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  1. figures/paper/fig_paper_0_pipeline.pdf +0 -0
  2. figures/paper/fig_paper_4_ffs_dist.pdf +0 -0
  3. figures/paper/fig_paper_6_ablation.pdf +0 -0
  4. figures/paper/fig_paper_8_llama_lr.pdf +0 -0
  5. figures/paper/fig_paper_9_multi_seed.pdf +0 -0
  6. figures/paper/table_baselines.tex +16 -0
  7. figures/paper/table_paper.tex +56 -0
  8. figures/qwen25-7b/gpqa/fig1_ssr_curves.pdf +0 -0
  9. figures/qwen25-7b/gpqa/fig2_error_heatmap.pdf +0 -0
  10. figures/qwen25-7b/gpqa/fig3_ffs_distribution.pdf +0 -0
  11. figures/qwen25-7b/gpqa/fig4_accuracy_degradation.pdf +0 -0
  12. figures/qwen25-7b/gpqa/fig5_cascade_rate.pdf +0 -0
  13. figures/qwen25-7b/gpqa/fig6_restoration_awq_w4.pdf +0 -0
  14. figures/qwen25-7b/gpqa/fig6_restoration_bnb_nf4_w4.pdf +0 -0
  15. figures/qwen25-7b/gpqa/fig6_restoration_gptq_w4.pdf +0 -0
  16. figures/qwen25-7b/gsm8k/fig1_ssr_curves.pdf +0 -0
  17. figures/qwen25-7b/gsm8k/fig2_error_heatmap.pdf +0 -0
  18. figures/qwen25-7b/gsm8k/fig3_ffs_distribution.pdf +0 -0
  19. figures/qwen25-7b/gsm8k/fig4_accuracy_degradation.pdf +0 -0
  20. figures/qwen25-7b/gsm8k/fig5_cascade_rate.pdf +0 -0
  21. figures/qwen25-7b/gsm8k/fig6_restoration_awq_w4.pdf +0 -0
  22. figures/qwen25-7b/gsm8k/fig6_restoration_bnb_nf4_w4.pdf +0 -0
  23. figures/qwen25-7b/gsm8k/fig6_restoration_gptq_w4.pdf +0 -0
  24. figures/qwen25-7b/math500/fig1_ssr_curves.pdf +0 -0
  25. figures/qwen25-7b/math500/fig2_error_heatmap.pdf +0 -0
  26. figures/qwen25-7b/math500/fig3_ffs_distribution.pdf +0 -0
  27. figures/qwen25-7b/math500/fig4_accuracy_degradation.pdf +0 -0
  28. figures/qwen25-7b/math500/fig5_cascade_rate.pdf +0 -0
  29. figures/qwen25-7b/math500/fig6_restoration_awq_w4.pdf +0 -0
  30. figures/qwen25-7b/math500/fig6_restoration_bnb_nf4_w4.pdf +0 -0
  31. figures/qwen25-7b/math500/fig6_restoration_gptq_w4.pdf +0 -0
  32. figures/r1-llama-8b/gpqa/fig1_ssr_curves.pdf +0 -0
  33. figures/r1-llama-8b/gpqa/fig2_error_heatmap.pdf +0 -0
  34. figures/r1-llama-8b/gpqa/fig3_ffs_distribution.pdf +0 -0
  35. figures/r1-llama-8b/gpqa/fig4_accuracy_degradation.pdf +0 -0
  36. figures/r1-llama-8b/gpqa/fig5_cascade_rate.pdf +0 -0
  37. figures/r1-llama-8b/gpqa/fig6_restoration_awq_w4.pdf +0 -0
  38. figures/r1-llama-8b/gpqa/fig6_restoration_bnb_nf4_w4.pdf +0 -0
  39. figures/r1-llama-8b/gpqa/fig6_restoration_gptq_w4.pdf +0 -0
  40. figures/r1-llama-8b/gsm8k/fig1_ssr_curves.pdf +0 -0
  41. figures/r1-llama-8b/gsm8k/fig2_error_heatmap.pdf +0 -0
  42. figures/r1-llama-8b/gsm8k/fig3_ffs_distribution.pdf +0 -0
  43. figures/r1-llama-8b/gsm8k/fig4_accuracy_degradation.pdf +0 -0
  44. figures/r1-llama-8b/gsm8k/fig5_cascade_rate.pdf +0 -0
  45. figures/r1-llama-8b/gsm8k/fig6_restoration_awq_w4.pdf +0 -0
  46. figures/r1-llama-8b/gsm8k/fig6_restoration_bnb_nf4_w4.pdf +0 -0
  47. figures/r1-llama-8b/gsm8k/fig6_restoration_gptq_w4.pdf +0 -0
  48. figures/r1-llama-8b/math500/fig1_ssr_curves.pdf +0 -0
  49. figures/r1-llama-8b/math500/fig2_error_heatmap.pdf +0 -0
  50. figures/r1-llama-8b/math500/fig3_ffs_distribution.pdf +0 -0
figures/paper/fig_paper_0_pipeline.pdf ADDED
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figures/paper/fig_paper_4_ffs_dist.pdf ADDED
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figures/paper/fig_paper_6_ablation.pdf ADDED
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figures/paper/fig_paper_8_llama_lr.pdf ADDED
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figures/paper/table_baselines.tex ADDED
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1
+ \begin{table}[t]
2
+ \centering\small
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+ \caption{Sampling-strategy baselines. All three adapters are trained with identical QLoRA hyperparameters on the same underlying problem set; the only difference is which problems are drawn. Accuracy in \%; 95\% bootstrap CI in brackets; $p$-value from paired bootstrap against the quantized baseline.}
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+ \label{tab:baselines}
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+ \begin{tabular}{@{}lccc@{}}
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+ \toprule
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+ Sampling strategy & Acc (\%) & 95\% CI & $p$ \\
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+ \midrule
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+ \textbf{Silver bullet} (ours) & 75.4 & [71.4, 79.2] & 0.001$^{**}$ \\
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+ Failed only (no type balancing) & 74.0 & [70.0, 77.8] & 0.009$^{**}$ \\
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+ Random (no diagnosis) & 73.6 & [69.6, 77.4] & 0.028$^{*}$ \\
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+ \midrule
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+ \textit{Quantized baseline (no restoration)} & 69.4 & -- & -- \\
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+ \bottomrule
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+ \end{tabular}
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+ \end{table}
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1
+ \begin{table}[t]
2
+ \centering
3
+ \caption{Per-(model, benchmark, method) results. Point estimates followed by 95\% bootstrap CIs in brackets. Accuracy and ECR in \%, FFS in step index. $\Delta$Acc is restored~--~base accuracy (pp); paired-bootstrap significance: $^{*}p<.05$, $^{**}p<.01$, $^{***}p<.001$.}
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+ \label{tab:main}
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+ \resizebox{\textwidth}{!}{%
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+ \begin{tabular}{@{}lllcccccc@{}}
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+ \toprule
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+ Model & Benchmark & Method & Acc$_\mathrm{base}$ & Acc$_\mathrm{rest}$ & $\Delta$Acc & FFS$_\mathrm{base}\!\to\!\mathrm{rest}$ & ECR$_\mathrm{base}\!\to\!\mathrm{rest}$ \\
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+ \midrule
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+ qwen25-7b & GSM8K & AWQ w4 & 86.7\,[84.8,88.5] & 88.2\,[86.5,90.0] & +1.6 & 1.11\,[0.92,1.31]\,$\to$\,1.67\,[1.40,1.97] & 85.9\,[81.8,89.7]\,$\to$\,76.2\,[70.0,82.1] \\
11
+ & & GPTQ w4 & 86.0\,[84.1,87.8] & 87.9\,[86.1,89.6] & +1.9 & 1.10\,[0.93,1.28]\,$\to$\,1.60\,[1.36,1.85] & 84.4\,[80.1,88.4]\,$\to$\,79.7\,[74.2,84.9] \\
12
+ & & BnB NF4 & 86.4\,[84.5,88.2] & 84.4\,[82.4,86.3] & -2.0 & 1.32\,[1.11,1.55]\,$\to$\,1.37\,[1.17,1.58] & 86.6\,[82.6,90.3]\,$\to$\,80.4\,[75.6,84.9] \\
13
+ & MATH-500 & AWQ w4 & 70.4\,[66.4,74.4] & 75.0\,[71.2,78.8] & +4.6$^{*}$ & 0.63\,[0.49,0.77]\,$\to$\,0.82\,[0.63,1.02] & 90.1\,[85.8,94.0]\,$\to$\,89.3\,[84.6,93.5] \\
14
+ & & GPTQ w4 & 69.4\,[65.2,73.4] & 74.8\,[71.0,78.6] & +5.4$^{**}$ & 0.50\,[0.39,0.63]\,$\to$\,0.85\,[0.64,1.08] & 93.5\,[90.3,96.3]\,$\to$\,89.8\,[85.3,93.7] \\
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+ & & BnB NF4 & 73.2\,[69.2,77.0] & 72.2\,[68.2,76.0] & -1.0 & 0.77\,[0.57,1.00]\,$\to$\,0.71\,[0.54,0.91] & 91.6\,[87.7,95.1]\,$\to$\,92.2\,[88.2,95.6] \\
16
+ & GPQA-Diamond & AWQ w4 & 26.3\,[20.2,32.3] & 27.8\,[21.7,33.8] & +1.5 & 0.28\,[0.19,0.38]\,$\to$\,0.62\,[0.42,0.84] & 96.4\,[94.4,98.0]\,$\to$\,94.2\,[91.2,96.7] \\
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+ & & GPTQ w4 & 26.8\,[20.7,32.8] & 30.8\,[24.2,37.4] & +4.0 & 0.26\,[0.18,0.34]\,$\to$\,0.64\,[0.47,0.83] & 96.5\,[94.4,98.1]\,$\to$\,92.9\,[89.7,95.7] \\
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+ & & BnB NF4 & 31.3\,[25.2,37.9] & 31.3\,[25.3,37.9] & +0.0 & 0.30\,[0.21,0.40]\,$\to$\,0.50\,[0.36,0.64] & 96.4\,[94.5,98.0]\,$\to$\,94.3\,[91.4,96.8] \\
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+ \addlinespace[2pt]
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+ r1-llama-8b & GSM8K & AWQ w4 & 64.8\,[62.3,67.3] & 55.4\,[52.7,58.1] & -9.4$^{***}$ & 0.67\,[0.57,0.78]\,$\to$\,0.40\,[0.34,0.47] & 81.8\,[79.3,84.1]\,$\to$\,86.1\,[84.2,87.9] \\
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+ & & GPTQ w4 & 62.7\,[60.0,65.3] & 56.6\,[53.9,59.3] & -6.1$^{***}$ & 0.56\,[0.47,0.67]\,$\to$\,0.42\,[0.35,0.49] & 85.1\,[82.9,87.1]\,$\to$\,86.2\,[84.3,88.1] \\
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+ & & BnB NF4 & 65.4\,[62.8,68.0] & 55.8\,[53.1,58.5] & -9.6$^{***}$ & 0.76\,[0.65,0.88]\,$\to$\,0.37\,[0.31,0.43] & 80.6\,[77.9,83.2]\,$\to$\,86.8\,[85.0,88.5] \\
23
+ & MATH-500 & AWQ w4 & 66.0\,[61.8,70.2] & 47.2\,[43.0,51.4] & -18.8$^{***}$ & 0.66\,[0.53,0.80]\,$\to$\,0.59\,[0.50,0.68] & 96.6\,[95.1,97.8]\,$\to$\,96.5\,[95.4,97.5] \\
24
+ & & GPTQ w4 & 58.8\,[54.4,63.2] & 50.2\,[46.0,54.6] & -8.6$^{***}$ & 0.50\,[0.41,0.61]\,$\to$\,0.51\,[0.43,0.60] & 96.5\,[95.4,97.5]\,$\to$\,97.3\,[96.5,97.9] \\
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+ & & BnB NF4 & 63.4\,[59.2,67.6] & 49.8\,[45.4,54.2] & -13.6$^{***}$ & 0.72\,[0.61,0.84]\,$\to$\,0.62\,[0.53,0.72] & 94.8\,[92.9,96.5]\,$\to$\,96.8\,[95.9,97.6] \\
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+ & GPQA-Diamond & AWQ w4 & 24.7\,[19.2,30.8] & 23.2\,[17.7,29.3] & -1.5 & 0.50\,[0.40,0.61]\,$\to$\,0.59\,[0.43,0.80] & 98.8\,[98.2,99.3]\,$\to$\,99.2\,[98.7,99.6] \\
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+ & & GPTQ w4 & 19.2\,[14.1,24.7] & 21.2\,[15.7,27.3] & +2.0 & 0.46\,[0.35,0.60]\,$\to$\,0.49\,[0.34,0.67] & 99.1\,[98.6,99.5]\,$\to$\,99.1\,[98.6,99.5] \\
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+ & & BnB NF4 & 19.2\,[13.6,24.7] & 22.7\,[17.2,28.8] & +3.5 & 0.63\,[0.50,0.78]\,$\to$\,0.58\,[0.43,0.76] & 98.2\,[97.1,99.1]\,$\to$\,99.4\,[99.1,99.6] \\
29
+ \addlinespace[2pt]
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+ r1-qwen-1.5b & GSM8K & AWQ w4 & 63.1\,[60.5,65.7] & 63.9\,[61.3,66.4] & +0.8 & 0.59\,[0.49,0.70]\,$\to$\,0.52\,[0.42,0.62] & 85.8\,[83.5,87.8]\,$\to$\,82.7\,[80.3,85.0] \\
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+ & & GPTQ w4 & 62.5\,[60.0,65.1] & 64.0\,[61.4,66.6] & +1.4 & 0.54\,[0.45,0.64]\,$\to$\,0.51\,[0.41,0.61] & 82.8\,[80.4,85.1]\,$\to$\,81.3\,[78.9,83.7] \\
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+ & & BnB NF4 & 62.8\,[60.2,65.4] & 64.1\,[61.5,66.7] & +1.3 & 0.79\,[0.68,0.91]\,$\to$\,0.81\,[0.69,0.93] & 81.6\,[78.9,84.2]\,$\to$\,82.2\,[79.6,84.7] \\
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+ & MATH-500 & AWQ w4 & 58.6\,[54.2,62.8] & 57.2\,[53.0,61.4] & -1.4 & 0.68\,[0.57,0.78]\,$\to$\,0.50\,[0.41,0.59] & 96.3\,[95.3,97.2]\,$\to$\,95.8\,[94.4,97.0] \\
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+ & & GPTQ w4 & 50.0\,[45.8,54.4] & 57.6\,[53.4,62.0] & +7.6$^{**}$ & 0.48\,[0.39,0.56]\,$\to$\,0.48\,[0.38,0.58] & 96.6\,[95.6,97.5]\,$\to$\,96.1\,[94.5,97.4] \\
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+ & & BnB NF4 & 57.4\,[53.0,61.8] & 57.8\,[53.4,62.2] & +0.4 & 0.69\,[0.58,0.81]\,$\to$\,0.53\,[0.40,0.69] & 96.2\,[95.1,97.1]\,$\to$\,95.4\,[94.0,96.8] \\
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+ & GPQA-Diamond & AWQ w4 & 21.7\,[16.2,27.8] & 15.2\,[10.6,20.2] & -6.6 & 0.45\,[0.36,0.55]\,$\to$\,0.32\,[0.25,0.40] & 99.7\,[99.4,99.8]\,$\to$\,99.1\,[98.5,99.6] \\
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+ & & GPTQ w4 & 21.2\,[15.7,26.8] & 21.7\,[16.2,27.3] & +0.5 & 0.41\,[0.29,0.55]\,$\to$\,0.25\,[0.18,0.33] & 99.1\,[98.4,99.7]\,$\to$\,99.2\,[97.9,99.9] \\
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+ & & BnB NF4 & 15.7\,[10.6,20.7] & 22.2\,[16.7,28.3] & +6.6 & 0.53\,[0.43,0.64]\,$\to$\,0.36\,[0.27,0.45] & 99.0\,[98.3,99.5]\,$\to$\,98.7\,[97.5,99.5] \\
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+ \addlinespace[2pt]
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+ r1-qwen-14b & GSM8K & GPTQ w4 & 79.2\,[77.0,81.4] & -- & -- & 0.36\,[0.28,0.46]\,$\to$\,-- & 85.6\,[82.6,88.4]\,$\to$\,-- \\
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+ & MATH-500 & GPTQ w4 & 74.6\,[70.8,78.4] & -- & -- & 0.48\,[0.36,0.62]\,$\to$\,-- & 97.2\,[96.2,98.0]\,$\to$\,-- \\
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+ & GPQA-Diamond & GPTQ w4 & 18.2\,[13.1,23.7] & -- & -- & 0.26\,[0.19,0.33]\,$\to$\,-- & 99.3\,[98.9,99.6]\,$\to$\,-- \\
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+ \addlinespace[2pt]
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+ r1-qwen-7b & GSM8K & AWQ w4 & 75.7\,[73.4,78.1] & 76.9\,[74.6,79.1] & +1.1 & 0.88\,[0.73,1.04]\,$\to$\,0.46\,[0.36,0.58] & 72.7\,[68.9,76.6]\,$\to$\,81.3\,[78.0,84.7] \\
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+ & & GPTQ w4 & 77.8\,[75.6,80.1] & 73.5\,[71.1,75.9] & -4.2$^{***}$ & 0.84\,[0.68,1.00]\,$\to$\,0.36\,[0.28,0.45] & 78.3\,[74.9,81.5]\,$\to$\,83.6\,[80.5,86.7] \\
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+ & & BnB NF4 & 78.1\,[75.8,80.3] & 72.8\,[70.3,75.2] & -5.3$^{***}$ & 1.02\,[0.83,1.22]\,$\to$\,0.42\,[0.34,0.51] & 77.7\,[73.9,81.5]\,$\to$\,82.2\,[78.8,85.5] \\
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+ & MATH-500 & AWQ w4 & 72.0\,[68.2,76.0] & 72.2\,[68.2,76.2] & +0.2 & 0.65\,[0.52,0.79]\,$\to$\,0.68\,[0.54,0.85] & 95.8\,[94.4,97.1]\,$\to$\,95.2\,[93.4,96.8] \\
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+ & & GPTQ w4 & 70.8\,[66.6,74.8] & 71.8\,[67.8,75.6] & +1.0 & 0.66\,[0.53,0.80]\,$\to$\,0.65\,[0.50,0.82] & 96.7\,[95.6,97.6]\,$\to$\,95.9\,[94.5,97.1] \\
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+ & & BnB NF4 & 75.2\,[71.4,79.0] & 73.2\,[69.2,77.2] & -2.0 & 0.71\,[0.55,0.88]\,$\to$\,0.69\,[0.53,0.87] & 93.8\,[91.2,95.9]\,$\to$\,93.8\,[91.1,96.0] \\
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+ & GPQA-Diamond & AWQ w4 & 22.7\,[17.2,28.3] & 23.7\,[17.7,29.8] & +1.0 & 0.52\,[0.44,0.61]\,$\to$\,0.52\,[0.42,0.61] & 98.9\,[98.4,99.3]\,$\to$\,98.8\,[98.1,99.3] \\
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+ & & GPTQ w4 & 23.7\,[17.7,29.8] & 24.2\,[18.2,30.3] & +0.5 & 0.53\,[0.42,0.66]\,$\to$\,0.51\,[0.42,0.60] & 98.7\,[98.1,99.2]\,$\to$\,98.6\,[97.8,99.2] \\
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+ & & BnB NF4 & 23.7\,[17.7,29.8] & 21.2\,[15.7,26.8] & -2.5 & 0.57\,[0.46,0.69]\,$\to$\,0.51\,[0.41,0.63] & 98.6\,[98.0,99.2]\,$\to$\,99.1\,[98.6,99.5] \\
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+ \bottomrule
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+ \end{tabular}%
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+ }
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+ \end{table}
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