| """Paired uncertainty summaries over the eight independently seeded systems.""" |
| from pathlib import Path |
| import csv |
| import json |
| import numpy as np |
|
|
|
|
| def main(): |
| root=Path(__file__).resolve().parents[1] |
| rows=list(csv.DictReader((root/'results/v2_program_search.csv').open())) |
| seeds=sorted({int(r['seed']) for r in rows}) |
| def values(method,generation,key): |
| return np.array([float(next(r[key] for r in rows if int(r['seed'])==seed and |
| r['method']==method and int(r['generation'])==generation)) for seed in seeds]) |
| rng=np.random.default_rng(811827) |
| indices=rng.integers(0,len(seeds),size=(100000,len(seeds))) |
| results={} |
| comparisons=[('proposal_vs_frozen','mean_proposed_heldout_loss_ratio','frozen_proposer',5), |
| ('proposal_vs_own_initial','mean_proposed_heldout_loss_ratio','corrected',1), |
| ('proposal_vs_no_feedback','mean_proposed_heldout_loss_ratio','no_feedback',5), |
| ('proposal_vs_gateblind','mean_proposed_heldout_loss_ratio','gate_blind',5), |
| ('proposal_vs_direct_tournament','mean_proposed_heldout_loss_ratio','direct_tournament',5), |
| ('best_found_vs_frozen','heldout_loss_ratio','frozen_proposer',5)] |
| for name,key,comparison,generation in comparisons: |
| ours=values('corrected',5,key);base=values(comparison,generation,key) |
| difference=base-ours |
| boot=difference[indices].mean(axis=1) |
| relative=(base[indices].mean(axis=1)-ours[indices].mean(axis=1))/base[indices].mean(axis=1) |
| results[name]={'positive_favors_corrected':True,'system_ids':seeds, |
| 'paired_differences':difference.tolist(),'mean_difference':float(difference.mean()), |
| 'bootstrap_95_percentile_interval':np.quantile(boot,[.025,.975]).tolist(), |
| 'relative_reduction_of_mean':float((base.mean()-ours.mean())/base.mean()), |
| 'bootstrap_relative_95_percentile_interval':np.quantile(relative,[.025,.975]).tolist(), |
| 'systems_favoring_corrected':int(np.count_nonzero(difference>0)), |
| 'systems_favoring_comparator':int(np.count_nonzero(difference<0))} |
| out={'independent_units':'eight seeded quadratic systems, not individual states or candidate programs', |
| 'bootstrap_resamples':100000,'bootstrap_seed':811827, |
| 'warning':'Descriptive paired percentile intervals for this small constructed task distribution; not evidence of general-purpose RSI or broad benchmark superiority. The pilot and repair were not a controlled single-factor comparison.', |
| 'comparisons':results} |
| (root/'results/v2_paired_analysis.json').write_text(json.dumps(out,indent=2)+'\n') |
| print(json.dumps(results,indent=2)) |
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|
|
| if __name__=='__main__':main() |
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|
