Download analysis/figures.py from RedinGhost/beforedone-paper: direct link, hf CLI and curl.
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18 kB
| from __future__ import annotations | |
| import argparse | |
| import copy | |
| import json | |
| import sys | |
| from dataclasses import dataclass | |
| from pathlib import Path | |
| from typing import Any, Mapping, Sequence | |
| from reportlab.graphics import renderSVG | |
| from reportlab.graphics.shapes import Circle, Drawing, Line, Rect, String | |
| from reportlab.lib import colors | |
| CONDITIONS = ("no_gate", "prompt_only", "stateless_hook", "beforedone") | |
| CONDITION_LABELS = { | |
| "no_gate": "C0 No gate", | |
| "prompt_only": "C1 Prompt only", | |
| "stateless_hook": "C2 Stateless Hook", | |
| "beforedone": "C3 BeforeDone", | |
| } | |
| CONDITION_COLORS = { | |
| "no_gate": "#778396", | |
| "prompt_only": "#53769A", | |
| "stateless_hook": "#D18449", | |
| "beforedone": "#0A756A", | |
| } | |
| EXPECTED_CONFIRMATORY_RUNS = 144 | |
| FIGURE_WIDTH = 960 | |
| FIGURE_HEIGHT = 540 | |
| class FigureError(ValueError): | |
| """A figure cannot be derived without inventing or obscuring study data.""" | |
| class FigureArtifact: | |
| key: str | |
| filename: str | |
| title: str | |
| caption: str | |
| drawing: Drawing | |
| def _mapping(value: object, label: str) -> Mapping[str, Any]: | |
| if not isinstance(value, Mapping): | |
| raise FigureError(f"{label} must be an object") | |
| return value | |
| def _number_or_none(value: object, label: str) -> float | None: | |
| if value is None: | |
| return None | |
| if isinstance(value, bool) or not isinstance(value, (int, float)): | |
| raise FigureError(f"{label} must be numeric or null") | |
| return float(value) | |
| def _integer(value: object, label: str) -> int: | |
| if isinstance(value, bool) or not isinstance(value, int): | |
| raise FigureError(f"{label} must be an integer") | |
| return value | |
| def load_results(root: Path) -> dict[str, Any]: | |
| path = root.resolve() / "data" / "analysis" / "results.json" | |
| try: | |
| payload = json.loads(path.read_text(encoding="utf-8")) | |
| except FileNotFoundError as exc: | |
| raise FigureError(f"missing analysis results: {path}") from exc | |
| except (OSError, json.JSONDecodeError) as exc: | |
| raise FigureError(f"cannot read analysis results: {exc}") from exc | |
| if not isinstance(payload, dict): | |
| raise FigureError("analysis results must be a JSON object") | |
| return payload | |
| def confirmatory_completed_count(results: Mapping[str, Any]) -> int: | |
| input_data = _mapping(results.get("input"), "results.input") | |
| count = _integer( | |
| input_data.get("confirmatory_completed_count"), | |
| "results.input.confirmatory_completed_count", | |
| ) | |
| if count < 0 or count > EXPECTED_CONFIRMATORY_RUNS: | |
| raise FigureError( | |
| "results.input.confirmatory_completed_count is outside the frozen schedule" | |
| ) | |
| return count | |
| def _validate_mode(results: Mapping[str, Any], mode: str) -> int: | |
| if mode not in {"draft", "final"}: | |
| raise FigureError("mode must be 'draft' or 'final'") | |
| completed = confirmatory_completed_count(results) | |
| if mode == "final" and completed != EXPECTED_CONFIRMATORY_RUNS: | |
| raise FigureError( | |
| "final figures require all 144 confirmatory runs; " | |
| f"found {completed}" | |
| ) | |
| return completed | |
| def _base_drawing(title: str, subtitle: str) -> Drawing: | |
| drawing = Drawing(FIGURE_WIDTH, FIGURE_HEIGHT) | |
| drawing.add( | |
| Rect( | |
| 0, | |
| 0, | |
| FIGURE_WIDTH, | |
| FIGURE_HEIGHT, | |
| fillColor=colors.white, | |
| strokeColor=colors.HexColor("#D8E0E7"), | |
| strokeWidth=2, | |
| ) | |
| ) | |
| drawing.add( | |
| Rect( | |
| 0, | |
| FIGURE_HEIGHT - 10, | |
| FIGURE_WIDTH, | |
| 10, | |
| fillColor=colors.HexColor("#0A756A"), | |
| strokeColor=None, | |
| ) | |
| ) | |
| drawing.add( | |
| String( | |
| 54, | |
| FIGURE_HEIGHT - 58, | |
| title, | |
| fontName="Helvetica-Bold", | |
| fontSize=24, | |
| fillColor=colors.HexColor("#172534"), | |
| ) | |
| ) | |
| drawing.add( | |
| String( | |
| 54, | |
| FIGURE_HEIGHT - 86, | |
| subtitle, | |
| fontName="Helvetica", | |
| fontSize=12, | |
| fillColor=colors.HexColor("#556575"), | |
| ) | |
| ) | |
| return drawing | |
| def _add_pending_panel(drawing: Drawing, completed: int) -> None: | |
| drawing.add( | |
| Rect( | |
| 210, | |
| 210, | |
| 540, | |
| 92, | |
| rx=10, | |
| ry=10, | |
| fillColor=colors.HexColor("#F5F8FA"), | |
| strokeColor=colors.HexColor("#8CA0B3"), | |
| strokeWidth=1.5, | |
| strokeDashArray=[8, 5], | |
| ) | |
| ) | |
| drawing.add( | |
| String( | |
| 480, | |
| 268, | |
| "NO CONFIRMATORY DATA", | |
| textAnchor="middle", | |
| fontName="Helvetica-Bold", | |
| fontSize=20, | |
| fillColor=colors.HexColor("#516273"), | |
| ) | |
| ) | |
| drawing.add( | |
| String( | |
| 480, | |
| 236, | |
| f"DRAFT - {completed}/{EXPECTED_CONFIRMATORY_RUNS} completed runs", | |
| textAnchor="middle", | |
| fontName="Helvetica", | |
| fontSize=14, | |
| fillColor=colors.HexColor("#66788A"), | |
| ) | |
| ) | |
| def _outcome_rows(results: Mapping[str, Any]) -> dict[str, Mapping[str, Any]]: | |
| outcomes = _mapping(results.get("outcomes"), "results.outcomes") | |
| metric = _mapping( | |
| outcomes.get("evidence_unsupported_completion"), | |
| "results.outcomes.evidence_unsupported_completion", | |
| ) | |
| rows: dict[str, Mapping[str, Any]] = {} | |
| for condition in CONDITIONS: | |
| rows[condition] = _mapping( | |
| metric.get(condition), | |
| f"results.outcomes.evidence_unsupported_completion.{condition}", | |
| ) | |
| return rows | |
| def unsupported_completion_drawing( | |
| results: Mapping[str, Any], | |
| *, | |
| mode: str, | |
| ) -> Drawing: | |
| completed = _validate_mode(results, mode) | |
| rows = _outcome_rows(results) | |
| subtitle = ( | |
| "Primary outcome: unsupported completed claims / eligible phase outputs" | |
| ) | |
| drawing = _base_drawing("Unsupported completion by condition", subtitle) | |
| left, bottom, width, height = 104, 102, 790, 330 | |
| for step in range(5): | |
| rate = step / 4 | |
| y = bottom + height * rate | |
| drawing.add( | |
| Line( | |
| left, | |
| y, | |
| left + width, | |
| y, | |
| strokeColor=colors.HexColor("#E2E8ED"), | |
| strokeWidth=1, | |
| ) | |
| ) | |
| drawing.add( | |
| String( | |
| left - 18, | |
| y - 4, | |
| f"{int(rate * 100)}%", | |
| textAnchor="end", | |
| fontName="Helvetica", | |
| fontSize=10, | |
| fillColor=colors.HexColor("#607182"), | |
| ) | |
| ) | |
| bar_width = 112 | |
| gap = (width - bar_width * len(CONDITIONS)) / (len(CONDITIONS) + 1) | |
| has_data = False | |
| for index, condition in enumerate(CONDITIONS): | |
| row = rows[condition] | |
| rate = _number_or_none( | |
| row.get("raw_rate"), | |
| f"unsupported completion rate for {condition}", | |
| ) | |
| numerator = _integer(row.get("numerator"), f"{condition}.numerator") | |
| denominator = _integer(row.get("denominator"), f"{condition}.denominator") | |
| x = left + gap + index * (bar_width + gap) | |
| drawing.add( | |
| String( | |
| x + bar_width / 2, | |
| 70, | |
| CONDITION_LABELS[condition], | |
| textAnchor="middle", | |
| fontName="Helvetica-Bold" if condition == "beforedone" else "Helvetica", | |
| fontSize=10, | |
| fillColor=colors.HexColor("#263747"), | |
| ) | |
| ) | |
| if rate is None: | |
| if denominator != 0: | |
| raise FigureError( | |
| f"{condition} has a denominator but no unsupported-completion rate" | |
| ) | |
| drawing.add( | |
| Rect( | |
| x, | |
| bottom, | |
| bar_width, | |
| height, | |
| fillColor=colors.HexColor("#F4F6F8"), | |
| strokeColor=colors.HexColor("#B5C0CA"), | |
| strokeWidth=1, | |
| strokeDashArray=[6, 5], | |
| ) | |
| ) | |
| drawing.add( | |
| String( | |
| x + bar_width / 2, | |
| bottom + 12, | |
| "N/A", | |
| textAnchor="middle", | |
| fontName="Helvetica-Bold", | |
| fontSize=11, | |
| fillColor=colors.HexColor("#778797"), | |
| ) | |
| ) | |
| continue | |
| if not 0 <= rate <= 1 or denominator <= 0 or not 0 <= numerator <= denominator: | |
| raise FigureError(f"invalid unsupported-completion summary for {condition}") | |
| has_data = True | |
| bar_height = height * rate | |
| drawing.add( | |
| Rect( | |
| x, | |
| bottom, | |
| bar_width, | |
| bar_height, | |
| fillColor=colors.HexColor(CONDITION_COLORS[condition]), | |
| strokeColor=None, | |
| ) | |
| ) | |
| drawing.add( | |
| String( | |
| x + bar_width / 2, | |
| min(bottom + height - 14, bottom + bar_height + 10), | |
| f"{rate * 100:.1f}% ({numerator}/{denominator})", | |
| textAnchor="middle", | |
| fontName="Helvetica-Bold", | |
| fontSize=10, | |
| fillColor=colors.HexColor("#263747"), | |
| ) | |
| ) | |
| if mode == "draft" and not has_data: | |
| _add_pending_panel(drawing, completed) | |
| return drawing | |
| def _cost_rows( | |
| results: Mapping[str, Any], | |
| metric: str, | |
| ) -> dict[str, Mapping[str, Any]]: | |
| costs = _mapping(results.get("costs"), "results.costs") | |
| descriptive = _mapping(costs.get("descriptive"), "results.costs.descriptive") | |
| summary = _mapping(descriptive.get(metric), f"results.costs.descriptive.{metric}") | |
| rows: dict[str, Mapping[str, Any]] = {} | |
| for condition in CONDITIONS: | |
| rows[condition] = _mapping( | |
| summary.get(condition), | |
| f"results.costs.descriptive.{metric}.{condition}", | |
| ) | |
| return rows | |
| def cost_tradeoff_drawing( | |
| results: Mapping[str, Any], | |
| *, | |
| mode: str, | |
| ) -> Drawing: | |
| completed = _validate_mode(results, mode) | |
| verifier_rows = _cost_rows(results, "verifier_executions") | |
| wall_rows = _cost_rows(results, "wall_seconds") | |
| drawing = _base_drawing( | |
| "Verification cost and elapsed-time trade-off", | |
| "Condition medians; whiskers show the interquartile range", | |
| ) | |
| points: list[tuple[str, float, float, float, float, float, float]] = [] | |
| for condition in CONDITIONS: | |
| verifier = verifier_rows[condition] | |
| wall = wall_rows[condition] | |
| x = _number_or_none(verifier.get("median"), f"{condition}.verifier median") | |
| y = _number_or_none(wall.get("median"), f"{condition}.wall median") | |
| x1 = _number_or_none(verifier.get("q1"), f"{condition}.verifier q1") | |
| x3 = _number_or_none(verifier.get("q3"), f"{condition}.verifier q3") | |
| y1 = _number_or_none(wall.get("q1"), f"{condition}.wall q1") | |
| y3 = _number_or_none(wall.get("q3"), f"{condition}.wall q3") | |
| n_x = _integer(verifier.get("n"), f"{condition}.verifier n") | |
| n_y = _integer(wall.get("n"), f"{condition}.wall n") | |
| values = (x, y, x1, x3, y1, y3) | |
| if all(value is None for value in values): | |
| if n_x != 0 or n_y != 0: | |
| raise FigureError(f"{condition} has cost counts without summaries") | |
| continue | |
| if any(value is None for value in values) or n_x <= 0 or n_x != n_y: | |
| raise FigureError(f"incomplete cost summary for {condition}") | |
| assert x is not None and y is not None | |
| assert x1 is not None and x3 is not None and y1 is not None and y3 is not None | |
| if min(x, y, x1, x3, y1, y3) < 0 or not (x1 <= x <= x3 and y1 <= y <= y3): | |
| raise FigureError(f"invalid cost quartiles for {condition}") | |
| points.append((condition, x, y, x1, x3, y1, y3)) | |
| left, bottom, width, height = 116, 104, 730, 320 | |
| max_x = max((point[4] for point in points), default=4.0) | |
| max_y = max((point[6] for point in points), default=120.0) | |
| max_x = max(1.0, max_x * 1.2) | |
| max_y = max(1.0, max_y * 1.2) | |
| for step in range(5): | |
| fraction = step / 4 | |
| x = left + width * fraction | |
| y = bottom + height * fraction | |
| drawing.add( | |
| Line( | |
| x, | |
| bottom, | |
| x, | |
| bottom + height, | |
| strokeColor=colors.HexColor("#E2E8ED"), | |
| strokeWidth=1, | |
| ) | |
| ) | |
| drawing.add( | |
| Line( | |
| left, | |
| y, | |
| left + width, | |
| y, | |
| strokeColor=colors.HexColor("#E2E8ED"), | |
| strokeWidth=1, | |
| ) | |
| ) | |
| drawing.add( | |
| String( | |
| x, | |
| bottom - 18, | |
| f"{max_x * fraction:.1f}", | |
| textAnchor="middle", | |
| fontName="Helvetica", | |
| fontSize=9, | |
| fillColor=colors.HexColor("#607182"), | |
| ) | |
| ) | |
| drawing.add( | |
| String( | |
| left - 14, | |
| y - 3, | |
| f"{max_y * fraction:.0f}", | |
| textAnchor="end", | |
| fontName="Helvetica", | |
| fontSize=9, | |
| fillColor=colors.HexColor("#607182"), | |
| ) | |
| ) | |
| drawing.add( | |
| String( | |
| left + width / 2, | |
| 56, | |
| "Visible-verifier executions per run", | |
| textAnchor="middle", | |
| fontName="Helvetica-Bold", | |
| fontSize=11, | |
| fillColor=colors.HexColor("#405263"), | |
| ) | |
| ) | |
| drawing.add( | |
| String( | |
| 26, | |
| bottom + height / 2, | |
| "Wall seconds", | |
| textAnchor="middle", | |
| fontName="Helvetica-Bold", | |
| fontSize=11, | |
| fillColor=colors.HexColor("#405263"), | |
| angle=90, | |
| ) | |
| ) | |
| for condition, x, y, x1, x3, y1, y3 in points: | |
| px = left + width * x / max_x | |
| py = bottom + height * y / max_y | |
| px1 = left + width * x1 / max_x | |
| px3 = left + width * x3 / max_x | |
| py1 = bottom + height * y1 / max_y | |
| py3 = bottom + height * y3 / max_y | |
| color = colors.HexColor(CONDITION_COLORS[condition]) | |
| drawing.add(Line(px1, py, px3, py, strokeColor=color, strokeWidth=2)) | |
| drawing.add(Line(px, py1, px, py3, strokeColor=color, strokeWidth=2)) | |
| drawing.add(Circle(px, py, 8, fillColor=color, strokeColor=colors.white)) | |
| drawing.add( | |
| String( | |
| px + 12, | |
| py + 8, | |
| CONDITION_LABELS[condition], | |
| fontName="Helvetica-Bold", | |
| fontSize=10, | |
| fillColor=color, | |
| ) | |
| ) | |
| if mode == "draft" and not points: | |
| _add_pending_panel(drawing, completed) | |
| return drawing | |
| def build_figure_artifacts( | |
| results: Mapping[str, Any], | |
| *, | |
| mode: str, | |
| ) -> list[FigureArtifact]: | |
| _validate_mode(results, mode) | |
| return [ | |
| FigureArtifact( | |
| key="unsupported_completion", | |
| filename="unsupported-completion-by-condition.svg", | |
| title="Unsupported completion by condition", | |
| caption=( | |
| "Figure 1. Unsupported completed claims as a fraction of eligible " | |
| "phase outputs. In draft mode, N/A bars explicitly indicate that no " | |
| "confirmatory estimate exists." | |
| ), | |
| drawing=unsupported_completion_drawing(results, mode=mode), | |
| ), | |
| FigureArtifact( | |
| key="cost_tradeoff", | |
| filename="cost-verification-tradeoff.svg", | |
| title="Verification cost and elapsed-time trade-off", | |
| caption=( | |
| "Figure 2. Median visible-verifier executions and wall-clock time by " | |
| "condition, with interquartile-range whiskers. An empty draft panel " | |
| "contains no simulated points." | |
| ), | |
| drawing=cost_tradeoff_drawing(results, mode=mode), | |
| ), | |
| ] | |
| def scaled_drawing(drawing: Drawing, width: float) -> Drawing: | |
| scaled = copy.deepcopy(drawing) | |
| factor = width / float(drawing.width) | |
| scaled.scale(factor, factor) | |
| scaled.width = float(drawing.width) * factor | |
| scaled.height = float(drawing.height) * factor | |
| return scaled | |
| def generate_figures(root: Path, *, mode: str) -> list[Path]: | |
| root = root.resolve() | |
| results = load_results(root) | |
| artifacts = build_figure_artifacts(results, mode=mode) | |
| output = root / "paper" / "generated" / "figures" | |
| output.mkdir(parents=True, exist_ok=True) | |
| written: list[Path] = [] | |
| for artifact in artifacts: | |
| svg = renderSVG.drawToString(artifact.drawing) | |
| if not svg.endswith("\n"): | |
| svg += "\n" | |
| path = output / artifact.filename | |
| path.write_bytes(svg.encode("utf-8")) | |
| written.append(path) | |
| return written | |
| def _parser() -> argparse.ArgumentParser: | |
| parser = argparse.ArgumentParser( | |
| description="Generate deterministic figures from canonical BeforeDone analysis." | |
| ) | |
| parser.add_argument("--root", type=Path, default=Path.cwd()) | |
| parser.add_argument("--mode", choices=("draft", "final"), default="draft") | |
| return parser | |
| def main(argv: Sequence[str] | None = None) -> int: | |
| args = _parser().parse_args(argv) | |
| try: | |
| paths = generate_figures(args.root, mode=args.mode) | |
| except (FigureError, OSError) as exc: | |
| print(f"figure generation failed: {exc}", file=sys.stderr) | |
| return 2 | |
| for path in paths: | |
| print(path) | |
| return 0 | |
| if __name__ == "__main__": | |
| raise SystemExit(main()) | |