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import numpy as np
import pandas as pd
import statsmodels.api as sm
from scipy import stats
from scipy.optimize import linear_sum_assignment
from sklearn.metrics import roc_auc_score, roc_curve
from common import RES, SEED, hom, axes, centre, effects, sgd_labels, phenotypes

CALIPERS = (0.05, 0.1, 0.25, 0.5)
PRIMARY_CALIPER = 0.25
N_BOOT = 2000
N_ORDERS = 200
STRATA = {"all annotations": None, "small-scale studies only": ["classical genetics"]}

Z = hom()
ag, ox, os_, _ = axes(Z.columns)
b = Z.median(axis=1)
E = dict(zip(("oxidative", "osmotic"), effects(centre(Z), ox, os_)))
N = {"oxidative": Z.loc[:, ox].mean(axis=1), "osmotic": Z.loc[:, os_].mean(axis=1)}
rng = np.random.default_rng(SEED)

src = phenotypes()
for stress in ("oxidative", "osmotic"):
    terms = ("oxidative stress resistance",) if stress == "oxidative" else ("hyperosmotic stress resistance", "osmotic stress resistance")
    s = src[(src.mutant == "null") & src.phenotype.str.rsplit(": ", n=1).str[0].isin(terms)]
    s.groupby(["pmid", "exptype"]).size().rename("annotations").sort_values(ascending=False).to_csv(
        RES / f"benchmark_sources_{stress}.csv")


def auc_ci(y, x, paired_idx=None):
    y, x = np.asarray(y), np.asarray(x)
    a = roc_auc_score(y, x)
    boot = []
    for _ in range(N_BOOT):
        if paired_idx is None:
            i = rng.integers(0, len(y), len(y))
            if len(set(y[i])) < 2:
                continue
        else:
            k = rng.integers(0, len(paired_idx), len(paired_idx))
            i = paired_idx[k].ravel()
        boot.append(roc_auc_score(y[i], x[i]))
    lo, hi = np.percentile(boot, [2.5, 97.5])
    return a, lo, hi


def smd(x1, x0):
    return (x1.mean() - x0.mean()) / np.sqrt((x1.var() + x0.var()) / 2)


summary, terc, val, roc_rows = [], [], [], []
for stratum, ex in STRATA.items():
    for stress in ("oxidative", "osmotic"):
        lab = sgd_labels(stress, exptypes=ex)
        lab = lab[lab.index.isin(Z.index)]
        y = (lab == -1).astype(int).values
        e = E[stress].loc[lab.index]
        conc = (np.sign(e) == -lab).astype(int)
        k, n = int(conc.sum()), len(conc)
        row = {"stratum": stratum, "stress": stress, "genes": n, "decreased": int(y.sum()), "increased": int((1 - y).sum()),
               "concordant": k, "concordance": k / n, "p_binomial": stats.binomtest(k, n, 0.5, alternative="greater").pvalue,
               "smd_slow_growth": smd(b.loc[lab.index][y == 1], b.loc[lab.index][y == 0]),
               "p_slow_growth_bias": stats.mannwhitneyu(b.loc[lab.index][y == 1], b.loc[lab.index][y == 0], alternative="greater").pvalue}
        for name, sc in (("baseline_adjusted", e), ("naive", N[stress].loc[lab.index]), ("slow_growth", b.loc[lab.index])):
            a, lo, hi = auc_ci(y, sc.values)
            row.update({f"auroc_{name}": a, f"auroc_{name}_lo": lo, f"auroc_{name}_hi": hi})
        summary.append(row)
        if stratum == "all annotations":
            val.append(pd.DataFrame({"stress": stress, "gene": lab.index, "effect": e.values, "sgd_dir": lab.values,
                                     "concordant": conc.values, "slow_growth": b.loc[lab.index].values}))
            fpr, tpr, _ = roc_curve(y, e.values)
            roc_rows.append(pd.DataFrame({"stress": stress, "fpr": fpr, "tpr": tpr}))
            order = np.argsort(-e.abs().values)
            for bname, idx in zip(("large", "medium", "small"), np.array_split(order, 3)):
                cb = conc.values[idx]
                lo, hi = stats.binomtest(int(cb.sum()), len(cb)).proportion_ci()
                terc.append((stress, bname, len(idx), cb.mean(), lo, hi, float(np.median(e.abs().values[idx]))))
S = pd.DataFrame(summary)
S.to_csv(RES / "benchmark_summary.csv", index=False)
pd.concat(val).to_csv(RES / "validation.csv", index=False)
pd.concat(roc_rows).round(4).to_csv(RES / "roc.csv", index=False)
T = pd.DataFrame(terc, columns=["stress", "tercile", "genes", "concordance", "ci_low", "ci_high", "median_abs_effect"])
T.to_csv(RES / "benchmark_terciles.csv", index=False)
x = pd.concat(val)
trend = []
for stress in ("oxidative", "osmotic"):
    v = x[x.stress == stress]
    m = sm.Logit(v.concordant.values, sm.add_constant(np.column_stack([np.abs(v.effect.values), v.slow_growth.values]))).fit(disp=0)
    trend.append((stress, m.params[1], m.pvalues[1], m.params[2], m.pvalues[2], len(v)))
pd.DataFrame(trend, columns=["stress", "coef_abs_effect", "p_abs_effect", "coef_slow_growth", "p_slow_growth", "genes"]).to_csv(
    RES / "benchmark_concordance_trend.csv", index=False)


def greedy(dec, inc, s, cal, order):
    pool = set(inc)
    pairs = []
    for g in order:
        if not pool:
            break
        p = sorted(pool)
        d = np.abs(s.loc[p].values - s[g])
        j = int(np.argmin(d))
        if d[j] <= cal:
            pairs.append((g, p[j]))
            pool.remove(p[j])
    return pairs


def optimal(dec, inc, s, cal):
    C = np.abs(s.loc[dec].values[:, None] - s.loc[inc].values[None, :])
    r, c = linear_sum_assignment(C)
    return [(dec[i], inc[j]) for i, j in zip(r, c) if C[i, j] <= cal]


def evaluate(pairs, stress, method, cal):
    g = [p for pr in pairs for p in pr]
    y = np.array([1, 0] * len(pairs))
    idx = np.arange(2 * len(pairs)).reshape(-1, 2)
    d, i = b.loc[[p[0] for p in pairs]], b.loc[[p[1] for p in pairs]]
    out = {"stress": stress, "method": method, "caliper_sd": cal, "pairs": len(pairs), "smd_after": smd(d, i),
           "variance_ratio": d.var() / i.var(), "ks_after": stats.ks_2samp(d, i).statistic}
    for name, sc in (("baseline_adjusted", E[stress]), ("naive", N[stress]), ("slow_growth", b)):
        a, lo, hi = auc_ci(y, sc.loc[g].values, idx)
        out.update({f"auroc_{name}": a, f"auroc_{name}_lo": lo, f"auroc_{name}_hi": hi})
    return out


match = []
for stress in ("oxidative", "osmotic"):
    lab = sgd_labels(stress)
    lab = lab[lab.index.isin(Z.index)]
    dec, inc = list(lab.index[lab == -1]), list(lab.index[lab == 1])
    sd = b.loc[lab.index].std()
    for cal in CALIPERS:
        match.append(evaluate(greedy(dec, inc, b, cal * sd, dec), stress, "greedy nearest neighbour", cal))
        match.append(evaluate(optimal(dec, inc, b, cal * sd), stress, "optimal 1:1", cal))
    orders = []
    for _ in range(N_ORDERS):
        pr = greedy(dec, inc, b, PRIMARY_CALIPER * sd, list(rng.permutation(dec)))
        g = [p for q in pr for p in q]
        yy = np.array([1, 0] * len(pr))
        orders.append((len(pr), roc_auc_score(yy, E[stress].loc[g]), roc_auc_score(yy, b.loc[g])))
    O = np.array(orders)
    match.append({"stress": stress, "method": f"greedy, {N_ORDERS} random orders (median; 2.5-97.5%)",
                  "caliper_sd": PRIMARY_CALIPER, "pairs": float(np.median(O[:, 0])),
                  "auroc_baseline_adjusted": float(np.median(O[:, 1])), "auroc_baseline_adjusted_lo": float(np.percentile(O[:, 1], 2.5)),
                  "auroc_baseline_adjusted_hi": float(np.percentile(O[:, 1], 97.5)), "auroc_slow_growth": float(np.median(O[:, 2]))})
    q = pd.qcut(b.loc[lab.index], 5, labels=False)
    w, aucs = [], []
    for k in range(5):
        ii = lab.index[q == k]
        yy = (lab[ii] == -1).astype(int)
        if yy.nunique() == 2:
            aucs.append(roc_auc_score(yy, E[stress].loc[ii]))
            w.append(len(ii))
    match.append({"stress": stress, "method": "stratified (slow-growth quintiles), weighted mean", "caliper_sd": np.nan,
                  "pairs": np.nan, "auroc_baseline_adjusted": float(np.average(aucs, weights=w))})
    y = (lab == -1).astype(int).values
    Xr = sm.add_constant(np.column_stack([stats.zscore(E[stress].loc[lab.index].values), stats.zscore(b.loc[lab.index].values)]))
    m = sm.Logit(y, Xr).fit(disp=0)
    ci = m.conf_int()[1]
    match.append({"stress": stress, "method": "logistic regression adjusting for slow growth (odds ratio per SD)",
                  "caliper_sd": np.nan, "pairs": np.nan, "odds_ratio": float(np.exp(m.params[1])),
                  "odds_ratio_lo": float(np.exp(ci[0])), "odds_ratio_hi": float(np.exp(ci[1])), "p": float(m.pvalues[1])})
M = pd.DataFrame(match)
M.to_csv(RES / "benchmark_matching.csv", index=False)

rng_d = np.random.default_rng(SEED + 1)


def auc_difference(y, x1, x2, paired_idx=None):
    y, x1, x2 = np.asarray(y), np.asarray(x1), np.asarray(x2)
    obs = roc_auc_score(y, x1) - roc_auc_score(y, x2)
    boot = []
    for _ in range(N_BOOT):
        if paired_idx is None:
            i = rng_d.integers(0, len(y), len(y))
            if len(set(y[i])) < 2:
                continue
        else:
            i = paired_idx[rng_d.integers(0, len(paired_idx), len(paired_idx))].ravel()
        boot.append(roc_auc_score(y[i], x1[i]) - roc_auc_score(y[i], x2[i]))
    boot = np.array(boot)
    lo, hi = np.percentile(boot, [2.5, 97.5])
    return obs, lo, hi, min(1.0, 2 * min((boot <= 0).mean(), (boot >= 0).mean()))


diff = []
for stress in ("oxidative", "osmotic"):
    lab = sgd_labels(stress)
    lab = lab[lab.index.isin(Z.index)]
    y = (lab == -1).astype(int).values
    for name, x2 in (("naive", N[stress]), ("slow_growth", b)):
        d, lo, hi, p = auc_difference(y, E[stress].loc[lab.index].values, x2.loc[lab.index].values)
        diff.append((stress, "all annotations", f"baseline_adjusted - {name}", len(lab), d, lo, hi, p))
    dec, inc = list(lab.index[lab == -1]), list(lab.index[lab == 1])
    pairs = greedy(dec, inc, b, PRIMARY_CALIPER * b.loc[lab.index].std(), dec)
    g = [q for pr in pairs for q in pr]
    yy = np.array([1, 0] * len(pairs))
    idx = np.arange(2 * len(pairs)).reshape(-1, 2)
    for name, x2 in (("naive", N[stress]), ("slow_growth", b)):
        d, lo, hi, p = auc_difference(yy, E[stress].loc[g].values, x2.loc[g].values, idx)
        diff.append((stress, f"growth-matched (greedy, caliper {PRIMARY_CALIPER} SD)", f"baseline_adjusted - {name}",
                     len(pairs), d, lo, hi, p))
pd.DataFrame(diff, columns=["stress", "benchmark", "comparison", "n", "auroc_difference", "ci_low", "ci_high",
                            "p_two_sided"]).to_csv(RES / "benchmark_auroc_differences.csv", index=False)

pd.set_option("display.width", 250)
pd.set_option("display.max_columns", 30)