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Publish measured Luna/Sonnet scenario-2 comparison; n=1, max failure explicit

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logs/reasoning_effort/comparison_scenario2_luna_sonnet_20261031/MANIFEST.json ADDED
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logs/reasoning_effort/comparison_scenario2_luna_sonnet_20261031/PROVENANCE.json ADDED
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+ {
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+ "scenario": "scenario_2",
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+ "n_runs_per_model_effort": 1,
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+ "common_efforts": [
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+ "high",
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+ "none"
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+ "max_rounds": 8,
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+ "max_tokens": 32000,
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+ "input_dimensions": {
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+ "plates": 37,
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+ "features": 1027
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+ },
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+ "sources": {
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+ "path": "/home/xuekun/shape/code/SHAPE-Revision-batch-sonnet55-effort-20261031/benchmarks/batch_correction_JUMP/results/scenario2_effort_e3b9e47b_20261013T013018Z_47584915",
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+ "comparison_scope": "Descriptive comparison of existing measured single runs; no repeat-run error bars or significance tests.",
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+ "version_notes": "Task runner, scorer, control and quantification code are unchanged between the two task commits. The batch verifier difference is an improved null-parameter error message. Package environments differ; metadata Parquet hashes are retained separately. This is not an isolated causal model-effect experiment.",
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+ "cancelled_repeat_study": {
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+ "planned_runs": 20,
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+ "executed_runs": 0,
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+ "cancelled_by_user": true
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+ },
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+ "reply_errors_reviewed": true,
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+ "response_records": 7,
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+ "thinking_tokens": 0,
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+ },
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+ "thinking_tokens": 0,
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+ "thinking_usage_coverage": 9,
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+ "total_tokens": 163416,
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+ "source_sha256": "f5f0f989ae3aee0e206104864b3d032a831cd3bba3a3e409505c92a64a3fecf0"
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+ },
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+ "response_records": 8,
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+ "usage_records": 8,
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+ "thinking_tokens": 2041,
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+ "thinking_usage_coverage": 8,
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+ "total_tokens": 200781,
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+ "source_sha256": "04f04de9d6c82c484b1b02d34e06fc457cbe0a2097ba9bcb9caba4943e694186"
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+ },
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+ "response_records": 9,
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+ "usage_records": 9,
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+ "thinking_tokens": 10731,
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+ "thinking_usage_coverage": 9,
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+ "total_tokens": 359276,
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+ }
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+ },
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+ "usage_note": "Original canonical reports remain unchanged. The initial adapter omitted the provider nested thinking-token field; this derived comparison recovers exact reported values from raw native traces and verifies total tokens. No reasoning-token value is estimated.",
115
+ "failure_policy": "Keep recorded replies, truncations and harness fallback scores in the data. A condition with reply failures and no tool search is marked failed and omitted from normal performance bars; never fabricate a replacement."
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+ }
logs/reasoning_effort/comparison_scenario2_luna_sonnet_20261031/README.md ADDED
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+ # JUMP Scenario 2: Luna and Sonnet reasoning effort
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+
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+ Existing GPT-5.6-luna results are reused; Claude Sonnet 5.5 was run once at each native effort. **n=1 attempt per model and effort. No error bars across LLM runs are available.**
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+
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+ | model | effort | status | test overall | gain vs Harmony | rounds | tool calls | tokens | wall (min) |
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+ |---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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+ | GPT-5.6-luna | none | completed | 0.5589 | +0.0079 | 3 | 13 | 67473 | 5.6 |
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+ | GPT-5.6-luna | low | completed | 0.5631 | +0.0121 | 4 | 27 | 89710 | 11.9 |
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+ | Claude Sonnet 5.5 | low | completed | 0.5641 | +0.0131 | 4 | 19 | 96837 | 5.1 |
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+ | GPT-5.6-luna | medium | completed | 0.5679 | +0.0169 | 3 | 35 | 109831 | 11.3 |
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+ | Claude Sonnet 5.5 | medium | completed | 0.5789 | +0.0279 | 6 | 26 | 163416 | 22.6 |
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+ | GPT-5.6-luna | high | completed | 0.5717 | +0.0207 | 3 | 36 | 128376 | 111.7 |
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+ | Claude Sonnet 5.5 | high | completed | 0.5902 | +0.0392 | 5 | 40 | 200781 | 43.8 |
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+ | GPT-5.6-luna | xhigh | completed | 0.5685 | +0.0175 | 5 | 83 | 270770 | 41.3 |
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+ | Claude Sonnet 5.5 | xhigh | completed | 0.5898 | +0.0388 | 6 | 63 | 359276 | 108.1 |
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+ | Claude Sonnet 5.5 | max | failed_no_tool_search | 0.5098 | -0.0412 | 0 | 0 | 116361 | 13.6 |
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+
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+ The prepared Scenario-2 feature matrix is byte-identical: 14,194 wells, 37 TARGET2 plates, 1,027 features, sources 2/6/10. Calibration uses 146 compounds and evaluation uses 147 held-out compounds plus controls. Budgets are at most 8 tuning rounds, 32,000 tokens per reply, 900-second request timeout and 16 CPU cores. A round may contain several tool calls.
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+
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+ Fig1e uses `overall_gain_vs_harmony` directly from each canonical sweep report, with no error bars. Failed no-search conditions are explicitly marked; their harness fallback score is retained in the table but is not plotted as normal model performance. Original paired-plate ±2SE values remain in the data for provenance and are not interpreted as uncertainty across independent LLM repeats. Unsupported levels are omitted rather than plotted as zero.
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+
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+ Task runner, scorer, control and quantification code are unchanged between the two task commits. The batch verifier difference is an improved null-parameter error message. Package environments differ; metadata Parquet hashes are retained separately. This is not an isolated causal model-effect experiment.
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+
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+ This descriptive comparison reuses historical Luna runs rather than rerunning them. The planned 20-condition repeat experiment was cancelled before execution; none of its preflight calls are counted as experimental runs. Native effort labels do not imply equal reasoning compute across providers. Wall time is the canonical AGENT_RUN duration and excludes the separate final held-out scoring stage. Native thinking-token totals are recovered exactly from `usage.output_tokens_details.thinking_tokens` in the raw responses; the original canonical reports are retained unchanged and total tokens are reconciled. Missing provider counts remain missing, rather than being recorded as zero.
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+
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+ Full traces and per-file hashes: [GPT-5.6-luna](https://huggingface.co/datasets/SHAPE-Morph/benchmark-logs/tree/main/logs/reasoning_effort/scenario2_effort_e3b9e47b_20261013T013018Z_47584915), [Claude Sonnet 5.5](https://huggingface.co/datasets/SHAPE-Morph/benchmark-logs/tree/main/logs/reasoning_effort/scenario2_sonnet55_effort_d9a07987_20261031).
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+
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+ Source tables and provenance: `comparison.csv`, `comparison.json`, `PROVENANCE.json`, and the canonical per-model `SWEEP_REPORT.json` and `PREPARE.json` snapshots.
logs/reasoning_effort/comparison_scenario2_luna_sonnet_20261031/comparison.csv ADDED
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+ model_key,model,model_label,effort,n_runs,test_overall,overall_gain_vs_harmony,paired_plate_band_2se_not_plotted,test_batch_mean,test_bio_mean,test_nonrep_mean_map,rounds,tool_calls,total_tokens,reasoning_tokens,canonical_reasoning_tokens,reasoning_token_source,reply_errors,truncated_replies,outcome_status,plot_included,wall_seconds,from_call,decision,stopped_because,non_default_parameters,study
2
+ luna,gpt-5.6-luna,GPT-5.6-luna,none,1,0.5589373506038878,0.007939896512330069,0.0028078987308382108,0.5089071446119035,0.5922908212652108,0.5652392744438554,3,13,67473,0,0,canonical API usage,0,0,completed,True,335.9,agent_13,RUN,satisfied,"{""input_pca"": 100, ""input_scale"": ""zscore"", ""lambda_value"": 0.2, ""max_iter_harmony"": 30, ""theta"": 4.0}",scenario2_effort_e3b9e47b_20261013T013018Z_47584915
3
+ luna,gpt-5.6-luna,GPT-5.6-luna,low,1,0.5631142086462773,0.0121167545547195,0.0025752097311447313,0.5212980495643695,0.5909916480342158,0.5543929767588093,4,27,89710,848,848,canonical API usage,0,0,completed,True,714.6,agent_22,RUN,plateau,"{""block_size"": 0.1, ""input_pca"": 400, ""input_scale"": ""zscore"", ""lambda_value"": 1.0, ""max_iter_harmony"": 35, ""nclust"": 300, ""theta"": 16.0}",scenario2_effort_e3b9e47b_20261013T013018Z_47584915
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+ sonnet,claude-sonnet-5-5,Claude Sonnet 5.5,low,1,0.5641117776830196,0.013107532376362085,0.0033610760681294432,0.5166596999139929,0.5957464961957041,0.5719303606516389,4,19,96837,0,,native usage.output_tokens_details.thinking_tokens,0,0,completed,True,308.9,agent_16,RUN,satisfied,"{""epsilon_harmony"": 0.001, ""input_pca"": 50, ""input_scale"": ""zscore"", ""lambda_value"": 0.3, ""max_iter_harmony"": 30, ""theta"": 8.0}",scenario2_sonnet55_effort_d9a07987_20261031
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+ luna,gpt-5.6-luna,GPT-5.6-luna,medium,1,0.5678742039333458,0.016876749841787997,0.002743804854260152,0.5315159095120535,0.592113066880874,0.5650862454436287,3,35,109831,1621,1621,canonical API usage,0,0,completed,True,678.7,agent_22,RUN,satisfied,"{""epsilon_harmony"": 0.005, ""input_pca"": 128, ""input_scale"": ""zscore"", ""lambda_value"": 0.5, ""max_iter_harmony"": 20, ""nclust"": 200, ""theta"": 6.0}",scenario2_effort_e3b9e47b_20261013T013018Z_47584915
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+ sonnet,claude-sonnet-5-5,Claude Sonnet 5.5,medium,1,0.5789328652909089,0.027928619984251446,0.0035681044753392097,0.548963537300199,0.5989124172847157,0.569990239246832,6,26,163416,0,,native usage.output_tokens_details.thinking_tokens,0,0,completed,True,1354.2,agent_23,RUN,satisfied,"{""epsilon_harmony"": 0.001, ""input_pca"": 100, ""nclust"": 2000, ""theta"": 3.0}",scenario2_sonnet55_effort_d9a07987_20261031
7
+ luna,gpt-5.6-luna,GPT-5.6-luna,high,1,0.5717093741326299,0.02071192004107214,0.004071871255351384,0.549205162791825,0.5867121816931665,0.5503436432783145,3,36,128376,10082,10082,canonical API usage,0,0,completed,True,6704.7,agent_31,RUN,satisfied,"{""epsilon_harmony"": 0.0001, ""input_pca"": 800, ""input_scale"": ""zscore"", ""lambda_value"": 0.5, ""max_iter_harmony"": 40, ""nclust"": 500, ""sigma"": 0.085, ""theta"": 20.0}",scenario2_effort_e3b9e47b_20261013T013018Z_47584915
8
+ sonnet,claude-sonnet-5-5,Claude Sonnet 5.5,high,1,0.5902377036116497,0.03923345830499225,0.003724520645030581,0.5863485084238774,0.592830500403498,0.5755813568696371,5,40,200781,2041,,native usage.output_tokens_details.thinking_tokens,0,0,completed,True,2625.8,agent_35,RUN,satisfied,"{""input_pca"": 50, ""input_scale"": ""zscore"", ""max_iter_kmeans"": 20, ""nclust"": 1500, ""sigma"": 0.07, ""theta"": 12.0}",scenario2_sonnet55_effort_d9a07987_20261031
9
+ luna,gpt-5.6-luna,GPT-5.6-luna,xhigh,1,0.5684772870340074,0.01747983294244959,0.0028938841405390884,0.5317450306175225,0.5929654579783307,0.5612766108681524,5,83,270770,27823,27823,canonical API usage,0,0,completed,True,2477.3,agent_27,RUN,plateau,"{""block_size"": 0.1, ""epsilon_cluster"": 0.0001, ""epsilon_harmony"": 0.001, ""input_pca"": 100, ""lambda_value"": 5.0, ""max_iter_harmony"": 30, ""max_iter_kmeans"": 10, ""nclust"": 200, ""sigma"": 0.05, ""tau"": 50.0, ""theta"": 6.0}",scenario2_effort_e3b9e47b_20261013T013018Z_47584915
10
+ sonnet,claude-sonnet-5-5,Claude Sonnet 5.5,xhigh,1,0.5897806350012761,0.03877638969461861,0.003844277805579813,0.5851601200331521,0.5928609783133587,0.5755300812664508,6,63,359276,10731,,native usage.output_tokens_details.thinking_tokens,0,0,completed,True,6486.9,agent_49,RUN,satisfied,"{""epsilon_harmony"": 0.0001, ""input_pca"": 50, ""input_scale"": ""zscore"", ""max_iter_harmony"": 40, ""nclust"": 800, ""sigma"": 0.06, ""theta"": 5.0}",scenario2_sonnet55_effort_d9a07987_20261031
11
+ sonnet,claude-sonnet-5-5,Claude Sonnet 5.5,max,1,0.5098476612243077,-0.04115658408234979,0.002083827092896988,0.4096857507996082,0.5766222681741072,0.5094418711383188,0,0,116361,96500,,native usage.output_tokens_details.thinking_tokens,3,3,failed_no_tool_search,False,815.3,,ABSTAIN,execution_error,,scenario2_sonnet55_effort_d9a07987_20261031
logs/reasoning_effort/comparison_scenario2_luna_sonnet_20261031/comparison.json ADDED
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1
+ {
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+ "rows": [
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+ {
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+ "model_key": "luna",
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+ "model": "gpt-5.6-luna",
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+ "model_label": "GPT-5.6-luna",
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+ "effort": "none",
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+ "n_runs": 1,
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+ "test_overall": 0.5589373506038878,
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+ "overall_gain_vs_harmony": 0.007939896512330069,
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+ "paired_plate_band_2se_not_plotted": 0.0028078987308382108,
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+ "test_batch_mean": 0.5089071446119035,
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+ "test_bio_mean": 0.5922908212652108,
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+ "test_nonrep_mean_map": 0.5652392744438554,
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+ "rounds": 3,
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+ "tool_calls": 13,
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+ "total_tokens": 67473,
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+ "reasoning_tokens": 0,
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+ "canonical_reasoning_tokens": 0,
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+ "reasoning_token_source": "canonical API usage",
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+ "reply_errors": 0,
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+ "truncated_replies": 0,
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+ "outcome_status": "completed",
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+ "plot_included": true,
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+ "wall_seconds": 335.9,
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+ "from_call": "agent_13",
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+ "decision": "RUN",
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+ "stopped_because": "satisfied",
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+ "non_default_parameters": {
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+ "theta": 4.0,
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+ "lambda_value": 0.2,
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+ "max_iter_harmony": 30,
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+ "input_scale": "zscore",
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+ "input_pca": 100
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