beforedone-paper / analysis /figures.py
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from __future__ import annotations
import argparse
import copy
import json
import sys
from dataclasses import dataclass
from pathlib import Path
from typing import Any, Mapping, Sequence
from reportlab.graphics import renderSVG
from reportlab.graphics.shapes import Circle, Drawing, Line, Rect, String
from reportlab.lib import colors
CONDITIONS = ("no_gate", "prompt_only", "stateless_hook", "beforedone")
CONDITION_LABELS = {
"no_gate": "C0 No gate",
"prompt_only": "C1 Prompt only",
"stateless_hook": "C2 Stateless Hook",
"beforedone": "C3 BeforeDone",
}
CONDITION_COLORS = {
"no_gate": "#778396",
"prompt_only": "#53769A",
"stateless_hook": "#D18449",
"beforedone": "#0A756A",
}
EXPECTED_CONFIRMATORY_RUNS = 144
FIGURE_WIDTH = 960
FIGURE_HEIGHT = 540
class FigureError(ValueError):
"""A figure cannot be derived without inventing or obscuring study data."""
@dataclass(frozen=True)
class FigureArtifact:
key: str
filename: str
title: str
caption: str
drawing: Drawing
def _mapping(value: object, label: str) -> Mapping[str, Any]:
if not isinstance(value, Mapping):
raise FigureError(f"{label} must be an object")
return value
def _number_or_none(value: object, label: str) -> float | None:
if value is None:
return None
if isinstance(value, bool) or not isinstance(value, (int, float)):
raise FigureError(f"{label} must be numeric or null")
return float(value)
def _integer(value: object, label: str) -> int:
if isinstance(value, bool) or not isinstance(value, int):
raise FigureError(f"{label} must be an integer")
return value
def load_results(root: Path) -> dict[str, Any]:
path = root.resolve() / "data" / "analysis" / "results.json"
try:
payload = json.loads(path.read_text(encoding="utf-8"))
except FileNotFoundError as exc:
raise FigureError(f"missing analysis results: {path}") from exc
except (OSError, json.JSONDecodeError) as exc:
raise FigureError(f"cannot read analysis results: {exc}") from exc
if not isinstance(payload, dict):
raise FigureError("analysis results must be a JSON object")
return payload
def confirmatory_completed_count(results: Mapping[str, Any]) -> int:
input_data = _mapping(results.get("input"), "results.input")
count = _integer(
input_data.get("confirmatory_completed_count"),
"results.input.confirmatory_completed_count",
)
if count < 0 or count > EXPECTED_CONFIRMATORY_RUNS:
raise FigureError(
"results.input.confirmatory_completed_count is outside the frozen schedule"
)
return count
def _validate_mode(results: Mapping[str, Any], mode: str) -> int:
if mode not in {"draft", "final"}:
raise FigureError("mode must be 'draft' or 'final'")
completed = confirmatory_completed_count(results)
if mode == "final" and completed != EXPECTED_CONFIRMATORY_RUNS:
raise FigureError(
"final figures require all 144 confirmatory runs; "
f"found {completed}"
)
return completed
def _base_drawing(title: str, subtitle: str) -> Drawing:
drawing = Drawing(FIGURE_WIDTH, FIGURE_HEIGHT)
drawing.add(
Rect(
0,
0,
FIGURE_WIDTH,
FIGURE_HEIGHT,
fillColor=colors.white,
strokeColor=colors.HexColor("#D8E0E7"),
strokeWidth=2,
)
)
drawing.add(
Rect(
0,
FIGURE_HEIGHT - 10,
FIGURE_WIDTH,
10,
fillColor=colors.HexColor("#0A756A"),
strokeColor=None,
)
)
drawing.add(
String(
54,
FIGURE_HEIGHT - 58,
title,
fontName="Helvetica-Bold",
fontSize=24,
fillColor=colors.HexColor("#172534"),
)
)
drawing.add(
String(
54,
FIGURE_HEIGHT - 86,
subtitle,
fontName="Helvetica",
fontSize=12,
fillColor=colors.HexColor("#556575"),
)
)
return drawing
def _add_pending_panel(drawing: Drawing, completed: int) -> None:
drawing.add(
Rect(
210,
210,
540,
92,
rx=10,
ry=10,
fillColor=colors.HexColor("#F5F8FA"),
strokeColor=colors.HexColor("#8CA0B3"),
strokeWidth=1.5,
strokeDashArray=[8, 5],
)
)
drawing.add(
String(
480,
268,
"NO CONFIRMATORY DATA",
textAnchor="middle",
fontName="Helvetica-Bold",
fontSize=20,
fillColor=colors.HexColor("#516273"),
)
)
drawing.add(
String(
480,
236,
f"DRAFT - {completed}/{EXPECTED_CONFIRMATORY_RUNS} completed runs",
textAnchor="middle",
fontName="Helvetica",
fontSize=14,
fillColor=colors.HexColor("#66788A"),
)
)
def _outcome_rows(results: Mapping[str, Any]) -> dict[str, Mapping[str, Any]]:
outcomes = _mapping(results.get("outcomes"), "results.outcomes")
metric = _mapping(
outcomes.get("evidence_unsupported_completion"),
"results.outcomes.evidence_unsupported_completion",
)
rows: dict[str, Mapping[str, Any]] = {}
for condition in CONDITIONS:
rows[condition] = _mapping(
metric.get(condition),
f"results.outcomes.evidence_unsupported_completion.{condition}",
)
return rows
def unsupported_completion_drawing(
results: Mapping[str, Any],
*,
mode: str,
) -> Drawing:
completed = _validate_mode(results, mode)
rows = _outcome_rows(results)
subtitle = (
"Primary outcome: unsupported completed claims / eligible phase outputs"
)
drawing = _base_drawing("Unsupported completion by condition", subtitle)
left, bottom, width, height = 104, 102, 790, 330
for step in range(5):
rate = step / 4
y = bottom + height * rate
drawing.add(
Line(
left,
y,
left + width,
y,
strokeColor=colors.HexColor("#E2E8ED"),
strokeWidth=1,
)
)
drawing.add(
String(
left - 18,
y - 4,
f"{int(rate * 100)}%",
textAnchor="end",
fontName="Helvetica",
fontSize=10,
fillColor=colors.HexColor("#607182"),
)
)
bar_width = 112
gap = (width - bar_width * len(CONDITIONS)) / (len(CONDITIONS) + 1)
has_data = False
for index, condition in enumerate(CONDITIONS):
row = rows[condition]
rate = _number_or_none(
row.get("raw_rate"),
f"unsupported completion rate for {condition}",
)
numerator = _integer(row.get("numerator"), f"{condition}.numerator")
denominator = _integer(row.get("denominator"), f"{condition}.denominator")
x = left + gap + index * (bar_width + gap)
drawing.add(
String(
x + bar_width / 2,
70,
CONDITION_LABELS[condition],
textAnchor="middle",
fontName="Helvetica-Bold" if condition == "beforedone" else "Helvetica",
fontSize=10,
fillColor=colors.HexColor("#263747"),
)
)
if rate is None:
if denominator != 0:
raise FigureError(
f"{condition} has a denominator but no unsupported-completion rate"
)
drawing.add(
Rect(
x,
bottom,
bar_width,
height,
fillColor=colors.HexColor("#F4F6F8"),
strokeColor=colors.HexColor("#B5C0CA"),
strokeWidth=1,
strokeDashArray=[6, 5],
)
)
drawing.add(
String(
x + bar_width / 2,
bottom + 12,
"N/A",
textAnchor="middle",
fontName="Helvetica-Bold",
fontSize=11,
fillColor=colors.HexColor("#778797"),
)
)
continue
if not 0 <= rate <= 1 or denominator <= 0 or not 0 <= numerator <= denominator:
raise FigureError(f"invalid unsupported-completion summary for {condition}")
has_data = True
bar_height = height * rate
drawing.add(
Rect(
x,
bottom,
bar_width,
bar_height,
fillColor=colors.HexColor(CONDITION_COLORS[condition]),
strokeColor=None,
)
)
drawing.add(
String(
x + bar_width / 2,
min(bottom + height - 14, bottom + bar_height + 10),
f"{rate * 100:.1f}% ({numerator}/{denominator})",
textAnchor="middle",
fontName="Helvetica-Bold",
fontSize=10,
fillColor=colors.HexColor("#263747"),
)
)
if mode == "draft" and not has_data:
_add_pending_panel(drawing, completed)
return drawing
def _cost_rows(
results: Mapping[str, Any],
metric: str,
) -> dict[str, Mapping[str, Any]]:
costs = _mapping(results.get("costs"), "results.costs")
descriptive = _mapping(costs.get("descriptive"), "results.costs.descriptive")
summary = _mapping(descriptive.get(metric), f"results.costs.descriptive.{metric}")
rows: dict[str, Mapping[str, Any]] = {}
for condition in CONDITIONS:
rows[condition] = _mapping(
summary.get(condition),
f"results.costs.descriptive.{metric}.{condition}",
)
return rows
def cost_tradeoff_drawing(
results: Mapping[str, Any],
*,
mode: str,
) -> Drawing:
completed = _validate_mode(results, mode)
verifier_rows = _cost_rows(results, "verifier_executions")
wall_rows = _cost_rows(results, "wall_seconds")
drawing = _base_drawing(
"Verification cost and elapsed-time trade-off",
"Condition medians; whiskers show the interquartile range",
)
points: list[tuple[str, float, float, float, float, float, float]] = []
for condition in CONDITIONS:
verifier = verifier_rows[condition]
wall = wall_rows[condition]
x = _number_or_none(verifier.get("median"), f"{condition}.verifier median")
y = _number_or_none(wall.get("median"), f"{condition}.wall median")
x1 = _number_or_none(verifier.get("q1"), f"{condition}.verifier q1")
x3 = _number_or_none(verifier.get("q3"), f"{condition}.verifier q3")
y1 = _number_or_none(wall.get("q1"), f"{condition}.wall q1")
y3 = _number_or_none(wall.get("q3"), f"{condition}.wall q3")
n_x = _integer(verifier.get("n"), f"{condition}.verifier n")
n_y = _integer(wall.get("n"), f"{condition}.wall n")
values = (x, y, x1, x3, y1, y3)
if all(value is None for value in values):
if n_x != 0 or n_y != 0:
raise FigureError(f"{condition} has cost counts without summaries")
continue
if any(value is None for value in values) or n_x <= 0 or n_x != n_y:
raise FigureError(f"incomplete cost summary for {condition}")
assert x is not None and y is not None
assert x1 is not None and x3 is not None and y1 is not None and y3 is not None
if min(x, y, x1, x3, y1, y3) < 0 or not (x1 <= x <= x3 and y1 <= y <= y3):
raise FigureError(f"invalid cost quartiles for {condition}")
points.append((condition, x, y, x1, x3, y1, y3))
left, bottom, width, height = 116, 104, 730, 320
max_x = max((point[4] for point in points), default=4.0)
max_y = max((point[6] for point in points), default=120.0)
max_x = max(1.0, max_x * 1.2)
max_y = max(1.0, max_y * 1.2)
for step in range(5):
fraction = step / 4
x = left + width * fraction
y = bottom + height * fraction
drawing.add(
Line(
x,
bottom,
x,
bottom + height,
strokeColor=colors.HexColor("#E2E8ED"),
strokeWidth=1,
)
)
drawing.add(
Line(
left,
y,
left + width,
y,
strokeColor=colors.HexColor("#E2E8ED"),
strokeWidth=1,
)
)
drawing.add(
String(
x,
bottom - 18,
f"{max_x * fraction:.1f}",
textAnchor="middle",
fontName="Helvetica",
fontSize=9,
fillColor=colors.HexColor("#607182"),
)
)
drawing.add(
String(
left - 14,
y - 3,
f"{max_y * fraction:.0f}",
textAnchor="end",
fontName="Helvetica",
fontSize=9,
fillColor=colors.HexColor("#607182"),
)
)
drawing.add(
String(
left + width / 2,
56,
"Visible-verifier executions per run",
textAnchor="middle",
fontName="Helvetica-Bold",
fontSize=11,
fillColor=colors.HexColor("#405263"),
)
)
drawing.add(
String(
26,
bottom + height / 2,
"Wall seconds",
textAnchor="middle",
fontName="Helvetica-Bold",
fontSize=11,
fillColor=colors.HexColor("#405263"),
angle=90,
)
)
for condition, x, y, x1, x3, y1, y3 in points:
px = left + width * x / max_x
py = bottom + height * y / max_y
px1 = left + width * x1 / max_x
px3 = left + width * x3 / max_x
py1 = bottom + height * y1 / max_y
py3 = bottom + height * y3 / max_y
color = colors.HexColor(CONDITION_COLORS[condition])
drawing.add(Line(px1, py, px3, py, strokeColor=color, strokeWidth=2))
drawing.add(Line(px, py1, px, py3, strokeColor=color, strokeWidth=2))
drawing.add(Circle(px, py, 8, fillColor=color, strokeColor=colors.white))
drawing.add(
String(
px + 12,
py + 8,
CONDITION_LABELS[condition],
fontName="Helvetica-Bold",
fontSize=10,
fillColor=color,
)
)
if mode == "draft" and not points:
_add_pending_panel(drawing, completed)
return drawing
def build_figure_artifacts(
results: Mapping[str, Any],
*,
mode: str,
) -> list[FigureArtifact]:
_validate_mode(results, mode)
return [
FigureArtifact(
key="unsupported_completion",
filename="unsupported-completion-by-condition.svg",
title="Unsupported completion by condition",
caption=(
"Figure 1. Unsupported completed claims as a fraction of eligible "
"phase outputs. In draft mode, N/A bars explicitly indicate that no "
"confirmatory estimate exists."
),
drawing=unsupported_completion_drawing(results, mode=mode),
),
FigureArtifact(
key="cost_tradeoff",
filename="cost-verification-tradeoff.svg",
title="Verification cost and elapsed-time trade-off",
caption=(
"Figure 2. Median visible-verifier executions and wall-clock time by "
"condition, with interquartile-range whiskers. An empty draft panel "
"contains no simulated points."
),
drawing=cost_tradeoff_drawing(results, mode=mode),
),
]
def scaled_drawing(drawing: Drawing, width: float) -> Drawing:
scaled = copy.deepcopy(drawing)
factor = width / float(drawing.width)
scaled.scale(factor, factor)
scaled.width = float(drawing.width) * factor
scaled.height = float(drawing.height) * factor
return scaled
def generate_figures(root: Path, *, mode: str) -> list[Path]:
root = root.resolve()
results = load_results(root)
artifacts = build_figure_artifacts(results, mode=mode)
output = root / "paper" / "generated" / "figures"
output.mkdir(parents=True, exist_ok=True)
written: list[Path] = []
for artifact in artifacts:
svg = renderSVG.drawToString(artifact.drawing)
if not svg.endswith("\n"):
svg += "\n"
path = output / artifact.filename
path.write_bytes(svg.encode("utf-8"))
written.append(path)
return written
def _parser() -> argparse.ArgumentParser:
parser = argparse.ArgumentParser(
description="Generate deterministic figures from canonical BeforeDone analysis."
)
parser.add_argument("--root", type=Path, default=Path.cwd())
parser.add_argument("--mode", choices=("draft", "final"), default="draft")
return parser
def main(argv: Sequence[str] | None = None) -> int:
args = _parser().parse_args(argv)
try:
paths = generate_figures(args.root, mode=args.mode)
except (FigureError, OSError) as exc:
print(f"figure generation failed: {exc}", file=sys.stderr)
return 2
for path in paths:
print(path)
return 0
if __name__ == "__main__":
raise SystemExit(main())