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hyj0j89gn1
false
Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "8lZo8X5lewh4hnCoreI7iSc0GxK2", "label": "ManifoldAI", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention...
Ziddletwix
XnxNpXBDwBw2eBQdBS6z
public
contract
1,717,957,190,429
is-manifolds-pdoom-by-2050-currentl
Ziddletwix
https://firebasestorage.…983-3ba213ef2b96
Is Manifold's P(Doom) by 2050 currently between 10% and 90%? [Resolves to Poll]
null
0.983972
1,276.329913
YES
null
uqlj4vrnb6r
false
Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "is this still up? i missed it yesterday", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Ziddletwix
eVSQtdSKZVtGOg27uFm6
public
contract
1,717,957,204,209
what-will-be-true-of-manifests-musi
Ziddletwix
https://firebasestorage.…983-3ba213ef2b96
What will be true of Manifest's music installation?
null
null
1.191758
NO
308a0f31df8d
hoigqv4qcn8
false
Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "I assume this is NO? (unless such a msg was posted?)", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc"...
Ziddletwix
gfQm1Qv6rxCt8O0DlY74
public
contract
1,717,957,264,192
manifest-2024-lessonline-summer-cam
Ziddletwix
https://firebasestorage.…983-3ba213ef2b96
Manifest 2024: LessOnline + Summer Camp Prop Bets [May 31-June 7]
null
null
8,435.10403
YES
7d3ab63031a7
rt2tfd2odv
false
ojCb5qmjfxMGv13gBbFW6sum22v1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Is this going to be resolved/closed? ", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": { "id": "BgCeVUcOzkexeJpSPRNomWQaQ...
Abil Abraham
CackaI2l3yKySfvedSVu
public
contract
1,717,957,545,816
which-nba-team-will-win-game-6-betw-e7e3d98b8131
AbilAbraham2816
https://firebasestorage.…95f-f91ad5dc1346
Which NBA team will win Game 6 between the Boston Celtics and Cleveland Cavaliers?
null
null
32.096928
YES
4171667ee941
p72lsf8gd4h
false
5xYMa7OFYFaurldRbLRwLO0T1fE2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "nru4gnfq7i", "label": "benjaminIkuta", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Joe C
qi6H5uRFpxRRpWceWlhw
public
contract
1,717,957,673,178
will-i-have-a-girlfriend-in-2024
JoeC
https://firebasestorage.…497-a7ee26bf3490
Will I have a girlfriend in 2024?
75bo9h2g5z3
0.194326
1,072.091318
NO
null
hr297wfont
false
JsoHnF7zq8Phr6J0K2qKXimVcrs2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Hostage rescue market!", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": { "alt": null, ...
Shai
RyZrk6EgKAOPAqdla38l
public
contract
1,717,957,675,535
will-the-idf-kill-more-of-hamass-re
Shai
https://firebasestorage.…f38-e2c9873ba7d7
Will the IDF kill more of Hamas's recently taken hostages than Hamas does? [Ṁ1000 Subsidy]
null
0.588044
0
NO
null
8n991e87wmf
false
tqP1xJXWFBM5SFi4xmwDSCj1Ffv1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "13bgylp48rr", "label": "TimothyJohnson5c16", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
Eddison Chen
NrJjqVDyXkRQV9SOtm3U
public
contract
1,717,957,792,302
will-joe-manchin-run-for-governor-o-ypw3rg3wva
EddisonChen
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJZyPZL1lDqTwPsNgYsFDsMXQlhqKhCTPUzVFc7vp0Kwg=s96-c
Will Joe Manchin run for Governor of West Virginia as an Independent?
n3p5kdsyf9
0.309343
53.774214
YES
null
a70szdgay6f
false
nbI9r6hdKiT4j2qdWGK63g4UNsm1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "akmq8mqrtji", "label": "ChristopherRandles", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
Mqrius
qycP7JFr5c2bjf7h3HDX
public
contract
1,717,957,887,091
when-will-starship-land-on-a-launch
Mqrius
https://firebasestorage.…af0-8c35c7e89dda
When will Starship land on a launch pad?
akmq8mqrtji
null
30.628312
YES
4d79c9650ee7
15r3gspit3i
false
Iar7J99RNHSqh3FFi3CERKhkQv23
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "(deleted)", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
William Ehlhardt
R2HaGtNpurtmLWxLRutR
public
contract
1,717,958,037,133
do-not-bet-if-you-already-know-the
WilliamEhlhardt
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GhIt4otiuT2URGdpXkfphc7Dd1YGXK9gzUx5RHztA=s96-c
[Do not bet if you already know the answer]
pb5mc96t7s
0.356716
0
NO
null
rnpw6xssxb
false
d7c68yCZhqOXdM5L5hRk0HEHVi12
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "FrlI0G9SHwOCNYAfflbL4WrExEl1", "label": "Weezing", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
FairlyFrozen
c8h354Yluj9fi0uzaiWE
public
contract
1,717,958,100,218
will-bidens-approval-rating-hit-an
FairlyFrozen
https://firebasestorage.…174-6b574cc6f92f
Will Biden's approval rating hit all time low again before the presidential election?
null
0.62448
10,674.779049
YES
null
d4loebhetrs
false
4awgG8uHiJeyHswKCHMBZMHKcyu2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "vngnmijflq", "label": "AlQuinn", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Snarflak
ikSUiiNS8MwAI75RwEJf
public
contract
1,717,958,231,851
who-will-win-the-2024-us-presidenti-8c1c8b2f8964
Snarflak
https://firebasestorage.…441-21a1c85f3480
Who will win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
2d62h51fvje
null
20.124993
YES
51e4cacd136a
2tlnl4u470a
false
smBYtuSbWoXtdGHyKlYaiDGVdrr1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "hRbPwezgxnat6GpJQxoFxq1xgUZ2", "label": "AmmonLam", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
Lemming
qQ4a9RSXkN0kUmCU9K7Q
public
contract
1,717,958,314,128
will-benjamin-netanyahu-still-be-th
Lemming
https://firebasestorage.…448-72ac61d21176
Will Benjamin Netanyahu still be the Prime Minister of Israel throughout this month?
zg3e5tvm4hh
null
312.860595
YES
751f88d0f171
litqsnzv1fg
false
ffwIBb255DhSsJRh3VWZ4RY2pxz2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "USA beat Pakistan. Pakistan beat India. USA will beat India.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type...
Predictor 🔥
gKy8PAj9g8xG2ofY3MYw
public
contract
1,717,958,421,336
offical-market-for-t20-world-cup-ma
Predictor
https://firebasestorage.…22a-9833cd6cbc4e
Offical market for T20 Cricket World cup matches 2024
null
null
3,553.707466
YES
34tbbcd35t
20sc49n5twe
false
AJwLWoo3xue32XIiAVrL5SyR1WB2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "uqlj4vrnb6r", "label": "Ziddletwix", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Ian Philips
eVSQtdSKZVtGOg27uFm6
public
contract
1,717,958,803,118
what-will-be-true-of-manifests-musi
ian
https://firebasestorage.…2e2-669b3fa9eaf0
What will be true of Manifest's music installation?
uqlj4vrnb6r
null
30.466676
YES
fc01f4776d01
py7nbidsty
false
91LeReENQxW6PoZiaY0XMeSzEdi1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Gantz leaving cabinet. ", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Bruce
ZNOG00Vq18bxbzGJk6FS
public
contract
1,717,959,045,595
will-netanyahu-be-out-of-office-by
Bruce54df
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJohJG8pV6APMRLAdPO5Up_LhSInhyxI1tRfhbmvspk=s96-c
Will Netanyahu be out of office by year end 2024?
null
0.513661
11,112.450612
YES
null
hnryal0ekn
false
KNqZAiItmVTCX0LzUcj8Twg7tnh1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2", "label": "strutheo", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
snazzlePop
NiNDuExMwYh7EbMEXWL5
public
contract
1,717,959,311,632
will-there-be-an-israelhamas-ceasef-9bb6c9fd7aaa
snazzlePop
https://firebasestorage.…4df-4312e7a7f92b
Will there be an Israel-Hamas ceasefire announced before the end of June 8th?
null
0.01
7,185.88113
NO
null
j77woq1f9dp
false
Gg7t9vPD4WPD1iPgj9RUFLYTxgH2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Resolves yes (sending prize points)", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
nikki
kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx
public
contract
1,717,959,586,957
what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene
nikki
https://firebasestorage.…3b3-20f4f646b970
Manifest 2024 Prop Bets
null
null
2,618.578629
YES
0c989f10d177
d8pvy3dkkcu
false
srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Donald trump, an obvious non-rino, called nikki haley a rino. She won the vermont and DC primaries. Does this resolve YES? ", "type": "text" ...
Bayesian
CEDiJ4YVAarGUOKLVRDS
public
contract
1,717,959,592,585
will-a-republican-in-name-only-win
Bayesian
https://firebasestorage.…b4b-99938a8b4ab3
Will a Republican in name only win the GOP primaries for the 2024 election?
null
null
null
null
null
sexnux62m1
false
Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "j77woq1f9dp", "label": "nikki", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, {...
Ziddletwix
kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx
public
contract
1,717,959,663,666
what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene
Ziddletwix
https://firebasestorage.…983-3ba213ef2b96
Manifest 2024 Prop Bets
j77woq1f9dp
null
5,079.914396
YES
26eee8e05d65
15e03hluutl
false
Gg7t9vPD4WPD1iPgj9RUFLYTxgH2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "sexnux62m1", "label": "Ziddletwix", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
nikki
kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx
public
contract
1,717,959,688,065
what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene
nikki
https://firebasestorage.…3b3-20f4f646b970
Manifest 2024 Prop Bets
j77woq1f9dp
null
2,618.578629
YES
0c989f10d177
sqlwdu59hhl
false
hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Houston is in final table !!", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
chris (strutheo)
176i8UTsdiOoDehgSRek
public
contract
1,717,959,707,982
who-will-win-poker-at-manifest-2024
strutheo
https://firebasestorage.…a8a-874f55f21b3d
Who will win poker at Manifest 2024?
null
null
1,012.119153
NO
3c10ae82b1f5
ehisspgo5au
false
Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "sqlwdu59hhl", "label": "strutheo", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Ziddletwix
176i8UTsdiOoDehgSRek
public
contract
1,717,959,919,738
who-will-win-poker-at-manifest-2024
Ziddletwix
https://firebasestorage.…983-3ba213ef2b96
Who will win poker at Manifest 2024?
sqlwdu59hhl
null
1,060.816244
YES
3c3bbe906a16
z73hyen4lve
false
9dAaZrNSx5OT0su6rpusDoG9WPN2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Not sure why I can’t add more answers but I’d like to put on the record ", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, ...
David Glidden
1pXGuxL4LqCmGF80Zv4H
public
contract
1,717,960,022,419
which-wikipedia-articles-currently
dglid
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GilZzUf5IKsoQ18Y3U_YkjU5JDCVQMuqydda5LP6A=s96-c
Which Wikipedia articles currently below 100k+ monthly page views will surpass 200k+ page views in a month before 2026?
null
null
null
null
null
17nq515zfcl
false
BMPLNYGbHzaFPE34cO6HPRkdesb2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Out of curiosity and the future of this question...", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null,...
Haws
t2eOGuUU7rV6mN2WKJIk
public
contract
1,717,960,417,934
friday-dice-roll-what-number-will-t-t2poh5zkb9
Haws
https://firebasestorage.…977-f36ea9ae4436
Friday Dice roll - What number will they land on?
null
null
222.181673
NO
d5h1n1fanc
omfb4pcnyu8
false
FLHfNyjr8Yb13nv9jKFaU8qSF9m1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ { "attrs": { "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decora...
Savior of Plant
kW5LIBzRcfKQEYKxIpCa
public
contract
1,717,960,590,165
which-parties-or-coalitions-will-ga
SaviorofPlant
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLL8bnOoSvkiZvyB-37Ih63-HX0IacGV_I3U-WUQQMdCw=s96-c
Which parties or coalitions will gain seats in the 2024 French legislative election?
null
null
null
null
null
figt3eib9ei
false
BMPLNYGbHzaFPE34cO6HPRkdesb2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Maaaan, on a Sunday?", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, ...
Haws
QkZgeemQXPC0Bm5pfXrI
public
contract
1,717,960,763,274
are-you-voting-for-trump-or-biden
Haws
https://firebasestorage.…977-f36ea9ae4436
Are you voting for Trump or Biden?
uiiz6me2ekp
null
null
null
null
qhs4qsozfi9
false
srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Currently -0.22. Probably won't make it tbh, unless I get more consistent with my betting volume, which i don't have any reason to be", "type...
Bayesian
ewgEBMOOIcn6VytTj6QF
public
contract
1,717,960,922,666
will-i-bayesian-get-below-015-in-ca
Bayesian
https://firebasestorage.…b4b-99938a8b4ab3
Will I (@Bayesian) get below 0.15 in calibration before the end of 2024?
null
null
null
null
null
xwqvqgu8qb
false
qNyAyreBy9QUeN5RwQSTSFIrLU12
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "I hope so. I hope markets like this become a regular thing and help us connect the right people together to build an amazing future. ", "type...
robm
7ZPAWBfmAEVtmSU1b0sC
public
contract
1,717,961,094,304
will-manifold-help-me-pivot-my-care
robm
https://firebasestorage.…c2d-4d0e2a793adf
Will Manifold help me pivot my career by the end of 2024?
null
0.5
472.8248
YES
null
7lpr7ki5qmy
false
rhpWHgxsxKNsfjJztZbg4rXfpvm1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Of the four:", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "te...
betszn
CD010okuK8AWLkGaQaUT
public
contract
1,717,961,138,777
who-will-be-trumps-vp-nominee
szn
https://firebasestorage.…760-d351e5954aa6
Who will be Trump’s VP Nominee?
null
null
2,594.325454
YES
0fc4a9e09af4
1lh2h4ifymi
false
IiBcUTs3V1bYSg0WbDlq4eKASv62
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "This happened last night", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
0x413124
kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx
public
contract
1,717,961,144,048
what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene
0x413124
https://firebasestorage.…d93-076646d2c566
Manifest 2024 Prop Bets
null
null
1,552.363916
YES
cd775d87b21c
cfauz5ga215
false
Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "1lh2h4ifymi", "label": "0x413124", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Ziddletwix
kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx
public
contract
1,717,961,236,404
what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene
Ziddletwix
https://firebasestorage.…983-3ba213ef2b96
Manifest 2024 Prop Bets
1lh2h4ifymi
null
5,079.914396
YES
26eee8e05d65
sev5xqp5bg
false
nU1f09PQ2tXXid2YO9Py924PV5J3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "s4x0lsogqx", "label": "kenmichaels", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
David Bolin
1sQFF7liE5Iw5ePbH3GM
public
contract
1,717,961,310,959
will-jimmy-carter-become-a-centenar
DavidBolin
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AATXAJxBDzHEeklms-AzWLaDGByiape0wpIwJKLyGQDu=s96-c
Will Jimmy Carter become a centenarian?
82nzdtu3m25
0.5
4,632.15225
YES
null
d4avm4fhsw
false
JsoHnF7zq8Phr6J0K2qKXimVcrs2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Similar market I made", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": { "alt": null, ...
Shai
mxRqKCOOz68r6h9XrgfQ
public
contract
1,717,961,315,606
how-many-hostages-will-be-released-2cede2565bdf
Shai
https://firebasestorage.…f38-e2c9873ba7d7
How many hostages will be released by July?
null
null
null
null
null
ig6h2y94qr
false
NMM5G9DoEfaiKMQqBzjvxiRQN1D3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "e7yh4y74m8", "label": "nuclearD", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Shrew
HSFwQ8o6np4QWbvBWPZg
public
contract
1,717,961,361,487
what-will-trumps-sentence-for-his-f
Shrewdan
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLxAk9O1zy4XFaj-kaNHbrz_tm0MBz3Ps3_N3tlxpKLiQ=s96-c
What will Trump's sentence for his hush money felony convictions include?
9sdhy6vhkhi
null
null
null
null
fr0iftm85zc
false
JsoHnF7zq8Phr6J0K2qKXimVcrs2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "I made a market specifically about rescue.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": { ...
Shai
pn6AjMyjS01IUqq8Y3s5
public
contract
1,717,961,382,394
how-many-israeli-hostages-will-be-r
Shai
https://firebasestorage.…f38-e2c9873ba7d7
How many hostages will be rescued from Gaza/Hamas?
null
null
null
null
null
zr8kouj0z7o
false
IiBcUTs3V1bYSg0WbDlq4eKASv62
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Patrick did sing a part of Lose Yourself during his talk, starting with \"snap back to reality\"", "type": "text" } ], "t...
0x413124
kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx
public
contract
1,717,961,414,801
what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene
0x413124
https://firebasestorage.…d93-076646d2c566
Manifest 2024 Prop Bets
null
null
1,552.363916
YES
cd775d87b21c
g9dkzfego4k
false
nU1f09PQ2tXXid2YO9Py924PV5J3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Kalshi is not high volume, as you can see by looking at the graph or by trying it out yourself.", "type": "text" }, { ...
David Bolin
qbYESfk3AYUcqrgYXvaI
public
contract
1,717,961,596,455
will-openai-agi-be-expected-by-real
DavidBolin
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AATXAJxBDzHEeklms-AzWLaDGByiape0wpIwJKLyGQDu=s96-c
Will a high-volume prediction market expect OpenAI to create AGI before 2030?
null
null
null
null
null
1mvaxepq5yt
false
JlVpsgzLsbOUT4pajswVMr0ZzmM2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "\"Zoli Yes\" - Zoli", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Joshua
kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx
public
contract
1,717,961,796,495
what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene
Joshua
https://firebasestorage.…7d5-f5791800ee6f
Manifest 2024 Prop Bets
null
null
778.383102
YES
8gqgoka43j
kxwd0wf45q
false
n1rYgwSUaWfcPTkAAJRlacj7HQ32
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "b6075bt6sg", "label": "GazDownright", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
wefsd sdfsdf
MJbhtWLl5Yid7r6nyGtH
public
contract
1,717,961,857,379
will-we-get-telepathy-before-gta-6
wefsdsdfsdf
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/ALV-UjWYOo8D0Bqhl-0MnuoTct2RuObR8EwEf2ry7xYz1_cg4Ef6YMrA44sT6WCZToq6u0P1B1bdSZhQi7taKE5ebvoYkY-Fc7VpfeDPxtBgo0knnNHuEzkYD4zVemwJCNSwDktcLEZftrPwl7uIx4HXf-TLjp_8_DjIehpz5KkChx_3liPuP0UryhC-3Dl_8trbsaUgMgRpSK1fFrj_cRKKNgpLvndIStqeTWPHsRowzqGGB-A-Z32npPBUupJTQkf1n2kcK4n_22b24vMHmfksFoO...
Will we get telepathy before GTA 6?
b6075bt6sg
null
null
null
null
m3nroqydail
false
FrlI0G9SHwOCNYAfflbL4WrExEl1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "CLisWPrtlDSQ4hZrPAE952nXY6I3", "label": "NathanShowell", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "ment...
Weezing
1quZrFhGJB1lWlJeeH1s
public
contract
1,717,961,976,618
will-vladimir-kramnik-win-the-clash
Weezing
https://firebasestorage.…9ac-b0dfa544f276
Will Vladimir Kramnik win the Clash of Claims blitz chess match against Jose Martinez?
null
0.155369
173.709537
NO
null
z0raiqm29ki
false
IiBcUTs3V1bYSg0WbDlq4eKASv62
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "cfauz5ga215", "label": "Ziddletwix", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
0x413124
kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx
public
contract
1,717,962,068,125
what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene
0x413124
https://firebasestorage.…d93-076646d2c566
Manifest 2024 Prop Bets
1lh2h4ifymi
null
1,552.363916
YES
cd775d87b21c
3f55frqr3c
false
FwUZ6ImOMmY5Tc5RlxL6dammsuU2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "zr8kouj0z7o", "label": "0x413124", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Louis
kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx
public
contract
1,717,962,131,720
what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene
Thunderstar
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp5i5tRwQycrz57qr_9mtg-51AflSWl8S2-Y_93f6Q=s96-c
Manifest 2024 Prop Bets
zr8kouj0z7o
null
4,199.831114
YES
9c58d8c1d0d9
ievon1m0l1r
false
fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "We’ve got the two Nathans Young, Nate Soares, and Nate Foss. Just one more!", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" ...
N.C. Young
uXAscPxSyspYj0QEZ9FY
public
contract
1,717,962,636,120
manifest-multiperson-mixer-bingo
NcyRocks
https://firebasestorage.…6b3-70181e9d9dc2
Manifest Multi-Person Mixer Bingo!
t9g1nkp96g
null
60.302125
YES
aacb270ea428
5bhp4u70kjl
false
hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Good q!", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
chris (strutheo)
IPBVC154XoObftslKu3D
public
contract
1,717,962,699,128
which-session-at-manifest-2024-will
strutheo
https://firebasestorage.…a8a-874f55f21b3d
Which session at Manifest 2024 will be Manifold’s favorite? [ADD RESPONSES]
null
null
null
null
null
3sjffob0sn
false
AAlytu8Z2cYd1ewYzuqhkU9NMgt2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Limit orders up for the next ~40 min. Take my mana, I don't know what I'm doing.", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": nul...
niko
176i8UTsdiOoDehgSRek
public
contract
1,717,962,708,140
who-will-win-poker-at-manifest-2024
Nikos
https://firebasestorage.…a97-2c3621c2928b
Who will win poker at Manifest 2024?
null
null
1,706.802494
YES
1pnqn4uy5a
c6k4u0nqa0k
false
FLHfNyjr8Yb13nv9jKFaU8qSF9m1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": { "alt": null, "contractIds": null, "deleteCallback": null, "deleteNode": null, "description": null, "frameBorder": null, "hideCloseButton": null, "id": null, "image": null, "inputKey": null, "l...
Savior of Plant
kW5LIBzRcfKQEYKxIpCa
public
contract
1,717,962,745,267
which-parties-or-coalitions-will-ga
SaviorofPlant
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLL8bnOoSvkiZvyB-37Ih63-HX0IacGV_I3U-WUQQMdCw=s96-c
Which parties or coalitions will gain seats in the 2024 French legislative election?
null
null
86.096006
NO
py5ezyxj36
cv8dw83x8r9
false
sCOvPc5J2sOacn0DYjwL7OAMzcV2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "2f7a5jrtgjg", "label": "jack", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { ...
Ben Shindel
iXmpl0NfoY7fDg9lxkdy
public
contract
1,717,962,982,585
will-manifold-be-more-accurate-than
benshindel
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu22VD_r1GJh-n-cEmVyjrKEFlOdTcYxeXuYzn_4Ag=s96-c
Will Manifold be more accurate than real-money markets in forecasting the 2024 election?
bg7f011y5i
null
null
null
null
a9k3q3t84bw
false
iGpTEc7ijZf5Nv3UUsM5G5euMnT2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "I lived near there last year. It's often decently busy and is a good place to get snacks, better than the 7-11 near it. It's also in more of a central ...
Dominic de Bettencourt
QgCzaxnuQCVTt7xmCt06
public
contract
1,717,963,465,867
will-the-cvs-on-telegraph-avenue-st
dominic
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu3_rYabDlibjswkfie6jTwLYXt1nSx42B8oytNLxA=s96-c
Will the CVS across from Lighthaven stay open for another year?
null
0.708453
202.529235
YES
null
7umx3cpnt0h
false
GPlNcdBrcfZ3PiAfhnI9mQfHZbm1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "py7nbidsty", "label": "Bruce54df", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
RemNi
ZNOG00Vq18bxbzGJk6FS
public
contract
1,717,963,619,960
will-netanyahu-be-out-of-office-by
RemNi
https://firebasestorage.…ad4-a4c719e99ff1
Will Netanyahu be out of office by year end 2024?
py7nbidsty
0.595702
49.396527
YES
null
umbi3ijbk4
false
cf8s0WtGwiXy3D57rrPWWV3qPZn2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "litqsnzv1fg", "label": "Predictor", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
P
gKy8PAj9g8xG2ofY3MYw
public
contract
1,717,963,748,547
offical-market-for-t20-world-cup-ma
P01cc7
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocIHxLTEFxzgHTcnUu5FEzH-NhHUnNijL7v89k1XtwmBhQW1VQ=s96-c
Offical market for T20 Cricket World cup matches 2024
litqsnzv1fg
null
1,030.583444
YES
342bdae28fe9
2hbjpw418oi
false
nsrFthgmf4YAnxy0rKGxQtIKq0A2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "kxwd0wf45q", "label": "wefsdsdfsdf", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Gaz Downright
MJbhtWLl5Yid7r6nyGtH
public
contract
1,717,963,835,533
will-we-get-telepathy-before-gta-6
GazDownright
https://firebasestorage.…03d-44c57f8e25b1
Will we get telepathy before GTA 6?
b6075bt6sg
null
null
null
null
f2ulxmdf75j
false
ffwIBb255DhSsJRh3VWZ4RY2pxz2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "umbi3ijbk4", "label": "P01cc7", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, {...
Predictor 🔥
gKy8PAj9g8xG2ofY3MYw
public
contract
1,717,963,921,449
offical-market-for-t20-world-cup-ma
Predictor
https://firebasestorage.…22a-9833cd6cbc4e
Offical market for T20 Cricket World cup matches 2024
litqsnzv1fg
null
3,553.707466
YES
34tbbcd35t
7adwwfbd3c9
false
cf8s0WtGwiXy3D57rrPWWV3qPZn2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "f2ulxmdf75j", "label": "Predictor", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
P
gKy8PAj9g8xG2ofY3MYw
public
contract
1,717,963,971,649
offical-market-for-t20-world-cup-ma
P01cc7
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocIHxLTEFxzgHTcnUu5FEzH-NhHUnNijL7v89k1XtwmBhQW1VQ=s96-c
Offical market for T20 Cricket World cup matches 2024
litqsnzv1fg
null
1,030.583444
YES
342bdae28fe9
mnm0asx5g2
false
sCOvPc5J2sOacn0DYjwL7OAMzcV2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Does this refer to the Senate or the National Assembly (or some combination thereof)?", "type": "text" } ], "type": "para...
Ben Shindel
kW5LIBzRcfKQEYKxIpCa
public
contract
1,717,964,120,017
which-parties-or-coalitions-will-ga
benshindel
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu22VD_r1GJh-n-cEmVyjrKEFlOdTcYxeXuYzn_4Ag=s96-c
Which parties or coalitions will gain seats in the 2024 French legislative election?
null
null
null
null
null
baysbgax2ma
false
cDzkzLtyW3VCfKWYsKOF6iKsuV92
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "mEULCxm79ad5SCKfXSxX", "label": "dominic", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }...
Project Victory
66cWxhCKvNUZT0u3qx5V
public
contract
1,717,964,203,848
will-chess-be-solved-by-2040
ProjectVictory
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocI4y0VVuOG8tCfdABrtBsS8cUQ6Me5av07oSlAEEoT8=s96-c
Will chess be solved by 2040?
VuTyAPdDozvbrRmKdI76
null
null
null
null
7phc12cpj7
false
bNaCDzi4STgSXOy5dOuOvhBxxoX2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Delivered a talk at Manifest about a journalistic project relating to this market, and subsidized it with 100k mana. You should not read a profit motiv...
Patrick McKenzie
2YkZapQUzilbW7wUOFIN
public
contract
1,717,964,323,379
will-new-york-magazine-walk-back-th
patio11
https://firebasestorage.…96f-ed42aa2f80fd
Will New York Magazine walk back the $50k in a shoebox article?
null
0.366555
921.194388
YES
null
m0dwtofmby
false
KHX2ThSFtLQlau58hrjtCX7OL2h2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "24/24", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": { "alt": null, "contractIds":...
stefanie
KARvvXZuzJNFOYQ8IWkm
public
contract
1,717,964,328,475
will-i-eat-ass-in-the-next-24
shankypanky
https://firebasestorage.…ba1-83532c98e108
Will I eat ass in the next 24...?
71crycw6lw6
null
753.375109
NO
e46ef40a0bed
tuj1xo2o3w
false
hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "(It was tea)", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
chris (strutheo)
fMSodkfUDj3LxECrRgdr
public
contract
1,717,964,365,440
best-manifest-out-of-context-quote
strutheo
https://firebasestorage.…a8a-874f55f21b3d
Best Manifest Out Of Context Quote
null
null
0
NO
0iguqrb3hw
9ksdxxw75f
false
srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "H8mXkmJcikfoYF0rQQ83qsHEWRn1", "label": "MP", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
Bayesian
gLPyOO7ni9JxU1V2Un2J
public
contract
1,717,964,411,926
if-i-dont-resolve-this-market-to-ye
Bayesian
https://firebasestorage.…b4b-99938a8b4ab3
If I don't resolve this market to YES on Jun 30th 2024, a mod will resolve it to NO
null
0.35349
84.204409
YES
null
ybeke79ppsc
false
4awgG8uHiJeyHswKCHMBZMHKcyu2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "u3nw67j862h", "label": "stardust", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Snarflak
QkZgeemQXPC0Bm5pfXrI
public
contract
1,717,964,458,645
are-you-voting-for-trump-or-biden
Snarflak
https://firebasestorage.…441-21a1c85f3480
Are you voting for Trump or Biden?
h8bo8lgdz6s
null
null
null
null
99ermbzrr3g
false
hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Bump", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
chris (strutheo)
9iCoshSA7nxs1Mw857Om
public
contract
1,717,964,531,609
what-percent-of-people-that-trade-o
strutheo
https://firebasestorage.…a8a-874f55f21b3d
What percent of users that trade on this market will be at Manifest 2024?
null
null
null
null
null
s52ivjld9p8
false
qjyDZaspY7fjbOsSZ00Hrw1KwXn1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "3sjffob0sn", "label": "Nikos", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { ...
M.H.
176i8UTsdiOoDehgSRek
public
contract
1,717,964,563,843
who-will-win-poker-at-manifest-2024
MilfordHammerschmidt
https://firebasestorage.…a16-139e7e2fef8f
Who will win poker at Manifest 2024?
3sjffob0sn
null
19,700.451258
NO
1pnqn4uy5a
jjze7pkgm4
false
UT1vHSGiCbfZHIRpm6ZvYhFphws1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "What counts as one go?", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Jonathan Ray
kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx
public
contract
1,717,964,700,180
what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene
JonathanRay
https://firebasestorage.…4e6-c893d48ec660
Manifest 2024 Prop Bets
null
null
2,347.399639
YES
d7c6d4d69aca
yekumvtpz3g
false
srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Doesnt' seem to me like it was expanded significantly. ", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": { "id": "H8mXkmJ...
Bayesian
3wK4q57CZYslb5Ffn3vl
public
contract
1,717,964,731,007
will-the-us-extend-their-semiconduc
Bayesian
https://firebasestorage.…b4b-99938a8b4ab3
Will the U.S. extend their semiconductor capital equipment export restrictions to China by June 2024?
null
0.857002
149.424063
NO
null
gwnyerzlsnp
false
hUM4SO8a8qhfqT1gEZ7ElTCGSEz2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "m0dwtofmby", "label": "shankypanky", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Pat Scott🩴
KARvvXZuzJNFOYQ8IWkm
public
contract
1,717,964,908,511
will-i-eat-ass-in-the-next-24
Stralor
https://firebasestorage.…6fe-53e90fa501ca
Will I eat ass in the next 24...?
71crycw6lw6
null
282.45773
YES
a06afbcc5807
ipipfqang5
false
hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "OdBj5DW6PbYtnImvybpyZzfhb133", "label": "jim", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
chris (strutheo)
esyh5WTH2UdkzCkeLICZ
public
contract
1,717,964,989,704
will-the-person-who-wins-poker-at-m
strutheo
https://firebasestorage.…a8a-874f55f21b3d
Will the person who wins poker at Manifest 2024 be someone I consider a regular at our online poker events?
null
0.364877
0
NO
null
0h9dj4kvthot
false
KyL8Ne9ytVZOcOcfHFxF9DacOgL2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "a70szdgay6f", "label": "Mqrius", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Christopher Randles
qycP7JFr5c2bjf7h3HDX
public
contract
1,717,965,003,586
when-will-starship-land-on-a-launch
ChristopherRandles
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxY3_PAyuLB3J_OqBJQ5T3NjkNLcX7WEzxb7X0Fw=s96-c
When will Starship land on a launch pad?
akmq8mqrtji
null
null
null
null
l0ceiu82dr
false
4awgG8uHiJeyHswKCHMBZMHKcyu2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "cpz63tbvz55", "label": "stardust", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Snarflak
QkZgeemQXPC0Bm5pfXrI
public
contract
1,717,965,015,607
are-you-voting-for-trump-or-biden
Snarflak
https://firebasestorage.…441-21a1c85f3480
Are you voting for Trump or Biden?
uiiz6me2ekp
null
null
null
null
fn9qb4sgrcm
false
KNqZAiItmVTCX0LzUcj8Twg7tnh1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "yqchpve99q8", "label": "lucyqiu", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
snazzlePop
kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx
public
contract
1,717,965,023,697
what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene
snazzlePop
https://firebasestorage.…4df-4312e7a7f92b
Manifest 2024 Prop Bets
yqchpve99q8
null
2,891.708579
YES
4e38b7c87d04
e5mw22jmn1
false
KHX2ThSFtLQlau58hrjtCX7OL2h2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "fn9qb4sgrcm", "label": "snazzlePop", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
stefanie
kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx
public
contract
1,717,965,207,900
what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene
shankypanky
https://firebasestorage.…ba1-83532c98e108
Manifest 2024 Prop Bets
yqchpve99q8
null
6,076.616373
YES
8a927a207f83
weo9i3jr2wm
false
b5a3UuCvBgMsA875HdcgdnVljdq1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "WQJ92QkoqDPuyj6DAZ5lR6g1x573", "label": "mods", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
Muga Sofer
cVI96yfzL9wBHjjUp0U3
public
contract
1,717,965,269,532
who-will-win-the-2024-democratic-pr-352749441ac4
MugaSofer
https://firebasestorage.…ea7-19aebfd949c8
Who will win the 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? [Top 4 candidates, new market style]
sw1g2ywky0d
null
2,213.487633
YES
a4ecfdee035b
ny0fhq39dns
false
qjyDZaspY7fjbOsSZ00Hrw1KwXn1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Is houston == ameet?", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
M.H.
176i8UTsdiOoDehgSRek
public
contract
1,717,965,451,785
who-will-win-poker-at-manifest-2024
MilfordHammerschmidt
https://firebasestorage.…a16-139e7e2fef8f
Who will win poker at Manifest 2024?
null
null
19,700.451258
NO
1pnqn4uy5a
jaupnl3q1o
false
srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "ny0fhq39dns", "label": "MilfordHammerschmidt", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
Bayesian
176i8UTsdiOoDehgSRek
public
contract
1,717,965,460,168
who-will-win-poker-at-manifest-2024
Bayesian
https://firebasestorage.…b4b-99938a8b4ab3
Who will win poker at Manifest 2024?
ny0fhq39dns
null
129.530328
YES
c56953fa9b75
hq4xymjr1ha
false
ScsiswU6F8TGyb3GGh1N8T0A9Qs1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "9ue1hrc9ip8", "label": "Snarflak", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Zane
ikSUiiNS8MwAI75RwEJf
public
contract
1,717,965,609,763
who-will-win-the-2024-us-presidenti-8c1c8b2f8964
ZaneMiller
https://firebasestorage.…cd7-65f87738b782
Who will win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
2d62h51fvje
null
935.879034
NO
51e4cacd136a
3k3qb3w4k8l
false
4awgG8uHiJeyHswKCHMBZMHKcyu2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "1kgxc4ritaa", "label": "Haws", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { ...
Snarflak
QkZgeemQXPC0Bm5pfXrI
public
contract
1,717,965,643,858
are-you-voting-for-trump-or-biden
Snarflak
https://firebasestorage.…441-21a1c85f3480
Are you voting for Trump or Biden?
oq4b2dh2zt
null
null
null
null
la04kc3x13
false
4awgG8uHiJeyHswKCHMBZMHKcyu2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "hq4xymjr1ha", "label": "ZaneMiller", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Snarflak
ikSUiiNS8MwAI75RwEJf
public
contract
1,717,965,796,021
who-will-win-the-2024-us-presidenti-8c1c8b2f8964
Snarflak
https://firebasestorage.…441-21a1c85f3480
Who will win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
2d62h51fvje
null
20.124993
YES
51e4cacd136a
htviwq1h309
false
FLHfNyjr8Yb13nv9jKFaU8qSF9m1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "hq4xymjr1ha", "label": "ZaneMiller", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Savior of Plant
ikSUiiNS8MwAI75RwEJf
public
contract
1,717,965,802,985
who-will-win-the-2024-us-presidenti-8c1c8b2f8964
SaviorofPlant
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLL8bnOoSvkiZvyB-37Ih63-HX0IacGV_I3U-WUQQMdCw=s96-c
Who will win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
2d62h51fvje
null
0
YES
088d6b2862b1
fd1ojhhshlj
false
Kr23YYpkdnU4JFFqHr2NxEV6PvN2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Resolution should move to ", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ ...
JGY
xVmw7Q2ZPBNOqi2y4l82
public
contract
1,717,966,072,111
how-many-cases-of-measles-will-the
jgyou
https://firebasestorage.…907-90bdc2aca417
How many cases of measles will the CDC report in the US in 2024?
null
null
1,344.932331
YES
c8d70d0bd619
o57ikazrxqe
false
Ao9XilG4MyT2OsZWp2SHXTeOvPl1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "did you just predict this entire kerfuffle and did the trade as a proof?", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ...
Alex Palcuie
6BUF7rhSVpcp4WnDPofM
public
contract
1,717,966,307,075
france-stock-permanent
palcu
https://firebasestorage.…4ce-67e2d7e146dd
France Stock (Permanent)
null
null
null
null
null
gpz3fqhrf47
false
dbvXEVfpL3ZdosjUsddWedWYeX22
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "extra info because 0-10000 is less than 1% percent. It's about the biggest (single) loss not in total. If the market were to close now it would be 50% ...
Base
FeP0qapqOfNHoLBGDZNi
public
contract
1,717,966,406,693
what-will-be-the-biggest-loss-the-c
Base
https://firebasestorage.…816-54142cec3137
What will be the biggest Loss? - The Crystal Coin Flip
null
null
323.275158
YES
0o9lub2erc
a8f4fwby2g
false
KyL8Ne9ytVZOcOcfHFxF9DacOgL2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Note one from June 8th left unresolved: Angels 1 Astros 6 so resolves no", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ...
Christopher Randles
rpINgNCUuLZiHkvZkGjZ
public
contract
1,717,966,452,539
major-league-baseball-mlb-regular-s
ChristopherRandles
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxY3_PAyuLB3J_OqBJQ5T3NjkNLcX7WEzxb7X0Fw=s96-c
Major League Baseball (MLB) ⚾Regular Season Matches
null
null
4,236.344902
YES
185e295cd6c6
tc3k2j4gnq
false
Q9XCF79f7JgZF8itYw5uDJg3Whm2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "l0ceiu82dr", "label": "Snarflak", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
blankspace737
QkZgeemQXPC0Bm5pfXrI
public
contract
1,717,966,458,962
are-you-voting-for-trump-or-biden
stardust
https://firebasestorage.…901-b7160011e796
Are you voting for Trump or Biden?
uiiz6me2ekp
null
null
null
null
6eodmi8ebp
false
FLHfNyjr8Yb13nv9jKFaU8qSF9m1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "mnm0asx5g2", "label": "benshindel", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Savior of Plant
kW5LIBzRcfKQEYKxIpCa
public
contract
1,717,966,510,880
which-parties-or-coalitions-will-ga
SaviorofPlant
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLL8bnOoSvkiZvyB-37Ih63-HX0IacGV_I3U-WUQQMdCw=s96-c
Which parties or coalitions will gain seats in the 2024 French legislative election?
mnm0asx5g2
null
86.096006
NO
py5ezyxj36
brwdmwhkpz7
false
ffwIBb255DhSsJRh3VWZ4RY2pxz2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "7adwwfbd3c9", "label": "P01cc7", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Predictor 🔥
gKy8PAj9g8xG2ofY3MYw
public
contract
1,717,966,522,980
offical-market-for-t20-world-cup-ma
Predictor
https://firebasestorage.…22a-9833cd6cbc4e
Offical market for T20 Cricket World cup matches 2024
litqsnzv1fg
null
3,553.707466
YES
34tbbcd35t
8v978ccr49c
false
AqhvYiHwOUPwbj9Wcwxzf9M9JJk1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "f7n28nw44ds", "label": "jacksonpolack", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Caelum Forder
7sMmoXCJkRw1XR66HUyP
public
contract
1,717,966,716,279
are-these-programming-language-feat
CaelumForder
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJnrFtkkV6buxBlFVrbVq7k_3-VSI2sBSAvEdCClanhrUJx0Q=s96-c
Are these programming language features underrated or overrated?
f7n28nw44ds
null
629.772713
NO
itdyg6n8uw
02khtt346z09
false
9ZW2q78eBBQ49omVY80OX5fAylQ2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "+431 squats", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Kongo Landwalker
TcYnACd1FeO2WxjauWq7
public
contract
1,717,966,786,275
who-will-complete-these-tasks-first
KongoLandwalker
https://firebasestorage.…335-755c19fad97f
Who will complete these tasks first? "Yes" for @Awex, "No" for @KongoLandwalker.
null
null
null
null
null
lexd7w0wmkj
false
srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "you've got like 100 left right?", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Bayesian
TcYnACd1FeO2WxjauWq7
public
contract
1,717,966,919,057
who-will-complete-these-tasks-first
Bayesian
https://firebasestorage.…b4b-99938a8b4ab3
Who will complete these tasks first? "Yes" for @Awex, "No" for @KongoLandwalker.
02khtt346z09
null
8.839151
NO
102e3d20a40a
d7i0twujzsl
false
srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "nevermind I don't know how this is counted", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Bayesian
TcYnACd1FeO2WxjauWq7
public
contract
1,717,966,958,254
who-will-complete-these-tasks-first
Bayesian
https://firebasestorage.…b4b-99938a8b4ab3
Who will complete these tasks first? "Yes" for @Awex, "No" for @KongoLandwalker.
02khtt346z09
null
67.486199
NO
102e3d20a40a
1y22hszl2vji
false
srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "oh +X means X in total, not an additional X", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Bayesian
TcYnACd1FeO2WxjauWq7
public
contract
1,717,966,987,614
who-will-complete-these-tasks-first
Bayesian
https://firebasestorage.…b4b-99938a8b4ab3
Who will complete these tasks first? "Yes" for @Awex, "No" for @KongoLandwalker.
02khtt346z09
null
67.486199
NO
102e3d20a40a
hoahgynl1hj
false
kbHiTAGBahXdX9Z4sW29JpNrB0l2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "I swear. Not trolling I just heard this ", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Ernie
fMSodkfUDj3LxECrRgdr
public
contract
1,717,967,079,609
best-manifest-out-of-context-quote
Ernie
https://firebasestorage.…761-3d26c24f8466
Best Manifest Out Of Context Quote
null
null
0
NO
0iguqrb3hw
uxzm3f1pyh
false
BNRxiD3n0vMOV8yXyV5iKAkeTB82
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Do \"Yes!\" and \"No!\" qualify as sentences for the sake of this market? What about other simple sentiment statements (such as \"I am happy\") which c...
For Truth
5Y2P89phX1MEfzqCgIWi
public
contract
1,717,967,221,574
will-humans-send-and-receive-a-mess
ForTruth
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocK20H7igUt1-gPcrW65-fV97qkL3DKImwHJGpNxlOzz2-SJksA=s96-c
Will humans send AND receive a message telepathically via brain machine interface before 2026?
null
null
null
null
null
8if50k6c4hh
false
AqhvYiHwOUPwbj9Wcwxzf9M9JJk1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "I believe inheritance is rather underrated, or more over-hated, because it is implemented very poorly in Java, C# (I think it suffers same issues as Ja...
Caelum Forder
7sMmoXCJkRw1XR66HUyP
public
contract
1,717,967,232,382
are-these-programming-language-feat
CaelumForder
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJnrFtkkV6buxBlFVrbVq7k_3-VSI2sBSAvEdCClanhrUJx0Q=s96-c
Are these programming language features underrated or overrated?
null
null
null
null
null
x10e2ib37e
false
2BVjwaEP1tYvmQ1xqIRzkID5aPC2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "WQJ92QkoqDPuyj6DAZ5lR6g1x573", "label": "mods", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
Corinne
kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx
public
contract
1,717,967,245,819
what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene
manic_pixie_agi
https://firebasestorage.…8d0-9fdad2a36df6
Manifest 2024 Prop Bets
null
null
517.15276
NO
b8gjj8awwm
osmrzraufza
false
srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "He doesn't have a campaign slogan as far as I can tell", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "do...
Bayesian
3bUTXmeSXsqdTW3scMUg
public
contract
1,717,967,303,481
what-will-pete-buttigieg-2024-campa
Bayesian
https://firebasestorage.…b4b-99938a8b4ab3
What will Pete Buttigieg 2024 campaign slogan be??
null
null
130.01445
YES
58076ae1d9c2
ujsj3nyzicc
false
2BVjwaEP1tYvmQ1xqIRzkID5aPC2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "U907XL5wZSQ0pD7pMXe2HaS0NR33", "label": "HWH", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
Corinne
kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx
public
contract
1,717,967,317,276
what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene
manic_pixie_agi
https://firebasestorage.…8d0-9fdad2a36df6
Manifest 2024 Prop Bets
null
null
517.15276
NO
b8gjj8awwm
m12w6mwq04
false
HTbxWFlzWGeHUTiwZvvF0qm8W433
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "latest alpha: Nate Silver claiming he thinks Trump is 55-60% to win at the manifest panel", "type": "text" } ], "type": "...
Conflux
ikSUiiNS8MwAI75RwEJf
public
contract
1,717,967,391,511
who-will-win-the-2024-us-presidenti-8c1c8b2f8964
Conflux
https://firebasestorage.…cdd-373b64a5cd17
Who will win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
null
null
18,153.907113
YES
33b8f3dc81b9
cuiwj8qkxtt
false
KNqZAiItmVTCX0LzUcj8Twg7tnh1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "e5mw22jmn1", "label": "shankypanky", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
snazzlePop
kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx
public
contract
1,717,967,713,699
what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene
snazzlePop
https://firebasestorage.…4df-4312e7a7f92b
Manifest 2024 Prop Bets
yqchpve99q8
null
2,891.708579
YES
4e38b7c87d04
l8dtc3rjh6
false
9ZW2q78eBBQ49omVY80OX5fAylQ2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "1y22hszl2vji", "label": "Bayesian", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Kongo Landwalker
TcYnACd1FeO2WxjauWq7
public
contract
1,717,967,895,013
who-will-complete-these-tasks-first
KongoLandwalker
https://firebasestorage.…335-755c19fad97f
Who will complete these tasks first? "Yes" for @Awex, "No" for @KongoLandwalker.
02khtt346z09
null
null
null
null
06ahakgi439
false
srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "l8dtc3rjh6", "label": "KongoLandwalker", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Bayesian
TcYnACd1FeO2WxjauWq7
public
contract
1,717,967,940,902
who-will-complete-these-tasks-first
Bayesian
https://firebasestorage.…b4b-99938a8b4ab3
Who will complete these tasks first? "Yes" for @Awex, "No" for @KongoLandwalker.
02khtt346z09
null
167.743018
NO
102e3d20a40a
n2h0jrd0ph
false
srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ { "attrs": { "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decora...
Bayesian
WJ3DuUPCJhiofMVxEbrn
public
contract
1,717,968,013,994
who-will-win-the-classic-tetris-wor
Bayesian
https://firebasestorage.…b4b-99938a8b4ab3
Who will win the Classic Tetris World Championship (CTWC) 2024?
null
null
31.164995
YES
k0969q7pbl