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0
50
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xx46canf2i
false
hPEqASWOExWovWUevORTAyFI7u62
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "WQJ92QkoqDPuyj6DAZ5lR6g1x573", "label": "mods", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
Ari Zerner
qIKaJjgDitCwv3NJOMvX
public
contract
1,717,996,954,574
a-song-by-the-orion-experience-play
AriZerner
https://firebasestorage.…0a6-a9d433b24f4c
A song by The Orion Experience plays at the afterparty.
null
null
null
null
null
rq4j9xxkc7
false
UT1vHSGiCbfZHIRpm6ZvYhFphws1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "First test was invalid because the control line didn’t go red. Will retest soon", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph...
Jonathan Ray
cuxbqqlwFIMjMyrZiusf
public
contract
1,717,996,972,608
will-my-covid-test-be-positive
JonathanRay
https://firebasestorage.…4e6-c893d48ec660
Will my Covid test be positive?
null
null
null
null
null
5p4qvqqrtum
false
yQRYf8X5okh6pPC3Kv0hUepsxz23
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Smart", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": null, "content": [ { ...
Henry
OAs9LlEQUzqA3krjph6H
public
contract
1,717,997,049,192
in-russian-womens-basketball-will-u
Henrythegoat
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocIPGav4VGyMnxhc4Z4QXUWwYsiEOCcho5z_D51HFRw6eeQ=s96-c
In russian womens basketball will UMMC YEKATERINBURG lose one game to NIKA SYKTYVKAR
null
null
null
null
null
58bsqi3pxpy
false
srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Resolves YES ", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": { "id": "DGYg1e9JksfeFvPHFCuHLkKpEcV2", "label...
Bayesian
GBEPltsxn6OaPVIF2STc
public
contract
1,717,997,073,386
will-someone-win-at-least-50000-in
Bayesian
https://firebasestorage.…b4b-99938a8b4ab3
Will someone receive at least 50,000 from the “crystal flip” market?
null
0.93
590.951761
YES
null
cvz2jtpnen
false
srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Resolves NO ", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": { "id": "DGYg1e9JksfeFvPHFCuHLkKpEcV2", "label"...
Bayesian
DlbzpuS4iaPVaqFtJg6m
public
contract
1,717,997,100,070
will-someone-receive-at-least-10000
Bayesian
https://firebasestorage.…b4b-99938a8b4ab3
Will someone receive at least 100,000 from the “crystal flip” market?
null
0.06
573.310841
NO
null
w2l6u2yktt
false
0V3S6J1x9pfk4OOmn9whfHYKRxB3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "cA1JupYR5AR8btHUs2xvkui7jA93", "label": "Gen", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
Stephen Thomas-Dorin
kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx
public
contract
1,717,997,323,382
what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene
StephenThomasDorin
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocL_cGe-z5es76SctK0KyZ1JgMu8gSdHn4kCtZQchXE-lkVL=s96-c
Manifest 2024 Prop Bets
null
null
1,383.692796
YES
3cf24e5487bb
eld5usx1gi
false
RabL4fATYvdJfRO7qYkwoFyZWYq2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "ohh64wsvozn", "label": "PeterBuyukliev", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Arky
9sJX6EGlxsYMjwO7gC4x
public
contract
1,717,997,362,754
how-many-people-will-attend-baraks
Arky
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLQN_M4pd9jLZ5rJw6o8dYiJLjJ8C33gC5taqyV8YKL07o=s96-c
How many people will attend @barak's Manifest session: Repolarize American Politics
ohh64wsvozn
null
null
null
null
745qhrppqf
false
srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "would you describe it as a fog drip", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Bayesian
kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx
public
contract
1,717,997,364,953
what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene
Bayesian
https://firebasestorage.…b4b-99938a8b4ab3
Manifest 2024 Prop Bets
w2l6u2yktt
null
625.091743
YES
1f6173f16811
xl1a50f4zds
false
srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Y'all should invite jonathan", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": { "alt": null,...
Bayesian
kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx
public
contract
1,717,997,553,171
what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene
Bayesian
https://firebasestorage.…b4b-99938a8b4ab3
Manifest 2024 Prop Bets
null
null
625.091743
YES
1f6173f16811
pn88v9schpc
false
srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "(unless that's contrary to his wishes)", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Bayesian
kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx
public
contract
1,717,997,591,051
what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene
Bayesian
https://firebasestorage.…b4b-99938a8b4ab3
Manifest 2024 Prop Bets
xl1a50f4zds
null
625.091743
YES
1f6173f16811
sz7bvwnpkbi
false
Gv076pTh0ZQUVwTqQt9Ro2xnz2f1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Current status ", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ { ...
Marktwse
BpWdVag12j3mZtrUIra3
public
contract
1,717,998,061,204
which-party-will-gain-votes-in-the
marktwse
https://firebasestorage.…bef-c594df1664e4
Which party will gain votes in the 2024 European Parliament election?
null
null
106.186251
YES
7974be7330d7
trq8k3gbzh
false
JlVpsgzLsbOUT4pajswVMr0ZzmM2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": { "alt": null, "contractIds": null, "deleteCallback": null, "deleteNode": null, "description": null, "frameBorder": null, "hideCloseButton": null, "id": null, "image": null, "inputKey": null, "l...
Joshua
kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx
public
contract
1,717,998,069,141
what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene
Joshua
https://firebasestorage.…7d5-f5791800ee6f
Manifest 2024 Prop Bets
null
null
778.383102
YES
8gqgoka43j
q24plk41ji
false
hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Uhoh", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
chris (strutheo)
eHoUkpWQ6f7B6WbaTM6m
public
contract
1,717,998,159,822
will-there-be-an-orgy-at-manifest-2
strutheo
https://firebasestorage.…a8a-874f55f21b3d
Will there be an orgy at manifest 2?
null
null
null
null
null
o9a7ze79fgi
false
Gg7t9vPD4WPD1iPgj9RUFLYTxgH2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Manifold launched spicegrams and relaunched TV", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
nikki
kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx
public
contract
1,717,998,171,280
what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene
nikki
https://firebasestorage.…3b3-20f4f646b970
Manifest 2024 Prop Bets
null
null
2,618.578629
YES
0c989f10d177
zwqsg8kq4b
false
srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "o9a7ze79fgi", "label": "nikki", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, {...
Bayesian
kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx
public
contract
1,717,998,239,506
what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene
Bayesian
https://firebasestorage.…b4b-99938a8b4ab3
Manifest 2024 Prop Bets
o9a7ze79fgi
null
625.091743
YES
1f6173f16811
4hcu2qvc20a
false
Gg7t9vPD4WPD1iPgj9RUFLYTxgH2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "yes, that is a launch of a new feature", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
nikki
kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx
public
contract
1,717,998,278,417
what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene
nikki
https://firebasestorage.…3b3-20f4f646b970
Manifest 2024 Prop Bets
o9a7ze79fgi
null
2,618.578629
YES
0c989f10d177
b75vi0p6t8c
false
srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "4hcu2qvc20a", "label": "nikki", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, {...
Bayesian
kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx
public
contract
1,717,998,370,910
what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene
Bayesian
https://firebasestorage.…b4b-99938a8b4ab3
Manifest 2024 Prop Bets
o9a7ze79fgi
null
625.091743
YES
1f6173f16811
tsm1hb6brl8
false
5xYMa7OFYFaurldRbLRwLO0T1fE2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "x62mkk2cb4e", "label": "NivlacM", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Joe C
qi6H5uRFpxRRpWceWlhw
public
contract
1,717,998,536,796
will-i-have-a-girlfriend-in-2024
JoeC
https://firebasestorage.…497-a7ee26bf3490
Will I have a girlfriend in 2024?
x62mkk2cb4e
0.212327
1,072.091318
NO
null
lbpj8mym7pa
false
5xYMa7OFYFaurldRbLRwLO0T1fE2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "jy6ypiorocb", "label": "benjaminIkuta", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Joe C
qi6H5uRFpxRRpWceWlhw
public
contract
1,717,998,620,141
will-i-have-a-girlfriend-in-2024
JoeC
https://firebasestorage.…497-a7ee26bf3490
Will I have a girlfriend in 2024?
75bo9h2g5z3
0.212327
1,072.091318
NO
null
qku85agv71
false
HYKavv7hgWhxCCsziWEifoxOdjA2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "X3z4hxRXipWvGoFhxlDOVxmP5vL2", "label": "traders", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
Daniel
c0vo8DVmOBEbe3E4E4OS
public
contract
1,717,998,659,224
what-conspiracy-theories-will-be-pr
Daniel_MC
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxaQGTfUoEbrPqZn0U9_IjEWIouF64_J7fnacyXbRg=s96-c
What conspiracy theories will be proven true by 2100? (Mega Market)
null
null
184.480684
NO
93d5cdffac3e
q22eanuv23
false
0VON2byWgyS10VCUa9X3HX4s1t32
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "I assume you will resolve more than one as yes?", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Gordan Knott
JeHDbCusfs6qZumDrzRD
public
contract
1,717,998,783,870
if-trump-wins-in-2024-how-will-it-a
GordanKnott
https://firebasestorage.…14a-c87addf6031a
If Trump wins in 2024, how will it affect the transition of power after 2028 election?
null
null
null
null
null
ltvg91e5j5
false
HYKavv7hgWhxCCsziWEifoxOdjA2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Brushing your teeth is bad for your health", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": null, ...
Daniel
c0vo8DVmOBEbe3E4E4OS
public
contract
1,717,998,978,875
what-conspiracy-theories-will-be-pr
Daniel_MC
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxaQGTfUoEbrPqZn0U9_IjEWIouF64_J7fnacyXbRg=s96-c
What conspiracy theories will be proven true by 2100? (Mega Market)
qku85agv71
null
109.191213
NO
6b336d719679
0c93q2zbt1wj
false
srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "q22eanuv23", "label": "GordanKnott", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Bayesian
JeHDbCusfs6qZumDrzRD
public
contract
1,717,999,109,094
if-trump-wins-in-2024-how-will-it-a
Bayesian
https://firebasestorage.…b4b-99938a8b4ab3
If Trump wins in 2024, how will it affect the transition of power after 2028 election?
q22eanuv23
null
732.609302
YES
cdzgx3b65h
azwtwaltjmb
false
RkAt6Um0wpX2kshaEi1RnZUdBqa2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "NEH", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Shaked Koplewitz
QJaRqnzYAIAMXj1UlxoR
public
contract
1,717,999,130,650
will-scott-alexander-write-a-blog-p
ShakedKoplewitz
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14Ghyqz276_IAbhWaYW8vIhnwIaBQDXSxB3wO9AoCLw=s96-c
Will Scott Alexander write a blog post by end of July about threats to American democracy?
null
0.432992
396.709654
NO
null
evchaz8bey
false
srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "if she stopped posting but kept liking posts, would that count as being active on twitter?", "type": "text" } ], "type": ...
Bayesian
pyuE9PdHI4LTpJvKZURK
public
contract
1,717,999,156,214
will-j-k-rowling-stop-obsessing-ove
Bayesian
https://firebasestorage.…b4b-99938a8b4ab3
Will J. K. Rowling stop obsessing over trans people before 2030?
null
null
null
null
null
0m1ajyklhec
false
acvO0NAsghTTgGjnsdwt94O44OT2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "1g84ryuui9u", "label": "hyperion", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Vincent Luczkow
4QsxVHOwRQ7z14vXNKj7
public
contract
1,717,999,161,602
short-term-ai-32-by-january-2024-wi
vluzko
https://firebasestorage.…f7b-ff4904405776
Short Term AI 3.2: By June 2024 will SOTA on MATH be >= 90%?
1g84ryuui9u
null
null
null
null
268sz4yb303i
false
RabL4fATYvdJfRO7qYkwoFyZWYq2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "evchaz8bey", "label": "Bayesian", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Arky
pyuE9PdHI4LTpJvKZURK
public
contract
1,717,999,185,467
will-j-k-rowling-stop-obsessing-ove
Arky
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLQN_M4pd9jLZ5rJw6o8dYiJLjJ8C33gC5taqyV8YKL07o=s96-c
Will J. K. Rowling stop obsessing over trans people before 2030?
evchaz8bey
null
null
null
null
v09dnsk271p
false
srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "K0l9JnD5DcPqyfloiKWIHbK8klD3", "label": "Tetraspace", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention...
Bayesian
OMMq5VQJj9Q9pdKItLue
public
contract
1,717,999,248,059
planecrashrot13-jung-jnf-gur-sbhegu
Bayesian
https://firebasestorage.…b4b-99938a8b4ab3
In planecrash, what was the fourth Major Curse placed on Abrogail?
null
null
170.401718
YES
ed63911d5e23
50n7xr8fihb
false
srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "W4yEF6idSMcNWEVUquowziSCZFI3", "label": "EvanDaniel", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention...
Bayesian
YuUtwu9QxubW13gWfbWh
public
contract
1,717,999,434,059
planecrash-will-planecrash-have-an
Bayesian
https://firebasestorage.…b4b-99938a8b4ab3
[planecrash] Will Planecrash have an Epilogue...
null
null
null
null
null
ikqew6ocymq
false
YPTRUO3XusOdpXsUGQXhtJpXZcF2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "no976kawuo", "label": "TheAllMemeingEye", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" },...
Camille
TTbTHCnKZ9xwdFYqlFL3
public
contract
1,718,000,205,598
credible-footage-incl-good-deep-fak
CamillePerrin
https://firebasestorage.…045-f79b7b7e79d5
Credible footage (incl. good deep fake) of Jordan Bardella shitting himself, before French snap election 2024
no976kawuo
null
null
null
null
g5497mstnbd
false
0V3S6J1x9pfk4OOmn9whfHYKRxB3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "745qhrppqf", "label": "Bayesian", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Stephen Thomas-Dorin
kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx
public
contract
1,718,000,387,197
what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene
StephenThomasDorin
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocL_cGe-z5es76SctK0KyZ1JgMu8gSdHn4kCtZQchXE-lkVL=s96-c
Manifest 2024 Prop Bets
w2l6u2yktt
null
1,383.692796
YES
3cf24e5487bb
ir311vpjfne
false
6CwPIJrQdNMswo07A0R19YILp363
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "You haven't said when her symptoms started, nor when you'll test (today vs tomorrow), so I don't think you're getting very useful predictions here.", ...
James Baker
cuxbqqlwFIMjMyrZiusf
public
contract
1,718,000,496,857
will-my-covid-test-be-positive
JamesBaker3
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJIXXxq4jvmFQ8maL0xWNL0ga_m0OYY3WdNuv58HzdcwdI=s96-c
Will my Covid test be positive?
null
null
null
null
null
86ithdwldgu
false
fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "g5497mstnbd", "label": "StephenThomasDorin", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
N.C. Young
kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx
public
contract
1,718,000,694,847
what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene
NcyRocks
https://firebasestorage.…6b3-70181e9d9dc2
Manifest 2024 Prop Bets
w2l6u2yktt
null
8,056.673092
YES
7b803e259083
m91twfmfgap
false
fwGK5b9peFQbclczNeQdgCtjlYT2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ { "attrs": { "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decora...
Alex
A319ydGB1B7f4PMOROL3
public
contract
1,718,000,709,248
in-2028-will-an-ai-be-able-to-gener
alextes
https://firebasestorage.…338-9ceb8680d2a1
In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?
0ch6mj39rf8
0.334689
2,805.705563
NO
null
ioapdtc81yn
false
srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "it was in this market! ", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ ...
Bayesian
kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx
public
contract
1,718,000,740,076
what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene
Bayesian
https://firebasestorage.…b4b-99938a8b4ab3
Manifest 2024 Prop Bets
w2l6u2yktt
null
625.091743
YES
1f6173f16811
3nu4y5tkmqj
false
srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "86ithdwldgu", "label": "NcyRocks", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Bayesian
kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx
public
contract
1,718,000,871,275
what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene
Bayesian
https://firebasestorage.…b4b-99938a8b4ab3
Manifest 2024 Prop Bets
w2l6u2yktt
null
625.091743
YES
1f6173f16811
5gbvqmezcdd
false
6CwPIJrQdNMswo07A0R19YILp363
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Resolves YES", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": { "alt": null, "contra...
James Baker
YHtJ5IHG4snAe4xgasoe
public
contract
1,718,000,942,821
will-someone-have-100000-spice-this
JamesBaker3
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJIXXxq4jvmFQ8maL0xWNL0ga_m0OYY3WdNuv58HzdcwdI=s96-c
Will someone have 100,000 Spice this year?
null
0.8433
8,392.643086
YES
null
5vzyrwy7nf5
false
y0ZRYqguQQU3W2wD87kFsgT9M4j2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "sz7bvwnpkbi", "label": "marktwse", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Pazzaz
BpWdVag12j3mZtrUIra3
public
contract
1,718,001,173,292
which-party-will-gain-votes-in-the
Pazzaz
https://firebasestorage.…15b-c6ca2e9ba1b8
Which party will gain votes in the 2024 European Parliament election?
sz7bvwnpkbi
null
49.651118
NO
63a87dc8ec98
hdawyts1ve
false
Rcnau899SsWFEuL0ukY1hMGkath2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Nate Silver told me the Celtics were 92% to win the finals before game 2, he better not let me down ", "type": "text" } ], ...
Alexander Miller
y5eGY1CFGGllUatsiXMx
public
contract
1,718,001,188,183
who-will-win-the-2024-nba-champions
AlexanderMiller
https://firebasestorage.…b54-8f8eda824b90
Who will win the 2024 NBA Championship?
null
null
61,490.597347
YES
734a0a905106
etur4d8fn4
false
UBSxdnqoFrMXd6kEgO2WZBUbEe03
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "[Microsoft’s] new Maia 100 AI Accelerator will power some of the largest ...
Adrian
Gb3oPonY3MKo6H92v12n
public
contract
1,718,001,322,419
which-companys-chips-will-gpt6-be-t
ahalekelly
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14Ghr3GphVe8yrwupnxxBlLPm1vsM5kGtL7uYKGvyiKQ=s96-c
Which company’s chips will GPT-6 be trained on?
null
null
1,647.51903
YES
6s05hkh2ht
g05g51ghqn
false
Gg7t9vPD4WPD1iPgj9RUFLYTxgH2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ { "attrs": { "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decora...
nikki
DLUwpsv8BmaLuz0LCsYH
public
contract
1,718,001,356,501
will-manifest-2025-be-hosted-at-lig
nikki
https://firebasestorage.…3b3-20f4f646b970
Will Manifest 2025 be hosted at Lighthaven?
null
null
null
null
null
m3ahjub4gs
false
W4yEF6idSMcNWEVUquowziSCZFI3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "50n7xr8fihb", "label": "Bayesian", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Evan
YuUtwu9QxubW13gWfbWh
public
contract
1,718,001,389,667
planecrash-will-planecrash-have-an
EvanDaniel
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtcNNBEv2GcorWHiElPC6VlaynzKPlKxwXytwbHWc54FNIs=s96-c
[planecrash] Will Planecrash have an Epilogue...
50n7xr8fihb
null
1,121.991024
NO
72a0fa007b01
vgftkk7p6q
false
Sd6WJnF0HUdsDl2muSuGmxrD0Ql1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Vorläufiges amtliches Endergebnis Die Bundeswahlleiterin, 10.06.2024, 05:45 SPD: 13.9%", "type": "text" } ], "type": "p...
mark rode
WUAZ2UeCjzmIgxGzbnbc
public
contract
1,718,001,765,805
will-the-german-spd-win-smaller-sha
markrode
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxaNoF-UldAFqFpadLfQQ-zbF1Mtl1brOTbiZG9ggQ=s96-c
Will the German SPD win smaller share of votes in the EU-election, 9th of June 2024, compared to the one in 2019?
null
0.737813
287.557425
YES
null
jwulkvfjc3i
false
Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "I’ve been told that the hat sold for $75. All options resolve NO. ", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, {...
Ziddletwix
ZAfPycVHno8Vs9bDUkR4
public
contract
1,718,001,774,758
how-much-will-eliezer-yudkowskis-ha
Ziddletwix
https://firebasestorage.…983-3ba213ef2b96
How much will Eliezer Yudkowski’s hat sell for at auction? (Manifest 2024)
null
null
428.712756
YES
cqgkla4sep
kgz989wd0d
false
UhNLru5kyBYquOsZaisU2YG2RK02
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "This, every orgy I have ever been adjacent to. Probably some orgies went over big and I missed. If it exists, there is porn about it on the internet, s...
ClubmasterTransparent
fMSodkfUDj3LxECrRgdr
public
contract
1,718,001,842,786
best-manifest-out-of-context-quote
ClubmasterTransparent
https://firebasestorage.…448-76c2f1fcfeee
Best Manifest Out Of Context Quote
null
null
null
null
null
obpgorcx8nl
false
S4Dca8uEDWYskc9fYENrheTcFg82
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Why do N/A’s not refund fees?", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Mark Hamill
kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx
public
contract
1,718,002,275,264
what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene
MarkHamill
https://firebasestorage.…262-532109daa79d
Manifest 2024 Prop Bets
null
null
1,099.271074
NO
bf359b1b1aa1
dqe7d8hk20c
false
fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "There was only so long this could stay above 50%", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
N.C. Young
kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx
public
contract
1,718,002,382,913
what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene
NcyRocks
https://firebasestorage.…6b3-70181e9d9dc2
Manifest 2024 Prop Bets
null
null
8,056.673092
YES
7b803e259083
iy82h1n1ho
false
oI1QtGxmvHVFXXl6yP4Ysun2YXv2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "I believe we narrowly hit 20-22ish", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": { "alt":...
barak
9sJX6EGlxsYMjwO7gC4x
public
contract
1,718,002,708,100
how-many-people-will-attend-baraks
barak
https://firebasestorage.…490-ba585c49c2ba
How many people will attend @barak's Manifest session: Repolarize American Politics
null
null
null
null
null
5gopf1i55u4
false
wbXNSHyBlFb22U3jMxheKBoOXYn2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Antigen tests take a while to turn positive. When I caught it my antigen tests were negative for two days while I tested positive with PCR, then turned...
Chris V
cuxbqqlwFIMjMyrZiusf
public
contract
1,718,003,631,189
will-my-covid-test-be-positive
voodoo
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJvMxwuK2gMCy5Z5egEg2drhsz4s5lov7Jd_WwypFTydJw=s96-c
Will my Covid test be positive?
null
0.444803
479.094535
YES
null
k99uy75fwz
false
JlVpsgzLsbOUT4pajswVMr0ZzmM2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "dqe7d8hk20c", "label": "NcyRocks", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Joshua
kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx
public
contract
1,718,003,632,178
what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene
Joshua
https://firebasestorage.…7d5-f5791800ee6f
Manifest 2024 Prop Bets
dqe7d8hk20c
null
778.383102
YES
8gqgoka43j
mogcbzc951p
false
fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "This is how you know the party’s winding down", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
N.C. Young
kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx
public
contract
1,718,003,655,101
what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene
NcyRocks
https://firebasestorage.…6b3-70181e9d9dc2
Manifest 2024 Prop Bets
null
null
8,056.673092
YES
7b803e259083
jhdggc1ui1i
false
UT1vHSGiCbfZHIRpm6ZvYhFphws1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "she had really bad congestion last night, and just a sore throat the night before that. I didn’t get around to redoing the test at lighthaven so I’ll...
Jonathan Ray
cuxbqqlwFIMjMyrZiusf
public
contract
1,718,003,689,813
will-my-covid-test-be-positive
JonathanRay
https://firebasestorage.…4e6-c893d48ec660
Will my Covid test be positive?
null
null
null
null
null
87yds23xon9
false
e4uEmboKKXedpcoMa6ew4f1adTn2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "4ty2nn3uj05", "label": "GordanKnott", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
gigab0nus
C7htjtpARkXFMSTUx910
public
contract
1,718,003,826,938
how-many-times-will-ai-be-mentioned-61c98fedafb1
gigab0nus
https://firebasestorage.…bb4-402507eb7110
How many times will "AI" be mentioned during the WWDC keynote?
lg8nciylw9i
null
148.270098
YES
44f7da47c13d
dbbj6c4f95t
false
bFuNwkqX9qZt8d4IJTalGkRlt3n2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Is a dance an exchange?", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Eric Bolton
kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx
public
contract
1,718,003,960,125
what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene
EricBolton
https://firebasestorage.…cef-e6d468df0f51
Manifest 2024 Prop Bets
null
null
320.676579
YES
10urlwdmhu
6e7jznc4u4q
false
cb6PJqGOSVPEUhprDHCKWWMuJqu1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42", "label": "NcyRocks", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
Dan
m9nonRyCZUepEKUATpz8
public
contract
1,718,004,040,410
how-much-will-my-political-markets
DanMan314
https://firebasestorage.…9e0-a993f643533a
How much will my Political Markets Batch Sale sell for?
null
null
null
null
null
kgjzb3d4h88
false
28c5p2EeLGMMRhICPUbpDm2A2il2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Will ties be resolved to 100% of each winning option? or 100% total, split evenly across all winners?", "type": "text" } ], ...
Vitor
KQwIvjHWjK8ATcuqjE0y
public
contract
1,718,004,173,970
in-new-york-city-on-what-day-will-t-l9h28imppn
VitorBosshard
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu2E37JwpTiA4tIhpgQ_jOAY4uQ2Vgv3jJXF8rIs=s96-c
In New York City, on what day will the highest temperature of July 2024 be recorded?
null
null
180.523877
NO
9bmg0iy7pm
ps0d3bpbqk
false
G4JTSx4yXAYll9JkJOj0z0qNNBt1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "What counts as \"significantly\"? What if everything remains nominally the same but something like a \" good character clause\" is added to the list o...
Jessica Evans
JeHDbCusfs6qZumDrzRD
public
contract
1,718,004,233,165
if-trump-wins-in-2024-how-will-it-a
JessicaEvans
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJ09N-L0VcH3A2_jFbvwzXuPQH7Z8dtC_qkPe9VUC3kHfs=s96-c
If Trump wins in 2024, how will it affect the transition of power after 2028 election?
null
null
null
null
null
3xc82lbvvkc
false
bpRxXv19PcY0fvtUC99KQXgYaMu1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "i913638ds8q", "label": "ShakedKoplewitz", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" },...
galaga
nyDbZJEncGQDNQfgC350
public
contract
1,718,004,514,639
will-narendra-modi-cease-to-be-prim
galaga
https://firebasestorage.…960-471dd4ca570d
Will Narendra Modi cease to be Prime Minister of India before 2030?
wfkplf6s72h
0.866832
64.037719
YES
null
z0rzw0dig98
false
ZuszDdXKmAa8olvm3Y2APkEyc9C2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "New email in perl porters maillist:", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": null, "co...
bessarabov
ywClndqYugtSpvKnxOZ1
public
contract
1,718,004,559,028
in-what-month-of-year-2024-perl-540
bessarabov
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxa0vn1x1xAzRtUYlNYFvDv8apE9Dr8EZAyBq_q2-Q=s96-c
In what month of year 2024 perl 5.40.0 will be released
null
null
266.381293
YES
23b5a73d852e
9o2kuiogpmj
false
ZuszDdXKmAa8olvm3Y2APkEyc9C2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "From the market description:", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": nul...
bessarabov
ywClndqYugtSpvKnxOZ1
public
contract
1,718,004,948,103
in-what-month-of-year-2024-perl-540
bessarabov
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxa0vn1x1xAzRtUYlNYFvDv8apE9Dr8EZAyBq_q2-Q=s96-c
In what month of year 2024 perl 5.40.0 will be released
null
null
10,797.536587
YES
23b5a73d852e
awu723mamo6
false
eDZ3r2013iZO0e5bxYHLbxXbP1D3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Your blog consistently delivers high-quality content, making it a valuable resource for all of us. I highly recommend checking out the ", "ty...
Tracy Burke
cmhbMHdNNv05vPboyOLY
public
contract
1,718,005,130,435
who-will-be-the-top-scorer-in-the-u
TracyBurke
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKzj3ZE2Uwk_hjG2U_M8SFc1ROJbPXs3rnT3aVc6UCg7AB_kg=s96-c
Who will be the top scorer in the UCL 2023/24 campaign
null
null
null
null
null
urwb8w8vcc
false
fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "6e7jznc4u4q", "label": "DanMan314", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
N.C. Young
m9nonRyCZUepEKUATpz8
public
contract
1,718,005,223,955
how-much-will-my-political-markets
NcyRocks
https://firebasestorage.…6b3-70181e9d9dc2
How much will my Political Markets Batch Sale sell for?
6e7jznc4u4q
null
null
null
null
g3lw4opfp2f
false
cb6PJqGOSVPEUhprDHCKWWMuJqu1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "urwb8w8vcc", "label": "NcyRocks", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Dan
m9nonRyCZUepEKUATpz8
public
contract
1,718,005,298,451
how-much-will-my-political-markets
DanMan314
https://firebasestorage.…9e0-a993f643533a
How much will my Political Markets Batch Sale sell for?
6e7jznc4u4q
null
null
null
null
nb1ruynn3yc
false
fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Well played", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": { "alt": null, "contrac...
N.C. Young
kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx
public
contract
1,718,005,436,361
what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene
NcyRocks
https://firebasestorage.…6b3-70181e9d9dc2
Manifest 2024 Prop Bets
null
null
null
null
null
hvf550hhwrp
false
kbHiTAGBahXdX9Z4sW29JpNrB0l2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "406n2qhqzcb", "label": "Stralor", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Ernie
eE3SiT4VNZPfDMDoIise
public
contract
1,718,005,533,682
will-someone-come-from-south-americ
Ernie
https://firebasestorage.…761-3d26c24f8466
Will someone come from South America to attend Manifest 2024?
skplrkz4mrs
null
null
null
null
496cs61yyxq
false
fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "g3lw4opfp2f", "label": "DanMan314", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
N.C. Young
m9nonRyCZUepEKUATpz8
public
contract
1,718,005,571,039
how-much-will-my-political-markets
NcyRocks
https://firebasestorage.…6b3-70181e9d9dc2
How much will my Political Markets Batch Sale sell for?
6e7jznc4u4q
null
null
null
null
khw81l91xqp
false
z5HPFTdzZ9RWBx1fNlz7f0Nhnoj2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "tnmhvvsawz", "label": "shankypanky", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
moo
kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx
public
contract
1,718,005,640,206
what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene
moo
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocIDvU3TziiTS_eyAfe2SYp-kh7027e_ytiOqa_aTyGCnjc1=s96-c
Manifest 2024 Prop Bets
uvh7kymo3gi
null
5,294.701223
YES
472ee8b3a7d4
w21a5nfrf8m
false
JlVpsgzLsbOUT4pajswVMr0ZzmM2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "God damn it", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Joshua
kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx
public
contract
1,718,005,938,696
what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene
Joshua
https://firebasestorage.…7d5-f5791800ee6f
Manifest 2024 Prop Bets
null
null
778.383102
YES
8gqgoka43j
96ig9lergpr
false
hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Change it to be any month ( sg said it's ok to change )", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "d...
chris (strutheo)
av7R6n2rUOMrPTjt9E5b
public
contract
1,718,006,175,141
will-lighthaven-be-capable-of-hosti
strutheo
https://firebasestorage.…a8a-874f55f21b3d
Will Lighthaven be capable of hosting a Manifest/LessOnline style event in June 2025?
null
null
null
null
null
21u1z1gic5k
false
Gg7t9vPD4WPD1iPgj9RUFLYTxgH2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "96ig9lergpr", "label": "strutheo", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
nikki
av7R6n2rUOMrPTjt9E5b
public
contract
1,718,006,216,683
will-lighthaven-be-capable-of-hosti
nikki
https://firebasestorage.…3b3-20f4f646b970
Will Lighthaven be capable of hosting a Manifest/LessOnline style event in June 2025?
96ig9lergpr
null
null
null
null
9xcdht5wdq
false
a4Y150jRVKWdZnH0wnciZuENtjN2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "en4lobzwy", "label": "PlasmaBallin", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
The All Memeing Eye ♠️
rFCd2cbiQhCBDxNFTcQ6
public
contract
1,718,006,762,332
the-crystal-coin-flip
TheAllMemeingEye
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKHq72qrRXesE4B-F3ThIh_PIHc6roe5lLTOYJ8jGqrxZQ=s96-c
The Crystal Coin Flip
en4lobzwy
0
9.658593
NO
null
5c7z523q9tc
false
BK7CzRu3Fyd74BNN4nXtINfnFvF2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Only one Pirate was elected. ", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Rok Andrée
rxDRVrZHwWeVdvfWrQRj
public
contract
1,718,007,227,723
will-the-pirate-party-increase-the
RokAndree
https://firebasestorage.…267-28e29407252f
Will the Pirate Party increase the number of MEPs in the 2024 EU Elections?
null
0.093353
177.75628
YES
null
38jz8vcpxbz
false
a4Y150jRVKWdZnH0wnciZuENtjN2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "muk6marl2bg", "label": "sanyero", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
The All Memeing Eye ♠️
rFCd2cbiQhCBDxNFTcQ6
public
contract
1,718,007,258,009
the-crystal-coin-flip
TheAllMemeingEye
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKHq72qrRXesE4B-F3ThIh_PIHc6roe5lLTOYJ8jGqrxZQ=s96-c
The Crystal Coin Flip
muk6marl2bg
0
9.658593
NO
null
2zcuoqf01hk
false
a4Y150jRVKWdZnH0wnciZuENtjN2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "cnqlgvjbb48", "label": "shankypanky", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
The All Memeing Eye ♠️
KARvvXZuzJNFOYQ8IWkm
public
contract
1,718,007,587,200
will-i-eat-ass-in-the-next-24
TheAllMemeingEye
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKHq72qrRXesE4B-F3ThIh_PIHc6roe5lLTOYJ8jGqrxZQ=s96-c
Will I eat ass in the next 24...?
cnqlgvjbb48
null
141.268346
YES
e1f11967fec2
0pwu86trf6wo
false
rcxJUyIV5MemJV3JtMSZSPjd1n53
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "aikym965t6", "label": "ClubmasterTransparent", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
Bruno
78SEU5O3SjDZAXWxsROZ
public
contract
1,718,007,616,548
will-the-2024-us-presidential-elect-8ec83c4e9644
BrunoParga
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtcp4YClws611x-pjPwaG6BghkC9GDfS4J-yHY8qAoQ8z70=s96-c
Will the 2024 US Presidential election happen normally?
aikym965t6
0.731143
133.333333
YES
null
t2yn9nv3op
false
DfZop4tq5sPkYNZB86rEJhNvwYZ2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Does it need to involve the word \"felon\" or will \"criminal\" do? ", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ],...
Ramble
mjbR2jzW5Mg1U20FVLoC
public
contract
1,718,007,668,366
trump-v-biden-debate-bingo-second-d
Ramble
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxYnCkD-77bDkcOfXylYzEMenShXv2wZxxwPZLpG=s96-c
Trump v Biden debate BINGO [Second debate hosted by ABC]
null
null
null
null
null
rxdbtpao84q
false
Fxsi2an7IoMsNLyq1ODqsXZIMqC3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "He needs $240,000,000 to hold through expiration. If he exercises in batches before expiration, he’s going to give up some theta (currently at least $1...
Benjamin Manns
X7AcP3q4aEbyvjuM8uge
public
contract
1,718,007,960,665
will-keith-gill-exercise-all-his-ju
benmanns
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKkghDuSf2qFv60YgKDe4sB83Qr5ah-gRmsZWJ4Y8cUS4oz=s96-c
Will Keith Gill exercise all his June 21st $20 calls?
null
0.15
1,828.766346
NO
null
xn8w0qz28i
false
UBSxdnqoFrMXd6kEgO2WZBUbEe03
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Resolves yes", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Adrian
kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx
public
contract
1,718,008,260,708
what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene
ahalekelly
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14Ghr3GphVe8yrwupnxxBlLPm1vsM5kGtL7uYKGvyiKQ=s96-c
Manifest 2024 Prop Bets
null
null
3,351.115637
YES
315d2a7e9c54
ylvm403v5i
false
Fxsi2an7IoMsNLyq1ODqsXZIMqC3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "h5b7eek9l3h", "label": "Mad", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { ...
Benjamin Manns
PqUHmGF921vb1Dpmo3fz
public
contract
1,718,008,409,499
manifold-makes-a-cake-ingredients-p
benmanns
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKkghDuSf2qFv60YgKDe4sB83Qr5ah-gRmsZWJ4Y8cUS4oz=s96-c
Manifold makes a vegan cake: ingredients proportioned as below.
h5b7eek9l3h
null
null
null
null
i9e4pui8a7i
false
a4Y150jRVKWdZnH0wnciZuENtjN2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "eBUNDUcrRMYeoRqfFsEcA0UonV33", "label": "Janna", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
The All Memeing Eye ♠️
kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx
public
contract
1,718,008,926,777
what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene
TheAllMemeingEye
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKHq72qrRXesE4B-F3ThIh_PIHc6roe5lLTOYJ8jGqrxZQ=s96-c
Manifest 2024 Prop Bets
null
null
158.00125
NO
8gqgoka43j
4bhmqo28hc7
false
QRdUiXFvVRXFrq3zNOJrUj76iwn2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "87yds23xon9", "label": "gigab0nus", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
M L
C7htjtpARkXFMSTUx910
public
contract
1,718,009,043,513
how-many-times-will-ai-be-mentioned-61c98fedafb1
ML12d1
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJQ_TkdRKgFmuMlRnyYbkd73FNjzN0J-38pXcnxV40C3A=s96-c
How many times will "AI" be mentioned during the WWDC keynote?
lg8nciylw9i
null
317.634631
NO
44f7da47c13d
fba9oca0akd
false
a4Y150jRVKWdZnH0wnciZuENtjN2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "v58cqhtgf3n", "label": "RomanHauksson", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
The All Memeing Eye ♠️
kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx
public
contract
1,718,009,154,426
what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene
TheAllMemeingEye
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKHq72qrRXesE4B-F3ThIh_PIHc6roe5lLTOYJ8jGqrxZQ=s96-c
Manifest 2024 Prop Bets
v58cqhtgf3n
null
158.00125
NO
8gqgoka43j
r5lh927mfs
false
KHX2ThSFtLQlau58hrjtCX7OL2h2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "2zcuoqf01hk", "label": "TheAllMemeingEye", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }...
stefanie
KARvvXZuzJNFOYQ8IWkm
public
contract
1,718,009,529,959
will-i-eat-ass-in-the-next-24
shankypanky
https://firebasestorage.…ba1-83532c98e108
Will I eat ass in the next 24...?
cnqlgvjbb48
null
1,345.900233
YES
40237ce68101
zfpqtgcrd69
false
yykycFLFkqfC48MK7gaPfseTkvl2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Despite the fact that I'm \"reading\" permutation city, I'm finding it more aversive to pick up than the non-fiction I'm reading. I don't exactly disli...
Daniel Filan
U0TWEW1sFtAmUVjLhnNP
public
contract
1,718,010,213,388
which-of-these-books-will-i-enjoy-r-422b924762e5
DanielFilan
https://firebasestorage.…6a0-6889d0558a2e
Which of these books will I enjoy reading in 2024?
null
null
null
null
null
py3vzshu2rr
false
gFPP5Z6rRPdPLcwZmqt5c1tTo6Q2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "resolves yes :(", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Saul Munn
tOvJ93DEEnE6JHPmXOd7
public
contract
1,718,010,370,532
will-joel-beat-saul-at-wrestling
saulmunn
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxZUXokPymgD5tR3Rv4gtxGuihIIsF3UOHG4nlIEyQ=s96-c
Will Joel beat Saul at wrestling?
null
null
null
null
null
2cikuwvrlf6
false
nbI9r6hdKiT4j2qdWGK63g4UNsm1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "In a gaming stream today Elon said launch from Florida is targeted mid next year", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph...
Mqrius
TVnXlCC8IcmzejKNyEKD
public
contract
1,718,010,517,926
when-will-starship-launch-from-flor
Mqrius
https://firebasestorage.…af0-8c35c7e89dda
When will Starship launch from Florida for the first time?
null
null
390.008192
YES
9dfb585c103e
iv53ck0mam
false
KVTphoQbaDbmPTayI06VSlf2Sao2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "UgYq9FbtTcf2siFCGmbv", "label": "Snarflak", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
nic
DtKuEnMqzdYHZit9IQhz
public
contract
1,718,010,539,250
what-percentage-of-1829-year-old-vo
nic_kup
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14Gi1nJQXNQ3PA-wqCPsU9jqSly3kAwGkSulM3lRmYw=s96-c
What percentage of 18-29 year old voters will vote for the Democratic presidential candidate?
zl4cQV2ho0gfYEpCBqhM
null
null
null
null
dribjs0huqr
false
KHX2ThSFtLQlau58hrjtCX7OL2h2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "I saw what was being declared as a \"human centipede\" and it definitely wasn't in line with common parlance.", "type": "text" } ...
stefanie
kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx
public
contract
1,718,010,689,674
what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene
shankypanky
https://firebasestorage.…ba1-83532c98e108
Manifest 2024 Prop Bets
i9e4pui8a7i
null
6,076.616373
YES
8a927a207f83
qyh3p4x81pc
false
v2DENYjeaSTAMytc2vNxYtMYPuz2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "awig3lla8b", "label": "MattCWilson", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
komplexkonjugat
0JtwIaECDJWQJAcc22Hx
public
contract
1,718,011,349,240
lets-play-civilization-vi-turn-95
komplexkonjugat
https://firebasestorage.…51b-bd51663a85a0
[Let's play] Civilization VI (Turn 95)
awig3lla8b
null
null
null
null
s68zmm3iqc8
false
XKnrud6GQUaifOB0hOuUfBCFAly1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Would I be right to assume that YES is \"higher\" and NO is \"lower\"?", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ...
Fion
5UV2Q6JKh70yP0uM6OUk
public
contract
1,718,011,485,924
will-the-conservative-vote-at-the-g
Fion
https://firebasestorage.…c2e-6bc532e44aed
Will the Conservative vote at the general election be HIGHER or LOWER than their score in the 2019 European Elections?
null
50
95.894582
YES
null
gs2ub4jpf7v
false
Jtr9In42trPCfEKKffz8Mu5cRpI2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "s68zmm3iqc8", "label": "Fion", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { ...
Harry Hayfield
5UV2Q6JKh70yP0uM6OUk
public
contract
1,718,011,838,592
will-the-conservative-vote-at-the-g
HarryHayfield
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKLO6vk94dAyRIB1WNPhDkrZK8ww8OiBc6b0ZnDQw48Zv4=s96-c
Will the Conservative vote at the general election be HIGHER or LOWER than their score in the 2019 European Elections?
s68zmm3iqc8
null
null
null
null
o40t6n2mq8d
false
rQPOELuW5zaapaNPnBYQBMoonk92
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "q24plk41ji", "label": "strutheo", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Tumbles ♠︎ Misses Manifold
eHoUkpWQ6f7B6WbaTM6m
public
contract
1,718,011,896,533
will-there-be-an-orgy-at-manifest-2
Tumbles
https://firebasestorage.…8aa-654bdc115c8d
Will there be an orgy at manifest 2?
q24plk41ji
0.431229
48.505599
YES
null
qeq3g1m7smn
false
v2DENYjeaSTAMytc2vNxYtMYPuz2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Next turn:", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text...
komplexkonjugat
0JtwIaECDJWQJAcc22Hx
public
contract
1,718,011,938,174
lets-play-civilization-vi-turn-95
komplexkonjugat
https://firebasestorage.…51b-bd51663a85a0
[Let's play] Civilization VI (Turn 95)
null
null
null
null
null
9rl4evqsfom
false
hUM4SO8a8qhfqT1gEZ7ElTCGSEz2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "oh fuck I just saw this! after last year I knew exactly who to ask for ya, sorry!", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragrap...
Pat Scott🩴
kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx
public
contract
1,718,012,483,448
what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene
Stralor
https://firebasestorage.…6fe-53e90fa501ca
Manifest 2024 Prop Bets
null
null
2,264.341378
NO
20c6b9b49614
8181r30r2dn
false
hUM4SO8a8qhfqT1gEZ7ElTCGSEz2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "clips, from Friday on?", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Pat Scott🩴
kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx
public
contract
1,718,012,584,371
what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene
Stralor
https://firebasestorage.…6fe-53e90fa501ca
Manifest 2024 Prop Bets
null
null
2,264.341378
NO
20c6b9b49614
yneuf1j9b5
false
KHX2ThSFtLQlau58hrjtCX7OL2h2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "8181r30r2dn", "label": "Stralor", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
stefanie
kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx
public
contract
1,718,012,976,304
what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene
shankypanky
https://firebasestorage.…ba1-83532c98e108
Manifest 2024 Prop Bets
8181r30r2dn
null
6,076.616373
YES
8a927a207f83
pzi2onixgnm
false
MAAD1J6G9lXzi01YGIiKAvh8KAN2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "6tx5e5ltpyq", "label": "LeonardoKr", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Dustin
1sQFF7liE5Iw5ePbH3GM
public
contract
1,718,013,191,799
will-jimmy-carter-become-a-centenar
Dustin
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GhOa--qvfxnXT1JfaOu1QgWzLbV_gIUyiQ7sh4hoQ=s96-c
Will Jimmy Carter become a centenarian?
6tx5e5ltpyq
0.49
53,003.484686
NO
null
7kroak0pabd
false
U6qF7eg8XLXRo4Xc077i1BdgHxx2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "5qx3xqne68v", "label": "TheAllMemeingEye", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }...
Panfilo
kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx
public
contract
1,718,013,222,817
what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene
Panfilo
https://firebasestorage.…30c-2f62a625fa0b
Manifest 2024 Prop Bets
5qx3xqne68v
null
942.732811
NO
26eee8e05d65
so9lj4twejq
false
N5V8x4s4ztWmx7o0reh1VSBVOpg2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "I’m reasonably confident one of my former employers would host events here. I’d love to connect them with the relevant person(s). ", "type": ...
Patrick
av7R6n2rUOMrPTjt9E5b
public
contract
1,718,013,829,748
will-lighthaven-be-capable-of-hosti
pdw
https://storage.googleap…reh1VSBVOpg2.png
Will Lighthaven be capable of hosting a Manifest/LessOnline style event in June 2025?
null
null
null
null
null
59asfei16tc
false
a4Y150jRVKWdZnH0wnciZuENtjN2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Anyone here read Age of Em or Lena MMAcevedo by any chance? 🧠🤖", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "...
The All Memeing Eye ♠️
9WXgDpKC7UyF4mh34NlP
public
contract
1,718,014,244,589
if-human-brain-emulations-are-creat
TheAllMemeingEye
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKHq72qrRXesE4B-F3ThIh_PIHc6roe5lLTOYJ8jGqrxZQ=s96-c
If human brain emulations are created, will they outnumber the biological human population within a decade?
null
null
null
null
null