| {"id": "AAPL-2025-04-11-21d", "symbol": "AAPL", "asof": "2025-04-11", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will AAPL's close 21 trading days after 2025-04-11 be above its close on 2025-04-11?", "resolves_on": "2025-05-02", "context": {"close_asof": 198.15, "ret_21d": -0.0922, "ret_252d": null}} | |
| {"id": "AAPL-2025-04-11-63d", "symbol": "AAPL", "asof": "2025-04-11", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will AAPL's close 63 trading days after 2025-04-11 be above its close on 2025-04-11?", "resolves_on": "2025-06-13", "context": {"close_asof": 198.15, "ret_21d": -0.0922, "ret_252d": null}} | |
| {"id": "AMZN-2025-04-11-21d", "symbol": "AMZN", "asof": "2025-04-11", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will AMZN's close 21 trading days after 2025-04-11 be above its close on 2025-04-11?", "resolves_on": "2025-05-02", "context": {"close_asof": 184.87, "ret_21d": -0.0578, "ret_252d": null}} | |
| {"id": "AMZN-2025-04-11-63d", "symbol": "AMZN", "asof": "2025-04-11", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will AMZN's close 63 trading days after 2025-04-11 be above its close on 2025-04-11?", "resolves_on": "2025-06-13", "context": {"close_asof": 184.87, "ret_21d": -0.0578, "ret_252d": null}} | |
| {"id": "BTC-USD-2025-04-11-21d", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "asof": "2025-04-11", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will BTC-USD's close 21 trading days after 2025-04-11 be above its close on 2025-04-11?", "resolves_on": "2025-05-02", "context": {"close_asof": 83380.47, "ret_21d": -0.0081, "ret_252d": null}} | |
| {"id": "BTC-USD-2025-04-11-63d", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "asof": "2025-04-11", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will BTC-USD's close 63 trading days after 2025-04-11 be above its close on 2025-04-11?", "resolves_on": "2025-06-13", "context": {"close_asof": 83380.47, "ret_21d": -0.0081, "ret_252d": null}} | |
| {"id": "EEM-2025-04-11-21d", "symbol": "EEM", "asof": "2025-04-11", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will EEM's close 21 trading days after 2025-04-11 be above its close on 2025-04-11?", "resolves_on": "2025-05-02", "context": {"close_asof": 41.75, "ret_21d": -0.0635, "ret_252d": null}} | |
| {"id": "EEM-2025-04-11-63d", "symbol": "EEM", "asof": "2025-04-11", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will EEM's close 63 trading days after 2025-04-11 be above its close on 2025-04-11?", "resolves_on": "2025-06-13", "context": {"close_asof": 41.75, "ret_21d": -0.0635, "ret_252d": null}} | |
| {"id": "EFA-2025-04-11-21d", "symbol": "EFA", "asof": "2025-04-11", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will EFA's close 21 trading days after 2025-04-11 be above its close on 2025-04-11?", "resolves_on": "2025-05-02", "context": {"close_asof": 78.97, "ret_21d": -0.0561, "ret_252d": null}} | |
| {"id": "EFA-2025-04-11-63d", "symbol": "EFA", "asof": "2025-04-11", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will EFA's close 63 trading days after 2025-04-11 be above its close on 2025-04-11?", "resolves_on": "2025-06-13", "context": {"close_asof": 78.97, "ret_21d": -0.0561, "ret_252d": null}} | |
| {"id": "ETH-USD-2025-04-11-21d", "symbol": "ETH-USD", "asof": "2025-04-11", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will ETH-USD's close 21 trading days after 2025-04-11 be above its close on 2025-04-11?", "resolves_on": "2025-05-02", "context": {"close_asof": 1566.13, "ret_21d": -0.203, "ret_252d": null}} | |
| {"id": "ETH-USD-2025-04-11-63d", "symbol": "ETH-USD", "asof": "2025-04-11", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will ETH-USD's close 63 trading days after 2025-04-11 be above its close on 2025-04-11?", "resolves_on": "2025-06-13", "context": {"close_asof": 1566.13, "ret_21d": -0.203, "ret_252d": null}} | |
| {"id": "GLD-2025-04-11-21d", "symbol": "GLD", "asof": "2025-04-11", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will GLD's close 21 trading days after 2025-04-11 be above its close on 2025-04-11?", "resolves_on": "2025-05-02", "context": {"close_asof": 297.93, "ret_21d": 0.0698, "ret_252d": null}} | |
| {"id": "GLD-2025-04-11-63d", "symbol": "GLD", "asof": "2025-04-11", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will GLD's close 63 trading days after 2025-04-11 be above its close on 2025-04-11?", "resolves_on": "2025-06-13", "context": {"close_asof": 297.93, "ret_21d": 0.0698, "ret_252d": null}} | |
| {"id": "GOOGL-2025-04-11-21d", "symbol": "GOOGL", "asof": "2025-04-11", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will GOOGL's close 21 trading days after 2025-04-11 be above its close on 2025-04-11?", "resolves_on": "2025-05-02", "context": {"close_asof": 157.14, "ret_21d": -0.0418, "ret_252d": null}} | |
| {"id": "GOOGL-2025-04-11-63d", "symbol": "GOOGL", "asof": "2025-04-11", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will GOOGL's close 63 trading days after 2025-04-11 be above its close on 2025-04-11?", "resolves_on": "2025-06-13", "context": {"close_asof": 157.14, "ret_21d": -0.0418, "ret_252d": null}} | |
| {"id": "HYG-2025-04-11-21d", "symbol": "HYG", "asof": "2025-04-11", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will HYG's close 21 trading days after 2025-04-11 be above its close on 2025-04-11?", "resolves_on": "2025-05-02", "context": {"close_asof": 76.74, "ret_21d": -0.0313, "ret_252d": null}} | |
| {"id": "HYG-2025-04-11-63d", "symbol": "HYG", "asof": "2025-04-11", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will HYG's close 63 trading days after 2025-04-11 be above its close on 2025-04-11?", "resolves_on": "2025-06-13", "context": {"close_asof": 76.74, "ret_21d": -0.0313, "ret_252d": null}} | |
| {"id": "IEF-2025-04-11-21d", "symbol": "IEF", "asof": "2025-04-11", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will IEF's close 21 trading days after 2025-04-11 be above its close on 2025-04-11?", "resolves_on": "2025-05-02", "context": {"close_asof": 93.51, "ret_21d": -0.0159, "ret_252d": null}} | |
| {"id": "IEF-2025-04-11-63d", "symbol": "IEF", "asof": "2025-04-11", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will IEF's close 63 trading days after 2025-04-11 be above its close on 2025-04-11?", "resolves_on": "2025-06-13", "context": {"close_asof": 93.51, "ret_21d": -0.0159, "ret_252d": null}} | |
| {"id": "IWM-2025-04-11-21d", "symbol": "IWM", "asof": "2025-04-11", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will IWM's close 21 trading days after 2025-04-11 be above its close on 2025-04-11?", "resolves_on": "2025-05-02", "context": {"close_asof": 184.36, "ret_21d": -0.0953, "ret_252d": null}} | |
| {"id": "IWM-2025-04-11-63d", "symbol": "IWM", "asof": "2025-04-11", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will IWM's close 63 trading days after 2025-04-11 be above its close on 2025-04-11?", "resolves_on": "2025-06-13", "context": {"close_asof": 184.36, "ret_21d": -0.0953, "ret_252d": null}} | |
| {"id": "JPM-2025-04-11-21d", "symbol": "JPM", "asof": "2025-04-11", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will JPM's close 21 trading days after 2025-04-11 be above its close on 2025-04-11?", "resolves_on": "2025-05-02", "context": {"close_asof": 236.2, "ret_21d": -0.0225, "ret_252d": null}} | |
| {"id": "JPM-2025-04-11-63d", "symbol": "JPM", "asof": "2025-04-11", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will JPM's close 63 trading days after 2025-04-11 be above its close on 2025-04-11?", "resolves_on": "2025-06-13", "context": {"close_asof": 236.2, "ret_21d": -0.0225, "ret_252d": null}} | |
| {"id": "META-2025-04-11-21d", "symbol": "META", "asof": "2025-04-11", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will META's close 21 trading days after 2025-04-11 be above its close on 2025-04-11?", "resolves_on": "2025-05-02", "context": {"close_asof": 543.57, "ret_21d": -0.0884, "ret_252d": null}} | |
| {"id": "META-2025-04-11-63d", "symbol": "META", "asof": "2025-04-11", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will META's close 63 trading days after 2025-04-11 be above its close on 2025-04-11?", "resolves_on": "2025-06-13", "context": {"close_asof": 543.57, "ret_21d": -0.0884, "ret_252d": null}} | |
| {"id": "MSFT-2025-04-11-21d", "symbol": "MSFT", "asof": "2025-04-11", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will MSFT's close 21 trading days after 2025-04-11 be above its close on 2025-04-11?", "resolves_on": "2025-05-02", "context": {"close_asof": 388.45, "ret_21d": -0.0072, "ret_252d": null}} | |
| {"id": "MSFT-2025-04-11-63d", "symbol": "MSFT", "asof": "2025-04-11", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will MSFT's close 63 trading days after 2025-04-11 be above its close on 2025-04-11?", "resolves_on": "2025-06-13", "context": {"close_asof": 388.45, "ret_21d": -0.0072, "ret_252d": null}} | |
| {"id": "NVDA-2025-04-11-21d", "symbol": "NVDA", "asof": "2025-04-11", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will NVDA's close 21 trading days after 2025-04-11 be above its close on 2025-04-11?", "resolves_on": "2025-05-02", "context": {"close_asof": 110.93, "ret_21d": -0.0575, "ret_252d": null}} | |
| {"id": "NVDA-2025-04-11-63d", "symbol": "NVDA", "asof": "2025-04-11", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will NVDA's close 63 trading days after 2025-04-11 be above its close on 2025-04-11?", "resolves_on": "2025-06-13", "context": {"close_asof": 110.93, "ret_21d": -0.0575, "ret_252d": null}} | |
| {"id": "QQQ-2025-04-11-21d", "symbol": "QQQ", "asof": "2025-04-11", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will QQQ's close 21 trading days after 2025-04-11 be above its close on 2025-04-11?", "resolves_on": "2025-05-02", "context": {"close_asof": 454.4, "ret_21d": -0.055, "ret_252d": null}} | |
| {"id": "QQQ-2025-04-11-63d", "symbol": "QQQ", "asof": "2025-04-11", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will QQQ's close 63 trading days after 2025-04-11 be above its close on 2025-04-11?", "resolves_on": "2025-06-13", "context": {"close_asof": 454.4, "ret_21d": -0.055, "ret_252d": null}} | |
| {"id": "SLV-2025-04-11-21d", "symbol": "SLV", "asof": "2025-04-11", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will SLV's close 21 trading days after 2025-04-11 be above its close on 2025-04-11?", "resolves_on": "2025-05-02", "context": {"close_asof": 29.19, "ret_21d": -0.0276, "ret_252d": null}} | |
| {"id": "SLV-2025-04-11-63d", "symbol": "SLV", "asof": "2025-04-11", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will SLV's close 63 trading days after 2025-04-11 be above its close on 2025-04-11?", "resolves_on": "2025-06-13", "context": {"close_asof": 29.19, "ret_21d": -0.0276, "ret_252d": null}} | |
| {"id": "SPY-2025-04-11-21d", "symbol": "SPY", "asof": "2025-04-11", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will SPY's close 21 trading days after 2025-04-11 be above its close on 2025-04-11?", "resolves_on": "2025-05-02", "context": {"close_asof": 533.94, "ret_21d": -0.0533, "ret_252d": null}} | |
| {"id": "SPY-2025-04-11-63d", "symbol": "SPY", "asof": "2025-04-11", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will SPY's close 63 trading days after 2025-04-11 be above its close on 2025-04-11?", "resolves_on": "2025-06-13", "context": {"close_asof": 533.94, "ret_21d": -0.0533, "ret_252d": null}} | |
| {"id": "TLT-2025-04-11-21d", "symbol": "TLT", "asof": "2025-04-11", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will TLT's close 21 trading days after 2025-04-11 be above its close on 2025-04-11?", "resolves_on": "2025-05-02", "context": {"close_asof": 86.89, "ret_21d": -0.042, "ret_252d": null}} | |
| {"id": "TLT-2025-04-11-63d", "symbol": "TLT", "asof": "2025-04-11", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will TLT's close 63 trading days after 2025-04-11 be above its close on 2025-04-11?", "resolves_on": "2025-06-13", "context": {"close_asof": 86.89, "ret_21d": -0.042, "ret_252d": null}} | |
| {"id": "TSLA-2025-04-11-21d", "symbol": "TSLA", "asof": "2025-04-11", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will TSLA's close 21 trading days after 2025-04-11 be above its close on 2025-04-11?", "resolves_on": "2025-05-02", "context": {"close_asof": 252.31, "ret_21d": 0.0145, "ret_252d": null}} | |
| {"id": "TSLA-2025-04-11-63d", "symbol": "TSLA", "asof": "2025-04-11", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will TSLA's close 63 trading days after 2025-04-11 be above its close on 2025-04-11?", "resolves_on": "2025-06-13", "context": {"close_asof": 252.31, "ret_21d": 0.0145, "ret_252d": null}} | |
| {"id": "USO-2025-04-11-21d", "symbol": "USO", "asof": "2025-04-11", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will USO's close 21 trading days after 2025-04-11 be above its close on 2025-04-11?", "resolves_on": "2025-05-02", "context": {"close_asof": 66.46, "ret_21d": -0.0993, "ret_252d": null}} | |
| {"id": "USO-2025-04-11-63d", "symbol": "USO", "asof": "2025-04-11", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will USO's close 63 trading days after 2025-04-11 be above its close on 2025-04-11?", "resolves_on": "2025-06-13", "context": {"close_asof": 66.46, "ret_21d": -0.0993, "ret_252d": null}} | |
| {"id": "UUP-2025-04-11-21d", "symbol": "UUP", "asof": "2025-04-11", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will UUP's close 21 trading days after 2025-04-11 be above its close on 2025-04-11?", "resolves_on": "2025-05-02", "context": {"close_asof": 27.45, "ret_21d": -0.0368, "ret_252d": null}} | |
| {"id": "UUP-2025-04-11-63d", "symbol": "UUP", "asof": "2025-04-11", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will UUP's close 63 trading days after 2025-04-11 be above its close on 2025-04-11?", "resolves_on": "2025-06-13", "context": {"close_asof": 27.45, "ret_21d": -0.0368, "ret_252d": null}} | |
| {"id": "VNQ-2025-04-11-21d", "symbol": "VNQ", "asof": "2025-04-11", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will VNQ's close 21 trading days after 2025-04-11 be above its close on 2025-04-11?", "resolves_on": "2025-05-02", "context": {"close_asof": 83.63, "ret_21d": -0.0736, "ret_252d": null}} | |
| {"id": "VNQ-2025-04-11-63d", "symbol": "VNQ", "asof": "2025-04-11", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will VNQ's close 63 trading days after 2025-04-11 be above its close on 2025-04-11?", "resolves_on": "2025-06-13", "context": {"close_asof": 83.63, "ret_21d": -0.0736, "ret_252d": null}} | |
| {"id": "XLB-2025-04-11-21d", "symbol": "XLB", "asof": "2025-04-11", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will XLB's close 21 trading days after 2025-04-11 be above its close on 2025-04-11?", "resolves_on": "2025-05-02", "context": {"close_asof": 40.25, "ret_21d": -0.0618, "ret_252d": null}} | |
| {"id": "XLB-2025-04-11-63d", "symbol": "XLB", "asof": "2025-04-11", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will XLB's close 63 trading days after 2025-04-11 be above its close on 2025-04-11?", "resolves_on": "2025-06-13", "context": {"close_asof": 40.25, "ret_21d": -0.0618, "ret_252d": null}} | |
| {"id": "XLE-2025-04-11-21d", "symbol": "XLE", "asof": "2025-04-11", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will XLE's close 21 trading days after 2025-04-11 be above its close on 2025-04-11?", "resolves_on": "2025-05-02", "context": {"close_asof": 39.44, "ret_21d": -0.1474, "ret_252d": null}} | |
| {"id": "XLE-2025-04-11-63d", "symbol": "XLE", "asof": "2025-04-11", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will XLE's close 63 trading days after 2025-04-11 be above its close on 2025-04-11?", "resolves_on": "2025-06-13", "context": {"close_asof": 39.44, "ret_21d": -0.1474, "ret_252d": null}} | |
| {"id": "XLF-2025-04-11-21d", "symbol": "XLF", "asof": "2025-04-11", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will XLF's close 21 trading days after 2025-04-11 be above its close on 2025-04-11?", "resolves_on": "2025-05-02", "context": {"close_asof": 46.67, "ret_21d": -0.0564, "ret_252d": null}} | |
| {"id": "XLF-2025-04-11-63d", "symbol": "XLF", "asof": "2025-04-11", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will XLF's close 63 trading days after 2025-04-11 be above its close on 2025-04-11?", "resolves_on": "2025-06-13", "context": {"close_asof": 46.67, "ret_21d": -0.0564, "ret_252d": null}} | |
| {"id": "XLI-2025-04-11-21d", "symbol": "XLI", "asof": "2025-04-11", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will XLI's close 21 trading days after 2025-04-11 be above its close on 2025-04-11?", "resolves_on": "2025-05-02", "context": {"close_asof": 125.67, "ret_21d": -0.0498, "ret_252d": null}} | |
| {"id": "XLI-2025-04-11-63d", "symbol": "XLI", "asof": "2025-04-11", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will XLI's close 63 trading days after 2025-04-11 be above its close on 2025-04-11?", "resolves_on": "2025-06-13", "context": {"close_asof": 125.67, "ret_21d": -0.0498, "ret_252d": null}} | |
| {"id": "XLK-2025-04-11-21d", "symbol": "XLK", "asof": "2025-04-11", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will XLK's close 21 trading days after 2025-04-11 be above its close on 2025-04-11?", "resolves_on": "2025-05-02", "context": {"close_asof": 99.18, "ret_21d": -0.0729, "ret_252d": null}} | |
| {"id": "XLK-2025-04-11-63d", "symbol": "XLK", "asof": "2025-04-11", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will XLK's close 63 trading days after 2025-04-11 be above its close on 2025-04-11?", "resolves_on": "2025-06-13", "context": {"close_asof": 99.18, "ret_21d": -0.0729, "ret_252d": null}} | |
| {"id": "XLP-2025-04-11-21d", "symbol": "XLP", "asof": "2025-04-11", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will XLP's close 21 trading days after 2025-04-11 be above its close on 2025-04-11?", "resolves_on": "2025-05-02", "context": {"close_asof": 80.35, "ret_21d": 0.0129, "ret_252d": null}} | |
| {"id": "XLP-2025-04-11-63d", "symbol": "XLP", "asof": "2025-04-11", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will XLP's close 63 trading days after 2025-04-11 be above its close on 2025-04-11?", "resolves_on": "2025-06-13", "context": {"close_asof": 80.35, "ret_21d": 0.0129, "ret_252d": null}} | |
| {"id": "XLU-2025-04-11-21d", "symbol": "XLU", "asof": "2025-04-11", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will XLU's close 21 trading days after 2025-04-11 be above its close on 2025-04-11?", "resolves_on": "2025-05-02", "context": {"close_asof": 38.16, "ret_21d": -0.031, "ret_252d": null}} | |
| {"id": "XLU-2025-04-11-63d", "symbol": "XLU", "asof": "2025-04-11", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will XLU's close 63 trading days after 2025-04-11 be above its close on 2025-04-11?", "resolves_on": "2025-06-13", "context": {"close_asof": 38.16, "ret_21d": -0.031, "ret_252d": null}} | |
| {"id": "XLV-2025-04-11-21d", "symbol": "XLV", "asof": "2025-04-11", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will XLV's close 21 trading days after 2025-04-11 be above its close on 2025-04-11?", "resolves_on": "2025-05-02", "context": {"close_asof": 136.87, "ret_21d": -0.0664, "ret_252d": null}} | |
| {"id": "XLV-2025-04-11-63d", "symbol": "XLV", "asof": "2025-04-11", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will XLV's close 63 trading days after 2025-04-11 be above its close on 2025-04-11?", "resolves_on": "2025-06-13", "context": {"close_asof": 136.87, "ret_21d": -0.0664, "ret_252d": null}} | |
| {"id": "XLY-2025-04-11-21d", "symbol": "XLY", "asof": "2025-04-11", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will XLY's close 21 trading days after 2025-04-11 be above its close on 2025-04-11?", "resolves_on": "2025-05-02", "context": {"close_asof": 94.86, "ret_21d": -0.0391, "ret_252d": null}} | |
| {"id": "XLY-2025-04-11-63d", "symbol": "XLY", "asof": "2025-04-11", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will XLY's close 63 trading days after 2025-04-11 be above its close on 2025-04-11?", "resolves_on": "2025-06-13", "context": {"close_asof": 94.86, "ret_21d": -0.0391, "ret_252d": null}} | |
| {"id": "XOM-2025-04-11-21d", "symbol": "XOM", "asof": "2025-04-11", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will XOM's close 21 trading days after 2025-04-11 be above its close on 2025-04-11?", "resolves_on": "2025-05-02", "context": {"close_asof": 103.14, "ret_21d": -0.107, "ret_252d": null}} | |
| {"id": "XOM-2025-04-11-63d", "symbol": "XOM", "asof": "2025-04-11", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will XOM's close 63 trading days after 2025-04-11 be above its close on 2025-04-11?", "resolves_on": "2025-06-13", "context": {"close_asof": 103.14, "ret_21d": -0.107, "ret_252d": null}} | |
| {"id": "AAPL-2025-05-01-21d", "symbol": "AAPL", "asof": "2025-05-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will AAPL's close 21 trading days after 2025-05-01 be above its close on 2025-05-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-05-22", "context": {"close_asof": 213.32, "ret_21d": 0.1203, "ret_252d": -0.0499}} | |
| {"id": "AAPL-2025-05-01-63d", "symbol": "AAPL", "asof": "2025-05-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will AAPL's close 63 trading days after 2025-05-01 be above its close on 2025-05-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-07-03", "context": {"close_asof": 213.32, "ret_21d": 0.1203, "ret_252d": -0.0499}} | |
| {"id": "AMZN-2025-05-01-21d", "symbol": "AMZN", "asof": "2025-05-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will AMZN's close 21 trading days after 2025-05-01 be above its close on 2025-05-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-05-22", "context": {"close_asof": 190.2, "ret_21d": 0.0496, "ret_252d": 0.0799}} | |
| {"id": "AMZN-2025-05-01-63d", "symbol": "AMZN", "asof": "2025-05-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will AMZN's close 63 trading days after 2025-05-01 be above its close on 2025-05-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-07-03", "context": {"close_asof": 190.2, "ret_21d": 0.0496, "ret_252d": 0.0799}} | |
| {"id": "BTC-USD-2025-05-01-21d", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "asof": "2025-05-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will BTC-USD's close 21 trading days after 2025-05-01 be above its close on 2025-05-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-05-22", "context": {"close_asof": 96524.98, "ret_21d": 0.2134, "ret_252d": 0.5985}} | |
| {"id": "BTC-USD-2025-05-01-63d", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "asof": "2025-05-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will BTC-USD's close 63 trading days after 2025-05-01 be above its close on 2025-05-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-07-03", "context": {"close_asof": 96524.98, "ret_21d": 0.2134, "ret_252d": 0.5985}} | |
| {"id": "EEM-2025-05-01-21d", "symbol": "EEM", "asof": "2025-05-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will EEM's close 21 trading days after 2025-05-01 be above its close on 2025-05-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-05-22", "context": {"close_asof": 43.75, "ret_21d": 0.0808, "ret_252d": 0.0146}} | |
| {"id": "EEM-2025-05-01-63d", "symbol": "EEM", "asof": "2025-05-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will EEM's close 63 trading days after 2025-05-01 be above its close on 2025-05-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-07-03", "context": {"close_asof": 43.75, "ret_21d": 0.0808, "ret_252d": 0.0146}} | |
| {"id": "EFA-2025-05-01-21d", "symbol": "EFA", "asof": "2025-05-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will EFA's close 21 trading days after 2025-05-01 be above its close on 2025-05-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-05-22", "context": {"close_asof": 84.48, "ret_21d": 0.0966, "ret_252d": 0.0387}} | |
| {"id": "EFA-2025-05-01-63d", "symbol": "EFA", "asof": "2025-05-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will EFA's close 63 trading days after 2025-05-01 be above its close on 2025-05-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-07-03", "context": {"close_asof": 84.48, "ret_21d": 0.0966, "ret_252d": 0.0387}} | |
| {"id": "ETH-USD-2025-05-01-21d", "symbol": "ETH-USD", "asof": "2025-05-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will ETH-USD's close 21 trading days after 2025-05-01 be above its close on 2025-05-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-05-22", "context": {"close_asof": 1838.82, "ret_21d": 0.2085, "ret_252d": -0.299}} | |
| {"id": "ETH-USD-2025-05-01-63d", "symbol": "ETH-USD", "asof": "2025-05-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will ETH-USD's close 63 trading days after 2025-05-01 be above its close on 2025-05-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-07-03", "context": {"close_asof": 1838.82, "ret_21d": 0.2085, "ret_252d": -0.299}} | |
| {"id": "GLD-2025-05-01-21d", "symbol": "GLD", "asof": "2025-05-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will GLD's close 21 trading days after 2025-05-01 be above its close on 2025-05-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-05-22", "context": {"close_asof": 297.46, "ret_21d": 0.0175, "ret_252d": 0.2969}} | |
| {"id": "GLD-2025-05-01-63d", "symbol": "GLD", "asof": "2025-05-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will GLD's close 63 trading days after 2025-05-01 be above its close on 2025-05-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-07-03", "context": {"close_asof": 297.46, "ret_21d": 0.0175, "ret_252d": 0.2969}} | |
| {"id": "GOOGL-2025-05-01-21d", "symbol": "GOOGL", "asof": "2025-05-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will GOOGL's close 21 trading days after 2025-05-01 be above its close on 2025-05-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-05-22", "context": {"close_asof": 161.3, "ret_21d": 0.0555, "ret_252d": -0.0153}} | |
| {"id": "GOOGL-2025-05-01-63d", "symbol": "GOOGL", "asof": "2025-05-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will GOOGL's close 63 trading days after 2025-05-01 be above its close on 2025-05-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-07-03", "context": {"close_asof": 161.3, "ret_21d": 0.0555, "ret_252d": -0.0153}} | |
| {"id": "HYG-2025-05-01-21d", "symbol": "HYG", "asof": "2025-05-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will HYG's close 21 trading days after 2025-05-01 be above its close on 2025-05-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-05-22", "context": {"close_asof": 78.3, "ret_21d": 0.0234, "ret_252d": -0.0086}} | |
| {"id": "HYG-2025-05-01-63d", "symbol": "HYG", "asof": "2025-05-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will HYG's close 63 trading days after 2025-05-01 be above its close on 2025-05-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-07-03", "context": {"close_asof": 78.3, "ret_21d": 0.0234, "ret_252d": -0.0086}} | |
| {"id": "IEF-2025-05-01-21d", "symbol": "IEF", "asof": "2025-05-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will IEF's close 21 trading days after 2025-05-01 be above its close on 2025-05-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-05-22", "context": {"close_asof": 95.34, "ret_21d": 0.0138, "ret_252d": -0.0205}} | |
| {"id": "IEF-2025-05-01-63d", "symbol": "IEF", "asof": "2025-05-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will IEF's close 63 trading days after 2025-05-01 be above its close on 2025-05-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-07-03", "context": {"close_asof": 95.34, "ret_21d": 0.0138, "ret_252d": -0.0205}} | |
| {"id": "IWM-2025-05-01-21d", "symbol": "IWM", "asof": "2025-05-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will IWM's close 21 trading days after 2025-05-01 be above its close on 2025-05-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-05-22", "context": {"close_asof": 196.07, "ret_21d": 0.079, "ret_252d": -0.0819}} | |
| {"id": "IWM-2025-05-01-63d", "symbol": "IWM", "asof": "2025-05-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will IWM's close 63 trading days after 2025-05-01 be above its close on 2025-05-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-07-03", "context": {"close_asof": 196.07, "ret_21d": 0.079, "ret_252d": -0.0819}} | |
| {"id": "JPM-2025-05-01-21d", "symbol": "JPM", "asof": "2025-05-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will JPM's close 21 trading days after 2025-05-01 be above its close on 2025-05-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-05-22", "context": {"close_asof": 246.89, "ret_21d": 0.0871, "ret_252d": 0.1397}} | |
| {"id": "JPM-2025-05-01-63d", "symbol": "JPM", "asof": "2025-05-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will JPM's close 63 trading days after 2025-05-01 be above its close on 2025-05-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-07-03", "context": {"close_asof": 246.89, "ret_21d": 0.0871, "ret_252d": 0.1397}} | |
| {"id": "META-2025-05-01-21d", "symbol": "META", "asof": "2025-05-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will META's close 21 trading days after 2025-05-01 be above its close on 2025-05-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-05-22", "context": {"close_asof": 572.21, "ret_21d": 0.0474, "ret_252d": 0.0757}} | |
| {"id": "META-2025-05-01-63d", "symbol": "META", "asof": "2025-05-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will META's close 63 trading days after 2025-05-01 be above its close on 2025-05-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-07-03", "context": {"close_asof": 572.21, "ret_21d": 0.0474, "ret_252d": 0.0757}} | |
| {"id": "MSFT-2025-05-01-21d", "symbol": "MSFT", "asof": "2025-05-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will MSFT's close 21 trading days after 2025-05-01 be above its close on 2025-05-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-05-22", "context": {"close_asof": 425.4, "ret_21d": 0.1155, "ret_252d": 0.0237}} | |
| {"id": "MSFT-2025-05-01-63d", "symbol": "MSFT", "asof": "2025-05-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will MSFT's close 63 trading days after 2025-05-01 be above its close on 2025-05-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-07-03", "context": {"close_asof": 425.4, "ret_21d": 0.1155, "ret_252d": 0.0237}} | |
| {"id": "NVDA-2025-05-01-21d", "symbol": "NVDA", "asof": "2025-05-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will NVDA's close 21 trading days after 2025-05-01 be above its close on 2025-05-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-05-22", "context": {"close_asof": 111.61, "ret_21d": 0.0376, "ret_252d": -0.098}} | |
| {"id": "NVDA-2025-05-01-63d", "symbol": "NVDA", "asof": "2025-05-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will NVDA's close 63 trading days after 2025-05-01 be above its close on 2025-05-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-07-03", "context": {"close_asof": 111.61, "ret_21d": 0.0376, "ret_252d": -0.098}} | |
| {"id": "QQQ-2025-05-01-21d", "symbol": "QQQ", "asof": "2025-05-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will QQQ's close 21 trading days after 2025-05-01 be above its close on 2025-05-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-05-22", "context": {"close_asof": 481.68, "ret_21d": 0.0796, "ret_252d": 0.0144}} | |
| {"id": "QQQ-2025-05-01-63d", "symbol": "QQQ", "asof": "2025-05-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will QQQ's close 63 trading days after 2025-05-01 be above its close on 2025-05-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-07-03", "context": {"close_asof": 481.68, "ret_21d": 0.0796, "ret_252d": 0.0144}} | |
| {"id": "SLV-2025-05-01-21d", "symbol": "SLV", "asof": "2025-05-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will SLV's close 21 trading days after 2025-05-01 be above its close on 2025-05-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-05-22", "context": {"close_asof": 29.39, "ret_21d": 0.0393, "ret_252d": 0.1137}} | |
| {"id": "SLV-2025-05-01-63d", "symbol": "SLV", "asof": "2025-05-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will SLV's close 63 trading days after 2025-05-01 be above its close on 2025-05-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-07-03", "context": {"close_asof": 29.39, "ret_21d": 0.0393, "ret_252d": 0.1137}} | |
| {"id": "SPY-2025-05-01-21d", "symbol": "SPY", "asof": "2025-05-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will SPY's close 21 trading days after 2025-05-01 be above its close on 2025-05-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-05-22", "context": {"close_asof": 558.47, "ret_21d": 0.0646, "ret_252d": 0.004}} | |
| {"id": "SPY-2025-05-01-63d", "symbol": "SPY", "asof": "2025-05-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will SPY's close 63 trading days after 2025-05-01 be above its close on 2025-05-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-07-03", "context": {"close_asof": 558.47, "ret_21d": 0.0646, "ret_252d": 0.004}} | |
| {"id": "TLT-2025-05-01-21d", "symbol": "TLT", "asof": "2025-05-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will TLT's close 21 trading days after 2025-05-01 be above its close on 2025-05-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-05-22", "context": {"close_asof": 88.69, "ret_21d": 0.0263, "ret_252d": -0.0927}} | |
| {"id": "TLT-2025-05-01-63d", "symbol": "TLT", "asof": "2025-05-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will TLT's close 63 trading days after 2025-05-01 be above its close on 2025-05-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-07-03", "context": {"close_asof": 88.69, "ret_21d": 0.0263, "ret_252d": -0.0927}} | |
| {"id": "TSLA-2025-05-01-21d", "symbol": "TSLA", "asof": "2025-05-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will TSLA's close 21 trading days after 2025-05-01 be above its close on 2025-05-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-05-22", "context": {"close_asof": 280.52, "ret_21d": 0.1114, "ret_252d": 0.3316}} | |
| {"id": "TSLA-2025-05-01-63d", "symbol": "TSLA", "asof": "2025-05-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will TSLA's close 63 trading days after 2025-05-01 be above its close on 2025-05-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-07-03", "context": {"close_asof": 280.52, "ret_21d": 0.1114, "ret_252d": 0.3316}} | |
| {"id": "USO-2025-05-01-21d", "symbol": "USO", "asof": "2025-05-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will USO's close 21 trading days after 2025-05-01 be above its close on 2025-05-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-05-22", "context": {"close_asof": 64.52, "ret_21d": -0.0122, "ret_252d": -0.1231}} | |
| {"id": "USO-2025-05-01-63d", "symbol": "USO", "asof": "2025-05-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will USO's close 63 trading days after 2025-05-01 be above its close on 2025-05-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-07-03", "context": {"close_asof": 64.52, "ret_21d": -0.0122, "ret_252d": -0.1231}} | |
| {"id": "UUP-2025-05-01-21d", "symbol": "UUP", "asof": "2025-05-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will UUP's close 21 trading days after 2025-05-01 be above its close on 2025-05-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-05-22", "context": {"close_asof": 27.57, "ret_21d": -0.0047, "ret_252d": -0.0223}} | |
| {"id": "UUP-2025-05-01-63d", "symbol": "UUP", "asof": "2025-05-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will UUP's close 63 trading days after 2025-05-01 be above its close on 2025-05-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-07-03", "context": {"close_asof": 27.57, "ret_21d": -0.0047, "ret_252d": -0.0223}} | |
| {"id": "VNQ-2025-05-01-21d", "symbol": "VNQ", "asof": "2025-05-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will VNQ's close 21 trading days after 2025-05-01 be above its close on 2025-05-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-05-22", "context": {"close_asof": 88.62, "ret_21d": 0.0726, "ret_252d": -0.0444}} | |
| {"id": "VNQ-2025-05-01-63d", "symbol": "VNQ", "asof": "2025-05-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will VNQ's close 63 trading days after 2025-05-01 be above its close on 2025-05-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-07-03", "context": {"close_asof": 88.62, "ret_21d": 0.0726, "ret_252d": -0.0444}} | |
| {"id": "XLB-2025-05-01-21d", "symbol": "XLB", "asof": "2025-05-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will XLB's close 21 trading days after 2025-05-01 be above its close on 2025-05-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-05-22", "context": {"close_asof": 41.76, "ret_21d": 0.0683, "ret_252d": -0.0874}} | |
| {"id": "XLB-2025-05-01-63d", "symbol": "XLB", "asof": "2025-05-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will XLB's close 63 trading days after 2025-05-01 be above its close on 2025-05-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-07-03", "context": {"close_asof": 41.76, "ret_21d": 0.0683, "ret_252d": -0.0874}} | |
| {"id": "XLE-2025-05-01-21d", "symbol": "XLE", "asof": "2025-05-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will XLE's close 21 trading days after 2025-05-01 be above its close on 2025-05-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-05-22", "context": {"close_asof": 40.4, "ret_21d": 0.0496, "ret_252d": -0.0927}} | |
| {"id": "XLE-2025-05-01-63d", "symbol": "XLE", "asof": "2025-05-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will XLE's close 63 trading days after 2025-05-01 be above its close on 2025-05-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-07-03", "context": {"close_asof": 40.4, "ret_21d": 0.0496, "ret_252d": -0.0927}} | |
| {"id": "XLF-2025-05-01-21d", "symbol": "XLF", "asof": "2025-05-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will XLF's close 21 trading days after 2025-05-01 be above its close on 2025-05-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-05-22", "context": {"close_asof": 48.75, "ret_21d": 0.0619, "ret_252d": 0.1067}} | |
| {"id": "XLF-2025-05-01-63d", "symbol": "XLF", "asof": "2025-05-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will XLF's close 63 trading days after 2025-05-01 be above its close on 2025-05-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-07-03", "context": {"close_asof": 48.75, "ret_21d": 0.0619, "ret_252d": 0.1067}} | |
| {"id": "XLI-2025-05-01-21d", "symbol": "XLI", "asof": "2025-05-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will XLI's close 21 trading days after 2025-05-01 be above its close on 2025-05-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-05-22", "context": {"close_asof": 132.21, "ret_21d": 0.0706, "ret_252d": 0.0329}} | |
| {"id": "XLI-2025-05-01-63d", "symbol": "XLI", "asof": "2025-05-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will XLI's close 63 trading days after 2025-05-01 be above its close on 2025-05-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-07-03", "context": {"close_asof": 132.21, "ret_21d": 0.0706, "ret_252d": 0.0329}} | |
| {"id": "XLK-2025-05-01-21d", "symbol": "XLK", "asof": "2025-05-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will XLK's close 21 trading days after 2025-05-01 be above its close on 2025-05-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-05-22", "context": {"close_asof": 106.53, "ret_21d": 0.0962, "ret_252d": -0.0332}} | |
| {"id": "XLK-2025-05-01-63d", "symbol": "XLK", "asof": "2025-05-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will XLK's close 63 trading days after 2025-05-01 be above its close on 2025-05-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-07-03", "context": {"close_asof": 106.53, "ret_21d": 0.0962, "ret_252d": -0.0332}} | |
| {"id": "XLP-2025-05-01-21d", "symbol": "XLP", "asof": "2025-05-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will XLP's close 21 trading days after 2025-05-01 be above its close on 2025-05-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-05-22", "context": {"close_asof": 81.12, "ret_21d": 0.0223, "ret_252d": -0.006}} | |
| {"id": "XLP-2025-05-01-63d", "symbol": "XLP", "asof": "2025-05-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will XLP's close 63 trading days after 2025-05-01 be above its close on 2025-05-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-07-03", "context": {"close_asof": 81.12, "ret_21d": 0.0223, "ret_252d": -0.006}} | |
| {"id": "XLU-2025-05-01-21d", "symbol": "XLU", "asof": "2025-05-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will XLU's close 21 trading days after 2025-05-01 be above its close on 2025-05-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-05-22", "context": {"close_asof": 39.56, "ret_21d": 0.0493, "ret_252d": 0.0521}} | |
| {"id": "XLU-2025-05-01-63d", "symbol": "XLU", "asof": "2025-05-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will XLU's close 63 trading days after 2025-05-01 be above its close on 2025-05-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-07-03", "context": {"close_asof": 39.56, "ret_21d": 0.0493, "ret_252d": 0.0521}} | |
| {"id": "XLV-2025-05-01-21d", "symbol": "XLV", "asof": "2025-05-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will XLV's close 21 trading days after 2025-05-01 be above its close on 2025-05-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-05-22", "context": {"close_asof": 136.64, "ret_21d": 0.013, "ret_252d": -0.1172}} | |
| {"id": "XLV-2025-05-01-63d", "symbol": "XLV", "asof": "2025-05-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will XLV's close 63 trading days after 2025-05-01 be above its close on 2025-05-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-07-03", "context": {"close_asof": 136.64, "ret_21d": 0.013, "ret_252d": -0.1172}} | |
| {"id": "XLY-2025-05-01-21d", "symbol": "XLY", "asof": "2025-05-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will XLY's close 21 trading days after 2025-05-01 be above its close on 2025-05-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-05-22", "context": {"close_asof": 99.18, "ret_21d": 0.0557, "ret_252d": 0.0763}} | |
| {"id": "XLY-2025-05-01-63d", "symbol": "XLY", "asof": "2025-05-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will XLY's close 63 trading days after 2025-05-01 be above its close on 2025-05-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-07-03", "context": {"close_asof": 99.18, "ret_21d": 0.0557, "ret_252d": 0.0763}} | |
| {"id": "XOM-2025-05-01-21d", "symbol": "XOM", "asof": "2025-05-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will XOM's close 21 trading days after 2025-05-01 be above its close on 2025-05-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-05-22", "context": {"close_asof": 105.78, "ret_21d": 0.0585, "ret_252d": -0.078}} | |
| {"id": "XOM-2025-05-01-63d", "symbol": "XOM", "asof": "2025-05-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will XOM's close 63 trading days after 2025-05-01 be above its close on 2025-05-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-07-03", "context": {"close_asof": 105.78, "ret_21d": 0.0585, "ret_252d": -0.078}} | |
| {"id": "BTC-USD-2025-06-01-21d", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "asof": "2025-06-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will BTC-USD's close 21 trading days after 2025-06-01 be above its close on 2025-06-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-06-22", "context": {"close_asof": 105697.94, "ret_21d": 0.015, "ret_252d": 0.6625}} | |
| {"id": "BTC-USD-2025-06-01-63d", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "asof": "2025-06-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will BTC-USD's close 63 trading days after 2025-06-01 be above its close on 2025-06-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-08-03", "context": {"close_asof": 105697.94, "ret_21d": 0.015, "ret_252d": 0.6625}} | |
| {"id": "ETH-USD-2025-06-01-21d", "symbol": "ETH-USD", "asof": "2025-06-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will ETH-USD's close 21 trading days after 2025-06-01 be above its close on 2025-06-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-06-22", "context": {"close_asof": 2540.38, "ret_21d": 0.0102, "ret_252d": -0.0157}} | |
| {"id": "ETH-USD-2025-06-01-63d", "symbol": "ETH-USD", "asof": "2025-06-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will ETH-USD's close 63 trading days after 2025-06-01 be above its close on 2025-06-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-08-03", "context": {"close_asof": 2540.38, "ret_21d": 0.0102, "ret_252d": -0.0157}} | |
| {"id": "AAPL-2025-07-01-21d", "symbol": "AAPL", "asof": "2025-07-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will AAPL's close 21 trading days after 2025-07-01 be above its close on 2025-07-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-07-22", "context": {"close_asof": 207.82, "ret_21d": 0.0254, "ret_252d": -0.1189}} | |
| {"id": "AAPL-2025-07-01-63d", "symbol": "AAPL", "asof": "2025-07-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will AAPL's close 63 trading days after 2025-07-01 be above its close on 2025-07-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-09-02", "context": {"close_asof": 207.82, "ret_21d": 0.0254, "ret_252d": -0.1189}} | |
| {"id": "AMZN-2025-07-01-21d", "symbol": "AMZN", "asof": "2025-07-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will AMZN's close 21 trading days after 2025-07-01 be above its close on 2025-07-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-07-22", "context": {"close_asof": 220.46, "ret_21d": 0.0131, "ret_252d": 0.1622}} | |
| {"id": "AMZN-2025-07-01-63d", "symbol": "AMZN", "asof": "2025-07-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will AMZN's close 63 trading days after 2025-07-01 be above its close on 2025-07-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-09-02", "context": {"close_asof": 220.46, "ret_21d": 0.0131, "ret_252d": 0.1622}} | |
| {"id": "BTC-USD-2025-07-01-21d", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "asof": "2025-07-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will BTC-USD's close 21 trading days after 2025-07-01 be above its close on 2025-07-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-07-22", "context": {"close_asof": 105711.78, "ret_21d": -0.0416, "ret_252d": 0.5689}} | |
| {"id": "BTC-USD-2025-07-01-63d", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "asof": "2025-07-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will BTC-USD's close 63 trading days after 2025-07-01 be above its close on 2025-07-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-09-02", "context": {"close_asof": 105711.78, "ret_21d": -0.0416, "ret_252d": 0.5689}} | |
| {"id": "EEM-2025-07-01-21d", "symbol": "EEM", "asof": "2025-07-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will EEM's close 21 trading days after 2025-07-01 be above its close on 2025-07-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-07-22", "context": {"close_asof": 48.33, "ret_21d": 0.0155, "ret_252d": 0.0622}} | |
| {"id": "EEM-2025-07-01-63d", "symbol": "EEM", "asof": "2025-07-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will EEM's close 63 trading days after 2025-07-01 be above its close on 2025-07-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-09-02", "context": {"close_asof": 48.33, "ret_21d": 0.0155, "ret_252d": 0.0622}} | |
| {"id": "EFA-2025-07-01-21d", "symbol": "EFA", "asof": "2025-07-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will EFA's close 21 trading days after 2025-07-01 be above its close on 2025-07-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-07-22", "context": {"close_asof": 89.24, "ret_21d": -0.0068, "ret_252d": 0.1084}} | |
| {"id": "EFA-2025-07-01-63d", "symbol": "EFA", "asof": "2025-07-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will EFA's close 63 trading days after 2025-07-01 be above its close on 2025-07-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-09-02", "context": {"close_asof": 89.24, "ret_21d": -0.0068, "ret_252d": 0.1084}} | |
| {"id": "ETH-USD-2025-07-01-21d", "symbol": "ETH-USD", "asof": "2025-07-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will ETH-USD's close 21 trading days after 2025-07-01 be above its close on 2025-07-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-07-22", "context": {"close_asof": 2405.32, "ret_21d": -0.146, "ret_252d": -0.0822}} | |
| {"id": "ETH-USD-2025-07-01-63d", "symbol": "ETH-USD", "asof": "2025-07-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will ETH-USD's close 63 trading days after 2025-07-01 be above its close on 2025-07-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-09-02", "context": {"close_asof": 2405.32, "ret_21d": -0.146, "ret_252d": -0.0822}} | |
| {"id": "GLD-2025-07-01-21d", "symbol": "GLD", "asof": "2025-07-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will GLD's close 21 trading days after 2025-07-01 be above its close on 2025-07-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-07-22", "context": {"close_asof": 307.55, "ret_21d": 0.0027, "ret_252d": 0.2112}} | |
| {"id": "GLD-2025-07-01-63d", "symbol": "GLD", "asof": "2025-07-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will GLD's close 63 trading days after 2025-07-01 be above its close on 2025-07-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-09-02", "context": {"close_asof": 307.55, "ret_21d": 0.0027, "ret_252d": 0.2112}} | |
| {"id": "GOOGL-2025-07-01-21d", "symbol": "GOOGL", "asof": "2025-07-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will GOOGL's close 21 trading days after 2025-07-01 be above its close on 2025-07-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-07-22", "context": {"close_asof": 175.84, "ret_21d": -0.0155, "ret_252d": 0.0648}} | |
| {"id": "GOOGL-2025-07-01-63d", "symbol": "GOOGL", "asof": "2025-07-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will GOOGL's close 63 trading days after 2025-07-01 be above its close on 2025-07-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-09-02", "context": {"close_asof": 175.84, "ret_21d": -0.0155, "ret_252d": 0.0648}} | |
| {"id": "HYG-2025-07-01-21d", "symbol": "HYG", "asof": "2025-07-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will HYG's close 21 trading days after 2025-07-01 be above its close on 2025-07-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-07-22", "context": {"close_asof": 80.17, "ret_21d": 0.008, "ret_252d": 0.0101}} | |
| {"id": "HYG-2025-07-01-63d", "symbol": "HYG", "asof": "2025-07-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will HYG's close 63 trading days after 2025-07-01 be above its close on 2025-07-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-09-02", "context": {"close_asof": 80.17, "ret_21d": 0.008, "ret_252d": 0.0101}} | |
| {"id": "IEF-2025-07-01-21d", "symbol": "IEF", "asof": "2025-07-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will IEF's close 21 trading days after 2025-07-01 be above its close on 2025-07-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-07-22", "context": {"close_asof": 95.29, "ret_21d": 0.0155, "ret_252d": 0.0019}} | |
| {"id": "IEF-2025-07-01-63d", "symbol": "IEF", "asof": "2025-07-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will IEF's close 63 trading days after 2025-07-01 be above its close on 2025-07-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-09-02", "context": {"close_asof": 95.29, "ret_21d": 0.0155, "ret_252d": 0.0019}} | |
| {"id": "IWM-2025-07-01-21d", "symbol": "IWM", "asof": "2025-07-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will IWM's close 21 trading days after 2025-07-01 be above its close on 2025-07-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-07-22", "context": {"close_asof": 218.01, "ret_21d": 0.0163, "ret_252d": -0.0147}} | |
| {"id": "IWM-2025-07-01-63d", "symbol": "IWM", "asof": "2025-07-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will IWM's close 63 trading days after 2025-07-01 be above its close on 2025-07-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-09-02", "context": {"close_asof": 218.01, "ret_21d": 0.0163, "ret_252d": -0.0147}} | |
| {"id": "JPM-2025-07-01-21d", "symbol": "JPM", "asof": "2025-07-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will JPM's close 21 trading days after 2025-07-01 be above its close on 2025-07-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-07-22", "context": {"close_asof": 290.41, "ret_21d": 0.0812, "ret_252d": 0.2958}} | |
| {"id": "JPM-2025-07-01-63d", "symbol": "JPM", "asof": "2025-07-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will JPM's close 63 trading days after 2025-07-01 be above its close on 2025-07-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-09-02", "context": {"close_asof": 290.41, "ret_21d": 0.0812, "ret_252d": 0.2958}} | |
| {"id": "META-2025-07-01-21d", "symbol": "META", "asof": "2025-07-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will META's close 21 trading days after 2025-07-01 be above its close on 2025-07-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-07-22", "context": {"close_asof": 719.22, "ret_21d": 0.0239, "ret_252d": 0.2358}} | |
| {"id": "META-2025-07-01-63d", "symbol": "META", "asof": "2025-07-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will META's close 63 trading days after 2025-07-01 be above its close on 2025-07-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-09-02", "context": {"close_asof": 719.22, "ret_21d": 0.0239, "ret_252d": 0.2358}} | |
| {"id": "MSFT-2025-07-01-21d", "symbol": "MSFT", "asof": "2025-07-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will MSFT's close 21 trading days after 2025-07-01 be above its close on 2025-07-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-07-22", "context": {"close_asof": 492.05, "ret_21d": 0.0449, "ret_252d": 0.151}} | |
| {"id": "MSFT-2025-07-01-63d", "symbol": "MSFT", "asof": "2025-07-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will MSFT's close 63 trading days after 2025-07-01 be above its close on 2025-07-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-09-02", "context": {"close_asof": 492.05, "ret_21d": 0.0449, "ret_252d": 0.151}} | |
| {"id": "NVDA-2025-07-01-21d", "symbol": "NVDA", "asof": "2025-07-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will NVDA's close 21 trading days after 2025-07-01 be above its close on 2025-07-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-07-22", "context": {"close_asof": 153.3, "ret_21d": 0.0649, "ret_252d": 0.0676}} | |
| {"id": "NVDA-2025-07-01-63d", "symbol": "NVDA", "asof": "2025-07-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will NVDA's close 63 trading days after 2025-07-01 be above its close on 2025-07-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-09-02", "context": {"close_asof": 153.3, "ret_21d": 0.0649, "ret_252d": 0.0676}} | |
| {"id": "QQQ-2025-07-01-21d", "symbol": "QQQ", "asof": "2025-07-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will QQQ's close 21 trading days after 2025-07-01 be above its close on 2025-07-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-07-22", "context": {"close_asof": 546.99, "ret_21d": 0.0239, "ret_252d": 0.1029}} | |
| {"id": "QQQ-2025-07-01-63d", "symbol": "QQQ", "asof": "2025-07-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will QQQ's close 63 trading days after 2025-07-01 be above its close on 2025-07-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-09-02", "context": {"close_asof": 546.99, "ret_21d": 0.0239, "ret_252d": 0.1029}} | |
| {"id": "SLV-2025-07-01-21d", "symbol": "SLV", "asof": "2025-07-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will SLV's close 21 trading days after 2025-07-01 be above its close on 2025-07-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-07-22", "context": {"close_asof": 32.73, "ret_21d": -0.015, "ret_252d": 0.0312}} | |
| {"id": "SLV-2025-07-01-63d", "symbol": "SLV", "asof": "2025-07-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will SLV's close 63 trading days after 2025-07-01 be above its close on 2025-07-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-09-02", "context": {"close_asof": 32.73, "ret_21d": -0.015, "ret_252d": 0.0312}} | |
| {"id": "SPY-2025-07-01-21d", "symbol": "SPY", "asof": "2025-07-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will SPY's close 21 trading days after 2025-07-01 be above its close on 2025-07-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-07-22", "context": {"close_asof": 617.65, "ret_21d": 0.0242, "ret_252d": 0.0589}} | |
| {"id": "SPY-2025-07-01-63d", "symbol": "SPY", "asof": "2025-07-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will SPY's close 63 trading days after 2025-07-01 be above its close on 2025-07-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-09-02", "context": {"close_asof": 617.65, "ret_21d": 0.0242, "ret_252d": 0.0589}} | |
| {"id": "TLT-2025-07-01-21d", "symbol": "TLT", "asof": "2025-07-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will TLT's close 21 trading days after 2025-07-01 be above its close on 2025-07-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-07-22", "context": {"close_asof": 88.14, "ret_21d": 0.0263, "ret_252d": -0.0453}} | |
| {"id": "TLT-2025-07-01-63d", "symbol": "TLT", "asof": "2025-07-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will TLT's close 63 trading days after 2025-07-01 be above its close on 2025-07-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-09-02", "context": {"close_asof": 88.14, "ret_21d": 0.0263, "ret_252d": -0.0453}} | |
| {"id": "TSLA-2025-07-01-21d", "symbol": "TSLA", "asof": "2025-07-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will TSLA's close 21 trading days after 2025-07-01 be above its close on 2025-07-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-07-22", "context": {"close_asof": 300.71, "ret_21d": -0.0778, "ret_252d": 0.3796}} | |
| {"id": "TSLA-2025-07-01-63d", "symbol": "TSLA", "asof": "2025-07-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will TSLA's close 63 trading days after 2025-07-01 be above its close on 2025-07-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-09-02", "context": {"close_asof": 300.71, "ret_21d": -0.0778, "ret_252d": 0.3796}} | |
| {"id": "USO-2025-07-01-21d", "symbol": "USO", "asof": "2025-07-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will USO's close 21 trading days after 2025-07-01 be above its close on 2025-07-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-07-22", "context": {"close_asof": 73.93, "ret_21d": 0.0325, "ret_252d": -0.0007}} | |
| {"id": "USO-2025-07-01-63d", "symbol": "USO", "asof": "2025-07-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will USO's close 63 trading days after 2025-07-01 be above its close on 2025-07-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-09-02", "context": {"close_asof": 73.93, "ret_21d": 0.0325, "ret_252d": -0.0007}} | |
| {"id": "UUP-2025-07-01-21d", "symbol": "UUP", "asof": "2025-07-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will UUP's close 21 trading days after 2025-07-01 be above its close on 2025-07-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-07-22", "context": {"close_asof": 26.87, "ret_21d": -0.0193, "ret_252d": -0.0795}} | |
| {"id": "UUP-2025-07-01-63d", "symbol": "UUP", "asof": "2025-07-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will UUP's close 63 trading days after 2025-07-01 be above its close on 2025-07-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-09-02", "context": {"close_asof": 26.87, "ret_21d": -0.0193, "ret_252d": -0.0795}} | |
| {"id": "VNQ-2025-07-01-21d", "symbol": "VNQ", "asof": "2025-07-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will VNQ's close 21 trading days after 2025-07-01 be above its close on 2025-07-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-07-22", "context": {"close_asof": 89.71, "ret_21d": -0.0116, "ret_252d": -0.063}} | |
| {"id": "VNQ-2025-07-01-63d", "symbol": "VNQ", "asof": "2025-07-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will VNQ's close 63 trading days after 2025-07-01 be above its close on 2025-07-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-09-02", "context": {"close_asof": 89.71, "ret_21d": -0.0116, "ret_252d": -0.063}} | |
| {"id": "XLB-2025-07-01-21d", "symbol": "XLB", "asof": "2025-07-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will XLB's close 21 trading days after 2025-07-01 be above its close on 2025-07-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-07-22", "context": {"close_asof": 45.04, "ret_21d": 0.013, "ret_252d": -0.0615}} | |
| {"id": "XLB-2025-07-01-63d", "symbol": "XLB", "asof": "2025-07-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will XLB's close 63 trading days after 2025-07-01 be above its close on 2025-07-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-09-02", "context": {"close_asof": 45.04, "ret_21d": 0.013, "ret_252d": -0.0615}} | |
| {"id": "XLE-2025-07-01-21d", "symbol": "XLE", "asof": "2025-07-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will XLE's close 21 trading days after 2025-07-01 be above its close on 2025-07-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-07-22", "context": {"close_asof": 42.73, "ret_21d": 0.0047, "ret_252d": -0.0534}} | |
| {"id": "XLE-2025-07-01-63d", "symbol": "XLE", "asof": "2025-07-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will XLE's close 63 trading days after 2025-07-01 be above its close on 2025-07-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-09-02", "context": {"close_asof": 42.73, "ret_21d": 0.0047, "ret_252d": -0.0534}} | |
| {"id": "XLF-2025-07-01-21d", "symbol": "XLF", "asof": "2025-07-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will XLF's close 21 trading days after 2025-07-01 be above its close on 2025-07-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-07-22", "context": {"close_asof": 52.66, "ret_21d": 0.0313, "ret_252d": 0.1169}} | |
| {"id": "XLF-2025-07-01-63d", "symbol": "XLF", "asof": "2025-07-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will XLF's close 63 trading days after 2025-07-01 be above its close on 2025-07-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-09-02", "context": {"close_asof": 52.66, "ret_21d": 0.0313, "ret_252d": 0.1169}} | |
| {"id": "XLI-2025-07-01-21d", "symbol": "XLI", "asof": "2025-07-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will XLI's close 21 trading days after 2025-07-01 be above its close on 2025-07-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-07-22", "context": {"close_asof": 148.01, "ret_21d": 0.0266, "ret_252d": 0.0796}} | |
| {"id": "XLI-2025-07-01-63d", "symbol": "XLI", "asof": "2025-07-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will XLI's close 63 trading days after 2025-07-01 be above its close on 2025-07-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-09-02", "context": {"close_asof": 148.01, "ret_21d": 0.0266, "ret_252d": 0.0796}} | |
| {"id": "XLK-2025-07-01-21d", "symbol": "XLK", "asof": "2025-07-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will XLK's close 21 trading days after 2025-07-01 be above its close on 2025-07-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-07-22", "context": {"close_asof": 125.49, "ret_21d": 0.042, "ret_252d": 0.0829}} | |
| {"id": "XLK-2025-07-01-63d", "symbol": "XLK", "asof": "2025-07-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will XLK's close 63 trading days after 2025-07-01 be above its close on 2025-07-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-09-02", "context": {"close_asof": 125.49, "ret_21d": 0.042, "ret_252d": 0.0829}} | |
| {"id": "XLP-2025-07-01-21d", "symbol": "XLP", "asof": "2025-07-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will XLP's close 21 trading days after 2025-07-01 be above its close on 2025-07-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-07-22", "context": {"close_asof": 81.98, "ret_21d": 0.0027, "ret_252d": -0.0004}} | |
| {"id": "XLP-2025-07-01-63d", "symbol": "XLP", "asof": "2025-07-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will XLP's close 63 trading days after 2025-07-01 be above its close on 2025-07-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-09-02", "context": {"close_asof": 81.98, "ret_21d": 0.0027, "ret_252d": -0.0004}} | |
| {"id": "XLU-2025-07-01-21d", "symbol": "XLU", "asof": "2025-07-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will XLU's close 21 trading days after 2025-07-01 be above its close on 2025-07-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-07-22", "context": {"close_asof": 40.97, "ret_21d": 0.0134, "ret_252d": 0.0074}} | |
| {"id": "XLU-2025-07-01-63d", "symbol": "XLU", "asof": "2025-07-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will XLU's close 63 trading days after 2025-07-01 be above its close on 2025-07-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-09-02", "context": {"close_asof": 40.97, "ret_21d": 0.0134, "ret_252d": 0.0074}} | |
| {"id": "XLV-2025-07-01-21d", "symbol": "XLV", "asof": "2025-07-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will XLV's close 21 trading days after 2025-07-01 be above its close on 2025-07-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-07-22", "context": {"close_asof": 136.71, "ret_21d": 0.0076, "ret_252d": -0.0953}} | |
| {"id": "XLV-2025-07-01-63d", "symbol": "XLV", "asof": "2025-07-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will XLV's close 63 trading days after 2025-07-01 be above its close on 2025-07-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-09-02", "context": {"close_asof": 136.71, "ret_21d": 0.0076, "ret_252d": -0.0953}} | |
| {"id": "XLY-2025-07-01-21d", "symbol": "XLY", "asof": "2025-07-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will XLY's close 21 trading days after 2025-07-01 be above its close on 2025-07-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-07-22", "context": {"close_asof": 109.13, "ret_21d": 0.0085, "ret_252d": 0.107}} | |
| {"id": "XLY-2025-07-01-63d", "symbol": "XLY", "asof": "2025-07-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will XLY's close 63 trading days after 2025-07-01 be above its close on 2025-07-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-09-02", "context": {"close_asof": 109.13, "ret_21d": 0.0085, "ret_252d": 0.107}} | |
| {"id": "XOM-2025-07-01-21d", "symbol": "XOM", "asof": "2025-07-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will XOM's close 21 trading days after 2025-07-01 be above its close on 2025-07-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-07-22", "context": {"close_asof": 109.24, "ret_21d": 0.0188, "ret_252d": -0.0949}} | |
| {"id": "XOM-2025-07-01-63d", "symbol": "XOM", "asof": "2025-07-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will XOM's close 63 trading days after 2025-07-01 be above its close on 2025-07-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-09-02", "context": {"close_asof": 109.24, "ret_21d": 0.0188, "ret_252d": -0.0949}} | |
| {"id": "AAPL-2025-08-01-21d", "symbol": "AAPL", "asof": "2025-08-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will AAPL's close 21 trading days after 2025-08-01 be above its close on 2025-08-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-08-22", "context": {"close_asof": 202.38, "ret_21d": -0.0416, "ret_252d": -0.1196}} | |
| {"id": "AAPL-2025-08-01-63d", "symbol": "AAPL", "asof": "2025-08-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will AAPL's close 63 trading days after 2025-08-01 be above its close on 2025-08-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-10-03", "context": {"close_asof": 202.38, "ret_21d": -0.0416, "ret_252d": -0.1196}} | |
| {"id": "AMZN-2025-08-01-21d", "symbol": "AMZN", "asof": "2025-08-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will AMZN's close 21 trading days after 2025-08-01 be above its close on 2025-08-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-08-22", "context": {"close_asof": 214.75, "ret_21d": -0.0456, "ret_252d": 0.0894}} | |
| {"id": "AMZN-2025-08-01-63d", "symbol": "AMZN", "asof": "2025-08-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will AMZN's close 63 trading days after 2025-08-01 be above its close on 2025-08-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-10-03", "context": {"close_asof": 214.75, "ret_21d": -0.0456, "ret_252d": 0.0894}} | |
| {"id": "BTC-USD-2025-08-01-21d", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "asof": "2025-08-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will BTC-USD's close 21 trading days after 2025-08-01 be above its close on 2025-08-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-08-22", "context": {"close_asof": 113248.73, "ret_21d": -0.0369, "ret_252d": 0.1436}} | |
| {"id": "BTC-USD-2025-08-01-63d", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "asof": "2025-08-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will BTC-USD's close 63 trading days after 2025-08-01 be above its close on 2025-08-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-10-03", "context": {"close_asof": 113248.73, "ret_21d": -0.0369, "ret_252d": 0.1436}} | |
| {"id": "EEM-2025-08-01-21d", "symbol": "EEM", "asof": "2025-08-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will EEM's close 21 trading days after 2025-08-01 be above its close on 2025-08-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-08-22", "context": {"close_asof": 48.2, "ret_21d": -0.0012, "ret_252d": 0.1137}} | |
| {"id": "EEM-2025-08-01-63d", "symbol": "EEM", "asof": "2025-08-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will EEM's close 63 trading days after 2025-08-01 be above its close on 2025-08-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-10-03", "context": {"close_asof": 48.2, "ret_21d": -0.0012, "ret_252d": 0.1137}} | |
| {"id": "EFA-2025-08-01-21d", "symbol": "EFA", "asof": "2025-08-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will EFA's close 21 trading days after 2025-08-01 be above its close on 2025-08-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-08-22", "context": {"close_asof": 87.29, "ret_21d": -0.0187, "ret_252d": 0.1255}} | |
| {"id": "EFA-2025-08-01-63d", "symbol": "EFA", "asof": "2025-08-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will EFA's close 63 trading days after 2025-08-01 be above its close on 2025-08-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-10-03", "context": {"close_asof": 87.29, "ret_21d": -0.0187, "ret_252d": 0.1255}} | |
| {"id": "ETH-USD-2025-08-01-21d", "symbol": "ETH-USD", "asof": "2025-08-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will ETH-USD's close 21 trading days after 2025-08-01 be above its close on 2025-08-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-08-22", "context": {"close_asof": 3486.39, "ret_21d": 0.1782, "ret_252d": 0.0464}} | |
| {"id": "ETH-USD-2025-08-01-63d", "symbol": "ETH-USD", "asof": "2025-08-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will ETH-USD's close 63 trading days after 2025-08-01 be above its close on 2025-08-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-10-03", "context": {"close_asof": 3486.39, "ret_21d": 0.1782, "ret_252d": 0.0464}} | |
| {"id": "GLD-2025-08-01-21d", "symbol": "GLD", "asof": "2025-08-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will GLD's close 21 trading days after 2025-08-01 be above its close on 2025-08-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-08-22", "context": {"close_asof": 309.11, "ret_21d": -0.0001, "ret_252d": 0.2372}} | |
| {"id": "GLD-2025-08-01-63d", "symbol": "GLD", "asof": "2025-08-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will GLD's close 63 trading days after 2025-08-01 be above its close on 2025-08-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-10-03", "context": {"close_asof": 309.11, "ret_21d": -0.0001, "ret_252d": 0.2372}} | |
| {"id": "GOOGL-2025-08-01-21d", "symbol": "GOOGL", "asof": "2025-08-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will GOOGL's close 21 trading days after 2025-08-01 be above its close on 2025-08-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-08-22", "context": {"close_asof": 189.13, "ret_21d": 0.0496, "ret_252d": 0.1479}} | |
| {"id": "GOOGL-2025-08-01-63d", "symbol": "GOOGL", "asof": "2025-08-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will GOOGL's close 63 trading days after 2025-08-01 be above its close on 2025-08-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-10-03", "context": {"close_asof": 189.13, "ret_21d": 0.0496, "ret_252d": 0.1479}} | |
| {"id": "HYG-2025-08-01-21d", "symbol": "HYG", "asof": "2025-08-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will HYG's close 21 trading days after 2025-08-01 be above its close on 2025-08-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-08-22", "context": {"close_asof": 79.98, "ret_21d": -0.0006, "ret_252d": 0.0062}} | |
| {"id": "HYG-2025-08-01-63d", "symbol": "HYG", "asof": "2025-08-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will HYG's close 63 trading days after 2025-08-01 be above its close on 2025-08-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-10-03", "context": {"close_asof": 79.98, "ret_21d": -0.0006, "ret_252d": 0.0062}} | |
| {"id": "IEF-2025-08-01-21d", "symbol": "IEF", "asof": "2025-08-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will IEF's close 21 trading days after 2025-08-01 be above its close on 2025-08-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-08-22", "context": {"close_asof": 95.68, "ret_21d": 0.0144, "ret_252d": 0.0222}} | |
| {"id": "IEF-2025-08-01-63d", "symbol": "IEF", "asof": "2025-08-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will IEF's close 63 trading days after 2025-08-01 be above its close on 2025-08-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-10-03", "context": {"close_asof": 95.68, "ret_21d": 0.0144, "ret_252d": 0.0222}} | |
| {"id": "IWM-2025-08-01-21d", "symbol": "IWM", "asof": "2025-08-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will IWM's close 21 trading days after 2025-08-01 be above its close on 2025-08-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-08-22", "context": {"close_asof": 214.92, "ret_21d": -0.0306, "ret_252d": -0.0999}} | |
| {"id": "IWM-2025-08-01-63d", "symbol": "IWM", "asof": "2025-08-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will IWM's close 63 trading days after 2025-08-01 be above its close on 2025-08-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-10-03", "context": {"close_asof": 214.92, "ret_21d": -0.0306, "ret_252d": -0.0999}} | |
| {"id": "JPM-2025-08-01-21d", "symbol": "JPM", "asof": "2025-08-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will JPM's close 21 trading days after 2025-08-01 be above its close on 2025-08-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-08-22", "context": {"close_asof": 289.37, "ret_21d": 0.0087, "ret_252d": 0.1642}} | |
| {"id": "JPM-2025-08-01-63d", "symbol": "JPM", "asof": "2025-08-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will JPM's close 63 trading days after 2025-08-01 be above its close on 2025-08-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-10-03", "context": {"close_asof": 289.37, "ret_21d": 0.0087, "ret_252d": 0.1642}} | |
| {"id": "META-2025-08-01-21d", "symbol": "META", "asof": "2025-08-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will META's close 21 trading days after 2025-08-01 be above its close on 2025-08-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-08-22", "context": {"close_asof": 750.01, "ret_21d": 0.0453, "ret_252d": 0.3414}} | |
| {"id": "META-2025-08-01-63d", "symbol": "META", "asof": "2025-08-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will META's close 63 trading days after 2025-08-01 be above its close on 2025-08-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-10-03", "context": {"close_asof": 750.01, "ret_21d": 0.0453, "ret_252d": 0.3414}} | |
| {"id": "MSFT-2025-08-01-21d", "symbol": "MSFT", "asof": "2025-08-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will MSFT's close 21 trading days after 2025-08-01 be above its close on 2025-08-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-08-22", "context": {"close_asof": 524.11, "ret_21d": 0.0413, "ret_252d": 0.2569}} | |
| {"id": "MSFT-2025-08-01-63d", "symbol": "MSFT", "asof": "2025-08-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will MSFT's close 63 trading days after 2025-08-01 be above its close on 2025-08-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-10-03", "context": {"close_asof": 524.11, "ret_21d": 0.0413, "ret_252d": 0.2569}} | |
| {"id": "NVDA-2025-08-01-21d", "symbol": "NVDA", "asof": "2025-08-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will NVDA's close 21 trading days after 2025-08-01 be above its close on 2025-08-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-08-22", "context": {"close_asof": 173.72, "ret_21d": 0.0534, "ret_252d": 0.2238}} | |
| {"id": "NVDA-2025-08-01-63d", "symbol": "NVDA", "asof": "2025-08-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will NVDA's close 63 trading days after 2025-08-01 be above its close on 2025-08-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-10-03", "context": {"close_asof": 173.72, "ret_21d": 0.0534, "ret_252d": 0.2238}} | |
| {"id": "QQQ-2025-08-01-21d", "symbol": "QQQ", "asof": "2025-08-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will QQQ's close 21 trading days after 2025-08-01 be above its close on 2025-08-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-08-22", "context": {"close_asof": 553.88, "ret_21d": -0.0006, "ret_252d": 0.0951}} | |
| {"id": "QQQ-2025-08-01-63d", "symbol": "QQQ", "asof": "2025-08-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will QQQ's close 63 trading days after 2025-08-01 be above its close on 2025-08-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-10-03", "context": {"close_asof": 553.88, "ret_21d": -0.0006, "ret_252d": 0.0951}} | |
| {"id": "SLV-2025-08-01-21d", "symbol": "SLV", "asof": "2025-08-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will SLV's close 21 trading days after 2025-08-01 be above its close on 2025-08-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-08-22", "context": {"close_asof": 33.59, "ret_21d": -0.0411, "ret_252d": 0.1798}} | |
| {"id": "SLV-2025-08-01-63d", "symbol": "SLV", "asof": "2025-08-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will SLV's close 63 trading days after 2025-08-01 be above its close on 2025-08-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-10-03", "context": {"close_asof": 33.59, "ret_21d": -0.0411, "ret_252d": 0.1798}} | |
| {"id": "SPY-2025-08-01-21d", "symbol": "SPY", "asof": "2025-08-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will SPY's close 21 trading days after 2025-08-01 be above its close on 2025-08-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-08-22", "context": {"close_asof": 621.72, "ret_21d": -0.003, "ret_252d": 0.044}} | |
| {"id": "SPY-2025-08-01-63d", "symbol": "SPY", "asof": "2025-08-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will SPY's close 63 trading days after 2025-08-01 be above its close on 2025-08-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-10-03", "context": {"close_asof": 621.72, "ret_21d": -0.003, "ret_252d": 0.044}} | |
| {"id": "TLT-2025-08-01-21d", "symbol": "TLT", "asof": "2025-08-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will TLT's close 21 trading days after 2025-08-01 be above its close on 2025-08-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-08-22", "context": {"close_asof": 87.82, "ret_21d": 0.0237, "ret_252d": -0.0284}} | |
| {"id": "TLT-2025-08-01-63d", "symbol": "TLT", "asof": "2025-08-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will TLT's close 63 trading days after 2025-08-01 be above its close on 2025-08-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-10-03", "context": {"close_asof": 87.82, "ret_21d": 0.0237, "ret_252d": -0.0284}} | |
| {"id": "TSLA-2025-08-01-21d", "symbol": "TSLA", "asof": "2025-08-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will TSLA's close 21 trading days after 2025-08-01 be above its close on 2025-08-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-08-22", "context": {"close_asof": 302.63, "ret_21d": -0.0347, "ret_252d": -0.1416}} | |
| {"id": "TSLA-2025-08-01-63d", "symbol": "TSLA", "asof": "2025-08-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will TSLA's close 63 trading days after 2025-08-01 be above its close on 2025-08-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-10-03", "context": {"close_asof": 302.63, "ret_21d": -0.0347, "ret_252d": -0.1416}} | |
| {"id": "USO-2025-08-01-21d", "symbol": "USO", "asof": "2025-08-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will USO's close 21 trading days after 2025-08-01 be above its close on 2025-08-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-08-22", "context": {"close_asof": 77.46, "ret_21d": 0.0022, "ret_252d": 0.0432}} | |
| {"id": "USO-2025-08-01-63d", "symbol": "USO", "asof": "2025-08-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will USO's close 63 trading days after 2025-08-01 be above its close on 2025-08-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-10-03", "context": {"close_asof": 77.46, "ret_21d": 0.0022, "ret_252d": 0.0432}} | |
| {"id": "UUP-2025-08-01-21d", "symbol": "UUP", "asof": "2025-08-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will UUP's close 21 trading days after 2025-08-01 be above its close on 2025-08-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-08-22", "context": {"close_asof": 27.57, "ret_21d": 0.0129, "ret_252d": -0.091}} | |
| {"id": "UUP-2025-08-01-63d", "symbol": "UUP", "asof": "2025-08-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will UUP's close 63 trading days after 2025-08-01 be above its close on 2025-08-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-10-03", "context": {"close_asof": 27.57, "ret_21d": 0.0129, "ret_252d": -0.091}} | |
| {"id": "VNQ-2025-08-01-21d", "symbol": "VNQ", "asof": "2025-08-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will VNQ's close 21 trading days after 2025-08-01 be above its close on 2025-08-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-08-22", "context": {"close_asof": 88.92, "ret_21d": -0.0094, "ret_252d": -0.0761}} | |
| {"id": "VNQ-2025-08-01-63d", "symbol": "VNQ", "asof": "2025-08-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will VNQ's close 63 trading days after 2025-08-01 be above its close on 2025-08-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-10-03", "context": {"close_asof": 88.92, "ret_21d": -0.0094, "ret_252d": -0.0761}} | |
| {"id": "XLB-2025-08-01-21d", "symbol": "XLB", "asof": "2025-08-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will XLB's close 21 trading days after 2025-08-01 be above its close on 2025-08-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-08-22", "context": {"close_asof": 43.36, "ret_21d": -0.0524, "ret_252d": -0.0782}} | |
| {"id": "XLB-2025-08-01-63d", "symbol": "XLB", "asof": "2025-08-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will XLB's close 63 trading days after 2025-08-01 be above its close on 2025-08-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-10-03", "context": {"close_asof": 43.36, "ret_21d": -0.0524, "ret_252d": -0.0782}} | |
| {"id": "XLE-2025-08-01-21d", "symbol": "XLE", "asof": "2025-08-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will XLE's close 21 trading days after 2025-08-01 be above its close on 2025-08-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-08-22", "context": {"close_asof": 42.79, "ret_21d": -0.0397, "ret_252d": -0.1201}} | |
| {"id": "XLE-2025-08-01-63d", "symbol": "XLE", "asof": "2025-08-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will XLE's close 63 trading days after 2025-08-01 be above its close on 2025-08-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-10-03", "context": {"close_asof": 42.79, "ret_21d": -0.0397, "ret_252d": -0.1201}} | |
| {"id": "XLF-2025-08-01-21d", "symbol": "XLF", "asof": "2025-08-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will XLF's close 21 trading days after 2025-08-01 be above its close on 2025-08-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-08-22", "context": {"close_asof": 51.4, "ret_21d": -0.0146, "ret_252d": 0.0132}} | |
| {"id": "XLF-2025-08-01-63d", "symbol": "XLF", "asof": "2025-08-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will XLF's close 63 trading days after 2025-08-01 be above its close on 2025-08-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-10-03", "context": {"close_asof": 51.4, "ret_21d": -0.0146, "ret_252d": 0.0132}} | |
| {"id": "XLI-2025-08-01-21d", "symbol": "XLI", "asof": "2025-08-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will XLI's close 21 trading days after 2025-08-01 be above its close on 2025-08-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-08-22", "context": {"close_asof": 149.74, "ret_21d": -0.0031, "ret_252d": 0.0497}} | |
| {"id": "XLI-2025-08-01-63d", "symbol": "XLI", "asof": "2025-08-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will XLI's close 63 trading days after 2025-08-01 be above its close on 2025-08-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-10-03", "context": {"close_asof": 149.74, "ret_21d": -0.0031, "ret_252d": 0.0497}} | |
| {"id": "XLK-2025-08-01-21d", "symbol": "XLK", "asof": "2025-08-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will XLK's close 21 trading days after 2025-08-01 be above its close on 2025-08-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-08-22", "context": {"close_asof": 128.54, "ret_21d": 0.0048, "ret_252d": 0.1005}} | |
| {"id": "XLK-2025-08-01-63d", "symbol": "XLK", "asof": "2025-08-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will XLK's close 63 trading days after 2025-08-01 be above its close on 2025-08-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-10-03", "context": {"close_asof": 128.54, "ret_21d": 0.0048, "ret_252d": 0.1005}} | |
| {"id": "XLP-2025-08-01-21d", "symbol": "XLP", "asof": "2025-08-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will XLP's close 21 trading days after 2025-08-01 be above its close on 2025-08-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-08-22", "context": {"close_asof": 80.16, "ret_21d": -0.008, "ret_252d": -0.0205}} | |
| {"id": "XLP-2025-08-01-63d", "symbol": "XLP", "asof": "2025-08-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will XLP's close 63 trading days after 2025-08-01 be above its close on 2025-08-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-10-03", "context": {"close_asof": 80.16, "ret_21d": -0.008, "ret_252d": -0.0205}} | |
| {"id": "XLU-2025-08-01-21d", "symbol": "XLU", "asof": "2025-08-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will XLU's close 21 trading days after 2025-08-01 be above its close on 2025-08-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-08-22", "context": {"close_asof": 42.9, "ret_21d": 0.0408, "ret_252d": 0.0535}} | |
| {"id": "XLU-2025-08-01-63d", "symbol": "XLU", "asof": "2025-08-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will XLU's close 63 trading days after 2025-08-01 be above its close on 2025-08-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-10-03", "context": {"close_asof": 42.9, "ret_21d": 0.0408, "ret_252d": 0.0535}} | |
| {"id": "XLV-2025-08-01-21d", "symbol": "XLV", "asof": "2025-08-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will XLV's close 21 trading days after 2025-08-01 be above its close on 2025-08-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-08-22", "context": {"close_asof": 131.13, "ret_21d": -0.03, "ret_252d": -0.0904}} | |
| {"id": "XLV-2025-08-01-63d", "symbol": "XLV", "asof": "2025-08-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will XLV's close 63 trading days after 2025-08-01 be above its close on 2025-08-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-10-03", "context": {"close_asof": 131.13, "ret_21d": -0.03, "ret_252d": -0.0904}} | |
| {"id": "XLY-2025-08-01-21d", "symbol": "XLY", "asof": "2025-08-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will XLY's close 21 trading days after 2025-08-01 be above its close on 2025-08-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-08-22", "context": {"close_asof": 108.04, "ret_21d": -0.0241, "ret_252d": -0.0093}} | |
| {"id": "XLY-2025-08-01-63d", "symbol": "XLY", "asof": "2025-08-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will XLY's close 63 trading days after 2025-08-01 be above its close on 2025-08-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-10-03", "context": {"close_asof": 108.04, "ret_21d": -0.0241, "ret_252d": -0.0093}} | |
| {"id": "XOM-2025-08-01-21d", "symbol": "XOM", "asof": "2025-08-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will XOM's close 21 trading days after 2025-08-01 be above its close on 2025-08-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-08-22", "context": {"close_asof": 109.64, "ret_21d": -0.0502, "ret_252d": -0.0998}} | |
| {"id": "XOM-2025-08-01-63d", "symbol": "XOM", "asof": "2025-08-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will XOM's close 63 trading days after 2025-08-01 be above its close on 2025-08-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-10-03", "context": {"close_asof": 109.64, "ret_21d": -0.0502, "ret_252d": -0.0998}} | |
| {"id": "BTC-USD-2025-09-01-21d", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "asof": "2025-09-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will BTC-USD's close 21 trading days after 2025-09-01 be above its close on 2025-09-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-09-22", "context": {"close_asof": 109240.55, "ret_21d": -0.0797, "ret_252d": 0.1528}} | |
| {"id": "BTC-USD-2025-09-01-63d", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "asof": "2025-09-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will BTC-USD's close 63 trading days after 2025-09-01 be above its close on 2025-09-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-11-03", "context": {"close_asof": 109240.55, "ret_21d": -0.0797, "ret_252d": 0.1528}} | |
| {"id": "ETH-USD-2025-09-01-21d", "symbol": "ETH-USD", "asof": "2025-09-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will ETH-USD's close 21 trading days after 2025-09-01 be above its close on 2025-09-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-09-22", "context": {"close_asof": 4314.76, "ret_21d": 0.0214, "ret_252d": 0.2623}} | |
| {"id": "ETH-USD-2025-09-01-63d", "symbol": "ETH-USD", "asof": "2025-09-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will ETH-USD's close 63 trading days after 2025-09-01 be above its close on 2025-09-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-11-03", "context": {"close_asof": 4314.76, "ret_21d": 0.0214, "ret_252d": 0.2623}} | |
| {"id": "AAPL-2025-10-01-21d", "symbol": "AAPL", "asof": "2025-10-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will AAPL's close 21 trading days after 2025-10-01 be above its close on 2025-10-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-10-22", "context": {"close_asof": 255.45, "ret_21d": 0.1264, "ret_252d": 0.1413}} | |
| {"id": "AAPL-2025-10-01-63d", "symbol": "AAPL", "asof": "2025-10-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will AAPL's close 63 trading days after 2025-10-01 be above its close on 2025-10-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-12-03", "context": {"close_asof": 255.45, "ret_21d": 0.1264, "ret_252d": 0.1413}} | |
| {"id": "AMZN-2025-10-01-21d", "symbol": "AMZN", "asof": "2025-10-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will AMZN's close 21 trading days after 2025-10-01 be above its close on 2025-10-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-10-22", "context": {"close_asof": 220.63, "ret_21d": -0.0421, "ret_252d": -0.0612}} | |
| {"id": "AMZN-2025-10-01-63d", "symbol": "AMZN", "asof": "2025-10-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will AMZN's close 63 trading days after 2025-10-01 be above its close on 2025-10-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-12-03", "context": {"close_asof": 220.63, "ret_21d": -0.0421, "ret_252d": -0.0612}} | |
| {"id": "BTC-USD-2025-10-01-21d", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "asof": "2025-10-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will BTC-USD's close 21 trading days after 2025-10-01 be above its close on 2025-10-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-10-22", "context": {"close_asof": 118659.97, "ret_21d": 0.041, "ret_252d": 0.1446}} | |
| {"id": "BTC-USD-2025-10-01-63d", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "asof": "2025-10-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will BTC-USD's close 63 trading days after 2025-10-01 be above its close on 2025-10-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-12-03", "context": {"close_asof": 118659.97, "ret_21d": 0.041, "ret_252d": 0.1446}} | |
| {"id": "EEM-2025-10-01-21d", "symbol": "EEM", "asof": "2025-10-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will EEM's close 21 trading days after 2025-10-01 be above its close on 2025-10-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-10-22", "context": {"close_asof": 53.82, "ret_21d": 0.0442, "ret_252d": 0.2643}} | |
| {"id": "EEM-2025-10-01-63d", "symbol": "EEM", "asof": "2025-10-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will EEM's close 63 trading days after 2025-10-01 be above its close on 2025-10-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-12-03", "context": {"close_asof": 53.82, "ret_21d": 0.0442, "ret_252d": 0.2643}} | |
| {"id": "EFA-2025-10-01-21d", "symbol": "EFA", "asof": "2025-10-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will EFA's close 21 trading days after 2025-10-01 be above its close on 2025-10-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-10-22", "context": {"close_asof": 94.14, "ret_21d": 0.0191, "ret_252d": 0.2046}} | |
| {"id": "EFA-2025-10-01-63d", "symbol": "EFA", "asof": "2025-10-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will EFA's close 63 trading days after 2025-10-01 be above its close on 2025-10-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-12-03", "context": {"close_asof": 94.14, "ret_21d": 0.0191, "ret_252d": 0.2046}} | |
| {"id": "ETH-USD-2025-10-01-21d", "symbol": "ETH-USD", "asof": "2025-10-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will ETH-USD's close 21 trading days after 2025-10-01 be above its close on 2025-10-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-10-22", "context": {"close_asof": 4350.52, "ret_21d": 0.0001, "ret_252d": 0.3422}} | |
| {"id": "ETH-USD-2025-10-01-63d", "symbol": "ETH-USD", "asof": "2025-10-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will ETH-USD's close 63 trading days after 2025-10-01 be above its close on 2025-10-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-12-03", "context": {"close_asof": 4350.52, "ret_21d": 0.0001, "ret_252d": 0.3422}} | |
| {"id": "GLD-2025-10-01-21d", "symbol": "GLD", "asof": "2025-10-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will GLD's close 21 trading days after 2025-10-01 be above its close on 2025-10-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-10-22", "context": {"close_asof": 356.03, "ret_21d": 0.062, "ret_252d": 0.3993}} | |
| {"id": "GLD-2025-10-01-63d", "symbol": "GLD", "asof": "2025-10-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will GLD's close 63 trading days after 2025-10-01 be above its close on 2025-10-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-12-03", "context": {"close_asof": 356.03, "ret_21d": 0.062, "ret_252d": 0.3993}} | |
| {"id": "GOOGL-2025-10-01-21d", "symbol": "GOOGL", "asof": "2025-10-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will GOOGL's close 21 trading days after 2025-10-01 be above its close on 2025-10-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-10-22", "context": {"close_asof": 244.9, "ret_21d": 0.024, "ret_252d": 0.2346}} | |
| {"id": "GOOGL-2025-10-01-63d", "symbol": "GOOGL", "asof": "2025-10-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will GOOGL's close 63 trading days after 2025-10-01 be above its close on 2025-10-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-12-03", "context": {"close_asof": 244.9, "ret_21d": 0.024, "ret_252d": 0.2346}} | |
| {"id": "HYG-2025-10-01-21d", "symbol": "HYG", "asof": "2025-10-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will HYG's close 21 trading days after 2025-10-01 be above its close on 2025-10-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-10-22", "context": {"close_asof": 80.96, "ret_21d": 0.0015, "ret_252d": 0.0176}} | |
| {"id": "HYG-2025-10-01-63d", "symbol": "HYG", "asof": "2025-10-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will HYG's close 63 trading days after 2025-10-01 be above its close on 2025-10-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-12-03", "context": {"close_asof": 80.96, "ret_21d": 0.0015, "ret_252d": 0.0176}} | |
| {"id": "IEF-2025-10-01-21d", "symbol": "IEF", "asof": "2025-10-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will IEF's close 21 trading days after 2025-10-01 be above its close on 2025-10-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-10-22", "context": {"close_asof": 96.49, "ret_21d": -0.0064, "ret_252d": 0.0429}} | |
| {"id": "IEF-2025-10-01-63d", "symbol": "IEF", "asof": "2025-10-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will IEF's close 63 trading days after 2025-10-01 be above its close on 2025-10-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-12-03", "context": {"close_asof": 96.49, "ret_21d": -0.0064, "ret_252d": 0.0429}} | |
| {"id": "IWM-2025-10-01-21d", "symbol": "IWM", "asof": "2025-10-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will IWM's close 21 trading days after 2025-10-01 be above its close on 2025-10-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-10-22", "context": {"close_asof": 242.49, "ret_21d": 0.0256, "ret_252d": 0.0622}} | |
| {"id": "IWM-2025-10-01-63d", "symbol": "IWM", "asof": "2025-10-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will IWM's close 63 trading days after 2025-10-01 be above its close on 2025-10-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-12-03", "context": {"close_asof": 242.49, "ret_21d": 0.0256, "ret_252d": 0.0622}} | |
| {"id": "JPM-2025-10-01-21d", "symbol": "JPM", "asof": "2025-10-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will JPM's close 21 trading days after 2025-10-01 be above its close on 2025-10-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-10-22", "context": {"close_asof": 310.71, "ret_21d": 0.0338, "ret_252d": 0.1821}} | |
| {"id": "JPM-2025-10-01-63d", "symbol": "JPM", "asof": "2025-10-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will JPM's close 63 trading days after 2025-10-01 be above its close on 2025-10-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-12-03", "context": {"close_asof": 310.71, "ret_21d": 0.0338, "ret_252d": 0.1821}} | |
| {"id": "META-2025-10-01-21d", "symbol": "META", "asof": "2025-10-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will META's close 21 trading days after 2025-10-01 be above its close on 2025-10-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-10-22", "context": {"close_asof": 717.34, "ret_21d": -0.0461, "ret_252d": 0.1505}} | |
| {"id": "META-2025-10-01-63d", "symbol": "META", "asof": "2025-10-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will META's close 63 trading days after 2025-10-01 be above its close on 2025-10-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-12-03", "context": {"close_asof": 717.34, "ret_21d": -0.0461, "ret_252d": 0.1505}} | |
| {"id": "MSFT-2025-10-01-21d", "symbol": "MSFT", "asof": "2025-10-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will MSFT's close 21 trading days after 2025-10-01 be above its close on 2025-10-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-10-22", "context": {"close_asof": 519.71, "ret_21d": 0.0387, "ret_252d": 0.1647}} | |
| {"id": "MSFT-2025-10-01-63d", "symbol": "MSFT", "asof": "2025-10-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will MSFT's close 63 trading days after 2025-10-01 be above its close on 2025-10-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-12-03", "context": {"close_asof": 519.71, "ret_21d": 0.0387, "ret_252d": 0.1647}} | |
| {"id": "NVDA-2025-10-01-21d", "symbol": "NVDA", "asof": "2025-10-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will NVDA's close 21 trading days after 2025-10-01 be above its close on 2025-10-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-10-22", "context": {"close_asof": 187.24, "ret_21d": 0.0559, "ret_252d": 0.2731}} | |
| {"id": "NVDA-2025-10-01-63d", "symbol": "NVDA", "asof": "2025-10-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will NVDA's close 63 trading days after 2025-10-01 be above its close on 2025-10-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-12-03", "context": {"close_asof": 187.24, "ret_21d": 0.0559, "ret_252d": 0.2731}} | |
| {"id": "QQQ-2025-10-01-21d", "symbol": "QQQ", "asof": "2025-10-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will QQQ's close 21 trading days after 2025-10-01 be above its close on 2025-10-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-10-22", "context": {"close_asof": 603.25, "ret_21d": 0.0388, "ret_252d": 0.135}} | |
| {"id": "QQQ-2025-10-01-63d", "symbol": "QQQ", "asof": "2025-10-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will QQQ's close 63 trading days after 2025-10-01 be above its close on 2025-10-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-12-03", "context": {"close_asof": 603.25, "ret_21d": 0.0388, "ret_252d": 0.135}} | |
| {"id": "SLV-2025-10-01-21d", "symbol": "SLV", "asof": "2025-10-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will SLV's close 21 trading days after 2025-10-01 be above its close on 2025-10-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-10-22", "context": {"close_asof": 42.91, "ret_21d": 0.147, "ret_252d": 0.5298}} | |
| {"id": "SLV-2025-10-01-63d", "symbol": "SLV", "asof": "2025-10-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will SLV's close 63 trading days after 2025-10-01 be above its close on 2025-10-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-12-03", "context": {"close_asof": 42.91, "ret_21d": 0.147, "ret_252d": 0.5298}} | |
| {"id": "SPY-2025-10-01-21d", "symbol": "SPY", "asof": "2025-10-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will SPY's close 21 trading days after 2025-10-01 be above its close on 2025-10-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-10-22", "context": {"close_asof": 668.45, "ret_21d": 0.0249, "ret_252d": 0.1023}} | |
| {"id": "SPY-2025-10-01-63d", "symbol": "SPY", "asof": "2025-10-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will SPY's close 63 trading days after 2025-10-01 be above its close on 2025-10-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-12-03", "context": {"close_asof": 668.45, "ret_21d": 0.0249, "ret_252d": 0.1023}} | |
| {"id": "TLT-2025-10-01-21d", "symbol": "TLT", "asof": "2025-10-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will TLT's close 21 trading days after 2025-10-01 be above its close on 2025-10-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-10-22", "context": {"close_asof": 89.29, "ret_21d": -0.005, "ret_252d": 0.0203}} | |
| {"id": "TLT-2025-10-01-63d", "symbol": "TLT", "asof": "2025-10-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will TLT's close 63 trading days after 2025-10-01 be above its close on 2025-10-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-12-03", "context": {"close_asof": 89.29, "ret_21d": -0.005, "ret_252d": 0.0203}} | |
| {"id": "TSLA-2025-10-01-21d", "symbol": "TSLA", "asof": "2025-10-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will TSLA's close 21 trading days after 2025-10-01 be above its close on 2025-10-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-10-22", "context": {"close_asof": 459.46, "ret_21d": 0.3211, "ret_252d": 0.1068}} | |
| {"id": "TSLA-2025-10-01-63d", "symbol": "TSLA", "asof": "2025-10-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will TSLA's close 63 trading days after 2025-10-01 be above its close on 2025-10-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-12-03", "context": {"close_asof": 459.46, "ret_21d": 0.3211, "ret_252d": 0.1068}} | |
| {"id": "USO-2025-10-01-21d", "symbol": "USO", "asof": "2025-10-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will USO's close 21 trading days after 2025-10-01 be above its close on 2025-10-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-10-22", "context": {"close_asof": 73.14, "ret_21d": -0.021, "ret_252d": -0.0906}} | |
| {"id": "USO-2025-10-01-63d", "symbol": "USO", "asof": "2025-10-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will USO's close 63 trading days after 2025-10-01 be above its close on 2025-10-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-12-03", "context": {"close_asof": 73.14, "ret_21d": -0.021, "ret_252d": -0.0906}} | |
| {"id": "UUP-2025-10-01-21d", "symbol": "UUP", "asof": "2025-10-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will UUP's close 21 trading days after 2025-10-01 be above its close on 2025-10-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-10-22", "context": {"close_asof": 27.5, "ret_21d": 0.0022, "ret_252d": -0.0643}} | |
| {"id": "UUP-2025-10-01-63d", "symbol": "UUP", "asof": "2025-10-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will UUP's close 63 trading days after 2025-10-01 be above its close on 2025-10-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-12-03", "context": {"close_asof": 27.5, "ret_21d": 0.0022, "ret_252d": -0.0643}} | |
| {"id": "VNQ-2025-10-01-21d", "symbol": "VNQ", "asof": "2025-10-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will VNQ's close 21 trading days after 2025-10-01 be above its close on 2025-10-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-10-22", "context": {"close_asof": 91.56, "ret_21d": -0.0001, "ret_252d": 0.0203}} | |
| {"id": "VNQ-2025-10-01-63d", "symbol": "VNQ", "asof": "2025-10-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will VNQ's close 63 trading days after 2025-10-01 be above its close on 2025-10-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-12-03", "context": {"close_asof": 91.56, "ret_21d": -0.0001, "ret_252d": 0.0203}} | |
| {"id": "XLB-2025-10-01-21d", "symbol": "XLB", "asof": "2025-10-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will XLB's close 21 trading days after 2025-10-01 be above its close on 2025-10-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-10-22", "context": {"close_asof": 44.34, "ret_21d": -0.0223, "ret_252d": -0.0007}} | |
| {"id": "XLB-2025-10-01-63d", "symbol": "XLB", "asof": "2025-10-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will XLB's close 63 trading days after 2025-10-01 be above its close on 2025-10-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-12-03", "context": {"close_asof": 44.34, "ret_21d": -0.0223, "ret_252d": -0.0007}} | |
| {"id": "XLE-2025-10-01-21d", "symbol": "XLE", "asof": "2025-10-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will XLE's close 21 trading days after 2025-10-01 be above its close on 2025-10-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-10-22", "context": {"close_asof": 44.67, "ret_21d": 0.0025, "ret_252d": -0.0266}} | |
| {"id": "XLE-2025-10-01-63d", "symbol": "XLE", "asof": "2025-10-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will XLE's close 63 trading days after 2025-10-01 be above its close on 2025-10-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-12-03", "context": {"close_asof": 44.67, "ret_21d": 0.0025, "ret_252d": -0.0266}} | |
| {"id": "XLF-2025-10-01-21d", "symbol": "XLF", "asof": "2025-10-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will XLF's close 21 trading days after 2025-10-01 be above its close on 2025-10-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-10-22", "context": {"close_asof": 53.39, "ret_21d": 0.0043, "ret_252d": 0.0591}} | |
| {"id": "XLF-2025-10-01-63d", "symbol": "XLF", "asof": "2025-10-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will XLF's close 63 trading days after 2025-10-01 be above its close on 2025-10-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-12-03", "context": {"close_asof": 53.39, "ret_21d": 0.0043, "ret_252d": 0.0591}} | |
| {"id": "XLI-2025-10-01-21d", "symbol": "XLI", "asof": "2025-10-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will XLI's close 21 trading days after 2025-10-01 be above its close on 2025-10-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-10-22", "context": {"close_asof": 153.8, "ret_21d": 0.0161, "ret_252d": 0.0966}} | |
| {"id": "XLI-2025-10-01-63d", "symbol": "XLI", "asof": "2025-10-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will XLI's close 63 trading days after 2025-10-01 be above its close on 2025-10-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-12-03", "context": {"close_asof": 153.8, "ret_21d": 0.0161, "ret_252d": 0.0966}} | |
| {"id": "XLK-2025-10-01-21d", "symbol": "XLK", "asof": "2025-10-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will XLK's close 21 trading days after 2025-10-01 be above its close on 2025-10-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-10-22", "context": {"close_asof": 142.31, "ret_21d": 0.0536, "ret_252d": 0.1791}} | |
| {"id": "XLK-2025-10-01-63d", "symbol": "XLK", "asof": "2025-10-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will XLK's close 63 trading days after 2025-10-01 be above its close on 2025-10-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-12-03", "context": {"close_asof": 142.31, "ret_21d": 0.0536, "ret_252d": 0.1791}} | |
| {"id": "XLP-2025-10-01-21d", "symbol": "XLP", "asof": "2025-10-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will XLP's close 21 trading days after 2025-10-01 be above its close on 2025-10-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-10-22", "context": {"close_asof": 78.25, "ret_21d": -0.0211, "ret_252d": 0.0133}} | |
| {"id": "XLP-2025-10-01-63d", "symbol": "XLP", "asof": "2025-10-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will XLP's close 63 trading days after 2025-10-01 be above its close on 2025-10-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-12-03", "context": {"close_asof": 78.25, "ret_21d": -0.0211, "ret_252d": 0.0133}} | |
| {"id": "XLU-2025-10-01-21d", "symbol": "XLU", "asof": "2025-10-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will XLU's close 21 trading days after 2025-10-01 be above its close on 2025-10-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-10-22", "context": {"close_asof": 44.03, "ret_21d": 0.0407, "ret_252d": 0.1244}} | |
| {"id": "XLU-2025-10-01-63d", "symbol": "XLU", "asof": "2025-10-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will XLU's close 63 trading days after 2025-10-01 be above its close on 2025-10-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-12-03", "context": {"close_asof": 44.03, "ret_21d": 0.0407, "ret_252d": 0.1244}} | |
| {"id": "XLV-2025-10-01-21d", "symbol": "XLV", "asof": "2025-10-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will XLV's close 21 trading days after 2025-10-01 be above its close on 2025-10-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-10-22", "context": {"close_asof": 143.47, "ret_21d": 0.0447, "ret_252d": 0.0091}} | |
| {"id": "XLV-2025-10-01-63d", "symbol": "XLV", "asof": "2025-10-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will XLV's close 63 trading days after 2025-10-01 be above its close on 2025-10-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-12-03", "context": {"close_asof": 143.47, "ret_21d": 0.0447, "ret_252d": 0.0091}} | |
| {"id": "XLY-2025-10-01-21d", "symbol": "XLY", "asof": "2025-10-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will XLY's close 21 trading days after 2025-10-01 be above its close on 2025-10-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-10-22", "context": {"close_asof": 120.57, "ret_21d": 0.0356, "ret_252d": 0.0483}} | |
| {"id": "XLY-2025-10-01-63d", "symbol": "XLY", "asof": "2025-10-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will XLY's close 63 trading days after 2025-10-01 be above its close on 2025-10-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-12-03", "context": {"close_asof": 120.57, "ret_21d": 0.0356, "ret_252d": 0.0483}} | |
| {"id": "XOM-2025-10-01-21d", "symbol": "XOM", "asof": "2025-10-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will XOM's close 21 trading days after 2025-10-01 be above its close on 2025-10-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-10-22", "context": {"close_asof": 111.99, "ret_21d": -0.0045, "ret_252d": 0.0225}} | |
| {"id": "XOM-2025-10-01-63d", "symbol": "XOM", "asof": "2025-10-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will XOM's close 63 trading days after 2025-10-01 be above its close on 2025-10-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-12-03", "context": {"close_asof": 111.99, "ret_21d": -0.0045, "ret_252d": 0.0225}} | |
| {"id": "BTC-USD-2025-11-01-21d", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "asof": "2025-11-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will BTC-USD's close 21 trading days after 2025-11-01 be above its close on 2025-11-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-11-22", "context": {"close_asof": 110052.25, "ret_21d": -0.0065, "ret_252d": 0.1395}} | |
| {"id": "BTC-USD-2025-11-01-63d", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "asof": "2025-11-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will BTC-USD's close 63 trading days after 2025-11-01 be above its close on 2025-11-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-01-03", "context": {"close_asof": 110052.25, "ret_21d": -0.0065, "ret_252d": 0.1395}} | |
| {"id": "ETH-USD-2025-11-01-21d", "symbol": "ETH-USD", "asof": "2025-11-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will ETH-USD's close 21 trading days after 2025-11-01 be above its close on 2025-11-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-11-22", "context": {"close_asof": 3872.16, "ret_21d": 0.0324, "ret_252d": 0.4012}} | |
| {"id": "ETH-USD-2025-11-01-63d", "symbol": "ETH-USD", "asof": "2025-11-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will ETH-USD's close 63 trading days after 2025-11-01 be above its close on 2025-11-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-01-03", "context": {"close_asof": 3872.16, "ret_21d": 0.0324, "ret_252d": 0.4012}} | |
| {"id": "AAPL-2025-12-01-21d", "symbol": "AAPL", "asof": "2025-12-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will AAPL's close 21 trading days after 2025-12-01 be above its close on 2025-12-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-12-22", "context": {"close_asof": 283.1, "ret_21d": 0.0507, "ret_252d": 0.2826}} | |
| {"id": "AAPL-2025-12-01-63d", "symbol": "AAPL", "asof": "2025-12-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will AAPL's close 63 trading days after 2025-12-01 be above its close on 2025-12-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-02-02", "context": {"close_asof": 283.1, "ret_21d": 0.0507, "ret_252d": 0.2826}} | |
| {"id": "AMZN-2025-12-01-21d", "symbol": "AMZN", "asof": "2025-12-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will AMZN's close 21 trading days after 2025-12-01 be above its close on 2025-12-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-12-22", "context": {"close_asof": 233.88, "ret_21d": -0.0585, "ret_252d": 0.1506}} | |
| {"id": "AMZN-2025-12-01-63d", "symbol": "AMZN", "asof": "2025-12-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will AMZN's close 63 trading days after 2025-12-01 be above its close on 2025-12-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-02-02", "context": {"close_asof": 233.88, "ret_21d": -0.0585, "ret_252d": 0.1506}} | |
| {"id": "BTC-USD-2025-12-01-21d", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "asof": "2025-12-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will BTC-USD's close 21 trading days after 2025-12-01 be above its close on 2025-12-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-12-22", "context": {"close_asof": 86282.36, "ret_21d": -0.1859, "ret_252d": -0.0142}} | |
| {"id": "BTC-USD-2025-12-01-63d", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "asof": "2025-12-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will BTC-USD's close 63 trading days after 2025-12-01 be above its close on 2025-12-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-02-02", "context": {"close_asof": 86282.36, "ret_21d": -0.1859, "ret_252d": -0.0142}} | |
| {"id": "EEM-2025-12-01-21d", "symbol": "EEM", "asof": "2025-12-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will EEM's close 21 trading days after 2025-12-01 be above its close on 2025-12-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-12-22", "context": {"close_asof": 54.28, "ret_21d": -0.0222, "ret_252d": 0.2121}} | |
| {"id": "EEM-2025-12-01-63d", "symbol": "EEM", "asof": "2025-12-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will EEM's close 63 trading days after 2025-12-01 be above its close on 2025-12-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-02-02", "context": {"close_asof": 54.28, "ret_21d": -0.0222, "ret_252d": 0.2121}} | |
| {"id": "EFA-2025-12-01-21d", "symbol": "EFA", "asof": "2025-12-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will EFA's close 21 trading days after 2025-12-01 be above its close on 2025-12-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-12-22", "context": {"close_asof": 94.72, "ret_21d": -0.006, "ret_252d": 0.1323}} | |
| {"id": "EFA-2025-12-01-63d", "symbol": "EFA", "asof": "2025-12-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will EFA's close 63 trading days after 2025-12-01 be above its close on 2025-12-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-02-02", "context": {"close_asof": 94.72, "ret_21d": -0.006, "ret_252d": 0.1323}} | |
| {"id": "ETH-USD-2025-12-01-21d", "symbol": "ETH-USD", "asof": "2025-12-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will ETH-USD's close 21 trading days after 2025-12-01 be above its close on 2025-12-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-12-22", "context": {"close_asof": 2798.3, "ret_21d": -0.2154, "ret_252d": 0.3443}} | |
| {"id": "ETH-USD-2025-12-01-63d", "symbol": "ETH-USD", "asof": "2025-12-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will ETH-USD's close 63 trading days after 2025-12-01 be above its close on 2025-12-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-02-02", "context": {"close_asof": 2798.3, "ret_21d": -0.2154, "ret_252d": 0.3443}} | |
| {"id": "GLD-2025-12-01-21d", "symbol": "GLD", "asof": "2025-12-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will GLD's close 21 trading days after 2025-12-01 be above its close on 2025-12-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-12-22", "context": {"close_asof": 389.75, "ret_21d": 0.03, "ret_252d": 0.4058}} | |
| {"id": "GLD-2025-12-01-63d", "symbol": "GLD", "asof": "2025-12-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will GLD's close 63 trading days after 2025-12-01 be above its close on 2025-12-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-02-02", "context": {"close_asof": 389.75, "ret_21d": 0.03, "ret_252d": 0.4058}} | |
| {"id": "GOOGL-2025-12-01-21d", "symbol": "GOOGL", "asof": "2025-12-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will GOOGL's close 21 trading days after 2025-12-01 be above its close on 2025-12-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-12-22", "context": {"close_asof": 314.89, "ret_21d": 0.0855, "ret_252d": 0.8779}} | |
| {"id": "GOOGL-2025-12-01-63d", "symbol": "GOOGL", "asof": "2025-12-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will GOOGL's close 63 trading days after 2025-12-01 be above its close on 2025-12-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-02-02", "context": {"close_asof": 314.89, "ret_21d": 0.0855, "ret_252d": 0.8779}} | |
| {"id": "HYG-2025-12-01-21d", "symbol": "HYG", "asof": "2025-12-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will HYG's close 21 trading days after 2025-12-01 be above its close on 2025-12-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-12-22", "context": {"close_asof": 80.47, "ret_21d": -0.0016, "ret_252d": 0.0128}} | |
| {"id": "HYG-2025-12-01-63d", "symbol": "HYG", "asof": "2025-12-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will HYG's close 63 trading days after 2025-12-01 be above its close on 2025-12-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-02-02", "context": {"close_asof": 80.47, "ret_21d": -0.0016, "ret_252d": 0.0128}} | |
| {"id": "IEF-2025-12-01-21d", "symbol": "IEF", "asof": "2025-12-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will IEF's close 21 trading days after 2025-12-01 be above its close on 2025-12-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-12-22", "context": {"close_asof": 96.69, "ret_21d": 0.0013, "ret_252d": 0.0235}} | |
| {"id": "IEF-2025-12-01-63d", "symbol": "IEF", "asof": "2025-12-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will IEF's close 63 trading days after 2025-12-01 be above its close on 2025-12-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-02-02", "context": {"close_asof": 96.69, "ret_21d": 0.0013, "ret_252d": 0.0235}} | |
| {"id": "IWM-2025-12-01-21d", "symbol": "IWM", "asof": "2025-12-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will IWM's close 21 trading days after 2025-12-01 be above its close on 2025-12-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-12-22", "context": {"close_asof": 245.62, "ret_21d": 0.0065, "ret_252d": 0.176}} | |
| {"id": "IWM-2025-12-01-63d", "symbol": "IWM", "asof": "2025-12-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will IWM's close 63 trading days after 2025-12-01 be above its close on 2025-12-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-02-02", "context": {"close_asof": 245.62, "ret_21d": 0.0065, "ret_252d": 0.176}} | |
| {"id": "JPM-2025-12-01-21d", "symbol": "JPM", "asof": "2025-12-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will JPM's close 21 trading days after 2025-12-01 be above its close on 2025-12-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-12-22", "context": {"close_asof": 308.92, "ret_21d": -0.0252, "ret_252d": 0.2453}} | |
| {"id": "JPM-2025-12-01-63d", "symbol": "JPM", "asof": "2025-12-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will JPM's close 63 trading days after 2025-12-01 be above its close on 2025-12-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-02-02", "context": {"close_asof": 308.92, "ret_21d": -0.0252, "ret_252d": 0.2453}} | |
| {"id": "META-2025-12-01-21d", "symbol": "META", "asof": "2025-12-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will META's close 21 trading days after 2025-12-01 be above its close on 2025-12-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-12-22", "context": {"close_asof": 640.87, "ret_21d": 0.0144, "ret_252d": 0.0356}} | |
| {"id": "META-2025-12-01-63d", "symbol": "META", "asof": "2025-12-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will META's close 63 trading days after 2025-12-01 be above its close on 2025-12-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-02-02", "context": {"close_asof": 640.87, "ret_21d": 0.0144, "ret_252d": 0.0356}} | |
| {"id": "MSFT-2025-12-01-21d", "symbol": "MSFT", "asof": "2025-12-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will MSFT's close 21 trading days after 2025-12-01 be above its close on 2025-12-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-12-22", "context": {"close_asof": 486.74, "ret_21d": -0.0381, "ret_252d": 0.2383}} | |
| {"id": "MSFT-2025-12-01-63d", "symbol": "MSFT", "asof": "2025-12-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will MSFT's close 63 trading days after 2025-12-01 be above its close on 2025-12-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-02-02", "context": {"close_asof": 486.74, "ret_21d": -0.0381, "ret_252d": 0.2383}} | |
| {"id": "NVDA-2025-12-01-21d", "symbol": "NVDA", "asof": "2025-12-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will NVDA's close 21 trading days after 2025-12-01 be above its close on 2025-12-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-12-22", "context": {"close_asof": 179.92, "ret_21d": -0.0961, "ret_252d": 0.4819}} | |
| {"id": "NVDA-2025-12-01-63d", "symbol": "NVDA", "asof": "2025-12-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will NVDA's close 63 trading days after 2025-12-01 be above its close on 2025-12-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-02-02", "context": {"close_asof": 179.92, "ret_21d": -0.0961, "ret_252d": 0.4819}} | |
| {"id": "QQQ-2025-12-01-21d", "symbol": "QQQ", "asof": "2025-12-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will QQQ's close 21 trading days after 2025-12-01 be above its close on 2025-12-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-12-22", "context": {"close_asof": 617.17, "ret_21d": -0.0097, "ret_252d": 0.2578}} | |
| {"id": "QQQ-2025-12-01-63d", "symbol": "QQQ", "asof": "2025-12-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will QQQ's close 63 trading days after 2025-12-01 be above its close on 2025-12-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-02-02", "context": {"close_asof": 617.17, "ret_21d": -0.0097, "ret_252d": 0.2578}} | |
| {"id": "SLV-2025-12-01-21d", "symbol": "SLV", "asof": "2025-12-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will SLV's close 21 trading days after 2025-12-01 be above its close on 2025-12-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-12-22", "context": {"close_asof": 52.52, "ret_21d": 0.147, "ret_252d": 0.753}} | |
| {"id": "SLV-2025-12-01-63d", "symbol": "SLV", "asof": "2025-12-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will SLV's close 63 trading days after 2025-12-01 be above its close on 2025-12-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-02-02", "context": {"close_asof": 52.52, "ret_21d": 0.147, "ret_252d": 0.753}} | |
| {"id": "SPY-2025-12-01-21d", "symbol": "SPY", "asof": "2025-12-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will SPY's close 21 trading days after 2025-12-01 be above its close on 2025-12-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-12-22", "context": {"close_asof": 680.27, "ret_21d": -0.0017, "ret_252d": 0.185}} | |
| {"id": "SPY-2025-12-01-63d", "symbol": "SPY", "asof": "2025-12-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will SPY's close 63 trading days after 2025-12-01 be above its close on 2025-12-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-02-02", "context": {"close_asof": 680.27, "ret_21d": -0.0017, "ret_252d": 0.185}} | |
| {"id": "TLT-2025-12-01-21d", "symbol": "TLT", "asof": "2025-12-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will TLT's close 21 trading days after 2025-12-01 be above its close on 2025-12-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-12-22", "context": {"close_asof": 88.77, "ret_21d": -0.0087, "ret_252d": -0.0111}} | |
| {"id": "TLT-2025-12-01-63d", "symbol": "TLT", "asof": "2025-12-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will TLT's close 63 trading days after 2025-12-01 be above its close on 2025-12-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-02-02", "context": {"close_asof": 88.77, "ret_21d": -0.0087, "ret_252d": -0.0111}} | |
| {"id": "TSLA-2025-12-01-21d", "symbol": "TSLA", "asof": "2025-12-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will TSLA's close 21 trading days after 2025-12-01 be above its close on 2025-12-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-12-22", "context": {"close_asof": 430.14, "ret_21d": -0.0339, "ret_252d": 0.5451}} | |
| {"id": "TSLA-2025-12-01-63d", "symbol": "TSLA", "asof": "2025-12-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will TSLA's close 63 trading days after 2025-12-01 be above its close on 2025-12-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-02-02", "context": {"close_asof": 430.14, "ret_21d": -0.0339, "ret_252d": 0.5451}} | |
| {"id": "USO-2025-12-01-21d", "symbol": "USO", "asof": "2025-12-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will USO's close 21 trading days after 2025-12-01 be above its close on 2025-12-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-12-22", "context": {"close_asof": 71.06, "ret_21d": -0.0086, "ret_252d": -0.051}} | |
| {"id": "USO-2025-12-01-63d", "symbol": "USO", "asof": "2025-12-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will USO's close 63 trading days after 2025-12-01 be above its close on 2025-12-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-02-02", "context": {"close_asof": 71.06, "ret_21d": -0.0086, "ret_252d": -0.051}} | |
| {"id": "UUP-2025-12-01-21d", "symbol": "UUP", "asof": "2025-12-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will UUP's close 21 trading days after 2025-12-01 be above its close on 2025-12-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-12-22", "context": {"close_asof": 28.2, "ret_21d": 0.0007, "ret_252d": -0.0123}} | |
| {"id": "UUP-2025-12-01-63d", "symbol": "UUP", "asof": "2025-12-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will UUP's close 63 trading days after 2025-12-01 be above its close on 2025-12-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-02-02", "context": {"close_asof": 28.2, "ret_21d": 0.0007, "ret_252d": -0.0123}} | |
| {"id": "VNQ-2025-12-01-21d", "symbol": "VNQ", "asof": "2025-12-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will VNQ's close 21 trading days after 2025-12-01 be above its close on 2025-12-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-12-22", "context": {"close_asof": 90.29, "ret_21d": 0.0012, "ret_252d": -0.0149}} | |
| {"id": "VNQ-2025-12-01-63d", "symbol": "VNQ", "asof": "2025-12-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will VNQ's close 63 trading days after 2025-12-01 be above its close on 2025-12-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-02-02", "context": {"close_asof": 90.29, "ret_21d": 0.0012, "ret_252d": -0.0149}} | |
| {"id": "XLB-2025-12-01-21d", "symbol": "XLB", "asof": "2025-12-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will XLB's close 21 trading days after 2025-12-01 be above its close on 2025-12-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-12-22", "context": {"close_asof": 44.59, "ret_21d": 0.0296, "ret_252d": 0.0305}} | |
| {"id": "XLB-2025-12-01-63d", "symbol": "XLB", "asof": "2025-12-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will XLB's close 63 trading days after 2025-12-01 be above its close on 2025-12-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-02-02", "context": {"close_asof": 44.59, "ret_21d": 0.0296, "ret_252d": 0.0305}} | |
| {"id": "XLE-2025-12-01-21d", "symbol": "XLE", "asof": "2025-12-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will XLE's close 21 trading days after 2025-12-01 be above its close on 2025-12-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-12-22", "context": {"close_asof": 45.66, "ret_21d": 0.0108, "ret_252d": -0.0164}} | |
| {"id": "XLE-2025-12-01-63d", "symbol": "XLE", "asof": "2025-12-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will XLE's close 63 trading days after 2025-12-01 be above its close on 2025-12-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-02-02", "context": {"close_asof": 45.66, "ret_21d": 0.0108, "ret_252d": -0.0164}} | |
| {"id": "XLF-2025-12-01-21d", "symbol": "XLF", "asof": "2025-12-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will XLF's close 21 trading days after 2025-12-01 be above its close on 2025-12-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-12-22", "context": {"close_asof": 52.89, "ret_21d": -0.0015, "ret_252d": 0.0546}} | |
| {"id": "XLF-2025-12-01-63d", "symbol": "XLF", "asof": "2025-12-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will XLF's close 63 trading days after 2025-12-01 be above its close on 2025-12-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-02-02", "context": {"close_asof": 52.89, "ret_21d": -0.0015, "ret_252d": 0.0546}} | |
| {"id": "XLI-2025-12-01-21d", "symbol": "XLI", "asof": "2025-12-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will XLI's close 21 trading days after 2025-12-01 be above its close on 2025-12-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-12-22", "context": {"close_asof": 151.44, "ret_21d": -0.0179, "ret_252d": 0.1277}} | |
| {"id": "XLI-2025-12-01-63d", "symbol": "XLI", "asof": "2025-12-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will XLI's close 63 trading days after 2025-12-01 be above its close on 2025-12-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-02-02", "context": {"close_asof": 151.44, "ret_21d": -0.0179, "ret_252d": 0.1277}} | |
| {"id": "XLK-2025-12-01-21d", "symbol": "XLK", "asof": "2025-12-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will XLK's close 21 trading days after 2025-12-01 be above its close on 2025-12-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-12-22", "context": {"close_asof": 143.18, "ret_21d": -0.031, "ret_252d": 0.3158}} | |
| {"id": "XLK-2025-12-01-63d", "symbol": "XLK", "asof": "2025-12-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will XLK's close 63 trading days after 2025-12-01 be above its close on 2025-12-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-02-02", "context": {"close_asof": 143.18, "ret_21d": -0.031, "ret_252d": 0.3158}} | |
| {"id": "XLP-2025-12-01-21d", "symbol": "XLP", "asof": "2025-12-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will XLP's close 21 trading days after 2025-12-01 be above its close on 2025-12-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-12-22", "context": {"close_asof": 79.29, "ret_21d": 0.0374, "ret_252d": -0.0014}} | |
| {"id": "XLP-2025-12-01-63d", "symbol": "XLP", "asof": "2025-12-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will XLP's close 63 trading days after 2025-12-01 be above its close on 2025-12-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-02-02", "context": {"close_asof": 79.29, "ret_21d": 0.0374, "ret_252d": -0.0014}} | |
| {"id": "XLU-2025-12-01-21d", "symbol": "XLU", "asof": "2025-12-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will XLU's close 21 trading days after 2025-12-01 be above its close on 2025-12-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-12-22", "context": {"close_asof": 44.26, "ret_21d": -0.0127, "ret_252d": 0.1325}} | |
| {"id": "XLU-2025-12-01-63d", "symbol": "XLU", "asof": "2025-12-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will XLU's close 63 trading days after 2025-12-01 be above its close on 2025-12-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-02-02", "context": {"close_asof": 44.26, "ret_21d": -0.0127, "ret_252d": 0.1325}} | |
| {"id": "XLV-2025-12-01-21d", "symbol": "XLV", "asof": "2025-12-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will XLV's close 21 trading days after 2025-12-01 be above its close on 2025-12-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-12-22", "context": {"close_asof": 155.29, "ret_21d": 0.0544, "ret_252d": 0.0553}} | |
| {"id": "XLV-2025-12-01-63d", "symbol": "XLV", "asof": "2025-12-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will XLV's close 63 trading days after 2025-12-01 be above its close on 2025-12-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-02-02", "context": {"close_asof": 155.29, "ret_21d": 0.0544, "ret_252d": 0.0553}} | |
| {"id": "XLY-2025-12-01-21d", "symbol": "XLY", "asof": "2025-12-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will XLY's close 21 trading days after 2025-12-01 be above its close on 2025-12-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-12-22", "context": {"close_asof": 118.3, "ret_21d": -0.0099, "ret_252d": 0.1582}} | |
| {"id": "XLY-2025-12-01-63d", "symbol": "XLY", "asof": "2025-12-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will XLY's close 63 trading days after 2025-12-01 be above its close on 2025-12-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-02-02", "context": {"close_asof": 118.3, "ret_21d": -0.0099, "ret_252d": 0.1582}} | |
| {"id": "XOM-2025-12-01-21d", "symbol": "XOM", "asof": "2025-12-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will XOM's close 21 trading days after 2025-12-01 be above its close on 2025-12-01?", "resolves_on": "2025-12-22", "context": {"close_asof": 116.63, "ret_21d": -0.0134, "ret_252d": 0.0072}} | |
| {"id": "XOM-2025-12-01-63d", "symbol": "XOM", "asof": "2025-12-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will XOM's close 63 trading days after 2025-12-01 be above its close on 2025-12-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-02-02", "context": {"close_asof": 116.63, "ret_21d": -0.0134, "ret_252d": 0.0072}} | |
| {"id": "BTC-USD-2026-01-01-21d", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "asof": "2026-01-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will BTC-USD's close 21 trading days after 2026-01-01 be above its close on 2026-01-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-01-22", "context": {"close_asof": 88738.34, "ret_21d": -0.0411, "ret_252d": -0.0562}} | |
| {"id": "BTC-USD-2026-01-01-63d", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "asof": "2026-01-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will BTC-USD's close 63 trading days after 2026-01-01 be above its close on 2026-01-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-03-05", "context": {"close_asof": 88738.34, "ret_21d": -0.0411, "ret_252d": -0.0562}} | |
| {"id": "ETH-USD-2026-01-01-21d", "symbol": "ETH-USD", "asof": "2026-01-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will ETH-USD's close 21 trading days after 2026-01-01 be above its close on 2026-01-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-01-22", "context": {"close_asof": 3000.41, "ret_21d": -0.0732, "ret_252d": 0.6948}} | |
| {"id": "ETH-USD-2026-01-01-63d", "symbol": "ETH-USD", "asof": "2026-01-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will ETH-USD's close 63 trading days after 2026-01-01 be above its close on 2026-01-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-03-05", "context": {"close_asof": 3000.41, "ret_21d": -0.0732, "ret_252d": 0.6948}} | |
| {"id": "BTC-USD-2026-02-01-21d", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "asof": "2026-02-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will BTC-USD's close 21 trading days after 2026-02-01 be above its close on 2026-02-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-02-22", "context": {"close_asof": 76895.53, "ret_21d": -0.1538, "ret_252d": -0.2949}} | |
| {"id": "BTC-USD-2026-02-01-63d", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "asof": "2026-02-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will BTC-USD's close 63 trading days after 2026-02-01 be above its close on 2026-02-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-04-05", "context": {"close_asof": 76895.53, "ret_21d": -0.1538, "ret_252d": -0.2949}} | |
| {"id": "ETH-USD-2026-02-01-21d", "symbol": "ETH-USD", "asof": "2026-02-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will ETH-USD's close 21 trading days after 2026-02-01 be above its close on 2026-02-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-02-22", "context": {"close_asof": 2268.18, "ret_21d": -0.2727, "ret_252d": -0.1113}} | |
| {"id": "ETH-USD-2026-02-01-63d", "symbol": "ETH-USD", "asof": "2026-02-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will ETH-USD's close 63 trading days after 2026-02-01 be above its close on 2026-02-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-04-05", "context": {"close_asof": 2268.18, "ret_21d": -0.2727, "ret_252d": -0.1113}} | |
| {"id": "BTC-USD-2026-03-01-21d", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "asof": "2026-03-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will BTC-USD's close 21 trading days after 2026-03-01 be above its close on 2026-03-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-03-22", "context": {"close_asof": 65769.0, "ret_21d": -0.0642, "ret_252d": -0.3488}} | |
| {"id": "BTC-USD-2026-03-01-63d", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "asof": "2026-03-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will BTC-USD's close 63 trading days after 2026-03-01 be above its close on 2026-03-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-05-03", "context": {"close_asof": 65769.0, "ret_21d": -0.0642, "ret_252d": -0.3488}} | |
| {"id": "ETH-USD-2026-03-01-21d", "symbol": "ETH-USD", "asof": "2026-03-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will ETH-USD's close 21 trading days after 2026-03-01 be above its close on 2026-03-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-03-22", "context": {"close_asof": 1939.68, "ret_21d": -0.0712, "ret_252d": -0.1296}} | |
| {"id": "ETH-USD-2026-03-01-63d", "symbol": "ETH-USD", "asof": "2026-03-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will ETH-USD's close 63 trading days after 2026-03-01 be above its close on 2026-03-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-05-03", "context": {"close_asof": 1939.68, "ret_21d": -0.0712, "ret_252d": -0.1296}} | |
| {"id": "AAPL-2026-04-01-21d", "symbol": "AAPL", "asof": "2026-04-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will AAPL's close 21 trading days after 2026-04-01 be above its close on 2026-04-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-04-22", "context": {"close_asof": 255.63, "ret_21d": -0.0199, "ret_252d": 0.1937}} | |
| {"id": "AAPL-2026-04-01-63d", "symbol": "AAPL", "asof": "2026-04-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will AAPL's close 63 trading days after 2026-04-01 be above its close on 2026-04-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-06-03", "context": {"close_asof": 255.63, "ret_21d": -0.0199, "ret_252d": 0.1937}} | |
| {"id": "AMZN-2026-04-01-21d", "symbol": "AMZN", "asof": "2026-04-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will AMZN's close 21 trading days after 2026-04-01 be above its close on 2026-04-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-04-22", "context": {"close_asof": 210.57, "ret_21d": -0.0098, "ret_252d": -0.0776}} | |
| {"id": "AMZN-2026-04-01-63d", "symbol": "AMZN", "asof": "2026-04-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will AMZN's close 63 trading days after 2026-04-01 be above its close on 2026-04-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-06-03", "context": {"close_asof": 210.57, "ret_21d": -0.0098, "ret_252d": -0.0776}} | |
| {"id": "BTC-USD-2026-04-01-21d", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "asof": "2026-04-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will BTC-USD's close 21 trading days after 2026-04-01 be above its close on 2026-04-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-04-22", "context": {"close_asof": 68112.35, "ret_21d": -0.0298, "ret_252d": -0.4267}} | |
| {"id": "BTC-USD-2026-04-01-63d", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "asof": "2026-04-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will BTC-USD's close 63 trading days after 2026-04-01 be above its close on 2026-04-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-06-03", "context": {"close_asof": 68112.35, "ret_21d": -0.0298, "ret_252d": -0.4267}} | |
| {"id": "EEM-2026-04-01-21d", "symbol": "EEM", "asof": "2026-04-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will EEM's close 21 trading days after 2026-04-01 be above its close on 2026-04-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-04-22", "context": {"close_asof": 57.23, "ret_21d": -0.0272, "ret_252d": 0.1462}} | |
| {"id": "EEM-2026-04-01-63d", "symbol": "EEM", "asof": "2026-04-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will EEM's close 63 trading days after 2026-04-01 be above its close on 2026-04-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-06-03", "context": {"close_asof": 57.23, "ret_21d": -0.0272, "ret_252d": 0.1462}} | |
| {"id": "EFA-2026-04-01-21d", "symbol": "EFA", "asof": "2026-04-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will EFA's close 21 trading days after 2026-04-01 be above its close on 2026-04-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-04-22", "context": {"close_asof": 98.61, "ret_21d": -0.004, "ret_252d": 0.0772}} | |
| {"id": "EFA-2026-04-01-63d", "symbol": "EFA", "asof": "2026-04-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will EFA's close 63 trading days after 2026-04-01 be above its close on 2026-04-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-06-03", "context": {"close_asof": 98.61, "ret_21d": -0.004, "ret_252d": 0.0772}} | |
| {"id": "ETH-USD-2026-04-01-21d", "symbol": "ETH-USD", "asof": "2026-04-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will ETH-USD's close 21 trading days after 2026-04-01 be above its close on 2026-04-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-04-22", "context": {"close_asof": 2140.21, "ret_21d": 0.0429, "ret_252d": -0.4105}} | |
| {"id": "ETH-USD-2026-04-01-63d", "symbol": "ETH-USD", "asof": "2026-04-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will ETH-USD's close 63 trading days after 2026-04-01 be above its close on 2026-04-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-06-03", "context": {"close_asof": 2140.21, "ret_21d": 0.0429, "ret_252d": -0.4105}} | |
| {"id": "GLD-2026-04-01-21d", "symbol": "GLD", "asof": "2026-04-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will GLD's close 21 trading days after 2026-04-01 be above its close on 2026-04-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-04-22", "context": {"close_asof": 437.82, "ret_21d": -0.0807, "ret_252d": 0.4025}} | |
| {"id": "GLD-2026-04-01-63d", "symbol": "GLD", "asof": "2026-04-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will GLD's close 63 trading days after 2026-04-01 be above its close on 2026-04-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-06-03", "context": {"close_asof": 437.82, "ret_21d": -0.0807, "ret_252d": 0.4025}} | |
| {"id": "GOOGL-2026-04-01-21d", "symbol": "GOOGL", "asof": "2026-04-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will GOOGL's close 21 trading days after 2026-04-01 be above its close on 2026-04-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-04-22", "context": {"close_asof": 297.39, "ret_21d": -0.0366, "ret_252d": 0.5633}} | |
| {"id": "GOOGL-2026-04-01-63d", "symbol": "GOOGL", "asof": "2026-04-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will GOOGL's close 63 trading days after 2026-04-01 be above its close on 2026-04-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-06-03", "context": {"close_asof": 297.39, "ret_21d": -0.0366, "ret_252d": 0.5633}} | |
| {"id": "HYG-2026-04-01-21d", "symbol": "HYG", "asof": "2026-04-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will HYG's close 21 trading days after 2026-04-01 be above its close on 2026-04-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-04-22", "context": {"close_asof": 79.37, "ret_21d": -0.0061, "ret_252d": -0.0145}} | |
| {"id": "HYG-2026-04-01-63d", "symbol": "HYG", "asof": "2026-04-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will HYG's close 63 trading days after 2026-04-01 be above its close on 2026-04-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-06-03", "context": {"close_asof": 79.37, "ret_21d": -0.0061, "ret_252d": -0.0145}} | |
| {"id": "IEF-2026-04-01-21d", "symbol": "IEF", "asof": "2026-04-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will IEF's close 21 trading days after 2026-04-01 be above its close on 2026-04-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-04-22", "context": {"close_asof": 95.04, "ret_21d": -0.01, "ret_252d": 0.004}} | |
| {"id": "IEF-2026-04-01-63d", "symbol": "IEF", "asof": "2026-04-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will IEF's close 63 trading days after 2026-04-01 be above its close on 2026-04-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-06-03", "context": {"close_asof": 95.04, "ret_21d": -0.01, "ret_252d": 0.004}} | |
| {"id": "IWM-2026-04-01-21d", "symbol": "IWM", "asof": "2026-04-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will IWM's close 21 trading days after 2026-04-01 be above its close on 2026-04-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-04-22", "context": {"close_asof": 249.56, "ret_21d": -0.013, "ret_252d": 0.1009}} | |
| {"id": "IWM-2026-04-01-63d", "symbol": "IWM", "asof": "2026-04-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will IWM's close 63 trading days after 2026-04-01 be above its close on 2026-04-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-06-03", "context": {"close_asof": 249.56, "ret_21d": -0.013, "ret_252d": 0.1009}} | |
| {"id": "JPM-2026-04-01-21d", "symbol": "JPM", "asof": "2026-04-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will JPM's close 21 trading days after 2026-04-01 be above its close on 2026-04-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-04-22", "context": {"close_asof": 295.38, "ret_21d": 0.0273, "ret_252d": -0.0047}} | |
| {"id": "JPM-2026-04-01-63d", "symbol": "JPM", "asof": "2026-04-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will JPM's close 63 trading days after 2026-04-01 be above its close on 2026-04-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-06-03", "context": {"close_asof": 295.38, "ret_21d": 0.0273, "ret_252d": -0.0047}} | |
| {"id": "META-2026-04-01-21d", "symbol": "META", "asof": "2026-04-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will META's close 21 trading days after 2026-04-01 be above its close on 2026-04-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-04-22", "context": {"close_asof": 579.23, "ret_21d": -0.1155, "ret_252d": -0.1883}} | |
| {"id": "META-2026-04-01-63d", "symbol": "META", "asof": "2026-04-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will META's close 63 trading days after 2026-04-01 be above its close on 2026-04-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-06-03", "context": {"close_asof": 579.23, "ret_21d": -0.1155, "ret_252d": -0.1883}} | |
| {"id": "MSFT-2026-04-01-21d", "symbol": "MSFT", "asof": "2026-04-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will MSFT's close 21 trading days after 2026-04-01 be above its close on 2026-04-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-04-22", "context": {"close_asof": 369.37, "ret_21d": -0.0877, "ret_252d": -0.2698}} | |
| {"id": "MSFT-2026-04-01-63d", "symbol": "MSFT", "asof": "2026-04-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will MSFT's close 63 trading days after 2026-04-01 be above its close on 2026-04-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-06-03", "context": {"close_asof": 369.37, "ret_21d": -0.0877, "ret_252d": -0.2698}} | |
| {"id": "NVDA-2026-04-01-21d", "symbol": "NVDA", "asof": "2026-04-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will NVDA's close 21 trading days after 2026-04-01 be above its close on 2026-04-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-04-22", "context": {"close_asof": 175.75, "ret_21d": -0.0553, "ret_252d": 0.0291}} | |
| {"id": "NVDA-2026-04-01-63d", "symbol": "NVDA", "asof": "2026-04-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will NVDA's close 63 trading days after 2026-04-01 be above its close on 2026-04-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-06-03", "context": {"close_asof": 175.75, "ret_21d": -0.0553, "ret_252d": 0.0291}} | |
| {"id": "QQQ-2026-04-01-21d", "symbol": "QQQ", "asof": "2026-04-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will QQQ's close 21 trading days after 2026-04-01 be above its close on 2026-04-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-04-22", "context": {"close_asof": 584.31, "ret_21d": -0.0385, "ret_252d": 0.0364}} | |
| {"id": "QQQ-2026-04-01-63d", "symbol": "QQQ", "asof": "2026-04-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will QQQ's close 63 trading days after 2026-04-01 be above its close on 2026-04-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-06-03", "context": {"close_asof": 584.31, "ret_21d": -0.0385, "ret_252d": 0.0364}} | |
| {"id": "SLV-2026-04-01-21d", "symbol": "SLV", "asof": "2026-04-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will SLV's close 21 trading days after 2026-04-01 be above its close on 2026-04-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-04-22", "context": {"close_asof": 68.14, "ret_21d": -0.1254, "ret_252d": 0.9092}} | |
| {"id": "SLV-2026-04-01-63d", "symbol": "SLV", "asof": "2026-04-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will SLV's close 63 trading days after 2026-04-01 be above its close on 2026-04-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-06-03", "context": {"close_asof": 68.14, "ret_21d": -0.1254, "ret_252d": 0.9092}} | |
| {"id": "SPY-2026-04-01-21d", "symbol": "SPY", "asof": "2026-04-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will SPY's close 21 trading days after 2026-04-01 be above its close on 2026-04-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-04-22", "context": {"close_asof": 655.24, "ret_21d": -0.0312, "ret_252d": 0.0332}} | |
| {"id": "SPY-2026-04-01-63d", "symbol": "SPY", "asof": "2026-04-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will SPY's close 63 trading days after 2026-04-01 be above its close on 2026-04-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-06-03", "context": {"close_asof": 655.24, "ret_21d": -0.0312, "ret_252d": 0.0332}} | |
| {"id": "TLT-2026-04-01-21d", "symbol": "TLT", "asof": "2026-04-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will TLT's close 21 trading days after 2026-04-01 be above its close on 2026-04-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-04-22", "context": {"close_asof": 86.26, "ret_21d": -0.0101, "ret_252d": 0.0026}} | |
| {"id": "TLT-2026-04-01-63d", "symbol": "TLT", "asof": "2026-04-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will TLT's close 63 trading days after 2026-04-01 be above its close on 2026-04-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-06-03", "context": {"close_asof": 86.26, "ret_21d": -0.0101, "ret_252d": 0.0026}} | |
| {"id": "TSLA-2026-04-01-21d", "symbol": "TSLA", "asof": "2026-04-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will TSLA's close 21 trading days after 2026-04-01 be above its close on 2026-04-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-04-22", "context": {"close_asof": 381.26, "ret_21d": -0.0651, "ret_252d": 0.1464}} | |
| {"id": "TSLA-2026-04-01-63d", "symbol": "TSLA", "asof": "2026-04-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will TSLA's close 63 trading days after 2026-04-01 be above its close on 2026-04-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-06-03", "context": {"close_asof": 381.26, "ret_21d": -0.0651, "ret_252d": 0.1464}} | |
| {"id": "USO-2026-04-01-21d", "symbol": "USO", "asof": "2026-04-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will USO's close 21 trading days after 2026-04-01 be above its close on 2026-04-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-04-22", "context": {"close_asof": 124.09, "ret_21d": 0.1484, "ret_252d": 0.6484}} | |
| {"id": "USO-2026-04-01-63d", "symbol": "USO", "asof": "2026-04-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will USO's close 63 trading days after 2026-04-01 be above its close on 2026-04-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-06-03", "context": {"close_asof": 124.09, "ret_21d": 0.1484, "ret_252d": 0.6484}} | |
| {"id": "UUP-2026-04-01-21d", "symbol": "UUP", "asof": "2026-04-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will UUP's close 21 trading days after 2026-04-01 be above its close on 2026-04-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-04-22", "context": {"close_asof": 27.73, "ret_21d": 0.0065, "ret_252d": 0.0248}} | |
| {"id": "UUP-2026-04-01-63d", "symbol": "UUP", "asof": "2026-04-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will UUP's close 63 trading days after 2026-04-01 be above its close on 2026-04-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-06-03", "context": {"close_asof": 27.73, "ret_21d": 0.0065, "ret_252d": 0.0248}} | |
| {"id": "VNQ-2026-04-01-21d", "symbol": "VNQ", "asof": "2026-04-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will VNQ's close 21 trading days after 2026-04-01 be above its close on 2026-04-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-04-22", "context": {"close_asof": 89.02, "ret_21d": -0.0392, "ret_252d": -0.0328}} | |
| {"id": "VNQ-2026-04-01-63d", "symbol": "VNQ", "asof": "2026-04-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will VNQ's close 63 trading days after 2026-04-01 be above its close on 2026-04-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-06-03", "context": {"close_asof": 89.02, "ret_21d": -0.0392, "ret_252d": -0.0328}} | |
| {"id": "XLB-2026-04-01-21d", "symbol": "XLB", "asof": "2026-04-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will XLB's close 21 trading days after 2026-04-01 be above its close on 2026-04-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-04-22", "context": {"close_asof": 50.46, "ret_21d": 0.0124, "ret_252d": 0.0941}} | |
| {"id": "XLB-2026-04-01-63d", "symbol": "XLB", "asof": "2026-04-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will XLB's close 63 trading days after 2026-04-01 be above its close on 2026-04-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-06-03", "context": {"close_asof": 50.46, "ret_21d": 0.0124, "ret_252d": 0.0941}} | |
| {"id": "XLE-2026-04-01-21d", "symbol": "XLE", "asof": "2026-04-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will XLE's close 21 trading days after 2026-04-01 be above its close on 2026-04-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-04-22", "context": {"close_asof": 58.97, "ret_21d": 0.0349, "ret_252d": 0.3588}} | |
| {"id": "XLE-2026-04-01-63d", "symbol": "XLE", "asof": "2026-04-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will XLE's close 63 trading days after 2026-04-01 be above its close on 2026-04-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-06-03", "context": {"close_asof": 58.97, "ret_21d": 0.0349, "ret_252d": 0.3588}} | |
| {"id": "XLF-2026-04-01-21d", "symbol": "XLF", "asof": "2026-04-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will XLF's close 21 trading days after 2026-04-01 be above its close on 2026-04-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-04-22", "context": {"close_asof": 49.44, "ret_21d": -0.004, "ret_252d": -0.0689}} | |
| {"id": "XLF-2026-04-01-63d", "symbol": "XLF", "asof": "2026-04-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will XLF's close 63 trading days after 2026-04-01 be above its close on 2026-04-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-06-03", "context": {"close_asof": 49.44, "ret_21d": -0.004, "ret_252d": -0.0689}} | |
| {"id": "XLI-2026-04-01-21d", "symbol": "XLI", "asof": "2026-04-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will XLI's close 21 trading days after 2026-04-01 be above its close on 2026-04-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-04-22", "context": {"close_asof": 164.43, "ret_21d": -0.0299, "ret_252d": 0.0696}} | |
| {"id": "XLI-2026-04-01-63d", "symbol": "XLI", "asof": "2026-04-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will XLI's close 63 trading days after 2026-04-01 be above its close on 2026-04-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-06-03", "context": {"close_asof": 164.43, "ret_21d": -0.0299, "ret_252d": 0.0696}} | |
| {"id": "XLK-2026-04-01-21d", "symbol": "XLK", "asof": "2026-04-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will XLK's close 21 trading days after 2026-04-01 be above its close on 2026-04-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-04-22", "context": {"close_asof": 134.91, "ret_21d": -0.0393, "ret_252d": 0.0366}} | |
| {"id": "XLK-2026-04-01-63d", "symbol": "XLK", "asof": "2026-04-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will XLK's close 63 trading days after 2026-04-01 be above its close on 2026-04-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-06-03", "context": {"close_asof": 134.91, "ret_21d": -0.0393, "ret_252d": 0.0366}} | |
| {"id": "XLP-2026-04-01-21d", "symbol": "XLP", "asof": "2026-04-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will XLP's close 21 trading days after 2026-04-01 be above its close on 2026-04-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-04-22", "context": {"close_asof": 81.46, "ret_21d": -0.037, "ret_252d": -0.0023}} | |
| {"id": "XLP-2026-04-01-63d", "symbol": "XLP", "asof": "2026-04-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will XLP's close 63 trading days after 2026-04-01 be above its close on 2026-04-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-06-03", "context": {"close_asof": 81.46, "ret_21d": -0.037, "ret_252d": -0.0023}} | |
| {"id": "XLU-2026-04-01-21d", "symbol": "XLU", "asof": "2026-04-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will XLU's close 21 trading days after 2026-04-01 be above its close on 2026-04-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-04-22", "context": {"close_asof": 46.11, "ret_21d": -0.0013, "ret_252d": 0.0924}} | |
| {"id": "XLU-2026-04-01-63d", "symbol": "XLU", "asof": "2026-04-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will XLU's close 63 trading days after 2026-04-01 be above its close on 2026-04-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-06-03", "context": {"close_asof": 46.11, "ret_21d": -0.0013, "ret_252d": 0.0924}} | |
| {"id": "XLV-2026-04-01-21d", "symbol": "XLV", "asof": "2026-04-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will XLV's close 21 trading days after 2026-04-01 be above its close on 2026-04-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-04-22", "context": {"close_asof": 147.73, "ret_21d": -0.0335, "ret_252d": 0.0841}} | |
| {"id": "XLV-2026-04-01-63d", "symbol": "XLV", "asof": "2026-04-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will XLV's close 63 trading days after 2026-04-01 be above its close on 2026-04-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-06-03", "context": {"close_asof": 147.73, "ret_21d": -0.0335, "ret_252d": 0.0841}} | |
| {"id": "XLY-2026-04-01-21d", "symbol": "XLY", "asof": "2026-04-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will XLY's close 21 trading days after 2026-04-01 be above its close on 2026-04-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-04-22", "context": {"close_asof": 109.8, "ret_21d": -0.038, "ret_252d": -0.0307}} | |
| {"id": "XLY-2026-04-01-63d", "symbol": "XLY", "asof": "2026-04-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will XLY's close 63 trading days after 2026-04-01 be above its close on 2026-04-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-06-03", "context": {"close_asof": 109.8, "ret_21d": -0.038, "ret_252d": -0.0307}} | |
| {"id": "XOM-2026-04-01-21d", "symbol": "XOM", "asof": "2026-04-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will XOM's close 21 trading days after 2026-04-01 be above its close on 2026-04-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-04-22", "context": {"close_asof": 160.78, "ret_21d": 0.0607, "ret_252d": 0.4626}} | |
| {"id": "XOM-2026-04-01-63d", "symbol": "XOM", "asof": "2026-04-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will XOM's close 63 trading days after 2026-04-01 be above its close on 2026-04-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-06-03", "context": {"close_asof": 160.78, "ret_21d": 0.0607, "ret_252d": 0.4626}} | |
| {"id": "AAPL-2026-05-01-21d", "symbol": "AAPL", "asof": "2026-05-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will AAPL's close 21 trading days after 2026-05-01 be above its close on 2026-05-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-05-22", "context": {"close_asof": 280.14, "ret_21d": 0.0755, "ret_252d": 0.23}} | |
| {"id": "AAPL-2026-05-01-63d", "symbol": "AAPL", "asof": "2026-05-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will AAPL's close 63 trading days after 2026-05-01 be above its close on 2026-05-01?", "resolves_on": null, "context": {"close_asof": 280.14, "ret_21d": 0.0755, "ret_252d": 0.23}} | |
| {"id": "AMZN-2026-05-01-21d", "symbol": "AMZN", "asof": "2026-05-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will AMZN's close 21 trading days after 2026-05-01 be above its close on 2026-05-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-05-22", "context": {"close_asof": 268.26, "ret_21d": 0.1253, "ret_252d": 0.1723}} | |
| {"id": "AMZN-2026-05-01-63d", "symbol": "AMZN", "asof": "2026-05-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will AMZN's close 63 trading days after 2026-05-01 be above its close on 2026-05-01?", "resolves_on": null, "context": {"close_asof": 268.26, "ret_21d": 0.1253, "ret_252d": 0.1723}} | |
| {"id": "BTC-USD-2026-05-01-21d", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "asof": "2026-05-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will BTC-USD's close 21 trading days after 2026-05-01 be above its close on 2026-05-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-05-22", "context": {"close_asof": 78234.05, "ret_21d": 0.0717, "ret_252d": -0.3308}} | |
| {"id": "BTC-USD-2026-05-01-63d", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "asof": "2026-05-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will BTC-USD's close 63 trading days after 2026-05-01 be above its close on 2026-05-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-07-03", "context": {"close_asof": 78234.05, "ret_21d": 0.0717, "ret_252d": -0.3308}} | |
| {"id": "EEM-2026-05-01-21d", "symbol": "EEM", "asof": "2026-05-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will EEM's close 21 trading days after 2026-05-01 be above its close on 2026-05-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-05-22", "context": {"close_asof": 64.13, "ret_21d": 0.0589, "ret_252d": 0.2666}} | |
| {"id": "EEM-2026-05-01-63d", "symbol": "EEM", "asof": "2026-05-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will EEM's close 63 trading days after 2026-05-01 be above its close on 2026-05-01?", "resolves_on": null, "context": {"close_asof": 64.13, "ret_21d": 0.0589, "ret_252d": 0.2666}} | |
| {"id": "EFA-2026-05-01-21d", "symbol": "EFA", "asof": "2026-05-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will EFA's close 21 trading days after 2026-05-01 be above its close on 2026-05-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-05-22", "context": {"close_asof": 102.1, "ret_21d": -0.0008, "ret_252d": 0.0951}} | |
| {"id": "EFA-2026-05-01-63d", "symbol": "EFA", "asof": "2026-05-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will EFA's close 63 trading days after 2026-05-01 be above its close on 2026-05-01?", "resolves_on": null, "context": {"close_asof": 102.1, "ret_21d": -0.0008, "ret_252d": 0.0951}} | |
| {"id": "ETH-USD-2026-05-01-21d", "symbol": "ETH-USD", "asof": "2026-05-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will ETH-USD's close 21 trading days after 2026-05-01 be above its close on 2026-05-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-05-22", "context": {"close_asof": 2295.54, "ret_21d": 0.0219, "ret_252d": -0.5249}} | |
| {"id": "ETH-USD-2026-05-01-63d", "symbol": "ETH-USD", "asof": "2026-05-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will ETH-USD's close 63 trading days after 2026-05-01 be above its close on 2026-05-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-07-03", "context": {"close_asof": 2295.54, "ret_21d": 0.0219, "ret_252d": -0.5249}} | |
| {"id": "GLD-2026-05-01-21d", "symbol": "GLD", "asof": "2026-05-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will GLD's close 21 trading days after 2026-05-01 be above its close on 2026-05-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-05-22", "context": {"close_asof": 423.18, "ret_21d": -0.0319, "ret_252d": 0.3625}} | |
| {"id": "GLD-2026-05-01-63d", "symbol": "GLD", "asof": "2026-05-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will GLD's close 63 trading days after 2026-05-01 be above its close on 2026-05-01?", "resolves_on": null, "context": {"close_asof": 423.18, "ret_21d": -0.0319, "ret_252d": 0.3625}} | |
| {"id": "GOOGL-2026-05-01-21d", "symbol": "GOOGL", "asof": "2026-05-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will GOOGL's close 21 trading days after 2026-05-01 be above its close on 2026-05-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-05-22", "context": {"close_asof": 385.69, "ret_21d": 0.2158, "ret_252d": 0.8715}} | |
| {"id": "GOOGL-2026-05-01-63d", "symbol": "GOOGL", "asof": "2026-05-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will GOOGL's close 63 trading days after 2026-05-01 be above its close on 2026-05-01?", "resolves_on": null, "context": {"close_asof": 385.69, "ret_21d": 0.2158, "ret_252d": 0.8715}} | |
| {"id": "HYG-2026-05-01-21d", "symbol": "HYG", "asof": "2026-05-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will HYG's close 21 trading days after 2026-05-01 be above its close on 2026-05-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-05-22", "context": {"close_asof": 80.06, "ret_21d": 0.0013, "ret_252d": -0.0098}} | |
| {"id": "HYG-2026-05-01-63d", "symbol": "HYG", "asof": "2026-05-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will HYG's close 63 trading days after 2026-05-01 be above its close on 2026-05-01?", "resolves_on": null, "context": {"close_asof": 80.06, "ret_21d": 0.0013, "ret_252d": -0.0098}} | |
| {"id": "IEF-2026-05-01-21d", "symbol": "IEF", "asof": "2026-05-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will IEF's close 21 trading days after 2026-05-01 be above its close on 2026-05-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-05-22", "context": {"close_asof": 94.74, "ret_21d": -0.0056, "ret_252d": -0.0108}} | |
| {"id": "IEF-2026-05-01-63d", "symbol": "IEF", "asof": "2026-05-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will IEF's close 63 trading days after 2026-05-01 be above its close on 2026-05-01?", "resolves_on": null, "context": {"close_asof": 94.74, "ret_21d": -0.0056, "ret_252d": -0.0108}} | |
| {"id": "IWM-2026-05-01-21d", "symbol": "IWM", "asof": "2026-05-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will IWM's close 21 trading days after 2026-05-01 be above its close on 2026-05-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-05-22", "context": {"close_asof": 279.28, "ret_21d": 0.0688, "ret_252d": 0.1893}} | |
| {"id": "IWM-2026-05-01-63d", "symbol": "IWM", "asof": "2026-05-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will IWM's close 63 trading days after 2026-05-01 be above its close on 2026-05-01?", "resolves_on": null, "context": {"close_asof": 279.28, "ret_21d": 0.0688, "ret_252d": 0.1893}} | |
| {"id": "JPM-2026-05-01-21d", "symbol": "JPM", "asof": "2026-05-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will JPM's close 21 trading days after 2026-05-01 be above its close on 2026-05-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-05-22", "context": {"close_asof": 312.47, "ret_21d": 0.0084, "ret_252d": 0.0548}} | |
| {"id": "JPM-2026-05-01-63d", "symbol": "JPM", "asof": "2026-05-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will JPM's close 63 trading days after 2026-05-01 be above its close on 2026-05-01?", "resolves_on": null, "context": {"close_asof": 312.47, "ret_21d": 0.0084, "ret_252d": 0.0548}} | |
| {"id": "META-2026-05-01-21d", "symbol": "META", "asof": "2026-05-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will META's close 21 trading days after 2026-05-01 be above its close on 2026-05-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-05-22", "context": {"close_asof": 608.745, "ret_21d": -0.0335, "ret_252d": -0.1935}} | |
| {"id": "META-2026-05-01-63d", "symbol": "META", "asof": "2026-05-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will META's close 63 trading days after 2026-05-01 be above its close on 2026-05-01?", "resolves_on": null, "context": {"close_asof": 608.745, "ret_21d": -0.0335, "ret_252d": -0.1935}} | |
| {"id": "MSFT-2026-05-01-21d", "symbol": "MSFT", "asof": "2026-05-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will MSFT's close 21 trading days after 2026-05-01 be above its close on 2026-05-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-05-22", "context": {"close_asof": 414.44, "ret_21d": 0.1175, "ret_252d": -0.1829}} | |
| {"id": "MSFT-2026-05-01-63d", "symbol": "MSFT", "asof": "2026-05-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will MSFT's close 63 trading days after 2026-05-01 be above its close on 2026-05-01?", "resolves_on": null, "context": {"close_asof": 414.44, "ret_21d": 0.1175, "ret_252d": -0.1829}} | |
| {"id": "NVDA-2026-05-01-21d", "symbol": "NVDA", "asof": "2026-05-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will NVDA's close 21 trading days after 2026-05-01 be above its close on 2026-05-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-05-22", "context": {"close_asof": 198.45, "ret_21d": 0.0521, "ret_252d": 0.115}} | |
| {"id": "NVDA-2026-05-01-63d", "symbol": "NVDA", "asof": "2026-05-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will NVDA's close 63 trading days after 2026-05-01 be above its close on 2026-05-01?", "resolves_on": null, "context": {"close_asof": 198.45, "ret_21d": 0.0521, "ret_252d": 0.115}} | |
| {"id": "QQQ-2026-05-01-21d", "symbol": "QQQ", "asof": "2026-05-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will QQQ's close 21 trading days after 2026-05-01 be above its close on 2026-05-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-05-22", "context": {"close_asof": 674.15, "ret_21d": 0.1032, "ret_252d": 0.1786}} | |
| {"id": "QQQ-2026-05-01-63d", "symbol": "QQQ", "asof": "2026-05-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will QQQ's close 63 trading days after 2026-05-01 be above its close on 2026-05-01?", "resolves_on": null, "context": {"close_asof": 674.15, "ret_21d": 0.1032, "ret_252d": 0.1786}} | |
| {"id": "SLV-2026-05-01-21d", "symbol": "SLV", "asof": "2026-05-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will SLV's close 21 trading days after 2026-05-01 be above its close on 2026-05-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-05-22", "context": {"close_asof": 68.29, "ret_21d": -0.0114, "ret_252d": 0.9324}} | |
| {"id": "SLV-2026-05-01-63d", "symbol": "SLV", "asof": "2026-05-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will SLV's close 63 trading days after 2026-05-01 be above its close on 2026-05-01?", "resolves_on": null, "context": {"close_asof": 68.29, "ret_21d": -0.0114, "ret_252d": 0.9324}} | |
| {"id": "SPY-2026-05-01-21d", "symbol": "SPY", "asof": "2026-05-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will SPY's close 21 trading days after 2026-05-01 be above its close on 2026-05-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-05-22", "context": {"close_asof": 720.65, "ret_21d": 0.0606, "ret_252d": 0.1168}} | |
| {"id": "SPY-2026-05-01-63d", "symbol": "SPY", "asof": "2026-05-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will SPY's close 63 trading days after 2026-05-01 be above its close on 2026-05-01?", "resolves_on": null, "context": {"close_asof": 720.65, "ret_21d": 0.0606, "ret_252d": 0.1168}} | |
| {"id": "TLT-2026-05-01-21d", "symbol": "TLT", "asof": "2026-05-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will TLT's close 21 trading days after 2026-05-01 be above its close on 2026-05-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-05-22", "context": {"close_asof": 85.61, "ret_21d": -0.0102, "ret_252d": -0.0165}} | |
| {"id": "TLT-2026-05-01-63d", "symbol": "TLT", "asof": "2026-05-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will TLT's close 63 trading days after 2026-05-01 be above its close on 2026-05-01?", "resolves_on": null, "context": {"close_asof": 85.61, "ret_21d": -0.0102, "ret_252d": -0.0165}} | |
| {"id": "TSLA-2026-05-01-21d", "symbol": "TSLA", "asof": "2026-05-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will TSLA's close 21 trading days after 2026-05-01 be above its close on 2026-05-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-05-22", "context": {"close_asof": 390.82, "ret_21d": 0.12, "ret_252d": 0.1494}} | |
| {"id": "TSLA-2026-05-01-63d", "symbol": "TSLA", "asof": "2026-05-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will TSLA's close 63 trading days after 2026-05-01 be above its close on 2026-05-01?", "resolves_on": null, "context": {"close_asof": 390.82, "ret_21d": 0.12, "ret_252d": 0.1494}} | |
| {"id": "USO-2026-05-01-21d", "symbol": "USO", "asof": "2026-05-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will USO's close 21 trading days after 2026-05-01 be above its close on 2026-05-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-05-22", "context": {"close_asof": 142.8, "ret_21d": 0.144, "ret_252d": 0.9132}} | |
| {"id": "USO-2026-05-01-63d", "symbol": "USO", "asof": "2026-05-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will USO's close 63 trading days after 2026-05-01 be above its close on 2026-05-01?", "resolves_on": null, "context": {"close_asof": 142.8, "ret_21d": 0.144, "ret_252d": 0.9132}} | |
| {"id": "UUP-2026-05-01-21d", "symbol": "UUP", "asof": "2026-05-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will UUP's close 21 trading days after 2026-05-01 be above its close on 2026-05-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-05-22", "context": {"close_asof": 27.41, "ret_21d": -0.0011, "ret_252d": 0.0029}} | |
| {"id": "UUP-2026-05-01-63d", "symbol": "UUP", "asof": "2026-05-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will UUP's close 63 trading days after 2026-05-01 be above its close on 2026-05-01?", "resolves_on": null, "context": {"close_asof": 27.41, "ret_21d": -0.0011, "ret_252d": 0.0029}} | |
| {"id": "VNQ-2026-05-01-21d", "symbol": "VNQ", "asof": "2026-05-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will VNQ's close 21 trading days after 2026-05-01 be above its close on 2026-05-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-05-22", "context": {"close_asof": 96.06, "ret_21d": 0.0331, "ret_252d": 0.0421}} | |
| {"id": "VNQ-2026-05-01-63d", "symbol": "VNQ", "asof": "2026-05-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will VNQ's close 63 trading days after 2026-05-01 be above its close on 2026-05-01?", "resolves_on": null, "context": {"close_asof": 96.06, "ret_21d": 0.0331, "ret_252d": 0.0421}} | |
| {"id": "XLB-2026-05-01-21d", "symbol": "XLB", "asof": "2026-05-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will XLB's close 21 trading days after 2026-05-01 be above its close on 2026-05-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-05-22", "context": {"close_asof": 51.35, "ret_21d": -0.0117, "ret_252d": 0.1141}} | |
| {"id": "XLB-2026-05-01-63d", "symbol": "XLB", "asof": "2026-05-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will XLB's close 63 trading days after 2026-05-01 be above its close on 2026-05-01?", "resolves_on": null, "context": {"close_asof": 51.35, "ret_21d": -0.0117, "ret_252d": 0.1141}} | |
| {"id": "XLE-2026-05-01-21d", "symbol": "XLE", "asof": "2026-05-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will XLE's close 21 trading days after 2026-05-01 be above its close on 2026-05-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-05-22", "context": {"close_asof": 58.85, "ret_21d": 0.0335, "ret_252d": 0.3354}} | |
| {"id": "XLE-2026-05-01-63d", "symbol": "XLE", "asof": "2026-05-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will XLE's close 63 trading days after 2026-05-01 be above its close on 2026-05-01?", "resolves_on": null, "context": {"close_asof": 58.85, "ret_21d": 0.0335, "ret_252d": 0.3354}} | |
| {"id": "XLF-2026-05-01-21d", "symbol": "XLF", "asof": "2026-05-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will XLF's close 21 trading days after 2026-05-01 be above its close on 2026-05-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-05-22", "context": {"close_asof": 51.92, "ret_21d": 0.0227, "ret_252d": -0.0308}} | |
| {"id": "XLF-2026-05-01-63d", "symbol": "XLF", "asof": "2026-05-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will XLF's close 63 trading days after 2026-05-01 be above its close on 2026-05-01?", "resolves_on": null, "context": {"close_asof": 51.92, "ret_21d": 0.0227, "ret_252d": -0.0308}} | |
| {"id": "XLI-2026-05-01-21d", "symbol": "XLI", "asof": "2026-05-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will XLI's close 21 trading days after 2026-05-01 be above its close on 2026-05-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-05-22", "context": {"close_asof": 172.96, "ret_21d": 0.0084, "ret_252d": 0.1294}} | |
| {"id": "XLI-2026-05-01-63d", "symbol": "XLI", "asof": "2026-05-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will XLI's close 63 trading days after 2026-05-01 be above its close on 2026-05-01?", "resolves_on": null, "context": {"close_asof": 172.96, "ret_21d": 0.0084, "ret_252d": 0.1294}} | |
| {"id": "XLK-2026-05-01-21d", "symbol": "XLK", "asof": "2026-05-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will XLK's close 21 trading days after 2026-05-01 be above its close on 2026-05-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-05-22", "context": {"close_asof": 161.87, "ret_21d": 0.135, "ret_252d": 0.2337}} | |
| {"id": "XLK-2026-05-01-63d", "symbol": "XLK", "asof": "2026-05-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will XLK's close 63 trading days after 2026-05-01 be above its close on 2026-05-01?", "resolves_on": null, "context": {"close_asof": 161.87, "ret_21d": 0.135, "ret_252d": 0.2337}} | |
| {"id": "XLP-2026-05-01-21d", "symbol": "XLP", "asof": "2026-05-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will XLP's close 21 trading days after 2026-05-01 be above its close on 2026-05-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-05-22", "context": {"close_asof": 84.17, "ret_21d": 0.0219, "ret_252d": 0.0206}} | |
| {"id": "XLP-2026-05-01-63d", "symbol": "XLP", "asof": "2026-05-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will XLP's close 63 trading days after 2026-05-01 be above its close on 2026-05-01?", "resolves_on": null, "context": {"close_asof": 84.17, "ret_21d": 0.0219, "ret_252d": 0.0206}} | |
| {"id": "XLU-2026-05-01-21d", "symbol": "XLU", "asof": "2026-05-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will XLU's close 21 trading days after 2026-05-01 be above its close on 2026-05-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-05-22", "context": {"close_asof": 46.55, "ret_21d": -0.0087, "ret_252d": 0.0821}} | |
| {"id": "XLU-2026-05-01-63d", "symbol": "XLU", "asof": "2026-05-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will XLU's close 63 trading days after 2026-05-01 be above its close on 2026-05-01?", "resolves_on": null, "context": {"close_asof": 46.55, "ret_21d": -0.0087, "ret_252d": 0.0821}} | |
| {"id": "XLV-2026-05-01-21d", "symbol": "XLV", "asof": "2026-05-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will XLV's close 21 trading days after 2026-05-01 be above its close on 2026-05-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-05-22", "context": {"close_asof": 145.16, "ret_21d": -0.0146, "ret_252d": 0.0506}} | |
| {"id": "XLV-2026-05-01-63d", "symbol": "XLV", "asof": "2026-05-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will XLV's close 63 trading days after 2026-05-01 be above its close on 2026-05-01?", "resolves_on": null, "context": {"close_asof": 145.16, "ret_21d": -0.0146, "ret_252d": 0.0506}} | |
| {"id": "XLY-2026-05-01-21d", "symbol": "XLY", "asof": "2026-05-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will XLY's close 21 trading days after 2026-05-01 be above its close on 2026-05-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-05-22", "context": {"close_asof": 118.63, "ret_21d": 0.0508, "ret_252d": 0.0178}} | |
| {"id": "XLY-2026-05-01-63d", "symbol": "XLY", "asof": "2026-05-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will XLY's close 63 trading days after 2026-05-01 be above its close on 2026-05-01?", "resolves_on": null, "context": {"close_asof": 118.63, "ret_21d": 0.0508, "ret_252d": 0.0178}} | |
| {"id": "XOM-2026-05-01-21d", "symbol": "XOM", "asof": "2026-05-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will XOM's close 21 trading days after 2026-05-01 be above its close on 2026-05-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-05-22", "context": {"close_asof": 152.75, "ret_21d": 0.0016, "ret_252d": 0.3727}} | |
| {"id": "XOM-2026-05-01-63d", "symbol": "XOM", "asof": "2026-05-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will XOM's close 63 trading days after 2026-05-01 be above its close on 2026-05-01?", "resolves_on": null, "context": {"close_asof": 152.75, "ret_21d": 0.0016, "ret_252d": 0.3727}} | |
| {"id": "AAPL-2026-06-01-21d", "symbol": "AAPL", "asof": "2026-06-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will AAPL's close 21 trading days after 2026-06-01 be above its close on 2026-06-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-06-22", "context": {"close_asof": 306.31, "ret_21d": 0.0466, "ret_252d": 0.1961}} | |
| {"id": "AAPL-2026-06-01-63d", "symbol": "AAPL", "asof": "2026-06-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will AAPL's close 63 trading days after 2026-06-01 be above its close on 2026-06-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-08-03", "context": {"close_asof": 306.31, "ret_21d": 0.0466, "ret_252d": 0.1961}} | |
| {"id": "AMZN-2026-06-01-21d", "symbol": "AMZN", "asof": "2026-06-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will AMZN's close 21 trading days after 2026-06-01 be above its close on 2026-06-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-06-22", "context": {"close_asof": 261.26, "ret_21d": -0.0287, "ret_252d": 0.1477}} | |
| {"id": "AMZN-2026-06-01-63d", "symbol": "AMZN", "asof": "2026-06-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will AMZN's close 63 trading days after 2026-06-01 be above its close on 2026-06-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-08-03", "context": {"close_asof": 261.26, "ret_21d": -0.0287, "ret_252d": 0.1477}} | |
| {"id": "BTC-USD-2026-06-01-21d", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "asof": "2026-06-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will BTC-USD's close 21 trading days after 2026-06-01 be above its close on 2026-06-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-06-22", "context": {"close_asof": 71314.42, "ret_21d": -0.1274, "ret_252d": -0.3674}} | |
| {"id": "BTC-USD-2026-06-01-63d", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "asof": "2026-06-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will BTC-USD's close 63 trading days after 2026-06-01 be above its close on 2026-06-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-08-03", "context": {"close_asof": 71314.42, "ret_21d": -0.1274, "ret_252d": -0.3674}} | |
| {"id": "EEM-2026-06-01-21d", "symbol": "EEM", "asof": "2026-06-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will EEM's close 21 trading days after 2026-06-01 be above its close on 2026-06-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-06-22", "context": {"close_asof": 70.08, "ret_21d": 0.0323, "ret_252d": 0.3156}} | |
| {"id": "EEM-2026-06-01-63d", "symbol": "EEM", "asof": "2026-06-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will EEM's close 63 trading days after 2026-06-01 be above its close on 2026-06-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-08-03", "context": {"close_asof": 70.08, "ret_21d": 0.0323, "ret_252d": 0.3156}} | |
| {"id": "EFA-2026-06-01-21d", "symbol": "EFA", "asof": "2026-06-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will EFA's close 21 trading days after 2026-06-01 be above its close on 2026-06-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-06-22", "context": {"close_asof": 104.44, "ret_21d": 0.0067, "ret_252d": 0.1194}} | |
| {"id": "EFA-2026-06-01-63d", "symbol": "EFA", "asof": "2026-06-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will EFA's close 63 trading days after 2026-06-01 be above its close on 2026-06-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-08-03", "context": {"close_asof": 104.44, "ret_21d": 0.0067, "ret_252d": 0.1194}} | |
| {"id": "ETH-USD-2026-06-01-21d", "symbol": "ETH-USD", "asof": "2026-06-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will ETH-USD's close 21 trading days after 2026-06-01 be above its close on 2026-06-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-06-22", "context": {"close_asof": 2004.0, "ret_21d": -0.1434, "ret_252d": -0.5231}} | |
| {"id": "ETH-USD-2026-06-01-63d", "symbol": "ETH-USD", "asof": "2026-06-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will ETH-USD's close 63 trading days after 2026-06-01 be above its close on 2026-06-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-08-03", "context": {"close_asof": 2004.0, "ret_21d": -0.1434, "ret_252d": -0.5231}} | |
| {"id": "GLD-2026-06-01-21d", "symbol": "GLD", "asof": "2026-06-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will GLD's close 21 trading days after 2026-06-01 be above its close on 2026-06-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-06-22", "context": {"close_asof": 411.26, "ret_21d": -0.0538, "ret_252d": 0.1919}} | |
| {"id": "GLD-2026-06-01-63d", "symbol": "GLD", "asof": "2026-06-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will GLD's close 63 trading days after 2026-06-01 be above its close on 2026-06-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-08-03", "context": {"close_asof": 411.26, "ret_21d": -0.0538, "ret_252d": 0.1919}} | |
| {"id": "GOOGL-2026-06-01-21d", "symbol": "GOOGL", "asof": "2026-06-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will GOOGL's close 21 trading days after 2026-06-01 be above its close on 2026-06-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-06-22", "context": {"close_asof": 376.37, "ret_21d": -0.0316, "ret_252d": 0.4904}} | |
| {"id": "GOOGL-2026-06-01-63d", "symbol": "GOOGL", "asof": "2026-06-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will GOOGL's close 63 trading days after 2026-06-01 be above its close on 2026-06-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-08-03", "context": {"close_asof": 376.37, "ret_21d": -0.0316, "ret_252d": 0.4904}} | |
| {"id": "HYG-2026-06-01-21d", "symbol": "HYG", "asof": "2026-06-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will HYG's close 21 trading days after 2026-06-01 be above its close on 2026-06-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-06-22", "context": {"close_asof": 79.84, "ret_21d": -0.0018, "ret_252d": -0.0182}} | |
| {"id": "HYG-2026-06-01-63d", "symbol": "HYG", "asof": "2026-06-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will HYG's close 63 trading days after 2026-06-01 be above its close on 2026-06-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-08-03", "context": {"close_asof": 79.84, "ret_21d": -0.0018, "ret_252d": -0.0182}} | |
| {"id": "IEF-2026-06-01-21d", "symbol": "IEF", "asof": "2026-06-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will IEF's close 21 trading days after 2026-06-01 be above its close on 2026-06-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-06-22", "context": {"close_asof": 94.17, "ret_21d": -0.005, "ret_252d": -0.0238}} | |
| {"id": "IEF-2026-06-01-63d", "symbol": "IEF", "asof": "2026-06-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will IEF's close 63 trading days after 2026-06-01 be above its close on 2026-06-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-08-03", "context": {"close_asof": 94.17, "ret_21d": -0.005, "ret_252d": -0.0238}} | |
| {"id": "IWM-2026-06-01-21d", "symbol": "IWM", "asof": "2026-06-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will IWM's close 21 trading days after 2026-06-01 be above its close on 2026-06-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-06-22", "context": {"close_asof": 288.98, "ret_21d": 0.0128, "ret_252d": 0.1825}} | |
| {"id": "IWM-2026-06-01-63d", "symbol": "IWM", "asof": "2026-06-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will IWM's close 63 trading days after 2026-06-01 be above its close on 2026-06-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-08-03", "context": {"close_asof": 288.98, "ret_21d": 0.0128, "ret_252d": 0.1825}} | |
| {"id": "JPM-2026-06-01-21d", "symbol": "JPM", "asof": "2026-06-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will JPM's close 21 trading days after 2026-06-01 be above its close on 2026-06-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-06-22", "context": {"close_asof": 296.58, "ret_21d": -0.0114, "ret_252d": -0.0508}} | |
| {"id": "JPM-2026-06-01-63d", "symbol": "JPM", "asof": "2026-06-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will JPM's close 63 trading days after 2026-06-01 be above its close on 2026-06-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-08-03", "context": {"close_asof": 296.58, "ret_21d": -0.0114, "ret_252d": -0.0508}} | |
| {"id": "META-2026-06-01-21d", "symbol": "META", "asof": "2026-06-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will META's close 21 trading days after 2026-06-01 be above its close on 2026-06-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-06-22", "context": {"close_asof": 600.47, "ret_21d": 0.0027, "ret_252d": -0.2152}} | |
| {"id": "META-2026-06-01-63d", "symbol": "META", "asof": "2026-06-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will META's close 63 trading days after 2026-06-01 be above its close on 2026-06-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-08-03", "context": {"close_asof": 600.47, "ret_21d": 0.0027, "ret_252d": -0.2152}} | |
| {"id": "MSFT-2026-06-01-21d", "symbol": "MSFT", "asof": "2026-06-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will MSFT's close 21 trading days after 2026-06-01 be above its close on 2026-06-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-06-22", "context": {"close_asof": 460.52, "ret_21d": 0.116, "ret_252d": -0.1048}} | |
| {"id": "MSFT-2026-06-01-63d", "symbol": "MSFT", "asof": "2026-06-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will MSFT's close 63 trading days after 2026-06-01 be above its close on 2026-06-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-08-03", "context": {"close_asof": 460.52, "ret_21d": 0.116, "ret_252d": -0.1048}} | |
| {"id": "NVDA-2026-06-01-21d", "symbol": "NVDA", "asof": "2026-06-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will NVDA's close 21 trading days after 2026-06-01 be above its close on 2026-06-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-06-22", "context": {"close_asof": 224.36, "ret_21d": 0.0224, "ret_252d": 0.2219}} | |
| {"id": "NVDA-2026-06-01-63d", "symbol": "NVDA", "asof": "2026-06-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will NVDA's close 63 trading days after 2026-06-01 be above its close on 2026-06-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-08-03", "context": {"close_asof": 224.36, "ret_21d": 0.0224, "ret_252d": 0.2219}} | |
| {"id": "QQQ-2026-06-01-21d", "symbol": "QQQ", "asof": "2026-06-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will QQQ's close 21 trading days after 2026-06-01 be above its close on 2026-06-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-06-22", "context": {"close_asof": 742.74, "ret_21d": 0.0413, "ret_252d": 0.2334}} | |
| {"id": "QQQ-2026-06-01-63d", "symbol": "QQQ", "asof": "2026-06-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will QQQ's close 63 trading days after 2026-06-01 be above its close on 2026-06-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-08-03", "context": {"close_asof": 742.74, "ret_21d": 0.0413, "ret_252d": 0.2334}} | |
| {"id": "SLV-2026-06-01-21d", "symbol": "SLV", "asof": "2026-06-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will SLV's close 21 trading days after 2026-06-01 be above its close on 2026-06-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-06-22", "context": {"close_asof": 67.67, "ret_21d": -0.1324, "ret_252d": 0.6901}} | |
| {"id": "SLV-2026-06-01-63d", "symbol": "SLV", "asof": "2026-06-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will SLV's close 63 trading days after 2026-06-01 be above its close on 2026-06-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-08-03", "context": {"close_asof": 67.67, "ret_21d": -0.1324, "ret_252d": 0.6901}} | |
| {"id": "SPY-2026-06-01-21d", "symbol": "SPY", "asof": "2026-06-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will SPY's close 21 trading days after 2026-06-01 be above its close on 2026-06-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-06-22", "context": {"close_asof": 758.54, "ret_21d": 0.026, "ret_252d": 0.1375}} | |
| {"id": "SPY-2026-06-01-63d", "symbol": "SPY", "asof": "2026-06-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will SPY's close 63 trading days after 2026-06-01 be above its close on 2026-06-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-08-03", "context": {"close_asof": 758.54, "ret_21d": 0.026, "ret_252d": 0.1375}} | |
| {"id": "TLT-2026-06-01-21d", "symbol": "TLT", "asof": "2026-06-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will TLT's close 21 trading days after 2026-06-01 be above its close on 2026-06-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-06-22", "context": {"close_asof": 85.47, "ret_21d": -0.0011, "ret_252d": -0.0364}} | |
| {"id": "TLT-2026-06-01-63d", "symbol": "TLT", "asof": "2026-06-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will TLT's close 63 trading days after 2026-06-01 be above its close on 2026-06-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-08-03", "context": {"close_asof": 85.47, "ret_21d": -0.0011, "ret_252d": -0.0364}} | |
| {"id": "TSLA-2026-06-01-21d", "symbol": "TSLA", "asof": "2026-06-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will TSLA's close 21 trading days after 2026-06-01 be above its close on 2026-06-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-06-22", "context": {"close_asof": 415.88, "ret_21d": -0.0654, "ret_252d": -0.0422}} | |
| {"id": "TSLA-2026-06-01-63d", "symbol": "TSLA", "asof": "2026-06-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will TSLA's close 63 trading days after 2026-06-01 be above its close on 2026-06-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-08-03", "context": {"close_asof": 415.88, "ret_21d": -0.0654, "ret_252d": -0.0422}} | |
| {"id": "USO-2026-06-01-21d", "symbol": "USO", "asof": "2026-06-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will USO's close 21 trading days after 2026-06-01 be above its close on 2026-06-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-06-22", "context": {"close_asof": 135.5, "ret_21d": -0.0228, "ret_252d": 0.8448}} | |
| {"id": "USO-2026-06-01-63d", "symbol": "USO", "asof": "2026-06-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will USO's close 63 trading days after 2026-06-01 be above its close on 2026-06-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-08-03", "context": {"close_asof": 135.5, "ret_21d": -0.0228, "ret_252d": 0.8448}} | |
| {"id": "UUP-2026-06-01-21d", "symbol": "UUP", "asof": "2026-06-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will UUP's close 21 trading days after 2026-06-01 be above its close on 2026-06-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-06-22", "context": {"close_asof": 27.76, "ret_21d": 0.015, "ret_252d": 0.0157}} | |
| {"id": "UUP-2026-06-01-63d", "symbol": "UUP", "asof": "2026-06-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will UUP's close 63 trading days after 2026-06-01 be above its close on 2026-06-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-08-03", "context": {"close_asof": 27.76, "ret_21d": 0.015, "ret_252d": 0.0157}} | |
| {"id": "VNQ-2026-06-01-21d", "symbol": "VNQ", "asof": "2026-06-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will VNQ's close 21 trading days after 2026-06-01 be above its close on 2026-06-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-06-22", "context": {"close_asof": 94.09, "ret_21d": -0.0269, "ret_252d": 0.0264}} | |
| {"id": "VNQ-2026-06-01-63d", "symbol": "VNQ", "asof": "2026-06-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will VNQ's close 63 trading days after 2026-06-01 be above its close on 2026-06-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-08-03", "context": {"close_asof": 94.09, "ret_21d": -0.0269, "ret_252d": 0.0264}} | |
| {"id": "XLB-2026-06-01-21d", "symbol": "XLB", "asof": "2026-06-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will XLB's close 21 trading days after 2026-06-01 be above its close on 2026-06-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-06-22", "context": {"close_asof": 50.92, "ret_21d": -0.0256, "ret_252d": 0.1268}} | |
| {"id": "XLB-2026-06-01-63d", "symbol": "XLB", "asof": "2026-06-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will XLB's close 63 trading days after 2026-06-01 be above its close on 2026-06-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-08-03", "context": {"close_asof": 50.92, "ret_21d": -0.0256, "ret_252d": 0.1268}} | |
| {"id": "XLE-2026-06-01-21d", "symbol": "XLE", "asof": "2026-06-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will XLE's close 21 trading days after 2026-06-01 be above its close on 2026-06-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-06-22", "context": {"close_asof": 57.3, "ret_21d": 0.0023, "ret_252d": 0.3073}} | |
| {"id": "XLE-2026-06-01-63d", "symbol": "XLE", "asof": "2026-06-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will XLE's close 63 trading days after 2026-06-01 be above its close on 2026-06-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-08-03", "context": {"close_asof": 57.3, "ret_21d": 0.0023, "ret_252d": 0.3073}} | |
| {"id": "XLF-2026-06-01-21d", "symbol": "XLF", "asof": "2026-06-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will XLF's close 21 trading days after 2026-06-01 be above its close on 2026-06-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-06-22", "context": {"close_asof": 51.43, "ret_21d": 0.0049, "ret_252d": -0.0476}} | |
| {"id": "XLF-2026-06-01-63d", "symbol": "XLF", "asof": "2026-06-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will XLF's close 63 trading days after 2026-06-01 be above its close on 2026-06-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-08-03", "context": {"close_asof": 51.43, "ret_21d": 0.0049, "ret_252d": -0.0476}} | |
| {"id": "XLI-2026-06-01-21d", "symbol": "XLI", "asof": "2026-06-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will XLI's close 21 trading days after 2026-06-01 be above its close on 2026-06-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-06-22", "context": {"close_asof": 172.4, "ret_21d": -0.0151, "ret_252d": 0.1268}} | |
| {"id": "XLI-2026-06-01-63d", "symbol": "XLI", "asof": "2026-06-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will XLI's close 63 trading days after 2026-06-01 be above its close on 2026-06-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-08-03", "context": {"close_asof": 172.4, "ret_21d": -0.0151, "ret_252d": 0.1268}} | |
| {"id": "XLK-2026-06-01-21d", "symbol": "XLK", "asof": "2026-06-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will XLK's close 21 trading days after 2026-06-01 be above its close on 2026-06-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-06-22", "context": {"close_asof": 195.76, "ret_21d": 0.1005, "ret_252d": 0.3851}} | |
| {"id": "XLK-2026-06-01-63d", "symbol": "XLK", "asof": "2026-06-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will XLK's close 63 trading days after 2026-06-01 be above its close on 2026-06-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-08-03", "context": {"close_asof": 195.76, "ret_21d": 0.1005, "ret_252d": 0.3851}} | |
| {"id": "XLP-2026-06-01-21d", "symbol": "XLP", "asof": "2026-06-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will XLP's close 21 trading days after 2026-06-01 be above its close on 2026-06-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-06-22", "context": {"close_asof": 82.03, "ret_21d": -0.0161, "ret_252d": 0.0522}} | |
| {"id": "XLP-2026-06-01-63d", "symbol": "XLP", "asof": "2026-06-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will XLP's close 63 trading days after 2026-06-01 be above its close on 2026-06-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-08-03", "context": {"close_asof": 82.03, "ret_21d": -0.0161, "ret_252d": 0.0522}} | |
| {"id": "XLU-2026-06-01-21d", "symbol": "XLU", "asof": "2026-06-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will XLU's close 21 trading days after 2026-06-01 be above its close on 2026-06-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-06-22", "context": {"close_asof": 43.1, "ret_21d": -0.0452, "ret_252d": 0.0117}} | |
| {"id": "XLU-2026-06-01-63d", "symbol": "XLU", "asof": "2026-06-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will XLU's close 63 trading days after 2026-06-01 be above its close on 2026-06-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-08-03", "context": {"close_asof": 43.1, "ret_21d": -0.0452, "ret_252d": 0.0117}} | |
| {"id": "XLV-2026-06-01-21d", "symbol": "XLV", "asof": "2026-06-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will XLV's close 21 trading days after 2026-06-01 be above its close on 2026-06-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-06-22", "context": {"close_asof": 147.84, "ret_21d": 0.0336, "ret_252d": 0.082}} | |
| {"id": "XLV-2026-06-01-63d", "symbol": "XLV", "asof": "2026-06-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will XLV's close 63 trading days after 2026-06-01 be above its close on 2026-06-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-08-03", "context": {"close_asof": 147.84, "ret_21d": 0.0336, "ret_252d": 0.082}} | |
| {"id": "XLY-2026-06-01-21d", "symbol": "XLY", "asof": "2026-06-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will XLY's close 21 trading days after 2026-06-01 be above its close on 2026-06-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-06-22", "context": {"close_asof": 118.19, "ret_21d": -0.0099, "ret_252d": -0.0158}} | |
| {"id": "XLY-2026-06-01-63d", "symbol": "XLY", "asof": "2026-06-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will XLY's close 63 trading days after 2026-06-01 be above its close on 2026-06-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-08-03", "context": {"close_asof": 118.19, "ret_21d": -0.0099, "ret_252d": -0.0158}} | |
| {"id": "XOM-2026-06-01-21d", "symbol": "XOM", "asof": "2026-06-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will XOM's close 21 trading days after 2026-06-01 be above its close on 2026-06-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-06-22", "context": {"close_asof": 149.38, "ret_21d": -0.002, "ret_252d": 0.3335}} | |
| {"id": "XOM-2026-06-01-63d", "symbol": "XOM", "asof": "2026-06-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will XOM's close 63 trading days after 2026-06-01 be above its close on 2026-06-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-08-03", "context": {"close_asof": 149.38, "ret_21d": -0.002, "ret_252d": 0.3335}} | |
| {"id": "AAPL-2026-07-01-21d", "symbol": "AAPL", "asof": "2026-07-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will AAPL's close 21 trading days after 2026-07-01 be above its close on 2026-07-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-07-22", "context": {"close_asof": 294.38, "ret_21d": 0.0096, "ret_252d": 0.139}} | |
| {"id": "AAPL-2026-07-01-63d", "symbol": "AAPL", "asof": "2026-07-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will AAPL's close 63 trading days after 2026-07-01 be above its close on 2026-07-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-09-02", "context": {"close_asof": 294.38, "ret_21d": 0.0096, "ret_252d": 0.139}} | |
| {"id": "AMZN-2026-07-01-21d", "symbol": "AMZN", "asof": "2026-07-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will AMZN's close 21 trading days after 2026-07-01 be above its close on 2026-07-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-07-22", "context": {"close_asof": 241.7, "ret_21d": 0.0155, "ret_252d": 0.109}} | |
| {"id": "AMZN-2026-07-01-63d", "symbol": "AMZN", "asof": "2026-07-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will AMZN's close 63 trading days after 2026-07-01 be above its close on 2026-07-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-09-02", "context": {"close_asof": 241.7, "ret_21d": 0.0155, "ret_252d": 0.109}} | |
| {"id": "BTC-USD-2026-07-01-21d", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "asof": "2026-07-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will BTC-USD's close 21 trading days after 2026-07-01 be above its close on 2026-07-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-07-22", "context": {"close_asof": 59961.45, "ret_21d": -0.0242, "ret_252d": -0.4427}} | |
| {"id": "BTC-USD-2026-07-01-63d", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "asof": "2026-07-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will BTC-USD's close 63 trading days after 2026-07-01 be above its close on 2026-07-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-09-02", "context": {"close_asof": 59961.45, "ret_21d": -0.0242, "ret_252d": -0.4427}} | |
| {"id": "EEM-2026-07-01-21d", "symbol": "EEM", "asof": "2026-07-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will EEM's close 21 trading days after 2026-07-01 be above its close on 2026-07-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-07-22", "context": {"close_asof": 66.48, "ret_21d": 0.0281, "ret_252d": 0.2252}} | |
| {"id": "EEM-2026-07-01-63d", "symbol": "EEM", "asof": "2026-07-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will EEM's close 63 trading days after 2026-07-01 be above its close on 2026-07-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-09-02", "context": {"close_asof": 66.48, "ret_21d": 0.0281, "ret_252d": 0.2252}} | |
| {"id": "EFA-2026-07-01-21d", "symbol": "EFA", "asof": "2026-07-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will EFA's close 21 trading days after 2026-07-01 be above its close on 2026-07-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-07-22", "context": {"close_asof": 103.02, "ret_21d": 0.0143, "ret_252d": 0.0907}} | |
| {"id": "EFA-2026-07-01-63d", "symbol": "EFA", "asof": "2026-07-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will EFA's close 63 trading days after 2026-07-01 be above its close on 2026-07-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-09-02", "context": {"close_asof": 103.02, "ret_21d": 0.0143, "ret_252d": 0.0907}} | |
| {"id": "ETH-USD-2026-07-01-21d", "symbol": "ETH-USD", "asof": "2026-07-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will ETH-USD's close 21 trading days after 2026-07-01 be above its close on 2026-07-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-07-22", "context": {"close_asof": 1607.64, "ret_21d": -0.0076, "ret_252d": -0.5776}} | |
| {"id": "ETH-USD-2026-07-01-63d", "symbol": "ETH-USD", "asof": "2026-07-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will ETH-USD's close 63 trading days after 2026-07-01 be above its close on 2026-07-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-09-02", "context": {"close_asof": 1607.64, "ret_21d": -0.0076, "ret_252d": -0.5776}} | |
| {"id": "GLD-2026-07-01-21d", "symbol": "GLD", "asof": "2026-07-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will GLD's close 21 trading days after 2026-07-01 be above its close on 2026-07-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-07-22", "context": {"close_asof": 370.6, "ret_21d": -0.0106, "ret_252d": -0.0177}} | |
| {"id": "GLD-2026-07-01-63d", "symbol": "GLD", "asof": "2026-07-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will GLD's close 63 trading days after 2026-07-01 be above its close on 2026-07-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-09-02", "context": {"close_asof": 370.6, "ret_21d": -0.0106, "ret_252d": -0.0177}} | |
| {"id": "GOOGL-2026-07-01-21d", "symbol": "GOOGL", "asof": "2026-07-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will GOOGL's close 21 trading days after 2026-07-01 be above its close on 2026-07-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-07-22", "context": {"close_asof": 361.21, "ret_21d": 0.0136, "ret_252d": 0.4351}} | |
| {"id": "GOOGL-2026-07-01-63d", "symbol": "GOOGL", "asof": "2026-07-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will GOOGL's close 63 trading days after 2026-07-01 be above its close on 2026-07-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-09-02", "context": {"close_asof": 361.21, "ret_21d": 0.0136, "ret_252d": 0.4351}} | |
| {"id": "HYG-2026-07-01-21d", "symbol": "HYG", "asof": "2026-07-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will HYG's close 21 trading days after 2026-07-01 be above its close on 2026-07-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-07-22", "context": {"close_asof": 79.59, "ret_21d": 0.0015, "ret_252d": -0.0135}} | |
| {"id": "HYG-2026-07-01-63d", "symbol": "HYG", "asof": "2026-07-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will HYG's close 63 trading days after 2026-07-01 be above its close on 2026-07-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-09-02", "context": {"close_asof": 79.59, "ret_21d": 0.0015, "ret_252d": -0.0135}} | |
| {"id": "IEF-2026-07-01-21d", "symbol": "IEF", "asof": "2026-07-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will IEF's close 21 trading days after 2026-07-01 be above its close on 2026-07-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-07-22", "context": {"close_asof": 94.03, "ret_21d": 0.0036, "ret_252d": -0.0378}} | |
| {"id": "IEF-2026-07-01-63d", "symbol": "IEF", "asof": "2026-07-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will IEF's close 63 trading days after 2026-07-01 be above its close on 2026-07-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-09-02", "context": {"close_asof": 94.03, "ret_21d": 0.0036, "ret_252d": -0.0378}} | |
| {"id": "IWM-2026-07-01-21d", "symbol": "IWM", "asof": "2026-07-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will IWM's close 21 trading days after 2026-07-01 be above its close on 2026-07-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-07-22", "context": {"close_asof": 299.32, "ret_21d": 0.0612, "ret_252d": 0.23}} | |
| {"id": "IWM-2026-07-01-63d", "symbol": "IWM", "asof": "2026-07-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will IWM's close 63 trading days after 2026-07-01 be above its close on 2026-07-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-09-02", "context": {"close_asof": 299.32, "ret_21d": 0.0612, "ret_252d": 0.23}} | |
| {"id": "JPM-2026-07-01-21d", "symbol": "JPM", "asof": "2026-07-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will JPM's close 21 trading days after 2026-07-01 be above its close on 2026-07-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-07-22", "context": {"close_asof": 334.07, "ret_21d": 0.0806, "ret_252d": 0.1359}} | |
| {"id": "JPM-2026-07-01-63d", "symbol": "JPM", "asof": "2026-07-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will JPM's close 63 trading days after 2026-07-01 be above its close on 2026-07-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-09-02", "context": {"close_asof": 334.07, "ret_21d": 0.0806, "ret_252d": 0.1359}} | |
| {"id": "META-2026-07-01-21d", "symbol": "META", "asof": "2026-07-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will META's close 21 trading days after 2026-07-01 be above its close on 2026-07-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-07-22", "context": {"close_asof": 612.91, "ret_21d": 0.0734, "ret_252d": -0.1643}} | |
| {"id": "META-2026-07-01-63d", "symbol": "META", "asof": "2026-07-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will META's close 63 trading days after 2026-07-01 be above its close on 2026-07-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-09-02", "context": {"close_asof": 612.91, "ret_21d": 0.0734, "ret_252d": -0.1643}} | |
| {"id": "MSFT-2026-07-01-21d", "symbol": "MSFT", "asof": "2026-07-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will MSFT's close 21 trading days after 2026-07-01 be above its close on 2026-07-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-07-22", "context": {"close_asof": 384.28, "ret_21d": -0.0329, "ret_252d": -0.2618}} | |
| {"id": "MSFT-2026-07-01-63d", "symbol": "MSFT", "asof": "2026-07-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will MSFT's close 63 trading days after 2026-07-01 be above its close on 2026-07-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-09-02", "context": {"close_asof": 384.28, "ret_21d": -0.0329, "ret_252d": -0.2618}} | |
| {"id": "NVDA-2026-07-01-21d", "symbol": "NVDA", "asof": "2026-07-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will NVDA's close 21 trading days after 2026-07-01 be above its close on 2026-07-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-07-22", "context": {"close_asof": 197.58, "ret_21d": -0.0142, "ret_252d": 0.096}} | |
| {"id": "NVDA-2026-07-01-63d", "symbol": "NVDA", "asof": "2026-07-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will NVDA's close 63 trading days after 2026-07-01 be above its close on 2026-07-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-09-02", "context": {"close_asof": 197.58, "ret_21d": -0.0142, "ret_252d": 0.096}} | |
| {"id": "QQQ-2026-07-01-21d", "symbol": "QQQ", "asof": "2026-07-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will QQQ's close 21 trading days after 2026-07-01 be above its close on 2026-07-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-07-22", "context": {"close_asof": 725.17, "ret_21d": 0.0454, "ret_252d": 0.1977}} | |
| {"id": "QQQ-2026-07-01-63d", "symbol": "QQQ", "asof": "2026-07-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will QQQ's close 63 trading days after 2026-07-01 be above its close on 2026-07-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-09-02", "context": {"close_asof": 725.17, "ret_21d": 0.0454, "ret_252d": 0.1977}} | |
| {"id": "SLV-2026-07-01-21d", "symbol": "SLV", "asof": "2026-07-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will SLV's close 21 trading days after 2026-07-01 be above its close on 2026-07-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-07-22", "context": {"close_asof": 53.58, "ret_21d": -0.0708, "ret_252d": 0.2211}} | |
| {"id": "SLV-2026-07-01-63d", "symbol": "SLV", "asof": "2026-07-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will SLV's close 63 trading days after 2026-07-01 be above its close on 2026-07-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-09-02", "context": {"close_asof": 53.58, "ret_21d": -0.0708, "ret_252d": 0.2211}} | |
| {"id": "SPY-2026-07-01-21d", "symbol": "SPY", "asof": "2026-07-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will SPY's close 21 trading days after 2026-07-01 be above its close on 2026-07-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-07-22", "context": {"close_asof": 745.76, "ret_21d": 0.028, "ret_252d": 0.1167}} | |
| {"id": "SPY-2026-07-01-63d", "symbol": "SPY", "asof": "2026-07-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will SPY's close 63 trading days after 2026-07-01 be above its close on 2026-07-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-09-02", "context": {"close_asof": 745.76, "ret_21d": 0.028, "ret_252d": 0.1167}} | |
| {"id": "TLT-2026-07-01-21d", "symbol": "TLT", "asof": "2026-07-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will TLT's close 21 trading days after 2026-07-01 be above its close on 2026-07-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-07-22", "context": {"close_asof": 85.52, "ret_21d": 0.0075, "ret_252d": -0.071}} | |
| {"id": "TLT-2026-07-01-63d", "symbol": "TLT", "asof": "2026-07-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will TLT's close 63 trading days after 2026-07-01 be above its close on 2026-07-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-09-02", "context": {"close_asof": 85.52, "ret_21d": 0.0075, "ret_252d": -0.071}} | |
| {"id": "TSLA-2026-07-01-21d", "symbol": "TSLA", "asof": "2026-07-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will TSLA's close 21 trading days after 2026-07-01 be above its close on 2026-07-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-07-22", "context": {"close_asof": 425.3, "ret_21d": 0.1145, "ret_252d": -0.0311}} | |
| {"id": "TSLA-2026-07-01-63d", "symbol": "TSLA", "asof": "2026-07-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will TSLA's close 63 trading days after 2026-07-01 be above its close on 2026-07-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-09-02", "context": {"close_asof": 425.3, "ret_21d": 0.1145, "ret_252d": -0.0311}} | |
| {"id": "USO-2026-07-01-21d", "symbol": "USO", "asof": "2026-07-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will USO's close 21 trading days after 2026-07-01 be above its close on 2026-07-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-07-22", "context": {"close_asof": 103.27, "ret_21d": -0.231, "ret_252d": 0.4621}} | |
| {"id": "USO-2026-07-01-63d", "symbol": "USO", "asof": "2026-07-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will USO's close 63 trading days after 2026-07-01 be above its close on 2026-07-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-09-02", "context": {"close_asof": 103.27, "ret_21d": -0.231, "ret_252d": 0.4621}} | |
| {"id": "UUP-2026-07-01-21d", "symbol": "UUP", "asof": "2026-07-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will UUP's close 21 trading days after 2026-07-01 be above its close on 2026-07-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-07-22", "context": {"close_asof": 28.49, "ret_21d": 0.0157, "ret_252d": 0.0211}} | |
| {"id": "UUP-2026-07-01-63d", "symbol": "UUP", "asof": "2026-07-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will UUP's close 63 trading days after 2026-07-01 be above its close on 2026-07-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-09-02", "context": {"close_asof": 28.49, "ret_21d": 0.0157, "ret_252d": 0.0211}} | |
| {"id": "VNQ-2026-07-01-21d", "symbol": "VNQ", "asof": "2026-07-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will VNQ's close 21 trading days after 2026-07-01 be above its close on 2026-07-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-07-22", "context": {"close_asof": 96.82, "ret_21d": -0.0088, "ret_252d": 0.0499}} | |
| {"id": "VNQ-2026-07-01-63d", "symbol": "VNQ", "asof": "2026-07-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will VNQ's close 63 trading days after 2026-07-01 be above its close on 2026-07-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-09-02", "context": {"close_asof": 96.82, "ret_21d": -0.0088, "ret_252d": 0.0499}} | |
| {"id": "XLB-2026-07-01-21d", "symbol": "XLB", "asof": "2026-07-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will XLB's close 21 trading days after 2026-07-01 be above its close on 2026-07-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-07-22", "context": {"close_asof": 51.02, "ret_21d": 0.0286, "ret_252d": 0.1553}} | |
| {"id": "XLB-2026-07-01-63d", "symbol": "XLB", "asof": "2026-07-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will XLB's close 63 trading days after 2026-07-01 be above its close on 2026-07-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-09-02", "context": {"close_asof": 51.02, "ret_21d": 0.0286, "ret_252d": 0.1553}} | |
| {"id": "XLE-2026-07-01-21d", "symbol": "XLE", "asof": "2026-07-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will XLE's close 21 trading days after 2026-07-01 be above its close on 2026-07-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-07-22", "context": {"close_asof": 52.81, "ret_21d": -0.0934, "ret_252d": 0.203}} | |
| {"id": "XLE-2026-07-01-63d", "symbol": "XLE", "asof": "2026-07-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will XLE's close 63 trading days after 2026-07-01 be above its close on 2026-07-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-09-02", "context": {"close_asof": 52.81, "ret_21d": -0.0934, "ret_252d": 0.203}} | |
| {"id": "XLF-2026-07-01-21d", "symbol": "XLF", "asof": "2026-07-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will XLF's close 21 trading days after 2026-07-01 be above its close on 2026-07-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-07-22", "context": {"close_asof": 54.78, "ret_21d": 0.0488, "ret_252d": 0.0448}} | |
| {"id": "XLF-2026-07-01-63d", "symbol": "XLF", "asof": "2026-07-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will XLF's close 63 trading days after 2026-07-01 be above its close on 2026-07-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-09-02", "context": {"close_asof": 54.78, "ret_21d": 0.0488, "ret_252d": 0.0448}} | |
| {"id": "XLI-2026-07-01-21d", "symbol": "XLI", "asof": "2026-07-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will XLI's close 21 trading days after 2026-07-01 be above its close on 2026-07-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-07-22", "context": {"close_asof": 183.36, "ret_21d": 0.0807, "ret_252d": 0.1995}} | |
| {"id": "XLI-2026-07-01-63d", "symbol": "XLI", "asof": "2026-07-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will XLI's close 63 trading days after 2026-07-01 be above its close on 2026-07-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-09-02", "context": {"close_asof": 183.36, "ret_21d": 0.0807, "ret_252d": 0.1995}} | |
| {"id": "XLK-2026-07-01-21d", "symbol": "XLK", "asof": "2026-07-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will XLK's close 21 trading days after 2026-07-01 be above its close on 2026-07-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-07-22", "context": {"close_asof": 185.62, "ret_21d": 0.0509, "ret_252d": 0.3004}} | |
| {"id": "XLK-2026-07-01-63d", "symbol": "XLK", "asof": "2026-07-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will XLK's close 63 trading days after 2026-07-01 be above its close on 2026-07-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-09-02", "context": {"close_asof": 185.62, "ret_21d": 0.0509, "ret_252d": 0.3004}} | |
| {"id": "XLP-2026-07-01-21d", "symbol": "XLP", "asof": "2026-07-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will XLP's close 21 trading days after 2026-07-01 be above its close on 2026-07-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-07-22", "context": {"close_asof": 83.3, "ret_21d": -0.0256, "ret_252d": 0.0446}} | |
| {"id": "XLP-2026-07-01-63d", "symbol": "XLP", "asof": "2026-07-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will XLP's close 63 trading days after 2026-07-01 be above its close on 2026-07-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-09-02", "context": {"close_asof": 83.3, "ret_21d": -0.0256, "ret_252d": 0.0446}} | |
| {"id": "XLU-2026-07-01-21d", "symbol": "XLU", "asof": "2026-07-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will XLU's close 21 trading days after 2026-07-01 be above its close on 2026-07-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-07-22", "context": {"close_asof": 44.77, "ret_21d": 0.0175, "ret_252d": -0.0095}} | |
| {"id": "XLU-2026-07-01-63d", "symbol": "XLU", "asof": "2026-07-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will XLU's close 63 trading days after 2026-07-01 be above its close on 2026-07-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-09-02", "context": {"close_asof": 44.77, "ret_21d": 0.0175, "ret_252d": -0.0095}} | |
| {"id": "XLV-2026-07-01-21d", "symbol": "XLV", "asof": "2026-07-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will XLV's close 21 trading days after 2026-07-01 be above its close on 2026-07-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-07-22", "context": {"close_asof": 159.54, "ret_21d": 0.0438, "ret_252d": 0.093}} | |
| {"id": "XLV-2026-07-01-63d", "symbol": "XLV", "asof": "2026-07-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will XLV's close 63 trading days after 2026-07-01 be above its close on 2026-07-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-09-02", "context": {"close_asof": 159.54, "ret_21d": 0.0438, "ret_252d": 0.093}} | |
| {"id": "XLY-2026-07-01-21d", "symbol": "XLY", "asof": "2026-07-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will XLY's close 21 trading days after 2026-07-01 be above its close on 2026-07-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-07-22", "context": {"close_asof": 118.09, "ret_21d": 0.0405, "ret_252d": -0.0047}} | |
| {"id": "XLY-2026-07-01-63d", "symbol": "XLY", "asof": "2026-07-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will XLY's close 63 trading days after 2026-07-01 be above its close on 2026-07-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-09-02", "context": {"close_asof": 118.09, "ret_21d": 0.0405, "ret_252d": -0.0047}} | |
| {"id": "XOM-2026-07-01-21d", "symbol": "XOM", "asof": "2026-07-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will XOM's close 21 trading days after 2026-07-01 be above its close on 2026-07-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-07-22", "context": {"close_asof": 136.28, "ret_21d": -0.0952, "ret_252d": 0.188}} | |
| {"id": "XOM-2026-07-01-63d", "symbol": "XOM", "asof": "2026-07-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will XOM's close 63 trading days after 2026-07-01 be above its close on 2026-07-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-09-02", "context": {"close_asof": 136.28, "ret_21d": -0.0952, "ret_252d": 0.188}} | |
| {"id": "BTC-USD-2026-08-01-21d", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "asof": "2026-08-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will BTC-USD's close 21 trading days after 2026-08-01 be above its close on 2026-08-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-08-22", "context": {"close_asof": 62764.2, "ret_21d": -0.0158, "ret_252d": -0.2588}} | |
| {"id": "BTC-USD-2026-08-01-63d", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "asof": "2026-08-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will BTC-USD's close 63 trading days after 2026-08-01 be above its close on 2026-08-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-10-03", "context": {"close_asof": 62764.2, "ret_21d": -0.0158, "ret_252d": -0.2588}} | |
| {"id": "ETH-USD-2026-08-01-21d", "symbol": "ETH-USD", "asof": "2026-08-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will ETH-USD's close 21 trading days after 2026-08-01 be above its close on 2026-08-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-08-22", "context": {"close_asof": 1843.18, "ret_21d": 0.0315, "ret_252d": -0.3342}} | |
| {"id": "ETH-USD-2026-08-01-63d", "symbol": "ETH-USD", "asof": "2026-08-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will ETH-USD's close 63 trading days after 2026-08-01 be above its close on 2026-08-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-10-03", "context": {"close_asof": 1843.18, "ret_21d": 0.0315, "ret_252d": -0.3342}} | |
| {"id": "AAPL-2026-09-01-21d", "symbol": "AAPL", "asof": "2026-09-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will AAPL's close 21 trading days after 2026-09-01 be above its close on 2026-09-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-09-22", "context": {"close_asof": 325.13, "ret_21d": 0.0663, "ret_252d": 0.1938}} | |
| {"id": "AAPL-2026-09-01-63d", "symbol": "AAPL", "asof": "2026-09-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will AAPL's close 63 trading days after 2026-09-01 be above its close on 2026-09-01?", "resolves_on": null, "context": {"close_asof": 325.13, "ret_21d": 0.0663, "ret_252d": 0.1938}} | |
| {"id": "AMZN-2026-09-01-21d", "symbol": "AMZN", "asof": "2026-09-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will AMZN's close 21 trading days after 2026-09-01 be above its close on 2026-09-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-09-22", "context": {"close_asof": 254.92, "ret_21d": -0.0637, "ret_252d": 0.0981}} | |
| {"id": "AMZN-2026-09-01-63d", "symbol": "AMZN", "asof": "2026-09-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will AMZN's close 63 trading days after 2026-09-01 be above its close on 2026-09-01?", "resolves_on": null, "context": {"close_asof": 254.92, "ret_21d": -0.0637, "ret_252d": 0.0981}} | |
| {"id": "BTC-USD-2026-09-01-21d", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "asof": "2026-09-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will BTC-USD's close 21 trading days after 2026-09-01 be above its close on 2026-09-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-09-22", "context": {"close_asof": 77398.69, "ret_21d": 0.2183, "ret_252d": -0.1147}} | |
| {"id": "BTC-USD-2026-09-01-63d", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "asof": "2026-09-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will BTC-USD's close 63 trading days after 2026-09-01 be above its close on 2026-09-01?", "resolves_on": null, "context": {"close_asof": 77398.69, "ret_21d": 0.2183, "ret_252d": -0.1147}} | |
| {"id": "EEM-2026-09-01-21d", "symbol": "EEM", "asof": "2026-09-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will EEM's close 21 trading days after 2026-09-01 be above its close on 2026-09-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-09-22", "context": {"close_asof": 66.77, "ret_21d": 0.0205, "ret_252d": 0.2294}} | |
| {"id": "EEM-2026-09-01-63d", "symbol": "EEM", "asof": "2026-09-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will EEM's close 63 trading days after 2026-09-01 be above its close on 2026-09-01?", "resolves_on": null, "context": {"close_asof": 66.77, "ret_21d": 0.0205, "ret_252d": 0.2294}} | |
| {"id": "EFA-2026-09-01-21d", "symbol": "EFA", "asof": "2026-09-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will EFA's close 21 trading days after 2026-09-01 be above its close on 2026-09-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-09-22", "context": {"close_asof": 106.49, "ret_21d": -0.0148, "ret_252d": 0.1059}} | |
| {"id": "EFA-2026-09-01-63d", "symbol": "EFA", "asof": "2026-09-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will EFA's close 63 trading days after 2026-09-01 be above its close on 2026-09-01?", "resolves_on": null, "context": {"close_asof": 106.49, "ret_21d": -0.0148, "ret_252d": 0.1059}} | |
| {"id": "ETH-USD-2026-09-01-21d", "symbol": "ETH-USD", "asof": "2026-09-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will ETH-USD's close 21 trading days after 2026-09-01 be above its close on 2026-09-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-09-22", "context": {"close_asof": 2417.25, "ret_21d": 0.2853, "ret_252d": -0.1841}} | |
| {"id": "ETH-USD-2026-09-01-63d", "symbol": "ETH-USD", "asof": "2026-09-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will ETH-USD's close 63 trading days after 2026-09-01 be above its close on 2026-09-01?", "resolves_on": null, "context": {"close_asof": 2417.25, "ret_21d": 0.2853, "ret_252d": -0.1841}} | |
| {"id": "GLD-2026-09-01-21d", "symbol": "GLD", "asof": "2026-09-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will GLD's close 21 trading days after 2026-09-01 be above its close on 2026-09-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-09-22", "context": {"close_asof": 396.75, "ret_21d": -0.0105, "ret_252d": -0.0408}} | |
| {"id": "GLD-2026-09-01-63d", "symbol": "GLD", "asof": "2026-09-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will GLD's close 63 trading days after 2026-09-01 be above its close on 2026-09-01?", "resolves_on": null, "context": {"close_asof": 396.75, "ret_21d": -0.0105, "ret_252d": -0.0408}} | |
| {"id": "GOOGL-2026-09-01-21d", "symbol": "GOOGL", "asof": "2026-09-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will GOOGL's close 21 trading days after 2026-09-01 be above its close on 2026-09-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-09-22", "context": {"close_asof": 335.02, "ret_21d": -0.0255, "ret_252d": 0.0658}} | |
| {"id": "GOOGL-2026-09-01-63d", "symbol": "GOOGL", "asof": "2026-09-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will GOOGL's close 63 trading days after 2026-09-01 be above its close on 2026-09-01?", "resolves_on": null, "context": {"close_asof": 335.02, "ret_21d": -0.0255, "ret_252d": 0.0658}} | |
| {"id": "HYG-2026-09-01-21d", "symbol": "HYG", "asof": "2026-09-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will HYG's close 21 trading days after 2026-09-01 be above its close on 2026-09-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-09-22", "context": {"close_asof": 79.1, "ret_21d": -0.0052, "ret_252d": -0.0173}} | |
| {"id": "HYG-2026-09-01-63d", "symbol": "HYG", "asof": "2026-09-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will HYG's close 63 trading days after 2026-09-01 be above its close on 2026-09-01?", "resolves_on": null, "context": {"close_asof": 79.1, "ret_21d": -0.0052, "ret_252d": -0.0173}} | |
| {"id": "IEF-2026-09-01-21d", "symbol": "IEF", "asof": "2026-09-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will IEF's close 21 trading days after 2026-09-01 be above its close on 2026-09-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-09-22", "context": {"close_asof": 92.1, "ret_21d": -0.0083, "ret_252d": -0.0416}} | |
| {"id": "IEF-2026-09-01-63d", "symbol": "IEF", "asof": "2026-09-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will IEF's close 63 trading days after 2026-09-01 be above its close on 2026-09-01?", "resolves_on": null, "context": {"close_asof": 92.1, "ret_21d": -0.0083, "ret_252d": -0.0416}} | |
| {"id": "IWM-2026-09-01-21d", "symbol": "IWM", "asof": "2026-09-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will IWM's close 21 trading days after 2026-09-01 be above its close on 2026-09-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-09-22", "context": {"close_asof": 290.57, "ret_21d": -0.0346, "ret_252d": 0.1527}} | |
| {"id": "IWM-2026-09-01-63d", "symbol": "IWM", "asof": "2026-09-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will IWM's close 63 trading days after 2026-09-01 be above its close on 2026-09-01?", "resolves_on": null, "context": {"close_asof": 290.57, "ret_21d": -0.0346, "ret_252d": 0.1527}} | |
| {"id": "JPM-2026-09-01-21d", "symbol": "JPM", "asof": "2026-09-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will JPM's close 21 trading days after 2026-09-01 be above its close on 2026-09-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-09-22", "context": {"close_asof": 354.95, "ret_21d": -0.0196, "ret_252d": 0.089}} | |
| {"id": "JPM-2026-09-01-63d", "symbol": "JPM", "asof": "2026-09-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will JPM's close 63 trading days after 2026-09-01 be above its close on 2026-09-01?", "resolves_on": null, "context": {"close_asof": 354.95, "ret_21d": -0.0196, "ret_252d": 0.089}} | |
| {"id": "META-2026-09-01-21d", "symbol": "META", "asof": "2026-09-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will META's close 21 trading days after 2026-09-01 be above its close on 2026-09-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-09-22", "context": {"close_asof": 578.54, "ret_21d": -0.0344, "ret_252d": -0.1299}} | |
| {"id": "META-2026-09-01-63d", "symbol": "META", "asof": "2026-09-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will META's close 63 trading days after 2026-09-01 be above its close on 2026-09-01?", "resolves_on": null, "context": {"close_asof": 578.54, "ret_21d": -0.0344, "ret_252d": -0.1299}} | |
| {"id": "MSFT-2026-09-01-21d", "symbol": "MSFT", "asof": "2026-09-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will MSFT's close 21 trading days after 2026-09-01 be above its close on 2026-09-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-09-22", "context": {"close_asof": 501.02, "ret_21d": -0.0055, "ret_252d": 0.0291}} | |
| {"id": "MSFT-2026-09-01-63d", "symbol": "MSFT", "asof": "2026-09-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will MSFT's close 63 trading days after 2026-09-01 be above its close on 2026-09-01?", "resolves_on": null, "context": {"close_asof": 501.02, "ret_21d": -0.0055, "ret_252d": 0.0291}} | |
| {"id": "NVDA-2026-09-01-21d", "symbol": "NVDA", "asof": "2026-09-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will NVDA's close 21 trading days after 2026-09-01 be above its close on 2026-09-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-09-22", "context": {"close_asof": 217.44, "ret_21d": -0.0003, "ret_252d": 0.1492}} | |
| {"id": "NVDA-2026-09-01-63d", "symbol": "NVDA", "asof": "2026-09-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will NVDA's close 63 trading days after 2026-09-01 be above its close on 2026-09-01?", "resolves_on": null, "context": {"close_asof": 217.44, "ret_21d": -0.0003, "ret_252d": 0.1492}} | |
| {"id": "QQQ-2026-09-01-21d", "symbol": "QQQ", "asof": "2026-09-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will QQQ's close 21 trading days after 2026-09-01 be above its close on 2026-09-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-09-22", "context": {"close_asof": 707.64, "ret_21d": -0.015, "ret_252d": 0.1375}} | |
| {"id": "QQQ-2026-09-01-63d", "symbol": "QQQ", "asof": "2026-09-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will QQQ's close 63 trading days after 2026-09-01 be above its close on 2026-09-01?", "resolves_on": null, "context": {"close_asof": 707.64, "ret_21d": -0.015, "ret_252d": 0.1375}} | |
| {"id": "SLV-2026-09-01-21d", "symbol": "SLV", "asof": "2026-09-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will SLV's close 21 trading days after 2026-09-01 be above its close on 2026-09-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-09-22", "context": {"close_asof": 57.92, "ret_21d": -0.0108, "ret_252d": -0.1067}} | |
| {"id": "SLV-2026-09-01-63d", "symbol": "SLV", "asof": "2026-09-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will SLV's close 63 trading days after 2026-09-01 be above its close on 2026-09-01?", "resolves_on": null, "context": {"close_asof": 57.92, "ret_21d": -0.0108, "ret_252d": -0.1067}} | |
| {"id": "SPY-2026-09-01-21d", "symbol": "SPY", "asof": "2026-09-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will SPY's close 21 trading days after 2026-09-01 be above its close on 2026-09-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-09-22", "context": {"close_asof": 761.78, "ret_21d": -0.0114, "ret_252d": 0.1073}} | |
| {"id": "SPY-2026-09-01-63d", "symbol": "SPY", "asof": "2026-09-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will SPY's close 63 trading days after 2026-09-01 be above its close on 2026-09-01?", "resolves_on": null, "context": {"close_asof": 761.78, "ret_21d": -0.0114, "ret_252d": 0.1073}} | |
| {"id": "TLT-2026-09-01-21d", "symbol": "TLT", "asof": "2026-09-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will TLT's close 21 trading days after 2026-09-01 be above its close on 2026-09-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-09-22", "context": {"close_asof": 81.87, "ret_21d": -0.0039, "ret_252d": -0.0643}} | |
| {"id": "TLT-2026-09-01-63d", "symbol": "TLT", "asof": "2026-09-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will TLT's close 63 trading days after 2026-09-01 be above its close on 2026-09-01?", "resolves_on": null, "context": {"close_asof": 81.87, "ret_21d": -0.0039, "ret_252d": -0.0643}} | |
| {"id": "TSLA-2026-09-01-21d", "symbol": "TSLA", "asof": "2026-09-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will TSLA's close 21 trading days after 2026-09-01 be above its close on 2026-09-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-09-22", "context": {"close_asof": 356.09, "ret_21d": 0.0699, "ret_252d": -0.2666}} | |
| {"id": "TSLA-2026-09-01-63d", "symbol": "TSLA", "asof": "2026-09-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will TSLA's close 63 trading days after 2026-09-01 be above its close on 2026-09-01?", "resolves_on": null, "context": {"close_asof": 356.09, "ret_21d": 0.0699, "ret_252d": -0.2666}} | |
| {"id": "USO-2026-09-01-21d", "symbol": "USO", "asof": "2026-09-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will USO's close 21 trading days after 2026-09-01 be above its close on 2026-09-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-09-22", "context": {"close_asof": 141.0, "ret_21d": 0.1049, "ret_252d": 1.0057}} | |
| {"id": "USO-2026-09-01-63d", "symbol": "USO", "asof": "2026-09-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will USO's close 63 trading days after 2026-09-01 be above its close on 2026-09-01?", "resolves_on": null, "context": {"close_asof": 141.0, "ret_21d": 0.1049, "ret_252d": 1.0057}} | |
| {"id": "UUP-2026-09-01-21d", "symbol": "UUP", "asof": "2026-09-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will UUP's close 21 trading days after 2026-09-01 be above its close on 2026-09-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-09-22", "context": {"close_asof": 28.21, "ret_21d": 0.0025, "ret_252d": 0.0471}} | |
| {"id": "UUP-2026-09-01-63d", "symbol": "UUP", "asof": "2026-09-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will UUP's close 63 trading days after 2026-09-01 be above its close on 2026-09-01?", "resolves_on": null, "context": {"close_asof": 28.21, "ret_21d": 0.0025, "ret_252d": 0.0471}} | |
| {"id": "VNQ-2026-09-01-21d", "symbol": "VNQ", "asof": "2026-09-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will VNQ's close 21 trading days after 2026-09-01 be above its close on 2026-09-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-09-22", "context": {"close_asof": 96.3, "ret_21d": -0.0008, "ret_252d": 0.0921}} | |
| {"id": "VNQ-2026-09-01-63d", "symbol": "VNQ", "asof": "2026-09-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will VNQ's close 63 trading days after 2026-09-01 be above its close on 2026-09-01?", "resolves_on": null, "context": {"close_asof": 96.3, "ret_21d": -0.0008, "ret_252d": 0.0921}} | |
| {"id": "XLB-2026-09-01-21d", "symbol": "XLB", "asof": "2026-09-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will XLB's close 21 trading days after 2026-09-01 be above its close on 2026-09-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-09-22", "context": {"close_asof": 52.07, "ret_21d": -0.022, "ret_252d": 0.1381}} | |
| {"id": "XLB-2026-09-01-63d", "symbol": "XLB", "asof": "2026-09-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will XLB's close 63 trading days after 2026-09-01 be above its close on 2026-09-01?", "resolves_on": null, "context": {"close_asof": 52.07, "ret_21d": -0.022, "ret_252d": 0.1381}} | |
| {"id": "XLE-2026-09-01-21d", "symbol": "XLE", "asof": "2026-09-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will XLE's close 21 trading days after 2026-09-01 be above its close on 2026-09-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-09-22", "context": {"close_asof": 64.77, "ret_21d": 0.063, "ret_252d": 0.4555}} | |
| {"id": "XLE-2026-09-01-63d", "symbol": "XLE", "asof": "2026-09-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will XLE's close 63 trading days after 2026-09-01 be above its close on 2026-09-01?", "resolves_on": null, "context": {"close_asof": 64.77, "ret_21d": 0.063, "ret_252d": 0.4555}} | |
| {"id": "XLF-2026-09-01-21d", "symbol": "XLF", "asof": "2026-09-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will XLF's close 21 trading days after 2026-09-01 be above its close on 2026-09-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-09-22", "context": {"close_asof": 57.2, "ret_21d": -0.0104, "ret_252d": 0.0319}} | |
| {"id": "XLF-2026-09-01-63d", "symbol": "XLF", "asof": "2026-09-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will XLF's close 63 trading days after 2026-09-01 be above its close on 2026-09-01?", "resolves_on": null, "context": {"close_asof": 57.2, "ret_21d": -0.0104, "ret_252d": 0.0319}} | |
| {"id": "XLI-2026-09-01-21d", "symbol": "XLI", "asof": "2026-09-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will XLI's close 21 trading days after 2026-09-01 be above its close on 2026-09-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-09-22", "context": {"close_asof": 172.73, "ret_21d": -0.0698, "ret_252d": 0.1003}} | |
| {"id": "XLI-2026-09-01-63d", "symbol": "XLI", "asof": "2026-09-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will XLI's close 63 trading days after 2026-09-01 be above its close on 2026-09-01?", "resolves_on": null, "context": {"close_asof": 172.73, "ret_21d": -0.0698, "ret_252d": 0.1003}} | |
| {"id": "XLK-2026-09-01-21d", "symbol": "XLK", "asof": "2026-09-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will XLK's close 21 trading days after 2026-09-01 be above its close on 2026-09-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-09-22", "context": {"close_asof": 183.64, "ret_21d": -0.0132, "ret_252d": 0.2582}} | |
| {"id": "XLK-2026-09-01-63d", "symbol": "XLK", "asof": "2026-09-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will XLK's close 63 trading days after 2026-09-01 be above its close on 2026-09-01?", "resolves_on": null, "context": {"close_asof": 183.64, "ret_21d": -0.0132, "ret_252d": 0.2582}} | |
| {"id": "XLP-2026-09-01-21d", "symbol": "XLP", "asof": "2026-09-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will XLP's close 21 trading days after 2026-09-01 be above its close on 2026-09-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-09-22", "context": {"close_asof": 85.25, "ret_21d": 0.0066, "ret_252d": 0.0999}} | |
| {"id": "XLP-2026-09-01-63d", "symbol": "XLP", "asof": "2026-09-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will XLP's close 63 trading days after 2026-09-01 be above its close on 2026-09-01?", "resolves_on": null, "context": {"close_asof": 85.25, "ret_21d": 0.0066, "ret_252d": 0.0999}} | |
| {"id": "XLU-2026-09-01-21d", "symbol": "XLU", "asof": "2026-09-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will XLU's close 21 trading days after 2026-09-01 be above its close on 2026-09-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-09-22", "context": {"close_asof": 42.56, "ret_21d": -0.0245, "ret_252d": -0.0014}} | |
| {"id": "XLU-2026-09-01-63d", "symbol": "XLU", "asof": "2026-09-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will XLU's close 63 trading days after 2026-09-01 be above its close on 2026-09-01?", "resolves_on": null, "context": {"close_asof": 42.56, "ret_21d": -0.0245, "ret_252d": -0.0014}} | |
| {"id": "XLV-2026-09-01-21d", "symbol": "XLV", "asof": "2026-09-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will XLV's close 21 trading days after 2026-09-01 be above its close on 2026-09-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-09-22", "context": {"close_asof": 171.67, "ret_21d": 0.0218, "ret_252d": 0.1076}} | |
| {"id": "XLV-2026-09-01-63d", "symbol": "XLV", "asof": "2026-09-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will XLV's close 63 trading days after 2026-09-01 be above its close on 2026-09-01?", "resolves_on": null, "context": {"close_asof": 171.67, "ret_21d": 0.0218, "ret_252d": 0.1076}} | |
| {"id": "XLY-2026-09-01-21d", "symbol": "XLY", "asof": "2026-09-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will XLY's close 21 trading days after 2026-09-01 be above its close on 2026-09-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-09-22", "context": {"close_asof": 114.59, "ret_21d": -0.039, "ret_252d": -0.062}} | |
| {"id": "XLY-2026-09-01-63d", "symbol": "XLY", "asof": "2026-09-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will XLY's close 63 trading days after 2026-09-01 be above its close on 2026-09-01?", "resolves_on": null, "context": {"close_asof": 114.59, "ret_21d": -0.039, "ret_252d": -0.062}} | |
| {"id": "XOM-2026-09-01-21d", "symbol": "XOM", "asof": "2026-09-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will XOM's close 21 trading days after 2026-09-01 be above its close on 2026-09-01?", "resolves_on": "2026-09-22", "context": {"close_asof": 164.55, "ret_21d": 0.0297, "ret_252d": 0.3779}} | |
| {"id": "XOM-2026-09-01-63d", "symbol": "XOM", "asof": "2026-09-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will XOM's close 63 trading days after 2026-09-01 be above its close on 2026-09-01?", "resolves_on": null, "context": {"close_asof": 164.55, "ret_21d": 0.0297, "ret_252d": 0.3779}} | |
| {"id": "AAPL-2026-10-01-21d", "symbol": "AAPL", "asof": "2026-10-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will AAPL's close 21 trading days after 2026-10-01 be above its close on 2026-10-01?", "resolves_on": null, "context": {"close_asof": 330.32, "ret_21d": 0.0115, "ret_252d": 0.3301}} | |
| {"id": "AAPL-2026-10-01-63d", "symbol": "AAPL", "asof": "2026-10-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will AAPL's close 63 trading days after 2026-10-01 be above its close on 2026-10-01?", "resolves_on": null, "context": {"close_asof": 330.32, "ret_21d": 0.0115, "ret_252d": 0.3301}} | |
| {"id": "AMZN-2026-10-01-21d", "symbol": "AMZN", "asof": "2026-10-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will AMZN's close 21 trading days after 2026-10-01 be above its close on 2026-10-01?", "resolves_on": null, "context": {"close_asof": 248.23, "ret_21d": -0.0145, "ret_252d": 0.0593}} | |
| {"id": "AMZN-2026-10-01-63d", "symbol": "AMZN", "asof": "2026-10-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will AMZN's close 63 trading days after 2026-10-01 be above its close on 2026-10-01?", "resolves_on": null, "context": {"close_asof": 248.23, "ret_21d": -0.0145, "ret_252d": 0.0593}} | |
| {"id": "BTC-USD-2026-10-01-21d", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "asof": "2026-10-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will BTC-USD's close 21 trading days after 2026-10-01 be above its close on 2026-10-01?", "resolves_on": null, "context": {"close_asof": 84848.73, "ret_21d": 0.1086, "ret_252d": -0.0516}} | |
| {"id": "BTC-USD-2026-10-01-63d", "symbol": "BTC-USD", "asof": "2026-10-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will BTC-USD's close 63 trading days after 2026-10-01 be above its close on 2026-10-01?", "resolves_on": null, "context": {"close_asof": 84848.73, "ret_21d": 0.1086, "ret_252d": -0.0516}} | |
| {"id": "EEM-2026-10-01-21d", "symbol": "EEM", "asof": "2026-10-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will EEM's close 21 trading days after 2026-10-01 be above its close on 2026-10-01?", "resolves_on": null, "context": {"close_asof": 66.81, "ret_21d": -0.0028, "ret_252d": 0.1382}} | |
| {"id": "EEM-2026-10-01-63d", "symbol": "EEM", "asof": "2026-10-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will EEM's close 63 trading days after 2026-10-01 be above its close on 2026-10-01?", "resolves_on": null, "context": {"close_asof": 66.81, "ret_21d": -0.0028, "ret_252d": 0.1382}} | |
| {"id": "EFA-2026-10-01-21d", "symbol": "EFA", "asof": "2026-10-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will EFA's close 21 trading days after 2026-10-01 be above its close on 2026-10-01?", "resolves_on": null, "context": {"close_asof": 102.82, "ret_21d": -0.0269, "ret_252d": 0.0342}} | |
| {"id": "EFA-2026-10-01-63d", "symbol": "EFA", "asof": "2026-10-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will EFA's close 63 trading days after 2026-10-01 be above its close on 2026-10-01?", "resolves_on": null, "context": {"close_asof": 102.82, "ret_21d": -0.0269, "ret_252d": 0.0342}} | |
| {"id": "ETH-USD-2026-10-01-21d", "symbol": "ETH-USD", "asof": "2026-10-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will ETH-USD's close 21 trading days after 2026-10-01 be above its close on 2026-10-01?", "resolves_on": null, "context": {"close_asof": 2705.5, "ret_21d": 0.11, "ret_252d": -0.0827}} | |
| {"id": "ETH-USD-2026-10-01-63d", "symbol": "ETH-USD", "asof": "2026-10-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will ETH-USD's close 63 trading days after 2026-10-01 be above its close on 2026-10-01?", "resolves_on": null, "context": {"close_asof": 2705.5, "ret_21d": 0.11, "ret_252d": -0.0827}} | |
| {"id": "GLD-2026-10-01-21d", "symbol": "GLD", "asof": "2026-10-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will GLD's close 21 trading days after 2026-10-01 be above its close on 2026-10-01?", "resolves_on": null, "context": {"close_asof": 382.76, "ret_21d": -0.0343, "ret_252d": -0.1528}} | |
| {"id": "GLD-2026-10-01-63d", "symbol": "GLD", "asof": "2026-10-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will GLD's close 63 trading days after 2026-10-01 be above its close on 2026-10-01?", "resolves_on": null, "context": {"close_asof": 382.76, "ret_21d": -0.0343, "ret_252d": -0.1528}} | |
| {"id": "GOOGL-2026-10-01-21d", "symbol": "GOOGL", "asof": "2026-10-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will GOOGL's close 21 trading days after 2026-10-01 be above its close on 2026-10-01?", "resolves_on": null, "context": {"close_asof": 338.24, "ret_21d": 0.017, "ret_252d": 0.0233}} | |
| {"id": "GOOGL-2026-10-01-63d", "symbol": "GOOGL", "asof": "2026-10-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will GOOGL's close 63 trading days after 2026-10-01 be above its close on 2026-10-01?", "resolves_on": null, "context": {"close_asof": 338.24, "ret_21d": 0.017, "ret_252d": 0.0233}} | |
| {"id": "HYG-2026-10-01-21d", "symbol": "HYG", "asof": "2026-10-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will HYG's close 21 trading days after 2026-10-01 be above its close on 2026-10-01?", "resolves_on": null, "context": {"close_asof": 76.9, "ret_21d": -0.0219, "ret_252d": -0.0527}} | |
| {"id": "HYG-2026-10-01-63d", "symbol": "HYG", "asof": "2026-10-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will HYG's close 63 trading days after 2026-10-01 be above its close on 2026-10-01?", "resolves_on": null, "context": {"close_asof": 76.9, "ret_21d": -0.0219, "ret_252d": -0.0527}} | |
| {"id": "IEF-2026-10-01-21d", "symbol": "IEF", "asof": "2026-10-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will IEF's close 21 trading days after 2026-10-01 be above its close on 2026-10-01?", "resolves_on": null, "context": {"close_asof": 89.3, "ret_21d": -0.0206, "ret_252d": -0.0678}} | |
| {"id": "IEF-2026-10-01-63d", "symbol": "IEF", "asof": "2026-10-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will IEF's close 63 trading days after 2026-10-01 be above its close on 2026-10-01?", "resolves_on": null, "context": {"close_asof": 89.3, "ret_21d": -0.0206, "ret_252d": -0.0678}} | |
| {"id": "IWM-2026-10-01-21d", "symbol": "IWM", "asof": "2026-10-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will IWM's close 21 trading days after 2026-10-01 be above its close on 2026-10-01?", "resolves_on": null, "context": {"close_asof": 279.02, "ret_21d": -0.0302, "ret_252d": 0.0342}} | |
| {"id": "IWM-2026-10-01-63d", "symbol": "IWM", "asof": "2026-10-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will IWM's close 63 trading days after 2026-10-01 be above its close on 2026-10-01?", "resolves_on": null, "context": {"close_asof": 279.02, "ret_21d": -0.0302, "ret_252d": 0.0342}} | |
| {"id": "JPM-2026-10-01-21d", "symbol": "JPM", "asof": "2026-10-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will JPM's close 21 trading days after 2026-10-01 be above its close on 2026-10-01?", "resolves_on": null, "context": {"close_asof": 333.18, "ret_21d": -0.0576, "ret_252d": 0.0973}} | |
| {"id": "JPM-2026-10-01-63d", "symbol": "JPM", "asof": "2026-10-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will JPM's close 63 trading days after 2026-10-01 be above its close on 2026-10-01?", "resolves_on": null, "context": {"close_asof": 333.18, "ret_21d": -0.0576, "ret_252d": 0.0973}} | |
| {"id": "META-2026-10-01-21d", "symbol": "META", "asof": "2026-10-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will META's close 21 trading days after 2026-10-01 be above its close on 2026-10-01?", "resolves_on": null, "context": {"close_asof": 725.93, "ret_21d": 0.1266, "ret_252d": 0.1209}} | |
| {"id": "META-2026-10-01-63d", "symbol": "META", "asof": "2026-10-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will META's close 63 trading days after 2026-10-01 be above its close on 2026-10-01?", "resolves_on": null, "context": {"close_asof": 725.93, "ret_21d": 0.1266, "ret_252d": 0.1209}} | |
| {"id": "MSFT-2026-10-01-21d", "symbol": "MSFT", "asof": "2026-10-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will MSFT's close 21 trading days after 2026-10-01 be above its close on 2026-10-01?", "resolves_on": null, "context": {"close_asof": 512.8, "ret_21d": 0.0413, "ret_252d": 0.1367}} | |
| {"id": "MSFT-2026-10-01-63d", "symbol": "MSFT", "asof": "2026-10-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will MSFT's close 63 trading days after 2026-10-01 be above its close on 2026-10-01?", "resolves_on": null, "context": {"close_asof": 512.8, "ret_21d": 0.0413, "ret_252d": 0.1367}} | |
| {"id": "NVDA-2026-10-01-21d", "symbol": "NVDA", "asof": "2026-10-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will NVDA's close 21 trading days after 2026-10-01 be above its close on 2026-10-01?", "resolves_on": null, "context": {"close_asof": 230.86, "ret_21d": 0.0572, "ret_252d": 0.249}} | |
| {"id": "NVDA-2026-10-01-63d", "symbol": "NVDA", "asof": "2026-10-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will NVDA's close 63 trading days after 2026-10-01 be above its close on 2026-10-01?", "resolves_on": null, "context": {"close_asof": 230.86, "ret_21d": 0.0572, "ret_252d": 0.249}} | |
| {"id": "QQQ-2026-10-01-21d", "symbol": "QQQ", "asof": "2026-10-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will QQQ's close 21 trading days after 2026-10-01 be above its close on 2026-10-01?", "resolves_on": null, "context": {"close_asof": 742.03, "ret_21d": 0.047, "ret_252d": 0.1954}} | |
| {"id": "QQQ-2026-10-01-63d", "symbol": "QQQ", "asof": "2026-10-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will QQQ's close 63 trading days after 2026-10-01 be above its close on 2026-10-01?", "resolves_on": null, "context": {"close_asof": 742.03, "ret_21d": 0.047, "ret_252d": 0.1954}} | |
| {"id": "SLV-2026-10-01-21d", "symbol": "SLV", "asof": "2026-10-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will SLV's close 21 trading days after 2026-10-01 be above its close on 2026-10-01?", "resolves_on": null, "context": {"close_asof": 55.02, "ret_21d": -0.0431, "ret_252d": -0.3685}} | |
| {"id": "SLV-2026-10-01-63d", "symbol": "SLV", "asof": "2026-10-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will SLV's close 63 trading days after 2026-10-01 be above its close on 2026-10-01?", "resolves_on": null, "context": {"close_asof": 55.02, "ret_21d": -0.0431, "ret_252d": -0.3685}} | |
| {"id": "SPY-2026-10-01-21d", "symbol": "SPY", "asof": "2026-10-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will SPY's close 21 trading days after 2026-10-01 be above its close on 2026-10-01?", "resolves_on": null, "context": {"close_asof": 763.99, "ret_21d": 0.0081, "ret_252d": 0.1089}} | |
| {"id": "SPY-2026-10-01-63d", "symbol": "SPY", "asof": "2026-10-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will SPY's close 63 trading days after 2026-10-01 be above its close on 2026-10-01?", "resolves_on": null, "context": {"close_asof": 763.99, "ret_21d": 0.0081, "ret_252d": 0.1089}} | |
| {"id": "TLT-2026-10-01-21d", "symbol": "TLT", "asof": "2026-10-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will TLT's close 21 trading days after 2026-10-01 be above its close on 2026-10-01?", "resolves_on": null, "context": {"close_asof": 77.71, "ret_21d": -0.038, "ret_252d": -0.1138}} | |
| {"id": "TLT-2026-10-01-63d", "symbol": "TLT", "asof": "2026-10-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will TLT's close 63 trading days after 2026-10-01 be above its close on 2026-10-01?", "resolves_on": null, "context": {"close_asof": 77.71, "ret_21d": -0.038, "ret_252d": -0.1138}} | |
| {"id": "TSLA-2026-10-01-21d", "symbol": "TSLA", "asof": "2026-10-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will TSLA's close 21 trading days after 2026-10-01 be above its close on 2026-10-01?", "resolves_on": null, "context": {"close_asof": 354.11, "ret_21d": -0.026, "ret_252d": -0.212}} | |
| {"id": "TSLA-2026-10-01-63d", "symbol": "TSLA", "asof": "2026-10-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will TSLA's close 63 trading days after 2026-10-01 be above its close on 2026-10-01?", "resolves_on": null, "context": {"close_asof": 354.11, "ret_21d": -0.026, "ret_252d": -0.212}} | |
| {"id": "USO-2026-10-01-21d", "symbol": "USO", "asof": "2026-10-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will USO's close 21 trading days after 2026-10-01 be above its close on 2026-10-01?", "resolves_on": null, "context": {"close_asof": 150.02, "ret_21d": -0.0528, "ret_252d": 1.0888}} | |
| {"id": "USO-2026-10-01-63d", "symbol": "USO", "asof": "2026-10-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will USO's close 63 trading days after 2026-10-01 be above its close on 2026-10-01?", "resolves_on": null, "context": {"close_asof": 150.02, "ret_21d": -0.0528, "ret_252d": 1.0888}} | |
| {"id": "UUP-2026-10-01-21d", "symbol": "UUP", "asof": "2026-10-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will UUP's close 21 trading days after 2026-10-01 be above its close on 2026-10-01?", "resolves_on": null, "context": {"close_asof": 28.96, "ret_21d": 0.0332, "ret_252d": 0.0667}} | |
| {"id": "UUP-2026-10-01-63d", "symbol": "UUP", "asof": "2026-10-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will UUP's close 63 trading days after 2026-10-01 be above its close on 2026-10-01?", "resolves_on": null, "context": {"close_asof": 28.96, "ret_21d": 0.0332, "ret_252d": 0.0667}} | |
| {"id": "VNQ-2026-10-01-21d", "symbol": "VNQ", "asof": "2026-10-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will VNQ's close 21 trading days after 2026-10-01 be above its close on 2026-10-01?", "resolves_on": null, "context": {"close_asof": 89.17, "ret_21d": -0.0526, "ret_252d": -0.0132}} | |
| {"id": "VNQ-2026-10-01-63d", "symbol": "VNQ", "asof": "2026-10-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will VNQ's close 63 trading days after 2026-10-01 be above its close on 2026-10-01?", "resolves_on": null, "context": {"close_asof": 89.17, "ret_21d": -0.0526, "ret_252d": -0.0132}} | |
| {"id": "XLB-2026-10-01-21d", "symbol": "XLB", "asof": "2026-10-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will XLB's close 21 trading days after 2026-10-01 be above its close on 2026-10-01?", "resolves_on": null, "context": {"close_asof": 48.54, "ret_21d": -0.0437, "ret_252d": -0.0198}} | |
| {"id": "XLB-2026-10-01-63d", "symbol": "XLB", "asof": "2026-10-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will XLB's close 63 trading days after 2026-10-01 be above its close on 2026-10-01?", "resolves_on": null, "context": {"close_asof": 48.54, "ret_21d": -0.0437, "ret_252d": -0.0198}} | |
| {"id": "XLE-2026-10-01-21d", "symbol": "XLE", "asof": "2026-10-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will XLE's close 21 trading days after 2026-10-01 be above its close on 2026-10-01?", "resolves_on": null, "context": {"close_asof": 62.7, "ret_21d": -0.0343, "ret_252d": 0.2819}} | |
| {"id": "XLE-2026-10-01-63d", "symbol": "XLE", "asof": "2026-10-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will XLE's close 63 trading days after 2026-10-01 be above its close on 2026-10-01?", "resolves_on": null, "context": {"close_asof": 62.7, "ret_21d": -0.0343, "ret_252d": 0.2819}} | |
| {"id": "XLF-2026-10-01-21d", "symbol": "XLF", "asof": "2026-10-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will XLF's close 21 trading days after 2026-10-01 be above its close on 2026-10-01?", "resolves_on": null, "context": {"close_asof": 53.46, "ret_21d": -0.06, "ret_252d": -0.0065}} | |
| {"id": "XLF-2026-10-01-63d", "symbol": "XLF", "asof": "2026-10-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will XLF's close 63 trading days after 2026-10-01 be above its close on 2026-10-01?", "resolves_on": null, "context": {"close_asof": 53.46, "ret_21d": -0.06, "ret_252d": -0.0065}} | |
| {"id": "XLI-2026-10-01-21d", "symbol": "XLI", "asof": "2026-10-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will XLI's close 21 trading days after 2026-10-01 be above its close on 2026-10-01?", "resolves_on": null, "context": {"close_asof": 168.64, "ret_21d": -0.0112, "ret_252d": 0.019}} | |
| {"id": "XLI-2026-10-01-63d", "symbol": "XLI", "asof": "2026-10-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will XLI's close 63 trading days after 2026-10-01 be above its close on 2026-10-01?", "resolves_on": null, "context": {"close_asof": 168.64, "ret_21d": -0.0112, "ret_252d": 0.019}} | |
| {"id": "XLK-2026-10-01-21d", "symbol": "XLK", "asof": "2026-10-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will XLK's close 21 trading days after 2026-10-01 be above its close on 2026-10-01?", "resolves_on": null, "context": {"close_asof": 197.81, "ret_21d": 0.068, "ret_252d": 0.3653}} | |
| {"id": "XLK-2026-10-01-63d", "symbol": "XLK", "asof": "2026-10-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will XLK's close 63 trading days after 2026-10-01 be above its close on 2026-10-01?", "resolves_on": null, "context": {"close_asof": 197.81, "ret_21d": 0.068, "ret_252d": 0.3653}} | |
| {"id": "XLP-2026-10-01-21d", "symbol": "XLP", "asof": "2026-10-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will XLP's close 21 trading days after 2026-10-01 be above its close on 2026-10-01?", "resolves_on": null, "context": {"close_asof": 80.33, "ret_21d": -0.0332, "ret_252d": -0.0236}} | |
| {"id": "XLP-2026-10-01-63d", "symbol": "XLP", "asof": "2026-10-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will XLP's close 63 trading days after 2026-10-01 be above its close on 2026-10-01?", "resolves_on": null, "context": {"close_asof": 80.33, "ret_21d": -0.0332, "ret_252d": -0.0236}} | |
| {"id": "XLU-2026-10-01-21d", "symbol": "XLU", "asof": "2026-10-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will XLU's close 21 trading days after 2026-10-01 be above its close on 2026-10-01?", "resolves_on": null, "context": {"close_asof": 39.68, "ret_21d": -0.0668, "ret_252d": -0.0709}} | |
| {"id": "XLU-2026-10-01-63d", "symbol": "XLU", "asof": "2026-10-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will XLU's close 63 trading days after 2026-10-01 be above its close on 2026-10-01?", "resolves_on": null, "context": {"close_asof": 39.68, "ret_21d": -0.0668, "ret_252d": -0.0709}} | |
| {"id": "XLV-2026-10-01-21d", "symbol": "XLV", "asof": "2026-10-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will XLV's close 21 trading days after 2026-10-01 be above its close on 2026-10-01?", "resolves_on": null, "context": {"close_asof": 166.2, "ret_21d": 0.0033, "ret_252d": 0.05}} | |
| {"id": "XLV-2026-10-01-63d", "symbol": "XLV", "asof": "2026-10-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will XLV's close 63 trading days after 2026-10-01 be above its close on 2026-10-01?", "resolves_on": null, "context": {"close_asof": 166.2, "ret_21d": 0.0033, "ret_252d": 0.05}} | |
| {"id": "XLY-2026-10-01-21d", "symbol": "XLY", "asof": "2026-10-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will XLY's close 21 trading days after 2026-10-01 be above its close on 2026-10-01?", "resolves_on": null, "context": {"close_asof": 108.81, "ret_21d": -0.0281, "ret_252d": -0.1126}} | |
| {"id": "XLY-2026-10-01-63d", "symbol": "XLY", "asof": "2026-10-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will XLY's close 63 trading days after 2026-10-01 be above its close on 2026-10-01?", "resolves_on": null, "context": {"close_asof": 108.81, "ret_21d": -0.0281, "ret_252d": -0.1126}} | |
| {"id": "XOM-2026-10-01-21d", "symbol": "XOM", "asof": "2026-10-01", "horizon": 21, "question": "Will XOM's close 21 trading days after 2026-10-01 be above its close on 2026-10-01?", "resolves_on": null, "context": {"close_asof": 163.82, "ret_21d": -0.0085, "ret_252d": 0.2258}} | |
| {"id": "XOM-2026-10-01-63d", "symbol": "XOM", "asof": "2026-10-01", "horizon": 63, "question": "Will XOM's close 63 trading days after 2026-10-01 be above its close on 2026-10-01?", "resolves_on": null, "context": {"close_asof": 163.82, "ret_21d": -0.0085, "ret_252d": 0.2258}} | |