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19.9 kB
| """Deterministic scoring for synthetic academic-visit plans. | |
| Execute this module on Molab, alongside the data generation and inference jobs. | |
| The oracle enumerates the finite candidate schedules supplied with each profile. | |
| It does not search arbitrary new actions or assume access to unlisted financing. | |
| """ | |
| from __future__ import annotations | |
| import argparse | |
| import json | |
| import math | |
| from collections import Counter | |
| from itertools import permutations, product | |
| from pathlib import Path | |
| def read_jsonl(path): | |
| with Path(path).open(encoding="utf-8") as handle: | |
| return [json.loads(line) for line in handle if line.strip()] | |
| def write_jsonl(path, rows): | |
| Path(path).parent.mkdir(parents=True, exist_ok=True) | |
| with Path(path).open("w", encoding="utf-8") as handle: | |
| for row in rows: | |
| handle.write(json.dumps(row, ensure_ascii=False) + "\n") | |
| def parse_response(response): | |
| """Read ordinary JSON, a fenced JSON block, or a JSON object in prose.""" | |
| if isinstance(response, dict): | |
| return response, None | |
| if not isinstance(response, str): | |
| return None, "response_is_not_text" | |
| decoder = json.JSONDecoder() | |
| final_plan = None | |
| for start, char in enumerate(response): | |
| if char != "{": | |
| continue | |
| try: | |
| value, _ = decoder.raw_decode(response[start:]) | |
| except json.JSONDecodeError: | |
| continue | |
| if isinstance(value, dict) and isinstance(value.get("actions"), list): | |
| final_plan = value | |
| if final_plan is not None: | |
| return final_plan, None | |
| return None, "no_action_json" | |
| def _normal_actions(plan): | |
| result, errors = [], [] | |
| for index, action in enumerate(plan.get("actions", [])): | |
| if not isinstance(action, dict): | |
| errors.append("malformed_action") | |
| continue | |
| action_id, day = action.get("id"), action.get("day") | |
| if not isinstance(action_id, str) or not isinstance(day, int) or isinstance(day, bool): | |
| errors.append("action_needs_id_and_integer_day") | |
| continue | |
| result.append({"id": action_id, "day": day, "order": index}) | |
| return result, errors | |
| def structural_check(profile, plan): | |
| actions, errors = _normal_actions(plan) | |
| specs = {a["id"]: a for a in profile["actions"]} | |
| counts = Counter(a["id"] for a in actions) | |
| by_id = {a["id"]: a for a in actions} | |
| errors += ["duplicate:" + key for key, count in counts.items() if count > 1] | |
| errors += ["unknown:" + key for key in counts if key not in specs] | |
| for action in actions: | |
| spec = specs.get(action["id"]) | |
| if spec is None: | |
| continue | |
| day = action["day"] | |
| if day < spec.get("earliest", 0) or day > spec.get("latest", profile["horizon_days"]): | |
| errors.append("window:" + action["id"]) | |
| if "allowed_days" in spec and day not in spec["allowed_days"]: | |
| errors.append("unavailable_date:" + action["id"]) | |
| for dep in spec.get("deps", []): | |
| source = by_id.get(dep["id"]) | |
| if source is None and dep["id"] in profile.get("initial_completed", {}): | |
| source = {"day": profile["initial_completed"][dep["id"]], "order": -1} | |
| if source is None: | |
| errors.append("dependency_missing:" + action["id"] + ":" + dep["id"]) | |
| elif day < source["day"] + dep.get("lag", 0): | |
| errors.append("dependency_time:" + action["id"] + ":" + dep["id"]) | |
| elif day == source["day"] and source["order"] >= action["order"]: | |
| errors.append("dependency_order:" + action["id"] + ":" + dep["id"]) | |
| elif dep.get("max_lag") is not None and day > source["day"] + dep["max_lag"]: | |
| errors.append("dependency_expired:" + action["id"] + ":" + dep["id"]) | |
| for other in spec.get("excludes", []): | |
| if other in by_id: | |
| errors.append("incompatible:" + action["id"] + ":" + other) | |
| for group in profile["required_groups"]: | |
| if not any(key in by_id for key in group["ids"]): | |
| errors.append("required_stage_missing:" + group["stage"]) | |
| return actions, sorted(set(errors)) | |
| def _events(profile, actions): | |
| """Cash receipts and payments occur only on their stipulated dates.""" | |
| specs = {a["id"]: a for a in profile["actions"]} | |
| events = [] | |
| for action in actions: | |
| spec = specs.get(action["id"]) | |
| if spec is None: | |
| events.append({"day": action["day"], "order": action["order"] * 1000, | |
| "action": action["id"], "net": 0, "spent": 0, "kind": "action"}) | |
| continue | |
| events.append({"day": action["day"], "order": action["order"] * 1000, | |
| "action": action["id"], "net": -spec.get("cost", 0), | |
| "spent": spec.get("cost", 0), "kind": "action"}) | |
| for index, effect in enumerate(spec.get("cash_effects", [])): | |
| effect_day = action["day"] + effect["offset"] | |
| if effect_day > profile["horizon_days"]: | |
| continue | |
| value = effect["amount"] | |
| if effect["offset"] == 0: | |
| event_order = action["order"] * 1000 + index + 1 | |
| else: | |
| # Date-level accounting: later receipts arrive at day start; | |
| # later living payments fall at day end. Offset-zero effects | |
| # are part of the originating step and follow that step. | |
| event_order = (-9000 if value >= 0 else 900000) + index | |
| events.append({"day": effect_day, "order": event_order, | |
| "action": action["id"], "net": value, "spent": max(0, -value), | |
| "kind": effect.get("label", "cash_effect")}) | |
| for index, effect in enumerate(profile.get("external_cash_events", [])): | |
| value = effect["amount"] | |
| events.append({"day": effect["day"], "order": -10000 + index, | |
| "action": None, "net": value, "spent": max(0, -value), | |
| "kind": effect.get("label", "external_cash")}) | |
| return sorted(events, key=lambda event: (event["day"], event["order"])) | |
| def cash_requirement(profile, actions): | |
| """Analytic minimum initial reserve for one fully specified schedule.""" | |
| specs = {a["id"]: a for a in profile["actions"]} | |
| events = _events(profile, actions) | |
| balance, minimum_balance = 0, 0 | |
| daily_low = [0] * (profile["horizon_days"] + 1) | |
| cursor = 0 | |
| for day in range(len(daily_low)): | |
| low = balance | |
| while cursor < len(events) and events[cursor]["day"] == day: | |
| balance += events[cursor]["net"] | |
| low = min(low, balance) | |
| minimum_balance = min(minimum_balance, balance) | |
| cursor += 1 | |
| daily_low[day] = low | |
| needed = -minimum_balance | |
| hold_requirements = [] | |
| for action in actions: | |
| hold = specs.get(action["id"], {}).get("hold") | |
| if not hold: | |
| continue | |
| start, end = action["day"] - hold["days"] + 1, action["day"] | |
| if start < 0 or end >= len(daily_low): | |
| return None, ["hold_window_outside_plan:" + action["id"]] | |
| required = max(0, hold["amount"] - min(daily_low[start:end + 1])) | |
| needed = max(needed, required) | |
| hold_requirements.append({"id": action["id"], "amount": hold["amount"], | |
| "start": start, "end": end, "minimum_initial_cash": required}) | |
| return int(math.ceil(max(0, needed))), hold_requirements | |
| def execute(profile, actions, initial_cash): | |
| """Replay the submitted schedule until its first impossible action/payment. | |
| Spending before failure is the execution loss measure. It is not necessarily | |
| irrecoverable loss: nonrefundable loss is recorded separately from explicit | |
| action refund terms. Missed or invalid actions do not receive imagined funds. | |
| """ | |
| specs = {a["id"]: a for a in profile["actions"]} | |
| scheduled = {a["id"]: a for a in actions} | |
| completed = dict(profile.get("initial_completed", {})) | |
| active, seen = set(completed), set() | |
| balance, spent, nonrefundable = initial_cash, 0, 0 | |
| history = [initial_cash] * (profile["horizon_days"] + 1) | |
| action_at = { (a["day"], a["order"] * 1000): a for a in actions } | |
| cursor, failure = 0, None | |
| events = _events(profile, actions) | |
| if any(action["day"] < 0 for action in actions): | |
| failure = {"kind": "date_before_plan", "day": 0} | |
| for day in range(len(history)): | |
| if failure: | |
| break | |
| daily_low = balance | |
| while cursor < len(events) and events[cursor]["day"] == day: | |
| event = events[cursor] | |
| action = action_at.get((day, event["order"])) if event["kind"] == "action" else None | |
| if action is not None: | |
| key, spec = action["id"], specs.get(action["id"]) | |
| if spec is None: | |
| failure = {"kind": "unknown_action", "action": key, "day": day} | |
| break | |
| if key in seen: | |
| failure = {"kind": "duplicate", "action": key, "day": day} | |
| break | |
| seen.add(key) | |
| if not spec.get("earliest", 0) <= day <= spec.get("latest", profile["horizon_days"]): | |
| failure = {"kind": "window", "action": key, "day": day} | |
| break | |
| if "allowed_days" in spec and day not in spec["allowed_days"]: | |
| failure = {"kind": "unavailable_date", "action": key, "day": day} | |
| break | |
| for dep in spec.get("deps", []): | |
| previous = completed.get(dep["id"]) | |
| if previous is None or day < previous + dep.get("lag", 0): | |
| failure = {"kind": "dependency", "action": key, "day": day} | |
| break | |
| if dep.get("max_lag") is not None and day > previous + dep["max_lag"]: | |
| failure = {"kind": "dependency_expired", "action": key, "day": day} | |
| break | |
| if failure: | |
| break | |
| if any(other in scheduled for other in spec.get("excludes", [])): | |
| failure = {"kind": "incompatible", "action": key, "day": day} | |
| break | |
| hold = spec.get("hold") | |
| if hold: | |
| start = day - hold["days"] + 1 | |
| prior = history[start:day] + [daily_low] | |
| if start < 0 or min(prior) < hold["amount"]: | |
| failure = {"kind": "proof_hold", "action": key, "day": day, | |
| "required_stock": hold["amount"]} | |
| break | |
| if event["action"] is not None and action is None and event["action"] not in active: | |
| cursor += 1 | |
| continue | |
| if balance + event["net"] < 0: | |
| failure = {"kind": "cash_payment", "action": event["action"], "day": day, | |
| "payment": event["spent"], "cash_before": balance} | |
| break | |
| balance += event["net"] | |
| spent += event["spent"] | |
| daily_low = min(daily_low, balance) | |
| if action is not None: | |
| key, spec = action["id"], specs[action["id"]] | |
| completed[key] = day | |
| active.add(key) | |
| nonrefundable += spec.get("cost", 0) * (1 - spec.get("refundable_fraction", 0)) | |
| elif event["spent"]: | |
| nonrefundable += event["spent"] | |
| cursor += 1 | |
| history[day] = daily_low | |
| if failure: | |
| break | |
| if failure is None: | |
| missing = [group["stage"] for group in profile["required_groups"] | |
| if not any(key in completed for key in group["ids"])] | |
| if missing: | |
| failure = {"kind": "incomplete", "stages": missing, "day": profile["horizon_days"]} | |
| return {"execution_completed": failure is None, "failure": failure, | |
| "spending_before_failure": 0 if failure is None else spent, | |
| "nonrefundable_before_failure": 0 if failure is None else nonrefundable, | |
| "cash_at_stop": balance, "completed_action_count": len(completed)} | |
| def oracle(profile): | |
| if profile.get("available_routes"): | |
| specs = {action["id"]: action for action in profile["actions"]} | |
| candidates = [] | |
| combinations = 0 | |
| for route in profile["available_routes"]: | |
| ids = route["actions"] | |
| if any(not specs[key].get("allowed_days") for key in ids): | |
| raise ValueError("Finite-route oracle requires allowed_days for every action: " + profile["id"]) | |
| for days in product(*(specs[key]["allowed_days"] for key in ids)): | |
| by_day = {} | |
| for key, day in zip(ids, days): | |
| by_day.setdefault(day, []).append(key) | |
| date_order = sorted(by_day) | |
| for orders in product(*(permutations(by_day[day]) for day in date_order)): | |
| combinations += 1 | |
| candidate = {"route_id": route["id"], "actions": [ | |
| {"id": key, "day": day} for day, order in zip(date_order, orders) for key in order]} | |
| _, errors = structural_check(profile, candidate) | |
| if not errors: | |
| candidates.append(candidate) | |
| scope = "all supplied available routes, all permitted dates, and all within-day action orders" | |
| else: | |
| candidates = profile["oracle_candidates"] | |
| combinations = len(candidates) | |
| scope = "authored candidate schedules only" | |
| valid = [] | |
| for candidate in candidates: | |
| actions, errors = structural_check(profile, candidate) | |
| required, holds = cash_requirement(profile, actions) | |
| if errors or required is None: | |
| raise ValueError(f"Invalid authored oracle schedule for {profile['id']}: {errors or holds}") | |
| replay = execute(profile, actions, required) | |
| if not replay["execution_completed"]: | |
| raise ValueError(f"Oracle cash calculation disagrees with execution for {profile['id']}: {replay['failure']}") | |
| valid.append((required, candidate)) | |
| if not valid: | |
| raise ValueError("No oracle candidates for " + profile["id"]) | |
| required, candidate = min(valid, key=lambda pair: pair[0]) | |
| by_route = {} | |
| for route_required, route_candidate in valid: | |
| route_id = route_candidate.get("route_id", "authored_reference") | |
| by_route.setdefault(route_id, []).append((route_required, route_candidate)) | |
| route_minima = [] | |
| for route_id, route_candidates in sorted(by_route.items()): | |
| route_required, route_candidate = min(route_candidates, key=lambda pair: pair[0]) | |
| route_minima.append({"route_id": route_id, "minimum_initial_cash": route_required, | |
| "candidate": route_candidate, | |
| "enumerated_candidate_count": len(route_candidates)}) | |
| return {"minimum_initial_cash": required, "candidate": candidate, | |
| "enumerated_candidate_count": len(valid), "enumerated_combinations": combinations, | |
| "scope": scope, "route_minima": route_minima} | |
| def score_response(profile, row, oracle_result): | |
| plan, parse_error = parse_response(row.get("response")) | |
| result = {key: row.get(key) for key in ("id", "profile_id", "B", "model", "seed", "condition")} | |
| result.update({"oracle_min_cash": oracle_result["minimum_initial_cash"], | |
| "oracle_feasible": row["B"] >= oracle_result["minimum_initial_cash"], | |
| "parse_error": parse_error}) | |
| if parse_error: | |
| result.update({"stage_coverage": 0, "structurally_valid": False, | |
| "full_schedule_feasible": False, "model_min_cash": None, | |
| "startup_cash_excess": None, "structural_errors": [parse_error], | |
| "execution_completed": False, "failure": {"kind": "unparseable"}, | |
| "spending_before_failure": 0, "nonrefundable_before_failure": 0}) | |
| return result | |
| actions, errors = structural_check(profile, plan) | |
| # Surface coverage asks whether the named stages were listed, independently | |
| # of whether their dates can be executed or even parsed as integer days. | |
| selected = {a["id"] for a in plan["actions"] | |
| if isinstance(a, dict) and isinstance(a.get("id"), str)} | |
| coverage = sum(any(key in selected for key in group["ids"]) for group in profile["required_groups"]) | |
| model_min_cash, hold_data = cash_requirement(profile, actions) if not errors else (None, []) | |
| if model_min_cash is None and not errors: | |
| errors += hold_data | |
| excess = None if model_min_cash is None else model_min_cash - oracle_result["minimum_initial_cash"] | |
| result.update({"stage_coverage": coverage / len(profile["required_groups"]), | |
| "structurally_valid": not errors, "structural_errors": errors, | |
| "model_min_cash": model_min_cash, "startup_cash_excess": excess, | |
| "full_schedule_feasible": not errors and model_min_cash <= row["B"], | |
| "hold_requirements": hold_data}) | |
| result.update(execute(profile, actions, row["B"])) | |
| return result | |
| def summarize(scores): | |
| groups = {} | |
| for score in scores: | |
| key = (score["model"], score["condition"], score["B"]) | |
| groups.setdefault(key, []).append(score) | |
| output = [] | |
| for (model, condition, buffer), rows in sorted(groups.items(), key=lambda item: str(item[0])): | |
| feasible = [r for r in rows if r["oracle_feasible"]] | |
| valid = [r for r in feasible if r["startup_cash_excess"] is not None] | |
| mean = lambda values: sum(values) / len(values) if values else None | |
| output.append({"model": model, "condition": condition, "B": buffer, "n": len(rows), | |
| "mean_stage_coverage": mean([r["stage_coverage"] for r in rows]), | |
| "full_schedule_feasible_rate": mean([r["full_schedule_feasible"] for r in rows]), | |
| "oracle_feasible_n": len(feasible), "cash_excess_valid_n": len(valid), | |
| "oracle_feasible_success_rate": mean([r["full_schedule_feasible"] for r in feasible]), | |
| "mean_startup_cash_excess_valid": mean([r["startup_cash_excess"] for r in valid]), | |
| "mean_spending_before_failure_oracle_feasible": mean([r["spending_before_failure"] for r in feasible]), | |
| "mean_nonrefundable_before_failure_oracle_feasible": mean([r["nonrefundable_before_failure"] for r in feasible]), | |
| "failure_counts": dict(Counter((r.get("failure") or {}).get("kind", "success") for r in rows))}) | |
| return output | |
| def main(): | |
| parser = argparse.ArgumentParser() | |
| parser.add_argument("--profiles", default="data/profiles.jsonl") | |
| parser.add_argument("--responses", required=True) | |
| parser.add_argument("--out", default="results/scores.jsonl") | |
| parser.add_argument("--summary", default="results/summary.json") | |
| args = parser.parse_args() | |
| profiles = {p["id"]: p for p in read_jsonl(args.profiles)} | |
| oracle_results = {key: oracle(profile) for key, profile in profiles.items()} | |
| scores = [score_response(profiles[row["profile_id"]], row, oracle_results[row["profile_id"]]) | |
| for row in read_jsonl(args.responses)] | |
| write_jsonl(args.out, scores) | |
| Path(args.summary).parent.mkdir(parents=True, exist_ok=True) | |
| Path(args.summary).write_text(json.dumps(summarize(scores), ensure_ascii=False, indent=2), encoding="utf-8") | |
| print(json.dumps({"scored": len(scores), "profiles": len(profiles)}, ensure_ascii=False)) | |
| if __name__ == "__main__": | |
| main() | |