| { |
| "baseline": { |
| "limitations": "The dataset contains 64 independent scenario groups. This deliberately simple linear reduced model is a reproducible lower bar, not a best-model claim.", |
| "persistence_test_metrics": { |
| "field_nrmse_by_temperature_rise": 1.0, |
| "field_rmse_k": 49.4196405537079, |
| "maximum_temperature_mae_k": 41.70680921036539 |
| }, |
| "rollout_wall_seconds_for_test_split": 0.007351082982495427, |
| "selected_model": { |
| "inputs": "current reduced temperature state, next source controls, material/boundary descriptors and source positions/widths", |
| "name": "PCA plus ridge linear state-space baseline", |
| "rank": 12, |
| "ridge": 1e-06 |
| }, |
| "selection_rule": "minimum validation full-field RMSE; test split unopened during selection", |
| "split_unit": "scenario_id; all counterfactual branches remain together", |
| "task": "autoregressive full-field temperature rollout", |
| "test_metrics": { |
| "field_nrmse_by_temperature_rise": 0.1972225886329101, |
| "field_rmse_k": 9.746669439310214, |
| "maximum_temperature_mae_k": 6.206834322360767 |
| }, |
| "test_trajectories": 24, |
| "training_trajectories": 144, |
| "validation_metrics": { |
| "field_nrmse_by_temperature_rise": 0.13296167009541626, |
| "field_rmse_k": 6.081201720216076, |
| "maximum_temperature_mae_k": 4.909582172242256, |
| "rank": 12, |
| "ridge": 1e-06 |
| }, |
| "validation_trajectories": 24 |
| }, |
| "maximum_heat_balance_relative_residual": 1.409026044876523e-11, |
| "maximum_prefix_control_difference_w_m3": 0.0, |
| "maximum_prefix_temperature_difference_k": 0.0, |
| "numerical_validation": { |
| "analytical_decay": { |
| "coarse": { |
| "cells_per_axis": 12, |
| "relative_l2_error": 0.012206241087996944, |
| "status": "completed", |
| "steps": 40 |
| }, |
| "fine": { |
| "cells_per_axis": 24, |
| "relative_l2_error": 0.0026049779023684908, |
| "status": "completed", |
| "steps": 80 |
| } |
| }, |
| "checks": { |
| "analytical_error_decreases": true, |
| "analytical_fine_relative_l2_below_0p5pct": true, |
| "heat_balance_relative_to_stored_energy_below_1e_8": true, |
| "mesh_refinement_sensor_change_below_2pct": true, |
| "time_refinement_sensor_change_below_2pct": true |
| }, |
| "maximum_heat_balance_residual_relative_to_stored_energy_change": 8.929823584984711e-14, |
| "mesh_refinement_final_sensor_relative_change": 2.3365594418925673e-05, |
| "status": "passed", |
| "time_refinement_final_sensor_relative_change": 0.0024148046819599464 |
| }, |
| "scenario_count": 64, |
| "scenario_split_overlap_count": 0, |
| "split_counts": { |
| "test": 24, |
| "train": 144, |
| "validation": 24 |
| }, |
| "status": "passed", |
| "temperature_range_k": [ |
| 293.15, |
| 483.476579772843 |
| ], |
| "trajectory_count": 192 |
| } |
|
|
