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,SIO,10,25,2783,0.5775286370941329,2.073474524230102,2023-07,2025-07,2024-04,2026-04 +longer_common_period,Cutoff-2022 model,SPO,10,25,2486,0.6887529333537963,0.6349841253127088,2023-07,2025-07,2024-04,2026-04 +longer_common_period,Seasonal baseline,SPO,10,25,2486,0.6857063001023472,0.6660919784020597,2023-07,2025-07,2024-04,2026-04 +longer_common_period,Original baseline,SPO,10,25,2486,0.5637732545945285,0.7599200744635539,2023-07,2025-07,2024-04,2026-04 +longer_common_period,Surface baseline,SPO,10,25,2486,0.6909336677935527,0.6628728027486614,2023-07,2025-07,2024-04,2026-04 +longer_common_period,Joint baseline,SPO,10,25,2486,0.6910490201852477,0.6631677718977348,2023-07,2025-07,2024-04,2026-04 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,SPO,10,25,2486,0.617419708209153,1.2585615713896152,2023-07,2025-07,2024-04,2026-04 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,SPO,10,25,2486,0.638176294250561,1.5093019997472328,2023-07,2025-07,2024-04,2026-04 +longer_common_period,Cutoff-2022 model,SAO,10,25,1307,0.6524084928268181,0.6174725300393256,2023-07,2025-07,2024-04,2026-04 +longer_common_period,Seasonal baseline,SAO,10,25,1307,0.549557613059809,0.6718651876516288,2023-07,2025-07,2024-04,2026-04 +longer_common_period,Original baseline,SAO,10,25,1307,0.5079846002162391,0.7285317223397281,2023-07,2025-07,2024-04,2026-04 +longer_common_period,Surface baseline,SAO,10,25,1307,0.5521951955347429,0.6699956794290186,2023-07,2025-07,2024-04,2026-04 +longer_common_period,Joint baseline,SAO,10,25,1307,0.5530290190433692,0.6697736834861906,2023-07,2025-07,2024-04,2026-04 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,SAO,10,25,1307,0.2946219767645157,1.9268034776924228,2023-07,2025-07,2024-04,2026-04 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,SAO,10,25,1307,0.3714446528358552,2.347050426926872,2023-07,2025-07,2024-04,2026-04 +longer_common_period,Cutoff-2022 model,Global,11,25,39906,0.6864608917153572,0.6635798355257857,2023-07,2025-07,2024-05,2026-05 +longer_common_period,Seasonal baseline,Global,11,25,39906,0.6289157942197297,0.7340905806402591,2023-07,2025-07,2024-05,2026-05 +longer_common_period,Original baseline,Global,11,25,39906,0.593653138814692,0.8064210060177962,2023-07,2025-07,2024-05,2026-05 +longer_common_period,Surface baseline,Global,11,25,39906,0.6461709733383728,0.7271277006712544,2023-07,2025-07,2024-05,2026-05 +longer_common_period,Joint baseline,Global,11,25,39906,0.6358542232275964,0.7319292167878226,2023-07,2025-07,2024-05,2026-05 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,Global,11,25,39906,0.1592966804570398,1.6354045034166782,2023-07,2025-07,2024-05,2026-05 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,Global,11,25,39906,0.2996689665946769,1.6721207002529497,2023-07,2025-07,2024-05,2026-05 +longer_common_period,Cutoff-2022 model,AO,11,25,5419,0.8634685602930158,0.6702162328703527,2023-07,2025-07,2024-05,2026-05 +longer_common_period,Seasonal baseline,AO,11,25,5419,0.7683117762784739,0.9344708748272216,2023-07,2025-07,2024-05,2026-05 +longer_common_period,Original baseline,AO,11,25,5419,0.8143239171271024,1.050056502072907,2023-07,2025-07,2024-05,2026-05 +longer_common_period,Surface baseline,AO,11,25,5419,0.7714336666050694,0.9406229466058946,2023-07,2025-07,2024-05,2026-05 +longer_common_period,Joint baseline,AO,11,25,5419,0.7714902079206359,0.936513754152732,2023-07,2025-07,2024-05,2026-05 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,AO,11,25,5419,-0.3901106785358764,1.7853170526804851,2023-07,2025-07,2024-05,2026-05 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,AO,11,25,5419,0.0433086676873861,1.372133630033961,2023-07,2025-07,2024-05,2026-05 +longer_common_period,Cutoff-2022 model,PDO,11,25,4113,0.7308274005489048,0.9300941970624884,2023-07,2025-07,2024-05,2026-05 +longer_common_period,Seasonal baseline,PDO,11,25,4113,0.5353013099324839,1.2005749780983257,2023-07,2025-07,2024-05,2026-05 +longer_common_period,Original baseline,PDO,11,25,4113,0.5691964578942965,1.241944272815268,2023-07,2025-07,2024-05,2026-05 +longer_common_period,Surface baseline,PDO,11,25,4113,0.5604605950949373,1.1874406881151611,2023-07,2025-07,2024-05,2026-05 +longer_common_period,Joint baseline,PDO,11,25,4113,0.5426519789691082,1.1963843843493367,2023-07,2025-07,2024-05,2026-05 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,PDO,11,25,4113,0.3491760480751736,1.6500021834797205,2023-07,2025-07,2024-05,2026-05 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,PDO,11,25,4113,0.3872393345983001,1.6647069367629557,2023-07,2025-07,2024-05,2026-05 +longer_common_period,Cutoff-2022 model,WP,11,25,8373,0.699894695927023,0.5216600415852832,2023-07,2025-07,2024-05,2026-05 +longer_common_period,Seasonal baseline,WP,11,25,8373,0.7066555284362647,0.5399127313732053,2023-07,2025-07,2024-05,2026-05 +longer_common_period,Original baseline,WP,11,25,8373,0.6309786272635637,0.6191347640311762,2023-07,2025-07,2024-05,2026-05 +longer_common_period,Surface baseline,WP,11,25,8373,0.7317081177061627,0.5300501869213745,2023-07,2025-07,2024-05,2026-05 +longer_common_period,Joint baseline,WP,11,25,8373,0.7157947589409158,0.5369129001238346,2023-07,2025-07,2024-05,2026-05 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,WP,11,25,8373,-0.1897301974062868,1.646924932290335,2023-07,2025-07,2024-05,2026-05 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,WP,11,25,8373,0.0495540111151308,1.4910658514275874,2023-07,2025-07,2024-05,2026-05 +longer_common_period,Cutoff-2022 model,Nino3.4,11,25,500,0.4459902395000844,0.6481402438191303,2023-07,2025-07,2024-05,2026-05 +longer_common_period,Seasonal baseline,Nino3.4,11,25,500,0.4828915582566823,0.5105006787694641,2023-07,2025-07,2024-05,2026-05 +longer_common_period,Original baseline,Nino3.4,11,25,500,0.4851359413793949,0.5230188213370369,2023-07,2025-07,2024-05,2026-05 +longer_common_period,Surface baseline,Nino3.4,11,25,500,0.4388278743012982,0.5106124397155539,2023-07,2025-07,2024-05,2026-05 +longer_common_period,Joint baseline,Nino3.4,11,25,500,0.4472170535883289,0.5142797296610825,2023-07,2025-07,2024-05,2026-05 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,Nino3.4,11,25,500,0.2252772408274605,1.2623227313840475,2023-07,2025-07,2024-05,2026-05 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,Nino3.4,11,25,500,0.4411857599401155,1.57030457351614,2023-07,2025-07,2024-05,2026-05 +longer_common_period,Cutoff-2022 model,SIO,11,25,2783,0.541859415224227,0.719165585841393,2023-07,2025-07,2024-05,2026-05 +longer_common_period,Seasonal baseline,SIO,11,25,2783,0.5510607260773185,0.720164567726536,2023-07,2025-07,2024-05,2026-05 +longer_common_period,Original baseline,SIO,11,25,2783,0.4821260542173139,0.7776359271097731,2023-07,2025-07,2024-05,2026-05 +longer_common_period,Surface baseline,SIO,11,25,2783,0.5491575486103383,0.7225273370130842,2023-07,2025-07,2024-05,2026-05 +longer_common_period,Joint baseline,SIO,11,25,2783,0.5492458791712846,0.7217769878994383,2023-07,2025-07,2024-05,2026-05 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,SIO,11,25,2783,0.4778129135628466,1.857327555108739,2023-07,2025-07,2024-05,2026-05 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,SIO,11,25,2783,0.5819121453634134,2.08161408475453,2023-07,2025-07,2024-05,2026-05 +longer_common_period,Cutoff-2022 model,SPO,11,25,2486,0.6917256314681808,0.6211912387189877,2023-07,2025-07,2024-05,2026-05 +longer_common_period,Seasonal baseline,SPO,11,25,2486,0.6716714487991389,0.656951206278466,2023-07,2025-07,2024-05,2026-05 +longer_common_period,Original baseline,SPO,11,25,2486,0.5450644700001512,0.7475318489543531,2023-07,2025-07,2024-05,2026-05 +longer_common_period,Surface baseline,SPO,11,25,2486,0.6800838322949936,0.6522319894054752,2023-07,2025-07,2024-05,2026-05 +longer_common_period,Joint baseline,SPO,11,25,2486,0.6781590693394612,0.6531793064192832,2023-07,2025-07,2024-05,2026-05 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,SPO,11,25,2486,0.6037890925168092,1.247900279393775,2023-07,2025-07,2024-05,2026-05 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,SPO,11,25,2486,0.6307493953842915,1.5605046102196112,2023-07,2025-07,2024-05,2026-05 +longer_common_period,Cutoff-2022 model,SAO,11,25,1307,0.6538264632057984,0.6165999465399995,2023-07,2025-07,2024-05,2026-05 +longer_common_period,Seasonal baseline,SAO,11,25,1307,0.5671767863445091,0.6683943052144826,2023-07,2025-07,2024-05,2026-05 +longer_common_period,Original baseline,SAO,11,25,1307,0.517481505944452,0.7314814764648296,2023-07,2025-07,2024-05,2026-05 +longer_common_period,Surface baseline,SAO,11,25,1307,0.566268030323971,0.667484162047856,2023-07,2025-07,2024-05,2026-05 +longer_common_period,Joint baseline,SAO,11,25,1307,0.5674858163140466,0.66721496638523,2023-07,2025-07,2024-05,2026-05 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,SAO,11,25,1307,0.2909258288759629,1.8769528361803465,2023-07,2025-07,2024-05,2026-05 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,SAO,11,25,1307,0.3774291011659801,2.4133396621547734,2023-07,2025-07,2024-05,2026-05 +longer_common_period,Cutoff-2022 model,Global,12,25,39906,0.6818443543865326,0.6671799258892063,2023-07,2025-07,2024-06,2026-06 +longer_common_period,Seasonal baseline,Global,12,25,39906,0.6293069140627717,0.7343373344966908,2023-07,2025-07,2024-06,2026-06 +longer_common_period,Original baseline,Global,12,25,39906,0.5932760626566678,0.8077180877349087,2023-07,2025-07,2024-06,2026-06 +longer_common_period,Surface baseline,Global,12,25,39906,0.6455527209338087,0.7275334098629782,2023-07,2025-07,2024-06,2026-06 +longer_common_period,Joint baseline,Global,12,25,39906,0.635655869767636,0.7321870811071037,2023-07,2025-07,2024-06,2026-06 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,Global,12,25,39906,0.1559618418038479,1.6492940169872778,2023-07,2025-07,2024-06,2026-06 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,Global,12,25,39906,0.299659817028056,1.6651713292687436,2023-07,2025-07,2024-06,2026-06 +longer_common_period,Cutoff-2022 model,AO,12,25,5419,0.8575052723755867,0.6916619307177846,2023-07,2025-07,2024-06,2026-06 +longer_common_period,Seasonal baseline,AO,12,25,5419,0.7688275778640041,0.942976577916922,2023-07,2025-07,2024-06,2026-06 +longer_common_period,Original baseline,AO,12,25,5419,0.8071514562431276,1.0673082601430863,2023-07,2025-07,2024-06,2026-06 +longer_common_period,Surface baseline,AO,12,25,5419,0.7706494697591103,0.9507155494852988,2023-07,2025-07,2024-06,2026-06 +longer_common_period,Joint baseline,AO,12,25,5419,0.7690183623610377,0.9464961619796208,2023-07,2025-07,2024-06,2026-06 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,AO,12,25,5419,-0.4546078522433066,1.8066988319883328,2023-07,2025-07,2024-06,2026-06 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,AO,12,25,5419,0.045641937706359,1.4056771482421422,2023-07,2025-07,2024-06,2026-06 +longer_common_period,Cutoff-2022 model,PDO,12,25,4113,0.7321232923770381,0.9310390629130336,2023-07,2025-07,2024-06,2026-06 +longer_common_period,Seasonal baseline,PDO,12,25,4113,0.5454236101796793,1.1954656117447036,2023-07,2025-07,2024-06,2026-06 +longer_common_period,Original baseline,PDO,12,25,4113,0.5662394916302731,1.2434606045372965,2023-07,2025-07,2024-06,2026-06 +longer_common_period,Surface baseline,PDO,12,25,4113,0.5622865584283929,1.1857633923783804,2023-07,2025-07,2024-06,2026-06 +longer_common_period,Joint baseline,PDO,12,25,4113,0.5493401904650221,1.1929022127323623,2023-07,2025-07,2024-06,2026-06 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,PDO,12,25,4113,0.3390862890203043,1.6925359899850956,2023-07,2025-07,2024-06,2026-06 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,PDO,12,25,4113,0.3970027771758607,1.6460334561574448,2023-07,2025-07,2024-06,2026-06 +longer_common_period,Cutoff-2022 model,WP,12,25,8373,0.6830154752656263,0.5485687777332899,2023-07,2025-07,2024-06,2026-06 +longer_common_period,Seasonal baseline,WP,12,25,8373,0.7052965858353525,0.5573389934120156,2023-07,2025-07,2024-06,2026-06 +longer_common_period,Original baseline,WP,12,25,8373,0.6358253680315075,0.6350925525890214,2023-07,2025-07,2024-06,2026-06 +longer_common_period,Surface baseline,WP,12,25,8373,0.7294347841395161,0.5473230823330265,2023-07,2025-07,2024-06,2026-06 +longer_common_period,Joint baseline,WP,12,25,8373,0.7139494012441524,0.5541633155698021,2023-07,2025-07,2024-06,2026-06 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,WP,12,25,8373,-0.1745054748759861,1.6514363365947446,2023-07,2025-07,2024-06,2026-06 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,WP,12,25,8373,0.0592313763524527,1.4911363524072097,2023-07,2025-07,2024-06,2026-06 +longer_common_period,Cutoff-2022 model,Nino3.4,12,25,500,0.4490211789756943,0.6914019267287556,2023-07,2025-07,2024-06,2026-06 +longer_common_period,Seasonal baseline,Nino3.4,12,25,500,0.4967832573431111,0.5823343862441437,2023-07,2025-07,2024-06,2026-06 +longer_common_period,Original baseline,Nino3.4,12,25,500,0.5219599114469193,0.5892868215052007,2023-07,2025-07,2024-06,2026-06 +longer_common_period,Surface baseline,Nino3.4,12,25,500,0.4461305626890299,0.5852765383262498,2023-07,2025-07,2024-06,2026-06 +longer_common_period,Joint baseline,Nino3.4,12,25,500,0.4587284959405487,0.5884208971420726,2023-07,2025-07,2024-06,2026-06 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,Nino3.4,12,25,500,0.1876547752670716,1.1788236636903329,2023-07,2025-07,2024-06,2026-06 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,Nino3.4,12,25,500,0.4052951960670364,1.541236977713437,2023-07,2025-07,2024-06,2026-06 +longer_common_period,Cutoff-2022 model,SIO,12,25,2783,0.5415594815485856,0.7151389948715832,2023-07,2025-07,2024-06,2026-06 +longer_common_period,Seasonal baseline,SIO,12,25,2783,0.5601028547339135,0.710623797934627,2023-07,2025-07,2024-06,2026-06 +longer_common_period,Original baseline,SIO,12,25,2783,0.4939888021689194,0.7708201904835373,2023-07,2025-07,2024-06,2026-06 +longer_common_period,Surface baseline,SIO,12,25,2783,0.5573930898996865,0.7139532663895816,2023-07,2025-07,2024-06,2026-06 +longer_common_period,Joint baseline,SIO,12,25,2783,0.5579456120096586,0.7126186024519227,2023-07,2025-07,2024-06,2026-06 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,SIO,12,25,2783,0.4870500692104387,1.8468756429969293,2023-07,2025-07,2024-06,2026-06 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,SIO,12,25,2783,0.5904283388844641,2.105010322225091,2023-07,2025-07,2024-06,2026-06 +longer_common_period,Cutoff-2022 model,SPO,12,25,2486,0.69626345804246,0.5992886009364965,2023-07,2025-07,2024-06,2026-06 +longer_common_period,Seasonal baseline,SPO,12,25,2486,0.6548703115689021,0.6440512479948409,2023-07,2025-07,2024-06,2026-06 +longer_common_period,Original baseline,SPO,12,25,2486,0.5250816031289398,0.7305300231904455,2023-07,2025-07,2024-06,2026-06 +longer_common_period,Surface baseline,SPO,12,25,2486,0.6674446439315558,0.6377289433716334,2023-07,2025-07,2024-06,2026-06 +longer_common_period,Joint baseline,SPO,12,25,2486,0.6644617757341805,0.6385634038654854,2023-07,2025-07,2024-06,2026-06 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,SPO,12,25,2486,0.583945916714438,1.293404299052648,2023-07,2025-07,2024-06,2026-06 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,SPO,12,25,2486,0.6234320145604036,1.6004557663017485,2023-07,2025-07,2024-06,2026-06 +longer_common_period,Cutoff-2022 model,SAO,12,25,1307,0.659123706946721,0.6146421191424852,2023-07,2025-07,2024-06,2026-06 +longer_common_period,Seasonal baseline,SAO,12,25,1307,0.5848470000292106,0.6580390746301163,2023-07,2025-07,2024-06,2026-06 +longer_common_period,Original baseline,SAO,12,25,1307,0.5209146278756234,0.7323731857904995,2023-07,2025-07,2024-06,2026-06 +longer_common_period,Surface baseline,SAO,12,25,1307,0.5797416945039073,0.6604814525466958,2023-07,2025-07,2024-06,2026-06 +longer_common_period,Joint baseline,SAO,12,25,1307,0.5835916927079586,0.6581243713097548,2023-07,2025-07,2024-06,2026-06 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CCSM4,SAO,12,25,1307,0.2956303324423833,1.8935570580908012,2023-07,2025-07,2024-06,2026-06 +longer_common_period,COLA-RSMAS-CESM1,SAO,12,25,1307,0.3679778854871706,2.4175987774913965,2023-07,2025-07,2024-06,2026-06 +own_fixed_target_months,Cutoff-2022 model,Global,1,34,40701,0.8776799163338763,0.4682378485179977,2023-12,2026-09,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Seasonal baseline,Global,1,34,40701,0.8336812611683503,0.5847404609183965,2023-12,2026-09,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Original baseline,Global,1,34,40701,0.8745893682736805,0.5750736425494386,2023-12,2026-09,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Surface baseline,Global,1,34,40701,0.8270068505975309,0.5941369171340639,2023-12,2026-09,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Joint baseline,Global,1,34,40701,0.833146859180866,0.5860959376713935,2023-12,2026-09,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Cutoff-2022 model,AO,1,34,5579,0.9190936940400628,0.5065416866443087,2023-12,2026-09,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Seasonal baseline,AO,1,34,5579,0.841813058002235,0.7693510557954947,2023-12,2026-09,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Original baseline,AO,1,34,5579,0.9089200958529826,0.7435697528011771,2023-12,2026-09,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Surface baseline,AO,1,34,5579,0.8419099048312136,0.7664694686772848,2023-12,2026-09,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Joint baseline,AO,1,34,5579,0.8410196665987478,0.7656828597682311,2023-12,2026-09,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Cutoff-2022 model,PDO,1,34,4168,0.8898584103923776,0.6228778399466948,2023-12,2026-09,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Seasonal baseline,PDO,1,34,4168,0.8373731716874038,0.8514416373095686,2023-12,2026-09,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Original baseline,PDO,1,34,4168,0.8901777957992049,0.7928090572165689,2023-12,2026-09,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Surface baseline,PDO,1,34,4168,0.8226513398829652,0.8807190380674514,2023-12,2026-09,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Joint baseline,PDO,1,34,4168,0.8330840255457774,0.8599320612406106,2023-12,2026-09,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Cutoff-2022 model,WP,1,34,8455,0.8938768981915407,0.3921903264230814,2023-12,2026-09,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Seasonal baseline,WP,1,34,8455,0.8724256421893072,0.4921057673400886,2023-12,2026-09,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Original baseline,WP,1,34,8455,0.8888853786000499,0.5042776960597056,2023-12,2026-09,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Surface baseline,WP,1,34,8455,0.8687883179482421,0.5053897153614624,2023-12,2026-09,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Joint baseline,WP,1,34,8455,0.8724095268882323,0.4942451405751987,2023-12,2026-09,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Cutoff-2022 model,Nino3.4,1,34,500,0.690689405146887,0.5696415263065799,2023-12,2026-09,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Seasonal baseline,Nino3.4,1,34,500,0.6931859038382685,0.7309935444162056,2023-12,2026-09,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Original baseline,Nino3.4,1,34,500,0.7115881559453321,0.6938485831850724,2023-12,2026-09,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Surface baseline,Nino3.4,1,34,500,0.7025706428663926,0.7690566320496267,2023-12,2026-09,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Joint baseline,Nino3.4,1,34,500,0.7007436690626386,0.7374617505032333,2023-12,2026-09,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Cutoff-2022 model,SIO,1,34,2783,0.8445775326802837,0.4859244961557175,2023-12,2026-09,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Seasonal baseline,SIO,1,34,2783,0.7909430841742973,0.5752550129616061,2023-12,2026-09,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Original baseline,SIO,1,34,2783,0.8445698898286076,0.5541939275831671,2023-12,2026-09,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Surface baseline,SIO,1,34,2783,0.7885459914460844,0.5774369535419958,2023-12,2026-09,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Joint baseline,SIO,1,34,2783,0.7919072483802722,0.5746189649645735,2023-12,2026-09,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Cutoff-2022 model,SPO,1,34,2490,0.8800693703820064,0.4144728815660191,2023-12,2026-09,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Seasonal baseline,SPO,1,34,2490,0.8521828063964902,0.4757599026667268,2023-12,2026-09,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Original baseline,SPO,1,34,2490,0.8811939846690846,0.4793178477374195,2023-12,2026-09,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Surface baseline,SPO,1,34,2490,0.8453611780584983,0.4779754154010845,2023-12,2026-09,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Joint baseline,SPO,1,34,2490,0.8497642458521558,0.4746582714929351,2023-12,2026-09,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Cutoff-2022 model,SAO,1,34,1312,0.7960688310345155,0.5034254646253865,2023-12,2026-09,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Seasonal baseline,SAO,1,34,1312,0.7398746951772505,0.5584488574205535,2023-12,2026-09,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Original baseline,SAO,1,34,1312,0.7803714048149507,0.5556819939511721,2023-12,2026-09,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Surface baseline,SAO,1,34,1312,0.7389562900675211,0.5628709600942371,2023-12,2026-09,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Joint baseline,SAO,1,34,1312,0.7415645870327264,0.5579326919062435,2023-12,2026-09,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Cutoff-2022 model,Global,2,34,40701,0.7915592960272873,0.5923100217468564,2023-11,2026-08,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Seasonal baseline,Global,2,34,40701,0.7264150138463371,0.7035031924509187,2023-11,2026-08,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Original baseline,Global,2,34,40701,0.7745573790008072,0.7451282483467332,2023-11,2026-08,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Surface baseline,Global,2,34,40701,0.7253460323415191,0.7058216527628856,2023-11,2026-08,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Joint baseline,Global,2,34,40701,0.728484234322547,0.7024490071236287,2023-11,2026-08,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Cutoff-2022 model,AO,2,34,5579,0.8847546242706819,0.6315194208114786,2023-11,2026-08,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Seasonal baseline,AO,2,34,5579,0.7742317226425682,0.924691556771039,2023-11,2026-08,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Original baseline,AO,2,34,5579,0.8424385271480284,0.96713497950743,2023-11,2026-08,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Surface baseline,AO,2,34,5579,0.773792748073619,0.9170364028448398,2023-11,2026-08,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Joint baseline,AO,2,34,5579,0.7731329464154161,0.9183311903484046,2023-11,2026-08,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Cutoff-2022 model,PDO,2,34,4168,0.8076930851946397,0.7874814573754386,2023-11,2026-08,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Seasonal baseline,PDO,2,34,4168,0.6995305435043531,1.0316435329791025,2023-11,2026-08,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Original baseline,PDO,2,34,4168,0.7960374425530492,1.0428638034036937,2023-11,2026-08,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Surface baseline,PDO,2,34,4168,0.6861144469642843,1.0490313591861884,2023-11,2026-08,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Joint baseline,PDO,2,34,4168,0.6958999604531845,1.0362194680963437,2023-11,2026-08,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Cutoff-2022 model,WP,2,34,8455,0.8269962283650875,0.5008675506943266,2023-11,2026-08,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Seasonal baseline,WP,2,34,8455,0.8001515125721606,0.597400365945589,2023-11,2026-08,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Original baseline,WP,2,34,8455,0.8060374533873419,0.6615344817686075,2023-11,2026-08,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Surface baseline,WP,2,34,8455,0.8033650787645524,0.6030464219167017,2023-11,2026-08,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Joint baseline,WP,2,34,8455,0.8032784885857279,0.5970737783376913,2023-11,2026-08,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Cutoff-2022 model,Nino3.4,2,34,500,0.6014669511242888,0.7616501055959511,2023-11,2026-08,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Seasonal baseline,Nino3.4,2,34,500,0.6177822429903383,0.8835446715536523,2023-11,2026-08,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Original baseline,Nino3.4,2,34,500,0.6200341802854163,0.9199438006030926,2023-11,2026-08,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Surface baseline,Nino3.4,2,34,500,0.6168850700855282,0.9105500282731872,2023-11,2026-08,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Joint baseline,Nino3.4,2,34,500,0.619845818052304,0.8868557759666323,2023-11,2026-08,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Cutoff-2022 model,SIO,2,34,2783,0.7240651048622067,0.6200240920120266,2023-11,2026-08,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Seasonal baseline,SIO,2,34,2783,0.6452085080815771,0.695619850401267,2023-11,2026-08,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Original baseline,SIO,2,34,2783,0.7056254172723888,0.7184161660830396,2023-11,2026-08,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Surface baseline,SIO,2,34,2783,0.6479391056571657,0.6944078045529962,2023-11,2026-08,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Joint baseline,SIO,2,34,2783,0.6487256614636354,0.6935997852335246,2023-11,2026-08,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Cutoff-2022 model,SPO,2,34,2490,0.7710329203251644,0.5549929388204318,2023-11,2026-08,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Seasonal baseline,SPO,2,34,2490,0.7499641192400448,0.5892927542919829,2023-11,2026-08,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Original baseline,SPO,2,34,2490,0.7732782534234444,0.6326695429124811,2023-11,2026-08,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Surface baseline,SPO,2,34,2490,0.7514493035260706,0.582750127513645,2023-11,2026-08,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Joint baseline,SPO,2,34,2490,0.7516862536070332,0.5843388838559876,2023-11,2026-08,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Cutoff-2022 model,SAO,2,34,1312,0.7075410048121069,0.6070199870947619,2023-11,2026-08,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Seasonal baseline,SAO,2,34,1312,0.6134843568625854,0.6471382944144981,2023-11,2026-08,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Original baseline,SAO,2,34,1312,0.6737259691270617,0.6754937540588258,2023-11,2026-08,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Surface baseline,SAO,2,34,1312,0.6134269309133769,0.6500741277461506,2023-11,2026-08,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Joint baseline,SAO,2,34,1312,0.6165983198320617,0.6460013637304604,2023-11,2026-08,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Cutoff-2022 model,Global,3,34,40701,0.7532749594502781,0.6385102852376731,2023-10,2026-07,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Seasonal baseline,Global,3,34,40701,0.6995279984645011,0.7268888371565941,2023-10,2026-07,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Original baseline,Global,3,34,40701,0.7270823980497544,0.7756455480903025,2023-10,2026-07,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Surface baseline,Global,3,34,40701,0.7010004039982491,0.7268483480023863,2023-10,2026-07,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Joint baseline,Global,3,34,40701,0.701603209286763,0.725793436553757,2023-10,2026-07,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Cutoff-2022 model,AO,3,34,5579,0.8774934731620203,0.659206449065733,2023-10,2026-07,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Seasonal baseline,AO,3,34,5579,0.7646886131253736,0.9547299110807028,2023-10,2026-07,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Original baseline,AO,3,34,5579,0.8071223318869071,1.0171349298444394,2023-10,2026-07,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Surface baseline,AO,3,34,5579,0.7647519041042947,0.94481368464366,2023-10,2026-07,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Joint baseline,AO,3,34,5579,0.7669101236383797,0.9467105801435652,2023-10,2026-07,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Cutoff-2022 model,PDO,3,34,4168,0.7770519189864618,0.831876606618246,2023-10,2026-07,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Seasonal baseline,PDO,3,34,4168,0.6714516956182633,1.0624125162362694,2023-10,2026-07,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Original baseline,PDO,3,34,4168,0.7551591849430391,1.0802166208633013,2023-10,2026-07,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Surface baseline,PDO,3,34,4168,0.6591964404967041,1.0758348636960282,2023-10,2026-07,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Joint baseline,PDO,3,34,4168,0.6664328370339225,1.0671518950064205,2023-10,2026-07,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Cutoff-2022 model,WP,3,34,8455,0.7858784869623174,0.5614292334258478,2023-10,2026-07,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Seasonal baseline,WP,3,34,8455,0.776289887718608,0.6270710766972416,2023-10,2026-07,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Original baseline,WP,3,34,8455,0.7645844415494376,0.6952834188025175,2023-10,2026-07,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Surface baseline,WP,3,34,8455,0.782855796370934,0.6287358755925343,2023-10,2026-07,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Joint baseline,WP,3,34,8455,0.7790998943968453,0.626459611279368,2023-10,2026-07,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Cutoff-2022 model,Nino3.4,3,34,500,0.5460097424022938,0.8763014163311634,2023-10,2026-07,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Seasonal baseline,Nino3.4,3,34,500,0.5919117979963991,0.9394580131267544,2023-10,2026-07,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Original baseline,Nino3.4,3,34,500,0.5864702256717929,0.9839271902877504,2023-10,2026-07,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Surface baseline,Nino3.4,3,34,500,0.5720342622388218,0.9620169346167916,2023-10,2026-07,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Joint baseline,Nino3.4,3,34,500,0.5750776476143473,0.9438599268892146,2023-10,2026-07,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Cutoff-2022 model,SIO,3,34,2783,0.6743651377273779,0.663306615080629,2023-10,2026-07,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Seasonal baseline,SIO,3,34,2783,0.6282711598214207,0.7077893090925161,2023-10,2026-07,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Original baseline,SIO,3,34,2783,0.664181217392918,0.7375031761471506,2023-10,2026-07,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Surface baseline,SIO,3,34,2783,0.6306372689122505,0.7066464012644688,2023-10,2026-07,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Joint baseline,SIO,3,34,2783,0.6309303840157956,0.7062241461337041,2023-10,2026-07,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Cutoff-2022 model,SPO,3,34,2490,0.7126065577240145,0.603984322019882,2023-10,2026-07,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Seasonal baseline,SPO,3,34,2490,0.7292578240037177,0.6096289777551921,2023-10,2026-07,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Original baseline,SPO,3,34,2490,0.7357125634116652,0.6576188362594197,2023-10,2026-07,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Surface baseline,SPO,3,34,2490,0.7342558143067027,0.6009027014848106,2023-10,2026-07,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Joint baseline,SPO,3,34,2490,0.7332498350457817,0.6044217808770123,2023-10,2026-07,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Cutoff-2022 model,SAO,3,34,1312,0.6864571406922129,0.6316540425579491,2023-10,2026-07,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Seasonal baseline,SAO,3,34,1312,0.5990463297449097,0.6568202384132982,2023-10,2026-07,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Original baseline,SAO,3,34,1312,0.6337673513219976,0.6923378785874132,2023-10,2026-07,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Surface baseline,SAO,3,34,1312,0.597225911365677,0.6606314620934504,2023-10,2026-07,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Joint baseline,SAO,3,34,1312,0.6006444837071969,0.6566717298485669,2023-10,2026-07,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Cutoff-2022 model,Global,4,34,40701,0.727691066732187,0.6667714413899146,2023-09,2026-06,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Seasonal baseline,Global,4,34,40701,0.6525226071876824,0.765770020719383,2023-09,2026-06,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Original baseline,Global,4,34,40701,0.6249542960787802,0.8461895604240913,2023-09,2026-06,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Surface baseline,Global,4,34,40701,0.6570429588136877,0.7637758724007405,2023-09,2026-06,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Joint baseline,Global,4,34,40701,0.6549892753474617,0.7647559238036636,2023-09,2026-06,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Cutoff-2022 model,AO,4,34,5579,0.8736317240698159,0.6628133927089793,2023-09,2026-06,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Seasonal baseline,AO,4,34,5579,0.7595598418642455,0.9707925182952416,2023-09,2026-06,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Original baseline,AO,4,34,5579,0.8019396944640022,1.0539100519610105,2023-09,2026-06,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Surface baseline,AO,4,34,5579,0.7608159327332756,0.9571275888750554,2023-09,2026-06,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Joint baseline,AO,4,34,5579,0.765598441736645,0.9606392113418264,2023-09,2026-06,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Cutoff-2022 model,PDO,4,34,4168,0.7588445307862176,0.8533043029140454,2023-09,2026-06,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Seasonal baseline,PDO,4,34,4168,0.5865556833338836,1.1301743746121986,2023-09,2026-06,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Original baseline,PDO,4,34,4168,0.607635494754079,1.1962778016473543,2023-09,2026-06,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Surface baseline,PDO,4,34,4168,0.5725384314448735,1.13973565607917,2023-09,2026-06,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Joint baseline,PDO,4,34,4168,0.5771232991606977,1.1351796178086762,2023-09,2026-06,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Cutoff-2022 model,WP,4,34,8455,0.7551255358343241,0.6003618318906883,2023-09,2026-06,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Seasonal baseline,WP,4,34,8455,0.737295549061592,0.6706299208127626,2023-09,2026-06,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Original baseline,WP,4,34,8455,0.6506589730706915,0.7695186074583463,2023-09,2026-06,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Surface baseline,WP,4,34,8455,0.7506031347356104,0.669167152430767,2023-09,2026-06,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Joint baseline,WP,4,34,8455,0.7418215877642256,0.6698149961298827,2023-09,2026-06,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Cutoff-2022 model,Nino3.4,4,34,500,0.4810633276127866,0.9762422628071766,2023-09,2026-06,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Seasonal baseline,Nino3.4,4,34,500,0.5433621877818144,1.006984885217846,2023-09,2026-06,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Original baseline,Nino3.4,4,34,500,0.473015315778129,1.0864366658956215,2023-09,2026-06,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Surface baseline,Nino3.4,4,34,500,0.5158625131001917,1.0274030949078286,2023-09,2026-06,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Joint baseline,Nino3.4,4,34,500,0.5188002489405116,1.0131877075794808,2023-09,2026-06,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Cutoff-2022 model,SIO,4,34,2783,0.6322805399960191,0.695545787012942,2023-09,2026-06,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Seasonal baseline,SIO,4,34,2783,0.5667469931230116,0.744863404959724,2023-09,2026-06,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Original baseline,SIO,4,34,2783,0.4865972519399505,0.8112671665055853,2023-09,2026-06,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Surface baseline,SIO,4,34,2783,0.5704205909178718,0.743467889522943,2023-09,2026-06,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Joint baseline,SIO,4,34,2783,0.5696134588616574,0.7437374303625228,2023-09,2026-06,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Cutoff-2022 model,SPO,4,34,2490,0.6789686395976555,0.6278739455674762,2023-09,2026-06,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Seasonal baseline,SPO,4,34,2490,0.6951975996265362,0.6410478347663344,2023-09,2026-06,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Original baseline,SPO,4,34,2490,0.6366305485523495,0.7188216572345268,2023-09,2026-06,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Surface baseline,SPO,4,34,2490,0.7019223721008734,0.6316258121452453,2023-09,2026-06,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Joint baseline,SPO,4,34,2490,0.7004278766469754,0.636228366941901,2023-09,2026-06,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Cutoff-2022 model,SAO,4,34,1312,0.6725316799062591,0.6426609230419505,2023-09,2026-06,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Seasonal baseline,SAO,4,34,1312,0.5541156941002852,0.6813303579913121,2023-09,2026-06,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Original baseline,SAO,4,34,1312,0.5178380174467622,0.7467552253762157,2023-09,2026-06,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Surface baseline,SAO,4,34,1312,0.5492439914443539,0.6864097984786452,2023-09,2026-06,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Joint baseline,SAO,4,34,1312,0.5544395979435589,0.6820600272754861,2023-09,2026-06,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Cutoff-2022 model,Global,5,34,40701,0.7155700078233502,0.6796493406465207,2023-08,2026-05,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Seasonal baseline,Global,5,34,40701,0.6491732143132438,0.770240676510068,2023-08,2026-05,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Original baseline,Global,5,34,40701,0.6177818455486155,0.8510421560363148,2023-08,2026-05,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Surface baseline,Global,5,34,40701,0.6536846455262184,0.7680948054954884,2023-08,2026-05,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Joint baseline,Global,5,34,40701,0.6512598495851607,0.7696164045151025,2023-08,2026-05,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Cutoff-2022 model,AO,5,34,5579,0.86986172293087,0.6743743952648326,2023-08,2026-05,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Seasonal baseline,AO,5,34,5579,0.7648997467589487,0.9704916498170169,2023-08,2026-05,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Original baseline,AO,5,34,5579,0.8033843260879361,1.0565510607985469,2023-08,2026-05,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Surface baseline,AO,5,34,5579,0.7691636124059668,0.956789273441933,2023-08,2026-05,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Joint baseline,AO,5,34,5579,0.7737738670530111,0.9606397074546784,2023-08,2026-05,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Cutoff-2022 model,PDO,5,34,4168,0.7515165343668662,0.8611163497809164,2023-08,2026-05,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Seasonal baseline,PDO,5,34,4168,0.5784281659099985,1.1367094497892616,2023-08,2026-05,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Original baseline,PDO,5,34,4168,0.6069158370720292,1.199871950037467,2023-08,2026-05,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Surface baseline,PDO,5,34,4168,0.5661642298512943,1.1448367435313742,2023-08,2026-05,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Joint baseline,PDO,5,34,4168,0.5675396956863312,1.1426719008528463,2023-08,2026-05,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Cutoff-2022 model,WP,5,34,8455,0.7351647564647384,0.6224995268682738,2023-08,2026-05,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Seasonal baseline,WP,5,34,8455,0.7299698375292772,0.6801363331090756,2023-08,2026-05,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Original baseline,WP,5,34,8455,0.637356945083686,0.7770191102603121,2023-08,2026-05,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Surface baseline,WP,5,34,8455,0.7443734767558408,0.6775992933583205,2023-08,2026-05,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Joint baseline,WP,5,34,8455,0.7345491921683643,0.679373483468707,2023-08,2026-05,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Cutoff-2022 model,Nino3.4,5,34,500,0.408318932586979,1.053257711657806,2023-08,2026-05,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Seasonal baseline,Nino3.4,5,34,500,0.5089960781945151,1.0397280465211038,2023-08,2026-05,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Original baseline,Nino3.4,5,34,500,0.4384625956323417,1.1082934650342118,2023-08,2026-05,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Surface baseline,Nino3.4,5,34,500,0.483652130074073,1.0541439432740969,2023-08,2026-05,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Joint baseline,Nino3.4,5,34,500,0.4911702448846614,1.0440912453668691,2023-08,2026-05,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Cutoff-2022 model,SIO,5,34,2783,0.608759555094093,0.7118940476734608,2023-08,2026-05,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Seasonal baseline,SIO,5,34,2783,0.5693633648088126,0.7435978467101869,2023-08,2026-05,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Original baseline,SIO,5,34,2783,0.4845640850761601,0.812855176406649,2023-08,2026-05,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Surface baseline,SIO,5,34,2783,0.5703389640600143,0.7445828304833072,2023-08,2026-05,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Joint baseline,SIO,5,34,2783,0.5701173608252932,0.7443115778345769,2023-08,2026-05,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Cutoff-2022 model,SPO,5,34,2490,0.675987617409953,0.6295329314017968,2023-08,2026-05,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Seasonal baseline,SPO,5,34,2490,0.6985383478607863,0.6408540458013517,2023-08,2026-05,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Original baseline,SPO,5,34,2490,0.6255323427398598,0.7246989213810647,2023-08,2026-05,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Surface baseline,SPO,5,34,2490,0.7020036535145152,0.6345888472772097,2023-08,2026-05,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Joint baseline,SPO,5,34,2490,0.7037607975802548,0.6371866717213558,2023-08,2026-05,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Cutoff-2022 model,SAO,5,34,1312,0.6677022461358912,0.6418960390738926,2023-08,2026-05,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Seasonal baseline,SAO,5,34,1312,0.5495826172660071,0.6841208879958828,2023-08,2026-05,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Original baseline,SAO,5,34,1312,0.4973064703756647,0.7497791075721936,2023-08,2026-05,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Surface baseline,SAO,5,34,1312,0.5472978412050934,0.6871634216658228,2023-08,2026-05,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Joint baseline,SAO,5,34,1312,0.5508749910740948,0.6839178748252865,2023-08,2026-05,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Cutoff-2022 model,Global,6,34,40701,0.702089888721234,0.6942333191524346,2023-07,2026-04,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Seasonal baseline,Global,6,34,40701,0.6457504771208323,0.7745738012510065,2023-07,2026-04,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Original baseline,Global,6,34,40701,0.6104924501055241,0.8550336630237908,2023-07,2026-04,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Surface baseline,Global,6,34,40701,0.6501243207085935,0.7724692752196338,2023-07,2026-04,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Joint baseline,Global,6,34,40701,0.6477982943299729,0.7740835314095849,2023-07,2026-04,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Cutoff-2022 model,AO,6,34,5579,0.8687438418804023,0.6864466961086336,2023-07,2026-04,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Seasonal baseline,AO,6,34,5579,0.7709587002861943,0.9677710861177012,2023-07,2026-04,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Original baseline,AO,6,34,5579,0.7990454787589351,1.0610185882186087,2023-07,2026-04,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Surface baseline,AO,6,34,5579,0.7717621189282625,0.9584473767540138,2023-07,2026-04,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Joint baseline,AO,6,34,5579,0.7768858756694224,0.9610711114145652,2023-07,2026-04,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Cutoff-2022 model,PDO,6,34,4168,0.7405541585512683,0.8767398665098893,2023-07,2026-04,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Seasonal baseline,PDO,6,34,4168,0.5761106120080283,1.1398715511999575,2023-07,2026-04,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Original baseline,PDO,6,34,4168,0.6049010229936357,1.199716735727702,2023-07,2026-04,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Surface baseline,PDO,6,34,4168,0.5617284596479383,1.1478613926439467,2023-07,2026-04,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Joint baseline,PDO,6,34,4168,0.5642908874692332,1.146051104639911,2023-07,2026-04,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Cutoff-2022 model,WP,6,34,8455,0.7137207476025819,0.6473157874721874,2023-07,2026-04,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Seasonal baseline,WP,6,34,8455,0.7258992856257597,0.6871079367142665,2023-07,2026-04,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Original baseline,WP,6,34,8455,0.6299111915389156,0.7830766365047155,2023-07,2026-04,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Surface baseline,WP,6,34,8455,0.7382310387691712,0.685939254852094,2023-07,2026-04,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Joint baseline,WP,6,34,8455,0.7292372266663145,0.6873602703543984,2023-07,2026-04,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Cutoff-2022 model,Nino3.4,6,34,500,0.3727443629560051,1.1073781313708442,2023-07,2026-04,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Seasonal baseline,Nino3.4,6,34,500,0.5069171634594933,1.0584642126156292,2023-07,2026-04,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Original baseline,Nino3.4,6,34,500,0.4288682566648588,1.1237243030512103,2023-07,2026-04,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Surface baseline,Nino3.4,6,34,500,0.4687195151029317,1.0767523400561965,2023-07,2026-04,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Joint baseline,Nino3.4,6,34,500,0.4753494858245653,1.067146348499974,2023-07,2026-04,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Cutoff-2022 model,SIO,6,34,2783,0.5833606453675839,0.7283016032160692,2023-07,2026-04,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Seasonal baseline,SIO,6,34,2783,0.5664443569062958,0.7468700341082968,2023-07,2026-04,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Original baseline,SIO,6,34,2783,0.4802679144322812,0.8150344174355719,2023-07,2026-04,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Surface baseline,SIO,6,34,2783,0.5691930028058644,0.7467675342983694,2023-07,2026-04,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Joint baseline,SIO,6,34,2783,0.5678899596856802,0.7473188022311316,2023-07,2026-04,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Cutoff-2022 model,SPO,6,34,2490,0.6817001418772065,0.6265841664199354,2023-07,2026-04,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Seasonal baseline,SPO,6,34,2490,0.6936600257857781,0.6437321403804371,2023-07,2026-04,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Original baseline,SPO,6,34,2490,0.6107385331731011,0.7287994695211987,2023-07,2026-04,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Surface baseline,SPO,6,34,2490,0.6988497576506361,0.637906483766563,2023-07,2026-04,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Joint baseline,SPO,6,34,2490,0.7004031637682769,0.6403800276407149,2023-07,2026-04,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Cutoff-2022 model,SAO,6,34,1312,0.6606718775340061,0.6400887232868521,2023-07,2026-04,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Seasonal baseline,SAO,6,34,1312,0.5447821723818408,0.6869258709155089,2023-07,2026-04,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Original baseline,SAO,6,34,1312,0.4850108319839735,0.7508926503585029,2023-07,2026-04,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Surface baseline,SAO,6,34,1312,0.5452443798208501,0.6875773412291886,2023-07,2026-04,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Joint baseline,SAO,6,34,1312,0.5470194902833019,0.6857193699001473,2023-07,2026-04,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Cutoff-2022 model,Global,7,34,40701,0.6906395057818319,0.7071651980499448,2023-06,2026-03,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Seasonal baseline,Global,7,34,40701,0.6417925481979753,0.779403874341909,2023-06,2026-03,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Original baseline,Global,7,34,40701,0.6088297966548527,0.8576343911449167,2023-06,2026-03,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Surface baseline,Global,7,34,40701,0.6481787061229295,0.7760800117262158,2023-06,2026-03,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Joint baseline,Global,7,34,40701,0.6450369465297986,0.7782744443356278,2023-06,2026-03,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Cutoff-2022 model,AO,7,34,5579,0.868053254139526,0.6857278047003463,2023-06,2026-03,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Seasonal baseline,AO,7,34,5579,0.7698047703885181,0.968931321235527,2023-06,2026-03,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Original baseline,AO,7,34,5579,0.7982956200060561,1.062121771638254,2023-06,2026-03,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Surface baseline,AO,7,34,5579,0.7689377072655038,0.9611384895390184,2023-06,2026-03,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Joint baseline,AO,7,34,5579,0.7735701993451923,0.963177289407052,2023-06,2026-03,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Cutoff-2022 model,PDO,7,34,4168,0.7247985850646624,0.8999950773141606,2023-06,2026-03,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Seasonal baseline,PDO,7,34,4168,0.570329941055569,1.148310002582012,2023-06,2026-03,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Original baseline,PDO,7,34,4168,0.6063550386952661,1.1997525244796958,2023-06,2026-03,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Surface baseline,PDO,7,34,4168,0.5614694314063935,1.1503177179486077,2023-06,2026-03,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Joint baseline,PDO,7,34,4168,0.5631443026667845,1.150380676679372,2023-06,2026-03,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Cutoff-2022 model,WP,7,34,8455,0.6974216363455736,0.671974481908825,2023-06,2026-03,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Seasonal baseline,WP,7,34,8455,0.7213338227116195,0.6943808690832197,2023-06,2026-03,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Original baseline,WP,7,34,8455,0.6322932756354166,0.7884405090748423,2023-06,2026-03,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Surface baseline,WP,7,34,8455,0.7341023774785577,0.6934550064700687,2023-06,2026-03,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Joint baseline,WP,7,34,8455,0.7244599025923899,0.6950271384119991,2023-06,2026-03,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Cutoff-2022 model,Nino3.4,7,34,500,0.3665941706757742,1.157015315976841,2023-06,2026-03,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Seasonal baseline,Nino3.4,7,34,500,0.545434201657461,1.0684991011661964,2023-06,2026-03,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Original baseline,Nino3.4,7,34,500,0.4855161758387661,1.1323668521964405,2023-06,2026-03,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Surface baseline,Nino3.4,7,34,500,0.4884098369208723,1.0895307197824222,2023-06,2026-03,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Joint baseline,Nino3.4,7,34,500,0.4973818070464231,1.0797263119629816,2023-06,2026-03,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Cutoff-2022 model,SIO,7,34,2783,0.5761579398205539,0.7331123898808961,2023-06,2026-03,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Seasonal baseline,SIO,7,34,2783,0.5645317497353871,0.7497239730364255,2023-06,2026-03,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Original baseline,SIO,7,34,2783,0.4858752590253147,0.8147956114373581,2023-06,2026-03,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Surface baseline,SIO,7,34,2783,0.5690487351998936,0.748634471755242,2023-06,2026-03,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Joint baseline,SIO,7,34,2783,0.566811570366419,0.7498511689018241,2023-06,2026-03,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Cutoff-2022 model,SPO,7,34,2490,0.6900522375417092,0.6202528947535981,2023-06,2026-03,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Seasonal baseline,SPO,7,34,2490,0.6937993740262143,0.6442740523158975,2023-06,2026-03,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Original baseline,SPO,7,34,2490,0.604007624233631,0.7302358925232942,2023-06,2026-03,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Surface baseline,SPO,7,34,2490,0.699706471196472,0.6384867390052977,2023-06,2026-03,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Joint baseline,SPO,7,34,2490,0.7004700108581128,0.6411106625117997,2023-06,2026-03,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Cutoff-2022 model,SAO,7,34,1312,0.663954194082194,0.6307190872562005,2023-06,2026-03,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Seasonal baseline,SAO,7,34,1312,0.5434287780054519,0.6871729672799174,2023-06,2026-03,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Original baseline,SAO,7,34,1312,0.4845958309960915,0.7496477664836916,2023-06,2026-03,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Surface baseline,SAO,7,34,1312,0.5449376389846039,0.6872278319818413,2023-06,2026-03,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Joint baseline,SAO,7,34,1312,0.5448848895744974,0.6866767271000993,2023-06,2026-03,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Cutoff-2022 model,Global,8,34,40701,0.6864225075684209,0.7122209750335035,2023-05,2026-02,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Seasonal baseline,Global,8,34,40701,0.6398587889719463,0.7827750744933885,2023-05,2026-02,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Original baseline,Global,8,34,40701,0.6067502567772418,0.8601644460100609,2023-05,2026-02,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Surface baseline,Global,8,34,40701,0.6464466154696686,0.7793183549584614,2023-05,2026-02,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Joint baseline,Global,8,34,40701,0.6428942497787963,0.781704841942756,2023-05,2026-02,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Cutoff-2022 model,AO,8,34,5579,0.8707989764590034,0.6725273425664172,2023-05,2026-02,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Seasonal baseline,AO,8,34,5579,0.7638572199050965,0.9714881583832408,2023-05,2026-02,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Original baseline,AO,8,34,5579,0.7999204621961764,1.059484355688261,2023-05,2026-02,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Surface baseline,AO,8,34,5579,0.7619224498612792,0.9630833672012356,2023-05,2026-02,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Joint baseline,AO,8,34,5579,0.7658991457591238,0.9651540753271752,2023-05,2026-02,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Cutoff-2022 model,PDO,8,34,4168,0.7171811823880733,0.910711729276946,2023-05,2026-02,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Seasonal baseline,PDO,8,34,4168,0.5626389829171828,1.1566225056481116,2023-05,2026-02,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Original baseline,PDO,8,34,4168,0.5962502222419378,1.2036416373768115,2023-05,2026-02,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Surface baseline,PDO,8,34,4168,0.5571674489787568,1.1553387958041983,2023-05,2026-02,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Joint baseline,PDO,8,34,4168,0.5556917850065342,1.1577472371084714,2023-05,2026-02,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Cutoff-2022 model,WP,8,34,8455,0.689850668122401,0.6816298591539971,2023-05,2026-02,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Seasonal baseline,WP,8,34,8455,0.7198744319783402,0.6982928814847587,2023-05,2026-02,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Original baseline,WP,8,34,8455,0.6323380539293829,0.7907812944001409,2023-05,2026-02,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Surface baseline,WP,8,34,8455,0.7338500348563773,0.6974032558363605,2023-05,2026-02,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Joint baseline,WP,8,34,8455,0.7239111413463551,0.6987533323371958,2023-05,2026-02,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Cutoff-2022 model,Nino3.4,8,34,500,0.3682939617937344,1.1689394821802246,2023-05,2026-02,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Seasonal baseline,Nino3.4,8,34,500,0.5887270246924133,1.068135971992719,2023-05,2026-02,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Original baseline,Nino3.4,8,34,500,0.516066606637879,1.1299855465544135,2023-05,2026-02,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Surface baseline,Nino3.4,8,34,500,0.5342058417606642,1.089696816953664,2023-05,2026-02,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Joint baseline,Nino3.4,8,34,500,0.5507492174386179,1.0794166645725023,2023-05,2026-02,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Cutoff-2022 model,SIO,8,34,2783,0.5755390842512087,0.7345667263120104,2023-05,2026-02,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Seasonal baseline,SIO,8,34,2783,0.5641258799852198,0.7519998100823638,2023-05,2026-02,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Original baseline,SIO,8,34,2783,0.4869209613417554,0.8166380512146468,2023-05,2026-02,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Surface baseline,SIO,8,34,2783,0.5673005994435653,0.7511957836096834,2023-05,2026-02,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Joint baseline,SIO,8,34,2783,0.5654334602665593,0.7524421736245442,2023-05,2026-02,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Cutoff-2022 model,SPO,8,34,2490,0.6970255100023449,0.6163020232391455,2023-05,2026-02,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Seasonal baseline,SPO,8,34,2490,0.7025352027314352,0.6405180875154148,2023-05,2026-02,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Original baseline,SPO,8,34,2490,0.6069413316232221,0.7315380678537701,2023-05,2026-02,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Surface baseline,SPO,8,34,2490,0.703528859259591,0.6381384054007814,2023-05,2026-02,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Joint baseline,SPO,8,34,2490,0.7056325592586754,0.6392920641426332,2023-05,2026-02,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Cutoff-2022 model,SAO,8,34,1312,0.6680205171865767,0.6218748245657518,2023-05,2026-02,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Seasonal baseline,SAO,8,34,1312,0.5441619548801091,0.6871463457178433,2023-05,2026-02,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Original baseline,SAO,8,34,1312,0.4847522313200196,0.750308539887593,2023-05,2026-02,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Surface baseline,SAO,8,34,1312,0.5434040882728501,0.6887193324623881,2023-05,2026-02,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Joint baseline,SAO,8,34,1312,0.544267087406451,0.6877878870965255,2023-05,2026-02,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Cutoff-2022 model,Global,9,34,40701,0.6819895820305294,0.7171015810408156,2023-04,2026-01,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Seasonal baseline,Global,9,34,40701,0.6383743674470815,0.784200360258556,2023-04,2026-01,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Original baseline,Global,9,34,40701,0.6071866132449601,0.860708650932837,2023-04,2026-01,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Surface baseline,Global,9,34,40701,0.6458840834270094,0.7808793950466744,2023-04,2026-01,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Joint baseline,Global,9,34,40701,0.6412021936355448,0.7834922075959967,2023-04,2026-01,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Cutoff-2022 model,AO,9,34,5579,0.8686102212360807,0.665602581544735,2023-04,2026-01,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Seasonal baseline,AO,9,34,5579,0.7583292848845945,0.968358091682051,2023-04,2026-01,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Original baseline,AO,9,34,5579,0.8003850206145218,1.0595916263621674,2023-04,2026-01,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Surface baseline,AO,9,34,5579,0.7563824103488894,0.9633075869733628,2023-04,2026-01,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Joint baseline,AO,9,34,5579,0.7590063558836188,0.9644461282341138,2023-04,2026-01,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Cutoff-2022 model,PDO,9,34,4168,0.7106861473121915,0.9204946169450692,2023-04,2026-01,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Seasonal baseline,PDO,9,34,4168,0.5525372697992619,1.163977734557106,2023-04,2026-01,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Original baseline,PDO,9,34,4168,0.586365046838126,1.20659276783553,2023-04,2026-01,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Surface baseline,PDO,9,34,4168,0.5520878487083141,1.1593265361445966,2023-04,2026-01,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Joint baseline,PDO,9,34,4168,0.5461205177827789,1.163913433651731,2023-04,2026-01,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Cutoff-2022 model,WP,9,34,8455,0.6843126896208286,0.6880546481451759,2023-04,2026-01,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Seasonal baseline,WP,9,34,8455,0.7243349452082807,0.698149030406694,2023-04,2026-01,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Original baseline,WP,9,34,8455,0.6431159228189057,0.7903953311059557,2023-04,2026-01,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Surface baseline,WP,9,34,8455,0.736908224605971,0.6980761377453102,2023-04,2026-01,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Joint baseline,WP,9,34,8455,0.7272567920231212,0.6991731359899155,2023-04,2026-01,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Cutoff-2022 model,Nino3.4,9,34,500,0.4117782524166821,1.1488938211016897,2023-04,2026-01,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Seasonal baseline,Nino3.4,9,34,500,0.603091272929668,1.0601788719461442,2023-04,2026-01,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Original baseline,Nino3.4,9,34,500,0.5344070182989423,1.1270839431759905,2023-04,2026-01,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Surface baseline,Nino3.4,9,34,500,0.5647428726253632,1.0859458370805284,2023-04,2026-01,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Joint baseline,Nino3.4,9,34,500,0.5777015363706799,1.0727255666625102,2023-04,2026-01,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Cutoff-2022 model,SIO,9,34,2783,0.5679880522525966,0.7394205559105377,2023-04,2026-01,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Seasonal baseline,SIO,9,34,2783,0.5659630555219387,0.7521529167594839,2023-04,2026-01,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Original baseline,SIO,9,34,2783,0.490756614373998,0.8159302468288309,2023-04,2026-01,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Surface baseline,SIO,9,34,2783,0.5663169374010245,0.752295716061144,2023-04,2026-01,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Joint baseline,SIO,9,34,2783,0.5657828950910007,0.752749945443863,2023-04,2026-01,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Cutoff-2022 model,SPO,9,34,2490,0.6962199551431422,0.6169957484515662,2023-04,2026-01,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Seasonal baseline,SPO,9,34,2490,0.6988401227532198,0.6418848463015827,2023-04,2026-01,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Original baseline,SPO,9,34,2490,0.5937160904276984,0.7355220826722615,2023-04,2026-01,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Surface baseline,SPO,9,34,2490,0.6999661988342218,0.6406565865529236,2023-04,2026-01,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Joint baseline,SPO,9,34,2490,0.7016036170082858,0.640831999192462,2023-04,2026-01,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Cutoff-2022 model,SAO,9,34,1312,0.6580811345564612,0.6310901611800029,2023-04,2026-01,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Seasonal baseline,SAO,9,34,1312,0.5459816171943166,0.6882794164229896,2023-04,2026-01,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Original baseline,SAO,9,34,1312,0.4892673377121155,0.7492178645369855,2023-04,2026-01,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Surface baseline,SAO,9,34,1312,0.5444726724443137,0.689738004876515,2023-04,2026-01,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Joint baseline,SAO,9,34,1312,0.5470180260046901,0.6882505064138426,2023-04,2026-01,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Cutoff-2022 model,Global,10,34,40701,0.6781443942239159,0.721660491839436,2023-03,2025-12,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Seasonal baseline,Global,10,34,40701,0.6324301136315807,0.7866204570479154,2023-03,2025-12,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Original baseline,Global,10,34,40701,0.6022667623335578,0.86215283514869,2023-03,2025-12,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Surface baseline,Global,10,34,40701,0.6442161681985373,0.7821913899763027,2023-03,2025-12,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Joint baseline,Global,10,34,40701,0.637412777150077,0.7852159516347349,2023-03,2025-12,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Cutoff-2022 model,AO,10,34,5579,0.8662107348352857,0.66654638760227,2023-03,2025-12,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Seasonal baseline,AO,10,34,5579,0.758508006650767,0.9536378850621662,2023-03,2025-12,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Original baseline,AO,10,34,5579,0.8042551241993201,1.05435294034628,2023-03,2025-12,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Surface baseline,AO,10,34,5579,0.7582460053352438,0.9538593746988075,2023-03,2025-12,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Joint baseline,AO,10,34,5579,0.7593693647420032,0.9522737568801246,2023-03,2025-12,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Cutoff-2022 model,PDO,10,34,4168,0.7112824664551968,0.923698387512691,2023-03,2025-12,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Seasonal baseline,PDO,10,34,4168,0.5304397940443069,1.172762068151937,2023-03,2025-12,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Original baseline,PDO,10,34,4168,0.570403791869864,1.2098959414788746,2023-03,2025-12,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Surface baseline,PDO,10,34,4168,0.5442230351050752,1.162531563925671,2023-03,2025-12,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Joint baseline,PDO,10,34,4168,0.5302004159709733,1.1701759845852704,2023-03,2025-12,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Cutoff-2022 model,WP,10,34,8455,0.6794946569736803,0.6988083427071106,2023-03,2025-12,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Seasonal baseline,WP,10,34,8455,0.7209733151286218,0.7024546305846179,2023-03,2025-12,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Original baseline,WP,10,34,8455,0.6422775306546653,0.7933541393415524,2023-03,2025-12,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Surface baseline,WP,10,34,8455,0.7369586995502482,0.700454180915249,2023-03,2025-12,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Joint baseline,WP,10,34,8455,0.7270637483828303,0.7015747182356167,2023-03,2025-12,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Cutoff-2022 model,Nino3.4,10,34,500,0.4041185748853709,1.149741091298636,2023-03,2025-12,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Seasonal baseline,Nino3.4,10,34,500,0.576781940592891,1.069947843013254,2023-03,2025-12,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Original baseline,Nino3.4,10,34,500,0.5410286298897364,1.1307701598881932,2023-03,2025-12,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Surface baseline,Nino3.4,10,34,500,0.5512716392875234,1.0877626733280303,2023-03,2025-12,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Joint baseline,Nino3.4,10,34,500,0.5633029311846237,1.0746193101985302,2023-03,2025-12,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Cutoff-2022 model,SIO,10,34,2783,0.5608099341691293,0.7431103523586885,2023-03,2025-12,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Seasonal baseline,SIO,10,34,2783,0.5708065648105494,0.7486718767059205,2023-03,2025-12,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Original baseline,SIO,10,34,2783,0.5083246579922219,0.8104942265624927,2023-03,2025-12,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Surface baseline,SIO,10,34,2783,0.5704729511560672,0.7497758099469144,2023-03,2025-12,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Joint baseline,SIO,10,34,2783,0.5704589221673453,0.7494770140407795,2023-03,2025-12,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Cutoff-2022 model,SPO,10,34,2490,0.6985390412435575,0.6144442952833463,2023-03,2025-12,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Seasonal baseline,SPO,10,34,2490,0.6909156170149913,0.6455896353798314,2023-03,2025-12,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Original baseline,SPO,10,34,2490,0.5878038916341911,0.737831695328962,2023-03,2025-12,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Surface baseline,SPO,10,34,2490,0.6944560069817047,0.6441757800855425,2023-03,2025-12,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Joint baseline,SPO,10,34,2490,0.6938561318339707,0.6442535681707335,2023-03,2025-12,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Cutoff-2022 model,SAO,10,34,1312,0.6457824543931079,0.6415190262036295,2023-03,2025-12,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Seasonal baseline,SAO,10,34,1312,0.5382704996701624,0.6941929998621015,2023-03,2025-12,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Original baseline,SAO,10,34,1312,0.4870396910110349,0.7505042065377833,2023-03,2025-12,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Surface baseline,SAO,10,34,1312,0.5426545391276155,0.6920441794868094,2023-03,2025-12,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Joint baseline,SAO,10,34,1312,0.5433318633577269,0.6917621335598362,2023-03,2025-12,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Cutoff-2022 model,Global,11,34,40701,0.6733423785776352,0.726119798641259,2023-02,2025-11,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Seasonal baseline,Global,11,34,40701,0.6291299827343717,0.7885560052273618,2023-02,2025-11,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Original baseline,Global,11,34,40701,0.5957534740208308,0.864268892142812,2023-02,2025-11,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Surface baseline,Global,11,34,40701,0.6427343877465815,0.7834854581230262,2023-02,2025-11,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Joint baseline,Global,11,34,40701,0.6349055825275555,0.7867545094362759,2023-02,2025-11,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Cutoff-2022 model,AO,11,34,5579,0.8642895382146736,0.6707951948988775,2023-02,2025-11,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Seasonal baseline,AO,11,34,5579,0.762716295163877,0.935174473518085,2023-02,2025-11,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Original baseline,AO,11,34,5579,0.8048745495188256,1.0509248022109263,2023-02,2025-11,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Surface baseline,AO,11,34,5579,0.7624146383521375,0.942236157128206,2023-02,2025-11,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Joint baseline,AO,11,34,5579,0.7633417191536169,0.9376493515610128,2023-02,2025-11,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Cutoff-2022 model,PDO,11,34,4168,0.7137852508328915,0.9260757625452128,2023-02,2025-11,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Seasonal baseline,PDO,11,34,4168,0.5144076125399277,1.1780773384940018,2023-02,2025-11,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Original baseline,PDO,11,34,4168,0.5416896987225234,1.2183672585972574,2023-02,2025-11,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Surface baseline,PDO,11,34,4168,0.534341676568471,1.1667002226911698,2023-02,2025-11,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Joint baseline,PDO,11,34,4168,0.51844605507517,1.1745211730273148,2023-02,2025-11,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Cutoff-2022 model,WP,11,34,8455,0.672701169803632,0.7072957743736813,2023-02,2025-11,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Seasonal baseline,WP,11,34,8455,0.7198624072651076,0.7060202690306032,2023-02,2025-11,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Original baseline,WP,11,34,8455,0.6483055848322481,0.7930461645954229,2023-02,2025-11,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Surface baseline,WP,11,34,8455,0.737432128917055,0.7017618335230157,2023-02,2025-11,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Joint baseline,WP,11,34,8455,0.7277198559286037,0.7035581728735227,2023-02,2025-11,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Cutoff-2022 model,Nino3.4,11,34,500,0.4161794813484764,1.1364147448570006,2023-02,2025-11,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Seasonal baseline,Nino3.4,11,34,500,0.5844769733767526,1.07438096366909,2023-02,2025-11,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Original baseline,Nino3.4,11,34,500,0.5614909383314037,1.1279709341369293,2023-02,2025-11,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Surface baseline,Nino3.4,11,34,500,0.5533377605285856,1.0880481075597934,2023-02,2025-11,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Joint baseline,Nino3.4,11,34,500,0.5626062816759698,1.0760764370844342,2023-02,2025-11,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Cutoff-2022 model,SIO,11,34,2783,0.5602479065003799,0.743299862148782,2023-02,2025-11,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Seasonal baseline,SIO,11,34,2783,0.5748029549828724,0.7458265515282558,2023-02,2025-11,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Original baseline,SIO,11,34,2783,0.5145860608934507,0.8088969264780781,2023-02,2025-11,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Surface baseline,SIO,11,34,2783,0.5738492693897808,0.7478439409485548,2023-02,2025-11,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Joint baseline,SIO,11,34,2783,0.5734599130311756,0.7472111356395957,2023-02,2025-11,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Cutoff-2022 model,SPO,11,34,2490,0.7008903392706666,0.6159478885359843,2023-02,2025-11,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Seasonal baseline,SPO,11,34,2490,0.6822748704371859,0.6515459395687117,2023-02,2025-11,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Original baseline,SPO,11,34,2490,0.5770855483508684,0.7407346151610215,2023-02,2025-11,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Surface baseline,SPO,11,34,2490,0.6890473387549461,0.6482076423285863,2023-02,2025-11,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Joint baseline,SPO,11,34,2490,0.6865186367297094,0.6489791799444559,2023-02,2025-11,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Cutoff-2022 model,SAO,11,34,1312,0.6411240170702319,0.641230085815823,2023-02,2025-11,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Seasonal baseline,SAO,11,34,1312,0.5400042231385447,0.6944989554732622,2023-02,2025-11,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Original baseline,SAO,11,34,1312,0.4863930762862698,0.7514918162287973,2023-02,2025-11,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Surface baseline,SAO,11,34,1312,0.5436700772910871,0.6921490038622421,2023-02,2025-11,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Joint baseline,SAO,11,34,1312,0.5443558116754222,0.6919853278258045,2023-02,2025-11,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Cutoff-2022 model,Global,12,34,40701,0.6715255782988244,0.7279970249143917,2023-01,2025-10,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Seasonal baseline,Global,12,34,40701,0.631177488073017,0.78918595137759,2023-01,2025-10,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Original baseline,Global,12,34,40701,0.5977223735396086,0.8652237879737684,2023-01,2025-10,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Surface baseline,Global,12,34,40701,0.6433735980582552,0.7845016101038726,2023-01,2025-10,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Joint baseline,Global,12,34,40701,0.6361995196371876,0.7875109652454095,2023-01,2025-10,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Cutoff-2022 model,AO,12,34,5579,0.8612686864099227,0.6766190874976663,2023-01,2025-10,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Seasonal baseline,AO,12,34,5579,0.7606109412438005,0.9322185952074962,2023-01,2025-10,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Original baseline,AO,12,34,5579,0.794486501044676,1.0538545723866242,2023-01,2025-10,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Surface baseline,AO,12,34,5579,0.7579939625092799,0.9418223561253752,2023-01,2025-10,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Joint baseline,AO,12,34,5579,0.7582970258015405,0.9361882671891404,2023-01,2025-10,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Cutoff-2022 model,PDO,12,34,4168,0.7164181906448395,0.9278478409488397,2023-01,2025-10,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Seasonal baseline,PDO,12,34,4168,0.5177658568947495,1.1786457483810822,2023-01,2025-10,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Original baseline,PDO,12,34,4168,0.5265595868119215,1.2244827145598418,2023-01,2025-10,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Surface baseline,PDO,12,34,4168,0.5284681175339213,1.170898165614838,2023-01,2025-10,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Joint baseline,PDO,12,34,4168,0.5177807954242333,1.1768505529034992,2023-01,2025-10,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Cutoff-2022 model,WP,12,34,8455,0.6691852322951596,0.7095552651935516,2023-01,2025-10,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Seasonal baseline,WP,12,34,8455,0.7213685630460965,0.7071420402002448,2023-01,2025-10,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Original baseline,WP,12,34,8455,0.658073711816679,0.7910232473212461,2023-01,2025-10,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Surface baseline,WP,12,34,8455,0.739231706782505,0.7021806769737268,2023-01,2025-10,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Joint baseline,WP,12,34,8455,0.7293726658127707,0.7043747031316331,2023-01,2025-10,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Cutoff-2022 model,Nino3.4,12,34,500,0.4435936736491131,1.1209742563066007,2023-01,2025-10,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Seasonal baseline,Nino3.4,12,34,500,0.5813291404834389,1.078683826348822,2023-01,2025-10,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Original baseline,Nino3.4,12,34,500,0.595493090785777,1.123596581244254,2023-01,2025-10,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Surface baseline,Nino3.4,12,34,500,0.5523697801953761,1.089712942478504,2023-01,2025-10,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Joint baseline,Nino3.4,12,34,500,0.5632521294304663,1.0803720913069776,2023-01,2025-10,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Cutoff-2022 model,SIO,12,34,2783,0.5546313904307636,0.7459637629401029,2023-01,2025-10,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Seasonal baseline,SIO,12,34,2783,0.58210219006006,0.7414617732045637,2023-01,2025-10,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Original baseline,SIO,12,34,2783,0.5266353762093446,0.8064933093579789,2023-01,2025-10,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Surface baseline,SIO,12,34,2783,0.5797789865059043,0.7448897652024291,2023-01,2025-10,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Joint baseline,SIO,12,34,2783,0.5803245178384752,0.7433248958042384,2023-01,2025-10,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Cutoff-2022 model,SPO,12,34,2490,0.6953194623024268,0.6203546904546722,2023-01,2025-10,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Seasonal baseline,SPO,12,34,2490,0.673211116280296,0.6560846086709272,2023-01,2025-10,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Original baseline,SPO,12,34,2490,0.560329214773936,0.7451759365131755,2023-01,2025-10,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Surface baseline,SPO,12,34,2490,0.6835052529811123,0.6517199909801891,2023-01,2025-10,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Joint baseline,SPO,12,34,2490,0.6805794073100984,0.6520234409027518,2023-01,2025-10,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Cutoff-2022 model,SAO,12,34,1312,0.6461300851350299,0.6369393085286209,2023-01,2025-10,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Seasonal baseline,SAO,12,34,1312,0.5499728526080966,0.6890824362487752,2023-01,2025-10,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Original baseline,SAO,12,34,1312,0.4802040333017904,0.7546245401857339,2023-01,2025-10,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Surface baseline,SAO,12,34,1312,0.5476451494104596,0.6904095078908012,2023-01,2025-10,2023-12,2026-09 +own_fixed_target_months,Joint baseline,SAO,12,34,1312,0.5514797450973056,0.6882096974352048,2023-01,2025-10,2023-12,2026-09 diff --git a/data/run.json b/data/run.json index f573273b0d6d29ddd912c05c236026ff8168404b..af2fc3dd0bc3f8c852891bfcdbcf7c30cc3d0089 100644 --- a/data/run.json +++ b/data/run.json @@ -1,21 +1,36 @@ { - "sst_file": "canglong_sst_init202609.nc", - "atmos_file": "canglong_atmos_start20261008.nc", + "model": "CAS-Canglong SST, release 2026-10-25 (Round 5 frozen model)", + "model_repo": "LonghaoWang/CAS-Canglong-SST", + "hindcast_dataset": "LonghaoWang/SST-Hindcast-2016-2022-1deg-lead1-12", + "sst_file": "canglong_sst_round5_init202609.nc", + "source_forecast_sha256": "c3000d34410e974850677edbaaebf1cfc47d33b3463e203df0f12395d77cda87", + "atmos_file": "canglong_atmos_start20261022.nc", "initialization": "2026-09", - "atmos_start": "2026-10-08", - "atmos_source": "CAS-Canglong V3.5 (CanglongV2_5) via canglong.earth (release canglong-20261008-20261118-20261013T053544Z, 1deg)", - "atmos_release": "canglong-20261008-20261118-20261013T053544Z", - "run_time_utc": "2026-10-18T14:45:02.976974+00:00", - "checkpoint_sha256": { - "lowres_checkpoint": "425395945c87ac02b5befe184bccd141d76217e576dacd0caeaf62183d223fba", - "highres_checkpoint": "b87d87737d70169c9da53fe9881cdb30b62540d702d8b6f663178e2ad5c1fd02" - }, - "input_cache_sha256": "a1aafee6c365f02c49fde02279616fcba2d172eda4c9b6335e3f0fbbcaceaf3f", - "check_vs_operational": { - "operational_source_end_date": "2026-09", - "same_nan_pattern": true, - "max_abs_sst_diff_K": 0.0, - "max_abs_nino34_diff_K": 0.0 + "issue_month": "2026-10", + "atmos_start": "2026-10-22", + "atmos_source": "CAS-Canglong V3.5 (CanglongV2_5) via canglong.earth (release canglong-20261022-20261202-20261026T163532Z, 1deg)", + "atmos_release": "canglong-20261022-20261202-20261026T163532Z", + "products_created_utc": "2026-10-27T16:05:44.361774+00:00", + "checks": { + "forecast_sst_minus_ssta_vs_climatology_max_abs_K": 3.0517578125e-05, + "climatology_vs_obs_1959_2009_max_abs_K": 0.00013671875001364242, + "observed_ssta_vs_model_context_max_abs_K": 0.0, + "nino34_9120_from_fields_vs_offset_max_abs_K": 8.604757275598729e-07, + "nino34_cells": 500, + "nino34_base_offset_1991_2020_minus_1959_2009_K": { + "Jan": 0.0872, + "Feb": 0.0899, + "Mar": 0.2262, + "Apr": 0.2265, + "May": 0.1304, + "Jun": 0.1526, + "Jul": 0.0987, + "Aug": 0.0408, + "Sep": 0.1365, + "Oct": 0.1418, + "Nov": 0.1565, + "Dec": 0.1158 + } }, "frames": [ { @@ -69,48 +84,32 @@ { "key": "t12", "label": "Sep 2027 (lead 12)" - }, - { - "key": "t13", - "label": "Oct 2027 (lead 13)" - }, - { - "key": "t14", - "label": "Nov 2027 (lead 14)" - }, - { - "key": "t15", - "label": "Dec 2027 (lead 15)" - }, - { - "key": "t16", - "label": "Jan 2028 (lead 16)" } ], "weeks": [ { "week": 1, - "label": "week 1: 08 Oct\u201314 Oct 2026" + "label": "week 1: 22 Oct\u201328 Oct 2026" }, { "week": 2, - "label": "week 2: 15 Oct\u201321 Oct 2026" + "label": "week 2: 29 Oct\u201304 Nov 2026" }, { "week": 3, - "label": "week 3: 22 Oct\u201328 Oct 2026" + "label": "week 3: 05 Nov\u201311 Nov 2026" }, { "week": 4, - "label": "week 4: 29 Oct\u201304 Nov 2026" + "label": "week 4: 12 Nov\u201318 Nov 2026" }, { "week": 5, - "label": "week 5: 05 Nov\u201311 Nov 2026" + "label": "week 5: 19 Nov\u201325 Nov 2026" }, { "week": 6, - "label": "week 6: 12 Nov\u201318 Nov 2026" + "label": "week 6: 26 Nov\u201302 Dec 2026" } ] } \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/scripts/build_assets.py b/scripts/build_assets.py index b505435ad4b34f7b2ea761c5d5a163e1bdb5dfd8..03ec6889a5cf36946912cec9ee4bba286cc1ce9c 100644 --- a/scripts/build_assets.py +++ b/scripts/build_assets.py @@ -1,11 +1,13 @@ -"""Render the Hugging Face Space assets from one CAS-Canglong forecast run. +"""Render the Hugging Face Space assets from one CAS-Canglong forecast release. - python hf_space/scripts/build_assets.py --sst canglong_sst_init202609.nc --iri iri_latest.json \ - --manifest showcase_manifest.json --out hf_space/build + python hf_space/scripts/build_assets.py --products products/ --iri iri_latest.json \ + --atmos canglong_atmos_start20261022.nc --out hf_space/build -Writes `data/` (NetCDF, Nino3.4 CSV, provenance JSON) and `assets/maps/*.png` (Robinson maps) into --out. -The six-week atmospheric run is fetched from canglong.earth through WeatherPre (`wp.forecast("canglong", ...)`) -unless --atmos points to a saved copy. +`--products` is the folder written by the release's product step: the display NetCDF +(`canglong_sst_round5_init*.nc`), `nino34.csv`, `hindcast_nino34*.csv`, `round6_heldout_metrics.csv` and +`products_manifest.json`. Writes `data/` (those files, the IRI plume, the six-week atmosphere and `run.json`) and +`assets/maps/*.png` (Robinson maps) into --out. Without --atmos the six-week atmospheric run is fetched from +canglong.earth through WeatherPre (`wp.forecast("canglong", ...)`). """ from __future__ import annotations @@ -30,6 +32,10 @@ DIVERGING = LinearSegmentedColormap.from_list( "blue_red", ["#0d366b", "#2a78d6", "#86b6ef", "#f0efec", "#f3a5a1", "#e34948", "#8c1c1c"]) WARM = LinearSegmentedColormap.from_list("warm", ["#fdf3e7", "#f7c99b", "#eb6834", "#b8421b", "#5e1e0d"]) BLUE = LinearSegmentedColormap.from_list("blue", ["#f4f8fd", "#cde2fb", "#86b6ef", "#2a78d6", "#184f95", "#0d366b"]) +PROB = LinearSegmentedColormap.from_list("prob", ["#f4f3ef", "#f7d9c4", "#f3a5a1", "#e34948", "#a32424", "#5e1212"]) +SPREAD = LinearSegmentedColormap.from_list("spread", ["#f4f3ef", "#e4dcf3", "#b9a3e3", "#8a63d2", "#5a35a6", "#2f1a63"]) +PRODUCTS = ["nino34.csv", "hindcast_nino34.csv", "hindcast_nino34_skill.csv", "round6_heldout_metrics.csv", + "products_manifest.json"] plt.rcParams.update({"font.family": ["Arial", "Helvetica", "DejaVu Sans"], "font.size": 10, "text.color": INK, "axes.labelcolor": INK2, "xtick.color": MUTED, "ytick.color": MUTED}) @@ -68,25 +74,36 @@ def robinson_map(field, lat, lon, path: Path, *, cmap, levels, extend, cbar_labe def build_sst(ds: xr.Dataset, out: Path, init: str) -> list[dict]: lat, lon = ds.lat.values, ds.lon.values - lat2, lon2 = ds.lat025.values, ds.lon025.values - foot = f"CAS-Canglong · input: ERA5 monthly means through {init} · research forecast, not an official product" + foot = (f"CAS-Canglong SST model, release 2026-10-25 · input: ERA5 monthly means through {init} · " + "research forecast, not an official product") + grid = " · native 1° model grid" ssta_levels = np.arange(-3.0, 3.01, 0.25) sst_levels = np.arange(-2.0, 32.01, 2.0) - frames = [("t00", f"{month_label(ds.obs_time.values[-1])} (observed, ERA5)", ds.observed_ssta.values, - ds.observed_sst_025.values - 273.15, "Observed ERA5 monthly mean — the last input month")] + obs_t = ds.obs_time.values[-1] + frames = [("t00", f"{month_label(obs_t)} (observed, ERA5)", ds.observed_ssta_9120.values[-1], + ds.observed_sst.values[-1] - 273.15, None, None, "Observed ERA5 monthly mean — the last input month")] for i, t in enumerate(ds.time.values): - frames.append((f"t{i + 1:02d}", f"{month_label(t)} (lead {i + 1})", ds.ssta.isel(time=i).values, - ds.sst_025.isel(time=i).values - 273.15, f"Forecast for {month_label(t)}, {i + 1}-month lead")) + frames.append((f"t{i + 1:02d}", f"{month_label(t)} (lead {i + 1})", ds.ssta_9120.isel(time=i).values, + ds.sst.isel(time=i).values - 273.15, ds.p_upper_quintile.isel(time=i).values, + ds.sigma.isel(time=i).values, f"Forecast for {month_label(t)}, {i + 1}-month lead")) index = [] - for key, label, ssta, sst, sub in frames: + for key, label, ssta, sst, pup, sigma, sub in frames: robinson_map(ssta, lat, lon, out / f"assets/maps/ssta_{key}.png", cmap=DIVERGING, levels=ssta_levels, - extend="both", cbar_label="SST anomaly (°C) vs ERA5 1959–2016 monthly climatology", - title=f"SST anomaly · {label}", subtitle=sub + " · native 1° model grid", footnote=foot) - sst = np.maximum(sst, -1.8) - robinson_map(sst, lat2, lon2, out / f"assets/maps/sst_{key}.png", cmap=WARM, levels=sst_levels, extend="both", - cbar_label="Sea surface temperature (°C)", title=f"Sea surface temperature · {label}", - subtitle=sub + " · 0.25°, coastal belt blended with ERA5 for display (as on canglong.earth)", - footnote=foot + " · values below the −1.8 °C freezing point shown as −1.8 °C") + extend="both", cbar_label="SST anomaly (°C) vs ERA5 1991–2020 monthly climatology", + title=f"SST anomaly · {label}", subtitle=sub + grid, footnote=foot) + robinson_map(np.maximum(sst, -1.8), lat, lon, out / f"assets/maps/sst_{key}.png", cmap=WARM, levels=sst_levels, + extend="both", cbar_label="Sea surface temperature (°C)", title=f"Sea surface temperature · {label}", + subtitle=sub + grid, footnote=foot + " · values below the −1.8 °C freezing point shown as −1.8 °C") + if pup is not None: + robinson_map(pup * 100, lat, lon, out / f"assets/maps/pupper_{key}.png", cmap=PROB, + levels=np.array([0, 10, 20, 30, 40, 50, 60, 70, 80, 90, 100]), extend="neither", + cbar_label="Probability (%) of the warmest fifth of the 1959–2009 climate for this month", + title=f"Chance of a top-quintile month · {label}", + subtitle=sub + " · calibrated quintile probability (20 % = climatological odds)", footnote=foot) + robinson_map(sigma, lat, lon, out / f"assets/maps/sigma_{key}.png", cmap=SPREAD, + levels=np.array([0, 0.2, 0.3, 0.4, 0.5, 0.6, 0.8, 1.0, 1.25, 1.5, 2.0]), extend="max", + cbar_label="Forecast standard deviation (°C)", title=f"Forecast uncertainty · {label}", + subtitle=sub + " · marginal Gaussian spread per grid cell", footnote=foot) index.append({"key": key, "label": label}) print("map", key, flush=True) return index @@ -123,17 +140,18 @@ def build_atmos(u: xr.Dataset, out: Path) -> list[dict]: def main() -> None: p = argparse.ArgumentParser() - p.add_argument("--sst", type=Path, required=True) + p.add_argument("--products", type=Path, required=True) p.add_argument("--iri", type=Path, required=True) - p.add_argument("--manifest", type=Path, required=True) p.add_argument("--atmos", type=Path) p.add_argument("--out", type=Path, default=Path("hf_space/build")) a = p.parse_args() data = a.out / "data" data.mkdir(parents=True, exist_ok=True) - ds = xr.open_dataset(a.sst) + sst_path = next(a.products.glob("canglong_sst_round5_init*.nc")) + ds = xr.open_dataset(sst_path) init = pd.Timestamp(ds.obs_time.values[-1]).strftime("%Y-%m") - shutil.copy2(a.sst, data / a.sst.name) + for f in [sst_path, *(a.products / n for n in PRODUCTS)]: + shutil.copy2(f, data / f.name) shutil.copy2(a.iri, data / "iri_plume.json") if a.atmos: @@ -144,19 +162,16 @@ def main() -> None: atmos_name = f"canglong_atmos_start{pd.Timestamp(u.init_time.values):%Y%m%d}.nc" u.to_netcdf(data / atmos_name) - nino = pd.DataFrame({"valid_month": [pd.Timestamp(t).strftime("%Y-%m") for t in ds.time.values], - "lead_month": np.arange(1, ds.sizes["time"] + 1), - "nino34_degC": ds.nino34.values.round(3), "nino34_1deg_degC": ds.nino34_1deg.values.round(3)}) - nino.to_csv(data / "nino34.csv", index=False) - run = json.loads(a.manifest.read_text()) - meta = {"sst_file": a.sst.name, "atmos_file": atmos_name, "initialization": init, + man = json.loads((a.products / "products_manifest.json").read_text()) + meta = {"model": "CAS-Canglong SST, release 2026-10-25 (Round 5 frozen model)", + "model_repo": "LonghaoWang/CAS-Canglong-SST", "hindcast_dataset": "LonghaoWang/SST-Hindcast-2016-2022-1deg-lead1-12", + "sst_file": sst_path.name, "source_forecast_sha256": ds.attrs.get("source_sha256"), "atmos_file": atmos_name, + "initialization": init, "issue_month": ds.attrs.get("issue_month"), "atmos_start": pd.Timestamp(u.init_time.values).strftime("%Y-%m-%d"), "atmos_source": u.attrs.get("source"), - "atmos_release": u.attrs.get("release"), "run_time_utc": run.get("run_time_utc"), - "checkpoint_sha256": run.get("checkpoint_sha256"), "input_cache_sha256": run.get("input_cache_sha256"), - "check_vs_operational": run.get("check_vs_operational"), + "atmos_release": u.attrs.get("release"), "products_created_utc": man["created_utc"], "checks": man["checks"], "frames": build_sst(ds, a.out, init), "weeks": build_atmos(u, a.out)} (data / "run.json").write_text(json.dumps(meta, indent=2)) - print(json.dumps({k: v for k, v in meta.items() if k not in ("frames", "weeks")}, indent=1)) + print(json.dumps({k: v for k, v in meta.items() if k not in ("frames", "weeks", "checks")}, indent=1)) if __name__ == "__main__":