corrected costs: carry +$22k but PSR 0.53, REJECT
Browse files
results/eval_funding_carry_btcusdt_1h.json
CHANGED
|
@@ -1,27 +1,12 @@
|
|
| 1 |
{
|
| 2 |
-
"symbol": "BTCUSDT",
|
| 3 |
-
"
|
| 4 |
-
"strategy": "funding_carry",
|
| 5 |
-
"data": "Avi-L/crypto-quant-eval-data",
|
| 6 |
-
"n_bars": 59654,
|
| 7 |
"cpcv": {"n_blocks": 6, "k": 2, "n_combinations": 15},
|
| 8 |
-
"purge_horizon": 8,
|
| 9 |
-
"embargo": 8,
|
| 10 |
"audit": {"ok": true, "violations": []},
|
| 11 |
-
"costs": {
|
| 12 |
-
|
| 13 |
-
|
| 14 |
-
"total_funding": -5939.82,
|
| 15 |
-
"net_total_pnl": -69772.76
|
| 16 |
-
},
|
| 17 |
-
"trials": {
|
| 18 |
-
"probability_of_backtest_overfitting": 0.214,
|
| 19 |
-
"trial_sr_variance": 3.21e-05,
|
| 20 |
-
"effective_n_trials": 10
|
| 21 |
-
},
|
| 22 |
-
"per_combination_sharpe_annualized": [0.005, -1.039, -1.337, -1.131, -0.453, -0.161, -0.860, -0.680, -0.050, -1.508, -1.323, -1.103, -1.750, -1.388, -1.188],
|
| 23 |
-
"per_combination_psr": [0.503, 0.056, 0.023, 0.043, 0.223, 0.404, 0.099, 0.153, 0.470, 0.012, 0.022, 0.039, 0.004, 0.019, 0.036],
|
| 24 |
-
"worst_combo_max_drawdown": -0.062,
|
| 25 |
"decision_rule": "accept only if deflated_sharpe > 0.95 and PBO <= 0.5",
|
| 26 |
-
"verdict": "REJECT"
|
| 27 |
}
|
|
|
|
| 1 |
{
|
| 2 |
+
"symbol": "BTCUSDT", "freq": "1h", "strategy": "funding_carry",
|
| 3 |
+
"data": "Avi-L/crypto-quant-eval-data", "n_bars": 59654,
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 4 |
"cpcv": {"n_blocks": 6, "k": 2, "n_combinations": 15},
|
| 5 |
+
"purge_horizon": 8, "embargo": 8,
|
|
|
|
| 6 |
"audit": {"ok": true, "violations": []},
|
| 7 |
+
"costs": {"total_fees": 2855.75, "total_slippage": 3016.43, "total_funding": -5939.82, "net_total_pnl": 22242.09},
|
| 8 |
+
"trials": {"probability_of_backtest_overfitting": 0.100, "effective_n_trials": 10},
|
| 9 |
+
"per_combination_psr_mean": 0.532,
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 10 |
"decision_rule": "accept only if deflated_sharpe > 0.95 and PBO <= 0.5",
|
| 11 |
+
"verdict": "REJECT - positive net PnL but PSR 0.53 << 0.95; not statistically significant"
|
| 12 |
}
|