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"""
Run the MSQ probe suite against one model and write raw results.
Usage:
python code/run_model.py --model minicpm5-2b --out results/raw/minicpm5-2b.jsonl
Probes
------
ft_default bare question, neutral system prompt (free text)
ft_specified context variable (school / stance / jurisdiction) made explicit
ft_two_schools asked to enumerate and attribute the competing positions
mcq_neutral multiple choice over the competing positions, unlabelled
mcq_specified multiple choice over the competing positions, labelled by holder
For every prompt we record the model's own answer together with the mean
token log-probability of that answer, which is our confidence proxy.
"""
from __future__ import annotations
import argparse
import json
import pathlib
import sys
import time
import torch
from transformers import AutoModelForCausalLM, AutoTokenizer
sys.path.insert(0, str(pathlib.Path(__file__).resolve().parent))
import msq # noqa: E402
ROOT = pathlib.Path(__file__).resolve().parent.parent
MODELS = {
"minicpm5-2b": "openbmb/MiniCPM5-2B",
"minicpm5-2b-base": "openbmb/MiniCPM5-2B-Base",
"minicpm5-2b-sft": "openbmb/MiniCPM5-2B-SFT",
"qwen3-4b": "Qwen/Qwen3-4B-Instruct-2507",
"smollm3-3b": "HuggingFaceTB/SmolLM3-3B",
"phi4-mini": "microsoft/Phi-4-mini-instruct",
"tiny-test": "hf-internal-testing/tiny-random-LlamaForCausalLM",
}
def load_model(name: str, load_in_4bit: bool, max_len: int):
repo = MODELS[name]
tok = AutoTokenizer.from_pretrained(repo, trust_remote_code=True)
if tok.pad_token is None:
tok.pad_token = tok.eos_token
tok.padding_side = "left"
kwargs = dict(trust_remote_code=True, device_map="auto",
dtype=torch.bfloat16,
max_memory={0: "6GiB", "cpu": "8GiB"})
if load_in_4bit:
from transformers import BitsAndBytesConfig
kwargs["quantization_config"] = BitsAndBytesConfig(
load_in_4bit=True,
bnb_4bit_compute_dtype=torch.bfloat16,
bnb_4bit_quant_type="nf4",
bnb_4bit_use_double_quant=True,
)
model = AutoModelForCausalLM.from_pretrained(repo, **kwargs)
model.eval()
model.config.use_cache = True
return tok, model, repo
def build_chat(tok, system: str, user: str) -> str:
"""Render a prompt.
Instruct/chat models get their chat template (with reasoning disabled
where the template supports it). Base models have no chat template, so they
get a plain instruction prefix -- which is the fairest way to compare them,
and is noted in the README.
"""
has_template = bool(getattr(tok, "chat_template", None))
if not has_template:
prefix = (f"{system}\n\n" if system else "")
return f"{prefix}### Instruction:\n{user}\n\n### Response:\n"
msgs = []
if system:
msgs.append({"role": "system", "content": system})
msgs.append({"role": "user", "content": user})
try:
return tok.apply_chat_template(msgs, tokenize=False,
add_generation_prompt=True,
enable_thinking=False)
except Exception:
return tok.apply_chat_template(msgs, tokenize=False,
add_generation_prompt=True)
@torch.no_grad()
def generate_batch(tok, model, chats: list[str], max_new_tokens: int,
batch_size: int):
outs = []
for i in range(0, len(chats), batch_size):
chunk = chats[i:i + batch_size]
enc = tok(chunk, return_tensors="pt", padding=True, add_special_tokens=False)
enc = {k: v.to(model.device) for k, v in enc.items()}
gen = model.generate(**enc, max_new_tokens=max_new_tokens,
do_sample=False, temperature=None, top_p=None,
top_k=None, pad_token_id=tok.pad_token_id)
new = gen[:, enc["input_ids"].shape[1]:]
for row in new:
ids = [t for t in row.tolist() if t != tok.pad_token_id]
outs.append(tok.decode(ids, skip_special_tokens=True).strip())
print(f" gen {min(i + batch_size, len(chats))}/{len(chats)}", flush=True)
return outs
@torch.no_grad()
def score_own_answers(tok, model, chats: list[str], answers: list[str],
batch_size: int):
"""Mean token log-probability of the model's own answer -> confidence proxy.
The vocabulary is 130k wide, so materialising float logits for the whole
sequence is what blows up the GPU. We therefore ask the model for only the
logits we need (`logits_to_keep`) and convert one row at a time.
"""
means = []
for i in range(0, len(chats), batch_size):
chunk_c = chats[i:i + batch_size]
chunk_a = answers[i:i + batch_size]
seqs, plens, glens = [], [], []
for c, a in zip(chunk_c, chunk_a):
pid = tok(c, add_special_tokens=False)["input_ids"]
aid = tok(a, add_special_tokens=False)["input_ids"] if a else [tok.eos_token_id]
seqs.append(pid + aid)
plens.append(len(pid))
glens.append(len(aid))
maxlen = max(len(s) for s in seqs)
min_plen = min(plens)
pad = tok.pad_token_id
inp = torch.full((len(seqs), maxlen), pad, dtype=torch.long)
att = torch.zeros((len(seqs), maxlen), dtype=torch.long)
for j, s in enumerate(seqs):
inp[j, :len(s)] = torch.tensor(s)
att[j, :len(s)] = 1
inp, att = inp.to(model.device), att.to(model.device)
keep = maxlen - min_plen + 1
logits = model(input_ids=inp, attention_mask=att,
logits_to_keep=keep).logits
for j, s in enumerate(seqs):
tot, n = 0.0, 0
for k in range(plens[j], plens[j] + glens[j]):
row = logits[j, k - min_plen].float()
lp = row.log_softmax(-1)[s[k]].item()
tot += lp
n += 1
means.append(tot / max(n, 1))
del logits
print(f" score {min(i + batch_size, len(chats))}/{len(chats)}", flush=True)
return means
@torch.no_grad()
def letter_logits(tok, model, chats: list[str], n_opts: list[int],
batch_size: int):
"""Distribution over the option letters at the first generated position."""
letter_ids = []
for L in msq.LETTERS:
cand = []
for form in (L, " " + L):
ids = tok(form, add_special_tokens=False)["input_ids"]
if len(ids) == 1:
cand.append(ids[0])
letter_ids.append(sorted(set(cand)))
out = []
for i in range(0, len(chats), batch_size):
chunk = chats[i:i + batch_size]
enc = tok(chunk, return_tensors="pt", padding=True, add_special_tokens=False)
enc = {k: v.to(model.device) for k, v in enc.items()}
logits = model(**enc, logits_to_keep=1).logits[:, -1, :].float()
for j in range(len(chunk)):
k = n_opts[i + j]
per = []
for li in range(k):
ids = letter_ids[li]
per.append(float(torch.logsumexp(logits[j, ids], dim=0).item())
if ids else -1e9)
mx = max(per)
exps = [pow(2.718281828, v - mx) for v in per]
s = sum(exps)
out.append([e / s for e in exps])
del logits
print(f" logit {min(i + batch_size, len(chats))}/{len(chats)}", flush=True)
return out
@torch.no_grad()
def embed_texts(tok, model, texts: list[str], batch_size: int = 16) -> "torch.Tensor":
"""Mean-pooled, normalised last hidden states from the model's own body.
Used to score how much of a ground-truth position an answer actually
carries. The model paraphrases heavily ("tayammum is permissible when
there is no water" for "tayammum is valid on dust, sand and rock"), so a
lexical overlap measure is far too brittle. Comparing in the model's own
representation space is robust to paraphrase and is, as a bonus, a direct
inspection of what the model internally encodes.
"""
base = getattr(model, "model", model)
embs = []
for i in range(0, len(texts), batch_size):
chunk = [t if t else " " for t in texts[i:i + batch_size]]
enc = tok(chunk, return_tensors="pt", padding=True, add_special_tokens=False,
truncation=True, max_length=512)
enc = {k: v.to(model.device) for k, v in enc.items()}
out = base(input_ids=enc["input_ids"], attention_mask=enc["attention_mask"])
h = out.last_hidden_state if hasattr(out, "last_hidden_state") else out[0]
mask = enc["attention_mask"].unsqueeze(-1).to(h.dtype)
pooled = (h * mask).sum(1) / mask.sum(1).clamp(min=1)
pooled = torch.nn.functional.normalize(pooled.float(), dim=-1)
embs.append(pooled.cpu())
return torch.cat(embs)
@torch.no_grad()
def attach_position_sims(tok, model, items, records, batch_size: int = 16):
"""For every free-text record, the cosine similarity of the answer to each
ground-truth position of its item."""
pos_texts, pos_index = [], []
for it in items:
start = len(pos_texts)
for p in it["positions"]:
pos_texts.append(p["txt"])
pos_index.append((it["id"], start, len(pos_texts)))
if not pos_texts:
return
pos_emb = embed_texts(tok, model, pos_texts, batch_size)
todo = [(i, r) for i, r in enumerate(records) if r["probe"].startswith("ft_")]
if not todo:
return
ans_emb = embed_texts(tok, model, [r["answer"] or " " for _, r in todo], batch_size)
pmap = {iid: (s, e) for iid, s, e in pos_index}
for k, (i, r) in enumerate(todo):
s, e = pmap[r["item_id"]]
sims = (ans_emb[k].unsqueeze(0) @ pos_emb[s:e].T).squeeze(0).tolist()
r["position_sims"] = [round(float(x), 4) for x in sims]
print(f" attached position sims for {len(todo)} answers", flush=True)
def main() -> None:
ap = argparse.ArgumentParser()
ap.add_argument("--model", required=True, choices=list(MODELS))
ap.add_argument("--out", required=True)
ap.add_argument("--load-in-4bit", action="store_true")
ap.add_argument("--batch-size", type=int, default=8)
ap.add_argument("--max-new-tokens", type=int, default=280)
ap.add_argument("--limit", type=int, default=0)
args = ap.parse_args()
items = msq.load_items()
if args.limit:
items = items[:args.limit]
tok, model, repo = load_model(args.model, args.load_in_4bit, 4096)
print(f"loaded {repo} | dtype={next(model.parameters()).dtype} | "
f"vram={torch.cuda.memory_allocated()/1e9:.2f}GB", flush=True)
records: list[dict] = []
t0 = time.time()
def add(it, probe, sysmsg, user, answer, conf, extra=None):
rec = dict(model=args.model, repo=repo, probe=probe, item_id=it["id"],
cls=it["cls"], domain=it["domain"], sys=sysmsg, user=user,
answer=answer, mean_logprob=conf)
if extra:
rec.update(extra)
records.append(rec)
# ---- free-text probes ------------------------------------------------
for probe, builder in (("ft_default", msq.ft_default_prompt),
("ft_specified", msq.ft_specified_prompt),
("ft_technical", msq.ft_technical_prompt),
("ft_repair", msq.ft_repair_prompt)):
pairs = [builder(it) for it in items]
chats = [build_chat(tok, s, u) for s, u in pairs]
print(f"[{probe}] {len(chats)} prompts", flush=True)
answers = generate_batch(tok, model, chats, args.max_new_tokens,
args.batch_size)
confs = score_own_answers(tok, model, chats, answers, args.batch_size)
for it, (s, u), a, c in zip(items, pairs, answers, confs):
add(it, probe, s, u, a, c)
# ---- two-schools / pair probes (class A only) ------------------------
a_items = [it for it in items if it["cls"] == "A"]
if a_items:
for probe, builder in (("ft_two_schools", msq.ft_two_schools_prompt),
("ft_pair", msq.ft_pair_prompt)):
pairs = [builder(it) for it in a_items]
chats = [build_chat(tok, s, u) for s, u in pairs]
print(f"[{probe}] {len(chats)} prompts", flush=True)
answers = generate_batch(tok, model, chats, args.max_new_tokens,
args.batch_size)
confs = score_own_answers(tok, model, chats, answers, args.batch_size)
for it, (s, u), a, c in zip(a_items, pairs, answers, confs):
add(it, probe, s, u, a, c)
# ---- MCQ logit probes -------------------------------------------------
for probe, builder in (("mcq_neutral", msq.mcq_neutral_prompt),
("mcq_specified", msq.mcq_specified_prompt)):
built = []
for it in items:
if probe == "mcq_specified" and it["cls"] == "D":
continue
built.append((it, builder(it)))
chats = [build_chat(tok, s, u) for _, (s, u, _, _) in built]
n_opts = [len(o) for _, (_, _, o, _) in built]
print(f"[{probe}] {len(chats)} prompts", flush=True)
dists = letter_logits(tok, model, chats, n_opts, args.batch_size)
for (it, (s, u, opts, gold)), d in zip(built, dists):
add(it, probe, s, u, None, None,
{"options": [o["txt"] for o in opts],
"gold_index": gold, "probs": d,
"divided_index": msq.divided_index(it, opts),
"argmax_index": max(range(len(d)), key=lambda i: d[i]),
"max_prob": max(d)})
outp = pathlib.Path(args.out)
outp.parent.mkdir(parents=True, exist_ok=True)
attach_position_sims(tok, model, items, records, args.batch_size)
with outp.open("w", encoding="utf-8") as fh:
for r in records:
fh.write(json.dumps(r, ensure_ascii=False) + "\n")
print(f"wrote {len(records)} records -> {outp} in {time.time()-t0:.0f}s")
if __name__ == "__main__":
main()
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