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| { | |
| "experiment": "CTRLBF1 \u2014 backfill of three already-completed, previously unrecorded controls", | |
| "prereg": [ | |
| "docs/experiments/preregs/superseded/PREREG_E36_QLADDER.md (section E35)", | |
| "docs/experiments/preregs/P0_t52_parallel_port.md" | |
| ], | |
| "status": "RECORDED FROM EXISTING OUTPUTS \u2014 no new experiment, no new threshold", | |
| "recomputes_not_remeasures": true, | |
| "why": "CLAUDE.md rule 10 requires a control to be named with the number it produced. These three were satisfied by data already on disk but were recorded as 'NOT RECORDED' (E35 M1-C3, M1-C4) or '(full-grid arms outstanding)' (P0 C2).", | |
| "E35_M1_C3": { | |
| "requirement_verbatim": "post-2020 text | must score below M1-C1. If not, either the date argument or the index is wrong", | |
| "m1_c1_operationalised": "M1-C1 is 'a known Pile component ... high containment'. The bar used is the LOWEST of the five in-stream Pile components at k=32, 20/20 coverage \u2014 the most demanding reading of 'below M1-C1'.", | |
| "k": 32, | |
| "coverage": "20/20", | |
| "in_stream_final": { | |
| "Pile-CC": 0.9276060773863086, | |
| "Github": 0.9340004374453194, | |
| "StackExchange": 0.9179914195561899, | |
| "USPTO_Backgrounds": 0.9267616923398619, | |
| "Wikipedia_en": 0.9215951727072293 | |
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| "lowest_in_stream": 0.9179914195561899, | |
| "post_2020": { | |
| "CONTROL_PubMed_2023": { | |
| "containment_20of20": 0.7927273508312213, | |
| "below_lowest_in_stream": true | |
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| "OOD_Wikipedia_2023": { | |
| "containment_20of20": 0.26957534299550123, | |
| "below_lowest_in_stream": true | |
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| "OOD_arXiv_2023": { | |
| "containment_20of20": 8.598932872430531e-05, | |
| "below_lowest_in_stream": true | |
| }, | |
| "OOD_News_2024": { | |
| "containment_20of20": 0.0007487928942136383, | |
| "below_lowest_in_stream": true | |
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| "fires": true, | |
| "source": "results/e48b_exposure_growth.json -> containment_by_coverage" | |
| }, | |
| "E35_M1_C4": { | |
| "requirement_verbatim": "one shard vs twenty | containment on 1/20 of the stream must be a strict lower bound on containment over 20/20", | |
| "k": 32, | |
| "by_corpus": { | |
| "CONTROL_PubMed_2023": { | |
| "containment_1of20": 0.061166716783366985, | |
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| "monotone_nondecreasing": true, | |
| "n_coverage_points": 20 | |
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| "Github": { | |
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| "monotone_nondecreasing": true, | |
| "n_coverage_points": 20 | |
| }, | |
| "OOD_CommonPile": { | |
| "containment_1of20": 0.0, | |
| "containment_20of20": 0.00125, | |
| "is_lower_bound": true, | |
| "monotone_nondecreasing": true, | |
| "n_coverage_points": 20 | |
| }, | |
| "OOD_News_2024": { | |
| "containment_1of20": 1.936533347104237e-05, | |
| "containment_20of20": 0.0007487928942136383, | |
| "is_lower_bound": true, | |
| "monotone_nondecreasing": true, | |
| "n_coverage_points": 20 | |
| }, | |
| "OOD_Wikipedia_2023": { | |
| "containment_1of20": 0.022133038856352236, | |
| "containment_20of20": 0.26957534299550123, | |
| "is_lower_bound": true, | |
| "monotone_nondecreasing": true, | |
| "n_coverage_points": 20 | |
| }, | |
| "OOD_arXiv_2023": { | |
| "containment_1of20": 0.0, | |
| "containment_20of20": 8.598932872430531e-05, | |
| "is_lower_bound": true, | |
| "monotone_nondecreasing": true, | |
| "n_coverage_points": 20 | |
| }, | |
| "Pile-CC": { | |
| "containment_1of20": 0.09955354052744514, | |
| "containment_20of20": 0.9276060773863086, | |
| "is_lower_bound": true, | |
| "monotone_nondecreasing": true, | |
| "n_coverage_points": 20 | |
| }, | |
| "StackExchange": { | |
| "containment_1of20": 0.07686719226900293, | |
| "containment_20of20": 0.9179914195561899, | |
| "is_lower_bound": true, | |
| "monotone_nondecreasing": true, | |
| "n_coverage_points": 20 | |
| }, | |
| "TRAP_FineWeb": { | |
| "containment_1of20": 0.007237811980212063, | |
| "containment_20of20": 0.06309446548070848, | |
| "is_lower_bound": true, | |
| "monotone_nondecreasing": true, | |
| "n_coverage_points": 20 | |
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| "USPTO_Backgrounds": { | |
| "containment_1of20": 0.12033439046490556, | |
| "containment_20of20": 0.9267616923398619, | |
| "is_lower_bound": true, | |
| "monotone_nondecreasing": true, | |
| "n_coverage_points": 20 | |
| }, | |
| "Wikipedia_en": { | |
| "containment_1of20": 0.07066448338254318, | |
| "containment_20of20": 0.9215951727072293, | |
| "is_lower_bound": true, | |
| "monotone_nondecreasing": true, | |
| "n_coverage_points": 20 | |
| }, | |
| "_CONTROL_random": { | |
| "containment_1of20": 0.0, | |
| "containment_20of20": 0.0, | |
| "is_lower_bound": true, | |
| "monotone_nondecreasing": true, | |
| "n_coverage_points": 20 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| "strict_increase_for_in_stream_corpora": { | |
| "Pile-CC": true, | |
| "Github": true, | |
| "StackExchange": true, | |
| "USPTO_Backgrounds": true, | |
| "Wikipedia_en": true | |
| }, | |
| "fires": true, | |
| "note": "'strict' is checked as strict only for corpora actually present in the stream; a genuinely absent corpus pinned at 0.0 at every coverage satisfies the lower-bound requirement with equality, which is the intended behaviour and is what E48b's growth-rate reading rests on.", | |
| "source": "results/e48b_exposure_growth.json -> containment_by_coverage" | |
| }, | |
| "P0_C2": { | |
| "requirement_verbatim": "C2 - worker-count invariance. --workers 1, 2 and 8 must give identical output. Required: max_abs_diff = 0.0 between every pair, on the same 128 values.", | |
| "arms_found": { | |
| "w1": { | |
| "file": "e52_factorial_410m_rstrip_w1.json", | |
| "workers": 1, | |
| "D": 0.000845372218579525 | |
| }, | |
| "w2": { | |
| "file": "e52_factorial_410m_rstrip_w2.json", | |
| "workers": 2, | |
| "D": 0.000845372218579525 | |
| }, | |
| "w8": { | |
| "file": "e52_factorial_410m_rstrip_w8.json", | |
| "workers": 8, | |
| "D": 0.000845372218579525 | |
| }, | |
| "w6": { | |
| "file": "e52_factorial_410m_rstrip.json", | |
| "workers": 6, | |
| "D": 0.000845372218579525 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| "n_values_compared": 128, | |
| "same_key_set_across_arms": true, | |
| "pairwise_max_abs_diff": { | |
| "w1_vs_w2": 0.0, | |
| "w1_vs_w6": 0.0, | |
| "w1_vs_w8": 0.0, | |
| "w2_vs_w6": 0.0, | |
| "w2_vs_w8": 0.0, | |
| "w6_vs_w8": 0.0 | |
| }, | |
| "pairwise_max_abs_diff_registered_arms_only": { | |
| "w1_vs_w2": 0.0, | |
| "w1_vs_w8": 0.0, | |
| "w2_vs_w8": 0.0 | |
| }, | |
| "max_abs_diff_registered": 0.0, | |
| "max_abs_diff_including_w6_reference": 0.0, | |
| "fires": true, | |
| "note": "The 128 values are the 64 fit x read cells under each of the two aggregations. w6 is the reference run (--workers 6) and is reported alongside but is not one of the registered 1/2/8 arms.", | |
| "source": "results/e52_factorial_410m_rstrip{,_w1,_w2,_w8}.json -> by_aggregation.{persist,min}.matrix" | |
| }, | |
| "controls_fired": { | |
| "E35_M1_C3": true, | |
| "E35_M1_C4": true, | |
| "P0_C2": true | |
| }, | |
| "VERDICT": "ALL THREE RECORDED. E35 M1-C3 FIRES: all 4 post-2020 panels sit below the lowest in-stream Pile component (0.9180) at k=32, 20/20 \u2014 CONTROL_PubMed_2023 0.79273, OOD_Wikipedia_2023 0.26958, OOD_arXiv_2023 0.00009, OOD_News_2024 0.00075. E35 M1-C4 FIRES: containment at 1/20 coverage is a lower bound on 20/20 for 12/12 corpora and the series is monotone non-decreasing in all of them. P0 C2 FIRES: max_abs_diff = 0.0 across every pair of --workers 1/2/8 on all 128 values. No threshold was introduced here; each requirement is quoted from its own registration.", | |
| "provenance": { | |
| "schema_version": 1, | |
| "experiment": "CTRLBF1 \u2014 backfill of three already-completed, previously unrecorded controls", | |
| "utc": "2026-09-01T20:35:05+00:00", | |
| "script": { | |
| "path": "experiments/ctrlbf1_control_backfill.py", | |
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