codelion commited on
Commit
ea93064
·
verified ·
1 Parent(s): b17c8f9

Replace the estimated System One row with a measured Jev 1.13.0 result

Browse files
Files changed (1) hide show
  1. README.md +25 -10
README.md CHANGED
@@ -211,8 +211,8 @@ of number it is, because they are not all the same kind.
211
  | MiniLM-L6 (22M) | specialist | 0.587 | 0.506 | 0.424 | 0.262 | 0.267 | 0.143 | 0.108 | 0.515 | 0.864 | 22 |
212
  | ModernBERT-base (149M) | specialist | 0.646 | 0.542 | 0.469 | 0.223 | 0.249 | 0.119 | 0.179 | 0.444 | 0.931 | 349 |
213
  | Perfect scenario understanding | ceiling | 0.704 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
 
214
  | Teacher self-agreement | ceiling | 0.735 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
215
- | A general System One model | estimate | 0.65-0.72 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
216
 
217
  ### What each row is
218
 
@@ -242,12 +242,25 @@ factors are more than the text reveals.
242
  from the other samples. It is the noise floor of the labelling process. Scoring
243
  far above it means predicting the teacher's quirks rather than the task.
244
 
245
- **A general System One model** is an estimate, not a measurement. We have no
246
- access to one and have run nothing. The range comes from the two ceilings above:
247
- such a model should read these scenarios about as well as anything can, which
248
- puts it near 0.704, and it cannot reliably pass 0.735 because the remaining gap
249
- is teacher noise it has no way to predict. Treat it as a reading of where the
250
- benchmark saturates, not as a result.
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
251
 
252
  ### Specialist and generalist are not comparable
253
 
@@ -255,9 +268,11 @@ Both learned rows are specialists, fitted on the `train` split of the same four
255
  workflows they are scored on. Neither can answer a question it was not fitted
256
  for, so neither can be run zero-shot.
257
 
258
- A general model scoring 0.70 against a specialist's 0.646 has not beaten it by
259
- six points. It would be answering question schemas it has never seen, which the
260
- specialists cannot do at all. A general model can also score lower while being
 
 
261
  the better model, since anything it gets right where the teacher is wrong counts
262
  against it.
263
 
 
211
  | MiniLM-L6 (22M) | specialist | 0.587 | 0.506 | 0.424 | 0.262 | 0.267 | 0.143 | 0.108 | 0.515 | 0.864 | 22 |
212
  | ModernBERT-base (149M) | specialist | 0.646 | 0.542 | 0.469 | 0.223 | 0.249 | 0.119 | 0.179 | 0.444 | 0.931 | 349 |
213
  | Perfect scenario understanding | ceiling | 0.704 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
214
+ | **TypeSafe Jev 1.13.0** | **general** | **0.727** | 0.580 | 0.613 | 1.442 | 0.251 | 0.148 | 0.144 | 0.391 | 0.952 | 710 |
215
  | Teacher self-agreement | ceiling | 0.735 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
 
216
 
217
  ### What each row is
218
 
 
242
  from the other samples. It is the noise floor of the labelling process. Scoring
243
  far above it means predicting the teacher's quirks rather than the task.
244
 
245
+ **TypeSafe Jev 1.13.0** is a measurement, taken on 2026-09-18 through the
246
+ TypeSafe API (`POST /v1/systemone`, `model: jev-latest`, which reported itself
247
+ as `jev-1.13.0`). All 400 cases, all 2,000 decisions, zero errors, p50 710ms per
248
+ case, $0.016 total at the published $0.042/1M input rate. Earlier revisions of
249
+ this card carried an estimated range here instead; that estimate is gone.
250
+
251
+ Jev scores **0.727 against a 0.735 ceiling**, so it has effectively saturated
252
+ this benchmark. It also clears the 0.704 factor ceiling, meaning it reads these
253
+ scenarios better than a model that recovers the generating factors exactly.
254
+
255
+ **Its distributions are a different story.** Jev's KL from gold is 1.442 against
256
+ ModernBERT's 0.223 -- six times worse -- while scoring 8 points higher on
257
+ accuracy. Jev picks the right label and commits to it; the specialist is right
258
+ less often but its uncertainty tracks the teacher's spread much more closely.
259
+ Jev is not badly calibrated in absolute terms (ECE 0.144, overconfidence
260
+ +0.023); it is confident because it is usually correct. The KL gap is mostly
261
+ that this gold is a three-sample teacher spread and Jev does not reproduce that
262
+ spread. Which number matters depends on whether you consume the argmax or the
263
+ distribution.
264
 
265
  ### Specialist and generalist are not comparable
266
 
 
268
  workflows they are scored on. Neither can answer a question it was not fitted
269
  for, so neither can be run zero-shot.
270
 
271
+ Jev at 0.727 against the specialist's 0.646 has not beaten it by eight points.
272
+ Jev answered all twenty question schemas cold, having never seen this benchmark;
273
+ the specialists were fitted on the `train` split of the very workflows they are
274
+ scored on and cannot answer anything else at all. Read the gap as the price of
275
+ generality, not as a quality ranking. A general model can also score lower while being
276
  the better model, since anything it gets right where the teacher is wrong counts
277
  against it.
278