CarlAlbertCode's picture
Submission 007 - temperature-gated causal identity ensemble
2bb61d5 verified
Raw History Blame Contribute Delete
4.35 kB
{
"dataset_revision": "7f423ac4cb6ab146f7ea7a37872eb4dfc3c9705c",
"artifact": "submission_artifacts/planner.joblib",
"quantile": 0.05,
"event_risk_threshold": 0.5,
"prediction_offset_days": -5.0,
"risk_calibration_scale": 1.5,
"expected_gain_margin": 10.0,
"expected_service_cost_hours": 2.0,
"scheduled_fraction": 0.038,
"capacity_lookback_days": 42,
"weekly_guard_fraction": 0.95,
"hard_limit_penalty_multiplier": 1.5,
"minimum_scheduled_batteries": 8,
"maximum_scheduled_batteries": 24,
"calibration_folds": 5,
"planner_policy": {
"event_risk_threshold": 0.5,
"prediction_offset_days": -5.0,
"building_batch_window_days": 4,
"unscheduled_margin_days": 1,
"capacity_lookback_days": 42,
"capacity_lookahead_days": 21,
"capacity_daily_limit_fraction": 1.0,
"capacity_weekly_limit_fraction": 0.95,
"capacity_limit_penalty_multiplier": 1.5,
"capacity_operational_cost_weight": 1.5,
"use_expected_cost": true,
"risk_calibration_scale": 1.5,
"expected_event_day_shift": 0.0,
"expected_service_cost_hours": 2.0,
"expected_gain_margin": 10.0,
"expected_emergency_buffer_days": 6.0,
"stale_risk_cutoff_days": 7.0,
"recent_gap_risk_factor": 0.75,
"stale_risk_factor": 0.1,
"minimum_scheduled_batteries": 8,
"maximum_scheduled_batteries": 24,
"route_last_leg_factor": 1.0,
"survivor_horizon_scale": 1.0,
"scheduled_fraction": 0.038,
"risk_quantile_spread_days": 0.0,
"selection_key": "expected_gain"
},
"survivor_rul_head": true,
"trajectory_weight": 0.25,
"forecast_heads": [
"p30_2.45",
"p30_2.5",
"p60_2.45",
"p60_2.5",
"p90_2.45",
"p90_2.5",
"v30",
"v60",
"v90"
],
"training_rows": 19890,
"training_devices": 458,
"features": [
"voltage_median",
"voltage_mean",
"voltage_min",
"voltage_max",
"voltage_std",
"temperature_median",
"temperature_std",
"observations_day",
"stable_voltage_median",
"history_days",
"days_since_previous",
"voltage_mean_3d",
"voltage_min_3d",
"voltage_max_3d",
"voltage_std_3d",
"temperature_mean_3d",
"voltage_slope_3d",
"span_3d",
"voltage_mean_7d",
"voltage_min_7d",
"voltage_max_7d",
"voltage_std_7d",
"temperature_mean_7d",
"voltage_slope_7d",
"span_7d",
"voltage_mean_14d",
"voltage_min_14d",
"voltage_max_14d",
"voltage_std_14d",
"temperature_mean_14d",
"voltage_slope_14d",
"span_14d",
"voltage_mean_30d",
"voltage_min_30d",
"voltage_max_30d",
"voltage_std_30d",
"temperature_mean_30d",
"voltage_slope_30d",
"span_30d",
"voltage_mean_60d",
"voltage_min_60d",
"voltage_max_60d",
"voltage_std_60d",
"temperature_mean_60d",
"voltage_slope_60d",
"span_60d",
"voltage_mean_90d",
"voltage_min_90d",
"voltage_max_90d",
"voltage_std_90d",
"temperature_mean_90d",
"voltage_slope_90d",
"span_90d",
"voltage_mean_180d",
"voltage_min_180d",
"voltage_max_180d",
"voltage_std_180d",
"temperature_mean_180d",
"voltage_slope_180d",
"span_180d",
"voltage_mean_365d",
"voltage_min_365d",
"voltage_max_365d",
"voltage_std_365d",
"temperature_mean_365d",
"voltage_slope_365d",
"span_365d",
"voltage_recent_vs_30d",
"voltage_recent_vs_90d",
"voltage_range_day",
"location_age_days",
"data_gap_days",
"voltage_rank_global",
"voltage_rank_building",
"voltage_rank_room",
"building_battery_count",
"room_battery_count"
],
"artifact_sha256": "3cfca2e7dd2c05ddd84f2eca42a484168a1ab4ad3cd454806ef4e687fe8f1569",
"runtime_versions": {
"batteryswap_public": "0.3.4",
"fastparquet": "2026.5.0",
"joblib": "1.5.3",
"numpy": "2.2.6",
"pandas": "2.3.3",
"scikit-learn": "1.7.2"
},
"validation_report": "artifacts/submission_cv_final.json",
"optimistic_train_score": {
"building_change": 10.25,
"daily_limit": 14.583333333333334,
"travel": 32.68057291666667,
"battery_swap": 4.026041666666667,
"early_swap": 391.3229166666667,
"weekly_limit": 39.583333333333336,
"overtime": 51.89251388888891,
"room_change": 6.75,
"late_swap": 75.83333333333333,
"total_cost": 626.9220451388888
}
}