Submit evaluation results for ChakraTS (part 2)

Evaluation results of ChakraTS on the TIME benchmark: 98/98 tasks, `config.json`, `metrics.npz` and `predictions.npz` per task, plus a summary README.

ChakraTS is a pretrained time-series model from YHat Labs, served through an API (model card: https://huggingface.co/yhatlabs/ChakraTS). The results are zero-shot for its TIME configuration (`chakra-ts-time`); no TIME data was used in training. Univariate forecasting of every variate, full context per window, quantiles 0.1 to 0.9, written with `save_window_predictions` at the official task settings. `scripts/compute_local_leaderboard.py` on this folder gives MASE (norm.) 0.639 / CRPS (norm.) 0.537.

Thank you for maintaining TIME.

results/ChakraTS/current_velocity/15T/long/config.json

@@ -0,0 +1,35 @@
+{
+  "dataset_config": "current_velocity/15T/long",
+  "num_series": 5,
+  "num_windows": 5,
+  "num_variates": 6,
+  "prediction_length": 288,
+  "num_quantiles": 9,
+  "quantile_levels": [
+    0.1,
+    0.2,
+    0.3,
+    0.4,
+    0.5,
+    0.6,
+    0.7,
+    0.8,
+    0.9
+  ],
+  "freq": "15T",
+  "seasonality": 96,
+  "context_length": 17665,
+  "metric_names": [
+    "MSE",
+    "MAE",
+    "RMSE",
+    "MAPE",
+    "sMAPE",
+    "MASE",
+    "ND",
+    "CRPS"
+  ],
+  "prediction_scale_factor": 1.0,
+  "model": "ChakraTS",
+  "configuration": "chakra-ts-time"
+}

results/ChakraTS/current_velocity/15T/long/metrics.npz

@@ -0,0 +1,3 @@
+version https://git-lfs.github.com/spec/v1
+oid sha256:b1acc2ae76aaa8bd516e6d5c15c9cc1d00dec7f2f2baa43afbc1e64bb6510d21
+size 10841

results/ChakraTS/current_velocity/15T/long/predictions.npz

@@ -0,0 +1,3 @@
+version https://git-lfs.github.com/spec/v1
+oid sha256:e74fc37d171e7aeb5dc8e600033e80da6a9147af555b6879334fc13d14566b0f
+size 460761

results/ChakraTS/current_velocity/15T/medium/config.json

@@ -0,0 +1,35 @@
+{
+  "dataset_config": "current_velocity/15T/medium",
+  "num_series": 5,
+  "num_windows": 15,
+  "num_variates": 6,
+  "prediction_length": 96,
+  "num_quantiles": 9,
+  "quantile_levels": [
+    0.1,
+    0.2,
+    0.3,
+    0.4,
+    0.5,
+    0.6,
+    0.7,
+    0.8,
+    0.9
+  ],
+  "freq": "15T",
+  "seasonality": 96,
+  "context_length": 17857,
+  "metric_names": [
+    "MSE",
+    "MAE",
+    "RMSE",
+    "MAPE",
+    "sMAPE",
+    "MASE",
+    "ND",
+    "CRPS"
+  ],
+  "prediction_scale_factor": 1.0,
+  "model": "ChakraTS",
+  "configuration": "chakra-ts-time"
+}

results/ChakraTS/current_velocity/15T/medium/metrics.npz

@@ -0,0 +1,3 @@
+version https://git-lfs.github.com/spec/v1
+oid sha256:93e607a21167afcec2afe4998b719e5f0da591a1fc4d8d878eea02625784aee9
+size 28265

results/ChakraTS/current_velocity/15T/medium/predictions.npz

@@ -0,0 +1,3 @@
+version https://git-lfs.github.com/spec/v1
+oid sha256:0ee7ad18229ed3d4ed883fed294ce310b6b01d28b6895babe2e35cc5322be835
+size 482190

results/ChakraTS/current_velocity/15T/short/config.json

@@ -0,0 +1,35 @@
+{
+  "dataset_config": "current_velocity/15T/short",
+  "num_series": 5,
+  "num_windows": 120,
+  "num_variates": 6,
+  "prediction_length": 12,
+  "num_quantiles": 9,
+  "quantile_levels": [
+    0.1,
+    0.2,
+    0.3,
+    0.4,
+    0.5,
+    0.6,
+    0.7,
+    0.8,
+    0.9
+  ],
+  "freq": "15T",
+  "seasonality": 96,
+  "context_length": 17941,
+  "metric_names": [
+    "MSE",
+    "MAE",
+    "RMSE",
+    "MAPE",
+    "sMAPE",
+    "MASE",
+    "ND",
+    "CRPS"
+  ],
+  "prediction_scale_factor": 1.0,
+  "model": "ChakraTS",
+  "configuration": "chakra-ts-time"
+}

results/ChakraTS/current_velocity/15T/short/metrics.npz

@@ -0,0 +1,3 @@
+version https://git-lfs.github.com/spec/v1
+oid sha256:d45787acd3683339bd2a37152ffd16e2ca4ce147b5d60ffb513575ffb5b6541c
+size 208627

results/ChakraTS/current_velocity/15T/short/predictions.npz

@@ -0,0 +1,3 @@
+version https://git-lfs.github.com/spec/v1
+oid sha256:a91fc915e574765670c5c42e2adde1f01d36983f6e3fd830003816af8c746dc0
+size 514066

results/ChakraTS/current_velocity/20T/long/config.json

@@ -0,0 +1,35 @@
+{
+  "dataset_config": "current_velocity/20T/long",
+  "num_series": 27,
+  "num_windows": 5,
+  "num_variates": 6,
+  "prediction_length": 216,
+  "num_quantiles": 9,
+  "quantile_levels": [
+    0.1,
+    0.2,
+    0.3,
+    0.4,
+    0.5,
+    0.6,
+    0.7,
+    0.8,
+    0.9
+  ],
+  "freq": "20T",
+  "seasonality": 72,
+  "context_length": 16543,
+  "metric_names": [
+    "MSE",
+    "MAE",
+    "RMSE",
+    "MAPE",
+    "sMAPE",
+    "MASE",
+    "ND",
+    "CRPS"
+  ],
+  "prediction_scale_factor": 1.0,
+  "model": "ChakraTS",
+  "configuration": "chakra-ts-time"
+}

results/ChakraTS/current_velocity/20T/long/metrics.npz

@@ -0,0 +1,3 @@
+version https://git-lfs.github.com/spec/v1
+oid sha256:417ddd935e109f5569fe8172d4b259cb1a9068a6917f54953a5e10b219acc1ed
+size 49612

results/ChakraTS/current_velocity/20T/long/predictions.npz

@@ -0,0 +1,3 @@
+version https://git-lfs.github.com/spec/v1
+oid sha256:ecd249fd375acfb04dc7c2a8e7682061a68023e0b69ca233e39aafe2588a04f1
+size 2049610

results/ChakraTS/current_velocity/20T/medium/config.json

@@ -0,0 +1,35 @@
+{
+  "dataset_config": "current_velocity/20T/medium",
+  "num_series": 27,
+  "num_windows": 15,
+  "num_variates": 6,
+  "prediction_length": 72,
+  "num_quantiles": 9,
+  "quantile_levels": [
+    0.1,
+    0.2,
+    0.3,
+    0.4,
+    0.5,
+    0.6,
+    0.7,
+    0.8,
+    0.9
+  ],
+  "freq": "20T",
+  "seasonality": 72,
+  "context_length": 16687,
+  "metric_names": [
+    "MSE",
+    "MAE",
+    "RMSE",
+    "MAPE",
+    "sMAPE",
+    "MASE",
+    "ND",
+    "CRPS"
+  ],
+  "prediction_scale_factor": 1.0,
+  "model": "ChakraTS",
+  "configuration": "chakra-ts-time"
+}

results/ChakraTS/current_velocity/20T/medium/metrics.npz

@@ -0,0 +1,3 @@
+version https://git-lfs.github.com/spec/v1
+oid sha256:32522de78a8f3e39b91cfd4408b0872a7b2f11df7bc577e8be2e424f0f5474f4
+size 143511

results/ChakraTS/current_velocity/20T/medium/predictions.npz

@@ -0,0 +1,3 @@
+version https://git-lfs.github.com/spec/v1
+oid sha256:6284ca58769ce50a592327850ded15c71e3a86be4c944a6bb81b801246f7a2ce
+size 2101033

results/ChakraTS/current_velocity/20T/short/config.json

@@ -0,0 +1,35 @@
+{
+  "dataset_config": "current_velocity/20T/short",
+  "num_series": 27,
+  "num_windows": 120,
+  "num_variates": 6,
+  "prediction_length": 9,
+  "num_quantiles": 9,
+  "quantile_levels": [
+    0.1,
+    0.2,
+    0.3,
+    0.4,
+    0.5,
+    0.6,
+    0.7,
+    0.8,
+    0.9
+  ],
+  "freq": "20T",
+  "seasonality": 72,
+  "context_length": 16750,
+  "metric_names": [
+    "MSE",
+    "MAE",
+    "RMSE",
+    "MAPE",
+    "sMAPE",
+    "MASE",
+    "ND",
+    "CRPS"
+  ],
+  "prediction_scale_factor": 1.0,
+  "model": "ChakraTS",
+  "configuration": "chakra-ts-time"
+}

results/ChakraTS/current_velocity/20T/short/metrics.npz

@@ -0,0 +1,3 @@
+version https://git-lfs.github.com/spec/v1
+oid sha256:05607d0d624c6d6472675ee79cd357660b1f781eb5a2f491584111b6719f022a
+size 1113051

results/ChakraTS/current_velocity/20T/short/predictions.npz

@@ -0,0 +1,3 @@
+version https://git-lfs.github.com/spec/v1
+oid sha256:38c80b1a55cd5b7081830c52c507a8f71fca990dc370c91ce3279c50b2d14225
+size 2220391

results/ChakraTS/current_velocity/5T/long/config.json

@@ -0,0 +1,35 @@
+{
+  "dataset_config": "current_velocity/5T/long",
+  "num_series": 1,
+  "num_windows": 5,
+  "num_variates": 6,
+  "prediction_length": 864,
+  "num_quantiles": 9,
+  "quantile_levels": [
+    0.1,
+    0.2,
+    0.3,
+    0.4,
+    0.5,
+    0.6,
+    0.7,
+    0.8,
+    0.9
+  ],
+  "freq": "5T",
+  "seasonality": 288,
+  "context_length": 25622,
+  "metric_names": [
+    "MSE",
+    "MAE",
+    "RMSE",
+    "MAPE",
+    "sMAPE",
+    "MASE",
+    "ND",
+    "CRPS"
+  ],
+  "prediction_scale_factor": 1.0,
+  "model": "ChakraTS",
+  "configuration": "chakra-ts-time"
+}

results/ChakraTS/current_velocity/5T/long/metrics.npz

@@ -0,0 +1,3 @@
+version https://git-lfs.github.com/spec/v1
+oid sha256:caa245e8c5d1ffea14d592f990a4b8697247f72212a393b79264891071c02ea0
+size 3500

results/ChakraTS/current_velocity/5T/long/predictions.npz

@@ -0,0 +1,3 @@
+version https://git-lfs.github.com/spec/v1
+oid sha256:907be7b7f3d2c44c8ab528da24b143b8957d4f1d9f26823244001a87546628d2
+size 227849

results/ChakraTS/current_velocity/5T/medium/config.json

@@ -0,0 +1,35 @@
+{
+  "dataset_config": "current_velocity/5T/medium",
+  "num_series": 1,
+  "num_windows": 15,
+  "num_variates": 6,
+  "prediction_length": 288,
+  "num_quantiles": 9,
+  "quantile_levels": [
+    0.1,
+    0.2,
+    0.3,
+    0.4,
+    0.5,
+    0.6,
+    0.7,
+    0.8,
+    0.9
+  ],
+  "freq": "5T",
+  "seasonality": 288,
+  "context_length": 26198,
+  "metric_names": [
+    "MSE",
+    "MAE",
+    "RMSE",
+    "MAPE",
+    "sMAPE",
+    "MASE",
+    "ND",
+    "CRPS"
+  ],
+  "prediction_scale_factor": 1.0,
+  "model": "ChakraTS",
+  "configuration": "chakra-ts-time"
+}

results/ChakraTS/current_velocity/5T/medium/metrics.npz

@@ -0,0 +1,3 @@
+version https://git-lfs.github.com/spec/v1
+oid sha256:346bdf4dcd80647a76172aa64edcb0ebf0d762c766843a9ff2ac2bcc10cb5f2c
+size 7274

results/ChakraTS/current_velocity/5T/medium/predictions.npz

@@ -0,0 +1,3 @@
+version https://git-lfs.github.com/spec/v1
+oid sha256:079144ff5020147dc92447314349d1ec9cf0da37c1356089ef5d8e8e6f43db21
+size 237663

results/ChakraTS/current_velocity/5T/short/config.json

@@ -0,0 +1,35 @@
+{
+  "dataset_config": "current_velocity/5T/short",
+  "num_series": 1,
+  "num_windows": 120,
+  "num_variates": 6,
+  "prediction_length": 36,
+  "num_quantiles": 9,
+  "quantile_levels": [
+    0.1,
+    0.2,
+    0.3,
+    0.4,
+    0.5,
+    0.6,
+    0.7,
+    0.8,
+    0.9
+  ],
+  "freq": "5T",
+  "seasonality": 288,
+  "context_length": 26450,
+  "metric_names": [
+    "MSE",
+    "MAE",
+    "RMSE",
+    "MAPE",
+    "sMAPE",
+    "MASE",
+    "ND",
+    "CRPS"
+  ],
+  "prediction_scale_factor": 1.0,
+  "model": "ChakraTS",
+  "configuration": "chakra-ts-time"
+}

results/ChakraTS/current_velocity/5T/short/metrics.npz

@@ -0,0 +1,3 @@
+version https://git-lfs.github.com/spec/v1
+oid sha256:51dd1a4246006c3f1b158bc042b03c54b457fd8bbf97d6cdec15b95819ad26b4
+size 43305

results/ChakraTS/current_velocity/5T/short/predictions.npz

@@ -0,0 +1,3 @@
+version https://git-lfs.github.com/spec/v1
+oid sha256:58199987242ba5f699bd6cb1f9177ccfeac1145bb98d8551cc10530a83792c92
+size 259056

results/ChakraTS/current_velocity/H/long/config.json

@@ -0,0 +1,35 @@
+{
+  "dataset_config": "current_velocity/H/long",
+  "num_series": 21,
+  "num_windows": 2,
+  "num_variates": 6,
+  "prediction_length": 336,
+  "num_quantiles": 9,
+  "quantile_levels": [
+    0.1,
+    0.2,
+    0.3,
+    0.4,
+    0.5,
+    0.6,
+    0.7,
+    0.8,
+    0.9
+  ],
+  "freq": "H",
+  "seasonality": 24,
+  "context_length": 5251,
+  "metric_names": [
+    "MSE",
+    "MAE",
+    "RMSE",
+    "MAPE",
+    "sMAPE",
+    "MASE",
+    "ND",
+    "CRPS"
+  ],
+  "prediction_scale_factor": 1.0,
+  "model": "ChakraTS",
+  "configuration": "chakra-ts-time"
+}

results/ChakraTS/current_velocity/H/long/metrics.npz

@@ -0,0 +1,3 @@
+version https://git-lfs.github.com/spec/v1
+oid sha256:3d02439f912c6d807100540daaa047067d8beb141e022b68613d4f50fd4fcc60
+size 16903

results/ChakraTS/current_velocity/H/long/predictions.npz

@@ -0,0 +1,3 @@
+version https://git-lfs.github.com/spec/v1
+oid sha256:529f38c1d1801dca8e8fa3cad0d40f4e543c21b49e0dc4388bb6ad55085adec9
+size 1078013

results/ChakraTS/current_velocity/H/medium/config.json

@@ -0,0 +1,35 @@
+{
+  "dataset_config": "current_velocity/H/medium",
+  "num_series": 21,
+  "num_windows": 4,
+  "num_variates": 6,
+  "prediction_length": 168,
+  "num_quantiles": 9,
+  "quantile_levels": [
+    0.1,
+    0.2,
+    0.3,
+    0.4,
+    0.5,
+    0.6,
+    0.7,
+    0.8,
+    0.9
+  ],
+  "freq": "H",
+  "seasonality": 24,
+  "context_length": 5419,
+  "metric_names": [
+    "MSE",
+    "MAE",
+    "RMSE",
+    "MAPE",
+    "sMAPE",
+    "MASE",
+    "ND",
+    "CRPS"
+  ],
+  "prediction_scale_factor": 1.0,
+  "model": "ChakraTS",
+  "configuration": "chakra-ts-time"
+}

results/ChakraTS/current_velocity/H/medium/metrics.npz

@@ -0,0 +1,3 @@
+version https://git-lfs.github.com/spec/v1
+oid sha256:895c979402d21cc34dc48213c63342291f1bfc6e216b6ff63ede2ea5bf6cf421
+size 31645

results/ChakraTS/current_velocity/H/medium/predictions.npz

@@ -0,0 +1,3 @@
+version https://git-lfs.github.com/spec/v1
+oid sha256:67dc12ae50504ee746859db457559f3e851af16c14b63dbcbbcbcb2629dd81ad
+size 1104429

results/ChakraTS/current_velocity/H/short/config.json

@@ -0,0 +1,35 @@
+{
+  "dataset_config": "current_velocity/H/short",
+  "num_series": 21,
+  "num_windows": 28,
+  "num_variates": 6,
+  "prediction_length": 24,
+  "num_quantiles": 9,
+  "quantile_levels": [
+    0.1,
+    0.2,
+    0.3,
+    0.4,
+    0.5,
+    0.6,
+    0.7,
+    0.8,
+    0.9
+  ],
+  "freq": "H",
+  "seasonality": 24,
+  "context_length": 5563,
+  "metric_names": [
+    "MSE",
+    "MAE",
+    "RMSE",
+    "MAPE",
+    "sMAPE",
+    "MASE",
+    "ND",
+    "CRPS"
+  ],
+  "prediction_scale_factor": 1.0,
+  "model": "ChakraTS",
+  "configuration": "chakra-ts-time"
+}

results/ChakraTS/current_velocity/H/short/metrics.npz

@@ -0,0 +1,3 @@
+version https://git-lfs.github.com/spec/v1
+oid sha256:45a2da945f8849d46a21fcf819195e7ce64784fd8071eb2197feb369b87b13fe
+size 205864

results/ChakraTS/current_velocity/H/short/predictions.npz

@@ -0,0 +1,3 @@
+version https://git-lfs.github.com/spec/v1
+oid sha256:621a7ad5d85463bbb01dcc8584c496190edd797bd0bc3dfa3b82558a23c0e1b0
+size 1142956

results/ChakraTS/epf_electricity_price/H/long/config.json

@@ -0,0 +1,35 @@
+{
+  "dataset_config": "epf_electricity_price/H/long",
+  "num_series": 5,
+  "num_windows": 15,
+  "num_variates": 1,
+  "prediction_length": 168,
+  "num_quantiles": 9,
+  "quantile_levels": [
+    0.1,
+    0.2,
+    0.3,
+    0.4,
+    0.5,
+    0.6,
+    0.7,
+    0.8,
+    0.9
+  ],
+  "freq": "H",
+  "seasonality": 24,
+  "context_length": 52248,
+  "metric_names": [
+    "MSE",
+    "MAE",
+    "RMSE",
+    "MAPE",
+    "sMAPE",
+    "MASE",
+    "ND",
+    "CRPS"
+  ],
+  "prediction_scale_factor": 1.0,
+  "model": "ChakraTS",
+  "configuration": "chakra-ts-time"
+}

results/ChakraTS/epf_electricity_price/H/long/metrics.npz

@@ -0,0 +1,3 @@
+version https://git-lfs.github.com/spec/v1
+oid sha256:793f804b78ca8b3e6f5f82ac6cc57891f07bfefba3c89413b66b4a92eaab164f
+size 6342

results/ChakraTS/epf_electricity_price/H/long/predictions.npz

@@ -0,0 +1,3 @@
+version https://git-lfs.github.com/spec/v1
+oid sha256:95aafe20200962acffdcbaf66b597762f9f897293dc902142799f2cb0917467e
+size 176002

results/ChakraTS/epf_electricity_price/H/medium/config.json

@@ -0,0 +1,35 @@
+{
+  "dataset_config": "epf_electricity_price/H/medium",
+  "num_series": 5,
+  "num_windows": 35,
+  "num_variates": 1,
+  "prediction_length": 72,
+  "num_quantiles": 9,
+  "quantile_levels": [
+    0.1,
+    0.2,
+    0.3,
+    0.4,
+    0.5,
+    0.6,
+    0.7,
+    0.8,
+    0.9
+  ],
+  "freq": "H",
+  "seasonality": 24,
+  "context_length": 52344,
+  "metric_names": [
+    "MSE",
+    "MAE",
+    "RMSE",
+    "MAPE",
+    "sMAPE",
+    "MASE",
+    "ND",
+    "CRPS"
+  ],
+  "prediction_scale_factor": 1.0,
+  "model": "ChakraTS",
+  "configuration": "chakra-ts-time"
+}

results/ChakraTS/epf_electricity_price/H/medium/metrics.npz

@@ -0,0 +1,3 @@
+version https://git-lfs.github.com/spec/v1
+oid sha256:c59d7cf27e0ce4a0f68ecbff232a03709b73c33f0b62fa75d986e09d26a4f086
+size 12167

results/ChakraTS/epf_electricity_price/H/medium/predictions.npz

@@ -0,0 +1,3 @@
+version https://git-lfs.github.com/spec/v1
+oid sha256:df573077a93a238012cf760e3675a634c5991d990a4b73981bc28a46c3e18888
+size 176259

results/ChakraTS/epf_electricity_price/H/short/config.json

@@ -0,0 +1,35 @@
+{
+  "dataset_config": "epf_electricity_price/H/short",
+  "num_series": 5,
+  "num_windows": 105,
+  "num_variates": 1,
+  "prediction_length": 24,
+  "num_quantiles": 9,
+  "quantile_levels": [
+    0.1,
+    0.2,
+    0.3,
+    0.4,
+    0.5,
+    0.6,
+    0.7,
+    0.8,
+    0.9
+  ],
+  "freq": "H",
+  "seasonality": 24,
+  "context_length": 52392,
+  "metric_names": [
+    "MSE",
+    "MAE",
+    "RMSE",
+    "MAPE",
+    "sMAPE",
+    "MASE",
+    "ND",
+    "CRPS"
+  ],
+  "prediction_scale_factor": 1.0,
+  "model": "ChakraTS",
+  "configuration": "chakra-ts-time"
+}

results/ChakraTS/epf_electricity_price/H/short/metrics.npz

@@ -0,0 +1,3 @@
+version https://git-lfs.github.com/spec/v1
+oid sha256:147c166b45dc4b540f2c07e6d61a25ee20b95be95a82d4bd0b5f5ed1ad311ce1
+size 32220

results/ChakraTS/epf_electricity_price/H/short/predictions.npz

@@ -0,0 +1,3 @@
+version https://git-lfs.github.com/spec/v1
+oid sha256:f4d28e681b7bf36384e2c4d95ddc14a3f3197d63391be06b3cb8f3b5ce77aa90
+size 176914