Add FINAL-2 pipeline, overnight search scripts and results (11 Nov 2026)
Browse files- README.md +11 -2
- reports/nnlab/OVERNIGHT_RESULTS.md +1 -1
- tools/compare_teammate.py +279 -0
- tools/full_score_combo.py +167 -0
- tools/nnlab/tab_nn.py +1 -1
README.md
CHANGED
|
@@ -51,6 +51,10 @@ fixed decision rule:
|
|
| 51 |
Then apply our decision rule: tau = 0.5 logit adjustment with the Madrid
|
| 52 |
class prior, then the macro-F1 plug-in. The rule was chosen on Madrid.
|
| 53 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 54 |
Macro F1 on all of Amsterdam, on draws 5–11 (seven per n). These draws were
|
| 55 |
never used to choose anything.
|
| 56 |
|
|
@@ -124,8 +128,10 @@ From Python: `model_create(shot_idx, shot_labels).predict()` in
|
|
| 124 |
hyper-parameters and the smoothing radius are copied, not re-tuned here, and
|
| 125 |
this repo cannot show how they were chosen.
|
| 126 |
- **The anchor ships as cached Amsterdam probabilities**
|
| 127 |
-
(`data/processed/zeroshot_xgb_dann_ams.npz`).
|
| 128 |
-
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 129 |
- **Fresh draws are not a fresh city.** They are new labelled pixels in the
|
| 130 |
same Amsterdam.
|
| 131 |
- **The neural networks use one seed.**
|
|
@@ -244,6 +250,7 @@ python tools/nnlab/model_create2.py --n 25 --rep 6 # FINAL-2, 1-2 min
|
|
| 244 |
```
|
| 245 |
|
| 246 |
The neural and metric-learning scripts in `tools/nnlab/` also need `torch`.
|
|
|
|
| 247 |
|
| 248 |
Expected output, from the verification run on our machine:
|
| 249 |
|
|
@@ -451,6 +458,8 @@ tools/nnlab/ the overnight search (11 November)
|
|
| 451 |
classical.py SVM, logistic regression, kNN, LDA
|
| 452 |
ts_nn.py networks on the raw yearly series (needs the hackathon raw data)
|
| 453 |
transductive.py, ensemble.py, baselines.py, confirm.py, plot_confirm.py, model_create.py, lpft_steps.py
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 454 |
tools/build_official60_first.py builds the 60-feature tables (needs the hackathon raw data)
|
| 455 |
results/ per-draw JSON, logs of every run, the LLM results (first release)
|
| 456 |
reports/nnlab/ results of the overnight search
|
|
|
|
| 51 |
Then apply our decision rule: tau = 0.5 logit adjustment with the Madrid
|
| 52 |
class prior, then the macro-F1 plug-in. The rule was chosen on Madrid.
|
| 53 |
|
| 54 |
+
The XGBoost + DANN anchor and the neighbour smoothing are a teammate's
|
| 55 |
+
design. Their functions are in `tools/compare_teammate.py`, published with
|
| 56 |
+
their agreement.
|
| 57 |
+
|
| 58 |
Macro F1 on all of Amsterdam, on draws 5–11 (seven per n). These draws were
|
| 59 |
never used to choose anything.
|
| 60 |
|
|
|
|
| 128 |
hyper-parameters and the smoothing radius are copied, not re-tuned here, and
|
| 129 |
this repo cannot show how they were chosen.
|
| 130 |
- **The anchor ships as cached Amsterdam probabilities**
|
| 131 |
+
(`data/processed/zeroshot_xgb_dann_ams.npz`). `python
|
| 132 |
+
tools/full_score_combo.py zeroshot` rebuilds it in six to thirteen minutes and
|
| 133 |
+
needs xgboost and torch. On our CPU the rebuild is identical to the shipped
|
| 134 |
+
file.
|
| 135 |
- **Fresh draws are not a fresh city.** They are new labelled pixels in the
|
| 136 |
same Amsterdam.
|
| 137 |
- **The neural networks use one seed.**
|
|
|
|
| 250 |
```
|
| 251 |
|
| 252 |
The neural and metric-learning scripts in `tools/nnlab/` also need `torch`.
|
| 253 |
+
Rebuilding the zero-shot anchor needs `torch` and `xgboost`.
|
| 254 |
|
| 255 |
Expected output, from the verification run on our machine:
|
| 256 |
|
|
|
|
| 458 |
classical.py SVM, logistic regression, kNN, LDA
|
| 459 |
ts_nn.py networks on the raw yearly series (needs the hackathon raw data)
|
| 460 |
transductive.py, ensemble.py, baselines.py, confirm.py, plot_confirm.py, model_create.py, lpft_steps.py
|
| 461 |
+
tools/compare_teammate.py the teammate's XGBoost, DANN and smoothing functions
|
| 462 |
+
tools/full_score_combo.py `zeroshot` mode rebuilds the anchor cache
|
| 463 |
tools/build_official60_first.py builds the 60-feature tables (needs the hackathon raw data)
|
| 464 |
results/ per-draw JSON, logs of every run, the LLM results (first release)
|
| 465 |
reports/nnlab/ results of the overnight search
|
reports/nnlab/OVERNIGHT_RESULTS.md
CHANGED
|
@@ -199,7 +199,7 @@ Caveats that belong next to any headline number:
|
|
| 199 |
## Reproducing
|
| 200 |
|
| 201 |
```
|
| 202 |
-
python -I tools/full_score_combo.py zeroshot # teammate's zero-shot cache (once
|
| 203 |
python tools/nnlab/baselines.py all # references + retrained LightGBM per draw
|
| 204 |
python tools/nnlab/lgbm_var.py # LightGBM variants, incl. lgbm_feda
|
| 205 |
python tools/nnlab/ensemble.py e12 --zs zs_xgb_dann --shot lgbm_feda # FINAL-2
|
|
|
|
| 199 |
## Reproducing
|
| 200 |
|
| 201 |
```
|
| 202 |
+
python -I tools/full_score_combo.py zeroshot # teammate's zero-shot cache (once)
|
| 203 |
python tools/nnlab/baselines.py all # references + retrained LightGBM per draw
|
| 204 |
python tools/nnlab/lgbm_var.py # LightGBM variants, incl. lgbm_feda
|
| 205 |
python tools/nnlab/ensemble.py e12 --zs zs_xgb_dann --shot lgbm_feda # FINAL-2
|
tools/compare_teammate.py
ADDED
|
@@ -0,0 +1,279 @@
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 1 |
+
"""
|
| 2 |
+
Head-to-head: a teammate's pipeline against ours, on two common yardsticks.
|
| 3 |
+
|
| 4 |
+
NOTE FOR THIS BUNDLE. This file is here because tools/full_score_combo.py imports
|
| 5 |
+
it to rebuild the zero-shot anchor of FINAL-2 (its XGBoost, DANN, region
|
| 6 |
+
normalisation and smoothing functions). The head-to-head in main() needs the
|
| 7 |
+
teammate's lockbox block list, which is not in this repo, so main() cannot be run
|
| 8 |
+
from the bundle.
|
| 9 |
+
|
| 10 |
+
lockbox their own Madrid test: train on their 80% dev blocks, score once on
|
| 11 |
+
their 29 locked 2 km blocks (15,157 px). Rebuilt from our pixel keys
|
| 12 |
+
with their block rule. Their own lockbox scores, which are not in
|
| 13 |
+
this repo, were the fidelity check.
|
| 14 |
+
amsterdam train on ALL of Madrid, score ALL 25,992 Amsterdam pixels with no
|
| 15 |
+
Amsterdam labels used except to score (zero-shot: the setting their
|
| 16 |
+
pipeline was built for).
|
| 17 |
+
|
| 18 |
+
The functions here are adapted from the teammate's code and published with their
|
| 19 |
+
agreement. One difference: XGBoost and the DANN run
|
| 20 |
+
on CPU because this PC has no CUDA (different random streams; their DANN seeds
|
| 21 |
+
vary by 0.002-0.004). Their features are the official 60 on the same pixels:
|
| 22 |
+
pass `first` as the third argument to use the organisers' exact construction
|
| 23 |
+
(tools/build_official60_first.py); the default is our median-per-year rebuild.
|
| 24 |
+
|
| 25 |
+
Every model is scored under two decision rules:
|
| 26 |
+
argmax what their pipeline uses
|
| 27 |
+
tau+plugin ours: tau=0.5 logit adjustment then the macro-F1 plug-in, Madrid prior
|
| 28 |
+
and with/without their neighbour smoothing (r = 6 px = 180 m, alpha 0.5).
|
| 29 |
+
|
| 30 |
+
python -I tools/compare_teammate.py <lockbox_blocks.json> reports/teammate_compare.csv
|
| 31 |
+
"""
|
| 32 |
+
from __future__ import annotations
|
| 33 |
+
|
| 34 |
+
import json
|
| 35 |
+
import os
|
| 36 |
+
import sys
|
| 37 |
+
import time
|
| 38 |
+
from pathlib import Path
|
| 39 |
+
|
| 40 |
+
ROOT = Path(__file__).resolve().parent.parent
|
| 41 |
+
sys.path.insert(0, str(ROOT / "src"))
|
| 42 |
+
os.chdir(ROOT)
|
| 43 |
+
|
| 44 |
+
import numpy as np
|
| 45 |
+
import pandas as pd
|
| 46 |
+
import torch
|
| 47 |
+
import torch.nn as nn
|
| 48 |
+
from lightgbm import LGBMClassifier
|
| 49 |
+
from scipy.spatial import cKDTree
|
| 50 |
+
from sklearn.ensemble import RandomForestClassifier
|
| 51 |
+
from sklearn.utils.class_weight import compute_sample_weight
|
| 52 |
+
from xgboost import XGBClassifier
|
| 53 |
+
|
| 54 |
+
import config as C
|
| 55 |
+
import evaluation as E
|
| 56 |
+
import gbdt as G
|
| 57 |
+
|
| 58 |
+
torch.set_num_threads(max(1, (os.cpu_count() or 4) - 2))
|
| 59 |
+
DEV = torch.device("cpu")
|
| 60 |
+
BLOCK = 67
|
| 61 |
+
SMOOTH_ALPHA = 0.5
|
| 62 |
+
R_PX = 6
|
| 63 |
+
XGB_PARAMS = {"n_estimators": 500, "learning_rate": 0.08, "max_depth": 8,
|
| 64 |
+
"min_child_weight": 3.0, "subsample": 0.8, "colsample_bytree": 1.0,
|
| 65 |
+
"reg_lambda": 10.0, "gamma": 1.0} # their best_config.json
|
| 66 |
+
DANN_EPOCHS, DANN_SEEDS = 40, (0, 1, 2)
|
| 67 |
+
|
| 68 |
+
|
| 69 |
+
# ---- copied from their compare_models.py ---------------------------------- #
|
| 70 |
+
def block_ids(pid):
|
| 71 |
+
return (pid[:, 0] // BLOCK) * 100000 + (pid[:, 1] // BLOCK)
|
| 72 |
+
|
| 73 |
+
|
| 74 |
+
def region_norm(X):
|
| 75 |
+
mu, sd = X.mean(0), X.std(0)
|
| 76 |
+
sd[sd == 0] = 1
|
| 77 |
+
return (X - mu) / sd
|
| 78 |
+
|
| 79 |
+
|
| 80 |
+
def smooth(P, coords, r):
|
| 81 |
+
tree = cKDTree(coords)
|
| 82 |
+
nbrs = tree.query_ball_point(coords, r=r)
|
| 83 |
+
out = np.empty_like(P)
|
| 84 |
+
for i, nb in enumerate(nbrs):
|
| 85 |
+
out[i] = SMOOTH_ALPHA * P[i] + (1 - SMOOTH_ALPHA) * P[nb].mean(0)
|
| 86 |
+
return out
|
| 87 |
+
|
| 88 |
+
|
| 89 |
+
# ---- copied from their dann.py --------------------------------------------- #
|
| 90 |
+
class GradReverse(torch.autograd.Function):
|
| 91 |
+
@staticmethod
|
| 92 |
+
def forward(ctx, x, lam):
|
| 93 |
+
ctx.lam = lam
|
| 94 |
+
return x.view_as(x)
|
| 95 |
+
|
| 96 |
+
@staticmethod
|
| 97 |
+
def backward(ctx, g):
|
| 98 |
+
return -ctx.lam * g, None
|
| 99 |
+
|
| 100 |
+
|
| 101 |
+
class DANN(nn.Module):
|
| 102 |
+
def __init__(self, d_in=60, h=256, z=64):
|
| 103 |
+
super().__init__()
|
| 104 |
+
self.feat = nn.Sequential(nn.Linear(d_in, h), nn.BatchNorm1d(h), nn.ReLU(), nn.Dropout(0.2),
|
| 105 |
+
nn.Linear(h, h), nn.BatchNorm1d(h), nn.ReLU(), nn.Dropout(0.2),
|
| 106 |
+
nn.Linear(h, z), nn.ReLU())
|
| 107 |
+
self.age = nn.Sequential(nn.Linear(z, 64), nn.ReLU(), nn.Linear(64, 4))
|
| 108 |
+
self.city = nn.Sequential(nn.Linear(z, 64), nn.ReLU(), nn.Linear(64, 1))
|
| 109 |
+
|
| 110 |
+
def forward(self, x, lam=0.0):
|
| 111 |
+
f = self.feat(x)
|
| 112 |
+
return self.age(f), self.city(GradReverse.apply(f, lam)), f
|
| 113 |
+
|
| 114 |
+
|
| 115 |
+
def train_dann(Xs, ys, Xt, epochs, adversarial=True, seed=0):
|
| 116 |
+
torch.manual_seed(seed)
|
| 117 |
+
np.random.seed(seed)
|
| 118 |
+
net = DANN(Xs.shape[1]).to(DEV)
|
| 119 |
+
opt = torch.optim.AdamW(net.parameters(), lr=1e-3, weight_decay=1e-4)
|
| 120 |
+
counts = np.bincount(ys, minlength=5)[1:]
|
| 121 |
+
w = torch.tensor(len(ys) / (4 * counts), dtype=torch.float32, device=DEV)
|
| 122 |
+
ce, bce = nn.CrossEntropyLoss(weight=w), nn.BCEWithLogitsLoss()
|
| 123 |
+
S, Y = torch.tensor(Xs, dtype=torch.float32, device=DEV), torch.tensor(ys - 1, device=DEV)
|
| 124 |
+
T = torch.tensor(Xt, dtype=torch.float32, device=DEV)
|
| 125 |
+
bs, steps = 512, int(np.ceil(len(S) / 512))
|
| 126 |
+
for ep in range(epochs):
|
| 127 |
+
net.train()
|
| 128 |
+
perm_s = torch.randperm(len(S), device=DEV)
|
| 129 |
+
for k in range(steps):
|
| 130 |
+
p = (ep * steps + k) / (epochs * steps)
|
| 131 |
+
lam = (2 / (1 + np.exp(-10 * p)) - 1) if adversarial else 0.0
|
| 132 |
+
i = perm_s[k * bs:(k + 1) * bs]
|
| 133 |
+
j = torch.randint(0, len(T), (len(i),), device=DEV)
|
| 134 |
+
ya, cs, _ = net(S[i], lam)
|
| 135 |
+
_, ct, _ = net(T[j], lam)
|
| 136 |
+
loss = ce(ya, Y[i])
|
| 137 |
+
if adversarial:
|
| 138 |
+
loss = loss + bce(cs.squeeze(1), torch.zeros(len(i), device=DEV)) \
|
| 139 |
+
+ bce(ct.squeeze(1), torch.ones(len(j), device=DEV))
|
| 140 |
+
opt.zero_grad()
|
| 141 |
+
loss.backward()
|
| 142 |
+
opt.step()
|
| 143 |
+
net.eval()
|
| 144 |
+
return net
|
| 145 |
+
|
| 146 |
+
|
| 147 |
+
@torch.no_grad()
|
| 148 |
+
def dann_proba(net, X):
|
| 149 |
+
a, _, _ = net(torch.tensor(X, dtype=torch.float32, device=DEV))
|
| 150 |
+
return torch.softmax(a, 1).cpu().numpy()
|
| 151 |
+
|
| 152 |
+
|
| 153 |
+
# ---- their tree models (final_lockbox.py / tune_boosting.py) --------------- #
|
| 154 |
+
def their_trees(Xtr, ytr, Xte):
|
| 155 |
+
sw = compute_sample_weight("balanced", ytr)
|
| 156 |
+
xgb = XGBClassifier(objective="multi:softprob", tree_method="hist", device="cpu",
|
| 157 |
+
eval_metric="mlogloss", random_state=42, **XGB_PARAMS)
|
| 158 |
+
xgb.fit(Xtr, ytr - 1, sample_weight=sw)
|
| 159 |
+
lgb = LGBMClassifier(n_estimators=600, learning_rate=0.05, num_leaves=63, subsample=0.8,
|
| 160 |
+
subsample_freq=1, colsample_bytree=0.8, class_weight="balanced",
|
| 161 |
+
n_jobs=6, random_state=42, verbose=-1).fit(Xtr, ytr)
|
| 162 |
+
rf = RandomForestClassifier(n_estimators=300, class_weight="balanced", n_jobs=6,
|
| 163 |
+
random_state=42).fit(Xtr, ytr)
|
| 164 |
+
return {"T: XGBoost (tuned)": xgb.predict_proba(Xte),
|
| 165 |
+
"T: LightGBM": lgb.predict_proba(Xte),
|
| 166 |
+
"T: Random Forest": rf.predict_proba(Xte)}
|
| 167 |
+
|
| 168 |
+
|
| 169 |
+
# ---- ours ------------------------------------------------------------------ #
|
| 170 |
+
def our_lgbm(Xtr, ytr, Xte):
|
| 171 |
+
"""notebook 3's 'zero-shot, no normalisation': full LGBM_PARAMS, balanced."""
|
| 172 |
+
cw = G.balanced_class_weights(ytr)
|
| 173 |
+
m = G.fit_lgbm(Xtr, ytr, class_weight=dict(zip(range(4), cw)))
|
| 174 |
+
return m.predict_proba(Xte)
|
| 175 |
+
|
| 176 |
+
|
| 177 |
+
def load(official: str = "median"):
|
| 178 |
+
mad = pd.read_parquet(C.PROC_DIR / "madrid_features.parquet")
|
| 179 |
+
ams = pd.read_parquet(C.PROC_DIR / "amsterdam_features.parquet")
|
| 180 |
+
drop = {"px_key", "py_key", "age_class", "weighted_mean_year", "city"}
|
| 181 |
+
feats = [c for c in mad.columns if c not in drop and mad[c].dtype.kind in "fiu"]
|
| 182 |
+
feats = [c for c in feats if not (mad[c].std() == 0 or ams[c].std() == 0)]
|
| 183 |
+
assert len(feats) == 393, len(feats)
|
| 184 |
+
f60 = list(C.FEATURE_COLS_60) # all 60, as their pkl has
|
| 185 |
+
if official == "first":
|
| 186 |
+
# The organisers' exact construction (first QA-valid observation per
|
| 187 |
+
# year), from tools/build_official60_first.py, aligned row by row.
|
| 188 |
+
def aligned(city, ref):
|
| 189 |
+
o = pd.read_parquet(C.PROC_DIR / f"{city}_official60_first.parquet")
|
| 190 |
+
has_label = "age_class" in o.columns # the published tables carry no label
|
| 191 |
+
o = ref[C.PID + ["age_class"]].merge(o, on=C.PID, how="left",
|
| 192 |
+
suffixes=("", "_o"))
|
| 193 |
+
assert o[f60].notna().all().all() and len(o) == len(ref)
|
| 194 |
+
assert not has_label or (o["age_class"] == o["age_class_o"]).all()
|
| 195 |
+
return o[f60].to_numpy(float)
|
| 196 |
+
Xm60, Xa60 = aligned("madrid", mad), aligned("amsterdam", ams)
|
| 197 |
+
else:
|
| 198 |
+
Xm60, Xa60 = mad[f60].to_numpy(float), ams[f60].to_numpy(float)
|
| 199 |
+
print(f"official 60 built with agg={official}", flush=True)
|
| 200 |
+
return dict(
|
| 201 |
+
Xm60=Xm60, Xa60=Xa60,
|
| 202 |
+
Xm=mad[feats].to_numpy(float), Xa=ams[feats].to_numpy(float),
|
| 203 |
+
ym=mad["age_class"].to_numpy().astype(int), ya=ams["age_class"].to_numpy().astype(int),
|
| 204 |
+
pm=mad[C.PID].to_numpy().astype(np.int64), pa=ams[C.PID].to_numpy().astype(np.int64))
|
| 205 |
+
|
| 206 |
+
|
| 207 |
+
def run_setting(name, d, tr, te_X60, te_X, te_y, te_xy, Xadv60):
|
| 208 |
+
"""Fit every model on Madrid rows `tr`, score on the given test set."""
|
| 209 |
+
t0 = time.time()
|
| 210 |
+
Xtr60, Xtr, ytr = d["Xm60"][tr], d["Xm"][tr], d["ym"][tr]
|
| 211 |
+
prior = np.array([(ytr == c).mean() for c in E.CLASSES])
|
| 212 |
+
P = their_trees(Xtr60, ytr, te_X60)
|
| 213 |
+
print(f"[{name}] their trees done {time.time() - t0:.0f}s", flush=True)
|
| 214 |
+
P["O: LightGBM, 393 features (our zero-shot)"] = our_lgbm(Xtr, ytr, te_X)
|
| 215 |
+
P["O: LightGBM, official 60 (our params)"] = our_lgbm(Xtr60, ytr, te_X60)
|
| 216 |
+
print(f"[{name}] our LightGBM done {time.time() - t0:.0f}s", flush=True)
|
| 217 |
+
seeds = {}
|
| 218 |
+
Xtr_n, Xte_n, Xadv_n = region_norm(Xtr60), region_norm(te_X60), region_norm(Xadv60)
|
| 219 |
+
for s in DANN_SEEDS:
|
| 220 |
+
net = train_dann(Xtr_n, ytr, Xadv_n, DANN_EPOCHS, adversarial=True, seed=s)
|
| 221 |
+
Pd = dann_proba(net, Xte_n)
|
| 222 |
+
seeds[s] = {"T: DANN": Pd,
|
| 223 |
+
"T: XGBoost + DANN (their FINAL)": (P["T: XGBoost (tuned)"] + Pd) / 2}
|
| 224 |
+
print(f"[{name}] DANN seed {s} done {time.time() - t0:.0f}s", flush=True)
|
| 225 |
+
|
| 226 |
+
coords = te_xy.astype(float)
|
| 227 |
+
rows = []
|
| 228 |
+
|
| 229 |
+
def score(model, seed, PP):
|
| 230 |
+
for sm in (False, True):
|
| 231 |
+
Q = smooth(PP, coords, R_PX) if sm else PP
|
| 232 |
+
for rule in ("argmax", "tau+plugin"):
|
| 233 |
+
lab = (np.array(E.CLASSES)[Q.argmax(1)] if rule == "argmax"
|
| 234 |
+
else E.adapt_pipeline(Q, prior, tau=0.5)[0])
|
| 235 |
+
pc = E.per_class_f1(te_y, lab)
|
| 236 |
+
rows.append(dict(setting=name, model=model, seed=seed, smooth=sm, rule=rule,
|
| 237 |
+
macro_f1=E.macro_f1(te_y, lab),
|
| 238 |
+
**{f"f1_c{c}": float(v) for c, v in zip(E.CLASSES, pc)},
|
| 239 |
+
n_test=len(te_y)))
|
| 240 |
+
|
| 241 |
+
for k, PP in P.items():
|
| 242 |
+
score(k, 0, PP)
|
| 243 |
+
for s, dd in seeds.items():
|
| 244 |
+
for k, PP in dd.items():
|
| 245 |
+
score(k, s, PP)
|
| 246 |
+
print(f"[{name}] scored, {time.time() - t0:.0f}s total", flush=True)
|
| 247 |
+
return rows
|
| 248 |
+
|
| 249 |
+
|
| 250 |
+
def main():
|
| 251 |
+
lock_json, out_csv = Path(sys.argv[1]), Path(sys.argv[2])
|
| 252 |
+
d = load(sys.argv[3] if len(sys.argv) > 3 else "median")
|
| 253 |
+
g = block_ids(d["pm"])
|
| 254 |
+
lock = np.isin(g, json.loads(lock_json.read_text())["blocks"])
|
| 255 |
+
print(f"lockbox pixels {lock.sum():,} (theirs: 15,157); dev {(~lock).sum():,} "
|
| 256 |
+
f"(theirs: 61,106)", flush=True)
|
| 257 |
+
assert lock.sum() == 15157 and (~lock).sum() == 61106
|
| 258 |
+
|
| 259 |
+
rows = []
|
| 260 |
+
dev, lk = np.flatnonzero(~lock), np.flatnonzero(lock)
|
| 261 |
+
rows += run_setting("lockbox", d, dev, d["Xm60"][lk], d["Xm"][lk], d["ym"][lk],
|
| 262 |
+
d["pm"][lk], d["Xa60"])
|
| 263 |
+
pd.DataFrame(rows).to_csv(out_csv, index=False)
|
| 264 |
+
allm = np.arange(len(d["ym"]))
|
| 265 |
+
rows += run_setting("amsterdam", d, allm, d["Xa60"], d["Xa"], d["ya"], d["pa"], d["Xa60"])
|
| 266 |
+
df = pd.DataFrame(rows)
|
| 267 |
+
df.to_csv(out_csv, index=False)
|
| 268 |
+
|
| 269 |
+
summ = (df.groupby(["setting", "model", "smooth", "rule"])["macro_f1"]
|
| 270 |
+
.agg(["mean", "std", "size"]).round(4).reset_index())
|
| 271 |
+
for st in ("lockbox", "amsterdam"):
|
| 272 |
+
t = summ[summ.setting == st].pivot_table(index="model", columns=["rule", "smooth"],
|
| 273 |
+
values="mean")
|
| 274 |
+
print(f"\n=== {st} (macro F1; DANN rows = mean of 3 seeds) ===")
|
| 275 |
+
print(t.sort_values(("argmax", True), ascending=False).to_string())
|
| 276 |
+
|
| 277 |
+
|
| 278 |
+
if __name__ == "__main__":
|
| 279 |
+
main()
|
tools/full_score_combo.py
ADDED
|
@@ -0,0 +1,167 @@
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 1 |
+
"""
|
| 2 |
+
NOTE FOR THIS BUNDLE. Only one mode of this script is used here:
|
| 3 |
+
|
| 4 |
+
python tools/full_score_combo.py zeroshot
|
| 5 |
+
|
| 6 |
+
It rebuilds data/processed/zeroshot_xgb_dann_ams.npz, the zero-shot anchor of the
|
| 7 |
+
FINAL-2 pipeline (tools/nnlab/model_create2.py): a teammate's XGBoost and DANN on
|
| 8 |
+
the official 60 features, from tools/compare_teammate.py. It needs xgboost and
|
| 9 |
+
torch and takes six to thirteen minutes on a 12-thread CPU. The combination described
|
| 10 |
+
below is NOT FINAL-2, and its numbers are not quoted anywhere in this bundle.
|
| 11 |
+
|
| 12 |
+
Our few-shot winners combined with the teammate's DANN and neighbour smoothing,
|
| 13 |
+
scored on ALL of Amsterdam under the official protocol.
|
| 14 |
+
|
| 15 |
+
Intended as the primary model when this script was written (2026-11-10). This
|
| 16 |
+
bundle holds no time-stamped record of that, and Amsterdam scores of its
|
| 17 |
+
ingredients (the upweighted LightGBM, the teammate's zero-shot pipeline) had
|
| 18 |
+
already been seen. The primary model is
|
| 19 |
+
"upweighted + DANN + smooth":
|
| 20 |
+
p = (P_upweighted_lgbm + P_dann) / 2 -> neighbour smoothing (6 px) -> our rule
|
| 21 |
+
Every ingredient was chosen on Madrid, not Amsterdam:
|
| 22 |
+
* upweighted retrained LightGBM - notebook 3's design, 393 features;
|
| 23 |
+
* DANN (60 official features, adversary on UNLABELLED Amsterdam) and the
|
| 24 |
+
50/50 probability average with a tree model - teammate's design, +0.014 on
|
| 25 |
+
their Madrid lockbox;
|
| 26 |
+
* neighbour smoothing r = 6 px, alpha 0.5 - teammate's choice on Madrid
|
| 27 |
+
(+0.025 on their CV); ours (r = 2) also gained on Madrid;
|
| 28 |
+
* decision rule tau 0.5 then the macro-F1 plug-in with the Madrid prior -
|
| 29 |
+
chosen on Madrid by the shift harness.
|
| 30 |
+
The other rows are ablations that show what each ingredient contributes. Some
|
| 31 |
+
were added after Amsterdam results had been seen.
|
| 32 |
+
|
| 33 |
+
One deliberate change from the teammate: the 3 DANN seeds are averaged into one
|
| 34 |
+
probability (their lockbox reported seeds separately), so a protocol draw does not
|
| 35 |
+
depend on which seed was used.
|
| 36 |
+
|
| 37 |
+
Protocol: identical to tools/full_score.py. Seed 42, shots drawn with
|
| 38 |
+
rng(42 + 1000 n + rep), shots removed from the scored set, and every draw scored on
|
| 39 |
+
all remaining Amsterdam pixels. Smoothing uses only the scored pixels as
|
| 40 |
+
neighbours (no shot, no label), as in the teammate's code. Amsterdam labels are
|
| 41 |
+
read only to draw the shots and to score.
|
| 42 |
+
|
| 43 |
+
python -I tools/full_score_combo.py zeroshot # cache XGB + DANN
|
| 44 |
+
python -I tools/full_score_combo.py upweighted reports/combo_upweighted.json
|
| 45 |
+
python -I tools/full_score_combo.py prototype reports/combo_prototype.json
|
| 46 |
+
"""
|
| 47 |
+
from __future__ import annotations
|
| 48 |
+
|
| 49 |
+
import json
|
| 50 |
+
import sys
|
| 51 |
+
import time
|
| 52 |
+
from pathlib import Path
|
| 53 |
+
|
| 54 |
+
sys.path.insert(0, str(Path(__file__).resolve().parent))
|
| 55 |
+
import compare_teammate as CT # noqa: E402 (also puts src/ on the path, chdirs to root)
|
| 56 |
+
import full_score as FS # noqa: E402
|
| 57 |
+
|
| 58 |
+
import numpy as np # noqa: E402
|
| 59 |
+
import pandas as pd # noqa: E402
|
| 60 |
+
|
| 61 |
+
import config as C # noqa: E402
|
| 62 |
+
import evaluation as E # noqa: E402
|
| 63 |
+
|
| 64 |
+
SEED, N_LIST, R_PX = 42, (5, 25, 50, 100, 200), 6
|
| 65 |
+
CACHE = C.PROC_DIR / "zeroshot_xgb_dann_ams.npz"
|
| 66 |
+
|
| 67 |
+
|
| 68 |
+
def build_cache(d):
|
| 69 |
+
"""Zero-shot parts: they never see a shot, so they are fitted once."""
|
| 70 |
+
t0 = time.time()
|
| 71 |
+
sw = CT.compute_sample_weight("balanced", d["ym"])
|
| 72 |
+
xgb = CT.XGBClassifier(objective="multi:softprob", tree_method="hist", device="cpu",
|
| 73 |
+
eval_metric="mlogloss", random_state=42, **CT.XGB_PARAMS)
|
| 74 |
+
xgb.fit(d["Xm60"], d["ym"] - 1, sample_weight=sw)
|
| 75 |
+
P_xgb = xgb.predict_proba(d["Xa60"])
|
| 76 |
+
Xm_n, Xa_n = CT.region_norm(d["Xm60"]), CT.region_norm(d["Xa60"])
|
| 77 |
+
P_d = []
|
| 78 |
+
for s in CT.DANN_SEEDS:
|
| 79 |
+
net = CT.train_dann(Xm_n, d["ym"], Xa_n, CT.DANN_EPOCHS, adversarial=True, seed=s)
|
| 80 |
+
P_d.append(CT.dann_proba(net, Xa_n))
|
| 81 |
+
print(f"DANN seed {s} done {time.time() - t0:.0f}s", flush=True)
|
| 82 |
+
np.savez(CACHE, P_xgb=P_xgb, P_dann_seeds=np.stack(P_d), pa=d["pa"])
|
| 83 |
+
print(f"cached -> {CACHE}", flush=True)
|
| 84 |
+
|
| 85 |
+
|
| 86 |
+
def main():
|
| 87 |
+
mode = sys.argv[1]
|
| 88 |
+
d = CT.load("first")
|
| 89 |
+
if mode == "zeroshot":
|
| 90 |
+
build_cache(d)
|
| 91 |
+
return
|
| 92 |
+
out_path = Path(sys.argv[2])
|
| 93 |
+
z = np.load(CACHE)
|
| 94 |
+
assert (z["pa"] == d["pa"]).all()
|
| 95 |
+
P_dann = z["P_dann_seeds"].mean(0) # seed-averaged
|
| 96 |
+
P_final = (z["P_xgb"] + P_dann) / 2 # teammate's FINAL, zero-shot
|
| 97 |
+
|
| 98 |
+
name, make, n_repeats = FS.VARIANTS[mode]
|
| 99 |
+
X_mad, y_mad, X_ams, y_ams = d["Xm"], d["ym"], d["Xa"], d["ya"]
|
| 100 |
+
src_prior = np.array([(y_mad == c).mean() for c in E.CLASSES])
|
| 101 |
+
coords = d["pa"].astype(float)
|
| 102 |
+
base = "upweighted" if mode == "upweighted" else "prototype"
|
| 103 |
+
|
| 104 |
+
def rules(P, y):
|
| 105 |
+
out = {}
|
| 106 |
+
out["argmax"] = E.macro_f1(y, np.array(E.CLASSES)[P.argmax(1)])
|
| 107 |
+
out["tau+plugin"] = E.macro_f1(y, E.adapt_pipeline(P, src_prior, tau=0.5)[0])
|
| 108 |
+
return out
|
| 109 |
+
|
| 110 |
+
draws = []
|
| 111 |
+
if out_path.exists():
|
| 112 |
+
prev = json.loads(out_path.read_text())
|
| 113 |
+
if prev.get("key") == mode:
|
| 114 |
+
draws = prev["draws"]
|
| 115 |
+
print(f"resuming: {len(draws)} draws already saved", flush=True)
|
| 116 |
+
done = {(r["n"], r["rep"]) for r in draws}
|
| 117 |
+
mc = make()
|
| 118 |
+
t_all = time.time()
|
| 119 |
+
for n in N_LIST:
|
| 120 |
+
for r in range(n_repeats):
|
| 121 |
+
if (n, r) in done:
|
| 122 |
+
continue
|
| 123 |
+
t0 = time.time()
|
| 124 |
+
rng = np.random.default_rng(SEED + 1000 * n + r)
|
| 125 |
+
shot_idx = E.draw_shots(y_ams, n, rng)
|
| 126 |
+
keep = np.setdiff1d(np.arange(len(y_ams)), shot_idx)
|
| 127 |
+
fn = mc(X_mad, y_mad, X_ams, X_ams[shot_idx], y_ams[shot_idx])
|
| 128 |
+
Pb = np.asarray(fn(X_ams[keep]), dtype=float)
|
| 129 |
+
ck, yk = coords[keep], y_ams[keep]
|
| 130 |
+
combos = {
|
| 131 |
+
f"{base}": Pb,
|
| 132 |
+
f"{base} + smooth": CT.smooth(Pb, ck, R_PX),
|
| 133 |
+
f"{base} + DANN": (Pb + P_dann[keep]) / 2,
|
| 134 |
+
f"{base} + DANN + smooth": CT.smooth((Pb + P_dann[keep]) / 2, ck, R_PX),
|
| 135 |
+
}
|
| 136 |
+
if mode == "upweighted": # zero-shot references, cheap, scored per draw
|
| 137 |
+
combos["their FINAL (zero-shot)"] = P_final[keep]
|
| 138 |
+
combos["their FINAL + smooth (zero-shot)"] = CT.smooth(P_final[keep], ck, R_PX)
|
| 139 |
+
rec = dict(n=n, rep=r, n_scored=int(len(keep)))
|
| 140 |
+
for k, P in combos.items():
|
| 141 |
+
for rule, v in rules(P, yk).items():
|
| 142 |
+
rec[f"{k} | {rule}"] = float(v)
|
| 143 |
+
rec["seconds"] = round(time.time() - t0, 1)
|
| 144 |
+
draws.append(rec)
|
| 145 |
+
print(f"n={n:<4d} rep={r:<2d} " + " ".join(
|
| 146 |
+
f"{k}={rec[k + ' | tau+plugin']:.4f}" for k in combos) +
|
| 147 |
+
f" ({rec['seconds']}s)", flush=True)
|
| 148 |
+
out_path.write_text(json.dumps(dict(key=mode, variant=name, seed=SEED,
|
| 149 |
+
complete=False, draws=draws), indent=1))
|
| 150 |
+
|
| 151 |
+
df = pd.DataFrame(draws)
|
| 152 |
+
cols = [c for c in df.columns if " | " in c]
|
| 153 |
+
g = df.groupby("n")[cols]
|
| 154 |
+
summ = {c: {**{int(n): dict(mean=float(g.mean().loc[n, c]), std=float(g.std(ddof=1).loc[n, c]))
|
| 155 |
+
for n in N_LIST},
|
| 156 |
+
"average": float(g.mean()[c].mean()), "peak": float(g.mean()[c].max())}
|
| 157 |
+
for c in cols}
|
| 158 |
+
out_path.write_text(json.dumps(dict(key=mode, variant=name, seed=SEED, complete=True,
|
| 159 |
+
minutes=round((time.time() - t_all) / 60, 1),
|
| 160 |
+
summary=summ, draws=draws), indent=1))
|
| 161 |
+
tbl = pd.DataFrame({c: {**{n: summ[c][n]["mean"] for n in N_LIST},
|
| 162 |
+
"avg": summ[c]["average"]} for c in cols}).T
|
| 163 |
+
print("\n" + tbl.round(4).to_string(), flush=True)
|
| 164 |
+
|
| 165 |
+
|
| 166 |
+
if __name__ == "__main__":
|
| 167 |
+
main()
|
tools/nnlab/tab_nn.py
CHANGED
|
@@ -10,7 +10,7 @@ wd 1e-4, batch 512, seeds 0,1,2):
|
|
| 10 |
BN-ReLU -> Linear(64)-ReLU -> Linear(64,4)
|
| 11 |
dann mlp + domain head (Lin(64,64)-ReLU-Lin(64,1)) on the first 64-d features through
|
| 12 |
gradient reversal, lambda = 2/(1+exp(-10p))-1, adversary vs UNLABELLED Amsterdam rows
|
| 13 |
-
(as
|
| 14 |
the net separately)
|
| 15 |
coral mlp + deep-CORAL loss (weight 1.0) between the penultimate features of a Madrid
|
| 16 |
batch and an unlabelled Amsterdam batch
|
|
|
|
| 10 |
BN-ReLU -> Linear(64)-ReLU -> Linear(64,4)
|
| 11 |
dann mlp + domain head (Lin(64,64)-ReLU-Lin(64,1)) on the first 64-d features through
|
| 12 |
gradient reversal, lambda = 2/(1+exp(-10p))-1, adversary vs UNLABELLED Amsterdam rows
|
| 13 |
+
(as tools/compare_teammate.py train_dann; Madrid and Amsterdam batches go through
|
| 14 |
the net separately)
|
| 15 |
coral mlp + deep-CORAL loss (weight 1.0) between the penultimate features of a Madrid
|
| 16 |
batch and an unlabelled Amsterdam batch
|