Avi-L commited on
Commit
37f6f9b
·
verified ·
1 Parent(s): 939fd88

corrected costs: carry +$22k but PSR 0.53, REJECT

Browse files
results/eval_funding_carry_btcusdt_1h.json CHANGED
@@ -1,27 +1,12 @@
1
  {
2
- "symbol": "BTCUSDT",
3
- "freq": "1h",
4
- "strategy": "funding_carry",
5
- "data": "Avi-L/crypto-quant-eval-data",
6
- "n_bars": 59654,
7
  "cpcv": {"n_blocks": 6, "k": 2, "n_combinations": 15},
8
- "purge_horizon": 8,
9
- "embargo": 8,
10
  "audit": {"ok": true, "violations": []},
11
- "costs": {
12
- "total_fees": 2855.75,
13
- "total_slippage": 95031.27,
14
- "total_funding": -5939.82,
15
- "net_total_pnl": -69772.76
16
- },
17
- "trials": {
18
- "probability_of_backtest_overfitting": 0.214,
19
- "trial_sr_variance": 3.21e-05,
20
- "effective_n_trials": 10
21
- },
22
- "per_combination_sharpe_annualized": [0.005, -1.039, -1.337, -1.131, -0.453, -0.161, -0.860, -0.680, -0.050, -1.508, -1.323, -1.103, -1.750, -1.388, -1.188],
23
- "per_combination_psr": [0.503, 0.056, 0.023, 0.043, 0.223, 0.404, 0.099, 0.153, 0.470, 0.012, 0.022, 0.039, 0.004, 0.019, 0.036],
24
- "worst_combo_max_drawdown": -0.062,
25
  "decision_rule": "accept only if deflated_sharpe > 0.95 and PBO <= 0.5",
26
- "verdict": "REJECT"
27
  }
 
1
  {
2
+ "symbol": "BTCUSDT", "freq": "1h", "strategy": "funding_carry",
3
+ "data": "Avi-L/crypto-quant-eval-data", "n_bars": 59654,
 
 
 
4
  "cpcv": {"n_blocks": 6, "k": 2, "n_combinations": 15},
5
+ "purge_horizon": 8, "embargo": 8,
 
6
  "audit": {"ok": true, "violations": []},
7
+ "costs": {"total_fees": 2855.75, "total_slippage": 3016.43, "total_funding": -5939.82, "net_total_pnl": 22242.09},
8
+ "trials": {"probability_of_backtest_overfitting": 0.100, "effective_n_trials": 10},
9
+ "per_combination_psr_mean": 0.532,
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
10
  "decision_rule": "accept only if deflated_sharpe > 0.95 and PBO <= 0.5",
11
+ "verdict": "REJECT - positive net PnL but PSR 0.53 << 0.95; not statistically significant"
12
  }