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Datasets:
AFOS-Analytics1
/
canada-2025-electoral-divergence
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Languages:
English
French
Portuguese
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Tags:
elections
canada
prediction-markets
polls
political-risk
divergence
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License:
cc-by-4.0
apache-2.0
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canada-2025-electoral-divergence
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Commit History
Jul 18
01:38
polish: move raw pulls to raw/
AFOS-Analytics1
Verified signature
b6b8c84
Jun 23
03:51
Add structural-context.csv (World Bank WGI governance + WDI economy & education); document in DATA_DICTIONARY
AFOS-Analytics1
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f3edee1
03:27
Add structural-context.csv (World Bank WGI governance + WDI economy & education); document in DATA_DICTIONARY
AFOS-Analytics1
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d2d6756
Jun 11
09:38
AFOS Canada 2025 Electoral Divergence — initial dataset
andrefelipe-afos
67d6437
Party-level: vote share (polls) vs probability of winning the most seats (market). Market swung ~85% Conservative (Jan) → ~80% Liberal (Apr); Liberals won the most seats. 437 polls + Polymarket + divergence. CC BY 4.0 + Apache 2.0. No personal data.
