| { |
| "name": "y-obs-up", |
| "description": "The first real probe of the observation block. 59 of the 61 scored arms carry it byte-identical, and the only two that differ also carried jumps_hi=200, which independently wrecked them, so the apparent verdict that the current setting is best is entirely confounded. This raises the five varying rates by about 30% while holding family weights at h5-int exactly, so the axis is tested alone. Family weights are h5-int's exactly, so this arm moves one axis and one only. Ships on the parallel-producer build: byte-identical corpus at about 1.3x throughput.", |
| "min_length": 4096, |
| "max_length": 4096, |
| "prefetch_depth": 3, |
| "family_weights": { |
| "step_level": 0.14922052351863166, |
| "conditional_stability": 0.0943449516188149, |
| "ar2": 0.06414460535414224, |
| "cs_drift": 0.0446271466096518, |
| "tidal_constituents": 0.023773383726918305, |
| "cs_countwalk": 0.02324680257525886, |
| "rate_counts": 0.030994535980452043, |
| "envelope_mod": 0.028223913989004278, |
| "cs_flat": 0.02054368599674039, |
| "cycle_profile": 0.04314117287721441, |
| "arma_sarima": 0.020218829688454492, |
| "flow_recession": 0.01926972388515577, |
| "transport_flow": 0.018358965791081247, |
| "regime_dwell_intcounter": 0.018358965791081247, |
| "cs_pulse": 0.017946727916921198, |
| "hawkes_marked": 0.012343062194897335, |
| "spectral_kernel_zoo": 0.012118387570189307, |
| "econ_release_staircase": 0.015415779108124618, |
| "energy_load_price_solar": 0.013786001466096518, |
| "ops_counter_reset": 0.014620064141722662, |
| "threshold_ar": 0.011715225167990225, |
| "clinical_bounded_vitals": 0.011418030421502749, |
| "epi_renewal": 0.011015379474648748, |
| "admin_reporting_counts": 0.011015379474648748, |
| "regime_dwell_flat": 0.011015379474648748, |
| "physical_sensors": 0.009845774343310933, |
| "grid_flow": 0.009443123396456933, |
| "regime_shift": 0.0093760149053146, |
| "trend_seasonal_ar": 0.008800799266951742, |
| "seasonal_counts": 0.00843649602932193, |
| "sticky_station": 0.00827351826511912, |
| "ops_saturating_feedback": 0.009401725301271728, |
| "epi_decay": 0.007736650335980453, |
| "rk4_flows": 0.007353173243738546, |
| "physio_quasiperiodic": 0.007353173243738546, |
| "met_thermal": 0.007353173243738546, |
| "spiky_price": 0.007027217715332925, |
| "price_shock": 0.005196114599877825, |
| "long_memory": 0.0045921381795968235, |
| "ops_diurnal_traffic": 0.005218338840450936, |
| "smooth_drift_extrapolable": 0.0045921381795968235, |
| "multiplicative": 0.0037964232131948686, |
| "bounded_counts": 0.0037005539401343923, |
| "garch_leverage": 0.0026890744144742206, |
| "met_pressure_smooth": 0.003671793158216249, |
| "met_bounded_atom": 0.003671793158216249, |
| "integrated": 0.0033362507025045817, |
| "spectral_gp": 0.0032787291386682954, |
| "intermittent": 0.0032595552840562, |
| "ou_stochastic_vol": 0.0028089697006719607, |
| "met_wind_speed": 0.002761035064141723, |
| "wet_dry_intermittent": 0.002761035064141723, |
| "level_ladder_staircase": 0.002761035064141723, |
| "coastal_residual": 0.0024638403176542455, |
| "vol_regime_switch": 0.0018502769700671961, |
| "pulse_outlier": 0.0004697594379963347, |
| "chaotic": 0.0, |
| "weekly_demand": 0.0, |
| "tidal_harmonic": 0.0, |
| "held_rate": 0.1363649999999999, |
| "sl_exact_cont": 0.0, |
| "sl_exact_int": 0.0, |
| "sl_noisy_cont": 0.0, |
| "sl_noisy_int": 0.0, |
| "ops_latency_queue": 0.0034091249999999977, |
| "ops_deploy_transient": 0.0034091249999999977, |
| "ops_rate_plateau": 0.0034091249999999977, |
| "transport_flow_tail": 0.0068540697617593144, |
| "capacity_counts": 0.01246194502138057, |
| "overdispersed_counts": 0.01246194502138057, |
| "reported_epi_counts": 0.004984778008552227, |
| "retail_promo_tail": 0.004544944654856443, |
| "heavy_traffic_counts": 0.022727499999999984, |
| "gauge_rain": 0.011363749999999992, |
| "storm_outage_counts": 0.010227374999999992 |
| }, |
| "curriculum": { |
| "enabled": false, |
| "expected_budget_fraction": 0.65, |
| "start_fraction": 0.05, |
| "end_fraction": 0.7, |
| "start_family_weights": { |
| "trend_seasonal_ar": 0.19, |
| "regime_shift": 0.1, |
| "multiplicative": 0.08, |
| "ar2": 0.2, |
| "integrated": 0.05, |
| "threshold_ar": 0.025, |
| "chaotic": 0, |
| "spectral_gp": 0.035, |
| "long_memory": 0.025, |
| "ou_stochastic_vol": 0.03, |
| "physical_sensors": 0.105, |
| "seasonal_counts": 0.09, |
| "intermittent": 0.015, |
| "pulse_outlier": 0.005, |
| "conditional_stability": 0.05 |
| }, |
| "start_parameters": { |
| "tr_exc_lo": 0.15, |
| "tr_exc_hi": 0.8, |
| "gr_exc_lo": 0.1, |
| "gr_exc_hi": 0.6, |
| "sa_clean_frac": 0.75, |
| "sa_clean_lo": 0.01, |
| "sa_clean_hi": 0.05, |
| "integrated_heavy_frac": 0, |
| "integrated_sv_frac": 0, |
| "observation": { |
| "censor_rate": 0, |
| "quantize_rate": 0.02, |
| "regular_hold_rate": 0, |
| "irregular_hold_rate": 0, |
| "irregular_hold_prob_lo": 0, |
| "irregular_hold_prob_hi": 0.02, |
| "shock_row_rate": 0, |
| "shock_prob_lo": 0, |
| "shock_prob_hi": 0.002 |
| }, |
| "augment": { |
| "tsmixup": 0, |
| "pad_prefix": 0 |
| } |
| } |
| }, |
| "tr_exc_lo": 0.15, |
| "tr_exc_hi": 0.8, |
| "gr_exc_lo": 0.1, |
| "gr_exc_hi": 0.6, |
| "sa_clean_frac": 0.75, |
| "sa_clean_lo": 0.01, |
| "sa_clean_hi": 0.05, |
| "integrated_heavy_frac": 0, |
| "integrated_sv_frac": 0, |
| "observation": { |
| "censor_rate": 0.35, |
| "quantize_rate": 0.02, |
| "regular_hold_rate": 0.06, |
| "irregular_hold_rate": 0, |
| "irregular_hold_prob_lo": 0, |
| "irregular_hold_prob_hi": 0.02, |
| "shock_row_rate": 0, |
| "shock_prob_lo": 0, |
| "shock_prob_hi": 0.002, |
| "amp_trend_rate": 0.47, |
| "kernel_spike_rate": 0.3, |
| "periodic_spike_frac": 0.0, |
| "time_warp_rate": 0.0, |
| "duty_cycle_rate": 0.0, |
| "nonuniform_quantize_frac": 0.0, |
| "gamma_warp_rate": 0.85, |
| "hold_block_rate": 0.42, |
| "post_amp_drift_rate": 0.7, |
| "nonneg_skip_range_artifacts": 1.0 |
| }, |
| "augment": { |
| "tsmixup": 0.18, |
| "pad_prefix": 0.05 |
| }, |
| "tsmixup_mean_scale": 1.0, |
| "tsmixup_source_alpha": 2.5, |
| "tail_rebase_rate": 0.18, |
| "nonneg_integer_frac": 0.9, |
| "chronoforge": { |
| "schema_version": 1, |
| "generator_name": "chronoforge", |
| "internal_length": 4096, |
| "batch_schedule": { |
| "ramp": [ |
| 64, |
| 64, |
| 256, |
| 256 |
| ], |
| "steady": 512 |
| }, |
| "threads": { |
| "max_workers": 4, |
| "max_inflight_batches": 6 |
| }, |
| "family_weights": { |
| "met_thermal": 7.0, |
| "met_pressure_smooth": 4.5, |
| "met_bounded_atom": 8.5, |
| "met_wind_speed": 4.0, |
| "wet_dry_intermittent": 2.0, |
| "ops_diurnal_traffic": 5.5, |
| "ops_saturating_feedback": 3.5, |
| "ops_counter_reset": 2.0, |
| "ops_latency_queue": 2.0, |
| "ops_deploy_transient": 1.5, |
| "ops_rate_plateau": 1.0, |
| "epi_renewal": 3.5, |
| "admin_reporting_counts": 3.5, |
| "physio_quasiperiodic": 2.0, |
| "clinical_bounded_vitals": 2.0, |
| "regime_dwell_flat": 3.0, |
| "regime_dwell_microdrift": 2.5, |
| "regime_dwell_intcounter": 2.0, |
| "regime_dwell_zerosparse": 1.5, |
| "regime_dwell_transitional": 2.0, |
| "level_ladder_staircase": 7.0, |
| "smooth_drift_extrapolable": 6.0, |
| "arma_sarima": 4.0, |
| "garch_leverage": 0.5, |
| "hawkes_marked": 2.5, |
| "chaotic_delay": 0.5, |
| "spectral_kernel_zoo": 1.0, |
| "changepoint_composite": 3.0, |
| "energy_load_price_solar": 5.5, |
| "transport_flow": 3.5, |
| "retail_promo_intermittent": 2.0, |
| "econ_release_staircase": 1.0 |
| }, |
| "family_coarse_pref": { |
| "met_thermal": 0.02, |
| "met_pressure_smooth": 0.02, |
| "met_bounded_atom": 0.05, |
| "met_wind_speed": 0.02, |
| "wet_dry_intermittent": 0.25, |
| "ops_diurnal_traffic": 0.2, |
| "ops_saturating_feedback": 0.1, |
| "ops_counter_reset": 0.3, |
| "ops_latency_queue": 0.1, |
| "ops_deploy_transient": 0.1, |
| "ops_rate_plateau": 0.15, |
| "epi_renewal": 0.75, |
| "admin_reporting_counts": 0.85, |
| "physio_quasiperiodic": 0.0, |
| "clinical_bounded_vitals": 0.02, |
| "regime_dwell_flat": 0.25, |
| "regime_dwell_microdrift": 0.25, |
| "regime_dwell_intcounter": 0.25, |
| "regime_dwell_zerosparse": 0.25, |
| "regime_dwell_transitional": 0.25, |
| "level_ladder_staircase": 0.3, |
| "smooth_drift_extrapolable": 0.25, |
| "arma_sarima": 0.25, |
| "garch_leverage": 0.2, |
| "hawkes_marked": 0.2, |
| "chaotic_delay": 0.1, |
| "spectral_kernel_zoo": 0.2, |
| "changepoint_composite": 0.25, |
| "energy_load_price_solar": 0.1, |
| "transport_flow": 0.1, |
| "retail_promo_intermittent": 0.7, |
| "econ_release_staircase": 0.8 |
| }, |
| "cadence": { |
| "fine_seconds": [ |
| 30, |
| 60, |
| 150, |
| 300, |
| 360, |
| 600, |
| 900, |
| 1800, |
| 3600 |
| ], |
| "fine_weights": [ |
| 0.039, |
| 0.065, |
| 0.026, |
| 0.091, |
| 0.039, |
| 0.065, |
| 0.13, |
| 0.104, |
| 0.441 |
| ], |
| "coarse_seconds": [ |
| 28800, |
| 86400 |
| ], |
| "coarse_weights": [ |
| 0.087, |
| 0.913 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "length_ladder": { |
| "fine": { |
| "lengths": [ |
| 4096 |
| ], |
| "weights": [ |
| 1.0 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "coarse": { |
| "lengths": [ |
| 4096 |
| ], |
| "weights": [ |
| 1.0 |
| ] |
| } |
| }, |
| "seasonality": { |
| "active_fine": { |
| "day": 0.85, |
| "half": 0.3, |
| "third": 0.1, |
| "week": 0.55, |
| "bizweek": 0.06, |
| "month": 0.05, |
| "quarter": 0.02, |
| "free": 0.18 |
| }, |
| "active_coarse": { |
| "day": 0.0, |
| "half": 0.0, |
| "third": 0.0, |
| "week": 0.9, |
| "bizweek": 0.22, |
| "month": 0.28, |
| "quarter": 0.12, |
| "free": 0.18 |
| }, |
| "shape_mix": [ |
| 0.4, |
| 0.3, |
| 0.15, |
| 0.1, |
| 0.05 |
| ], |
| "phase_drift_rate": 0.35, |
| "period_drift_rate": 0.12, |
| "amplitude_modulation_rate": 0.45 |
| }, |
| "calendar": { |
| "monday_factor": 1.28, |
| "monday_sigma": 0.2, |
| "weekday_sigma": 0.12, |
| "weekend_factor": 0.45, |
| "weekend_sigma": 0.35, |
| "n_fixed_holidays": 13, |
| "n_moving_holidays": 4, |
| "holiday_count_lo": 8, |
| "holiday_count_hi": 17, |
| "holiday_factor": 0.35, |
| "holiday_sigma": 0.4, |
| "holiday_comp_lo": 1.25, |
| "holiday_comp_hi": 2.4 |
| }, |
| "observation": { |
| "block_aggregation_rate": 0.22, |
| "quantise_rate": 0.3, |
| "log_grid_share": 0.12, |
| "censor_rate": 0.18, |
| "staleness_rate": 0.18, |
| "missing_zero_rate": 0.06, |
| "outlier_rate": 0.08, |
| "drift_recal_rate": 0.1, |
| "round_rate": 0.25, |
| "round_min_ticks": 20.0, |
| "integer_tick_share": 0.4, |
| "count_prior_rate": 0.95, |
| "count_integer_share": 0.9, |
| "count_floor_frac": 0.15, |
| "count_levels_log10": [ |
| 0.8, |
| 2.2 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "scale": { |
| "log10_scale_mixture": [ |
| { |
| "weight": 0.55, |
| "mean": 0.0, |
| "sigma": 1.2 |
| }, |
| { |
| "weight": 0.25, |
| "mean": 3.0, |
| "sigma": 1.5 |
| }, |
| { |
| "weight": 0.12, |
| "mean": -2.0, |
| "sigma": 1.5 |
| }, |
| { |
| "weight": 0.08, |
| "mean": 6.0, |
| "sigma": 2.0 |
| } |
| ], |
| "zero_anchor_share": 0.45, |
| "large_offset_share": 0.3, |
| "sign_cross_share": 0.04, |
| "large_offset_ratio": [ |
| 0.5, |
| 50.0 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "aggregation": { |
| "rate": 0.12 |
| }, |
| "families": { |
| "met_thermal": { |
| "synoptic_ell": [ |
| 24.0, |
| 400.0 |
| ], |
| "synoptic_amp": [ |
| 0.3, |
| 12.0 |
| ], |
| "diurnal_amp_mix": [ |
| 0.35, |
| 0.4, |
| 0.25 |
| ], |
| "cloud_coupling": [ |
| 0.3, |
| 0.9 |
| ], |
| "noise_ratio": [ |
| 0.005, |
| 0.08 |
| ], |
| "annual_rate": 0.3 |
| }, |
| "met_pressure_smooth": { |
| "synoptic_ell": [ |
| 60.0, |
| 600.0 |
| ], |
| "noise_ratio": [ |
| 0.0003, |
| 0.02 |
| ], |
| "dip_rate": 0.18, |
| "quantise_rate": 0.25 |
| }, |
| "met_bounded_atom": { |
| "variant_mix": [ |
| 0.45, |
| 0.3, |
| 0.25 |
| ], |
| "latent_ell": [ |
| 4.0, |
| 240.0 |
| ], |
| "eta": [ |
| 0.8, |
| 4.0 |
| ], |
| "centre_mean": 0.45, |
| "centre_sigma": 0.35, |
| "upper_mix": [ |
| 0.18, |
| 0.1, |
| 0.07, |
| 0.55, |
| 0.1 |
| ], |
| "quantise_rate": 0.55, |
| "saturation_event_rate": 0.32 |
| }, |
| "met_wind_speed": { |
| "component_ell": [ |
| 6.0, |
| 200.0 |
| ], |
| "gust_rate": 0.35, |
| "quantise_rate": 0.3 |
| }, |
| "wet_dry_intermittent": { |
| "dry_dwell": [ |
| 8.0, |
| 600.0 |
| ], |
| "wet_dwell": [ |
| 2.0, |
| 40.0 |
| ], |
| "intensity_shape": [ |
| 0.25, |
| 0.9 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "ops_diurnal_traffic": { |
| "taylor_exponent": [ |
| 0.45, |
| 1.0 |
| ], |
| "burst_rate": 0.55, |
| "count_emit_rate": 0.55, |
| "dst_rate": 0.18 |
| }, |
| "ops_saturating_feedback": { |
| "step_gain": [ |
| 0.15, |
| 0.6 |
| ], |
| "emit_mix": [ |
| 0.4, |
| 0.3, |
| 0.3 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "ops_counter_reset": { |
| "reset_mix": [ |
| 0.55, |
| 0.2, |
| 0.25 |
| ], |
| "revision_rate": 0.3 |
| }, |
| "ops_latency_queue": { |
| "lognormal_rate": 0.55, |
| "percentile_rate": 0.35 |
| }, |
| "ops_deploy_transient": { |
| "outage_mix": [ |
| 0.45, |
| 0.35, |
| 0.2 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "ops_rate_plateau": { |
| "plateau_dwell": [ |
| 40.0, |
| 1500.0 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "epi_renewal": { |
| "logr_corr_time": [ |
| 120.0, |
| 900.0 |
| ], |
| "logr_sigma": 0.3, |
| "serial_interval_mean": [ |
| 3.0, |
| 20.0 |
| ], |
| "dispersion": [ |
| 0.3, |
| 20.0 |
| ], |
| "reporting_layer_rate": 0.7, |
| "endemic_rate": 0.6 |
| }, |
| "admin_reporting_counts": { |
| "batch_rate": 0.3, |
| "revision_rate": 0.2, |
| "emission_mix": [ |
| 0.62, |
| 0.18, |
| 0.2 |
| ], |
| "holiday_rate": 0.75, |
| "month_end_rate": 0.2 |
| }, |
| "physio_quasiperiodic": { |
| "base_period": [ |
| 10.0, |
| 150.0 |
| ], |
| "rsa_depth": [ |
| 0.02, |
| 0.18 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "clinical_bounded_vitals": { |
| "range_mix": [ |
| 0.35, |
| 0.3, |
| 0.15, |
| 0.2 |
| ], |
| "ceiling_bias": [ |
| 0.4, |
| 3.2 |
| ], |
| "excursion_tau": [ |
| 150.0, |
| 2000.0 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "regime_dwell": { |
| "dormant_dwell": [ |
| 20.0, |
| 1200.0 |
| ], |
| "active_dwell": [ |
| 15.0, |
| 700.0 |
| ], |
| "pareto_mix": 0.15 |
| }, |
| "level_ladder_staircase": { |
| "run_length": [ |
| 15.0, |
| 900.0 |
| ], |
| "jump_mix": [ |
| 0.7, |
| 0.25, |
| 0.05 |
| ], |
| "tick_snap_rate": 0.4, |
| "noiseless_rate": 0.5, |
| "monotone_rate": 0.18 |
| }, |
| "smooth_drift_extrapolable": { |
| "matern_nu_mix": [ |
| 0.2, |
| 0.5, |
| 0.3 |
| ], |
| "lengthscale": [ |
| 64.0, |
| 4096.0 |
| ], |
| "obs_noise_ratio": [ |
| 0.001, |
| 0.3 |
| ], |
| "damped_rate": 0.15, |
| "saturating_rate": 0.25 |
| }, |
| "arma_sarima": { |
| "seasonal_rate": 0.45, |
| "d_rate": 0.35, |
| "big_d_rate": 0.35, |
| "student_rate": 0.35 |
| }, |
| "garch_leverage": { |
| "persistence": [ |
| 0.9, |
| 0.999 |
| ], |
| "student_rate": 0.6, |
| "emit_mix": [ |
| 0.55, |
| 0.25, |
| 0.2 |
| ], |
| "arma_mean_rate": 0.3 |
| }, |
| "hawkes_marked": { |
| "branching": [ |
| 0.2, |
| 0.92 |
| ], |
| "power_law_rate": 0.4, |
| "emit_mix": [ |
| 0.4, |
| 0.3, |
| 0.3 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "chaotic_delay": { |
| "system_mix": [ |
| 0.32, |
| 0.24, |
| 0.2, |
| 0.24 |
| ], |
| "projection_rate": 0.35, |
| "mackey_glass_rate": 0.3 |
| }, |
| "spectral_kernel_zoo": { |
| "product_rate": 0.6, |
| "envelope_rate": 0.5, |
| "warp_rate": 0.3 |
| }, |
| "changepoint_composite": { |
| "join_mix": [ |
| 0.45, |
| 0.35, |
| 0.2 |
| ], |
| "state_hazard": [ |
| 0.0, |
| 2.0 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "energy_load_price_solar": { |
| "mode_mix": [ |
| 0.45, |
| 0.3, |
| 0.25 |
| ], |
| "negative_price_rate": 0.1 |
| }, |
| "transport_flow": { |
| "capacity_ratio": [ |
| 0.9, |
| 2.2 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "retail_promo_intermittent": { |
| "slow_mover_rate": 0.35, |
| "stockout_rate": 0.12, |
| "launch_rate": 0.1 |
| }, |
| "econ_release_staircase": { |
| "release_mix": [ |
| 0.35, |
| 0.45, |
| 0.2 |
| ], |
| "nelson_siegel_rate": 0.4, |
| "business_day_rate": 0.25, |
| "month_end_rate": 0.2 |
| } |
| } |
| }, |
| "step_level_exact_frac": 0.9, |
| "step_level_noise_lo": 0.0005, |
| "step_level_noise_hi": 0.01, |
| "step_level_jumps_hi": 5.0 |
| } |
|
|
