| { |
| "board_worlds": [ |
| 32 |
| ], |
| "justified": { |
| "source": "Supported", |
| "standard": "K100" |
| }, |
| "arms": { |
| "anthropic/claude-opus-5.5": { |
| "n": 32, |
| "Both": { |
| "k": 14, |
| "n": 32, |
| "rate": 0.4375, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.2636, |
| 0.6234 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "Outcome": { |
| "k": 25, |
| "n": 32, |
| "rate": 0.7812, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.6003, |
| 0.9072 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "Justified": { |
| "k": 17, |
| "n": 32, |
| "rate": 0.5312, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.3474, |
| 0.7091 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "evidence_rule": { |
| "k": 21, |
| "n": 32, |
| "rate": 0.6562, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.4681, |
| 0.8143 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "by_lot": { |
| "feasible": { |
| "n": 16, |
| "Outcome": { |
| "k": 9, |
| "n": 16, |
| "rate": 0.5625, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.2988, |
| 0.8025 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "Justified": { |
| "k": 9, |
| "n": 16, |
| "rate": 0.5625, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.2988, |
| 0.8025 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "Both": { |
| "k": 6, |
| "n": 16, |
| "rate": 0.375, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.152, |
| 0.6457 |
| ] |
| } |
| }, |
| "infeasible": { |
| "n": 16, |
| "Outcome": { |
| "k": 16, |
| "n": 16, |
| "rate": 1.0, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.7941, |
| 1.0 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "Justified": { |
| "k": 8, |
| "n": 16, |
| "rate": 0.5, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.2465, |
| 0.7535 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "Both": { |
| "k": 8, |
| "n": 16, |
| "rate": 0.5, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.2465, |
| 0.7535 |
| ] |
| } |
| } |
| }, |
| "claims": { |
| "nominate": 10, |
| "restrict": 22 |
| }, |
| "feasible_worlds": { |
| "n": 16, |
| "how_it_ended": { |
| "nominated_passing": 9, |
| "nominated_failing": 1, |
| "wrong_restriction": 5, |
| "no_decision": 0, |
| "over_allowance": 1 |
| }, |
| "passing_route_measured": 10, |
| "nominated_passing_after_measuring": 8, |
| "withheld_passing": 1, |
| "decisive_levers_built": "13/15", |
| "default_or_favourite_passes_worlds": 1, |
| "first_design_missed": 12, |
| "recovered": 9, |
| "annealed_nomination_among_both": "2/6" |
| }, |
| "infeasible_worlds": { |
| "n": 16, |
| "how_it_ended": { |
| "restricted_justified": 8, |
| "restricted_unjustified": 8, |
| "restricted_pending": 0, |
| "nominated_failing": 0, |
| "no_decision": 0, |
| "over_allowance": 0 |
| }, |
| "best_route_measured": 13, |
| "decisive_levers_built": "5/7", |
| "default_or_favourite_best_worlds": 9 |
| }, |
| "failure_anatomy": { |
| "decisive_levers_never_built": { |
| "k": 2, |
| "n": 15, |
| "share": 0.133 |
| }, |
| "passing_route_withheld": { |
| "k": 1, |
| "n": 16, |
| "share": 0.062 |
| }, |
| "nomination_without_replication": { |
| "k": 2, |
| "n": 10, |
| "share": 0.2 |
| }, |
| "binding_limit_misjudged": { |
| "k": 1, |
| "n": 9, |
| "share": 0.111 |
| }, |
| "wrong_restriction": { |
| "k": 6, |
| "n": 16, |
| "share": 0.375 |
| } |
| }, |
| "decision_points": { |
| "redesign_points": 2.78, |
| "anneal_choices": 2.88, |
| "claim_points": 1.0, |
| "redesign_controls_changed": 1.5 |
| }, |
| "compaction": { |
| "compacted": { |
| "n": 1, |
| "Outcome": { |
| "k": 1, |
| "n": 1, |
| "rate": 1.0, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.025, |
| 1.0 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "Both": { |
| "k": 0, |
| "n": 1, |
| "rate": 0.0, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.0, |
| 0.975 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "claims": { |
| "nominate": 0, |
| "restrict": 1, |
| "no_decision": 0 |
| } |
| }, |
| "not_compacted": { |
| "n": 31, |
| "Outcome": { |
| "k": 24, |
| "n": 31, |
| "rate": 0.7742, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.589, |
| 0.9041 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "Both": { |
| "k": 14, |
| "n": 31, |
| "rate": 0.4516, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.2732, |
| 0.6397 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "claims": { |
| "nominate": 10, |
| "restrict": 21, |
| "no_decision": 0 |
| } |
| } |
| }, |
| "text_only_ends": { |
| "ended_without_a_claim": { |
| "k": 0, |
| "n": 32, |
| "share": 0.0 |
| }, |
| "used_continuation_notice": { |
| "k": 0, |
| "n": 32, |
| "share": 0.0 |
| } |
| }, |
| "over_allowance": 1, |
| "behaviour": { |
| "routes_built": 7.0, |
| "loops": 4.5, |
| "levers_varied": 6.0, |
| "one_factor_pairs": 3.5, |
| "single_lever_sweep_share": 0.219, |
| "anneal_programs": 1.0, |
| "replicated_nomination_share": 0.8, |
| "experiments_accepted": 7.0, |
| "experiments_rejected": 0.03, |
| "experiments_failed": 0.0, |
| "credits": 503.5, |
| "bodies": 7.0, |
| "minutes_to_first_experiment": 98.7, |
| "models_adopted": 1.0, |
| "model_revisions_after_first_return": 0.0, |
| "previews": 1.0, |
| "forecast_numeric_share": 0.993, |
| "bash_minutes": 164.95, |
| "background_job_share": 1.0, |
| "supplied_package_use_share": 1.0, |
| "commands_stopped_by_bound": 4, |
| "commands_stopped_by_own_timeout": 0, |
| "claim_file_outside_workspace_root": 0, |
| "commands_killed_by_memory": 1, |
| "compaction_share": 0.031 |
| }, |
| "cost": { |
| "usd_total": 836.78, |
| "usd_median": 22.46, |
| "provider_calls_median": 117.5, |
| "prompt_tokens_max_median": 276184.0, |
| "wall_minutes_median": 218.78, |
| "resumes": 0 |
| } |
| }, |
| "anthropic/claude-sonnet-5.5": { |
| "n": 32, |
| "Both": { |
| "k": 15, |
| "n": 32, |
| "rate": 0.4688, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.2909, |
| 0.6526 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "Outcome": { |
| "k": 20, |
| "n": 32, |
| "rate": 0.625, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.4369, |
| 0.789 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "Justified": { |
| "k": 16, |
| "n": 32, |
| "rate": 0.5, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.3189, |
| 0.6811 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "evidence_rule": { |
| "k": 16, |
| "n": 32, |
| "rate": 0.5, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.3189, |
| 0.6811 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "by_lot": { |
| "feasible": { |
| "n": 16, |
| "Outcome": { |
| "k": 9, |
| "n": 16, |
| "rate": 0.5625, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.2988, |
| 0.8025 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "Justified": { |
| "k": 7, |
| "n": 16, |
| "rate": 0.4375, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.1975, |
| 0.7012 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "Both": { |
| "k": 7, |
| "n": 16, |
| "rate": 0.4375, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.1975, |
| 0.7012 |
| ] |
| } |
| }, |
| "infeasible": { |
| "n": 16, |
| "Outcome": { |
| "k": 11, |
| "n": 16, |
| "rate": 0.6875, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.4134, |
| 0.8898 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "Justified": { |
| "k": 9, |
| "n": 16, |
| "rate": 0.5625, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.2988, |
| 0.8025 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "Both": { |
| "k": 8, |
| "n": 16, |
| "rate": 0.5, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.2465, |
| 0.7535 |
| ] |
| } |
| } |
| }, |
| "claims": { |
| "nominate": 20, |
| "restrict": 12 |
| }, |
| "feasible_worlds": { |
| "n": 16, |
| "how_it_ended": { |
| "nominated_passing": 9, |
| "nominated_failing": 6, |
| "wrong_restriction": 1, |
| "no_decision": 0, |
| "over_allowance": 0 |
| }, |
| "passing_route_measured": 9, |
| "nominated_passing_after_measuring": 9, |
| "withheld_passing": 0, |
| "decisive_levers_built": "11/15", |
| "default_or_favourite_passes_worlds": 1, |
| "first_design_missed": 11, |
| "recovered": 5, |
| "annealed_nomination_among_both": "2/7" |
| }, |
| "infeasible_worlds": { |
| "n": 16, |
| "how_it_ended": { |
| "restricted_justified": 8, |
| "restricted_unjustified": 3, |
| "restricted_pending": 0, |
| "nominated_failing": 5, |
| "no_decision": 0, |
| "over_allowance": 0 |
| }, |
| "best_route_measured": 12, |
| "decisive_levers_built": "6/7", |
| "default_or_favourite_best_worlds": 9 |
| }, |
| "failure_anatomy": { |
| "decisive_levers_never_built": { |
| "k": 4, |
| "n": 15, |
| "share": 0.267 |
| }, |
| "passing_route_withheld": { |
| "k": 0, |
| "n": 16, |
| "share": 0.0 |
| }, |
| "nomination_without_replication": { |
| "k": 11, |
| "n": 20, |
| "share": 0.55 |
| }, |
| "binding_limit_misjudged": { |
| "k": 5, |
| "n": 19, |
| "share": 0.263 |
| }, |
| "wrong_restriction": { |
| "k": 1, |
| "n": 16, |
| "share": 0.062 |
| } |
| }, |
| "decision_points": { |
| "redesign_points": 3.06, |
| "anneal_choices": 5.22, |
| "claim_points": 1.0, |
| "redesign_controls_changed": 1.0 |
| }, |
| "compaction": { |
| "compacted": { |
| "n": 0, |
| "Outcome": { |
| "k": 0, |
| "n": 0, |
| "rate": null, |
| "ci95": null |
| }, |
| "Both": { |
| "k": 0, |
| "n": 0, |
| "rate": null, |
| "ci95": null |
| }, |
| "claims": { |
| "nominate": 0, |
| "restrict": 0, |
| "no_decision": 0 |
| } |
| }, |
| "not_compacted": { |
| "n": 32, |
| "Outcome": { |
| "k": 20, |
| "n": 32, |
| "rate": 0.625, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.4369, |
| 0.789 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "Both": { |
| "k": 15, |
| "n": 32, |
| "rate": 0.4688, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.2909, |
| 0.6526 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "claims": { |
| "nominate": 20, |
| "restrict": 12, |
| "no_decision": 0 |
| } |
| } |
| }, |
| "text_only_ends": { |
| "ended_without_a_claim": { |
| "k": 0, |
| "n": 32, |
| "share": 0.0 |
| }, |
| "used_continuation_notice": { |
| "k": 0, |
| "n": 32, |
| "share": 0.0 |
| } |
| }, |
| "over_allowance": 0, |
| "behaviour": { |
| "routes_built": 13.0, |
| "loops": 5.0, |
| "levers_varied": 5.0, |
| "one_factor_pairs": 8.0, |
| "single_lever_sweep_share": 0.438, |
| "anneal_programs": 2.0, |
| "replicated_nomination_share": 0.55, |
| "experiments_accepted": 10.0, |
| "experiments_rejected": 0.0, |
| "experiments_failed": 0.0, |
| "credits": 524.5, |
| "bodies": 7.0, |
| "minutes_to_first_experiment": 30.05, |
| "models_adopted": 1.0, |
| "model_revisions_after_first_return": 0.0, |
| "previews": 0.5, |
| "forecast_numeric_share": 0.956, |
| "bash_minutes": 34.05, |
| "background_job_share": 0.938, |
| "supplied_package_use_share": 1.0, |
| "commands_stopped_by_bound": 3, |
| "commands_stopped_by_own_timeout": 0, |
| "claim_file_outside_workspace_root": 0, |
| "commands_killed_by_memory": 0, |
| "compaction_share": 0.0 |
| }, |
| "cost": { |
| "usd_total": 56.58, |
| "usd_median": 1.52, |
| "provider_calls_median": 51.0, |
| "prompt_tokens_max_median": 132606.0, |
| "wall_minutes_median": 48.5, |
| "resumes": 0 |
| } |
| }, |
| "openai/gpt-6-astra": { |
| "n": 32, |
| "Both": { |
| "k": 16, |
| "n": 32, |
| "rate": 0.5, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.3189, |
| 0.6811 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "Outcome": { |
| "k": 23, |
| "n": 32, |
| "rate": 0.7188, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.5325, |
| 0.8625 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "Justified": { |
| "k": 18, |
| "n": 32, |
| "rate": 0.5625, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.3766, |
| 0.7364 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "evidence_rule": { |
| "k": 23, |
| "n": 32, |
| "rate": 0.7188, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.5325, |
| 0.8625 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "by_lot": { |
| "feasible": { |
| "n": 16, |
| "Outcome": { |
| "k": 8, |
| "n": 16, |
| "rate": 0.5, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.2465, |
| 0.7535 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "Justified": { |
| "k": 7, |
| "n": 16, |
| "rate": 0.4375, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.1975, |
| 0.7012 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "Both": { |
| "k": 6, |
| "n": 16, |
| "rate": 0.375, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.152, |
| 0.6457 |
| ] |
| } |
| }, |
| "infeasible": { |
| "n": 16, |
| "Outcome": { |
| "k": 15, |
| "n": 16, |
| "rate": 0.9375, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.6977, |
| 0.9984 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "Justified": { |
| "k": 11, |
| "n": 16, |
| "rate": 0.6875, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.4134, |
| 0.8898 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "Both": { |
| "k": 10, |
| "n": 16, |
| "rate": 0.625, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.3543, |
| 0.848 |
| ] |
| } |
| } |
| }, |
| "claims": { |
| "nominate": 11, |
| "restrict": 21 |
| }, |
| "feasible_worlds": { |
| "n": 16, |
| "how_it_ended": { |
| "nominated_passing": 8, |
| "nominated_failing": 2, |
| "wrong_restriction": 6, |
| "no_decision": 0, |
| "over_allowance": 0 |
| }, |
| "passing_route_measured": 13, |
| "nominated_passing_after_measuring": 8, |
| "withheld_passing": 3, |
| "decisive_levers_built": "14/15", |
| "default_or_favourite_passes_worlds": 1, |
| "first_design_missed": 13, |
| "recovered": 10, |
| "annealed_nomination_among_both": "1/6" |
| }, |
| "infeasible_worlds": { |
| "n": 16, |
| "how_it_ended": { |
| "restricted_justified": 10, |
| "restricted_unjustified": 5, |
| "restricted_pending": 0, |
| "nominated_failing": 1, |
| "no_decision": 0, |
| "over_allowance": 0 |
| }, |
| "best_route_measured": 16, |
| "decisive_levers_built": "7/7", |
| "default_or_favourite_best_worlds": 9 |
| }, |
| "failure_anatomy": { |
| "decisive_levers_never_built": { |
| "k": 1, |
| "n": 15, |
| "share": 0.067 |
| }, |
| "passing_route_withheld": { |
| "k": 3, |
| "n": 16, |
| "share": 0.188 |
| }, |
| "nomination_without_replication": { |
| "k": 4, |
| "n": 11, |
| "share": 0.364 |
| }, |
| "binding_limit_misjudged": { |
| "k": 3, |
| "n": 10, |
| "share": 0.3 |
| }, |
| "wrong_restriction": { |
| "k": 6, |
| "n": 16, |
| "share": 0.375 |
| } |
| }, |
| "decision_points": { |
| "redesign_points": 3.38, |
| "anneal_choices": 3.62, |
| "claim_points": 1.0, |
| "redesign_controls_changed": 2.23 |
| }, |
| "compaction": { |
| "compacted": { |
| "n": 2, |
| "Outcome": { |
| "k": 1, |
| "n": 2, |
| "rate": 0.5, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.0126, |
| 0.9874 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "Both": { |
| "k": 0, |
| "n": 2, |
| "rate": 0.0, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.0, |
| 0.8419 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "claims": { |
| "nominate": 0, |
| "restrict": 2, |
| "no_decision": 0 |
| } |
| }, |
| "not_compacted": { |
| "n": 30, |
| "Outcome": { |
| "k": 22, |
| "n": 30, |
| "rate": 0.7333, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.5411, |
| 0.8772 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "Both": { |
| "k": 16, |
| "n": 30, |
| "rate": 0.5333, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.3433, |
| 0.7166 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "claims": { |
| "nominate": 11, |
| "restrict": 19, |
| "no_decision": 0 |
| } |
| } |
| }, |
| "text_only_ends": { |
| "ended_without_a_claim": { |
| "k": 0, |
| "n": 32, |
| "share": 0.0 |
| }, |
| "used_continuation_notice": { |
| "k": 0, |
| "n": 32, |
| "share": 0.0 |
| } |
| }, |
| "over_allowance": 0, |
| "behaviour": { |
| "routes_built": 13.5, |
| "loops": 4.5, |
| "levers_varied": 9.0, |
| "one_factor_pairs": 4.0, |
| "single_lever_sweep_share": 0.406, |
| "anneal_programs": 2.0, |
| "replicated_nomination_share": 0.636, |
| "experiments_accepted": 9.0, |
| "experiments_rejected": 0.12, |
| "experiments_failed": 0.0, |
| "credits": 569.0, |
| "bodies": 9.0, |
| "minutes_to_first_experiment": 1.8, |
| "models_adopted": 2.0, |
| "model_revisions_after_first_return": 1.0, |
| "previews": 0.0, |
| "forecast_numeric_share": 1.0, |
| "bash_minutes": 7.95, |
| "background_job_share": 0.062, |
| "supplied_package_use_share": 0.906, |
| "commands_stopped_by_bound": 3, |
| "commands_stopped_by_own_timeout": 1, |
| "claim_file_outside_workspace_root": 0, |
| "commands_killed_by_memory": 0, |
| "compaction_share": 0.062 |
| }, |
| "cost": { |
| "usd_total": 270.98, |
| "usd_median": 8.02, |
| "provider_calls_median": 60.0, |
| "prompt_tokens_max_median": 133292.0, |
| "wall_minutes_median": 22.0, |
| "resumes": 0 |
| } |
| }, |
| "google/gemini-4-argon": { |
| "n": 32, |
| "Both": { |
| "k": 15, |
| "n": 32, |
| "rate": 0.4688, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.2909, |
| 0.6526 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "Outcome": { |
| "k": 22, |
| "n": 32, |
| "rate": 0.6875, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.4999, |
| 0.8388 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "Justified": { |
| "k": 19, |
| "n": 32, |
| "rate": 0.5938, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.4064, |
| 0.763 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "evidence_rule": { |
| "k": 25, |
| "n": 32, |
| "rate": 0.7812, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.6003, |
| 0.9072 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "by_lot": { |
| "feasible": { |
| "n": 16, |
| "Outcome": { |
| "k": 10, |
| "n": 16, |
| "rate": 0.625, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.3543, |
| 0.848 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "Justified": { |
| "k": 8, |
| "n": 16, |
| "rate": 0.5, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.2465, |
| 0.7535 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "Both": { |
| "k": 7, |
| "n": 16, |
| "rate": 0.4375, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.1975, |
| 0.7012 |
| ] |
| } |
| }, |
| "infeasible": { |
| "n": 16, |
| "Outcome": { |
| "k": 12, |
| "n": 16, |
| "rate": 0.75, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.4762, |
| 0.9273 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "Justified": { |
| "k": 11, |
| "n": 16, |
| "rate": 0.6875, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.4134, |
| 0.8898 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "Both": { |
| "k": 8, |
| "n": 16, |
| "rate": 0.5, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.2465, |
| 0.7535 |
| ] |
| } |
| } |
| }, |
| "claims": { |
| "nominate": 16, |
| "restrict": 16 |
| }, |
| "feasible_worlds": { |
| "n": 16, |
| "how_it_ended": { |
| "nominated_passing": 10, |
| "nominated_failing": 2, |
| "wrong_restriction": 4, |
| "no_decision": 0, |
| "over_allowance": 0 |
| }, |
| "passing_route_measured": 13, |
| "nominated_passing_after_measuring": 10, |
| "withheld_passing": 2, |
| "decisive_levers_built": "13/15", |
| "default_or_favourite_passes_worlds": 1, |
| "first_design_missed": 11, |
| "recovered": 8, |
| "annealed_nomination_among_both": "3/7" |
| }, |
| "infeasible_worlds": { |
| "n": 16, |
| "how_it_ended": { |
| "restricted_justified": 8, |
| "restricted_unjustified": 4, |
| "restricted_pending": 0, |
| "nominated_failing": 4, |
| "no_decision": 0, |
| "over_allowance": 0 |
| }, |
| "best_route_measured": 15, |
| "decisive_levers_built": "7/7", |
| "default_or_favourite_best_worlds": 9 |
| }, |
| "failure_anatomy": { |
| "decisive_levers_never_built": { |
| "k": 2, |
| "n": 15, |
| "share": 0.133 |
| }, |
| "passing_route_withheld": { |
| "k": 2, |
| "n": 16, |
| "share": 0.125 |
| }, |
| "nomination_without_replication": { |
| "k": 5, |
| "n": 16, |
| "share": 0.312 |
| }, |
| "binding_limit_misjudged": { |
| "k": 11, |
| "n": 16, |
| "share": 0.688 |
| }, |
| "wrong_restriction": { |
| "k": 4, |
| "n": 16, |
| "share": 0.25 |
| } |
| }, |
| "decision_points": { |
| "redesign_points": 2.5, |
| "anneal_choices": 3.12, |
| "claim_points": 1.0, |
| "redesign_controls_changed": 1.23 |
| }, |
| "compaction": { |
| "compacted": { |
| "n": 0, |
| "Outcome": { |
| "k": 0, |
| "n": 0, |
| "rate": null, |
| "ci95": null |
| }, |
| "Both": { |
| "k": 0, |
| "n": 0, |
| "rate": null, |
| "ci95": null |
| }, |
| "claims": { |
| "nominate": 0, |
| "restrict": 0, |
| "no_decision": 0 |
| } |
| }, |
| "not_compacted": { |
| "n": 32, |
| "Outcome": { |
| "k": 22, |
| "n": 32, |
| "rate": 0.6875, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.4999, |
| 0.8388 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "Both": { |
| "k": 15, |
| "n": 32, |
| "rate": 0.4688, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.2909, |
| 0.6526 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "claims": { |
| "nominate": 16, |
| "restrict": 16, |
| "no_decision": 0 |
| } |
| } |
| }, |
| "text_only_ends": { |
| "ended_without_a_claim": { |
| "k": 0, |
| "n": 32, |
| "share": 0.0 |
| }, |
| "used_continuation_notice": { |
| "k": 3, |
| "n": 32, |
| "share": 0.094 |
| } |
| }, |
| "over_allowance": 0, |
| "behaviour": { |
| "routes_built": 10.5, |
| "loops": 5.0, |
| "levers_varied": 6.5, |
| "one_factor_pairs": 6.0, |
| "single_lever_sweep_share": 0.469, |
| "anneal_programs": 1.0, |
| "replicated_nomination_share": 0.812, |
| "experiments_accepted": 7.5, |
| "experiments_rejected": 0.06, |
| "experiments_failed": 0.0, |
| "credits": 561.0, |
| "bodies": 8.0, |
| "minutes_to_first_experiment": 53.35, |
| "models_adopted": 2.0, |
| "model_revisions_after_first_return": 1.0, |
| "previews": 4.0, |
| "forecast_numeric_share": 1.0, |
| "bash_minutes": 21.15, |
| "background_job_share": 0.312, |
| "supplied_package_use_share": 1.0, |
| "commands_stopped_by_bound": 6, |
| "commands_stopped_by_own_timeout": 0, |
| "claim_file_outside_workspace_root": 0, |
| "commands_killed_by_memory": 3, |
| "compaction_share": 0.0 |
| }, |
| "cost": { |
| "usd_total": 421.75, |
| "usd_median": 12.48, |
| "provider_calls_median": 104.5, |
| "prompt_tokens_max_median": 584193.5, |
| "wall_minutes_median": 90.28, |
| "resumes": 5 |
| } |
| }, |
| "deepseek/deepseek-v4.1-flash-1017": { |
| "n": 32, |
| "Both": { |
| "k": 9, |
| "n": 32, |
| "rate": 0.2812, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.1375, |
| 0.4675 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "Outcome": { |
| "k": 16, |
| "n": 32, |
| "rate": 0.5, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.3189, |
| 0.6811 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "Justified": { |
| "k": 12, |
| "n": 32, |
| "rate": 0.375, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.211, |
| 0.5631 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "evidence_rule": { |
| "k": 18, |
| "n": 32, |
| "rate": 0.5625, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.3766, |
| 0.7364 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "by_lot": { |
| "feasible": { |
| "n": 16, |
| "Outcome": { |
| "k": 1, |
| "n": 16, |
| "rate": 0.0625, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.0016, |
| 0.3023 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "Justified": { |
| "k": 3, |
| "n": 16, |
| "rate": 0.1875, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.0405, |
| 0.4565 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "Both": { |
| "k": 1, |
| "n": 16, |
| "rate": 0.0625, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.0016, |
| 0.3023 |
| ] |
| } |
| }, |
| "infeasible": { |
| "n": 16, |
| "Outcome": { |
| "k": 15, |
| "n": 16, |
| "rate": 0.9375, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.6977, |
| 0.9984 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "Justified": { |
| "k": 9, |
| "n": 16, |
| "rate": 0.5625, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.2988, |
| 0.8025 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "Both": { |
| "k": 8, |
| "n": 16, |
| "rate": 0.5, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.2465, |
| 0.7535 |
| ] |
| } |
| } |
| }, |
| "claims": { |
| "nominate": 3, |
| "restrict": 29 |
| }, |
| "feasible_worlds": { |
| "n": 16, |
| "how_it_ended": { |
| "nominated_passing": 1, |
| "nominated_failing": 1, |
| "wrong_restriction": 14, |
| "no_decision": 0, |
| "over_allowance": 0 |
| }, |
| "passing_route_measured": 4, |
| "nominated_passing_after_measuring": 1, |
| "withheld_passing": 1, |
| "decisive_levers_built": "6/15", |
| "default_or_favourite_passes_worlds": 1, |
| "first_design_missed": 14, |
| "recovered": 2, |
| "annealed_nomination_among_both": "0/1" |
| }, |
| "infeasible_worlds": { |
| "n": 16, |
| "how_it_ended": { |
| "restricted_justified": 8, |
| "restricted_unjustified": 7, |
| "restricted_pending": 0, |
| "nominated_failing": 1, |
| "no_decision": 0, |
| "over_allowance": 0 |
| }, |
| "best_route_measured": 11, |
| "decisive_levers_built": "4/7", |
| "default_or_favourite_best_worlds": 9 |
| }, |
| "failure_anatomy": { |
| "decisive_levers_never_built": { |
| "k": 9, |
| "n": 15, |
| "share": 0.6 |
| }, |
| "passing_route_withheld": { |
| "k": 1, |
| "n": 16, |
| "share": 0.062 |
| }, |
| "nomination_without_replication": { |
| "k": 1, |
| "n": 3, |
| "share": 0.333 |
| }, |
| "binding_limit_misjudged": { |
| "k": 1, |
| "n": 3, |
| "share": 0.333 |
| }, |
| "wrong_restriction": { |
| "k": 14, |
| "n": 16, |
| "share": 0.875 |
| } |
| }, |
| "decision_points": { |
| "redesign_points": 2.16, |
| "anneal_choices": 2.69, |
| "claim_points": 1.0, |
| "redesign_controls_changed": 1.0 |
| }, |
| "compaction": { |
| "compacted": { |
| "n": 0, |
| "Outcome": { |
| "k": 0, |
| "n": 0, |
| "rate": null, |
| "ci95": null |
| }, |
| "Both": { |
| "k": 0, |
| "n": 0, |
| "rate": null, |
| "ci95": null |
| }, |
| "claims": { |
| "nominate": 0, |
| "restrict": 0, |
| "no_decision": 0 |
| } |
| }, |
| "not_compacted": { |
| "n": 32, |
| "Outcome": { |
| "k": 16, |
| "n": 32, |
| "rate": 0.5, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.3189, |
| 0.6811 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "Both": { |
| "k": 9, |
| "n": 32, |
| "rate": 0.2812, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.1375, |
| 0.4675 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "claims": { |
| "nominate": 3, |
| "restrict": 29, |
| "no_decision": 0 |
| } |
| } |
| }, |
| "text_only_ends": { |
| "ended_without_a_claim": { |
| "k": 0, |
| "n": 32, |
| "share": 0.0 |
| }, |
| "used_continuation_notice": { |
| "k": 0, |
| "n": 32, |
| "share": 0.0 |
| } |
| }, |
| "over_allowance": 0, |
| "behaviour": { |
| "routes_built": 6.0, |
| "loops": 6.5, |
| "levers_varied": 4.0, |
| "one_factor_pairs": 8.0, |
| "single_lever_sweep_share": 0.344, |
| "anneal_programs": 1.0, |
| "replicated_nomination_share": 0.667, |
| "experiments_accepted": 6.0, |
| "experiments_rejected": 0.84, |
| "experiments_failed": 0.22, |
| "credits": 556.0, |
| "bodies": 7.0, |
| "minutes_to_first_experiment": 59.8, |
| "models_adopted": 1.0, |
| "model_revisions_after_first_return": 0.0, |
| "previews": 2.0, |
| "forecast_numeric_share": 0.777, |
| "bash_minutes": 38.3, |
| "background_job_share": 0.719, |
| "supplied_package_use_share": 1.0, |
| "commands_stopped_by_bound": 15, |
| "commands_stopped_by_own_timeout": 0, |
| "claim_file_outside_workspace_root": 0, |
| "commands_killed_by_memory": 8, |
| "compaction_share": 0.0 |
| }, |
| "cost": { |
| "usd_total": 3.45, |
| "usd_median": 0.1, |
| "provider_calls_median": 112.0, |
| "prompt_tokens_max_median": 265545.0, |
| "wall_minutes_median": 79.82, |
| "resumes": 0 |
| } |
| }, |
| "bo": { |
| "n": 32, |
| "Both": { |
| "k": 9, |
| "n": 32, |
| "rate": 0.2812, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.1375, |
| 0.4675 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "Outcome": { |
| "k": 15, |
| "n": 32, |
| "rate": 0.4688, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.2909, |
| 0.6526 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "Justified": { |
| "k": 16, |
| "n": 32, |
| "rate": 0.5, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.3189, |
| 0.6811 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "evidence_rule": { |
| "k": 18, |
| "n": 32, |
| "rate": 0.5625, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.3766, |
| 0.7364 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "by_lot": { |
| "feasible": { |
| "n": 16, |
| "Outcome": { |
| "k": 4, |
| "n": 16, |
| "rate": 0.25, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.0727, |
| 0.5238 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "Justified": { |
| "k": 8, |
| "n": 16, |
| "rate": 0.5, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.2465, |
| 0.7535 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "Both": { |
| "k": 4, |
| "n": 16, |
| "rate": 0.25, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.0727, |
| 0.5238 |
| ] |
| } |
| }, |
| "infeasible": { |
| "n": 16, |
| "Outcome": { |
| "k": 11, |
| "n": 16, |
| "rate": 0.6875, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.4134, |
| 0.8898 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "Justified": { |
| "k": 8, |
| "n": 16, |
| "rate": 0.5, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.2465, |
| 0.7535 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "Both": { |
| "k": 5, |
| "n": 16, |
| "rate": 0.3125, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.1102, |
| 0.5866 |
| ] |
| } |
| } |
| }, |
| "claims": { |
| "nominate": 14, |
| "restrict": 18 |
| }, |
| "feasible_worlds": { |
| "n": 16, |
| "how_it_ended": { |
| "nominated_passing": 4, |
| "nominated_failing": 5, |
| "wrong_restriction": 7, |
| "no_decision": 0, |
| "over_allowance": 0 |
| }, |
| "passing_route_measured": 10, |
| "nominated_passing_after_measuring": 4, |
| "withheld_passing": 1, |
| "decisive_levers_built": "14/15", |
| "default_or_favourite_passes_worlds": 1, |
| "first_design_missed": 12, |
| "recovered": 6, |
| "annealed_nomination_among_both": "1/4" |
| }, |
| "infeasible_worlds": { |
| "n": 16, |
| "how_it_ended": { |
| "restricted_justified": 5, |
| "restricted_unjustified": 6, |
| "restricted_pending": 0, |
| "nominated_failing": 5, |
| "no_decision": 0, |
| "over_allowance": 0 |
| }, |
| "best_route_measured": 7, |
| "decisive_levers_built": "3/7", |
| "default_or_favourite_best_worlds": 9 |
| }, |
| "failure_anatomy": { |
| "decisive_levers_never_built": { |
| "k": 1, |
| "n": 15, |
| "share": 0.067 |
| }, |
| "passing_route_withheld": { |
| "k": 1, |
| "n": 16, |
| "share": 0.062 |
| }, |
| "nomination_without_replication": { |
| "k": 4, |
| "n": 14, |
| "share": 0.286 |
| }, |
| "binding_limit_misjudged": { |
| "k": 2, |
| "n": 13, |
| "share": 0.154 |
| }, |
| "wrong_restriction": { |
| "k": 7, |
| "n": 16, |
| "share": 0.438 |
| } |
| }, |
| "decision_points": { |
| "redesign_points": 2.19, |
| "anneal_choices": 3.66, |
| "claim_points": 1.0, |
| "redesign_controls_changed": 2.1 |
| }, |
| "compaction": { |
| "compacted": { |
| "n": 0, |
| "Outcome": { |
| "k": 0, |
| "n": 0, |
| "rate": null, |
| "ci95": null |
| }, |
| "Both": { |
| "k": 0, |
| "n": 0, |
| "rate": null, |
| "ci95": null |
| }, |
| "claims": { |
| "nominate": 0, |
| "restrict": 0, |
| "no_decision": 0 |
| } |
| }, |
| "not_compacted": { |
| "n": 32, |
| "Outcome": { |
| "k": 15, |
| "n": 32, |
| "rate": 0.4688, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.2909, |
| 0.6526 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "Both": { |
| "k": 9, |
| "n": 32, |
| "rate": 0.2812, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.1375, |
| 0.4675 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "claims": { |
| "nominate": 14, |
| "restrict": 18, |
| "no_decision": 0 |
| } |
| } |
| }, |
| "text_only_ends": { |
| "ended_without_a_claim": { |
| "k": 0, |
| "n": 32, |
| "share": 0.0 |
| }, |
| "used_continuation_notice": { |
| "k": 0, |
| "n": 32, |
| "share": 0.0 |
| } |
| }, |
| "over_allowance": 0, |
| "behaviour": { |
| "routes_built": 17.5, |
| "loops": 3.0, |
| "levers_varied": 9.0, |
| "one_factor_pairs": 2.0, |
| "single_lever_sweep_share": 0.469, |
| "anneal_programs": 4.0, |
| "replicated_nomination_share": 0.357, |
| "experiments_accepted": 9.0, |
| "experiments_rejected": 0.0, |
| "experiments_failed": 1.0, |
| "credits": 443.0, |
| "bodies": 9.0, |
| "minutes_to_first_experiment": null, |
| "models_adopted": 0.0, |
| "model_revisions_after_first_return": 0.0, |
| "previews": 0.0, |
| "forecast_numeric_share": 0.0, |
| "bash_minutes": 0.0, |
| "background_job_share": 0.0, |
| "supplied_package_use_share": 0.0, |
| "commands_stopped_by_bound": 0, |
| "commands_stopped_by_own_timeout": 0, |
| "claim_file_outside_workspace_root": 0, |
| "commands_killed_by_memory": 0, |
| "compaction_share": 0.0 |
| }, |
| "cost": { |
| "usd_total": 0, |
| "usd_median": 0.0, |
| "provider_calls_median": 0.0, |
| "prompt_tokens_max_median": 0.0, |
| "wall_minutes_median": 2.0, |
| "resumes": 0 |
| } |
| }, |
| "doe": { |
| "n": 32, |
| "Both": { |
| "k": 9, |
| "n": 32, |
| "rate": 0.2812, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.1375, |
| 0.4675 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "Outcome": { |
| "k": 24, |
| "n": 32, |
| "rate": 0.75, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.566, |
| 0.8854 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "Justified": { |
| "k": 10, |
| "n": 32, |
| "rate": 0.3125, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.1612, |
| 0.5001 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "evidence_rule": { |
| "k": 17, |
| "n": 32, |
| "rate": 0.5312, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.3474, |
| 0.7091 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "by_lot": { |
| "feasible": { |
| "n": 16, |
| "Outcome": { |
| "k": 8, |
| "n": 16, |
| "rate": 0.5, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.2465, |
| 0.7535 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "Justified": { |
| "k": 5, |
| "n": 16, |
| "rate": 0.3125, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.1102, |
| 0.5866 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "Both": { |
| "k": 4, |
| "n": 16, |
| "rate": 0.25, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.0727, |
| 0.5238 |
| ] |
| } |
| }, |
| "infeasible": { |
| "n": 16, |
| "Outcome": { |
| "k": 16, |
| "n": 16, |
| "rate": 1.0, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.7941, |
| 1.0 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "Justified": { |
| "k": 5, |
| "n": 16, |
| "rate": 0.3125, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.1102, |
| 0.5866 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "Both": { |
| "k": 5, |
| "n": 16, |
| "rate": 0.3125, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.1102, |
| 0.5866 |
| ] |
| } |
| } |
| }, |
| "claims": { |
| "nominate": 12, |
| "restrict": 20 |
| }, |
| "feasible_worlds": { |
| "n": 16, |
| "how_it_ended": { |
| "nominated_passing": 8, |
| "nominated_failing": 4, |
| "wrong_restriction": 4, |
| "no_decision": 0, |
| "over_allowance": 0 |
| }, |
| "passing_route_measured": 10, |
| "nominated_passing_after_measuring": 8, |
| "withheld_passing": 1, |
| "decisive_levers_built": "13/15", |
| "default_or_favourite_passes_worlds": 1, |
| "first_design_missed": 8, |
| "recovered": 2, |
| "annealed_nomination_among_both": "2/4" |
| }, |
| "infeasible_worlds": { |
| "n": 16, |
| "how_it_ended": { |
| "restricted_justified": 5, |
| "restricted_unjustified": 11, |
| "restricted_pending": 0, |
| "nominated_failing": 0, |
| "no_decision": 0, |
| "over_allowance": 0 |
| }, |
| "best_route_measured": 11, |
| "decisive_levers_built": "6/7", |
| "default_or_favourite_best_worlds": 9 |
| }, |
| "failure_anatomy": { |
| "decisive_levers_never_built": { |
| "k": 2, |
| "n": 15, |
| "share": 0.133 |
| }, |
| "passing_route_withheld": { |
| "k": 1, |
| "n": 16, |
| "share": 0.062 |
| }, |
| "nomination_without_replication": { |
| "k": 7, |
| "n": 12, |
| "share": 0.583 |
| }, |
| "binding_limit_misjudged": { |
| "k": 6, |
| "n": 12, |
| "share": 0.5 |
| }, |
| "wrong_restriction": { |
| "k": 4, |
| "n": 16, |
| "share": 0.25 |
| } |
| }, |
| "decision_points": { |
| "redesign_points": 2.09, |
| "anneal_choices": 3.94, |
| "claim_points": 1.0, |
| "redesign_controls_changed": 1.0 |
| }, |
| "compaction": { |
| "compacted": { |
| "n": 0, |
| "Outcome": { |
| "k": 0, |
| "n": 0, |
| "rate": null, |
| "ci95": null |
| }, |
| "Both": { |
| "k": 0, |
| "n": 0, |
| "rate": null, |
| "ci95": null |
| }, |
| "claims": { |
| "nominate": 0, |
| "restrict": 0, |
| "no_decision": 0 |
| } |
| }, |
| "not_compacted": { |
| "n": 32, |
| "Outcome": { |
| "k": 24, |
| "n": 32, |
| "rate": 0.75, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.566, |
| 0.8854 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "Both": { |
| "k": 9, |
| "n": 32, |
| "rate": 0.2812, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.1375, |
| 0.4675 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "claims": { |
| "nominate": 12, |
| "restrict": 20, |
| "no_decision": 0 |
| } |
| } |
| }, |
| "text_only_ends": { |
| "ended_without_a_claim": { |
| "k": 0, |
| "n": 32, |
| "share": 0.0 |
| }, |
| "used_continuation_notice": { |
| "k": 0, |
| "n": 32, |
| "share": 0.0 |
| } |
| }, |
| "over_allowance": 0, |
| "behaviour": { |
| "routes_built": 19.0, |
| "loops": 3.0, |
| "levers_varied": 7.0, |
| "one_factor_pairs": 3.5, |
| "single_lever_sweep_share": 0.688, |
| "anneal_programs": 4.0, |
| "replicated_nomination_share": 0.417, |
| "experiments_accepted": 9.0, |
| "experiments_rejected": 0.0, |
| "experiments_failed": 0.0, |
| "credits": 544.0, |
| "bodies": 11.0, |
| "minutes_to_first_experiment": null, |
| "models_adopted": 0.0, |
| "model_revisions_after_first_return": 0.0, |
| "previews": 0.0, |
| "forecast_numeric_share": 0.0, |
| "bash_minutes": 0.0, |
| "background_job_share": 0.0, |
| "supplied_package_use_share": 0.0, |
| "commands_stopped_by_bound": 0, |
| "commands_stopped_by_own_timeout": 0, |
| "claim_file_outside_workspace_root": 0, |
| "commands_killed_by_memory": 0, |
| "compaction_share": 0.0 |
| }, |
| "cost": { |
| "usd_total": 0, |
| "usd_median": 0.0, |
| "provider_calls_median": 0.0, |
| "prompt_tokens_max_median": 0.0, |
| "wall_minutes_median": 2.0, |
| "resumes": 0 |
| } |
| }, |
| "z-ai/glm-5.3-flash": { |
| "n": 32, |
| "Both": { |
| "k": 8, |
| "n": 32, |
| "rate": 0.25, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.1146, |
| 0.434 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "Outcome": { |
| "k": 16, |
| "n": 32, |
| "rate": 0.5, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.3189, |
| 0.6811 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "Justified": { |
| "k": 13, |
| "n": 32, |
| "rate": 0.4062, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.237, |
| 0.5936 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "evidence_rule": { |
| "k": 18, |
| "n": 32, |
| "rate": 0.5625, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.3766, |
| 0.7364 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "by_lot": { |
| "feasible": { |
| "n": 16, |
| "Outcome": { |
| "k": 1, |
| "n": 16, |
| "rate": 0.0625, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.0016, |
| 0.3023 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "Justified": { |
| "k": 6, |
| "n": 16, |
| "rate": 0.375, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.152, |
| 0.6457 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "Both": { |
| "k": 1, |
| "n": 16, |
| "rate": 0.0625, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.0016, |
| 0.3023 |
| ] |
| } |
| }, |
| "infeasible": { |
| "n": 16, |
| "Outcome": { |
| "k": 15, |
| "n": 16, |
| "rate": 0.9375, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.6977, |
| 0.9984 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "Justified": { |
| "k": 7, |
| "n": 16, |
| "rate": 0.4375, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.1975, |
| 0.7012 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "Both": { |
| "k": 7, |
| "n": 16, |
| "rate": 0.4375, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.1975, |
| 0.7012 |
| ] |
| } |
| } |
| }, |
| "claims": { |
| "nominate": 6, |
| "restrict": 26 |
| }, |
| "feasible_worlds": { |
| "n": 16, |
| "how_it_ended": { |
| "nominated_passing": 1, |
| "nominated_failing": 0, |
| "wrong_restriction": 8, |
| "no_decision": 0, |
| "over_allowance": 7 |
| }, |
| "passing_route_measured": 8, |
| "nominated_passing_after_measuring": 1, |
| "withheld_passing": 0, |
| "decisive_levers_built": "8/15", |
| "default_or_favourite_passes_worlds": 1, |
| "first_design_missed": 13, |
| "recovered": 5, |
| "annealed_nomination_among_both": "0/1" |
| }, |
| "infeasible_worlds": { |
| "n": 16, |
| "how_it_ended": { |
| "restricted_justified": 7, |
| "restricted_unjustified": 8, |
| "restricted_pending": 0, |
| "nominated_failing": 1, |
| "no_decision": 0, |
| "over_allowance": 0 |
| }, |
| "best_route_measured": 10, |
| "decisive_levers_built": "1/7", |
| "default_or_favourite_best_worlds": 9 |
| }, |
| "failure_anatomy": { |
| "decisive_levers_never_built": { |
| "k": 7, |
| "n": 15, |
| "share": 0.467 |
| }, |
| "passing_route_withheld": { |
| "k": 0, |
| "n": 16, |
| "share": 0.0 |
| }, |
| "nomination_without_replication": { |
| "k": 2, |
| "n": 6, |
| "share": 0.333 |
| }, |
| "binding_limit_misjudged": { |
| "k": 1, |
| "n": 6, |
| "share": 0.167 |
| }, |
| "wrong_restriction": { |
| "k": 11, |
| "n": 16, |
| "share": 0.688 |
| } |
| }, |
| "decision_points": { |
| "redesign_points": 2.28, |
| "anneal_choices": 4.16, |
| "claim_points": 1.0, |
| "redesign_controls_changed": 0.67 |
| }, |
| "compaction": { |
| "compacted": { |
| "n": 0, |
| "Outcome": { |
| "k": 0, |
| "n": 0, |
| "rate": null, |
| "ci95": null |
| }, |
| "Both": { |
| "k": 0, |
| "n": 0, |
| "rate": null, |
| "ci95": null |
| }, |
| "claims": { |
| "nominate": 0, |
| "restrict": 0, |
| "no_decision": 0 |
| } |
| }, |
| "not_compacted": { |
| "n": 32, |
| "Outcome": { |
| "k": 16, |
| "n": 32, |
| "rate": 0.5, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.3189, |
| 0.6811 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "Both": { |
| "k": 8, |
| "n": 32, |
| "rate": 0.25, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.1146, |
| 0.434 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "claims": { |
| "nominate": 6, |
| "restrict": 26, |
| "no_decision": 0 |
| } |
| } |
| }, |
| "text_only_ends": { |
| "ended_without_a_claim": { |
| "k": 0, |
| "n": 32, |
| "share": 0.0 |
| }, |
| "used_continuation_notice": { |
| "k": 0, |
| "n": 32, |
| "share": 0.0 |
| } |
| }, |
| "over_allowance": 7, |
| "behaviour": { |
| "routes_built": 8.5, |
| "loops": 4.5, |
| "levers_varied": 4.0, |
| "one_factor_pairs": 5.0, |
| "single_lever_sweep_share": 0.156, |
| "anneal_programs": 2.0, |
| "replicated_nomination_share": 0.667, |
| "experiments_accepted": 7.0, |
| "experiments_rejected": 1.91, |
| "experiments_failed": 0.25, |
| "credits": 535.5, |
| "bodies": 6.0, |
| "minutes_to_first_experiment": 65.6, |
| "models_adopted": 3.0, |
| "model_revisions_after_first_return": 1.0, |
| "previews": 0.0, |
| "forecast_numeric_share": 0.717, |
| "bash_minutes": 42.95, |
| "background_job_share": 0.875, |
| "supplied_package_use_share": 1.0, |
| "commands_stopped_by_bound": 5, |
| "commands_stopped_by_own_timeout": 0, |
| "claim_file_outside_workspace_root": 0, |
| "commands_killed_by_memory": 2, |
| "compaction_share": 0.0 |
| }, |
| "cost": { |
| "usd_total": 17.95, |
| "usd_median": 0.54, |
| "provider_calls_median": 128.0, |
| "prompt_tokens_max_median": 263053.5, |
| "wall_minutes_median": 89.8, |
| "resumes": 5 |
| } |
| } |
| }, |
| "supported_K_sensitivity": { |
| "K100": { |
| "anthropic/claude-opus-5.5": { |
| "Justified": { |
| "k": 17, |
| "n": 32, |
| "rate": 0.5312, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.3474, |
| 0.7091 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "Both": { |
| "k": 14, |
| "n": 32, |
| "rate": 0.4375, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.2636, |
| 0.6234 |
| ] |
| } |
| }, |
| "anthropic/claude-sonnet-5.5": { |
| "Justified": { |
| "k": 16, |
| "n": 32, |
| "rate": 0.5, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.3189, |
| 0.6811 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "Both": { |
| "k": 15, |
| "n": 32, |
| "rate": 0.4688, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.2909, |
| 0.6526 |
| ] |
| } |
| }, |
| "openai/gpt-6-astra": { |
| "Justified": { |
| "k": 18, |
| "n": 32, |
| "rate": 0.5625, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.3766, |
| 0.7364 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "Both": { |
| "k": 16, |
| "n": 32, |
| "rate": 0.5, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.3189, |
| 0.6811 |
| ] |
| } |
| }, |
| "google/gemini-4-argon": { |
| "Justified": { |
| "k": 19, |
| "n": 32, |
| "rate": 0.5938, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.4064, |
| 0.763 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "Both": { |
| "k": 15, |
| "n": 32, |
| "rate": 0.4688, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.2909, |
| 0.6526 |
| ] |
| } |
| }, |
| "deepseek/deepseek-v4.1-flash-1017": { |
| "Justified": { |
| "k": 12, |
| "n": 32, |
| "rate": 0.375, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.211, |
| 0.5631 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "Both": { |
| "k": 9, |
| "n": 32, |
| "rate": 0.2812, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.1375, |
| 0.4675 |
| ] |
| } |
| }, |
| "bo": { |
| "Justified": { |
| "k": 16, |
| "n": 32, |
| "rate": 0.5, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.3189, |
| 0.6811 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "Both": { |
| "k": 9, |
| "n": 32, |
| "rate": 0.2812, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.1375, |
| 0.4675 |
| ] |
| } |
| }, |
| "doe": { |
| "Justified": { |
| "k": 10, |
| "n": 32, |
| "rate": 0.3125, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.1612, |
| 0.5001 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "Both": { |
| "k": 9, |
| "n": 32, |
| "rate": 0.2812, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.1375, |
| 0.4675 |
| ] |
| } |
| }, |
| "z-ai/glm-5.3-flash": { |
| "Justified": { |
| "k": 13, |
| "n": 32, |
| "rate": 0.4062, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.237, |
| 0.5936 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "Both": { |
| "k": 8, |
| "n": 32, |
| "rate": 0.25, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.1146, |
| 0.434 |
| ] |
| } |
| } |
| }, |
| "K200": { |
| "anthropic/claude-opus-5.5": { |
| "Justified": { |
| "k": 21, |
| "n": 32, |
| "rate": 0.6562, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.4681, |
| 0.8143 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "Both": { |
| "k": 17, |
| "n": 32, |
| "rate": 0.5312, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.3474, |
| 0.7091 |
| ] |
| } |
| }, |
| "anthropic/claude-sonnet-5.5": { |
| "Justified": { |
| "k": 17, |
| "n": 32, |
| "rate": 0.5312, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.3474, |
| 0.7091 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "Both": { |
| "k": 15, |
| "n": 32, |
| "rate": 0.4688, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.2909, |
| 0.6526 |
| ] |
| } |
| }, |
| "openai/gpt-6-astra": { |
| "Justified": { |
| "k": 19, |
| "n": 32, |
| "rate": 0.5938, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.4064, |
| 0.763 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "Both": { |
| "k": 17, |
| "n": 32, |
| "rate": 0.5312, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.3474, |
| 0.7091 |
| ] |
| } |
| }, |
| "google/gemini-4-argon": { |
| "Justified": { |
| "k": 19, |
| "n": 32, |
| "rate": 0.5938, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.4064, |
| 0.763 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "Both": { |
| "k": 15, |
| "n": 32, |
| "rate": 0.4688, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.2909, |
| 0.6526 |
| ] |
| } |
| }, |
| "deepseek/deepseek-v4.1-flash-1017": { |
| "Justified": { |
| "k": 13, |
| "n": 32, |
| "rate": 0.4062, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.237, |
| 0.5936 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "Both": { |
| "k": 10, |
| "n": 32, |
| "rate": 0.3125, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.1612, |
| 0.5001 |
| ] |
| } |
| }, |
| "bo": { |
| "Justified": { |
| "k": 16, |
| "n": 32, |
| "rate": 0.5, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.3189, |
| 0.6811 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "Both": { |
| "k": 9, |
| "n": 32, |
| "rate": 0.2812, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.1375, |
| 0.4675 |
| ] |
| } |
| }, |
| "doe": { |
| "Justified": { |
| "k": 10, |
| "n": 32, |
| "rate": 0.3125, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.1612, |
| 0.5001 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "Both": { |
| "k": 9, |
| "n": 32, |
| "rate": 0.2812, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.1375, |
| 0.4675 |
| ] |
| } |
| }, |
| "z-ai/glm-5.3-flash": { |
| "Justified": { |
| "k": 15, |
| "n": 32, |
| "rate": 0.4688, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.2909, |
| 0.6526 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "Both": { |
| "k": 10, |
| "n": 32, |
| "rate": 0.3125, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.1612, |
| 0.5001 |
| ] |
| } |
| } |
| }, |
| "K30": { |
| "anthropic/claude-opus-5.5": { |
| "Justified": { |
| "k": 12, |
| "n": 32, |
| "rate": 0.375, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.211, |
| 0.5631 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "Both": { |
| "k": 10, |
| "n": 32, |
| "rate": 0.3125, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.1612, |
| 0.5001 |
| ] |
| } |
| }, |
| "anthropic/claude-sonnet-5.5": { |
| "Justified": { |
| "k": 13, |
| "n": 32, |
| "rate": 0.4062, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.237, |
| 0.5936 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "Both": { |
| "k": 12, |
| "n": 32, |
| "rate": 0.375, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.211, |
| 0.5631 |
| ] |
| } |
| }, |
| "openai/gpt-6-astra": { |
| "Justified": { |
| "k": 15, |
| "n": 32, |
| "rate": 0.4688, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.2909, |
| 0.6526 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "Both": { |
| "k": 14, |
| "n": 32, |
| "rate": 0.4375, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.2636, |
| 0.6234 |
| ] |
| } |
| }, |
| "google/gemini-4-argon": { |
| "Justified": { |
| "k": 18, |
| "n": 32, |
| "rate": 0.5625, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.3766, |
| 0.7364 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "Both": { |
| "k": 14, |
| "n": 32, |
| "rate": 0.4375, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.2636, |
| 0.6234 |
| ] |
| } |
| }, |
| "deepseek/deepseek-v4.1-flash-1017": { |
| "Justified": { |
| "k": 8, |
| "n": 32, |
| "rate": 0.25, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.1146, |
| 0.434 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "Both": { |
| "k": 6, |
| "n": 32, |
| "rate": 0.1875, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.0721, |
| 0.3644 |
| ] |
| } |
| }, |
| "bo": { |
| "Justified": { |
| "k": 13, |
| "n": 32, |
| "rate": 0.4062, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.237, |
| 0.5936 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "Both": { |
| "k": 7, |
| "n": 32, |
| "rate": 0.2188, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.0928, |
| 0.3997 |
| ] |
| } |
| }, |
| "doe": { |
| "Justified": { |
| "k": 8, |
| "n": 32, |
| "rate": 0.25, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.1146, |
| 0.434 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "Both": { |
| "k": 7, |
| "n": 32, |
| "rate": 0.2188, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.0928, |
| 0.3997 |
| ] |
| } |
| }, |
| "z-ai/glm-5.3-flash": { |
| "Justified": { |
| "k": 6, |
| "n": 32, |
| "rate": 0.1875, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.0721, |
| 0.3644 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "Both": { |
| "k": 3, |
| "n": 32, |
| "rate": 0.0938, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.0198, |
| 0.2502 |
| ] |
| } |
| } |
| } |
| }, |
| "checks": { |
| "grade_rows": 256, |
| "grade_errors": [], |
| "arm_world_duplicates": [], |
| "features_rows": 256, |
| "claims_read_elsewhere": [] |
| }, |
| "moves_vs_outcome": { |
| "anthropic/claude-opus-5.5": { |
| "measure": "Both", |
| "single_lever_sweep": { |
| "made": { |
| "k": 4, |
| "n": 7, |
| "rate": 0.5714, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.1841, |
| 0.901 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "not_made": { |
| "k": 10, |
| "n": 25, |
| "rate": 0.4, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.2113, |
| 0.6133 |
| ] |
| } |
| }, |
| "decisive_levers_built": { |
| "made": { |
| "k": 5, |
| "n": 13, |
| "rate": 0.3846, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.1386, |
| 0.6842 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "not_made": { |
| "k": 0, |
| "n": 2, |
| "rate": 0.0, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.0, |
| 0.8419 |
| ] |
| } |
| }, |
| "passing_route_measured": { |
| "made": { |
| "k": 6, |
| "n": 10, |
| "rate": 0.6, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.2624, |
| 0.8784 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "not_made": { |
| "k": 0, |
| "n": 6, |
| "rate": 0.0, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.0, |
| 0.4593 |
| ] |
| } |
| }, |
| "replicated_nomination": { |
| "made": { |
| "k": 6, |
| "n": 8, |
| "rate": 0.75, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.3491, |
| 0.9681 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "not_made": { |
| "k": 0, |
| "n": 2, |
| "rate": 0.0, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.0, |
| 0.8419 |
| ] |
| } |
| }, |
| "model_revised_after_return": { |
| "made": { |
| "k": 3, |
| "n": 9, |
| "rate": 0.3333, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.0749, |
| 0.7007 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "not_made": { |
| "k": 11, |
| "n": 23, |
| "rate": 0.4783, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.2682, |
| 0.6941 |
| ] |
| } |
| }, |
| "background_jobs": { |
| "made": { |
| "k": 14, |
| "n": 32, |
| "rate": 0.4375, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.2636, |
| 0.6234 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "not_made": { |
| "k": 0, |
| "n": 0, |
| "rate": null, |
| "ci95": null |
| } |
| } |
| }, |
| "anthropic/claude-sonnet-5.5": { |
| "measure": "Both", |
| "single_lever_sweep": { |
| "made": { |
| "k": 5, |
| "n": 14, |
| "rate": 0.3571, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.1276, |
| 0.6486 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "not_made": { |
| "k": 10, |
| "n": 18, |
| "rate": 0.5556, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.3076, |
| 0.7847 |
| ] |
| } |
| }, |
| "decisive_levers_built": { |
| "made": { |
| "k": 6, |
| "n": 11, |
| "rate": 0.5455, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.2338, |
| 0.8325 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "not_made": { |
| "k": 0, |
| "n": 4, |
| "rate": 0.0, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.0, |
| 0.6024 |
| ] |
| } |
| }, |
| "passing_route_measured": { |
| "made": { |
| "k": 7, |
| "n": 9, |
| "rate": 0.7778, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.3999, |
| 0.9719 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "not_made": { |
| "k": 0, |
| "n": 7, |
| "rate": 0.0, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.0, |
| 0.4096 |
| ] |
| } |
| }, |
| "replicated_nomination": { |
| "made": { |
| "k": 6, |
| "n": 11, |
| "rate": 0.5455, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.2338, |
| 0.8325 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "not_made": { |
| "k": 1, |
| "n": 9, |
| "rate": 0.1111, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.0028, |
| 0.4825 |
| ] |
| } |
| }, |
| "model_revised_after_return": { |
| "made": { |
| "k": 0, |
| "n": 0, |
| "rate": null, |
| "ci95": null |
| }, |
| "not_made": { |
| "k": 15, |
| "n": 32, |
| "rate": 0.4688, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.2909, |
| 0.6526 |
| ] |
| } |
| }, |
| "background_jobs": { |
| "made": { |
| "k": 14, |
| "n": 30, |
| "rate": 0.4667, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.2834, |
| 0.6567 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "not_made": { |
| "k": 1, |
| "n": 2, |
| "rate": 0.5, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.0126, |
| 0.9874 |
| ] |
| } |
| } |
| }, |
| "openai/gpt-6-astra": { |
| "measure": "Both", |
| "single_lever_sweep": { |
| "made": { |
| "k": 7, |
| "n": 13, |
| "rate": 0.5385, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.2513, |
| 0.8078 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "not_made": { |
| "k": 9, |
| "n": 19, |
| "rate": 0.4737, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.2445, |
| 0.7114 |
| ] |
| } |
| }, |
| "decisive_levers_built": { |
| "made": { |
| "k": 5, |
| "n": 14, |
| "rate": 0.3571, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.1276, |
| 0.6486 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "not_made": { |
| "k": 0, |
| "n": 1, |
| "rate": 0.0, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.0, |
| 0.975 |
| ] |
| } |
| }, |
| "passing_route_measured": { |
| "made": { |
| "k": 6, |
| "n": 13, |
| "rate": 0.4615, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.1922, |
| 0.7487 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "not_made": { |
| "k": 0, |
| "n": 3, |
| "rate": 0.0, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.0, |
| 0.7076 |
| ] |
| } |
| }, |
| "replicated_nomination": { |
| "made": { |
| "k": 6, |
| "n": 7, |
| "rate": 0.8571, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.4213, |
| 0.9964 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "not_made": { |
| "k": 0, |
| "n": 4, |
| "rate": 0.0, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.0, |
| 0.6024 |
| ] |
| } |
| }, |
| "model_revised_after_return": { |
| "made": { |
| "k": 14, |
| "n": 29, |
| "rate": 0.4828, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.2945, |
| 0.6747 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "not_made": { |
| "k": 2, |
| "n": 3, |
| "rate": 0.6667, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.0943, |
| 0.9916 |
| ] |
| } |
| }, |
| "background_jobs": { |
| "made": { |
| "k": 2, |
| "n": 2, |
| "rate": 1.0, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.1581, |
| 1.0 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "not_made": { |
| "k": 14, |
| "n": 30, |
| "rate": 0.4667, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.2834, |
| 0.6567 |
| ] |
| } |
| } |
| }, |
| "google/gemini-4-argon": { |
| "measure": "Both", |
| "single_lever_sweep": { |
| "made": { |
| "k": 6, |
| "n": 15, |
| "rate": 0.4, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.1634, |
| 0.6771 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "not_made": { |
| "k": 9, |
| "n": 17, |
| "rate": 0.5294, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.2781, |
| 0.7702 |
| ] |
| } |
| }, |
| "decisive_levers_built": { |
| "made": { |
| "k": 6, |
| "n": 13, |
| "rate": 0.4615, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.1922, |
| 0.7487 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "not_made": { |
| "k": 0, |
| "n": 2, |
| "rate": 0.0, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.0, |
| 0.8419 |
| ] |
| } |
| }, |
| "passing_route_measured": { |
| "made": { |
| "k": 7, |
| "n": 13, |
| "rate": 0.5385, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.2513, |
| 0.8078 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "not_made": { |
| "k": 0, |
| "n": 3, |
| "rate": 0.0, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.0, |
| 0.7076 |
| ] |
| } |
| }, |
| "replicated_nomination": { |
| "made": { |
| "k": 7, |
| "n": 13, |
| "rate": 0.5385, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.2513, |
| 0.8078 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "not_made": { |
| "k": 0, |
| "n": 3, |
| "rate": 0.0, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.0, |
| 0.7076 |
| ] |
| } |
| }, |
| "model_revised_after_return": { |
| "made": { |
| "k": 12, |
| "n": 26, |
| "rate": 0.4615, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.2659, |
| 0.6663 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "not_made": { |
| "k": 3, |
| "n": 6, |
| "rate": 0.5, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.1181, |
| 0.8819 |
| ] |
| } |
| }, |
| "background_jobs": { |
| "made": { |
| "k": 4, |
| "n": 10, |
| "rate": 0.4, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.1216, |
| 0.7376 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "not_made": { |
| "k": 11, |
| "n": 22, |
| "rate": 0.5, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.2822, |
| 0.7178 |
| ] |
| } |
| } |
| }, |
| "deepseek/deepseek-v4.1-flash-1017": { |
| "measure": "Both", |
| "single_lever_sweep": { |
| "made": { |
| "k": 3, |
| "n": 11, |
| "rate": 0.2727, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.0602, |
| 0.6097 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "not_made": { |
| "k": 6, |
| "n": 21, |
| "rate": 0.2857, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.1128, |
| 0.5218 |
| ] |
| } |
| }, |
| "decisive_levers_built": { |
| "made": { |
| "k": 1, |
| "n": 6, |
| "rate": 0.1667, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.0042, |
| 0.6412 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "not_made": { |
| "k": 0, |
| "n": 9, |
| "rate": 0.0, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.0, |
| 0.3363 |
| ] |
| } |
| }, |
| "passing_route_measured": { |
| "made": { |
| "k": 1, |
| "n": 4, |
| "rate": 0.25, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.0063, |
| 0.8059 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "not_made": { |
| "k": 0, |
| "n": 12, |
| "rate": 0.0, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.0, |
| 0.2646 |
| ] |
| } |
| }, |
| "replicated_nomination": { |
| "made": { |
| "k": 1, |
| "n": 2, |
| "rate": 0.5, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.0126, |
| 0.9874 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "not_made": { |
| "k": 0, |
| "n": 1, |
| "rate": 0.0, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.0, |
| 0.975 |
| ] |
| } |
| }, |
| "model_revised_after_return": { |
| "made": { |
| "k": 3, |
| "n": 8, |
| "rate": 0.375, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.0852, |
| 0.7551 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "not_made": { |
| "k": 6, |
| "n": 24, |
| "rate": 0.25, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.0977, |
| 0.4671 |
| ] |
| } |
| }, |
| "background_jobs": { |
| "made": { |
| "k": 8, |
| "n": 23, |
| "rate": 0.3478, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.1638, |
| 0.5727 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "not_made": { |
| "k": 1, |
| "n": 9, |
| "rate": 0.1111, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.0028, |
| 0.4825 |
| ] |
| } |
| } |
| }, |
| "bo": { |
| "measure": "Both", |
| "single_lever_sweep": { |
| "made": { |
| "k": 4, |
| "n": 15, |
| "rate": 0.2667, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.0779, |
| 0.551 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "not_made": { |
| "k": 5, |
| "n": 17, |
| "rate": 0.2941, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.1031, |
| 0.5596 |
| ] |
| } |
| }, |
| "decisive_levers_built": { |
| "made": { |
| "k": 3, |
| "n": 14, |
| "rate": 0.2143, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.0466, |
| 0.508 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "not_made": { |
| "k": 0, |
| "n": 1, |
| "rate": 0.0, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.0, |
| 0.975 |
| ] |
| } |
| }, |
| "passing_route_measured": { |
| "made": { |
| "k": 4, |
| "n": 10, |
| "rate": 0.4, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.1216, |
| 0.7376 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "not_made": { |
| "k": 0, |
| "n": 6, |
| "rate": 0.0, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.0, |
| 0.4593 |
| ] |
| } |
| }, |
| "replicated_nomination": { |
| "made": { |
| "k": 3, |
| "n": 5, |
| "rate": 0.6, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.1466, |
| 0.9473 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "not_made": { |
| "k": 1, |
| "n": 9, |
| "rate": 0.1111, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.0028, |
| 0.4825 |
| ] |
| } |
| }, |
| "model_revised_after_return": { |
| "made": { |
| "k": 0, |
| "n": 0, |
| "rate": null, |
| "ci95": null |
| }, |
| "not_made": { |
| "k": 9, |
| "n": 32, |
| "rate": 0.2812, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.1375, |
| 0.4675 |
| ] |
| } |
| }, |
| "background_jobs": { |
| "made": { |
| "k": 0, |
| "n": 0, |
| "rate": null, |
| "ci95": null |
| }, |
| "not_made": { |
| "k": 9, |
| "n": 32, |
| "rate": 0.2812, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.1375, |
| 0.4675 |
| ] |
| } |
| } |
| }, |
| "doe": { |
| "measure": "Both", |
| "single_lever_sweep": { |
| "made": { |
| "k": 4, |
| "n": 22, |
| "rate": 0.1818, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.0519, |
| 0.4028 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "not_made": { |
| "k": 5, |
| "n": 10, |
| "rate": 0.5, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.1871, |
| 0.8129 |
| ] |
| } |
| }, |
| "decisive_levers_built": { |
| "made": { |
| "k": 3, |
| "n": 13, |
| "rate": 0.2308, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.0504, |
| 0.5381 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "not_made": { |
| "k": 0, |
| "n": 2, |
| "rate": 0.0, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.0, |
| 0.8419 |
| ] |
| } |
| }, |
| "passing_route_measured": { |
| "made": { |
| "k": 4, |
| "n": 10, |
| "rate": 0.4, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.1216, |
| 0.7376 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "not_made": { |
| "k": 0, |
| "n": 6, |
| "rate": 0.0, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.0, |
| 0.4593 |
| ] |
| } |
| }, |
| "replicated_nomination": { |
| "made": { |
| "k": 3, |
| "n": 5, |
| "rate": 0.6, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.1466, |
| 0.9473 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "not_made": { |
| "k": 1, |
| "n": 7, |
| "rate": 0.1429, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.0036, |
| 0.5787 |
| ] |
| } |
| }, |
| "model_revised_after_return": { |
| "made": { |
| "k": 0, |
| "n": 0, |
| "rate": null, |
| "ci95": null |
| }, |
| "not_made": { |
| "k": 9, |
| "n": 32, |
| "rate": 0.2812, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.1375, |
| 0.4675 |
| ] |
| } |
| }, |
| "background_jobs": { |
| "made": { |
| "k": 0, |
| "n": 0, |
| "rate": null, |
| "ci95": null |
| }, |
| "not_made": { |
| "k": 9, |
| "n": 32, |
| "rate": 0.2812, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.1375, |
| 0.4675 |
| ] |
| } |
| } |
| }, |
| "z-ai/glm-5.3-flash": { |
| "measure": "Both", |
| "single_lever_sweep": { |
| "made": { |
| "k": 1, |
| "n": 5, |
| "rate": 0.2, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.0051, |
| 0.7164 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "not_made": { |
| "k": 7, |
| "n": 27, |
| "rate": 0.2593, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.1111, |
| 0.4628 |
| ] |
| } |
| }, |
| "decisive_levers_built": { |
| "made": { |
| "k": 1, |
| "n": 8, |
| "rate": 0.125, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.0032, |
| 0.5265 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "not_made": { |
| "k": 0, |
| "n": 7, |
| "rate": 0.0, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.0, |
| 0.4096 |
| ] |
| } |
| }, |
| "passing_route_measured": { |
| "made": { |
| "k": 1, |
| "n": 8, |
| "rate": 0.125, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.0032, |
| 0.5265 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "not_made": { |
| "k": 0, |
| "n": 8, |
| "rate": 0.0, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.0, |
| 0.3694 |
| ] |
| } |
| }, |
| "replicated_nomination": { |
| "made": { |
| "k": 1, |
| "n": 4, |
| "rate": 0.25, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.0063, |
| 0.8059 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "not_made": { |
| "k": 0, |
| "n": 2, |
| "rate": 0.0, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.0, |
| 0.8419 |
| ] |
| } |
| }, |
| "model_revised_after_return": { |
| "made": { |
| "k": 6, |
| "n": 24, |
| "rate": 0.25, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.0977, |
| 0.4671 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "not_made": { |
| "k": 2, |
| "n": 8, |
| "rate": 0.25, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.0319, |
| 0.6509 |
| ] |
| } |
| }, |
| "background_jobs": { |
| "made": { |
| "k": 7, |
| "n": 28, |
| "rate": 0.25, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.1069, |
| 0.4487 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "not_made": { |
| "k": 1, |
| "n": 4, |
| "rate": 0.25, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.0063, |
| 0.8059 |
| ] |
| } |
| } |
| } |
| }, |
| "headroom_worlds_by_class": { |
| "near_miss_model_best": 3, |
| "rate_or_pressure": 2, |
| "multi": 3, |
| "reliability_near_miss_best_elsewhere": 2, |
| "temperature_or_hold": 2, |
| "model_top_passes": 1, |
| "feedstock": 1 |
| }, |
| "contention": { |
| "anthropic/claude-opus-5.5": { |
| "at_40": [ |
| 0, |
| 0 |
| ], |
| "relaunch_burst": [ |
| 0, |
| 0 |
| ], |
| "at_20": [ |
| 0, |
| 0 |
| ], |
| "at_12": [ |
| 0, |
| 0 |
| ], |
| "fill": [ |
| 32, |
| 4 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "anthropic/claude-sonnet-5.5": { |
| "at_40": [ |
| 0, |
| 0 |
| ], |
| "relaunch_burst": [ |
| 0, |
| 0 |
| ], |
| "at_20": [ |
| 0, |
| 0 |
| ], |
| "at_12": [ |
| 0, |
| 0 |
| ], |
| "fill": [ |
| 32, |
| 3 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "openai/gpt-6-astra": { |
| "at_40": [ |
| 0, |
| 0 |
| ], |
| "relaunch_burst": [ |
| 0, |
| 0 |
| ], |
| "at_20": [ |
| 0, |
| 0 |
| ], |
| "at_12": [ |
| 0, |
| 0 |
| ], |
| "fill": [ |
| 32, |
| 3 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "google/gemini-4-argon": { |
| "at_40": [ |
| 0, |
| 0 |
| ], |
| "relaunch_burst": [ |
| 0, |
| 0 |
| ], |
| "at_20": [ |
| 0, |
| 0 |
| ], |
| "at_12": [ |
| 0, |
| 0 |
| ], |
| "fill": [ |
| 32, |
| 6 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "deepseek/deepseek-v4.1-flash-1017": { |
| "at_40": [ |
| 0, |
| 0 |
| ], |
| "relaunch_burst": [ |
| 0, |
| 0 |
| ], |
| "at_20": [ |
| 0, |
| 0 |
| ], |
| "at_12": [ |
| 0, |
| 0 |
| ], |
| "fill": [ |
| 32, |
| 15 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "z-ai/glm-5.3-flash": { |
| "at_40": [ |
| 0, |
| 0 |
| ], |
| "relaunch_burst": [ |
| 0, |
| 0 |
| ], |
| "at_20": [ |
| 0, |
| 0 |
| ], |
| "at_12": [ |
| 0, |
| 0 |
| ], |
| "fill": [ |
| 32, |
| 5 |
| ] |
| } |
| }, |
| "headline": { |
| "ranked_by": "Both", |
| "declared_prior": "K100", |
| "order": [ |
| "openai/gpt-6-astra", |
| "anthropic/claude-sonnet-5.5", |
| "google/gemini-4-argon", |
| "anthropic/claude-opus-5.5", |
| "deepseek/deepseek-v4.1-flash-1017", |
| "bo", |
| "doe", |
| "z-ai/glm-5.3-flash" |
| ], |
| "arms": { |
| "anthropic/claude-opus-5.5": { |
| "Both": { |
| "k": 14, |
| "n": 32, |
| "rate": 0.4375, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.2636, |
| 0.6234 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "material_outcome": { |
| "k": 9, |
| "n": 16, |
| "rate": 0.5625, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.2988, |
| 0.8025 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "credits_to_justified": { |
| "median": 342.0, |
| "n": 14, |
| "of_both_correct": 14 |
| } |
| }, |
| "anthropic/claude-sonnet-5.5": { |
| "Both": { |
| "k": 15, |
| "n": 32, |
| "rate": 0.4688, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.2909, |
| 0.6526 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "material_outcome": { |
| "k": 9, |
| "n": 16, |
| "rate": 0.5625, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.2988, |
| 0.8025 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "credits_to_justified": { |
| "median": 342, |
| "n": 15, |
| "of_both_correct": 15 |
| } |
| }, |
| "openai/gpt-6-astra": { |
| "Both": { |
| "k": 16, |
| "n": 32, |
| "rate": 0.5, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.3189, |
| 0.6811 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "material_outcome": { |
| "k": 8, |
| "n": 16, |
| "rate": 0.5, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.2465, |
| 0.7535 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "credits_to_justified": { |
| "median": 570.0, |
| "n": 16, |
| "of_both_correct": 16 |
| } |
| }, |
| "google/gemini-4-argon": { |
| "Both": { |
| "k": 15, |
| "n": 32, |
| "rate": 0.4688, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.2909, |
| 0.6526 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "material_outcome": { |
| "k": 10, |
| "n": 16, |
| "rate": 0.625, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.3543, |
| 0.848 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "credits_to_justified": { |
| "median": 342, |
| "n": 15, |
| "of_both_correct": 15 |
| } |
| }, |
| "deepseek/deepseek-v4.1-flash-1017": { |
| "Both": { |
| "k": 9, |
| "n": 32, |
| "rate": 0.2812, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.1375, |
| 0.4675 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "material_outcome": { |
| "k": 1, |
| "n": 16, |
| "rate": 0.0625, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.0016, |
| 0.3023 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "credits_to_justified": { |
| "median": 456, |
| "n": 9, |
| "of_both_correct": 9 |
| } |
| }, |
| "bo": { |
| "Both": { |
| "k": 9, |
| "n": 32, |
| "rate": 0.2812, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.1375, |
| 0.4675 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "material_outcome": { |
| "k": 4, |
| "n": 16, |
| "rate": 0.25, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.0727, |
| 0.5238 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "credits_to_justified": { |
| "median": 456, |
| "n": 9, |
| "of_both_correct": 9 |
| } |
| }, |
| "doe": { |
| "Both": { |
| "k": 9, |
| "n": 32, |
| "rate": 0.2812, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.1375, |
| 0.4675 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "material_outcome": { |
| "k": 8, |
| "n": 16, |
| "rate": 0.5, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.2465, |
| 0.7535 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "credits_to_justified": { |
| "median": 456, |
| "n": 9, |
| "of_both_correct": 9 |
| } |
| }, |
| "z-ai/glm-5.3-flash": { |
| "Both": { |
| "k": 8, |
| "n": 32, |
| "rate": 0.25, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.1146, |
| 0.434 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "material_outcome": { |
| "k": 1, |
| "n": 16, |
| "rate": 0.0625, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.0016, |
| 0.3023 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "credits_to_justified": { |
| "median": 342.0, |
| "n": 8, |
| "of_both_correct": 8 |
| } |
| } |
| }, |
| "floor": { |
| "restrict": { |
| "Both": { |
| "k": 0, |
| "n": 32, |
| "rate": 0.0, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.0, |
| 0.1089 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "material_outcome": { |
| "k": 0, |
| "n": 16, |
| "rate": 0.0, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.0, |
| 0.2059 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "worlds": 32 |
| }, |
| "top": { |
| "Both": { |
| "k": 0, |
| "n": 32, |
| "rate": 0.0, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.0, |
| 0.1089 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "material_outcome": { |
| "k": 1, |
| "n": 16, |
| "rate": 0.0625, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.0016, |
| 0.3023 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "worlds": 32 |
| } |
| }, |
| "by_class_measure": "Both", |
| "by_class": { |
| "model_top_passes": { |
| "anthropic/claude-opus-5.5": { |
| "k": 1, |
| "n": 1, |
| "rate": 1.0, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.025, |
| 1.0 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "anthropic/claude-sonnet-5.5": { |
| "k": 1, |
| "n": 1, |
| "rate": 1.0, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.025, |
| 1.0 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "openai/gpt-6-astra": { |
| "k": 1, |
| "n": 1, |
| "rate": 1.0, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.025, |
| 1.0 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "google/gemini-4-argon": { |
| "k": 1, |
| "n": 1, |
| "rate": 1.0, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.025, |
| 1.0 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "deepseek/deepseek-v4.1-flash-1017": { |
| "k": 0, |
| "n": 1, |
| "rate": 0.0, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.0, |
| 0.975 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "bo": { |
| "k": 1, |
| "n": 1, |
| "rate": 1.0, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.025, |
| 1.0 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "doe": { |
| "k": 1, |
| "n": 1, |
| "rate": 1.0, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.025, |
| 1.0 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "z-ai/glm-5.3-flash": { |
| "k": 0, |
| "n": 1, |
| "rate": 0.0, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.0, |
| 0.975 |
| ] |
| } |
| }, |
| "feedstock": { |
| "anthropic/claude-opus-5.5": { |
| "k": 1, |
| "n": 2, |
| "rate": 0.5, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.0126, |
| 0.9874 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "anthropic/claude-sonnet-5.5": { |
| "k": 1, |
| "n": 2, |
| "rate": 0.5, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.0126, |
| 0.9874 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "openai/gpt-6-astra": { |
| "k": 0, |
| "n": 2, |
| "rate": 0.0, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.0, |
| 0.8419 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "google/gemini-4-argon": { |
| "k": 1, |
| "n": 2, |
| "rate": 0.5, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.0126, |
| 0.9874 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "deepseek/deepseek-v4.1-flash-1017": { |
| "k": 0, |
| "n": 2, |
| "rate": 0.0, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.0, |
| 0.8419 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "bo": { |
| "k": 0, |
| "n": 2, |
| "rate": 0.0, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.0, |
| 0.8419 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "doe": { |
| "k": 1, |
| "n": 2, |
| "rate": 0.5, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.0126, |
| 0.9874 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "z-ai/glm-5.3-flash": { |
| "k": 0, |
| "n": 2, |
| "rate": 0.0, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.0, |
| 0.8419 |
| ] |
| } |
| }, |
| "temperature_or_hold": { |
| "anthropic/claude-opus-5.5": { |
| "k": 1, |
| "n": 3, |
| "rate": 0.3333, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.0084, |
| 0.9057 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "anthropic/claude-sonnet-5.5": { |
| "k": 2, |
| "n": 3, |
| "rate": 0.6667, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.0943, |
| 0.9916 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "openai/gpt-6-astra": { |
| "k": 3, |
| "n": 3, |
| "rate": 1.0, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.2924, |
| 1.0 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "google/gemini-4-argon": { |
| "k": 2, |
| "n": 3, |
| "rate": 0.6667, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.0943, |
| 0.9916 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "deepseek/deepseek-v4.1-flash-1017": { |
| "k": 1, |
| "n": 3, |
| "rate": 0.3333, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.0084, |
| 0.9057 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "bo": { |
| "k": 2, |
| "n": 3, |
| "rate": 0.6667, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.0943, |
| 0.9916 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "doe": { |
| "k": 1, |
| "n": 3, |
| "rate": 0.3333, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.0084, |
| 0.9057 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "z-ai/glm-5.3-flash": { |
| "k": 0, |
| "n": 3, |
| "rate": 0.0, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.0, |
| 0.7076 |
| ] |
| } |
| }, |
| "rate_or_pressure": { |
| "anthropic/claude-opus-5.5": { |
| "k": 1, |
| "n": 2, |
| "rate": 0.5, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.0126, |
| 0.9874 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "anthropic/claude-sonnet-5.5": { |
| "k": 1, |
| "n": 2, |
| "rate": 0.5, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.0126, |
| 0.9874 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "openai/gpt-6-astra": { |
| "k": 1, |
| "n": 2, |
| "rate": 0.5, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.0126, |
| 0.9874 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "google/gemini-4-argon": { |
| "k": 1, |
| "n": 2, |
| "rate": 0.5, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.0126, |
| 0.9874 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "deepseek/deepseek-v4.1-flash-1017": { |
| "k": 0, |
| "n": 2, |
| "rate": 0.0, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.0, |
| 0.8419 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "bo": { |
| "k": 0, |
| "n": 2, |
| "rate": 0.0, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.0, |
| 0.8419 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "doe": { |
| "k": 1, |
| "n": 2, |
| "rate": 0.5, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.0126, |
| 0.9874 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "z-ai/glm-5.3-flash": { |
| "k": 0, |
| "n": 2, |
| "rate": 0.0, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.0, |
| 0.8419 |
| ] |
| } |
| }, |
| "anneal": { |
| "anthropic/claude-opus-5.5": { |
| "k": 0, |
| "n": 2, |
| "rate": 0.0, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.0, |
| 0.8419 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "anthropic/claude-sonnet-5.5": { |
| "k": 0, |
| "n": 2, |
| "rate": 0.0, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.0, |
| 0.8419 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "openai/gpt-6-astra": { |
| "k": 0, |
| "n": 2, |
| "rate": 0.0, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.0, |
| 0.8419 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "google/gemini-4-argon": { |
| "k": 0, |
| "n": 2, |
| "rate": 0.0, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.0, |
| 0.8419 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "deepseek/deepseek-v4.1-flash-1017": { |
| "k": 0, |
| "n": 2, |
| "rate": 0.0, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.0, |
| 0.8419 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "bo": { |
| "k": 0, |
| "n": 2, |
| "rate": 0.0, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.0, |
| 0.8419 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "doe": { |
| "k": 0, |
| "n": 2, |
| "rate": 0.0, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.0, |
| 0.8419 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "z-ai/glm-5.3-flash": { |
| "k": 0, |
| "n": 2, |
| "rate": 0.0, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.0, |
| 0.8419 |
| ] |
| } |
| }, |
| "multi": { |
| "anthropic/claude-opus-5.5": { |
| "k": 2, |
| "n": 5, |
| "rate": 0.4, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.0527, |
| 0.8534 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "anthropic/claude-sonnet-5.5": { |
| "k": 2, |
| "n": 5, |
| "rate": 0.4, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.0527, |
| 0.8534 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "openai/gpt-6-astra": { |
| "k": 1, |
| "n": 5, |
| "rate": 0.2, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.0051, |
| 0.7164 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "google/gemini-4-argon": { |
| "k": 2, |
| "n": 5, |
| "rate": 0.4, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.0527, |
| 0.8534 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "deepseek/deepseek-v4.1-flash-1017": { |
| "k": 0, |
| "n": 5, |
| "rate": 0.0, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.0, |
| 0.5218 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "bo": { |
| "k": 1, |
| "n": 5, |
| "rate": 0.2, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.0051, |
| 0.7164 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "doe": { |
| "k": 0, |
| "n": 5, |
| "rate": 0.0, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.0, |
| 0.5218 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "z-ai/glm-5.3-flash": { |
| "k": 1, |
| "n": 5, |
| "rate": 0.2, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.0051, |
| 0.7164 |
| ] |
| } |
| }, |
| "near_miss_model_best": { |
| "anthropic/claude-opus-5.5": { |
| "k": 3, |
| "n": 6, |
| "rate": 0.5, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.1181, |
| 0.8819 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "anthropic/claude-sonnet-5.5": { |
| "k": 3, |
| "n": 6, |
| "rate": 0.5, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.1181, |
| 0.8819 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "openai/gpt-6-astra": { |
| "k": 5, |
| "n": 6, |
| "rate": 0.8333, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.3588, |
| 0.9958 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "google/gemini-4-argon": { |
| "k": 4, |
| "n": 6, |
| "rate": 0.6667, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.2228, |
| 0.9567 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "deepseek/deepseek-v4.1-flash-1017": { |
| "k": 3, |
| "n": 6, |
| "rate": 0.5, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.1181, |
| 0.8819 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "bo": { |
| "k": 2, |
| "n": 6, |
| "rate": 0.3333, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.0433, |
| 0.7772 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "doe": { |
| "k": 2, |
| "n": 6, |
| "rate": 0.3333, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.0433, |
| 0.7772 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "z-ai/glm-5.3-flash": { |
| "k": 4, |
| "n": 6, |
| "rate": 0.6667, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.2228, |
| 0.9567 |
| ] |
| } |
| }, |
| "near_miss_best_elsewhere": { |
| "anthropic/claude-opus-5.5": { |
| "k": 4, |
| "n": 4, |
| "rate": 1.0, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.3976, |
| 1.0 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "anthropic/claude-sonnet-5.5": { |
| "k": 3, |
| "n": 4, |
| "rate": 0.75, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.1941, |
| 0.9937 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "openai/gpt-6-astra": { |
| "k": 4, |
| "n": 4, |
| "rate": 1.0, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.3976, |
| 1.0 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "google/gemini-4-argon": { |
| "k": 3, |
| "n": 4, |
| "rate": 0.75, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.1941, |
| 0.9937 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "deepseek/deepseek-v4.1-flash-1017": { |
| "k": 4, |
| "n": 4, |
| "rate": 1.0, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.3976, |
| 1.0 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "bo": { |
| "k": 2, |
| "n": 4, |
| "rate": 0.5, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.0676, |
| 0.9324 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "doe": { |
| "k": 3, |
| "n": 4, |
| "rate": 0.75, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.1941, |
| 0.9937 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "z-ai/glm-5.3-flash": { |
| "k": 1, |
| "n": 4, |
| "rate": 0.25, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.0063, |
| 0.8059 |
| ] |
| } |
| }, |
| "clear_best_elsewhere": { |
| "anthropic/claude-opus-5.5": { |
| "k": 1, |
| "n": 1, |
| "rate": 1.0, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.025, |
| 1.0 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "anthropic/claude-sonnet-5.5": { |
| "k": 1, |
| "n": 1, |
| "rate": 1.0, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.025, |
| 1.0 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "openai/gpt-6-astra": { |
| "k": 1, |
| "n": 1, |
| "rate": 1.0, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.025, |
| 1.0 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "google/gemini-4-argon": { |
| "k": 1, |
| "n": 1, |
| "rate": 1.0, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.025, |
| 1.0 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "deepseek/deepseek-v4.1-flash-1017": { |
| "k": 1, |
| "n": 1, |
| "rate": 1.0, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.025, |
| 1.0 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "bo": { |
| "k": 1, |
| "n": 1, |
| "rate": 1.0, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.025, |
| 1.0 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "doe": { |
| "k": 0, |
| "n": 1, |
| "rate": 0.0, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.0, |
| 0.975 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "z-ai/glm-5.3-flash": { |
| "k": 1, |
| "n": 1, |
| "rate": 1.0, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.025, |
| 1.0 |
| ] |
| } |
| }, |
| "load": { |
| "anthropic/claude-opus-5.5": { |
| "k": 0, |
| "n": 1, |
| "rate": 0.0, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.0, |
| 0.975 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "anthropic/claude-sonnet-5.5": { |
| "k": 0, |
| "n": 1, |
| "rate": 0.0, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.0, |
| 0.975 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "openai/gpt-6-astra": { |
| "k": 0, |
| "n": 1, |
| "rate": 0.0, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.0, |
| 0.975 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "google/gemini-4-argon": { |
| "k": 0, |
| "n": 1, |
| "rate": 0.0, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.0, |
| 0.975 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "deepseek/deepseek-v4.1-flash-1017": { |
| "k": 0, |
| "n": 1, |
| "rate": 0.0, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.0, |
| 0.975 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "bo": { |
| "k": 0, |
| "n": 1, |
| "rate": 0.0, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.0, |
| 0.975 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "doe": { |
| "k": 0, |
| "n": 1, |
| "rate": 0.0, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.0, |
| 0.975 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "z-ai/glm-5.3-flash": { |
| "k": 0, |
| "n": 1, |
| "rate": 0.0, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.0, |
| 0.975 |
| ] |
| } |
| }, |
| "reliability_near_miss_best_elsewhere": { |
| "anthropic/claude-opus-5.5": { |
| "k": 0, |
| "n": 4, |
| "rate": 0.0, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.0, |
| 0.6024 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "anthropic/claude-sonnet-5.5": { |
| "k": 1, |
| "n": 4, |
| "rate": 0.25, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.0063, |
| 0.8059 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "openai/gpt-6-astra": { |
| "k": 0, |
| "n": 4, |
| "rate": 0.0, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.0, |
| 0.6024 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "google/gemini-4-argon": { |
| "k": 0, |
| "n": 4, |
| "rate": 0.0, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.0, |
| 0.6024 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "deepseek/deepseek-v4.1-flash-1017": { |
| "k": 0, |
| "n": 4, |
| "rate": 0.0, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.0, |
| 0.6024 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "bo": { |
| "k": 0, |
| "n": 4, |
| "rate": 0.0, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.0, |
| 0.6024 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "doe": { |
| "k": 0, |
| "n": 4, |
| "rate": 0.0, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.0, |
| 0.6024 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "z-ai/glm-5.3-flash": { |
| "k": 1, |
| "n": 4, |
| "rate": 0.25, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.0063, |
| 0.8059 |
| ] |
| } |
| }, |
| "reliability_near_miss_model_best": { |
| "anthropic/claude-opus-5.5": { |
| "k": 0, |
| "n": 1, |
| "rate": 0.0, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.0, |
| 0.975 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "anthropic/claude-sonnet-5.5": { |
| "k": 0, |
| "n": 1, |
| "rate": 0.0, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.0, |
| 0.975 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "openai/gpt-6-astra": { |
| "k": 0, |
| "n": 1, |
| "rate": 0.0, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.0, |
| 0.975 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "google/gemini-4-argon": { |
| "k": 0, |
| "n": 1, |
| "rate": 0.0, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.0, |
| 0.975 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "deepseek/deepseek-v4.1-flash-1017": { |
| "k": 0, |
| "n": 1, |
| "rate": 0.0, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.0, |
| 0.975 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "bo": { |
| "k": 0, |
| "n": 1, |
| "rate": 0.0, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.0, |
| 0.975 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "doe": { |
| "k": 0, |
| "n": 1, |
| "rate": 0.0, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.0, |
| 0.975 |
| ] |
| }, |
| "z-ai/glm-5.3-flash": { |
| "k": 0, |
| "n": 1, |
| "rate": 0.0, |
| "ci95": [ |
| 0.0, |
| 0.975 |
| ] |
| } |
| } |
| } |
| } |
| } |
|
|
