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Clarify loading histories and relative metrics

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Add undergraduate-friendly loading-history rationale, recommended scale-free metrics, fixed reference denominators, and the MAPE caveat. Data and splits are unchanged.

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  1. README.md +52 -0
README.md CHANGED
@@ -43,6 +43,58 @@ Current trajectory accounting:
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  | Prospective sealed test | 128 | Published after model freeze; never used for training or selection |
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  | **Total** | **3,788** | Complete histories, not exchangeable independent experiments |
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  ## Releases
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  - **T2 v1:** 1,008 proportional cyclic J2 trajectories for loading-memory
 
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  | Prospective sealed test | 128 | Published after model freeze; never used for training or selection |
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  | **Total** | **3,788** | Complete histories, not exchangeable independent experiments |
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+ ## What is a loading history, and why does it matter?
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+
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+ A loading history is the ordered sequence of deformation applied to a material.
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+ For an elastic spring, only the present deformation matters. For an
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+ elastoplastic metal, the route matters as well: loading, unloading, reversing,
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+ rotating the loading direction or adding a mean strain changes the material's
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+ internal state. Two specimens can therefore arrive at the same current strain
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+ with different stresses because they arrived there by different routes.
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+
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+ This dataset varies the history deliberately rather than merely sampling more
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+ points on one curve:
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+
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+ | History variation | Question being tested |
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+ |---|---|
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+ | Proportional and reversed cycles | Can the model reproduce yielding, unloading and the Bauschinger effect? |
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+ | Non-proportional and rotating multiaxial paths | Can it track changing stress directions and coupled material memory? |
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+ | Nested minor loops and non-periodic sequences | Can it remember partial unload/reload events instead of resetting its state? |
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+ | Amplitude and mean shifts | Can it extrapolate when the load becomes larger or biased to one side? |
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+ | 100--200-cycle histories | Does a small state error accumulate into long-term drift? |
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+ | Matched coarse/fine discretizations | Is the prediction tied to the physical path or to a particular step size? |
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+ | Material-parameter variation | Can one conditioned model represent a family of materials rather than one fixed curve? |
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+
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+ The scientific object is therefore not an isolated stress value. It is the
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+ mapping from **material parameters + ordered loading history + current internal
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+ state** to the next stress and state. Randomly shuffling time steps or mixing
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+ related resolution groups across data roles would destroy this meaning.
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+
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+ ## Recommended evaluation metrics
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+
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+ Report absolute stress RMSE in MPa together with a scale-free metric. MPa is
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+ needed for engineering interpretation; a relative metric makes results easier
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+ to compare across cohorts and stress levels.
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+
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+ - **Relative L2 error (%)** = `||stress_pred - stress_ref||2 / ||stress_ref||2 × 100`.
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+ This is the preferred scale-free trajectory/state metric for signed cyclic
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+ stresses.
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+ - **Yield-normalized RMSE (%)** = `RMSE / reference_yield_stress × 100`.
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+ This answers how large the average error is relative to the 280 MPa reference
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+ yield stress used by the sealed protocol.
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+ - **R2** is useful as a supplementary global fit indicator, but should not
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+ replace an engineering error in MPa.
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+ - **MAPE is not recommended** because cyclic stress repeatedly crosses zero;
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+ division by values near zero can make an accurate prediction look arbitrarily
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+ poor.
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+
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+ For the sealed reference data, the stress RMS scales are 359.540 MPa for global
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+ path OOD, 91.411 MPa for 150/200-cycle histories, 371.687 MPa for amplitude and
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+ mean shifts, and 206.814 MPa over all 128 trajectories. These denominators are
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+ published so every model can be compared under the same convention. Model
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+ scores remain in the model repository to keep this page focused on the data and
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+ evaluation contract.
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+
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  ## Releases
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  - **T2 v1:** 1,008 proportional cyclic J2 trajectories for loading-memory