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  2. checkpoints/smoke_predictor_v4_random_exit_dmd_p2/latest/predictor.safetensors +3 -0
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+ byt5_state_dict = torch.load(args["byT5_ckpt_path"], map_location=device)
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+ /mnt/local_nvme/cz/projects/HY-WorldPlay-DEV-Predictor/hyvideo/models/text_encoders/byT5/__init__.py:74: FutureWarning: You are using `torch.load` with `weights_only=False` (the current default value), which uses the default pickle module implicitly. It is possible to construct malicious pickle data which will execute arbitrary code during unpickling (See https://github.com/pytorch/pytorch/blob/main/SECURITY.md#untrusted-models for more details). In a future release, the default value for `weights_only` will be flipped to `True`. This limits the functions that could be executed during unpickling. Arbitrary objects will no longer be allowed to be loaded via this mode unless they are explicitly allowlisted by the user via `torch.serialization.add_safe_globals`. We recommend you start setting `weights_only=True` for any use case where you don't have full control of the loaded file. Please open an issue on GitHub for any issues related to this experimental feature.
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+
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+ /mnt/local_nvme/cz/projects/HY-WorldPlay-DEV-Predictor/hyvideo/models/text_encoders/byT5/__init__.py:74: FutureWarning: You are using `torch.load` with `weights_only=False` (the current default value), which uses the default pickle module implicitly. It is possible to construct malicious pickle data which will execute arbitrary code during unpickling (See https://github.com/pytorch/pytorch/blob/main/SECURITY.md#untrusted-models for more details). In a future release, the default value for `weights_only` will be flipped to `True`. This limits the functions that could be executed during unpickling. Arbitrary objects will no longer be allowed to be loaded via this mode unless they are explicitly allowlisted by the user via `torch.serialization.add_safe_globals`. We recommend you start setting `weights_only=True` for any use case where you don't have full control of the loaded file. Please open an issue on GitHub for any issues related to this experimental feature.
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+ {"critic_grad_norm": 0.69921875, "critic_loss": 0.05981058580800891, "critic_step": 1, "critic_timestep": 797.6681823730469, "dmd_gradient_norm": 0.43714500218629837, "dmd_loss": 0.2176895122975111, "dmd_normalizer": 0.11242425534874201, "dmd_score_timestep": 635.6212921142578, "exit_count_p1": 0, "exit_count_p2": 0, "exit_count_p3": 1, "exit_step": 3, "lr_fake_score": 2e-07, "lr_predictor_blocks": 1e-08, "lr_predictor_fusion": 1.0000000000000001e-07, "peak_memory_gib": 65.43626928329468, "predictor_grad_norm": 0.06792225688695908, "step_time_s": 184.85065027012388, "student_step": 1}
checkpoints/smoke_predictor_v4_random_exit_dmd_p3/train_config.json ADDED
@@ -0,0 +1,49 @@
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1
+ {
2
+ "base_model": "/mnt/local_nvme/cz/projects/HY-WorldPlay-DEV-Predictor/outputs/model_cache_repaired/HunyuanVideo-1.5-9b49404-v2",
3
+ "blocks_lr": 5e-07,
4
+ "cases_path": "/mnt/local_nvme/cz/projects/HY-WorldPlay-DEV-Predictor/datasets/hyworldplay_predictor_prefeature_v4/cases.jsonl",
5
+ "critic_updates_per_student": 1,
6
+ "data_root": "/mnt/local_nvme/cz/projects/HY-WorldPlay-DEV-Predictor/datasets/hyworldplay_predictor_prefeature_v4",
7
+ "fake_score_grad_clip": 10.0,
8
+ "fake_score_lr": 2e-07,
9
+ "fake_score_model": "50step_bidirectional_model_trainable",
10
+ "flow_shift": 5.0,
11
+ "forced_exit_step": 3,
12
+ "fusion_lr": 5e-06,
13
+ "keep_checkpoints": 2,
14
+ "latent_seed": 0,
15
+ "log_every": 1,
16
+ "max_steps": 1,
17
+ "max_trajectories": 8,
18
+ "no_save": true,
19
+ "output_dir": "/mnt/local_nvme/cz/projects/HY-WorldPlay-DEV-Predictor/checkpoints/smoke_predictor_v4_random_exit_dmd_p3",
20
+ "predictor_grad_clip": 1.0,
21
+ "predictor_trainable_parameters": 197218816,
22
+ "random_exits": [
23
+ 1,
24
+ 2,
25
+ 3
26
+ ],
27
+ "real_guidance_scale": 6.0,
28
+ "real_score_model": "50step_bidirectional_model_frozen",
29
+ "regression_loss": false,
30
+ "resume": null,
31
+ "rollout_model": "4step_ar_distilled_action_model",
32
+ "rollout_teacher_checkpoint": "/mnt/local_nvme/cz/checkpoints/hy_worldplay/huggingface/hub/models--tencent--HY-WorldPlay/snapshots/f4c29235647707b571479a69b569e4166f9f5bf8/ar_distilled_action_model/diffusion_pytorch_model.safetensors",
33
+ "save_every": 200,
34
+ "score_teacher_checkpoint": "/mnt/local_nvme/cz/checkpoints/hy_worldplay/huggingface/hub/models--tencent--HY-WorldPlay/snapshots/f4c29235647707b571479a69b569e4166f9f5bf8/bidirectional_model/diffusion_pytorch_model.safetensors",
35
+ "score_timestep_max": 0.98,
36
+ "score_timestep_min": 0.02,
37
+ "seed": 20260818,
38
+ "stage1_expected_step": 2000,
39
+ "stage1_training_state": "/mnt/local_nvme/cz/projects/HY-WorldPlay-DEV-Predictor/checkpoints/predictor_v4_prefeature_blocks1-52_fp32master_8gpu_flr1e-4_blr1e-5_schedsteps2000_swarmup100_bwarmup100_swanlab/training_latest.pt",
40
+ "swanlab_experiment": "predictor-v4-random-exit-dmd-predictor-only-stage1step2000-8gpu",
41
+ "swanlab_mode": "disabled",
42
+ "swanlab_project": "HY-WorldPlay-Predictor-v4",
43
+ "swanlab_workspace": null,
44
+ "training_mode": "predictor_only_random_exit_dmd",
45
+ "validate_config_only": false,
46
+ "warmup_steps": 100,
47
+ "weight_decay": 0.01,
48
+ "world_size": 8
49
+ }
checkpoints/smoke_predictor_v4_random_exit_dmd_p3/train_log.jsonl ADDED
@@ -0,0 +1 @@
 
 
1
+ {"critic_grad_norm": 0.69921875, "critic_loss": 0.05981058580800891, "critic_step": 1, "critic_timestep": 797.6681823730469, "dmd_gradient_norm": 0.43714500218629837, "dmd_loss": 0.2176895122975111, "dmd_normalizer": 0.11242425534874201, "dmd_score_timestep": 635.6212921142578, "exit_count_p1": 0, "exit_count_p2": 0, "exit_count_p3": 1, "exit_step": 3, "lr_fake_score": 2e-07, "lr_predictor_blocks": 1e-08, "lr_predictor_fusion": 1.0000000000000001e-07, "peak_memory_gib": 65.43626928329468, "predictor_grad_norm": 0.06792225688695908, "step_time_s": 184.85065027012388, "student_step": 1}
checkpoints/smoke_predictor_v4_random_exit_dmd_resume.log ADDED
@@ -0,0 +1,32 @@
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1
+ HY-World 1.5 loading from: /mnt/local_nvme/cz/checkpoints/hy_worldplay/huggingface/hub/models--tencent--HY-WorldPlay/snapshots/f4c29235647707b571479a69b569e4166f9f5bf8/ar_distilled_action_model/diffusion_pytorch_model.safetensors
2
+ HY-World 1.5 loading from: /mnt/local_nvme/cz/checkpoints/hy_worldplay/huggingface/hub/models--tencent--HY-WorldPlay/snapshots/f4c29235647707b571479a69b569e4166f9f5bf8/ar_distilled_action_model/diffusion_pytorch_model.safetensors
3
+ /mnt/local_nvme/cz/projects/HY-WorldPlay-DEV-Predictor/hyvideo/models/text_encoders/byT5/__init__.py:74: FutureWarning: You are using `torch.load` with `weights_only=False` (the current default value), which uses the default pickle module implicitly. It is possible to construct malicious pickle data which will execute arbitrary code during unpickling (See https://github.com/pytorch/pytorch/blob/main/SECURITY.md#untrusted-models for more details). In a future release, the default value for `weights_only` will be flipped to `True`. This limits the functions that could be executed during unpickling. Arbitrary objects will no longer be allowed to be loaded via this mode unless they are explicitly allowlisted by the user via `torch.serialization.add_safe_globals`. We recommend you start setting `weights_only=True` for any use case where you don't have full control of the loaded file. Please open an issue on GitHub for any issues related to this experimental feature.
4
+ byt5_state_dict = torch.load(args["byT5_ckpt_path"], map_location=device)
5
+ HY-World 1.5 loading from: /mnt/local_nvme/cz/checkpoints/hy_worldplay/huggingface/hub/models--tencent--HY-WorldPlay/snapshots/f4c29235647707b571479a69b569e4166f9f5bf8/ar_distilled_action_model/diffusion_pytorch_model.safetensors
6
+ HY-World 1.5 loading from: /mnt/local_nvme/cz/checkpoints/hy_worldplay/huggingface/hub/models--tencent--HY-WorldPlay/snapshots/f4c29235647707b571479a69b569e4166f9f5bf8/ar_distilled_action_model/diffusion_pytorch_model.safetensors
7
+ /mnt/local_nvme/cz/projects/HY-WorldPlay-DEV-Predictor/hyvideo/models/text_encoders/byT5/__init__.py:74: FutureWarning: You are using `torch.load` with `weights_only=False` (the current default value), which uses the default pickle module implicitly. It is possible to construct malicious pickle data which will execute arbitrary code during unpickling (See https://github.com/pytorch/pytorch/blob/main/SECURITY.md#untrusted-models for more details). In a future release, the default value for `weights_only` will be flipped to `True`. This limits the functions that could be executed during unpickling. Arbitrary objects will no longer be allowed to be loaded via this mode unless they are explicitly allowlisted by the user via `torch.serialization.add_safe_globals`. We recommend you start setting `weights_only=True` for any use case where you don't have full control of the loaded file. Please open an issue on GitHub for any issues related to this experimental feature.
8
+ byt5_state_dict = torch.load(args["byT5_ckpt_path"], map_location=device)
9
+
10
+ /mnt/local_nvme/cz/projects/HY-WorldPlay-DEV-Predictor/hyvideo/models/text_encoders/byT5/__init__.py:74: FutureWarning: You are using `torch.load` with `weights_only=False` (the current default value), which uses the default pickle module implicitly. It is possible to construct malicious pickle data which will execute arbitrary code during unpickling (See https://github.com/pytorch/pytorch/blob/main/SECURITY.md#untrusted-models for more details). In a future release, the default value for `weights_only` will be flipped to `True`. This limits the functions that could be executed during unpickling. Arbitrary objects will no longer be allowed to be loaded via this mode unless they are explicitly allowlisted by the user via `torch.serialization.add_safe_globals`. We recommend you start setting `weights_only=True` for any use case where you don't have full control of the loaded file. Please open an issue on GitHub for any issues related to this experimental feature.
11
+ byt5_state_dict = torch.load(args["byT5_ckpt_path"], map_location=device)
12
+ HY-World 1.5 loading from: /mnt/local_nvme/cz/checkpoints/hy_worldplay/huggingface/hub/models--tencent--HY-WorldPlay/snapshots/f4c29235647707b571479a69b569e4166f9f5bf8/ar_distilled_action_model/diffusion_pytorch_model.safetensors
13
+ HY-World 1.5 loading from: /mnt/local_nvme/cz/checkpoints/hy_worldplay/huggingface/hub/models--tencent--HY-WorldPlay/snapshots/f4c29235647707b571479a69b569e4166f9f5bf8/ar_distilled_action_model/diffusion_pytorch_model.safetensors
14
+ HY-World 1.5 loading from: /mnt/local_nvme/cz/checkpoints/hy_worldplay/huggingface/hub/models--tencent--HY-WorldPlay/snapshots/f4c29235647707b571479a69b569e4166f9f5bf8/ar_distilled_action_model/diffusion_pytorch_model.safetensors
15
+ /mnt/local_nvme/cz/projects/HY-WorldPlay-DEV-Predictor/hyvideo/models/text_encoders/byT5/__init__.py:74: FutureWarning: You are using `torch.load` with `weights_only=False` (the current default value), which uses the default pickle module implicitly. It is possible to construct malicious pickle data which will execute arbitrary code during unpickling (See https://github.com/pytorch/pytorch/blob/main/SECURITY.md#untrusted-models for more details). In a future release, the default value for `weights_only` will be flipped to `True`. This limits the functions that could be executed during unpickling. Arbitrary objects will no longer be allowed to be loaded via this mode unless they are explicitly allowlisted by the user via `torch.serialization.add_safe_globals`. We recommend you start setting `weights_only=True` for any use case where you don't have full control of the loaded file. Please open an issue on GitHub for any issues related to this experimental feature.
16
+ byt5_state_dict = torch.load(args["byT5_ckpt_path"], map_location=device)
17
+
18
+ byt5_state_dict = torch.load(args["byT5_ckpt_path"], map_location=device)
19
+
20
+ byt5_state_dict = torch.load(args["byT5_ckpt_path"], map_location=device)
21
+ /mnt/local_nvme/cz/projects/HY-WorldPlay-DEV-Predictor/hyvideo/models/text_encoders/byT5/__init__.py:74: FutureWarning: You are using `torch.load` with `weights_only=False` (the current default value), which uses the default pickle module implicitly. It is possible to construct malicious pickle data which will execute arbitrary code during unpickling (See https://github.com/pytorch/pytorch/blob/main/SECURITY.md#untrusted-models for more details). In a future release, the default value for `weights_only` will be flipped to `True`. This limits the functions that could be executed during unpickling. Arbitrary objects will no longer be allowed to be loaded via this mode unless they are explicitly allowlisted by the user via `torch.serialization.add_safe_globals`. We recommend you start setting `weights_only=True` for any use case where you don't have full control of the loaded file. Please open an issue on GitHub for any issues related to this experimental feature.
22
+ byt5_state_dict = torch.load(args["byT5_ckpt_path"], map_location=device)
23
+ /mnt/local_nvme/cz/projects/HY-WorldPlay-DEV-Predictor/hyvideo/models/text_encoders/byT5/__init__.py:74: FutureWarning: You are using `torch.load` with `weights_only=False` (the current default value), which uses the default pickle module implicitly. It is possible to construct malicious pickle data which will execute arbitrary code during unpickling (See https://github.com/pytorch/pytorch/blob/main/SECURITY.md#untrusted-models for more details). In a future release, the default value for `weights_only` will be flipped to `True`. This limits the functions that could be executed during unpickling. Arbitrary objects will no longer be allowed to be loaded via this mode unless they are explicitly allowlisted by the user via `torch.serialization.add_safe_globals`. We recommend you start setting `weights_only=True` for any use case where you don't have full control of the loaded file. Please open an issue on GitHub for any issues related to this experimental feature.
24
+ byt5_state_dict = torch.load(args["byT5_ckpt_path"], map_location=device)
25
+
26
+
27
+
28
+
29
+
30
+
31
+
32
+
checkpoints/smoke_predictor_v4_random_exit_dmd_resume/train_config.json ADDED
@@ -0,0 +1,49 @@
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1
+ {
2
+ "base_model": "/mnt/local_nvme/cz/projects/HY-WorldPlay-DEV-Predictor/outputs/model_cache_repaired/HunyuanVideo-1.5-9b49404-v2",
3
+ "blocks_lr": 5e-07,
4
+ "cases_path": "/mnt/local_nvme/cz/projects/HY-WorldPlay-DEV-Predictor/datasets/hyworldplay_predictor_prefeature_v4/cases.jsonl",
5
+ "critic_updates_per_student": 1,
6
+ "data_root": "/mnt/local_nvme/cz/projects/HY-WorldPlay-DEV-Predictor/datasets/hyworldplay_predictor_prefeature_v4",
7
+ "fake_score_grad_clip": 10.0,
8
+ "fake_score_lr": 2e-07,
9
+ "fake_score_model": "50step_bidirectional_model_trainable",
10
+ "flow_shift": 5.0,
11
+ "forced_exit_step": null,
12
+ "fusion_lr": 5e-06,
13
+ "keep_checkpoints": 2,
14
+ "latent_seed": 0,
15
+ "log_every": 1,
16
+ "max_steps": 1,
17
+ "max_trajectories": 8,
18
+ "no_save": true,
19
+ "output_dir": "/mnt/local_nvme/cz/projects/HY-WorldPlay-DEV-Predictor/checkpoints/smoke_predictor_v4_random_exit_dmd_resume",
20
+ "predictor_grad_clip": 1.0,
21
+ "predictor_trainable_parameters": 197218816,
22
+ "random_exits": [
23
+ 1,
24
+ 2,
25
+ 3
26
+ ],
27
+ "real_guidance_scale": 6.0,
28
+ "real_score_model": "50step_bidirectional_model_frozen",
29
+ "regression_loss": false,
30
+ "resume": "checkpoints/smoke_predictor_v4_random_exit_dmd_p2/checkpoint_final",
31
+ "rollout_model": "4step_ar_distilled_action_model",
32
+ "rollout_teacher_checkpoint": "/mnt/local_nvme/cz/checkpoints/hy_worldplay/huggingface/hub/models--tencent--HY-WorldPlay/snapshots/f4c29235647707b571479a69b569e4166f9f5bf8/ar_distilled_action_model/diffusion_pytorch_model.safetensors",
33
+ "save_every": 200,
34
+ "score_teacher_checkpoint": "/mnt/local_nvme/cz/checkpoints/hy_worldplay/huggingface/hub/models--tencent--HY-WorldPlay/snapshots/f4c29235647707b571479a69b569e4166f9f5bf8/bidirectional_model/diffusion_pytorch_model.safetensors",
35
+ "score_timestep_max": 0.98,
36
+ "score_timestep_min": 0.02,
37
+ "seed": 20260818,
38
+ "stage1_expected_step": 2000,
39
+ "stage1_training_state": "/mnt/local_nvme/cz/projects/HY-WorldPlay-DEV-Predictor/checkpoints/predictor_v4_prefeature_blocks1-52_fp32master_8gpu_flr1e-4_blr1e-5_schedsteps2000_swarmup100_bwarmup100_swanlab/training_latest.pt",
40
+ "swanlab_experiment": "predictor-v4-random-exit-dmd-predictor-only-stage1step2000-8gpu",
41
+ "swanlab_mode": "disabled",
42
+ "swanlab_project": "HY-WorldPlay-Predictor-v4",
43
+ "swanlab_workspace": null,
44
+ "training_mode": "predictor_only_random_exit_dmd",
45
+ "validate_config_only": false,
46
+ "warmup_steps": 100,
47
+ "weight_decay": 0.01,
48
+ "world_size": 8
49
+ }
confidence_validation/c1_threshold_validation25/report.md ADDED
@@ -0,0 +1,25 @@
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1
+ # C1 threshold validation25 comparison
2
+
3
+ ## Reference metrics against FFFF
4
+
5
+ | Method | Fallback | P1/P2/P3 fallback | PSNR | SSIM | LPIPS | Pixel MSE | Temporal MSE |
6
+ | --- | ---: | --- | ---: | ---: | ---: | ---: | ---: |
7
+ | FFFF | 100.0% | - | ∞ | 1.00000 | 0.00000 | 0.000000 | 0.000000 |
8
+ | FPPF | 33.3% | - | 21.5933 | 0.74668 | 0.12100 | 0.009692 | 0.008824 |
9
+ | FPPP | 0.0% | - | 20.3085 | 0.69143 | 0.23528 | 0.011888 | 0.008931 |
10
+ | C1-r10 | 14.4% | 0.0%/0.0%/43.1% | 20.6740 | 0.71893 | 0.16237 | 0.011000 | 0.008912 |
11
+ | C1-r25 | 28.6% | 0.0%/0.0%/85.9% | 21.0259 | 0.73270 | 0.13290 | 0.010374 | 0.009166 |
12
+ | C1-r33 | 33.8% | 1.4%/5.3%/94.7% | 21.1834 | 0.73752 | 0.12620 | 0.010172 | 0.009169 |
13
+ | C1-r50 | 51.7% | 13.1%/42.0%/100.0% | 22.1161 | 0.76838 | 0.10507 | 0.008328 | 0.008148 |
14
+
15
+ ## VBench
16
+
17
+ | Method | Subject | Background | Flicker | Motion | Dynamic | Aesthetic | Imaging | Overall | Core5 mean |
18
+ | --- | ---: | ---: | ---: | ---: | ---: | ---: | ---: | ---: | ---: |
19
+ | FFFF | 0.948075 | 0.943076 | 0.958449 | 0.989400 | 0.820000 | 0.598486 | 0.734028 | 0.248095 | 0.842613 |
20
+ | FPPF | 0.947461 | 0.943822 | 0.960451 | 0.989683 | 0.800000 | 0.598215 | 0.730930 | 0.249178 | 0.842022 |
21
+ | FPPP | 0.925574 | 0.930874 | 0.965478 | 0.987025 | 0.820000 | 0.563811 | 0.688810 | 0.247289 | 0.819219 |
22
+ | C1-r10 | 0.940300 | 0.938889 | 0.961824 | 0.988701 | 0.820000 | 0.586908 | 0.717366 | 0.249135 | 0.834433 |
23
+ | C1-r25 | 0.946081 | 0.942168 | 0.960483 | 0.989495 | 0.800000 | 0.595933 | 0.727648 | 0.249157 | 0.840265 |
24
+ | C1-r33 | 0.947570 | 0.942669 | 0.959909 | 0.989582 | 0.800000 | 0.597482 | 0.729476 | 0.249080 | 0.841356 |
25
+ | C1-r50 | 0.947762 | 0.943007 | 0.958938 | 0.989504 | 0.800000 | 0.599139 | 0.732626 | 0.248683 | 0.842408 |
confidence_validation/c1_threshold_validation25/summary.csv ADDED
@@ -0,0 +1,8 @@
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1
+ method,threshold_log_c1,fallback_rate,p1_fallback_rate,p2_fallback_rate,p3_fallback_rate,mean_end_to_end_s,psnr_db,frame_psnr_mean_db,ssim,lpips_alex,pixel_mae,pixel_mse,pixel_rmse,temporal_delta_mse,vbench_subject_consistency,vbench_background_consistency,vbench_temporal_flickering,vbench_motion_smoothness,vbench_dynamic_degree,vbench_aesthetic_quality,vbench_imaging_quality,vbench_overall_consistency,vbench_core5_mean
2
+ FFFF,None,1.0,,,,,inf,inf,1.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.9480749635855037,0.9430755910565776,0.9584489341647017,0.9893996710686921,0.82,0.5984862497448922,0.7340275594329835,0.24809463396668435,0.8426128069777297
3
+ FPPF,None,0.3333333333333333,,,,,21.593346196430627,23.97453586290849,0.746684046046734,0.12099588543950114,0.04511181315502153,0.009691555944529896,0.09161645448522822,0.008823608518287073,0.9474605375095722,0.9438224349483367,0.9604507553109936,0.989682650584811,0.8,0.5982152584195137,0.730930085635376,0.24917750611901282,0.8420221934195219
4
+ FPPP,None,0.0,,,,,20.308533622256405,22.446092516703374,0.6914340979039671,0.23528402410950516,0.054245410915873954,0.011888072101751463,0.10328612366794497,0.008930881888954901,0.9255741960555315,0.9308735509072581,0.9654783755155171,0.9870247469802622,0.82,0.5638106274604797,0.6888101954261779,0.24728918850421905,0.819218663365942
5
+ C1-r10,-3.523588657,0.1438095238095238,0.0,0.0,0.43142857142857144,84.42822845273069,20.673972463574263,22.60256892630426,0.7189267579293257,0.16236638777270912,0.05034142703045158,0.010999858650310487,0.09900532903010674,0.008911931206093869,0.9403002772648489,0.9388887466922883,0.9618239460903055,0.9887010740619526,0.82,0.5869080236554146,0.7173659597297669,0.2491347920894623,0.8344328162808543
6
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+ *****************************************
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+ Setting OMP_NUM_THREADS environment variable for each process to be 1 in default, to avoid your system being overloaded, please further tune the variable for optimal performance in your application as needed.
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+ *****************************************
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+ rank0 extracted 25/133 batches
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+ rank0 extracted 50/133 batches
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+ WARNING:__main__:
20
+ *****************************************
21
+ Setting OMP_NUM_THREADS environment variable for each process to be 1 in default, to avoid your system being overloaded, please further tune the variable for optimal performance in your application as needed.
22
+ *****************************************
23
+ rank0 extracted 25/35 batches
24
+ Saved 8 feature shards to /mnt/local_nvme/cz/projects/HY-WorldPlay-DEV-Predictor/confidence_validation/features/validation
25
+ WARNING:__main__:
26
+ *****************************************
27
+ Setting OMP_NUM_THREADS environment variable for each process to be 1 in default, to avoid your system being overloaded, please further tune the variable for optimal performance in your application as needed.
28
+ *****************************************
29
+ [rank0]:[W819 05:29:45.641755152 ProcessGroupNCCL.cpp:4115] [PG ID 0 PG GUID 0 Rank 0] using GPU 0 to perform barrier as devices used by this process are currently unknown. This can potentially cause a hang if this rank to GPU mapping is incorrect.Specify device_ids in barrier() to force use of a particular device,or call init_process_group() with a device_id.
30
+ [rank6]:[W819 05:29:45.820996456 ProcessGroupNCCL.cpp:4115] [PG ID 0 PG GUID 0 Rank 6] using GPU 6 to perform barrier as devices used by this process are currently unknown. This can potentially cause a hang if this rank to GPU mapping is incorrect.Specify device_ids in barrier() to force use of a particular device,or call init_process_group() with a device_id.
31
+ [rank1]:[W819 05:29:45.868540764 ProcessGroupNCCL.cpp:4115] [PG ID 0 PG GUID 0 Rank 1] using GPU 1 to perform barrier as devices used by this process are currently unknown. This can potentially cause a hang if this rank to GPU mapping is incorrect.Specify device_ids in barrier() to force use of a particular device,or call init_process_group() with a device_id.
32
+ [rank2]:[W819 05:29:46.322682030 ProcessGroupNCCL.cpp:4115] [PG ID 0 PG GUID 0 Rank 2] using GPU 2 to perform barrier as devices used by this process are currently unknown. This can potentially cause a hang if this rank to GPU mapping is incorrect.Specify device_ids in barrier() to force use of a particular device,or call init_process_group() with a device_id.
33
+ [rank7]:[W819 05:29:46.386567270 ProcessGroupNCCL.cpp:4115] [PG ID 0 PG GUID 0 Rank 7] using GPU 7 to perform barrier as devices used by this process are currently unknown. This can potentially cause a hang if this rank to GPU mapping is incorrect.Specify device_ids in barrier() to force use of a particular device,or call init_process_group() with a device_id.
34
+ [rank5]:[W819 05:29:46.398470481 ProcessGroupNCCL.cpp:4115] [PG ID 0 PG GUID 0 Rank 5] using GPU 5 to perform barrier as devices used by this process are currently unknown. This can potentially cause a hang if this rank to GPU mapping is incorrect.Specify device_ids in barrier() to force use of a particular device,or call init_process_group() with a device_id.
35
+ [rank4]:[W819 05:29:46.426298692 ProcessGroupNCCL.cpp:4115] [PG ID 0 PG GUID 0 Rank 4] using GPU 4 to perform barrier as devices used by this process are currently unknown. This can potentially cause a hang if this rank to GPU mapping is incorrect.Specify device_ids in barrier() to force use of a particular device,or call init_process_group() with a device_id.
36
+ [rank3]:[W819 05:29:46.471978908 ProcessGroupNCCL.cpp:4115] [PG ID 0 PG GUID 0 Rank 3] using GPU 3 to perform barrier as devices used by this process are currently unknown. This can potentially cause a hang if this rank to GPU mapping is incorrect.Specify device_ids in barrier() to force use of a particular device,or call init_process_group() with a device_id.
37
+ c0 epoch 1/40 loss=1.951573
38
+ c0 epoch 10/40 loss=0.075422
39
+ c0 epoch 20/40 loss=0.035323
40
+ c0 epoch 30/40 loss=0.025954
41
+ c0 epoch 40/40 loss=0.020488
42
+ c1 epoch 1/40 loss=3.383299
43
+ c1 epoch 10/40 loss=0.149253
44
+ c1 epoch 20/40 loss=0.046591
45
+ c1 epoch 30/40 loss=0.029699
46
+ c1 epoch 40/40 loss=0.022912
47
+ c2 epoch 1/40 loss=2.855274
48
+ c2 epoch 10/40 loss=0.109034
49
+ c2 epoch 20/40 loss=0.040014
50
+ c2 epoch 30/40 loss=0.029119
51
+ c2 epoch 40/40 loss=0.022536
52
+ {
53
+ "protocol": "WorldPlay fulltrain100 (8400 transitions); independent validation25 (2100 transitions); no validation tuning",
54
+ "train_samples": 8400,
55
+ "validation_samples": 2100,
56
+ "c1_validation_metrics": {
57
+ "overall": {
58
+ "model": "Confidence C1",
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+ "split": "validation",
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+ "step": "overall",
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+ "spearman": 0.9529179491248462,
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+ "pearson": 0.96539306640625,
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+ "log_mae": 0.15999889373779297
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+ },
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+ "P1": {
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+ "model": "Confidence C1",
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+ "split": "validation",
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+ "step": "P1",
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+ "spearman": 0.8590718873187204,
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+ "pearson": 0.8829622268676758,
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+ "log_mae": 0.17691564559936523
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+ },
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+ "P2": {
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+ "model": "Confidence C1",
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+ "split": "validation",
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+ "step": "P2",
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+ "spearman": 0.8631690385373965,
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+ "pearson": 0.9074602127075195,
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+ "log_mae": 0.14503394067287445
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+ },
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+ "P3": {
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+ "model": "Confidence C1",
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+ "split": "validation",
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+ "step": "P3",
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+ "spearman": 0.8700319930976419,
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+ "pearson": 0.8872363567352295,
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+ "log_mae": 0.15804709494113922
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+ }
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+ },
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+ "remaining_risk_at_33pct": {
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+ "Random": 0.009558672141283751,
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+ "Timestep-only": 0.005005753133445978,
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+ "Confidence C0": 0.008430036716163158,
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+ "Confidence C1": 0.004878982435911894,
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+ "Confidence C2": 0.004925357177853584,
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+ "Oracle": 0.004840569104999304
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+ },
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+ "gain_vs_random": 0.48957529207015615,
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+ "oracle_gap": 0.007935705508866102,
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+ "routing_at_33pct": {
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+ "P1": {
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+ "selection_fraction": 0.012857142857142857,
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+ "within_step_fallback_rate": 0.012857142857142857
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+ },
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+ "P2": {
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+ "within_step_fallback_rate": 0.05714285714285714
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+ },
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+ "P3": {
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+ "selection_fraction": 0.93,
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+ "within_step_fallback_rate": 0.93
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+ }
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+ }
114
+ }
confidence_validation/summary.json ADDED
@@ -0,0 +1,63 @@
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1
+ {
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+ "c1_validation_metrics": {
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+ "P1": {
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+ "log_mae": 0.17691564559936523,
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+ "model": "Confidence C1",
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+ "step": "P1"
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+ },
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+ "P2": {
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+ "log_mae": 0.14503394067287445,
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+ "model": "Confidence C1",
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+ "step": "P2"
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+ "model": "Confidence C1",
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+ "split": "validation",
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+ "step": "P3"
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+ },
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+ "overall": {
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+ "log_mae": 0.15999889373779297,
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+ "model": "Confidence C1",
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+ "pearson": 0.96539306640625,
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+ "spearman": 0.9529179491248462,
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+ "split": "validation",
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+ "step": "overall"
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+ }
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+ },
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+ "gain_vs_random": 0.48957529207015615,
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+ "oracle_gap": 0.007935705508866102,
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+ "protocol": "WorldPlay fulltrain100 (8400 transitions); independent validation25 (2100 transitions); no validation tuning",
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+ "remaining_risk_at_33pct": {
40
+ "Confidence C0": 0.008430036716163158,
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+ "Confidence C1": 0.004878982435911894,
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+ "Confidence C2": 0.004925357177853584,
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+ "Oracle": 0.004840569104999304,
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+ "Random": 0.009558672141283751,
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+ "Timestep-only": 0.005005753133445978
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+ },
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+ "routing_at_33pct": {
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+ "P1": {
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+ "selection_fraction": 0.012857142857142857,
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+ },
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+ "P2": {
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+ "selection_fraction": 0.05714285714285714,
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+ "within_step_fallback_rate": 0.05714285714285714
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+ },
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+ "P3": {
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+ "selection_fraction": 0.93,
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+ "within_step_fallback_rate": 0.93
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+ }
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+ },
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+ "train_samples": 8400,
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+ "validation_samples": 2100
63
+ }
confidence_validation/summary.md ADDED
@@ -0,0 +1,19 @@
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1
+ # HY-WorldPlay offline confidence validation
2
+
3
+ WorldPlay fulltrain100 (8400 transitions); independent validation25 (2100 transitions); no validation tuning
4
+
5
+ ## C1 validation Spearman
6
+
7
+ - overall: 0.9529
8
+ - P1: 0.8591
9
+ - P2: 0.8632
10
+ - P3: 0.8700
11
+
12
+ ## 33.3% fallback remaining C1 risk
13
+
14
+ - Random: 0.0095586721
15
+ - Timestep-only: 0.0050057531
16
+ - Confidence C0: 0.0084300367
17
+ - Confidence C1: 0.0048789824
18
+ - Confidence C2: 0.0049253572
19
+ - Oracle: 0.0048405691
confidence_validation/tables/confidence_metrics.csv ADDED
@@ -0,0 +1,25 @@
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1
+ model,split,step,spearman,pearson,log_mae
2
+ Confidence C0,train,overall,0.910420624592802,0.914232611656189,0.1561840921640396
3
+ Confidence C0,train,P1,0.8801052591242132,0.8944251537322998,0.17658944427967072
4
+ Confidence C0,train,P2,0.9063240986564994,0.9173239469528198,0.14159120619297028
5
+ Confidence C0,train,P3,0.8942312332292026,0.9015886783599854,0.15037165582180023
6
+ Confidence C1,train,overall,0.9599546928176265,0.9663121700286865,0.1623731553554535
7
+ Confidence C1,train,P1,0.8680394642178618,0.8818591833114624,0.18546940386295319
8
+ Confidence C1,train,P2,0.8950266639376704,0.9078938364982605,0.14816781878471375
9
+ Confidence C1,train,P3,0.8855762887929935,0.8950272798538208,0.15348218381404877
10
+ Confidence C2,train,overall,0.9524278955144021,0.9526013135910034,0.1651911735534668
11
+ Confidence C2,train,P1,0.8683219754517324,0.8778232336044312,0.17134705185890198
12
+ Confidence C2,train,P2,0.8974592285143828,0.9101301431655884,0.13969838619232178
13
+ Confidence C2,train,P3,0.8512258048715202,0.8678408265113831,0.18452806770801544
14
+ Confidence C0,validation,overall,0.9059050330545604,0.9138662815093994,0.15434052050113678
15
+ Confidence C0,validation,P1,0.8688861580767074,0.8960813283920288,0.16730837523937225
16
+ Confidence C0,validation,P2,0.8769245301666797,0.9138691425323486,0.1416863650083542
17
+ Confidence C0,validation,P3,0.8817214962246278,0.8930692672729492,0.1540267914533615
18
+ Confidence C1,validation,overall,0.9529179491248462,0.96539306640625,0.15999889373779297
19
+ Confidence C1,validation,P1,0.8590718873187204,0.8829622268676758,0.17691564559936523
20
+ Confidence C1,validation,P2,0.8631690385373965,0.9074602127075195,0.14503394067287445
21
+ Confidence C1,validation,P3,0.8700319930976419,0.8872363567352295,0.15804709494113922
22
+ Confidence C2,validation,overall,0.9472269125555032,0.9510321021080017,0.1618642508983612
23
+ Confidence C2,validation,P1,0.8622886635628703,0.8770185708999634,0.1692851185798645
24
+ Confidence C2,validation,P2,0.869344782919382,0.9097270965576172,0.13763289153575897
25
+ Confidence C2,validation,P3,0.8291001643443586,0.8579860329627991,0.17867469787597656
confidence_validation/tables/risk_coverage.csv ADDED
@@ -0,0 +1,67 @@
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1
+ method,fallback_ratio,remaining_risk,std_if_random
2
+ Random,0.0,0.014347239397466183,0.0
3
+ Timestep-only,0.0,0.014347239397466183,
4
+ Confidence C0,0.0,0.014347239397466183,
5
+ Confidence C1,0.0,0.014347239397466183,
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+ Confidence C2,0.0,0.014347239397466183,
7
+ Oracle,0.0,0.014347239397466183,
8
+ Random,0.05,0.013626513117924333,5.5243322704253306e-05
9
+ Timestep-only,0.05,0.013086354359984398,
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+ Confidence C0,0.05,0.013266514986753464,
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+ Confidence C1,0.05,0.011860155500471592,
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+ Confidence C2,0.05,0.011852260679006577,
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+ Oracle,0.05,0.011713187210261822,
14
+ Random,0.1,0.012901437673717738,7.81304187993621e-05
15
+ Timestep-only,0.1,0.01186059694737196,
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+ Confidence C0,0.1,0.012261713854968548,
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+ Confidence C1,0.1,0.01016467995941639,
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+ Confidence C2,0.1,0.010183872655034065,
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+ Oracle,0.1,0.009989776648581028,
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+ Random,0.2,0.011489660385996104,0.00011283538260078906
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+ Timestep-only,0.2,0.009180759079754353,
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+ Confidence C0,0.2,0.010462735779583454,
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+ Confidence C1,0.2,0.007498461287468672,
24
+ Confidence C2,0.2,0.007524735759943724,
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+ Oracle,0.2,0.0073388563469052315,
26
+ Random,0.25,0.010771198542788624,0.00014086472540232944
27
+ Timestep-only,0.25,0.008169419132173061,
28
+ Confidence C0,0.25,0.009707297198474407,
29
+ Confidence C1,0.25,0.0064151231199502945,
30
+ Confidence C2,0.25,0.006412565242499113,
31
+ Oracle,0.25,0.0062853023409843445,
32
+ Random,0.3333333333333333,0.009558672141283751,0.00012621153655552298
33
+ Timestep-only,0.3333333333333333,0.005005753133445978,
34
+ Confidence C0,0.3333333333333333,0.008430036716163158,
35
+ Confidence C1,0.3333333333333333,0.004878982435911894,
36
+ Confidence C2,0.3333333333333333,0.004925357177853584,
37
+ Oracle,0.3333333333333333,0.004840569104999304,
38
+ Random,0.4,0.008614255879074335,0.000123129467857736
39
+ Timestep-only,0.4,0.004496104083955288,
40
+ Confidence C0,0.4,0.007375260349363089,
41
+ Confidence C1,0.4,0.004071088042110205,
42
+ Confidence C2,0.4,0.00408595334738493,
43
+ Oracle,0.4,0.00398297468200326,
44
+ Random,0.5,0.0071629173122346405,0.0001261506684215066
45
+ Timestep-only,0.5,0.003779263701289892,
46
+ Confidence C0,0.5,0.005708133336156607,
47
+ Confidence C1,0.5,0.003076771041378379,
48
+ Confidence C2,0.5,0.003123910864815116,
49
+ Oracle,0.5,0.002952347509562969,
50
+ Random,0.6,0.0057337418384850024,0.00013838311339076486
51
+ Timestep-only,0.6,0.0027656827587634325,
52
+ Confidence C0,0.6,0.004291518125683069,
53
+ Confidence C1,0.6,0.0022384771145880222,
54
+ Confidence C2,0.6,0.0022648375015705824,
55
+ Oracle,0.6,0.002107207430526614,
56
+ Random,0.75,0.003592234782408923,0.0001083880957844813
57
+ Timestep-only,0.75,0.0016061057103797793,
58
+ Confidence C0,0.75,0.0021801821421831846,
59
+ Confidence C1,0.75,0.0011718758614733815,
60
+ Confidence C2,0.75,0.0011971330968663096,
61
+ Oracle,0.75,0.0010821536416187882,
62
+ Random,1.0,0.0,0.0
63
+ Timestep-only,1.0,0.0,
64
+ Confidence C0,1.0,0.0,
65
+ Confidence C1,1.0,0.0,
66
+ Confidence C2,1.0,0.0,
67
+ Oracle,1.0,0.0,
confidence_validation_wide4096x2_c1/checkpoints/confidence_c1.pt ADDED
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+ size 101273674
confidence_validation_wide4096x2_c1/plots/fallback_distribution_33pct.png ADDED
confidence_validation_wide4096x2_c1/plots/risk_coverage.png ADDED

Git LFS Details

  • SHA256: c067df5c8637efbd9ed2e21f723634b0a3c1e89fccf9be6d37aae6c5419a2260
  • Pointer size: 131 Bytes
  • Size of remote file: 115 kB
confidence_validation_wide4096x2_c1/predictions/validation_predictions.csv ADDED
The diff for this file is too large to render. See raw diff
 
confidence_validation_wide4096x2_c1/runner.log ADDED
@@ -0,0 +1,85 @@
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1
+ WARNING:__main__:
2
+ *****************************************
3
+ Setting OMP_NUM_THREADS environment variable for each process to be 1 in default, to avoid your system being overloaded, please further tune the variable for optimal performance in your application as needed.
4
+ *****************************************
5
+ [rank6]:[W820 12:16:16.962510208 ProcessGroupNCCL.cpp:4115] [PG ID 0 PG GUID 0 Rank 6] using GPU 6 to perform barrier as devices used by this process are currently unknown. This can potentially cause a hang if this rank to GPU mapping is incorrect.Specify device_ids in barrier() to force use of a particular device,or call init_process_group() with a device_id.
6
+ [rank7]:[W820 12:16:16.989267769 ProcessGroupNCCL.cpp:4115] [PG ID 0 PG GUID 0 Rank 7] using GPU 7 to perform barrier as devices used by this process are currently unknown. This can potentially cause a hang if this rank to GPU mapping is incorrect.Specify device_ids in barrier() to force use of a particular device,or call init_process_group() with a device_id.
7
+ [rank3]:[W820 12:16:16.993386558 ProcessGroupNCCL.cpp:4115] [PG ID 0 PG GUID 0 Rank 3] using GPU 3 to perform barrier as devices used by this process are currently unknown. This can potentially cause a hang if this rank to GPU mapping is incorrect.Specify device_ids in barrier() to force use of a particular device,or call init_process_group() with a device_id.
8
+ [rank5]:[W820 12:16:17.073358047 ProcessGroupNCCL.cpp:4115] [PG ID 0 PG GUID 0 Rank 5] using GPU 5 to perform barrier as devices used by this process are currently unknown. This can potentially cause a hang if this rank to GPU mapping is incorrect.Specify device_ids in barrier() to force use of a particular device,or call init_process_group() with a device_id.
9
+ [rank0]:[W820 12:16:17.201143716 ProcessGroupNCCL.cpp:4115] [PG ID 0 PG GUID 0 Rank 0] using GPU 0 to perform barrier as devices used by this process are currently unknown. This can potentially cause a hang if this rank to GPU mapping is incorrect.Specify device_ids in barrier() to force use of a particular device,or call init_process_group() with a device_id.
10
+ [rank1]:[W820 12:16:17.363060718 ProcessGroupNCCL.cpp:4115] [PG ID 0 PG GUID 0 Rank 1] using GPU 1 to perform barrier as devices used by this process are currently unknown. This can potentially cause a hang if this rank to GPU mapping is incorrect.Specify device_ids in barrier() to force use of a particular device,or call init_process_group() with a device_id.
11
+ [rank2]:[W820 12:16:17.411170725 ProcessGroupNCCL.cpp:4115] [PG ID 0 PG GUID 0 Rank 2] using GPU 2 to perform barrier as devices used by this process are currently unknown. This can potentially cause a hang if this rank to GPU mapping is incorrect.Specify device_ids in barrier() to force use of a particular device,or call init_process_group() with a device_id.
12
+ [rank4]:[W820 12:16:17.432620994 ProcessGroupNCCL.cpp:4115] [PG ID 0 PG GUID 0 Rank 4] using GPU 4 to perform barrier as devices used by this process are currently unknown. This can potentially cause a hang if this rank to GPU mapping is incorrect.Specify device_ids in barrier() to force use of a particular device,or call init_process_group() with a device_id.
13
+ c1 epoch 1/40 loss=1.998238
14
+ c1 epoch 10/40 loss=0.041588
15
+ c1 epoch 20/40 loss=0.014896
16
+ c1 epoch 30/40 loss=0.012734
17
+ c1 epoch 40/40 loss=0.011734
18
+ {
19
+ "protocol": "WorldPlay fulltrain100 (8400 transitions); independent validation25 (2100 transitions); no validation tuning",
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+ "targets": [
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+ "c1"
22
+ ],
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+ "mlp_dims": [
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+ 4096,
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+ 4096
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+ ],
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+ "train_samples": 8400,
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+ "validation_samples": 2100,
29
+ "c1_validation_metrics": {
30
+ "overall": {
31
+ "model": "Confidence C1",
32
+ "split": "validation",
33
+ "step": "overall",
34
+ "spearman": 0.9707018864565339,
35
+ "pearson": 0.9785629510879517,
36
+ "log_mae": 0.13104061782360077
37
+ },
38
+ "P1": {
39
+ "model": "Confidence C1",
40
+ "split": "validation",
41
+ "step": "P1",
42
+ "spearman": 0.9057680759115251,
43
+ "pearson": 0.9183362126350403,
44
+ "log_mae": 0.1512252390384674
45
+ },
46
+ "P2": {
47
+ "model": "Confidence C1",
48
+ "split": "validation",
49
+ "step": "P2",
50
+ "spearman": 0.9236297800024663,
51
+ "pearson": 0.9456437230110168,
52
+ "log_mae": 0.12534597516059875
53
+ },
54
+ "P3": {
55
+ "model": "Confidence C1",
56
+ "split": "validation",
57
+ "step": "P3",
58
+ "spearman": 0.947315764201268,
59
+ "pearson": 0.947665274143219,
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+ "log_mae": 0.11655063927173615
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+ }
62
+ },
63
+ "remaining_risk_at_33pct": {
64
+ "Random": 0.009558672141283751,
65
+ "Timestep-only": 0.005005753133445978,
66
+ "Confidence C1": 0.004887485411018133,
67
+ "Oracle": 0.004840569104999304
68
+ },
69
+ "gain_vs_random": 0.48868573597067294,
70
+ "oracle_gap": 0.009692311999094184,
71
+ "routing_at_33pct": {
72
+ "P1": {
73
+ "selection_fraction": 0.02857142857142857,
74
+ "within_step_fallback_rate": 0.02857142857142857
75
+ },
76
+ "P2": {
77
+ "selection_fraction": 0.06857142857142857,
78
+ "within_step_fallback_rate": 0.06857142857142857
79
+ },
80
+ "P3": {
81
+ "selection_fraction": 0.9028571428571428,
82
+ "within_step_fallback_rate": 0.9028571428571428
83
+ }
84
+ }
85
+ }
confidence_validation_wide4096x2_c1/summary.json ADDED
@@ -0,0 +1,68 @@
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1
+ {
2
+ "c1_validation_metrics": {
3
+ "P1": {
4
+ "log_mae": 0.1512252390384674,
5
+ "model": "Confidence C1",
6
+ "pearson": 0.9183362126350403,
7
+ "spearman": 0.9057680759115251,
8
+ "split": "validation",
9
+ "step": "P1"
10
+ },
11
+ "P2": {
12
+ "log_mae": 0.12534597516059875,
13
+ "model": "Confidence C1",
14
+ "pearson": 0.9456437230110168,
15
+ "spearman": 0.9236297800024663,
16
+ "split": "validation",
17
+ "step": "P2"
18
+ },
19
+ "P3": {
20
+ "log_mae": 0.11655063927173615,
21
+ "model": "Confidence C1",
22
+ "pearson": 0.947665274143219,
23
+ "spearman": 0.947315764201268,
24
+ "split": "validation",
25
+ "step": "P3"
26
+ },
27
+ "overall": {
28
+ "log_mae": 0.13104061782360077,
29
+ "model": "Confidence C1",
30
+ "pearson": 0.9785629510879517,
31
+ "spearman": 0.9707018864565339,
32
+ "split": "validation",
33
+ "step": "overall"
34
+ }
35
+ },
36
+ "gain_vs_random": 0.48868573597067294,
37
+ "mlp_dims": [
38
+ 4096,
39
+ 4096
40
+ ],
41
+ "oracle_gap": 0.009692311999094184,
42
+ "protocol": "WorldPlay fulltrain100 (8400 transitions); independent validation25 (2100 transitions); no validation tuning",
43
+ "remaining_risk_at_33pct": {
44
+ "Confidence C1": 0.004887485411018133,
45
+ "Oracle": 0.004840569104999304,
46
+ "Random": 0.009558672141283751,
47
+ "Timestep-only": 0.005005753133445978
48
+ },
49
+ "routing_at_33pct": {
50
+ "P1": {
51
+ "selection_fraction": 0.02857142857142857,
52
+ "within_step_fallback_rate": 0.02857142857142857
53
+ },
54
+ "P2": {
55
+ "selection_fraction": 0.06857142857142857,
56
+ "within_step_fallback_rate": 0.06857142857142857
57
+ },
58
+ "P3": {
59
+ "selection_fraction": 0.9028571428571428,
60
+ "within_step_fallback_rate": 0.9028571428571428
61
+ }
62
+ },
63
+ "targets": [
64
+ "c1"
65
+ ],
66
+ "train_samples": 8400,
67
+ "validation_samples": 2100
68
+ }
confidence_validation_wide4096x2_c1/summary.md ADDED
@@ -0,0 +1,17 @@
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1
+ # HY-WorldPlay offline confidence validation
2
+
3
+ WorldPlay fulltrain100 (8400 transitions); independent validation25 (2100 transitions); no validation tuning
4
+
5
+ ## C1 validation Spearman
6
+
7
+ - overall: 0.9707
8
+ - P1: 0.9058
9
+ - P2: 0.9236
10
+ - P3: 0.9473
11
+
12
+ ## 33.3% fallback remaining C1 risk
13
+
14
+ - Random: 0.0095586721
15
+ - Timestep-only: 0.0050057531
16
+ - Confidence C1: 0.0048874854
17
+ - Oracle: 0.0048405691
confidence_validation_wide4096x2_c1/tables/confidence_metrics.csv ADDED
@@ -0,0 +1,9 @@
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1
+ model,split,step,spearman,pearson,log_mae
2
+ Confidence C1,train,overall,0.9786988309040863,0.9830387234687805,0.11529678106307983
3
+ Confidence C1,train,P1,0.9239389073837476,0.9279435873031616,0.1396360695362091
4
+ Confidence C1,train,P2,0.948503091905051,0.9554183483123779,0.10605843365192413
5
+ Confidence C1,train,P3,0.9556997813787577,0.9599348306655884,0.10019586980342865
6
+ Confidence C1,validation,overall,0.9707018864565339,0.9785629510879517,0.13104061782360077
7
+ Confidence C1,validation,P1,0.9057680759115251,0.9183362126350403,0.1512252390384674
8
+ Confidence C1,validation,P2,0.9236297800024663,0.9456437230110168,0.12534597516059875
9
+ Confidence C1,validation,P3,0.947315764201268,0.947665274143219,0.11655063927173615
confidence_validation_wide4096x2_c1/tables/risk_coverage.csv ADDED
@@ -0,0 +1,45 @@
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1
+ method,fallback_ratio,remaining_risk,std_if_random
2
+ Random,0.0,0.014347239397466183,0.0
3
+ Timestep-only,0.0,0.014347239397466183,
4
+ Confidence C1,0.0,0.014347239397466183,
5
+ Oracle,0.0,0.014347239397466183,
6
+ Random,0.05,0.013626513117924333,5.5243322704253306e-05
7
+ Timestep-only,0.05,0.013086354359984398,
8
+ Confidence C1,0.05,0.011780897155404091,
9
+ Oracle,0.05,0.011713187210261822,
10
+ Random,0.1,0.012901437673717738,7.81304187993621e-05
11
+ Timestep-only,0.1,0.01186059694737196,
12
+ Confidence C1,0.1,0.010083409957587719,
13
+ Oracle,0.1,0.009989776648581028,
14
+ Random,0.2,0.011489660385996104,0.00011283538260078906
15
+ Timestep-only,0.2,0.009180759079754353,
16
+ Confidence C1,0.2,0.007394451182335615,
17
+ Oracle,0.2,0.0073388563469052315,
18
+ Random,0.25,0.010771198542788624,0.00014086472540232944
19
+ Timestep-only,0.25,0.008169419132173061,
20
+ Confidence C1,0.25,0.006334020756185055,
21
+ Oracle,0.25,0.0062853023409843445,
22
+ Random,0.3333333333333333,0.009558672141283751,0.00012621153655552298
23
+ Timestep-only,0.3333333333333333,0.005005753133445978,
24
+ Confidence C1,0.3333333333333333,0.004887485411018133,
25
+ Oracle,0.3333333333333333,0.004840569104999304,
26
+ Random,0.4,0.008614255879074335,0.000123129467857736
27
+ Timestep-only,0.4,0.004496104083955288,
28
+ Confidence C1,0.4,0.004047052469104528,
29
+ Oracle,0.4,0.00398297468200326,
30
+ Random,0.5,0.0071629173122346405,0.0001261506684215066
31
+ Timestep-only,0.5,0.003779263701289892,
32
+ Confidence C1,0.5,0.003037535585463047,
33
+ Oracle,0.5,0.002952347509562969,
34
+ Random,0.6,0.0057337418384850024,0.00013838311339076486
35
+ Timestep-only,0.6,0.0027656827587634325,
36
+ Confidence C1,0.6,0.0021919310092926025,
37
+ Oracle,0.6,0.002107207430526614,
38
+ Random,0.75,0.003592234782408923,0.0001083880957844813
39
+ Timestep-only,0.75,0.0016061057103797793,
40
+ Confidence C1,0.75,0.0011335358722135425,
41
+ Oracle,0.75,0.0010821536416187882,
42
+ Random,1.0,0.0,0.0
43
+ Timestep-only,1.0,0.0,
44
+ Confidence C1,1.0,0.0,
45
+ Oracle,1.0,0.0,